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Tornado kills ten in Mississippi

By: Dr. Jeff Masters, 1:22 PM GMT on April 25, 2010

A powerful 1/2 to 1-mile wide tornado cut a path of enormous destruction across the state of Mississippi yesterday, killing at least ten and injuring dozens. It was the deadliest tornado in the U.S. since May 10, 2008, when an EF-4 tornado killed 22 people in Oklahoma and Missouri. The damage I've seen so far from photos of yesterday's tornado appears to be mainly of the EF-3 variety, though we will have to wait for the official damage surveys to be sure. The supercell thunderstorm that spawned the tornado or family of tornadoes maintained a continuous circulation from the time the tornado first touched down in Louisiana near the Mississippi border until the tornado reached the Alabama border. This is an extremely rare occurrence. If the 188-mile path of destruction across Mississippi was from a single tornado, it would rank as one of the longest tracks by a single tornado on record. The record of 219 miles is held by the deadliest tornado of all time, the great Tri-State Tornado of 1925 (though there is some dispute over whether this was one tornado or a family of tornadoes.) Our severe weather expert Dr. Rob Carver has a more complete analysis and imagery of yesterday's tornadoes.


Figure 1. Doppler radar storm-relative velocity of the mile-wide tornado that affected Yazoo City, Mississippi On April 24, 2010. This is an unusually wide and strong circulation for a supercell thunderstorm.

More severe weather expected today along the East Coast
The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) outlined a "Slight Risk" region of concern for severe weather today along the East Coast, from Maryland to Northern Florida. Yesterday, SPC had Mississippi underneath the first "High Risk" area of severe weather concern for the year. As usual, you can follow today's severe weather outbreak with our interactive tornado page and our severe weather page..


Figure 2. Severe weather reports for Saturday. Note the long line of red tornado reports extending across the state of Mississippi. These reports originated from a single supercell thunderstorm that spawned one or more tornadoes that carved out a 188-mile lone path of destruction across the state. Image credit: Storm Prediction Center.

Jeff Masters
Storm Lines
Storm Lines
A quick line of storm clouds came over Lawrence around 7pm. I forgot to change my ISO back after shooting eagles earlier in low light thus a noisy shot.
Tornado damage in Choctaw County
Tornado damage in Choctaw County
Tornado damage in Choctaw County
Tornado damage in Choctaw County

Tornado

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

Reader Comments

Quoting tornadodude:



I dont like Penn State ;) big ten rival hehe

The big ten plays sports?? ;)
I think if you're gonna hang out on the Weather Underground...you're morally obligated to at least mention the University of Michigan...
Quoting SouthALWX:

The big ten plays sports?? ;)


haha hey now!

Purdue beat Alabama this year in basketball so surely you can appreciate that :)
What's the best school that has a more tropics based program, I personally would like to go to a more tropics oriented program than general meteorology.
Quoting tornadodude:


haha hey now!

Purdue beat Alabama this year in basketball so surely you can appreciate that :)

alabama plays basketball ?!?
Quoting SouthALWX:

alabama plays basketball ?!?


LOL! no, not really


Purdue did produce Drew Brees tho
Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
What's the best school that has a more tropics based program, I personally would like to go to a more tropics oriented program than general meteorology.


Florida State hands down, but Colorado State as well. Supposedly Wyoming has been making strides into tropical forecasting and hydrology lately as well.
As I was trying to say before, Miami, it depends. Do you want to go to grad school being a key point. USA has the coastal weather research center and Im sure FSU has a crap ton of stuff. Those two I would wager are the premier tropical weather schools.
edit: I should rectify, those two are the premier for HANDS ON tropical weather ;)
Quoting tornadodude:


LOL! no, not really


Purdue did produce Drew Brees tho

Now THAT I can respect, sir. :)
Quoting SouthALWX:

Now THAT I can respect, sir. :)


that's better haha
Quoting SouthALWX:
As I was trying to say before, Miami, it depends. Do you want to go to grad school being a key point. USA has the coastal weather research center and Im sure FSU has a crap ton of stuff. Those two I would wager are the premier tropical weather schools.


I forgot about Miami, that is very true.
Quoting MrstormX:


Florida State hands down, but Colorado State as well. Supposedly Wyoming has been making strides into tropical forecasting and hydrology lately as well.
Oh man, I've been a Miami Hurricanes football fan since birth, now I learn that FSU has the best tropics school, lol.(As you may or may not know FSU and Miami have one of the biggest football rivalries out there.)
I feel sorry for any state that has a hurricane landfall this year during September or October.

During this election year... you're state will become a political magnet, particularly a big swing state like Florida. Politicians will do fly-overs and walking tours, promising all sorts of federal help and smiling big.

Here in Texas, they won't even bother. Promise the moon, we all vote republican anyway. Just do a quick fly-over, wave the wing tips, then go back to Washington.

I don't know which would be worse... the big wind or the windbags that follow it.

:>)
1016. Levi32
Quoting SouthALWX:

=/ you guys act like I was bashing Penn State (hell I plan to go there!) Penn state focuses on theory: EG they gear their students towards graduate school. I know Penn State undergrads who cant forecast themselves out of a cardboard box! If you plan to go to graduate school then absolutely Penn State. If you plan to work with your degree, then don't. Damn, you guys act like I stabbed you with a knife.


I didn't take it that way, just sounded like you thought it was a bad thing that they did that.
hows the leg press
Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
Oh man, I've been a Miami Hurricanes football fan since birth, now I learn that FSU has the best tropics school, lol.(As you may or may not know FSU and Miami have one of the biggest football rivalries out there.)


And baseball too, but you'll get over it. ;>)

Quoting plywoodstatenative:
hows the leg press


it looks alright ;)

30 day SOI continues to spike up,now at +15.0

Quoting Levi32:


I didn't take it that way, just sounded like you thought it was a bad thing that they did that.

no of course not, but alot of people dont know that and go "He said it was the best so im going there!" when they plan to get their bachelor's and then work for NWS, which is GREAT. problem is Penn State isnt geared for that. They dont do the practical stuff as much as theory. They do the applications in their graduate program. Which is fine.
Quoting PcolaDan:


And baseball too, but you'll get over it. ;>)

I'll never wear a noles sweater around campus, lol.
haha Tornado. Suprised you do not have any photos up from the crazy weekend
Quoting PcolaDan:


And baseball too, but you'll get over it. ;>)



And UF stands by un-approvingly while we win championships and excel at academics
Quoting tornadodude:


LOL! no, not really


Purdue did produce Drew Brees tho


Purdue produced Bob Griese, Hall of Fame QB
Quoting plywoodstatenative:
haha Tornado. Suprised you do not have any photos up from the crazy weekend


haha well generally when Im at a party I dont like to have my picture taken because people upload them to Facebook and if I go looking for another job, some employers check out your facebook page for those type of pictures, so it could be bad haha
Quoting TexasGulf:
I feel sorry for any state that has a hurricane landfall this year during September or October.

