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WeatherSTEM: Innovative Software for Personal Weather Stations in Schools

By: Dr. Jeff Masters, 2:32 PM GMT on March 17, 2014

Today’s guest post is by Edward Mansouri of WeatherSTEM.com, who has written some excellent software to integrate data collected by Weather Underground-connected Davis Personal Weather Stations (PWSs) with curriculum in schools. It’s cool how the software lets you easily put the data from your PWS into social media platforms like Twitter, Facebook, and Twilio.

- Jeff Masters


Figure 1. Students and teachers at the 2014 American Meteorological Society Weatherfest in Atlanta check out the WeatherSTEM curriculum and a Davis Personal Weather Station.

More than ever in our history, schools across the United States face the challenge of better preparing students to enter careers where competency in STEM-related subject areas (Science, Technology, Engineering, and Mathematics) is a requirement.

There are numerous educational standards being implemented at the federal and state level that seek to insure all students who earn a high school degree demonstrate increased STEM competency. Most of these standards promote integration of topics from different disciplines into lessons and activities.

Weather provides an excellent foundation for STEM education. It also provides myriad opportunities for exposing students to topics from a plethora of disciplines in the scope of a single activity. Any weather situation, from the most benign scenario where a few cumulus humilus clouds dot the sky to the most intense Category 5 hurricane, can turn into a discussion covering everything from algebra to zoology. (If you are not sold on zoology and weather being related, consider the impact of weather on the flight paths of migratory birds.)

WeatherSTEM is a platform being developed by e-learning software-maker, Ucompass. It motivates teachers to create STEM lessons, activities, and assessments from real-world weather. WeatherSTEM is currently being piloted in several Florida school districts.

Ucompass’ primary product, Educator, is a learning management system (LMS). An LMS is (typically) a web-based software system, bringing educational content delivery, communication, and evaluation together into one interface. Colleges, universities, and K-12 environments use an LMS to manage online instruction and increasingly, to augment classroom instruction.

I authored Educator back in 1998, while I was teaching General Meteorology to undergraduate students at Florida State University. Working on my Masters degree, I became enamored by the exploding possibilities for leveraging the World Wide Web to enhance learning and teaching. After finishing my Master’s degree, I left school to start Ucompass. My focus became marketing and the further development of Educator. The Educator program has since been used by millions of students across North America in K-12 and higher education. WeatherSTEM represents a union between my 16-year career creating online education software, and my lifelong passion for weather.

The WeatherSTEM platform is implemented across the domain of a school district. In Florida, where we are piloting the product, each of the state’s 67 counties represents an individual school district. Many of these school districts cover relatively large geographic areas. For example, the Miami-Dade County district covers an area nearly 2,500 square miles and serves almost 400,000 students.


Figure 2. WeatherSTEM allows one to easily put data from a Davis Personal Weather Station into Twitter, as shown here.

How WeatherSTEM works
We install full-service weather stations at schools across the client school district. If money were no object, we’d install a weather station at every school. However, in public K-12 education, dollars are always stretched thin, and there is great pressure to provide as much service and value at the absolute minimum cost possible.

WeatherSTEM has features and resources for the entire community. There are engaging student activities such as online forecasting competitions. Teachers have tools that enable them to integrate weather data into their Lesson Plans and align them with relevant educational standards including the Common Core. Each weather station broadcasts live weather data online, so everyone in the community can benefit from hyper-local information. Schools can sell advertising space to local businesses with 100% of the generated revenue being turned over to the school for use in furthering their STEM education efforts. A school in one of our pilot districts recently used funds generated by WeatherSTEM to purchase kits for students to build their own windmills.

Each station is easily integrated into social media platforms like Twitter, Facebook, Twilio, and Weather Underground.

The standard station installation is based on the Davis Instruments Wireless Vantage Pro 2 Plus with fan-aspirated radiation shield. This system measures temperature, barometric pressure, humidity, wind speed and direction, rainfall and rainfall rate, solar radiation, and ultraviolet radiation. Our decision to standardize around the Davis Instruments product was based on multiple factors, including affordability, reliability, and my own great experiences with the company, its support, and its products. The weather station connects to the school’s LAN and data is continuously transmitted to WeatherSTEM in one-minute intervals.

Most stations are also equipped with a cloud camera that is mounted atop the school and transmits pictures of the skies overhead in one-minute intervals to WeatherSTEM. An upgrade we plan to make soon will even allow users to pan, tilt, and zoom the camera themselves to focus on particularly interesting aspects of the sky.

For any schools that have gardens, we install Davis Instruments’ Wireless Leaf/Soil Moisture stations to measure soil conditions. The “STEM” in the name of our product refers both to Science, Technology, Engineering, and Mathematics in addition to the “stem” part of a plant. We intend to make agriculture an equally integral part of the platform as weather.

Forecast data, satellite and radar imagery, and almanac data are incorporated into the WeatherSTEM platform. All of this information is obtained from Weather Underground’s innovative commercial API. We are also in discussions with several publishers who will augment the curriculum overlaying the historical, present, and forecast data.

Each weather station additionally provides an API (Application Program Interface) where students can access data using basic libraries such as JQuery. Students taking courses where development of web content is part of the curriculum can use the API to augment their web content with weather data from a school in their district. This will expose them to a variety of topics including JavaScript, JSON, and CSS to name a few.

Each weather station also has a data extraction tool. Our vision is to introduce students to concepts of “Big Data” at the earliest grade levels possible. This would enable a science teacher to tell her students, “Go to our school’s weather station, and extract the last 2 weeks’ worth of temperature, humidity, wind speed, and soil moisture data at 5-minute intervals. You will need this for our afternoon laboratory activity.”

Our business model for WeatherSTEM is to partner with client school districts to identify potential grant funding to which they may have access, and/or to seek potential sponsorships from gardening centers and nurseries within the geographic domain of a district. Our goal is to deploy the project at the minimum possible cost to the school district. Any grant or sponsorship funds generated will be used to offset the cost of the weather stations, cameras, and associated infrastructure, as well as the installation costs.

Maintenance activities are supported by students and fashioned into STEM lessons and activities. We’re even exploring how teacher’s can earn CEU (Continuing Education Units) credit for helping to support the WeatherSTEM equipment.

Our global society is evolving into one where we need to encourage bright young minds to enter into STEM-related careers. Hopefully, WeatherSTEM can make a small contribution to that overall objective.

Edward Mansouri
emansouri@weatherstem.com

Atmospheric Phenomena

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

Reader Comments

Quoting 496. hydrus:
Isabel was for all practical purposes the perfect cat-5 hurricane. Hurricane Belle was my first and I was in 5th grade at the time, did some considerable damage along the New Jersey Coast in 1976.

I got interested in the Tropics during the season of 2008, but I think that if it wasn't for Hurricane Ike slamming Galveston that same year, I may not have latched onto tracking hurricanes like I am today.



Amazing what energy these storms can unleash.
Quoting 497. StormTrackerScott:


1.96" so far in Longwood with insane lightning right now. One bolt just hit very close to the house.





Feast or famine around Orlando, the northern side has gotten drenched, the southern side not nearly as much, hopefully they'll get in the act.
.
Well, I hope all of my friends down in Orlando are enjoying their band trip. Hehe.
A blessed night to all....zzzzzzz
Quoting 499. hydrus:
Good evening Jed..I would still keep an eye on that system if I were down there..These March and April systems can be stealthy. I saw a squall line form in 45 minutes flat in early spring during the wee hours.



