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Tornadoes Kill Three in Southern U.S.; Significant Tornado Outbreak Today in VA, NC

By: Jeff Masters 4:25 PM GMT on February 24, 2016

The deadliest severe weather outbreak thus far in 2016 hit the Deep South on Tuesday, when at least eighteen tornadoes tore across portions of Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, Florida, and Georgia. Hardest hit was Louisiana, where the town of Convent saw a tornado rip through an RV park, killing two and injuring 31, with seven of those people in critical condition. An additional fatality was reported in a mobile home near Purvis, Mississippi. Major damage occurred late Tuesday morning in Prairieville, southeast of Baton Rouge, where a Gold's Gym and several other buildings nearby were heavily damaged around the time a tornado was reported in the area. Just 18 miles northeast, in Livingston, several homes had their roofs completely torn off. For the second time this month, a tornado caused major damage in Escambia County, located in the far western portion of the Florida Panhandle near Pensacola. A rotating supercell thunderstorm that formed over the Gulf of Mexico moved ashore and spawned a tornado that crossed Interstate 10, flipping several cars and a tractor trailer on the Escambia Bay Bridge, leaving the highway closed from mile marker 17 to mile marker 43. Twenty-four units of The Moorings apartment complex in Pensacola were completely destroyed, and an additional six suffered minor damage, according to Be Ready Escambia, the official disaster readiness website of the county's emergency management agency.


Figure 1. Destroyed trailers and vehicles are all that remain of the Sugar Hill RV Park after a tornado hit Convent, Louisiana on Tuesday, Feb. 23, 2016. The tornado killed two people in the trailer park. In total, 31 people were hospitalized from the trailer park, and seven were in critical condition, officials told the AP. (AP Photo/Max Becherer)


Figure 2. A large waterspout with two smaller satellite waterspouts moved across Louisiana's Lake Ponchartrain on Tuesday afternoon, February 23, 2016. Image credit: Casey Rogers/Facebook. This impressive WWLTV.com video shows the waterspouts in more detail. Thanks go to wunderground member Patrap for posting this link in the blog comments.


Figure 3. Severe weather reports for Tuesday, February 23, 2016, from NOAA’s Storm Prediction Center.

Another dangerous severe weather day on Wednesday
The storm system responsible for Tuesday’s severe weather is moving northeast, and severe thunderstorms began firing up on Wednesday morning ahead of the cold front that was sweeping through Florida, South Carolina, North Carolina. Tornado warnings were issued late Wednesday morning in Tampa, Florida, and in southern North Carolina, but the main severe threat will occur late Wednesday afternoon in eastern North Carolina and southeastern Virginia, where a strong mid-level jet stream with winds in excess of 125 mph and plenty of wind shear will provide spinning motion to afternoon thunderstorms that will fire up in the unstable air ahead of the approaching cold front. NOAA’s Storm Prediction Center is warning of the possibility of strong EF2 and EF3 tornadoes in this area, along with severe thunderstorms likely to cause straight-line wind damage.


Figure 4. The severe weather outlook for Wednesday, February 24, 2016 from NOAA's Storm Prediction Center calls for another major day of severe weather, with portions of eastern North Carolina and eastern Virginia under a "Moderate Risk" of severe weather.

You can follow today's outbreak on our special Live Blog.

Jeff Masters

Tornado

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

Reader Comments


SEL6

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 26
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1115 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
MOST OF NORTH CAROLINA
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA

* EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1115 AM UNTIL
700 PM EST.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL TORNADOES AND A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES LIKELY
SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY
ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...TWO AREAS OF SEVERE STORMS SHOULD EVOLVE NORTHEASTWARD
THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. PRIMARY AREA OF STORMS WITHIN A QUASI-LINEAR
BAND SHOULD SPREAD ACROSS THE PIEDMONT WITH TORNADOES AND DAMAGING
WINDS AS THE MAIN HAZARDS. A SECONDARY AREA OF SPORADIC TORNADO/WIND
POTENTIAL MAY PERSIST ACROSS PARTS OF THE COASTAL PLAIN IN SOUTHERN
NORTH CAROLINA.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 125 STATUTE
MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 5 MILES WEST OF GREENSBORO NORTH
CAROLINA TO 40 MILES EAST OF FLORENCE SOUTH CAROLINA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&
College of DuPage Meteorology
Severe Weather and Flash Flood Warnings
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Click on the station ID to bring up list of recent severe weather statements.
SVR T-STORM WARNING GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC - KGSP 1106 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016
TORNADO WARNING     RALEIGH NC - KRAH 1053 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016
TORNADO WARNING     WILMINGTON NC - KILM 1048 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  
TORNADO WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC  
1133 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016  
 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A  
 
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
CENTRAL CATAWBA COUNTY IN THE PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA...  
NORTHWESTERN IREDELL COUNTY IN THE PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA...  
SOUTHEASTERN ALEXANDER COUNTY IN THE PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA...  
NORTHWESTERN LINCOLN COUNTY IN THE PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA...  
 
* UNTIL 1230 PM EST  
 
* AT 1133 AM EST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM  
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED 10  
MILES WEST OF LINCOLNTON...OR 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF BELWOOD...AND  
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.  
 
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  
HICKORY...NEWTON...TAYLORSVILLE...ST. STEPHENS...CONOVER...STONY  
POINT...CLAREMONT...LOVE VALLEY...LOOKOUT SHOALS LAKE AND MOUNTAIN  
VIEW.  
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...  
 
A TORNADO IS LIKELY DEVELOPING. SEEK SHELTER IN AN INTERIOR ROOM ON  
THE LOWEST LEVEL OF A HOUSE OR OFFICE BUILDING. PLACE AS MANY FLOORS  
AND WALLS BETWEEN YOU AND THE OUTSIDE AS POSSIBLE.  
PLEASE REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL  
WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1...  
800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET  
IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND  
THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.  
 
   
Windy and sunny here in ILM, under a watch now.
I got lucky here in SE Alabama early this morning. The line of storms only brought elevated thunderstorms, 0.62" of rain, and a high wind gust of just 9 mph. My total rain from showers after the main storms is now 1.03". It appears there was a small tornado south of me in the Dothan area but nothing compared to what might have happened. We've had more trees and powerlines down from gradient winds gusting to 35 mph than we had from the storms. The cold front has cleared Alabama now but it's not very cold yet with a temperature of 62. The pressure is up to 29.65 after bottoming out earlier this morning at 29.48. It looks like the area where the deaths occured in Louisiana was an RV park rather than a mobile home park. I imagine that many of the people staying there are snowbirds from up north who weren't familiar with our history of winter tornadoes. Very sad.
This first round of storms might zap some energy out of the atmosphere, but the dry slot in between it and the second round (already producing tornado warned cells in the Charlotte area) might help warm us up before the next wave comes.
Thank You Dr.; remarkable event and dynamics for this time of the year.  Now we wait for the second round:
Northeast sector loop
Southeast sector loop
Quoting 2. Sfloridacat5:


That warned cell moving into Port Charlotte has exhibited a good bit of cyclonic spin for the past two hours; I wouldn't be too surprised were it the worst of this morning's bunch.
New update. Further expansion of severe weather threat.
Quoting 9. Neapolitan:

That warned cell moving into Port Charlotte has exhibited a good bit of cyclonic spin for the past two hours; I wouldn't be too surprised were it the worst of this morning's bunch.


Yeah, local meteorologist said that cell has been showing "signs of on and off rotation."


Tornado risk up.
Starting to lose power on and off here in Tuscola, IL Winds are relentless. Snow tapered off for about half hour but has not picked back up again in earnest. Judging by radar looking at 6" at the least in most areas around me maybe some local 8-10" reports when this is all said and done. Still a good 4 to 5 hours of this...



Dew point sitting at 64 degrees currently in Virginia Beach... At least it is cloudy around here.... Will keep posted as conditions change here in Virginia Beach.
anyone hear something about 13 bald eagles found dead in Maryland from suspected poisoning

if true that makes me sad and very angry at the same time
Tornado Warning - Sarasota Fl.
Quoting 18. KEEPEROFTHEGATE:

anyone hear something about 13 bald eagles found dead in Maryland from suspected poisoning

if true that's makes me sad and very angry at the same time


This was published in the Washington Post yesterday and is under investigation. Preliminary consideration is that it was due to careless use of rodent control pesticides rather than malicious intent but that's just one hypothesis. Investigators are confident they will find the cause
Current 5,000 ft. wind profile (as of 8:00 am est):



Cody lives in southeastern North Carolina, right in the watch area. I hope he stays safe.
Quoting 12. Tornado6042008X:



Tornado risk up.


And our wedge is breaking (as forecast) and will not protect us for much longer here in DC
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA / RUSKIN FL
1202 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN HARDEE COUNTY IN CENTRAL FLORIDA...
SOUTHEASTERN HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA...
NORTHEASTERN MANATEE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA...

* UNTIL 1230 PM EST

* AT 1201 PM EST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
TORNADO WAS LOCATED 10 MILES NORTHEAST OF LAKEWOOD RANCH...OR 16
MILES EAST OF BRADENTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

HAZARD...TORNADO.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.

IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT
SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.
DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE
DAMAGE IS LIKELY.

* THIS TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
NORTHWESTERN HARDEE...SOUTHEASTERN HILLSBOROUGH AND NORTHEASTERN
MANATEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS: LAKE MANATEE
STATE PARK AND DUETTE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST
FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS...IN A
MOBILE HOME...OR IN A VEHICLE...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER
AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.
Link

Moorings Apartment Complex in Pensacola hit hard but, amazingly, no deaths...
Quoting 21. georgevandenberghe:



This was published in the Washington Post yesterday and is under investigation. Preliminary consideration is that it was due to careless use of rodent control pesticides rather than malicious intent but that's just one hypothesis. Investigators are confident they will find the cause
the other half just mention it too me and asked if I heard anything thanks
Rotation signature south of Elizabethtown, NC

Three tornado warnings up at the moment (1 near Tampa and 2 in NC) and the past three hours: like we saw yesterday with the initial reports in Louisiana, you can start connecting the dots across SC-NC-VA over the next several hours.

last3hours Reports Graphic
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA / RUSKIN FL
1215 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SARASOTA COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA...
WESTERN CHARLOTTE COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA...

* UNTIL 100 PM EST

* AT 1213 PM EST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 20 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF NORTH PORT OR 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ENGLEWOOD...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
NORTH PORT...PORT CHARLOTTE...PLACIDA...CHARLOTTE HARBOR...GROVE CITY...
MURDOCK...SOUTH VENICE...ROTONDA...WARM MINERAL SPRINGS...GULF COVE...EL
JOBEAN AND VENICE GARDENS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

INTENSE THUNDERSTORM LINES CAN PRODUCE BRIEF TORNADOES AND WIDESPREAD
SIGNIFICANT WIND DAMAGE. ALTHOUGH A TORNADO IS NOT IMMEDIATELY
LIKELY...IT IS BEST TO MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF
A BUILDING. THIS STORM MAY CAUSE SERIOUS INJURY AND SIGNIFICANT
PROPERTY DAMAGE.
The warned cell coming ashore in FL has very strong rotation.

Decided to stay home ILwthr, good call. A friend of my wife who lives SW of us decided not to go to Spfld, bus she takes wound up off I-55, then she lost power at home. We've only had a couple of blips & a one second outage. About 2" here, can see it getting brighter as back end moves off StL, should clear us around 4. We were in 2-4, 3-5" bands depending on who you watched. At 6:30 when let dogs out it was snowing, but sidewalks still just wet. By 8 had about an inch and coming down good.

Currently in S C IL 31 w/ 31 dew pt, 19 wind chill, NNW winds around 15, gusting above 43, 29.52"
Quoting 21. georgevandenberghe:



This was published in the Washington Post yesterday and is under investigation. Preliminary consideration is that it was due to careless use of rodent control pesticides rather than malicious intent but that's just one hypothesis. Investigators are confident they will find the cause


I once found a dead buzzard next to two dead newborn lambs, near the base of the cliff at Loudon Hill (see pic below). I'm pretty sure it was poisoned (must have been very fast acting), but I'm also sure the farmer didn't intend to kill a buzzard. They're little threat to lambs, so I reckon he was trying to eradicate a pesky fox.

Quoting 33. SavannahStorm:

The warned cell coming ashore in FL has very strong rotation.




Local met just said the cell "most likely has a water spout with it."
Round one past Raleigh second one coming. At us is gonna be nasty
Quoting 35. yonzabam:



I once found a dead buzzard next to two dead newborn lambs, near the base of the cliff at Loudon Hill (see pic below). I'm pretty sure it was poisoned (must have been very fast acting), but I'm also sure the farmer didn't intend to kill a buzzard. They're little threat to lambs, so I reckon he was trying to eradicate a pesky fox.



