Peterman, AL Severe Weather Alertstar_ratehome

This product covers portions of southwest Alabama...northwest Florida...south
central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.

**ISAIAS EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE NORTHERN GULF COAST AS A DANGEROUS
HURRICANE ON FRIDAY**
**STORM SURGE AND HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- The Hurricane Watch and Tropical Storm Warning have been
upgraded to a Hurricane Warning for Conecuh and Covington

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A Storm Surge Warning and Hurricane Warning are in effect for
Baldwin Central, Baldwin Coastal, Escambia Coastal, Mobile
Central, Mobile Coastal, Okaloosa Coastal, and Santa Rosa
Coastal
- A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Baldwin Inland, Conecuh,
Covington, Escambia, Escambia Inland, Mobile Inland, Okaloosa
Inland, and Santa Rosa Inland
- A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Butler, Clarke,
Crenshaw, George, Greene, Monroe, Washington, and Wilcox
- A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Choctaw, Perry, Stone,
and Wayne

* STORM INFORMATION:
- About 370 miles south of Mobile AL or about 360 miles
south-southwest of Pensacola FL
- 25.4N 88.4W
- Storm Intensity 105 mph
- Movement Northeast or 40 degrees at 14 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Hurricane Isaias is forecast to continue strengthening through
Friday morning as it moves northeast into the central Gulf. The
hurricane will then turn northward and accelerate toward the north
central Gulf Coast. Some weakening of the peak winds is possible
just prior to landfall. However, Isaias is expected to still be a
dangerous hurricane at landfall Friday night. It is too early to
pinpoint the landfall location, but it is expected across either
coastal Alabama or the western Florida Panhandle. It is important
not to focus just on the center as the wind field will expand by
landfall, resulting in the potential for significant wind impacts
and a life threatening storm surge along and to the east of where
the hurricane makes landfall.

Peak storm surge inundation of 5 to 7 feet above normally dry ground
is possible near and to the east of where the center makes landfall.
Areas that are west of the center will see a strong north wind and
below normal water levels. Evacuation orders have been issued by some
coastal counties and you should check with your local emergency
management agency for the latest information.

Those in the hurricane warning need to prepare for damaging hurricane
force winds of 74 to 110 mph, especially across the western Florida
Panhandle. The strongest winds will occur near and just to the east
of the center. Potential impacts from these winds include numerous
downed trees and power lines, significant power outages, and some roof
damage. Tropical storm force winds are likely to spread well inland,
at least in frequent gusts, as the center of Isaias quickly moves north.

Rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches are expected across southwest
ALabama, south central Alabama, and the western Florida Panhandle.
Localized amounts of 10 to 15 inches are possible in bands across the
Florida Panhandle and near the center track of the storm. Areas of
flooding are likely if the higher amounts are realized, with
considerable impacts possible. Several rivers across the region are
forecast to reach minor to moderate flood stage. In addition, a
favorable environment for tornadoes will also develop to the east of
the track as it moves inland Friday night through early Saturday
morning. The greatest threat will be across the western Florida
Panhandle and south central Alabama.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* SURGE:
Protect against life-threatening surge having possible extensive
impacts across the western Florida panhandle portions of coastal
Alabama and  coasts. Potential impacts in this area include:
- Large areas of deep inundation with storm surge flooding
accentuated by battering waves. Structural damage to buildings,
with several washing away. Damage compounded by floating
debris. Locations may be uninhabitable for an extended period.
- Large sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads
washed out or severely flooded. Flood control systems and
barriers may become stressed.
- Severe beach erosion with significant dune loss.
- Major damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. Many
small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
unprotected anchorages with some lifted onshore and stranded.

* WIND:
Protect against life-threatening wind having possible extensive
impacts across the western Florida Panhandle and portions of
southwest Alabama. Potential impacts in this area include:
- Considerable roof damage to sturdy buildings, with some having
window, door, and garage door failures leading to structural
damage. Mobile homes severely damaged, with some destroyed.
Damage accentuated by airborne projectiles. Locations may be
uninhabitable for weeks.
- Many large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and
roadway signs blown over.
- Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
or heavily wooded places.
- Large areas with power and communications outages.

Also, protect against dangerous wind having possible limited to
significant impacts across inland southeast Mississippi, far inland
southwest Alabama, and south central Alabama.

* TORNADOES:
Protect against a dangerous tornado event having possible significant
impacts across portions of coastal Alabama...northwest
Florida...south central Alabama. Potential impacts include:
- The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the execution
of emergency plans during tropical events.
- Several places may experience tornado damage with a few spots
of considerable damage, power loss, and communications failures.
- Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile
homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped or
uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed about.
Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.

Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
across interior southwest Alabama.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
extensive impacts across all of southwest and south central Alabama
and the western Florida panhandle. Potential impacts include:
- Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues.
- Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in
multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may
become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may
become stressed.
- Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes.
Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with
underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous.
Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out.

Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible limited
to significant impacts across interior areas of southwest and south
central Alabama.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Evacuation orders have been issued across some coastal counties.
Follow the advice of local officials and check with local emergency
management for the latest information.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.

If you are relocating to safe shelter, leave as early as possible.
Allow extra time to reach your destination. Many roads and bridges
will be closed once strong winds arrive. Check the latest weather
forecast before departing and drive with caution.

Failure to adequately shelter may result in serious injury or loss of
life. Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with any
orders that are issued. Remember, during the storm 9 1 1 Emergency
Services may not be able to immediately respond if conditions are
unsafe. This should be a big factor in your decision making.

Storm surge is the leading killer associated with tropical storms and
hurricanes! Make sure you are in a safe area away from the surge
zone. Even if you are not in a surge-prone area, you could find
yourself cutoff by flood waters during and after the storm. Heed
evacuation orders issued by the local authorities.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For the latest detailed evacuation and shelter information...please
refer to your local emergency management agency at the phone number
or website listed below.
- Coastal Alabama:
- Baldwin County: 251-972-6807 or
www.baldwincountyal.gov/departments/EMA
- Mobile County: 251-460-8000 or mobilecountyema.gov
- Northwest Florida:
- Escambia County: 850-471-6400 or myescambia.com/beready
- Santa Rosa County: 850-983-5360 www.santarosa.fl.gov/emergency
- Okaloosa County: 850-651-7150 or myokaloosa.com/emergency-management
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Mobile AL around 4 AM CDT, or sooner if conditions warrant.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- Homewood
- Monroeville

* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Tropical Storm force wind
- Peak Wind Forecast: 35-45 mph with gusts to 75 mph
- Window for Tropical Storm force winds: Friday evening until
early Saturday morning

- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 58
to 73 mph
- The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Plan for dangerous wind of equivalent strong tropical
storm force.
- PREPARE: Remaining efforts to protect life and property
should be completed as soon as possible. Prepare for
significant wind damage.
- ACT: Move to safe shelter before the wind becomes hazardous.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant
- Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with
damage to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few
buildings experiencing window, door, and garage door
failures. Mobile homes damaged, especially if unanchored.
Unsecured lightweight objects become dangerous projectiles.
- Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater
numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several
fences and roadway signs blown over.
- Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within
urban or heavily wooded places.
- Scattered power and communications outages, but more
prevalent in areas with above ground lines.

* FLOODING RAIN
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Flood Watch is in effect
- Peak Rainfall Amounts: 3-6 inches, with locally higher
amounts

- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for major
flooding rain
- The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from
the previous assessment.
- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for
major flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues are
likely.
- PREPARE: Strongly consider protective actions, especially
if you are in an area vulnerable to flooding.
- ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take
action will likely result in serious injury or loss of life.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive
- Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and
rescues.
- Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in
multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches
may become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and
barriers may become stressed.
- Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or
washed away. Many places where flood waters may cover
escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of
moving water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions
become dangerous. Many road and bridge closures with some
weakened or washed out.

* TORNADO
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Situation is unfavorable for tornadoes

- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Tornadoes not expected
- The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Tornadoes are not expected. Showers and thunderstorms
with gusty winds may still occur.
- PREPARE: Little to no preparations needed to protect
against tornadoes at this time. Keep informed of the latest
tornado situation.
- ACT: Listen for changes in the forecast.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
- Little to no potential impacts from tornadoes.

* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
- For local information, please refer to:
- Monroe County EMA: 251-743-3259 or www.facebook.com/monroeema
- For storm impacts:
- NWS Mobile: www.weather.gov/mob

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible.

* WHERE...Portions of south central and southwest Alabama, including
the following counties, in south central Alabama, Butler, Conecuh,
Crenshaw, Monroe and Wilcox. In southwest Alabama, Choctaw, Clarke
and Washington.

* WHEN...From Friday afternoon through Saturday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers,
creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations.
Flooding may occur in poor drainage and urban areas. There is the
potential for considerable and life threatening flash flooding
where the highest rain totals occur.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- Hurricane Isaias will move onshore on the northern Gulf coast
Friday night, with bands of rain ahead of the storm moving
onshore Friday afternoon. From Friday through the early Saturday,
Isaias is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 4 to 8 inches
across the region. Localized totals of 10 to 15 inches are
possible, particularly within banding across the Florida
Panhandle and close to the center track of the storm. Flash and
urban flooding is likely across the region, with considerable
impacts possible across much of southern Alabama and the Florida
Panhandle. River flooding is also expected, some of which could
be significant.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Stay weather aware and be ready to take action if Flash Flood
Warnings are issued, particularly wireless emergency alert Flash
Flood Warnings for considerable flooding.

&&