During this election year... you're state will become a political magnet, particularly a big swing state like Florida. Politicians will do fly-overs and walking tours, promising all sorts of federal help and smiling big.

Here in Texas, they won't even bother. Promise the moon, we all vote republican anyway. Just do a quick fly-over, wave the wing tips, then go back to Washington.

I don't know which would be worse... the big wind or the windbags that follow it.

:>)


43 percent of your state voted democrat in 2008.
Quoting indianrivguy:


Purdue produced Bob Griese, Hall of Fame QB


That's very true, we also produced Neil Armstrong
1029. Drakoen
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:
30 day SOI continues to spike up,now at +15.0



Quite a big spike in the SOI...
Quoting hydrus:
There will probably be a low forming in the Caribbean on the tail end of that front. could cause flooding concerns for someone.


And who would that someone be?
1031. hydrus
Quoting presslord:
I think if you're gonna hang out on the Weather Underground...you're morally obligated to at least mention the University of Michigan...
University of Michigan.....University of Michigan....:)
For you Tampa area bloggers, Mike Alstott is a Purdue grad
Per Neil Armstrong...Take man back to the moon. Why? Too colonize? When our time ends on our blue marble, it ends.
1034. Drakoen
Quoting Levi32:


SAL isn't that hard.....the AEJ can be hard to forecast, but SAL not really, and it should be below normal this year.


The CFS is forecasting an average to below average African Easterly Jet.
1035. bassis
I'll take Ohio State University thank you very much
Quoting bassis:
I'll take Ohio State University thank you very much


I'll pass ;)

but we both can agree on not liking The University of Michigan

Tornado Warning

TORNADO WARNING
TXC051-270115-
/O.NEW.KHGX.TO.W.0007.100427T0042Z-100427T0115Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
742 PM CDT MON APR 26 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
BURLESON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...

* UNTIL 815 PM CDT

* AT 738 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO THIS TORNADO
WAS LOCATED NEAR CALDWELL... MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE TORNADO WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
SOMERVILLE AND SNOOK.

PLEASE REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE COUNTY SHERIFF...LOCAL POLICE...
OR DEPARTMENT OF PUBLIC SAFETY AND ASK THEM TO RELAY YOUR REPORT TO
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3060 9673 3042 9629 3039 9630 3037 9634
3038 9635 3036 9640 3036 9641 3030 9665
3032 9670 3033 9675 3037 9677 3042 9684
3046 9686
TIME...MOT...LOC 0042Z 309DEG 26KT 3047 9671

$$






1038. Levi32
Quoting Drakoen:


The CFS is forecasting an average to below average African Easterly Jet.


Yeah, mostly because it's also forecasting a warm Gulf of Guinea. Link
1039. Drakoen
Quoting Levi32:


Yeah, mostly because it's also forecasting a warm Gulf of Guinea. Link


Yea but is forecasting for above average precipitation off the African coast... lol. Go figure
1040. hydrus
Quoting kimoskee:


And who would that someone be?
Cuba. But none of the models are showing intense rainfall. If I lived down there I would still watch it. If it were late May or early June, I wouldnt let it out of sight.
By looking at radar that storm in texas most likely has a tornado with it
Quoting Drakoen:


The CFS is forecasting an average to below average African Easterly Jet.

Well if the waves aren't that strong when they roll off of Africa that's all the worse when they get past 50W. We'll have another 2005 that way.
better plywood...

cute tornadodude...
1044. Drakoen
I noticed there has been some talk on analyzing tropical waves. It is important that we all have the ability to recognize a tropical wave. Here's an old blog of mine on Dissecting a Tropical Wave. All the graphics used in that blog can be found here.
Quoting presslord:
better plywood...

cute tornadodude...


haha :PP
Quoting hydrus:
Cuba. But none of the models are showing intense rainfall. If I lived down there I would still watch it. If it were late May or early June, I would,nt let it out of sight.


I'm in Jamaica. We need rain in the southern parishes. No luck so far. The rain of a couple weeks ago helped but we need much more to replenish the dams. Notice how specific I am as to location for rain.

Cue the rain dancers...

Somewhere I heard "2004-like tracking season with 16-20 storms"...Yikes, 2004 was deadlier than 2005, so if that happens...
Quoting altesticstorm10:
Somewhere I heard "2004-like tracking season with 16-20 storms"...Yikes, 2004 was deadlier than 2005, so if that happens...


To soon to tell.
Quoting altesticstorm10:
Somewhere I heard "2004-like tracking season with 16-20 storms"...Yikes, 2004 was deadlier than 2005, so if that happens...
You are right. 2004 tracks just more storms.
Severe Weather Statement

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
748 PM CDT MON APR 26 2010

TXC051-270115-
/O.CON.KHGX.TO.W.0007.000000T0000Z-100427T0115Z/
BURLESON TX-
748 PM CDT MON APR 26 2010

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM CDT FOR BURLESON
COUNTY...

AT 743 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR DAVIDSON...AND MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE THE TORNADO WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
DAVIDSON SOMERVILLE AND SNOOK

PLEASE REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE COUNTY SHERIFF...LOCAL POLICE...
OR DEPARTMENT OF PUBLIC SAFETY AND ASK THEM TO RELAY YOUR REPORT TO
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3060 9673 3042 9629 3039 9630 3037 9634
3038 9635 3036 9640 3036 9641 3030 9665
3032 9670 3033 9675 3037 9677 3042 9684
3046 9686
TIME...MOT...LOC 0048Z 309DEG 26KT 3044 9667

$$







I did not like 2004.
Quoting BahaHurican:
I did not like 2004.
No one did, especially me in Miami.

Talk about well defined....
Quoting Drakoen:


Quite a big spike in the SOI...

Indeed it is... is this one of the biggest spikes in SOI history for the past 10 years? I've never seen such a vertical spike that just keeps comin' on...
Link Or themps for tommarow are 105 and they ussualy are about 5 degrees out so we could expect it to get to 110
Quoting BahaHurican:

Talk about well defined....