Its possible, upper divergence is looking nasty over the eastern gulf, my guess is there is lack of rain from a stable boundary layer from earlier on from persistent heavy rain. Even still though, moisture is very deep and steady south wind may destabilize things again. Especially given that the instability max over water is early morning.


I'm not sure if anyone remembers, but it was just 2 years ago in the end of March and early April we had a similar setup across the Tampa Bay area, a strong upper trough that moved very slow interacting with very moist air, it led to several inches of rain for most areas with some areas getting even more, I had just over 8 inches at my house and there were also several tornadoes that touched down around Tampa Bay, one very close to my house and was rated EF1 around 100 to 110 mph, there is still visible damage from it a half mile to my south to trees and and a mobile home park.

Another tornado flipped cars as it crossed the busy Howard Franklin bridge, thankfully nobody died despite the vehicles thrown around.

Wind gusts topped 105 mph officially at Indian Rocks beach from straight lines winds rated by the NWS, did some nasty damage to the beachfront structures.


In fact, there were 9 tornadoes alone in just the Tampa Bay area, and people were injured at the Lakeland "Fun and Sun" aircraft event by damaging winds:


Link


Sure its a lengthy post, but I figured I'd give a good reminder of the fact that these spring squall lines certainly are not always a bust, even though our biggest storms are often in the summer, we can get some Spring events too.
Not as bad as the incident Jed is talking about but I know a quality video of a summer thunderstorm at Miami Beach in June 2009. I've seen plenty of videos of harsh storms and I must say this is one of my personal favorites.
Quoting 507. wxgeek723:
Not as bad as the incident Jed is talking about but I know a quality video of a summer thunderstorm at Miami Beach in June 2009. I've seen plenty of videos of harsh storms and I must say this is one of my personal favorites.



I've seen that video as well! Definitely one of my favorites, we had a thunderstorm like this last summer, one of my favorite things about summer thunderstorms in Florida, is on a given day, you typically see just typical popcorn tropical convection with heavy rain and a lot of lightning, but occasionally they get much worse if sea breeze boundaries and low level convergence sets up just right and there really is no way to forecast them beyond a now cast. the NWS offices often use Special weather statements area wide or HWO's to highlight severe over the summer since one can't really anticipate them with watch boxes. Their sudden popup intensity makes them very fun.


Also because we never have dynamics for severe weather during the summer except for tropical cyclones, the thunderstorms only produce severe weather simply from being very strong thunderstorm cells, which feels to me always worse than frontal thunderstorms that produce severe weather by dynamic processes.


This is the the truth about Miami that the Florida chamber of commerce fights to remain hidden ;)
Despite the forecast for a strong El Nino, the CFS forecast for wind shear actually doesn't look that bad. In fact, below-average shear is present across the Gulf and Caribbean during the May-June-July period, and below-average almost basin-wide by the peak of the season. I'm not sure how accurate this will be, just an observation.

511. flsky
I do disaster work and I was in Galveston after that storm. In all the years I've been doing this, that was one of the worst. I'd like to go back sometime to see how it looks w/o hurricane aftermath. I imagine it's a fun place to live when things are normal.



Quoting flsky:
I do disaster work and I was in Galveston after that storm. In all the years I've been doing this, that was one of the worst. I'd like to go back sometime to see how it looks w/o hurricane aftermath. I imagine it's a fun place to live when things are normal.




That picture of the freeway kind of looks like anywhere in LA at rush hour. :-)
Quoting Jedkins01:



I've seen that video as well! Definitely one of my favorites, we had a thunderstorm like this last summer, one of my favorite things about summer thunderstorms in Florida, is on a given day, you typically see just typical popcorn tropical convection with heavy rain and a lot of lightning, but occasionally they get much worse if sea breeze boundaries and low level convergence sets up just right and there really is no way to forecast them beyond a now cast. the NWS offices often use Special weather statements area wide or HWO's to highlight severe over the summer since one can't really anticipate them with watch boxes. Their sudden popup intensity makes them very fun.


Also because we never have dynamics for severe weather during the summer except for tropical cyclones, the thunderstorms only produce severe weather simply from being very strong thunderstorm cells, which feels to me always worse than frontal thunderstorms that produce severe weather by dynamic processes.


This is the the truth about Miami that the Florida chamber of commerce fights to remain hidden ;)

Didn't bother that guy delivering stuff to the Dollar General at all. :-)

We get 'em like that occasionally up here as well. I don't know if it's our soil or what, but I've never seen as many close strikes and thunder that I'm sure will take the windows out of the house as I have here. Thankfully, we're a small town, so no underground parking garages, but we have parts of town that flood every time we get that kind of storm. The city has been getting around to fixing that problem over the past 30 years or so. All the good ole boys carry snatch blocks and webbing in their pickups, so they just wade in an drag people out the flooded areas. By the time anyone official shows up, they've also gotten out the chain saws and taken care of any fallen limbs. Kind of different than Miami, but not many people go out clubbing here either.
Quoting 507. wxgeek723:
Not as bad as the incident Jed is talking about but I know a quality video of a summer thunderstorm at Miami Beach in June 2009. I've seen plenty of videos of harsh storms and I must say this is one of my personal favorites.


Sexy.
Quoting 496. hydrus:
Isabel was for all practical purposes the perfect cat-5 hurricane. Hurricane Belle was my first and I was in 5th grade at the time, did some considerable damage along the New Jersey Coast in 1976.


I remember Belle!

I remember the lead guy on Channel 2 Public Access trying to talk everyone into bugging out, and us (Ventnor Heights, 500 block Cornwall Ave which put us 2 blocks from the bay), no everyone on the block saying "Nah, we've had worse, this is like a bad noreaster." It wasn't great, and a small chunk of tree came through one side of our bay window, but overall it was more scary (to me, about the same age) than destructive. Heck, we didn't even lose the stop sign on the corner, and we lost that once or twice a year.

What I remember watching was when the TelePrompTer Channel 2 staff finally left, they left the camera on the rotating dial drum, and I was fascinated watching the anenometer/wind direction dial doing its dance.
516. flsky
I lived in downtown L.A. for 10 years. They have some of the most experienced commuters anywhere and they know what they're doing. Freeways are well-repaired and clean. The only problem is there are too many cars. Don't diss L.A.!

Quoting 512. sar2401:

That picture of the freeway kind of looks like anywhere in LA at rush hour. :-)
Quoting Haiyan2013:
img src="http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/wv-l.j pg">

Looks like a trough out there. The Atlantic gets those kinds of things. I wouldn't look for it to be call as invest, if that's what you mean. The boys at the NHC are on spring break now. :-)
Quoting 514. KoritheMan:


Sexy.


Ah! Kori! Just the man I was waiting for! Check your wu-mail in a moment...
Quoting flsky:
I lived in downtown L.A. for 10 years. They have some of the most experienced commuters anywhere and they know what they're doing. Freeways are well-repaired and clean. The only problem is there are too many cars. Don't diss L.A.!


LOL. I lived in LA for ten years also. When the freeways are running, life is good. When they aren't, it still looks like that picture, especially after the first rain following the dry season. LA drivers do not get the part about slowing down. :-)
Quoting 518. Astrometeor:


Ah! Kori! Just the man I was waiting for! Check your wu-mail in a moment...


