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The 6 lost Hurricane Hunter missions, Part III: Typhoon Doris, 1953

By: Dr. Jeff Masters, 1:43 PM GMT on June 29, 2009

The tropics are quiet right now, as the "invest 93" disturbance over the Yucatan Peninsula has dissipated, and no computer models are showing any Atlantic tropical storm formation over the next seven days. Thus, it's a good time to continue with my series on the six typhoon/hurricane hunter missions that never returned.

The third typhoon hunter mission lost occurred on December 16, 1953, during a penetration by a Navy PB4Y-2S (Bu No 59176) into Typhoon Doris. The aircraft was part of a six plane squadron, VJ-1/VW-3, COMFAIRGUAM, based at the Naval Air Station in Agana, Guam (VJ-1 was formed in 1952 at NAS Sand Point, Seattle, Washington, and the name later changed to VW-3). The PB4Y-2S aircraft made its initial penetration into Doris' eye at 200 - 300 feet. As the aircraft radioed back a report at 2245Z, the transmission suddenly ceased. The plane was never heard from again. At the time, Doris was a Category 2 typhoon with sustained winds of 95 knots (110 mph). Again, given the low penetration altitude of the aircraft, it is likely that a downdraft carried the plane into the sea. It's pretty common to get downdrafts that will cause a 300 foot loss of altitude, despite the attempts of the pilot to climb with full power to the engines.

A nine-day long search and rescue operation failed to find any trace of the missing aircraft. Tragically, two aircraft involved in the search and rescue mission crashed, killing 39 more people. The first of these planes was a R4D (DC 3) that crashed into the crater of Agrihan Island, Mariannas, killing all ten crew members. This aircraft was not from the NAS Agana, Guam group. In addition, a B-29 based at Anderson AFB had an engine fail while looking for the missing typhoon hunter aircraft, and crashed during landing into an officer's housing area on Guam. A total of 29 people died in the crash, including at least 11 of the 16 crew members on the aircraft.

The nine crewmen lost during the flight into Typhoon Doris were:

Pilot J. W. Newhall age 39
Co-pilot S. B. Marsden, age 29
Lt. Cmdr. D. Zimmerman Jr., age 35
Ltjg. F. Troescher Jr., age 26
AL1 F. R. Barnett, age 26
AD1 J. N. Clark, age 32
AD3 E. L. Myer, age 20
AL2 N. J. Stephens, age 23
AO3 A. J. Stott, age 23

I got in contact with Austen Doolittle, who was operating the radio set in Guam when the transmission inside Typhoon Doris from the plane's radio operator, Norm Stephens, suddenly stopped. Austen recalled:

Jeff, I appreciate receiving your email, Earl Beech and I were at our second reunion in 55 years the 4th to 8th of May at Pensacola FL. Had a great time. Its important to the members of the VJ1/VW3 to make people aware of what we were doing so many years ago as 19 and 20 year old young sailors. I lost three of my best navy friends in that accident, and to this day I still wonder about the happenstance of my being on base radio that day and receiving the POMAR reports from Norm Stephens. There was an ability to recognize the hand or keying of people you knew, and I know that Norm Stephens was keying that last message to me. When he cut off I knew something had happened, and it really shook me up, and I tried to raise the plane many times until I knew it was not possible. I still have many pictures of Norm, Don Stott and Jim Clark in my album. Thanks for what you are doing, I really appreciate it. I've had a long and fruitful life since then, but I'll never forget that day, and still wonder why I was so lucky.

Austen



Figure 1. Painting of a Navy PB4Y-2S "Privateer" aircraft flown by the VJ-1/VW3 Squadron. Image credit: USS Whitehurst DE-634 web site. Several stories by members of the VJ-1/VW3 Squadron concerning the Typhoon Doris disaster are posted on the web site.

Other sources: http://www.vpnavy.com/vj1_notice.html

Past posts in this series:
October 1, 1945 typhoon
Typhoon Wilma, 1952


I'm back from vacation now, and my next blog post will be Wednesday, when I'll present the July Atlantic hurricane outlook.

Jeff Masters

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

Reader Comments

Quoting chawk:
I'm just 5 miles south of Tarpon Springs on the GOM and we have 4" of rain since 10am this morning. Still raining with a westerly flow off the GOM and a developing line training from off shore. Interesting blob SW of us. I enjoy everyones comments,
Thanks, chawk


You must be my neighbor. I'm in Baywood Village just S of Klosterman. Definitely getting lots of rain today.
Hi All, I've been reading Wunderblog for a couple seasons now so I thought I'd at least post. Enjoy learning about weather - particularly hurricane season and really appreciate the knowledge/comments.
if you at all the years before satelittes, we do not know how many sds, sts, and hurricanes we did not know about.
We did not had a storm in June ahwww, boo-hoo. Just a bunch of wishcasting babies who cannot wait until August or September. I bet if Ana forms next week, you'll see the same ones who are forecasting five named storms flock back. You cannot please them.
Quoting Levi32:


We're not expecting no hurricanes. In general we're expecting a near-average season with tracks concentrated farther west and north. I don't know if Taz was serious or not lol.



i was this kinding
i got my abbreviations messed up. i meant trop depressions, tropical storms.
1009. NRAamy
got it...thanks Taz...I told you I know less than nothing about Hurricanes...

