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Category 6 has moved! See the latest from Dr. Jeff Masters and Bob Henson here.

New product allows you to explore record-setting extreme weather

By: Angela Fritz 6:14 PM GMT on February 23, 2012

We've launched a new extreme weather product this week: Record Extremes. Recent, globally record-setting years have demanded a product that combines U.S. and international record extremes into one, easy to use interface. The Record Extremes page will give you the option to see U.S. and international records on a map and table. You can select any combination of record types at once, which, combined with the map, provides a interesting visual way to investigate record-setting events. The product uses data from three sources: (1) NOAA's National Climate Data Center, (2) Wunderground's U.S. records, and (3) Wunderground's International records.

The NCDC records begin in 1850 and include official NOAA record extreme events for ASOS and COOP weather stations in all 50 U.S. states as well as Puerto Rico, the Virgin Islands, and the Pacific Islands. In this database you can find records for maximum high temps, minimum high temps, maximum low temps, minimum high temps, snow, and precipitation on daily, monthly, and all-time scales.

The Wunderground extremes were compiled by our weather historian Christopher C. Burt. Chris monitors 300 stations across the U.S. for Record Extremes in maximum and minimum temperature, precipitation, and snow events. Most of these U.S. records go back to the end of the 19th century, though the oldest site in this database is Charleston, SC, where precipitation records started in 1737! Internationally, Chris monitors 150 countries worldwide for all-time record high temperatures and all-time record low temperatures. If you're interested in diving deeper into extreme weather in the U.S. and abroad, Chris's book Extreme Weather is an excellent resource.



Figure 1. All-time snow records broken during the Groundhog Day Blizzard of 2011. These records were found by selecting NCDC as the source, a start date of 2011-01-31, an end date of 2011-02-02, "maximum snowfall," and "all-time."


We built the Record Extremes product to make it easy to find specific records you're looking for, or just browse the records in general.

Check records that were set on a specific date
You can check on records that were set yesterday, for example, by setting the calendar to yesterday's date, and selecting all the record variables and types that you're interested in.

Explore all records set in a certain time range
2011 was a record-setting year for the U.S., and most of the records were high maximum temp and high minimum temps. To see all of these warm records that were set last year, select "NCDC" as the source, 2011-01-01 as the start date and 2011-12-31 as the end date. Select Maximum High Temp and Maximum Low Temp in weather variables, and select all-time in the record type.

View current standing international records in the Wunderground database
Select either the Wunderground International records, and instead of choosing a date range, select "Show current standing records." This will bring up all standing records in the database for whatever record variable and type you select. Whereas we've collected every record ever set or broken from NCDC, the Wunderground records are always the current, standing record, whenever it was set. As you move your map around the globe, you'll see each country's all-time maximum high temp and all-time maximum low temp.

Filter your table results
Looking for a specific location or record within your search results? Use the "Filter Results" option in the table to narrow down your search.

Let us know what you think!

Angela

Extreme Weather

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

Reader Comments

by the way where are you seeing 179 for GR2Anal im still seeing 250 for individual license. ITs been that price sense i can remeber
1003. j2008
Hate to change you topic real quick but look at this,
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH.. Then theres the satellite picture.
Quoting WDEmobmet:
by the way where are you seeing 179 for GR2Anal im still seeing 250 for individual license. ITs been that price sense i can remeber

Oops, I was looking at the Dual-Pol section right below that.

$250 individual, $500 commercial.
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Oops, I was looking at the Dual-Pol section right below that.


o ok i see that too, i guess thats another addition i can make once i invest that initial 250. Given what I hear I think I might go ahead a do it for this up coming spring. Wonder whats in store for us
Finally got it!

Quoting j2008:
Hate to change you topic real quick but look at this,
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH.. Then theres the satellite picture.


Quoting j2008:
Hate to change you topic real quick but look at this,
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH.. Then theres the satellite picture.


its developing because i blogged when it was a medium.

everytime i blog, something changes significantly with my blog topic making me look outdated! :(
There you go TAWX. Did I hear someone say that this is abnormal for Madagascar to be getting so
much "love" from tropical entities
btw the 21 day free trial of GR2anal doesn't give you full options. There are no products of which to play with just an opportunity to see the infrastructure of the product... GR3 on the other hand is fully operational during the trial version
1011. j2008
Quoting WDEmobmet:
There you go TAWX. Did I hear someone say that this is abnormal for Madagascar to be getting so
much "love" from tropical entities
Quite sad I think, this is at least the fourth storm this season that I can remember. They had Chanda, Dando ,Giovanna and now this new one that is forming.
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Oops, I was looking at the Dual-Pol section right below that.

$250 individual, $500 commercial.

I love that radar! I want it so bad! It looks 10x better than RadarScope.

Do you think it's worth getting and new PC and buying a GRLeveX program?
very sad indeed,
after a quick look this is what i found. it would appear they get the occasional hit with most veering off before landfall, especially with the larger more intense ones

Quoting Ameister12:

I love that radar! I want it so bad! It looks 10x better than RadarScope.

Do you think it's worth getting and new PC and buying a GRLeveX program?


Do it... If you dont like it I will give you a check for 250$
Quoting WDEmobmet:
i want to invest in gr2 analyst but at 250$, you tell me is it worth having it... I would imagine having the velocity feature alone would be reason enough


GR2Analyst is worth having for any meteorologist or any severe weather enthusiast keen on high-resolution radar data with adaptable hail/rotation algorithms. But it's not for everyone. It does require some knowledge and time to use it properly.

Quoting WDEmobmet:
btw the 21 day free trial of GR2anal doesn't give you full options. There are no products of which to play with just an opportunity to see the infrastructure of the product... GR3 on the other hand is fully operational during the trial version


GR2Analyst should be fully operational during the trial. Trial or purchased, you have to have a NEXRAD level2 data source for it to work in realtime. There are sources for this. Some you pay for, some (like ISU's site) that are free.
Quoting WDEmobmet:


Do it... If you dont like it I will give you a check for 250$

I have an old PC that I'm thinking about restoring and I'm probably going to get it as a birthday present. I'm sure I'll enjoy it and thanks for your opinion. :)
Quoting ScottLincoln:


GR2Analyst is worth having for any meteorologist or any severe weather enthusiast keen on high-resolution radar data with adaptable hail/rotation algorithms. But it's not for everyone. It does require some knowledge and time to use it properly.



GR2Analyst should be fully operational during the trial. Trial or purchased, you have to have a NEXRAD level2 data source for it to work in realtime. There are sources for this. Some you pay for, some (like ISU's site) that are free.


That may explain why I am unable to receive data or products on GR2Ana trial.. My GR3 has no requirements like that Im guessing since it has worked fine for 3 years. I will try out ISU site thanks for the info
hey ScottLincoln you would care to show me the way would you... regarding uploading NEXRAD data feed
Quoting WDEmobmet:


That may explain why I am unable to receive data or products on GR2Ana trial.. My GR3 has no requirements like that Im guessing since it has worked fine for 3 years. I will try out ISU site thanks for the info


Try this as your polling director for GR2Analyst:
http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/data/nexrd2/raw/
Quoting j2008:
Quite sad I think, this is at least the fourth storm this season that I can remember. They had Chanda, Dando ,Giovanna and now this new one that is forming.


What will be the name for this system if it gets it?
Madagascar Meteorological Warning For 92S

Warning Nr NR02/11 26/02/2012 0100 UTC --
System / PERTURBATION TROPICALE --
Name UNNAMED
Position NEAR 13° 7 S - 51° 7 E 26/02/2012 0000 UTC --
Estimated minimum central Pressure 998 HPA --
Maxi average wind (10 mn) near the centre 25 KT --
Gust maxi / Rafales maxi --
CI Number (Dvorak scale) CI 2.0 --
Movement over the past 06 hours W/WNW 14 KT (26 KM/H) --

Other information THE SYSTEM SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL ON THE NORTH-EAST OF MADAGASCAR IN THE NEXT 6 HOURS
Quoting ScottLincoln:


Try this as your polling director for GR2Analyst:
http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/data/nexrd2/raw/

To add this, File > Configure Polling > Add
Quoting ScottLincoln:


Try this as your polling director for GR2Analyst:
http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/data/nexrd2/raw/


Awesome thanks man

Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

To add this, File > Configure Polling > Add


Took me a second but I figured it out. thank
not much to look at but maybe something will pop up in before the end of my trial
Quoting WDEmobmet:
not much to look at but maybe something will pop up in before the end of my trial

Tuesday will be your best bet, and then definitely on Friday/Saturday.
Quoting wxmod:


You are going to have to adjust your idea of 'possible', if not tomorrow, then soon.


I'll adjust my idea of possible when I see some validated peer reviewed science that backs up such a wild claim. Altering synoptic scale weather patterns takes a hell of a lot more than seeding some clouds.

Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:


What will be the name for this system if it gets it?


SPLbeater will be its name.
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Tuesday will be your best bet, and then definitely on Friday/Saturday.


whats cooking for meeeeeeeeeeee.......when is MY best chance for a bow echo?

:D:D
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Tuesday will be your best bet.


yea? ok good deal ill have to try it out then. latest forecast shows 992mb dont know if it will affect me all the way down here in mobile
Quoting SPLbeater:


whats cooking for meeeeeeeeeeee.......when is MY best chance for a bow echo?

:D:D

Man, you're obsessed with bow echos aren't you?

Your best best of severe weather, if there is any left by that time, will be Wednesday night.
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Man, you're obsessed with bow echos aren't you?

Your best best of severe weather, if there is any left by that time, will be Wednesday night.


no, NO, NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!I cant stand another convective band of rain and heavy wind passing outside, while i am wrapped up in my bedsheets trying to sleep!!next time, i shall run outside in my PJ's and get some o dat wind!!



good thing i let that out. feel better now. :D

1033. LargoFl
Quoting HadesGodWyvern:
Madagascar Meteorological Warning For 92S

Warning Nr NR02/11 26/02/2012 0100 UTC --
System / PERTURBATION TROPICALE --
Name UNNAMED
Position NEAR 13° 7 S - 51° 7 E 26/02/2012 0000 UTC --
Estimated minimum central Pressure 998 HPA --
Maxi average wind (10 mn) near the centre 25 KT --
Gust maxi / Rafales maxi --
CI Number (Dvorak scale) CI 2.0 --
Movement over the past 06 hours W/WNW 14 KT (26 KM/H) --

Other information THE SYSTEM SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL ON THE NORTH-EAST OF MADAGASCAR IN THE NEXT 6 HOURS
gee those people are really getting hit this year huh
On Wednesday night, i want to see a black square box sitting over me in the filtered reports.
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Man, you're obsessed with bow echos aren't you?

Your best best of severe weather, if there is any left by that time, will be Wednesday night.
So is Wensday looking to be the biggest possible severe weather outbreak of the year so far? Also saw the radar software comments, I think we should pool some money together invest in some stocks and buy GR2A for everyone on the blog. Nothing could go wrong right?
Why the worry?

Wyoming House advances doomsday bill

By JEREMY PELZER Star-Tribune capital bureau | Posted: Friday, February 24, 2012 6:00 pm | (23) Comments

CHEYENNE — State representatives on Friday advanced legislation to launch a study into what Wyoming should do in the event of a complete economic or political collapse in the United States.

House Bill 85 passed on first reading by a voice vote. It would create a state-run government continuity task force, which would study and prepare Wyoming for potential catastrophes, from disruptions in food and energy supplies to a complete meltdown of the federal government.

The task force would look at the feasibility of

Wyoming issuing its own alternative currency, if needed. And House members approved an amendment Friday by state Rep. Kermit Brown, R-Laramie, to have the task force also examine conditions under which Wyoming would need to implement its own military draft, raise a standing army, and acquire strike aircraft and an aircraft carrier.

The bill’s sponsor, state Rep. David Miller, R-Riverton, has said he doesn’t anticipate any major crises hitting America anytime soon. But with the national debt exceeding $15 trillion and protest movements growing around the country, Miller said Wyoming — which has a comparatively good economy and sound state finances — needs to make sure it’s protected should any unexpected emergency hit the U.S.

Several House members spoke in favor of the legislation, saying there was no harm in preparing for the worst.

“I don’t think there’s anyone in this room today what would come up here and say that this country is in good shape, that the world is stable and in good shape — because that is clearly not the case,” state Rep. Lorraine Quarberg, R-Thermopolis, said. “To put your head in the sand and think that nothing bad’s going to happen, and that we have no obligation to the citizens of the state of Wyoming to at least have the discussion, is not healthy.”

Wyoming’s Department of Homeland Security already has a statewide crisis management plan, but it doesn’t cover what the state should do in the event of an extreme nationwide political or economic collapse. In recent years, lawmakers in at least six states have introduced legislation to create a state currency, all unsuccessfully.

The task force would include state lawmakers, the director of the Wyoming Department of Homeland Security, the Wyoming attorney general and the Wyoming National Guard’s adjutant general, among others.

The bill must pass two more House votes before it would head to the Senate for consideration. The original bill appropriated $32,000 for the task force, though the Joint Appropriations Committee slashed that number in half earlier this week.

University of Wyoming political science professor Jim King said the potential for a complete unraveling of the U.S. government and economy is “astronomically remote” in the foreseeable future.

But King noted that the federal government set up a Continuity of Government Commission in 2002, of which former U.S. Sen. Al Simpson, R-Wyo., was co-chairman. However, King said he didn’t know of any states that had established a similar board.

Contact capital bureau reporter Jeremy Pelzer at 307-632-1244 or jeremy.pelzer@trib,com

Read more: http://trib.com/news/state-and-regional/govt-and-p olitics/wyoming-house-advances-doomsday-bill/artic le_af6e1b2b-0ca4-553f-85e9-92c0f58c00bd.html#ixzz1 nSDQdaov
February 26, 2012 – INCOMING CME: Analysts at the Goddard Space Weather Lab say a coronal mass ejection (CME) will hit Earth’s magnetic field on Feb. 26th at 13:30 UT (+/- 7 hr). The impact could spark a G2-class geomagnetic storm. –Space Weather
1038. LargoFl
Quoting washingtonian115:
It was early morining we're they were gusting more insane than they are right now.I stared outside my window for 30 minutes non stop!!!.
gee hope there wasnt too much damage around you there, alot of people last night lost tree's etc
Quoting hurricanehunter27:
So is Wensday looking to be the biggest possible severe weather outbreak of the year so far? Also saw the radar software comments, I think we should pool some money together invest in some stocks and buy GR2A for everyone on the blog. Nothing could go wrong right?

Wednesday? Definitely not...the Severe Weather threat should be decreasing from the previous day.

Tuesday on the other hand at least has the potential to be a decent Severe Weather/Tornado outbreak. The main limiting factors here though is that the main upper air forcing will be located to the north of the prime area for Severe Weather, and there is question to how much destabilization will occur across Arkansas, the area with the highest severe weather threat at this time, due to cloud cover.

Nonetheless, we could be looking at an event up there with January 22-23. Depending on which forecaster does the Day 3 Convective Outlook tomorrow, we could be looking at a 30% area.

...and that's a lot of people to buy GR2Analyst for, lol.
Quoting hurricanehunter27:
So is Wensday looking to be the biggest possible severe weather outbreak of the year so far? Also saw the radar software comments, I think we should pool some money together invest in some stocks and buy GR2A for everyone on the blog. Nothing could go wrong right?



No, dont do that....instead, lets just pool money together and invest in stocks, then we buy GR2A for everyone on the blog.

it is more simple then what your saying.


lol
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Wednesday? Definitely not...the Severe Weather threat should be decreasing from the previous day.

Tuesday on the other hand at least has the potential to be a decent Severe Weather/Tornado outbreak. The main limiting factors here though is that the main upper air forcing will be located to the north of the prime area for Severe Weather, and there is question to how much destabilization will occur across Arkansas, the area with the highest severe weather threat at this time, due to cloud cover.

Nonetheless, we could be looking at an event up there with January 22-23. Judging on the SPC forecaster tomorrow morning for the Day 3 Convective Outlook, we could be looking at a 30% area.
Hate this time of year nothing is really going on. No sports except B-Ball, no tropic,no large tornado outbreaks (15% torando SPC), school is in the middle of the last semester, and no snow. This has become my least favorite time of year.
1043. LargoFl
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
840 PM EST SAT FEB 25 2012

.UPDATE...
AT 810 PM EST DATA FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR
WAS SHOWING A FEW LINES OF SHOWERS CONFINED TO THE NORTHERN-MOST
PORTIONS OF THE CWA. CURRENT 20-30 POPS FOR THE NATURE COAST SEEMS
REASONABLE SO FAR. STRM LINE ANALYSIS STILL DEPICTS UPPER/MID LVL
FLOW AND A SHORT WAVE THROUGH BRINGING A LARGE AREA OF MOISTURE
ACROSS THE STATE BEGINNING LATER TONIGHT AND THROUGH SUNDAY.

A BREAK IN THE CLOUD COVER LATE IN THE AFTERNOON BROUGHT SOME
CONCERNS OF ALLOWING FOR FASTER COOLING AT THE SURFACE DURING THE
EVENING HOURS...BUT A PUSH OF MID/UPPER LVL DECKS HAVE HELPED IN
KEEPING TEMPS BASICALLY RIGHT AT FORECAST VALUES. THEREFORE...NO
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO INHERITED FORECAST ARE NEEDED ATTM.

EXPECT INCREASING SHOWERS ACROSS THE AREA TOWARDS SUNRISE AND
PREVAILING ALL DAY SUNDAY.
As of note, I'd watch March 1-3 (Thursday-Saturday) as models have been continuously showing a huge outbreak of Severe Weather across the Southern states (Dixie Alley).

Still too far out for details.
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
As of note, I'd watch March 1-3 (Thursday-Saturday) as models have been continuously showing a huge outbreak of Severe Weather across the Southern states (Dixie Alley).

Still too far out for details.
Please come to GA. Last time I got hit by any really large hail was back in I believe 2008 or 2007. I also got hit with a EF-1, not my home but a farm my family owns in Newnan. Had to replace a ton of fence and several sheds. The day before was also epic if I remember. A lone supercell hit Atlanta. Video of the Nader hitting the GA dome. Link
Quoting SPLbeater:


SPLbeater will be its name.


Is not funny as Madagascar is once again on the line of fire.
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:


What will be the name for this system if it gets it?


Irina

"Naming List"(for future reference
Quoting Patrap:
Hang on to your faculties as we go into March.

The Sun

Purim

Iran

False Flags

ides of march
Quoting hurricanehunter27:
Please come to GA. Last time I got hit by any really large hail was back in I believe 2008 or 2007. I also got hit with a EF-1, not my home but a farm my family owns in Newnan. Had to replace a ton of fence and several sheds. The day before was also epic if I remember. A lone supercell hit Atlanta. Video of the Nader hitting the GA dome. Link

If the models were to come true...I don't think you would want this.
Quoting HadesGodWyvern:


Irina


Thanks you for the name answer.
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:


Thanks you for the name answer.


you're welcome.
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
As of note, I'd watch March 1-3 (Thursday-Saturday) as models have been continuously showing a huge outbreak of Severe Weather across the Southern states (Dixie Alley).

Still too far out for details.


I am a proud member of Carolina Alley!!
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

If the models were to come true...I don't think you would want this.
Alright now I'm really intrested, how large of an outbreak are we talking about if the models pan out? A high risk event?
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
ides of march
Am I the only person who enjoyed reading Julius Ceasar?
Quoting hurricanehunter27:
Alright now I'm really intrested, how large of an outbreak are we talking about if the models pan out? A high risk event?


my dream outlook would be for my region(GA, FL, SC, NC):


Categorical outlook: High

Tornado Probability: 2%

Hail Probability: 15%

Damaging Wind Probability: 100%

:D
Quoting hurricanehunter27:
Alright now I'm really intrested, how large of an outbreak are we talking about if the models pan out? A high risk event?

Let's not get too specific there. :P

If the current models were to pan out, it'd probably be the biggest event so far this year.
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Let's not get too specific there. :P

If the current models were to pan out, it'd probably be the biggest event so far this year.
Lol I could get a lot more specific than that. Also did we already have a high risk event or was that just a few PDS watches?
I just made myself a sign.

It has a picture of all 4 tornado alleys, and in a font size of 72 underneath,

PROUD MEMBER OF CAROLINA ALLEY!!!!!

lol
5.9 just hit Taiwan. Lets see if it gets upgraded or downgraded. Link
Quoting hurricanehunter27:
Lol I could get a lot more specific than that. Also did we already have a high risk event or was that just a few PDS watches?


we aint had a high risk this year..so far. had a few moderates :D
Quoting hurricanehunter27:
Lol I could get a lot more specific than that. Also did we already have a high risk event or was that just a few PDS watches?

January 22-23 is our current largest outbreak of the year, and it was a Moderate risk with PDS watches.
Quoting SPLbeater:


we aint had a high risk this year..so far. had a few moderates :D
Ok so it was just a few PDS watchs. Thanks for the info.
Quoting hurricanehunter27:
Ok so it was just a few PDS watchs. Thanks for the info.


your welcome. TAwx13 has 50% credit cu i dont know what PDS stands for nor what it does. :)

night all!

i shall return in de noon time tomorrow.

at church tomorrow morning, my DAD is preaching! im excited!!!

Quoting SPLbeater:


your welcome. TAwx13 has 50% credit cu i dont know what PDS stands for nor what it does. :)

night all!

i shall return in de noon time tomorrow.

at church tomorrow morning, my DAD is preaching! im excited!!!

Well have a goodnight (facepalm).
Quoting hurricanehunter27:
Please come to GA. Last time I got hit by any really large hail was back in I believe 2008 or 2007. I also got hit with a EF-1, not my home but a farm my family owns in Newnan. Had to replace a ton of fence and several sheds. The day before was also epic if I remember. A lone supercell hit Atlanta. Video of the Nader hitting the GA dome. Link


Last time i got hit was a hail storm with golfball sized hail in 05 for 5 minutes.
Quoting SPLbeater:


your welcome. TAwx13 has 50% credit cu i dont know what PDS stands for nor what it does. :)

night all!

i shall return in de noon time tomorrow.

at church tomorrow morning, my DAD is preaching! im excited!!!


PDS watches are Particularly Dangerous Situation watches, which outline a significant threat of severe weather or tornadoes.

There are two types of PDS watches, PDS Tornado and PDS Severe Thunderstorm.

PDS Tornado Watches are used when long-lived, damaging tornadoes are possible.

