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Top Ten U.S. Weather Events of 2012

By: Dr. Jeff Masters, 5:04 AM GMT on December 21, 2012

It was another year of incredible weather extremes unparalleled in American history during 2012. Eleven billion-dollar weather disasters hit the U.S., a figure exceeded only by the fourteen such disasters during the equally insane weather year of 2011. I present for you now the top ten weather stories of 2012, chosen for their meteorological significance and human and economic impact.

Video 1. Hour-by-hour animation of infrared satellite images for 2012. The loop goes in slow-motion to feature such events as Hurricane Sandy, the June Derecho, Summer in March, and other top weather events of 2012. The date stamp is at lower left; you will want to make the animation full screen to see the date. Special thanks to wunderground's Deb Mitchell for putting this together!

1) Superstorm Sandy
Hurricane Sandy was truly astounding in its size and power. At its peak size, twenty hours before landfall, Sandy had tropical storm-force winds that covered an area nearly one-fifth the area of the contiguous United States. Sandy's area of ocean with twelve-foot seas peaked at 1.4 million square miles--nearly one-half the area of the contiguous United States, or 1% of Earth's total ocean area. Most incredibly, ten hours before landfall (9:30 am EDT October 29), the total energy of Sandy's winds of tropical storm-force and higher peaked at 329 terajoules--the highest value for any Atlantic hurricane since at least 1969, and equivalent to five Hiroshima-sized atomic bombs. At landfall, Sandy's tropical storm-force winds spanned 943 miles of the the U.S. coast. No hurricane on record has been larger. Sandy's huge size prompted high wind warnings to be posted from Chicago to Eastern Maine, and from Michigan's Upper Peninsula to Florida's Lake Okeechobee--an area home to 120 million people. Sandy's winds simultaneously caused damage to buildings on the shores of Lake Michigan at Indiana Dunes National Lake Shore, and toppled power lines in Nova Scotia, Canada--locations 1200 miles apart! Sandy made landfall near Atlantic City, NJ on October 29, with sustained winds of 80 mph and a central minimum pressure of 946 mb--the lowest pressure on record along the Northeast coast. The Battery, in New York City Harbor, had an observed water level of 13.88 feet, besting the previous record set by Hurricane Donna in 1960 by 3 feet. Sandy also brought torrential rainfall to the Mid-Atlantic, with over 12 inches of rain observed in parts of Maryland. In addition, Sandy generated blizzard conditions for the central and southern Appalachians with more than a foot of snow falling in six states from North Carolina to Pennsylvania, shattering October snow records. Over 130 fatalities were reported and over 8.5 million customers lost power--the second largest weather-related power outage in U.S. history, behind the 10 million that lost power during the Blizzard of 1993. Damage from Sandy is estimated at $62 billion.


Figure 1. Cabs lie flooded on October 30, 2012, in Hoboken, NJ, in the wake of Hurricane Sandy. AP photo: Charles Sykes.

2) Warmest Year on Record
Spring, March, July, and the annual temperature were all warmest on record in the contiguous U.S. July was the warmest month of any month in the 1,400+ months of the U.S. data record, going back to 1895. The spring temperature departure from average was the largest on record for any season, and March temperatures had the second largest warm departure from average of any month in U.S. history. All-time hottest temperature records were set over approximately 7% of the area of the contiguous U.S., according to a database of 298 major U.S. cities maintained by wunderground's weather historian, Christopher C. Burt. Given the very warm December temperatures so far, the final 2012 annual temperature is likely to break the previous warmest year on record (1998) by at least 0.7°F--a colossal margin to break an annual record by. It is likely that 15 states will end up with their warmest year on record in 2012, and 42 states will have a top-ten warmest year.


Figure 2. One of 2012's incredibly hot days: high temperatures on August 1 in Oklahoma from the Oklahoma Mesonet. It was the hottest day in Oklahoma since August 1936, with more than half of the state recording temperatures of 110° or higher. Oklahoma City hit 112°, tied for the city's 3nd highest temperature since record keeping began in 1890. The only hotter days occurred two days later--on August 3, 2012--and back on August 11, 1936 (113°.)

3) The Great Drought of 2012
The Great U.S. Drought of 2012 may well turn out to be the biggest weather story of 2012, since its full impacts have not yet been realized. The area of the contiguous U.S. in moderate or greater drought peaked at 61.8% in July--the largest such area since the Dust Bowl drought of December 1939. The heat and dryness resulted in record or near-record evaporation rates, causing major impact on corn, soybean and wheat belts in addition to livestock production. Drought upstream of the Lower Mississippi River caused record and near-record low stream flows along the river in Mississippi and Louisiana, resulting in limited river transportation and commerce. Crop damages alone from the great drought are estimated at $35 billion. As the total scope of losses is realized across all lines of business in coming months, this number will climb significantly.


Figure 3. Corn in Colby, Kansas withers in the Great Drought of 2012 on May 27. Image credit: Wunderphotographer treeman.

4) Wildfire Season of 2012
The 2012 U.S. fire season was the 3rd worst in U.S. history, with 9.2 million acres burned--an area larger than the state of Maryland. Since the National Interagency Fire Center began keeping records in 1960, only two years have seen more area burned--2006, when 9.9 million acres burned, and 2007, when 9.3 million acres burned. New Mexico had its largest fire in state history, Colorado its most destructive and 2nd largest in state history, and Oregon had its largest fire since the 1860s. More than 3.6 million acres burned in the U.S. during August--the most on record for any August in recorded history.


Figure 4. Wunderphoto of Whitewater-Baldy Complex Fire of 2012, the largest fire in New Mexico history. Wunderphoto submitted by AZMountaineer21.

5) March 2 - 3 Tornado Outbreak
A massive tornado outbreak of stunning violence swept through the nation's midsection March 2 - 3, spawning deadly tornadoes that killed 41 people. Hardest hit were Kentucky and Southern Indiana, which suffered 22 and 13 dead, respectively. The scale of the outbreak was exceptional, with 70 tornadoes touching down in eleven states, from southern Ohio to southern Georgia. At one point, 31 separate tornado warnings were in effect during the outbreak. An area larger than Nebraska--81,000 square miles--received tornado warnings, and tornado watches were posted for 300,000 square miles--an area larger than Texas. The outbreak spawned two EF-4 tornadoes, one which devastated Henryville, Indiana, and another that plowed through Crittenden, Kentucky. Total damage was estimated at $4 billion.


Figure 5. A school bus mangled by the EF-4 Henryville, Indiana tornado of March 2, 2012. Image credit: NWS Louisville, Kentucky.

6) June 29 Multi-State Derecho
A violent line of organized severe thunderstorms called a derecho swept across the U.S. from Illinois to Virginia on June 29, damaging houses, toppling trees, bringing down power lines. The storms killed 22 people, and left at least 3.4 million customers without power. The thunderstorms in a derecho (from the Spanish phrase for "straight ahead") create violent winds that blow in a straight line. The derecho was unusually intense due to extreme heat that set all-time records at ten major cities on the south side of the derecho. This heat helped create an unstable atmosphere with plenty of energy to fuel severe thunderstorms. At least 38 thunderstorms in the derecho generated wind gusts in excess of hurricane force, making the derecho one of the most severe derechoes on record. Total damage was estimated at $3.75 billion.


Figure 6. Turbulent clouds gather over Mettawa, Illinois on June 29, 2012, as the historic 2012 derecho begins to organize. Image credit: Wunderphotographer LarrySmit.

7) Hurricane Isaac
Hurricane Isaac slowly lumbered ashore near the mouth of the Mississippi River on August 28 as a Category 1 Hurricane with 80 mph winds. Isaac's large size and slow motion caused a storm surge more characteristic of a Category 2 hurricane--up to eleven feet--but New Orleans' new $14.5 billion levee upgrade held against Isaac's surge. The surge moved up the Mississippi River in Plaquemines Parish near Port Sulphur, causing overtopping of the levees and flooding of homes in the mandatory evacuation areas behind the levees. These levees were not part of the $14.5 billion levee upgrade. Isaac brought torrential rainfall, with more than twenty inches observed in some areas of New Orleans. Isaac also provided some drought relief to the Lower Mississippi and Ohio Valleys. Isaac dumped up to 18" of rain in Florida, and disrupted the 2012 Republican Convention in Tampa. Isaac did $2 billion in damage.


Figure 7. Tropical Storm Isaac on August 28, a few hours before it intensified into a hurricane.

8) The Non-Winter of 2011-2012
"Flowers are sprouting in January in New Hampshire, the Sierra Mountains in California are nearly snow-free, and lakes in much of Michigan still have not frozen. It's 2012, and the new year is ringing in another ridiculously wacky winter for the U.S. In Fargo, North Dakota yesterday, the mercury soared to 55°F, breaking a 1908 record for warmest January day in recorded history. More than 99% of North Dakota had no snow on the ground this morning, and over 95% of the country that normally has snow at this time of year had below-average snow cover." That was the opening of my January 6, 2012 blog post, called "Remarkably dry and warm winter due to record extreme jet stream configuration." The contiguous U.S. saw its 3rd lowest snow cover on record during both winter and spring, and the winter of 2011 - 2012 was the 4th warmest and 24th driest winter in U.S. history, going back to 1895. A primary cause of this warm and snowless winter was the most extreme configuration of the jet stream ever recorded, as measured by the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). The NAO index was +2.52 in December 2011, which was the most extreme difference in pressure between Iceland and the Azores ever observed in December (records of the NAO go back to 1865.) The positive NAO conditions caused the Icelandic Low to draw a strong south-westerly flow of air over eastern North America, preventing Arctic air from plunging southward over the U.S.


Figure 8. Flowers sprouting on January 1, 2012 in Keene, New Hampshire, thanks to unusually warm December temperatures and lack of snow. Image credit: Wunderphotographer lovne32.


9) April 30 - May 1 Severe Weather Outbreak
A severe weather outbreak in the Ohio Valley April 30 - May 1 caused 38 tornadoes and $4 billion in damage.

10) Late-Spring Freeze: Northeast/Midwest
After the record-warm "Summer in March" weather in the Great Lakes and Northeast, an April freeze damaged crops across the region. New York's fruit production was the lowest since 1948, and it was the worst fruit season for Michigan since 1945. Damage in Michigan alone was estimated at $500 million.



Honorable Mentions (text courtesy of NOAA's National Climatic Data Center, with damage estimates from AON Benfield):

Severe Weather Outbreak (May):
A strong cold front moving through the country on May 25 - 30 spawned 27 tornadoes from Texas to the Northeast. Damage was estimated at $2.5 billion, much of it from hail.

Severe Weather Outbreak (April):
A tornado outbreak on April 13 - 14 in the Plains spawned 98 tornadoes and caused at least 6 fatalities. Damage was estimated at $1.75 billion.

Severe Weather Outbreak (June):
Several days of severe storms across the Southwest spawned 25 tornadoes from June 6 - 12. Significant hail damage occurred across the Rocky Mountain Front Range, with total damage estimated at $1.75 billion.

Tropical Storm Debby/Wet Florida (June):
Heavy rains from Tropical Storm Debby in early June caused damage estimated at $310 million, but Debby's rains helped break a drought in Northern Florida. Florida had its wettest summer on record, partially due to Debby.

Duluth Flooding (June):
Training thunderstorms caused record flooding in and around Duluth Minnesota on June 20, with over 8 inches of rainfall observed in 24 hours in parts of the city. Two rivers in the Duluth area, the Nemadji and St. Louis, reported their highest flood heights on record. Damage was estimated at $175 million.

Pacific Northwest Winter Storm (January):
A massive winter storm impacted the Pacific Northwest on January 18 - 23. Huge amounts of rain and snow fell, and hurricane-force wind gusts knocked out power to 250,000 customers. Damage was estimated at $100 million.

Hawaiian Hail Storm (March):
On March 9, a cut-off low pressure system impacted the Hawaiian Islands, bringing heavy rainfall and severe thunderstorms. A rare EF-0 tornado hit the towns of Lanikai and Kailua on Oahu, causing minor damage. Another storm dropped a hailstone measuring 4.25 inches long, 2.25 inches tall, and 2 inches wide--the largest hailstone on record for Hawaii. Damage from the storms was estimated at $37 million.

Near-Record Low Great Lakes Levels (by end of 2012):
Record warm temperatures throughout 2012 combined with low precipitation and low winter ice cover created high evaporation rates across the Great Lakes. In December, Lakes Michigan and Huron had fallen to within inches of the all-time record low lake levels set back in 1964. Low lake levels have a significant impact on recreational and commercial boating as well as tourism.

Slow Tornado Year (annual):
Despite an active March, 2012 saw relatively low tornado numbers compared to recent history.

Mount Evans Tornado (July):
A high elevation tornado was observed along the slope of Mount Evans at 11,900 feet--the second highest observed tornado in the U.S.

Alaska Cold Winter/Snow Record (winter):
Several Alaskan locations had their coldest January on record. The monthly average temperature at Bettles, AK was -35.6°F. The statewide average January temperature was record cold--14°F below average. Record snow (134.5 inches) fell in Anchorage during the winter season, breaking the previous record set in 1954 - 55.

Alaskan Storms and Flooding (September):
Several large extratropical cyclones impacted Alaska during September. Significant flooding occurred along the Sustina River and along its tributaries, causing the worse flooding in 30 years. Over 800 structures and dozens of homes were damaged or destroyed. The storms also brought early snowfall to southern portions of the state.

Death Valley sets world record for highest minimum temperature
On Thursday morning, July 12, 2012 the low temperature at Death Valley, California dropped to just 107°F (41.7°C), after hitting a high of 128° (53.3°C) the previous day. Not only did the morning low temperature tie a record for the world's warmest low temperature ever recorded, the average temperature of 117.5°F was the world's warmest 24-hour temperature on record. According to weather records researcher Maximiliano Herrera, the only other place in the world to record a 107°F low temperature was Khasab Airport in the desert nation of Oman on June 27, 2012.

NOAA's National Climatic Data Center will release their top-ten list of U.S. weather events of 2012 on Tuesday, January 8, 2013.

Have a great holiday, everyone! I'll be back on December 26 with a new post.

Jeff Masters

Climate Summaries Extreme Weather

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

Reader Comments

2001. LargoFl
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
401 PM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

ALC041-252230-
/O.CON.KMOB.TO.W.0110.000000T0000Z-121225T2230Z/
CRENSHAW AL-
401 PM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM CST FOR CRENSHAW
COUNTY...

AT 354 PM CST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO
WAS LOCATED 15 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LUVERNE...OR 3 MILES NORTHWEST OF
DOZIER...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
RUTLEDGE... PETREY... LUVERNE...
GLENWOOD... DOZIER... BRANTLEY...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CST TUESDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

&&
This tornado has been on the ground for a whole hour.

2003. pcola57
Quoting LargoFl:
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
401 PM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

ALC041-252230-
/O.CON.KMOB.TO.W.0110.000000T0000Z-121225T2230Z/
CRENSHAW AL-
401 PM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM CST FOR CRENSHAW
COUNTY...

AT 354 PM CST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO
WAS LOCATED 15 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LUVERNE...OR 3 MILES NORTHWEST OF
DOZIER...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
RUTLEDGE... PETREY... LUVERNE...
GLENWOOD... DOZIER... BRANTLEY...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CST TUESDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

&&


Gonna be a long night for alot of folks..
TWC Breaking ‏@TWCBreaking
Vol. FD reports #tornado in progress north of Wiggins, MS with "debris in the air!" TAKE COVER in srn Perry Co.
2005. ncstorm
the Doc may have to add today and possibly tomorrow's damage to this blog's list..
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
This tornado has been on the ground for a whole hour.


Looks like they need to adjust the warning with that one as it is outside the warning box. Also looks rain wrapped now.
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:
TWC Breaking ‏@TWCBreaking
Vol. FD reports #tornado in progress north of Wiggins, MS with "debris in the air!" TAKE COVER in srn Perry Co.


AT 408 PM CST...A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS NOW LOCATED 9 MILES NORTH
OF WIGGINS...OR 14 MILES NORTH OF PERKINSTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
40 MPH.
2008. ncstorm

Update: A dozen homes damaged in Pearl River County
Posted: Dec 25, 2012 5:16 PM EST Updated: Dec 25, 2012 5:16 PM EST
By WLOX Staff - email

STONE COUNTY, MS (WLOX) -

WLOX News has just confirmed about a dozen homes in Pearl River County have been damaged by a line of severe weather that is racing across the coast. There are injuries reported. But, according to Pearl River County's emergency management director, none of those injuries are life-threatening.

The homes are near White Chapel Road, Joe Smith Road, and Highway 11. There all south of McNeill.

A Stone County fire chief just contacted WLOX News to share information about storm damage off Highway 26 near Wiggins. A roof has apparently been torn off a home near the Magnolia community. And power lines are down.

First responders are on their way to the western end of Stone County to survey the damage.

This damage is associated with a line of severe weather that has spawned tornado warnings across much of South Mississippi.

The six coastal counties are under a tornado watch until 8:00 tonight.

WLOX 24/7 meteorologist Tommy Richards is monitoring the storm as it crosses through Mississippi. Whenever severe weather warnings are issued, he'll share them with you on WLOX ABC, WLOX CBS, WLOX.com and the WLOX 24/7 weather app.

Copyright 2012 WLOX. All rights reserved.
2009. LargoFl
Quoting pcola57:


Gonna be a long night for alot of folks..
boy you got that right, a very dangerous night ahead too...look what i just found for my area for tomorrow .....Severe Storms Possible Across West Central Florida Wednesday. Set Your NOAA Weather Radio to Alert Mode Tonight!
2010. Thrawst
These have GOT to be the smallest supercells I have ever seen.. lol the ones on the right

2012. ncstorm
Mobile, AL is up next for the severe weather as storms with possible tornadoes are very close to the city.
2014. LargoFl
Quoting Luisport:
Mobile, AL is up next for the severe weather as storms with possible tornadoes are very close to the city.
gee this is getting really dangerous
Get ready McLain...a strong and long-tracked tornado is about to move through.

