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Active Weather Alerts

Small Craft Advisory
Issued: 3:18 PM Oct. 7, 2024 – National Weather Service
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Northeast winds 15 to 25 kt and seas 5 to 7 ft. Winds
increasine to 20 to 30 knots and seas building to 9 to 12 feet
Wednesday night into Thursday.

* WHERE...Coastal waters from Mexico Beach to Okaloosa Walton
County Line FL out 20 NM and Waters from Mexico Beach to
Okaloosa Walton County Line FL from 20 to 60 NM.

* WHEN...Until 4 AM CDT Friday.

* IMPACTS...A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 20
to 33 knots, or seas of 7 feet or greater, are expected to
produce hazardous conditions for small craft. These hazardous
conditions may result in poor vessel handling and steering
response, broaching, overturned dinghies and kayaks, slips and
falls on slippery decks, rub damage along docks and seawalls,
and dragging anchors.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

Tropical Weather Statement
Issued: 3:09 PM Oct. 7, 2024 – National Weather Service
This product covers eastern Florida panhandle, Florida Big Bend, southeastern Alabama and southwestern Georgia

**MILTON CONTINUES TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY. NOW A CATEGORY 4 MAJOR
HURRICANE**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Coastal Dixie, Coastal
Franklin, Coastal Jefferson, Coastal Taylor, Coastal Wakulla,
Inland Dixie, Inland Taylor, and Lafayette

* STORM INFORMATION:
- About 690 miles southwest of Apalachicola or about 760 miles
southwest of Tallahassee
- 21.7N 91.7W
- Storm Intensity 155 mph
- Movement East-southeast or 110 degrees at 9 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

At 11 AM EDT, Hurricane Milton was rapidly intensifying over the
southwestern Gulf of Mexico as it nears the Yucatan Peninsula. It
reached Category 4 status around 9am EDT this morning. Milton is
forecast to make landfall along the Florida west coast later on
Wednesday or into early Thursday as a major hurricane.

While Milton is currently a small hurricane the wind field is forecast
to grow larger as it approaches the west coast of Florida. In
addition, it will begin to interact with a cold front, which will help
to increase winds on the northwest side of the circulation. Thus
tropical storm conditions are possible across portions of the
Apalachee Bay coastline, and into the southeast portions of the
Florida Big Bend south and east of the Aucilla River. Note that gusty
winds that may not reach tropical storm strength across much of the
area, but they could still hamper recovery efforts from Helene and
cause additional damage to weakened trees or structures.

In addition to the wind threat, heavy rainfall is likely across the
southeast Big Bend. As Milton interacts with the cold front, a band of
heavy rain may materialize that could produce 4 to 7 inches of rain,
with local amounts potentially higher across the lower Suwannee
Valley. This could result in some localized flash flooding. There will
be a very sharp cutoff in the higher rainfall amounts on the
northwestern side of the Milton so any subtle shifts in track could
bring higher, or lower amounts, of rainfall to those who reside along
the current gradient of heavy rain which stretches from Perry to
Valdosta with this advisory.

Tornadoes and storm surge are currently not a concern with the
forecast track of Milton. However, storm surge will be highly track
dependent. Any shifts in the track northward may bring a storm surge
threat into the southern areas of Apalachee Bay. With strong easterly
flow ahead of the storm, there will at least be some potential for
minor coastal flooding under 3 feet, mostly along any beaches with an
east facing aspect. These would be beaches from Alligator Point to St.
Marks.

Dangerous marine conditions are also expected with building waves and
strengthening winds. This will result in high surf and deadly rip
currents along all area beaches for much of the upcoming week.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
Prepare for life-threatening wind having possible extensive impacts
across teh southeast Florida Big Bend. Potential impacts in this area
include:
- Considerable roof damage to sturdy buildings, with some having
window, door, and garage door failures leading to structural
damage. Mobile homes severely damaged, with some destroyed.
Damage accentuated by airborne projectiles. Locations may be
uninhabitable for weeks.
- Many large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and
roadway signs blown over.
- Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
or heavily wooded places. Several bridges, causeways, and
access routes impassable.
- Large areas with power and communications outages.

Also, prepare for dangerous wind having possible limited to impacts
across the coast of the Apalachee Bay extending westwards towards the
Indian Pass.

Elsewhere across the eastern Florida panhandle, Florida Big Bend,
southeastern Alabama and southwestern Georgia, little to no impact is
anticipated.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
extensive impacts across the southeast Florida Big Bend. Potential
impacts include:
- Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues.
- Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in
multiple places. Small streams, creeks, and ditches may become
dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may become
stressed.
- Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes.
Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with
underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous.
Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out.

Elsewhere across eastern Florida panhandle, Florida Big Bend,
southeastern Alabama and southwestern Georgia, little to no impact is
anticipated.

* SURGE:
Prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts
across the Apalachee Bay. Potential impacts in this area
include:
- Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas
farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.
- Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread
with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where
surge water covers the road.
- Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly
in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents.
- Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks,
and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings.

Elsewhere across eastern Florida panhandle, Florida Big Bend,
southeastern Alabama and southwestern Georgia, little to no impact is
anticipated.

* TORNADOES:
Little to no impacts are anticipated at this time across eastern
Florida panhandle, Florida Big Bend, southeastern Alabama and
southwestern Georgia.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies
kit and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your
home or business.

When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging
wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the
center of the storm.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news
outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes
to the forecast.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Tallahassee FL around 530 PM EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

Rip Current Statement
Issued: 5:48 AM Oct. 7, 2024 – National Weather Service
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...Dangerous rip currents.

* WHERE...Bay County Beaches.

* WHEN...Through late Thursday night.

* IMPACTS...Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away
from shore into deeper water.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Swim near a lifeguard. If caught in a rip current, relax and
float. Don't swim against the current. If able, swim in a
direction following the shoreline. If unable to escape, face the
shore and call or wave for help.

&&

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