WunderBlog Archive » Category 6™

Category 6 has moved! See the latest from Dr. Jeff Masters and Bob Henson here.

Winter Storm Draco ends record snowless streaks across Midwest

By: Dr. Jeff Masters, 5:03 PM GMT on December 19, 2012

Winter Storm Draco is powering up over the Upper Midwest, and is poised to bring a resounding end to the record-length snowless streaks a number of U.S. cities have notched this year. Blizzard warnings are posted over portions of Colorado, Nebraska, Kansas, Iowa, Illinois, and Wisconsin, and snowfall amounts of up to a foot are expected in some of the affected regions. While the heavy snow will create dangerous travel conditions, the .5" - 1.5" of melted water equivalent from the the storm will provide welcome moisture for drought-parched areas of the Midwest. Though much of the moisture will stay locked up as snow for the rest of the year, runoff from the storm may help keep Lake Michigan and Huron from setting an all-time record low for the month of December, and may also keep the Mississippi River at St. Louis above the -5' stage though the end of December. If the river falls below -5', barge traffic on the Mississippi may be forced to halt, costing billions of dollars. The Army Corps of Engineers is blasting away rocks on the river bottom south of St. Louis and releasing water from Carlyle Lake in Southern Illinois this week, in order to keep the Mississippi River high enough to allow barge traffic to negotiate the near-record low water levels. Several gauges on the Mississippi have set all-time record lows this year: the New Madrid, Missouri gauge on August 30, 2012 and the Tiptonville, Tennessee gauge on September 2. Records at the Tiptonville gauge go back to at least 1879.


Figure 1. Predicted precipitation totals fopr the 3-day period ending on December 22. Approximately 0.5 - 1.5" of melted water equivalent from Winter Storm Draco is expected over much of the drought-stricken Midwest. Image credit: NOAA/HPC.


Figure 2. Average water levels on Lake Michigan and Lake Huron are near their lowest December levels ever recorded, preliminary data from NOAA's Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory indicate.

Record snowless streaks coming to end because of Winter Storm Draco
The U.S. has had its warmest and 12th driest year on record, according to NOAA's National Climatic Data Center. It should be no surprise, then, that a number of major cities have set records for their longest period without snow. Most of these streaks have come to and end (or will do so in the next day or two) because of Winter Storm Draco:

MIlwaukee, Wisconsin's record streak without measurable snow ended December 18 with 0.5" of snow; the streak was 288 consecutive days, bookended by measurable snowfall on March 5 and Dec. 18. Milwaukee is likely to get an additional 4 - 6" of snow from Draco.

Omaha, Nebraska's record streak without measurable snow ended December 16 with 0.6" of snow; the streak was 295 consecutive days, bookended by measurable snowfall on Feb. 24 and Dec. 16. Omaha is likely to get 6 - 9" of total snow before the current storm winds down. Record latest first snow of the season: December 26, 1888.

Chicago, Illinois' new record snowless streak continues at 289 consecutive days as of Tuesday. The last measurable snow there was March 4. Previous record: 280 consecutive days between the measurable snowfalls of March 1, 1994 and December 5, 1994. Chicago has also broken its record for latest snowfall in the season, previously set on December 16, 1965. These streaks will likely end on Thursday, when 1 - 4" of snow are expected.

Rockford, Illinois' new record snowless streak continues at 289 consecutive days as of Tuesday, but this streak will likely end on Thursday, when 3 - 6" of snow are expected. The last measurable snow in Rockford was March 4. Previous record: 286 consecutive days between the measurable snowfalls of March 3, 1922 and December 13, 1922. Record latest first snow of the season: January 7, 1940.

Lincoln, Nebraska's new record snowless streak continues at 308 consecutive days as of Tuesday. This streak will likely end Wednesday or Thursday, as 6 -8" of snow are expected. The last measurable snow there was Feb. 13. Previous record: 295 consecutive days between the measurable snowfalls of Feb. 6 and Nov. 28, 2004. Record latest first snow of the season: December 31, 2006.

Syracuse, NY is often the snowiest major city in the contiguous U.S. This year, Syracuse has not yet had a 1" snowfall--the second latest such streak. The 3.0" that has fallen is over 28" below what Syracuse usually gets by this time of the season. The latest in the season that the first 1" snow has come to Syracuse occurred on December 22, 1998 (the previous warmest year on record in the U.S.) With the forecast calling for lake effect snows on the 22nd, Syracuse may just miss setting its mark for latest 1" snowfall of the season.

Jeff Masters

Winter Weather Drought Draco

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

Reader Comments

TORNADO WARNING
ALC035-099-201500-
/O.NEW.KMOB.TO.W.0098.121220T1414Z-121220T1500Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
814 AM CST THU DEC 20 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN CONECUH COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...
MONROE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...

* UNTIL 900 AM CST

* AT 810 AM CST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
TORNADO WAS LOCATED 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF FRISCO CITY...OR 3 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF MEGARGEL...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

A SECOND SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS
LOCATED NEAR MEXIA AND WAS ALSO MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PETERMAN... MONROEVILLE... MEGARGEL...
FRISCO CITY... EXCEL... BEATRICE...
REPTON... I65 AND CR 29... I65 AND AL 83...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 65 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 93 AND 105.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST THURSDAY FOR
SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

&&
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST THURSDAY FOR
SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.
NWS confirms at least 5 tornadoes from today's storms (All EF-1s) Mississippi-2, Louisiana-2, Alabama-1
Glad my daughter got out last night after finishing her last of finals at UW La Crosse. We seem to be in a lull at the moment but the wind is really starting to rev up and more snow to our S and W moving in soon.
THanks again Aussie for keeping us up to date!

Quoting AussieStorm:
@news8michelle Michelle Poedel
The scene in downtown La Crosse:

Well the forecast is calling for snow showers now for Christmas eve here in D.C.Doesnt look like anything to serious though.
Quoting lilElla:
Glad my daughter got out last night after finishing her last of finals at UW La Crosse. We seem to be in a lull at the moment but the wind is really starting to rev up and more snow to our S and W moving in soon.
THanks again Aussie for keeping us up to date!


Your welcome. I'm off to bed since the tornado threat has died down a bit. Catch ya's all in the morning.
TORNADO WARNING
ALC053-FLC033-091-113-201530-
/O.NEW.KMOB.TO.W.0099.121220T1427Z-121220T1530Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
827 AM CST THU DEC 20 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EAST CENTRAL ESCAMBIA COUNTY IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...
NORTHWESTERN OKALOOSA COUNTY IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...
SANTA ROSA COUNTY IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...
SOUTHEASTERN ESCAMBIA COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...

* UNTIL 930 AM CST

* AT 824 AM CST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR ENSLEY...OR 9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
FLORIDATOWN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PENSACOLA INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT... WHITING FIELD...
ROEVILLE... POINT BAKER... PEA RIDGE...
MULAT... FLORIDATOWN... PACE...
MILTON...


THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 10 IN FLORIDA BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 3 AND 47.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST THURSDAY FOR
SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

&&


PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
734 AM CST THU DEC 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0545 AM TSTM WND DMG MOBILE AIRPORT 30.68N 88.24W
12/20/2012 MOBILE AL EMERGENCY MNGR

LARGE TREE DOWN ON DONALD ST BETWEEN BETTER ST AND
CARLETON AVE. DONALD ST BLOCKED.

0545 AM TSTM WND DMG MOBILE AIRPORT 30.68N 88.24W
12/20/2012 MOBILE AL EMERGENCY MNGR

LOWES NEAR DAUPHIN ST AND SAGE SUSTAINED DAMAGE.

0545 AM TSTM WND DMG MOBILE AIRPORT 30.68N 88.24W
12/20/2012 MOBILE AL EMERGENCY MNGR

DAUPHIN ST, SPRINGHILL AVE, OLD SHELL RDS ALL CLOSED.

0545 AM TSTM WND DMG MOBILE AIRPORT 30.68N 88.24W
12/20/2012 MOBILE AL EMERGENCY MNGR

SEVERE DAMAGE TO RESIDENCES AND BUSINESSES ON UNION AND
SPRINGHILL AVE. BP GAS STATION ROOF CAVED IN.

0545 AM TSTM WND DMG MOBILE AIRPORT 30.68N 88.24W
12/20/2012 MOBILE AL EMERGENCY MNGR

DAMAGE TO TWO BANKS ON SPRINGHILL AVE.

0545 AM TSTM WND DMG MOBILE AIRPORT 30.68N 88.24W
12/20/2012 MOBILE AL EMERGENCY MNGR

DAMAGE TO MERCY MEDICAL AND NATHAN FURNITURE. NATHANS
FURNITURE TRUCK FLIPPED.

0545 AM TSTM WND DMG MOBILE AIRPORT 30.68N 88.24W
12/20/2012 MOBILE AL EMERGENCY MNGR

DAMAGE TO WESTERN AMERICA ON AIRPORT BLVD. WESTERN
AMERICA MISSING SIDE OF BUILDING.

0545 AM TSTM WND DMG MOBILE AIRPORT 30.68N 88.24W
12/20/2012 MOBILE AL EMERGENCY MNGR

POWER LINES DOWN FROM FILLINGIM TO MOBILE ST.

0545 AM TSTM WND DMG MOBILE AIRPORT 30.68N 88.24W
12/20/2012 MOBILE AL EMERGENCY MNGR

EXTENSIVE DAMAGE ON HOSFELT LN.

0545 AM TSTM WND DMG MOBILE AIRPORT 30.68N 88.24W
12/20/2012 MOBILE AL EMERGENCY MNGR

I-65 SERVICE RD AND DAUPHIN ST. CLOSED AT MOTEL 6. DAMAGE
TO MOTEL 6.

0545 AM TSTM WND DMG MOBILE AIRPORT 30.68N 88.24W
12/20/2012 MOBILE AL EMERGENCY MNGR

DEBRIS IN ROAD AND DAMAGE TO KRYSTAL ON DAUPHIN ST.

0545 AM TSTM WND DMG MOBILE AIRPORT 30.68N 88.24W
12/20/2012 MOBILE AL EMERGENCY MNGR

DAMAGE TO SHOPPING CENTER NEAR I-65E SERVICE RD.

0545 AM TSTM WND DMG MOBILE AIRPORT 30.68N 88.24W
12/20/2012 MOBILE AL EMERGENCY MNGR

WINDOWS BLOWN OUT AT PNC BANK AND OCHARLEYS ON AIRPORT
BLVD.

0545 AM TSTM WND DMG MOBILE AIRPORT 30.68N 88.24W
12/20/2012 MOBILE AL EMERGENCY MNGR

GAS LEAK AT DAUPHIN ST AND SAGE AVE.

0545 AM TSTM WND DMG MOBILE AIRPORT 30.68N 88.24W
12/20/2012 MOBILE AL EMERGENCY MNGR

POWER LINES DOWN AT ORLEANS ST AND VERDUN AVE.
Quoting washingtonian115:
Well the forecast is calling for snow showers now for Christmas eve here in D.C.Doesnt look like anything to serious though.


Yay! Also the potential for an ice storm is growing on Christmas as well, could see precipitation overrunning a cold airmass that is being dammed up against the Appalachians.
Good Morning All..
Well that was a fun t 'storm that just blew through here..
Tornado Watch until 12 noon..
Looks like more coming in off the Gulf..
I have my happy place ready if need be..
Hope no one was caught off guard in the wee hours..
I lost power until about 30 mins ago..
Quoting pcola57:
Good Morning All..
Well that was a fun t 'storm that just blew through here..
Tornado Watch until 12 noon..
Looks like more coming in off the Gulf..
I have my happy place ready if need be..
Hope no one was caught off guard in the wee hours..
I lost power until about 30 mins ago..
glad your ok up there, lot of tornado warnings out..stay safe ok..
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
841 AM CST THU DEC 20 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN ESCAMBIA COUNTY IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...
WEST CENTRAL OKALOOSA COUNTY IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...
SOUTHERN SANTA ROSA COUNTY IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...

* UNTIL 945 AM CST

* AT 837 AM CST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WITH STRONG ROTATION AND
LIKELY PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED 13 MILES SOUTH OF
WARRINGTON...OR 13 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PERDIDO BEACH...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PENSACOLA INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT... MIDWAY...
WOODLAWN BEACH... WHITING FIELD... TIGER POINT...
ROEVILLE... POINT BAKER... PEA RIDGE...
MULAT...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 10 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 12 AND 42.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST THURSDAY FOR
SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

&&
Quoting LargoFl:
glad your ok up there, lot of tornado warnings out..stay safe ok..


Thanks Largo and will do..
Mom gets over-excited and I have to keep a calm and level head so as to not put us at an un-necessary risk..
God love her..
After near freezing temps tomm morning in SE TX, back to record warmth come Monday
Quoting WxGeekVA:


Yay! Also the potential for an ice storm is growing on Christmas as well, could see precipitation overrunning a cold airmass that is being dammed up against the Appalachians.
This will surely set people in the mood and not put people in a rush to go over to their in laws house.Lol. Perhaps nature heard my cries.
Tomorrow night!!:)
wow this is one powerful storm alright............
man when this front gets to me i KNOW im not sleeping tonight...way too dangerous a storm...........SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
851 AM CST THU DEC 20 2012

ALC053-FLC091-113-201515-
/O.CON.KMOB.TO.W.0100.000000T0000Z-121220T1515Z/
ESCAMBIA AL-OKALOOSA FL-SANTA ROSA FL-
851 AM CST THU DEC 20 2012

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 AM CST FOR
NORTHEASTERN SANTA ROSA...NORTHWESTERN OKALOOSA AND EASTERN ESCAMBIA
COUNTIES...

AT 847 AM CST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO
WAS LOCATED 11 MILES SOUTHEAST OF EAST BREWTON...OR 6 MILES NORTHEAST
OF WHITFIELD...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
US 29 AND CR 43...
1 KM Visible Satellite for Florida



1 KM Visible Satellite for Alabama



1 KM Visible Satellite for Louisiana


854 AM CST THU DEC 20 2012

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN GREENE AND
EASTERN GEORGE COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWESTERN
CONECUH...WESTERN ESCAMBIA...SOUTHERN MONROE...SOUTHEASTERN
WASHINGTON...SOUTHEASTERN CLARKE...NORTHERN BALDWIN AND MOBILE
COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWESTERN ESCAMBIA COUNTY IN
NORTHWEST FLORIDA...THROUGH 1030 AM CST...

AT 851 AM CST...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 11 MILES EAST OF CHATOM TO 16 MILES SOUTH OF
LUCEDALE...AND MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
REGIONAL AIRPORT IN WEST MOBILE... MIDTOWN MOBILE...
DOWNTOWN MOBILE... MOWA CHOCTAW RESERVATION...
MOVICO... POARCH CREEK RESERVATION...
TILLMANS CORNER... SEMMES... SATSUMA...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 10 IN ALABAMA BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 14 AND
51. THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 65 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 83.

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THESE STORMS ARE WIND GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH.
WINDS THIS STRONG COULD BLOW OFF TREE LIMBS AND ALSO BLOW AROUND
SMALL UNSECURED OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE PASSED.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST THURSDAY FOR
SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.
Good Morning. Looking like a rough ride for the Florida Panhandle this morning and suprised to see so many tornadoes at the moment (reminds me of Spring severe weather fronts). Perhaps not surprising with this warm stretch and the flow from the Gulf.

I am working West of Tallahassee in Quincy today so will let Yall know later how we fare in the afternoon.....Might be ugly cause the Sun is out right now in the Big Bend as daytime heating gets in gear for the afternoon.
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL APPROACH THE AREA THIS EVENING AND MOVE
THROUGH THE FLORIDA PENINSULA OVERNIGHT. A BAND OF SHOWERS IS
EXPECTED TO ACCOMPANY THE FRONT AS IT MOVES SOUTHWARDS THROUGH THE
REGION. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND NORTH OF
THE I-4 CORRIDOR FROM LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH AROUND MIDNIGHT
AS THE FRONT ENTERS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL BE
INCREASING AHEAD OF THE FRONT...AND STRONGER SHOWERS AND STORMS
MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS UP TO 50 MPH AS THEY MOVE OFF TO THE EAST-
NORTHEAST AT 35 TO 40 MPH.

.MARINE THUNDERSTORM GUST IMPACT...
A BAND OF SHOWERS AND A FEW STORMS WILL ACCOMPANY A FRONT AS IT
MOVES SOUTHWARDS THROUGH EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA OVERNIGHT. STRONGER
SHOWERS AND STORMS MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS UP TO 50 MPH AS THEY
MOVE OFF TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST AT 30 TO 35 KNOTS.

.WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
WINDS WILL INCREASE OUT OF THE SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON TO 15 TO 20
KNOTS AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPROACHES THE STATE. WINDS WILL
BECOME SOUTHWEST AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS THIS EVENING AND THEN NORTHWEST
BY DAYBREAK FRIDAY AS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY CROSSES THE REGION.
OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO GALE FORCE WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE WATERS
LATE TONIGHT. SEAS WILL BUILD LATE TONIGHT TO 6 TO 10 FEET
OFFSHORE OVER THE GULF STREAM. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT
FOR ALL THE WATERS OFFSHORE EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND
BEHIND A FRONTAL PASSAGE EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THE STRONG NORTH
WINDS WILL BUILD SEAS WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO GALE FORCE POSSIBLE
OFFSHORE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. SOME OF THE COLDEST AIR OF THE
SEASON WILL ARRIVE BEHIND THE FRONT WITH LOW TEMPERATURES INTO THE
WEEKEND RANGING FROM 35 TO 40 DEGREES ACROSS MUCH OF EAST CENTRAL
FLORIDA. BREEZY WINDS OVERNIGHT FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY MORNING WILL
BRING BELOW FREEZING WIND CHILL VALUES.
The tornadic cells coming onshore around Pensicola are showing greater rotation with some well defined hook echo's. Hope everyone is in a safe spot.
Cold air really beginning to wrap around the back side of the low. St. Louis @ 47 F, Columbia is currently at 33 F and snow. Look for this to continue to fill in.

529. MTWX
Never seen so many red boxes in such a small area!!! Be carefull out there in the Pesacola Area!!!

Link

Pensacola is currently under 3 seperate tornado warnings!
Authorities say a powerful storm peeled the roofs from buildings, toppled some trucks and blew down Oak trees and limbs in the Mobile area, leading to some road closures.

Mobile County Emergency Management Agency Director Ronnie Adair tells The Associated Press that the storm struck around or shortly before 5 a.m. Thursday.

Adair said there are several buildings in the Mobile area with roof damage after high winds peeled them off buildings. He said there were no immediate reports of any major injuries.

Adair said that some parked vehicles such as delivery trucks were overturned.

He said it wasn't known whether the damage was caused by a tornado, and that would be assessed later during daylight hours.

A tornado watch, scheduled to be in effect until noon Thursday, covered 28 Alabama counties
Quoting Chapelhill:
The tornadic cells coming onshore around Pensicola are showing greater rotation with some well defined hook echo's. Hope everyone is in a safe spot.


I'm in p'cola and what I've seen so far is t'storms with lift coming off the gulf..that will make spinners very likely with the transition from water to land..
Probably been some water spouts but not certain yet..
Quoting weathermanwannabe:
Good Morning. Looking like a rough ride for the Florida Panhandle this morning and suprised to see so many tornadoes at the moment (reminds me of Spring severe weather fronts). Perhaps not surprising with this warm stretch and the flow from the Gulf.

