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Location: Chula Vista, CA
Elevation: 92ft
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Active Weather Alerts

River Flood Advisory
Issued: 10:26 PM Oct. 10, 2026 – National Weather Service
...FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Flooding caused by excessive rainfall is expected.

* WHERE...San Diego River at Fashion Valley.

* WHEN...For Sunday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 7.5 feet, Action stage. The first real impacts are
seen on the San Diego River at this level. Low lying roads in and
around Fashion Valley Mall begin to take on water. Avenida Del Rio
is the first road to begin flooding.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 2:15 PM PDT Saturday the stage was 2.3 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 10.0 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 8.1 feet
late tomorrow morning.
- Action stage is 7.5 feet.
- Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
- https://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&



Tropical Storm Watch
Issued: 9:02 PM Oct. 10, 2026 – National Weather Service
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

* WHAT...Tropical storm force winds, sustained winds of 34 knots
or more, are possible. Seas 6 to 10 ft.

* WHERE...Coastal Waters from San Mateo Point to the Mexican
Border and out to 10 nm and Waters from San Mateo Point to the
Mexican Border Extending 10 to 60 nm out including San
Clemente Island.

* WHEN...Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Very strong winds will cause hazardous seas which
could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Tropical storm force winds could begin as
early as tonight but are most likely to occur before noon on
Sunday. Winds are expected to weaken through Sunday afternoon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible
hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter
course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and seas.

&&

Tropical Weather Statement
Issued: 9:01 PM Oct. 10, 2026 – National Weather Service
This product covers EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA

**Impacts from Tropical Storm Rachel Expected in San Diego County
Late Tonight through Early Sunday Afternoon**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for San Diego County
Coastal Areas, San Diego County Deserts, San Diego County
Mountains, and San Diego County Valleys

* STORM INFORMATION:
- About 440 miles south of San Mateo Point CA or about 390 miles
south of Mouth of Tijuana River CA
- 27.0N 118.3W
- Storm Intensity 65 mph
- Movement North-northeast or 25 degrees at 30 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Tropical Storm Rachel is currently about 400 miles south of San Diego,
moving north-northeast towards Northern Baja at about 30 mph. Rachel
is expected to make landfall south of the US/Mexico Border tonight.
Tropical storm level impacts will likely affect San Diego County. A
Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for all of San Diego County. The main
concerns with Tropical Storm Rachel are coastal flooding, wind, and
periods of heavy rain which could lead to localized flooding and flash
flooding. The majority of impacts from the tropical storm are expected
late tonight through early Sunday afternoon.

South swell from Tropical Storm Rachel will arrive on Sunday. The
combination of south and northwest swells, increased onshore winds,
and high tides over 7 feet will maintain a threat of coastal flooding
and beach erosion along area beaches. Surf on Sunday is currently
expected to peak at 6 to 9 feet, decreasing to 3 to 6 feet for Monday
and Tuesday. Confidence in impactful coastal flooding is high, with
significant coastal flooding and beach erosion likely.

Widespread rain is expected on Sunday from Tropical Storm Rachel.
There is expected to be a gradient in rainfall amounts with the higher
amounts on the southeastern side of the storm. Confidence is high that
the heaviest rain will occur over San Diego County mountains and
deserts. Peak rainfall rates of 0.50 to 0.60 inches are possible for
the coast and valleys, 0.50 to 0.70 inches per hour possible for the
deserts, and 0.70 to 1 inch per hour for the mountains. Current
forecast has rainfall totals of 0.50 to 1.25 inches for the coast,
valleys, and deserts and 1 to 2.5 inches for the mountains. Areas of
flash and urban flooding are probable, especially where the maximum
rainfall rates occur. The San Diego River at Fashion Valley is
currently forecast to peak at 8.0 feet (action/monitor stage) just
before noon on Sunday. Those with interests near the San Diego River
should continue to monitor the forecast.

Increased winds are expected with the onset and passage of Tropical
Storm Rachel. Sustained winds of 39+ mph are expected on the southeast
side of the storm. Based on the current track, more southern and
eastern parts of San Diego County are most likely to see winds of this
magnitude. Regardless, strong sustained winds and wind gusts can be
expected on Sunday. Winds will likely be enhanced by local terrain
with gusts 40 to 55 mph on the desert slopes of the mountains and into
the deserts. Local gusts up to 60 mph possible on mountain ridges and
in passes and canyons. Winds are expected to remain elevated in
Rachel's wake with continued strong gusts on the desert mountain
slopes into the deserts through Monday morning.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* OTHER COASTAL HAZARDS:
High tides over 7 ft, combined with high surf and gusty onshore winds
will increase the threat for coastal flooding across area beaches.
Additionally surf of 6 to 9 ft will create dangerous swimming
conditions. Significant coastal flooding and beach erosion is likely.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
extensive impacts across San Diego County. Potential impacts include:
- Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues.
- Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in
multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, arroyos, and
ditches may become dangerous rivers. In mountain areas,
destructive runoff may run quickly down valleys while
increasing susceptibility to rockslides and mudslides. Flood
control systems and barriers may become stressed.
- Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes.
Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with
underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous.
Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out.