Black vultures will kill baby goats and lambs. Game commission needs to be notified if this happens.
Local news "waterspout most likely 10 miles off Englewood Fl coastline."

NWS just issued a tornado warning for western Charlotte Co.
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA / RUSKIN FL
1230 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN HARDEE COUNTY IN CENTRAL FLORIDA...
SOUTHEASTERN HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA...
SOUTHWESTERN POLK COUNTY IN CENTRAL FLORIDA...
NORTHEASTERN MANATEE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA...

* UNTIL 100 PM EST

* AT 1229 PM EST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
TORNADO WAS LOCATED 15 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GREATER SUN CENTER...OR 19
MILES SOUTH OF FISH HAWK...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...TORNADO.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.

IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT
SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.
DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE
DAMAGE IS LIKELY.

* THIS TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
NORTHWESTERN HARDEE...SOUTHEASTERN HILLSBOROUGH...SOUTHWESTERN POLK
AND NORTHEASTERN MANATEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS: FORT GREEN AND DUETTE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST
FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS...IN A
MOBILE HOME...OR IN A VEHICLE...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER
AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA / RUSKIN FL
1231 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SARASOTA COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA...
NORTHWESTERN CHARLOTTE COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA...

* UNTIL 100 PM EST

* AT 1229 PM EST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
TORNADO WAS LOCATED 19 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NORTH PORT OR 7 MILES
WEST OF ENGLEWOOD...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...TORNADO.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.

IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT
SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.
DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE
DAMAGE IS LIKELY.

* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
NORTH PORT AROUND 100 PM EST.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE GROVE
CITY...SOUTH VENICE...WARM MINERAL SPRINGS...ROTONDA...GULF COVE...EL
JOBEAN AND VENICE GARDENS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST
FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS...IN A
MOBILE HOME...OR IN A VEHICLE...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER
AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

HEAVY RAINFALL MAY HIDE THIS TORNADO. DO NOT WAIT TO SEE OR HEAR THE
TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW!
College of DuPage Meteorology
Severe Weather and Flash Flood Warnings
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Click on the station ID to bring up list of recent severe weather statements.
TORNADO WARNING     RALEIGH NC - KRAH 1236 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
TORNADO WARNING     TAMPA BAY AREA / RUSKIN FL - KTBW 1231 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
TORNADO WARNING     TAMPA BAY AREA / RUSKIN FL - KTBW 1230 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
SVR T-STORM WARNING BLACKSBURG VA - KRNK 1219 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
SVR T-STORM WARNING COLUMBIA SC - KCAE 1217 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
SVR T-STORM WARNING TAMPA BAY AREA / RUSKIN FL - KTBW 1215 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
SVR T-STORM WARNING GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC - KGSP 1213 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
TORNADO WARNING     WILMINGTON NC - KILM 1203 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
SVR T-STORM WARNING BLACKSBURG VA - KRNK 1202 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
TORNADO WARNING     TAMPA BAY AREA / RUSKIN FL - KTBW 1202 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
SVR T-STORM WARNING WILMINGTON NC - KILM 1158 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016
SVR T-STORM WARNING GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC - KGSP 1151 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016
Oh, my God. The Storm God isn't just angry, he's Raging. The last time he was Raging was December 23-28 2015.
Everyone in the path of a tornado-TAKE COVER NOW!!!!!!!!!!

And in Carbondale, we have snow.
NBC-2 radar showing strong rotation moving into the Englewood coast (12:46 pm). Residents should be taking cover.
Quoting 47. Sfloridacat5:

NBC-2 radar showing strong rotation moving into the Englewood coast (12:46 pm). Residents should be taking cover.


Similar to post 45

Englewood Coast---TAKE COVER NOW!!!!!!!!!!
New squall line forming between real and Durham . updraft radar echo near concord NC. Beginning to look like tornado outbreak during early eighties when I was in 3rd grade ( red springs storms)
New rotation just off Boca Grande and Rotonda area about to moving onshore.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1143 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

.UPDATE...MAIN SQUALL LINE HAS SPLIT IN TWO AS IT MOVES THROUGH
CENTRAL FLORIDA LATE THIS MORNING WITH THE NORTHERN END RUNNING
OFF TO THE NORTHEAST. THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE LINE HAS BECOME
MORE EAST-WEST ORIENTED AS IT SINKS THROUGH SOUTHWEST FLORIDA.

IT REMAINS A PARTLY CLOUDY DAY ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA, AND THE
SUNSHINE IN COMBINATION WITH BREEZY SOUTHERLY FLOW HAS BROUGHT HIGH
TEMPS INTO THE LOW 80S SO FAR. WOULDN`T BE SURPRISED TO SEE A FEW
SITES REACH 84-85 THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE HIGH CLOUDS ARRIVE.

WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW 70S AND THE WARM TEMPERATURES, LOW
LEVEL INSTABILITY IS COMPARABLE TO SUMMERTIME LEVELS. IN THE MID
LEVEL HOWEVER, THERE REMAINS A SIGNIFICANT MID LEVEL INVERSION AND
DRY LAYER AS WELL AS MEDIOCRE LAPSE RATES. THIS CAP WILL LIKELY
LIMIT ANY DEEP CONVECTION DEVELOPING EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF
THE SQUALL LINE.

THE CONCERN GOING INTO THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE WITH THE LINE
ITSELF, WHICH LOOKS TO MOVE INTO THE GULF COAST AND NW INTERIOR
AROUND 1-2PM. WHILE THE ORIGINAL LINE ITSELF MAY DISSIPATE AS IT
MOVES ONSHORE, THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE CONVERGENCE WILL HELP FUEL
ACTIVITY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PENINSULA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. TIMING CONTINUES TO SLOW DOWN, AND THE BULK OF ACTIVITY
MAY NOT REACH THE EAST COAST UNTIL THIS EVENING, MOVING OFFSHORE
LATE TONIGHT.

OVERALL LOW LEVEL HELICITY HAS DIMINISHED, BUT A FEW STORMS OVER
THE GULF CONTINUE TO SHOW ROTATION AND WILL HAVE TO BE WATCHED AS
THEY APPROACH THE COAST. ANY ACTIVITY MOVING TOWARDS THE EAST
COAST THIS EVENING WILL ALSO HAVE TO BE WATCHED AS THE SSE
COMPONENT TO THE FLOW WILL LIKELY ENHANCE LOCAL HELICITIES.
OTHERWISE, THE MAIN CONCERN WILL LIKELY BE FOR STRONG TO SEVERE WIND
GUSTS AND SMALL HAIL.
Storm near Downtown Orlando has some rotation. Very surprised to see storms refiring as I though the storms were done.

Blinding rain now but could be a wall cloud forming on the SW side.



Quoting 51. Sfloridacat5:

New rotation just off Boca Grande and Rotonda area about to moving onshore.


Getting some rotation up here near Orlando too. Very strange as the sun came out after the first round moved past and storms quickly refired.

Doppler estimate wind speeds of greater than 70 mph crossing the Englewood area.
Strong indication of tornado in western Charlotte Co. NBC-2 news
College of DuPage Meteorology
Severe Weather and Flash Flood Warnings
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Click on the station ID to bring up list of recent severe weather statements.
SVR T-STORM WARNING TAMPA BAY AREA / RUSKIN FL - KTBW 1259 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
SVR T-STORM WARNING BLACKSBURG VA - KRNK 1257 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
TORNADO WARNING     MELBOURNE FL - KMLB 1254 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
SVR T-STORM WARNING BLACKSBURG VA - KRNK 1251 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
SVR T-STORM WARNING RALEIGH NC - KRAH 1245 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
SVR T-STORM WARNING GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC - KGSP 1244 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
TORNADO WARNING     NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC - KMHX 1239 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
84 dewpoint 72 and storms are building very fast to my west. Also those cells to my west are looking discrete in nature.
Tornado about to move into Fort Meade in Polk County. Weather quickly escalating here.
If you live in Fort Meade take cover as tornado looks to be on the ground and it could be a wedge.
Quoting 46. Patrap:




All the storms off this line are going to miss Wilmington? If that turns out I can't even recall how many times that seems to happen here since I've lived here.
2 possible tornadoes on the ground in Polk County.

Quoting 63. win1gamegiantsplease:



All the storms off this line are going to miss Wilmington? If that turns out I can't even recall how many times that seems to happen here since I've lived here.


If you think that is bizarre, try having your entire state under a tornado watch...all to the north, west and east of you...but you're essentially the only area where no watch is placed. Ma Nature is definitely odd.
College of DuPage Meteorology
Severe Weather and Flash Flood Warnings
Note: This page will reload every 2 minutes. Warnings are listed with the most recent first.
Click on the station ID to bring up list of recent severe weather statements.
SVR T-STORM WARNING WILMINGTON NC - KILM 1158 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016
SVR T-STORM WARNING COLUMBIA SC - KCAE 108 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
SVR T-STORM WARNING WILMINGTON OH - KILN 107 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
TORNADO WARNING     TAMPA BAY AREA / RUSKIN FL - KTBW 106 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
TORNADO WARNING     NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC - KMHX 106 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
New tornado warning for Charlotte Co. in S.W. Florida.
Tornado would be near Port Charlotte (north side of town) based on NBC-2 radar.


Dried up in a line from the SC border to New Bern
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA / RUSKIN FL
106 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHWESTERN DESOTO COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL FLORIDA...
SOUTHEASTERN SARASOTA COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA...
NORTHWESTERN CHARLOTTE COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA...

* UNTIL 130 PM EST

* AT 105 PM EST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO
WAS LOCATED NEAR NORTH PORT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...TORNADO.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.

IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT
SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.
DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE
DAMAGE IS LIKELY.

* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
NORTH PORT AROUND 115 PM EST.
PORT CHARLOTTE AROUND 130 PM EST.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE LAKE
SUZY...MURDOCK...GULF COVE...EL JOBEAN...HARBOUR HEIGHTS AND WARM MINERAL
SPRINGS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST
FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS...IN A
MOBILE HOME...OR IN A VEHICLE...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER
AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.
Storms refireing just west of 1 95 around Raleigh hail signature near seven springs nc
Quoting 65. nash36:



If you think that is bizarre, try having your entire state under a tornado watch...all to the north, west and east of you...but you're essentially the only area where no watch is placed. Ma Nature is definitely odd.


Georgetown County got left out too. I wonder what the local mets or TWC has to say about our little dry sliver (if it holds up) here soon.
From last night's discussion

ALTHOUGH A RISK OF
SEVERE WEATHER EXISTS EVERYWHERE WEDNESDAY...THE HIGHEST RISK
APPEARS TO BE INLAND FROM THE BEACHES (DUE TO COOL AND STABLE
MARINE INFLOW) AND ACROSS NORTH CAROLINA DUE TO STRONGER AND MORE
BACKED LOW-LEVEL WINDS IN PROXIMITY TO THE WARM FRONT.
College of DuPage Meteorology
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SVR T-STORM WARNING RALEIGH NC - KRAH 132 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
TORNADO WARNING     NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC - KMHX 130 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
SVR T-STORM WARNING TAMPA BAY AREA / RUSKIN FL - KTBW 129 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
SVR T-STORM WARNING BLACKSBURG VA - KRNK 1219 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
SVR T-STORM WARNING BLACKSBURG VA - KRNK 121 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
SVR T-STORM WARNING NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC - KMHX 120 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
SVR T-STORM WARNING GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC - KGSP 114 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
TORNADO WARNING     WILMINGTON NC - KILM 1203 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
SVR T-STORM WARNING WILMINGTON NC - KILM 1158 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016
SVR T-STORM WARNING COLUMBIA SC - KCAE 108 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
SVR T-STORM WARNING WILMINGTON OH - KILN 107 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA / RUSKIN FL
136 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHWESTERN DESOTO COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL FLORIDA...
NORTH CENTRAL CHARLOTTE COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA...

* UNTIL 200 PM EST

* AT 136 PM EST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO
WAS LOCATED NEAR PORT CHARLOTTE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...TORNADO.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.

IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT
SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.
DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE
DAMAGE IS LIKELY.