I am working West of Tallahassee in Quincy today so will let Yall know later how we fare in the afternoon.....Might be ugly cause the Sun is out right now in the Big Bend as daytime heating gets in gear for the afternoon.
You'll be in the hot seat later today. So far most of the tornadoes have been EF0 to EF1 range, but with the increase in low level instability you are seeing this morning, there could be a few stronger ones this afternoon.
Quoting pcola57:


I'm in p'cola and what I've seen so far is t'storms with lift coming off the gulf..that will make spinners very likely with the transition from water to land..
Probably been some water spouts but not certain yet..
..please remember these tornados move fast..stay away from your windows etc ok...
Power companies: More than 53,000 people in Iowa are without power, 36,000 in Des Moines alone due to ongoing blizzard
Quoting Chapelhill:
You'll be in the hot seat later today. So far most of the tornadoes have been EF0 to EF1 range, but with the increase in low level instability you are seeing this morning, there could be a few stronger ones this afternoon.


I figured as much watching the low level fog clearing out this am...........Not "dissipating" but flowing rapidly to the NE like a low level storm circulation.......... :)
Quoting LargoFl:
..please remember these tornados move fast..stay away from your windows etc ok...
What!...shucks, and miss all the action! lol
I'll never forget the video of Reed Timmer having the window of his car explode in his face. Good thing that was tempered glass!
Maybe this explains the persistent hot pockets off the east coast...

Newly discovered Methane gas seeps off U.S. Coast

Methane Seeps are up-wind and up-current from the hot spots.

914 AM CST THU DEC 20 2012

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 930 AM CST FOR EAST
CENTRAL ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA...NORTHWESTERN OKALOOSA AND EXTREME
SOUTHEASTERN ESCAMBIA COUNTIES...

AT 910 AM CST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WITH STRONG ROTATION AND LIKELY
PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED 17 MILES NORTHEAST OF MILTON...OR 11
MILES WEST OF BAKER...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PENSACOLA INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT... WHITING FIELD...
ROEVILLE... POINT BAKER... PEA RIDGE...
MULAT... FLORIDATOWN... PACE...
MILTON...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 10 IN FLORIDA BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 8 AND 47.
I see In Iowa it is basically impossible to travel. While you are allowed to travel and do so. If you have problems no tow truck is coming as towing services are not allowed to come rescue you. Source Iowa State Patrol

Wisconsin seems to be holding its own so far as according to their DOT. Source DOT
UPDATES:
9:06 a.m. CST Thursday: Non-thunderstorm winds have downed utility lines near Bartlett, Tenn.

9:05 a.m. CST Thursday: A waterspout was observed just off of Long Beach, Miss.

9:00 a.m. CST Thursday: According to Expert Senior Meteorologist Alex Sosnowski, There were two lines of severe thunderstorms marching across Alabama and the north-central Gulf Coast area. A couple of the storms near the Gulf Coast were producing slight rotation signatures, but no tornadoes have been confirmed."
http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/live-t hunderstorms-unleash-ove/2935194
..............looks like the really Bad weather is moving towards the northeast, maybe just maybe we around Tampa bay will miss the really bad stuff like tornados etc.
Quoting LargoFl:
..please remember these tornados move fast..stay away from your windows etc ok...


Thanks Largo..we have the guest bath directly in the middle of the house so thats ground zero..
Weather radio cranked up,TV on,and I live near the local fire dept. so I should have as much warning as possible
543. SuzK
Quoting KoritheMan:


It's not going to get any better.


No it isn't! Thank you Skypony for that graphic. You folks arguing over AGW would be better spending your time on evaluating the effects of continued Arctic melting. Fast Arctic melt has been the trigger for drastic change forever. Changes are occurring. Long range forecasts should be a hot topic, rather than futile arguments and one-upsmanship. Lets talk about the unusually cold winter (again) in Russia...the storms in Europe and Britain. Anything that furthers understanding of what is occurring. Thanks for all the input that does occur here!!
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE MARYLAND PORTION OF THE
CHESAPEAKE BAY...TIDAL POTOMAC RIVER...AND ADJACENT COUNTIES IN
CENTRAL MARYLAND AND NORTHERN VIRGINIA AS WELL AS THE DISTRICT OF
COLUMBIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE TIDAL POTOMAC AND
MARYLAND CHESAPEAKE BAY THIS AFTERNOON.

SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS FOR
THE UPPER TIDAL POTOMAC AND NORTHERN CHESAPEAKE BAY. A GALE
WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM SANDY POINT TO SMITH POINT AND THE
LOWER TIDAL POTOMAC SOUTH OF COBB ISLAND OVERNIGHT.

PROLONGED SOUTH OR SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL CONTRIBUTE TO ELEVATED
TIDAL VALUES TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

STRONG GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. WIND GUSTS
FRIDAY MAY REACH 40 TO 50 MPH...AND WIND GUSTS SATURDAY COULD
REACH 50 TO 60 MPH.

GALE FORCE WINDS WINDS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY NIGHT AND
SATURDAY. A PERIOD OF STORM FORCE WINDS MAY ALSO BE POSSIBLE ON
SATURDAY.

ELEVATED TIDAL LEVELS MAY CONTINUE INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN OKALOOSA COUNTY IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...
SOUTHERN COVINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...

* UNTIL 1030 AM CST

* AT 923 AM CST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
TORNADO WAS LOCATED 14 MILES NORTHWEST OF CRESTVIEW...OR 7 MILES
NORTHWEST OF BAKER...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HORN HILL... LAUREL HILL... SANFORD...
OPP... ONYCHA... LOCKHART...
LIBERTYVILLE... FLORALA... CAROLINA...
TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 690
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
920 AM CST THU DEC 20 2012

TORNADO WATCH 690 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CST FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

FLC005-013-037-039-045-059-063-073-077-129-131-13 3-210000-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0690.121220T1520Z-121221T0000Z/

FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BAY CALHOUN FRANKLIN
GADSDEN GULF HOLMES
JACKSON LEON LIBERTY
WAKULLA WALTON WASHINGTON
$$
Really high density of Tornado Warnings in here.

While the rest of the country is getting battered by this storm we here in D.C won't see anything significant from it but rain and then wind after it.So basically it'll be remember like all the other storms this December have been in this area.Can't say that for the rest of the country huh?.
Quoting 1900hurricane:
Really high density of Tornado Warnings in here.

expected a little something going on this morning, but not quite that.. hope folks are safe this morning!
Quoting Minnemike:
expected a little something going on this morning, but not quite that.. hope folks are safe this morning!




When you have a sub 990MB expected to strengthen to 982MB as it lifts northeast later today, expect anything.

Nothing unusual for a system of this strength.

Winds advisories cover thousands of miles of terrain. It's a monster system.






Man, Pensacola is lidded with Tornado Warnings
Quoting ILwthrfan:
Cold air really beginning to wrap around the back side of the low. St. Louis @ 47 F, Columbia is currently at 33 F and snow. Look for this to continue to fill in.

Kind of in it's "eye" right now, sun popping out off & on, Litchfield's WBug reporting 49 w/ 32mph WSW wind gusting to 43.
Quoting dabirds:
Kind of in it's "eye" right now, sun popping out off & on, Litchfield's WBug reporting 49 w/ 32mph WSW wind gusting to 43.




Looks like your temperatures will be beginning to plummet, if they haven't already.

Time for the backside of the system....

Load of fun!! :)




Quoting JTDailyUpdate:
Man, Pensacola is lidded with Tornado Warnings
Good news is that these cells have weakened a bit in the past few minutes. They are not showing as much rotation, but if you're in the warned area keep sheltered.
STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 02 FOR CENTRAL PLAINS TO UPPER MIDWEST BLIZZARD

Excerpt:


THE SURFACE LOW RESPONSIBLE FOR THIS MAJOR WINTER STORM SHOULD
CONTINUE TO DEEPEN WHILE TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE UPPER
GREAT LAKES BY TONIGHT. MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW SHOULD CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF THE LOW....RESULTING IN A SWATH
OF SIX TO TWELVE INCH SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS FROM THE CENTRAL
PLAINS INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST. PORTIONS OF EASTERN WISCONSIN AND
THE UPPER PENINSULA AND NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN WILL SEE EVEN
HIGHER AMOUNTS...WITH STORM TOTALS IN EXCESS OF A FOOT EXPECTED.
IN ADDITION...WIDESPREAD STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH
THE HEAVY SNOWS TO CREATE DRIFTING SNOW AND HAZARDOUS WHITEOUT
CONDITIONS.





12Z GFS still stubborn about southern Wisconsin and extreme northern Illinois expected to see another 1" of precipitation.

How much of the precipitation will be snow and how much liquid remains to be seen. Although the Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI NWS has been doing a fantastic job on this system thus far...

click on image to enlarge


click on image to enlarge




Everyone in the warnings areas, please remain diligent and keep aware of your updates..our turn will be through the overnight hours..I really hope the cold front loses it punch but our NWS (wilmington, nc) and SPC doesnt seem to think so..

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 930 AM THURSDAY...VERY ACTIVE DAY ANTICIPATED WITH A STRONG
COLD FRONT PROGGED TO CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT...BRINGING WITH IT
SHOWERS AND STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

STRONG SURFACE CYCLONE OVER THE MIDWEST EVIDENT ON WV IMAGERY THIS
MORNING WITH A NEAR-CLASSIC BAROCLINIC LEAF ASSOCIATED WITH IT. AS
THIS LOW PRESSURE MOVES OFF TO THE NORTHEAST IT WILL OCCLUDE...WITH
TRIPLE POINT CYCLOGENESIS OCCURRING NEAR VA/NC BORDER THIS EVE. AS
NEW LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS
...PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS CONSIDERABLY
AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT WHICH WILL BE DRAPED TO THE SOUTHWEST
FROM THIS SURFACE LOW. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH
TODAY...BECOMING GUSTY THIS EVE...WITH GUSTS OF 20 TO 30 MPH
POSSIBLE AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. THIS COLD FRONT WILL BE THE MAIN
WEATHER MAKER TODAY HOWEVER...WITH STRONG TO SEVERE CONVECTION
CROSSING THE CWA TONIGHT.

COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE CWA FROM ABOUT 7PM IN THE FAR
WEST...EXITING OFFSHORE AROUND 1AM. IT APPEARS LIKELY THAT A SQUALL
LINE WILL EXIST ALONG AND JUST AHEAD OF THIS BOUNDARY...AND A QLCS
MAY IMPACT THE ENTIRE AREA DURING THIS TIME FRAME IN AN HSLC EVENT.
THE LIMITING FACTOR TO THIS EVENT WILL BE...AS IS ALWAYS THE CASE
WITH HSLC EVENTS...INSTABILITY...BUT IT DOES LOOK LIKE THERE WILL BE
ENOUGH FORCING TO SUPPORT A DECENT SEVERE EVENT TONIGHT
. AS COLD
FRONT APPROACHES...LLJ AT 925MB AND 850MB MAXIMIZE ACROSS THE
CAROLINAS...WITH WINDS INCREASING TO AROUND 60 KTS AT BOTH
LEVELS...AND 0-6KM BULK SHEAR VECTORS ARE 50-70 KTS. ALTHOUGH
CONVECTION WILL REMAIN RATHER LOW TOPPED...IT WILL NOT TAKE MUCH TO
MIX DOWN THESE WINDS...AND SPC HAS KEPT A SLIGHT RISK IN THE SWODY1.
WHILE MAX HEIGHT FALLS LAG SLIGHTLY BEHIND THE SQUALL LINE...AND THE
REGION SITS BENEATH THE RIGHT-EXIT REGION TO A 120KT UPPER JET
(WHICH IS NOT EXACTLY FAVORABLE FOR LIFT)...ENOUGH SURFACE
CONVERGENCE WILL EXIST TO TAP THIS LLJ AND HAVE ADDED GUSTY WINDS TO
WX GRIDS.

WHILE THE SQUALL LINE PUSHES EAST...EXPECT IT WILL ACTUALLY ORGANIZE
ITSELF BETTER ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CWA. AS WINDS TURN SW
JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT...RICH THETA-E PLUME ADVECTS INTO THE
COASTAL REGION OF THE CAROLINAS WHICH WILL CREATE SOME ENHANCED
INSTABILITY AND SUPPORT BETTER ORGANIZATION OF THE LINE...EVEN AT
NIGHT. THIS IS SUPPORTED BY ALL HIGH-RES GUIDANCE AND FEEL THE BEST
CHANCE FOR SEVERE WILL BE ACROSS THE COASTAL COUNTIES (ALTHOUGH THE
ENTIRE CWA WILL BE UNDER THE GUN). AT THE SAME TIME...0-3 KM
HELICITIES APPROACH INCREDIBLE VALUES OF 600-900 M2/S2...MUCH OF
WHICH IS CONTAINED IN THE LOWEST 1KM AS EVIDENCED BY LARGE RIGHT
TURNING HODOGRAPHS WITHIN THAT LAYER. THIS IS A CLASSIC SIGNAL FOR
POTENTIAL QLCS TORNADOES...OR EVEN A DISCRETE LOW-TOPPED SUPERCELL
AHEAD OF THE LINE. SPC UPGRADED TO 5% TORNADO RISK AT 1300 UTC...AND
ALTHOUGH ANY TORNADO THREAT WILL BE ISOLATED...IT CANNOT BE RULED
OUT. IT WILL BE INTERESTING AS WELL THAT SINCE PREDOMINANT LIFT
REMAINS BELOW CHARGE-SEPARATION TEMPERATURES...THERE WILL BE VERY
LITTLE LIGHTNING ASSOCIATED WITH STORMS TONIGHT.
Good morning everybody and stay safe.

a href="Photobucket" target="_blank">

a href="Photobucket" target="_blank">
Once again the "Evil" communists are too good at what they do, so the "Good" democracies have to put tariffs on Chinese exports.

How does that help converting to clean energy?

Apparently Democracy hates progress

If they can afford to make it and then ship it half way around the world for 2.5x cheaper than what we can make it right here, then we either have some very stupid engineers, or corrupt executives. Honestly I vote for both stupid engineers and corrupt executives.
Quoting RTSplayer:
Maybe this explains the persistent hot pockets off the east coast...

Newly discovered Methane gas seeps off U.S. Coast

Methane Seeps are up-wind and up-current from the hot spots.

A new rift formed?
We have so many more rules of what manufacturers are allowed to use (lead paint comes to mind) for both safety and environmental concerns. Therefore we are regulated on emissions both gaseous and liquids that are produced in manufacturing. Controlling these emissions and keeping workers safe to meet OSHA rules are all expenses the Chinese are not having to meet. Never mind Insurance and our much higher labor costs. Now back to weather which affects us all in every country.
Quoting RTSplayer:
Once again the "Evil" communists are too good at what they do, so the "Good" democracies have to put tariffs on Chinese exports.

How does that help converting to clean energy?

Apparently Democracy hates progress

If they can afford to make it and then ship it half way around the world for 2.5x cheaper than what we can make it right here, then we either have some very stupid engineers, or corrupt executives. Honestly I vote for both stupid engineers and corrupt executives.

Raleigh NWS as of 10:25am is not real impressed with the severe potential for central NC. There's a better chance for you down east.


SEVERE WEATHER PARAMETERS REMAIN SOMEWHAT MURKY...VERY LIMITED INSTABILITY BUT WITH SIGNIFICANT SHEAR. THE NAM MUCAPE IS A LITTLE MORE IMPRESSIVE...200 TO 400J/KG THIS EVENING GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM ABOUT KRCZ...THROUGH THE SOUTHERN TRIANGLE...TO NEAR KIXA. THE LATEST UPDRAFT HELICITY ON THE LOCAL WRF...WHILE LOW...CONCENTRATES AN INCREASE TOWARD KFAY...KGSB
AND KRWI THIS EVENING COINCIDENT WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE. GIVEN THE DYNAMICS OF THE SYSTEM...AND WITH EVEN MARGINAL INSTABILITY...THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER REMAINS...WITH A SOMEWHAT HIGHER CHANCE
RELATIVE TO THE REST OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA ALONG AND EAST OF THE AFOREMENTIONED LINE...PARTICULARLY WHEN IT COMES TO ANY ROTATING
CELLS.
1980 Arctic Sea Ice vs 2012.

Old data doesn't show snowpacks.

Didn't take long, sun gone, 45 - now top of WU page says StL is 41, and Spfld, IL, 100 mi N is 49 - don't see that too often! Edit - since post Spfld already down to 46!
Interesting article about the Norwegian current and North Atlantic Drift--though they confusingly call it the Gulf Stream.



quote:

Dr Medhaug's calculations show that the winds from the southwest play a weaker role in driving the Gulf Stream towards Norway than previously thought. Instead, it is the northerlies that "pull" the waters northward by emptying water masses out of the Norwegian Sea.

"The strong current northward off the Norwegian coastline is to a great extent the result of a compensation for water that has flowed away, southward between Greenland and Iceland," continues Dr Medhaug.
568. VR46L
My ,the Panhandle is taking a real beating ...folks out there stay safe......



Current Snowfall Totals in Wisconsin as of 7AM.



And this still to go...

570. eddye
look like orlando going 2 be under a freeze watch and a wind chill warning
Wind has suddenly picked up here in Decatur, IL gusting over 40 mph and sustained at 25 mph.

Preliminary Info on 2012 U.S. Billion-Dollar Extreme Weather/Climate Events



The eleven events include:

Southeast/Ohio Valley Tornadoes — March 2–3 2012
Texas Tornadoes — April 2–3 2012
Great Plains Tornadoes — April 13–14 2012
Midwest/Ohio Valley Severe Weather — April 28–May 1 2012
Southern Plains/Midwest/Northeast Severe Weather — May 25–30 2012
Rockies/Southwest Severe Weather — June 6–12 2012
Plains/East/Northeast Severe Weather (“Derecho”) — June 29–July 2 2012
Hurricane Isaac — August 26–31 2012
Western Wildfires — Summer–Fall, 2012
Hurricane Sandy — October 29–31 2012
U.S. Drought/Heatwave — throughout 2012

Dont know if you can read this but:
IntercontinentalExchange to buy NYSE for $8.2B

NEW YORK The New York Stock Exchange (NYX) is being sold to a rival exchange for about $8 billion, ending more than two centuries of independence for the iconic Big Board.

The buyer, IntercontinentalExchange Inc. (ICE), an upstart exchange based in Atlanta, made clear Thursday that little would change for the iconic trading floor in Manhattan's financial district if regulators approve the deal.
06z GFS has snow on the 27th for me..back to back snow??



and then a New Year Day storm



the 12z GFS snowfall map is currently loading
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:
Preliminary Info on 2012 U.S. Billion-Dollar Extreme Weather/Climate Events



The eleven events include:

Southeast/Ohio Valley Tornadoes %u2014 March 2%u20133 2012
Texas Tornadoes %u2014 April 2%u20133 2012
Great Plains Tornadoes %u2014 April 13%u201314 2012
Midwest/Ohio Valley Severe Weather %u2014 April 28%u2013May 1 2012
Southern Plains/Midwest/Northeast Severe Weather %u2014 May 25%u201330 2012
Rockies/Southwest Severe Weather %u2014 June 6%u201312 2012
Plains/East/Northeast Severe Weather (%u201CDerecho%u201D) %u2014 June 29%u2013July 2 2012
Hurricane Isaac %u2014 August 26%u201331 2012
Western Wildfires %u2014 Summer%u2013Fall, 2012
Hurricane Sandy %u2014 October 29%u201331 2012
U.S. Drought/Heatwave %u2014 throughout 2012

Dont know if you can read this but:

2012

U.S. Drought/Heatwave - 2012: The 2012 drought is the most extensive drought to affect the U.S. since the 1930's. Drought conditions have affected
more than half the country for a majority of 2012: (CA, NV, ID, MT, WY, UT, CO, AZ, NM, TX, ND, SD, NE, KS, OK, AR, MO, IA, MN, IL, IN, GA).