:)
Quoting hurricaneseason2006:
We did not had a storm in June ahwww, boo-hoo. Just a bunch of wishcasting babies who cannot wait until August or September. I bet if Ana forms next week, you'll see the same ones who are forecasting five named storms flock back. You cannot please them.


LOL, you crack me up. Dude Chillax.
1011. Dakster
Quoting hurricane2009:
June has very very very very little impact on how busy the rest of the hurricane season is, but in here we constantly see that June 30th, no named storms, boy this season is going to be quiet

Its sending the absolute wrong message


Now, come November 30th and no named storm, I might believe you...

well, it depends on the news media handling of the season. you know how they overhype or underhype things. thats why sites like this and others on the internet. we get the facts and not just what the networks say.
guys say good buy too IE 8 and hello too firefox 3.5 WOW i got the link on my blog if you want to downlode it
1014. Levi32
456 and H2009 I don't know if you guys have Accuweather Pro but if you do you really should see Bastardi's hurricane forecast interview for this year. I don't care what anybody thinks about him, he knows the weather. He's been my favorite Meteorologist since I was 8. In my opinion he's one of if not the best forecaster in the business right now. I think some of the tools he's currently developing are going to be marked in history for him.
Quoting hurricaneseason2006:
We did not had a storm in June ahwww, boo-hoo. Just a bunch of wishcasting babies who cannot wait until August or September. I bet if Ana forms next week, you'll see the same ones who are forecasting five named storms flock back. You cannot please them.


Lol i know a lot of people here sound almost mad that nothing formed in june, even may. Eh
I'll come back late july/early aug for the beginning of the real activity :p
Quoting Levi32:
456 and H2009 I don't know if you guys have Accuweather Pro but if you do you really should see Bastardi's hurricane forecast interview for this year. I don't care what anybody thinks about him, he knows the weather. He's been my favorite Meteorologist since I was 8. I think some of the tools he's currently developing are going to be marked in history for him.


Have it and saw it. I'm not totally in favor with some of his views but I respect him as a met. He seasonal outlook was very good though.
1018. Levi32
Quoting hurricane2009:


I do not have access to it, what are his predictions for this years season?


Around 10 named storms; less impact on the US than last year but still a bit above the long-term average, and tracks more randomly spread out than the congregation we had last year, but generally more north and east, which makes a lot of sense to me.
I'm out for a while. Will check back before bed.

TTYL
whats new with the SOI???
1021. Levi32
Quoting Tazmanian:
whats new with the SOI???


It's on an upswing probably to near neutral over the next couple weeks, but should dip back down again as it's just a reaction to the big dive into the negative we just had.
ACE has hit a 50 year low..

Quoting Levi32:


Taz is already forecasting 5 lol.
I think no storms this year; however after the NHC reviews the season they will decide to classfy 13 storms, with 6 being Hurricanes and 3 of those intense!
Quoting Tazmanian:
whats new with the SOI???


Here is the graphic of the 30 day SOI Index.It has risen since June 22.from -10 to today -2.3.

img
and 2 had 6 eyes
Hello Everyone:

In just a few more minutes, I'll upload my latest animations compiled from the GOES East Infrared Imagery

The animations feature the Hurricane Sector with an entirely new look that's sure to enthrall you, plus a brand new animation of Hurricane Alley!

Stand by. My next announcement will be to tell you that this new HD video is ready to view!

CycloneOz---
Quoting Levi32:
456 and H2009 I don't know if you guys have Accuweather Pro but if you do you really should see Bastardi's hurricane forecast interview for this year. I don't care what anybody thinks about him, he knows the weather. He's been my favorite Meteorologist since I was 8. In my opinion he's one of if not the best forecaster in the business right now. I think some of the tools he's currently developing are going to be marked in history for him.


I have pro and I agree...he is pretty smart cookie.
Im in Bethesda, MD and it just started raining but now it has eased, the forecast said from 30-40 mph gusts
1029 - I'm hiding under that mess. I started out in Downtown Miami today, it was raining, back to homestead, it was raining, home to Kendall, it was still raining!

I am not a duck.
Quoting zoomiami:
1029 - I'm hiding under that mess. I started out in Downtown Miami today, it was raining, back to homestead, it was raining, home to Kendall, it was still raining!

I am not a duck.


You said... and I quote... "We need rain... lots of rain" :)
1032. Ossqss
Quoting Skyepony:
ACE has hit a 50 year low..



Skyepony, what exactly does that mean? I understand it is kinda wind related, but don't grasp the actual true meaning behind it. Slow season expected etc?
1034. gator23
Quoting zoomiami:
1029 - I'm hiding under that mess. I started out in Downtown Miami today, it was raining, back to homestead, it was raining, home to Kendall, it was still raining!

