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State of U.S. global warming efforts: Business as Usual

By: Dr. Jeff Masters, 2:49 PM GMT on January 24, 2007

President Bush spoke of "the serious challenge of global climate change" in his State of the Union speech last night, and called for the U.S. to reduce gasoline consumption 20 percent over the next 10 years. The reduction in gasoline consumption would primarily be achieved through promotion of alternative fuels such as ethanol and liquefied coal. While it is a pleasant change to hear the president acknowledge the reality of the climate change problem and to propose measures that could significantly reduce U.S. consumption of foreign oil, his proposals do virtually nothing to combat global warming.

About one third of greenhouse gases emissions in the the U.S. come from cars and trucks. Thus, a 20% cut in gasoline consumption would reduce U.S. greenhouse gas emissions by about 6%, at best. Since a large portion of the gasoline reduction would come from liquefied coal--which, when burned, makes double the CO2 of burning gasoline--even this modest 6% decrease in emissions might end up at zero. The President offered no plan to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from electric utilities or industry, whose emissions will continue to grow at about 2% per year. Overall, greenhouse gas emission will grow by 14% over the next decade under the President's plan, according to Philip Clapp, president of the National Environmental Trust. The consensus among most climate scientists is that emission of greenhouse gases must be radically cut 50-60% globally by 2050 in order to avoid dangerous levels of global warming. The President's business-as-usual plan to allow emissions to increase by 14% over the next decade will make it extremely difficult to achieve that goal, as the U.S. contributes about 25% of the world's greenhouse gas emissions.

Jeff Masters

Climate Change

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

Reader Comments

501. ryang
Last year was so busy.This blog had 4000 comments for a dissipating storm.
Thats a moronic thing to do Kris.You do stuff like that and people shake their heads man.My info came from a Blogger that corresponded with the Doc..you a trip..LOL.Later.


You brought it up...What'd you expect?I'm sure he got ten emails about it yesterday.
504. IKE
Last year was so busy.This blog had 4000 comments for a dissipating storm.

LOL!

ST with his comments!
505. ryang
CB You are killing the blog with those long post.
Can't we get on to more weather related stuff now. Enough with this crap about STL and Aquak.
we're past that,TS2
CB You are killing the blog with those long post.

I don't bother with those comments
I agree with ryang...links please CB.
And other crappy things kris
Well,TS2 we're tired of talking about GW.No TC,no snowstorms,no severe outbreaks.You got any ideas?Give us a break.
At least during hurricane season, people argue about the weather...and not about whatever the #$@! it is people are arguing about today.
Since it looks like the majority of greenhouse gasses come from industry and electric utilities (inferred from Jeff's post - I don't have hard numbers here), maybe we need to look beyond just driving a fuel efficient automobile. While that in itself is a partial solution, car pooling or mass transit would be even more beneficial. I can't even begin to count the number of huge SUV's that go by my house every day with one person in them.

Another easy conservation step would be to consider using compact fluorescent lamps instead of standard incandescent light bulbs. Same amount of light for about one-third to one fourth the energy consumption. May not sound like a big deal, but consider this - It takes roughly 1.6 pounds of coal to power a 60 watt bulb for 24 hours. Replace that bulb with a flourescent and you're talking about half a pound. So you save 1 pound of coal every 24 hours that light operates. Multiply that times every lightbulb in your home and workplace. Better still, every lightbulb in every building in America - no, the world! Now we're talking real conservation...
exactly rw.There's nothing to talk about now.It'll be better this June.
If the blog hasn't dried out by then
517. ryang
We can talk about the upcoming hurricane season.
What do people think about the controversy with Heidi Fleiss and AMS certification?
What do people think about the controversy with Heidi Fleiss and AMS certification?


I haven't heard of it.Does it really matter?They're discontinuing the seal next year.
got the mail,StSimons.Will do
After what happened with the season predictions last year, speculation on what the hurricane season will be like may not be accurate :P It will be interesting to see how the ENSO is behaving in June.
I'll be back later
Posted By: weatherboykris at 4:30 PM EST on January 25, 2007.
I am.I didn't insult her.I've barely spoken to her.I'm just wondering what she had against STL posting only about weather in his locale.It was his choice.


With over twenty angry, yet justified wu-mails I have recieved, I agree that StL definitely has the right to post whatever weather info he choses. He does not recieve a paycheck, and how he choses to present himself here is HIS choice.

How he choses to react is HIS choice.

What he choses to post is HIS choice.

Whether he stays or goes is HIS choice.

I have presented my point of view, and explanation, as best as I can in my own blog. I have no control how my words are percieved, but I can control what words I type.

Respectfully, I remain--Aqua
What do people think about the controversy with Heidi Fleiss and AMS certification?

I think that is another Soap Opera!