Drought impacts are most costly across the central agriculture states resulting in widespread harvest failure for corn, sorghum and soybean crops,
among others. The associated summer heatwave also caused 123 direct deaths, but an estimate of the excess mortality due to heat stress is still
unknown. Total Estimated Costs: -- Billion; 123 Deaths

Western Wildfires - Summer-Fall, 2012: Wildfires burned over 9.1 million acres across the U.S. in 2012. This is the 2nd highest annual total since the
year 2000, only exceeded by 2006 when 9.4 million acres burned. The most damaging wildfires occurred in the western states (CO, ID, WY, MT, CA,
NV, OR, WA). Colorado experienced the most costly wildfires (e.g., Waldo Canyon fire) where several hundred residences were destroyed. Total
Estimated Costs: -- Billion; 8 Deaths

Sandy - October 2012: Extensive damage across several northeastern states (MD, DE, NJ, NY, CT, MA, RI) due to high wind and coastal storm
surge, particularly NY and NJ. Damage from wind, rain and heavy snow also extended more broadly to other states (NC, VA, WV, OH, PA, NH), as
Sandy merged with a developing Nor'easter. Sandy's impact on major population centers caused widespread interruption to critical water / electrical
services and also caused 131 deaths. Sandy also caused the New York Stock Exchange to close for two consecutive business days, which last
happened in 1888 due to a major winter storm. Total Estimated Costs: -- Billion; 131 Deaths

Hurricane Isaac - August 2012: Category 1 hurricane made landfall over Louisiana. Isaac's slow motion and large size led to a large storm surge and
flooding rains. This created damage across several southeastern states (LA, MS, AL, FL). Total Estimated Costs: -- Billion; 9 Deaths

Plains/East/Northeast Severe Weather - June 29-July 2 2012: Sustained outbreak of thunderstorms / high winds from a strong derecho event over
the central, eastern, and northeastern states (IL, IN, KY, OH, WV, SC, NC, VA, MD, DC, NJ). Total Estimated Costs: -- Billion; 28 Deaths

Rockies/Southwest Severe Weather - June 6-12 2012: Severe storms and damaging hail over several states (CO, NM, TX) with 25 confirmed
tornadoes. Colorado experienced over $1.0 billion in damage due to hail. Total Estimated Costs: -- Billion

Southern Plains/Midwest/Northeast Severe Weather - May 25-30 2012: Severe storms over the southern plains, midwest and northeast (TX, OK,
KS, MN, PA, NY) with 27 confirmed tornadoes. Significant damage also from severe hail and straight-line winds. Total Estimated Costs: -- Billion; 1
Deaths

Midwest/Ohio Valley Severe Weather - April 28-May 1 2012: Severe weather over the midwest and Ohio Valley (TX, OK, KS, MO, IL, IN, KY) with 38
confirmed tornadoes. Considerable damage resulting from hail. Total Estimated Costs: -- Billion; 1 Deaths

Midwest Tornadoes - April 13-14 2012: Outbreak of tornadoes and severe weather over the midwest (OK, KS, NE, IA) with 98 confirmed tornadoes
including many tornadoes that remained on the ground for an extended time - traveling tens of miles. Total Estimated Costs: -- Billion; 6 Deaths

Texas Tornadoes - April 2-3 2012: Outbreak of tornadoes across the greater Dallas-Ft. Worth metropolitan area. Several moderate strength
tornadoes (EF-2 and EF-3) affected towns in this area with a total of 22 confirmed tornadoes. Total Estimated Costs: -- Billion

Southeast/Ohio Valley Tornadoes - March 2-3 2012: Outbreak of tornadoes and severe weather over the southeast and Ohio Valley (AL, GA, IN,
OH, KY, TN) with 75 confirmed tornadoes. Total Estimated Costs: -- Billion; 42 Deaths
Stay safe folks in the Midwest and South today! Don't drive if you don't have to.


I'm wishing Rhode Island and New England could finally get some snow. We only had one storm last season.
Litchfield has 38 continuous, now up to 48 gust ILwthr. Appears the frozen stuff has crossed the river about Quincy north, though not sure how accurate the colors are.
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1050 AM CST THU DEC 20 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
WESTERN HOLMES COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA...
NORTHERN WALTON COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA...
GENEVA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...

* UNTIL 1130 AM CST

* AT 1046 AM CST...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS DETECTED A LINE
OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
FROM SAMSON TO 29 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SAMSON...OR ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM SPEARS TO DORCAS...AND MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
GENEVA AND HARTFORD
580. wxmod
Quoting RTSplayer:
Once again the "Evil" communists are too good at what they do, so the "Good" democracies have to put tariffs on Chinese exports.

How does that help converting to clean energy?

Apparently Democracy hates progress

If they can afford to make it and then ship it half way around the world for 2.5x cheaper than what we can make it right here, then we either have some very stupid engineers, or corrupt executives. Honestly I vote for both stupid engineers and corrupt executives.


Chinese air an water quality tell the story. So do the hideous work conditions. I suggest you go there and try to survive. They are shipping their products to us on mega ships powered by burned plastic. Wonderful. If that is progress, people will be extinct very soon.
Quoting ncstorm:
06z GFS has snow on the 27th for me..back to back snow??



and then a New Year Day storm



the 12z GFS snowfall map is currently loading
Doesn't look like much of storm, sadly...
Quoting weatherrx2012:
Stay safe folks in the Midwest and South today! Don't drive if you don't have to.


I'm wishing Rhode Island and New England could finally get some snow. We only had one storm last season.
good luck up there..this storm IS headed to the niortheast...could bring you some snow but for sure high winds..stay safe
.
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT - AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL
RESULT IN SOUTHERLY WINDS THAT INCREASE IN THE AFTERNOON INTO THE
15 TO 20 KNOTS RANGE. SOUTHWEST WINDS SHIFT TO NORTHWEST TONIGHT
AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS...EXCEPT TO AROUND 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO GALE
FORCE ON THE OFFSHORE WATERS BETWEEN ENGLEWOOD AND SUWANNEE RIVER.
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY GOES INTO EFFECT THIS EVENING FOR THE BAY
AND THE COASTAL WATERS...BUT WITH A GALE WATCH 20 TO 60 MILES
OFFSHORE BETWEEN ENGLEWOOD AND SUWANNEE RIVER. THESE WIND SPEEDS
ALONG WITH THE RESULTANT SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
TONIGHT - THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA FROM NORTH TO SOUTH
DURING THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING HOURS OF
FRIDAY...BRINGING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY BECOME VERY ROBUST AND
PRODUCE STRONG WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

...WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN BEHIND THE FRONT WITH NORTHERLY WINDS OF 20
TO 25 KNOTS...WITH GUSTS TO GALE FORCE MAINLY OFFSHORE...AND SEAS
UP TO 10 FEET. THESE WINDS AND SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT FRIDAY AND INTO LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT.

...RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
ELEVATED WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HIGH SURF AND A
GREATER THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE BEACHES FRIDAY. A HIGH
SURF ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

...EXCESSIVE COLD IMPACT...
A DRY AND COLD AIR MASS BEGINS WORKING IN FRIDAY WITH FREEZING
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING FROM PASCO COUNTY NORTHWARD. A FREEZE WATCH HAS BEEN
ISSUED FOR 2 TO 5 HOURS OF TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 20S TO
LOWER 30S. COLD SENSITIVE PLANTS SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT
INDOORS DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PETS SHOULD ALSO BE BROUGHT
INDOORS.
Quoting LargoFl:
..............looks like the really Bad weather is moving towards the northeast, maybe just maybe we around Tampa bay will miss the really bad stuff like tornados etc.
Depends on the track of the ULL that is currently centered over Illinois and Indiana, since most of the moisture is coming up from the GOM and feeding into the ULL from a Southwest to Northeastlery flow and wrapping around the main center, we here in the bay area should get a line to come through, but it depends on how much energy is left.
could This be called a Nor'easter?..whew look at the power...
a href="Photobucket" target="_blank">

Seeing some building up out in the Gulf.. A 70% chance of thunderstorms likely this evening on the west coast of of FL here in Madeira Beach.
Quoting GTcooliebai:
Depends on the track of the ULL that is currently centered over Illinois and Indiana, since most of the moisture is coming up from the GOM and feeding into the ULL from a Southwest to Northeastlery flow and wrapping around the main center, we here in the bay area should get a line to come through, but it depends on how much energy is left.
thanks, i hope it weakens before it gets to us, we need the rain but hold off on the tornado's..we'll be 80 degree's today and that front is powerful
589. wxmod
Quoting LargoFl:
..............looks like the really Bad weather is moving towards the northeast, maybe just maybe we around Tampa bay will miss the really bad stuff like tornados etc.


Looks like everyone's going to get hammered. Hope you have a good roof!
Nexrad annimated:

Winds blowing strong here today. Still dealing with drought issues too.

Storm knocks out power to thousands of Entergy customers

SOUTHEAST TEXAS - BY SCOTT LAWRENCE:

A line of thunderstorms packing strong winds rolled across Southeast Texas early Thursday morning, knocking out power to 20,000 Entergy customers in the utility's 27 county service area, including Jefferson County, according to Dave Caplan with Entergy.

According to Caplan, about 2/3 of the outages are in the western edges of the service area, including Conroe, Huntsville and New Caney.

Some homes and business in Beaumont have lost power. Thursday morning power was out at Sam's Wholesale Club and other nearby businesses, as well as intersections in the vicinity of I-10 and Washington. 

Caplan told KFDM News that Entergy is calling in extra crews to help restore power. He says the utility should be able to restore power quickly to most of the customers in the Beaumont area. Customers in other areas might not have their power back until Thursday night or Friday.

Caplan said the 2011 drought is a factor in the outages. Entergy has been working to remove dead trees from power lines but when a storm with gusty winds blows through the region it still has the capacity to cause power outages.

The storm also caused outages to about 30,000 Centerpoint customers in the Houston area and more than 35,000 in North Texas.
This is turning out to be a pretty potent low affecting a large swatch of US.

In terms of our Florida residents, that squall line is really starting to put some meat on the bones out in the Gulf. Someone mentioned this morning that the line might "miss" Tampa. Not looking that way anymore..........Gonna have a keep your NOAA weather radios on on the Western Coast of Florida-Central Florida as it sweeps in later this afternoon.

Link

Gulf Loop
I think the cold front ended up bringing more West Texas dust than rain here. Lots of dust everywhere, especially on my car.
Quoting weathermanwannabe:
This is turning out to be a pretty potent low affecting a large swatch of US.

In terms of our Florida residents, that squall line is really starting to put some meat on the bones out in the Gulf. Someone mentioned this morning that the line might "miss" Tampa. Not looking that way anymore..........Gonna have a keep your NOAA weather radios on on the Western Coast of Florida-Central Florida as it sweeps in later this afternoon.

Link

Gulf Loop
thanks for that, taking in the lawn furniture etc, gutters already cleaned out..
a href="Photobucket" target="_blank">
Quoting LargoFl:
thanks, i hope it weakens before it gets to us, we need the rain but hold off on the tornado's..we'll be 80 degree's today and that front is powerful
Yep 80s today 60s tomorrow, talk about a wild temperature swing, perfect weather to get you sick if you're not dressed properly, and no sir do I want to get sick, since I've already been sick. Nevertheless this cool down will make it feel more like the holidays :)
Quoting GTcooliebai:
Yep 80s today 60s tomorrow, talk about a wild temperature swing, perfect weather to get you sick if you're not dressed properly, and no sir do I want to get sick, since I've already been sick. Nevertheless this cool down will make it feel more like the holidays :)
yes will only last the weekend, next week its back up in the mid 70's
A SQUALL LINE OF HEAVY SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES TODAY. THIS ACTIVITY WILL MOVE
INTO INTERIOR SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE
SUWANNEE VALLEY DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING
HOURS...AND WILL THEN QUICKLY TRAVERSE THE REST OF NORTHEAST
FLORIDA THIS EVENING. STRONG WINDS ALOFT WILL ACCOMPANY THIS
FRONT...AND STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ACROSS SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE
INTERSTATE 10 CORRIDOR IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA. THE STORM PREDICTION
CENTER HAS PLACED THESE LOCATIONS IN A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING.
601. wxmod
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:
IntercontinentalExchange to buy NYSE for $8.2B

NEW YORK The New York Stock Exchange (NYX) is being sold to a rival exchange for about $8 billion, ending more than two centuries of independence for the iconic Big Board.

The buyer, IntercontinentalExchange Inc. (ICE), an upstart exchange based in Atlanta, made clear Thursday that little would change for the iconic trading floor in Manhattan's financial district if regulators approve the deal.


This is pretty bizarre. What will the present exchange owners do with all that money? Sounds like China is collecting on a debt. Next, we sell Manhattan, then LA.
Fire Weather Watch
FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-210900 -
/O.NEW.KTBW.FW.A.0018.121221T1700Z-121221T2300Z/
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSB OROUGH-POLK-
MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DESOTO-CHARLOTT E-LEE-
357 AM EST THU DEC 20 2012

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL HAS
ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.

* AFFECTED AREA...LEVY...CITRUS...SUMTER...HERNANDO...PASCO.. .
PINELLAS...HILLSBOROUGH...POLK...MANATEE...HARDEE ...
HIGHLANDS...SARASOTA...DESOTO...CHARLOTTE...LEE.

* WIND...NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

* HUMIDITY...25 TO 30 PERCENT

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY.
OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD.

I wonder with humidity this low if the atmosphere will moisten up to bring a line of storms through or if we will even see any rain at all.
Interesting, but not as interesting as my gulf coast snowstorm would be.


I admit I may be a little biased.

Que sera sera.
Quoting PensacolaDoug:
Interesting, but not as interesting as my gulf coast snowstorm would be.


I admit I may be a little biased.

Que sera sera.


Gulf storms are always more interesting, but if you are in Florida what do you expect to get?
Im just hoping for another powdery snow event in N Ga, because 99% of the snow i get is wet muddy mush that is gone in 24 hours.
But whenever it is snowing I cant stop watching it from the time it starts to when it finishes, not wanting to miss a single burst of heavy snow.....and then its so sad then the snow event finishes.
wow amazing the sheer power of this system......
Quoting wxmod:


This is pretty bizarre. What will the present exchange owners do with all that money? Sounds like China is collecting on a debt. Next, we sell Manhattan, then LA.


Um who owns LA/Manhattan to sell it?
These are company deals, and not government deals.
And no we arent going to sell anything.
For somebody who always denies being a conspiracy theorist, you come up with some of the wierdest conspiracies.
Quoting LargoFl:
wow amazing the sheer power of this system......
It has already put down 45 mph gusts here on the plateau, and those winds will increase through out the day.
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
1023 AM EST THU DEC 20 2012

MDZ007-011-014-016>018-VAZ057-202330-
/O.NEW.KLWX.CF.Y.0063.121220T2300Z-121221T1100Z/
HARFORD-SOUTHERN BALTIMORE-ANNE ARUNDEL-CHARLES-ST. MARYS-CALVERT-
KING GEORGE-
1023 AM EST THU DEC 20 2012

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
6 AM EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A
COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS
EVENING TO 6 AM EST FRIDAY.

* TIDAL ANOMALY...ONE TO TWO FEET ABOVE NORMAL.

* TIMING...LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

* EXPECTED IMPACTS...MINOR SHORELINE INUNDATION ALONG SENSITIVE
AREAS.

HERE ARE THE TIMES OF THE NEXT HIGH TIDES
FOR A FEW LOCATIONS FROM NORTH TO SOUTH...
ON THE CHESAPEAKE BAY...
HAVRE DE GRACE...3:55 AM...
BOWLEY BAR...1:23 AM...
FORT MCHENRY BALTIMORE...12:32 AM...
ANNAPOLIS U.S. NAVAL ACADEMY...11:10 PM...
CHESAPEAKE BEACH...9:45 PM...
SOLOMONS ISLAND...8:11 PM...
POINT LOOKOUT...7:04 PM...

NOW ALONG THE POTOMAC RIVER...
GOOSE BAY...10:07 PM...
COLTONS POINT...8:57 PM...
PINEY POINT...8:21 PM...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.
Quoting hydrus:
It has already put down 45 mph gusts here on the plateau. and those winds will increase through out the day.
gee stay safe hydrus, alot of damage earlier in alabama etc
And look at the next one swooping in.
Quoting LargoFl:
wow amazing the sheer power of this system......

from one of the tornados this morning......


I have never seen this combination in Florida...freeze watch next t a tornado watch....
Quoting PensacolaDoug:
Interesting, but not as interesting as my gulf coast snowstorm would be.


I admit I may be a little biased.

Que sera sera.


I wonder what conditions would have to be in play for a significant blizzard to occur in Florida? I'd imagine one way would be two or three extremely strong cold fronts pushing through right behind each other.

The first one is your typical early-January cold-front in an El Nino year, dropping temperatures across Central and North Florida for lows into the mid to upper-20s. An equally as strong one though comes in a day after that one, dropping temperatures into the low-20s or upper 10s. The third and final one, a day or so after that one, while temperatures aren't even crossing 32 degrees across Florida for highs, comes in and the heavy rain transforms into snow across most of the state.
Quoting LargoFl:
gee stay safe hydrus, alot of damage earlier in alabama etc
I want mention that the GFS deserves a pat on the motherboard for nailing the current storm pattern. I posted a week ago that if the model panned out, we would see severe weather and blizzard warnings.
Quoting hydrus:
I want mention that the GFS deserves a pat on the motherboard for nailing the current storm pattern. I posted a week ago that if the model panned out, we would see severe weather and blizzard warnings.
oh yes i remember your post on it...
Quoting CybrTeddy:


I wonder what conditions would have to be in play for a significant blizzard to occur in Florida? I'd imagine one way would be two or three extremely strong cold fronts pushing through right behind each other.
the trouble with a florida snowstorm is..it does get cold enough here BUT..once the front pushes thru..it always brings in real dry air..no moisture for snow to happen
RELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1014 AM CST THU DEC 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0955 AM FUNNEL CLOUD 6 S BRANTLEY 31.50N 86.26W
12/20/2012 CRENSHAW AL EMERGENCY MNGR
Not even noon as of yet and this line of storms in Western Indiana is just blossoming.

Quoting LargoFl:
the trouble with a florida snowstorm is..it does get cold enough here BUT..once the front pushes thru..it always brings in real dry air..no moisture for snow to happen


Another issue is how quickly temperatures recover in Florida, I've never lived in a state before that can have a low of 29 degrees, and a high of 72 degrees, and the next day a high of 80 degrees.

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN CHAMBERS...SOUTHERN
TALLAPOOSA...NORTHERN PIKE...MONTGOMERY...MACON...LEE...EASTERN
ELMORE...NORTHWESTERN BARBOUR AND BULLOCK COUNTIES UNTIL NOON CST...

AT 1110 AM CST...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAS TRACKING STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM DADEVILLE TO TALLASSEE TO
PIKE ROAD TO LAPINE...AND MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS...ALONG WITH
HEAVY RAIN.

LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE...
TALLASSEE...
MEADVILLE...
MILSTEAD...
CAMP HILL...
NOTASULGA...

