Jay, FL Severe Weather Alertstar_ratehome

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT TO LATE SUNDAY
NIGHT...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Blackwater River near Baker.

* WHEN...From late tonight to late Sunday night.

* IMPACTS...At 11.0 feet, Minor flooding of secondary roads and
lowlands from the Highway 4 Bridge downstream. At 14.5 feet,
Flooding of Cotton Bridge Park in Baker begins. At 16.0 feet, Some
residential flooding occurs downstream from the Highway 4 bridge.
At 9.5 feet, Kennedy and Peaden Bridges are flooded upstream of
Highway 4 bridge.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 8:00 AM CDT Friday the stage was 1.3 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late
tonight to a crest of 15.6 feet early Sunday morning. It will
then fall below flood stage late Sunday evening.
- Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING TO LATE MONDAY
NIGHT...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Big Coldwater Creek near Milton.

* WHEN...From Saturday morning to late Monday night.

* IMPACTS...At 10.0 feet, Flooding of lowlands and some fish camps
will occur.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 8:00 AM CDT Friday the stage was 2.7 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
tomorrow morning to a crest of 14.5 feet Sunday morning. It will
then fall below flood stage Monday evening.
- Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

This product covers portions of southwest Alabama...northwest Florida...south
central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.

**ISAIAS BECOMES A MAJOR HURRICANE**
**PREPARATIONS WITHIN THE STORM SURGE AND HURRICANE WARNING AREAS SHOULD BE
COMPLETED WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A Storm Surge Warning and Hurricane Warning are in effect for
Baldwin Central, Baldwin Coastal, Escambia Coastal, Mobile
Central, Mobile Coastal, Okaloosa Coastal, and Santa Rosa
Coastal
- A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Baldwin Inland, Conecuh,
Covington, Escambia, Escambia Inland, Mobile Inland, Okaloosa
Inland, and Santa Rosa Inland
- A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Butler, Clarke,
Crenshaw, George, Greene, Monroe, Washington, and Wilcox
- A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Choctaw, Perry, Stone,
and Wayne

* STORM INFORMATION:
- About 260 miles south of Mobile AL or about 240 miles south of
Pensacola FL
- 27.0N 87.7W
- Storm Intensity 110 mph
- Movement North-northeast or 20 degrees at 15 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Hurricane Isaias is now a major hurricane as it accelerates toward the
north central Gulf Coast. Some weakening of the peak winds is possible
just prior to landfall. However, Isaias is expected to still be a
dangerous hurricane at landfall this evening across either coastal
Alabama or the western Florida Panhandle. It is important not to focus
just on the center as the wind field will expand by landfall, resulting
in the potential for significant wind impacts and a life threatening
storm surge along and to the east of where the hurricane makes landfall.

Peak storm surge inundation of 6 to 9 feet above normally dry ground
is possible near and to the east of where the center makes landfall.
Evacuation orders have been issued by some coastal counties and you
should check with your local emergency management agency for the
latest information.

Those in the hurricane warning need to prepare for damaging hurricane
force winds of 74 to 110 mph, especially across coastal Alabama and
the western Florida Panhandle. The strongest winds will occur near and
just to the east of the center. Potential impacts from these winds
include numerous downed trees and power lines, significant power
outages, and some roof damage. Tropical storm force winds will spread
well inland with hurricane force gusts likely into south central Alabama
as the center of Isaias quickly moves north.

Rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches are expected across southwest
ALabama, south central Alabama, and the western Florida Panhandle.
Localized amounts of 10 to 12 inches are possible in bands across the
Florida Panhandle and near the center track of the storm. Areas of
flooding are likely if the higher amounts are realized, with
considerable impacts possible. Several rivers across the region are
forecast to reach moderate flood stage with the potential of some
rivers reaching major flood stage. In addition, a favorable environment
for tornadoes will also develop to the east of the track as it moves
inland Friday night through early Saturday morning. The greatest threat
will be across the western Florida Panhandle and south central Alabama

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* SURGE:
Protect against life-threatening surge having possible extensive
impacts across the western Florida panhandle portions of coastal
Alabama and coasts. Potential impacts in this area include:
- Large areas of deep inundation with storm surge flooding
accentuated by battering waves. Structural damage to buildings,
with several washing away. Damage compounded by floating
debris. Locations may be uninhabitable for an extended period.
- Large sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads
washed out or severely flooded. Flood control systems and
barriers may become stressed.
- Severe beach erosion with significant dune loss.
- Major damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. Many
small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
unprotected anchorages with some lifted onshore and stranded.

Elsewhere across portions of southwest Alabama...northwest
Florida...south central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.,
little to no impact is anticipated.

* WIND:
Protect against life-threatening wind having possible extensive
impacts across the western Florida Panhandle and portions of
southwest Alabama. Potential impacts in this area include:
- Considerable roof damage to sturdy buildings, with some having
window, door, and garage door failures leading to structural
damage. Mobile homes severely damaged, with some destroyed.
Damage accentuated by airborne projectiles. Locations may be
uninhabitable for weeks.
- Many large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and
roadway signs blown over.
- Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
or heavily wooded places.
- Large areas with power and communications outages.

Also, protect against dangerous wind having possible limited to
significant impacts across interior southwest Alabama.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
extensive impacts across all of southwest and south central Alabama
and the western Florida panhandle. Potential impacts include:
- Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues.
- Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in
multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may
become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may
become stressed.
- Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes.
Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with
underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous.
Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out.

Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible limited
to significant impacts across interior areas of southwest and south
central Alabama.

* TORNADOES:
Protect against a dangerous tornado event having possible significant
impacts across northwest Florida and south central Alabama. Potential
impacts include:
- The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the execution
of emergency plans during tropical events.
- Several places may experience tornado damage with a few spots
of considerable damage, power loss, and communications failures.
- Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile
homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped or
uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed about.
Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.

Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
across southwest Alabama.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Evacuation orders have been issued across some coastal counties.
Follow the advice of local officials and check with local emergency
management for the latest information.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.

If you are relocating to safe shelter, leave as early as possible.
Allow extra time to reach your destination. Many roads and bridges
will be closed once strong winds arrive. Check the latest weather
forecast before departing and drive with caution.

Failure to adequately shelter may result in serious injury or loss of
life. Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with any
orders that are issued. Remember, during the storm 9 1 1 Emergency
Services may not be able to immediately respond if conditions are
unsafe. This should be a big factor in your decision making.

Storm surge is the leading killer associated with tropical storms and
hurricanes! Make sure you are in a safe area away from the surge
zone. Even if you are not in a surge-prone area, you could find
yourself cutoff by flood waters during and after the storm. Heed
evacuation orders issued by the local authorities.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For the latest detailed evacuation and shelter information...please
refer to your local emergency management agency at the phone number
or website listed below.
- Coastal Alabama:
- Baldwin County: 251-972-6807 or
www.baldwincountyal.gov/departments/EMA
- Mobile County: 251-460-8000 or mobilecountyema.gov
- Northwest Florida:
- Escambia County: 850-471-6400 or myescambia.com/beready
- Santa Rosa County: 850-983-5360 www.santarosa.fl.gov/emergency
- Okaloosa County: 850-651-7150 or myokaloosa.com/emergency-management
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Mobile AL around 10 AM CDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- Jay
- Milton

* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Cat 1 Hurricane force wind
- Peak Wind Forecast: 70-90 mph with gusts to 115 mph
- Window for Tropical Storm force winds: early this afternoon
until early Saturday morning
- Window for Hurricane force winds: early this evening until
early Saturday morning

- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 74
to 110 mph
- The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Plan for life-threatening wind of equivalent CAT 1 or
2 hurricane force.
- PREPARE: Last minute efforts should solely focus on
protecting life. The area remains subject to considerable
wind damage.
- ACT: Now is the time to shelter from life-threatening wind.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding
- Potential impacts from the main wind event are unfolding.