* THIS TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
SOUTHWESTERN DESOTO AND NORTH CENTRAL CHARLOTTE COUNTIES...INCLUDING
THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS: HARBOUR HEIGHTS...FORT OGDEN AND LAKE SUZY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST
FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS...IN A
MOBILE HOME...OR IN A VEHICLE...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER
AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.
Reports of a tornado sighted near Fort Ogden, Florida.
Local news says they are possibly seeing a "debris ball" on their radar.
Local news is saying possible tornado destroyed a home in the Seven Springs, NC area. I'm in Durham and the sun is out right now. The line of storms is well to our west for now.
Raleigh/Durham, NC (KRAX) - Base Reflectivity (0.5)

Possible tornado on the ground very near Greenville NC, where East Carolina University is located.
College of DuPage Meteorology
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TORNADO WARNING     NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC - KMHX 153 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
SVR T-STORM WARNING RALEIGH NC - KRAH 143 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
SVR T-STORM WARNING BLACKSBURG VA - KRNK 137 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
TORNADO WARNING     TAMPA BAY AREA / RUSKIN FL - KTBW 136 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
SVR T-STORM WARNING RALEIGH NC - KRAH 132 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
TORNADO WARNING     NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC - KMHX 130 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
022  
WFUS52 KRAH 241803  
TORRAH  
NCC191-241830-  
/O.NEW.KRAH.TO.W.0003.160224T1803Z-160224T1830Z/  
 
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  
TORNADO WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC  
103 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016  
 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A  
 
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
SOUTHEASTERN WAYNE COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...  
 
* UNTIL 130 PM EST  
 
* AT 102 PM EST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM  
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED  
NEAR WARSAW...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 65 MPH.  
 
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  
GOLDSBORO...MOUNT OLIVE...WALNUT CREEK...SEVEN SPRINGS...CLIFFS OF  
THE NEUSE STATE PARK AND ELROY.  
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...  
 
HEAVY RAINFALL MAY OBSCURE THIS TORNADO. DO NOT WAIT TO SEE OR HEAR  
THE TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW.  
 

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 27
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
145 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST MARYLAND
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA
COASTAL WATERS

* EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 145 PM
UNTIL 900 PM EST.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A FEW TORNADOES LIKELY WITH A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY
ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...ONGOING STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS OVER PARTS OF EAST-CENTRAL
AND WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA SHOULD PROGRESS NORTHEASTWARD INTO EARLY
EVENING WITH ATTENDANT TORNADO AND DAMAGING WIND HAZARDS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
RICHMOND VIRGINIA TO 30 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF ROANOKE RAPIDS
NORTH CAROLINA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&
Pictures of snap trees and power poles on the local news. First damage pics I've seen so far coming in across S.W. Florida area.

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 27
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
145 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

TORNADO WATCH 27 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EST FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

MDC019-039-045-047-250200-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0027.160224T1845Z-160225T0200Z/

MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

DORCHESTER SOMERSET WICOMICO
WORCESTER


NCC013-015-029-031-041-053-055-073-091-095-131-137 -139-143-177-
187-250200-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0027.160224T1845Z-160225T0200Z/

NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BEAUFORT BERTIE CAMDEN
CARTERET CHOWAN CURRITUCK
DARE GATES HERTFORD
HYDE NORTHAMPTON PAMLICO
PASQUOTANK PERQUIMANS TYRRELL
WASHINGTON


VAC001-007-011-025-029-031-033-036-037-041-049-053 -057-065-073-
075-081-083-085-087-093-095-097-101-103-109-111-11 5-117-119-127-
131-133-135-143-145-147-149-159-175-181-183-193-19 9-550-570-590-
595-620-650-670-680-700-710-730-735-740-760-800-81 0-830-
250200-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0027.160224T1845Z-160225T0200Z/

VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED AREACCOMACK AMELIA APPOMATTOX
BRUNSWICK BUCKINGHAM CAMPBELL
CAROLINE CHARLES CITY CHARLOTTE
CHESTERFIELD CUMBERLAND DINWIDDIE
ESSEX FLUVANNA GLOUCESTER
GOOCHLAND GREENSVILLE HALIFAX
HANOVER HENRICO ISLE OF WIGHT
JAMES CITY KING AND QUEEN KING WILLIAM
LANCASTER LOUISA LUNENBURG
MATHEWS MECKLENBURG MIDDLESEX
NEW KENT NORTHAMPTON NORTHUMBERLAND
NOTTOWAY PITTSYLVANIA POWHATAN
PRINCE EDWARD PRINCE GEORGE RICHMOND
SOUTHAMPTON SURRY SUSSEX
WESTMORELAND YORK


VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE

CHESAPEAKE COLONIAL HEIGHTS DANVILLE
EMPORIA FRANKLIN HAMPTON
HOPEWELL LYNCHBURG NEWPORT NEWS
NORFOLK PETERSBURG POQUOSON
PORTSMOUTH RICHMOND SUFFOLK
VIRGINIA BEACH WILLIAMSBURG


AMZ130-131-135-136-137-150-ANZ630-631-632-633-634- 635-636-637-638-
650-652-654-656-658-250200-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0027.160224T1845Z-160225T0200Z/

CW
College of DuPage Meteorology
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TORNADO WARNING     TAMPA BAY AREA / RUSKIN FL - KTBW 200 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
This morning on the Gulf Coast in NW FL...


View on YouTube
Wow, our pop value has dropped to 30-40%, and the wunderground page for Wilmington went from 'damaging winds, hail, and a possible tornado' to 'a few storms may be severe.' Amazing.
Local news has been showing a video of a possible rain wrapped tornado as it passed through Port Charlotte. Reports of a lot of damage in the Port Charlotte area.
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA / RUSKIN FL
200 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN DESOTO COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL FLORIDA...
NORTHEASTERN CHARLOTTE COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA...

* UNTIL 230 PM EST

* AT 200 PM EST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO
WAS LOCATED 8 MILES NORTHEAST OF CHARLOTTE COUNTY AIRPORT...OR 11
MILES NORTHEAST OF PUNTA GORDA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...TORNADO.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.

IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT
SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.
DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE
DAMAGE IS LIKELY.

* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
BABCOCK RANCH AROUND 210 PM EST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST
FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS...IN A
MOBILE HOME...OR IN A VEHICLE...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER
AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.
I'm not seeing any tornado warnings for Polk County. Only down south (which has been the norm all winter).


Sharp temperature difference between eastern (MD) and western (VA) portion of the DC beltway a distance of 20 miles. Expect this boundary to move west and for the entire metro area to get into the warm humid 60DP air. Also expect tornado watch to expand to north and slightly to the west and to include me in College Park MD
Just a hunch.


Quoting 91. Patrap:


BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 27
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
145 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

TORNADO WATCH 27 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EST FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

MDC019-039-045-047-250200-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0027.160224T1845Z-160225T0200Z/

MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

DORCHESTER SOMERSET WICOMICO
WORCESTER


NCC013-015-029-031-041-053-055-073-091-095-131-137 -139-143-177-
187-250200-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0027.160224T1845Z-160225T0200Z/

NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BEAUFORT BERTIE CAMDEN
CARTERET CHOWAN CURRITUCK
DARE GATES HERTFORD
HYDE NORTHAMPTON PAMLICO
PASQUOTANK PERQUIMANS TYRRELL
WASHINGTON


VAC001-007-011-025-029-031-033-036-037-041-049-053 -057-065-073-
075-081-083-085-087-093-095-097-101-103-109-111-11 5-117-119-127-
131-133-135-143-145-147-149-159-175-181-183-193-19 9-550-570-590-
595-620-650-670-680-700-710-730-735-740-760-800-81 0-830-
250200-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0027.160224T1845Z-160225T0200Z/

VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED AREACCOMACK AMELIA APPOMATTOX
BRUNSWICK BUCKINGHAM CAMPBELL
CAROLINE CHARLES CITY CHARLOTTE
CHESTERFIELD CUMBERLAND DINWIDDIE
ESSEX FLUVANNA GLOUCESTER
GOOCHLAND GREENSVILLE HALIFAX
HANOVER HENRICO ISLE OF WIGHT
JAMES CITY KING AND QUEEN KING WILLIAM
LANCASTER LOUISA LUNENBURG
MATHEWS MECKLENBURG MIDDLESEX
NEW KENT NORTHAMPTON NORTHUMBERLAND
NOTTOWAY PITTSYLVANIA POWHATAN
PRINCE EDWARD PRINCE GEORGE RICHMOND
SOUTHAMPTON SURRY SUSSEX
WESTMORELAND YORK


VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE

CHESAPEAKE COLONIAL HEIGHTS DANVILLE
EMPORIA FRANKLIN HAMPTON
HOPEWELL LYNCHBURG NEWPORT NEWS
NORFOLK PETERSBURG POQUOSON
PORTSMOUTH RICHMOND SUFFOLK
VIRGINIA BEACH WILLIAMSBURG


AMZ130-131-135-136-137-150-ANZ630-631-632-633-634- 635-636-637-638-
650-652-654-656-658-250200-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0027.160224T1845Z-160225T0200Z/

CW



Sharp temperature difference between eastern (MD) and western (VA) portion of the DC beltway a distance of 20 miles. Expect this boundary to move west and for the entire metro area to get into the warm humid 60DP air. Also expect tornado watch to expand to north and slightly to the west and to include me in College Park MD
Just a hunch.
Quoting 90. Sfloridacat5:

Pictures of snap trees and power poles on the local news. First damage pics I've seen so far coming in across S.W. Florida area.
Indeed...Me ole stomping grounds have been gettin spanked on a regular basis..Hope they are ready for more as it is a pattern that favors severe weather for the south.
Charlotte Co. Port Charlotte area.
Reports of a video of the tornado in Charlotte Co. by the public. I'm still waiting to see it posted.
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SVR T-STORM WARNING WAKEFIELD VA - KAKQ 220 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
SVR T-STORM WARNING WILMINGTON OH - KILN 107 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
Quoting 103. Sfloridacat5:




Yikes....
We've busted our forecasted high temp of 65F today. Currently 72F with the severe storms still 60 miles to the west. Cells are looking better organized as they move out of the CAD and into a increasingly unstable environment.
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SVR T-STORM WARNING BLACKSBURG VA - KRNK 226 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
SVR T-STORM WARNING RALEIGH NC - KRAH 225 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
SVR T-STORM WARNING WAKEFIELD VA - KAKQ 220 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
SVR T-STORM WARNING WILMINGTON OH - KILN 107 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
Search and rescue (Port Charlotte area) Deep Creek subdivision.
Quoting 108. Chapelhill:

We've busted our forecasted high temp of 65F today. Currently 72F with the severe storms still 60 miles to the west. Cells are looking better organized as they move out of the CAD and into a increasingly unstable environment.


I'm next door in Durham and the sun is out. It's warm and windy. I hope these storms don't turn tornadic as they move into our area!
TORNADO WARNING
VAC036-095-149-181-183-830-242000-
/O.NEW.KAKQ.TO.W.0001.160224T1937Z-160224T2000Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
237 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SURRY COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA...
JAMES CITY COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA...
NORTHEASTERN SUSSEX COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA...
SOUTHEASTERN CHARLES CITY COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
NORTHEASTERN PRINCE GEORGE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
THE SOUTHWESTERN CITY OF WILLIAMSBURG IN SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 300 PM EST

* AT 236 PM EST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED OVER WAVERLY...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
CABIN POINT AROUND 245 PM EST.
CLAREMONT AROUND 255 PM EST.
RUSTIC AND HOLDCROFT AROUND 300 PM EST.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE
CARSLEY...TAYLORS CORNER...GWALTNEY CORNER...MOUNT AIRY...GOVERNORS LAND...
BRANDON...SAVEDGE...SPRING GROVE...OAK HILL CORNER AND WILLIAMSBURG
AIRPORT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST
FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE IN A MOBILE
HOME OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND
PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3706 7714 3741 7700 3723 7666 3701 7709
TIME...MOT...LOC 1936Z 214DEG 41KT 3707 7707
College of DuPage Meteorology
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SVR T-STORM WARNING RALEIGH NC - KRAH 244 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
TORNADO WARNING     BLACKSBURG VA - KRNK 241 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
SVR T-STORM WARNING WAKEFIELD VA - KAKQ 237 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
TORNADO WARNING     WAKEFIELD VA - KAKQ 237 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
SVR T-STORM WARNING BLACKSBURG VA - KRNK 226 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
SVR T-STORM WARNING RALEIGH NC - KRAH 225 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
SVR T-STORM WARNING WAKEFIELD VA - KAKQ 220 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
4 crashes reported on I75 near the Port Charlotte area. The highway has to be backed up like crazy.
Picked up a quick 1.10" here in Longwood.
Emergency management reports severe damage in some areas but no injuries or fatalities at this time. That is good news. Hopefully, that doesn't change.
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
253 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

VAC036-095-149-181-242000-
/O.CON.KAKQ.TO.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160224T2000Z/
SURRY VA-JAMES CITY VA-CHARLES CITY VA-PRINCE GEORGE VA-
253 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM EST FOR
NORTHWESTERN SURRY...JAMES CITY...SOUTHEASTERN CHARLES CITY AND
NORTHEASTERN PRINCE GEORGE COUNTIES...