TORRENTIAL RAIN...WHICH MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES...IS ALSO LIKELY. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE ON A FLOODED
ROADWAY.
Quoting hydrus:
I want mention that the GFS deserves a pat on the motherboard for nailing the current storm pattern. I posted a week ago that if the model panned out, we would see severe weather and blizzard warnings.


But as usual it doesnt come to GA.
The mets are looking towards the next system now, but the GFS scaling that back too, and no real snow chance through early january.

January - February is our best shot for snow, and the earliest major severe weather event i remember after the December 22nd tornadoes last year was the January 23rd tornado event withe the EF-3 that hit center point and the MOD risk of severe weather in arkansas. That was acutally interesting, there was a large EF-2 in arkansas.
So im just looking for our chances on snow or severe weather in January. Its been a quiet 6 months in GA
Quoting CybrTeddy:


Another issue is how quickly temperatures recover in Florida, I've never lived in a state before that can have a low of 29 degrees, and a high of 72 degrees, and the next day a high of 80 degrees.
Quoting CybrTeddy:


Another issue is how quickly temperatures recover in Florida, I've never lived in a state before that can have a low of 29 degrees, and a high of 72 degrees, and the next day a high of 80 degrees.
yeah freezing temps dont last long at all here..
HE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN DALE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...
SOUTHERN HENRY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...

* UNTIL 1230 PM CST

* AT 1131 AM CST...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS DETECTED A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60
MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR NEWTON...OR NEAR FIVE POINTS...
AND MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
PINCKARD...MIDLAND CITY AND HEADLAND

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT
AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
rememberon thing floridians wishing for a snow storm..there isnt ONE snow tire in the whole state LOL
winds picking up now..............
just cant get that last frame.............
Happy New Year's from the GFS snOMG lol ....too bad it won't happen

Off-topic but I am finally free of school until Jan 8. I pass all of my classes and merry Christmas everyone.
601 wxmod: Sounds like China is collecting on a debt.

Institutional ownership list for IntercontinentalExchange
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1145 AM CST THU DEC 20 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
WEST CENTRAL BAY COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA...
EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN HOLMES COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA...
SOUTHEASTERN WALTON COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA...
WESTERN WASHINGTON COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA...

* UNTIL 1230 PM CST

* AT 1142 AM CST...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS DETECTED A LINE
OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
FROM 19 MILES WEST OF VERNON TO 41 MILES SOUTH OF SANTA ROSA
BEACH...AND MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
VERNON BY 1230 PM CST...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT
AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO
IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY.

&&
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


But as usual it doesnt come to GA.
The mets are looking towards the next system now, but the GFS scaling that back too, and no real snow chance through early january.

January - February is our best shot for snow, and the earliest major severe weather event i remember after the December 22nd tornadoes last year was the January 23rd tornado event withe the EF-3 that hit center point and the MOD risk of severe weather in arkansas. That was acutally interesting, there was a large EF-2 in arkansas.
So im just looking for our chances on snow or severe weather in January. Its been a quiet 6 months in GA
Not to sound sarcastic, but be careful what you wish for. The GFS has this next system in a position to produce a significant weather event for you..And it may not be pleasant.....Large wind field with this system..
This reminds me of jan 9 2011 in GA, its quite surprising to see in person, a lot brighter because of all the snow:

img src="">
1156 AM CST THU DEC 20 2012

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1215 PM CST FOR
SOUTHWESTERN HENRY AND NORTH CENTRAL HOUSTON COUNTIES...

AT 1154 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR KINSEY...MOVING
EAST AT 40 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
HEADLAND...WEBB...HEADLAND MUNICIPAL A/P...PEARCE...PLEASANT
PLAINS...TUMBLETON...SIGMA AND GRANDBERRY CROSSROADS


North of Dothan, AL
Tampa Bay area tonight..................
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:
This reminds me of jan 9 2011 in GA, its quite surprising to see in person, a lot brighter because of all the snow:

img src="">


awesome!!!!!!!!!!!

Cantore was not around...lol
TWC still naming winter storms? Really? That’s a great way to confuse the public. Well done….

During the NorEaster after Sandy NWS sent out a bulleting explicitly saying they are not naming non tropical systems and for its affiliates to not use names in their products.
Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:
1156 AM CST THU DEC 20 2012

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1215 PM CST FOR
SOUTHWESTERN HENRY AND NORTH CENTRAL HOUSTON COUNTIES...

AT 1154 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR KINSEY...MOVING
EAST AT 40 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
HEADLAND...WEBB...HEADLAND MUNICIPAL A/P...PEARCE...PLEASANT
PLAINS...TUMBLETON...SIGMA AND GRANDBERRY CROSSROADS


North of Dothan, AL
geez going to be alot of people hurting comes tomorrow..this storm is powerful
Quoting Smikey:
TWC still naming winter storms? Really? That’s a great way to confuse the public. Well done….

During the NorEaster after Sandy NWS sent out a bulleting explicitly saying they are not naming non tropical systems and for its affiliates to not use names in their products.


they still are....where have you been at?
WPB!!:)
and for our Canadian posters...........
Quoting LargoFl:
geez going to be alot of people hurting comes tomorrow..this storm is powerful


I mean, look at the huge size of the storm...terrible spelling I did there
wonder why the tornados are staying so long here along the gulf coast?..is it our temps?.............1156 AM CST THU DEC 20 2012

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1215 PM CST FOR
SOUTHWESTERN HENRY AND NORTH CENTRAL HOUSTON COUNTIES...

AT 1154 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR KINSEY...MOVING
EAST AT 40 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
HEADLAND...WEBB...HEADLAND MUNICIPAL A/P...PEARCE...PLEASANT
PLAINS...TUMBLETON...SIGMA AND GRANDBERRY CROSSROADS

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CST THURSDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHWEST GEORGIA.
Jeff,

Looks like there's already been some thundersnow in Wisconsin (07Z in Madison). Snowing to beat the band!!!!!


There was thundersnow at Madison, WI, at 07Z. Courtesy of the University of Wisconsin.

I suspect it was associated with frontogenesis at 850 mb (07Z Rapid Refresh model analysis...purple contours). Frontogenesis is the increase in the temperature gradient (at 850 mb in this case). There is a direct circulation of air and upward motion associated with frontogenesis.
...wow we ARE going to get it tonight huh..........
650. VR46L
Quoting Smikey:
TWC still naming winter storms? Really? That’s a great way to confuse the public. Well done….

During the NorEaster after Sandy NWS sent out a bulleting explicitly saying they are not naming non tropical systems and for its affiliates to not use names in their products.


I have explained my objections to TWC naming storms , I will summarize ..

I have no objection to storms being named as long as its unilateral . Its a farce at the moment the NWS (who everyone really gets their warnings from) Accuweather and Fox are not naming them this leads to confusion .

People argue hurricanes and Tropical storms are named who names them ? The National Hurricane Centre and all the private weather companies take their lead on the name and refer to the storm as such .

If they used the Berlin Model were the money generated goes back to fund the education of young Meotrologists and metrological research . It would be to use a young phrase Cool (but I aint terrible young that I will accept, being patronized by people who think they have a right to talk down to me)

Any money that is being made by this company is going back into stockholders pockets rather to increase research into weather .unlike the European model....

Also It had been claimed that TWC were the first company to do so but a small weather company already does so its not an original idea and does come off as a gimmick and marketing stragery.

I actually find it ironic that people who regard themselves as left wing are in support of this Idea (TWC naming storms)..but maybe thats because I keep my political opinions to myself .

According to Bay News 9 Chief Meteorologist Mike Clay, the coldest air of the season, along with a Freeze Watch, will arrive Friday night, following a cold front that will move through the region Thursday night.

"A narrow line of showers and a few thunderstorms will accompany the front around midnight," Clay said. "Don’t expect any severe thunderstorms although there might be some gusty winds with the front and showers."

High temperatures during the day Friday will be in the low 60s.

Temperatures will dip into the low 40s across the area and the Freeze Watch will be in place for Saturday morning for Pasco, Hernando and Citrus counties. Citrus and Hernando counties are forecast to drop into the upper 20s while Pasco should drop into the lower 30s.

Sunday morning should be just as chilly with lows in the 20s in the area's northern counties to 40s around the Bay area. High temperatures on Saturday and Sunday will only be in the 60s.

Conditions will return to the mid 70s by the start of next week. The Bay area will see a mild and dry Christmas with daytime temperatures in the mid 70s.

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
1226 PM EST THU DEC 20 2012

PAZ006-011-012-017>019-024-025-034-037-041-042-04 5-046-210130-
/O.NEW.KCTP.WW.Y.0018.121221T0600Z-121223T0000Z/
POTTER-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-CLEARFIELD-NORTHERN CENTRE-
SOUTHERN CENTRE-CAMBRIA-BLAIR-BEDFORD-TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING-
SULLIVAN-SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COUDERSPORT...EMPORIUM...RENOVO...
DUBOIS...CLEARFIELD...PHILIPSBURG...STATE COLLEGE...JOHNSTOWN...
ALTOONA...BEDFORD...MANSFIELD...WELLSBORO...LAPOR TE...
LOCK HAVEN...WILLIAMSPORT
1226 PM EST THU DEC 20 2012

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM FRIDAY TO 7 PM EST
SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM FRIDAY
TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY.

* LOCATIONS...MUCH OF NORTHERN PENNSYLVANIA DOWN THROUGH
THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS.

* HAZARD TYPES...RAIN CHANGING TO HEAVY WET SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW.

* TIMING...RAIN WILL CHANGE TO SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT...AND FALL
HEAVY AT TIMES INTO FRIDAY. THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR
ACCUMULATING SNOW THAT WILL ADVERSELY AFFECT TRAVEL WILL BE FROM
THE PRE DAWN HOURS FRIDAY TROUGH MID DAY. THE SNOW MAY LINGER
OVER FAR EASTERN AREAS INTO LATER FRIDAY.

* IMPACTS...SNOW-COVERED ROADS AND LOW VISIBILITIES WILL CAUSE
HAZARDOUS TRAVEL.

* WINDS...SHIFTING TO THE WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30
MPH BY LATER FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF
SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...BLANKET AND A CELLULAR
PHONE IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR
THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT...
WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE
COLLEGE AT CTP.STORMREPORTS@NOAA.GOV...OR POST TO THE NWS STATE
COLLEGE FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET USING THE HASH TAG
C...T...P...W...X.

&&

$$
Lol GFS snow in FL!


Would rather have snow than what happened two years ago. High of 38 degrees and rain all day. Now that my friends, is miserable...
Quoting SFLWeatherman:
Lol GFS snow in FL!




yeah...big lol!
Quoting SFLWeatherman:
Lol GFS snow in FL!


wow is that the next cold front behind this current one?
first tornados and damaging winds there..now flooding..gee..................FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1019 AM CST THU DEC 20 2012

FLC033-091-113-201915-
/O.NEW.KMOB.FA.Y.0088.121220T1619Z-121220T1915Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000 Z.OO/
OKALOOSA FL-SANTA ROSA FL-ESCAMBIA FL-
1019 AM CST THU DEC 20 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN ESCAMBIA COUNTY IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...
OKALOOSA COUNTY IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...
SOUTHEASTERN SANTA ROSA COUNTY IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...

* UNTIL 115 PM CST

* AT 1014 AM CST...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS SLOWLY MOVING OVER THE
ADVISORY AREA HAVE PRODUCED 1 TO 1.75 INCHES OF RAINFALL DURING
THE PAST HOUR AND AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 1.5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
THROUGH 115 PM CST. THIS WILL RESULT IN MINOR FLOODING OF POOR
DRAINAGE AND LOW LYING AREAS AND PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MIDWAY... OCEAN CITY... FORT WALTON BEACH...
WOODLAWN BEACH... TIGER POINT... NAVARRE BEACH...
MULAT... HOLLEY... SHALIMAR...
Quoting charlottefl:
Would rather have snow than what happened two years ago. High of 38 degrees and rain all day. Now that my friends, is miserable...
yes your right there..stay safe down there tonight..........
1218 PM CST THU DEC 20 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1230 PM CST
FOR WESTERN HOUSTON AND EASTERN GENEVA COUNTIES...

AT 1217 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM WEBB TO EUNOLA...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
THURSTON...DOTHAN...SLOCOMB...MALVERN...TAYLOR... BLACK...SMYRNA...
LIGHT...ENON...BARBER...PEARCE...KEYTONS...GARRET TS CROSSROADS...
MERRITTS CROSSROADS...OLYMPIA SPA RESORT...ARDILLA...WILSON MILL...
SOUTHERN JUNCTION...SIGMA...REHOBETH...MEMPHIS...FADETTE... COWARTS
AND AVON

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CST THURSDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND CENTRAL FLORIDA AND SOUTHWEST GEORGIA.
661. eddye
seflweatherman lets talk about the snow in weather chat
Quoting LargoFl:
from one of the tornados this morning......


Can I borrow your time machine?
664. eddye
wow let it snow let it snow let it snow
In 2010 it was High of 37 degrees and rain all day and i was out in it all day:( that was in WPB!
Quoting charlottefl:
Would rather have snow than what happened two years ago. High of 38 degrees and rain all day. Now that my friends, is miserable...
Quoting VR46L:


I have explained my objections to TWC naming storms , I will summarize ..

I have no objection to storms being named as long as its unilateral . Its a farce at the moment the NWS (who everyone really gets their warnings from) Accuweather and Fox are not naming them this leads to confusion .

People argue hurricanes and Tropical storms are named who names them ? The National Hurricane Centre and all the private weather companies take their lead on the name and refer to the storm as such .

If they used the Berlin Model were the money generated goes back to fund the education of young Meotrologists and metrological research . It would be to use a young phrase Cool (but I aint terrible young that I will accept, being patronized by people who think they have a right to talk down to me)

Any money that is being made by this company is going back into stockholders pockets rather to increase research into weather .unlike the European model....

Also It had been claimed that TWC were the first company to do so but a small weather company already does so its not an original idea and does come off as a gimmick and marketing stragery.

I actually find it ironic that people who regard themselves as left wing are in support of this Idea (TWC naming storms)..but maybe thats because I keep my political opinions to myself .



Soon the insurance companies will tell you "If it's a named storm, you had better have a Winter Storm Rider on your policy or your not covered." We lucky Floridians have to carry Windstorm, Flood and Hazard Insurance.
Mannn..

we can only hope hour 300-384-take it with a grain of salt but hey salt is good with snow



668. VR46L
Quoting ChillinInTheKeys:


Soon the insurance companies will tell you "If it's a named storm, you had better have a Winter Storm Rider on your policy or your not covered." We lucky Floridians have to carry Windstorm, Flood and Hazard Insurance.


Thats an excellent point . It could be used against the poor householder ...
Quoting ncstorm:
Mannn..

we can only hope hour 300-384-take it with a grain of salt but hey salt is good with snow




Even if the snow doesn't materialize, it's going to get very cold across the entire United States. There's unanimous agreement on that.
Highest Storm:Con number I've seen so far


Madison...9
12z Euro running

168 hour
Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:
Highest Storm:Con number I've seen so far


Madison...9
So what does that mean? Madison has already had thundersnow and have been under a blizzard warning for a day already.
Quoting charlottefl:
Would rather have snow than what happened two years ago. High of 38 degrees and rain all day. Now that my friends, is miserable...
Yes, when I went to SIU Carbondale - year we won 1AA football both Qtr & Semi-final games, 33 and rain, happened quite often there, much rather have snow. Speaking of which, we're getting backside now, still rain so far. Top of page says I'm 35, StL is 36, but Spfld is still 43! Satellite shows snow about to StL, we'll see.
The Weather Channel's first STORM:CON of 9/10 has been given to Madison, Wisconsin where the temperature is currently 32 °F, with a wind chill of 19 °F, and heavy, blowing snow is falling. Accumulations of 4-6 inches are expected throughout the afternoon on top of the 10 inches that has already fallen, and another inch of so is expected tomorrow. Even after Winter Storm Draco passes, high temperatures will not exceed 32 °F for at least the next week, so the remnant snow and ice will continue to cause huge travel problems.

Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


Gulf storms are always more interesting, but if you are in Florida what do you expect to get?
Im just hoping for another powdery snow event in N Ga, because 99% of the snow i get is wet muddy mush that is gone in 24 hours.
But whenever it is snowing I cant stop watching it from the time it starts to when it finishes, not wanting to miss a single burst of heavy snow.....and then its so sad then the snow event finishes.


The problem with rare snow events in Florida actually having a chance at accumulating is not that they are wet snow events, its that the ground is too warm. That is we don't have enough cold for long enough periods of time for the ground to allow accumulation. When Tampa accumulated an inch or 2 of snow in the 70's, it may not sound like a big deal, but if you see pictures of the snow while it was falling, it was actually heavy convective snow off the gulf of Mexico, similar to lake effect snow. It's just that it only amounted to a small accumulation because most of it melted immediately, it took pretty heavy snow fall rates to cause accumulation. With that said, It's safe to say accumulating snows on the west coast of Florida are a freak event.


Interestingly enough though, it seems like extreme weather events in Florida have actually been decreasing since I've lived here contrary to what much of the world is seeing and what you expect from climate change. While its true that we have been more strange long term weather patterns, and less and less of our reliable patterns. It seems that we see less record highs, less record lows, and less rainfall records or severe weather than we used to. Really the hurricane season of 2004 is the one exception to that.

That might mean all the more that Florida will be the spot to live in the future if the current trends of climate change continue. I better not speak too soon though.

Quoting Chapelhill:
So what does that mean? Madison has already had thundersnow and have been under a blizzard warning for a day already.


ask them...IDK
Did a quick check of some NW side traffic cams in StL, didn't look like snowing yet, but they are expecting an inch or so before it's all over. Took a peek out the window at work and you could see some small flakes flying around while still seeing rain hitting the road. Transition should be soon then. WU top has me and StL down a degree, 34 & 35. Spfld now dropping fast, 43 to 39.
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
The Weather Channel's first STORM:CON of 9/10 has been given to Madison, Wisconsin where the temperature is currently 32 %uFFFDF, with a wind chill of 19 %uFFFDF, and heavy, blowing snow is falling. Accumulations of 4-6 inches are expected throughout the afternoon on top of the 10 inches that has already fallen, and another inch of so is expected tomorrow. Even after Winter Storm Draco passes, high temperatures will not exceed 32 %uFFFDF for at least the next week, so the remnant snow and ice will continue to cause huge travel problems.



This is really the first time this season I would say that they could actually use their new naming system of winter storms. But that's exactly the problem with naming winter storms, no real definitive criteria or way of distinguishing an unnamed baroclinic low during the winter and a named one, I stand by that naming them is not a very scientific thing to do.
Almost every local MET here in the Tampa Bay area has said that naming winter storms is silly for the same reasons.

Also, why not call them fall storms, spring storms, or summer storms during other times of year with names as well?
After all, the science is the same for any extra-tropical low regardless of whether they have snow or not.

This spring I will have to ask some meteorology professors at FSU what they think about it :)
Quoting VR46L:


Thats an excellent point . It could be used against the poor householder ...


Insurance companies can be so evil, the way they try to weasel out of paying.
By the way, I LOVE your new avatar. :)
You can see the snow pack on the ground across Kansas and Nebraska:



And St. Louis for dabirds:

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
116 PM CST THU DEC 20 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN BAY COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA...
NORTHWESTERN GULF COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA...

