U.S. Severe Weather Forecast (Convective Outlook)

Day Three

acus03 kwns 220624 
Storm Prediction Center ac 220623 

Day 3 convective outlook 
National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 
1223 am CST sun Jan 22 2017 

Valid 241200z - 251200z 

..no severe thunderstorm areas forecast... 

isolated thunderstorms are possible from Arizona into northern New 
Mexico Tuesday. 

..southwestern US... 

Strong mid-level speed Max should translate across northern Mexico 
through the Southern Plains into the Ohio Valley Tuesday as a 
positive-tilt trough advances toward the middle of the contiguous 
US. Meager moisture/instability will be present east of The Rockies 
during the day3 period; however, steep lapse rates and strong 
diurnal heating should contribute to scattered convection from Arizona 
into northern nm, just north of the aforementioned jet. Despite 
relatively cool profiles it appears lightning may be associated with 
deeper updrafts primarily during the afternoon hours. 

.Darrow.. 01/22/2017