* STORM SURGE
- No storm surge inundation forecast

- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little to no storm
surge flooding
- The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: There is little to no threat of storm surge flooding.
Rough surf, coastal erosion, and life-threatening rip
currents are possible.
- PREPARE: Little to no preparations for storm surge flooding
are needed.
- ACT: Follow the instructions of local officials. Monitor
forecasts.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
- Little to no potential impacts from storm surge flooding.

* FLOODING RAIN
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Flood Watch is in effect
- Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 4-8 inches, with locally
higher amounts

- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for major
flooding rain
- The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from
the previous assessment.
- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for
major flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues are
likely.
- PREPARE: Strongly consider protective actions, especially
if you are in an area vulnerable to flooding.
- ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take
action will likely result in serious injury or loss of life.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive
- Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and
rescues.
- Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in
multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches
may become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and
barriers may become stressed.
- Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or
washed away. Many places where flood waters may cover
escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of
moving water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions
become dangerous. Many road and bridge closures with some
weakened or washed out.

* TORNADO
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Situation is favorable for tornadoes

- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for several
tornadoes
- The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Emergency plans should continue to include the
potential for several tornadoes.
- PREPARE: Stay within your shelter keeping informed of the
latest tornado situation.
- ACT: Move quickly to the safest place within your shelter
if a tornado warning is issued.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant
- The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the
execution of emergency plans during tropical events.
- Several places may experience tornado damage with a few
spots of considerable damage, power loss, and
communications failures.
- Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile
homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped
or uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed
about. Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.

* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
- For evacuation and shelter information, please refer to:
- Santa Rosa County EMA: 850-983-5360 or www.santarosa.fl.gov/emergency
- For storm surge threat graphics and other storm impacts:
- NWS Mobile: www.weather.gov/mob

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

* WHAT...Winds 50 to 70 kt with gusts up to 110 kt and seas 27 to
32 ft.

* WHERE...Portions of the coastal waters of Alabama and
northwest Florida.

* WHEN...Tropical Storm force winds possible until early
Saturday morning. Hurricane force winds possible from early
this afternoon until early Saturday morning.

* IMPACTS...Hurricane force winds and hazardous seas will
capsize or damage vessels and severely reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should remain in port, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for extreme conditions.

&&

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...

...POTENTIAL FOR LIFE THREATENTING FLASH FLOODING...

* WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be
possible.

* WHERE...Portions of Alabama, including the following areas, Baldwin
Central, Baldwin Coastal, Baldwin Inland, Butler, Choctaw, Clarke,
Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw, Escambia, Mobile Central, Mobile
Coastal, Mobile Inland, Monroe, Washington and Wilcox and northwest
Florida, including the following areas, Escambia Coastal, Escambia
Inland, Okaloosa Coastal, Okaloosa Inland, Santa Rosa Coastal and
Santa Rosa Inland.

* WHEN...From this afternoon through Saturday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers,
creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations.
Extensive street flooding and flooding of creeks and rivers are
possible.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- Hurricane Isaias will move onshore on the northern Gulf coast
Friday evening, with bands of rain ahead of the storm moving
onshore Friday afternoon. From Friday through the early Saturday,
Isaias is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 4 to 8 inches
across the region. Localized totals of 10 to 15 inches are
possible, particularly within banding across the Florida
Panhandle and close to the center track of the storm. Flash and
urban flooding is likely across the region, with considerable
impacts possible across much of southern Alabama and the Florida
Panhandle. River flooding is also expected, some of which could
be significant.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Stay weather aware and be ready to take action if Flash Flood
Warnings are issued, particularly wireless emergency alert Flash
Flood Warnings for considerable flooding.

&&