Aww, I missed you too baby <3
Quoting 513. sar2401:

Didn't bother that guy delivering stuff to the Dollar General at all. :-)

We get 'em like that occasionally up here as well. I don't know if it's our soil or what, but I've never seen as many close strikes and thunder that I'm sure will take the windows out of the house as I have here. Thankfully, we're a small town, so no underground parking garages, but we have parts of town that flood every time we get that kind of storm. The city has been getting around to fixing that problem over the past 30 years or so. All the good ole boys carry snatch blocks and webbing their pickups, so they just wade in an drag people out the flooded areas. By the time anyone official shows up, they've also gotten out the chain saws and taken care of any fallen limbs. Kind of different than Miami, but not many people go out clubbing here either.



LOL, I doubt its the soil, much of the deep south especially the closer you get to gulf coast is used to heavy rain, so the soil should be able to handle plenty of rain.

However, there are natural places where water piles up from heavy rain, typically this is of course lower ground. My guess is it is poor planning of not enough emphasis on a better drainage system in areas where water collects more.

Even when drainage is good and soil can handle a lot of water, its hard to prevent flooding anywhere when you get several inches of rain in a short period, the thunderstorm in the video dumped over 9 inches in 2.5 hours, which will cause flooding regardless of proper drainage, its just too much rain.

That amount of rain will cause catastrophic flooding in places that aren't designed for torrential rains though. Toranto had worse flooding than video from just 2 inches. Places in the southwest get worse flooding than that from less than an inch!
Earthquake in Chile on Monday, 17 March, 2014 at 04:33 (04:33 AM) UTC.

Back
Updated: Monday, 17 March, 2014 at 09:40 UTC
Description
A strong 6.7-magnitude earthquake shook Chile's northern Pacific shore Sunday, and authorities said more than 100,000 people briefly evacuated some coastal areas as a precaution. Only minor damage was reported. The U.S. Geological Survey originally reported the quake at a 7.0 magnitude but later revised the reading down. The tremor struck offshore about 6:16 p.m. at a depth of 20 kilometres. Its epicentre was 60 kilometres northwest of Iquique, Chile. Chile's ONEMI emergency services office said about 80,000 people left their homes in the Tarapaca region, 3,000 in Arica and Parinacota region and 22,000 in Antofagasta region. He said the sea had risen only about 32 centimetres Chile is one of the world's most earthquake-prone countries. A magnitude-8.8 quake and the tsunami it unleashed in 2010 killed more than 500 people, destroyed 220,000 homes, and washed away docks, riverfronts and seaside resorts. The strongest earthquake ever recorded also happened in Chile, a magnitude-9.5 tremor in 1960 that killed more than 5,000 people.
Quoting BaltimoreBrian:
Today's selection of articles about science, climate change, energy and the environment.*** Climate science 'is beyond argument'


HONG KONG, 17 March - South Africa’s former Finance Minister, Trevor Manuel, has derided those who deny the scientific argument that climate change is an urgent problem caused largely by human activity.

He told journalists here: “The science is now incontrovertible. There are a few people in the world who deny it, but they are mainly in lunatic asylums.”

Mr Manuel is one of three co-chairs of the Global Ocean Commission, a panel of global leaders who have just ended a meeting here to finalise the proposals they will present to the United Nations in June.


At least he's unbiased. :-)
Quoting 510. TropicalAnalystwx13:
Despite the forecast for a strong El Nino, the CFS forecast for wind shear actually doesn't look that bad. In fact, below-average shear is present across the Gulf and Caribbean during the May-June-July period, and below-average almost basin-wide by the peak of the season. I'm not sure how accurate this will be, just an observation.


Hey guys!!! just doin an odd pop in, see how all of ya doin. nice to see ya all prepping up talks on tropics 2014.
Just want to throw this out there, even though I am still officially on retirement. my personal thoughts on '14 season is that CV season/storms would be dead or near non-existent and Eastern and East-Central Caribbean will be (near) inactive areas. I think areas that will get most of the activity is the Central and Eastern GOM, Western and West-Central Caribbean and US East Coast, Bermuda maybe Atlantic Canada. Overall activity I say near normal. I ain't buyin the El Niño forecast yet, I ain't falling for the below average numbers yet. Wait and see game.

Ok see ya soon hopefully as I said before I won't be here like I would normally be during season but if a got a major cane on my head or nearing my head then I might pop in
Hi WKC!

If you come back (or if you want to now) Max says he is going to do his hurricane list again this year. You should give him a set of numbers (or ranges, if you prefer) even though you're in retirement.

:)
ESPI is 0.60..it's pointing to atleast some El Nino conditions fairly soon...
Well, good night blog. Nice to see you visiting us, WKC, hope to see some more of those visits out of ya.

Quoting Jedkins01:



LOL, I doubt its the soil, much of the deep south especially the closer you get to gulf coast is used to heavy rain, so the soil should be able to handle plenty of rain.

However, there are natural places where water piles up from heavy rain, typically this is of course lower ground. My guess is it is poor planning of not enough emphasis on a better drainage system in areas where water collects more.

Even when drainage is good and soil can handle a lot of water, its hard to prevent flooding anywhere when you get several inches of rain in a short period, the thunderstorm in the video dumped over 9 inches in 2.5 hours, which will cause flooding regardless of proper drainage, its just too much rain.

That amount of rain will cause catastrophic flooding in places that aren't designed for torrential rains though. Toranto had worse flooding than video from just 2 inches. Places in the southwest get worse flooding than that from less than an inch!

It really is odd though. I've lived in six different parts of the country and I've never see so many storms with vicious cloud to ground lightning...well, back when we still having thunderstorms. Our ham radio repeater tower struck about four times a year and it's only 300' tall. We've got every kind of grounding and lighting protection devices on that tower you can think of and we still get equipment damage. The club has insurance on the tower and equipment and the insurance company is getting ready to cancel us because we've had so many claims. I think they suspect we are somehow attracting lightning so we can get a new repeater every other year. They even sent an engineer out to look at our installation and he couldn't recommend anything we weren't already doing. We had a strike two years that not only fried the repeater but literally melted about the top 8 feet of the aluminum Rohn tower. Rohn says they've never seen that happen before. I'm telling you, something's different about out lightning. :-)
Quoting Astrometeor:
Well, good night blog. Nice to see you visiting us, WKC, hope to see some more of those visits out of ya.


GN, Astro. For some reason, it's taking the blog forever to update.
Quoting 529. sar2401:

GN, Astro. For some reason, it's taking the blog forever to update.


I thought it was just me. Been like this for a couple of days, at least on my end.
Quoting wunderkidcayman:

Hey guys!!! just doin an odd pop in, see how all of ya doin. nice to see ya all prepping up talks on tropics 2014.
Just want to throw this out there, even though I am still officially on retirement. my personal thoughts on '14 season is that CV season/storms would be dead or near non-existent and Eastern and East-Central Caribbean will be (near) inactive areas. I think areas that will get most of the activity is the Central and Eastern GOM, Western and West-Central Caribbean and US East Coast, Bermuda maybe Atlantic Canada. Overall activity I say near normal. I ain't buyin the El Niño forecast yet, I ain't falling for the below average numbers yet. Wait and see game.

Ok see ya soon hopefully as I said before I won't be here like I would normally be during season but if a got a major cane on my head or nearing my head then I might pop in

Howdy, WKC. There's no way you'll be retired if a cat 5 is headed your way! :-) I have no idea what the season will be like, but lots of storms with a minimum of death and destruction would be fine with me.
Quoting 532. sar2401:

Howdy, WKC. There's no way you'll be retired if a cat 5 is headed your way! :-) I have no idea what the season will be like, but lots of storms with a minimum of death and destruction would be fine with me.