AT 251 PM EST...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED A TORNADO. THIS TORNADIC
STORM WAS LOCATED OVER CLAREMONT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

THIS TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
RUSTIC AROUND 255 PM EST.
HOLDCROFT AROUND 300 PM EST.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE
BRANDON...TAYLORS CORNER...SPRING GROVE...MOUNT AIRY AND GOVERNORS LAND.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPEAT...A TORNADO HAS BEEN SIGHTED. TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE...TAKE
COVER NOW! MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR
OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE IN A MOBILE HOME OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3728 7674 3714 7697 3719 7709 3741 7700
TIME...MOT...LOC 1951Z 206DEG 44KT 3725 7699

$$

DEROSA

Cassie Nall ‎@CassieNallWx

2 areas of possible rotation within that tornado warning for DeSoto and Charlotte counties in effect until 2:30.
1:14 PM - 24 Feb 2016

Must admit, rather odd on TVN watching a chaser driving around my area (Durham)
Quoting 119. violet312s:

Must admit, rather odd on TVN watching a chaser driving around my area (Durham)


Where did you see this?
College of DuPage Meteorology
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TORNADO WARNING     WAKEFIELD VA - KAKQ 256 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
TORNADO WARNING     BLACKSBURG VA - KRNK 254 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
SVR T-STORM WARNING TAMPA BAY AREA / RUSKIN FL - KTBW 129 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
SVR T-STORM WARNING BLACKSBURG VA - KRNK 1219 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
SVR T-STORM WARNING RALEIGH NC - KRAH 244 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
TORNADO WARNING     BLACKSBURG VA - KRNK 241 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
SVR T-STORM WARNING WAKEFIELD VA - KAKQ 237 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
TORNADO WARNING     WAKEFIELD VA - KAKQ 237 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
Quoting 118. Patrap:


Cassie Nall ‎@CassieNallWx

2 areas of possible rotation within that tornado warning for DeSoto and Charlotte counties in effect until 2:30.
1:14 PM - 24 Feb 2016




Awesome pic.
Quoting 115. StormTrackerScott:

Picked up a quick 1.10" here in Longwood.


You got lucky not to get hit by any of those long track tornadoes!
Quoting 120. DurhamWeatherLover:



Where did you see this?


https://tvnweather.com/live
Funnel cloud reported about two hours ago in Vero Beach.



This sighting triggered the tornado warning for Indian River County that went into effect at 12:54 PM EST and expired at 1:30 PM. No local coverage at all except for the local newsrag.

Meanwhile, the NOAA Weather Radio station in Daytona Beach is out of action. NOAA is blaming the telephone company and telling people to watch local media instead. You know, the same local media who can't be bothered to report on any of these severe weather alerts at all unless they're within lens distance of their cameras and microphones.
Quoting 122. Sfloridacat5:



Awesome pic.


Impressive and dangerous.

Really brings the moment to one .


Yesterday here was a long haul event.

Be safe over there.

Quoting 124. violet312s:



https://tvnweather.com/live


Thank you!
historic.large.surf!..north.shore.oahu
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TORNADO WARNING     COLUMBIA SC - KCAE 303 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
Quoting 126. UrcaDeLima:

Funnel cloud reported about two hours ago in Vero Beach.



This sighting triggered the tornado warning for Indian River County that went into effect at 12:54 PM EST and expired at 1:30 PM. No local coverage at all except for the local newsrag.

Meanwhile, the NOAA Weather Radio station in Daytona Beach is out of action. NOAA is blaming the telephone company and telling people to watch local media instead. You know, the same local media who can't be bothered to report on any of these severe weather alerts at all unless they're within lens distance of their cameras and microphones.


I wish the trees were not in the way. If that wasn't on the ground it was very close. Dangerous to say the least.
After all that sunshine, persistent since about 9 AM for the most part, finally starting to see some darker skies and rain showing up on the local radar. Unless the dry air wins again..
Quoting 127. Patrap:



Impressive and dangerous.

Really brings the moment to one .


Yesterday here was a long haul event.

Be safe over there.




Sad day for many in your area yesterday. Scary stuff.
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TORNADO WARNING     RALEIGH NC - KRAH 309 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
SVR T-STORM WARNING BLACKSBURG VA - KRNK 308 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
TORNADO WARNING     COLUMBIA SC - KCAE 303 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
Toranado Warning in Chatham County NC!
Quoting 136. DurhamWeatherLover:

Toranado Warning in Chatham County NC!


Yup, and so it begins. Stay safe NCers!
If anyone knows of a person or Family that lost Disability Medical Equipment, walkers, wheel and power chairs, bath benches, etc..please leave a comment in the portlight featured blog.




Helping those in Disaster today
By: Portlight , 11:33 AM CST on February 24, 2016



First responders search the remains of trailers and vehicles after a suspected tornado hit the Sugar Hill RV Park in Convent, La., Tuesday, Feb. 23, 2016.

A home on Nuremberg Boulevard in Port Charlotte was damaged on Wednesday after severe storms moved through the area. (Karen Ann/Facebook)
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SVR T-STORM WARNING WILMINGTON OH - KILN 317 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
TORNADO WARNING     BLACKSBURG VA - KRNK 315 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
TORNADO WARNING     WAKEFIELD VA - KAKQ 311 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
TORNADO WARNING     RALEIGH NC - KRAH 311 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 28
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
320 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
DELAWARE
CENTRAL AND EASTERN MARYLAND
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY
SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA
NORTHERN VIRGINIA
COASTAL WATERS

* EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 320 PM
UNTIL 1100 PM EST.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A FEW TORNADOES AND A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY

SUMMARY...A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL QUICKLY PROGRESS
NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION THROUGH THIS EVENING.
DAMAGING WINDS AND A FEW TORNADOES WILL BE THE MAIN HAZARDS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
PHILADELPHIA PENNSYLVANIA TO 35 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF PATUXENT
RIVER MARYLAND. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 26...WW 27...

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21045.


...GRAMS
First rains since very early in the morning rolling in.
Tornado warnings starting to pop up in S VA well to my southwest but one of the cell clusters is on track for DC area.. We'll see.

DC area now included in tornado watch.

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 28
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
320 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
DELAWARE
CENTRAL AND EASTERN MARYLAND
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY
SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA
NORTHERN VIRGINIA
COASTAL WATERS

* EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 320 PM
UNTIL 1100 PM EST.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A FEW TORNADOES AND A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY

SUMMARY...A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL QUICKLY PROGRESS
NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION THROUGH THIS EVENING.
DAMAGING WINDS AND A FEW TORNADOES WILL BE THE MAIN HAZARDS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
PHILADELPHIA PENNSYLVANIA TO 35 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF PATUXENT
RIVER MARYLAND. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 26...WW 27...

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21045.


...GRAMS
Heard everywhere is closing out w/ nw winds. So, east side swell for the ages is what I'm being told. Probably wrapping all the way to Makapuu.

Quoting 129. islander101010:

historic.large.surf!..north.shore.oahu
From West Palm down to Miami I would keep your eye to the sky. That area hasn't seen any rain today and the air is warm and juicy. We could see some discrete cells pop up ahead of the main line.
3 Tornadoes in FL while only 1 in the area where the moderate risk was issued today.

Quoting 149. Sfloridacat5:

From West Palm down to Miami I would keep your eye to the sky. That area hasn't seen any rain today and the air is warm and juicy. We could see some discrete cells pop up ahead of the main line.



We had some very heavy rain come thru just over a hour ago.
Storms exploding and training just west of my location in Florence, SC. Storms going tornadic in NC.

Quoting 125. Patrap:


Tornado Warning for Chapel Hill and Durham, NC!
I worry about my daughter in Wilmington, NC... Now SE PA is under a Tornado Warning.... What month is this? In February? This is absolutely amazing.
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SVR T-STORM WARNING BLACKSBURG VA - KRNK 339 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
TORNADO WARNING     RALEIGH NC - KRAH 335 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
TORNADO WARNING     WAKEFIELD VA - KAKQ 331 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
SVR T-STORM WARNING RALEIGH NC - KRAH 330 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
TORNADO WARNING     BLACKSBURG VA - KRNK 327 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
TORNADO WARNING     WAKEFIELD VA - KAKQ 324 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
Not surprised to see a few twisters in the southern half of the state. That's pretty much been the story this winter.
Today's twisters seem weaker than the two previous systems that brought F3s and the seem to be short lived.
Mid Atlantic under the gun - stay safe and pay attention to your local authorities.
Sorry, meant Watch for SE PA..
Confirmed tornado strikes parts of Charlotte County

Posted: Feb 24, 2016 2:58 PM EST
Updated: Feb 24, 2016 3:29 PM EST


A confirmed tornado struck parts of Charlotte County Wednesday afternoon, according to the National Weather Service.

Charlotte County Fire and EMS officials said there were two main areas of damage.

The first area was near Rampart Boulevard and Nuremberg Boulevard in Punta Gorda. The second area was near US-41 and Murdock Circle.

The National Weather Service is traveling from Tampa to survey the damaged areas.
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SVR T-STORM WARNING TAMPA BAY AREA / RUSKIN FL - KTBW 129 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
TORNADO WARNING     RALEIGH NC - KRAH 347 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
TORNADO WARNING     BLACKSBURG VA - KRNK 345 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
SVR T-STORM WARNING RALEIGH NC - KRAH 343 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
TORNADO WARNING     BLACKSBURG VA - KRNK 343 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
SVR T-STORM WARNING BLACKSBURG VA - KRNK 339 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
Quoting 153. HaoleboySurfEC:

Storms exploding and training just west of my location in Florence, SC. Storms going tornadic in NC.




Looking forward to the new ILM forecast discussion, went from enhanced to borderline marginal. Rained for about 10 minutes tops since we've been under the tornado watch. Personally I just think I'm a good luck charm.

Wonder if the low level jet pushing dry air in our direction was the culprit.
Quoting 157. Bucsboltsfan:

Not surprised to see a few twisters in the southern half of the state. That's pretty much been the story this winter.
Today's twisters seem weaker than the two previous systems that brought F3s and the seem to be short lived.
Mid Atlantic under the gun - stay safe and pay attention to your local authorities.


Probably EF1-EF2 would be my best guess. I'm definitely seeing some damage pictures that would indicate the tornado was stronger than an EF-0.
Also the picture posted by Patrap shows a pretty well formed tornado (actually a stronger tornado with a weaker sister tornado not far away).
Quoting 150. StormTrackerScott:

3 Tornadoes in FL while only 1 in the area where the moderate risk was issued today.




The whole Mid Atlantic up to SE PA is about to fire explosively!. The moderate risk assessment looks
like a good call!
OK we got tornado warnings for Newport news/Norfolk and durham
Funnel cloud confirmed in Orange County, NC.
Also funnel cloud over Orange county Nc has been reported
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TORNADO WARNING     RALEIGH NC - KRAH 359 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
SVR T-STORM WARNING COLUMBIA SC - KCAE 356 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
TORNADO WARNING     WAKEFIELD VA - KAKQ 354 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
TORNADO WARNING     RALEIGH NC - KRAH 353 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
SVR T-STORM WARNING BLACKSBURG VA - KRNK 352 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
TORNADO WARNING     WAKEFIELD VA - KAKQ 351 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
I think you are correct. It hit 82F here but the humidity seemed to decrease. Still not out if the woods, but the best dynamics seem to be north of us.

Quoting 161. win1gamegiantsplease:



Looking forward to the new ILM forecast discussion, went from enhanced to borderline marginal. Rained for about 10 minutes tops since we've been under the tornado watch. Personally I just think I'm a good luck charm.

Wonder if the low level jet pushing dry air in our direction was the culprit.
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SVR T-STORM WARNING WILMINGTON NC - KILM 405 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
TORNADO WARNING     RALEIGH NC - KRAH 404 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  
TORNADO WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA  
408 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016  
 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD HAS ISSUED A  
 
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
FLUVANNA COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA...  
 
* UNTIL 445 PM EST  
 
* AT 408 PM EST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS  
STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR CENTENARY...OR 9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF FORK  
UNION...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.  
 
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  
PALMYRA...FORK UNION...LAKE MONTICELLO...KENTS STORE...TROY...DIXIE...  
WILMINGTON...CENTRAL PLAINS...SHORES...CARYSBROOK...BYBEE...NAHOR...  
HARDWARE...WILDWOOD...COHASSET...CUNNINGHAM...BREM O BLUFF...UNION MILLS  
AND ANTIOCH.  
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...  
 
TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST  
FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE IN A MOBILE  
HOME OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND  
PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.  
 