PDS Severe Thunderstorm Watches are used when severe damaging winds are expected (large Derecho events...or bow echos), but the tornado probability remains low. These watches are issued very rarely, and I've never seen one. I can go look for one though.

Just the basic rundown...
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


Last time i got hit was a hail storm with golfball sized hail in 05 for 5 minutes.
Yah last time I got hit by anything large was in 08 with baseball size hail. I rember my dad yelling, SHI* SHI* SHI* SHI*, as he ran outside trying to dodge the hailstones to get his car in. I thought he was about to go in the Darwin awards by getting hit by hail.
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Of course, there are two other radar systems similar, but not as advanced as Gr2Analyst that would be nice starters.

GRLevel2: $79.95

GRLevel3: $79.95

GR2Analyst Main page: $250 individual license, $500 commercial license

There are 21-day trials for all of them if you wish to experiment. They are on their pages, respectively.


I will get the trials before a severe weather outbreak(moderate/high risk) preferably across my area, since i do not have $250 on hand.
Here's one from last year:



URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 405
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
840 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

PARTS OF NORTHWEST IOWA
PARTS OF CENTRAL KANSAS
MUCH OF EASTERN NEBRASKA
SMALL PART OF SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING FROM 840 PM UNTIL
200 AM CDT.

...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...

WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS
WIND GUSTS TO 90 MPH LIKELY
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL
ISOLATED HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
ISOLATED TORNADOES

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTHWEST OF
SIOUX CITY IOWA TO 50 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF RUSSELL KANSAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 402...WW 403...

DISCUSSION...INTENSE SQUALL LINE HAS DEVELOPED N/S ACROSS CENTRAL
NEB AND CONTINUES TO DEVELOP SWD AS IT MOVES EWD. VERY STRONG PRES
RISE/FALL COUPLET IS DRIVING THE LINE EWD WITH THE FORCING FROM
LARGE SCALE TROUGH ROTATING ACROSS THE NRN/CENTRAL PLAINS PROVIDING
BOTH SHEAR AND UPWARD MOTION TO RESULT IN POTENTIAL FOR VERY
DAMAGING WINDS. IN ADDITION BRIEF TORNADOES ARE STILL POSSIBLE BUT
DAMAGING WINDS NOW ARE THE DOMINANT THREAT.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 80
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 23040.


...HALES
Well, numbers are in, after 48 hours of this system dumping snow on the western shores of Michigan, my location in the southwest region came up with 7.75" inches, the most from one system this season.
Quoting SPLbeater:


my dream outlook would be for my region(GA, FL, SC, NC):


Categorical outlook: High

Tornado Probability: 2%

Hail Probability: 15%

Damaging Wind Probability: 100%

:D


Come on, this is terrible.
15% hail??!!!!!

My dream:

High(AL,GA,SC)
60% everything.
2 day, 4 round outbreak
Nobody hurt(which i know would be impossible in this case)

Quoting SPLbeater:
I just made myself a sign.

It has a picture of all 4 tornado alleys, and in a font size of 72 underneath,

PROUD MEMBER OF CAROLINA ALLEY!!!!!

lol


Carolina alley sucks.
Dixie alley all the way.

1072. beell
GFS 18Z 500mb vorticity-Valid Friday 18Z.



Quoting j2008:
Hate to change you topic real quick but look at this,
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH.. Then theres the satellite picture.



Lo, storm forms;
Heading due west.
Fish? Ya Wish!



Pathetic. LOL.

Technically, it follows Japanese Haiku rules, using English phonology.
I think winter is over.....

Awesome TRMM pass of 92S. It's playing with a lot of rain. Click pic for animated graphic.

Quoting WxGeekVA:
I think winter is over.....

Im gona guess 80's next week.
Quoting WxGeekVA:
I think winter is over.....



Ya know that ridiculous wive's tale, "If it thunders in February it freezes in March"?

LOL.

I call BS on that one, always did.

Ain't happening, at least not down here anyway.
Quoting hurricanehunter27:
Im gona guess 80's next week.


I'm guessing 60s will be common around here for early March....This actually is getting a little disconcerting with all of these waaaaayyyy too warm temperatures. Do this: Go outside without any electronics and sit in the middle of a field on a clear, calm, and sunny day and let yourself feel nature. And I'll tell you what: You get the feeling that something isn't right......
Excellent animated graphic from NASA about the path of the CME from the sun on the 24th is going to impact the solar system. I give it 10 in the psychedelic loop category.
1082. Patrap


cool
one thing i like about chorme what i dont like about firefox that chorme have his own PDF reder i had too ues foxit reader for firefox
Quoting WxGeekVA:
I think winter is over.....



The GFS is showing one final cold blast for the Upper-Midwest, then the March Warm-up starts for Fargo!
Tokyo station is contaminated as mandatory evacuating zone in Fukushima
February 25th, 2012 Following up this article ..Tokyo is contaminated as the worst place in Chernobyl

On 2/21~23/2012, a Twitter user measured radiation level at Tokyo station and it turned out to be 2.94~6.5 microSv/h.(Only gamma ray)

↓ Aisle from Yaesuguchi underground parking lot to underground mall of Tokyo Station


Tokyo Station is more contaminated than mandatory evacuating zone in Fukushima

↓On the platform of Tokaido Shinkansen

Tokyo station is contaminated as mandatory evacuating zone in Fukushima2

The picture above is one of the 6 measurements.

The results are like this below

1m height from the ground : 6.5~4.8 microSv/h

1.8m height from the ground : 3.0~4.2 microSv/h

6.5 microSv/h is converted to 57 mSv/y.

It’s higher than 50 mSv/y in mandatory evacuating zone in Fukushima.

The reason of this high level of contamination is assumed to be because hot particles are brought from Fukushima or North Japan by the shoes of passengers.
7 reports of nuclear fuel rod pieces being ejected from Fukushima reactors and/or spent fuel pools

Published: February 25th, 2012 at 1:11 pm ET

Several news articles and experts have said nuclear fuel pieces were ejected onto the ground at varying distances from the reactors and spent fuel pools. Here's a list of reports beginning in early April:

NYTimes on "Ejection of Nuclear Material": Confidential US doc suggests pieces of fuel blown up to a mile away -- Some between two units bulldozed over April 6, 2011
NYTimes: Broken pieces of nuclear fuel rods found outside Reactor No. 2, says nuke executive -- Covered up by bulldozers April 7, 2011
Report: Nuclear fuel fragments found over a mile away were "ejected from the reactor cores in those explosions" not spent fuel pools, according to NRC (VIDEO) August 18, 2011
Nuclear engineer: NRC now says reactors and containments have breached and released plutonium off-site -- "Much worse" than if from spent fuel pools (VIDEO) August 22, 2011
US nuke industry report: Explosions at Fukushima Units 1, 3, 4 may have caused inventory (nuclear rods) to be lost from spent fuel pools -- "Debris" on ground near Unit 3 was extremely radioactive after blast November 11, 2011
Mag: Curium and plutonium outside Fukushima plant indicate nuclear explosion at Reactor No. 3 -- Broken spent nuclear fuel rods may have been scattered December 17, 2011
Watch BBC Clip: US video suggests flakes of nuclear fuel were scattered around Fukushima reactors -- Secret plans to evacuate citizens from Japan (VIDEO) February 24, 2012
Japanese government and Tepco have started publicly seeking technology to decommission nuclear reactors such as decontamination of the reactor buildings and remote controlling robot.
They will accept offers until 3/9/2012.
I read somewhere months ago rods were found 2 miles away..
1090. Patrap
Well we all saw the Hydrogen Blast rip upward and outward. So the Trajectories are consistent with the physical laws of gravity, ballistic trajectories, V squared,etc.

And remember, MOX is very, very B-A-D



1091. Patrap
Life inside Japan’s dead zone Published On Sat Feb 25 2012


IITATE, JAPAN—Iitate was once a village.

In the lap of the towering Abukuma mountains and 30 kilometres from the nuclear reactor Fukushima Dai-ichi, it was a collection of homes, offices, two gas stations and three grocery stores; a place where people rode bicycles to work, children played in parks and seniors read newspapers on porches.

The village of Iitate is no more.

The homes, offices, gas stations and grocery stores are boarded up. Snow is unshovelled on driveways and walkways. Weeds have invaded rice fields. Cattle pens are empty, cows have been slaughtered.

The only sounds are of crows cackling, dogs barking.

This is Japan’s nuclear wasteland.

When the 9.0-magnitude earthquake and the subsequent tsunami hit last March 11, it not only killed 18,000 people but triggered a third disaster. Three reactors at Fukushima melted down and a fire broke out in a fourth, making it the world’s worst nuclear accident since Chernobyl, a quarter of a century earlier.

As the nuclear disaster unfolded, thousands fled. More than 70,000 were evacuated.

One year later, the crippled plant still leaks radiation into the sea, its makeshift cooling system is still vulnerable to quakes and the cleanup is years from being complete.

The radioactive zone is bigger than that left by the 1945 atomic bombings at Hiroshima and Nagasaki. Some scientists say it is impossible to decontaminate the area and it may never be habitable again.

There are at least a dozen nuclear ghost towns and villages around the reactor. In some towns, evacuation was mandatory; in others, people fled when radiation levels spiked.

But there are some who continue to live in this wasteland.

They work at nursing homes, hotels and banks. Some are farmers who can’t farm their land, others retirees and some, almost all of them men, work at the reactor.

Some, like Kenji Miyamoto, live within kilometres of the nuclear plant. They never left. Not when there was an explosion in the first reactor, not when a fire broke out in another. Not when everyone around them fled, leaving their front doors unlocked, food in their refrigerators.

“I am scared of getting sick but I’m still better off in my own home,” says Miyamoto.

There are some defiant souls like him in the no-entry zone who have refused to leave, he says.

Daily life is like science fiction for them. They almost always wear surgical masks. Many conversations are about the state of the reactors or readings from the Geiger counters. They listen to TV bulletins that carry daily radiation updates for specific neighbourhoods.

But they won’t leave.

0.11 microsievert per hour.

It’s the reading from Masami Sanpei’s black Geiger counter on a sunny Monday morning in Iitate. Sanpei takes the pager-size device everywhere.

If the reading is too high, he puts on a face mask.

Microsievert quantifies the amount of radiation absorbed by human tissue. The average radiation exposure from Japan’s natural environment is 0.11 microsievert per hour, or one millisievert a year while the World Health Organization (WHO) says the average background radiation people are exposed to worldwide is about 2.4 millisieverts a year.

But it goes up and down at Iitate. And there are places where the reading has been 6.0 microsievert per hour, many times over the maximum allowed.

One February evening, Sanpei’s Geiger counter beeped furiously in the nursing home’s parking lot: the reading was 5.8 microsievert per hour.

Iitate is 35 kilometres northwest of Fukushima Dai-ichi. The day the reactor melted down, this picture-postcard village was caught in a wind that carried radioactive particles, including plutonium, much farther than anyone had initially expected.

But no one knew that until early April, almost four weeks after the meltdown. Someone at the village office got a Geiger counter out of curiosity and, when he saw the readings, raised an alarm.

(At Iitate, several spots showed radiation levels exceeding those at the nuclear reactor’s main compound. These spots were decontaminated but villagers fear there could be more they are not aware of.)

It took the government weeks to start the evacuation and at least a month to declare the village uninhabitable.

Sanpei, 64, is one of those who come in for work.

He was born and raised in Iitate, where the population was 6,000 until last March. He has lived here all his life and for the past 11 years, he has been running the local nursing home. He couldn’t leave the patients, he says.

The patients, 99 of them, refused to leave, he says.

“They were adamant. . . I don’t blame them. The average age is 85 and they didn’t want to move to a new place.”

The patients and the nursing home’s 75 employees: are all that is left of Iitate.

Exposure is dangerous over long periods of time but the risks are minimal for a few hours, the exposure less than a 12-hour plane ride.

Sanpei sent his wife, Katsuko, to an evacuation centre in Fukushima City, an hour’s drive from Iitate. Their three-bedroom traditional Japanese house stands empty. Their two children, who had moved away a few years ago, visit sometimes. Their neighbours are gone. He has no idea if he will ever see them again.

He drives in from Fukushima City daily, where the couple live in a pre-fab apartment allocated by the government. But when he works late, he stays in Iitate.

He hears dogs barking at night. They were abandoned by owners during the evacuation. He dreams of cows “mooing angrily.” Hundreds of cows, he says, were slaughtered in the village over contamination fears.

“Everything has changed,” he says. “It will never go back to what it was before March 11.”

Miki Kawamura used to visit her grandmother at the nursing home every month.

In the past year, the 34-year-old from Tokyo has only been three times.

As she enters the nursing home, she asks an employee for the Geiger counter reading.

It’s 0.12 microsievert per hour.

It’s close to the accepted level of 0.11 but Kawamura grimaces; she doesn’t want to be here.

But it’s her grandma’s 92nd birthday and she has brought gifts: a paper bag full of packs of instant noodles, fresh fruit and two books.

Kawamura tried to convince her grandmother to move in to her Tokyo apartment. “She refused. She said she was dying already. . . some radiation didn’t bother her.”

She spends an hour, chatting and having the lunch that she brought from Tokyo because she doesn’t trust locally grown food. Then it’s time to leave. It is a long drive home, about four hours, but nothing will make her stay overnight in Iitate.

“I’m terrified. I don’t know how much contamination is around here,” she says as she puts her face mask on and steps out.

Radiation, background or contamination, is always a tricky subject, but it didn’t help that the Japanese government added layers of confusion and intrigue.

A year later, it’s still not clear how much radiation was released during the meltdown.

At first, the government and Tokyo Electric Power Company denied there had been a meltdown or an explosion. When news of the unfolding catastrophe started trickling out, the government said there was no immediate threat.

The explosions at the reactors were finally acknowledged but information about how much radiation escaped and how far it spread was withheld.

It still is.

The meltdown was at first ranked at a level four on the international scale of nuclear accidents. It was upgraded to a maximum seven — the same as Chernobyl — a month later.

Some experts have said that hydrogen explosions created plumes of radiation that spread for hundreds of kilometres.

Days after the first reactor blew up, the government ordered about 75,000 residents within 20 kilometres of the reactor to evacuate. It then recommended that people within 30 kilometres also evacuate.

Evacuees from areas between 20 and 30 kilometres have been allowed to return but few have.

According to reports in Japanese newspapers, the environment ministry admits that at least 2,400 square kilometres around the nuclear plant needs to be decontaminated.

Japan will also have to remove enough radioactive soil to fill 23 baseball stadiums.

Jin Watanbe still lives in a contaminated area. He works at the reactor.

“No, I don’t have a death wish,” he says wryly.

Watanabe, 39, grew up in Kawauchi village high up in the mountains where he could see the six hulking reactors of Fukushima Daiichi nuclear reactor.

They were always there, he says. “Like mountains, like landmarks.” Six imposing structures surrounded by smaller buildings. Smoke billowed from chimneys.

Watanabe, who has a construction business that employs 30 people, has done all sorts of work at the reactor for years. He has built small out-buildings, repaired drains. Sometimes he worked exclusively at the reactor for months at a stretch.

It was the hand that fed him, gave him and his family a good life.

Before taking it away.

Kawauchi village, also in the mountains, is about 28 kilometres from the stricken nuclear reactor. When the earthquake struck, Watanabe was at his home office doing paperwork. As power went off, he quickly led his family outside, where they stayed for an hour. Soon, he heard about the tsunami, which rose to a peak of 40 metres.

He prayed, hoping for the best.

But he never gave a second thought to the reactor. “Every time the topic of earthquakes would come up, people there said Fukushima Daiichi couldn’t be rocked, it was invincible.”

The next day he learned about the troubles at the reactor.

On March 13, two days after the earthquake, he and his wife, along with their 10-year-old daughter, his parents and an uncle, were in his Range Rover on their way to Nagano, 500 kilometres away where the family owns a house.

Watanabe returned the same day. He hasn’t let his family come back.

“Look at this reading,” he says, pointing to his black Geiger counter, which reads 0.18 microsievert per hour. “I don’t know what that could mean. But I know it is not good. I don’t think I will ever let my family back here. I can’t.”

But he is still here. There are a dozen men who still live in Kawauchi village, he says. Most homes are empty, some boarded up.

Watanabe and his staff work six days a week at the reactor cleaning debris. The tsunami caused so much havoc that it will take several years to clean up, he says. Everything is broken and shattered and scattered.

“We are told everyday what to touch, what not to,” he says.

Everyone at the reactor wears protective gear.

Watanabe works long hours and worries about the effects of contamination.

It’s a conflict he has been struggling with for months. It’s also led to multiple fights with his wife and daughter. They want him to join them in Nagano.

He refuses.

Sometimes he and his wife don’t talk for days.

“I can’t leave my staff. . . they need the work and the money. So do I,” he says philosophically. “When everything was okay at Fukushima Dai-ichi, it gave us all we wanted. . . homes, cars, a good life. We can’t just leave now. Somebody has to clean up too now.”

Thousands fled after the meltdown. But many, mostly men, returned because they couldn’t find jobs elsewhere.

Saito Kunihiro, a manager at Takami Hotel in Minamisoma, a couple of kilometres outside the 20-kilometre no-entry zone, left the city but was back within six weeks.

“I have three kids, a wife and old parents and I couldn’t find a job,” says the 44-year-old. He went to Kyoto, in southern Japan, where he has family. But in the tough economic times he wasn’t able to get work.

Heart in his mouth, he returned to Minamisoma, population 68,000.

It had changed.

There were no women, no children. The schools were closed. A few have since reopened.

Restaurants and hotels report few customers. The ones who visit are those working at the crippled reactor.

Even though the government declared Minamisoma safe months ago, steady news of radiation hot spots and contaminated vegetables make him wonder if he made the wrong decision.

Excess level of radiation has been found in cow milk and spinach from farms within 80 kilometres of the stricken plant.

A small, wiry man with an economics degree from the Kyoto University, he speaks slowly, as if weighing every word. “I think about radiation every day. I want to run away but. . . there is no work.”

Every day, he records the Geiger counter readings — what he has been exposed to — in a small, brown diary.

“You know, I never understood why people in Chernobyl didn’t leave, but now I’m in the same situation. I don’t know where to go.”

He lives alone in a four-bedroom house, wears a face mask when out and talks to his family every night.

He never tells them the Geiger counter readings.

Inside the 20-kilometre zone, achingly close to the crippled reactor, Kenji Miyamoto does not even have a Geiger counter.

He lives on the outskirts of Minamisoma, about a kilometre inside the no-entry zone. He is in his 70s, balding and missing a few teeth.

For 11 months and three weeks, he has breathed contaminated air, defying official orders to evacuate.

After the explosions at the reactor, Miyamoto’s wife of 40 years hurriedly left for Tokyo, where her mother lives. The retired mechanic believed the reactor would be brought under control, so he stayed.

“And then I didn’t want to go,” he says. “I don’t want to live in a small Tokyo apartment.”

His other option was to move into a tiny prefab apartment provided by the government. It didn’t appeal to him.

He’s sitting on a low bed in his living room, a cup of tea in hand. The windows are open. A cat hisses nearby.

“I am scared of getting sick but I’m still better off in my own home.”

Miyamoto hides when he sees police cars and hardly ever leaves home during the day. He hasn’t seen his neighbours since March 13. Once, he went without talking to anyone for almost nine weeks. “Well, I talk to the cat sometimes,” he says.

He admits he gets terrified at night sometimes. That is when the sound of silence becomes too eerie to handle.

Chernobyl's no-entry zone lives on

Twenty-six years after its nuclear accident, Chernobyl still has a 30-kilometre no-entry zone.

The disaster left more than 130 cleanup workers with acute radiation sickness — 28 died within a year. Millions more were exposed to lower doses of radiation.

In a follow-up study about five years ago, WHO said the catastrophe caused an additional 4,000 cancer deaths among the 626,000 most highly exposed people. For those exposed to lower levels of radiation, it estimated cancer fatalities would rise by 0.6 per cent.

Upwards of 400,000 people from around Chernobyl were evacuated and relocated after the accident. Some — reports suggest a couple of hundred — have returned to their homes in the past years.

Like in Chernobyl, it is expected the area around Fukushima Daiichi will stay a no-entry zone for decades. Like Chernobyl, the reactor will be encased in a concrete-and-steel shelter, while the contaminated farmland will be allowed to grow wild and the houses bulldozed.

But all that is after the cleanup at the reactor. That, experts, have warned could take up to 10 years or even more.
Does anyone know if GRLevel2 and GR2Analyst are having problems....i seem to be unable to go online. Please zip me a note in WU mail. Thanks!
Mauritius Meteorological Services
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #1
ZONE PERTURBEE 11-20112012
10:00 AM RET February 26 2012
=====================================

At 6:00 AM UTC, Area of Disturbed Weather 11 (997 hPa) located at 13.2S 51.1E has 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The disturbance is reported as moving west southwest at 15 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T1.5

Forecast and Intensity
========================

12 HRS: 33.7S 63.7E - 20 knots (Depression sur Terre)
24 HRS: 14.6S 47.0E - 20 knots (Zone Perturbée)
48 HRS: 15.9S 43.5E - 30 knots (Depression Tropicale)
72 HRS: 16.1S 41.3E - 45 knots (Tempête Tropicale Modérée)

Additional Information
=======================

The system could reach at most the tropical depression stage before landfall over the northern tip of Madagascar later today.

Although, convective activity strengthened and concentrated during the last 24 hours, the system still present an ill-defined low level circulation with a center difficult to localize even with microwave imagery.

The system is moving rapidly westwards on the northern edge of the subtropical ridge that have built back to the south. It undergoes a moderate easterly constraint so the center is estimated to be just to the east of the main convective mass. This pattern should continue within the next two days. On this track, the system should make landfall later today over the northern tip of Madagascar between Diego-Suarez and Sambava (likely near Iharana). Given the current conditions and the short timing before landfall, significant development appear as a low probability possibility (the system may reach the tropical depression level but not much). However, associated heavy rainfalls should affect large areas of northern Madagascar during the next two days. Rainfall in 24 hour period of 100-150 mm is likely.

Wednesday, environmental conditions should improve (lower shear, high sea surface temperature over the Mozambique channel) and significant intensification is expected.

By that time, the system should be influenced by two contradictory steering flow; one associated with an equatorial ridge located to its north and induced an easterly motion and another one associated with the subtropical ridge located to the south and induced a westwards motion. Consequently, the track should slow down significantly during the middle of next week. Beyond, the subtropical ridge could weaken and allow a more polewards track.