I feel I should take the time to reaffirm what sar just said: I definitely want a Gulf Coast major hurricane or two; chasing or knocking on my doorstep is fine by me, but I would certainly not complain if nothing like that materialized at all.

I have reverence for life despite my strange... proclivities.

Which actually suggests I'm nothing like Darth Sidious, despite wearing it proudly as my avatar. :)
Quoting KoritheMan:


I thought it was just me. Been like this for a couple of days, at least on my end.

No. it's happening for me too. I have to refresh five or six times to see my post, and it takes forever for the blog just connect and start updating. I have plenty of free resources and I'm using Chrome. This is the only side that I see this on consistently. I think the WonderYakusa needs to do some housecleaning. :-)
Quoting KoritheMan:


I feel I should take the time to reaffirm what sar just said: I definitely want a Gulf Coast major hurricane or two; chasing or knocking on my doorstep is fine by me, but I would certainly not complain if nothing like that materialized at all.

I have reverence for life despite my strange... proclivities.

Which actually suggests I'm nothing like Darth Sidious, despite wearing it proudly as my avatar. :)

Took four refreshes this time. This place will really run like a slug if we ever get some action again.

We've discussed your...proclivities... in the past, but I think we need a couple of at least cat 3 landfalls to get the system back in balance. I don't buy the Global Warming/all the weather will be different forever thing, but going on 9 years with no major land-falling hurricanes on the CONUS, and no majors at all last year shows something is pretty strange with the global engine. I don't want to see another Ivan or Katrina, but a major will always involve some death and destruction. It's part of the way the planet ventilates itself, and I just have this feeling we need to get things back in order or we're in for serious trouble.
Quoting 535. sar2401:

Took four refreshes this time. This place will really run like a slug if we ever get some action again.

We've discussed your...proclivities... in the past, but I think we need a couple of at least cat 3 landfalls to get the system back in balance. I don't buy the Global Warming/all the weather will be different forever thing, but going on 9 years with no major land-falling hurricanes on the CONUS, and no majors at all last year shows something is pretty strange with the global engine. I don't want to see another Ivan or Katrina, but a major will always involve some death and destruction. It's part of the way the planet ventilates itself, and I just have this feeling we need to get things back in order or we're in for serious trouble.


We've arguably already had a slew of US majors since Wilma. Problem is, the Saffir-Simpson classification system is arbitrary, and is quickly beginning to lose its pragmatism in delineating damage potential.
Quoting 525. Astrometeor:
Hi WKC!

If you come back (or if you want to now) Max says he is going to do his hurricane list again this year. You should give him a set of numbers (or ranges, if you prefer) even though you're in retirement.

:)

Thanks I may take up on that offer

Quoting 527. Astrometeor:
Well, good night blog. Nice to see you visiting us, WKC, hope to see some more of those visits out of ya.


Nice to see you to Astro

Quoting 532. sar2401:

Howdy, WKC. There's no way you'll be retired if a cat 5 is headed your way! :-) I have no idea what the season will be like, but lots of storms with a minimum of death and destruction would be fine with me.

Lol sar yeah ur right ;) but yeah ur right storm with "minimum" death or none better and same with the destructions

Well, nobody around but Kori and the crickets. We had a nice rain up here in SE Alabama today, with a total of 1.45". Just a few thunderstorms that were barely thunderstorms yesterday. It's still overcast and our radar is broken - again - but it looks like the front is through but still moving like molasses. Down to 48 after a high of 63, We never did get any really warm air. It all stayed south. I leave for five days at Destin next Monday. The long range looks like cool with rain most of the time. The weather will turn nice on Friday, when I leave...figures. Hope everyone had a good day and a pleasant sleep. See y'all later today.
Quoting KoritheMan:


We've arguably already had a slew of US majors since Wilma. Problem is, the Saffir-Simpson classification system is arbitrary, and is quickly beginning to lose its pragmatism in delineating damage potential.

That's quite true, but it won't change the record books. The SS scale certainly had its use when it was first devised, and still does, but we've seen little cat 1's like Issac cause destruction way out of proportion to its category ranking. NOAA and the NHC seem to be adamantly against making any changes to the hurricane ranking scales, so the NHC will just have to depend on the text in their advisories to let people how bad any kind of storm in terms of storm surge and flooding. I suspect it's going to take a nothing storm that causes a lot of damage and deaths to change things. I thought Sandy might get them off dead center but, except for not doing the hand off to the local offices, nothing changes. In many ways, it's just a typical bureaucracy.
seems WU is having a small hickup right now .. anyone else having trouble ??
3.10" so far in Longwood as the rain is coming down at an incredible rate right now.

Pouring, lightning & wind..Got a Thunderstorm Warning. Palm Bay have took the brunt of that. Whole thing looks wild wrapping up on satellite.



good morning..wind knocking down branches etc.....
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
526 AM EDT TUE MAR 18 2014

FLZ054-059-064-181030-
INDIAN RIVER-MARTIN-ST. LUCIE-
526 AM EDT TUE MAR 18 2014

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS
UP TO 55 MPH OVER SOUTHEASTERN INDIAN RIVER COUNTY...MARTIN
COUNTY...ST. LUCIE COUNTY...

* UNTIL 630 AM EDT.

AT 523 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG WIND GUSTS FROM 6 MILES
NORTHEAST OF INDIAN RIVER SHORES TO 8 MILES SOUTH OF J AND S FISH
CAMP...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH. INDIVIDUAL CELLS ARE MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 55 TO 60 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THE STORM WHICH MAY EXPERIENCE STRONG WINDS
INCLUDE NORTH RIVER SHORES...FORT PIERCE...PORT SAINT LUCIE...STUART
AND HOBE SOUND BEACH.

THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES AND
GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH...WHICH CAN CAUSE UNSECURED OBJECTS TO
BLOW AROUND...SNAP TREE LIMBS OR CAUSE POWER OUTAGES. HEAVY RAINFALL
WILL TEMPORARILY REDUCE VISIBILITY. SEEK SHELTER INDOORS UNTIL THE
STORM PASSES.
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
505 AM EDT TUE MAR 18 2014

...HIGH SURF AND AN ELEVATED RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENT IN
EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.STRONG ONSHORE WINDS WILL KEEP AN ELEVATED RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS
IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

FLZ050-151-155-160-162-165-182100-
/O.NEW.KTBW.SU.Y.0007.140318T0905Z-140318T2100Z/
/O.CON.KTBW.RP.S.0013.000000T0000Z-140318T2100Z/
PINELLAS-COASTAL HILLSBOROUGH-COASTAL MANATEE-COASTAL SARASOTA-
COASTAL CHARLOTTE-COASTAL LEE-
505 AM EDT TUE MAR 18 2014

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...
...RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAMPA BAY RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A
HIGH SURF ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON.

* WAVES AND SURF...LARGE BREAKING WAVES WILL GENERATE SURF UP TO 4
TO 6 FEET.

* TIMING...THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.
gee winds were worse here this morning than anything we had yesterday..rain was blowing horizontal ..big branches down by me as i walked the dogs..otherwise cool and breezy right now...hope no one lost power
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA...SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

WIDESPREAD RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE AREA THIS MORNING...
WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE. ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE EARLY THIS MORNING ACROSS COASTAL AREAS AND OVER
NORTHEAST FLORIDA...WITH GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL POSSIBLE AS THE
STORMS TRACK QUICKLY TO THE NORTHEAST. RAINFALL WILL DECREASE ACROSS
THE AREA BY NOON.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL WATERS. WINDS
WILL RELAX BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS THIS AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

MINOR TO POSSIBLY MODERATE RIVER FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
WITHIN SEVERAL RIVER BASINS THIS WEEK. PLEASE REFER TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE FOR DETAILED INFORMATION.