I am not looking forward to this outbreak.. no bueno!
2017. LargoFl
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
429 PM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

MSC023-075-252315-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0102.000000T0000Z-121225T2315Z/
LAUDERDALE MS-CLARKE MS-
429 PM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM CST FOR
NORTHWESTERN CLARKE AND SOUTHEASTERN LAUDERDALE COUNTIES...

AT 429 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUE TO
TRACK A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS
TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR STONEWALL MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
MIDDLETON BY 435 PM CST...
INCREASE AND ZERO BY 440 PM CST...
ALAMUCHA AND TOOMSUBA BY 450 PM CST...
KEWANEE BY 455 PM CST...
Two nice rotation on NWS radar, one in Mississipi and other in Alabama.

2020. LargoFl
TAE
5mi Sw Elba
Coffee, AL




TORNADO -



0431 PM EST 12/25/2012 (21:31 12/25/2012 UTC)



EMERGENCY MNGR



POSSIBLE TORNADO REPORTED TO COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. BRIEF TOUCHDOWN NO REPORTS OF DAMAGE AT THIS TIME.
McLAIN and NEELY, MS take cover now! (4:32pm) #tornado
2022. LargoFl
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
AND PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...REST OF THIS AND TONIGHT...

...A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM CST FOR ALL OF SE AL...
THE FL PANHANDLE AND THE ADJACENT WATERS...

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE DURING REST OF
TODAY AND ESPECIALLY INTO TONIGHT. TORNADO`S HAVE ALREADY OCCURRED
THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE WESTERN WATERS AND ADJACENT COUNTIES IN
DISCRETE CELLS WELL AHEAD OF THE MAIN SQUALL LINE. THE GREATEST
THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS AND TORNADOES IN THE LOCAL AREA IS
EXPECTED TO BE ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND ADJACENT
SECTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE, SOUTHWEST GEORGIA AND ADJACENT
WATERS AS THE SQUALL LINE MOVES ACROSS. CURRENT ANALYSIS HAS THIS
SQUALL LINE MOVING ACROSS SE AL AND THE FL PANHANDLE FROM 10 PM-
MIDNIGHT CST. ALTHOUGH THE THREAT DECREASE SOMEWHAT AS THE SQUALL
LINE MOVE EAST OF THE APALACHICOLA RIVER, SEVERE STORMS AND
TORNADOES COULD OCCUR ANYWHERE IN THE FORECAST AREA. THE SQUALL
LINE WILL MOVE ACROSS TALLAHASSEE 3-4 AM AND VALDOSTA 6-7 AM EST.
2025. LargoFl
Showers and thunderstorms starting later tonight and continuing through Wednesday afternoon as a cold front makes its way across the peninsula of Florida. The Storm Prediction Center has outlined a large portion of West Central Florida for the potential of a few strong to severe storms to develop...with the best chances for areas north of Tampa Bay. Winds and seas will reach advisory levels with the cold front passage before subsiding starting early Thursday morning. Spotters should monitor the weather and self activate if needed. Please continue to monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this event!
This might be a strong tornado. Take cover if you're in the area!

Tornadoes on Christmas? Sucks.

Beautiful day here in SE Utah, got about 4 inches of snow, a lot for us - more on the way tomorrow. At least no tornadoes.

Merry Christmas everyone! I can't believe how many tornado warnings are out right now...
Well, this is one jumbled up surface map.

2031. LargoFl

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
A COLD FRONT WILL BRING A BAND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
STARTING EARLY WEDNESDAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS
THE FRONT MAKES ITS WAY SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE PENINSULA. THE STORM
PREDICTION CENTER HAS OUTLINED A LARGE PORTION OF THE FORECAST
AREA FOR A SLIGHT RISK AND THE POTENTIAL REMAINS FOR A FEW STRONG
TO SEVERE STORMS TO DEVELOP...WITH THE BEST CHANCES FOR AREAS
NORTH OF TAMPA BAY. PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS FOR UPDATES ON THIS EVENT.

...WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
WINDS AND SEAS WILL REACH ADVISORY LEVELS WITH THE COLD FRONT
PASSAGE BEFORE SUBSIDING STARTING EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.


Dang this isn't good..
Confirmed tornado headed straight for Mobile, Alabama.
It is extremely windy behind the second front. My normal stomping grounds (College Station) has sustained winds of 35 mph gusting to 50!
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Confirmed tornado headed straight for downtown Mobile, Alabama.

Yikes! I am heading there now
Quoting AllyBama:

Yikes! I am heading there now

I'd suggest changing your mind.
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Confirmed tornado headed straight for downtown Mobile, Alabama.

It's kinda hard to see since it is so noisy that near the radar site, but there is a fairly intense couplet just south of I-10 to the SW of Mobile.

Quoting 1900hurricane:

It's kinda hard to see since it is so noisy that near the radar site, but there is a fairly intense couplet just south of I-10 to the SW of Mobile.



It's much clearer on radar scope super hi resolution velocity...
Warnings are now starting to pop up in the FL panhandle. Everyone please stay safe, and if you know someone with a basement, I'd consider staying with them during the worst of this..
confirmed tornado on ground in mobile,AL... heading downtown
2042. ncstorm
Frank Strait Fan Club
‎#Tornado currently near I-65 and I-10 interchange just west of Brookley Airport, heading toward Mobile/Prichard/Chickasaw.
MOBILE, AL area should be in tornado shelter now! (4:52pm)
Michael G. Phelps ‏@michaelgphelps
Confirmed tornado headed for downtown Mobile, Alabama.
Ruh-roh...

Tornado visible on Mobile Skycam!

Link
Huge power flashes.
Tornado Emergency for Mobile, AL... (WKRG NEWS)
Tornado Emergency in Mobile!
...THIS IS A TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR DOWNTOWN MOBILE...
Mobile, Alabama: Im speechless!
Large tornado moving into downtown Mobile, Alabama!!
Large wedge tornado reported in Mobile,AL
Mobile has some major issues...

Looks rain-rapped.
This is no good for Mobile Alabama


Wow, that was too close for downtown Mobile...

2060. GBguy88
A friend of mine just texted me from Mobile...she says it's at least a half mile wide, if not more, debris flying in downtown...
Confirmed dBall on radar.
2063. ncstorm
US National Weather Service Mobile Alabama
40 seconds ago
Tornado Emergency for Prichard and the areas to the northeast. We have a debris ball signature now noted in Prichard.
Injuries are being reported in Mobile, Alabama.
Weather Channel is now reporting a debris ball signature on Mobile radar now..


Jet Stream today


LOOKING FOR WINTER WEIRDNESS
CONNECTION BETWEEN DISAPPEARING SEA ICE AND AN INCREASE IN BLOCKING PATTERNS CAUSED BY A MEANDERING JET STREAM Link
Huge tornado, went right into the more densely populated parts of Mobile.
Jet Stream Forecast


Massive tornado confirmed to still be on the ground.
Wow.......... when was the last time of such an outbreak at this time of the year?
Brandon Copic ‏@Brandon_Copic
Mercy Hospital in Mobile, AL reportedly took a direct hit from a Tornado.

And this, guys, is why my comment count likes to skyrocket. I'm busy during tornado outbreaks. :P
Murphy High School Hit by Mobile Tornado (Mobile Police and Fire Rescue Scanners)
2075. hydrus
wkrg says NWS has confirmed a debris ball spinning in Pritchart, Hwy 90
Jeff ‏@RebelStormChase
Mobile fire rescue reporting lots of damage at this time!!!
Probably was a 1/2 mile wide tornado.

The NWS radar for 2238 GMT Dec 25, 2012 looks like a demon with wings! Maybe someone who knows how can show you.

http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/southeast_lite_loo p.php
James Spann  ‏@spann

Damage and gas leak at Murphy high school reported by Mobile Fire Rescue. #alwx
"Mobile Fire Department reporting heavy damage, too much and too overwhelming" ABC 33/40
That's alot of red boxes...

Anyone have the live TV feed from Mobile?
"Mobile Fire" --- Damage "too Much and too Overwhelming".

Bow echo near Aliceville ... Toward Tuscaloosa.
Tornado that went through Mobile had horizontal vortices judging by the video.
Quoting AstroHurricane001:
Anyone have the live TV feed from Mobile?


Link I think
From the Live Feed from Mobile, Alabama. (I can't see the live feed, but I can at least see updates :P)
There is a cluster of small supercells that are tornado warned out ahead of the main cluster too.

2091. ncstorm
.
What a beautiful storm. Sometimes it is hard to fathom how something so beautiful can be so deadly.



Stay safe everyone.
And it's not ending yet.



MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2220
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0517 PM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN AL...WRN FL PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 695...696...

VALID 252317Z - 260045Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 695...696...CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...GREATEST TORNADO RISK EVOLVING EWD...BECOMING CENTERED
ACROSS SRN AL AND THE WRN FL PANHANDLE.

DISCUSSION...SEVERAL DISCRETE SUPERCELLS...ALONG WITH SUPERCELLS
EMBEDDED WITH A PRE-FRONTAL CONFLUENCE BAND SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK
NEWD ACROSS SRN AL AND THE WRN FL PANHANDLE. GIVEN PRESENCE OF LOWER
TO MIDDLE 60S SURFACE DEW POINTS S OF THE WARM FRONT EXTENDING FROM
CHOCTAW COUNTY AL TO NEAR ABY AS OF 23Z. WITH 0-1 KM SHEAR FROM
30-40 KT PER AREA VWP DATA...ENVIRONMENT WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES /SOME OF WHICH COULD BE SIGNIFICANT/ ALONG WITH DAMAGING
WINDS.

..GRAMS.. 12/25/2012


ATTN...WFO...TAE...BMX...MOB...LIX...

LAT...LON 31608836 32268796 32368695 32108537 31808507 31528504
31278510 30648550 30258599 30368750 30458823 31008861
31608836
Quoting 1900hurricane:
That's alot of red boxes...



I'm looking at it but it's hard to believe. :(
2096. ncstorm
Quoting AtHomeInTX:


I'm looking at it but it's hard to believe. :(


Especially on Christmas...
Reed Timmer ‏@reedtimmerTVN
MAJOR assistance needed in Mobile unconfirmed report of the hospital and downtown major damage traumatic injuries
2098. hydrus
Quoting ncstorm:


Especially on Christmas...


Yes, especially today.
WOW! hubby and I had just got on the Bayway leaving Baldwin County heading toward Mobile when the warning about the tornado became public. I was able to make out the cell from the Bayway but couldn't tell too much about it. As we were about to enter the tunnel, there was some green flashes of light. As we exited the tunnel into downtown Mobile, I told my hubby that the tornado was east of I-10 but it was so dark that we couldnt see anything - except the flashes of light as the transformers blew. The wind picked up and I told my hubby to drive faster. I knew that the tornado would be moving east or northest and we were going west southwest. My daughter was on the phone giving me an update on where the tornado was headed. Amazing that Mobile has yet another tornado. Praying that any injuries are minimal.
TWC Breaking ‏@TWCBreaking

From earlier this afternoon, major structural #damage southeast of Maxie, MS. 4 injuries, per local EM.

Another round of storms is impacting this area, last round luckily.
God help us all that r in the path of this dangerous system.. I live in Niceville, just above Destin FL.. I hope we don't get a surprise like Mobile did.. This is crazy for Christmas.. Just sick to my stomach seeing this happen.. I got friends in Mobile.. :(
Quoting AllyBama:
WOW! hubby and I had just got on the Bayway leaving Baldwin County heading toward Mobile when the warning about the tornado became public. I was able to make out the cell from the Bayway but couldn't tell too much about it. As we were about to enter the tunnel, there was some green flashes of light. As we exited the tunnel into downtown Mobile, I told my hubby that the tornado was east of I-10 but it was so dark that we couldnt see anything - except the flashes of light as the transformers blew. The wind picked up and I told my hubby to drive faster. I knew that the tornado would be moving east or northest and we were going west southwest. My daughter was on the phone giving me an update on where the tornado was headed. Amazing that Mobile has yet another tornado. Praying that any injuries are minimal.
Wow, glad you're safe. I'm in NY and just got chills reading these updates... stay safe people.
Quoting AllyBama:
WOW! hubby and I had just got on the Bayway leaving Baldwin County heading toward Mobile when the warning about the tornado became public. I was able to make out the cell from the Bayway but couldn't tell too much about it. As we were about to enter the tunnel, there was some green flashes of light. As we exited the tunnel into downtown Mobile, I told my hubby that the tornado was east of I-10 but it was so dark that we couldnt see anything - except the flashes of light as the transformers blew. The wind picked up and I told my hubby to drive faster. I knew that the tornado would be moving east or northest and we were going west southwest. My daughter was on the phone giving me an update on where the tornado was headed. Amazing that Mobile has yet another tornado. Praying that any injuries are minimal.


I'm glad y'all are ok. I'm just stunned. Be careful everyone.
Quoting AllyBama:
WOW! hubby and I had just got on the Bayway leaving Baldwin County heading toward Mobile when the warning about the tornado became public. I was able to make out the cell from the Bayway but couldn't tell too much about it. As we were about to enter the tunnel, there was some green flashes of light. As we exited the tunnel into downtown Mobile, I told my hubby that the tornado was east of I-10 but it was so dark that we couldnt see anything - except the flashes of light as the transformers blew. The wind picked up and I told my hubby to drive faster. I knew that the tornado would be moving east or northest and we were going west southwest. My daughter was on the phone giving me an update on where the tornado was headed. Amazing that Mobile has yet another tornado. Praying that any injuries are minimal.

I told you not to go... :P

Glad you're safe.
Thanks everyone. I am shocked as well. Mobile rarely ever has a tornado and now 2 within a week..
wow good evening all. this is horrible seems like the same scenario we had in early march. very fast moving cells. Anyone that is not in a safe structure please seek one.
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

I told you not to go... :P

Glad you're safe.


I KNOW! we were already on the bayway and could have got on the causeway and headed back east. What an adrenalin rush for this old lady! lol..

uh-oh.. hear the rumbling back towards Tillman's Corner (I am near I-10/I-65 exchange)..sure going to be a long night..
Good evening everyone, just got back from a great family Christmas party! I checked the SPC's storm report page and it didn't look like anything too bad so far, what's been going on? Also I see MDT risk for tomorrow.
Quoting MAweatherboy1:
Good evening everyone, just got back from a great family Christmas party! I checked the SPC's storm report page and it didn't look like anything too bad so far, what's been going on? Also I see MDT risk for tomorrow.

Just a half-mile wide, violent tornado through downtown Mobile, Alabama.
*TropicalAnalystwx13 already posted it.*
17,500 customers without power in Mobile, AL (AL Power)
2118. ncstorm
*
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Just a half-mile wide, violent tornado through downtown Mobile, Alabama.

Wow.
It's starting to get really sloppy in there. Not as many tornado warnings, but between the rain and darkness, any tornadoes that do develop will be nearly impossible to see.

Next up...



MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2221
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0557 PM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN GA / ERN FL PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY

VALID 252357Z - 260200Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT

SUMMARY...A TORNADO WATCH WILL NEED TO BE CONSIDERED BY 01-03Z FOR
SWRN GA AND THE ERN FL PANHANDLE FOR AN INCREASING TORNADO THREAT
FROM LATE EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

DISCUSSION...LATEST SURFACE MESOANALYSIS SHOWS A DEEPENING LOW OVER
W-CNTRL MS AND AN ATTENDANT WARM FRONT EXTENDING ESEWD ACROSS THE
SRN 1/3RD OF AL INTO SWRN GA. SURFACE TEMPS ARE IN THE LOWER-MID
60S S OF THE BOUNDARY AND DEWPOINTS RANGE FROM THE UPPER 50S TO
LOWER 60S. 2330Z TLH VWP SHOWS 150-200 M2/S2 0-1 SRH...WHEN
INPUTTING OBSERVED RIGHT-MOVING SUPERCELL STORM MOTIONS OVER SRN AL.

AS AN INTENSIFYING MID-LEVEL TROUGH/LOW ASSUMES AN INCREASINGLY
NEGATIVE TILT...STRONG LOW LEVEL MASS RESPONSE --LLJ FEATURING 45-55
KT 925MB SLY FLOW-- WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD EWD OVER THE DISCUSSION
AREA TONIGHT. VERY STRONG LOW LEVEL SHEAR --INCREASING TO 300-500
MS/S2 0-1 KM SRH-- WILL SUPPORT UPDRAFT ROTATION WITH THE MORE
VIGOROUS/SUSTAINED UPDRAFTS. DESPITE VERY FAVORABLE
KINEMATICS...BUOYANCY WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY MARGINAL WITH FARTHER
E EXTENT TOWARDS THE I-75 CORRIDOR. IN ADDITION TO THE RISK FOR A
TORNADIC SUPERCELL OR TWO...AN EVENTUAL LINEAR CONGLOMERATION OWING
TO STORM MERGERS/STRONG FORCING FOR ASCENT WILL FAVOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A QLCS MOVING EWD ACROSS THE AREA LATE
TONIGHT...POSING PRIMARILY A WIND DAMAGE THREAT.

..SMITH/HART.. 12/25/2012


ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...BMX...

LAT...LON 30838478 32678502 32718441 32368373 31118316 30008342
29828500 30838478
Two tornadoes on the radar in SW Alabama (look at orange circle for the location of rotation):

As bad as today has been, and please do not jump on me for this, we've actually underperformed. By my count we've seen about 13 tornadoes, which means today will go down as the busiest Christmas day (tornado wise) on record, but myself and a bunch of other meteorologists were expected 20-30 with several long-tracked and damaging tornado.

The problem today is that, while discrete cells did indeed form ahead of the squall line, they didn't remain discrete and formed into a secondary line.
2126. ncstorm
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
As bad as today has been, and please do not jump on me for this, we've actually underperformed. By my count we've seen about 13 tornadoes, which means today will go down as the busiest Christmas day (tornado wise) on record, but myself and a bunch of other meteorologists were expected 20-30 with several long-tracked and damaging tornado.