* UNTIL 145 PM CST

* AT 113 PM CST...A DEVELOPING TORNADO HAS BEEN DETECTED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ALLANTON...OR 7
MILES SOUTH OF TYNDALL AFB...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
WETAPPO

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WATERSPOUTS MAY CAUSE LOCALIZED DAMAGE AS THEY MOVE ONSHORE. IF YOU
ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS WATERSPOUT...PLEASE GO TO A SAFE PLACE
IMMEDIATELY.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO
IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY.

&&
Wow Spfld down another 5 degrees, 34 with me now, that was quick! It's getting close, thanks Trop13. Can see why W IL schools were letting out at noon!
This will be interesting. A possible ice event and severe weather for parts of the south..
Less than a day left....Packed the cooler with beer and a jay just in case..lol
Tomorrow is the 2012 Winter Solstice.
This just in on my phone for western Mineral County in WV. Tiggerific, call your friend :) Elk Garden will be in this soon.



...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM FRIDAY TO 6 PM EST
SATURDAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON HAS
ISSUED A BLIZZARD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM FRIDAY
TO 6 PM EST SATURDAY. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN
CANCELLED.

* PRECIPITATION TYPE...SNOW...HEAVY AND BLOWING AT TIMES.

* ACCUMULATIONS...8 TO 14 INCHES. HIGHEST AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED
ALONG THE HIGHEST TERRAIN...ESPECIALLY ABOVE 2500 FT.

* TIMING...LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. THE ONSET OF SNOW
IS EXPECTED THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH THE WORST CONDITIONS LIKELY
FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY NIGHT...THEN TAPERING OFF SATURDAY.

* TEMPERATURES...HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS
TO LOWER 20S.

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT AND FOR MUCH OF FRIDAY. WINDS WILL INCREASE ON SATURDAY
BETWEEN 30 TO 40 MPH...WITH PEAK GUSTS NEAR 60 MPH.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS WILL CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW
WITH BLIZZARD CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT TIMES...WITH VISIBILITIES
OF ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS IN BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. WIND
CHILL TEMPERATURES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.
DOWNED TREES AND POWERLINES COULD RESULT FROM THE STRONGEST
GUSTS ON SATURDAY. THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF BY LATE
SATURDAY.
Quoting dabirds:
Wow Spfld down another 5 degrees, 34 with me now, that was quick! It's getting close, thanks Trop13. Can see why W IL schools were letting out at noon!


The back side of the trowel continues to organize too, they upped the forecast totals this morning at Quincy and points northeast up to 3-5 inches.

They have also expanded the Blizzard warning in Central Illinois. You should be seeing all snow now, the entire column should be well below freezing with the only exception being right at the surface, which will only continue to get colder as time goes on.

I'm still getting mist here in Decatur, but its already down to 37 F, and thats down from 52 F at 10AM. So 15 F drop in 3 hours time.
Quoting hydrus:
This will be interesting. A possible ice event and severe weather for parts of the south..
It will be interesting. Currently, there is some question as to the strength and location of the high pressure that would lead to the cold air damming. Without some blocking in the NE, the pattern will be too progressive and we get a nasty cold rain.
695. VR46L
Quoting SherwoodSpirit:


Insurance companies can be so evil, the way they try to weasel out of paying.
By the way, I LOVE your new avatar. :)


Yes they do !!!
Thank you, I finally worked out how to upload an avi and I guess I wont be mistaken as a man anymore :)
If I was the SPC I would expand the slight risk further south or at least a see text, lol.
The greater upper support needed for severe weather will likely remain north of the area tonight, as the models usually are pretty good with depiction of available upper energy and placement. But the models do still show some upper support and a decent low level jet of 40 to 50 knots over Central Florida tonight. I expect higher instability than forecast, so I believe that will mean the line should be deeper than expected, maybe a slight chance at an isolated severe storm or 2.


We really need the rain, and, this should provide a decent shot at rain for most of us, and I don't think it will be as uneventful as last weeks system was. Unfortunately though, this front is racing towards the area, and the rainfall won't be long lived enough to really provide significant accumulation, but we'll take what we can get.
Quoting Patrap:
Tomorrow is the 2012 Winter Solstice.
Yeah! Then the days will start getting longer!
They've got us at low teens to mid 20s in that time frame hydrus, so if any moisture down there, sure could see it being frozen in some form. I hate ice storms!
Quoting Chapelhill:
Yeah! Then the days will start getting longer!

What? No, we die, remember?
Temperature has dropped 5 degrees in the last hour .. snow falling just west of Peoria, Il ...

Edit .. 34 degrees






www.portlight.org


As we announced last week, we'll be working in New York and New Jersey over the next few weeks, replacing lost medical equipment and other disability aids, and funding the re-building of ramps for people with disabilities who suffered damage to their homes from Superstorm Sandy. We're excited to be working again with the great folks from St. Bonaventure College and their outstanding volunteer group, BonaResponds! We thank their fearless leader, Jim Mahar, for his kind words, shared on Facebook earlier today:

Do you know how there are some people/organizations/firms you just can't wait to work with again?

That is how we have felt about Portlight Strategies ever since we collaborated after the Haiti Earthquake to ship wheelchairs and crutches to Haiti. Well wait no more! We are very happy to announce that we will be working with them to help those with disabilities recover from Hurricane Sandy.

We will be teaming up to build ramps, deliver supplies, and whatever else is needed. We will be providing volunteer labor and they will be helping to fund ramp building and more! It is a great thing! VERY excited about it.

So if you know of anyone with a disability that was hit by Sandy (esp in the Rockaway-Breezy Point area) please let us know.

This also means that we need more volunteers! Plan on coming to help. Dec 28 - Jan 8th (?) Stay for the whole time or just a day. But come help (and if you tell us about it in advance it really helps with planning...PLEASE)

Yes you can. No matter what your "skill set" you can help! From driving, to taking pictures, to mucking basements, to building ramps, hanging drywall, cooking, or even installing plumbing, you can help. You will learn new skills and meet great people while helping! So come help!


Sign up at
http://BonaResponds.org



Like Jim said, if you know of anyone affected by the storm who needs help with rebuilding, or with replacement of medical equipment, please pass those needs along to us ASAP!

As always, thank you all for your continued support of our efforts!

It is ILwthr-all big flakes now. WU shows us down another degree to 33, StL and Spfld both 34.
Actually the new SPC forecast has expanded the severe risk a bit further south into Florida, which is more what I would expect given that the line is weaker further north and much stronger in the gulf where the greater instability and moisture is at. Lack of stronger upper support over Central Florida tonight is the reason for not including Tampa Bay, however I think an isolated severe cell is still possible around here given a bit higher instability and moisture return than the models originally anticipated.

I think the weakest risk in the highlight region is probably southwest Georgia and northeast Florida, as they will be somewhat removed from the higher instability moving in off the gulf, I think the southeastern Carolinas still have a threat once the front approaches because the front will again begin to tap higher maritime moisture and instability into those coastal regions, similar to how it is in the gulf.
More Thundersnow:



#*()*! I have to drive home in this (&@*# in two hours and I also happen work in a town with largest population of morons with a validated driver license.

It's now all snow here in Decatur. Big fat flakes falling.
Quoting ILwthrfan:


#*()*! I have to drive home in this (&@*# in two hours and I happen also work in a town with largest population of morons with validated driver licenses.


Come on man!

its SNOW!
I'd rather have a 1 hour drive take 5hrs because of snow than not get any snow at all....

What is really annoying is just getting a minute glaze of freezing drizzle turning everything into a skating rink
That shows why we had sun and warmer temps this a.m. Pat, thanks. Lots of big flakes coming down, but not really sticking yet.
Quoting hydrus:
Not to sound sarcastic, but be careful what you wish for. The GFS has this next system in a position to produce a significant weather event for you..And it may not be pleasant.....Large wind field with this system..
a parade of storms to ring in 13 the current is the first of four
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


Come on man!

its SNOW!


lol. I love the snow and I have no problem driving in it, but its everyone else on the road driving like (#*&#$. Trust me you just have to drive through Decatur, IL just once and you will understand completely. People here are idiots even when the weather is perfect.
Quoting ILwthrfan:


lol. I love the snow and I have no problem driving in it, but its everyone else on the road driving like (#*&#$. Trust me you just have to drive through Decatur, IL just once and you will understand completely. People here are idiots even when the weather is perfect.


sounds like Atlanta....
We are always listed in the top 10 in traffic with accidents everywhere, and nobody can drive well in (rare) snow
WINTER WEATHER UPDATE
___________________________

Winter Storm Draco impacts on NE



click on image for larger view
Quoting Patrap:
Tomorrow is the 2012 Winter Solstice.


It begins officially at 6:12 AM EST.
Quoting charlottefl:
Would rather have snow than what happened two years ago. High of 38 degrees and rain all day. Now that my friends, is miserable...



Yeah tell me about it!

Up here in the Tampa Bat area, at one point it was 33 to 34 degrees for hours with mix of sleet and rain, I would have rather it hit 32 for freezing rain to make things more interesting. The high was only 38 here too.
Hopefully the roads will still be just wet for your drive home ILwthr, good thing it was 52 earlier! Let up a little here.
Quoting ILwthrfan:


#*()*! I have to drive home in this (&@*# in two hours and I also happen work in a town with largest population of morons with validated driver licenses.

It's now all snow here in Decatur. Big fat flakes falling.


I had big fat flakes and howling winds part of the way on my commute to work two hours ago, then rain, then lighter snow again. The wind is FIERCE!
I drove slower and more carefully than usual, not because I'm afraid to drive in snow (lived in Wisconsin for 20 years), but because drivers in St. Louis are cretins in bad weather. :P
Why does TAMPASHIELD come up under Weather Chat when I am 'JustPlantIt'?

This has happened twice before with others names???
Quoting SFLWeatherman:
Lol GFS snow in FL!




Where does the GFS actually show snow upcoming for Florida? I don't see it...
723. VR46L
Quoting Patrap:
Tomorrow is the 2012 Winter Solstice.
Less than 4 hours to DOOM for me .. Australia and the Far East must be well into the 21st by now..
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
a parade of storms to ring in 13 the current is the first of four
I noticed that..Hopefully they are not damaging. We are due for an ice storm in these parts..I do not like ice storms.
Massive





Quoting 1900hurricane:
I think the cold front ended up bringing more West Texas dust than rain here. Lots of dust everywhere, especially on my car.


Lol. We got a little of both. Leave it to Texas to get rain that leaves your car dusty. :)

Patrick Vaughn, 12 News HD Is your car dirty? The reason is that dust from the Texas Panhandle dust storm, 500 miles away, was blown into Southeast Texas and this morning's rains forced the dust down onto your vehicle. I imagine car washing will be popular this afternoon.

Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:


they still are....where have you been at?


Appeartly not watching TWC or reading WU much...man I'm out outta touch... well at least I know when the world is going to end, I better get back into my fox hole in the next 12 hours...

Just started snowing in Washington, Il .. expecting 2 to 4 inches of the white stuff ..
730. wxmod
Quoting aspectre:
601 wxmod: Sounds like China is collecting on a debt.

Institutional ownership list for IntercontinentalExchange


Thanks for the list. My comment about China was off the cuff. It's still a pretty strange situation. A 200 year institution doesn't mean much in the USA. Sounds like the trading floor will be boarded up and moved to Europe.
Quote: Jedkins

Yeah tell me about it!

Up here in the Tampa Bat area, at one point it was 33 to 34 degrees for hours with mix of sleet and rain, I would have rather it hit 32 for freezing rain to make things more interesting. The high was only 38 here too.

I'm pretty sure that's the coldest max temp I've ever seen down here...


LOL just heard Press's theme song on KSHE - a spoof on walkin in a winter wonderland - walkin' round in women's underwear.

Almost to 32 now, starting to stick on the cars in the parking lot, but that's it. Also, back to smaller flakes and less of them, but wind really whipping them around.
Quoting VR46L:
Less than 4 hours to DOOM for me .. Australia and the Far East must be well into the 21st by now..
the precise time of the so call start of the end date is 11 11 gmt or 6 11 est as the sun rises in the morning sky at which time the entire system will be in line with the centre of the milkyway galaxy
Quoting washingtonian115:
Do you live in Washington county M.D?(Their is a advisory of some winter weather advisory posted for somewhere in northern Maryland) .Or the state of Washington?.(Why are so many places called Washington in the U.S?.lol.)

He said Washington, IL.... so Washington, Illinois
You work in Orlando?

Quoting ILwthrfan:


#*()*! I have to drive home in this (&@*# in two hours and I also happen work in a town with largest population of morons with a validated driver license.

It's now all snow here in Decatur. Big fat flakes falling.
Quoting Jedkins01:



Yeah tell me about it!

Up here in the Tampa Bat area, at one point it was 33 to 34 degrees for hours with mix of sleet and rain, I would have rather it hit 32 for freezing rain to make things more interesting. The high was only 38 here too.


You want freezing rain? I had the worst fall I've ever had 3 weeks ago, due to black ice caused by freezing rain.

A 78 year old woman who lives 50 yards down the street fell and broke her arm in 3 places.

The accident and emergency departments of hospitals in areas affected by freezing rain will be hard pushed to cope with the influx of casualties from falls and car accidents.

You really don't want freezing rain.
Quoting Doppler22:

He said Washington, IL.... so Washington, Illinois
Oh didn't have my glasses on.Now if only it was a few degrees colder here this rain event could have been a snow event.





So for my perfect storm we need a lot stronger and a bit farther southeast. lol
Quoting washingtonian115:
Oh didn't have my glasses on.Now if only it was a few degrees colder here this rain event could have been a snow event.


You might get one next week washi115, pattern is beginning to change. This is Day 7....



All you need is cold enough air, the low track is very favorable for you in a snow setup. Question will be how much warm air will be drawn into system.
Quoting charlottefl:
Quote: Jedkins

Yeah tell me about it!

Up here in the Tampa Bat area, at one point it was 33 to 34 degrees for hours with mix of sleet and rain, I would have rather it hit 32 for freezing rain to make things more interesting. The high was only 38 here too.

I'm pretty sure that's the coldest max temp I've ever seen down here...





I would imagine that probably is! I know that was the coldest day Ive ever seen since living here, we had a low of 26 the next morning, which i think was probably the coldest I've ever seen living here too.

That whole winter was extremely cold, I felt like sleeping all the time, having highs in the 50's and lows in the 30's during that winter wasn't even a big deal anymore. I remember we had at least a week straight without hitting 60 degrees and having lows in the 30's and it dipped below freezing several times even here in Pinellas county. That was a winter that we may never see for many many years to come again. Yet we still didn't get real snow.
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:





So for my perfect storm we need a lot stronger and a bit farther southeast. lol


lol dude, the not even 15 minutes ago I was looking at keepers satellite loop and first thought I had was the super storm of 93', just further northwest.
Quoting ILwthrfan:


You might get one next week washi115, pattern is beginning to change. This is Day 7....



All you need is cold enough air, the low track is very favorable for you in a snow setup. Question will be how much warm air will be drawn into system.
Yes our local mets are also watching this storm.They think for now it will be a all rain event since temps will be in the 40's.I need the real artic air!.
Quoting yonzabam:


You want freezing rain? I had the worst fall I've ever had 3 weeks ago, due to black ice caused by freezing rain.

A 78 year old woman who lives 50 yards down the street fell and broke her arm in 3 places.

The accident and emergency departments of hospitals in areas affected by freezing rain will be hard pushed to cope with the influx of casualties from falls and car accidents.

You really don't want freezing rain.


Well, I only said that somewhat sarcastically, but I really don't actually want freezing rain, its destructive and scary.
Quoting VR46L:
Less than 4 hours to DOOM for me .. Australia and the Far East must be well into the 21st by now..


nope wait for winter solstice 611-612 eastern time.
...NWS DAMAGE SURVEY FOR 12/20/2012 TORNADO EVENT...

Excerpt:


.TORNADO # 1...

RATING: EF-1
ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 86-95 MPH
PATH LENGTH /STATUTE/: 0.64 MILES
PATH WIDTH /MAXIMUM/: 200 YARDS
FATALITIES: 0
INJURIES: 1


PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
135 PM CST THU DEC 20 2012
The winter solstice of 2012 will occur at 11:11 GMT on of course 21-12-2012 the same day the Long Count flips over. On that morning the sun will appear to rise into the patch of sky we refer to as the galactic centre or nuclear bulge. It is the location of the super-massive black hole at the centre of rotation for the Milky Way galaxy.
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


nope wait for winter solstice 611-612 eastern time.

A friend told me it was 12:00am EST, which is "the real" time?

Good afternoon everyone, Draco is still giving me some rain showers. Some flooding occurred earlier when the rain was heavy. I am just hoping the change over really does happen and I get at least some snow.
today marks the last day of fall/autum
The 291 day snowless streak record in Chicago, Illinois is about to fall as snow heads towards the city. The 982 millibar center of Draco lies just southwest of Chicago right now.

Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
the precise time of the so call start of the end date is 11 11 gmt or 6 11 est as the sun rises in the morning sky at which time the entire system will be in line with the centre of the milkyway galaxy
But will Walmart be open?
Quoting 1900hurricane:
I think the cold front ended up bringing more West Texas dust than rain here. Lots of dust everywhere, especially on my car.


Yeah no rain here in Austin but a lot of wind last night. Do flying Christmas decorations and trash cans count as measurable precip?
news reports of a 40 car pile-up on the interstate 74 near Galesburg, Il ..
Quoting JTDailyUpdate:
While were on topic about the end of the world tommorow; found this interesting article on Fox News Website



Link
Ummm kids on the blog?.I'm not worried about that stuff now.It's nothing special anyway.It's just something to do when adults are board.
Rare event:





Its a period from 1998 to 2016 i believe where we are aligned.
Nothing special
Quoting whitewabit:
news reports of a 40 car pile-up on the interstate 74 near Galesburg, Il ..
flash freezing
Quoting charlottefl:
Quote: Jedkins

Yeah tell me about it!

Up here in the Tampa Bat area, at one point it was 33 to 34 degrees for hours with mix of sleet and rain, I would have rather it hit 32 for freezing rain to make things more interesting. The high was only 38 here too.

I'm pretty sure that's the coldest max temp I've ever seen down here...




In regards to my earlier post, I was just reading about the Great Blizzard of 1899, and it got down to -2F in northern Florida, with Gulf Effect snow noted across the entire western coast, with blizzard conditions noted Tampa upwards. It even got sub-30 degrees in Miami. Now that's a cold snap!
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:
Rare event:





Its a period from 1998 to 2016 i believe where we are aligned.
Nothing special
To bad we'll be dying when it's happening.Seriously though tomorrow it's going to be cold especially with wind chill factors in the 20's.The first real bundle up of the season!
761. VR46L
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


nope wait for winter solstice 611-612 eastern time.


But 2/3 of the world will already be into the 22nd ... Hmmm dont think I am panicking LOL
Quoting CybrTeddy:


In regards to my earlier post, I was just reading about the Great Blizzard of 1899, and it got down to -2F in northern Florida, with Gulf Effect snow noted across the entire western coast, with blizzard conditions noted Tampa upwards. It even got sub-30 degrees in Miami. Now that's a cold snap!
one time long ago you could of skated from the gulf shore up the miss river during a freak cold snap which occur they have happen before it will happen again nothing but a matter of time
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
flash freezing


Black Ice ..
From www.fijitimes.com:

"Mayan prediction stupid, say Methodists

"The Methodist Church in Fiji believes the prediction of ancient Mayans that an apocalypse will take place today %u2014 December 21, 2012 %u2014 is stupid."