Inhabitants of the northeastern coasts of Madagascar and the northern channel area (including the Comoros archipelago, the northwestern coasts of Madagascar and the Mozambique coasts) should closely monitor the progress of this system.

CURRENT INTENSITY DOES NOT JUSTIFY THE ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNINGS
The previous earthquake of similar magnitude was a 6.3 in 1991. This appears to have been the strongest earthquake in this region. It was also very shallow (7.3 miles), so it's no surprise the shaking was very severe near the epicenter. On the bright side, this part of Russia has a very low population density, so few people would have felt the severe shaking.
1097. LargoFl
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Here's one from last year:



URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 405
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
840 PM CDT MON MAY 30 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

PARTS OF NORTHWEST IOWA
PARTS OF CENTRAL KANSAS
MUCH OF EASTERN NEBRASKA
SMALL PART OF SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING FROM 840 PM UNTIL
200 AM CDT.

...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...

WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS
WIND GUSTS TO 90 MPH LIKELY
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL
ISOLATED HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
ISOLATED TORNADOES

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTHWEST OF
SIOUX CITY IOWA TO 50 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF RUSSELL KANSAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 402...WW 403...

DISCUSSION...INTENSE SQUALL LINE HAS DEVELOPED N/S ACROSS CENTRAL
NEB AND CONTINUES TO DEVELOP SWD AS IT MOVES EWD. VERY STRONG PRES
RISE/FALL COUPLET IS DRIVING THE LINE EWD WITH THE FORCING FROM
LARGE SCALE TROUGH ROTATING ACROSS THE NRN/CENTRAL PLAINS PROVIDING
BOTH SHEAR AND UPWARD MOTION TO RESULT IN POTENTIAL FOR VERY
DAMAGING WINDS. IN ADDITION BRIEF TORNADOES ARE STILL POSSIBLE BUT
DAMAGING WINDS NOW ARE THE DOMINANT THREAT.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 80
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 23040.


...HALES
winds 90 mph? omg
1098. LargoFl
Good Morning folks! 56 degree's here in not so sunny Florida this morning, chance of showers and cloudy for my area, most of the rain will be headed to the northern counties above me they say, good stiff breeze outside right now, that weak low in the gulf is headed towards Florida they say, good we need any rain we can get..well have a great day everyone
Quoting TaylorSelseth:


The GFS is showing one final cold blast for the Upper-Midwest, then the March Warm-up starts for Fargo!


Go Fargo Bears!
1100. LargoFl
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
426 AM EST SUN FEB 26 2012

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-262130 -
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSB OROUGH-POLK-
MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE-
426 AM EST SUN FEB 26 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE MORNING IN THE
SOUTHERN OFFSHORE GULF WATERS...AND THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON IN
THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN WATERS. NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 KNOTS WILL
CONTINUE OVER THE GULF WATERS THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON IN THE
OFFSHORE WATERS...ALONG WITH SEAS TO 6 FEET.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON MONDAY ACROSS
THE AREA. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

$$

JOHNSON
6z GFS appears to give me 6-10 inches of snow in the Wed-Fri timeframe :D
been getting alot of these days. it looks like rain then its "peters out". in fact the only day it really rained the last few months it came out of no where and poured. e cen florida
1104. LargoFl
Quoting islander101010:
been getting alot of these days. it looks like rain then its "peters out". in fact the only day it really rained the last few months it came out of no where and poured. e cen florida
yes same here on the west side, man it poured, but that was it for rain,I know what your saying, we need rain
1105. LargoFl
Quoting MAweatherboy1:
6z GFS appears to give me 6-10 inches of snow in the Wed-Fri timeframe :D
if it pans out, Febuary goes out like a lion huh
1106. JNCali
Quoting WxGeekVA:
I think winter is over.....

Yeah, it's funny how the weather changes as time goes by.. I wonder if it's a pattern?
1107. yqt1001
Woke up to good news this morning.

City of Thunder Bay
5:20 AM EST Sunday 26 February 2012
Snowfall warning for
City of Thunder Bay issued

15 cm snow expected today into tonight.

Snow ahead of a fairly intense Alberta clipper approaching from South Dakota is expected to move into the Lakehead area this morning. Cold easterly winds will pick up extra moisture from Lake Superior and as a result, the snow will be heavy at times with a general snowfall of 15 to 20 cm expected by the time the snow ends after midnight tonight.

Brisk easterly winds will also cause blowing snow in exposed areas. Motorists should be prepared for hazardous winter driving conditions due to accumulating snow on untreated roads and very low visibility in heavy snow and blowing snow.

Snow day tomorrow? :D
Morning all. Looks like we're going to get some rain this p.m. but right now sunny and windy out. Anybody from the Destin area down to the Cape [Canaveral] with wx reports?

I also wonder if those central GoM storms will hold together to hit Tampa this p.m....
Quoting WDEmobmet:
There you go TAWX. Did I hear someone say that this is abnormal for Madagascar to be getting so
much "love" from tropical entities
It's been busier than the average for them, but they've had seasons like this before, at least once since I've started watching the SIndian season in '06. I suspect increased activity with tracks across Madegascar is typical in certain La Nina years....
Quoting TampaSpin:
Does anyone know if GRLevel2 and GR2Analyst are having problems....i seem to be unable to go online. Please zip me a note in WU mail. Thanks!

How much s it for GRLevel2? I no there is a 21 day trial, how much after the trial, and is it worth it?
Quoting hurricanehunter27:
Am I the only person who enjoyed reading Julius Ceasar?
Saw a stage production of it here last October, with a female Casca. Great stuff.

Though I never did see what was so bad about 15 March.

Guess Caesar never did, either.
Seychelles Meteorological Services
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #2
TEMPETE TROPICALE MODEREE IRINA (11-20112012)
16:00 PM RET February 26 2012
=====================================

At 12:00 PM UTC, Moderate Tropical Storm Irina (995 hPa) located at 13.8S 50.9E has 10 minute sustained winds of 40 knots with gusts of 60 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west southwest at 12 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T1.5/1.5/D0.5/24 HRS

Gale Force Winds
============
In the southwestern quadrant up to 70 NM from the center and in the northwestern quadrant up to 130 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
========================

12 HRS: 14.2S 48.2E - 20 knots (Depression sur Terre)
24 HRS: 15.2S 46.0E - 25 knots (Perturbation Tropicale)
48 HRS: 16.3S 42.9E - 40 knots (Tempête Tropicale Modérée)
72 HRS: 16.4S 41.3E - 60 knots (Forte Tempête Tropicale)

Additional Information
=======================

Synopsis report from Antalaha (between 0500 AM UTC and 0900 AM UTC and then at 1200 PM UTC), Sambava (at 0700 AM UTC then no obs) and Diego-Suarez (between 0700 AM UTC and 0900 AM UTC then no obs) shown mean 10 min winds in the gale force range (35-45 kt). Consequently, the Madagascar Weather Services named the system Irina. Those strong winds seems to be associated with the strong burst of convection that occurred this morning just west of the estimated low level circulation center. This convective features is now collapsing.

Despite this strong winds observed, the cloud pattern of Irina is still miles away from a moderate tropical storm signature

The system is moving rapidly westwards on the northern edge of the subtropical ridge that have built back to the south. It undergoes a moderate easterly constraint so the center is estimated to be just to the east of the main convective mass. This pattern should continue within the next two days. On this track, the system should make landfall within the next hours over the northern tip of Madagascar between Diego-Suarez and Sambava (likely near Iharana). Associated heavy rainfalls should affect large areas of northern Madagascar during the next two days. Rainfall rate in 24hour period of 100-150 mm is likely.

Wednesday, environmental conditions should improve (lower shear, high sea surface temperature over the Mozambique channel) and significant intensification is expected.

By that time, the system should be influenced by two contradictory steering flow; one associated with an equatorial ridge located to its north and induced an easterly motion and another one associated with the subtropical ridge located to the south and induced a westwards motion. Consequently, the track should slow down significantly during the middle of next week. Beyond, the subtropical ridge could weaken and allow a more polewards track.

Inhabitants of the northeastern coasts of Madagascar and the northern channel area (including the Comoros archipelago, the northwestern coasts of Madagascar and the Mozambique coasts) should closely monitor the progress of this system.

The next tropical cyclone advisory from Seychelles Meteorological Service on TC Irina will be issued at 18:30 PM UTC..
Quoting AussieStorm:

How much s it for GRLevel2? I no there is a 21 day trial, how much after the trial, and is it worth it?


Don't know yet as i have only had it for 3 days now.....too soon to really evaluate! GRLevel2 and 3 are about $80.00 each....and the GRAnalyst is $250.00
From NWS Jackson,MS forecast discussion:

BY FRIDAY...STALLED FRONT ON COAST SURGES
BACK NORTH OVER REGION AS WAA SHOWERS COMMENCE AHEAD OF ANOTHER
STRONG SYSTEM ACROSS THE CNTRL PLAINS. WARM SECTOR LOOKS TO BE OF
HIGH QUALITY PER GFS/EC IN DEPTH AND SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 60S
ACROSS MUCH OF REGION BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. WITH PROGGED SHEAR
VALUES...ANY STORMS DEVELOPING IN THIS ENVIRONMENT WILL HAVE
POTENTIAL TO BECOME SEVERE.


(for the Friday/Saturday System)
mornin all...forecast to be 55 today, and then temperatures 60-70 rest of the week! NWS has upped my chances of rain for Tuesday night, Wednesday and Wednesday night to 50%.

Thats 36 hours to get a severe storm. :D
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Of course, there are two other radar systems similar, but not as advanced as Gr2Analyst that would be nice starters.

GRLevel2: $79.95

GRLevel3: $79.95

GR2Analyst Main page: $250 individual license, $500 commercial license

There are 21-day trials for all of them if you wish to experiment. They are on their pages, respectively.


Quoting AussieStorm:

How much s it for GRLevel2? I no there is a 21 day trial, how much after the trial, and is it worth it?


Ive had GRLEVEL3 going on 3 years now. It is by far the best software out there.
GR2ANalyst is on the pricey side you pay for what you get. I have been playing with it since yesterday and I will probably end up purchasing soon.
Point being if your a weather enthusiast its a must have
Quoting TampaSpin:


Don't know yet as i have only had it for 3 days now.....too soon to really evaluate! GRLevel2 and 3 are about $80.00 each....and the GRAnalyst is $250.00

Woah!!!!
I just downloaded 2 and 3, 2 is not working for me.. I will try 3 now
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

I've still not figured out how to get it like this, but oh well.





This is one of the best features out there. GR2Analyst provides a volume feature. You can make cross sections, and also has many of algorithms to play with
Quoting ScottLincoln:


GR2Analyst is worth having for any meteorologist or any severe weather enthusiast keen on high-resolution radar data with adaptable hail/rotation algorithms. But it's not for everyone. It does require some knowledge and time to use it properly.



GR2Analyst should be fully operational during the trial. Trial or purchased, you have to have a NEXRAD level2 data source for it to work in realtime. There are sources for this. Some you pay for, some (like ISU's site) that are free.
Quoting AussieStorm:

Woah!!!!
I just downloaded 2 and 3, 2 is not working for me.. I will try 3 now


I am going to wait till just before a moderate or high risk near my area so i can have it as long as possible during this severe weather season.
(or i can ask WDEmobmet for $250 :)
We got ourselves a 30% area for western AR, southern MO and eastern OK
Quoting BahaHurican:
Morning all. Looks like we're going to get some rain this p.m. but right now sunny and windy out. Anybody from the Destin area down to the Cape [Canaveral] with wx reports?

I also wonder if those central GoM storms will hold together to hit Tampa this p.m....
I don't know if they will make it to Tampa, but they sure are strong atm.
Aussie...
Try this as your polling director for GR2Analyst:
http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/data/nexrd2/raw/


within in GR2Anal ..To add this, File > Configure Polling > Add
GR2Analyst volume feature
1125. pottery
Greetings, WeatherGeeks....

Here, at 11n 61w (Trinidad) it's raining again.
Wettest Feb. we have had in many years. Very nice.
No bush-fires for one thing. Cisterns filled too.
It's all good.
RSMC Reunion
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
15:00 PM RET February 26 2012
==========================

Moderate Tropical Storm Irina
=======================

See tropical cyclone advisories issued at 12:00 PM UTC for details

Between 60E and 75E and along 10S
=======================

Thunderstorm activity is strong within the Inter-tropical convergence zone and conditions appear conducive for cyclogenesis within the next few days over the area (lower shear, good low level monsoon inflow and good low level convergence). No defined surface closed circulation is evident at this time but it appears likely that a significant system should develop over the area during the next few days.

Over the extreme east of our area of responsibility, convection remains poorly organized. There is no evidence of a closed circulation and conditions appear less favorable for development mainly due to marginal low level inflow.

For the next 24 to 36 hours, the potential for development of another tropical depression is fair to good (suspect area between 60E and 75E).
Quoting WDEmobmet:
GR2Analyst volume feature


so if you save an alpha table, does gr2analyst use it to examine other storms? I read the page on volume renderer but i could not tell
I was having an OFFLINE problem last night with GRAnalyst .......is that a common thing...i have not tried today as i am on the desktop...i have it on my laptop
GR2Analyst is only available as a non-exclusive license. GR2Analyst is not available for purchase by TV stations in the following markets:

Birmingham, AL
Denver, CO
Hartford/New Haven, CT
Miami, FL
Orlando, FL
Tampa, FL
Atlanta, GA
Grand Rapids, MI
Jackson, MS
Charlotte, NC
Raleigh, NC
Cincinnati, OH
Myrtle Beach/Florence, SC
Nashville, TN

GR2Analyst supports dual polarization radars and Sigmet's IRIS formatted data files with an additional license. Purchasing this add-on simply allows GR2Analyst to read and process dual polarization data, which is not available as a standard product from the NWS. Currently, only private and research radars supply dual polarization data.

Dual Pol/IRIS Individual License

$125
Dual Pol/IRIS Commercial License

$250

You must purchase and enter a regular GR2Analyst Individual or Commercial registration key before you will be allowed to enter a Dual Pol/IRIS registration key.


No TV stations in GA have it?!!
Also that would be cool to get the dual pol
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


so if you save an alpha table, does gr2analyst use it to examine other storms? I read the page on volume renderer but i could not tell


to be completely honest I one day into using GR2 so I cant answer that... Get with TropicalAnalystwx he knows a little about it
Quoting TampaSpin:
I was having an OFFLINE problem last night with GRAnalyst .......is that a common thing...i have not tried today as i am on the desktop...i have it on my laptop


I was just playing around with it... I dont seem to be having any issues with it. Maybe check your polling site
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:
GR2Analyst is only available as a non-exclusive license. GR2Analyst is not available for purchase by TV stations in the following markets:

Birmingham, AL
Denver, CO
Hartford/New Haven, CT
Miami, FL
Orlando, FL
Tampa, FL
Atlanta, GA
Grand Rapids, MI
Jackson, MS
Charlotte, NC
Raleigh, NC
Cincinnati, OH
Myrtle Beach/Florence, SC
Nashville, TN

GR2Analyst supports dual polarization radars and Sigmet's IRIS formatted data files with an additional license. Purchasing this add-on simply allows GR2Analyst to read and process dual polarization data, which is not available as a standard product from the NWS. Currently, only private and research radars supply dual polarization data.

Dual Pol/IRIS Individual License

$125
Dual Pol/IRIS Commercial License

$250

You must purchase and enter a regular GR2Analyst Individual or Commercial registration key before you will be allowed to enter a Dual Pol/IRIS registration key.


No TV stations in GA have it?!!
Also that would be cool to get the dual pol


What amazes me is that they would have a limit on something that could ultimately save lives. That doesn't make sense why they would have restrictions
Quoting WDEmobmet:


I was just playing around with it... I dont seem to be having any issues with it. Maybe check your polling site


How do you change your polling site.
1134. JNCali
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:

..No TV stations in GA have it?!!
Also that would be cool to get the dual pol

This could be a great job opportunity for the up and coming mets.. Learn the program and market it along with your services to the news stations who don't have it!
It won't let me change my site at all it seems
Try this as your polling director for GR2Analyst:
http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/data/nexrd2/raw/

go to GR2Anal ..To add this, File > Configure Polling > Add
Quoting WDEmobmet:
Try this as your polling director for GR2Analyst:
http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/data/nexrd2/raw/

go to GR2Anal ..To add this, File > Configure Polling > Add


once you go through that process, press start polling. should work
Quoting WDEmobmet:
Try this as your polling director for GR2Analyst:
http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/data/nexrd2/raw/

go to GR2Anal ..To add this, File > Configure Polling > Add
Quoting WDEmobmet:


once you go through that process, press start polling. should work



BINGO....awsome....its working fine...THANK YOU
Quoting TampaSpin:



BINGO....awsome....its working fine...THANK YOU


Your welcome... now I just have to sit around and wait for Tuesday to try it out myself
Quoting WDEmobmet:


Your welcome... now I just have to sit around and wait for Tuesday to try it out myself


Yep..not much happening now....LOL
this looks to be next chance... 3 day prob



DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0230 AM CST SUN FEB 26 2012

VALID 281200Z - 291200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS PORTIONS ARKLATEX...ERN OK AND
SERN KS TO WRN MID-SOUTH REGION...

...SYNOPSIS...
STG SHORTWAVE TROUGH...MENTIONED IN DAY-2 OUTLOOK OVER WRN
CONUS...IS FCST TO CONSOLIDATE INTO COMPACT MID-UPPER CYCLONE DURING
FIRST HALF OF DAY-3 PERIOD...WHILE MOVING ENEWD FROM CENTRAL ROCKIES
ACROSS ADJACENT HIGH PLAINS. BY 29/00Z...500-MB CYCLONE SHOULD BE
LOCATED OVER NEB/SD...REACHING IA/MN BORDER REGION BY END OF PERIOD.
TRAILING SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO EXTEND SSW OF MID-UPPER
CYCLONE CENTER...AT SOMEWHAT LOWER AMPLITUDE THAN PROGGED BY
PREVIOUS MODEL CYCLES.

AT SFC...DEEPENING CYCLONE WILL EJECT NEWD FROM CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS
TO SRN MN...BECOMING NEARLY STACKED WITH RESPECT TO MID-UPPER LOW BY
END OF PERIOD. ATTACHED COLD FRONT SHOULD MOVE EWD OUT OF
CENTRAL/SRN ROCKIES EARLY IN PERIOD...REACHING ERN KS...CENTRAL OK
AND PERMIAN BASIN REGION OF W TX BY 29/00Z. COLD FRONT SHOULD REACH
CENTRAL/SRN IL...S-CENTRAL AR AND S-CENTRAL TX BY 29/12Z.
SUFFICIENT MOISTURE SHOULD INFUSE WARM SECTOR TO YIELD DRYLINE BY
EARLY AFTERNOON FROM NRN COAHUILA NNEWD TO SWRN OK. THIS BOUNDARY
THEN WILL BE OVERTAKEN BY COLD FRONT FROM N-S THROUGH REMAINDER
PERIOD.

...PORTIONS ARKLATEX...ERN OK AND SERN KS TO WRN MID-SOUTH REGION...

SCATTERED TSTMS SHOULD FORM DURING AFTERNOON/EVENING ALONG/AHEAD OF
SFC COLD FRONT AND NE OF DRYLINE...AS SRN FRINGES OF MOST VIGOROUS
LARGE-SCALE ASCENT OVERLAP INCREASING LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE...WITH SFC
DEW POINTS REACHING 60S F. ACTIVITY MAY GROW UPSCALE WITH
INCREASING COVERAGE IN 29/00Z-29/06Z TIME FRAME. ALTHOUGH SFC FLOW
IS FCST TO VEER WITH TIME AHEAD OF COLD FROPA...SPEED SHEAR SHOULD
BE SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT ENLARGED LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS. LINEAR AND
SUPERCELLULAR MODES ARE POSSIBLE...WITH FULL SPECTRUM OF SVR
THREATS...MAINLY IN FORM OF WIND AND TORNADO RISK. SVR POTENTIAL
SHOULD DIMINISH GRADUALLY WITH TIME AND WITH NEWD EXTENT AS
CONVECTIVE REGIME MOVES INTO PROGRESSIVELY WEAKER BUOYANCY.

FARTHER NE...TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR IN ZONE OF ELEVATED
LOW-LEVEL WAA OVERNIGHT...MOVING NEWD OVER OH VALLEY REGION. FCST
SOUNDINGS SUGGEST WEAK LAPSE RATES ALOFT WITH ELEVATED MUCAPE AOB
500 J/KG AND EFFECTIVE SHEAR MAGNITUDES IN 30-35 KT
RANGE...PRECLUDING ORGANIZED HAIL THREAT.
Quoting WxGeekVA:
I think winter is over.....



Hold on a sec.. no need to prematurely "R.I.P." this season. This winter may still have one more bout of snow left in her, at least for the northeast

Albany, NY forecast discussion:

A MID WEEK ELONGATED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FORECAST TO SLOWLY MOVE
EAST ACROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...POSSIBLY EVEN
LINGERING INTO THURSDAY NIGHT...IS NOW FORECAST TO BE A CONSIDERABLY
COLDER EVENT BY BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN A
MAINLY SNOW EVENT FOR MOST OF THE REGION
WITH RAIN MIXED WITH SNOW
FORECAST TO OCCUR ONLY DURING PEAK HEATING TIMES IN THE MIDDLE OF
THE DAY. AND EVEN THEN ONLY LOW TERRAIN AREAS FROM THE CAPITAL
DISTRICT SOUTH ARE FORECAST TO GET A MIX.

THIS SYSTEM WILL BE DOUBLE BARRELED IN NATURE WITH THE INITIAL WARM
ADVECTION/OVERRUNNING PART OF THE SYSTEM OCCURRING WEDNESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY NIGHT PRODUCING THE BEST CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD PCPN. FOR
NOW HAVE FORECAST LIKELY POPS DURING THAT PERIOD. BEYOND THAT...THE
TRAILING UPPER LEVEL PART OF THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THURSDAY
INTO THURSDAY NIGHT WITH HIGH CHANCE POPS FORECAST FOR THURSDAY...
DECREASING TO LOW CHANCE THURSDAY NIGHT.
(accidently quoted myself :P... deleted)
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


so if you save an alpha table, does gr2analyst use it to examine other storms? I read the page on volume renderer but i could not tell

Yes, there is a site that you can go to called GRLevelXStuff, where you can download color tables (reflectivity, velocity tables, etc) and .grva files (alpha tables) and attach them with GR2Analyst for the volume renderer.