The problem today is that, while discrete cells did indeed form ahead of the squall line, they didn't remain discrete and formed into a secondary line.


how many tornados are you expecting tomorrow?
Confirmed tornado entering Grove Hill, Alabama.

and...

Extreme Chase Tours =@ExtrmChaseTours
EM and spotters reporting Grove Hill AL has been hit.....
@mrsmith1978: @JimCantore pearl river county ms http://t.co/hdb4adqP

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2129. ncstorm
Good Night Everyone..hopefully the SPC will bust on my area tomorrow along with other meterologists..

Prayers to those who lost love ones and property..
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
620 PM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
MONROE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...
WILCOX COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...
EAST CENTRAL CLARKE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...

* UNTIL 715 PM CST

* AT 617 PM CST...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
DESTRUCTIVE WINDS OVER 80 MPH WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
FROM 7 MILES EAST OF GROVE HILL TO 14 MILES NORTHWEST OF FRISCO
CITY TO 12 MILES SOUTHWEST OF FRISCO CITY...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT
45 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BOYKIN... YELLOW BLUFF... OAK HILL...
CAMDEN... VREDENBURGH... BEATRICE...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. PREPARE FOR DAMAGING WINDS. PEOPLE OUTSIDE
SHOULD MOVE INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CST TUESDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. A TORNADO WATCH
ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CST TUESDAY EVENING FOR SOUTH
CENTRAL ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.
MOBILE, Alabama -- An apparent tornado has touched down in five areas of Mobile, according to the Mobile County Emergency Management Agency.


That is:

Exit 15 of Interstate 10, which is Tillman's Corner.
Brookley Field
The Loop (Airport Blvd and Government Street).
Dauphin Street and Rigby
Spring Hill Avenue, at the hospitals
"There have been no reports of fatalities or injuries at this time," said EMA Director Ronnie Adair.

Adair urged Mobile County residents to stay inside and take shelter as the system continues to move through.

He said it's too soon to determine how this compares to a tornado that hit parts of Mobile Thursday, from near Dauphin Street at Interstate 10 and northwestward.

It will be up to the National Weather Service to determine whether it was an actual tornado, he said. Meanwhile, EMA is in touch with local law enforcement agencies and is assessing the damage.

The 311 system for the City of Mobile is down, Adair said. Those with damage are asked to call their local law enforcement agency.

Crews are gearing up now to begin clearing trees from the road. And power is out in some places, he said.

"Stay home, watch the media, and make sure you're prepared to move to a safe area of your home if need be," Adair said.
Source: Link
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
As bad as today has been, and please do not jump on me for this, we've actually underperformed. By my count we've seen about 13 tornadoes, which means today will go down as the busiest Christmas day (tornado wise) on record, but myself and a bunch of other meteorologists were expected 20-30 with several long-tracked and damaging tornado.

The problem today is that, while discrete cells did indeed form ahead of the squall line, they didn't remain discrete and formed into a secondary line.


I certainly hope you are not disappointed?
I'm going to go ahead and say this tornado was at least an EF3. Horizontal vortices are not common with tornadoes of lesser magnitude.

Link
Wow Mobile.... Thats terrible
Quoting clwstmchasr:


I certainly hope you are not disappointed?

Of course not. Just a little surprised.

More on the Grove Hill tornado that just went through...

thestormreport %u200F@thestormreport
Reports of a house blown onto US Hwy 43 near Grove Hill, AL. #alwx #tornado
2136. RJT185
Quoting clwstmchasr:


I certainly hope you are not disappointed?


...oy....

focus people.
2136 6 W MONTICELLO LAWRENCE MS 3154 9021 POWER LINES AND TREES DOWN ALONG FORD COLCOTE ROAD. INSULATION AND TIN IN TREES. (JAN)
2142 2 NW MONTICELLO LAWRENCE MS 3157 9013 *** 2 INJ *** LAWRENCE COUNTY S.O. REPORTS TORNADO MOVED THROUGH THE AREA NORTH OF MONTICELLO NEAR U.S. 84 AND MS HIGHWAY 27. ONE MOBILE HOME WAS FLIPPED. ADDITIONAL ST (JAN)
2200 2 SSE MAXIE FORREST MS 3095 8919 NUMEROUS REPORTS OF A TORNADO CROSSING US HIGHWAY 49 NEAR MS HIGHWAY 13. TREES AND POWER LINES REPORTED DOWN IN THE AREA. (JAN)
2204 3 SE MAXIE FORREST MS 3095 8916 *** 4 INJ *** MAJOR STRUCTURAL DAMAGE ALONG J BAILEY ROAD. 4 INJURIES AT THIS LOCATION (JAN)
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Of course not. Just a little surprised.

More on the Grove Hill tornado that just went through...

thestormreport %u200F@thestormreport
Reports of a house blown onto US Hwy 43 near Grove Hill, AL. #alwx #tornado




Radar centered just NE of Grove Hill, AL. Definitely a tornado.
@TWCBreaking: Per #Mobile Fire Rescue...all hospitals in the city are on auxiliary power. Homes, businesses damaged. No reports of injuries/fatalities.
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
As bad as today has been, and please do not jump on me for this, we've actually underperformed. By my count we've seen about 13 tornadoes, which means today will go down as the busiest Christmas day (tornado wise) on record, but myself and a bunch of other meteorologists were expected 20-30 with several long-tracked and damaging tornado.

The problem today is that, while discrete cells did indeed form ahead of the squall line, they didn't remain discrete and formed into a secondary line.
Nonetheless, it has been a historic outbreak, and it's not over by any means so I do not want to distrect from that.
Your comments bring my thoughts from last evening back to mind. This is a Decenber event, it will be different from a April event regardless of what the models forcast. There is more to severe weather than what can be modeled. Models have come a long way in recent years, and they have become a wonderful tool in predicting severe weather,but often times a bit more it needed. This is where 24 years of severe weather experience and seasonal climateology come into play. BTW, keep up the good work you do.
Amazing footage of the Mobile Tornado being shown on that live feed posted earlier.

Jackson, AL NOAA weather radio is not working.
.
Quoting ncstorm:


how many tornados are you expecting tomorrow?

Well, weather does what it wants. We've seen that countless times. If I were to put a number on it, I'd say 10-20 tornadoes. They'll come from discrete cells ahead of the squall line, which have a great potential to produce strong, long-lived tornadoes (I don't think we'll have the same issue tomorrow that we did today regarding the storms quickly forming into a line), but we'll also see brief spin-ups along the squall line.


Brandon Copic %u200F@Brandon_Copic
Might try and get down to the Carolina's tomorrow...not many chasers out there to cover it and tomorrow could be just as bad... #NCwx #SCwx
Camden, AL need to take shelter.

Quoting Bluestorm5:
Camden, AL need to take shelter.



Radar is showing wind speeds of 91 knots...
Large and extremely dangerous tornado headed straight for Camden, Alabama.
Merry Christmas to all! I hope that each and everyone of you are having your best Christmas ever and that 2013 proves to be your best year ever.

I found out today that I am going to be a great grandfather! (Actually, I thought that I always was a great grandfather, but now I will have the official title to go with it. :-) )
2151. nash36
TORCON still at a 5 for the Charleston area tomorrow morning. Guess I am getting up early to stay ahead of it.
Quoting Some1Has2BtheRookie:
Merry Christmas to all! I hope that each and everyone of you are having your best Christmas ever and that 2013 proves to be your best year ever.

I found out today that I am going to be a great grandfather! (Actually, I thought that I always was a great grandfather, but now I will have the official title to go with it. :-) )


Congrats, Rookie.

Now I have a better idea why your climate change stance is so close to mine. Nothing like grandchildren to focus your vision and now you have a great grandchild in the works.
Looks like it's winding down. The MLCAPE has really dropped off recently.



2155. nash36
From NWS Charleston, SC:

WITH THE LARGE NUMBER OF TORNADO WARNINGS WITH THE SYSTEM
DOWNSTREAM THIS AFTERNOON OVER LOUISIANA...MISSISSIPPI...AND
ALABAMA...WE ARE BECOMING MORE CONFIDENT OF SEVERE WEATHER INTO
TOMORROW.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THE FOCUS FOR THE SHORT TERM FORECAST PERIOD CONTINUES TO BE THE
STRONG COLD FRONT THAT WILL CROSS THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY AND THE
POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG IT. A DEEP AND STRONG
MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED CLOSED LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE
SOUTHEAST AND THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS IN THE FIRST PORTION OF THE
DAY. A DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE CENTER DRIVEN BY THIS UPPER LEVEL
SYSTEM WILL LIFT INTO THE TN VALLEY WHILE A STRONG COLD FRONT SWEEPS
ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST AND INTO THE FORECAST AREA WEDNESDAY MORNING.
BASED ON ONGOING CONVECTION ALONG THE GULF COAST AND THE ENVIRONMENT
AHEAD OF IT...A STRONG QLCS IS EXPECTED TO IMPINGE ON THE FORECAST
AREA FROM THE WEST AROUND SUNRISE AND MOVE QUICKLY EASTWARD THROUGH
THE EARLY AFTERNOON.

SEVERE POTENTIAL...THE ONGOING CONVECTION WILL HAVE NO SHORTAGE OF
SUPPORT IN THE FORM OF STRONG LINEAR FORCING AND DEEP SHEAR. MODELS
SHOW A PRONOUNCED 500 MB JET PUNCHING INTO THE AREA WITH THE FRONT
AND 0-6 SHEAR WILL BE ON THE ORDER OF 60-70 KTS ALONG THE
CONVECTION. THE NEAR STORM ENVIRONMENT WILL BE MARKED BY TREMENDOUS
SHEAR AND...AS USUAL...LOWER END CAPE AND SURFACE BASED INSTABILITY.
THE LINE WILL NOT BE COMING THROUGH AT A CLIMATOLOGICALLY FAVORED
TIME THOUGH THE MODELS DO SHOW WEAK INSTABILITY AHEAD OF IT EVEN
AROUND SUNRISE. THE BIGGEST QUESTION STILL CONCERNS TIMING AND HOW
THE CONVECTION EVOLVES OVERNIGHT. OFTEN TIMES IN THESE SITUATIONS
THE MAIN LINE WILL ORGANIZE ALONG A COLD POOL AND RACE OUT TO THE
EAST FASTER THAN THE MODEL OUTPUT. THE OVERALL TREND IS FOR A SLOWER
PROGRESSION INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING...WHICH WOULD PLACE THE LINE ON
OUR WESTERN DOOR STEP RIGHT AROUND THE 11-12Z TIME FRAME. AS THE
LINE MOVES EASTWARD IN THE MORNING...AREAS TO THE EAST WILL HAVE
MORE TIME TO DESTABILIZE WHICH MAY HEIGHTEN THE SEVERE THREAT ALONG
AND EAST OF THE I-95 CORRIDOR. IN FACT...THE TRI-COUNTY REGION MAY
END UP SEEING THE MOVE CONDUCIVE COMBINATION OF SHEAR AND
INSTABILITY FOR THE LINE TO TAP INTO. THE STRONG
DYNAMICS...IMPRESSIVE WIND FIELDS...AND PRESENCE OF INSTABILITY WILL
RESULT IN A WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WIND THREAT ACROSS ALL OF THE
FORECAST AREA ESPECIALLY GIVEN THAT THE LOW LEVEL WIND FIELDS ARE SO
STRONG AND THE LINE SHOULD BE AN EFFICIENT STRONG WIND PRODUCER.
INCREASING HELICITY AND THE POTENTIAL FOR LEWPS WITHIN THE LINE ALSO
RESULT IN THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES. THE CURRENT
EXPECTATION IS FOR THE LINE TO ENTER THE WESTERN ZONES IN THE 11-12Z
TIME FRAME AND THEN RACE EASTWARD...IMPACTING THE TRI-COUNTY AROUND
17Z.
People in Mt. Andrew area need to take shelter now.

Mobile, AL is going to get run over by a very powerful squall line shortly, they're under a severe thunderstorm warning, they can expect some 60mph winds.
SPECIAL UPDATE...OFF TOPIC
_____________________

At 7:58 PM today, the deadliest earthquake and tsunami struck the world 8 years ago...




click for bigger picture...
Tiny little storm near Panama City, FL just got a tornado warning.

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
708 PM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
WESTERN BAY COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA...

* UNTIL 800 PM CST

* AT 703 PM CST...A DEVELOPING TORNADO HAS BEEN DETECTED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PANAMA CITY...OR NEAR
BILTMORE BEACH...MOVING NORTH AT 50 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO LYNN
HAVEN

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! LEAVE MOBILE HOMES AND VEHICLES FOR SAFER STRUCTURES.
MOVE TO A HALLWAY OR CLOSET ON THE LOWEST FLOOR AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND
OUTSIDE WALLS.

&&

LAT...LON 3023 8583 3026 8580 3024 8575 3020 8573
3023 8569 3023 8573 3029 8577 3029 8583
3044 8581 3044 8573 3037 8553 3016 8566
3015 8571 3012 8570 3013 8568 3009 8570
3019 8584
TIME...MOT...LOC 0108Z 198DEG 44KT 3017 8576

$$

15-HARRIGAN
From armchair forecasters to professional meteorologists: this blog has proven once again to be an amazing resource for weather geeks with less experience/knowledge. Thank you all.
Panama City is under a tornado warning:

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
708 PM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
WESTERN BAY COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA...

* UNTIL 800 PM CST

* AT 703 PM CST...A DEVELOPING TORNADO HAS BEEN DETECTED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PANAMA CITY...OR NEAR
BILTMORE BEACH...MOVING NORTH AT 50 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO LYNN
HAVEN

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! LEAVE MOBILE HOMES AND VEHICLES FOR SAFER STRUCTURES.
MOVE TO A HALLWAY OR CLOSET ON THE LOWEST FLOOR AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND
OUTSIDE WALLS.
2162. scott39
2 tornadoes on the ground in Mobile, Al. in less than a week! So far no one hurt!
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
721 PM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN MOBILE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...

* UNTIL 800 PM CST

* AT 717 PM CST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
TORNADO WAS LOCATED 13 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LUCEDALE...OR 11 MILES
WEST OF SEMMES...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MOVICO... SEMMES... SATSUMA...
MOUNT VERNON... I65 AND US 43... GULFCREST...
CREOLA... CHUNCHULA... CALVERT...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 65 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 15 AND 31.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.

TORNADOES ARE DIFFICULT TO SEE AND CONFIRM AT NIGHT. TAKE COVER NOW.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CST TUESDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. A TORNADO WATCH
ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CST TUESDAY EVENING FOR SOUTH
CENTRAL ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

&&
Tornado warning for North Mobile.
Mother Nature doesn't like Mobile lately!
Plaquemines Parish wishes this year to be over after what H. Isaac did to it. And now this:

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
714 PM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL PLAQUEMINES PARISH IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF PORT SULPHUR...

* UNTIL 730 PM CST

* AT 712 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR PORT
SULPHUR...MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
EMPIRE
Possible tornado is located SW of Wilmer, AL

Quoting Bluestorm5:


The Wilmer warning lasts till 8 CST.
Quoting Bluestorm5:
Possible tornado is located SW of Wilmer, AL



Latest Vorticity suggest two possible tornadoes running together
Quoting 1900hurricane:
Looks like it's winding down. The MLCAPE has really dropped off recently.






That's because its starting to get dark. ML CAPE means mixed layer instability, you get less mixing at night, therefore, lower ML CAPE.

Surface CAPE can remain quite elevated at night over water, however.
000
FXUS62 KTBW 260119 AAA
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
819 PM EST TUE DEC 25 2012

...STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH SQUALL LINE
EXPECTED TO IMPACT WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA ON WEDNESDAY...

.UPDATE...
MINOR TWEAKS TO THE FORECAST TO UPDATE ARRIVAL TIME OF THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE MORNING ALONG THE NATURE COAST. 18Z RUNS OF THE GFS AND
NAM...FOR WHAT THEY ARE WORTH...CONTINUE TO PAINT A CONCERNING
PICTURE FOR THE NATURE COAST AT 12Z WEDNESDAY WITH 0-1 KM BULK SHEAR
VALUES OF 35-40 KTS AND 0-6 KM BULK SHEAR VALUES OF 60-65 KTS. THE
250 MB JET IS FORECAST TO BEGIN DIGGING INTO S GA/N FL AROUND 12Z
WITH A 700 MB JET MOVING THROUGH THE PENINSULA OF FL FROM 12Z TO 00Z.

THESE HIGH SHEAR/LOW CAPE INGREDIENTS POINT TOWARDS A QLCS/SQUALL
LINE SCENARIO WITH EMBEDDED TORNADOES. AS WE ENTER THE
OVERNIGHT...THE SQUALL LINE WILL BECOME THE MAIN FEATURE MOVING
THROUGH THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE/SE ALABAMA/SW GEORGIA AS THE DISCRETE
CELLS AHEAD OF IT BEGIN TO LOSE THEIR DIURNAL ENERGY SOURCE. CURRENT
RADAR LOOPS FROM N FL/SE AL/SW GA ALREADY SHOW LESS DISCRETE CELLS
COMPARED TO EARLIER IN THE EVENING.

MODEL GUIDANCE CURRENTLY HOLDS THE ARRIVAL OF THE SQUALL LINE INTO
THE NATURE COAST AROUND 12Z...ALTHOUGH THE AWIPS TIMING TOOL BASED
OFF SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THE WESTERN SQUALL LINE CURRENTLY
MOVING THROUGH SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA SHOULD BE KNOCKING ON
THE DOOR BETWEEN 10-11Z IN THE MORNING.