 
OK now things are definetly ramping up. Pretty much every storm in the squall has a tornado warning now.
NWS DC/Baltimore %u200F@NWS_BaltWash 4m4 minutes ago
405pm: Strong low-level boundary draped right over DC metro. May focus storms/severe weather over the city in a few hours.

I'd still much rather have snow over a tornado any day....

raining very heavy outside and its dark.
I forgot, what month is this again?
2 confirmed dead in Waverly, VA by Dept. of Game and Inland Fisheries. Luckily, warnings cancelled here in Virginia Beach.
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TORNADO WARNING     RALEIGH NC - KRAH 413 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
TORNADO WARNING     BLACKSBURG VA - KRNK 413 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
SVR T-STORM WARNING BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC - KLWX 410 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
Quoting 174. Geoboy645:

OK now things are definetly ramping up. Pretty much every storm in the squall has a tornado warning now.

Looking ominous for DC too. Low probability the cluster moving through now will spin something up as it did
near RIC but the big line to our west looks ominous to me. If it gets wavy and broken, (likely) watch out!
180. ariot
A tornado in VA, DC, MD, PA, DE or NJ in February (winter, supposedly) would make history according to this chart.



But I would rather do a search of NWS archives to verify.

I also doubt we'll get one up in the MD/PA/DE border area where I'm at, although the rain will screw rush hour from Richmond to Philly.
Quoting 176. ThatHurricane:

I forgot, what month is this again?


The short one where we don't usually get tornadoes
Quoting 163. georgevandenberghe:



The whole Mid Atlantic up to SE PA is about to fire explosively!. The moderate risk assessment looks
like a good call!

The air here in the Philly burbs is downright soupy. You can just feel the energy waiting to be triggered.
Wakefield, VA (KAKQ) - Base Reflectivity (0.5)

Quoting 163. georgevandenberghe:



The whole Mid Atlantic up to SE PA is about to fire explosively!. The moderate risk assessment looks
like a good call!

The air here in the Philly burbs is downright soupy. You can just feel the energy waiting to be triggered.
Quoting 176. ThatHurricane:

I forgot, what month is this again?



july
Quoting 175. washingtonian115:

NWS DC/Baltimore %u200F@NWS_BaltWash 4m4 minutes ago
405pm: Strong low-level boundary draped right over DC metro. May focus storms/severe weather over the city in a few hours.

I'd still much rather have snow over a tornado any day....
Fading El-Nino Springs tend to be generally very wet. This might be a foreshadowing of what's to come.


Very intense storm. Could spin up something at any time.

Edit: Apparently radar confirmed tornado with this guy, I'm not seeing it though.
Possible debris ball in Oxford, NC showing up on radar.
A different view of a home damaged by the Port Charlotte Fl. tornado today.
Quoting 189. DurhamWeatherLover:

Possible debris ball in Oxford, NC showing up on radar.


I'm looking at the CC right now for the frame they would be looking at, very slight drop in the area. Nothing clear cut but I definitely see what they're looking at. CC drop is gone as of new frame. Prolific hail producer atm.
Quoting 191. hurricanehunter27:



I'm looking at the CC right now for the frame they would be looking at, very slight drop in the area. Nothing clear cut but I definitely see what they're looking at. CC drop is gone as of new frame. Prolific hail producer atm.


They were saying 164 mph worth of shear in that area at the time.
El Nino is really showing its face in February big time. I see next tuesday and Wednesday maybe another round of this.
Local news says the NWS has confirmed it was an EF-1 tornado that went through Port Charlotte today. That's really fast if the NWS has already completed their survey.
Quoting 192. DurhamWeatherLover:



They were saying 164 mph worth of shear in that area at the time.

Shear is not an indication of anything on the ground. What the NWS office is looking at is the CC radar product, which indicates how similar the pulse are returning, the lower the similarity the lower the CC which indicates non-meteorological returns aka debris. Looking at the frame a single pixel was below .9 which is a little much IMO to issue a TORR.

Edit: A few frames never downloaded for me. TA's frame he posted shows definite cause for the TORR.
Quoting 191. hurricanehunter27:



I'm looking at the CC right now for the frame they would be looking at, very slight drop in the area. Nothing clear cut but I definitely see what they're looking at. CC drop is gone as of new frame. Prolific hail producer atm.

Slight?



Debris was tossed up to 15,000ft. A strong to significant tornado passed through Oxford.
Quoting 196. TropicalAnalystwx13:


Slight?



Debris was tossed up to 15,000ft. A strong to significant tornado passed through Oxford.


But still no damage reports from the area... It's strange. Maybe they got lucky.
Quoting 196. TropicalAnalystwx13:


Slight?



Debris was tossed up to 15,000ft. A strong to significant tornado passed through Oxford.


That is a nasty looking signature.
Quoting 180. ariot:

A tornado in VA, DC, MD, PA, DE or NJ in February (winter, supposedly) would make history according to this chart.



But I would rather do a search of NWS archives to verify.

I also doubt we'll get one up in the MD/PA/DE border area where I'm at, although the rain will screw rush hour from Richmond to Philly.


Unfortunately I disagree. I hope I'm wrong.

North of Charlottesville, the line is still over the wedge. The edge of the wedge is 30 miles west of DC and when it gets off the wedge I think convection will become surface based with a MUCH higher chance of damaging gusts and an increased chance of organization into discrete supercells with tornadoes as well.

But I'm not a severe weather forecaster.. Hope I'm wrong.
5 miles north of Apex, NC: was expecting storm at ~4pm... just catching edge of rain now (not impressive). It looks like the line separated and new line forming to south and west. It looks like good size aactual tornado at Oxford heading northeast.
Quoting 196. TropicalAnalystwx13:


Slight?



Debris was tossed up to 15,000ft. A strong to significant tornado passed through Oxford.

Yeah, that frame never downloaded. I guess I'm having issues the KRAX data.
Tornado on the ground in Vance County, NC.
Softball sized hail confirmed with that storm too.
Townsville, NC is getting wacked by the tornado now. This town is gonna be destroyed
Damage east of Appomattox, VA



Looks like it will cross over into VA.
Quoting 186. Tazmanian:




july


I've noticed severe weather threat here in DC drops sharply after July 10.

(we ain't there yet)
Quoting 205. bigwes6844:

Townsville, NC is getting wacked by the tornado now. This town is gonna be destroyed
Townsville is little more than a crossroads. It's probably better to belay comments about towns being destroyed until we know if that really happened.
Dupe


DC is about to get hammered. I'm located right where the circle and the + is
Quoting 210. sar2401:

Townsville is little more than a crossroads. It's probably better to belay comments about towns being destroyed until we know if that really happened.


welcome too the city of townsville to where its being destroyed by MOJO
Quoting 184. KEEPEROFTHEGATE:

Wakefield, VA (KAKQ) - Base Reflectivity (0.5)



those storms in south central VA look very tornadic
Damage was reported near Greenville from the tornado-warned cell, nothing confirmed as to whether it was a tornado or not. That area is still not in the clear as the line affecting roughly around US 15-501 from stateline to stateline will head their way.

Quoting 212. Tazmanian:



welcome too the city of townsville to where its being destroyed by MOJO


Some of us will get that reference, others won't
Quoting 210. sar2401:

Townsville is little more than a crossroads. It's probably better to belay comments about towns being destroyed until we know if that really happened.
well sar I saw the storm over that town thats why i mentioned that town sir
Quoting 210. sar2401:

Townsville is little more than a crossroads. It's probably better to belay comments about towns being destroyed until we know if that really happened.
plus i saw the towns name when i zoomed in on the cell so thanks for being so smart
Power outage map for NC/SC (Duke)

Link
Things are going to get very bad in the Richmond area in the next hour. A number of strong cells with a history of producing tornadoes headed that way.

new tornado warning east of Washington NC
possible another one near Fayetteville, NC here we go!
Reported image of the Oxford, NC tornado.

nasty cell near fredericksburg, VA
Quoting 226. tiggerhurricanes2001:


I can if i want. Thanks for your concerns.
Tigger sorry but Taz is right. There's a tornado outbreak going on right now in North Carolina and Virginia. El Nino stuff can go on later after its all set and done.
Outbreak is underway big time in NC and VA. Hopefully everybody in the way is prepared. We went through it yesterday and trust me its no joke.
Quoting 217. tiggerhurricanes2001:




Steady progress with the La Nina. Should be back to Neutral around the start of hurricane season.
Most impressive signature of the day southeast of Fayetteville, NC.

Why is my television airing warnings for counties not in the ILM coverage area? But I guess I shouldn't mind considering I still have cable/power.
3 people dead in VA very sad!
...TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR CEDAR CREEK...STEDMAN...AND VANDER...
live coverage of VA tornadoes.
Link
Quoting 232. TropicalAnalystwx13:

Most impressive signature of the day southeast of Fayetteville, NC.




I'm looking out my window in that direction, tallest looking clouds I've seen all day.

Brian-CapitalWeatherGang
5:30 PM EST
Tornado or not, looks like a nice bow echo with straight-line wind taking aim at DC
Yikes, those are some scary signatures. This seems to be a system that just won't let up as the line keeps building behind it as it progresses north. Stay safe everyone!

Heads up DC.
Quoting 232. TropicalAnalystwx13:

Most impressive signature of the day southeast of Fayetteville, NC.


yep thats the one Ive been watching big time!
I hear the thunder.....
that cell near NC and VA borderline is something serious. This is crazy
My roommate went to Cape Fear High, right in the line of the confirmed tornado. Hopefully everything turns out okay.
First center of mesoscale rotation will pass to my west over western DC. Second center may form further
south on the line.. Unnerving!
Quoting 230. TropicalAnalystwx13:


Steady progress with the La Nina. Should be back to Neutral around the start of hurricane season.

I agree but TA13 LOOK AT THIS!!!
U ain't alone in that risk!

Quoting 221. SavannahStorm:

Things are going to get very bad in the Richmond area in the next hour. A number of strong cells with a history of producing tornadoes headed that way.


Brandon Copic/Brandon Clement should have a visual on the tornado soon.
Quoting 232. TropicalAnalystwx13:

Most impressive signature of the day southeast of Fayetteville, NC.



Quoting 242. bigwes6844:

that cell near NC and VA borderline is something serious. This is crazy
Bunch of "unincorporated communities" right in the cross-hairs of that storm. Closest town in line looks like Lawrenceville, VA. Pop. 1093
Quoting 238. washingtonian115:


Brian-CapitalWeatherGang
5:30 PM EST
Tornado or not, looks like a nice bow echo with straight-line wind taking aim at DC

I just went through that, lot of lightning and rain but not much wind
Kudos to Dr. Forbes for upgrading his Torcon index this morning. He knows his stuff.
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
542 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

VAC075-085-087-145-242300-
/O.CON.KAKQ.TO.W.0017.000000T0000Z-160224T2300Z/
HANOVER VA-POWHATAN VA-HENRICO VA-GOOCHLAND VA-
542 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM EST FOR WEST
CENTRAL HANOVER...NORTHEASTERN POWHATAN...NORTHWESTERN HENRICO AND
SOUTHEASTERN GOOCHLAND COUNTIES...

AT 542 PM EST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING TORNADOES. THESE DANGEROUS STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR MONTPELIER TO NEAR POWHATAN...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

THESE DANGEROUS STORMS WILL BE NEAR...
TUCKAHOE AND OILVILLE AROUND 555 PM EST.
WYNDHAM AROUND 600 PM EST.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE TORNADIC STORMS INCLUDE OLIVER...
SUBLETTS...CROZIER...MICHAUX...SHORT PUMP...JEFFERSON...GOODWINS STORE...
ROCKVILLE...JOHNSONS SPRINGS AND FINE CREEK MILLS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST
FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE IN A MOBILE
HOME OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3789 7749 3789 7746 3760 7758 3752 7771
3753 7794 3766 7790
TIME...MOT...LOC 2242Z 218DEG 52KT 3778 7773 3753 7787

$$

DEROSA
Image of the tornado near Henderson, NC.

Richmond VA is under the crosshairs now. The live coverage of it is crazy. Its starting to get black outside not good!
Quoting 254. bigwes6844:

Richmond VA is under the crosshairs now. The live coverage of it is crazy. Its starting to get black outside not good!


Watching it live. Hopefully it will pass just south of Richmond.
Quoting 255. Bucsboltsfan:



Watching it live. Hopefully it will pass just south of Richmond.


Do you have a online link for this?

I'm very concerned about this cell headed towards Richmond.
257. khssl
Dr. Masters,
My name is Kyle Hennessy. I own the severe storm lab. I am studying the storms like tornado and thunderstorms. I am learning about how do the storms behave and form. I have been tracking south and east coast storms.
Right in line with warned cell near Newton grove
Tornado Warning including Downtown Richmond VA, Mechanicsville VA, Bon Air VA until 6:30 PM EST
The cell ENE of Dunn, NC looks nasty. Pinetops may be in trouble.