If anybody want's to change theirs, just ask me. You'll have to make an account here though, or the downloads section will not appear.

One thing I should note is that all three Gibson Ridge products are strictly USA and Puerto Rico. There is a new product called GREarth, which covers the entire globe, but it's $180 A YEAR and there is a very long waiting list for it...backed up to like 6 months.
Been a pleasure reading this mornings blog.
1147. yqt1001
Here comes the first band of snow



Starting this afternoon, the moisture from the lake should cause the storm to intensify quickly, dumping a ton of snow on us. :)
Still looking at a big Severe Weather/Tornado outbreak Tuesday as a strong low-pressure area moves across the northern plains. It is a very strong low, and will bring forth a lot of Gulf of Mexico moisture. It really will be clash between Spring and Winter.

Quoting GeorgiaStormz:
GR2Analyst is only available as a non-exclusive license. GR2Analyst is not available for purchase by TV stations in the following markets:

Birmingham, AL
Denver, CO
Hartford/New Haven, CT
Miami, FL
Orlando, FL
Tampa, FL
Atlanta, GA
Grand Rapids, MI
Jackson, MS
Charlotte, NC
Raleigh, NC
Cincinnati, OH
Myrtle Beach/Florence, SC
Nashville, TN

GR2Analyst supports dual polarization radars and Sigmet's IRIS formatted data files with an additional license. Purchasing this add-on simply allows GR2Analyst to read and process dual polarization data, which is not available as a standard product from the NWS. Currently, only private and research radars supply dual polarization data.

Dual Pol/IRIS Individual License

$125
Dual Pol/IRIS Commercial License

$250

You must purchase and enter a regular GR2Analyst Individual or Commercial registration key before you will be allowed to enter a Dual Pol/IRIS registration key.


No TV stations in GA have it?!!
Also that would be cool to get the dual pol

Quoting WDEmobmet:


What amazes me is that they would have a limit on something that could ultimately save lives. That doesn't make sense why they would have restrictions


No, that means that one station in the Atlanta, GA, market bought the exclusive license to on air use. Meaning, they bought an "on-air" license for each TV station in the market, so no competitors could buy it and use it on air.

People can still use it, including tv mets as far as I know, they just cannot use it for broadcast tv purposes in that market.
Quoting ScottLincoln:


No, that means that one station in the Atlanta, GA, market bought the exclusive license. Meaning, they bought an "on-air" license for each TV station in the market, so no competitors could buy it and use it on air.


I noticed your CAC.. Are you DOD Civ in Pasc. by chance?
1151. hydrus
Tornado season is going to start with vigor this year.
By Associated Press, Updated: Sunday, February 26, 4:56 AM

MOSCOW — A powerful earthquake with a magnitude of 6.8 shook southwestern Siberia on Sunday afternoon, the second to hit the area in two months. There were no immediate reports of damage or injuries, emergency officials said.

Residents of multistory apartment buildings said objects tumbled off of shelves, windows rattled and chandeliers swayed during the quake, the RIA Novosti news

The earthquake hit about 100 kilometers (60 miles) east of Kyzyl, the capital of the Russian republic of Tuva, which borders Mongolia.

A quake of similar strength hit the same spot in late December. That quake damaged dozens of buildings, including a bridge over the Yenisei River to Mongolia.

Sunday’s quake, which the U.S. Geological Survey said was centered 11.7 (7.3 miles) below the surface, was felt across a broad swath of southeastern Siberia.

“At the moment we have no information about any injuries or destroyed buildings,” said Stanislav Aivazov, an official with the emergency services in Siberia. “Our specialists are inspecting the situation in the region. “

Workers reported feeling the quake at the Sayano-Shushenskaya hydroelectic plant, the largest in Russia, located more than 300 kilometers (180 miles) from the quake’s epicenter.

The temblor also was felt in Krasnoyarsk, a large city about 1,000 kilometers (600 miles) away, emergency officials said.

Copyright 2012 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.
Quoting hydrus:
Tornado season is going to start with vigor this year.

Yeah, this is for Friday/Saturday. Still looking like a huge outbreak.

Strong moisture return:



Decent instability and Lifted Indices:





Strong wind shear:



If this strong wind shear is what we can expect for the rest of the season, I'd be a little concerned. The only reason we've not had huge outbreaks so far this year is because instability has been a little limited and forcing has been off to the north of where the Severe Weather is expected. Both of these will be resolved as we head into next month..
Quoting HurrikanEB:


Hold on a sec.. no need to prematurely "R.I.P." this season. This winter may still have one more bout of snow left in her, at least for the northeast

Albany, NY forecast discussion:

A MID WEEK ELONGATED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FORECAST TO SLOWLY MOVE
EAST ACROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...POSSIBLY EVEN
LINGERING INTO THURSDAY NIGHT...IS NOW FORECAST TO BE A CONSIDERABLY
COLDER EVENT BY BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN A
MAINLY SNOW EVENT FOR MOST OF THE REGION
WITH RAIN MIXED WITH SNOW
FORECAST TO OCCUR ONLY DURING PEAK HEATING TIMES IN THE MIDDLE OF
THE DAY. AND EVEN THEN ONLY LOW TERRAIN AREAS FROM THE CAPITAL
DISTRICT SOUTH ARE FORECAST TO GET A MIX.

THIS SYSTEM WILL BE DOUBLE BARRELED IN NATURE WITH THE INITIAL WARM
ADVECTION/OVERRUNNING PART OF THE SYSTEM OCCURRING WEDNESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY NIGHT PRODUCING THE BEST CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD PCPN. FOR
NOW HAVE FORECAST LIKELY POPS DURING THAT PERIOD. BEYOND THAT...THE
TRAILING UPPER LEVEL PART OF THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THURSDAY
INTO THURSDAY NIGHT WITH HIGH CHANCE POPS FORECAST FOR THURSDAY...
DECREASING TO LOW CHANCE THURSDAY NIGHT.
So?.I don't care about them...I know the snow season is over for me though.The trees have already sprouted flowers here in my region.MPhmmm..
New NAM gives me about 5 inches of snow Wed/Wed night but that's just the start of the storm... It doesn't go out for the whole thing. Starting to get more excited about this!
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Yeah, this is for Friday/Saturday. Still looking like a huge outbreak.

Strong moisture return:



Decent instability and Lifted Indices:





Strong wind shear:



If this strong wind shear is what we can expect for the rest of the season, I'd be a little concerned. The only reason we've not had huge outbreaks so far this year is because instability has been a little limited and forcing has been off to the north of where the Severe Weather is expected. Both of these will be resolved as we head into next month..


I was just looking at the same thing. This does not bode well at all for the active severe weather months. Even in my area at the end of the storm I could get in on some damaging wind action with the squall line that this system will create.
1157. hydrus
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Yeah, this is for Friday/Saturday. Still looking like a huge outbreak.

Strong moisture return:



Decent instability and Lifted Indices:





Strong wind shear:



If this strong wind shear is what we can expect for the rest of the season, I'd be a little concerned. The only reason we've not had huge outbreaks so far this year is because instability has been a little limited and forcing has been off to the north of where the Severe Weather is expected. Both of these will be resolved as we head into next month..
Lol. We must be on the same channel. I was just going to post that I am a little concerned with the upcoming pattern..:)
So far this year there has been 85 tornadoes confirmed. 39 EF0'S, 30 EF1's, 15 EF2's, and 1 EF3.

Here are a couple of the most significant tornadoes so far this year.

Ellensboro, NC EF2


Fordyce/DeWitt, AR EF2


Clay/Center Point, AL EF3


Quoting Ameister12:
So far this year there has been 85 tornadoes confirmed. 39, Ef0'S, 30 EF1's, 15 EF2's, and 1 EF3.

Here are a couple of the most significant tornadoes so far this year.

Ellensboro, NC EF2


Fordyce/DeWitt, AR EF2


Clay/Center Point, AL EF3



Woah, talk about a green sky in the second one.
WE have the NAM at hour 84 (Wednesday) with the potential for a minor outbreak even in the southern Ohio Valley....








Only limiting factor looks to be the lack of CAPE...
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Wowww, talk about a green sky in the second one.

Could be a power flash illuminating the tornado. There were several reports of power flashed as the tornado neared DeWitt.
Quoting WxGeekVA:
WE have the NAM at hour 84 (Wednesday) with the potential for a minor outbreak even in the southern Ohio Valley....








Only limiting factor looks to be the lack of CAPE...

There is sufficient CAPE to allow Severe Thunderstorms across the Ohio Valley.

I was just looking at some of the NAM soundings, and I'd be a little concerned living in Arkansas. It shows 488 m2/s2 of Effective Storm Relative Helicity, MLCAPE up to 1000 j/kg, and LCL heights of 500 m. What this means is that the main storm mode would be supercellular, and we would be looking at a major tornado outbreak.

Thankfully it is a Day 3 sounding though, and not a Day 1...plenty of time to change, I hope.
Good morning all! Overcast and 53 degrees here on the Emerald Coast of Florida. They're calling for 50% chance of rain around Destin but I say more like 10%, Most of the rain is off the coast and heading east. Good day to watch the Daytona 500!
Quoting WxGeekVA:
WE have the NAM at hour 84 (Wednesday) with the potential for a minor outbreak even in the southern Ohio Valley....








Only limiting factor looks to be the lack of CAPE...
Looks like GA could really get into the action. Also does anyone have a good site that can explain what the models mean? For some reason I have never bothered to learn. I know what each specific map is but not what they are put together.
It's a soggy morning in Hawaii...

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
506 AM HST SUN FEB 26 2012

HIC007-261645-
/O.CON.PHFO.FF.W.0003.000000T0000Z-120226T1645Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000 Z.OO/
KAUAI HI-
506 AM HST SUN FEB 26 2012

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLAND OF KAUAI IN
KAUAI COUNTY UNTIL 645 AM HST...

RADAR CONTINUES TO SHOW AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN MOVING NORTHWARD ACROSS
KAUAI AT ABOUT 20 MPH...WITH MORE HEAVY RAIN FORMING TO THE SOUTH.
GAGES SHOW RIVERS CONTINUING TO RISE ACROSS THE ISLAND...WITH THE
HANALEI RIVER GAGE SHOWING 8.1 FEET AT 5 AM HST...WHICH IS ABOVE
FLOOD STAGE.

THIS FLASH FLOOD WARNING INCLUDES THE ENTIRE ISLAND OF KAUAI.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS FLASH FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING
IN STREAMS...ROADS AND LOW LYING AREAS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND NOW.

DO NOT CROSS FAST FLOWING OR RISING WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE OR ON FOOT.
TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

&&

RUNOFF FROM THIS STORM MAY ALSO CAUSE ROCK AND MUDSLIDES IN STEEP
TERRAIN.

THIS WARNING MAY NEED TO BE EXTENDED BEYOND 645 AM HST IF FLASH
FLOODING PERSISTS.

LAT...LON 2230 15987 2229 15915 2175 15928 2185 15984

$$
Quoting MAweatherboy1:
It's a soggy morning in Hawaii...

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
506 AM HST SUN FEB 26 2012

HIC007-261645-
/O.CON.PHFO.FF.W.0003.000000T0000Z-120226T1645Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000 Z.OO/
KAUAI HI-
506 AM HST SUN FEB 26 2012

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLAND OF KAUAI IN
KAUAI COUNTY UNTIL 645 AM HST...

RADAR CONTINUES TO SHOW AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN MOVING NORTHWARD ACROSS
KAUAI AT ABOUT 20 MPH...WITH MORE HEAVY RAIN FORMING TO THE SOUTH.
GAGES SHOW RIVERS CONTINUING TO RISE ACROSS THE ISLAND...WITH THE
HANALEI RIVER GAGE SHOWING 8.1 FEET AT 5 AM HST...WHICH IS ABOVE
FLOOD STAGE.

THIS FLASH FLOOD WARNING INCLUDES THE ENTIRE ISLAND OF KAUAI.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS FLASH FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING
IN STREAMS...ROADS AND LOW LYING AREAS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND NOW.

DO NOT CROSS FAST FLOWING OR RISING WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE OR ON FOOT.
TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

&&

RUNOFF FROM THIS STORM MAY ALSO CAUSE ROCK AND MUDSLIDES IN STEEP
TERRAIN.

THIS WARNING MAY NEED TO BE EXTENDED BEYOND 645 AM HST IF FLASH
FLOODING PERSISTS.

LAT...LON 2230 15987 2229 15915 2175 15928 2185 15984

$$

They just had snow and sleet the other day.
I am sad right now for a reason, my great-grandma is in the hospital with pneumonia, they think she might of had a heart attack.
If I can ask all of you one short thing, please pray for her.
This weekend has been good but hard.
Yesterday one of my aunts I never knew passed away.
Yesterday was my brother's birthday party.
Today my parents are/were supposed to come over today for my brother's birthday party at home.
So if I can ask you all one thing
I am going to ask you to pray for her.
She is in the hospital as of now and I really need these prayers for my great-grandma.
She might be old but she can recover from this troubling time with your prayers and consideration.
Thank you all for your very kind and sympathetic wishes and prayers.
~Ryan (articuno)
:-)
NAM's latest Significant Tornado Parameter (STP) shows a value between 8-10, or the highest so far this year. Considering 1 is good...



For entertainment purposes, April 27, 2011 had an STP value of 32. It broke the scale...and beyond.
Quoting Ameister12:

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0230 AM CST SUN FEB 26 2012

VALID 281200Z - 291200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS PORTIONS ARKLATEX...ERN OK AND
SERN KS TO WRN MID-SOUTH REGION...

...SYNOPSIS...
STG SHORTWAVE TROUGH...MENTIONED IN DAY-2 OUTLOOK OVER WRN
CONUS...IS FCST TO CONSOLIDATE INTO COMPACT MID-UPPER CYCLONE DURING
FIRST HALF OF DAY-3 PERIOD...WHILE MOVING ENEWD FROM CENTRAL ROCKIES
ACROSS ADJACENT HIGH PLAINS. BY 29/00Z...500-MB CYCLONE SHOULD BE
LOCATED OVER NEB/SD...REACHING IA/MN BORDER REGION BY END OF PERIOD.
TRAILING SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO EXTEND SSW OF MID-UPPER
CYCLONE CENTER...AT SOMEWHAT LOWER AMPLITUDE THAN PROGGED BY
PREVIOUS MODEL CYCLES.

AT SFC...DEEPENING CYCLONE WILL EJECT NEWD FROM CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS
TO SRN MN...BECOMING NEARLY STACKED WITH RESPECT TO MID-UPPER LOW BY
END OF PERIOD. ATTACHED COLD FRONT SHOULD MOVE EWD OUT OF
CENTRAL/SRN ROCKIES EARLY IN PERIOD...REACHING ERN KS...CENTRAL OK
AND PERMIAN BASIN REGION OF W TX BY 29/00Z. COLD FRONT SHOULD REACH
CENTRAL/SRN IL...S-CENTRAL AR AND S-CENTRAL TX BY 29/12Z.
SUFFICIENT MOISTURE SHOULD INFUSE WARM SECTOR TO YIELD DRYLINE BY
EARLY AFTERNOON FROM NRN COAHUILA NNEWD TO SWRN OK. THIS BOUNDARY
THEN WILL BE OVERTAKEN BY COLD FRONT FROM N-S THROUGH REMAINDER
PERIOD.

...PORTIONS ARKLATEX...ERN OK AND SERN KS TO WRN MID-SOUTH REGION...

SCATTERED TSTMS SHOULD FORM DURING AFTERNOON/EVENING ALONG/AHEAD OF
SFC COLD FRONT AND NE OF DRYLINE...AS SRN FRINGES OF MOST VIGOROUS
LARGE-SCALE ASCENT OVERLAP INCREASING LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE...WITH SFC
DEW POINTS REACHING 60S F. ACTIVITY MAY GROW UPSCALE WITH
INCREASING COVERAGE IN 29/00Z-29/06Z TIME FRAME. ALTHOUGH SFC FLOW
IS FCST TO VEER WITH TIME AHEAD OF COLD FROPA...SPEED SHEAR SHOULD
BE SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT ENLARGED LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS. LINEAR AND
SUPERCELLULAR MODES ARE POSSIBLE...WITH FULL SPECTRUM OF SVR
THREATS...MAINLY IN FORM OF WIND AND TORNADO RISK. SVR POTENTIAL
SHOULD DIMINISH GRADUALLY WITH TIME AND WITH NEWD EXTENT AS
CONVECTIVE REGIME MOVES INTO PROGRESSIVELY WEAKER BUOYANCY.

FARTHER NE...TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR IN ZONE OF ELEVATED
LOW-LEVEL WAA OVERNIGHT...MOVING NEWD OVER OH VALLEY REGION. FCST
SOUNDINGS SUGGEST WEAK LAPSE RATES ALOFT WITH ELEVATED MUCAPE AOB
500 J/KG AND EFFECTIVE SHEAR MAGNITUDES IN 30-35 KT
RANGE...PRECLUDING ORGANIZED HAIL THREAT.
And, as of today, here's the rest of the story for Tuesday, Feb 26 (add: the rest of the Day 3 severe outlook).

...CENTRAL PLAINS...
WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED AND LOW-TOPPED TSTMS...PERHAPS WITH
SUPERCELL STRUCTURES...ARE POSSIBLE MIDDAY INTO LATE AFTERNOON INVOF
KS/NEB BORDER
...IN ZONE OF STG DEEP-LAYER ASCENT. STG COOLING
ALOFT...AND NARROW CORRIDOR OF FAVORABLE SFC THETAE AIDED BY
DIABATIC HEATING...SHOULD WEAKEN CINH AND SUPPORT CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT NEAR FRONTAL ZONE. MLCAPE NEAR 500 J/KG IS
POSSIBLE...WITH ENHANCED LOW-LEVEL SHEAR NEAR BOUNDARY. THREAT
APPEARS TOO CONDITIONAL AND MESOSCALE IN NATURE FOR CATEGORICAL
OUTLOOK ATTM
.

..EDWARDS.. 02/26/2012

For those posters and lurkers still at the stage of deciphering lingo, SPC acronym page.

Also, you'll find some good info on many levels at the SPC FAQ page.

Lot of good info at Jeff Haby's site.
You might want to try his Haby hints page.

And, here's a good explanation of Low-topped supercells. Surface dew points in the low to mid 50's (oF) in a narrow band along the warm front east of the surface low may suggest enough moisture combined with the cold air aloft and heating pushing in from a cloud-free "slot" behind the Pacific front/dryline to generate CAPE over a localized area for mini-supercells/low-topped storms near the surface "focus" or boundary intersection. Don't let unimpressive total CAPE amounts mislead in such cases!

Right now, there is a lot of "should," "could" and "perhaps" in Tuesday's severe weather outlook.
:)

Keep your eye on the bouncing ball.

(Best wishes for your great-grandma, Articuno.)
Quoting Barefootontherocks:


(Best wishes for your great-grandma, Articuno.)

Thank you. :)
1171. hydrus
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

They just had snow and sleet the other day.
I will be on in a couple hours if you want to talk more about these systems coming up..
1172. wxmod
Thailand1 subset MODIS today

1173. wxmod
Quoting Articuno:
I am sad right now for a reason, my great-grandma is in the hospital with pneumonia, they think she might of had a heart attack.
If I can ask all of you one short thing, please pray for her.
This weekend has been good but hard.
Yesterday one of my aunts I never knew passed away.
Yesterday was my brother's birthday party.
Today my parents are/were supposed to come over today for my brother's birthday party at home.
So if I can ask you all one thing
I am going to ask you to pray for her.
She is in the hospital as of now and I really need these prayers for my great-grandma.
She might be old but she can recover from this troubling time with your prayers and consideration.
Thank you all for your very kind and sympathetic wishes and prayers.
~Ryan (articuno)
:-)

I'm very sorry to hear this Ryan. Best wishes.
Quoting Articuno:
I am sad right now for a reason, my great-grandma is in the hospital with pneumonia, they think she might of had a heart attack.
If I can ask all of you one short thing, please pray for her.
This weekend has been good but hard.
Yesterday one of my aunts I never knew passed away.
Yesterday was my brother's birthday party.
Today my parents are/were supposed to come over today for my brother's birthday party at home.
So if I can ask you all one thing
I am going to ask you to pray for her.
She is in the hospital as of now and I really need these prayers for my great-grandma.
She might be old but she can recover from this troubling time with your prayers and consideration.
Thank you all for your very kind and sympathetic wishes and prayers.
~Ryan (articuno)
:-)

Hope she gets better and best wishes on a full & speedy recovery.
Quoting Articuno:

Thank you. :)
I wish her and your family well.My own Grand mother passed away this summer herself.Hope she feels better soon :).
Anybody have an outlook for the Race at Daytona this afternoon ?

Should start about 2 and go for some 2 hours
Quoting MissNadia:
Anybody have an outlook for the Race at Daytona this afternoon ?

Should start about 2 and go for some 2 hours

They won't race, it's pouring down rain.
The system that will cause the snowstorm across the northern plains, and the tornado outbreak across the south.

Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
The system that will cause the snowstorm across the northern plains, and the tornado outbreak across the south.



You can see the surface low being sheared by the jet stream and the ULL to the east of it ahead of that surface feature. That's a really cool sat image too.
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
http://i.imwx.com/images/maps/truvu/map_specnews1 3_ ltst_4namus_enus_600x338.jpg

I'm wondering if it will reach Atlanta as a line or as a few discrete super cells. Should be interesting to see what happens. TY for image post.
1182. wxmod
Quoting Xyrus2000:


I'll adjust my idea of possible when I see some validated peer reviewed science that backs up such a wild claim. Altering synoptic scale weather patterns takes a hell of a lot more than seeding some clouds.



Geoengineering is just cloud seeding on a large scale. To say that cloud whitening over an area the size of France won't have any effect on large scale weather patterns is ludicrous. You're not going to see any peer reviewed science on this subject for a while because it's being done by private industry outside of territorial waters.
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:


The latest GFS run (12Z) is stationing a 989 MB low over in the Sioux Falls, SD vicinity by late Tuesday evening / early Wednesday morning.

This storm may have the ingredients for a pretty significant severe weather outbreak for much of Eastern Oklahoma stretching east into the Quachita Mountains and Gulf Coastal Plain regions of Arkansas.