I am not a duck.


Tell me about it. Rain in Blue Lagoon and now rain in Kendall
1035. gator23
.
Quoting zoomiami:
1029 - I'm hiding under that mess. I started out in Downtown Miami today, it was raining, back to homestead, it was raining, home to Kendall, it was still raining!

I am not a duck.


You would think with all of the rain we have had we would be well above normal, however at the "official" reporting stations for month of June to date:

Miami - plus 1.33
Ft Lauderdale - negative 3.5
W Palm Beach - plus 0.74
Naples - negative 5.63
1038. scott39
Is there a formula the experts use to figure how many storms there will be for the year?
Hi gator23 - could have waved at you going on the way downtown.
Quoting nrtiwlnvragn:


You would think with all of the rain we have had we would be well above normal, however at the "official" reporting stations for month of June to date:

Miami - plus 1.33
Ft Lauderdale - negative 3.5
W Palm Beach - plus 0.74
Naples - negative 5.63


You have to wonder about that - its been a lot of years since we have the continuous rain we've had this June.
Quoting zoomiami:


You have to wonder about that - its been a lot of years since we have the continuous rain we've had this June.


It scares me because if by chance we do get a slow moving tropical system that drops a ton of rain the flooding would be even worse.
Quoting CaneWarning:


It scares me because if by chance we do get a slow moving tropical system that drops a ton of rain the flooding would be even worse.


Hey Cane - also even minimal winds cause problems because the ground is soggy. If you remember during Fay a lot of trees went over because the ground was so soft. Especially the big old ones.

Cane -- WU mail
Quoting zoomiami:


Hey Cane - also even minimal winds cause problems because the ground is soggy. If you remember during Fay a lot of trees went over because the ground was so soft. Especially the big old ones.



Don't have to worry too much about that in my area, no old ones left. All have "birth dates" post 1992.
Quoting hurricaneseason2006:
We did not had a storm in June ahwww, boo-hoo. Just a bunch of wishcasting babies who cannot wait until August or September. I bet if Ana forms next week, you'll see the same ones who are forecasting five named storms flock back. You cannot please them.


I suggest you read rules of the road before making off topic jibberish.
The first Named storm will be on or before 7/10/2009...... Sparrow prediction
1048. scott39
Storm how healthy does the wave look going at about 55W
1050. msphar
SKYE thanks for the ACE info. I found this after clicking on your graph:

"The perceptible (and perhaps measurable) impact of global warming on hurricanes in today's climate is arguably a pittance (or noise) compared to the reorganization and modulation of hurricane formation locations and preferred tracks/intensification corridors dominated by ENSO (and other natural climate factors). Moreover, our understanding of the complicated role of hurricanes with and role in climate is nebulous to be charitable. We must increase our understanding of the current climate's hurricane activity. " There was a lot more.
If the pattern plays out the way i think the primary threat zone would be the eastern Gulf, Florida and the east coast as i expect in August a trough to be over teh Miss River Valley or Appalachian area, this would pick up storms in the western Caribbean and eastern Gulf and turn them north and northeast.

I think any CV storms will likely recurve off the east coast.
never mind
1054. msphar
I see Gray and Kolzbach are forecasting 90 for this year's Atlantic ACE contribution, down from 105 in April which was down from 135 in December. They estimate climatological average to be 96.1 so this year's contribution looks to be again lower. I wonder if that true of other cyclone regions ?
Quoting hurricane23:
If the pattern plays out the way i think the primary threat zone would be the eastern Gulf, Florida and the east coast as i expect in August a trough to be over teh Miss River Valley or Appalachian area, this would pick up storms in the western Caribbean and eastern Gulf and turn them north and northeast.

I think any CV storms will likely recurve off the east coast.


Not good for Florida at all...

This season looks to be a bad one.
Scott39, post 1048.
I can tell you that I am under that wave right now,and there are some tall cumulus, occasional cloud-to-cloud lightening, and scattered showers.
So, at present, dont look for too much from this one.
1058. Ossqss
OK, so if I am understanding ACE correctly, it is the cumulative measurement of energy from cyclones per year? I overlooked the hidden link in the graphic. Thanks for pointing that out :)

The below was imbedded in the page linked in the graphic.



Hurricane watch 2009: scraping the bottom
Quoting hurricane23:
If the pattern plays out the way i think the primary threat zone would be the eastern Gulf, Florida and the east coast as i expect in August a trough to be over teh Miss River Valley or Appalachian area, this would pick up storms in the western Caribbean and eastern Gulf and turn them north and northeast.

I think any CV storms will likely recurve off the east coast.


With above average June temps in the GOM this "future Trough over the Miss means nothing" FEMA needs to start begging Obama for a bail out, cuase TX, Miss, AL are in for it.
1060. Seastep
Quoting scott39:
Is there a formula the experts use to figure how many storms there will be for the year?