Are you talking about the trough in the east, or the cold front? Both seem to be very well defined to me. There's also a Low P. system in the middle of the country.

We could actually see subfreezing temperatures tomorrow night, killing sensitive vegitation. Very rare for almost May...
StormW,what is your take on the big spike of the 30 day SOI?
Quoting BahaHurican:

Talk about well defined....


Well defined

(and yes, it's a family friendly link)
1060. Drakoen
Quoting StormW:


Drak, fantastic info! Thanks for sharing!!


No problem!
Earlier on, people yesterday were saying how the Gulf would become warm because of a ridge in the Gulf. Boy we they right on the mark.



It looks like the Indian Ocean is starting to turn colder, the Atlantic the same, the pacific Colder, and the seas warmer.... just overall trends leading to the eventual crash in Global Temperatures...
I just realized the first storm of '04 didn't form until July 31, wow.
Impressive potent La Nina for the hurricane season...



Moisture abundant throughout both basins, but no true organization as of late.
I see the GFS has the area of low pressure a little further to the east in the east pacific there by not creating a tropical storm because of land interaction .
1066. hydrus
Quoting kimoskee:


I'm in Jamaica. We need rain in the southern parishes. No luck so far. The rain of a couple weeks ago helped but we need much more to replenish the dams. Notice how specific I am as to location for rain.

Cue the rain dancers...

I believe in about three weeks Jamaica will see much more rain. That front will stall to the north of you and dissipate. Even if a low does form most of the action would miss that region. Eventually the Western Caribbean will have a large fetch of moisture coming from the south and southwest. Then Jamaica,s water woes should be over. :)
Drak- Thanks for the great info posted in #1044!
Anyone for the crash? The WHOLE PACIFIC LOOKS COLD FOR THE WINTER OF 2010-2011!!

Quoting belizeit:
I see the GFS has the area of low pressure a little further to the east in the east pacific there by not creating a tropical storm because of land interaction .

The GFS has been throwing the storm all over the place today, so I wouldn't be surprised if a TS really does form in the EPAC.
Quoting hydrus:
I believe in about three weeks Jamaica will see much more rain. That front will stall to the north of you and dissipate. Even if a low does form most of the action would miss that region. Eventually the Western Caribbean will have a large fetch of moisture coming from the south and southwest. Then Jamaica,s water woes should be over. :)
3 weeks is a long time if its very dry i thing if the forecast is correct about all this heat then we will soon see severe thunderstorms developing in the Caribbean
Somewhere I heard "2004-like tracking season with 16-20 storms"...Yikes, 2004 was deadlier than 2005, so if that happens..

Way to early to tell where the tracks will go. 2004 did not get really going until August with Charlie. Still many months away.
I think we will have a minimal La Niña, not really anything major.
Quoting belizeit:
3 weeks is a long time if its very dry i thing if the forecast is correct about all this heat then we will soon see severe thunderstorms developing in the Caribbean

I agree. Is he psychic or somethin'? Because the GFS will probably have a totally different situation tomorrow. LMAO. :o)
Quoting Snowlover123:

The GFS has been throwing the storm all over the place today, so I wouldn't be surprised if a TS really does form in the EPAC.
I am hoping for it as it would bring great relief to us our highs tomorrow are 105 and we really could use more rain
Quoting Snowlover123:
Impressive potent La Nina for the hurricane season...



If the SOI continues the way it is, that massive drop in the next few weeks seems likely. Already up to 15.0 wow! El Nino has again started to fall and will plummet in the next week or so.
Quoting clwstmchasr:
Somewhere I heard "2004-like tracking season with 16-20 storms"...Yikes, 2004 was deadlier than 2005, so if that happens..

Way to early to tell where the tracks will go. 2004 did not get really going until August with Charlie. Still many months away.
This season will start much earlier than August. We shouldhave at least 2 or maybe even 3 named storms by the end of June.
full Yazoo City damage assessment and photos on Portlight blog!
1079. hydrus
Quoting belizeit:
3 weeks is a long time if its very dry i thing if the forecast is correct about all this heat then we will soon see severe thunderstorms developing in the Caribbean
I know three weeks is a while. They will get some rain, but not everyday like late spring or early summer.
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
Per Neil Armstrong...Take man back to the moon. Why? Too colonize? When our time ends on our blue marble, it ends.


Imagine if Christopher Columbus returned from the new world and no one returned in his footsteps.
Quoting belizeit:
I am hoping for it as it would bring great relief to us our highs tomorrow are 105 and we really could use more rain

That's why I live in the NE. :) We had around 2 inches of rain today, and it's still coming down...
Sub-surface equatorial waters.

1 week ago:


Today:
Quoting CybrTeddy:


If the SOI continues the way it is, that massive drop in the next few weeks seems likely. Already up to 15.0 wow! El Nino has again started to fall and will plummet in the next week or so.

And then, Buzz Bernard as always will be wrong about his fallicious predictions about "no La Nina."
Quoting Stormchaser2007:
Sub-surface equatorial waters.

1 week ago:


Today:


Pretty substantial increase.
Quoting Stormchaser2007:
Sub-surface equatorial waters.

1 week ago:


Today:

It seems like the cold anomalies are taking over... warm anomalies shrinking away... bye-bye El Nino!
GFS 18z showing a nice area of low pressure in the EPAC with a pressure of 1005 MB. It also has been consistent with it and it has had good time-line progression. This looks interesting...

GFS 18z 102 hours.
1087. hydrus
Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
This season will start much earlier than August. We shouldhave at least 2 or maybe even 3 named storms by the end of June.
I don,t think the Atlantic Basin has ever had 3 named systems in the month of June since they have been keeping records. 2 named storms seems realistic.
Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
GFS 18z showing a nice area of low pressure in the EPAC with a pressure of 1005 MB. It also has been consistent with it and it has had good time-line progression. This looks interesting...

GFS 18z 102 hours.

It definately has. Keep in mind though that this is still 5 days out, and more than likely there's some margin of error.
Quoting hydrus:
I don,t think the Atlantic Basin has ever had 3 named systems in the month of June since they have been keeping records. 2 named storms seems realistic.
well both May and June, I'm sure there will be a named storm in May.
Quoting hydrus:
I don,t think the Atlantic Basin has ever had 3 named systems in the month of June since they have been keeping records. 2 named storms seems realistic.
Quoting hydrus:
I don,t think the Atlantic Basin has ever had 3 named systems in the month of June since they have been keeping records. 2 named storms seems realistic.