Squall line headed towards east coast cities..stay safe folks..
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
614 AM EDT TUE MAR 18 2014

FLZ066-067-070-071-073-075-181100-
MAINLAND MONROE FL-INLAND COLLIER COUNTY FL-INLAND BROWARD COUNTY FL-
HENDRY FL-INLAND MIAMI-DADE COUNTY FL-INLAND PALM BEACH COUNTY FL-
614 AM EDT TUE MAR 18 2014

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT FOR
STRONG WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH FOR SOUTHEASTERN HENDRY
COUNTY...INLAND PALM BEACH COUNTY...INLAND BROWARD COUNTY...FAR
EASTERN COLLIER COUNTY...NORTHERN MAINLAND MONROE COUNTY AND FAR
WESTERN MIAMI-DADE COUNTY.

AT 610 AM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR HOLEY LAND WILDLIFE
REFUGE TO 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF WILDERNESS WATERWAY...AND MOVING EAST
AT 30 MPH.

WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS AS
THEY MOVE ACROSS THE EVERGLADES AND APPROACH THE EAST COAST METRO
AREAS BY 7 AM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THIS LINE. THESE
WINDS CAN BLOW AROUND LOOSE OBJECTS, UPROOT SMALL TREES AND KNOCK
DOWN POWER LINES. REMAIN INDOORS UNTIL THE STORMS HAVE PASSED.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE IN MIAMI.

&&
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA THIS
MORNING. STRONG GUSTY WINDS...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS...AND OCCASIONAL
DEADLY LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STORMS. SHOWERS
AND STORMS SHOULD MOVE OUT OF THE AREA BY NOON.
Quoting 550. LargoFl:
Squall line headed towards east coast cities..stay safe folks..
Wasnt to bad here in Martin County. Wind gust to 37mph. Light to moderate rain no thunder. Calming down now. Good Morning all
Quoting 526. Skyepony:
ESPI is 0.60..it's pointing to atleast some El Nino conditions fairly soon...


Good morning.

That is a big jump. The large warm pool means business.



My weather station picked up .30" rain last night here in Fort Myers. It was just a steady light rain with no thunder.

But we did receive a 46 mph gust from the South yesterday hours before the rain arrived.
Quoting 553. jeebsa:
Wasnt to bad here in Martin County. Wind gust to 37mph. Light to moderate rain no thunder. Calming down now. Good Morning all


Same here. The line was all bark and no bite as it came through our area last night. Just a nice light to moderate rain with no thunder (which made the dog happy).
At least the grass, bushes, and trees got .3 of an inch.
Now we wait another week to see if we can get some more.
Winter Storm Xenia?
Quoting 557. Haiyan2013:
Winter Storm Xenia?




Not sure if its deserving for that region of the country even though they could see heavy snow and high winds in some areas.
But it is the Great Lakes and they should be used to this kind of weather during the Winter/early Spring.

Now if this storm was occuring across the Southeast it would be a big deal.

Snow flurries in Atlanta will probably get a name from now on.
Duluth is one of the cities that will be impacted the most by this system. They are under a Winter Storm Warning.
Most of the region being affected by this system are under weather advisories.

Here's the Warning for the Duluth area.

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
420 AM CDT TUE MAR 18 2014

...STRONG WINTER STORM TO IMPACT THE NORTHLAND TODAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY...

.A STRONG WINTER STORM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST TODAY
AND TONIGHT...AND LINGER INTO WEDNESDAY. THE STORM WILL BRING
HEAVY SNOW TO THE REGION. SNOWFALL TOTALS WILL RANGE FROM 6 TO 10
INCHES FROM LAKE MILLE LACS TO DULUTH AND ALONG THE NORTH AND SOUTH
SHORES OF WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR. AREAS TO THE WEST WILL SEE LESSER
AMOUNTS AROUND 3 TO 5 INCHES. INLAND AREAS OF NORTHWEST WISCONSIN
ARE EXPECTED TO SEE AMOUNTS AROUND 5 TO 8 INCHES. THE SNOW IS
EXPECTED TO DIMINISH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY FROM WEST
TO EAST ACROSS THE NORTHLAND.

WIZ001>004-006>008-181730-
/O.CON.KDLH.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-140319T2300Z/
DOUGLAS-BAYFIELD-ASHLAND-IRON-BURNETT-WASHBURN-SA WYER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SUPERIOR...WASHBURN...ASHLAND...
HURLEY...GRANTSBURG...SPOONER...HAYWARD
420 AM CDT TUE MAR 18 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT
WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATION...MOST OF NORTHWEST WISCONSIN...INCLUDING HAYWARD...
SPOONER...SIREN...WASHBURN...BAYFIELD...ASHLAND... HURLEY AND
PARK FALLS.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL INCREASE OVER THE AREA TODAY AND CONTINUE
ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT...BEFORE ENDING FROM WEST TO EAST
WEDNESDAY. PORTIONS OF NORTHERN WISCONSIN MAY SEE A BREAK IN THE
SNOWFALL DEVELOP FOR A TIME LATE TUESDAY MORNING AND EARLY
AFTERNOON...BUT IT WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD AGAIN TONIGHT.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...TWO DAY SNOWFALL TOTALS ARE CURRENTLY
EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 5 TO 8 INCHES ACROSS BURNETT... WASHBURN
AND SAWYER COUNTIES WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS ACROSS THE NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF THOSE COUNTIES. 8 TO 12 INCHES ARE EXPECTED FROM
DOUGLAS COUNTY EAST THROUGH IRON COUNTY WITH SOME LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS ALSO POSSIBLE DUE TO NORTHERLY WINDS FLOWING ACROSS THE
LAKE LATE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

* IMPACTS...EXPECT HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS TUESDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS HEAVY SNOW
ACCUMULATION IS ANTICIPATED...AND THAT SNOWFALL RATES OF ONE INCH
PER HOUR OR GREATER CAN BE EXPECTED AT TIMES. EXPECT SNOW AND ICE
COVERED ROADS AND VISIBILITY LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE. IF YOU
MUST TRAVEL...EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO
REACH YOUR DESTINATION. LET SOMEONE KNOW YOUR TRAVEL ROUTE AND
EXPECTED ARRIVAL TIME AND HAVE A WORKING CELL PHONE IN CASE YOU
BECOME STRANDED. KEEP A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT IN YOUR VEHICLE...
INCLUDING A FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER. IF YOU CHOOSE TO
TRAVEL...BE AWARE THAT YOU MAY BECOME STRANDED AND THAT IT MAY
TAKE MANY HOURS FOR HELP TO ARRIVE.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
745 AM EDT TUE MAR 18 2014

FLZ067-068-071>074-168-172-173-181215-
COASTAL MIAMI DADE COUNTY FL-INLAND BROWARD COUNTY FL-
COASTAL BROWARD COUNTY FL-METRO BROWARD COUNTY FL-INLAND MIAMI-
DADE COUNTY FL-INLAND PALM BEACH COUNTY FL-
COASTAL PALM BEACH COUNTY FL-METRO PALM BEACH COUNTY FL-
METROPOLITAN MIAMI DADE FL-
745 AM EDT TUE MAR 18 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 815 AM EDT...