Shot in the twilight. ;)
Quoting sebastianflorida:
I think no storms this year; however after the NHC reviews the season they will decide to classfy 13 storms, with 6 being Hurricanes and 3 of those intense!

that would be good but it will never happen
1062. Seastep
Good evening all.

Great to see your presence, StormW.
yah!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! somthing to watch lol
1064. Patrap
Quoting scott39:
Is there a formula the experts use to figure how many storms there will be for the year?



Quoting Acemmett90:
yah!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! somthing to watch lol

and sitting on the equator. kinda hard to spin up there.
Quoting Acemmett90:
yah!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! somthing to watch lol

1067. Seastep
Still think above average named storms, but less intensity.
Alright south Florida is gettin a heck lot more rain than north Florida today.Im in the middle of this blob of rain in south palm beach county, Boca Raton.
1069. Seastep
Love the toast... that's a keeper for various uses. :)
1063, I think the dryness to the north of that will eat it all up.....
but nice to watch, anyway.
Its that period from August 20th thru Sept. 2Oth. that is critical. If a ridge just happens to set up in the Western Atlantic at 500 mb during that period, there will likely be landfalls. If a trough sets up on or just off the east coast, any storms will not make landfall, except in the West Gulf. Just plain luck and chance. The long wave position is always changing, and rarely stays in one place more than 10-14 days.

Have a great night! Adrian
I guess this is "the calm before the storm" that when we get to august, it's going be a shocking nightmare possibly like 2004.
been so hot.. could make this :
1074. Ossqss
Quoting Seastep:
Love the toast... that's a keeper for various uses. :)



LoL, on innuendo and an association with origination to Keepers post. You made me think, and it hurt - J/K!

Patrap, ah , you did notice those were bullseyes :)
Five inches of rain here in Oldsmar today.
I have no idea what the conversation is.. but now I can't wait till breakfast :)
Firefox 3.5 has amazing speed. I recommend that some of you try it.
1078. Patrap
I notice most things.
..cept seasonal Hurricane forecasts.

Best to Prepare than to roll the dice,or darts.


P.S.
There will be snowstorms in Winter above 40 N. There's my Winter seasonal Prediction.
1079. hahaguy
Quoting futuremet:
Firefox 3.5 has amazing speed. I recommend that some of you try it.


I downloaded it earlier, It's amazing.
Quoting hahaguy:


I downloaded it earlier, It's anazing.


I have been using the Beta for months.. I will never go back to IE
Stand by! The animation is nearly ready for viewing! :)
1082. msphar
1058 Ossqss - Somehow they do a 24 month average to adjust ENSO across the year boundaries, I don't understand it yet either. Anyway, its been dubbed passe by a critic on CA who claims some sort of new metric that is based on CAT 4/5 storms. The researchers move quickly. I'm just now starting to like ACE as it is...
1083. Makoto1
Quoting Patrap:
I notice most things.
..cept seasonal Hurricane forecasts.

Best to Prepare than to roll the dice,or darts.


P.S.
There will be snowstorms in Winter above 40 N. There's my Winter seasonal Prediction.


I guess I'm good at 39'50 now. You know, if the dart actually hit. lol
1084. Patrap
1085. Ossqss
Quoting Patrap:
I notice most things.
..cept seasonal Hurricane forecasts.

Best to Prepare than to roll the dice,or darts.


P.S.
There will be snowstorms in Winter above 40 N. There's my Winter seasonal Prediction.



You had to say Dice,,,,,here ya go. Kinda applies to forecasts and perhaps OZ too, to a certain degree.
I've been able to make Breakfest without a stove the last couple of days it's been so hot outside.
All I gotta do is wake up, get a pan out and something to keep the bugs out, instant Breakfast!
1087. hahaguy
Quoting Orcasystems:


I have been using the Beat for months.. I will never go back to IE


I've been using firefox since 07 and I can never go back lol.
1088. Levi32
I'm still debating with myself over whether I like Chrome or Firefox better. Chrome has bugs and no extensions/ad-blocking but it has amazing screenspace and the url auto-complete in the address bar is a must-have that Firefox doesn't.
1089. hahaguy
Damn, all of my bookmarks got erased. Could someone give me some of the model pages and tropical weather pages.
TIA
Good Tuesday evening, everybody!
1091. Ossqss
Quoting hahaguy:
Damn, all of my bookmarks got erased. Could someone give me some of the model pages and tropical weather pages.
TIA


If your not kidding -- here ya go for a start

Link

Link

Link
Quoting hurricane23:
Its that period from August 20th thru Sept. 2Oth. that is critical. If a ridge just happens to set up in the Western Atlantic at 500 mb during that period, there will likely be landfalls. If a trough sets up on or just off the east coast, any storms will not make landfall, except in the West Gulf. Just plain luck and chance. The long wave position is always changing, and rarely stays in one place more than 10-14 days.

Have a great night! Adrian


You tell us this and then expect us to have a great night??? LOL
What is this firefox of which you speak? I'm happy with Netscape.
1094. hahaguy
Quoting Ossqss:


If your not kidding -- here ya go for a start

Link

Link

Link


Thanks .I wouldn't be joking about that lol.
Quoting StSimonsIslandGAGuy:
What is this firefox of which you speak? I'm happy with Netscape.