Umm... I think there's as much of a probability as 2 storms as 3 storms.
Quoting Snowlover123:

It definately has. Keep in mind though that this is still 5 days out, and more than likely there's some margin of error.
Well, 102 hours does seem realistic, as in it seems possible it will happen. There has been a lot of activity in the EPAC, and you have the MJO wave coming through. I'll give this a 50% chance of becoming an invest, based 100% on the GFS.
An apparent wall cloud just NW of Houston a couple of counties over.
Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
GFS 18z showing a nice area of low pressure in the EPAC with a pressure of 1005 MB. It also has been consistent with it and it has had good time-line progression. This looks interesting...

GFS 18z 102 hours.
It's only not as progressive today because it goes inland sooner then on the previous runs
Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
Well, 102 hours does seem realistic, as in it seems possible it will happen. There has been a lot of activity in the EPAC, and you have the MJO wave coming through. I'll give this a 50% chance of becoming an invest, based 100% on the GFS.

Seems reasonable.
Quoting skepticall2:
An apparent wall cloud just NW of Houston a couple of counties over.

Coolios. I see the cell, but there ar currently no active warnings for the cell.
Taking a direct hit from Frances and Jeanne in 04 is what makes me lurk on this blog daily. It was a life changing event that took out my job and the place I lived on North Hutchinson Island in Fort Pierce. Nothing like seeing an island look like a winter up north with out a leaf on a tree in the middle of summer. Thanks for everybodys great info on this blog and lets hope we don't get the storm tracks we did in 2004.
Quoting belizeit:
I am hoping for it as it would bring great relief to us our highs tomorrow are 105 and we really could use more rain

Hello belizeit as per your handle I'm assuming you're from Belize, my wife is Belizean we have been married now nearly 25 years, on May 27, exactly one month from tomorrow my wife, our 2 sons age 24, 21 and I will be traveling to Belize, this will be my first trip there since we been married, after nearly 25 years its about time to visit :) we'll be gone only a week attending the wedding of her niece and we're hoping to take in some of sites such as the Maya ruins, we'll be staying in Santa Rita Corozal,looking forward to the visit and mini vacation, hope the weather stays nice I know that time of year most tropical systems form around Belize and cause flooding that is what I'm worried most about, looks like its real hot there now too even hotter than here in Grand Cayman.Take care.
Quoting Snowlover123:

Coolios. I see the cell, but there ar currently no active warnings for the cell.


there were some warnings a little bit ago
Well good night everyone.
Quoting tornadodude:


there were some warnings a little bit ago

K. I was watching Operation Repo on TruTv, so I wasn't paying attention to active warnings then...
I think the putative lows that some models are spinning up are interesting, but let's face it. It's way too early. I don't pay attention to models developing tropical systems in the Atlantic basin until after May 15.

Perhaps we will indeed get a tropical system for real like some models are spinning up. It's possible, of course.

But I'll be VERY surprised.
Quoting StSimonsIslandGAGuy:
I think the putative lows that some models are spinning up are interesting, but let's face it. It's way too early. I don't pay attention to models developing tropical systems in the Atlantic basin until after May 15.

Perhaps we will indeed get a tropical system for real like some models are spinning up. It's possible, of course.

But I'll be VERY surprised.

Me too.
1103. hydrus
Quoting Snowlover123:

Umm... I think there's as much of a probability as 2 storms as 3 storms.
I think there is a 1 in 4 chance that the greater Miami area experiences a major hurricane this year.
Quoting Snowlover123:

Coolios. I see the cell, but there ar currently no active warnings for the cell.


Well there was a chaser in it and he said it you really can't see that much at night that is why they are worse but they are headed to me. I doubt anything will come out of it but thought I'd say it just incase something happens. Now the news says severe weather right now.
Oh boy.. it's getting late. I have a busy week ahead, so I have to leave early today and the next 3 days. Ciao for now, I guess...
The reason I say not impossible is
Arlene 1981. It has happened before. But this is the only one I could find in recent years that happened in early May:



And I doubt anything will come of what the models are spinning up now.



Quoting stormpetrol:

Hello belizeit as per your handle I'm assuming you're from Belize, my wife is Belizean we have been married now nearly 25 years, on May 27, exactly one month from tomorrow my wife, our 2 sons age 24, 21 and I will be traveling to Belize, this will be my first trip there since we been married, after nearly 25 years its about time to visit :) we'll be gone only a week attending the wedding of her niece and we're hoping to take in some of sites such as the Maya ruins, we'll be staying in Santa Rita Corozal,looking forward to the visit and mini vacation, hope the weather stays nice I know that time of year most tropical systems form around Belize and cause flooding that is what I'm worried most about, looks like its real hot there now too even hotter than here in Grand Cayman.Take care.
I am from the cayo area were we are used to flash floods but up in the corozal area you usually need a major rain event to get it flooded whitsh does not happen to often but expect it to be very humid at that time of the year
1108. beell
Quoting StSimonsIslandGAGuy:
The reason I say not impossible is
Arlene 1981. It has happened before. But this is the only one I could find in recent years that happened in early May:



And I doubt anything will come of what the models are spinning up now.





I assumed it was W to E on the direction-but I had to check. It was!
Quoting StSimonsIslandGAGuy:
I think the putative lows that some models are spinning up are interesting, but let's face it. It's way too early. I don't pay attention to models developing tropical systems in the Atlantic basin until after May 15.

Perhaps we will indeed get a tropical system for real like some models are spinning up. It's possible, of course.

But I'll be VERY surprised.
Could you tell me when the water temperature has been so hot the last time this early in the year and could you also check the wind shear
some how I think that the models will keep on moving the system eastward into the caribbean
Link
When were this early in the year there are not enough storms to indicate a pattern of likely formation spots so it is possible for the Central American blob to develop in the Gulf, I highly doubt it though. I expect something in May though.
Severe Thunderstorm Warning

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
TXC477-270300-
/O.NEW.KHGX.SV.W.0019.100427T0210Z-100427T0300Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
910 PM CDT MON APR 26 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL WASHINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...

* UNTIL 1000 PM CDT

* AT 903 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR LAKE SOMERVILLE
DAM...OR 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF BRENHAM...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT
30 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT
LIMITED TO QUARRY AND INDEPENDENCE..