I like how they lay the story out there. They don't lolligag around.
red flag up in central florida and winds picking up also............................
Latest update from NWS Wilmington, North Carolina. Thank god for very low instability or this could have been a big event for East NC.

CURRENT SPC SWODY1 INCLUDES THE ENTIRE AREA IN A SLIGHT RISK...WITH
15% WIND AND 5% TORNADO PROBS. AS THE FRONT PUSHES EAST...IT WILL
INITIALLY ENCOUNTER VERY LIMITED INSTABILITY (TYPICAL WITH THE HSLC
EVENTS IN THIS AREA). HOWEVER...STRENGTHENING LLJ AT 925MB (50 KTS)
AND 850MB (65 KTS) WILL PROVIDE SIGNIFICANT WIND JUST OFF THE DECK
WHICH WILL BE TAPPED EVEN BY LOW-TOPPED CONVECTION.
ADDITIONALLY...0-6KM BULK SHEAR VECTORS OF 50-70 KTS IS MORE THAN
ENOUGH TO CREATE STORM ORGANIZATION. MORE IMPRESSIVELY...0-3KM SRH
OF 600-900 M2/S2 IS WELL ABOVE THRESHOLD FOR TORNADO
DEVELOPMENT...ESPECIALLY WHEN NOTING THAT THE MAJORITY OF THIS
(300-500 M2/S2) IS IN THE LOWEST 1KM OF LARGE RIGHT-TURNING
HODOGRAPHS
. EVEN THOUGH UPDRAFTS WILL REACH ONLY MARGINALLY HIGH
INTO THE COLUMN...A QLCS WITH POTENTIAL EMBEDDED ISOLATED TORNADOES
SEEMS LIKELY. WITH SUCH STRONG SHEAR/HELICITY VALUES...A DISCRETE
LOW-TOPPED SUPERCELL IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION EITHER. ALTHOUGH
INSTABILITY WILL BE LIMITED (NAM SHOWS 0-100 J/KG ACROSS WESTERN
COUNTIES)...THE STRENGTHENING LLJ WILL ADVECT A RICH THETA-E PLUME
INTO THE EASTERN COUNTIES...AND THIS SHOULD PROVIDE THE IMPETUS FOR
FURTHER STRENGTHENING/STORM ORGANIZATION AS THE SQUALL LINE PUSHES
EAST...EVEN DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. ADDITIONALLY...THIS HIGH
THETA-E AIR WILL ENHANCE MUCAPE...AND THE SEVERE THREAT LOOKS MORE
SIGNIFICANT ACROSS THE COASTAL COUNTIES...ALTHOUGH NO LOCATION WILL
BE IMMUNE FROM POTENTIAL DAMAGING WINDS TONIGHT. NOTE THAT THESE
NOCTURNAL HSLC EVENTS DO HAVE A TENDENCY TO UNDER-PERFORM...BUT THE
PRESENCE OF THIS THETA-E RIDGE SUGGESTS THIS EVENT AT LEAST HAS MORE
POTENTIAL THAN MANY RECENT HSLC SYSTEMS.

ONE OTHER THING TO NOTE...WHILE STORMS WILL BE STRONG...THEY WILL
ALSO BE SHALLOW AND WITH UPDRAFTS REMAINING MOSTLY BELOW
CHARGE-SEPARATION TEMP THRESHOLDS...THERE WILL BE LIMITED LIGHTNING
TONIGHT. STORMS WILL BE MOVING RAPIDLY TO THE E/NE AND ACCOMPANIED
BY VERY LITTLE LIGHTNING...SO THIS COULD BECOME A VERY DANGEROUS
SITUATION WITH FAST MOVING STORMS...AT NIGHT...WITH LITTLE
LIGHTNING/THUNDER TO ANNOUNCE THEIR ARRIVAL.
Quoting VR46L:


But 2/3 of the world will already be into the 22nd ... Hmmm dont think I am panicking LOL


but the mayans will still be on the 21... :D

but I wanna talk to some 12.21.12 believers on saturday and ask them what happened.
Pressure is falling pretty rapidly in SE MI. Right now it is at 993.5mb when just like 10-15 minutes ago it was 994mb. I am getting a pretty bad headache from this storm.
Well, below 32 now, starting to get some sticking on areas with higher grass.

Hate to hear that whitewabit. Think I saw there was 24 car one earlier as well. Hope nobody was hurt too badly.
Well I'am prepared for a 9.5 earthquake tomorrow with a 5 mile high tsunami coming afterward.This should be interesting.OH! I'm already hearing rumbling!!,oh yeah that's just the planes above coming from the near by air port...
772. VR46L
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


but the mayans will still be on the 21... :D

but I wanna talk to some 12.21.12 believers on saturday and ask them what happened.


LOL ... thats a great answer :)
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.

.THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL APPROACH CENTRAL FLORIDA THIS EVENING AND
MOVE THROUGH THE FLORIDA PENINSULA OVERNIGHT. TORNADO WATCHES HAVE
BEEN IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF THE PANHANDLE TODAY FOR CONVECTION
JUST AHEAD AND ALONG THE FRONT. THE THREAT OF SEVERE STORMS WILL
TRANSITION EAST AND NORTHEAST WITH TIME TO IMPACT PARTS OF THE
NORTH FLORIDA PENINSULA AND UP THROUGH GEORGIA AND THE CAROLINAS.
A SLIGHT RISK IS OUTLOOKED BY THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR THIS
AREA. AS THE BAND OF CONVECTION NEARS CENTRAL FLORIDA...THE
BOUNDARY WILL STRETCH AND THIN LEAVING MAINLY THE POSSIBILITY OF
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED STRONG SHOWERS AND STORMS FROM TITUSVILLE TO
KISSIMMEE NORTHWARD. ALTHOUGH LOCAL INSTABILITY REMAINS
LIMITED...APPRECIABLE WIND SHEAR WILL PROMPT A CONCERN FOR STRONG
WIND GUSTS TO 45-50 MPH WITH A FEW CELLS. A SEVERE STORM IS
UNLIKELY...BUT NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION.

EXPECT SHOWERS AND STORMS TO APPROACH LAKE COUNTY JUST AFTER SUNSET
AS THE BOUNDARY MOVES SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA DURING THE
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS. SHOWERS AND STORMS SHOULD APPROACH
DAYTONA BEACH LATER THIS EVENING...ORLANDO AND CAPE CANAVERAL JUST
BEFORE MIDNIGHT...REDUCING TO SHOWER ACTIVITY AS IT PASSES THROUGH
VERO BEACH...FORT PIERCE...AND STUART OVERNIGHT AND BEFORE
SUNRISE.
Looks like that line of storms in the gulf is getting stronger.....
Quoting dabirds:
Well, below 32 now, starting to get some sticking on areas with higher grass.

Hate to hear that whitewabit. Think I saw there was 24 car one earlier as well. Hope nobody was hurt too badly.


TWC is reporting that there were fatalities in that large accident ..
SQUALL LINE TO BRING DAMAGING WINDS AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED TORNADOES LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
flash freezing


I think someone in Iowa actually died in a bad car pile up from the snow...

CNN Blizzard slams Midwest...


Quoting bappit:
From www.fijitimes.com:

"Mayan prediction stupid, say Methodists

"The Methodist Church in Fiji believes the prediction of ancient Mayans that an apocalypse will take place today %u2014 December 21, 2012 %u2014 is stupid."

I like how they lay the story out there. They don't lolligag around.
I just want to know if I have to do my nails tonight... I already bought a bottle of Barefoot Red Muscato...I'm ready now.
gee the whole gulf coast has gone nuts..............
Humidity is 10 percent, now that is dry air.
12 days of Christmas (Redneck Version)

countdown clock

13 hours 13+ minutes to go as of 12:57 PST
We have a high wind watch in affect.Winds are expected to last through Friday and Saturday.So it'll be like having a miniture tropical storm around for 36-48 hours.It's been windy all week long actually.I haven't seen something like that in a while.
I think I'll go to www.fijitimes.com for my news vacations from now on. Beautiful beaches, no hype, straight and to the point. Sigh, then I'll have to return to the US media with all of it's silliness, drama, inaccuracies, distortions, hypocrisy and just flat lies.
Quoting Jedkins01:



I would imagine that probably is! I know that was the coldest day Ive ever seen since living here, we had a low of 26 the next morning, which i think was probably the coldest I've ever seen living here too.

That whole winter was extremely cold, I felt like sleeping all the time, having highs in the 50's and lows in the 30's during that winter wasn't even a big deal anymore. I remember we had at least a week straight without hitting 60 degrees and having lows in the 30's and it dipped below freezing several times even here in Pinellas county. That was a winter that we may never see for many many years to come again. Yet we still didn't get real snow.


Lowest I've seen back home was 24.5... When I lived further inland it got down to 26. Here near the coast though, haven't seen it get below freezing yet... Strange how such a small distance makes such a big difference in temperature..thanks mostly to the Gulf of Mexico..






29.01 inches or 9.81 MB directly over O'Hare Airport as we speak. It was this way now for the 2 PM CST and now the 3:00 PM CST hourly updates. That leads me to believe that the low pressure is directly overhead the city of Chicago and surrounding suburbs, and is a very broad circulation.

Now, the fun part comes for them. Expect winds to shift and pick up out of nowhere in the northern most suburbs around 6:00 PM local time. That will accompany falling temperatures and eventually the begin the precipitation transition over to snow. Winds tonight will gust to near 60 MPH in many spots.

The timing of this was actually great. It missed the evening rush tonight. However tomorrow, there is great uncertainty of how the rush will be affected. I'm assuming it won't be pretty, as gusty northwest winds will blow and drift snow everywhere...even if they only get an inch or two. But the height of the bad conditions will likely be from 8 PM to 3 AM local time, so that is good.

Luckily though, this isn't the powdery light snow that crippled the city with the infamous Groundhogs Day Blizzard in February 2010. That stuff blows much easier everywhere.

Chicago O'Hare International Aiport

Other Nearby Weather Stations







Quoting charlottefl:


Lowest I've seen back home was 24.5... When I lived further inland it got down to 26. Here near the coast though, haven't seen it get below freezing yet... Strange how such as small distance makes such a big difference in temperature..thanks mostly to the Gulf of Mexico..
Christmas eve 1989....27 degrees. Brown outs and black outs...
for WPB
Hazardous Weather Headlines
FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT
Link
Found the coolest app today:

Uploaded with Imgupr
can you gave me the link
Quoting charlottefl:
Found the coolest app today:

Uploaded with Imgupr
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
241 PM CST THU DEC 20 2012

.DISCUSSION...MAIN CONCERNS THIS FORECAST PERIOD INCLUDE GUSTY
WINDS AND SNOW SHOWER POTENTIAL IN THE SHORT TERM. THE MAIN LONGER
TERM CONCERN IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A MIDWEEK WINTER STORM.

AT MID AFTERNOON....A 983 MB LOW WAS NEAR CHICAGO WITH A COLD
FRONT EXTENDING ACROSS IN...KY AND EAST OF I 65 IN MID TN. THE
LARGE AREA OF RAIN THAT HAD CROSSED MID TN THIS MORNING WAS
LOCATED EAST OF THE PLATEAU. SKIES REMAINED CLOUDY AND GUSTY WINDS
CONTINUED. PEAK GUSTS OF 40-50 MPH HAVE CAUSED A FEW TREE LIMBS
AND POWER LINES TO BE DOWNED.

TONIGHT...THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER WILL MOVE ACROSS THE GREAT
LAKES AS A GOOD PUSH OF COLD AIR COMES DOWN INTO THE TN VALLEY
REGION. A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL KEEP GUSTY CONDITIONS OVER
MID TN THIS EVENING. THE GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH A BIT
LATER TONIGHT...MOSTLY UNDER 30 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. STRONG COLD
ADVECTION ALONG WITH PASSAGE OF THE MID LEVEL TROUGH WILL CAUSE A
FEW FLURRIES TO DEVELOP OVER MID TN THIS EVENING...WITH MORE
PERSISTENT SNOW SHOWERS FOR THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE
CUMBERLAND PLATEAU. FAVORED LOCATIONS LIKE JAMESTOWN AND MONTEREY
MAY PICK UP A GOOD DUSTING (LESS THAN ONE HALF INCH) OF SNOW
TONIGHT.

ON FRIDAY...WINDS MAY PICK UP TO ADVISORY LEVELS AGAIN THROUGH
MIDDAY...WITH SOME GUSTS OVER 35 MPH. WE WILL LET THE NIGHT SHIFT
DECIDE ON ANY NEW HEADLINES. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE BUILDING
IN...SO WINDS WILL DIMINISH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON UNDER SUNNY
SKIES. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE LOW TO MID 40S...EXCEPT ONLY 30S FOR
PARTS OF THE PLATEAU.

FRIDAY NIGHT...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE MOVING OVER MID TN. CLEAR
SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS WILL ALLOW TEMPS TO PLUMMET INTO THE LOWER
20S...EXCEPT SOME TEENS IN LOW LYING AREAS. DRY WX CONTINUES
THROUGH SATURDAY WITH HIGHS CLIMBING NEAR CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMAL.
FOR THE REST OF THE WEEKEND...THERE WILL BE A GRADUAL INCREASE IN
CLOUDS WITH JUST A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS SUNDAY PM AS THE NEXT
WX SYSTEM APPROACHES.

IN THE EXTENDED FORECAST...A BUSY AND COMPLEX PATTERN COULD BRING
A WINTER STORM TO A LARGE AREA INCLUDING THE TN VALLEY. AT THIS
TIME...WE DO NOT EXPECT A WHITE CHRISTMAS...MID TN WILL BE UNDER
A LOT OF CLOUDS WITH SOME RAIN SHOWERS IN THE REGION. THE MAIN
ACTION IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP CHRISTMAS NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.
MODELS ARE IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT THAT SOME MODERATE TO STRONG
WAVES WILL COME TOGETHER TO FORM A SURFACE LOW THAT WILL TRACK
FROM THE GULF COAST UP OVER EAST TN...EVENTUALLY DEVELOPING A
NOREASTER. IF THE SOLUTIONS INDICATED BY THE GFS AND ECMWF PAN
OUT... MID TN WOULD BE ON THE COLD SIDE...AND SET TO RECEIVE
SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. KEEP IN MIND
THIS IS A WEEK AHEAD. THE MODELS WILL PROBABLY CHANGE SOLUTIONS
SUBSTANTIALLY OVER THE COMING DAYS...ESPECIALLY IN SUCH A COMPLEX
SETUP. FOR NOW...WE WILL BLEND PREVIOUS MODEL SOLUTIONS AND GO
WITH RAIN AT THE ONSET...THEN A TRANSITION TO SNOW WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. STAY TUNED.
Ahhhhhhhhhhh...Finally.....

FLZ063-066-210215-
/O.NEW.KMFL.FZ.A.0004.121222T0700Z-121222T1400Z/
GLADES-HENDRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOORE HAVEN...CLEWISTON
105 PM EST THU DEC 20 2012

...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A FREEZE WATCH...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING.

* TEMPERATURE...LOWER 30S.

* IMPACTS...POTENTIAL DAMAGE TO CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS TEMPERATURES OF 32 DEGREES OR LOWER ARE
POSSIBLE...FOR ANY DURATION OF TIME. THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL
CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&
Just saw an article that Mississippi has gone up foot and a half from rains before this storm, also they're letting an extra 4000cf/m out of Gavin's Point Dam, to keep Missouri from icing up, should get to StL next week. Should stay up long enough for rock removal to be finished. Maybe can keep barges running through Jan., depending on upper rivers freezing.

Down to 30, still only sticking on grass.
sweater time for tampa bay this weekend...........
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
Ahhhhhhhhhhh...Finally.....



You sound happy. Did your new toupee finally arrive?
Quoting dabirds:
Just saw an article that Mississippi has gone up foot and a half from rains before this storm, also they're letting an extra 4000cf/m out of Gavin's Point Dam, to keep Missouri from icing up, should get to StL next week. Should stay up long enough for rock removal to be finished. Maybe can keep barges running through Jan., depending on upper rivers freezing.

Down to 30, still only sticking on grass.
I hope all this rain helped the drought areas up there
Quoting Grothar:


You sound happy. Did your new toupee finally arrive?


No. Someone told me you were banned. Oh well...
GFS 12 HOUR............................
Quoting charlottefl:
Found the coolest app today:

Uploaded with Imgupr


What is it called?
my god..just look at the sheer SIZE of the next one....
Quoting LargoFl:
my god..just look at the sheer SIZE of the next one....


Makes draco a pipsqueek
Quoting weatherh98:


Makes draco a pipsqueek
Quoting weatherh98:


Makes draco a pipsqueek
yes and this new one Does hit florida..whew
The CPC is predicting cooler than average weather for most of the lower 48 in the coming days, while Alaska should be above average:





They've also released new one and three month outlooks today, which you can find here
..notice how this one explodes along the east coast.....
Quoting Civicane49:
ty for this, i see the severe line reaches now down to Tampa
going to be quite an active night here folks..gee
I saw people comparing Draco to the '93 Superstorm earlier. It looks very similar, with the exception of being weaker.

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
334 PM EST THU DEC 20 2012

...ISOLATED MINOR COASTAL FLOODING POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT...

NJZ006-NYZ072-074-075-080-178-179-210445-
/O.NEW.KOKX.CF.S.0030.121221T0600Z-121221T0900Z/
HUDSON-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-
KINGS (BROOKLYN)-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHERN QUEENS-
SOUTHERN NASSAU-
334 PM EST THU DEC 20 2012

* LOCATIONS...AREAS HIGHLY VULNERABLE TO MINOR COASTAL FLOODING
ALONG THE ATLANTIC OCEAN SHORES AROUND NEW YORK HARBOR AND
SOUTHWEST LONG ISLAND.

* TIDAL DEPARTURES...1 TO 2 FT ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE.

* TIMING...BETWEEN 1 AND 4 AM FRIDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...STRONG...PERSISTENT SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL AID IN
INCREASING THE TIDES EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. IN ADDITION...HEAVY
RAINFALL COULD INCREASE THE FLOODING THREAT OVER AREAS RIGHT
ALONG THE COAST. MINOR INUNDATION OF WATER WILL OCCUR IN THE
MOST VULNERABLE AREAS DURING THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE.

$$
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.....................A SLIGHT RISK IS OUTLOOKED BY THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR THIS
AREA. AS THE BAND OF CONVECTION NEARS CENTRAL FLORIDA...THE
BOUNDARY WILL STRETCH AND THIN LEAVING MAINLY THE POSSIBILITY OF
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED STRONG SHOWERS AND STORMS FROM TITUSVILLE TO
KISSIMMEE NORTHWARD. ALTHOUGH LOCAL INSTABILITY REMAINS
LIMITED...APPRECIABLE WIND SHEAR WILL PROMPT A CONCERN FOR STRONG
WIND GUSTS TO 45-50 MPH WITH A FEW CELLS. A SEVERE STORM IS
UNLIKELY...BUT NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION.