Firefox is the best thing that ever happened.
Quoting CybrTeddy:
I've been able to make Breakfest without a stove the last couple of days it's been so hot outside.
All I gotta do is wake up, get a pan out and something to keep the bugs out, instant Breakfast!

why keep the bugs out? Instant protein.
1097. Ossqss
Quoting hahaguy:


Thanks .I wouldn't be joking about that lol.



I would recomend that everyone export your favorites to a file. If you experience this type of problem, just import the same file and you are fini!

I believe firefox follows the same method

While in IE, click, file, import/export and follow the prompts.

It really does make it easy to recover from a problem like this.

Easy, fast, and priceless :)

Oh yeah, and does Netscape actually still exist or was that a joke?
1099. hahaguy
Quoting Ossqss:



I would recomend that everyone export your favorites to a file. If you experience this type of problem, just import the same file and you are fini!

I believe firefox follows the same method

While in IE, click, file, import/export and follow the prompts.

It really does make it easy to recover from a problem like this.

Easy, fast, and priceless :)



Ya I just did that so I don't lose all of them again.
I was joking Canewarning!
Quoting StSimonsIslandGAGuy:
I was joking Canewarning!


Thank goodness - I was seriously worried for you!
1102. Seastep
Quoting Levi32:
I'm still debating with myself over whether I like Chrome or Firefox better. Chrome has bugs and no extensions/ad-blocking but it has amazing screenspace and the url auto-complete in the address bar is a must-have that Firefox doesn't.


Huh??? Firefox url complete is awesome.

Laptop I'm using atm, has none of my links. But I can get where I need to go with two keys. Just have to train it a tad.
1103. JRRP
Levi32
what is the meaning of set up a ridge at 500mb?

1104. Seastep
Quoting hahaguy:
Damn, all of my bookmarks got erased. Could someone give me some of the model pages and tropical weather pages.
TIA


LOL.... two keys. :)
1105. hahaguy
Quoting Seastep:


LOL.... two keys


I didn't have them backed up.
FireFox is takeing overe the word
Quoting jeffs713:

and sitting on the equator. kinda hard to spin up there.
NHC says this wave is S of 13 N. Well, Ivan became a hurricane at 9.5N so it might be difficult to spin up so close to the equator but not impossible.
1108. Ossqss
Quoting Seastep:


LOL.... two keys. :)



and which 2 ?

Quoting stormwatcherCI:
NHC says this wave is S of 13 N. Well, Ivan became a hurricane at 9.5N so it might be difficult to spin up so close to the equator but not impossible.

Couple of things.
1. the wave itself is in the middle of SAL
2. the wave itself has zero convection
3. the closest convection is mired in the ITCZ, at the equator
Quoting jeffs713:

Couple of things.
1. the wave itself is in the middle of SAL
2. the wave itself has zero convection
3. the closest convection is mired in the ITCZ, at the equator


Are you taking about the AOI at about 35 W?
YouTube is taking it's time processing the video up to hi-def...so please be patient.

It's not my fault! :P
1112. Levi32
Quoting Seastep:


Huh??? Firefox url complete is awesome.

Laptop I'm using atm, has none of my links. But I can get where I need to go with two keys. Just have to train it a tad.


Well having to press the down arrow and pick the entry you want is a lot slower than it sounds. Chrome made it so that getting to wunderground was just typing "w" and "enter"

Quoting JRRP:
Levi32
what is the meaning of set up a ridge at 500mb?



It means exactly what it says =) To "set up" a ridge means to have a ridge become established in an area, and 500mb is a pressure level equivalent of about 18000 feet.

So when someone says "....will set up a ridge at 500mb" means a ridge at the 500mb level will be moving in.
1113. Ossqss
Quoting CycloneOz:
YouTube is taking it's time processing the video up to hi-def...so please be patient.

It's not my fault! :P


OZ, not being sure of your format, there are converters, free, that do a very good job of compressing video. Something to google if needed. L8R
Quoting Ossqss:


OZ, not being sure of your format, there are converters, free, that do a very good job of compressing video. Something to google if needed. L8R


Actually, it's perfectly produced for display on YouTube in HD. There is a really good tutorial that showed me how to do it, with a small file size. It's now a preset on my Media Exporter on Adobe Premiere.

I must be patient...but it is frustrating.
1115. JRRP
Quoting Levi32:


Well not having to press the down arrow and pick the entry you want is a lot slower than it sounds. Chrome made it so that getting to wunderground was just typing "w" and "enter"



It means exactly what it says =) To "set up" a ridge means to have a ridge become established in an area, and 500mb is a pressure level equivalent of about 18000 feet.

So when someone says "....will set up a ridge at 500mb" means a ridge at the 500mb level will be moving in.

ah good.... just that

thanks
1116. Drakoen
500mb ridge is just a fancy way of saying a mid level ridge.
Good News!