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STRONG WINDS MAY KNOCK DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES OR DAMAGE
BUILDINGS. TAKE COVER NOW!

&&

PLEASE REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE COUNTY SHERIFF...LOCAL POLICE...
OR DEPARTMENT OF PUBLIC SAFETY AND ASK THEM TO RELAY YOUR REPORT TO
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3030 9664 3037 9636 3024 9617 3008 9648
TIME...MOT...LOC 0209Z 314DEG 37KT 3022 9641

$$







1113. Levi32
The whole pattern favors the East Pacific right now. The position of the upper high is more conducive to development in the EPAC rather than the Caribbean, and the reason this all started was because of the Kelvin Wave and MJO upward-motion pulse coming across the Pacific at the same time. The MJO will affect the Caribbean, but the Kelvin Wave will not, and it is the Kelvin Wave that is causing the convergence right now over the east Pacific. Remember Friday night? There was nothing out there, and then the next morning out of nowhere there was deep convection SW of Panama, because the Kelvin Wave arrived overnight. This convergence will only occur over the Pacific, and the only bleeding into the Caribbean will be within about 100 miles of Panama's north shore, and that's it.

The only way I see to get Caribbean mischief is for an organized tropical low to get going in the Pacific, and then get pulled northward by the southerly flow coming in 3-4 days, similar to Arthur in 2008. Like I've said before, most May mischief in the Caribbean has to come, at least in part, from the eastern Pacific. It's hard for the Caribbean to do it alone, especially in the early half of the month.
Wow everyone left its like a ghost town in here Hello theres an echo.
Quoting StSimonsIslandGAGuy:
I think the putative lows that some models are spinning up are interesting, but let's face it. It's way too early. I don't pay attention to models developing tropical systems in the Atlantic basin until after May 15.

Perhaps we will indeed get a tropical system for real like some models are spinning up. It's possible, of course.

But I'll be VERY surprised.


It's not so unlikely for the Pacific, at the very least.
Hey koritheman!
Did you guys know that Disney stays open for most hurricanes? That in my opinion is just pure negligence, putting peoples lives in danger is not a good thing. And with a upcoming active Florida season, I worry.
Yes i did mrstormx i worry too i dont think they remember charley even inland hurricanes are dangerous and disney should close if a hurricane is projected to landfall and hit or come close to the area.
Quoting alexhurricane1991:
Yes i did mrstormx i worry too i dont think they remember charley even inland hurricanes are dangerous and disney should close if a hurricane is projected to landfall and hit or come close to the area.


Yes I concur, when Charley came in the "closed the park" but in the hotel areas they allowed people to swim in the pool during the cane, outrageous. During TS Fay (Which was borderline hurricane) they did parades in 60 mph wind and torrential downpours. Hurricane Katrina saw no closure what so ever, Jeanne did not faze them either. Wow
Sean has been struggling but looks down right odd at the moment.

1122. hydrus
Quoting alexhurricane1991:
Yes i did mrstormx i worry too i dont think they remember charley even inland hurricanes are dangerous and disney should close if a hurricane is projected to landfall and hit or come close to the area.
I do believe Disney World closed for Charley.
Quoting hydrus:
I do believe Disney World closed for Charley.


Yes, but as I said they kept running the trams and allowed outdoor swimming as the storm was starting to affect them.
Yeah youre right hydrus just looked it up they did close thanks for reminding me.
1125. hydrus
Quoting Skyepony:
Sean has been struggling but looks down right odd at the moment.

It looks like Sean was run over by a car. I can see the tire tracks. ;)
1126. hydrus
Quoting MrstormX:


Yes, but as I said they kept running the trams and allowed outdoor swimming as the storm was starting to affect them.
That is irresponsible to say the least. But if there is ever a law suit, they can afford the best legal defense money can buy. So they might not be too worried about it.
Thats a tropical system skyepony? looks like a mess it looks like shaun got a buzzcut circulation exposed.
1128. xcool

Gulf is warming up fast




Alright guys see you tomorrow
Quoting alexhurricane1991:
Hey koritheman!


Good evening!
hello anyone here
Quoting hydrus:
It looks like Sean was run over by a car. I can see the tire tracks. ;)

Sean has been left exposed after being run over by a truck called "shear".
All this talk of met schools and no one mentions A&M? Been running at least a medium sized met program, relative to others, since 1965.
I can see I'll need to peek in more often to keep things honest. (Really, though, not one where there is a heavy tropical lean.)

And how the heck did no one mention Wisconsin? Or Washington? Those two are among the best, if not holding the title of the 2 best, met schools. (apologies if I just missed them)
Quoting MrstormX:


Yes I concur, when Charley came in the "closed the park" but in the hotel areas they allowed people to swim in the pool during the cane, outrageous. During TS Fay (Which was borderline hurricane) they did parades in 60 mph wind and torrential downpours. Hurricane Katrina saw no closure what so ever, Jeanne did not faze them either. Wow


Well Katrina didn't really hurt Orlando at all so I would be very ok to letting a park stay open.
Quoting atmoaggie:
All this talk of met schools and no one mentions A&M? Been running at least a medium sized met program, relative to others, since 1965.
I can see I'll need to peek in more often to keep things honest. (Really, though, not one where there is a heavy tropical lean.)

And how the heck did no one mention Wisconsin? Or Washington? Those two are among the best, if not holding the title of the 2
best, met schools. (apologies if I just missed them)

I was predominately focusing on tropical weather schools, but yes agree. What are your opinions on Penn State? If you've read what Ive heard, does that seem accurate?
1136. hydrus
Quoting AussieStorm:

Sean has been left exposed after being run over by a truck called "shear".
Shear does put an end to a tropical cyclone in hurry. Hope you are doing well Aussie.:)
1137. pottery
Heh!
It's 3:00 am and coming down bucket-a-drop here.
Have to fly to Tobago at 8:00, so I hope this eases off by then.
Water tanks and cisterns are loving this treatment!
Damage survey reveals macroburst with EF2 wind speeds in East Prairie, MO

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
737 PM CDT MON APR 26 2010

...DAMAGE SURVEY RESULTS FOR EAST PRAIRIE AREA OF MISSISSIPPI AND
NEW MADRID COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...

THE FOLLOWING IS THE PRELIMINARY DAMAGE ASSESSMENT FOR THE MACROBURST
IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI.