WITH THE STRONG MAGNITUDE OF THE 0-6 KM WINDS AND THE JET STREAK
ACTIVITY...CONTINUE TO BELIEVE THAT A DAMAGING WIND AND ISOLATED
TORNADO THREAT EXIST FOR AREAS TAMPA BAY NORTHWARD...PARTICULARLY
THE NATURE COAST. THE UPPER LEVEL JET WILL MOVE NORTHWARD BY
18Z...ALLOWING THE SEVERE THREAT TO START WINDING DOWN AS THE LINE
MOVES INTO SOUTHWEST FLORIDA LATER IN THE DAY.
Quoting FLPandhandleJG:
God help us all that r in the path of this dangerous system.. I live in Niceville, just above Destin FL.. I hope we don't get a surprise like Mobile did.. This is crazy for Christmas.. Just sick to my stomach seeing this happen.. I got friends in Mobile.. :(



We had a significant severe weather event here a few years ago on Christmas day here in Central Florida, including tornadoes.

At my house we had flooding rain, and damaging winds knocked down some of our Christmas lights...

Historically, Christmas day typically is very stormy here, at least since I've lived here. Not this year though, this time its the northern gulf coast instead of us. Very sad to see tornadoes doing damage on Christmas...
Praying for everyone in the path of this storm system. Please take care and watch!
I don't know that I would call today a bust, but I echo the thoughts of TA 13 from earlier, it really was expected to be quite a bit worse. Aside from the Mobile tornado, there really wasn't anything special about today, lots of storms formed but they struggled to remain discrete as they competed with each other. If today is any indication, then the moderate risk for tomorrow should be dropped and replaced with a slight risk with 10% tornado probabilities and 30% hatched for wind.
Quoting MAweatherboy1:
I don't know that I would call today a bust, but I echo the thoughts of TA 13 from earlier, it really was expected to be quite a bit worse. Aside from the Mobile tornado, there really wasn't anything special about today, lots of storms formed but they struggled to remain discrete as they competed with each other. If today is any indication, then the moderate risk for tomorrow should be dropped and replaced with a slight risk with 10% tornado probabilities and 30% hatched for wind.
Some of you People are just Jerks and make Me Sick!! Do you want bad Tornado outbreak Plus it is Christmas!!!!!
Quoting Jedkins01:



That's because its starting to get dark. ML CAPE means mixed layer instability, you get less mixing at night, therefore, lower ML CAPE.

Surface CAPE can remain quite elevated at night over water, however.
Agreed, but still need to keep an eye for a brief spinup on any developing cells along the line, yet the tornadic focus will focus along the immediate Gulf coast overnight, and shift to Atlantic coastal Ga,and Fl overnight. Tomorrow will be a new day; hopefully interior sections of the SE will stay stable enough to maintain a wind threat only.
Quoting gulfbreeze:
Some of you People are just Jerks and make Me Sick!! Do you want bad Tornado outbreak Plus it is Christmas!!!!!

Is there anything in my comment that suggested I wanted a bad tornado outbreak? I simply provided an objective account of how today went down, meteorologically speaking. I'm not denying the Mobile tornado was awful, and there were a couple other bad ones too, but 15 tornado reports absolutely does not justify a moderate risk, although the SPC can't be blamed at all for issuing one since all indicators pointed to a bigger event today.
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
811 PM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
WESTERN ESCAMBIA COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...
NORTH CENTRAL BALDWIN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...

* UNTIL 900 PM CST

* AT 809 PM CST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WITH STRONG ROTATION AND
LIKELY PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF BAY
MINETTE...OR NEAR I65 AND AL 225...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
POARCH CREEK RESERVATION... I65 AND CR 47...
I65 AND AL 59... I65 AND AL 287... I65 AND AL 225...
BAY MINETTE... MCCULLOUGH... I65 AND CR 1...
I65 AND AL 21...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 65 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 27 AND 71.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORNADOES ARE DIFFICULT TO SEE AND CONFIRM AT NIGHT. TAKE COVER NOW.

HEAVY RAINFALL MAY OBSCURE THIS TORNADO. IF YOU WAIT TO SEE OR HEAR
IT COMING THEN IT MAY BE TOO LATE TO GET TO A SAFE PLACE.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CST TUESDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA. A TORNADO WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 1000 PM CST TUESDAY EVENING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

&&
Quoting gulfbreeze:
Some of you People are just Jerks and make Me Sick!! Do you want bad Tornado outbreak Plus it is Christmas!!!!!

I'll get back to you when you revise your post with correct sentence structure and maybe not so many exclamation points.
I personally am thankful that the weather and tornado outbreak wasn't as bad as predicted. Everyone I know was prepared BECAUSE of the warnings that had been predicted for my area by the NWS. If being overly cautious saved lives then HOORAH!

here comes the backside now...winds are up and rain is heavy..praying that it moves though quickly.
Quoting gulfbreeze:
Some of you People are just Jerks and make Me Sick!! Do you want bad Tornado outbreak Plus it is Christmas!!!!!

You're joking right? Saying that it didn't turn out as bad as predicted makes you sick? This is what I was talking about earlier, weather geeks never hope people will be effected by weather, they merely observe the weather and stay in awe at the power. Please stop mistaking an interest/hobby/job with being insensitive as to the effects. Nobody wants a bad outbreak, but if it is going to happen we all want to see what it looks like and hopefully learn from it. If we stopped being "excited" about extreme weather we couldn't learn about it.

Personally I saw some radar signatures of tornadoes, that even if they are obvious to people smarter than me, taught me new things about how it looks. Think about how recently a tornado warning couldn't be accurately given without eye contact on a tornado, compared to now when we can see it on radar as it forms, and then track it on radar. I saw people saying that this was headed right for Mobile long before the tornado hit, and that is amazing for a field that took supercomputers to maybe see a tornado signature a few short years ago.
2181 TropicalAnalystwx13: I'll get back to you when you revise your post with correct sentence structure and maybe not so many exclamation points.

The use of multiple exclamation points is a sure sign of a deranged mind!!!!!!
Quoting Chapelhill:
Agreed, but still need to keep an eye for a brief spinup on any developing cells along the line, yet the tornadic focus will focus along the immediate Gulf coast overnight, and shift to Atlantic coastal Ga,and Fl overnight. Tomorrow will be a new day; hopefully interior sections of the SE will stay stable enough to maintain a wind threat only.

Since this is the same system planning to wreak travel havoc on the north tomorrow and Thursday does this effect forecasting for later on at all? Though from my understanding this wasn't "weaker" than predicted it did form up differently than predicted, so will this weaken it in the 24-48 hour range? Thank you for your informative posts.
Likely tornado headed through Moss, Alabama as I type.

Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Likely tornado headed through Moss, Alabama as I type.


It's also heading towards Montgomery.
Possible tornado now through Moss; Manack, Alabama is next.

0000 UNK 5 SE ARCOLA HALE AL 3250 8772 EXTENSIVE DAMAGE TO TWO MOBILE HOMES OFF HIGHWAY 80 BETWEEN DEMOPOLIS AND HIGHWAY 69 CROSS OVER. ROOF BLOWN OFF ONE MOBILE HOME. (BMX)
0015 UNK MARRERO JEFFERSON LA 2989 9011 GAS STATION SIGN BLOWN OVER AND MINOR DAMAGE TO A WENDYS DRIVE THROUGH AWNING NEAR BARATARIA AND LAPALCO IN MARRERO. (LIX)
0015 UNK 3 W NEW BROCKTON COFFEE AL 3139 8598 REPORT OF TREES DOWN AROUND COUNTY RD 514 NW OF NEW BROCKTON (TAE)
Quoting aspectre:
2181 TropicalAnalystwx13: I'll get back to you when you revise your post with correct sentence structure and maybe not so many exclamation points.

The use of multiple exclamation points is a sure sign of a deranged mind!!!!!!
Get real all I was saying is it sounded like you where disappainted in the out come of the forcast.The use of the word sick and jerk was over the top and I did use to many exclamation points.But I may be a little to crazy about the weather!!
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
826 PM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0811 PM SNOW DE KALB 33.51N 94.62W
12/25/2012 M7.2 INCH BOWIE TX CO-OP OBSERVER

MEASURED READING FROM COOPERATIVE OBSERVER ON A
SNOWBOARD. STILL SNOWING AT OBSERVATION TIME.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
750 PM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0232 PM TORNADO CENTREVILLE 31.09N 91.07W
12/25/2012 WILKINSON MS EMERGENCY MNGR

*** 1 INJ *** COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTED TWELVE
TRAILERS HEAVILY DAMAGED AND ONE DESTROYED. HEAD START
BUILDING ROOF HEAVILY DAMAGED. TWO HOUSES HEAVILY DAMAGED
OR DESTROYED. BUSINESS BUILDING HEAVILY DAMAGED. LARGE
NUMBER OF TREES KNOCKED DOWN.


&&

$$

PGRIGSBY
Heading right at Montgomery:

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
840 PM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN AUTAUGA COUNTY IN ALABAMA...
ELMORE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA...
NORTHWESTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...

* UNTIL 945 PM CST

* AT 840 PM CST...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDICATED A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM
WAS LOCATED NEAR LOWNDESBORO...OR NEAR HAYNEVILLE...AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PRATTVILLE...MONTGOMERY...MILLBROOK...WETUMPKA...C ANTELOUS...
DANNELLY FIELD...HOPE HULL...WOODCREST...HYUNDAI MOTORS OF ALABAMA
AND HUNTER.


THIS INCLUDES...
INTERSTATE 65 EXIT NUMBERS 164 THROUGH 181...
INTERSTATE 85 EXIT NUMBERS 1 THROUGH 11...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE
LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING.

&&

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...
CALL 1-800-856-0758 OR TWEET YOUR REPORT USING HASHTAG ALWX

LAT...LON 3227 8645 3228 8648 3233 8648 3234 8650
3234 8653 3237 8654 3238 8657 3273 8617
3245 8593 3244 8596 3245 8599 3243 8599
3242 8602 3241 8602 3223 8640
TIME...MOT...LOC 0240Z 232DEG 37KT 3226 8654

$$
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
804 PM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0130 PM TSTM WND DMG TIOGA 31.38N 92.43W
12/25/2012 RAPIDES LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

LOUISIANA GOHSEP REPORTS OF ONE OR TWO POSSIBLE TORNADO
TOUCHDOWNS IN THE RIGOLETTE AREA. DAMAGE IS STILL BEING
ASSESSED BUT AT THIS TIME APPROXIMATELY 43 STRUCTURES
RECEIVED SOME DEGREE OF DAMAGE MAINLY IN THE
RIGOLETTE/TIOGA AREA. ONE FAMILY IS BEING ASSISTED BY THE
AMERICAN RED CROSS AS THEIR HOME WAS DESTROYED. DAMAGE
WAS REPORTED TO THE TIOGA HIGH SCHOOL GYM ALONG WITH
DAMAGES TO THE INVENTORY OF A NEARBY TRUCKING COMPANY.
ONE MINOR INJURY REPORTED WITH THE INJURED PARTY REFUSING
TREATMENT.


&&

$$

DJONES
Had to switch over to GRLevel3 for a better view.

Residents in Montgomery need to be taking shelter.

The storm looks like it will pass north of the city by 10 miles or so. Manack, Alabama and Hunter, Alabama are still right in the path of this.

Facebook has good footage of the Mobile tornado caught on amateur video.
Quoting aspectre:
2181 TropicalAnalystwx13: I'll get back to you when you revise your post with correct sentence structure and maybe not so many exclamation points.

The use of multiple exclamation points is a sure sign of a deranged mind!!!!!!
Hey, aspectre, lighten up!!!!!!
Storm is now impacting the southern side of Hunter, Alabama. Wouldn't be surprised to see a few reports of minor damage in the city as damaging winds are a threat regardless of the possible tornado.



I feel like I'm posting too much.
2205. bappit
Quoting Skyepony:
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
826 PM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0811 PM SNOW DE KALB 33.51N 94.62W
12/25/2012 M7.2 INCH BOWIE TX CO-OP OBSERVER

MEASURED READING FROM COOPERATIVE OBSERVER ON A
SNOWBOARD
. STILL SNOWING AT OBSERVATION TIME.


Maybe a cafeteria tray.
Here's that one from facebook..

Rotation with this cell is getting very strong. I would not doubt a strong tornado now.

aspectre: The use of multiple exclamation points is a sure sign of a deranged mind!!!!!!

2190 gulfbreeze: Get real. All I was saying is it sounded like you were disappointed...

Don't sweat it. Just used TropicalWeatherAnalyst's remark as an excuse to quote one of my favorite favorite Terry Pratchett lines.
Mobile, AL tornado from a car, in near dark..eerie.

2214. snotly
Crossing major interstate at night HW 65


Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Rotation with this cell is getting very strong. I would not doubt a strong tornado now.

Yikes! I didn't expect to see that kind of video....

Quoting Skyepony:

I'd uhhh take cover








Looks like there maybe a chance of a few more tornadoes tonight and into the morning hours..
2219. Grothar
2221. Grothar

Local Weather Alert
Winter Storm Warning for Bradford, PA
From 2:00 PM EST, Wed., Dec 26, 2012 until 1:00 PM EST, Thu., Dec 27, 2012
Other affected areas:
%u2026
Chenango, NY; Otsego, NY; Tioga, NY; Broome, NY; Delaware, NY; Bradford, PA; Susquehanna, PA; Wyoming, PA
More
Issued by The National Weather Service
Binghamton, NY
Tue, Dec 25, 2012, 9:31 PM EST
Local Radar Map
Updated Dec 25, 2012, 10:25pm EST
Weather in Motion | Enlarge Map
Get WeatherReady

Prepare for Winter Storms
Keep Safe During the Storm
Driving in Snow & Ice
Are You at Risk For Winter Storms?
Get Live Traffic Reports

... WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM WEDNESDAY TO 1 PM EST THURSDAY...

* LOCATIONS... TWIN TIER REGION OF NEW YORK AND PENNSYLVANIA... AND THE SUSQUEHANNA REGION OF NEW YORK.

* HAZARDS... HEAVY SNOW. 2 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR EXPECTED WEDNESDAY EVENING.

* ACCUMULATIONS... 8 TO 12 INCHES OF SNOW.

* TIMING... SNOW WILL BEGIN MID TO LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND BECOMING HEAVY AT TIMES... ESPECIALLY IN THE EVENING. THE SNOW COULD MIX WITH SLEET BEFORE TAPERING OFF THURSDAY MORNING.

* TEMPERATURES... IN THE UPPER 20S.

* WINDS... NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH.
Alabama is the new Oklahoma...
2226. scott39
2 on the ground in Mobile in less than a week is unheard of! That was at least an F2 in midtown this evening. Damage is extensive in some areas. Thank God for NO injuries.
Astronomy Picture of the Day

Yosemite Winter Night
Image Credit & Copyright: Wally Pacholka (AstroPics.com, TWAN)

Explanation: In this evocative night skyscape a starry band of the Milky Way climbs over Yosemite Valley, Sierra Nevada Range, planet Earth. Jupiter is the brightest celestial beacon on the wintry scene, though. Standing nearly opposite the Sun in the constellation Taurus, the wandering planet joins yellowish Aldebaran and the Hyades star cluster. Below, Orion always comes up sideways over a fence of mountains. And from there the twin stars of Gemini rise just across the Milky Way. As this peaceful winter night began, they followed Auriga the charioteer, its alpha star Capella near the top of the frame.
While the tornado threat has decreased, it isn't fully over.

999
WWUS54 KBMX 260440
SVSBMX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1040 PM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

ALC109-260500-
/O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0044.000000T0000Z-121226T0500Z/
PIKE AL-
1040 PM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN PIKE COUNTY UNTIL
1100 PM CST...

AT 1039 PM CST...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED A TORNADO. THIS
TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR TROY MUNICIPAL AIRPORT...OR NEAR TROY...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LINWOOD...CHINA GROVE AND SANDFIELD.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CALL 1-800-856-0758.

LAT...LON 3185 8608 3197 8600 3205 8599 3204 8597
3206 8596 3205 8590 3196 8588 3197 8579
3188 8579 3188 8570 3179 8597
TIME...MOT...LOC 0441Z 228DEG 51KT 3189 8592

$$

GRANTHAM
27W WUKONG
Even if half of these 31 tornado reports do not end up being tornadoes, yesterday will still go down as the busiest Christmas Day in terms of tornadoes on record.

In the western Pacific, Tropical Storm Wukong is over the Philippines, bringing heavy rain and gusty winds.

Quoting wxgeek723:
Alabama is the new Oklahoma...


New tourist industry boost for "The Heart of Dixie."

1. Wanna see a twister?

2. Come to Alabama

3. Rent a reasonably expensive hotel room or suite

4. Wait. It'll happen soon enough.
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Even if half of these 31 tornado reports do not end up being tornadoes, yesterday will still go down as the busiest Christmas Day in terms of tornadoes on record.



Angela posted a new blog on it all. Concurring that record probably fell.

Hope this storm doesn't get too crazy today. Looks like it has alot of energy left. Moderate risk looks warranted.
Dead pine trees from drought continue to fall tonight, seen some down near me, and has already killed a person NW of Houston.

Gusts to 50mph at my place this evening around sunset. Temps have plunged into the mid to upper 30s area wide.

Good Morning. Waiting on the southern tier of the squall line to reach the Florida Big Bend.

Two points of note from the most recent Tallahassee NWS discussion...This storm is deepening as it heads towards the Eastern Seaboard. Also, interesting discussion about the "why" behind general weakening of these lines after they pass through the Florida Panhandle headed East towards the Big Bend. Some of us talked about this yesterday......Now I have to figure out (call them) to ask what factors in Apalachee Bay cause stabilization.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1109 PM EST Tue Dec 25 2012

19 UTC regional mesoanalysis shows the surface low continues to deepen over Western Louisiana now down to 998 mb.

Further to the east into South Central Georgia and the Florida Big Bend, the stabilizing influence of Apalachee Bay will likely diminish the intensity of the squall line somewhat


Link
I've noticed the nuts who were talking about the outbreak underperforming expectations have fallen rather silent since the preliminary tornado reports number jumped from 15 to 33. Expect that number to continue to rise—there's usually a significant delay between when we here on the blog learn about a tornado and when the official report makes it to the NWS—especially on Christmas Day when most of the relevant authorities are gonna be short-staffed.

