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Location: Forest Home, AL
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Tropical Weather Statement
Issued: 3:21 AM Jul. 21, 2026 – National Weather Service
This product covers portions of southwest Alabama...northwest Florida...south
central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.

**TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS NOW IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL PORTIONS OF
MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- The Tropical Storm Watch has been upgraded to a Tropical Storm
Warning for Baldwin Central, Baldwin Coastal, Mobile Central,
and Mobile Coastal

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A Tropical Storm Warning and Storm Surge Watch are in effect
for Baldwin Coastal and Mobile Coastal
- A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Baldwin Central and
Mobile Central
- A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Escambia Coastal,
Okaloosa Coastal, and Santa Rosa Coastal

* STORM INFORMATION:
- About 220 miles southeast of Mobile AL or about 180 miles
south-southeast of Pensacola FL
- 28.2N 85.9W
- Storm Intensity 40 mph
- Movement Stationary

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

At 10 PM CDT, the center of Tropical Storm Bertha was located about
220 miles southeast of Mobile, Alabama. Bertha continues to meander
and is nearly stationary this evening. A slow west-northwest or west
motion is expected over the next few days. Bertha is forecast to move
across the northern Gulf and into the offshore waters of Alabama and
northwest Florida by late Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday morning
before sliding further west of the region. Maximum sustained winds
remain near 40 mph with some additional strengthening possible over
the next 24 hours.

Primary impacts from Bertha remain focused near the coastline and over
the Gulf waters. A Tropical Storm Warning is now in effect for the
southern and central portions of Mobile and Baldwin Counties in
Alabama with a Tropical Storm Watch further east across coastal
portions of northwest Florida. A Storm Surge Watch remains in effect
for the Alabama coast for inundation of 2 to 4 feet during periods of
high tide Wednesday and Thursday mornings. Storm surge inundation of
1 to 2 feet are possible along the coastline in northwest Florida.

While there remains uncertainty in the exact track and intensity of
Bertha, dangerous surf and beach conditions are expected. A high risk
of deadly rip currents is in effect through much of the week. A High
Surf Warning remains in effect Tuesday afternoon into the evening due
to surf building to around 10 feet. Tropical storm force winds will be
possible primarily along the immediate coastline from Tuesday into
Wednesday. While the bulk of the heavy rain is expected to remain over
the Gulf, heavy rainfall is possible in any outer rainbands that move
ashore.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* OTHER COASTAL HAZARDS:
Dangerous surf and beach conditions are expected. A high risk of deadly
rip currents continues through much of the week. Surf builds to around
10 feet starting Tuesday afternoon and evening through Wednesday night.

* SURGE:
Protect against life-threatening surge having possible significant
impacts across coastal Alabama. Potential impacts in
this area include:
- Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
- Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
spots.
- Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
numerous rip currents.
- Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
unprotected anchorages.

Elsewhere across portions of southwest Alabama...northwest
Florida...south central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.,
little to no impact is anticipated.

* WIND:
Protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
coastal areas in Alabama and northwest Florida. Potential impacts in this
area include:
- Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
- Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
- A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
bridges and other elevated roadways.
- Scattered power and communications outages.

Elsewhere across portions of southwest Alabama...northwest
Florida...south central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.,
little to no impact is anticipated.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across portions of southwest Alabama...northwest
Florida...south central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi..
Potential impacts include:
- Localized rainfall flooding may prompt a few evacuations.
- Rivers and tributaries may quickly rise with swifter currents.
Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become swollen
and overflow in spots.
- Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in usually
vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding of water
occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds become
near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief road and bridge
closures.

* TORNADOES:
Little to no impacts are anticipated at this time
across portions of southwest Alabama...northwest Florida...south
central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Follow the advice of local officials.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.

If you are a visitor, be sure to know the name of the city or town in
which you are staying and the name of the county or parish in which
it resides. Listen for these locations in local news updates. Pay
attention for instructions from local authorities.

When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging
wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the
center of the storm.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news
outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes
to the forecast.


* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For the latest detailed evacuation and shelter information...please
refer to your local emergency management agency at the phone number
or website listed below.
- Coastal Alabama:
- Baldwin County: 251-972-6807 or
www.baldwincountyal.gov/departments/EMA
- Mobile County: 251-460-8000 or mobilecountyema.gov
- Northwest Florida:
- Escambia County: 850-471-6400 or myescambia.com/beready
- Santa Rosa County: 850-983-5360 www.santarosa.fl.gov/emergency
- Okaloosa County: 850-651-7150 or myokaloosa.com/emergency-management
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Mobile AL around 4 AM CDT, or sooner if conditions warrant.

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