Prepare for dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant
impacts across San Diego County.

* WIND:
Prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA. Potential impacts in this area
include:
- Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
- Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
shallow rooted, especially in coastal and valley locations that
don't typically experience strong winds. Some fences and
roadway signs blown over.
- A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
bridges and other elevated roadways.
- Scattered power and communications outages.

Elsewhere across EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA, little to no impact
is anticipated.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Follow the advice of local officials.


* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
If you live in a place particularly vulnerable to flooding, such as
near the ocean, in a low-lying or poor drainage area, in a valley, or
near a river, plan to move to safe shelter on higher ground.

Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with orders that
are issued. Do not needlessly jeopardize your life or the lives of
others.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news
outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes
to the forecast.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in San Diego CA around 8 PM PDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

Tropical Storm Watch
Issued: 8:54 PM Oct. 10, 2026 – National Weather Service
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- Oceanside
- Carlsbad
- Chula Vista
- San Diego

* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind
- Peak Wind Forecast: 10-20 mph with gusts to 30 mph

- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39
to 57 mph
- The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm
force.
- PREPARE: Efforts to protect property should now be
underway. Prepare for limited wind damage.
- ACT: Act now to complete preparations before the wind
becomes hazardous.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
- Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
- Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees
are shallow rooted, especially in coastal and valley
locations that don't typically experience strong winds.
Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
- A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within
urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving
conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.
- Scattered power and communications outages.

* STORM SURGE
- While true storm surge is unlikely, significant coastal flooding
and beach erosion from tides over 7 feet, high surf, and
increased onshore winds expected.

- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little to no storm
surge flooding
- PLAN: Coastal flooding, rough surf, coastal erosion, and
life-threatening rip currents are possible.
- PREPARE: Do not make plans to go to the beach. Take necessary
actions to protect flood prone property.
- ACT: Follow the instructions of local officials. Monitor
forecasts.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant coastal flooding and beach erosion
possible. Dangerous swimming conditions due to high surf and
strong rip currents.

* FLOODING RAIN
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Flood Watch is in effect
- Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional around 1 inch

- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for major
flooding rain
- The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from
the previous assessment.
- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for
major flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues are
likely.
- PREPARE: Strongly consider protective actions, especially
if you are in an area vulnerable to flooding.
- ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take
action will likely result in serious injury or loss of life.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive
- Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and
rescues.
- Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in
multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, arroyos,
and ditches may become dangerous rivers. In mountain areas,
destructive runoff may run quickly down valleys while
increasing susceptibility to rockslides and mudslides.
Flood control systems and barriers may become stressed.
- Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or
washed away. Many places where flood waters may cover
escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of
moving water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions
become dangerous. Many road and bridge closures with some
weakened or washed out.

* TORNADO
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Situation is unfavorable for tornadoes

- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Tornadoes not expected
- The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Tornadoes are not expected. Showers and thunderstorms
with gusty winds may still occur.
- PREPARE: Little to no preparations needed to protect
against tornadoes at this time. Keep informed of the latest
tornado situation.
- ACT: Listen for changes in the forecast.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
- Little to no potential impacts from tornadoes.

* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
- sdcountyemergency.com

Coastal Flood Advisory
Issued: 8:38 PM Oct. 10, 2026 – National Weather Service
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM PDT
SUNDAY...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM SUNDAY TO
2 PM PDT TUESDAY...

* WHAT...For the Coastal Flood Warning through Sunday afternoon,
significant coastal flooding and erosion is likely. For the
Beach Hazards Statement from Sunday morning until Sunday
evening, surf of 5 to 7 feet with local sets up to 9 feet. For
the Coastal Flood Advisory from Sunday afternoon until Tuesday
afternoon, minor coastal flooding expected.

* WHERE...San Diego County Coastal Areas and Orange County
Coastal Areas.

* WHEN...For the Coastal Flood Warning, until 3 PM PDT Sunday.
For the Beach Hazards Statement, from Sunday morning through
Sunday evening. For the Coastal Flood Advisory, from 3 PM
Sunday to 2 PM PDT Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Numerous roads and walking paths may be closed due
to high water. Low-lying property including homes, businesses,
and some critical infrastructure may flood. Shoreline erosion
will occur during high tides in the mornings. Elevated surf
will lead to a high risk of rip currents.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Greatest impacts on Sunday morning from
Tropical Storm Rachel with a combination of increased swell,
onshore winds, and high tides locally over 7.5 feet. High tides
lower each day into the middle of the week.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property. If
travel is required, do not drive around barricades or through
water of unknown depth.