Static loop:

These storms reminded me so much of the June 20, 2015 "Remnents of Bill Storms". Hitting right before sunset. Skies becoming very dark and night-like suddenly brightening up afterwards. Not to mention a very similar kind of squall line compared to June 20, 2015 bowing through my area.
Tornado damage in Waverly, Virginia

Youtube
Quoting 217. tiggerhurricanes2001:



Poor Nino, hello Nina.
I recorded a 50mph gust with the storms rolling through and even heard some hail.Its still raining like buckets outside.We don't need any more rain.We are swollen! I'll send it all to California!.
Dark as night right now
How do I post picture from i phone
Wow! I can hear the winds howling and the lightning is getting pretty intense. The ticking outside of the window is most likely hail.
Quoting 266. number4steel:

How do I post picture from i phone


Email to yourself, go to your photos, upload it from there
Quoting 236. bigwes6844:

live coverage of VA tornadoes.
Link


I watched the live feed for a few minutes. He showed some structures completely destroyed and he said that it was most likely an EF-1 or EF-2?
Under warned cell now everybody in safe room
College of DuPage Meteorology
Severe Weather and Flash Flood Warnings
Note: This page will reload every 2 minutes. Warnings are listed with the most recent first.
Click on the station ID to bring up list of recent severe weather statements.
TORNADO WARNING     WAKEFIELD VA - KAKQ 635 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
TORNADO WARNING     RALEIGH NC - KRAH 629 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
SVR T-STORM WARNING MOUNT HOLLY NJ - KPHI 627 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
SVR T-STORM WARNING RALEIGH NC - KRAH 625 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
SVR T-STORM WARNING BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC - KLWX 618 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
TORNADO WARNING     WAKEFIELD VA - KAKQ 614 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
SVR T-STORM WARNING RALEIGH NC - KRAH 613 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
TORNADO WARNING     WAKEFIELD VA - KAKQ 611 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
SVR T-STORM WARNING STATE COLLEGE PA - KCTP 610 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
TORNADO WARNING     WAKEFIELD VA - KAKQ 606 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
College of DuPage Meteorology
Severe Weather and Flash Flood Warnings
Note: This page will reload every 2 minutes. Warnings are listed with the most recent first.
Click on the station ID to bring up list of recent severe weather statements.
SVR T-STORM WARNING BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC - KLWX 639 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
TORNADO WARNING     WAKEFIELD VA - KAKQ 638 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
SVR T-STORM WARNING RALEIGH NC - KRAH 637 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
TORNADO WARNING     WAKEFIELD VA - KAKQ 635 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
274. vis0
OBS from zip code 10016
More natural constant winds whipping
@05:59p-EST, every minute has 3 , averaging 7sec whipping gusts. (averages on 5 minute intervals)
@06:09p-EST, every minute has 2 , averaging 5sec whipping gusts. (averages on 5 minute intervals)
@06:14p-EST every minute has 1 , averaging 3sec whipping gusts. (averages on 5 minute intervals)
@06:19p-EST every minute has 2 , averaging 7sec whipping gusts. (averages on 5 minute intervals)
@06:29p-EST every minute has 1 , averaging 3sec whipping gusts. (averages on 5 minute intervals)
@06:39p-EST every minute has 3 , averaging 6sec whipping gusts. (averages on 5 minute intervals)

can't brag nor complain look at all the serious damage elsewhere from s/SE up the the inner east coast even wind damage on the coast as some including weathermanwannabe mentioned on the previous blog.
From CWG
Channel 4 reporting people trapped in cars in high water on EW highway in Silver Spring--being rescued now. Yikes
From Granville County, NC (Oxford storm)



College of DuPage Meteorology
Severe Weather and Flash Flood Warnings
Note: This page will reload every 2 minutes. Warnings are listed with the most recent first.
Click on the station ID to bring up list of recent severe weather statements.
SVR T-STORM WARNING WAKEFIELD VA - KAKQ 651 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
FLASH FLOOD WARNING BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC - KLWX 646 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
TORNADO WARNING     WAKEFIELD VA - KAKQ 645 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
SVR T-STORM WARNING BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC - KLWX 642 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
SVR T-STORM WARNING BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC - KLWX 639 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
TORNADO WARNING     WAKEFIELD VA - KAKQ 638 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
SVR T-STORM WARNING RALEIGH NC - KRAH 637 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
TORNADO WARNING     WAKEFIELD VA - KAKQ 635 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
TORNADO WARNING     RALEIGH NC - KRAH 629 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
Quoting 262. yonzabam:

Tornado damage in Waverly, Virginia
Youtube

3 dead after powerful storms rip through eastern Virginia - Waverly
Quoting 262. yonzabam:

Tornado damage in Waverly, Virginia

Youtube





I recorded another impressive wind gust and it knocked out my son's windows and took a few limbs down.It knocked out power to the block up the street from us.
Quoting 216. bigwes6844:

plus i saw the towns name when i zoomed in on the cell so thanks for being so smart
It's not a matter of being smart. I've passed through there on my way to Roanoke. My point was talking about towns, regardless of size, being destroyed based on what you see on radar, is not helpful, especially to lurkers who may have family or friends in those areas.
College of DuPage Meteorology
Severe Weather and Flash Flood Warnings
Note: This page will reload every 2 minutes. Warnings are listed with the most recent first.
Click on the station ID to bring up list of recent severe weather statements.
TORNADO WARNING     WAKEFIELD VA - KAKQ 701 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
Wonder if BaltimoreBrian took shelter in his bathtub?


(static image)
Quoting 248. tiggerhurricanes2001:



Hey Malik, how are you.
285. vis0
lightning w-thunder 1.2secs delay zip 10016
Our tornado watch was extended until 11PM. Huh.
287. redux
Quoting 283. Barefootontherocks:

Wonder if BaltimoreBrian took shelter in his bathtub?


(static image)



it absolutely poured.

water started coming through one of my windows, at the top of the frame.

pretty good gusts. finally slowing down, 90 minutes later.
Quoting 280. washingtonian115:

I recorded another impressive wind gust and it knocked out my son's windows and took a few limbs down.It knocked out power to the block up the street from us.

Hope you have some plywood?
The contractor will be here tomorrow and because of that the trip will have to be cancelled.Family,especially my kids,come first before anything.

288. PedleyCA
I had brought some this past October with all the Joaquin craziness.That will have to suffice until tomorrow.
College of DuPage Meteorology
Severe Weather and Flash Flood Warnings
Note: This page will reload every 2 minutes. Warnings are listed with the most recent first.
Click on the station ID to bring up list of recent severe weather statements.
SVR T-STORM WARNING STATE COLLEGE PA - KCTP 730 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
SVR T-STORM WARNING WAKEFIELD VA - KAKQ 729 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
TORNADO WARNING     WAKEFIELD VA - KAKQ 724 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
TORNADO WARNING     STATE COLLEGE PA - KCTP 721 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
Looks like another tornadic storm headed towards Winton, NC and about to cross over into Virginia possibly headed towards Norfolk

Eric
293. vis0

weird rotation around my windows

294. vis0
Not sure if its how my brain is tuned this to be winter but the winds outside (NYC zip10016, one block north of zip 10010) though very strong and long duration be so for last 12 minutes, these winds feel like blizzard winds not warm season winds (not 'cause of temps, though temps are steady or are rising) but its sounds are "thinner" wind sounds which represent TO ME cold air gusts.
295. vis0

Quoting 257. khssl:

Dr. Masters,
My name is Kyle Hennessy. I own the severe storm lab. I am studying the storms like tornado and thunderstorms. I am learning about how do the storms behave and form. I have been tracking south and east coast storms.
vis0 sez::

Stay tuned, read what the older or long time involved in weather observing members that show professionalism post, as one of the best ways to learn are from those that went through what you will go through, one day you'll return the favour.     Be it that it is very busy at the moment ...

(like if you are reading your labs report and a family member wants to know where the TV remote is, you point in a direction while saying you're busy).

...many here are too attached to watching radar, warnings to reply.

But i'm sure your comment is very much appreciated as to see / hear that another person has a desire to learn.

Depending on ones age the following advice  is in your near future or just around the corner::
 Just do not forget to study, read get enough rest to recharge ones brain pick up as many math skills as one can it'll all help, since nature is the master mathematician** and one is trying to break those codes

**okay so WxU member you've might have notice named  webberweather is a close 2nd...

stay tuned lets observe and learn from the reports, when things quiet down post again.
AMO trying to strengthen???
jersey/long island
283. Barefootontherocks
12:15 AM GMT on February 25, 2016

Wonder if BaltimoreBrian took shelter in his bathtub?

Would we call him BathtubBrian?
The watch has been cancelled for our area, still windy. Really lucked out while the rest of the state seemed to get hammered, not to mention those affected yesterday and points north through tonight. This surely won't be the last of the severe threat through springtime but since the ice storm two years ago the Wilmington area has been pretty safe, maybe aside from the heavy rain in October for some spots.
Quoting 287. redux:



it absolutely poured.

water started coming through one of my windows, at the top of the frame.

pretty good gusts. finally slowing down, 90 minutes later.
That conga line of storms trained for quite a while around Wash D.C. and Baltimore. Bow in the line (static graphic at comment 283.) got real mean-looking near the Maryland/Penna border. I do not see a tornado report near there but lots of wind reports. Click image for SPC storm reports text.



(This graphic will update as new reports come in.)
Quoting 296. tiggerhurricanes2001:

AMO trying to strengthen???
Is the other way around.
Quoting 298. KEEPEROFTHEGATE:


This is almost mesmerizing. Such a large system.
Two days of classic severe.
(Insert Nytol commercial)
Now back to regular programming...
305. NNYer
I'm amazed for this time of year that the forecast discussion is mentioning possible thunderstorms as far north as I am (northeastern corner of New York at the Canadian Border.) Not something I can ever recall seeing in a forecast this early in the year. Although I don't have any worries up my way, I hope this storm has lost enough energy to not cause any more loss of life.
306. vis0
Not so BREAKING news (~1 hr old BUT truck still blocking all lanes) winds overturned tractor trailer on GW bridge NYC this evening. You'd think wind warnings would prohibit high profile vehicles
A day with cool showers with a sharp thunderstorm at dinnertime. 1.7" today. Much warmer this evening, but not for long.
Really bad damage in Lancaster, PA tonight from a probable tornado touchdown earlier. Multiple building collapses reported along with damage to a church and an Amish school.
309. vis0
NYC zip 10016
Extremely deep rumble thunder (was not looking out window cannot say when lightning ocurred) but it (deep bass sound) shoke my thinner walls ~3secs, thunder rumble for 6 secs with a lighter bass rumble in between....as i finished typing this another or contious BUT VERY far rumble Ah just saw a flah rumble NO WHERE as deep 3 secs from flash, since its 1101-1103 some news LIVE shots probably caught flash and thunder.
310. vis0
ZIP 10016 1108EST Hail falling first few sounded like pea size if over cooked (puffed) lasted 10 secs, then gust with heavier rain with a bit of rice hail here and there (3 rice per 20secs) 11:10EST back to showers no hail
Quoting 244. georgevandenberghe:

First center of mesoscale rotation will pass to my west over western DC. Second center may form further
south on the line.. Unnerving!


I got through fine. The storms weakened before they reached College Park and it looks like a mesocyclone went 10-20 miles to my west missing me. I got about 1.5" of rain in 45 minutes and the usual nusiance basement flooding. Otherwise no problems but I was really nervous 1.5 hours prior looking at that line with tornadic cells all along it to my southwest.

Fine late Spring night outside, upper 50s with a breeze and clear skies.. oh wait it's February!
Fun to listen to the wind blow atop the statue of liberty:

Link
Ugh I'm saddened by the loss of life.

El Niño/La Nino prediction impacts pales in comparison to the immediate well-being of our neighbors. I get understand the impacts of that and other things, but please, for us, clear the boards for anything that might help others in immediate need
Fiji Meteorological Services
Tropical Disturbance Advisory #4
GALE WARNING
TROPICAL CYCLONE YALO, CATEGORY ONE (11F)
18:00 PM FST February 25 2016
=============================
Near Southern Cooks

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Cyclone Yalo, Category One (995 hPa) located at 19.5S 155.4W has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving south southeast at 10 knots. Position poor based on hourly GOES enhanced infrared and peripheral surface reports.