Based on what I've seen, I wouldn't be surprised to see 30 confirmed tornadoes when all's said and done, several of them in the strong category, and maybe even our first ever Christmas EF-4. So the "Moderate" Risk forecast and the ominous language turned out to be completely justified and almost right on the mark as far as timing and location.
2240. vanwx
Quoting RitaEvac:
Dead pine trees from drought continue to fall tonight, seen some down near me, and has already killed a person NW of Houston.

Gusts to 50mph at my place this evening around sunset. Temps have plunged into the mid to upper 30s area wide.



Never trust a dead tree in a storm, my years of experience. There sure to be more dead and hundreds without housing after this one; a truly bad storm and still no ETA for when this winds it's way up north(carolinas and tennnessy). It's not over yet.
Fiji Meteorological Services
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 05F
18:00 PM FST December 26 2012
====================================

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Disturbance 05F (1001 hPa) located at 8.1S 167.4E is reported as slowly moving. Position poor based on multispectral visible imagery and peripheral surface observations. Sea surface temperature is around 30C. System lies under an upper level ridge in a low sheared environment. The cyclonic circulation extends up to 700 HPA.

Global models have picked up the system and moves it southwestward with slight intensification.
Philippines Atmospheric Geophysical Astronomical Services and Administration
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin #7
TROPICAL DEPRESSION QUINTA
5:00 PM PhST December 26 2012
==============================

Tropical Depression "QUINTA" continues to move towards northern Palawan

At 4:00 PM PhST, Tropical Depression Quinta [1000 hPa] located at 11.7N 121.1E or 90 km east of Coron, Palawan has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 12 knots.

Signal Warnings
=================

Signal Warning #1
-----------------

Luzon region
-------------
1. Mindoro Provinces
2. Romblon
3. Lubang Island
4. northern Palawan
5. Calamian Group of Islands
6. Cuyo Island
7. Marinduque

Visayas region
-------------
1. Aklan
2. Capiz
3. Antique
4. Iloilo
5. Negros Occidental
6. Guimaras

Additional Information
======================
Public Storm Warning Signal elsewhere now lowered.

Estimated rainfall amount is from 5-15 mm per hour (moderate to heavy) within the 350 km diameter of the tropical depression.

Residents living in low lying and mountainous areas under public storm warning signal #1 are alerted against possible flash floods and landslides.

Fishing boats and other small seacrafts are advised not to venture out into the seaboards of Luzon and Visayas due to the enhanced Northeast Monsoon.

The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 11 PM today.
2243. LargoFl
Good Morning Folks..7-day for Tampa Bay area.....
2244. LargoFl
well just walked the dogs, no wind yet, calm and not cold at all but the front is coming today and we have wind warnings for later this morning, then the temps slide downwards..have a great day everyone
2245. LargoFl
2246. LargoFl
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
417 AM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND
NORTHEAST GEORGIA TODAY...

.DEEP LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE WEST OF THE APPALACHIANS TODAY.
STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL FORM OUT AHEAD OF THIS STORM SYSTEM
AND BRING VERY WINDY CONDITIONS TO THE AREA TODAY. DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE NORTH
CAROLINA MOUNTAINS...ESPECIALLY AROUND THE SMOKIES AND BALSAMS...
THIS MORNING. ALTHOUGH WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO GENERALLY BE MUCH
WEAKER IN THE VALLEYS AND THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT...OCCASIONAL
STRONG GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE THERE AS WELL. GIVEN THE EXPECTED
WET SOIL CONDITIONS...TREES COULD BE BLOWN DOWN AND POWER OUTAGES
COULD OCCUR JUST ABOUT ANYWHERE ACROSS THE AREA.
2247. vanwx
Quoting LargoFl:
Good Morning Folks..7-day for Tampa Bay area.....


What a strange storm!Snowcadoes at night.
Mornin' Largo!

Evenin' Aussie!
2249. LargoFl
Quoting vanwx:


What a strange storm!Snowcadoes at night.
..Good morning vanwx..yeah this might turn out to be another very bad day for the more eastern states today, especially Georgia and SC this morning, hope not another day with alot of tornado's again..it was horrible yesterday huh..have a safe one
2250. LargoFl
Quoting indianrivguy:
Mornin' Largo!

Evenin' Aussie!
good morning..keep a good eye on the weather this morning
2251. LargoFl
Severe Thunderstorms Possible Today

Main Hazards: Damaging winds and isolated (but possibly strong) tornadoes

Timing: Through mid-afternoon

Location: Southeast South Carolina and Southeast Georgia
2252. LargoFl
ALERT Severe Storms Possible Across West Central Florida Wednesday. Set Your NOAA Weather Radio to Alert Mode
2253. LargoFl
2254. LargoFl
wow today its the southeast states turn for storms...
Quoting LargoFl:
good morning..keep a good eye on the weather this morning


That I will do... prolly mid afternoon arrival. This thing looks like it will dissipate some as it reaches me. Seems like the tails fall apart just as they pass us here in Jensen, then reform south of us and give it to Dade County. Man, bad weather for Christmas in a lot of places. I wonder if the wishcasters for tornadoes and such from yesterday are now satisfied...
2256. LargoFl
2257. LargoFl
Quoting indianrivguy:


That I will do... prolly mid afternoon arrival. This thing looks like it will dissipate some as it reaches me. Seems like the tails fall apart just as they pass us here in Jensen, then reform south of us and give it to Dade County. Man, bad weather for Christmas in a lot of places. I wonder if the wishcasters for tornadoes and such from yesterday are now satisfied...
yeah i think we dont get much from this storm outside of some wind and maybe a few showers..I think the wishcasters had a great day yesterday..maybe 30 tornado's whew..but..alot of people are suffering today in those area's it was a very dangerous storm alright
2258. LargoFl
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OVER EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA THIS
AFTERNOON AND EARLY TONIGHT...

A STRONG UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND ACCOMPANYING SURFACE SYSTEM WILL
LEAD TO AN ENHANCED THREAT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS...BUT
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE AS WELL.

RESIDENTS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND THOSE TRAVELING IN THE
AREA ARE URGED TO REVIEW SEVERE WEATHER SAFETY RULES. LISTEN TO
RADIO...TELEVISION...AND NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR POSSIBLE
WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND STATEMENTS LATER TODAY. BE PREPARED...BE
ALERT...AND STAY SAFE.

$$

JBM
2259. LargoFl
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
426 AM EST WED DEC 26 2012

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-GMZ830 -850-853-856-870-
873-876-270000-
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSB OROUGH-POLK-
MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DESOTO-CHARLOTT E-LEE-
TAMPA BAY WATERS-TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 NM-
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
426 AM EST WED DEC 26 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
A NARROW BAND OF SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL CROSS THE FORECAST AREA
TODAY. A FEW OF THE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ISOLATED
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS DURING THE MORNING HOURS...ESPECIALLY TO THE
NORTH OF TAMPA BAY. THE THREAT FOR ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS LOOKS TO
DIMINISH INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

...WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE FORECAST
WATERS OF THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING.
WINDS AND SEAS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH LATE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY
MORNING.
Turns out I lived to tell about the PDS watch after all.

*dances*
2261. LargoFl
nah this isnt our storm..........
2262. LargoFl
2263. LargoFl
....this is what they are dealing with in mobile alabama
2264. LargoFl
2265. LargoFl
LOOKS LIKE WASH WILL GET HER SNOW TODAY...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
602 AM EST WED DEC 26 2012

DCZ001-MDZ005>007-009>011-013-014-VAZ051>055-502- 261400-
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-CARROLL-NORTHERN BALTIMORE-HARFORD-
MONTGOMERY-HOWARD-SOUTHERN BALTIMORE-PRINCE GEORGES-ANNE ARUNDEL-
CULPEPER-PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK-FAIRFAX-
ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA-STAFFORD-SOUTHERN FAUQUIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON...WESTMINSTER...
GAITHERSBURG...COLUMBIA...BALTIMORE...ANNAPOLIS.. .CULPEPER...
MANASSAS...MANASSAS PARK...FAIRFAX...ALEXANDRIA...FALLS CHURCH
602 AM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW FOR THE EARLY MORNING COMMUTE...

THE FIRST WAVE OF PRECIPITATION WILL MOVE FROM SOUTH TO NORTH
ACROSS THE GREATER WASHINGTON METRO AREA BETWEEN 6 AM AND 8
AM....AND ACROSS THE GREATER BALTIMORE METRO AREA BETWEEN 7 AM AND
9 AM. THIS FIRST WAVE OF PRECIPITATION WILL PRIMARILY FALL IN THE
FORM OF LIGHT SNOW.

EXPECT AROUND A HALF INCH OF SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION. TEMPERATURES
WILL MAINLY BE IN THE MID 30S ACROSS THE WASHINGTON-BALTIMORE
METRO AREA...HOWEVER THERE MAY BE LOCALIZED AREAS IN THE LOWER
30S WHICH COULD LEAD TO PATCHY SLICK SPOTS. BE ESPECIALLY CAREFUL
FOR SLICK SPOTS ON ANY UNTREATED BRIDGES...RAMPS AND OVERPASSES.

$$
2266. ncstorm
I went to bed with cold weather and woke up to thunder..

2267. ncstorm




HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
426 AM EST WED DEC 26 2012

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-GMZ830 -850-853-856-870-
873-876-270000-
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSB OROUGH-POLK-
MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DESOTO-CHARLOTT E-LEE-
TAMPA BAY WATERS-TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 NM-
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
426 AM EST WED DEC 26 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
A NARROW BAND OF SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL CROSS THE FORECAST AREA
TODAY. A FEW OF THE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ISOLATED
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS DURING THE MORNING HOURS...ESPECIALLY TO THE
NORTH OF TAMPA BAY. THE THREAT FOR ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS LOOKS TO
DIMINISH INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

...WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE FORECAST
WATERS OF THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING.
WINDS AND SEAS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH LATE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY
MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
A ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL ACCOMPANY A COLD FRONTAL
PASSAGE ON SATURDAY. A FEW STORMS MAY BE ON THE STRONG
SIDE...HOWEVER WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS CURRENTLY NOT
ANTICIPATED.

...WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
A PERIOD OF CAUTIONARY TO ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS AND SEAS IS
EXPECTED OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SUNDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE REQUIRED TODAY...HOWEVER ANY
REPORTS OF SEVERE WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH THE STORMS TODAY WOULD
BE GREATLY APPRECIATED.

$$

MROCZKA




------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------

2269. ncstorm


MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2231
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0707 AM CST WED DEC 26 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL/ERN SC...SRN NC

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 261307Z - 261430Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 PERCENT

SUMMARY...TSTMS MAY INCREASE IN INTENSITY BY 16Z IN ADVANCE OF A
COLD FRONT AND DEVELOPING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS WILL FAVOR SUPERCELL AND BOWING STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF
DAMAGING WINDS AND TORNADOES. A WW MAY BE NEEDED PRIOR TO 16Z.

DISCUSSION...A WARM FRONT EXTENDED FROM JUST S OF MRH INLAND NEAR
MYR AND TO A DEVELOPING SECONDARY AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER NRN GA.
AS THE MORNING PROGRESSES THE WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NWD IN TANDEM
WITH THE DEVELOPING SFC LOW...RESULTING IN A MODESTLY UNSTABLE AND
STRONGLY SHEARED ATM OVER CENTRAL/ERN SC AND SRN NC. WIDESPREAD
CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION WILL PREVENT SUBSTANTIAL
DESTABILIZATION...HOWEVER COOLING MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES AND FORCING
FOR ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH A STRONG SHORTWAVE WILL FOSTER THE
DEVELOPMENT/INTENSIFICATION OF TSTMS DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS OVER
THE DISCUSSION AREA. VERY STRONG LOW-LEVEL WIND FIELDS HAVE RESULTED
IN 0-1 KM SRH VALUES IN EXCESS OF 500 M2/S2...AND SUPERCELL
STRUCTURES/BOWING SEGMENTS APPEAR INCREASINGLY LIKELY WITH A RISK OF
TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WINDS. HIGH-RESOLUTION NUMERICAL GUIDANCE
DEPICTS THIS SCENARIO UNFOLDING ACROSS THE DISCUSSION AREA THROUGH
MIDDAY. CONVECTIVE TRENDS ARE BEING MONITORED FOR A WW PRIOR TO 16Z.

..BUNTING/MEAD.. 12/26/2012


ATTN...WFO...MHX...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...GSP...

LAT...LON 33048115 33738126 35288066 35587931 35547650 35397569
35187563 34367640 34287697 34007758 33537821 32297987
32268057 33048115
2270. LargoFl
WOW..BE CAREFUL TODAY FOLKS..IT IS COMING TO TAMPA BAY AREA.. TODAY IS OUR TURN FOR BAD WEATHER............................NOW...
THROUGH 10 AM...A LINE OF SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH ACROSS THE NATURE COAST AND
ADJACENT GULF WATERS THIS MORNING. THE LINE IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE SOUTHEAST AND TOWARDS THE TAMPA BAY AREA THROUGHOUT THE
DAY. EXPECT PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN...GUSTY WINDS...AND DANGEROUS
LIGHTNING NEAR THE STRONGEST STORMS. ADDITIONALLY...ISOLATED
TORNADOES OR WATER SPOUTS MAY BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

$$

TF
2271. ncstorm
US National Weather Service Wilmington NC
ILM issues Marine Warning for Coastal waters from Cape Fear NC to Little River Inlet SC out 20 nm, Coastal waters from Little River Inlet to Murrells Inlet SC out 20 nm, Coastal waters from Surf City to Cape Fear NC out 20 nm, Waters from Surf City NC to South Santee River SC from 20 to 40 nm [AM] till 9:30 AM EST
Reunion RSMC
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
16:00 PM RET December 26 2012
===================================

Environmental pressure are low in the area (1005.4 hPa recorded at 0900Z at buoy 53005 - 1007 hPa at Diego Garcia). However, there is no low level circulation present at this time according to surface obs and satellite imagery. Some numerical weather prediction models continue to deepen a low within the next 2 days to the southwest of the Chagos archipelago between 08S-12S and 60E-70E. Up to Saturday, any development should be slow to occur due to some rather strong easterly shear. During the week-end, the conditions should become more conducive for development as the shear is expected to decrease.

Within this forecast period, the models continues to suggest a general west southwestwards motion.

For the next 24 hours , development of a tropical depression is not expected but the potential
becomes poor Friday and fair Saturday.
2273. LargoFl
...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR WESTERN
BRADFORD...SOUTHERN BAKER...WESTERN ALACHUA...SOUTHERN COLUMBIA...
GILCHRIST...SOUTHEASTERN SUWANNEE AND UNION COUNTIES FOR STRONG WINDS
VALID UNTIL 845 AM EST...

AT 803 AM EST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 4 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF WINFIELD TO 12 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BELL...MOVING EAST AT 45
MPH. THESE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND
SUWANNEE VALLEY...BRANFORD...WINFIELD...HILDRETH...FIVE POINTS...
TRENTON...LAKE CITY...ICHETUCKNEE SPRINGS STATE PARK...FIVE POINTS
AND COLUMBIA THROUGH 845 AM EST. GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE
EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR WIND DAMAGE.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #21
TROPICAL STORM WUKONG (T1225)
21:00 PM JST December 26 2012
===============================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In Sulu Sea

At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Wukong (1002 hPa) located at 11.3N 121.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 50 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 12 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
===============
120 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
========================
24 HRS: 11.6N 115.6E - 40 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) South China Sea
48 HRS: 11.3N 111.6E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) South China Sea
72 HRS: 8.9N 108.2E - Tropical Depression In South China Sea
Quoting indianrivguy:


That I will do... prolly mid afternoon arrival. This thing looks like it will dissipate some as it reaches me. Seems like the tails fall apart just as they pass us here in Jensen, then reform south of us and give it to Dade County. Man, bad weather for Christmas in a lot of places. I wonder if the wishcasters for tornadoes and such from yesterday are now satisfied...
Good morning IRG. I agree with it falling apart before it reaches you, and me, But it's supposed to lower the temps from the high 70's today to the high 40's this evening.
Largo, you keep a close watch on that line, but I know you will.
2277. ncstorm
Meteorologist Tim Buckley
Offshore t-storm likely producing a #waterspout. Storm headed toward Southport / Bald Head. #ilm #ncwx

2278. LargoFl
Quoting PalmBeachWeather:
Largo, you keep a close watch on that line, but I know you will.
THANKS,its getting windy here now, hope no tornado's for us today..nws says there is that possibility whew..
2279. LargoFl
2281. LargoFl
2282. LargoFl
2283. LargoFl
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
846 AM EST WED DEC 26 2012

FLZ023>025-030>032-261430-
BAKER-BRADFORD-CLAY-DUVAL-NASSAU-UNION-
846 AM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR CLAY...
BRADFORD...EASTERN BAKER...UNION...WESTERN DUVAL AND SOUTHWESTERN
NASSAU COUNTIES FOR STRONG WINDS VALID UNTIL 930 AM EST...

AT 846 AM EST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES NORTH OF
SANDERSON TO 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF WORTHINGTON SPRINGS...MOVING EAST
AT 50 MPH. THESE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND
WORTHINGTON SPRINGS...SANDERSON...LAKE BUTLER...DUKES...RAIFORD...
JOHNSTOWN...GLEN SAINT MARY...BROOKER...NEW RIVER AND MACCLENNY
THROUGH 930 AM EST. GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG
WITH POSSIBLE MINOR WIND DAMAGE.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.
2284. LargoFl
WOW HUNKER DOWN AND STAY SAFE EAST COAST FLORIDA.....
2285. LargoFl
so far so good here, just heavy overcast and windy...
nuttin impression there largo in comment 2282.are we supost to pick up more rain later maybe????
Quoting LargoFl:
2287. LargoFl
looks like the main thrust is up in the carolina's now..
2288. LargoFl
Quoting stormchaser43:
nuttin impression there largo in comment 2282.are we supost to pick up more rain later maybe????
yes thats what they say, some rain and windy and possible waterspouts and tornado's..we can take the wind and rain..hope no tornado's but you never know
2289. LargoFl
2290. ncstorm
WWAY NEWS
RT @TimBuckleyWX: Warm front moving N across the area will allow t-storms to form as expected. #ilm #ncwx http://t.co/Ztuv6COZ #brunsco
2291. pcola57
Quoting indianrivguy:


That I will do... prolly mid afternoon arrival. This thing looks like it will dissipate some as it reaches me. Seems like the tails fall apart just as they pass us here in Jensen, then reform south of us and give it to Dade County. Man, bad weather for Christmas in a lot of places. I wonder if the wishcasters for tornadoes and such from yesterday are now satisfied...