Remain out of the water to avoid hazardous swimming conditions.

&&

Beach Hazard Statement
Issued: 8:38 PM Oct. 10, 2026 – National Weather Service
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM PDT
SUNDAY...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM SUNDAY TO
2 PM PDT TUESDAY...

* WHAT...For the Coastal Flood Warning through Sunday afternoon,
significant coastal flooding and erosion is likely. For the
Beach Hazards Statement from Sunday morning until Sunday
evening, surf of 5 to 7 feet with local sets up to 9 feet. For
the Coastal Flood Advisory from Sunday afternoon until Tuesday
afternoon, minor coastal flooding expected.

* WHERE...San Diego County Coastal Areas and Orange County
Coastal Areas.

* WHEN...For the Coastal Flood Warning, until 3 PM PDT Sunday.
For the Beach Hazards Statement, from Sunday morning through
Sunday evening. For the Coastal Flood Advisory, from 3 PM
Sunday to 2 PM PDT Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Numerous roads and walking paths may be closed due
to high water. Low-lying property including homes, businesses,
and some critical infrastructure may flood. Shoreline erosion
will occur during high tides in the mornings. Elevated surf
will lead to a high risk of rip currents.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Greatest impacts on Sunday morning from
Tropical Storm Rachel with a combination of increased swell,
onshore winds, and high tides locally over 7.5 feet. High tides
lower each day into the middle of the week.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property. If
travel is required, do not drive around barricades or through
water of unknown depth.

Remain out of the water to avoid hazardous swimming conditions.

&&

Coastal Flood Warning
Issued: 8:38 PM Oct. 10, 2026 – National Weather Service
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM PDT
SUNDAY...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM SUNDAY TO
2 PM PDT TUESDAY...

* WHAT...For the Coastal Flood Warning through Sunday afternoon,
significant coastal flooding and erosion is likely. For the
Beach Hazards Statement from Sunday morning until Sunday
evening, surf of 5 to 7 feet with local sets up to 9 feet. For
the Coastal Flood Advisory from Sunday afternoon until Tuesday
afternoon, minor coastal flooding expected.

* WHERE...San Diego County Coastal Areas and Orange County
Coastal Areas.

* WHEN...For the Coastal Flood Warning, until 3 PM PDT Sunday.
For the Beach Hazards Statement, from Sunday morning through
Sunday evening. For the Coastal Flood Advisory, from 3 PM
Sunday to 2 PM PDT Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Numerous roads and walking paths may be closed due
to high water. Low-lying property including homes, businesses,
and some critical infrastructure may flood. Shoreline erosion
will occur during high tides in the mornings. Elevated surf
will lead to a high risk of rip currents.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Greatest impacts on Sunday morning from
Tropical Storm Rachel with a combination of increased swell,
onshore winds, and high tides locally over 7.5 feet. High tides
lower each day into the middle of the week.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property. If
travel is required, do not drive around barricades or through
water of unknown depth.

Remain out of the water to avoid hazardous swimming conditions.

&&

Flood Watch
Issued: 6:36 PM Oct. 10, 2026 – National Weather Service
...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be
possible.

* WHERE...A portion of Southwest California, including the following
areas, Apple and Lucerne Valleys, Coachella Valley, Riverside
County Mountains, San Bernardino County Mountains, San Diego County
Coastal Areas, San Diego County Deserts, San Diego County
Mountains, San Diego County Valleys and San Gorgonio Pass near
Banning.

* WHEN...From 11 PM PDT this evening through Sunday evening.

* IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers,
creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- Tropical Storm Rachel will bring periods of moderate to heavy
rain to all of San Diego County, Riverside County mountains and
deserts, and San Bernardino County mountains and deserts. Maximum
hourly rainfall rates of 0.50 to 0.60 inches per hour are
possible for San Diego Coast and Valleys. Maximum hourly rainfall
rates of 0.50 to 0.70 inches per hour are possible across area
deserts and 0.70 to 1 inch per hour rates are possible across
area mountains. Heaviest rainfall is most likely late Saturday
night through early Sunday afternoon. Rainfall will taper off
from south to north Sunday. Lingering lighter showers are
expected to continue into Monday.
- https://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood
Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared
to take action should flooding develop.

&&

Marine Weather Statement
Issued: 6:27 PM Oct. 10, 2026 – National Weather Service
Showers and isolated thunderstorms will continue to track from south
to north this afternoon across the coastal waters. Any thunderstorm
can produce lightning, small hail, gusty, erratic winds to 35
knots, as well as choppy and hazardous seas.

Mariners should move to safe harbor immediately until the storms
pass. Improving conditions are expected by this evening, though
areas of heavy rain are still possible through Sunday morning.

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