EXPECT SHOWERS AND STORMS TO APPROACH LAKE COUNTY JUST AFTER SUNSET
AS THE BOUNDARY MOVES SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA DURING THE
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS. SHOWERS AND STORMS SHOULD APPROACH
DAYTONA BEACH LATER THIS EVENING...ORLANDO AND CAPE CANAVERAL JUST
BEFORE MIDNIGHT...REDUCING TO SHOWER ACTIVITY AS IT PASSES THROUGH
VERO BEACH...FORT PIERCE...AND STUART OVERNIGHT AND BEFORE
SUNRISE.
FXUS64 KHGX 202150
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
350 PM CST THU DEC 20 2012

.DISCUSSION...
MUCH DRIER AIR FILTERING INTO THE REGION IN THE WAKE OF THIS
MORNINGS COLD FRONT. DEWPOINTS HAVE FALLEN INTO THE TEENS AND EVEN
SINGLE DIGITS ACROSS OUR NORTHWESTERN COUNTIES ALLOWING RH VALUES
TO FALL BELOW 20 PERCENT IN MANY LOCATIONS. STRONG NORTH WINDS
WILL REMAIN GUSTY THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON BEFORE
EASING TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES INTO THE CENTRAL PART OF
THE STATE.

A SLOW WARMUP WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY BEFORE A RETURN OF
ONSHORE FLOW LEADS TO MUCH WARMER CONDITIONS SUNDAY AND MONDAY.
MODELS HAVE COME INTO FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE TIMING OF THE
UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM THAT WILL AFFECT THE REGION EARLY NEXT
WEEK. UNFORTUNATELY THEY ARE SOLIDIFYING AROUND A SOLUTION THAT
WILL PRODUCE A WET CHRISTMAS DAY FOR MUCH OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS. THE
ECMWF CONTINUES TO BE SLIGHTLY STRONGER AND SLOWER WITH THIS
SYSTEM WHICH COULD PRODUCE JUST A BRIEF WINDOW FOR SOME OF OUR
NORTHERN COUNTIES TO SEE RAIN CHANGE OVER TO SNOW...
BUT SURFACE
TEMPERATURES WOULD BE TOO WARM TO SUPPORT ANY SORT OF ACCUMULATION
AND NO SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. DRIER AND
COOLER WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE LATTER HALF OF NEXT WEEK. 38
Quoting Grothar:


You sound happy. Did your new toupee finally arrive?
I'm probably as old as Gro, And I have been wanting a Chia Pet as long as I can remember... But now you tell me that tomorrow is the last day ever.... I wanted the Chia bull, Chia Pig, Chia Puppy, Chia Daffy Duck,Chia Obama, Chia Sponge Bob, Chia Hello Kitty, Chia Sam Elliot, Chia Brad Pitt, ....I am so pissed.... I have completed 9 out of my 10 bucket lists... Looks like I struck out... Dammit
watching my local news (WECT TV6) and they said they the line will get stronger as it gets in our area..Great..
12z CMC


Quoting ncstorm:
watching my local news (WECT TV6) and they said they the line will get stronger as it gets in our area..Great..
stay safe up there ok, this is a bad storm today
Quoting MAweatherboy1:
The CPC is predicting cooler than average weather for most of the lower 48 in the coming days, while Alaska should be above average:





They've also released new one and three month outlooks today, which you can find here



lol the CPC didn't forecast Florida too well, most of the next 10 days will well below average except Christmas eve and Christmas :)
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:

look at thine blow up as it nears florida in the gulf
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
448 PM EST THU DEC 20 2012

FLC065-079-202215-
/O.CON.KTAE.SV.W.0418.000000T0000Z-121220T2215Z/
MADISON FL-JEFFERSON FL-
448 PM EST THU DEC 20 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM EST
FOR CENTRAL JEFFERSON AND WEST CENTRAL MADISON COUNTIES...

AT 444 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM MONTICELLO TO CODY...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
CAPPS...AUCILLA...LAMONT...HAMBURG AND GREENVILLE

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM EST THURSDAY EVENING
FOR NORTHWEST FLORIDA.
Looks like back side of the snow is crossing the river, still blowing hard here 39 from west, top gust now 49. 15 wind chill, brr. Hate to think what it'll be when we hit that 18 low this a.m. So far looks like roads still just wet, but imagine that will change as clears and drops. Stay safe all!
Just saw this on twitter...

@NWS_Central_US

56 mph wind gust measured at Lambert-St Louis International Airport

54 mph wind gust measured at Davenport Airport

59 mph wind gust measured at Cedar Rapids Municipal Airport
GFS says YES Tampa you get it tonight too....
coastal flood advisory....................
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
I saw people comparing Draco to the '93 Superstorm earlier. It looks very similar, with the exception of being weaker.

Draco is nowhere near '93 Superstorm, which dumped a foot of snow from Alabama to Maine and triggered couple of F2 tornadoes in Florida.

Quoting Bluestorm5:
Just saw this on twitter...

@NWS_Central_US

56 mph wind gust measured at Lambert-St Louis International Airport

54 mph wind gust measured at Davenport Airport

59 mph wind gust measured at Cedar Rapids Municipal Airport


Yeah, It's real windy in the Midwest



Quoting JTDailyUpdate:


Yeah, It's real windy in the Midwest



This is one strong storm front. We are supposed to have 15-25 mph sustained winds with gusts up to 45 mph in North Carolina tomorrow.
TORNADO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!TORNADO WARNING
FLC123-202245-
/O.NEW.KTAE.TO.W.0067.121220T2222Z-121220T2245Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
522 PM EST THU DEC 20 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN TAYLOR COUNTY IN FLORIDA...

* UNTIL 545 PM EST

* AT 521 PM EST...A DEVELOPING TORNADO HAS BEEN DETECTED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 21 MILES WEST OF PERRY...OR 8 MILES SOUTH
OF SCANLON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
HAMPTON SPRINGS...SECOTAN...PERRY-FOLEY AIRPORT...BUCELL JUNCTION
AND BOYD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! LEAVE MOBILE HOMES AND VEHICLES FOR SAFER STRUCTURES.
MOVE TO A HALLWAY OR CLOSET ON THE LOWEST FLOOR AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND
OUTSIDE WALLS.

&&

LAT...LON 2998 8384 3000 8386 3002 8393 3005 8396
3006 8397 3028 8364 3006 8353
TIME...MOT...LOC 2222Z 244DEG 40KT 3003 8391

$$
Caught a wind gust of 52 knots northeast of St. Louis.

Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Caught a wind gust of 52 knots northeast of St. Louis.



Would be nice on maps like that to give a link so everyone could actually see it ...
This from Intellicast Windcast; Not a pretty picture for most of the Northeast Corridor throughout the AM












HERE IS THE TORNADO WARNING AREA..............
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
I saw people comparing Draco to the '93 Superstorm earlier. It looks very similar, with the exception of being weaker.



LOL on your blog remark on my blog. TA. I had to laugh at that one. (Not on this storm)
Quoting whitewabit:


Would be nice on maps like that to give a link so everyone could actually see it ...


This is what i'm seeing it on

Intellicast: Link

Windmap: Link
Quoting PalmBeachWeather:
I'm probably as old as Gro, And I have been wanting a Chia Pet as long as I can remember... But now you tell me that tomorrow is the last day ever.... I wanted the Chia bull, Chia Pig, Chia Puppy, Chia Daffy Duck,Chia Obama, Chia Sponge Bob, Chia Hello Kitty, Chia Sam Elliot, Chia Brad Pitt, ....I am so pissed.... I have completed 9 out of my 10 bucket lists... Looks like I struck out... Dammit


Don't worry, the world isn't ending. The Mayans would have told me, and they never said a word.

P.S. The guy who made the calendar was named "Chip".
Quoting JTDailyUpdate:


This is what i'm seeing it on

Intellicast: Link

Windmap: Link


Thanks .. I was referring to the map 13 posted .. would like to see it full size ..
RELAY REPORTS OF SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
TALLAHASSEE AT (8 5 0) 9 4 2 8 8 3 3. OR...YOU MAY CONTACT THE
NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.
THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
Quoting Grothar:


Don't worry, the world isn't ending. The Mayans would have told me, and they never said a word.

P.S. The guy who made the calendar was named "Chip".
Chip Douglas? My 3 Sons.... No way
Litchfield showing a 60 gust now, 43 avg. Not going to be fun going out into this!
Quoting JTDailyUpdate:


Yeah, It's real windy in the Midwest




Windy everywhere. Had a 56 mph gust at Ellington Field down here.
WAKE uP AUSSIE lol..............
Quoting bappit:

Windy everywhere. Had a 56 mph gust at Ellington Field down here.


Where is that ?? St Louis area ??
Quoting whitewabit:


Where is that ?? St Louis area ??


According to Google: Huston, Texas
Quoting whitewabit:


Thanks .. I was referring to the map 13 posted .. would like to see it full size ..

Just open the image in a new tab.
Winds at 22 with gusts to 43 mph here in Peoria, Il ..
wab- how far are you from moline? (hugs n snuggleees by the way) How are things?
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Just open the image in a new tab.


I did .. but there are some that might not know how to..
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
547 PM EST THU DEC 20 2012

FLZ020-021-202330-
HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-
547 PM EST THU DEC 20 2012

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR WESTERN
HAMILTON AND SUWANNEE COUNTIES FOR STRONG WINDS AND FUNNEL CLOUDS
VALID UNTIL 630 PM EST...

AT 547 PM EST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG DEVELOPING THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM
23 MILES WEST OF BLUE SPRINGS TO 24 MILES WEST OF DOWLING
PARK...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH. THESE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO
AFFECT AREAS AROUND LURAVILLE...DOWLING PARK...BLUE SPRINGS...WEST
LAKE...SUWANNEE RIVER STATE PARK...NEWBURN...JENNINGS...SUWANNEE
SPRINGS...MCALPIN AND LIVE OAK THROUGH 630 PM EST. GUSTY WINDS OF 45
TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE. DOPPLER
RADAR HAS INDICATED WEAK ROTATION WITHIN THIS STORM. TORNADOES MAY
DEVELOP WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE WARNING.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.
Wabsters K. Long-eares! don't ignore me or I will continue to use your full name!
Quoting aquak9:
wab- how far are you from moline? (hugs n snuggleees by the way) How are things?


Moline is about 80 miles to my NW .. snow sticking more then I though this early .. plows out salting intersections .. wind hasn't picked up yet ..
Good bunneee.

will your snow be ending soon? you will have...2-4 days of below freezing temps? I am still barefoot in the backyard.
Quoting aquak9:
wab- how far are you from moline? (hugs n snuggleees by the way) How are things?


The NWS canceled the Winter Storm Warning and upgraded it to Blizzard Warning around 2 this afternoon ..
Quoting aquak9:
wab- how far are you from moline? (hugs n snuggleees by the way) How are things?
pretty nasty in moline area. hubby just came from there. (in semi truck) took 3 1/2 hours to go 110 miles. near whiteout conditions till he got to galesburg. not much snow in morton yet--it's all up in the air blowing around! still 31 in morton area.
Quoting aquak9:
Good bunneee.

will your snow be ending soon? you will have...2-4 days of below freezing temps? I am still barefoot in the backyard.


No barefooting up here .. temps only around 30 degrees this next week ..
Quoting wildheron:
pretty nasty in moline area. hubby just came from there. (in semi truck) took 3 1/2 hours to go 110 miles. near whiteout conditions till he got to galesburg. not much snow in morton yet--it's all up in the air blowing around! still 31 in morton area.


You in the Morton area ??
GFS just came in with a whopper of a snowstorm for North Carolina next week.
thank you, Le WildHeron. My co-worker is in Moline visiting her family...I think she thought it was just going to be a little snow. She has no mittens.
Quoting whitewabit:


Moline is about 80 miles to my NW .. snow sticking more then I though this early .. plows out salting intersections .. wind hasn't picked up yet ..
you must be in a sheltered area, i'm back in the timber, but it's been howling here for 2-3 hours. hubby bout got blown off the road over by galesburg. several cars in ditches, and at least 2 semi jacknifed. one hit so hard it knocked his sleeper off the frame of the truck!
Midnight at the beginning of the 21st. No signs of the world ending here at the moment but I'll keep you posted of any catastrophic events that might crop up!
15/C and a bit foggy. Light drizzle. Not the sort of weather you would expect for a world ending event.
Quoting whitewabit:


You in the Morton area ??
10 miles southeast. (just north of mackinaw.) hubby works out of morton.
886. dflam
Has anyone see the 10 days out? something hurricane like develops off of cape hatters Jan 1-2

Link

Quoting dflam:
Has anyone see the 10 days out? something hurricane like develops off of cape hatters Jan 1-2

Link


It's a huge winter storm.



Welcome to Weather Underground by the way.
Quoting wildheron:
you must be in a sheltered area, i'm back in the timber, but it's been howling here for 2-3 hours. hubby bout got blown off the road over by galesburg. several cars in ditches, and at least 2 semi jacknifed. one hit so hard it knocked his sleeper off the frame of the truck!


winds at the airport are 31 with gust to 45 .. but doesn't seem that bad here .. and I live on a hill in the middle of cornfields ..
Quoting wildheron:
10 miles southeast. (just north of mackinaw.) hubby works out of morton.


Washington here ..
I just wish I could believe the GFS... but I can't.

12z:



18z:

Not a believer, but world is "suppose" to end on 12/21/12 at 6:12 AM EST (when winter solstice occurs). I'm going to wake up tomorrow laughing.
Expecting 60mph wind gusts here in the Mid Atlantic overnight into tomorrow morning. A nice little surprise for people on December 21st.

People are gonna crap their pants. :)
Couple sunspots lined up almost directly with Earth. They're quiet so far though:

Take shelter if you're in this area:

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
614 PM EST THU DEC 20 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN HAMILTON COUNTY IN NORTHERN FLORIDA
NORTHERN SUWANNEE COUNTY IN NORTHERN FLORIDA

* UNTIL 700 PM EST

* AT 615 PM EST...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD NEAR
SUWANNEE RIVER STATE PARK...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
SUWANNEE SPRINGS...WHITE SPRINGS AND BELMONT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN INTERIOR
HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER
YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER OR DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY
OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

LAT...LON 3041 8317 3056 8273 3048 8270 3043 8265
3039 8265 3034 8268 3032 8272 3033 8273
3032 8275 3033 8277 3031 8282 3028 8318
3029 8321 3035 8322
TIME...MOT...LOC 2315Z 253DEG 40KT 3034 8313

$$

ENYEDI
Quoting MAweatherboy1:
Couple sunspots lined up almost directly with Earth. They're quiet so far though:

Quiet until tonight/tomorrow when they become giant sunspots and shoot out the worst solar storms ever;)

I wish the rain falling outside was snow because then it would be accumulating fast at times and really blowing around.
Dewpoint in Hill Country just to my west is - 9, dewpoint here is - 2. I dont think i have ever seen that in the 50 plus years i have been following weather here.
Quoting Bluestorm5:
Not a believer, but world is "suppose" to end on 12/21/12 at 6:12 AM EST (when winter solstice occurs). I'm going to wake up tomorrow laughing.


but, but.. some countries will be 22nd December already LOL
Morning all, How did everyone fair today. I hope just some damage and no deaths.

I hope everyone is staying safe and up-to-date on all warnings.
Quoting HadesGodWyvern:


but, but.. some countries will be 22nd December already LOL

The world will end at 10:11pm tonight here or in just under 12hrs time.

At Kiritimati Christmas Island in the Pacific Ocean the world will end at Saturday, 22 December 2012 at 1:11:00 AM
Bring on the snow!
902. dflam
Thanks - been lurking for long time.

Here it is developing - in what map would i see if it is warm or cold core?

GFS Develops it into the mother of winter storms. ECMWF keeps it over land.

GFS:
Link



ECMWF:
Link
According to the Public Information Statement for my area, Lambert Intl Airport (St. Louis, MO) had a wind gust of 67 mph at 3:46 PM local time. Yeesh!
Also, I supposedly got 2/10s of an inch of snow at my house. Nothing sticking 30 miles south where I'm at work though. I hope some of the snow is still there when I get home. This is our first snowfall of the season. I wanna see it! :)
Mid-december 2012 plume of ENSO predictions
maybe La Nina for the peak of 2013 hurricane season, but is really really unsure..

The temps have dropped here in my part of Louisiana. We've been having wind gusts of 44 mph. Went out with my Goldens and the wind was strong and cold. Beautiful!
Greatest severe parameters are off the west coast of Florida and will shift east with the squall line:







Gust to 39 on my PWS about an hour and a half ago.
Quoting PensacolaDoug:
Gust to 39 on my PWS about an hour and a half ago.


WU temp for me says 56..
Also says we're under a wind advisory until 7pm..
With that wind factored in
Feels alot cooler than 56 though.

Quoting MAweatherboy1:
I just wish I could believe the GFS... but I can't.

12z:



18z:

As we do with the longrange GFS during the hurricane season, we can't take the specifics seriously, but we can look at the overall pattern and get a sense for what it's trying to tell us...
Umm this is looking good for some action.

I just got accepted to Penn State University beginning fall 2013!!!

I will be studying meteorology there!!

Quoting dflam:
Thanks - been lurking for long time.

Here it is developing - in what map would i see if it is warm or cold core?

GFS Develops it into the mother of winter storms. ECMWF keeps it over land.

GFS:
Link



ECMWF:
Link
You can check if a low is warm or cold at the FSU cyclone phase evolution website.
Quoting WxGeekVA:
I just got accepted to Penn State University beginning fall 2013!!!
For meteorology I'm guessing? sweet...
Quoting WxGeekVA:
I just got accepted to Penn State University beginning fall 2013!!!


Congrats WxGeekVA..
A fine school..
I'm sure you will benefit from your academics there..
NWS is taking suggestions about a new Winter weather warning system.

NWS Proposes Simplified Winter Hazard Terms Link

The National Weather Service is conducting a demonstration of alternative terms for Winter Weather Watches, Warnings, and Advisories through March 31, 2013. The terms "Potential" and "Advise Caution" will be used in place of the current "Watch" and "Advisory" terms, respectively. The "Warning" term will continue to be used for dangerous winter storms.

Official NWS winter weather hazard products will not be changed during this demonstration. Instead, examples of hazard products using the proposed terms will be available on a web page. Software will "translate" the official bulletins to create bulletins with the proposed terms and display the two versions side-by-side. Daily comparisons of products from the Rapid City NWS Office will also be accessible via "Top News of the Day" on our home page.

The web page also includes a map of the 26 Weather Forecast Offices participating in the demonstration, details on the proposed terms, and information on how to access the messages and provide comments.

This demonstration is driven by feedback from surveys, service assessments, and user interactions indicating people are confused by the meaning and intent of NWS hazard headlines. The NWS goal is to ensure all hazard messages are clear and understandable. The proposed terms in this demonstration is one possible approach to simplifying and clarifying winter weather hazard messages.

Here is a map of locations to be used as a test

Quoting WxGeekVA:
I just got accepted to Penn State University beginning fall 2013!!!
Congratulations! :)
Quoting WxGeekVA:
I just got accepted to Penn State University beginning fall 2013!!!


Applying there next year; maybe we'll meet face to face :)
Quoting TomTaylor:
You can check if a low is warm or cold at the FSU cyclone phase evolution website.

That does not extend into the very long range.
Chicago, Illinois' record 291 snowless streak is over.
Quoting pcola57:


Congrats WxGeekVA..
A fine school..
I'm sure you will benefit from your academics there..


Congrats!!! ...a fine met program indeed. So, is it met, or will that be your hobby?
hi from Canada ! im from new Brunswick just received our first snowfall yesterday ! ive been keeping trac of this blog for years now and finally have a membership . just wanted to say thanks for all of the info ive gotten over the years ive learned allot from all of you.
Quoting WxGeekVA:
I just got accepted to Penn State University beginning fall 2013!!!

congrats !
Quoting Thecanadian:
hi from Canada ! im from new Brunswick just received our first snowfall yesterday ! ive been keeping trac of this blog for years now and finally have a membership . just wanted to say thanks for all of the info ive gotten over the years ive learned allot from all of you.