Sure something to keep an eye on. I must say though I like your graphic a bit better! :P

click for image and link
Quoting KeyWestSun:

The latest GFS run (12Z) is stationing a 989 MB low over in the Sioux Falls, SD vicinity by late Tuesday evening / early Wednesday morning.

This storm may have the ingredients for a pretty significant severe weather outbreak for much of Eastern Oklahoma stretching east into the Quachita Mountains and Gulf Coastal Plain regions of Arkansas.

click for image and link


I'd venture to say tornado outbreak with the strongly-sheared environment and supercellular storm mode.
Other than that, just some strato cirrus clouds over Key West, FL.

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Key West Airport
Lat: 24.55 Lon: -81.75 Elev: 4
Last Update on Feb 26, 11:53 am EST

Fair

81 F
(27 C)
Humidity: 69 %
Wind Speed: E 16 G 24 MPH
Barometer: 30.20" (1022.7 mb)
Dewpoint: 70 F (21 C)
Heat Index: 85 F (29 C)
Visibility: 10.00 mi.

Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

I'd venture to say tornado outbreak with the strongly-sheared environment and supercellular storm mode.

You're probably right, if those ingredients come into play. I wouldn't rule anything out for sure.
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

I'd venture to say tornado outbreak with the strongly-sheared environment and supercellular storm mode.

What's the timeframe looking like for this? Late afternoon/evening?
Quoting MAweatherboy1:

What's the timeframe looking like for this? Late afternoon/evening?

Should start late afternoon Tuesday, yes.
1189. Patrap
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

They just had snow and sleet the other day.


Only on the high mountains correct?
1191. LargoFl
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1215 PM EST SUN FEB 26 2012

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054 -058-059-064-141-
144-147-262000-
COASTAL VOLUSIA-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE OUT TO 20 NM-INDIAN RIVER-INLAND VOLUSIA-MARTIN-
NORTHERN BREVARD-NORTHERN LAKE-OKEECHOBEE-ORANGE-OSCEOLA-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT TO 20 NM-SEMINOLE-
SOUTHERN BREVARD-SOUTHERN LAKE-ST. LUCIE-VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET OUT TO 20 NM-
1215 PM EST SUN FEB 26 2012

.NOW...
INTERMITTENT LIGHT RAIN OR SPRINKLES WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
NORTHERN SECTIONS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY FROM METRO
ORLANDO AND PORT CANAVERAL NORTHWARD. SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY CLOUDY IN
THESE AREAS WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES REMAINING IN THE 60S. AREAS TO THE
SOUTH WILL ALSO HAVE MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES BUT PASSING LIGHT RAIN WILL
BE MORE SPOTTY IN COVERAGE...WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. IT
WILL BE BREEZY AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE EAST COAST.

&&

ADDITIONAL DETAILS...INCLUDING GRAPHICS ARE AVAILABLE ONLINE AT:
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MLB/BLOG.PHP

$$

52
1192. Patrap
There are now 299 Days until the Winter Solstice.

Enjoy your "Daytona" Sunday.
1193. LargoFl
Quoting LargoFl:
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1215 PM EST SUN FEB 26 2012

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053- 054 -058-059-064-141-
144-147-262000-
COASTAL VOLUSIA-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE OUT TO 20 NM-INDIAN RIVER-INLAND VOLUSIA-MARTIN-
NORTHERN BREVARD-NORTHERN LAKE-OKEECHOBEE-ORANGE-OSCEOLA-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT TO 20 NM-SEMINOLE-
SOUTHERN BREVARD-SOUTHERN LAKE-ST. LUCIE-VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET OUT TO 20 NM-
1215 PM EST SUN FEB 26 2012

.NOW...
INTERMITTENT LIGHT RAIN OR SPRINKLES WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
NORTHERN SECTIONS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY FROM METRO
ORLANDO AND PORT CANAVERAL NORTHWARD. SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY CLOUDY IN
THESE AREAS WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES REMAINING IN THE 60S. AREAS TO THE
SOUTH WILL ALSO HAVE MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES BUT PASSING LIGHT RAIN WILL
BE MORE SPOTTY IN COVERAGE...WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. IT
WILL BE BREEZY AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE EAST COAST.

&&

ADDITIONAL DETAILS...INCLUDING GRAPHICS ARE AVAILABLE ONLINE AT:
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MLB/BLOG.PHP

$$

52
The green flag will wave at 1:29 p.m. - or maybe not.

"Bill France weather" faces a challenge from Mother Nature today as a blob of moisture from the Gulf could soak Central Florida and the track this afternoon. Rain chances are listed at 70 percent. A heavy sprinkle would put the 500 in a holding pattern. The 3,400-pound stock cars race on slick tires. They are not built for bad weather.
Quoting Patrap:
There are now 299 Days until the Winter Solstice.

Enjoy your "Daytona" Sunday.


What are the New Age people going to come up with to replace 2012 when this end of the world thing passes over?
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

They won't race, it's pouring down rain.


It's only overcast with intermittent drops.
1196. Patrap
Daytona 500 may not happen this year. There is a big slug of rain with embedded thunderstorms heading for the west coast of FL.


Depends on how long it'll take that GOM mass to make it over to Daytona. Sure will be cutting it close!
Daytona's done...
Quoting MAweatherboy1:
Daytona's done...

excuse me? they are scheduled to start at 1:30.
WWE John Cena sould be at the Daytona 500 not sure if hes driveing at the Daytona 500 or this being there for the fans
Quoting Chicklit:

excuse me? they are scheduled to start at 1:30.

Done as in they won't start because of rain
For all who say there isn't going to be a Daytona 500, I live 30 minutes north of the speedway and I see skies clearing..
Re: Daytona 500
"We are prepared to turn on the lights if we have to," said Joie Chitwood, president of Daytona International Speedway.

"Once we go through our standard pre-race schedule, we will make a call if weather is still an issue, which looks likely."

The race was officially supposed to start at 1:29 pm., but since it takes two hours to dry the track and rain was still falling hard at start time, it is unlikely the race will start before 3:30 p.m.


Chicago Tribune: Breaking sports

Quoting reedzone:
For all who say there isn't going to be a Daytona 500, I live 30 minutes north of the speedway and I see skies clearing..

Well.....north for long, there's another heavy batch of rain on the way.
Quoting ScottLincoln:



No, that means that one station in the Atlanta, GA, market bought the exclusive license to on air use. Meaning, they bought an "on-air" license for each TV station in the market, so no competitors could buy it and use it on air.

People can still use it, including tv mets as far as I know, they just cannot use it for broadcast tv purposes in that market.


The one i think has it is channel 2(the ABC affiliate)

Also what is a polling station
1207. Patrap
Quoting reedzone:
For all who say there isn't going to be a Daytona 500, I live 30 minutes north of the speedway and I see skies clearing..


For all those in "Daytona denial", see post #1204

: )

1208. wxmod
Mid atlantic a thousand miles east of England. MODIS today
Yes, Daytona 500 is delayed.
Southern Indian ocean system is getting it's act together. I feel sorry for Madagascar, Mother nature has not been kind to them this season



1000mb Winds(Surface)


925mb Winds


700mb Winds


600mb Winds


500mb Winds


300mb Winds


200mb Winds

Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Yes, Daytona 500 is delayed.

If it's delayed again, then I don't see it getting any better.
i say screw daytona 500 racing sure aint what it used to be :D
Quoting reedzone:
For all who say there isn't going to be a Daytona 500, I live 30 minutes north of the speedway and I see skies clearing..

You may be north of the track but the rain is coming from the SW.
Quoting SPLbeater:
i say screw daytona 500 racing sure aint what it used to be :D

What do you mean? They've always drove around in oval/circles at nearly 200 mph.
The record extremes app seems to have some errors. Ask for record low highs, and record high mins for the last few days, and you will see there are some, not all, where the new record low high is above the previous record low high, and the new record high min is below the previous record high min.

Great idea though, thanks for putting it out there.
Quoting bell32ndst:
The record extremes app seems to have some errors. Ask for record low highs, and record high mins for the last few days, and you will see there are some, not all, where the new record low high is above the previous record low high, and the new record high min is below the previous record high min.

Great idea though, thanks for putting it out there.

I wish I could see about Australia. This summer or lack of summer would be interesting.

My suburb in Sydney till 02/21/2012...
2012 rainfall: 327.7mm (12.9in)

2011 rainfall: 70.2mm (2.76in)

Max temp: -4.0F below average
Min temp: -1.8F below average

lowest temperature: 51.8F on Jan 12
highest temperature: 97.0F on Jan 4.
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

What do you mean? They've always drove around in oval/circles at nearly 200 mph.


...

im talking about all the crap they thrown into it. it ISNT just racing. just like football. money and greed disrupting it.

my family use dto watch the race each sunday, now we purposely avoid it.
Quoting washingtonian115:
Mmmmm this may seem random but I'm not to sure why they discontinued selling the nestle crunch caramel bars.They were goood.Damn I want some.I looked on amazon to buy some and they didn't have none in stock.Nooooo!!.

They still sell them here, last i checked.

Link
Link

Back in the morning, Stay safe, fingers crossed for the Daytona 500.
Still some rain over Daytona Beach. They should see a small break, but there is still a lot more rain to come.
Quoting Ameister12:
Still some rain over Daytona Beach. They should see a small break, but there is still a lot more rain to come.


if thats grlevel3 go to file>>>>>Device Settings... and make sure that your force 16 bit smoothing is on. Youll like the picture much better
Quoting WDEmobmet:


if thats grlevel3 go to file>>>>>Device Settings... and make sure that your force 16 bit smoothing is on. Youll like the picture much better

No, I believe that is RadarScope.
Quoting wxmod:
Mid atlantic a thousand miles east of England. MODIS today


Your tax dollars at work- Aluminum Oxide, Sulfur Dioxide and who knows what other toxins being sprayed in the atmosphere to intentionally warm the globe in a Hegelian dialectic problem-reaction-solution plan to melt the polar regions and keep them from refreezing for RoyalDutchShell to drill as well as opening up shipping lanes and to finally have the impetus to fully implement the carbon credit ponzi scheme devised in the 90s by Enron, Occidental Petroleum heir Al Gore, and former CEO of Canadian Industrial Oil and Gas and Petro-Canada, Maurice Strong.
Irina looks better than this morning as it enters the Mozambique Channel.Flooding is the main concern over there.


1226. pottery
Quoting TemplesOfSyrinxC4:


Your tax dollars at work- Aluminum Oxide, Sulfur Dioxide and who knows what other toxins being sprayed in the atmosphere to intentionally warm the globe in a Hegelian dialectic problem-reaction-solution plan to melt the polar regions and keep them from refreezing for RoyalDutchShell to drill as well as opening up shipping lanes and to finally have the impetus to fully implement the carbon credit ponzi scheme devised in the 90s by Enron, Occidental Petroleum heir Al Gore, and former CEO of Canadian Industrial Oil and Gas, Maurice Strong.

Wow. Incredible. You don't say.....
I had no idea things were as bad as you say.

Good thing I don't believe you though..... (I'm in Denial on this one)
I would be freaking out.
How are you feeling today?
Quoting pottery:

Wow. Incredible. You don't say.....
I had no idea things were as bad as you say.

Good thing I don't believe you though..... (I'm in Denial on this one)
I would be freaking out.
How are you feeling today?


You mean the governments aren't actually trying to destroy the world? What type of conspiracy theorist are you?
1228. pottery
Quoting VAbeachhurricanes:


You mean the governments aren't actually trying to destroy the world? What type of conspiracy theorist are you?

Oh, I agree with that.
But only through Gross Incompetence. Not one Government I can think of has the ability to plan anything as complex as that.

LOL
1229. Patrap



On another topic,look how bone dry West Africa is as a big drought has affected that part of the continent with many fires and starvation increasing. I bring this here because it will be interesting to see down the road if this drought continues limiting the number of Tropical Waves that emerge Africa,or things moist up and we see the normal train of waves.The red dots are fires raging.



1231. Patrap
Quoting pottery:

Oh, I agree with that.
But only through Gross Incompetence. Not one Government I can think of has the ability to plan anything as complex as that.

LOL




Those East to West Commercial Air Routes would not be the corridor to Mass Spray anything..


Contrails are NOT chemtrails.

But it makes for a good "read" fo some.
Quoting pottery:

Wow. Incredible. You don't say.....
I had no idea things were as bad as you say.

Good thing I don't believe you though..... (I'm in Denial on this one)
I would be freaking out.
How are you feeling today?


Not bad, a little on the paranoid end of the gullible-paranoia scale, but a healthy dose of paranoia is not necessarily always a bad thing-it's always better to err on the side on that side than to be too trusting of the "officials", distrust & verify- have you seen the Stanford/American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics Large Eddy Simulations of Persistent Aircraft Contrails white paper that concluded that chemtrails indeed do warm the atmosphere?


Aircraft consume much of their fuel at a cruise altitude near the tropopause,
1
where exhaust has a long
residence time and conditions are conducive to the formation of condensation trails (contrails). The impact of
contrails and related aviation-induced cloudiness on climate is highly uncertain. The most recent assessment
of the effect of aviation on global radiative forcing lists the level of scientific understanding as 'low' for linear
contrails and as 'very low' for induced cloudiness.
2
The range of estimates for these effects is large, and if
the upper end of the range was realized, it would be nearly double the other warming effects of aviation
http://www.stanford.edu/~anaiman/Publications/Nai man_ASM_2011.pdf

Estimates of some warming contributions
to radiative forcing by aviation during 2005 (Lee, et
al. 2009). Bars indicate median estimates, whiskers
indicate 90% likelihood ranges.
Link
Quoting WDEmobmet:


if thats grlevel3 go to file>>>>>Device Settings... and make sure that your force 16 bit smoothing is on. Youll like the picture much better

It's RadarScope.
1234. Patrap
Pretty neat animation of a dwindling snow pack in the Midwest in the wake of the recent snow storm that impacted the region last week.

click for animation
Quoting washingtonian115:
Mmmmm this may seem random but I'm not to sure why they discontinued selling the nestle crunch caramel bars.They were goood.Damn I want some.I looked on amazon to buy some and they didn't have none in stock.Nooooo!!.
Ahuh

And why is this not actually random, as opposed to just seeming random, again?

lol

[Nothing like a craving to seem completely relevant to whatever conversation.....lol]
1237. Patrap
North America Winter 2011-12.

The Winter that wasn't.
It looks like the only place it's raining along the ECFL coast is Daytona!
Hate to say it, Northeasterners, but I think your winter may be coming to a close.

click for larger view
Quoting Patrap:
North America Winter 2011-12.

The Winter that wasn't.

No kidding!! :p
Quoting TemplesOfSyrinxC4:


Your tax dollars at work- Aluminum Oxide, Sulfur Dioxide and who knows what other toxins being sprayed in the atmosphere to intentionally warm the globe in a Hegelian dialectic problem-reaction-solution plan to melt the polar regions and keep them from refreezing for RoyalDutchShell to drill as well as opening up shipping lanes and to finally have the impetus to fully implement the carbon credit ponzi scheme devised in the 90s by Enron, Occidental Petroleum heir Al Gore, and former CEO of Canadian Industrial Oil and Gas and Petro-Canada, Maurice Strong.

WOW!!!!! Unfortunately, my name really is Jason.
Quoting BahaHurican:
Ahuh

And why is this not actually random, as opposed to just seeming random, again?

lol

[Nothing like a craving to seem completely relevant to whatever conversation.....lol]
I havn't seen them in my local grocery store since March of 07.That's the last time I ever saw them again.
Quoting KeyWestSun:
Hate to say it, Northeasterners, but I think your winter may be coming to a close.

click for larger view
Oh no need to aplogize.The trees are growing leaves and flowers on them.The flowers are sprouting in the ground now and we are suppose to be in the 60's during this upcomming week.Yep srping has defentially arrived.It hit 70 on Friday...
Quoting washingtonian115:
Oh no need to aplogize.The trees are growing leaves and flowers on them.The flowers are sprouting in the ground now and we are suppose to be in the 60's during this upcomming week.Yep srping has defentially arrived.It hit 70 on Friday...

Nice! Wow. Doesn't sound like you have a problem with the early arrival of spring...
These look pretty interesting, except that they're not moving east or north much. Seems like there's a "hot spot" producing relatively higher level clouds there than further east.



The preliminary PRISM climate maps appear almost done for the month of July last year. The following below illustrates the departure from "average" for the conterminous lower 48 states for the month of July and August.

click for larger image and for link


1247. hydrus
Quoting Patrap:



If it was June, we could have something form.
1248. Patrap

GOM Sea Height Anomaly


2012


2011
1249. hydrus
Quoting SPLbeater:
i say screw daytona 500 racing sure aint what it used to be :D
Good afternoon SPL. How did it use to be?
Quoting BahaHurican:
These look pretty interesting, except that they're not moving east or north much. Seems like there's a "hot spot" producing relatively higher level clouds there than further east.





Quoting Patrap:

GOM Sea Height Anomaly


2012


2011


2+2=4....
1251. hydrus
Quoting Articuno:
I am sad right now for a reason, my great-grandma is in the hospital with pneumonia, they think she might of had a heart attack.
If I can ask all of you one short thing, please pray for her.
This weekend has been good but hard.
Yesterday one of my aunts I never knew passed away.
Yesterday was my brother's birthday party.
Today my parents are/were supposed to come over today for my brother's birthday party at home.
So if I can ask you all one thing
I am going to ask you to pray for her.
She is in the hospital as of now and I really need these prayers for my great-grandma.
She might be old but she can recover from this troubling time with your prayers and consideration.
Thank you all for your very kind and sympathetic wishes and prayers.
~Ryan (articuno)
:-)
prayers for you.
1252. yqt1001
Quite an epic snowstorm here.



Webcam is about 100km from here, but similar conditions nonetheless.

The worst is still a few hours away!

look @ 247 and 248.... isn't there something weird there?
Quoting Patrap:




Those East to West Commercial Air Routes would not be the corridor to Mass Spray anything..


Contrails are NOT chemtrails.

But it makes for a good "read" fo some.


Laugh it up Pat, you're not immune, SuperDeltaBravo1 says South LA is constant under attack as well!

Laying them down in grid patterns in Phoenix apropos symbol of rebirth, the new world will rise up and be reborn from the ashes- Ordo ab Chao
Daytona 500 Update:

3:17 p.m. ET

Same song, different verse. It's raining at Daytona.

2:37 p.m. ET

The Daytona 500 is actually taking place at this very moment in countless places all over the world. Unfortunately, it's the video-game version. In real-time, rain is still falling at the race track.

LinkNascar.com
1256. hydrus
Quoting WxGeekVA:
WE have the NAM at hour 84 (Wednesday) with the potential for a minor outbreak even in the southern Ohio Valley....








Only limiting factor looks to be the lack of CAPE...
A couple of rather potent systems on the latest GFS run..Link
Quoting Chicklit:
Daytona 500 Update:

3:17 p.m. ET

Same song, different verse. It's raining at Daytona.

2:37 p.m. ET

The Daytona 500 is actually taking place at this very moment in countless places all over the world. Unfortunately, it's the video-game version. In real-time, rain is still falling at the race track.

LinkNascar.com


HAHAHAAHAH that was funny, I was watching fox and I'm like it can't be on and then you pulled the video game thing out... cracked me up!
1258. LargoFl
Quoting Chicklit:
Daytona 500 Update:

3:17 p.m. ET

Same song, different verse. It's raining at Daytona.

2:37 p.m. ET

The Daytona 500 is actually taking place at this very moment in countless places all over the world. Unfortunately, it's the video-game version. In real-time, rain is still falling at the race track.

LinkNascar.com
its really weird here on the gulf coast, there is a real stiff breeze blowing westward at ground level, yet the clouds and the low in the gulf, are steadily moving eastward towards daytona..never saw this before
Quoting hydrus:
A couple of rather potent systems on the latest GFS run..Link


Yep.



Looks like I'm in for some decent storms on Wednesday afternoon....
Quoting LargoFl:
its really weird here on the gulf coast, there is a real stiff breeze blowing westward at ground level, yet the clouds and the low in the gulf, are steadily moving eastward towards daytona..never saw this before


ain't it funny how the different levels of the atmosphere have differeent conditions!
The ECMWF makes a big system out of that area of low potential, makes it a TC in 96 hours.
1262. bappit
Finally got around to looking at the Record Extreme web page on WU. (Hey, that's what this blog is about!)

I was surprised to see a lot of record minimum high temps in the southeast US on Feb. 24. The reason the minimum highs surprised me is because the page also shows a lot of records for maximum high temps for the same dayin the same general area. This is using the NCDC data. I don't have a map from Feb. 24 to check what was going on. Anyone know?

One nagging issue with the plots I see is that it seems that the records for a given category are not always posted in the same order when you check off different boxes. That can make the plot look different when (I assume) the same data is being plotted. That is annoying. Icons seem to over post each other in different orders.

For example on Feb. 24 if you only check maximum highs the plot looks one way. If you also check minimum lows (only one in the southeast US which looks bogus), the plot looks quite different. This can also happen if you change the date range to include days with no additional records for an area. Maximum highs in Arkansas for Feb. 24-25 look different from maximum highs in Arkansas for Feb. 24. The same data is posted in both cases I presume (no record highs in Arkansas for Feb. 25), but it looks different.
Quoting yqt1001:
Quite an epic snowstorm here.



Webcam is about 100km from here, but similar conditions nonetheless.

The worst is still a few hours away!

thanks for the imagery. Had to go look up E. Bearskin lake, though.... :o). R u N or E of there?
Quoting WxGeekVA:


Yep.



Looks like I'm in for some decent storms on Wednesday afternoon....


i dont see the Carolinas covered....:(
Quoting SPLbeater:


i dont see the Carolinas covered....:(


Go forward in the run, it will be
1266. bappit
Quoting KeyWestSun:
The preliminary PRISM climate maps appear almost done for the month of July last year. The following below illustrates the departure from "average" for the conterminous lower 48 states for the month of July and August.

click for larger image and for link



Thanks for the plots. Not questioning the data being plotted, but a glance at that seems to understate the ferocity of the heat in SE Texas for August--either that or God help the people north of here. There have never been so many days above 100 in a row for Houston. I think that heat is what killed so many trees here. I drove by Memorial Park in Houston recently and they have cut a lot. I was thinking the dead trees at least would be good for woodpeckers. They've suffered in the last 50 years or so from people cutting down dead trees (among other things).
In other news, the Dual-Polarization is complete, they put the last updates in on Saturday, and now the radar is CLEAN!