AT 743 AM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO 6 MILES
NORTHWEST OF KENDALE LAKES...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MIAMI...HIALEAH...FORT LAUDERDALE...HOLLYWOOD...PEMBROKE PINES...
CORAL SPRINGS...MIAMI BEACH...SUNRISE...POMPANO BEACH...DAVIE...
KENDALL...BOCA RATON...MIRAMAR...DEERFIELD BEACH...TAMARAC...
MARGATE...CORAL GABLES...HALLANDALE...SOUTH MIAMI AND KEY BISCAYNE.
Duluth Region
well next tuesday could indeed get interesting again..
Quoting 554. Tropicsweatherpr:


Good morning.

That is a big jump. The large warm pool means business.





It's beginning to surface in Region 1,2...it on. Here comes the heat.
Quoting 561. Sfloridacat5:
Duluth Region


Lovely... Thanks for the update.
The line is just about to clear the state. Should see some brief heavy rain across Miami region and then gradual clearing today. Sun is already coming out over here in Ft. Myers
Quoting 564. Skyepony:


It's beginning to surface in Region 1,2...it on. Here comes the heat.



Floods in Peru. Droughts in Malaysia, Indonesia and north east Brazil. All are happening now, and all are believed to be caused by El Nino.

Except, this time they've preceded the onset of El Nino. Strange one, and makes me think it's going to be a biggie. Lots of pent up energy waiting to be released.

I wonder what the combination of a severe El Nino, and a near record Arctic Ocean ice melt will unleash? It'll be interesting, whatever it is.
Someone said this el nino is looking like a madoki.Can someone confirm?.

Quoting 554. Tropicsweatherpr:


Good morning.

That is a big jump. The large warm pool means business.




This warm pool is over 1C warmer than the 1997-98 warm pool. By far the strongest we've ever seen.
Quoting 568. yonzabam:



Floods in Peru. Droughts in Malaysia, Indonesia and north east Brazil. All are happening now, and all are believed to be caused by El Nino.

Except, this time they've preceded the onset of El Nino. Strange one, and makes me think it's going to be a biggie. Lots of pent up energy waiting to be released.

I wonder what the combination of a severe El Nino, and a near record Arctic Ocean ice melt will unleash? It'll be interesting, whatever it is.
It'll probably be like the day after tomorrow.Everyone! run for the hills!.I think a tsunami is headed for the east coast with a super blizzard hurricane afterwards.Yikes!.
Good Morning. Here are the am temps. Not much of a cold front for the South the less teens today (but still cold) for parts of the upper mid-west and NE. I am sure that they are tired of this winter and hoping for warmer weather over the next several weeks:

Aviation Image
Quoting 569. washingtonian115:
Someone said this el nino is looking like a madoki.Can someone confirm?.

A kelvin wave has pulled some heat to the surface toward Central Pacific yes..but looking at the T-depth anomaly..the large pool has moved east for the most part below the surface & is now surfacing in the region 1,2 area which is very classic.. It looks like the bulk of the heat will surface in the east & spread west. I doubt this will go down as a madoki.
Quoting 569. washingtonian115:
Someone said this el nino is looking like a madoki.Can someone confirm?.


This is what a Modoki looks like...

This is where we are at, so currently we are not in a Modoki. But that could obviously change.

Quoting 573. Skyepony:

A kelvin wave has pulled some heat to the surface toward Central Pacific yes..but looking at the T-depth anomaly..the large pool has moved east for the most part below the surface & is now surfacing in the region 1,2 area which is very classic.. It looks like the bulk of the heat will surface in the east & spread west. I doubt this will go down as a madoki.
Thanks Sky.

If this does continue to set up as the classic type El nino it looks like D.C could hold in the wet pattern.
Quoting 576. washingtonian115:
Thanks Sky.

If this does continue to set up as the classic type El nino it looks like D.C could hold in the wet pattern.


It is looking like it will be typical, since that Kelvin wave is so close to the coast of South America.

Assuming this winter ends, you could have a nice snowy 2014-2015 winter too.
Quoting 572. weathermanwannabe:
Good Morning. Here are the am temps. Not much of a cold front for the South the less teens today (but still cold) for parts of the upper mid-west and NE. I am sure that they are tired of this winter and hoping for warmer weather over the next several weeks:

Aviation Image


Just an FYI --

WeatherTap is subscription based, so no one but you can see the image you posted.
Quoting 577. Dakster:


It is looking like it will be typical, since that Kelvin wave is so close to the coast of South America.

Assuming this winter ends, you could have a nice snowy 2014-2015 winter too.
Hopefully (I don't want to tell my co-workers I asked for snow or they'll kill me).I hope this el nino puts it's self into good use.The winters of 86-87 02-03 and 09-010 had el nino's in place and were snowy.All the right things have to come together first though.

Quoting 578. Dakster:


Just an FYI --

WeatherTap is subscription based, so no one but you can see the image you posted.
Thank You so Much...............Didn't realize Yall could not see it.    K
for mick terrible news. could this really be the end of the rolling stones? greatest live rock & roll band ever
Quoting 579. washingtonian115:
Hopefully (I don't want to tell my co-workers I asked for snow or they'll kill me).I hope this el nino puts it's self into good use.The winters of 86-87 02-03 and 09-010 had el nino's in place and were snowy.All the right things have to come together first though.


It is what it is... And where you live that is your risk. Where I live I don't have a snow risk, I have rain and hurricane risks.
Quoting 581. islander101010:
for mick terrible news. could this really be the end of the rolling stones? greatest live rock & roll band ever


You don't think he will go back to singing?
Quoting 571. washingtonian115:
It'll probably be like the day after tomorrow.Everyone! run for the hills!.I think a tsunami is headed for the east coast with a super blizzard hurricane afterwards.Yikes!.


It'll be way worse than that. The Earth's crust could split at the north Atlantic ridge, and the waters of the Atlantic Ocean would fall into the centre of the Earth, turning to steam, and blowing the planet apart.

There might be about a dozen 'mini earths' all in orbit around each other. What a mess that would be. Makes the splitting of Crimea from Ukraine look like small potatoes.
Special weather statement in effect for:
•City of Toronto

Potential for wintery weather on Wednesday.

A low pressure system is set to arrive from the U.S. central plains on Wednesday. This system has the potential to bring a wide swath of freezing rain Wednesday morning extending from Lake Huron east to the Golden Horseshoe and Central Ontario. This has the potential to impact the morning commute where untreated road surfaces may become slippery. The band of freezing rain will change over to rain during the day on Wednesday as temperatures climb above the zero degree mark.

Regions located east of Georgian Bay to the Quebec border will see more of a wintery mix of precipitation with snow, ice pellets and freezing rain possible through the day on Wednesday. Snowfall accumulations up to 10 cm by the end of Wednesday can be expected.

For areas east of Lake Huron, especially in the Huron-Perth and gray-Bruce regions, rain will change to snow Wednesday night and brisk northwest winds of gusting to 60 km/h could produce local blowing snow and low visibilities.

Please monitor the latest forecasts and warnings from Environment Canada at www.weatheroffice.gc.ca.
Quoting 585. KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
Special weather statement in effect for:
•City of Toronto

Potential for wintery weather on Wednesday.

A low pressure system is set to arrive from the U.S. central plains on Wednesday. This system has the potential to bring a wide swath of freezing rain Wednesday morning extending from Lake Huron east to the Golden Horseshoe and Central Ontario. This has the potential to impact the morning commute where untreated road surfaces may become slippery. The band of freezing rain will change over to rain during the day on Wednesday as temperatures climb above the zero degree mark.