The GOES East Infrared Hurricane Alley & Sector Animation for June 2009 in HD is ready for viewing!

Just follow the link if you're interested in viewing this incredible imagery provided by the GOES East Infrared Satellite.

Spanning the course of the entire month of June 2009, you'll see a quiet area of tropics, not only in the Hurricane Sector, but new this year...an additional animation of Hurricane Alley!

Produced for all my friends here at WeatherUnderground.com, I hope you enjoy this very special view from space that the GOES East Satellite provides.

It's not yet been processed as an HD video yet, but the quality is good enough to view now. Come back later and rewatch it in HD!

CycloneOz---
1118. Seastep
Quoting Drakoen:
500mb ridge is just a fancy way of saying a mid level ridge.


LOL! Love ya, Drak, but talking about fancy speaking? I am ROFL. Need me to quote? :)
1119. Drakoen
Quoting Seastep:


LOL! Love ya, Drak, but talking about fancy speaking? I am ROFL. Need me to quote? :)


No it's alright. I know I talk like that. :)
1121. Seastep
OZ... either direct link or have a "Special" or something...

Would be checking it out right now if I could find it... just a suggestion. :)

And... where is it?
1122. beell
Loved it Oz! I think I could watch it for hours. Feelin' calm and peaceful.
Thanks for posting and G'Nite!
Here's a direct link to the animation

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3dN4IxXsa34
1124. Seastep
Levi

Well having to press the down arrow and pick the entry you want is a lot slower than it sounds. Chrome made it so that getting to wunderground was just typing "w" and "enter"

Fair enough. Checked out chrome briefly, but not enough knowledge on it.

I Still have to use IE for two commercial apps. :(
Quoting beell:
Loved it Oz! I think I could watch it for hours. Feelin' calm and peaceful.
Thanks for posting and G'Nite!


I'm so glad you enjoyed it!

Imagine how excited I was back in May 2009 when I found these beautiful images created by GOES that are not normally published.

Imagine how patient I had to be to not jump the gun and give you a two-week sneak peak!

It was definitely worth the wait and I can only continue to imagine what a real storm in this imagery will look like....

More patience needed...and I have plenty!

It was joyful labor to produce and I look forward to July!
Lots of emoticons in the blog tonight :\
1127. Seastep
Oz, sorry for being picky, but realized halfway through, where the areas were. I'm colorblind, so don't take that for all, but I had zero clue where I was looking. Appreciate all the effort... I know what it takes... but if you could, maybe land outlines? Just a self-centered suggestion. :)

Good work.
1128. Seastep
Quoting FloridaTigers:
Lots of emoticons in the blog tonight :\


LOL.
1129. beell
Soon as I saw the first tropical wave roll across in the first section-I knew where I was.
And nice music!
Out for real. Nite all
Quoting Seastep:
Oz, sorry for being picky, but realized halfway through, where the areas were. I'm colorblind, so don't take that for all, but I had zero clue where I was looking. Appreciate all the effort... I know what it takes... but if you could, maybe land outlines? Just a self-centered suggestion. :)

Good work.


I've been running landline imagery for a few years now.

When I found these, I literally fell in love with them.

On the bright side, now that you know what you're looking at...watch the show again! :)

I've been watching it weekly as it's progressed...and I still am mesmerized by the shapes, patterns and movements of our weather systems.

I'm going to keep it as it is this year, and hopefully, next year...I'll get lucky again with some rarely seen / beautiful imagery! (knock wood! :)

Quoting JRRP:
Levi32
what is the meaning of set up a ridge at 500mb?




deep layered ridge???
Happy July 1st, 2009, all.
1133. Levi32
Quoting beell:
Soon as I saw the first tropical wave roll across in the first section-I knew where I was.
And nice music!
Out for real. Nite all


Lol same here, I remembered that wave and knew exactly where it was.

Oz - thanks so much for putting the effort into this =) I know having raw GOES data from that site is great. I rarely use it due to the .tiff formats that are a real pain. Awesome video....it's a lot of fun to watch long-term patterns evolve on satellite =)
Quoting stormwatcherCI:
NHC says this wave is S of 13 N. Well, Ivan became a hurricane at 9.5N so it might be difficult to spin up so close to the equator but not impossible.



TC's can form theoretically from 5*N!!!!
1135. Levi32
Quoting stillwaiting:



deep layered ridge???



Deep-layered would be a ridge extending through many layers/levels of the atmosphere. 500mb is just one level. A deep-layered ridge typically extends from 850mb-200mb, or basically surface/low-levels to upper levels. Hence the word "deep".
Quoting stillwaiting:



TC's can form theoretically from 5*N!!!!


One formed in the WPAC at about 1.4N
Quoting Levi32:


Lol same here, I remembered that wave and knew exactly where it was.

Oz - thanks so much for putting the effort into this =) I know having raw GOES data from that site is great. I rarely use it due to the .tiff formats that are a real pain. Awesome video....it's a lot of fun to watch long-term patterns evolve on satellite =)


You are most welcome. :)

But you guys now working in video too have raised the bar, so I had to step up! ;)
1138. Drakoen
Quoting stillwaiting:



deep layered ridge???