Glad to see common sense prevail this am..
Good morning indianrivguy..
Front/squall line came through about 10pm bring a stinging sideways rain for about 30mins. and then was gone..
Can't be said for others I'm afraid..
I was watching live as Mobile had their terror
I just began my day here so haven't much data..

Here's GOES East this am..


1 KM Visible Satellite for Florida
2292. LargoFl
Quoting stormchaser43:
nuttin impression there largo in comment 2282.are we supost to pick up more rain later maybe????
here is what they said for us........822 AM EST WED DEC 26 2012

.NOW...
THROUGH 10 AM...A LINE OF SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH ACROSS THE NATURE COAST AND
ADJACENT GULF WATERS THIS MORNING. THE LINE IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE SOUTHEAST AND TOWARDS THE TAMPA BAY AREA THROUGHOUT THE
DAY. EXPECT PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN...GUSTY WINDS...AND DANGEROUS
LIGHTNING NEAR THE STRONGEST STORMS. ADDITIONALLY...ISOLATED
TORNADOES OR WATER SPOUTS MAY BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

$$

TF
It's snowing in D.C!.It is sticking to and we have a nice coating on the roof and car with fat flakes.
doesnt look like 2012 will be the least active on record after today, 34 reports yesterday, we should already be near 940
Quoting washingtonian115:
It's snowing in D.C!.It is sticking to and we have a nice coating on the roof and car with fat flakes.


The yard is covered to with snow.Unfortunately rain will ruin it later.I'm taking pics!.
2297. ncstorm
WWAY NEWS
Waterspout moving NE toward Bald Head Island. May clip coast in 10-15 min. Stay safe. #brunsco #ncwx #ilm
2298. LargoFl
...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG
HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH
CAROLINA...

FRENCH BROAD RIVER AT BLANTYRE AFFECTING HENDERSON AND
TRANSYLVANIA COUNTIES

.2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS IN THE HEADWATERS OF
THE FRENCH BROAD RIVER. RUNOFF FROM THE HEAVY RAIN WILL CAUSE THE RIVER AT BLANTYRE
TO RISE JUST ABOVE FLOOD STAGE.

REMEMBER...RIVER STAGE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED AND
FORECASTED RAINFALL. IF ACTUAL RAINFALL VARIES FROM THE FORECAST
VALUES...THE RIVER STAGE WILL VARY ACCORDINGLY.
2299. ncstorm
US National Weather Service Wilmington NC
ILM issues Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Brunswick, New Hanover [NC] till 10:30 AM EST
2300. LargoFl
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
839 AM EST WED DEC 26 2012

MDZ003>005-VAZ027>031-039-040-042-501-WVZ050>053- 055-262145-
/O.CON.KLWX.WW.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-121227T1100Z/
WASHINGTON-FREDERICK MD-CARROLL-SHENANDOAH-FREDERICK VA-PAGE-
WARREN-CLARKE-MADISON-RAPPAHANNOCK-LOUDOUN-NORTHE RN FAUQUIER-
HAMPSHIRE-MORGAN-BERKELEY-JEFFERSON-HARDY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HAGERSTOWN...FREDERICK...WESTMINSTER...
WINCHESTER...FRONT ROYAL...WASHINGTON...LEESBURG...WARRENTON...
MARTINSBURG...CHARLES TOWN...MOOREFIELD
839 AM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* PRECIPITATION TYPE...A WINTRY MIX OF SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING
RAIN.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION AROUND AN INCH
ACROSS THE FAR WESTERN SUBURBS OF THE METRO AREAS TO 3 INCHES
OVER WEST-CENTRAL MARYLAND AND THE EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA
PANHANDLE. ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM A FEW HUNDREDTHS
OF AN INCH ACROSS THE FAR WESTERN SUBURBS...TO UP TO TWO
TENTHS OF AN INCH ACROSS WEST-CENTRAL MARYLAND AND THE EASTERN
WEST VIRGINIA PANHANDLE.

* TIMING...SNOW AND SLEET WILL TRANSITION TO FREEZING RAIN THIS AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING. PRECIPITATION MAY REMAIN FREEZING RAIN NEAR
AND WEST OF THE BLUE RIDGE BEFORE ENDING LATE TONIGHT.

* TEMPERATURES...UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* IMPACTS...TREACHEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED DUE TO A
WINTRY MIX OF SNOW AND ICE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$
2301. LargoFl
Every new model run keeps giving me less snow, and since I can't be mad at the weather I'm doing the mature thing and blaming the models.
18Z:

12Z:


Stupid 1's and 0's
2303. LargoFl
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA AND
SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

WIND ADVISORY.
FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY.

WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY TONIGHT AND INCREASE WITH
GUSTS TO 55 OR 60 MPH LIKELY. UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS COULD RESULT IN
A COUPLE OF INCHES ALONG WEST FACING SLOPES LATE TONIGHT AS WELL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PERSIST INTO THURSDAY. UPSLOPE SNOW
SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THURSDAY MORNING...WITH ANOTHER
ROUND OF SNOW POSSIBLE AGAIN SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THIS TIME
FRAME.
2304. ncstorm
US National Weather Service Wilmington NC
ILM issues Tornado Warning for Brunswick, New Hanover, Pender [NC] till 10:30 AM EST ...* AT 939 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR SOUTHPORT...OR ABOUT 10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CAROLINA BEACH...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.
2305. LargoFl
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
927 AM EST WED DEC 26 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON NC HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN BRUNSWICK COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
SOUTHERN NEW HANOVER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA

* UNTIL 1030 AM EST

* AT 923 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS
OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 10 MILES SOUTH OF SOUTHPORT...OR
20 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CAROLINA BEACH...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30
MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO...
SOUTHPORT...
CAROLINA BEACH...
MYRTLE GROVE...
MASONBORO...
SEAGATE...
WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...

MORE DANGEROUS THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP AND AFFECT OTHER COMMUNITIES
IN THE WARNED AREA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH ARE EXPECTED FROM THIS STORM. SEEK
SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH...
DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAIN. FOR YOUR
PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME
OR BUSINESS.

&&
2306. LargoFl
The NWS has now expanded the winter weather advisory over D.C.The local mets have failed with this storm in terms of the impacts on the city.Where Is wxgeekva?
2308. LargoFl
2309. LargoFl
Quoting washingtonian115:
The NWS has now expanded the winter weather advisory over D.C.The local mets have failed with this storm in terms of the impacts on the city.Where Is wxgeekva?


Just woke up to ~1.3" of snow and it's still falling. Winter Weather Advisory up until 1PM, and it' lightly snowing here right now. Storm has overperformed due to extra cold air damming that the models didn't see. It'll still change over to rain but maybe another inch of snow is possible!
2311. pcola57


Red Cross shelter opens for tornado victims

Updated: Wednesday, 26 Dec 2012, 8:28 AM CST
Published : Tuesday, 25 Dec 2012, 10:52 PM CST

PRICHARD, Ala. (WALA) - Officials with the said the American Red Cross Alabama Gulf Coast Chapter opened a shelter at 10 p.m. on Dec. 25 for those impacted by the Christmas Day tornado.

Organizers said at the shelter, Red Cross volunteers will be helping residents impacted by the storm by offering a safe place to stay, a hot meal, and a shoulder to lean on.

They said in the days and weeks to come, the Alabama Gulf Coast Chapter will be coordinating with emergency officials and local community partners to help residents impacted by the tornado get back on their feet.

The shelter is located at City of Prichard Public Safety Building at 743 Mt. Sinai Avenue in Prichard, Ala.

2312. icmoore
a href="Photobucket" target="_blank">a href="Photobucket" target="_blank">

Good morning.
Quoting WxGeekVA:


Just woke up to ~1.3" of snow and it's still falling. Winter Weather Advisory up until 1PM, and it' lightly snowing here right now. Storm has overperformed due to extra cold air damming that the models didn't see. It'll still change over to rain but maybe another inch of snow is possible!




JB called it from 8 days out.
Quoting WxGeekVA:


Just woke up to ~1.3" of snow and it's still falling. Winter Weather Advisory up until 1PM, and it' lightly snowing here right now. Storm has overperformed due to extra cold air damming that the models didn't see. It'll still change over to rain but maybe another inch of snow is possible!
Yep :) their is already a inch in my yard.Other places are also reporting about a inch and counting.
2315. ncstorm
WWAY NEWS
Storm cell at BHI w/ possible tornado heading NE toward southern pleasure island #ilm #brunsco
2316. LargoFl
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
950 AM EST WED DEC 26 2012

NCC019-129-141-261530-
/O.CON.KILM.TO.W.0010.000000T0000Z-121226T1530Z/
PENDER NC-NEW HANOVER NC-BRUNSWICK NC-
950 AM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1030 AM EST FOR EAST
CENTRAL BRUNSWICK...NEW HANOVER AND SOUTHEASTERN PENDER COUNTIES...

AT 949 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR CAROLINA BEACH...
OR 2 MILES EAST OF CAROLINA BEACH...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO MASONBORO...
SEAGATE...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...WINDEMERE...SMITH CREEK...OGDEN...
BAYSHORE...SCOTTS HILL...HAMPSTEAD...TOPSAIL...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WOODSIDE...SURF CITY AND EDGECOMB.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.

&&

PLEASE REPORT HAIL...DOWNED TREES OR DAMAGING WINDS TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON NC...TOLL FREE AT 800-697-3901...WHEN
YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.
2317. JNCali
Snow started 3 hours early here in Mid TN. Gotta half inch so far and forecast to continue lightly falling until this afternoon.. hoping to get enough for a reasonable snowman, We'll see.. Happy Holidays!
2318. kwgirl
Good morning all. I hope everyone's had a great Christmas. I feel sorry for those people who were hit with the tornadoes. We had a beautiful Christmas Day here in the Keys with temps in the mid 70's , cool light breeze blowing.

Now on to New Year's. May it be a prosperous and healthful New Year for everyone.
2319. dabirds
Just missed me here between I-55 (20 mi W), I-70 (30 mi S) and US 51 (12 mi E). Have no snow at all. Grandson's sled from last Christmas still waiting for its first use. Saw pics from S IL, really piling up there. An inch or two would have been nice, but oh well.
2320. icmoore
a href="Photobucket" target="_blank">
even blind squirrel can find a nut sometimes
Quoting PensacolaDoug:




JB called it from 8 days out.
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 699
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1010 AM EST WED DEC 26 2012

TORNADO WATCH 699 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EST FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

NCC013-017-019-031-047-049-051-055-061-065-079-093 -095-101-103-
107-117-129-133-137-141-147-155-163-165-177-187-19 1-195-
262200-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0699.121226T1510Z-121226T2200Z/

NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BEAUFORT BLADEN BRUNSWICK
CARTERET COLUMBUS CRAVEN
CUMBERLAND DARE DUPLIN
EDGECOMBE GREENE HOKE
HYDE JOHNSTON JONES
LENOIR MARTIN NEW HANOVER
ONSLOW PAMLICO PENDER
PITT ROBESON SAMPSON
SCOTLAND TYRRELL WASHINGTON
WAYNE WILSON


SCC031-033-041-043-051-067-069-089-262200-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0699.121226T1510Z-121226T2200Z/

SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

DARLINGTON DILLON FLORENCE
GEORGETOWN HORRY MARION
MARLBORO WILLIAMSBURG


AMZ130-135-150-152-154-156-158-250-252-254-256-262 200-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0699.121226T1510Z-121226T2200Z/

CW

. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

ALBEMARLE SOUND

PAMLICO SOUND

COASTAL WATERS FROM CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT
20 NM

COASTAL WATERS FROM OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM

COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM

COASTAL WATERS FROM OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT 20 NM

COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO SURF CITY NC OUT 20 NM

COASTAL WATERS FROM SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM

COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20
NM

COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET TO MURRELLS INLET SC OUT
20 NM

COASTAL WATERS FROM MURRELLS INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC OUT
20 NM

ATTN...WFO...MHX...ILM...RAH...
Quoting washingtonian115:
Yep :) their is already a inch in my yard.Other places are also reporting about a inch and counting.

Im loving the extra cold air!!!! Its snowing hard again and im hoping there is no changeover.
The heavy stuff hasn't been around for really long as you have had it but keep sending it my way. I appreciate it!
2324. LargoFl
winds are picking up here now...........
2325. ncstorm
US National Weather Service Wilmington NC
ILM issues Tornado Watch for Darlington, Dillon, Florence, Georgetown, Horry, Marion, Marlboro, Williamsburg [SC] and Bladen, Brunswick, Columbus, New Hanover, Pender, Robeson [NC] till 5:00 PM EST
2326. LargoFl
-
2328. LargoFl
TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 699
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1010 AM EST WED DEC 26 2012

TORNADO WATCH 699 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EST FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

NCC013-017-019-031-047-049-051-055-061-065-079-09 3-095-101-103-
107-117-129-133-137-141-147-155-163-165-177-187-1 91-195-
262200-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0699.121226T1510Z-121226T2200Z/

NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BEAUFORT BLADEN BRUNSWICK
CARTERET COLUMBUS CRAVEN
CUMBERLAND DARE DUPLIN
EDGECOMBE GREENE HOKE
HYDE JOHNSTON JONES
LENOIR MARTIN NEW HANOVER
ONSLOW PAMLICO PENDER
PITT ROBESON SAMPSON
SCOTLAND TYRRELL WASHINGTON
WAYNE WILSON
$$
2329. LargoFl
folks that cold air in the 40's is going to crash into our mid 70's humid air..be careful today...........
2330. LargoFl
2331. ncstorm
dr. Greg Forbes from Facebook

Wed Dec 26
Severe thunderstorms with damaging gusts and isolated tornadoes in east SC, east half NC, southeast VA, extreme southeast MD, possibly south DE. Isolated damaging gusts in north and
central FL peninsula. TORCON - 6 east NC; 3 - southeast VA; 5 coastal SC; 2 or less FL. Strong non-thunderstorms gusts over 50 mph in places by evening and overnight in DE, NJ, south NY, CT, RI, MA, southeast NH, coastal ME.

Thur Dec 27
Probably no severe thunderstorms. TORCON - near zero. Strong winds in the Northeast with heavy rain in eastern Mid-Atlantic and south New England.
Quoting washingtonian115:
Yep :) their is already a inch in my yard.Other places are also reporting about a inch and counting.


We have 3 inches and still pouring snow in the mountains to the west of DC.
2333. pcola57






2334. VR46L
Some tornado signatures showing on Wilmington Radar NC

2335. LargoFl
2336. LargoFl
My weather radio just woke me up by flashing with a bright light. I'm telling you, they really are helpful for night time storms!!!
Quoting dabirds:
Just missed me here between I-55 (20 mi W), I-70 (30 mi S) and US 51 (12 mi E). Have no snow at all. Grandson's sled from last Christmas still waiting for its first use. Saw pics from S IL, really piling up there. An inch or two would have been nice, but oh well.


I would gladly send you all our snow if someone would give me the the authority :) 3 inches and counting, plenty for a snowman.
Walked outside here, just north of Wilmington, and it feels like spring. Current temperature is 66F with breezy southerly winds between 15-20 mph.
2340. LargoFl
TAMPA BAY...............NOW...
THROUGH 11 AM...A LINE OF SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH ACROSS THE NATURE COAST
AND ADJACENT GULF WATERS AND INTO THE TAMPA BAY AREA THIS
MORNING. EXPECT PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN...GUSTY WINDS...AND
DANGEROUS LIGHTNING NEAR THE STRONGEST STORMS.
ADDITIONALLY...ISOLATED TORNADOES OR WATER SPOUTS MAY BE POSSIBLE
WITH THESE STORMS.

$$

TF
2341. icmoore
a href="Photobucket" target="_blank">

Getting a little closer now.
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Walked outside here, just north of Wilmington, and it feels like spring. Current temperature is 66F with breezy southerly winds between 15-20 mph.
While it's pouring here in Raleigh area. The ditches are flooded.
2343. LargoFl
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
846 AM EST WED DEC 26 2012

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054 -058-059-064-141-
144-147-261700-
COASTAL VOLUSIA-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE OUT TO 20 NM-INDIAN RIVER-INLAND VOLUSIA-MARTIN-
NORTHERN BREVARD-NORTHERN LAKE-OKEECHOBEE-ORANGE-OSCEOLA-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT TO 20 NM-SEMINOLE-
SOUTHERN BREVARD-SOUTHERN LAKE-ST. LUCIE-VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET OUT TO 20 NM-
846 AM EST WED DEC 26 2012

.NOW...
...LINE OF SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED STORMS MOVING TOWARD AREA...