* EVENT DATE - SATURDAY APRIL 24 2010

* EVENT TIME - 125 TO 137 PM CDT

* EVENT TYPE - DOWNBURST /MACROBURST/

* EVENT LOCATION - 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF EAST PRAIRIE TO 3 MILES
NORTHEAST OF EAST PRAIRIE

* PEAK WIND - 120 MPH

* AVERAGE PATH WIDTH - 3 MILES

* PATH LENGTH - 8 MILES

* INJURIES - 1 MINOR

* FATALITIES - NONE

* DISCUSSION/DAMAGE - HIGHEST CONCENTRATION OF DAMAGE WAS IN EAST
PRAIRIE. ON COUNTY ROAD 535 ON THE OUTSKIRTS OF EAST
PRAIRIE...TWO MOBILE HOMES WERE DEMOLISHED. A SINGLE WIDE MOBILE
HOME WAS COMPLETELY SEPARATED FROM THE FRAME...WHICH WAS BLOWN
100 YARDS UNTIL IT STRUCK A BRICK HOUSE. THE SOLE OCCUPANT OF
THE MOBILE HOME WAS A YOUNG ADULT WHO RECEIVED ONLY NUMEROUS
ABRASIONS. A SECOND SINGLE WIDE MOBILE HOME WAS BLOWN A VERY
SHORT DISTANCE INTO TREES. A NEARBY HOUSE LOST MOST OF THE ROOF
AND A LARGE SECTION OF THE WINDWARD FACING EXTERIOR WALL.

OFF STATE ROAD OO IN NEARBY NEW MADRID COUNTY...A HOUSE UNDER
CONSTRUCTION LOST SOME WALLS AND THE ROOF. IN THE CITY OF EAST
PRAIRIE...THREE INDUSTRIAL BUILDINGS WERE HEAVILY DAMAGED OR
DESTROYED, ALONG WITH DAMAGE TO THE ROOF OF THE EAST PRAIRIE
POLICE DEPARTMENT. NUMEROUS TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN IN AND NEAR
EAST PRAIRIE...SOME DAMAGING HOMES. SEVERAL FARM BUILDINGS
RECEIVED MINOR TO MAJOR DAMAGE SOUTHWEST OF EAST PRAIRIE.

THE PEAK WIND OF 120 MPH...EQUIVALENT TO AN EF2 TORNADO...WAS
SUPPORTED BY DAMAGE TO SEVERAL STRUCTURES INCLUDING INDUSTRIAL
BUILDINGS IN EAST PRAIRIE AND HOMES WEST AND SOUTHWEST OF EAST
PRAIRIE. THIS WAS ONE OF THE STRONGEST DOWNBURSTS EVER
DOCUMENTED IN OUR REGION.

SURVEYORS...SHANKLIN/ YORK




howdy pottery!
Quoting atmoaggie:
All this talk of met schools and no one mentions A&M? Been running at least a medium sized met program, relative to others, since 1965.
I can see I'll need to peek in more often to keep things honest. (Really, though, not one where there is a heavy tropical lean.)

And how the heck did no one mention Wisconsin? Or Washington? Those two are among the best, if not holding the title of the 2 best, met schools. (apologies if I just missed them)

Agreed, I'm currently enrolled in met school at Texas A&M University, and it's a really good one, especially the faculty.
1140. pottery
Hey Dude.
The rain just stopped, like someone turned the tap off.
I'm going back to bed.......
Quoting pottery:
Hey Dude.
The rain just stopped, like someone turned the tap off.
I'm going back to bed.......


well glad you can sleep!

have a good one (:
Quoting 1900hurricane:

Agreed, I'm currently enrolled in met school at Texas A&M University, and it's a really good one, especially the faculty.


figures, only us college students up this late haha have a good one man
Quoting tornadodude:


figures, only us college students up this late haha have a good one man
good morning i got accepted at Aand M but choose to go to unm and 35-40 yrs later stull happy i did. why? great snow skiing.a epac system is more likely than a carib. closer to their season
Joint Typhoon Warning Center
Tropical Disturbance Summary
7:30 AM UTC April 27 2010
===========================================

An area of convection (90W) located at 8.9N 120.2E or 160 NM northwest of Zamboanga, Philippines. Animated multispectral satellite imagery and a 0539z AMSU-B Microwave image shows curved convection around a weak low level circulation center, which has recently moved over warm water in the Sulu sea. Upper level analysis shows the system is located beneath the near equatorial ridge axis in an area of low vertical wind shear.

Maximum sustained winds near the center is 15-20 knots with a minimum sea level pressure of 1009 MB. Due to high sea surface temperatures and improved convective organization, the potential for this disturbance to form into a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is UPGRADED TO FAIR.
1145. pottery
'mornin'.
It poured down here on and off late last night and early morning.
Measured 4.60" at my location!!
Will need to go back into my records to see when we last had a 4" day. Been a while for sure.
Hello, everyone. To start off, it looks like on this SST map, that the loop current is WAY above average...

Good morning. The Aussies have El Nino 3.4 at 0.6C.

1148. DDR
Quoting pottery:
'mornin'.
It poured down here on and off late last night and early morning.
Measured 4.60" at my location!!
Will need to go back into my records to see when we last had a 4" day. Been a while for sure.

Hey pottery
Wow! thats alot of rain,this morning we got our first decent shower of the year,18mm of rain.Hows the calabash tree?
1149. STXpat
St.croix:plenty showers mid-island,but on the north shore,cisterns dry.dangerous to pray for rain this time o' year.Congrats Pott. !
1150. IKE
Welcome to summer...right on cue.....

Saturday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70.

Sunday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 90.

Sunday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68.

Monday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 91.
Hey guys guess what today is it my birthday
1152. IKE
Quoting wunderkidcayman:
Hey guys guess what today is it my birthday


Quoting wunderkidcayman:
Hey guys guess what today is it my birthday

Happy Birthday wkc, enjoy, don't party too hard :) and stay safe!!
1154. aquak9
Good Morning WU-Bloggers. Bright sunny and DRY here in northeast Florida.

ok, I think I got the ENSO thing figured out:

ElNino- we're pretty safe.
Neutral- Lotsa storms but no one knows where they will go
LaNina- lotsa storms and they head more west.