Regions located east of Georgian Bay to the Quebec border will see more of a wintery mix of precipitation with snow, ice pellets and freezing rain possible through the day on Wednesday. Snowfall accumulations up to 10 cm by the end of Wednesday can be expected.

For areas east of Lake Huron, especially in the Huron-Perth and gray-Bruce regions, rain will change to snow Wednesday night and brisk northwest winds of gusting to 60 km/h could produce local blowing snow and low visibilities.

Please monitor the latest forecasts and warnings from Environment Canada at www.weatheroffice.gc.ca.


KOTG - What was that about winter ending soon?
Quoting 575. Dakster:
This is where we are at, so currently we are not in a Modoki. But that could obviously change.




That map is now old

Here is the updated one

Quoting 586. Dakster:


KOTG - What was that about winter ending soon?
it will end soon as its finished whenever that will be
LOL



850mb temps crash with a low coming in from the Ohio valley...gone next run count on it





surface temps start very warm then crash






the whole setup is laughable
little ways out 06 gfs shows a big system off east coast mid next week

we have to see what future runs show with this

looks like a hurricane but its not just a windy system



picture of new station wunder how it will hold up with freezing rain tomorrow

guess I will see by morning tomorrow
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:
LOL



850mb temps crash with a low coming in from the Ohio valley...gone next run count on it





surface temps start very warm then crash






the whole setup is laughable

That better be an LOL forecast. If not, I need to bring parka for my beach vacation next week.
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:


picture of new station wunder how it will hold up with freezing rain tomorrow

guess I will see by morning tomorrow

Like I said yesterday, mine was was frozen solid for almost three days and it recovered fine. It looks like you can actually reach yours, so you can just knock of any accumulation and keep you anemometer and wind vane working. Unless I climb up on my roof (something that wouldn't be fun in an ice storm) and take down my 10 foot mast, there's no way I can get to mine.

Is that an antenna tower next to your station? Too bad you couldn't just mount your station on that tower.
Quoting 591. KEEPEROFTHEGATE:


picture of new station wunder how it will hold up with freezing rain tomorrow

guess I will see by morning tomorrow
Nice..I am thinkin of putting up my old maxima.
Quoting 593. sar2401:

Like I said yesterday, mine was was frozen solid for almost three days and it recovered fine. It looks like you can actually reach yours, so you can just knock of any accumulation and keep you anemometer and wind vane working. Unless I climb up on my roof (something that wouldn't be fun in an ice storm) and take down my 10 foot mast, there's no way I can get to mine.

Is that an antenna tower next to your station? Too bad you couldn't just mount your station on that tower.


You have no sense of adventure and apparently a strong desire to avoid an emergency room...

Thanks Taz for posting the latest SSTAM.

Keeper - My folks in Michigan feel the same way. Just hoping winter ends before christmas this year.
GFS might not be so crazy..still a ways out and subject to change..

Quoting 593. sar2401:

Like I said yesterday, mine was was frozen solid for almost three days and it recovered fine. It looks like you can actually reach yours, so you can just knock of any accumulation and keep you anemometer and wind vane working. Unless I climb up on my roof (something that wouldn't be fun in an ice storm) and take down my 10 foot mast, there's no way I can get to mine.

Is that an antenna tower next to your station? Too bad you couldn't just mount your station on that tower.
I was going too but the manual said its best to locate it in a place where ya can do maintenance on it from time to time mostly the rain collector keep the dirt and stuff out

the tri pod is 5foot 8 above the roof line

I would have to slacken off bolts to drop it down the centre of the pod to get easy access to clean and stuff
Quoting 599. KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
I was going too but the manual said its best to locate it in a place where ya can do maintenance on it from time to time mostly the rain collector keep the dirt and stuff out

the tri pod is 5foot 8 above the roof line

I would have to slacken off bolts to drop it down the centre of the pod to get easy access to clean and stuff


They have these things called ladders that could help you do that without having to drop it down. I don't recommend an extension ladder, because you would have to lean it against the tripod. If the tripod failed it looks like a long way down to the first floor. I would get an A-Frame ladder or one that stands on its own instead.
Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Darwin
Tropical Cyclone Advisory
TROPICAL LOW, FORMER TC GILLIAN (14U)
10:45 PM CST March 18 2014
=============================================

At 10:00 PM CST, Tropical Low, Former Gillian (1004 hPa) located at 9.6S 128.4E or 330 km east southeast of Dili and 525 km east of Kupang has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 50 knots. The low is reported as moving west at 13 knots.

Gale Force Winds
==================
60 NM from the center in southwest quadrant

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0/2.5/W0.5/24 HRS

Forecast and Intensity
========================
12 HRS 9.3S 124.2E - 30 knots (Tropical Low)
24 HRS 8.9S 120.7E - 25 knots (Tropical Low)
48 HRS 9.1S 114.5E - 25 knots (Tropical Low)
72 HRS 10.0S 109.2E - 25 knots (Tropical Low)

Additional Information
=======================

Position at 12Z based on animated 10-min near infrared imagery.

ASCAT scatterometer pass at 18/0107Z indicated a 20-25 knots system, and up to 30 knots in the southern semi-circle.

Convection remains sheared to the west of Ex-TC Gillian with infrared imagery revealing a well defined and exposed low level circulation center. Convection has been intermittent, with the current convection persisting for 2 hours.

Dvorak estimates indicate a DT of 3.0 using a shear pattern. MET is 2.5 and PT 2.0. FT is 2.0 based on PT, while CI is held at 2.5

Steering remains west northwest under influence of a low level ridge to the south of the system. The latest global model runs show high correspondence in position and timing for the movement of the system across Indonesia/Timor-Leste. The system will soon move into Jakarta TCWC's area of responsibility and is forecast to cross Timor early on Wednesday. The projected tracks diverge in the long term in the Indian Ocean.

CIMSS shear analysis indicates 20-30 knots easterly shear, however the system is moving west at 15 knots, so system relative shear is significantly less.

Gales are possible in the southwest quadrant overnight. Squally heavy rain is likely around the low as it passes across the Timor Sea and Indonesia.

In the longer term, the low may receive a moist low level infeed from the northwest. As it moves in a more southerly direction over the Indian Ocean, shear is forecast to decrease and poleward outflow increase as it becomes better located with the upper level ridge. As such, Ex-TC Gillian may have the potential to slowly develop once again.

==There will be no further bulletins for this system as it is moving in Jakarta Tropical Cyclone Warning Center area of responsibility.==


Indonesia areas tropical cyclone warnings/watches.
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
I was going too but the manual said its best to locate it in a place where ya can do maintenance on it from time to time mostly the rain collector keep the dirt and stuff out

the tri pod is 5foot 8 above the roof line

I would have to slacken off bolts to drop it down the centre of the pod to get easy access to clean and stuff

Yeah, I was thinking mounting it at the same height you have now but using the existing tower for your mount. Kind of like the concept in the picture, where you use one leg of the tower with a stand off mount. What you might consider is getting a bike chain long enough to reach the tower and secure your mast to the tower, No matter what happens, it should keep your station from blowing over or, even worse, right off the roof. It probably would never happen, but I'm a belt and suspenders kind of guy. :-)

Quoting HadesGodWyvern:


Indonesia areas tropical cyclone warnings/watches.

That's right in the area of the MH370 search. It looks like they are going to finally lose their weather luck on this one.
Quoting 586. Dakster:


KOTG - What was that about winter ending soon?