THROUGH NOON...A LINE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL MOVE ONSHORE THE
FLORIDA GULF COAST AND CONTINUE TO MOVE TOWARD THE INTERSTATE FOUR
CORRIDOR AND THEME PARKS OF METRO ORLANDO. AS THE LINE MOVES ACROSS
THE AREA EXPECT A RELATIVELY BRIEF PERIOD OF HEAVY RAIN...LIGHTNING
AND WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 40 MPH. EMBEDDED STORMS WITHIN THE LINE WILL
BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY STRONGER WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH
AND MORE FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES. ACTIVITY WILL MOVE STEADILY
EASTWARD ACROSS THE EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON
AND IT IS EXPECTED THE STRENGTH OF CELLS WILL DIMINISH SOUTH OF THE
METRO ORLANDO AREA PAST MID AFTERNOON WITH PRIMARILY SHOWERS AND JUST
A FEW STORMS WITHIN THE LINE AS IT APPROACHES THE TREASURE COAST AND
LAKE OKEECHOBEE LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

&&

ADDITIONAL DETAILS...INCLUDING GRAPHICS ARE AVAILABLE ONLINE AT:
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MLB/BLOG.PHP

$$

JP

Winter Storm Warning

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
839 AM EST WED DEC 26 2012

MDZ502-VAZ504-WVZ502-504-506-262145-
/O.CON.KLWX.WS.W.0009.000000T0000Z-121227T1100Z/
CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALLEGANY-EASTERN HIGHLAND-EASTERN GRANT-
EASTERN MINERAL-EASTERN PENDLETON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CUMBERLAND...MONTEREY...PETERSBURG...
KEYSER...FORT ASHBY...FRANKLIN
839 AM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* PRECIPITATION TYPE...A WINTRY MIX OF SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING
RAIN.

* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET...WITH THE
HIGHEST ALONG THE RIDGES. AROUND ONE QUARTER INCH OF ICE.

* TIMING...SNOW AND SLEET WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON.
THE SNOW AND SLEET MIXTURE IS EXPECTED TO TRANSITION TO FREEZING
RAIN DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING BEFORE SWITCHING
BACK TO SNOW LATE TONIGHT.

* TEMPERATURES...UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S.

* WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* IMPACTS...TREACHEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED DUE TO A
WINTRY MIX OF SNOW AND ICE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.


I think I am leaving work early today, before the icing starts. I already had to skid around a pickup in a ditch and a jackknifed rig to get here... too many bad drivers on the road, so I will get home and make it one less :)

Please be careful everyone, no matter what end of the storm is hitting your area!
2345. LargoFl

.WATERSPOUT IMPACT...
A SQUALL LINE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED LIGHTNING STORMS AHEAD OF
AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE ATLANTIC WATERS OF
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA TODAY. SHOWERS WITHIN THE LINE WILL MOVE
OFFSHORE BETWEEN 25 AND 30 KNOTS...NORTH OF CAPE CANAVERAL THROUGH
THE MORNING HOURS...THEN THROUGH THE REST OF THE AREA THROUGH LATE
AFTERNOON. ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT MAY DEVELOP WILL HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE WATERSPOUTS AS THE CROSS THE INTRACOASTAL
WATERWAY EN ROUTE TO THE OPEN ATLANTIC. THE WATERSPOUT THREAT WILL
BE GREATEST NORTH OF CAPE CANAVERAL.
Quoting LargoFl:
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
846 AM EST WED DEC 26 2012

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053- 054 -058-059-064-141-
144-147-261700-
COASTAL VOLUSIA-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE OUT TO 20 NM-INDIAN RIVER-INLAND VOLUSIA-MARTIN-
NORTHERN BREVARD-NORTHERN LAKE-OKEECHOBEE-ORANGE-OSCEOLA-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT TO 20 NM-SEMINOLE-
SOUTHERN BREVARD-SOUTHERN LAKE-ST. LUCIE-VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET OUT TO 20 NM-
846 AM EST WED DEC 26 2012

.NOW...
...LINE OF SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED STORMS MOVING TOWARD AREA...

THROUGH NOON...A LINE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL MOVE ONSHORE THE
FLORIDA GULF COAST AND CONTINUE TO MOVE TOWARD THE INTERSTATE FOUR
CORRIDOR AND THEME PARKS OF METRO ORLANDO. AS THE LINE MOVES ACROSS
THE AREA EXPECT A RELATIVELY BRIEF PERIOD OF HEAVY RAIN...LIGHTNING
AND WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 40 MPH. EMBEDDED STORMS WITHIN THE LINE WILL
BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY STRONGER WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH
AND MORE FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES. ACTIVITY WILL MOVE STEADILY
EASTWARD ACROSS THE EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON
AND IT IS EXPECTED THE STRENGTH OF CELLS WILL DIMINISH SOUTH OF THE
METRO ORLANDO AREA PAST MID AFTERNOON WITH PRIMARILY SHOWERS AND JUST
A FEW STORMS WITHIN THE LINE AS IT APPROACHES THE TREASURE COAST AND
LAKE OKEECHOBEE LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

&&

ADDITIONAL DETAILS...INCLUDING GRAPHICS ARE AVAILABLE ONLINE AT:
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MLB/BLOG.PHP

$$

JP


I love that you keep us all up to date on what's happening. Thank you, we appreciate what you do!
2347. LargoFl
Quoting goosegirl1:


I love that you keep us all up to date on what's happening. Thank you, we appreciate what you do!
..thank you..its a dangerous storm today, hopefully folks are reading our blog and are prepared for it..
2348. LargoFl
almost to me ..next half hour or so.............
2349. LargoFl
COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
1025 AM EST WED DEC 26 2012

FROM S OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO N OF SURF CITY NC OUT 20 NM...
INCLUDING THE ALBEMARLE AND PAMLICO SOUNDS AND THE MONITOR NATIONAL
MARINE SANCTUARY

AMZ156-262315-
S OF OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT 20 NM-
1025 AM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...TORNADO WATCH 699 IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

.REST OF TODAY...S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...INCREASING TO 25 TO 35 KT
THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT...BUILDING TO 8 TO 11 FT THIS
AFTERNOON. DOMINANT PERIOD 6 SECONDS. SHOWERS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED
TSTMS LATE THIS MORNING...THEN WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND SCATTERED
TSTMS THIS AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 25 TO 35 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 TO
13 FT...SUBSIDING TO 7 TO 10 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. DOMINANT PERIOD 10
SECONDS. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SCATTERED TSTMS IN THE EVENING.
.THU...W WINDS 25 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT...DIMINISHING
TO 20 TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT...SUBSIDING TO 5
TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. DOMINANT PERIOD 9 SECONDS.
.THU NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. DOMINANT PERIOD
7 SECONDS.
.FRI...NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...DIMINISHING TO 5 TO 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 5 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT.
.SAT...S WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING NW 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
RAIN LIKELY ...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGH THE
NIGHT.
.SUN...NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO
5 FT.

WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR TSTMS.

$$
2350. LargoFl
Expecting some heavy storms in N.E. N.C. this afternoon,ya'll stay tuned and alert!
2352. LargoFl
I can hear the boomers to my north now,stay safe folks..
Our turn here comes the line.

2354. LargoFl
Quoting GTcooliebai:
Our turn here comes the line.

yes GT..first few raindrops now and windy..stay safe ok
2355. LargoFl
The severe threat here in North Carolina is being seriously overestimated. There isn't a need for a Moderate risk. It's just a ton of rain, which I can't say was unexpected given North Carolina's history with Moderate risks (a.k.a they always bust. NC goes no risk or full-out high risks).
2357. LargoFl
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
The severe threat here in North Carolina is being seriously overestimated. There isn't a need for a Moderate risk. It's just a ton of rain, which I can't say was unexpected given North Carolina's history with Moderate risks (a.k.a they always bust. NC goes no risk or full-out high risks).



The reason why is the system has ridiculous dynamical support, however it has not much more than that at this point...
2359. LargoFl
yep raining here now
Quoting GTcooliebai:
Our turn here comes the line.




The line is at least intensifying some as it begins to move in, but its still not as strong as I was hoping, oh well. there isn't enough large scale lift to produce a stronger and deeper line of convection.
Just changed over to rain with a little sleet here, total is about 1.4".
2362. LargoFl
2363. LargoFl
1038 AM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR EASTERN CLAY...
NORTHEASTERN PUTNAM...ST. JOHNS AND SOUTHEASTERN DUVAL COUNTIES FOR
STRONG WINDS VALID UNTIL 1130 AM EST...

AT 1038 AM EST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM PONTE VEDRA
BEACH TO 6 MILES NORTH OF CARRAWAY...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. THESE
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND NEPTUNE BEACH...
JACKSONVILLE BEACH...CARRAWAY...BAYARD...PONTE VEDRA BEACH...PALM
VALLEY...ORANGE MILLS...BOSTWICK...SAWGRASS AND PICOLATA THROUGH 1130
AM EST. GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH
POSSIBLE MINOR WIND DAMAGE.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

LAT...LON 2965 8188 3034 8139 3001 8131 2988 8126
2979 8125 2968 8121
TIME...MOT...LOC 1538Z 253DEG 33KT 3027 8136 2980 8172

$$

WOLF
2364. LargoFl
pouring rain and boomers now.............
Quoting dabirds:
Just missed me here between I-55 (20 mi W), I-70 (30 mi S) and US 51 (12 mi E). Have no snow at all. Grandson's sled from last Christmas still waiting for its first use. Saw pics from S IL, really piling up there. An inch or two would have been nice, but oh well.


I'm pretty much in the same boat, not a single flake fell here. Looking at reports seems a solid 6-12" band fell from Carbondale to Indianapolis. Indianapolis Airport reported 0.5" at 650am only to turn around at 9am with a 7.0" total. LINK Pretty impressive snowfall rates. I'd say they will end with near a foot if not a good 10" anyway.
2366. LargoFl
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
1111 AM EST WED DEC 26 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEWPORT HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN JONES COUNTY IN EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
EASTERN ONSLOW COUNTY IN EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA

* UNTIL NOON EST

* AT 1106 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
TORNADO 11 MILES SOUTH OF NORTH TOPSAIL BEACH...OR 11 MILES EAST OF
HAMPSTEAD...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH. DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58 MPH ARE ALSO LIKELY WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
NORTH TOPSAIL BEACH...
FOLKSTONE...DIXON...
MARINES...SNEADS FERRY...
DUCK CREEK...
MIDWAY PARK...CAMP LEJEUNE MAIN GATE...
HUBERT...PINEY GREEN...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS
AVAILABLE LIE DOWN IN A LOW LYING AREA. PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING
DEBRIS.

PLEASE REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING...1...8 0 0...8 8 9...6 8 8 9 OR NOTIFY YOUR LOCAL LAW
ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EST WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

&&
2368. LargoFl
6 dead so far from these storms,stay safe folks.....
Quoting washingtonian115:
Yep :) their is already a inch in my yard.Other places are also reporting about a inch and counting.


Congratulations wash! You finally got your snow!
2370. LargoFl
wow...........
2371. LargoFl
gee monsoon rain outside now with big boomers etc.....
2372. LargoFl
get ready for some real heavy rain Tampa.............
2373. LargoFl
2374. LargoFl
2375. pcola57
1-2" snowfall per hr. rates now..


NAM 12hr. snowfall rates forecast..


NAM snowfall forecasted 24 hrs. out..
2376. LargoFl
.NOW...
LINE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS MOVING ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL FLORIDA


THROUGH 2 PM...A LINE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
INTERSTATE FOUR CORRIDOR AND THEME PARKS OF METRO ORLANDO. AS THE
LINE MOVES ACROSS THE AREA EXPECT A RELATIVELY BRIEF PERIOD OF HEAVY
RAIN...LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 40 MPH. EMBEDDED STORMS
WITHIN THE LINE WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY STRONGER WIND
GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH AND MORE FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES. ACTIVITY
WILL MOVE STEADILY EASTWARD ACROSS THE EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA AREA
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND IT IS EXPECTED THE STRENGTH OF CELLS WILL
DIMINISH SOUTH OF THE METRO ORLANDO AREA PAST MID AFTERNOON WITH
PRIMARILY SHOWERS AND JUST A FEW STORMS WITHIN THE LINE AS IT
APPROACHES THE TREASURE COAST AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE LATER THIS
AFTERNOON.
2377. pcola57
2378. Grothar
Moderate risk cancelled.
Largo..The worse should be right over you NOW....
2381. pcola57
Quoting Grothar:


Morning Gro..
Alot of moisture heading north..
Forecasted NAM shows quite a bit of snow in certain regions(post#2375)..
Your post#2378 shows that moisture plum as well..
GOM gave up quite a bit of moisture..
A warning could pop out at any given time.. These are very strong storms that are about to hit my area.
Not sure what city you are in Reed, But central Florida needs to be aware
Quoting LargoFl:
get ready for some real heavy rain Tampa.............


Heh Largo, please leave some for me :)
2385. pcola57
Quoting reedzone:
A warning could pop out at any given time.. These are very strong storms that are about to hit my area.


Yeah..your turn now reed..
Quoting PalmBeachWeather:
Not sure what city you are in Reed, But central Florida needs to be aware


Palm Coast... It may just be very heavy rainfall, or a severe storm. Can't really tell by looking at the colors, but you can tell its heavy precip.

Not as strong as I originally thought ti would be, but quite potent right now.
Quoting reedzone:


Palm Coast... It may just be very heavy rainfall, or a severe storm. Can't really tell by looking at the colors, but you can tell its heavy precip.

Not as strong as I originally thought ti would be, but quite potent right now.
Very odd to have that kind of line in the end of December...
Sun is popping out through the clouds, all the red on the radar is probably just really heavy rain.
Preliminary data suggests the Mobile, AL tornado was an EF1/EF2. Very surprising given the fact it had a horizontal vorticy.

We just had a pretty impressive thunderstorm come through, the wind and rain right behind the gust front was blinding for a time and some tree debris got knocked around through the air.

At any rate, too bad it was short lived, we need the rain. Thankfully we will have another good shot at more in a few days! Hopefully the next system will be a more widespread heavier rain event. This line was heavy but too short lived to add significant accumulation, like the last front.
.
Quoting reedzone:
Sun is popping out through the clouds, all the red on the radar is probably just really heavy rain.


Shouldn't be that big a deal for you. 30 miles to your north I had 10 minutes of very heavy rain, gusty winds, and only a rumble or two of thunder. The cell did drop a quick .47" of rain though. I'll take it.
2393. Grothar
Quoting pcola57:


Morning Gro..
Alot of moisture heading north..
NAM shows quite a bit of snow in certain regions(post#2375)..
Your post#2378 shows that moisture plum as well..
GOM gave up quite a bit of moisture..


Yep, and we are flying up to Philly in the morning. I hope we don't get stuck there.
The Weather Channel ‏@weatherchannel
Interview just on-air with @JimCantore...@NWSMobile has found EF1 #damage in #Mobile, with est'd winds around 100 mph. Survey continues.
2395. pcola57
Quoting Grothar:


Yep, and we are flying up to Philly in the morning. I hope we don't get stuck there.


Yeah that may be right in the heart of it..
I hope you don't either..
Might need you snow shoes and thermals..LOL.. :)
Quoting StAugustineFL:


Shouldn't be that big a deal for you. 30 miles to your north I had 10 minutes of very heavy rain, gusty winds, and only a rumble or two of thunder. The cell did drop a quick .47" of rain though. I'll take it.


That is exactly what's happening right now....

A bust of a good storm though. I was hoping for some better action. It's like we have this shield that protects Palm Coast from bad weather. Either the severe storm moves north or south, or the storm dissipates before it hits the city. Very rare for Palm Coast to get a really bad storm.
Quoting reedzone:
Sun is popping out through the clouds, all the red on the radar is probably just really heavy rain.
Palm Coast...Ate at your Cracker Barrel many times from the Palm Coast Parkway many times on my way north...
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Preliminary data suggests the Mobile, AL tornado was an EF1/EF2. Very surprising given the fact it had a horizontal vorticy.



I told you yesterday the velocity wasnt astounding, it could have just been a large ef-2 like the one in vilonia arkansas. You oughta listen to me lol :)
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Preliminary data suggests the Mobile, AL tornado was an EF1/EF2. Very surprising given the fact it had a horizontal vorticy.




Yes it looked much more impressive visually and on radar.
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


I told you yesterday the velocity wasnt astounding, it could have just been a large ef-2 like the one in vilonia arkansas. You oughta listen to me lol :)

A broken clock is right twice a day. ;)
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


I told you yesterday the velocity wasnt astounding, it could have just been a large ef-2 like the one in vilonia arkansas. You oughta listen to me lol :)
Yes you did...And I did listen...So proud
2402. LargoFl
ok over now,tampa its just heavy rain and boomers....
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Preliminary data suggests the Mobile, AL tornado was an EF1/EF2. Very surprising given the fact it had a horizontal vorticy.


It was huge but after looking at pics of damage last night have to agree with EF1/EF2. Most structures weren't leveled or anything, mostly trees down, awnings strewn, some roofs lost. Mobile got really lucky.
Anything interesting on the extended range models?
2405. LargoFl
so now the cold temps come..40's tonight?.........
2406. LargoFl
Quoting PalmBeachWeather:
Largo..The worse should be right over you NOW....
yes over now, headed to tampa..they'll be ok,i got some great rain there for about 20 mins or so, we needed this rain...
This thing is a behemoth...

Quoting Skyepony:


It was huge but after looking at pics of damage last night have to agree with EF1/EF2. Most structures weren't leveled or anything, mostly trees down, awnings strewn, some roofs lost. Mobile got really lucky.


Wow, an EF1-2 wedge tornado? You don't see these everyday!
2409. pcola57


2410. ncstorm

US National Weather Service Wilmington NC
ILM issues Tornado Warning for Bladen, Robeson [NC] till 1:00 PM EST ...* AT 1226 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR SMITHS...OR ABOUT 11 MILES NORTHEAST OF LUMBERTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 65 MPH.
2412. ncstorm
WWAY NEWS
TORNADO WARNING for Bladen and Robeson county until 1pm. Possible tornado 10 miles NE of Lumberton moving NE at 65 mph.
Did Dr. Masters get abducted by aliens or something?

Five days without a post...
Things got busy quickly. Likely tornado hitting Topsail Beach, and another near Tar Heel.

Several rotating storms offshore.

Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

A broken clock is right twice a day. ;)


You know I'm just messing with you. :P
The snow was pretty while it lasted.Now it has turned into a rain storm with gusty winds and side driving rain at times.
2417. txjac
Hello all, curious if anyone from Ohio is on? My family is driving back from Texas today and was wondering about weather conditions up there.
2418. ncstorm
its POURING here..might have been premature for the SPC to take away the moderate risk..tornado warnings are popping up all over eastern NC
Donut hole on radar and very nice couplet. Would be very surprised if a tornado wasn't on the ground.

