Active Weather Alerts
Tropical Weather Statement
Issued: 4:01 PM Sep. 27, 2025 – National Weather Service
This product covers East Central Florida **Tropical Storm Watch Now In Effect For Coastal Portions of East-Central Florida** NEW INFORMATION --------------- * CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for Coastal Indian River, Coastal Martin, Coastal Saint Lucie, Coastal Volusia, Mainland Northern Brevard, Mainland Southern Brevard, Northern Brevard Barrier Islands, and Southern Brevard Barrier Islands * CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Coastal Indian River, Coastal Martin, Coastal Saint Lucie, Coastal Volusia, Mainland Northern Brevard, Mainland Southern Brevard, Northern Brevard Barrier Islands, and Southern Brevard Barrier Islands * STORM INFORMATION: - About 520 miles south-southeast of Cape Canaveral FL or about 440 miles southeast of Stuart FL - 22.0N 76.2W - Storm Intensity 35 mph - Movement Northwest or 320 degrees at 6 mph SITUATION OVERVIEW ------------------ At 11 AM, Tropical Depression Nine was located about 115 miles south of the Central Bahamas and movement was toward the northwest at 6 mph. The system is forecast to organize into a Tropical Storm tonight as it moves north-northwestward over the central and northwestern Bahamas. It is forecast to strengthen into a hurricane by late Monday or Tuesday as it parallels the Atlantic coast of Florida. Increasing moisture over the area and an approaching front are forecast to produce scattered showers and lightning storms this afternoon and evening, with some activity lingering into early Sunday morning along the Space and Treasure Coasts. As the center of Tropical Depression Nine moves northward, outer rain bands will begin to affect the immediate coast of east-central Florida as early as midday Sunday. Multiple rounds of rainfall are forecast from Sunday through at least early Tuesday, with amounts of 1 to 3 inches focused along and east of Interstate 95. Through Tuesday, locally higher amounts to 5 inches are possible where persistent bands of rain set up, especially along the immediate coastline. Localized flooding or ponding of water on roadways is possible where repeated rounds of heavy rain occur. With Tropical Depression Nine forecast to strengthen into a hurricane as it parallels the east-central Florida coastline, the wind field is also anticipated to slowly expand. Tropical-storm- force wind gusts are possible for much of the east-central Florida coastline, especially from Cape Canaveral northward. The potential exists for at least occasional tropical-storm-force sustained winds along the northern Brevard and Volusia coast, pending future track adjustments. As a result, Tropical Storm Watches have been issued for coastal portions of Volusia, Brevard, Indian River, Saint Lucie, and Martin counties, along with the adjacent Atlantic waters. At the coast, battering surf from Sunday afternoon through Tuesday will produce dangerous beach conditions. A high risk of rip currents is forecast with breaking waves of 6 to 10 feet. Beach erosion is increasingly likely as waves run up to the dune line or sea walls, especially along the northern Brevard and Volusia coast on Monday. Winds gradually turn offshore into Tuesday, but long-period swells from this system and distant Hurricane Humberto look to produce the potential for long-duration beach and dune erosion, along with high surf conditions, through late week. For locations in and near the Tropical Storm Watch, do not let your guard down. Slight westward adjustments in the forecast track will increase the potential for tropical-storm-force winds, while an eastward shift would decrease this potential. Regardless of the exact track, significant coastal impacts are anticipated. Now is the time to ensure your hurricane supply kit is stocked and your safety plan is in place. Continue to monitor the latest forecasts from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service in Melbourne, Florida. -------------------- POTENTIAL IMPACTS ----------------- * WIND: Prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across coastal areas of east-central Florida. Potential impacts in this area include: - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about. - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over. - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways. - Scattered power and communications outages. Elsewhere across East Central Florida, little to no impact is anticipated. * SURGE: Prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts across coastal areas of east-central Florida. Potential impacts in this area include: - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore. - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where surge water covers the road. - Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents. - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings. * FLOODING RAIN: Prepare for locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible limited impacts across East Central Florida. Potential impacts include: - Localized rainfall flooding may prompt a few evacuations. - Rivers and tributaries may quickly rise with swifter currents. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become swollen and overflow in spots. - Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in usually vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding of water occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds become near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief road and bridge closures. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS ---------------------------------- * EVACUATIONS: Follow the advice of local officials. * OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION: Now is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies kit and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your home or business. When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the center of the storm. When securing your property, outside preparations should be concluded as soon as possible before conditions deteriorate. The onset of strong gusty winds or flooding can cause certain preparedness activities to become unsafe. Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes to the forecast. * ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION: - For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov - For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org - For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org NEXT UPDATE ----------- The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather Service in Melbourne FL around 6 PM EDT, or sooner if conditions warrant.
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