LOL!
Very nice Oz! Thoroughly enjoyed seeing the weathern patterns flow like that. Hope you keep them coming. Thanks!
What about anything technically on the equator itself, folks?
1141. Levi32
Quoting extreme236:


One formed in the WPAC at about 1.4N


Cyclone Agni reached 0.7N, the closest to the equator any observed tropical cyclone has gotten.
my dad still uses AOL as a browser...
Good job OZ! thanks for spending all your time for our enjoyment!
1145. Levi32
Quoting CycloneOz:


You are most welcome. :)

But you guys now working in video too have raised the bar, so I had to step up! ;)


Wow I forgot there was a 2nd sector showing the SE US....that was fascinating. You could see the ridge build over the SE states through the month and the evolution of 93L with the east coast trough taking energy out of it and everything. Very cool.
1146. BtnTx
Quoting CycloneOz:


I've been running landline imagery for a few years now.

When I found these, I literally fell in love with them.

On the bright side, now that you know what you're looking at...watch the show again! :)

I've been watching it weekly as it's progressed...and I still am mesmerized by the shapes, patterns and movements of our weather systems.

I'm going to keep it as it is this year, and hopefully, next year...I'll get lucky again with some rarely seen / beautiful imagery! (knock wood! :)



Impressive & very unique presentation with superb music!
Quoting Drakoen:


LOL!


I was commenting that I thought it would be a deep layered ridgea and he was talking about the set-up in about 10-14days as a deep layerd ridge establishes over the SE again,what he's asking I already know,deep layered ridges produce surface divergence resulting in low rain chances and would have high pressure in all layers of the troposphere....FOYF
Quoting Vortex95:
my dad still uses AOL as a browser...
Nice haha
1149. BtnTx
comments regarding Firefox deleted...
FF91:how much rain today,got .28 inches in the last 24,down the shoreline here on siesta key,you live near oldsmar,yes???
1151. Seastep
FOYF?
1152. Seastep
Quoting BtnTx:
comments regarding Firefox deleted...


????
1153. Levi32
Quoting Seastep:


????


He did the right thing really. I shouldn't have even said that one sentence about FF. The rules state that we should keep to the topic of the blog or tropical weather.
Quoting BtnTx:
comments regarding Firefox deleted...

No there not
1155. vortfix
The tropics are quiet you young guys.
Take it from an older young person....give it a rest...cut the grass...shave the dog...etc!

We'll have fun soon enough.....


I very much appreciate all the acknowledgement and sincere comments, but you know...all the glory "goes" to GOES and the staff that maintain its systems and servers.

(Hats off to the ladies and gentlemen who have done such fine work for all of our enjoyment and education.)

Finally, before I leave tonight...yes I've been holding on to the secret of how cool the animations this year were going to be...

But there's one more secret.

Three of you here know it (but they're sworn to secrecy.)

The only hint I'll give you is this:

When you learn the secret, it will rock your world! :)

'Nite all! :)
1157. Seastep
Interesting since I received no answer on FOYV... switched to my daughter to test something else.

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1158. Seastep
Got it still... no worries.
1159. Dar9895
Quoting Dakster:


Now, come November 30th and no named storm, I might believe you...


Remember 2004
Anybody see anything coming out of that flare up around 5N - 35W?
6.7 earthquake in greece. probally be in the news soon tropical note alot of moisture in the atlantic tropics this yr so far. good morning
1162. ycd0108
Here is the arrival of the seismic signal from the earthquake in the Med.:
http://earthquakescanada.nrcan.gc.ca/stndon/wf-fo/index-eng.php?day=1&filter=autoscaled&month=07&st ation=first&tpl_region=swbc&type=network&year=2009&hour=9#SECTION_1

Since it was off shore there should not be too much damage unless it generates a tsunammi. there was an aftershock as well and this thing may not be quite over yet.
Didn't Dr. Masters just get back from Greece? Wow...timing is everything, huh?
1165. IKE
Here's what's going on in the tropical Atlantic>>>>yawn.

Day 31.
152 to go and it's over.
1167. ph34683
Morning! Only 3.07" here.

Just got a tornado warning over the radio...
Quoting Bailey1777:
Anybody see anything coming out of that flare up around 5N - 35W?

maybe
Good morning all 8-)
Quoting Acemmett90:

maybe

Next wave looks good
Link
Quoting Acemmett90:

Next wave looks good
Link

1172. ph34683
Is an "ISOLATED PULSE SEVERE STORM" the same as a down burst?
This could be ana
No Storms in 09, yewhue!!!! So glad they all fell apar this season!
This could be ana

Don't be fooled by the satellite. The conditions in front of this wave are very unfavorable.
1176. crownwx
Good morning all!!
I took a look at the CFS model forecast for the next few months off of the AccuWeather Pro site and found a couple of interesting things.