So since it's not ElNino anymore....
Happy Birthday Wunderkidc and many more!
Were going into the wet season with Lake Okeechobee at a level at 15.04'! I don't ever remember it being this high in Late April then again I'm 31 yr. old..
1157. Patrap
happy birthday kid no shortage of water but the officials can still ticket anyone for watering?
1159. Patrap
Portlight volunteer kitchengypsy went to Yazoo City ,Miss Sunday and filed the Situation report below..

Quoting KitchenGypsy:
Yazoo City, MS Tornado damage assessment, 4/25/10



The southern end of Yazoo City along MS 49 is devastated. Immediately south of town lie the remains of a church, all that is left are three crosses, and even those are leaning. Moving north on 49, the command center and staging areas are housed in the parking lots of shopping centers that have been reduced to piles of rubble. Cell phone service is not available within city limits, further complicating an already difficult relief effort.

Downed power lines and fallen trees block almost every road except route 49. To the west, damage is less apparent, but heading east, the swath the winds cut through the trees is clearly evident. Roads are blocked in all directions except north at the city limit on 49, with only residents and utility crews allowed east. In town, several businesses off 49 have damage that appears to be from gusts, but the historic downtown section appears to be unharmed.

West, along old highway 3, the destruction is more random, with many pockets of severe damage, but also many homes left untouched. Trees were stripped of bark and snapped in half, pieces of tin roofs wrapped around limbs and trunks, and yet less than a quarter miles away, the scenery was pristine. Our assessment team saw many groups of neighbors working together to clear damaged property. East of Yazoo City is sparsely populated residential areas. The damage is hard to see from the few passable roads, but broken limbs and bents trees are in abundance.

Yazoo City is the staging area and incident command center for the entire disaster. We spoke with city officials and learned that there is no immediate need for durable medical equipment. By our count, there were at least 5 mobile serving units set up. At least 3 of these are local groups serving at the staging area, with a focus on relief personnel. The Salvation Army and Red Cross are staged nearby, and are also delivering meals out to the residential areas. The Salvation Army is serving 2 full meals per day, with snacks and cold drinks in between. They report approximately 800 meals served Sunday, and expect the numbers to rise slightly over the next day or so. At this time they have no need of additional volunteers.

At this time, Portlight has decided not to deploy an emergency feeding unit to Yazoo City. We base this decision on 3 factors:

1) Scope. Although the scenes of devastation are terrible, by our estimate, more than half the city is relatively unharmed. With several restaurants, gas stations and other services open for business in such close proximity to the command center, we have faith that continuity of operations will soon be established for the whole city.

2) Current efforts: All current relief teams, with special emphasis on the Red Cross and Salvation Army, are doing an excellent job of handling the situation. They have taken pains to ensure food distribution across the affected areas, and we have confidence that they are truly the best organizations for this type of situation.

3) Anticipated Need / Speed of Recovery: although the extent of the damage will most likely require outside work crews, we saw very encouraging signs of progress. Work crews were active at almost every damaged site, which is highly impressive for less than 24 hours after the storm. Even when volunteer crews are brought in, we anticipate their needs being more than adequately met by the existing local churches, who have already started feeding work crews and rescue personnel. In addition to the Red Cross and Salvation Army, Portlight extends our appreciation to all members of this exemplary community response.



Your continued generosity to Portlights general relief fund allows us to continue our mission of serving the underserved. Although we may not be responding to the Yazoo City tornado at this time, we appreciate your support for our future efforts.
Absolutely Amazing Volcano Pictures

Amazing Eyjafjallajokull Pictures
1162. Patrap



NASA's Global Hawk Completes 28-hour GloPac Science Flight


04.26.10

NASA's Global Hawk and its array of science instruments are being monitored and controlled by pilots and scientists from the Global Hawk Operations Center at NASA DrydenNASA's Global Hawk and its array of science instruments are being monitored and controlled by pilots and scientists from the Global Hawk Operations Center at NASA Dryden. Although its flight path is pre-programmed, human pilots can override and re-program the flight control computers at any time if needed. (NASA Photo) NASA's Global Hawk completed its longest flight to date April 24, touching down shortly before 5 a.m. PDT at Edwards Air Force Base in Southern California after a 28-hour and 36-minute flight to the Arctic.

The high-altitude, autonomously operated aircraft flew two atmospheric data-collection passes at 85 degrees north latitude, about 340 miles from the North Pole, during the flight. That latitude is the farthest north any Global Hawk – civil or military – has ever flown. The Global Hawk cruised at altitudes up to 65,100 feet while its sensors recorded atmospheric data during the mission, well above all other air traffic.

Packed with 11 atmospheric monitoring instruments, the Global Hawk had taken off from Edwards at 12:13 a.m. April 23 and landed at 4:48 a.m. the following morning. The flight was the third data-collection flight and the fourth overall in the NASA-NOAA 2010 Global Hawk Pacific (GloPac) environmental science mission. The first flight in the series April 2 was devoted to a checkout of aircraft systems and science instruments.

Mission managers are hopeful that a final long-duration flight can occur prior to May 1, the date the mission is due to conclude.

NOAA's latest update from lastnight..

Deepwater Horizon Incident, Gulf of Mexico

Updated each evening
Situation: Monday 26 April

While Remotely Operated Vehicles (ROVs) continue to work on triggering the blowout preventer (a series of valves that sits at the well head) to contain the leak, other rigs are en route in case relief wells are needed. An underwater oil collection device that would trap escaping oil near the seafloor and funnel it for collection is being designed and fabricated. Collection devices have been used successfully in shallower water but never at this depth (approx. 5000ft). Efforts are now focused on: gathering more information about the spill (amount, fate and effects), plans for possible undersea containment, drilling relief wells, maximizing oil recovery and readying for shoreline assessments. Natural resource damage assessment (NRDA) activities are now underway. The plan for attacking the spill has the following elements:

* Try to activate the blow-out preventer (BOP) using ROVs – could stop leaks in several days, if successful
* Use an undersea dome to contain leaking oil, rigged by ROVs – has not been tried this deep before
* Drill relief wells which could then be plugged - this process could take several months
* Aggressive skimming and dispersing of oil on the surface – ongoing
* Assessment and protection of coastal resources at risk - thousands of feet of oil containment and deflection boom are ready to deploy, experts are on-scene and en route

Aerial observers did not see whales or dolphins today, but marine mammal issues are very much a concern for the Unified Command. NOAA’s National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS) will provide data, plan surveys, and offer protocols. This year has seen a marked increase in natural strandings of marine mammals in the Gulf of Mexico which will make oil impacts more difficult to assess.