You decided to join the blog on the last day of your life?
Everybody but me and TA13 is old enough and is going to college.....
I'm gonna be all alone, even at home with my brother leaving

Congrats on your acceptance wxgeekva
THERE WILL BE LIMITED LIGHTNING
TONIGHT. STORMS WILL BE MOVING RAPIDLY TO THE E/NE AND ACCOMPANIED
BY VERY LITTLE LIGHTNING...SO THIS COULD BECOME A VERY DANGEROUS
SITUATION WITH FAST MOVING STORMS...AT NIGHT...WITH LITTLE
LIGHTNING/THUNDER TO ANNOUNCE THEIR ARRIVAL.
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

You decided to join the blog on the last day of your life?

hah better late than never !
Quoting AussieStorm:
Morning all, How did everyone fair today. I hope just some damage and no deaths.

I hope everyone is staying safe and up-to-date on all warnings.
Hi Aussie, the only death I know of is 1 in a 25 car pileup in Iowa during whiteout conditions. Let's hope the numbers stay low. Blessings to the lost.
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:
Everybody but me and TA13 is old enough and is going to college.....
I'm gonna be all alone, even at home with my brother leaving

Congrats on your acceptance wxgeekva

You forgot that I am the same age as you two...

Quoting WxGeekVA:
I just got accepted to Penn State University beginning fall 2013!!!

That's awesome!
Quoting WxGeekVA:
I just got accepted to Penn State University beginning fall 2013!!!


Congratulations!
Hope everyone is making out ok in the snow . where i am we have only gotten 7 cm / 3 inches all year been a weird past couple of years out on the east coast
Quoting Chapelhill:


Congrats!!! ...a fine met program indeed. So, is it met, or will that be your hobby?


It will be meteorology, of course!
One last look at the Tropical North Atlantic (TNA) index.

Quoting WxGeekVA:
I just got accepted to Penn State University beginning fall 2013!!!

I will be studying meteorology there!!



Well done!
Quoting WxGeekVA:
I just got accepted to Penn State University beginning fall 2013!!!

I will be studying meteorology there!!




Congratz!


JB is an alumni tho.....
Hmmm..
Quoting PensacolaDoug:



Congratz!


JB is an alumni tho.....
Hmmm..


JB = nutcase
I have a feeling dewpoints are gonna crash into the single digits by tomorrow in central Florida. this could have implications on night time lows this weekend(though one fly in the ointment Friday night will be the wind)!
Quoting WxGeekVA:


JB = nutcase
His predictions can be nutty and hyped, but he definitely understands the weather...especially teleconnections and pattern recognition at the 500mb level.
Quoting WxGeekVA:


JB = nutcase



Joe Biden?
Justin Bieber?
Jimmy Buffet?
Jack Black?
Quoting WxGeekVA:
I just got accepted to Penn State University beginning fall 2013!!!

I will be studying meteorology there!!


Congrats Geek! It'll be time for me to start doing applications before too long...

It's coming..during the longest night. Everyone have a safe Solstice!

Thursday, December 20, 2012
Posted at 6:20 PM
Strong storms possible later this evening

A cold front across the Florida panhandle into the eastern Gulf of Mexico will sweep toward the northern Florida peninsula through late evening. A line of showers and thunderstorms is expected to move east at 35 mph from the eastern Florida big bend and northeast Gulf toward areas north and west of the I-4 corridor through late evening. Storms may approach Lake county between 8 pm and 9 pm and move toward metro Orlando and Volusia county through midnight. Some of the strongest storms may have gusty winds to 45 to 55 mph, frequent lightning and very heavy rainfall of one to two inches.

Showers and storms are expected to move toward Osceola county and the Space coast after midnight and weaken as the line moves south toward the Treasure coast and Okeechobee county during the overnight hours.

A cold and dry airmass behind the front will drop temperatures into the 40s late Tonight across Lake county, metro Orlando and Volusia county. Northwest winds will become windy behind the front after midnight with winds increasing to near 20 mph gusts up to 30 mph.

Posted by Matt Volkmer
im not familiar with weather patterns in the mid states but is it unusual to see snow that far south ? im in Canada and only seen snow once so far this year .
Quoting Thecanadian:
im not familiar with weather patterns in the mid states but is it unusual to see snow that far south ? im in Canada and only seen snow once so far this year .

Of course not. Most of the United States gets accumulating snowfall at least once a year.
almost here, i can hear distant booming in the gulf
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Of course not. Most of the United States gets accumulating snowfall at least once a year.

that's what i figured . i know the general pattern of cold air but, i dont know how far south the snow travels on a regular basis . i know snow has been seen as far south as mexico . even a couple years ago we would see mostly snow from january to march , but in the last three years its been mostly rain and ive noticed a huge pattern change.
Yay, winter is finally here! Our first significant snowstorm of the season; welcome after last winter's disappointment.


Event:

Winter Storm Warning



Alert:

...SNOW IN THE SIERRA FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL REMAIN STATIONARY OFF THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST THROUGH THIS WEEKEND. A STRONG JET MOVING
AROUND THE BASE OF THE LOW WILL PICK UP DEEP PACIFIC MOISTURE
BRINGING PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT.
DANGEROUS WINTER CONDITIONS WILL IMPACT HOLIDAY TRAVEL AND OUTDOOR
ACTIVITIES. ACROSS THE SIERRA...PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW AND STRONG
WINDS COULD LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND VERY LENGTHY TRAVEL
DELAYS ESPECIALLY BY SATURDAY. TRAVELERS NEED TO CONSIDER AN
ALTERNATE ROUTE TO AVOID THE SIERRA PASSES THIS WEEKEND.

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM FRIDAY TO
4 AM PST MONDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW AND WINDS REMAINS IN EFFECT
FROM 6 AM FRIDAY TO 4 AM PST MONDAY.

* TIMING: PERIODS OF LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE SNOW FRIDAY
WILL INTENSIFY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING WITH PERIODS OF MODERATE
TO HEAVY SNOW SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS FRIDAY: 3 TO 6 INCHES EAST OF HIGHWAY 89...
WITH 6 TO 10 INCHES WEST OF HIGHWAY 89.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS EARLY SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING: OVER 2
FEET ABOVE 7000 FEET WITH 1 TO 2 FEET IN THE TAHOE BASIN. THE
HIGHEST TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS WILL OCCUR ALONG AND WEST OF HIGHWAY
89 AND NEAR MOUNT ROSE WHERE 3 TO 5 FEET IS POSSIBLE.

* WINDS: SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH.
RIDGE GUSTS UP TO 100 MPH.

* IMPACTS: PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW AND STRONG WINDS WILL LEAD TO
WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND LENGTHY TRAVEL DELAYS...ESPECIALLY
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. TRAVELERS NEED TO CONSIDER A SECONDARY
ROUTE TO AVOID THE SIERRA PASSES THIS WEEKEND. BACK COUNTRY
ACTIVITIES ARE NOT ADVISED.


Instructions:

CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE RAPIDLY LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY. TRAVEL IS DISCOURAGED OVER THE SIERRA PASSES THIS WEEKEND. CARRY EXTRA FOOD...WATER AND CLOTHES IN YOUR CAR IF YOU MUST TRAVEL. CHECK OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/RENO FOR UPDATES ON THIS SITUATION.
Y



It's beginning to look alot like Christmas!
winds out of the NW at 25 sustained with gust to 45 mph at the present here in Peoria, IL .. Pressure has risen from a low of 985 hPa as the low passed overhead to the present 1002 hPa .. still snowing lightly with 3 inches on the ground ..

Edit .. temp 28.8 degrees ..
Snow here in southern Ontario, but not much. It was preceded by some freezing rain.
Quoting Bielle:
Snow here in southern Ontario, but not much. It was preceded by some freezing rain.

Another Canadian ! we just received our first snowfall in southern new brunswick yesterday about 15 cm .
Quoting PensacolaDoug:



It's beginning to look alot like Christmas!


So glad to see that's still the North Pole :)
MIC133-220215-

CIVIL EMERGENCY MESSAGE
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
RELAYED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
903 PM EST THU DEC 20 2012

THE FOLLOWING MESSAGE IS TRANSMITTED AT THE REQUEST OF OSCEOLA
COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

FOR OSCEOLA RESIDENTS AFFECTED BY THE COUNTY WIDE POWER OUTAGES...THE
AMERICAN RED CROSS IS PROVIDING SHELTER...FOOD...AND WATER
SERVICES IN OSCEOLA AND WEXFORD COUNTIES. FOR DETAILED INFORMATION
ON DIRECTIONS...LOCATIONS AND AVAILABLE SERVICES...RESIDENTS
SHOULD CONTACT THE AMERICAN RED CROSS IN BIG RAPIDS
AT 2 3 1 - 7 9 6 - 6 5 6 2.

Ouch, that's got to suck having a county wide power outage.
Raining amazingly hard here right now with lots of lightning and strong wind gusts.
from Hudson Bay

"Hudson Bay was the growth centre for the main ice sheet that covered northern North America during the last Ice Age. The whole region has very low year round average temperatures. (The average annual temperature for Churchill at 59N is -5C; by comparison Arkhangelsk at 64N in a similar cold continental position in northern Russia has an average of 2C.[16]) Water temperature peaks at 8-9C (46-48F) on the western side of the bay in late summer. It is largely frozen over from mid-December to mid-June when it usually clears from its eastern end westwards and southwards. A steady increase in regional temperatures over the last 100 years has been reflected in a lengthening of the ice-free period which was as short as four months in the late 17th century."

Wouldn't want to have been Hudson.

"On his fourth voyage to North America, Hudson worked his way around the west coast of Greenland and into the bay, mapping much of its eastern coast. The Discovery became trapped in the ice over the winter, and the crew survived onshore at the southern tip of James Bay. When the ice cleared in the spring Hudson wanted to explore the rest of the area, but the crew mutinied on June 22, 1611. They left Hudson and others adrift in a small boat. No one knows the fate of Hudson and the crewmembers stranded with him, but historians see no evidence that they survived for long afterwards."


Congrats WX Geek VA about getting accepted to Penn State. Am sure you worked really hard to get to that place! Happy news!

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
925 PM EST THU DEC 20 2012

-SYNOPSIS FOR FLAGLER BEACH TO JUPITER INLET OUT TO 60 NM-COASTAL VOLUSIA-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE OUT TO 20 NM-INDIAN RIVER-INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN BREVARD-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-OSCEOLA-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-SOUTHERN LAKE-VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET OUT TO 20 NM-
925 PM EST THU DEC 20 2012

.NOW...
THROUGH MIDNIGHT...A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EAST NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH AND MOVE ACROSS LAKE... NORTHWEST ORANGE...SEMINOLE AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES. THE SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO ONE AND A HALF INCHES... GUSTY WINDS TO 45 MPH...AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF STRONGER WINDS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WITH SOME OF THE STRONGEST STORMS AND EVEN THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW ROTATING STORMS ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE MAIN CONVECTIVE LINE. SPOTTERS SHOULD BE PREPARED TO SELF ACTIVATE TONIGHT.
BRRR Cold here in SE Utah (Moab) where we got a few inches of snow on the redrock. Currently 9 degrees and dropping (at 8ish p.m., Thurs nite). Not usually this cold here. Happy Solstice everyone (a bit early here) and happy end of the world - since it's the 21st in some parts of the world (does the world end in time zone segments?).
Quoting Thecanadian:

Another Canadian ! we just received our first snowfall in southern new brunswick yesterday about 15 cm .


There are a few of us.
I was thinking the air with this winter storm wasn't particularly cold. Seems it is going to get colder though. From the Kansas City discussion:

"Medium Range (Sunday through Thursday)...

The operative word for the medium range will be COLD. In fact, based on current projections we could mathematically lose our status of having the warmest year on record hear in Kansas City.

A lead shortwave trough will emerge from the Rockies on Sunday and may evolve into a lead disturbance that could bring some light snow across the eastern CWA Monday per the 12Z ECMWF. Of more significant is the short wavelength/high amplitude ridge that develops along the west coast in response. The is going to allow the downstream floodgates to open in terms of polar air having a direct route from the Canadian Rockies front range down into the central CONUS. Several reinforcing surface highs of 1030 to 1040mb+ in magnitude will become entrenched across the region, leading to a downward spiral in temperatures through the medium range. Given the now extensive snowpack north of the local area, little airmass modification is expected.

Ultimately, the degree of low level cold advection will determine where baroclinity sets up ahead of the much talked about Pacific disturbance that will pass by Christmas night. As discussed yesterday, there has been an extremely high degree of variability in where cyclogensis will occur and the 12Z models offer no hope, reverting back to a major storm digging well south of the region. Obviously if unmodified upstream polar air is allowed direct access to the region in advance on Monday, then it would seem reasonably to expect that a developing cyclone and its associated precipitation shield would consequently shift south as well. For continuity sake, have left the chance POPs over the southern CWA, but the overall forecast confidence after Monday is lower than normal."
I wish it was cold here so i could say brrr but the weather has been really hummid the last week
Quoting WxGeekVA:


It will be meteorology, of course!
Great choice! Don't let the math and stat's bum you; there just a hoop along the road, and of course their is better weather down that line. :-)

Front just passed; wind shift, but no gust. Only got .18" rain when modeled for .6-.8". Grrr. Drought conditions worsen for central NC.



Heavy rain and strong winds just moved through near Tampa Bay (St. Pete).
967. txjac
Finally got some of the cooler weather I wanted here in Houston ...lucky I have my seven kitties and one doggie to keep me warm ...got a fire in the fireplace and the tree all lit up here in the dark ...finally feels a bit like Christmas
Wind Gusts over Tropical Storm Force in Tampa Bay:

12/20/2012 1030 PM

3 miles ENE of Saint Peters, Pinellas County.

Marine tstm wind m40 mph, reported by ASOS.


The ASOS at Albert Whitted Airport reported a 40 mph gust
at 1030 PM EST.





12/20/2012 0930 PM

4 miles WNW of Clearwater, Pinellas County.

Marine tstm wind m44.00 mph, reported by mesonet.


Mesonet on Clearwater Beach near pier reported 44 mph
wind gust around 930 PM EST.




12/20/2012 1000 PM

4 miles WNW of Clearwater, Pinellas County.

Marine tstm wind m44.00 mph, reported by mesonet m39.00 mph, reported by mesonet.


Mesonet on Clearwater Beach near pier reported 39 mph
wind gust around 1000 PM EST.





12/20/2012 0930 PM

4 miles WNW of Clearwater, Pinellas County.

Marine tstm wind m44.00 mph, reported by mesonet.


Mesonet on Clearwater Beach near pier reported 44 mph
wind gust around 930 PM EST.





12/20/2012 0930 PM

4 miles WNW of Clearwater, Pinellas County.

Marine tstm wind m39.00 mph, reported by mesonet.


Mesonet on Clearwater Beach near pier reported 39 mph
wind gust around 930 PM EST.
For West Palm Beach...



AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1023 PM EST THU DEC 20 2012

.UPDATE...
SO FAR, THE FORECAST IS GOING ALONG AS PLANNED. SOME MINOR
TEMPERATURE VARIATIONS HAVE BEEN SEEN, BUT NOTHING DRAMATIC,
MOSTLY WITHIN A COUPLE OF DEGREES EACH HOUR. THE STRONG COLD
FRONT THAT IS EXPECTED, IS STILL MOVING THROUGH CENTRAL FLORIDA
AT THIS TIME. WHILE RADAR SHOWS A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AND
POSSIBLY HEAVY SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT, MODELS ARE
SHOWING THIS WILL PUSH OFF TO THE EAST AND ONLY SOME LIGHT TO
MODERATE SCATTERED SHOWERS SHOULD AFFECT THE CWA, AND THEN, MAINLY
ALONG THE NORTHERN FRINGE. ALSO, EVEN THOUGH NO CHANGES TO THE
LOWS SATURDAY HAVE BEEN MADE AT THIS TIME, MODEL GUIDANCE IS
CONTINUING TO TREND A LITTLE COLDER WITH EACH RUN. FORECAST LOWS
WILL LIKELY NEED ADJUSTMENT WITH THE MAIN 00Z MODEL RUNS.
Quoting belizeit:
I wish it was cold here so i could say brrr but the weather has been really hummid the last week
you are in the tropics thats what its to be
971. beell
GFS flip-flops continue. After a strong start depicting a notable snow storm over the plains, 3 or 4 runs showing a weaker and less-amplifed system over the plains. 00Z back to a more southerly dig and a little stronger and well formed trough.

Quoting WxGeekVA:
I just got accepted to Penn State University beginning fall 2013!!!

I will be studying meteorology there!!



:D
Quoting aislinnpaps:
The temps have dropped here in my part of Louisiana. We've been having wind gusts of 44 mph. Went out with my Goldens and the wind was strong and cold. Beautiful!


The cold front responsible for this ("Draco" by TWC) produced damaging winds in my county around 7 AM this morning. Based on my experiences as a weather observer, I would estimate gusts were at or over the severe threshold, which begins at 58 mph (50 kt). I was a wee bit surprised I never lost power.

Kinda enjoyed it though. :D
974. wxmod
"The wriggly beetle larvae known as mealworms could one day dominate supermarket shelves as a more sustainable alternative to chicken, beef, pork and milk, researchers in the Netherlands say."

http://www.livescience.com/25709-mealworms-sustai nable-meat-alternative.html
975. beell
Quoting KoritheMan:


The cold front responsible for this ("Draco" by TWC) produced damaging winds in my county around 7 AM this morning. Based on my experiences as a weather observer, I would estimate gusts were at or over the severe threshold, which begins at 58 mph (50 kt). I was a wee bit surprised I never lost power.

Kinda enjoyed it though. :D


?
:)
Quoting belizeit:
I wish it was cold here so i could say brrr but the weather has been really hummid the last week


As if it ever gets cold in Belize, lol.
Quoting beell:


?
:)


Standard vernacular. :P
978. beell
Quoting KoritheMan:


Standard vernacular. :P


too lazy to explain "Parish" to the rest of the world.
don't blame ya'.
So there are Blizzard Warnings in the Midwest yet I turn on TWC and see Ice Pilots.

Lol.
One hour and 21 minutes until every social media outlet goes nuts

"Bugging out" to wunderground for the next day
Quoting wxgeek723:
So there are Blizzard Warnings in the Midwest yet I turn on TWC and see Ice Pilots.

Lol.
it's all about the cash
Quoting beell:


too lazy to explain "Parish" to the rest of the world.
don't blame ya'.


Pretty much.
Quoting weatherh98:
it's all about the cash


There's gold in them there Ice Pilots!
The Hurricane Research Division's reanalysis of the 1935-1940 Atlantic hurricane seasons is complete. The changes are as follows...

- Seven new tropical storms (3 of which became hurricanes - 1 was a January hurricane)

- The Great Hurricane of 1938 was retained as a Category 3, but its landfall intensity was upped to 105 knots (120 mph) from 85 knots (100 mph).

Source
I don't like how my YouTube suddenly switched to this video right at midnight...

I'm saddened by the mass amount of Facebook "friends" I have that apparently think the Winter solstice occurred at midnight EST.

Had to tell them to keep holding their breath until 6:12am EST. :D
JeffMasters has created a new entry.
Quoting WxGeekVA:
I just got accepted to Penn State University beginning fall 2013!!!

I will be studying meteorology there!!

Impressive academic institution. At the risk of annoying some English professors..."Do us proud".