Winter will end in two days. We can then call the events spring blizzards, spring arctic outbreaks, spring storms, etc.
Quoting Dakster:


They have these things called ladders that could help you do that without having to drop it down. I don't recommend an extension ladder, because you would have to lean it against the tripod. If the tripod failed it looks like a long way down to the first floor. I would get an A-Frame ladder or one that stands on its own instead.

Or, just use a broom. You'd have to keep after it if it started to get any serious accumulations, but a regular household broom will remove snow and ice without damaging the station. I'm assuming that's a flat tar and gravel roof.
Quoting 571. washingtonian115:
It'll probably be like the day after tomorrow.Everyone! run for the hills!.I think a tsunami is headed for the east coast with a super blizzard hurricane afterwards.Yikes!.


Current mid atlantic outdoor conditions do not appear favorable for locusts.
I hope they find this plane soon.

Thai military radar data bolsters belief that Flight 370 changed its path.

(CNN) -- New information from the Thai government bolsters the belief that missing Malaysia Airlines Flight 370 took a sharp westward turn after communication was lost.

The Thai military was receiving normal flight path and communication data from the Boeing 777-200 on its planned March 8 route from Kuala Lumpur to Beijing until 1:22 a.m., when it disappeared from its radar.

Six minutes later, the Thai military detected an unknown signal, a Royal Thai Air Force spokesman told CNN. This unknown aircraft, possibly Flight 370, was heading the opposite direction.

Malaysia says the evidence gathered so far suggests the plane was deliberately flown off course, turning west and traveling back over the Malay Peninsula and out into the Indian Ocean.

Link
Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
311 AM EDT Tue Mar 18 2014

Valid 12Z Tue Mar 18 2014 - 12Z Thu Mar 20 2014

***Improving weather for the East Coast starting on Tuesday***

***Spring-like storm system over the Central Plains***

***Cold for the Northeast and warm over Texas and Florida***

The wave of low pressure that was responsible for the widespread
accumulating snowfall over the Mid-Atlantic on Monday has moved offshore.
However, another wave of low pressure along the same frontal boundary
situated offshore will bring light freezing rain and freezing drizzle over
parts of North Carolina and Virginia through early Tuesday, with winter
weather advisories in effect. Farther to the south over Florida and the
coastal Southeast U.S., widespread showers and occasional thunderstorms
are likely through Tuesday as a shortwave disturbance passes overhead
along with a cold frontal passage.

Over the Central U.S., a developing surface low is forecast to track from
Kansas to the Great Lakes by Wednesday night. Unlike the previous system,
the cold front from this low will bring in an airmass from the Northern
Pacific instead of northern Canada, so no Arctic invasion is expected with
the passage of this front. However, this system will have enough cold air
and moisture to create a band of moderate snow from the Upper Midwest to
Lake Superior, and a wintry mix over parts of Michigan and into the
interior Northeast states. A few showers can be expected farther to the
south in the warm sector of the low.

Elsewhere across the continental U.S., cold weather is expected to persist
through the middle of the week over the Rockies and New England, and also
for the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest. Spring-like warmth will
continue to be enjoyed by many in the Desert Southwest, Texas, and
Florida.

Hamrick
Well glad it looks like the war is over and what a fast war it was.

Kremlin: Crimea and Sevastopol are now part of Russia, not Ukraine.

Moscow (CNN) -- Never mind what the West thinks -- the Kremlin says Ukraine's Crimea region is now part of Russia.
A signing ceremony Tuesday between Russian President Vladimir Putin, the Prime Minister of Crimea and the mayor of the city of Sevastopol made it official, the Kremlin said in a statement.
Crimea and Sevastopol, where the Russian Black Sea fleet is based, are now part of the Russian Federation, it said.

Opinion: Obama can't have it both ways on Crimea

London (CNN) -- Whatever U.S. and European leaders may say, it seems clear a majority of the residents of Crimea were only too happy to abandon Ukraine and join the Russian Federation. The referendum held there on Sunday was illegal according to Ukrainian constitutional law and took place under duress, following the large-scale incursion of "pro-Russian forces" -- and voters did not have the choice to say "no" to severing ties with Kiev.

In the end looks like the US jumped the gun too soon. Oh well next.
Quoting 605. georgevandenberghe:


Winter will end in two days. We can then call the events spring blizzards, spring arctic outbreaks, spring storms, etc.


Spring Vortex?
Going to be a nice day here in FL. the rain has cleared out and the sun is out.

Quoting 510. TropicalAnalystwx13:
Despite the forecast for a strong El Nino, the CFS forecast for wind shear actually doesn't look that bad. In fact, below-average shear is present across the Gulf and Caribbean during the May-June-July period, and below-average almost basin-wide by the peak of the season. I'm not sure how accurate this will be, just an observation.



Good !!
I was thinking about this upcoming hurricane season and what if we got record warm sst in Nino 3.4 region and record low wind shear across the Atlantic, but cooler sst there, what the season would actually be like. 2004 comes to mind.
3.27" of rain last night in Longwood. The rain was intense for hours it seemed.
Quoting 615. GTstormChaserCaleb:
I was thinking about this upcoming hurricane season and what if we got record warm sst in Nino 3.4 region and record low wind shear across the Atlantic, but cooler sst there, what the season would actually be like. 2004 comes to mind.
2004..was horrible..
Quoting 611. Dakster:


Spring Vortex?



spring cold core vortex
Quoting 616. StormTrackerScott:
3.27" of rain last night in Longwood. The rain was intense for hours it seemed.
training rains
Quoting 617. hydrus:
2004..was horrible..


Yes, and not much better than 2005 was.

Quoting 619. KEEPEROFTHEGATE:



spring cold core vortex


That will work.
Quoting 620. KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
training rains


Yeah that's exactly what it was. Bands of heavy thunderstorms dumping torrents of rain. Almost like a tropical system. It looked like this system was going to be a bust then around 10pm last night thunderstorms reformed and sat over Orlando.
Quoting 622. StormTrackerScott:


Yeah that's exactly what it was. Bands of heavy thunderstorms dumping torrents of rain. Almost like a tropical system. It looked like this system was going to be a bust then around 10pm last night thunderstorms reformed and sat over Orlando.


We got the tail end of that this morning here and if you had that for hours - yikes.

The 20-25 minutes here was enough to cause bowls to overflow and fill up my pool to the point of overflowing. (of course, since when it does that I lose chlorine)
JeffMasters has created a new entry.
dont you just love Spring?..this is next tuesday..
well 7-day Tampa Bay Area.................
Tampa the 5th most overdue city to get hit by a hurricane.......Storm surge in some areas of Hillsborough County, home to the city of Tampa, could be as high as 15 to 20 feet or more above the ground in a major hurricane, and the ocean could penetrate up to three miles inland, especially near rivers or canals. Even though it’s been a very long time since the last direct hit from a major hurricane, local emergency managers urge residents to write out a hurricane evacuation plan now.
There ought to be plans for a homebrew weather station similar to commercial units (I haven't searched). Building it yourself would be far more educational, and you should be able to fix it yourself if it breaks.
#528: If you're really desperate, you could always put up a slightly taller tower nearby as a decoy.
Quoting gippgig:
There ought to be plans for a homebrew weather station similar to commercial units (I haven't searched). Building it yourself would be far more educational, and you should be able to fix it yourself if it breaks.
#528: If you're really desperate, you could always put up a slightly taller tower nearby as a decoy.

Amazon has a kit for about $10. Not exactly professional results, but you do learn how to assemble a weather station. There is zero demand for a good weather station kit with the price of Chinese labor being so low.