Quoting WxGeekVA:
In other news, the Dual-Polarization is complete, they put the last updates in on Saturday, and now the radar is CLEAN!



They just did wakefield's 2 weeks ago, makes a hell of a difference.
1269. hydrus
Quoting WxGeekVA:
In other news, the Dual-Polarization is complete, they put the last updates in on Saturday, and now the radar is CLEAN!

CMC 144 hours..
I just found this from the October 13th, 2011 tornado outbreak in Virginia. The rotation almost went right over my house....

Quoting LargoFl:
its really weird here on the gulf coast, there is a real stiff breeze blowing westward at ground level, yet the clouds and the low in the gulf, are steadily moving eastward towards daytona..never saw this before


I am about 25 miles south of the track and it hasn't rained here all day.
While I'm not a race fan, I know this is an important event for a lot of people and feel bad if they cannot make it happen today.

Here's an update from Nascar.com:
4:02 p.m. ET

As updates go, it's pretty much what you might have expected. Track drying is still under way, it has stopped raining and there's hope of getting the race in tonight. However, there is also another big rain cell headed in the general direction of the facility.

3:57 p.m. ET

The skies over the track are looking much more encouraging than at most any other point today!

3:45 p.m. ET

Fifteen minutes until an expected update from NASCAR.

3:33 p.m. ET

Steve O'Donnell is tweeting up a storm today. His latest tweet says that there's a window on the radar, but adds, "We'll need the green blob behind it to blow north!" Also, dryers are on the track.

3:29 p.m. ET

NASCAR official Steve O'Donnell, asked on Twitter if shortening the race is an option to get it in today, responds, "No, sir. If we start, we intend to run 500 (miles)."
Quoting bappit:

Thanks for the plots. Not questioning the data being plotted, but a glance at that seems to understate the ferocity of the heat in SE Texas for August--either that or God help the people north of here. There have never been so many days above 100 in a row for Houston. I think that heat is what killed so many trees here. I drove by Memorial Park in Houston recently and they have cut a lot. I was thinking the dead trees at least would be good for woodpeckers. They've suffered in the last 50 years or so from people cutting down dead trees (among other things).

My apologies if that's the impression you got. If you simply look at that raw data plotted on that particular map for those selected months derived from the product; then yes, I can see where one can perceive or suggest I was undermining the ferocity of the drought/heat wave. I wasn't; however. Just thought it would be neat to illustrate those temperatures on a map. I am just glad you folks are finally getting at least some relief. Although the extent of the damage already done is irreversible.

I actually am aware of the number of trees lost - both conifers and hardwoods - as a result of that heatwave/drought. It was something in the neighborhood of 500 million if I'm correct. Simply incredible, to say the least.

To expound on the Texas and southern states' drought and heat wave last year, here are a few more plots I found were astounding:

The first graphic is the average high temperatures for the month of July. Note this was amidst the record number of days Dallas, TX saw daily high temperatures above 100 degrees.

click for larger image and link


The second graphic depicts the precipitation anomalies for the contiguous U.S. for the entire calendar year of 2011. Note that this figure isn't all that impressive to if you stack that up to just the month of July and/or August (Texas's driest months). But it paints a pretty clear picture of the severity of the event, and the mapping data are derived from the NCDC.

click for larger image and link
Quoting wxmod:
Mid atlantic a thousand miles east of England. MODIS today


I am not a geography expert, but would that not have England crowding Labrador a bit? Continental drifts are getting a bit excited these days. That is going to put Ireland in a bit of a squeeze as well. I guess that is one way to leave the EU. ;-)
The 500 takes between 4-4.5 hours to complete, so I don't think they have that kind of time even if they're able to get the track to dry.

What do you think?
Quoting Chicklit:
The 500 takes between 4-4.5 hours to complete, so I don't think they have that kind of time even if they're able to get the track to dry.

What do you think?


because of all the rain comin, i beleive more success would come to the fans if they went to McDonalds then the race :D lol
1276. yqt1001
Quoting BahaHurican:
thanks for the imagery. Had to go look up E. Bearskin lake, though.... :o). R u N or E of there?


Northeast :P

And the snow continues, I can barely see the cars on the street,visibility is so minimal.
Quoting AussieStorm:

I wish I could see about Australia. This summer or lack of summer would be interesting.

My suburb in Sydney till 02/21/2012...
2012 rainfall: 327.7mm (12.9in)

2011 rainfall: 70.2mm (2.76in)

Max temp: -4.0%uFFFDF below average
Min temp: -1.8%uFFFDF below average

lowest temperature: 51.8%uFFFDF on Jan 12
highest temperature: 97.0%uFFFDF on Jan 4.
wait till ya see what is planned for winter
Quoting Some1Has2BtheRookie:


I am not a geography expert, but would that not have England crowding Labrador a bit? Continental drifts are getting a bit excited these days. That is going to put Ireland in a bit of a squeeze as well. I guess that is one way to leave the EU. ;-)


The mid-atlantic ridge was busy over night Rookie!
Quoting Chicklit:
The 500 takes between 4-4.5 hours to complete, so I don't think they have that kind of time even if they're able to get the track to dry.

What do you think?
nope i don't think they will get it in today. what a shame, i got a house full of race fans..... go Kurt Busch. not much rain in zephyrhills yet.
Quoting Chicklit:
The 500 takes between 4-4.5 hours to complete, so I don't think they have that kind of time even if they're able to get the track to dry.

What do you think?

The track has lights so time isn't a problem... The problem is that next slug of rain that's got to go through there.
1281. Jax82
First hand experience of the non-existent daytona 500 today, got down to the track, sky opened up, never stopped, everyone left except for a few. Now if it starts (highly unlikely, since it looks like more is on the way) i can watch it on the comfort of my couch. Thanks rain!!!!!!!! BTW, the Daytona 500 has never been postponed, awesome piece of history i wish i wasnt apart of ;)
Quoting SPLbeater:
The ECMWF makes a big system out of that area of low potential, makes it a TC in 96 hours.

What area? (Aint been here in a while)
There have been 1,152 reports of Severe Weather so far this year.

For comparison, there were 607 this time last year.
1284. Patrap
Quoting JrWeathermanFL:

What area? (Aint been here in a while)


in the vicinity of the Chagos Arch islands. central S Indian basin. takes the area west-southwestwards, and big strengthening trend. meanders off Madagascar, before heading directly south.
For the beginning half of this week, a very large swath of the upper midwest and the upper great plains are expecting very significant snow amounts from a blizzard forecasted to impact the region. Blizzard Watches are now out for a good chuck of South Dakota into western Minnesota.

click for larger view

In addition, portions of South Dakota from around Pierre over to Aberdeen and into western Minnesota are expected to see all snow, which would put amounts up to 18 inches and perhaps up to 20 inches not out of the question.

click for larger view


This next system is associated with a deep upper-level low pressure system expected to move into the region. This same system may also be responsible for a potential severe weather outbreak into Wednesday of this week for much of the western half of Arkansas stretching westward into eastern Oklahoma.

click for larger image and link
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
There have been 1,152 reports of Severe Weather so far this year.

For comparison, there were 607 this time last year.
on a roll
Quoting Jax82:
First hand experience of the non-existent daytona 500 today, got down to the track, sky opened up, never stopped, everyone left except for a few. Now if it starts (highly unlikely, since it looks like more is on the way) i can watch it on the comfort of my couch. Thanks rain!!!!!!!! BTW, the Daytona 500 has never been postponed, awesome piece of history i wish i wasnt apart of ;)
I was wondering if the 500 had ever been cancelled before... just proof of the unseasonable nature of this month's rain, IMO....
"Quoting wxmod:
Mid Atlantic a thousand miles east of England. MODIS today"
We could have carried on for at least a full page with that one some days.
So Aussies got winter in summer, the South of North America have got about the same temps or higher in winter.
The UK has got a drought in February and in parts of Southern Europe it has only rained a few days in the last 10 months.
Meanwhile the West coast of Saharan Africa's got a drought as well.
El Nino springs out like a Jack in a box?
I think we could go on for many inches of blogspace with this little group of anomalies. Its going to take more than a few contrails to sort this little mess out.
Once a long time ago we thought of a 100 things to do at the seaside when it rains, maybe we could think of a 100 things that are not normal with the last 12 months.


Daytone 500 will NOT happen today ot tomorrow. Atleast an inch of rain will fall from this cluster of heavy rain.

Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
There have been 1,152 reports of Severe Weather so far this year.

For comparison, there were 607 this time last year.


13, I see 648 total so far in 2012 at this link.

Link
Quoting StormTracker2K:
Daytone 500 will NOT happen today ot tomorrow. Atleast an inch of rain will fall from this cluster of heavy rain.


It's officially postponed until noon tomoroow, but you're right- that doesn't look good either
Quoting Patrap:
Those East to West Commercial Air Routes would not be the corridor to Mass Spray anything..

Contrails are NOT chemtrails.

But it makes for a good "read" fo some.

Laugh it up Pat, you're not immune, SuperDeltaBravo1 says South LA is constant under attack as well!
Laying them down in grid patterns in Phoenix apropos symbol of rebirth, the new world will rise up and be reborn from the ashes- Ordo ab Chao.

if we just pretend that the airplanes are lawn mowers it will all be ok.

hi pat. i bet its beautiful in new orleans right now.
Did some digging around and came up with these current temperatures at Chicago's O'Hare International, along with a handful of other regional NWS weather stations.

Was astounded to see the mercury in the lower 50's for much of this region, likely to be high temperatures for the day. Not record caliber, but pretty amazing given the today's balminess chipped away at a good chunk of the 3-7" snow pack up there from the recent storm. I wonder just how warm those temps would have gotten if there was no snow cover??...

The unseasonably warm air was accompanied by strong southwest winds with gusts to 40 MPH occasionally.

Either way, pretty abnormal for the end of February for the Windy City--and Northern IL in general.

click for larger image and link
1296. Patrap
Well hello dere waterwitch11

..kinda overcast and drizzly today.

But we got the "Walk" in.




halfpasthuman.com
Quoting PlazaRed:
"Quoting wxmod:
Mid Atlantic a thousand miles east of England. MODIS today"
We could have carried on for at least a full page with that one some days.
So Aussies got winter in summer, the South of North America have got about the same temps or higher in winter.
The UK has got a drought in February and in parts of Southern Europe it has only rained a few days in the last 10 months.
Meanwhile the West coast of Saharan Africa's got a drought as well.
El Nino springs out like a Jack in a box?
I think we could go on for many inches of blogspace with this little group of anomalies. Its going to take more than a few contrails to sort this little mess out.
Once a long time ago we thought of a 100 things to do at the seaside when it rains, maybe we could think of a 100 things that are not normal with the last 12 months.




Hey, KOTG.... that's been the spot to watch all day. If this was six months from now, we'd be thinking about TCFAs and the like.
Quoting BahaHurican:
Hey, KOTG.... that's been the spot to watch all day. If this was six months from now, we'd be thinking about TCFAs and the like.

i give two months from now
and we will be thinking of it
1300. Patrap
Quoting Patrap:


PINHOLE EYE!!!!
come thursday this week
we be 90 days away
Quoting WxGeekVA:


PINHOLE EYE!!!!

lol
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
There have been 1,152 reports of Severe Weather so far this year.

For comparison, there were 607 this time last year.


FWIW, this year's tornado season could be way worse than last years. All of this is due to the unseasonably warm winter we've been seeing and thanks to the equally unseasonably warm SST's in the GOMEX.
we will be neutral early april may june entering nino conditions for remainer of season



1289 PlazaRed "...Once a long time ago we thought of a 100 things to do at the seaside when it rains, maybe we could think of a 100 things that are not normal with the last 12 months."

Well, this is rather odd...

My houseplants always fall over before they grow that tall.
I am expecting an '09 type year in the ATL, depending on how strong the nino gets.
Quoting MrstormX:
I am expecting an '09 type year in the ATL, depending on how strong the nino gets.
its highly likly too be abnormally strong considing the warmer months are yet to arrive
Quoting MrstormX:
I am expecting an '09 type year in the ATL, depending on how strong the nino gets.

I pretty much agree with that. Maybe a little more active. My VERY early thinking is 10-12 named storms, 4-5 hurricanes, 2-3 major hurricanes.
If the West Africa drought persists (See post 1230) the CV Season will be below average and that will cut the numbers for the season. I am in the average camp of numbers,10/5/2. I would like to see our friend Levi make his analysis of the upcomming season.
there has been significant cooling in the MDR


Quoting MAweatherboy1:

I pretty much agree with that. Maybe a little more active. My VERY early thinking is 10-12 named storms, 4-5 hurricanes, 2-3 major hurricanes.


i give 11-14 TS, 6-9 H, 2-4 MH. :D

reasonable?
1313. beell
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:


13, I see 648 total so far in 2012 at this link.

Link


That's through Feb 3. Add about 259 "filtered" storm reports to 648 for current YTD (all subject to revision, of course).
with a forward trust of warmer waters into NW Carib and GOM Southern Bahamas

Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:
If the West Africa drought persists (See post 1230) the CV Season will be below average and that will cut the numbers for the season. I am in the average camp of numbers,10/5/2. I would like to see our friend Levi make his analysis of the upcomming season.


that area is always dry this time of year until mid july isnt it? as was the case the past 2 years and they were still active years...i dont know
Someone was commenting earlier about Madagascar getting hit so frequently this year, so I went to look at their archive, which, btw, is available in the Hurricane archive on this very site. Based on the last ten years, it seems the big island gets hit at least once just about every year, and years where three or four hurricanes strike Madagascar are not uncommon. Maybe 1 in 4 cyclones hits as a major, usually from the ocean side. However, cyclones that hit Madagascar's East coast usually go on to hit either the east coast of Africa or recurve to strike Madagascar's own west coast. [NOTE: this is eyeballed, not counted.]

Looks like this would be the Hurricane Chaser's dream location, at least in terms of frequency.
Quoting SPLbeater:


i give 11-14 TS, 6-9 H, 2-4 MH. :D

reasonable?

I think so.
I'm writing a blog right now on my early thoughts for the year. It should be ready later this evening.
5:09 p.m. ET

The Daytona 500 has been postponed until noon tomorrow. It will be shown live on Fox. This is the first time the race has ever been bumped a day
Quoting MAweatherboy1:

I think so.
I'm writing a blog right now on my early thoughts for the year. It should be ready later this evening.


i will be anticipating your post :D
Hmmmm Doesn't look like we're going to get much of that rain south of the big O....
Lets see, a newly negative PNA, a positive NAO....warm pattern for E CONUS likely i assume...:D
Quoting SPLbeater:
Lets see, a newly negative PNA, a positive NAO....warm pattern for E CONUS likely i assume...:D

Yes, unforunately! My blog is finished for those who wish to check it out.
Quoting MAweatherboy1:

Yes, unforunately! My blog is finished for those who wish to check it out.


unfortunately?! i have to diagree wit u there...its fortunate! more chance for thunderstorm, more chance for severity in the thunderstorms with more heat:D

I give up on snow i want a big bad thunderstorm now!
Re: the graphics at comment 1246.
Quoting bappit:

Thanks for the plots. Not questioning the data being plotted, but a glance at that seems to understate the ferocity of the heat in SE Texas for August--either that or God help the people north of here. There have never been so many days above 100 in a row for Houston. I think that heat is what killed so many trees here. I drove by Memorial Park in Houston recently and they have cut a lot. I was thinking the dead trees at least would be good for woodpeckers. They've suffered in the last 50 years or so from people cutting down dead trees (among other things).
Maybe so. Says "Provisional data."

What North Texas and your neighbors north of Red River experienced was every bit as hot as depicted. Worst weather I've ever seen except maybe an 80 below wind chill and blowing snow - which only lasted a day or two. A summer I'd not like to see repeated in my lifetime. Fortune smiled and rain started after Labor Day - here in OK at least.
1328. yqt1001
My father is pretty outraged at our government meteorological services.

He says that it's the largest snowstorm in 10 years and they haven't updated our warning since 5:20am. We have 10-15 inches of snow on the ground from this storm and it's not going to be over for hours. It's been snowing since 11am, 8 hours ago.

Environment Canada said that we would get at most 10 inches.

Radar shows it having no sign of stopping any time soon.



I know I'll be outraged if I have to go to school tomorrow!
This season has everything negative going against it.Mmmm let's see possibly strong El nino developing.Cool MDR with most of the warm water in the carribean and GOM.Drought occuring over Africa their for it might limit the waves comming off of africa this year...Yep sounds like 09 all over again..
Quoting beell:


That's through Feb 3. Add about 259 "filtered" storm reports to 648 for current YTD (all subject to revision, of course).


Hi, bl.
In case you stop back in...
Do you feel like opining on Tuesday's severe potential?
1333. guygee
Quoting BahaHurican:
Hmmmm Doesn't look like we're going to get much of that rain south of the big O....

Hopefully tomorrow...I am liking the looks of the surface low in the South Central Gulf...ship and buoy obs showing a twist in the prevailing easterly surface winds from the south and some slightly lower pressures in a high pressure environment.
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
What now Keep?
maybe a big snow storm for the northeast by wednesday night into thursday!!!
Quoting wxmod:


Geoengineering is just cloud seeding on a large scale. To say that cloud whitening over an area the size of France won't have any effect on large scale weather patterns is ludicrous. You're not going to see any peer reviewed science on this subject for a while because it's being done by private industry outside of territorial waters.


Yeah, just like Adrea Rossi has a genuine low temperature fusion device that he isn't sharing any info on due to concerns of being "ripped off".

There are a lot of "private companies" out there claiming to have done amazing things, all of them with the same line about not showing research for a host of reasons or other such nonsense. And ultimately, every one of them has been shown to be hoax that was really only effective in separating fools and their money.

Cloud whitening over an area the size of France? Please. Cloud seeding for local precipitation has an effectiveness of anywhere from 5-30% for a particular area, depending on the atmospheric conditions. Weather modification in general has a long history of big promises and equally big failures.

Now you're talking about some private company performing a synoptic scale weather altering experiment? Has it occurred to you that even if it were possible what the consequences of such an action would be?

Large scale weather modification experiments, at best, are dangerous without a thorough review of science behind it. That company better have some serious liability insurance.
Quoting TemplesOfSyrinxC4:


Your tax dollars at work- Aluminum Oxide, Sulfur Dioxide and who knows what other toxins being sprayed in the atmosphere to intentionally warm the globe in a Hegelian dialectic problem-reaction-solution plan to melt the polar regions and keep them from refreezing for RoyalDutchShell to drill as well as opening up shipping lanes and to finally have the impetus to fully implement the carbon credit ponzi scheme devised in the 90s by Enron, Occidental Petroleum heir Al Gore, and former CEO of Canadian Industrial Oil and Gas and Petro-Canada, Maurice Strong.


You need to loosen the strap on your tin-foil hat. I think it may be cutting off circulation.
Quoting WxGeekVA:


PINHOLE EYE!!!!


*SMACK*

Not till AFTER June first! If you pre-troll it now you take all the fun out of it later. ;)
Quoting MontanaZephyr:


No offense meant, but it is extremely puzzlesome that a group of ostensibly intelligent beings should be obsessed with a product specifically designed for the tastes and sensibilities of the low-income, low-brow breeding classes.


and what 'product' would that be?

All in favor of a tropical cyclone advisory for 92S at 10Pm say AYE!!
Quoting SPLbeater:


and what 'product' would that be?

entertainment
Quoting SPLbeater:


and what 'product' would that be?



Fresca
1344. yqt1001
Quoting SPLbeater:


and what 'product' would that be?



Slavery
Quoting Xyrus2000:


You need to loosen the strap on your tin-foil hat. I think it may be cutting off circulation.
or attach a couple of wires and a plug
Quoting Skyepony:


Fresca


mm, i prefer SUNKIST
Quoting SPLbeater:


and what 'product' would that be?

fox news
Quoting yqt1001:


Slavery


i dont think he actually asked a question, just testing out a new dictionary with all those larger words. =p

lol
1349. yqt1001
Quoting SPLbeater:


i dont think he actually asked a question, just testing out a new dictionary with all those larger words. =p

lol


And I was implying that the middle and lower class are just slaves of the upper class. :P
Quoting Skyepony:


Fresca
Quoting yqt1001:


Slavery
Quoting floridaT:
fox news


Im sure that Neapolitan left an answer lol...
1330 MontanaZephyr "No offense meant, but it is extremely puzzlesome that a group of ostensibly intelligent beings should be obsessed with a product specifically designed for the tastes and sensibilities of the low-income, low-brow breeding classes"

Not my fault. Never did get how them thar fancy newfangled loinclothes are s'poseta work.
Quoting yqt1001:


And I was implying that the middle and lower class are just slaves of the upper class. :P



i aint no slave to nobody. A Servant to the Lord...

But i have not an human master! i dont even qualify for the low class.....or do teenagers?
Quoting aspectre:
1330 MontanaZephyr "No offense meant, but it is extremely puzzlesome that a group of ostensibly intelligent beings should be obsessed with a product specifically designed for the tastes and sensibilities of the low-income, low-brow breeding classes"

Not my fault. Never did get how them thar fancy newfangled loinclothes are s'poseta work.


LOL them over-the-top fancy people who cant get dirt on themselves, cant drive theirself anywhere need a limo, talk with a thick acsent i cant understand! ROFL!

Hmm, I cant help but notice I see no informative weather posts....I shall fix that.

Well since no one wants to talk let me tell you about my shopping experience on Amazon.....
Quoting SPLbeater:



i aint no slave to nobody. A Servant to the Lord...

But i have not an human master! i dont even qualify for the low class.....or do teenagers?


you have to obey the law of man if not then you face imprisonment to a life of sock washing and other select duties.


remember you are only free as long as you do what you are told
once you do not do what you are told
you are
no longer free
WTXS21 PGTW 270130
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
REF/A/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI 260121Z FEB 12//
AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS 21 PGTW 260130)//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 180 NM OF A LINE FROM 13.3S 49.4E TO 15.0S 43.0E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 27 TO 32 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 270100 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 13.5S 48.5E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS.
Weather? ...anyone? ...or maybe we should all go and read the good Doc's rule for posting on the blog, you know, just for kicks! ;)
1359. yqt1001
Quoting SPLbeater:



i aint no slave to nobody. A Servant to the Lord...