Texas almost got a white Christmas :D

in line for storm coming out of lumberton, nc should be here in about an 35 min
Quoting RTSplayer:
Did Dr. Masters get abducted by aliens or something?

Five days without a post...


Yes, very friendly aliens. New post coming soon...

Jeff Masters
2423. LargoFl
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
1248 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

NCC031-103-133-261800-
/O.CON.KMHX.TO.W.0016.000000T0000Z-121226T1800Z/
CARTERET NC-JONES NC-ONSLOW NC-
1248 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM EST FOR EAST
CENTRAL ONSLOW...SOUTHEASTERN JONES AND SOUTHWESTERN CARTERET
COUNTIES...

AT 1245 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR HUBERT...OR 6
MILES SOUTHEAST OF PINEY GREEN...MOVING NORTH AT 25 MPH.

HAZARDS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
A TORNADO.
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THE STORM INCLUDE... SILVERDALE...KUHNS AND
DEPPE AND HUBERT.

HEAVY RAINFALL MAY HIDE THIS TORNADO MAKING IT DIFFICULT TO SEE. DO
NOT WAIT TO SEE OR HEAR THE TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE CALL IN YOUR REPORTS OF PENNY OR
LARGER SIZED HAIL...AS WELL AS WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING TREES OR LARGE
LIMBS DOWNED BY CALLING THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOLL FREE AT...
1...8 0 0...8 8 9...6 8 8 9.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EST WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.
2424. LargoFl

* FLOOD WARNING FOR...
BRUNSWICK COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NEW HANOVER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
SOUTHERN PENDER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA

* UNTIL 345 PM EST

* AT 1244 PM EST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR DETECTED
HEAVY RAIN MOVING ASHORE ALONG THE CAPE FEAR REGION.

ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAINFALL HAS OCCURRED IN THESE AREAS.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
WARNED AREA.

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A PROBLEM IN THE WARNED AREA...
ESPECIALLY AT POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS ALONG DRAINAGE DITCHES...SMALL
CREEKS...AND LOW SPOTS ALONG ROADWAYS AND FIELDS. FLOODING MAY
PERSIST WELL AFTER THE RAINFALL COMES TO AND END. PEOPLE IN OR NEAR
LOCATIONS SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLOODING SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS
IMMEDIATELY.
2425. beell
Quoting JeffMasters:


Yes, very friendly aliens. New post coming soon...

Jeff Masters


No problems here, Doc. This one was a good one!
2" accumulations in York County, PA so far with the rain/ice/snow line approaching
2427. LargoFl
welcome back DOC..bad weather last couple of days...
2428. LargoFl
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1248 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

FLZ051-052-055>057-060>062-GMZ853-856-873-876-261 915-
HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASO TA-DE SOTO-
CHARLOTTE-ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
1248 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

.NOW...
THROUGH 2 PM...A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH ACROSS MUCH OF WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA AND
THE ADJACENT GULF WATERS AND INTO THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA THIS
AFTERNOON. EXPECT PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN...GUSTY WINDS...AND
DANGEROUS LIGHTNING NEAR THE STRONGEST STORMS.

$$

TF
2429. LargoFl
central florida got some good rains today...........
2430. LargoFl
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM
EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EST
THURSDAY. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* LOCATIONS...NEW YORK CITY METROPOLITAN AREA...LONG ISLAND...
AND COASTAL CONNECTICUT.

* HAZARDS...DAMAGING WINDS.

* WINDS...EAST 25 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH.

* TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED THIS EVENING INTO
TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE WILL LIKELY DOWN TREES AND
TREE LIMBS...POWER LINES AND HOLIDAY DECORATIONS...AND CAUSE
MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE. POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE. DRIVING HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES WILL BE DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY ON ELEVATED
ROADWAYS AND BRIDGES.
Here's some Penn state cams:Link

I haven't found any good streaming cams for the NE snowstorm yet.... anyone else?
Quoting ncstorm:
its POURING here..might have been premature for the SPC to take away the moderate risk..tornado warnings are popping up all over eastern NC
Most of the rotations is off coast of NC, though.
The snowstorm has arrived in SE MI with snow rates increasing. Under a winter weather advisory up here, should be my first time using the new snow blower. Stay safe everyone in the snow and severe weather.
2434. LargoFl
Duke Energy North & South Carolina service territory outage information

Outage data

Last updated at: 12/26/2012 1:00:02 PM



County

Outages




Total Outages: 1065



ALAMANCE, NC

4



ALEXANDER, NC

27



CABARRUS, NC

3



CATAWBA, NC

3



DAVIDSON, NC

1



DURHAM, NC

13



FORSYTH, NC

89



GASTON, NC

2



GRAHAM, NC

131



GUILFORD, NC

7



HENDERSON, NC

1



JACKSON, NC

1



LINCOLN, NC

4



MACON, NC

25



MECKLENBURG, NC

134



ORANGE, NC

9



RANDOLPH, NC

2



ROCKINGHAM, NC

70



RUTHERFORD, NC

1



STOKES, NC

2



SURRY, NC

341



SWAIN, NC

30



TRANSYLVANIA, NC

43



UNION, NC

1



WILKES, NC

4



YADKIN, NC

10



CHEROKEE, SC

9



GREENVILLE, SC

16



GREENWOOD, SC

15



LANCASTER, SC

2



PICKENS, SC

60



SPARTANBURG, SC

4



YORK, SC

1




Total Outages: 1065
@wunderground

New preliminary Christmas Day tornado count is 21, up from 19.
2436. LargoFl
Quoting Bluestorm5:
@wunderground

New preliminary Christmas Day tornado count is 21, up from 19.
Quoting Bluestorm5:
@wunderground

New preliminary Christmas Day tornado count is 21, up from 19.
AP said 6 dead so far from this storm
2437. ncstorm
Quoting Bluestorm5:
Most of the rotations is off coast of NC, though.


some are off coast but coming inland and then there are some that are inland

2438. LargoFl
Quoting ncstorm:


some are off coast but coming inland and then there are some that are inland


Luckily there are no tornado or severe thunderstorm warnings right now.
2440. LargoFl
.NOW...
LINE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS MOVING ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL FLORIDA


THROUGH 2 PM...A LINE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
INTERSTATE FOUR CORRIDOR AND THEME PARKS OF METRO ORLANDO. AS THE
LINE MOVES ACROSS THE AREA EXPECT A RELATIVELY BRIEF PERIOD OF HEAVY
RAIN...LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 40 MPH. EMBEDDED STORMS
WITHIN THE LINE WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY STRONGER WIND
GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH AND MORE FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES. ACTIVITY
WILL MOVE STEADILY EASTWARD ACROSS THE EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA AREA
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND IT IS EXPECTED THE STRENGTH OF CELLS WILL
DIMINISH SOUTH OF THE METRO ORLANDO AREA PAST MID AFTERNOON WITH
PRIMARILY SHOWERS AND JUST A FEW STORMS WITHIN THE LINE AS IT
APPROACHES THE TREASURE COAST AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE LATER THIS
AFTERNOON.
Here's a live streaming cam from Buffalo: Link

Almost like being there looking out the window, but don't have to shovel the stuff nor drive through it.

(It's hasn't started snowing there yet. It should shortly)
2442. LargoFl
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
109 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

NCZ029-045-080-092-093-261900-
BEAUFORT-CRAVEN-JONES-MARTIN-WASHINGTON-
109 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL MOVE ACROSS CRAVEN...JONES...
BEAUFORT...WASHINGTON AND MARTIN COUNTIES THROUGH 200 PM EST...

AT 109 PM EST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
TUSCARORA...OR ABOUT 7 MILES WEST OF NEW BERN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
60 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...ERNUL...WILMAR...
BLOUNTS CREEK...RIVER ROAD...BUNYAN...SLATESTONE.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH.

HEAVY RAINFALL AND MINOR FLOODING.
2443. LargoFl
.WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS: ACROSS ALL OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND SOUTHEASTERN
SOUTH CAROLINA.

* WINDS: SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO UP TO 45 MPH. WINDS
WILL SHIFT TO MORE WEST IN THE MID AND LATE AFTERNOON.

* TIMING: THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS: STRONG WINDS WILL MAKE TRAVEL HAZARDOUS...ESPECIALLY ON
AREA BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES. A FEW DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES
WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.
Quoting LargoFl:
AP said 6 dead so far from this storm


WABC: Severe Weather Spawns over 30 Tornado Reports Across South Link
2445. LargoFl
Yesterdays tornado damage pics..whew boy......Link
That was a nice hook about 30-45 minutes earlier...

storm ten minutes out/ power just blinked
Quoting RTSplayer:
Did Dr. Masters get abducted by aliens or something?

Five days without a post...
Dr. Masters ..like us all , deserve a break from us all.... LOL... He will be back.
Quoting LargoFl:
AP said 6 dead so far from this storm


Anybody know if there is any specific details or information on the deaths; i.e. cause of death, location, time
2450. LargoFl
meanwhile, how's our friends back in texas?...........
squall line here now, eastern joco, nc
2452. LargoFl
Quoting JTDailyUpdate:


Anybody know if there is any specific details or information on the deaths; i.e. cause of death, location, time
Quoting JTDailyUpdate:


Anybody know if there is any specific details or information on the deaths; i.e. cause of death, location, time
check out the AP news site..cant copy anything from them..copyright BS
Quoting number4steel:
storm ten minutes out/ power just blinked
The sun just came out here in Western JoCo.
My gosh...I have a horrible cold just like 20% of the other people here in in Palm Beach county....Not the way I wanted to spend my vacation........Cough
2455. LargoFl
which one is called "the windy city"........
2456. LargoFl
Quoting PalmBeachWeather:
My gosh...I have a horrible cold just like 20% of the other people here in in Palm Beach county....Not the way I wanted to spend my vacation........Cough
I hope you get better soon..had mine for over a week now, especially sinus stuff..guess winter is here huh
2457. VR46L
Quoting PalmBeachWeather:
My gosh...I have a horrible cold just like 20% of the other people here in in Palm Beach county....Not the way I wanted to spend my vacation........Cough


Get well soon PalmBeach
Quoting LargoFl:
I hope you get better soon..had mine for over a week now, especially sinus stuff..guess winter is here huh
Seems like everyone here is sick.....Bah
2459. LargoFl
really blowing over on the east coast now...........
just had a twarning droped on my head
2461. LargoFl
TORNADO WARNING
NCC101-191-261915-
/O.NEW.KRAH.TO.W.0019.121226T1831Z-121226T1915Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
131 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN JOHNSTON COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
WAYNE COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA

* UNTIL 215 PM EST

* AT 128 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
TORNADO OVER GRANTHAM...OR 10 MILES NORTHWEST OF MOUNT OLIVE...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MAR-MAC...
GOLDSBORO...
PIKEVILLE...NAHUNTA...
FREMONT...
EUREKA...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS
AVAILABLE LIE DOWN IN A LOW LYING AREA. PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING
DEBRIS.

PLEASE REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TO YOUR
LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
2462. txjac
Quoting number4steel:
just had a twarning droped on my head


Shouldnt you be heading to the basement? Where are you at?

Please stay safe
2463. LargoFl
TORNADO WARNING
NCC101-191-261915-
/O.NEW.KRAH.TO.W.0019.121226T1831Z-121226T1915Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
131 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN JOHNSTON COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
WAYNE COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA

* UNTIL 215 PM EST

* AT 128 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
TORNADO OVER GRANTHAM...OR 10 MILES NORTHWEST OF MOUNT OLIVE...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MAR-MAC...
GOLDSBORO...
PIKEVILLE...NAHUNTA...
FREMONT...
EUREKA...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS
AVAILABLE LIE DOWN IN A LOW LYING AREA. PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING
DEBRIS.

PLEASE REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TO YOUR
LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
south of princeton/north of grantham/just hustled the kids to safe room/lights out /working on generac backup
Tornado warning for area just 15 miles to southeast from me.

2466. LargoFl
AT 128 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
TORNADO OVER GRANTHAM...OR 10 MILES NORTHWEST OF MOUNT OLIVE...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.
Alright Here is all current I could find on the storm;
From the SPC Storm reports
34 Possible Tornado and 14 Reports of Injuries
3 Reports of Hail
One High Wind Report out of Lovelady, Texas with a gust of 80 mph
84 Wind Reports, and two reports of injuries
Source: Link

 ABC News  is reporting at least 3 deaths," In the Houston area a tree fell onto a pickup truck, killing the driver, ABC affiliate WTRK reported. In Louisiana, a 53-year-old man died when a tree fell on his house, and a 28-year-old woman was killed in a crash on a snowy highway near Fairview, Okla., according to the Associated Press."
Source: http://abcnews.go.com/US/severe-weather-spawns-34 -tornado-reports-texas-alabama/story?id=18064857#. UNtCpm9_B8E
one cluster is just west of me now/ local met (channel 5) has cut in/ new cluster sw between myself and newton grove
Quoting number4steel:
one cluster is just west of me now/ local met (channel 5) has cut in/ new cluster sw between myself and newton grove
Where exactly are you? Princeton?
2471. LargoFl
been a long time scince i saw it rain in sheets/ rain just chnged direction (twice) some lighthing wind was howling for a couple of minutes
Quoting Bluestorm5:
Where exactly are you? Princeton?
if you now the area buckleberry
Quoting number4steel:
been a long time scince i saw it rain in sheets/ rain just chnged direction (twice) some lighthing wind was howling for a couple of minutes
Don't worry about tornado, that's to northeast of you moving away from you.
Quoting number4steel:
if you now the area buckleberry
Gotcha.
round two/ odd power cameback /radar shows about 5 more minutes of this
2477. LargoFl
almost over for florida once this line gets over water..
2478. LargoFl
sky getting lighter/looks like folks down east gonna get a strong tstorm/ still raining pretty good/ works out well for my garden/ just planted onions and taters
2480. LargoFl
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NCC065-127-195-261915-
/O.NEW.KRAH.SV.W.0367.121226T1851Z-121226T1915Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
151 PM EST WED DEC 26 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
EDGECOMBE COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
WILSON COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
EASTERN NASH COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA

* UNTIL 215 PM EST

* AT 147 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OVER BLACK CREEK...OR 19 MILES NORTH OF
GOLDSBORO...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH. WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58 MPH
ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ELM CITY...WILLBANKS...
SHARPSBURG...
KINGSBORO...ROCKY MOUNT...
@NWSRaleigh

Highest severe thunderstorm and tornado potential has now shifted east of I-95. The severe weather threat is diminishing west of I-95.
2482. LargoFl
...MINOR TO MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING
HIGH TIDE CYCLES...

CTZ009-010-NYZ071-073-078-176-177-262315-
/O.CON.KOKX.CF.W.0005.121227T0100Z-121227T0500Z/
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-BRONX-
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-
1012 AM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING
TO MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

* LOCATIONS...LOW LYING COASTAL AREAS SURROUNDING WESTERN LONG
ISLAND SOUND.

* TIDAL DEPARTURES...3 TO 5 FT ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL TIDES.

* TIMING...BETWEEN 8 PM AND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF VULNERABLE SHORE ROADS AND/OR
BASEMENTS DUE TO STORM TIDE AND WAVE ACTION AROUND TIME OF
HIGH TIDE. ROAD CLOSURES MAY BE NEEDED. WAVE ACTION AND RUN UP
WILL LIKELY EXACERBATE COASTAL FLOODING IMPACTS.
Link

Front approaching Lee County Florida
Quoting FtMyersgal:
Link

Front approaching Lee County Florida
That freekin' line is really haulin'
Decent mesocyclone coming toward me in Melbourne, FL. Might go a little north of me through...Suntree, Pineda, South Merritt Island.

Quoting txjac:
Hello all, curious if anyone from Ohio is on? My family is driving back from Texas today and was wondering about weather conditions up there.


still snowing here- 7 inches so far and more to come. Come to my house and we'll make snow men!

Modified- I am about 1 hour drive east of Ohio. It's very snowy up here, but pretty :)
Quoting Skyepony:
Decent mesocyclone coming toward me in Melbourne, FL. Might go a little north of me through...Suntree, Pineda, South Merritt Island.
Keeping an eye out here in Palm Beach county....Maybe 3 hours out
2489. ncstorm
US National Weather Service Wilmington NC
Fortunately the storms with the strongest rotation remained offshore today. The threat for tornadoes has diminished, although New Hanover county, along with eastern Pender and eastern Brunswick county aren't quite out of the woods yet.
Line is moving quick.

Highest winds I've seen today is 24mph. Lots of small dead limbs down in the oak hammock, a few green ones too.

2491. txjac
Quoting goosegirl1:


still snowing here- 7 inches so far and more to come. Come to my house and we'll make snow men!

Modified- I am about 1 hour drive east of Ohio. It's very snowy up here, but pretty :)


I would love to come and make snowmen! Havent done that in years. Was just worried about road conditions and all. I've been checking for them on line and thought that I would ask here too. I'll report back that its great snowman weather! Thanks for responding
JeffMasters has created a new entry.
Quoting txjac:


I would love to come and make snowmen! Havent done that in years. Was just worried about road conditions and all. I've been checking for them on line and thought that I would ask here too. I'll report back that its great snowman weather! Thanks for responding


No problem- I don't know what OH state road is doing, but WV DOT needs some extra help this afternoon, they are having trouble keeping up. I think a lot of people are still off the the holidays. The hubs works for a local campus of WVU, and he was just called out for snow removal and says local roads are getting worse all the time but it snowing so heavily it's just too much to keep up with.
2494. dflam
Here is an interesting map idea for wunderground: combined model/radar map. Which keeps the radar tethered to the model as it evolves to give a say better future radar evolution in animation and even the current threat areas. I usually do it by advancing the model data and the radar at the same time. However - there is no option to make the non-relevant MSL model data (the black area) transparent (i need to set opacity to 60-70) and also the radar data.