Gale Force Winds
==========
130 NM from the center in eastern semi-circle
100 NM from the center in western semi-circle

Deep convection remains persistent with convective band trying to wrap around low level circulation center. Organization has improved in past 24 hours. Sea surface temperature is around 28-29C. System lies just south of an upper ridge in a low sheared environment. System is being steered to the south southeast by the deep layer mean north northwesterly wind flow.Dvorak analysis based on 0.60 wrap yields DT=3.0, MET and PT agree. Final Dvorak intensity based on DT

Dvorak Intensity: T3.0/3.0/D1.5/24 HRS

Forecast and Intensity
==============
12 HRS 20.4S 154.6W - 45 knots (CAT 1)
24 HRS 21.1S 153.2W - 45 knots (CAT 1)
72 HRS 22.9S 150.3W - 35 knots (CAT 1)


Yalo forecast map from RSMC Nadi
Of all the abnormalities we have seen with this storm, I think this may take the cake for most unusual...



BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
320 AM EST THU FEB 25 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAY MAINE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN ANDROSCOGGIN COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN MAINE...
YORK COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN MAINE...
CUMBERLAND COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN MAINE...
EASTERN STRAFFORD COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW HAMPSHIRE...
SOUTHEASTERN CARROLL COUNTY IN NORTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE...
SOUTHEASTERN ROCKINGHAM COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE...

* UNTIL 415 AM EST

* AT 318 AM EST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60
MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES
EAST OF FRYEBURG TO NEAR NEWMARKET TO LOWELL...RACING QUICKLY TO
THE EAST.

Severe thunderstorms in northern New England in February. Just amazing. Glastonbury CT reported a wind gust of 75 mph earlier, and there are 41k power outages being reported in Massachusetts.
Oh well, another morning, more bad news :-(

5 dead as severe weather strikes from S.C. to N.Y.
CBS/AP February 24, 2016, 12:54 PM

---------------------------

Cyclone Winston/Fiji:
Photos from the ground show reality of cyclone damage. gallery - video
Stuff.co.nz, Feb 25, 2016
Even if the walls are still upright, many homes in Fiji provide little shelter with roofs gone and foundations flooded.
The clean-up is well under way, but the extent of the damage caused by Tropical Cyclone Winston means there are many challenges ahead.
The death toll is at 44 and expected to increase as remote areas are believed to have been hit the hardest. ...
Good early Thursday morning and I pray all the posters here made it thru this horrible storm ok...simply amazing how it thru off Tornado's from ..Texas to maine, one very scary storm indeed.
several models are showing yet another bad storm for the east coast states next week from about march 2-3rd on..too early yet to know.
The latest weekly SST
departures are:
Niño 4 1.4ºC
Niño 3.4 2.4ºC
Niño 3 1.9ºC
Niño 1+2 0.5ºC
Philip Klotzbach
‏@philklotzbach
Far North Atlantic SSTs averaged over past 30 days are coldest on record (data since 1948). +AMO at its end?
Here are updated graphics comparing South Florida weather warnings for January & February 2015 (top) and 2016 (bottom):

2015:


2016:
Good Morning. Still in "weather shock" over how strong and devastating this El Nino low has been. Here is the forecast for today, the current look, and severe weather count from yesterday:

yesterday Reports Graphic




The trajectory of this low was interesting because of the start in Texas and trajectory inland to the West of the Eastern Seaboard; if it had taken a more traditional El Nino trajectory across the Gulf States then just off of the Seaboard, then it might have resulted in a Nor'Easter with heavier snow and potential blizzard conditions in the NE. In stead, it was almost like being the NE quad of a hurricane the way the banding features kept on fueling t-storms from all the moisture getting pulled into the NE from the Gulf and Atlantic.........Point being that trajectory is everything when it comes to the impacts from a deep winter low and this one was rather unique because of the trajectory and position of the elongated Pacific jet for the duration:



And finally, high pressure dominates again across most of Conus as we wait for the next Winter low to come in; have to keep an eye on the models for that one. Here are the highs for today.

Graphic Forecast of Temperatures Across the US from the National Digital Forecast Database






storm=not.bad...e.cen.florida
Quoting 316. wxgeek723:

Of all the abnormalities we have seen with this storm, I think this may take the cake for most unusual...



BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
320 AM EST THU FEB 25 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAY MAINE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN ANDROSCOGGIN COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN MAINE...
YORK COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN MAINE...
CUMBERLAND COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN MAINE...
EASTERN STRAFFORD COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW HAMPSHIRE...
SOUTHEASTERN CARROLL COUNTY IN NORTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE...
SOUTHEASTERN ROCKINGHAM COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE...

* UNTIL 415 AM EST

* AT 318 AM EST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60
MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES
EAST OF FRYEBURG TO NEAR NEWMARKET TO LOWELL...RACING QUICKLY TO
THE EAST.

Severe thunderstorms in northern New England in February. Just amazing. Glastonbury CT reported a wind gust of 75 mph earlier, and there are 41k power outages being reported in Massachusetts.


This to me is unheard of for February, I wonder if this is a record for so early in the year? What the heck...

Also, while the 400 storm reports is partly inflated by shear population, and that trees and power lines are notorious for coming down easy up in the Mid Atlantic and the Northeast. But even when accounting for that, it's still absolutely nuts. Those high wind reports of 75 in the northeast confirm just how strong the winds were. For all practical purposes, the mid Atlantic/Northeast had a tornado outbreak and a derecho yesterday.... in FEBRUARY.
Really nice rainbow in COllege Park this morning. By the time I got my camera though it was gone.
Quoting 280. washingtonian115:

I recorded another impressive wind gust and it knocked out my son's windows and took a few limbs down.It knocked out power to the block up the street from us.


Geeze that's really bad. It knocked out the windows?
330. JRRP

Quoting 327. Jedkins01:



This to me is unheard of for February, I wonder if this is a record for so early in the year? What the heck...

Also, while the 400 storm reports is partly inflated by shear population, and that trees and power lines are notorious for coming down easy up in the Mid Atlantic and the Northeast. But even when accounting for that, it's still absolutely nuts. Those high wind reports of 75 in the northeast confirm just how strong the winds were. For all practical purposes, the mid Atlantic/Northeast had a tornado outbreak and a derecho yesterday.... in FEBRUARY.
Or, you could also argue that they were on the strong side of a land cane.................................
Quoting 327. Jedkins01:



This to me is unheard of for February, I wonder if this is a record for so early in the year? What the heck...

Also, while the 400 storm reports is partly inflated by shear population, and that trees and power lines are notorious for coming down easy up in the Mid Atlantic and the Northeast. But even when accounting for that, it's still absolutely nuts. Those high wind reports of 75 in the northeast confirm just how strong the winds were. For all practical purposes, the mid Atlantic/Northeast had a tornado outbreak and a derecho yesterday.... in FEBRUARY.


The line was too broken and wide area winds too weak to meet derecho criteria. Point winds though from individual storms were destructive but damage was contained to a lot of fairly small areas, not huge swatches.
Quoting 327. Jedkins01:



This to me is unheard of for February, I wonder if this is a record for so early in the year? What the heck...

Also, while the 400 storm reports is partly inflated by shear population, and that trees and power lines are notorious for coming down easy up in the Mid Atlantic and the Northeast. But even when accounting for that, it's still absolutely nuts. Those high wind reports of 75 in the northeast confirm just how strong the winds were. For all practical purposes, the mid Atlantic/Northeast had a tornado outbreak and a derecho yesterday.... in FEBRUARY.


Kudos to 21'st century NWP. It was forecast three days out although forecasts slightly underdid it because the wedging broke down a few hours earlier than forecast
Incredible event over the Northeast, especially southern New England, last night. Hard to even find a place to begin. To have a line of storms like that move through in the overnight hours with temperatures over 60F at this time of year is pretty much unheard of from what I can tell. Highest measured gust for the region looks like 83mph atop Blue Hill, south of Boston. Even the Caribou, ME NWS office issued a severe t-storm warning, the first time they've ever done that in February.
Quoting 330. JRRP:


Dropping fast, won't belong before La Nina.
Yes, SST's will drop across the enso regions before leveling off due to WWB continuing. As a result the CFS now has a new Oceanic Kelvin Wave developing over the next several weeks thus weakening the "Cool" upwelling process as this occurs this strengthens the possibility for El-Nino to once again restrengthen later this Summer. Just look @ the graphs below as these are very telling.





WWB then a lull to end March only to have another one move in starting in April.
CNN was reporting 7 people killed over the period of this storm, a very dangerous storm it was.
GFS and CMC are showing another storm for the first week of march for the east coast.
Hopefully not Bad like the one yesterday...next week............
Here is the US Drought Monitor issued this morning; California still running a big deficit regardless of the rain they have received earlier in the Winter from El Nino.............Going through a dry spell again.

Current U.S. Drought Monitor

Quoting 336. StormTrackerScott:

Yes, SST's will drop across the enso regions before leveling off due to WWB continuing. As a result the CFS now has a new Oceanic Kelvin Wave developing over the next several weeks thus weakening the "Cool" upwelling process as this occurs this strengthens the possibility for El-Nino to once again restrengthen later this Summer. Just look @ the graphs below as these are very telling.





WWB then a lull to end March only to have another one move in starting in April.



Hi Scott-
It may be early but what I am seeing shows we may be in for a 'moderate' Atlantic hurricane season this year. But I know all it takes is one hit to make it a bad year.
Steep pressure gradient still overhead, very breezy this morning but not like yesterday. Practically clear skies, kinda reminds me of a tornado watch...
345. ariot
Quoting 180. ariot:

A tornado in VA, DC, MD, PA, DE or NJ in February (winter, supposedly) would make history according to this chart.



But I would rather do a search of NWS archives to verify.

I also doubt we'll get one up in the MD/PA/DE border area where I'm at, although the rain will screw rush hour from Richmond to Philly.


Sadly, the confirmed VA tornado was a February first on record. The record is confirmed by media (USA Today). I've not had time to go digging looking for proof there are no others on record during the month. I also don't know if states further north will confirm a February first on record touchdown. We'll see.

As an on and off resident of the Mid-Atlantic during the past 25 or so years (due to work/military) I can say last night was the strangest thing I've seen here in any month.

Surreal.

And, we ain't seen nothin' yet. Imagine, when I'm really old, like in 30 years, what the weather will be like due to AGW amplification.
Quoting 330. JRRP:


Steady decay of 3.4 region. Interesting to see the last wwb we had didn't do much to the enso regions. And even more interesting is the cfs showing and active Atlantic for early mid hurricane season. Then by the end of sep it shuts down the season. This season could be heavy early with a sudden decrease in activity.
Good morning everyone. I see someone commented on Lancaster, PA. That's where I am! Storms came through around dinner time, felled a tree on campus. Some winds, but me being the southern kid didn't find them that impressive, line weakened a bit right before it hit me, strengthened to the south where the rotation began before moving to the NE. I did hear later on about damage from the eastern area of the county. State police are allowing State College NWS to borrow a helicopter for survey purposes.

Fire Officials report MAJOR weather event for Lancaster PA
Quoting 343. rmbjoe1954:



Hi Scott-
It may be early but what I am seeing shows we may be in for a 'moderate' Atlantic hurricane season this year. But I know all it takes is one hit to make it a bad year.


Summer sea surface anomalies across the Pacific could be similar to 2004. La-Nina typical means FL doesn't see much impacts from Hurricanes but neutral to very weak El-Nino like what the CFS is showing could be trouble for FL. Not buying La-Nina especially with WWB continuing it appears even in April now.
Quoting 343. rmbjoe1954:



Hi Scott-
It may be early but what I am seeing shows we may be in for a 'moderate' Atlantic hurricane season this year. But I know all it takes is one hit to make it a bad year.


BTW buddy near Fort Pierce said we is already over 15" for the year. That's similar to what one expects during the wet season. 10.91" for the year here in Longwood.
Quoting 340. LargoFl:




Euro and Canadian show another severe weather outbreak mid next week.
Quoting 346. Gearsts:

Steady decay of 3.4 region. Interesting to see the last wwb we had didn't do much to the enso regions. And even more interesting is the cfs showing and active Atlantic for early mid hurricane season. Then by the end of sep it shuts down the season. This season could be heavy early with a sudden decrease in activity.



CFS makes sense. Remember La-Nina doesn't mean we see hits across the Caribbean or even FL its usually neutral to very weak ENSO that are the worst for landfalling systems in the Caribbean/FL. Again at this point I suspect La-Nina is going to be a no show this year.
Quoting 287. redux:



it absolutely poured.

water started coming through one of my windows, at the top of the frame.

pretty good gusts. finally slowing down, 90 minutes later.


I got an incredible amount of rain here by BWI according to my PWS. Seems several storm cores passed over my area. Some pretty good wind as well, along with the obligatory thunder and lightning. Heard a plink or two of hail, but it was probably just the wind blowing pieces of tree at my house.