But i have not an human master! i dont even qualify for the low class.....or do teenagers?


You are a slave to mankind. You work for mankind, and you work for a common mankind goal: the rich will become richer and more powerful.

That hasn't changed since the beginning of time.

Everything you see around you generally only exists because it makes money for someone. Everything you do only exists because someone makes money. Even in somewhere like the USSR, which ran on a state-capitalist system, everything was only done because it benefits one group or one person.

Only in an ideal society (true communism) can things change. Even then greed and corruption ruins it for the bottom majority and the system is as ruined as it is now. And that system has been ruined forever and will continue to be, likely for forever.
Quoting Skyepony:


Fresca
LOL.

When on a low-brow frenzy, some weather geeks prefer Dr. Pepper. With saltines, of course.
:)
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
or attach a couple of wires and a plug
KEEPER OF THE GATE ROCKS!!!
1362. LargoFl
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
on this radar it seems the gulf low has broken up some?
1363. LargoFl
Quoting ilovehurricanes12:
maybe a big snow storm for the northeast by wednesday night into thursday!!!
Feb can be a very tricky month up there, good luck if it does come about
Quoting LargoFl:
Feb can be a very tricky month up there, good luck if it does come about

Tell me about it... I don't have high hopes for this storm. It's too warm- both the air temperature and the warm ground.
Quoting LargoFl:
on this radar it seems the gulf low has broken up some?
Maybe, but it is mostly farther out in the gulf out of radar range.
Look at the southerly flow coming inland across the SE. It's being picked up at the radar sites.
Quoting LargoFl:
Feb can be a very tricky month up there, good luck if it does come about
...March too! ;)
Quoting washingtonian115:
Well since no one wants to talk let me tell you about my shopping experience on Amazon.....


wait wait wait i will talk!! please dont start with amazon shopping, lol
Quoting Chapelhill:
...March too! ;)


it would be ironic to get no snow up to this point then get socked in during the first half of march
but stranger things have happen
and will continue to happen
im going to put somebody here on my ignore list randomly.....
Quoting MAweatherboy1:

Tell me about it... I don't have high hopes for this storm. It's too warm- both the air temperature and the warm ground.
not only that but we are into late winter with only 3 weeks left before early spring this time of year is normally the start of the rebound

92S
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
entertainment


Quoting Skyepony:


Fresca


Quoting yqt1001:


Slavery


Quoting SPLbeater:


mm, i prefer SUNKIST


Quoting floridaT:
fox news


How about Fre-Sla-Enter-Sun-Fox-News-of-DOOM?

Quoting WxGeekVA:










How about Fre-Sla-Enter-Sun-Fox-News-of-DOOM?



good idea. but the SUNKIST should be the biggest object there:D
Quoting SPLbeater:
im going to put somebody here on my ignore list randomly.....
I sure hope they weren't talking about the weather.

Did you see RDU airport measured 47mph gust with the line of storms Friday?
Quoting MAweatherboy1:

I pretty much agree with that. Maybe a little more active. My VERY early thinking is 10-12 named storms, 4-5 hurricanes, 2-3 major hurricanes.


Given the ENSO predictions, I've had to bump down my predictions significantly in time for my next predictions coming next week. However, I have reservations about just how strong the El Nino will get this year, and I only think that this year will be a weak El Nino, and the hurricane season will be slightly more active than 2009 and 2006.

11 named storms. 5 hurricanes. 2 majors.

However, there's always the possibility that one of those majors could be the ''big one'', and quite frankly to have 7 years without a major hurricane hitting the United States is to my knowledge unprecedented and statistically unlikely. We've already also had one system in the Caribbean, 90L, that had a legit good chance of developing - in February.
Quoting SPLbeater:

92S


WTXS21 PGTW 270130
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
REF/A/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/260121Z FEB 12//
AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 260130)//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
180 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13.3S 49.4E TO 15.0S 43.0E WITHIN
THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF
NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA
ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 27 TO 32 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 270100Z
INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 13.5S 48.5E. THE
SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.0S
49.8E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.5S 48.5E, APPROXIMATELY 345 NM
NORTH-NORTHEAST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR. ANIMATED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED DUE TO LAND
INTERACTION AND PERSISTENT EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS);
HOWEVER, THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS NOW RE-EMERGING
OVER WATER AND IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY RE-DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS. A 262245Z AMSU IMAGE SHOWS THAT DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING HAS
BECOME FRAGMENTED WHILE LOW-LEVEL BANDING REMAINS TIGHTLY WRAPPED.
RECENT SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AT FMNN, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 20 NM NNW
OF THE CENTER, SHOW SLP VALUES NEAR 998 MB. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS
INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH DIFFLUENT EASTERLY FLOW AND
GOOD POLEWARD AND EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 27 TO 32 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 998 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH.
THIS SUPERSEDES REF A.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY
280130Z.//
NNNN
I've been having occasional mist like sometimes before storms but it's more a cool damp.
1378. Patrap
GOM RGB to Night IR Loop


..click image for Loop





So one of my hurricane buddies uploaded their hurricane Charley video on Youtube.It's a good documentry.You should check it out.And since I'm just to damn lazy to give the link it's Hurricane Charley in Punta Gorda (Florida)in Aug 13 2004.
It would be funny if we go 10 years without a major hurricane XD.The U.S has got the Vodoo for you hurricanes.I think their is a chance we can...
1382. wxmod
Quoting Xyrus2000:


Yeah, just like Adrea Rossi has a genuine low temperature fusion device that he isn't sharing any info on due to concerns of being "ripped off".

There are a lot of "private companies" out there claiming to have done amazing things, all of them with the same line about not showing research for a host of reasons or other such nonsense. And ultimately, every one of them has been shown to be hoax that was really only effective in separating fools and their money.

Cloud whitening over an area the size of France? Please. Cloud seeding for local precipitation has an effectiveness of anywhere from 5-30% for a particular area, depending on the atmospheric conditions. Weather modification in general has a long history of big promises and equally big failures.

Now you're talking about some private company performing a synoptic scale weather altering experiment? Has it occurred to you that even if it were possible what the consequences of such an action would be?

Large scale weather modification experiments, at best, are dangerous without a thorough review of science behind it. That company better have some serious liability insurance.


How stupid of me. Gee. I never thought about this...
The seeding material is salt for the whitening projects, not silver iodide. The intention is to reflect the sun and make a change in temperature and density in the atmosphere, not seed clouds. Seeding for temperature and density is totally doable, as you can see from satellite photos if you would just look. Yes the liability is great but the rewards are total control of the weather universe and probably the human planet Earth. If I wasn't concerned about it, I wouldn't be here.
Quoting washingtonian115:
So one of my hurricane buddies uploaded their hurricane Charley video on Youtube.It's a good documentry.You should check it out.And since I'm just to (censored) lazy to give the link it's Hurricane Charley in Punta Gorda (Florida)in Aug 13 2004.


your a mother, you shouldnt be lazy :D
Quoting washingtonian115:
So one of my hurricane buddies uploaded their hurricane Charley video on Youtube.It's a good documentry.You should check it out.And since I'm just to damn lazy to give the link it's Hurricane Charley in Punta Gorda (Florida)in Aug 13 2004.
That's a good documentry. The "hallway from hell" is very impressive video. They are very lucky not to have been killed.
Quoting SPLbeater:


your a mother, you shouldnt be lazy :D
Well I just finished cleaning the house so yeah..
Quoting Chapelhill:
That's a good documentry. The "hallway from hell" is very impressive video. They are very lucky not to have been killed.
I'm glad they at least had caution while they were chasing.He also chased hurricane Katrina both in Mississippi and Florida.He has some other good hurricane documentries floating around Youtube somewhere.(Damn my spelling was just all f***ed up.I guess I'm just super frustrated)
Mustering cattle on a jet ski in Qld

If you run cattle, sheep or goats you might have used horses, four wheelers or motor bikes for mustering.

But at the weekend one Queensland dairy farmer had to resort to a jet ski.

More than 330 millimetres of rain caused flash flooding in the Sunshine Coast district on Saturday.

Kenilworth farmer Chad Parker used his creativity to help rescue a stranded camper and 30 cows.

"I rang up a mate and got him to bring a jet ski out from the coast," he said.

"Chucked it in the water and first of all we had to go up and grab this fellow and get him to safety.

"He had a dog with him, we left the dog there. He was trying to eat us so we had to tie it up to a hay rack that was just out of water on my place.

"We came back out and went chasing cows that were stuck under debris and we found a couple just with their noses sticking out of water."
...NHC BULLETIN...
FEB 26 2012 930 PM
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL


T.MINUS 95 DAYS TO JUNE FIRST...BEGINNING OF HURRICANE SEASON...



...THAT IS ALL...



FORECASTER AVILA
1388. wxmod
Quoting Some1Has2BtheRookie:


I am not a geography expert, but would that not have England crowding Labrador a bit? Continental drifts are getting a bit excited these days. That is going to put Ireland in a bit of a squeeze as well. I guess that is one way to leave the EU. ;-)


:) Other East.

Quoting interstatelover7165:
...NHC BULLETIN...
FEB 26 2012 930 PM
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL


T.MINUS 95 DAYS TO JUNE FIRST...BEGINNING OF HURRICANE SEASON...



...THAT IS ALL...



FORECASTER AVILA


I can't find that on the NHC....
Quoting interstatelover7165:
...NHC BULLETIN...
FEB 26 2012 930 PM
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL


T.MINUS 95 DAYS TO JUNE FIRST...BEGINNING OF HURRICANE SEASON...



...THAT IS ALL...



FORECASTER AVILA

??
Anybody want some severe weather in the Carolinas...
GFS has a 75-85kt 500mb jet sitting over the Carolinas on Saturday, with a strong area of precipitation throughout GA, SC, NC and southern VA on saturday too.

:D
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

??


would you care to post a few model maps for saturday? :)
Quoting SPLbeater:
Anybody want some severe weather in the Carolinas...
GFS has a 75-85kt 500mb jet sitting over the Carolinas on Saturday, with a strong area of precipitation throughout GA, SC, NC and southern VA on saturday too.

:D


Is there a geography element to your home school curriculum?
Who's running this blog now?
Lets see, what in the world is dynamical forcing...
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
705 PM EST SUN FEB 26 2012

GULF OF MEXICO...
A WEAKENING STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS THROUGH THE EXTREME SRN
FLORIDA PENINSULA TO NEAR 25N85W...WHERE IT TRANSITIONS TO A
WARM FRONT EXTENDING ALONG 25N92W TO A WEAK 1016 MB LOW NEAR
22N95W. A DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS S FROM THE LOW TO
NEAR 18N94W. WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER
THE NE QUADRANT OF THE GULF BASIN E OF 92W N OF THE FRONT...
SUPPORTED ALOFT BY A SHORTWAVE/TROUGH MOVING ACROSS N-CENTRAL
BASIN. EASTERLY WINDS IN THE RANGE OF 15-25 KT ARE OBSERVED N OF
23N. THE LOW WILL SLOWLY LIFT NW AND WEAKEN TO A TROUGH LATER
TONIGHT...WHILE THE FRONT BECOMES DIFFUSE AND DISSIPATES THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT...AS ATLC SURFACE RIDGE BUILDS WESTWARD ACROSS THE
GULF.
Quoting presslord:


Is there a geography element to your home school curriculum?


...in 'History & Geography' right now, im studyign the civil war. enjoying it because its simple.

i learned about geography back in elementary school. boring. didnt need it cuz of natural larning from weather tracking.

are you satisfied with the Mid Atlantic?

lol
Quoting washingtonian115:
Who's running this blog now?


I think I am tonight.
:D

Quoting SPLbeater:


...in 'History & Geography' right now, im studyign the civil war. enjoying it because its simple.

i learned about geography back in elementary school. boring. didnt need it cuz of natural larning from weather tracking.

are you satisfied with the Mid Atlantic?

lol


'Mid Atlantic' is acceptable ;-)
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

As you guys know, I've touched on the prospects of Friday/Saturday's outbreak of Severe Weather over the past few days. The reason I posted this map is simple...Friday's Severe Weather setup looks almost identical to the Super Tuesday Outbreak in 2008, in which 131 tornadoes were reported. A meteorologist that I know and trust very well has already said that Friday could end like this day, and people across the Ohio Valley and South really need to start watching this.
Quoting presslord:


'Mid Atlantic' is acceptable ;-)


:D good....of it wasnt i was going to resort to a much larger scale area, The SOutheast, of the Eastern Seaboard...or my favorite; CAROLINA ALLEY!!
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

As you guys know, I've touched on the prospects of Friday/Saturday's outbreak of Severe Weather over the past few days. The reason I posted this map is simple...Friday's Severe Weather setup looks almost identical to the Super Tuesday Outbreak in 2008, in which 131 tornadoes were reported. A meteorologist that I know and trust very well has already said that Friday could end like this day, and people across the Ohio Valley and South really need to start watching this.


YOU MEAN, the hours around 144 that i have watched with an empty skull for the last 15 minutes?

*cough* tell me more about this coming outbreak...:D
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

As you guys know, I've touched on the prospects of Friday/Saturday's outbreak of Severe Weather over the past few days. The reason I posted this map is simple...Friday's Severe Weather setup looks almost identical to the Super Tuesday Outbreak in 2008, in which 131 tornadoes were reported. A meteorologist that I know and trust very well has already said that Friday could end like this day, and people across the Ohio Valley and South really need to start watching this.

It does sound like it could be a very bad outbreak, but it's still a week away, and things can certainly change in a week.
Quoting SPLbeater:


YOU MEAN, the hours around 144 that i have watched with an empty skull for the last 15 minutes?

*cough* tell me more about this coming outbreak...:D

Well, for one, CAPE values extend far up into the Ohio Valley, meaning that instability wouldn't be a problem. Second, there is plenty of wind shear and forcing to support an outbreak. I'd post images, but they're from ProAccuWeather, and I'm not allowed to post those here.
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Well, for one, look how far north the instability extends. Second, look at the similarities between Friday's 850 heights and the Super Tuesday 850 heights.

CAPE



Friday 850 heights vs. Super Tuesday 850 heights


0.o

are the caro-......is the Mid Atlantic involved?
1375 CybrTeddy "Given the ENSO predictions, I've had to bump down my predictions significantly in time for my next predictions coming next week..."

How strong/moderate/weak an ElNino/LaNina/ElNinoModoki/neutral is dependent on how high above or how low below the average SeaSurfaceTemperatures are over various areas of the NorthPacific and NorthAtlantic.
Given that the NorthernHemisphere's average SSTs have been significantly increasing over the last couple of decades, how does one evaluate the significance of how high above or how low below the average SSTs are in an ever warmer ocean?

I find myself wondering if just when we've started to understand the causal relationships between the NAO & AO & ENSO & other Oscillations&MajorPlayers and the weather, GlobalWarming has kicked over the game table to set up a whole 'nother game.
Another case of you don't know what you've got 'til it's gone?
Quoting SPLbeater:


0.o

are the caro-......is the Mid Atlantic involved?

Looks like there could be a very minimal threat.
I'm not trying to be an alarmist, as things could change, but I'm just posting what the models have been repeatedly showing over the past few days.
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Looks like there could be a very minimal threat.


minimal....boring.

dernit...a very minimal threat....:(

i havnt the slightest hope for a bow echo in the next 7 days do i?
Quoting SPLbeater:


minimal....boring.

dernit...a very minimal threat....:(

i havnt the slightest hope for a bow echo in the next 7 days do i?

You have hope, on Saturday. I'm just saying it's very minimal because there is a very large amount of uncertainty for that day. :P
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

You have hope, on Saturday. I'm just saying it's very minimal because there is a very large amount of uncertainty for that day. :P


oh. YAY! UNCERTAINLY UNCERTAIN! uncertain we stand, certainly we fall lol.
Quoting interstatelover7165:
...NHC BULLETIN...
FEB 26 2012 930 PM
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL


T.MINUS 95 DAYS TO JUNE FIRST...BEGINNING OF HURRICANE SEASON...



...THAT IS ALL...



FORECASTER AVILA
DID ANY OF YOU THINK that was real? IT wasn't. Plus there isn't any "NHC Bulletin". Plus would it really be on the NHC on February 26 nonetheless, mind 9:30 pm! lol lol
Quoting interstatelover7165:
DID ANY OF YOU THINK that was real? IT wasn't. Plus there isn't any "NHC Bulletin". Plus would it really be on the NHC on February 26 nonetheless, mind 9:30 pm! lol lol


i ddint buy it, even when you sweetened the deal to sell it. lol.

...SPL NOTICE...
270300Z
SUBJ / NOTHING / /
RMKS / /
1. THANK YOU FOR NOTICING THIS NOTICE. YOUR NOTICING HAS BEEN NOTICED.

THIS NOTICE WILL BE REISSUED BY WHENEVER SPL FEELS LIKE IT.
where are you WxGeekVA....your here somewheres...
*DISCLAIMER* Not real....
000
WTNT42 KNHC 312039
TCDAT2

MAJOR HURRICANE CHUCK NORRIS DISCUSSION NUMBER 100
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL1002011
1000 PM EST SUN FEB 26 2012

…...MAJOR HURRICANE CHUCK NORRIS IS THE MOST POWERFUL HURRICANE EVER TO FORM IN ANY BASIN..... MAX SUSTAINED WINDS ARE AT 500MPH....GUSTING TO 550MPH. PRESSURE HAS DROPPED TO 652MB..... ANYONE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM PREPARE TO BE ROUNDHOUSE KICKED BY THE MOST DESTRUCTIVE THING ON THE PLANET EVER...CHUCK NORRIS...........

....DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM BOTH AGENCIES REMAIN AT
495 MPH..BUT AMSU INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM THE UNIVERSITY OF
WISCONSIN CIMSS ARE A LITTLE HIGHER. THE INTENSITY IS SET AT 500 MPH
FOR THIS ADVISORY. NOTHING CAN STOP THIS INCREDIBLE STORM...SO CONTINUED INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST.......... NOTHING ANYWHERE NEAR CHUCK NORRIS CAN CAUSE AN INCREASE IN SHEAR.......AND AGAIN, NOTHING INHIBITS
INTENSIFICATION OF THIS MOSTER STORM............NOTHING CAN STOP CHUCK NORRIS EXCEPT ANOTHER CHUCK NORRIS......... ALL OF THE
GLOBAL COMPUTER FORECASTING MODELS...SUCH AS THE GFS AND NAM...HAVE REFUSED TO WORK BECAUSE MAJOR HURRICANE CHUCK NORRIS DEFIES ALL MODEL GUIDANCE............
THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS WHATEVER CHUCK NORRIS WANTS AND WE CANNOT DO ANYTHING ABOUT IT.....

THE STORM CONTINUES TO MOVE WHEREVER HE WANTS......... THE TRACK FORECAST AND REASONING ARE
ESSENTIALLY UNCHANGED. MAJOR HURRICANE CHUCK NORRIS WILL MOVE SOMEWHERE ....AND THEN HEAD TOWARDS YOU IF YOU WANT HIM TO GO OUT TO SEA AND AWAY FROM YOU.......... THIS STORM WILL MAKE LANDFALL SOMEWHERE BETWEEN ANTARCTICA AND THE NORTH POLE.......WE JUST DON'T KNOW WHERE.........

......YOU CANNOT GET OUT OF THE PATH OF THIS STORM AS THERE IS NO RUNNING FROM CHUCK NORRIS...HE WILL FIND YOU......OUR BEST ADVICE IS TO STAY INSIDE....AND DRINK MOUNTAIN DEW......

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS:

INIT 31/2100Z ?N ?W 500 MPH
12H 01/0600Z ?N ?W 515 MPH
24H 01/1800Z ?N ?W 525 MPH
36H 02/0600Z ?N ?W 535 MPH
48H 02/1800Z ?N ?W 540 MPH
72H 03/1800Z ?N ?W 555 MPH
96H 04/1800Z ?N ?W 575 MPH
120H 05/1800Z ?N ?W 605 MPH



$$
FORECASTER WXGEEKVA



Looky here boyz!
OMG google search Chuck Norris Hurricane images and the second image has a comment by me: Religion, Politics, Weather, and last but not least Chuck Norris.


holy mackerel...i searched SPLbeater. all over google are my blogs, comments and everything!

dudes...we can be googled! :D:D:D
night all. be good :D be back tomorow moOoOoOorning!
Quoting WxGeekVA:
*DISCLAIMER* Not real....
000
WTNT42 KNHC 312039
TCDAT2

MAJOR HURRICANE CHUCK NORRIS DISCUSSION NUMBER 100
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL1002011
1000 PM EST SUN FEB 26 2012

…...MAJOR HURRICANE CHUCK NORRIS IS THE MOST POWERFUL HURRICANE EVER TO FORM IN ANY BASIN..... MAX SUSTAINED WINDS ARE AT 500MPH....GUSTING TO 550MPH. PRESSURE HAS DROPPED TO 652MB..... ANYONE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM PREPARE TO BE ROUNDHOUSE KICKED BY THE MOST DESTRUCTIVE THING ON THE PLANET EVER...CHUCK NORRIS...........

....DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM BOTH AGENCIES REMAIN AT
495 MPH..BUT AMSU INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM THE UNIVERSITY OF
WISCONSIN CIMSS ARE A LITTLE HIGHER. THE INTENSITY IS SET AT 500 MPH
FOR THIS ADVISORY. NOTHING CAN STOP THIS INCREDIBLE STORM...SO CONTINUED INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST.......... NOTHING ANYWHERE NEAR CHUCK NORRIS CAN CAUSE AN INCREASE IN SHEAR.......AND AGAIN, NOTHING INHIBITS
INTENSIFICATION OF THIS MOSTER STORM............NOTHING CAN STOP CHUCK NORRIS EXCEPT ANOTHER CHUCK NORRIS......... ALL OF THE
GLOBAL COMPUTER FORECASTING MODELS...SUCH AS THE GFS AND NAM...HAVE REFUSED TO WORK BECAUSE MAJOR HURRICANE CHUCK NORRIS DEFIES ALL MODEL GUIDANCE............
THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS WHATEVER CHUCK NORRIS WANTS AND WE CANNOT DO ANYTHING ABOUT IT.....