Weather forecasts from NOAA’s National Weather service indicate winds from the north – which helps keep oil away from shoreline - until Wednesday with a shift to the southeast thereafter.

Aircraft applied more oil dispersant today, but 15-20 kt winds and 4-6’ seas made oil recovery on the surface more difficult.

The latest NOAA oil-spill trajectory analyses do not indicate oil coming to shore over the next 3 days; this assumes that the rate of oil release does not increase and that the weather remains as forecast.
Good morning everyone!
Quoting Skyepony:
NOAA's latest update from lastnight..

Deepwater Horizon Incident, Gulf of Mexico

Updated each evening
Situation: Monday 26 April

While Remotely Operated Vehicles (ROVs) continue to work on triggering the blowout preventer (a series of valves that sits at the well head) to contain the leak, other rigs are en route in case relief wells are needed. An underwater oil collection device that would trap escaping oil near the seafloor and funnel it for collection is being designed and fabricated. Collection devices have been used successfully in shallower water but never at this depth (approx. 5000ft). Efforts are now focused on: gathering more information about the spill (amount, fate and effects), plans for possible undersea containment, drilling relief wells, maximizing oil recovery and readying for shoreline assessments. Natural resource damage assessment (NRDA) activities are now underway. The plan for attacking the spill has the following elements:

* Try to activate the blow-out preventer (BOP) using ROVs – could stop leaks in several days, if successful
* Use an undersea dome to contain leaking oil, rigged by ROVs – has not been tried this deep before
* Drill relief wells which could then be plugged - this process could take several months
* Aggressive skimming and dispersing of oil on the surface – ongoing
* Assessment and protection of coastal resources at risk - thousands of feet of oil containment and deflection boom are ready to deploy, experts are on-scene and en route

Aerial observers did not see whales or dolphins today, but marine mammal issues are very much a concern for the Unified Command. NOAA’s National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS) will provide data, plan surveys, and offer protocols. This year has seen a marked increase in natural strandings of marine mammals in the Gulf of Mexico which will make oil impacts more difficult to assess.

Weather forecasts from NOAA’s National Weather service indicate winds from the north – which helps keep oil away from shoreline - until Wednesday with a shift to the southeast thereafter.

Aircraft applied more oil dispersant today, but 15-20 kt winds and 4-6’ seas made oil recovery on the surface more difficult.

The latest NOAA oil-spill trajectory analyses do not indicate oil coming to shore over the next 3 days; this assumes that the rate of oil release does not increase and that the weather remains as forecast.


There's also a new issue today with currents in the area have shifted to the south, basically making a bee line for the loop current.

But the wind is still the main driving force.
Hello.

Yesterday I mentioned some "waves" that were poised to exit the west coast of Africa.

Levi said it looked like just daytime convection to him.

Well...here we are today and those blobs did exit the coast and are still around today...now in the Atlantic.

What shall we call them today? :)
Here is the oil slick forecast map for today. Had no idea about the explosive dumping areas out there..
Quoting CycloneOz:
Hello.

Yesterday I mentioned some "waves" that were poised to exit the west coast of Africa.

Levi said it looked like just daytime convection to him.

Well...here we are today and those blobs did exit the coast and are still around today...now in the Atlantic.

What shall we call them today? :)


The little blobs that could...
Quoting Skyepony:
Here is the oil slick forecast map for today. Had no idea about the explosive dumping areas out there..


Most of you know that I'm against the politicization of GW...

But having said that...we must stop screwing up our oceans.

We must continue to search for oil offshore, but we should develop more robust technologies that will automatically seal off the well should another catastrophe like this occur.

And for goodness sake, we need to stop treating the ocean like a giant landfill!
Quoting StormChaser81:


The little blobs that could...


Those areas of convection are right in the "sweet spot!"

Will they develop into a tropical system soon?
The near surface temps from satellite continue to set a whole new precedence for warmth..
Quoting StormChaser81:


The little blobs that could...


Why the January 2006 pic? :D
1173. beell
Quoting CycloneOz:
Hello.

Yesterday I mentioned some "waves" that were poised to exit the west coast of Africa.

Levi said it looked like just daytime convection to him.

Well...here we are today and those blobs did exit the coast and are still around today...now in the Atlantic.

What shall we call them today? :)


The ITCZ
Quoting pottery:
Hey Dude.
The rain just stopped, like someone turned the tap off.
I'm going back to bed.......

Your Calabash Tree has more rain coming over the next few days :o), hope you slept well!!
Quoting CycloneOz:


Why the January 2006 pic? :D


Really weird I guess the Interactive Goes Africa region is not working or they havnt turned it on for hurricane season. I didnt even notice the date, because its usually works fine.

Here check it out.
Link
Oz~ as long as we pull oil from the ocean floor or even just transport it by boat we are going to continue spilling it everywhere. Even platforms in shallow waters with strict regulation isn't going to stop a hurricane or drunk/sleeping barge operator from dumping it in the sea.
Gulf is warming nicely...



1. I'm seeing 80 degrees in the loop current now.
2. 83 degree water entering the loop current through Cuba and Yucatan Pens.
3. 84 degrees in the middle of the Caribbean.
4. 70's along the GOM shores.
Quoting beell:


The ITCZ
Beell, how high is the wind shear over that area?
1179. IKE
Anyone believe it?

12Z NAM @ 60 hours....

1180. IKE
NEW BLOG!
1181. hydrus
Quoting IKE:
Anyone believe it?

12Z NAM @ 60 hours....

I do believe it IKE. Maybe not the timing though.
Quoting hydrus:
Shear does put an end to a tropical cyclone in hurry. Hope you are doing well Aussie.:)

I'm doing well.
1183. hydrus
Quoting Jeff9641:
Were going into the wet season with Lake Okeechobee at a level at 15.04'! I don't ever remember it being this high in Late April then again I'm 31 yr. old..
Man you old! jk...You can look up Lake O,s past record levels. That is pretty high for April.
1184. hydrus
Quoting wunderkidcayman:
Hey guys guess what today is it my birthday
HAPPY BIRTHDAY! Maybe now you will get some rain....:)
Quoting CycloneOz:


Most of you know that I'm against the politicization of GW...

But having said that...we must stop screwing up our oceans.

We must continue to search for oil offshore, but we should develop more robust technologies that will automatically seal off the well should another catastrophe like this occur.

And for goodness sake, we need to stop treating the ocean like a giant landfill!


Amen brother Brian!!!