At least they weren't dropping tornadoes by the time they made it here. :P

Some pretty decent severe thunderstorms for...February? o_O
Quoting 336. StormTrackerScott:


CFSv2 is on drugs. The WPac warm pool has been exhausted. There's literally nowhere that enough anomalously warm water to sustain a Nino event can come from at this point.



Quoting 350. StormTrackerScott:



Euro and Canadian show another severe weather outbreak mid next week.
guess we stay alert again next week.
El Nino notwithstanding, the South Pacific (Summer there) continues to produce storms and invests:

Full Disk

Quoting 355. weathermanwannabe:

El Nino notwithstanding, in the South Pacific (Summer there) continues to produce storms and invests:

Full Disk




That is what keeps firing off these WWB that's coming down the pike.
Quoting 349. StormTrackerScott:



BTW buddy near Fort Pierce said we is already over 15" for the year. That's similar to what one expects during the wet season. 10.91" for the year here in Longwood.


My back yard has been under water each time it rained this winter. The water table is as high as you would expect to see in the summer. That in itself is an anomaly. In Fort Pierce the HighPoint subdivision has had to pump out water continuously this winter as the Savannas State Reserve is totally flooded. This is a bad omen for the Spring/Summer if the rains continue. The smart people purchased Flood insurance policies because it takes 30 days to become effective.
Quoting 343. rmbjoe1954:



Hi Scott-
It may be early but what I am seeing shows we may be in for a 'moderate' Atlantic hurricane season this year. But I know all it takes is one hit to make it a bad year.
Quoting 353. TimSoCal:



CFSv2 is on drugs. The WPac warm pool has been exhausted. There's literally nowhere that enough anomalously warm water to sustain a Nino event can come from at this point.




I agree, the CFSV2 is evidently on drugs. The warm pool in the Pacific is obviously exhausted, and a new forming el nino is unlikely. If anything, with this decaying el nino, a la nina is more likely. We should be back to neutral conditions by June, and la nina should be in full effect by ASO. However, Nino 1 and 2 should go up briefly as there are some intensifying anomalies in the far eastern Pacific, and an intensifying cool pool in the central and western Pacific, causing Nino regions 3,3.4, and 4 to cool.
Quoting 353. TimSoCal:



CFSv2 is on drugs. The WPac warm pool has been exhausted. There's literally nowhere that enough anomalously warm water to sustain a Nino event can come from at this point.




True that is the case now but the graph I showed on the last page shows the cool pool falling apart as another OKW forms in March or April. Next 2 months will be very telling IMO as the CFS makes sense we didn't see these kind of anomalous wind anomalies across the ENSO regions of the Pacific going into and thru Spring as the CFS suggest. Basically what has happened now is the MJO has now aligned itself with the standing El-Nino Wave which hasn't happened since early to mid January. That 3 to 4 week break of the El-Nino circulation caused a Cold pool to form so now that everything is lined up again we should see the Cold upwelling process breakdown over the coming weeks.
Try not to quote long post please.
its.giant.=eddie.will.go?
Quoting 346. Gearsts:

Steady decay of 3.4 region. Interesting to see the last wwb we had didn't do much to the enso regions. And even more interesting is the cfs showing and active Atlantic for early mid hurricane season. Then by the end of sep it shuts down the season. This season could be heavy early with a sudden decrease in activity.


Over the last month or so the strong trades in and north/south of region 1.2 and 3 really accelerated the demise of the warm pool, via upwelling of cold water, and they caused surface cooling. If it wasn't for the last big WWB and associated Kelvin Wave that cooling would have been noticeably more dramatic. The trades have calmed down so it will be interesting to see how the rest of the warm pool and the developing WWB will play out.
Published on Feb 25, 2016

Dr. Michael Mann, Earth System Science Center-Penn State University/Dire Predictions: Understanding Climate Change (2nd edition) joins Thom. Scientists Are Officially Freaked Out By Climate Change! It's a been a weird winter in many parts of America - but nothing compared to the wild winter the Arctic is having. Is this a sign that we've passed or are about to pass another global warming tipping point?

For more information on the stories we've covered visit our websites at thomhartmann.com - freespeech.org - and RT.com. You can also watch tonight's show on Hulu - at Hulu.com/THE BIG PICTURE and over at The Big Picture YouTube page. And - be sure to check us out on Facebook and Twitter!





StormTrackerScott
Its time to give it up man.I've never seen someone hold on to El nino this long.
Quoting 365. Patrap:

Published on Feb 25, 2016

Dr. Michael Mann, Earth System Science Center-Penn State University/Dire Predictions: Understanding Climate Change (2nd edition) joins Thom. Scientists Are Officially Freaked Out By Climate Change! It's a been a weird winter in many parts of America - but nothing compared to the wild winter the Arctic is having. Is this a sign that we've passed or are about to pass another global warming tipping point?

For more information on the stories we've covered visit our websites at thomhartmann.com - freespeech.org - and RT.com. You can also watch tonight's show on Hulu - at Hulu.com/THE BIG PICTURE and over at The Big Picture YouTube page. And - be sure to check us out on Facebook and Twitter!

Thanks for this. Michael really makes clear the bigger stage that's unfolding the current weather patterns we've been seeing. Kind of appropriate too that he talks about el nino amidst everyone's current comments. ; ) Well, all this uncertainty also makes things interesting doesn't it?
Looks like New England caught it. Many high wind reports. Maybe winds up into Canada that don't show here.



Not specific to New England area, and I'm sure there are more Feb-early March severe storm outbreaks, here's some severe storm history that popped into my mind because of specific incidents*.
2009 (*EF4 in Lone Grove. OK)


Link to wiki on Feb 10-11, 2009 outbreak

2012 (*In SPC severe weather workshop, we saw March 2nd unfold)
Feb 24 onward; click forward on reports page day-by-day. Of special note

LInk to wiki on the March 2, 2012 severe outbreak
Quoting 361. islander101010:

its.giant.=eddie.will.go?

I hope it does!! I'm so stoked to finally see it. The buoy readings are huge for the Bay.
Now that the first few comments on climate change today have been made (in light of all the severe weather issues), I was saving this one from last week; completely fascinating how they determined the current sea level rise:
http://www.sciencemag.org/news/2016/02/sea-levels -are-rising-their-fastest-rate-2000-years

Global sea levels appear exquisitely sensitive to changes in temperature and greenhouse gas levels, according to a set of new studies that examines up to 6 million years of climate change data. The four papers, published today in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences(PNAS), illustrate the growing power of computers to simulate complex interactions between climate, polar ice, and the planets oceans. They also underscore the effects that rising greenhouse gases and global temperatures could have on future sea level.


The studys results come in part from measurements of past sea levels gathered at 24 sites around the world. When there were no good written records from tide gauges, scientists relied chiefly on the shells of single-celled creatures called foraminifera or forams, which dwell in the muck of saltwater marshes. The marshes location at the border between land and sea along with their relatively flat topography make them a handy yardstick of sea level changes. In the new study, geologists extracted sediment cores from marshes and then painstakingly recorded the number and types of different foram species in different layers. The numbers indicated the mix of saltwater and freshwater, which correlates with sea level, Horton says.
Quoting 367. VibrantPlanet:


Thanks for this. Michael really makes clear the bigger stage that's unfolding the current weather patterns we've been seeing. Kind of appropriate too that he talks about el nino amidst everyone's current comments. ; ) Well, all this uncertainty also makes things interesting doesn't it?


Dr. Mann and I have been FB friends for 3 years now, and I enjoy His work and His insight as it is Science, without the baggage of BS.

372. JRRP
Quoting 346. Gearsts:

Steady decay of 3.4 region. Interesting to see the last wwb we had didn't do much to the enso regions. And even more interesting is the cfs showing and active Atlantic for early mid hurricane season. Then by the end of sep it shuts down the season. This season could be heavy early with a sudden decrease in activity.


for the first time in a long while it is below 2.0
373. vis0

Quoting 348. StormTrackerScott:



Summer sea surface anomalies across the Pacific could be similar to 2004. La-Nina typical means FL doesn't see much impacts from Hurricanes but neutral to very weak El-Nino like what the CFS is showing could be trouble for FL. Not buying La-Nina especially with WWB continuing it appears even in April now.
To natures its not just 'weather' a signal is
ON or OFF
but from whence it comes from as in ascending / descending
the rate its doing so
the angle its doing so
and the interaction with other Oscillations

 

...AND ONE HAS TO TAKE the same aforementioned 5.

Look at the El Nino "puffs" STS presented over the last 2 months of ~5 3 became energy for major events, another 1 also but in the ocean so some think it does not count other did not and ALL are important and shpould be studied not just what affects humans as any affect within this universe (oh specially Earth) affects all.
'
So as El Nino Descends be it slowly or rapidly it coming from such heights means don't let your guard down be it from ENSO, Gulfo or  ATLanto...ha didn;t think i knew spanisho.

 

Ones underlined are either not discovered yet or not really understood.

-------------------------
back to listening who needs help and how , visit red cross, portlight and official NOAA recommendations. As sar2401 alerted us and sadly a week later (earlier in he year) it occurred if you're in the damage to disaster zones and you hear or think someone needs help call authorities immediately, CARRY a fully charged cell if you LIVE in those areas to make those calls, if you are near by and think you can help physically call red cross to see if they can use your help (best to volunteer BEFORE emergencies so you can take their courses) do not go there.  Structures can crumble on you, nails through shoes, wild animals loose, sewage, people injured means their could have concussions and think you are their to hurt them.
If anyone here is interested in watching the The Eddie Aikau surf contest at Waimea Bay in Hawaii, it is on
worldsurfleague.com It is being streamed live. Some of the biggest surf you will ever get to witness in real-time will be ridden today. To put this into scale for you weather gurus, the last time they ran this contest was during the last El Nino in 2009. So excited to finally see it live!!!!!
375. vis0

Quoting 366. washingtonian115:

StormTrackerScott
Its time to give it up man.I've never seen someone hold on to El nino this long.
on my zilly blog pg7...
376. bwi
Incredible rain rates with that final storm last night in Maryland. Lots of flooding along the bike trails on my way to work.
Quoting 366. washingtonian115:

StormTrackerScott
Its time to give it up man.I've never seen someone hold on to El nino this long.


Agreed
JeffMasters has created a new entry.
Quoting 351. StormTrackerScott:



CFS makes sense. Remember La-Nina doesn't mean we see hits across the Caribbean or even FL its usually neutral to very weak ENSO that are the worst for landfalling systems in the Caribbean/FL. Again at this point I suspect La-Nina is going to be a no show this year.
Hi Scott. It's obvious El Nino will be ramping up. You were predicting this El Nino before anybody. I think some of the "doubters" may just be jealous
Quoting 379. Llamaluvr:

Hi Scott. It's obvious El Nino will be ramping up. You were predicting this El Nino before anybody. I think some of the "doubters" may just be jealous


You must be his mother:)
The Bay Calls the Day

Was there in '89 when Brock Little took off on the steepest 50-60' face I've ever seen. He made it about 3/4 of the way down before he wiped out. I have the photo sequence. 35mm. I was sitting on the point.

5 years later we were in the same lifeguard training class. At the time I was probably running a 5:30 mile on sand. We had a run/swim called the 1000/1000. The only time I didnt see him from behind was the starting line. He is a gifted athlete as are all of the guys in the lineup today.

Thanks for the tip. I'll have to check it out.

Quoting 374. 757surfer:

If anyone here is interested in watching the The Eddie Aikau surf contest at Waimea Bay in Hawaii, it is on
worldsurfleague.com It is being streamed live. Some of the biggest surf you will ever get to witness in real-time will be ridden today. To put this into scale for you weather gurus, the last time they ran this contest was during the last El Nino in 2009. So excited to finally see it live!!!!!
Correction it was 1990. Also i've just seen that Brock is currently battling Stage 4 cancer so I'm pretty much shocked at the news. The guy is larger than life and a legendary waterman of the north shore.

Quoting 381. HaoleboySurfEC:

The Bay Calls the Day

Was there in '89 when Brock Little took off on the steepest 50-60' face I've ever seen. He made it about 3/4 of the way down before he wiped out. I have the photo sequence. 35mm. I was sitting on the point.

5 years later we were in the same lifeguard training class. At the time I was probably running a 5:30 mile on sand. We had a run/swim called the 1000/1000. The only time I didnt see him from behind was the starting line. He is a gifted athlete as are all of the guys in the lineup today.

Thanks for the tip. I'll have to check it out.


Eric Webb @webberweather @antmasiello I did too, although the top 5 strongest NINOs on record (since mid 19th century) all had +AOs thru DJF, NAO meh.

I think the reason why this DJF Nino will average out to a near neutral AO is because the Arctic has been so warm relative to equator.