July: The UL low looks to lift NE this month into eastern Canada which may allow some warmth into the NE US. Lots of hvy precip off of coast of Africa, but then tapers off the further west you go, which likely means any TWs will "peter out" the further west you go. Lack of precip over much of Caribbean likely due to Columbian low pressure system.

August & September: Found the precip strip up off of the US East Coast interesting, may be a clue to tropical systems paralleling the US East Coast as they track N and NE. Also, there is an area of heavier precip over the NE Gulf of Mexico that is kind of curious. Wondering if this means something? The setup is pretty much the same for both August and September.

October: Area of heavier precip near North Carolina coast and near Cuba.

Looks like Caribbean stays dry for much of the summer and also interestingly the western Gulf of Mexico until September and October.

Thoughts are more than welcome!!

-Rob @ Crown Weather Services
I am thinking 2 or 3 storms and 1 hurricane fish storm in 09
the ENSO Wrap-Up is update

Summary: El Niño event likely

Link
Quoting ph34683:
Is an "ISOLATED PULSE SEVERE STORM" the same as a down burst?


Pulse storms are quickly forming storms that get strong then they die quickly.
1180. ph34683
Quoting Stormchaser2007:


Pulse storms are quickly forming storms that get strong then they die quickly.


Thanks! I'd never heard of them before.
1181. NEwxguy
That UL is to move into eastern canada,but 2 more lows are to replace that one over the weekend and early next week,a little warmer here the ne,but no summer weather in sight.
GOES East Infrared Hurricane Alley & Sector - JUNE 2009 in HD



Every year, I look forward to producing these incredible animations for all my friends at WeatherUnderground.com, but never more so than this year! Produced in spectacular HD for the first time, other firsts include a new animation of Hurricane Alley and new imagery of the Hurricane Sector that highlights the landmasses not with a drawn line, but with natural lighting. It is truly an amazing sequence of images that will hold you spellbound, even though June 2009 was a quiet month in the tropics. So sit back and enjoy this unique experience of watching the world go by day by day from space as provided by imagery created by the GOES East Satellite!
Tampa is flooding.
Good Morning; All's Good in the tropical atlantic and who knows what will happen in the next few months but I have a question; in modern history (last 50 years) what is the "least" number of storms in a single season?...........Thanks
Quoting CaneWarning:
Tampa is flooding.


Ya, looks like a rough morning

000
NWUS52 KTBW 011246
LSRTBW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
845 AM EDT WED JUL 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0815 AM LIGHTNING 6 SW CLEARWATER 27.89N 82.82W
07/01/2009 PINELLAS FL EMERGENCY MNGR

*** 1 INJ *** INDIVIDUAL WAS STRUCK BY LIGHTNING WHILE
INSIDE A MEDAL SHED NEAR LARGO. TRANSPORTED TO HOSPITAL
WITH AN INJURY TO HIS HAND.




000
NWUS52 KTBW 011238
LSRTBW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
838 AM EDT WED JUL 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0730 AM FLOOD 3 S HUDSON 28.32N 82.69W
07/01/2009 PASCO FL EMERGENCY MNGR

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT IN PASCO CO. REPORTS FLOODING NEAR
ZIMMERMAN AND RANCH RD SOUTH OF HUDSON. EVACUATING 10
BLOCK AREA.

Quoting nrtiwlnvragn:


Ya, looks like a rought morning

000
NWUS52 KTBW 011246
LSRTBW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
845 AM EDT WED JUL 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0815 AM LIGHTNING 6 SW CLEARWATER 27.89N 82.82W
07/01/2009 PINELLAS FL EMERGENCY MNGR

*** 1 INJ *** INDIVIDUAL WAS STRUCK BY LIGHTNING WHILE
INSIDE A MEDAL SHED NEAR LARGO. TRANSPORTED TO HOSPITAL
WITH AN INJURY TO HIS HAND.




000
NWUS52 KTBW 011238
LSRTBW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
838 AM EDT WED JUL 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0730 AM FLOOD 3 S HUDSON 28.32N 82.69W
07/01/2009 PASCO FL EMERGENCY MNGR

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT IN PASCO CO. REPORTS FLOODING NEAR
ZIMMERMAN AND RANCH RD SOUTH OF HUDSON. EVACUATING 10
BLOCK AREA.



Yeah I drove in a couple of feet of water this morning.
Quoting clwstmchasr:
This could be ana

Don't be fooled by the satellite. The conditions in front of this wave are very unfavorable.




hmmm this wind shear map dos not look very unfavorable too me in fac wind shear is vary favorable this about any where there may be a few pake it of 20 to 40kt of wind shear here and there but any way this about evere has favorable wind shear


Link
Quoting StormW:
Good morning!

Gonna need a life jacket...4.62" of rain here from 7:00 a.m. yesterday, to 7:00 a.m. this morning...still raining.


i am in lakeland and it seems like when the bad stuff hits polk it hits a wall. tornados in brandon this morning headed my way and its barely sprinkling. i guess we have a force field!!
1190. cg2916
NEW BLOG!