THE STORM CONTINUES TO MOVE WHEREVER HE WANTS......... THE TRACK FORECAST AND REASONING ARE
ESSENTIALLY UNCHANGED. MAJOR HURRICANE CHUCK NORRIS WILL MOVE SOMEWHERE ....AND THEN HEAD TOWARDS YOU IF YOU WANT HIM TO GO OUT TO SEA AND AWAY FROM YOU.......... THIS STORM WILL MAKE LANDFALL SOMEWHERE BETWEEN ANTARCTICA AND THE NORTH POLE.......WE JUST DON'T KNOW WHERE.........

......YOU CANNOT GET OUT OF THE PATH OF THIS STORM AS THERE IS NO RUNNING FROM CHUCK NORRIS...HE WILL FIND YOU......OUR BEST ADVICE IS TO STAY INSIDE....AND DRINK MOUNTAIN DEW......

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS:

INIT 31/2100Z ?N ?W 500 MPH
12H 01/0600Z ?N ?W 515 MPH
24H 01/1800Z ?N ?W 525 MPH
36H 02/0600Z ?N ?W 535 MPH
48H 02/1800Z ?N ?W 540 MPH
72H 03/1800Z ?N ?W 555 MPH
96H 04/1800Z ?N ?W 575 MPH
120H 05/1800Z ?N ?W 605 MPH



$$
FORECASTER WXGEEKVA




This is probably hands down the best post I've ever read on this blog, big props bro lololololol
Distrust but verify, check out this website and make sure to look at all of the links on this page as well of scholarly research that has been done on the topic, backing up their claims. Former Navy Physicist Ben Livingston, the father of weather weaponry, says scalar weather modification has been going on for several decades.

http://www.agriculturedefensecoalition.org/conten t/alaska-arctic-issues


The Arctic and Alaska have been warming over the last several years. The melting of the glaciers is taking place at an alarming rate. (It appears that this warming trend is hitting not only Alaska and the Arctic but other areas where frozen oceans and land areas have prevented the exploitation of natural gas, oil, and other natural resources by various countries and private oil corporations, like Shell Oil.)

Recent Research by the ADC has led to some interesting findings with regard to both Alaska and the Arctic areas. It appears that many government agencies and leaders in the United States have discussed how the natural resources of these areas could be exploited if these areas were artificially warmed.

Missing in all recent discussions of climate change and global warming are the impacts of aviation induced water vapor (a highly potent greenhouse gas), into the atmosphere through jet engine combustion. New NASA and university studies, some of which are presented below, show that aviation has a huge warming impact on all parts of the Earth most prominently having a negative impact in the Alaska and Arctic areas by artificially warming these areas.

This has led to many countries staking out claims to these warming areas in Alaska and the Arctic. Oil and gas companies are applying for permits to drill in these areas (the U.S. has already given Shell Oil permits to drill and in 2012, have approved questionable oil spill mitigation measures). Many countries are competing with each other for the monetary prize, military advantage, and other benefits from the warming of these areas.



The ADC has worked to document these various interests, the financial rewards of exploiting these areas, the ecological hazards, military advantages, advantages to shipping commerce, and other interests.

We hear the climate change/global warming manta all the time with crisis warnings day-in and day-out without closely examining the water vapor/aviation impact issues. These dire warnings are designed to drive the impetus for a new carbon tax and for a multitude of climate remediation or geoengineering schemes to be implemented which could make the situation much worse.

Instead of working with Boeing and other corporations, along with the military to reduce the amount of water vapor and toxic emissions produced by rockets and jet engines, a major source of warming over these cold areas, geoengineers like David Keith and Ken Caldeira, are working to add additional water vapor into the atmosphere to produce aluminum oxide or sulfur particles in the atmosphere. (This process happens when the water vapor is mixed with various gases like aluminum oxide gas.)

Some areas in the world are turning colder or freezing while those areas where there are natural resources to be tapped for $Billions in profits are warming. Jets producing excessive water vapor could be used to continually warm these area...and we may be seeing their impact on an almost daily basis as they criss-cross our skies releasing excessive water vapor and producing man-made clouds.

The information presented below and videos is for your own research into this topic. It should be noted that many studies are showing that aviation and rockets emissions are having an enormous impact on the Earth's Atmosphere along with the water vapor (a powerful greenhouse gas), that they produce.
Quoting washingtonian115:
It would be funny if we go 10 years without a major hurricane XD.The U.S has got the Vodoo for you hurricanes.I think their is a chance we can...


That would be fascinating from a meteorological standpoint, and quite possibly the subject of a thesis.
Now that we are entering el Niño again in the same list of names people that don`t like hurricanes would probably make the government to approve a law that this list should be put every year so we don`t have a lot TC.
1429. bappit
Quoting presslord:


'Mid Atlantic' is acceptable ;-)

The mid-Atlantic states are north of the Carolinas. Sorry.
Quoting allancalderini:
Now that we are entering el Niño again in the same list of names people that don`t like hurricanes would probably make the government to approve a law that this list should be put every year so we don`t have a lot TC.


1988 and 2000 were very active years.
1431. bappit
Quoting KeyWestSun:

I'm thinking it was God help those people up there. :)
Seychelles Meteorological Services
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #5
DEPRESSION SUR TERRE, FORMER IRINA (11-20112012)
10:00 AM RET February 27 2012
=====================================

At 6:00 AM UTC, Overland Depression, Former Irina (unknown presure) located at 15.3S 46.8E has 10 minute sustained winds of 20 knots with gusts of 35 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west southwest at 14 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: OVERLAND

Forecast and Intensity
========================

12 HRS: 16.1S 45.4E - 15 knots (Depression sur Terre)
24 HRS: 17.0S 43.6E - 20 knots (Perturbation Tropicale)
48 HRS: 17.3S 42.5E - 25 knots (Perturbation Tropicale)
72 HRS: 17.0S 41.7E - 35 knots (Tempête Tropicale Modérée)

Additional Information
=======================

Low level circulation center remains very difficult to localize. Current position is estimated thanks to 0300 AM UTC Malagasy observations (Nosy-be, Atsohily and Majunga). Within the next 48 hours, available numerical weather prediction models are in good agreement. System is expected to keep on tracking west southwestwards and on slowing down gradually on the northern edge of subtropical ridge existing in the south. On this forecast track, as it shifts along the northwestern Malagasy coastline, it is expected to undergo a moderate easterly wind shear. This conditions might limit system intensification. Associated heavy rainfalls might affect the northwestern areas of Madagascar an the eastern Mozambique coastline (between 14s and 18s) and should temporarily occur over Mayotte and Comoros archipelago.

Wednesday and Thursday, system is expected to undergo two opposite steering influences. The first one associated with an equatorial ridge located northward (inducing an eastward motion) and the other one associated with the subtropical ridge located southward (inducing a westward motion). System could therefore remains globally quasi-stationary and slowly intensify (weakening wind-shear, favorable sea surface temperature on the middle of Mozambique channel).

Beyond, subtropical ridge might become back the main steering flow and system should take back a west-southwestward track by continuing to intensify. Uncertainty is poor for the track at medium range. Available numerical weather prediction models forecast a more or less early landfall on Mozambique (track is more or less north). Members of the ECMWF ensemble system is also located northern than the deterministic track. RSMC official forecast track is a compromise of these options. Forecast intensity has been downgraded compare to previous forecast.

Inhabitants of the northern channel area (including Comoros archipelago, north-western coasts of Madagascar and Mozambique coasts) should closely monitor the evolution of this system.

Current intensity does not justify issuance of regular warning. It remains however closely monitored in relationship with its potential for intensification. For further information about this system when no tropical cyclone forecast advisory (WTIO30) is issued, refer to bulletin awio20 for cyclonic activity and significant tropical weather in the southwest Indian ocean issued by the RMSC daily at 1200 PM UTC.
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

You have hope, on Saturday. I'm just saying it's very minimal because there is a very large amount of uncertainty for that day. :P


Thank you very much for your post, It's nice to see real weather post in here, well for the exception of
chuck Norris, he, he,

Weather is an important factor for the work I do, I come in here and see what's going on.

I also depend on NWS chat, which is restricted.

Again, Thank You, Trunkmonkey!
Quoting bappit:

The mid-Atlantic states are north of the Carolinas. Sorry.


i agree, southeast is N.C. to Florida and west to Louisiana
Tomorrow, most of Arkansas, eastern Oklahoma, extreme southern Missouri, and extreme northeast Texas will have the biggest threat of severe weather. We should see tornadoes, maybe a couple strong tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds. Nebraska and Colorado should see some strong to severe storms too.


Wednesday, I'm under the highest chance (30%) for severe weather! Damaging winds will be the main threat, but there is a chance for some tornadoes and hail. A large area, including the Ohio Valley, the Mississippi Valley,and Alabama are under the highest chance and Georgia and the Carolinas should get some strong storms too.
No Daytona 500 again today infact strong thunderstorms expected this afternoon as temps push near 80 with -12 degree Celcius temps aloft.

Funny yesterday Reedzone said on here that there was sun by him near Daytona well I can tell you that was not true as all of C FL was socked in by think cloud cover with rain in some areas. I picked up .40 yesterday evening.

Quoting StormTracker2K:
Funny yesterday Reedzone said on here that there was sun by him near Daytona well I can tell you that was not true as all of C FL was socked in by think cloud cover with rain in some areas. I picked up .40 yesterday evening.

Actually at the time he said it, it was really only raining over Daytona. That was in between the two slugs of showers.



Gotta run, ya'll. Have a good one.
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:


you have to obey the law of man if not then you face imprisonment to a life of sock washing and other select duties.


remember you are only free as long as you do what you are told
once you do not do what you are told
you are
no longer free


Unless, of course, you're big time enough and have enough dirt on other corrupt people in high places, then your power can never be checked and you'll be untouchable and be able to do whatever you please with impunity.

The prison-industrial-complex slave labor is just for the little people, the majority of which are non-violent offenders to be profited off of in the private prisons. How many Americans have lost jobs to prison labor?

1442. MahFL
Yesterday I got .27 inches of rain in NE FL. Our NWS said a lot of rain never made it to the ground as the air was still too dry. Today it says the air is now moist and rain is GO !

Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:


I remember that storm very well. ha ha, in fact we had the (green dot)  hail report there in east central Illinois ...lol.  We had close to 4 inches of rain in a 24 hr. period that day/night.  Big powerful storm, had a tremendous amount of moisture with it.


Quoting wxmod:


How stupid of me. Gee. I never thought about this...
The seeding material is salt for the whitening projects, not silver iodide. The intention is to reflect the sun and make a change in temperature and density in the atmosphere, not seed clouds. Seeding for temperature and density is totally doable, as you can see from satellite photos if you would just look. Yes the liability is great but the rewards are total control of the weather universe and probably the human planet Earth. If I wasn't concerned about it, I wouldn't be here.


I did not mention silver iodide. That is only one particular method. There is also dry ice, various salts, etc. depending on whether or not your aiming for precipitation or just cloud nucleation, and depending on whether your going after ice or water deposition.

No matter whether you are seeding for temperature and density or precipitation, the results are the same. It is far from a guaranteed method. Regardless of what method you are using, the atmosphere has to be able to support it. And even at the local level the results of such activities are difficult to predict, let alone altering synoptic weather patterns.

There is no total control of the weather universe, as the weather involves a lot more than just clouds. You'd need to be able to reasonably control all aspects of the atmosphere, and we are a long ways from doing anything remotely that complex.

Again, with no legitimate science backing your claims it really is silly to claim that we have the capabilities your claiming. And even if we did, we sure as hell shouldn't be conducting large scale weather experiments without a serious science discussion on the ramifications of performing such actions before carrying them out. Or shall I remind you how our latest climate/weather experiments are going?
Quoting MahFL:
Yesterday I got .27 inches of rain in NE FL. Our NWS said a lot of rain never made it to the ground as the air was still too dry. Today it says the air is now moist and rain is GO !
seems daytona got a x on it for showers this system
There have been serious discussions on the ramifications of it, in this age of technocratic rule, when the experts have no desire in sharing the results with the general public- the fact they're not advertising in neon lights and letting the plebs in on the discourse doesn't mean it's not happening. Check out all the PDF links of scholarly research that has been conducted on it, the Stanford/NASA white paper is the smoking gun admitting that contrary to popular belief, the contrails are actually being used to warm the atmosphere.
http://www.agriculturedefensecoalition.org/?q=geo engineering

Professor Benford (U.C. Irvine, CA), wrote the following regarding the public in a Reason.com article in 1997: %u201C%u2026But perhaps the greatest unknown is social: How will the politically aware public react--those who vote, anyway? If geoengineers are painted early and often as Dr. Strangeloves of the air, they will fail. Properly portrayed as allies of science--and true environmentalism--they could become heroes%u2026 A major factor here will be whether mitigation looks like yet another top-down contrivance, another set of orders from the elite. Draconian policing of fuel burning will certainly look that way, a frowning Aunt Bessie elbowing into daily details...In contrast, mitigation does not have to push a new camel's nose into our tents... Technical solutions can play out far from people's lives, on the sea or high in the air. "Once we become caretakers, we cannot stop...(they) must be carried forward in the shadow of our stewardship""
Quoting TemplesOfSyrinxC4:
There have been serious discussions on the ramifications of it, in this age of technocratic rule, when the experts have no desire in sharing the results with the general public- the fact they're not advertising in neon lights and letting the plebs in on the discourse doesn't mean it's not happening. Check out all the PDF links of scholarly research that has been conducted on it, the Stanford/NASA white paper is the smoking gun admitting that contrary to popular belief, the contrails are actually being used to warm the atmosphere.
http://www.agriculturedefensecoalition.org/conten t/alaska-arctic-issues


Contrails are not being "used" for anything. They are a bi-product of air travel and any affect on weather/climate is a consequence of demand for that service. Effect of contrails on climate has substantial error bars - some papers have suggested a net warming effect, while others have suggested a cooling effect. A commonly-held understanding of high clouds is that they tend to produce a net cooling effect, while low clouds tend to produce a net warming effect. See "global dimming."
One product issued by NWS for: Daytona Beach FL
------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------

Hazardous Weather Outlook
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
508 AM EST MON FEB 27 2012

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054 -058-059-064-141-144-147-271715-COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET OUT 20 NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO60 NM OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
508 AM EST MON FEB 27 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER OVER THE EAST GULF OF MEXICO WILL PUSH ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA TODAY...BRINGING HIGH RAIN CHANCES AND AS WELL AS A CHANCE FOR AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS. THE PRIMARY
THREAT FROM ANY STORMS THAT FORM WOULD BE CLOUD-T0-GROUND LIGHTNING. REMEMBER...IF THUNDER CAN BE HEARD THEN LIGHTNING IS WITHIN STRIKING DISTANCE. SUSPEND OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES AND SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. DO NOT RESUME OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES UNTIL THUNDER HAS BEEN SILENT FOR 30 MINUTES.

.DENSE FOG/SMOKE IMPACT...
SKIES WILL CLEAR LATE TONIGHT AND WINDS WILL DIMINISH A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST WEAKENS AND MOVES INTO THE ATLANTIC. AREAS OF FOG ARE EXPECTED TO FORM LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. THE FOG MAY BECOME DENSE IN AREAS...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS THAT RECEIVE RAIN TODAY.

.MARINE THUNDERSTORM GUST IMPACT...
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP OVER EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON. ANY STORMS THAT DO FORM WOULD MOVE NORTHEAST AROUND 15 KNOTS. SOME OF THE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY AS THEY APPROACH THE COAST AND MOVE OFFSHORE. THESE STORMS WOULD BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SURFACE WIND GUSTS AROUND 34 KNOTS.

.WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
A MODERATE TO FRESH SOUTHEASTERLY BREEZE WILL GENERATE CHOPPY 4 TO 6 FOOT SEAS WITH DOMINANT PERIODS 7 SECONDS OR LESS. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION WHEN VENTURING INTO THE OPEN ATLANTIC
TODAY DUE TO THE ROUGH CONDITIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO MONITOR THE WEATHER AND SELF ACTIVATE IF NEEDED.

$$
Noon start time for Daytona 500 is currently doubtful.
Probably many are hoping for a start this evening.
Link
1449. LargoFl
Good Morning everyone! 73 here this morning, going up to 80 with beautiful, clear skies, possible showers in the afternoon, but right now a Beautiful sunny Florida morning here on the gulf coast!!..have a great day folks
1450. Jax82
Looks like they better install some wind shield wipers and put on some slicks on those stock cars, thats the only way they'll race today.
Quoting Jax82:
Looks like they better install some wind shield wipers and put on some slicks on those stock cars, thats the only way they'll race today.

It's pretty wet throughout the region now and still dripping. For the sake of the working people who are race fans, I hope they have an early evening start.
Quoting ScottLincoln:


Contrails are not being "used" for anything. They are a bi-product of air travel and any affect on weather/climate is a consequence of demand for that service. Effect of contrails on climate has substantial error bars - some papers have suggested a net warming effect, while others have suggested a cooling effect. A commonly-held understanding of high clouds is that they tend to produce a net cooling effect, while low clouds tend to produce a net warming effect. See "global dimming."


I misspoke, meant to type chemtrails there- the intentional spraying not related to air travel.
http://www.lightwatcher.com/chemtrails/smoking_gu n.html
airplanes do not create water vapor... another preposterous citing from the weather mod non-sense...
the condensing of water vapor in a parcel of atmosphere is not an addition of more water molecules. no additional greenhouse impact occurs when this happens; in fact, the cloud most likely contributes to cooling (as mentioned per global dimming).
i'm just spouting this off the cuff, no scientific citing needed, because this seems to me to be weather 101... and if the conspiracy theorists can get the most basic stuff right... well then
mownin all..:D
Quoting Minnemike:
airplanes do not create water vapor... another preposterous citing from the weather mod non-sense...
the condensing of water vapor in a parcel of atmosphere is not an addition of more water molecules. no additional greenhouse impact occurs when this happens; in fact, the cloud most likely contributes to cooling (as mentioned per global dimming).
i'm just spouting this off the cuff, no scientific citing needed, because this seems to me to be weather 101... and if the conspiracy theorists can get the most basic stuff right... well then


Define "conspiracy theorist", you believe anything that's not spoon-fed to you can't be happening? The Manhattan project had tens of thousands of people working on it without the general public knowing about it, I understand that now we're living in an era where people have been conditioned to have an immediate Pavlovian response to picture tinfoil hats at even the mention of the word "conspiracy", like Pavlov's dog salivating when hearing his bell being rung. I'd at least read the scholarly research that has been done on it in the links provided before spouting off the cuff. The father of the modern environmental movement "We are as Gods" Stewart Brand says spraying sulfur dioxide will cool the planet and proclaims any criticism of geo-engineering a "heresy"
http://www.ted.com/talks/stewart_brand_proclaims_ 4_environmental_heresies.html

well i reckon i best go git somethin 2 eat...back later yal
it's pretty simple... if it's about a conspiracy, and using facts that neither corroborate nor fall within the scope of reasonableness, than it is a conspiracy theory.

conspiracies exist, they are exposed all the time. but then, scientific facts exists, which are also exposed all the time. it's up to you, whomever you are, to not lose sight of where information comes from, what it leads to, and the way it fits into that which is the observable reality where we actually reside as physical beings.

i don't feed from the spoon, fellow blogger. i reach in for myself, and choose the items that are edible, having had the experience of tasting the inedible... to extend your metaphor.
Heartland.. now there's an exposed conspiracy, which was clearly evident as such due to the countless release of information deemed false, contradictory, and laden with fallacy.. and the argument that weather modification is under way by governments has, for me, exhibited an equal amount of mis-characterized and misinformed dissemination.
wxmod has shown us many pics of China smog... now There is weather modification indeed.. but there is nothing in the sense of logic and reason that informs us the smog is a result of China's desire to modify weather. no -it is a result of productivity desires, such as are ALL of the motivations behind activity whereby humans are actually modifying weather.

aside from cloud seeding, no successful attempts at government-based weather modification seem to be present; at least by my personal standards of evidential support.
but, we all get a voice ;)
Quoting Minnemike:
airplanes do not create water vapor... another preposterous citing from the weather mod non-sense...
the condensing of water vapor in a parcel of atmosphere is not an addition of more water molecules. no additional greenhouse impact occurs when this happens; in fact, the cloud most likely contributes to cooling (as mentioned per global dimming).
i'm just spouting this off the cuff, no scientific citing needed, because this seems to me to be weather 101... and if the conspiracy theorists can get the most basic stuff right... well then

Aircraft engines like all internal combustion engines do create water... it is a byproduct of combustion.
500's start has been rescheduled for 7 pm tonight !
Slow Soaking Rain!!! YEA! Our Crops IS SAVVEDD!
or at least the drought is lessened in the region of NE FL.

The long black shadows from Contrails above winter stratus layers seems much more prevalent this year.
Some days the sky looks like a loose weave fabric from all the trails.
The "dove in a hole" ice precipitate, definitely does handle light differently than surrounding cloud layers. See my sundog images.
1462. yqt1001
After one of the largest snowstorms in this decade, I got a snow day today! :D First one since 2009.

Snow totals for the storm aren't out yet though.

1463. MahFL
One thing for sure, there seems to be more and more contrails, the airline business seems to be doing better these days.
1464. yqt1001
Quoting MahFL:
One thing for sure, there seems to be more and more contrails, the airline business seems to be doing better these days.


The airline industry is growing yes, but not doing better. A few airlines here and there are doing good (JetBlue), but the rest are about as profitable as AA, which just filed for chapter 11. This decade, I wouldn't be surprised if many airlines simply disappear, especially the larger ones.
Quoting MissNadia:

Aircraft engines like all internal combustion engines do create water... it is a byproduct of combustion.
i will admit, i was incorrect on this. thinking it a recycled emission, and correlating the contrail with particulate soot condensing the already present vapor, i had not been aware of a 30% water vapor output by jet fuel. i feel like a heel calling the notion preposterous.

however, nothing has changed in my thoughts on motivated weather modification efforts. i just don't see a concerted conspiracy with air travel.. i see the unfortunate outcomes of an over eager global society.
Quoting MahFL:
One thing for sure, there seems to be more and more contrails, the airline business seems to be doing better these days.

I think the number of airline flights have stayed about constant for the last few years. Contrails are dependent on the density altitude and that varies day to day.
Big rains coming to most of Australia.
Flood warning have been issued, Flash flood warning have been issued. This could be a very big event.
A little comic relief during the off-season...
Surge Warning
NEW BLOG
Noon, March 3rd GFS 850mb

Quoting AussieStorm:
Big rains coming to most of Australia.
Flood warning have been issued, Flash flood warning have been issued. This could be a very big event.


do you still not believe