Alright!Let's all talk about GW for the 8th time today.
She made a post on her weatherchannel blog last week that the AMS should require acknowledging global warming as fact for certification. It caused a tempest in a teapot among conservative bloggers and accuweather and fox news.
it was nothing personal from me,Aqua.I was just wondering what he did that bothered you.
we've used up all the GW problems inthis blog alone so there is no point
I haven't done much with my blog, but I think it is time I made something of it later tonight.
And i just looked at your post on SLT's blog Aquak9 and wondered 'What the hell' But its over now
oh and thanks weatherboykris!
536. ryang
How about Arthur.That's a topic.
Respectfully, I remain--Aqua

when i grow up..i'll quit saying freakin and type like a got a lick of smarts......

ROCK ON AQUA!!!!!!!!!!
She made a post on her weatherchannel blog last week that the AMS should require acknowledging global warming as fact for certification. It caused a tempest in a teapot among conservative bloggers and accuweather and fox news.


That's stupid.Wether or not GW is a fact is a person's proffesional opinion.Not something that's brainwashed in to them.How did a high profile meteorologist think she could say that without a backlash?
Im back from checking my heating and it looks like im spending the night without heating.
Im back from checking my heating and it looks like im spending the night without heating.


Bundle up.Temps in the 30s.Wind Chills below freezing.
sorry to hear that
Yep kris im so p***ed that it had to happen when a Wind Chill advisory is in affect
544. IKE
Heidi Cullen not Fleiss!

That's what threw me on the discussion!
545. ryang
I lurked last year during the hurricane season.
Posted By: ricderr at 4:59 PM EST on January 25, 2007.


when i grow up..i'll quit saying freakin and type like a got a lick of smarts......


Hmmmmm.....

Heidi Cullen not Fleiss!


I thought my search results seemed odd.Be back later.
It seems that a lot of TV meterologists are fairly skeptical on global warming, especially compared to climatologists. One TV met made a big stir after Cullen's comments and got quoted in a lot of blogs...one of our local TV guys in Kansas City also trashed Cullen in his blog.
It seems that a lot of TV meterologists are fairly skeptical on global warming, especially compared to climatologists. One TV met made a big stir after Cullen's comments and got quoted in a lot of blogs...one of our local TV guys in Kansas City also trashed Cullen in his blog.


She should be trashed,what a stupid thing to say.
be back later
Yeah, I agree, I don't think human-induced GW should be something that is required for AMS certification. Especially since it irrelevant to the job of a forecast meteorologist.
I have updated my blog. Please read and leave some feedback!

1900's WunderBlog
I thought my joke was clever :)
I can't believe that my other half called her Heidi Fleiss and put that on the blog. Sometimes I think I should get a new handle. Or keep Mike locked out of the computer!
I thank all of you for caring so much about Global Warming. It is great to see the number of people supporting the reduction of greenhouse emissions. It truly makes me smile.

We may think that the Bush Administration is taking slow steps to battle the issue, however if we keep voicing this support, especially to our family, friends and neighbors, the Governments will soon take swifter actions to reduce emissions.

Keep voicing what you believe!!!!

Thanks and Peace on Earth
Patrick
560. HAARP
jeeze... here we go again... I have a novel idea...


why doesnt everyone do what they can to stop so called "man made" global warming...

instead All I hear is people blaming the governments for not fixing the problem...I am so sick of the people in this country and on the internet...

FIX THE PROBLEM YOURSELVES...instead of relying on others...

PS... I am still waiting on a solution...cutting emmisions even 60% is not a solution because in 10 years there will be 200% more emmisions being spewed out into the air...we will be in the same bout as now...so please...gimme a solution or sthu...

It truly amazes me that even so called scientists waste all this time and still no solutions...

i get it....lets just blame everyone and make this political so a certain group can get control of the government...then like always...have them do nothing except weaken our government...then we will get attacked again...see here is the circle of politics at work...and yall perpetuate this very problem over and over...

like I said...fix this ourselves...If we as humans could fix things ourselves we wouldnt need governments...open your eyes
Sunset will lower the Thermostat here..Link
"If we as humans could fix things ourselves we wouldnt need governments...open your eyes"

if ifs and buts were candy and nuts...in environmental matters it is often necessary to have government intervention, because things like air and water are assets that are held in common by all people. we can't rely on some ideal John Locke-type solution to handle it, because from any one individual's perspective, the best solution is simply to pass the problem on...downstream, downwind, to future generations...
cb, we aren't the terminal generation. but if we are, then, well, it's too late, so might as well burn all the coal and oil we can.
BTW I made a blog entry, all constructive comments welcome.
Sol cares not what we think..time is always on Her side...8
Our society's oil addiction gets all the press; but the real gorilla in the room is the COAL addiction. Yet if I hear it mentioned, it is only in passing--funny thing. How are we to cope with the problem, and who will pay for the changeover to anything better, and how? This is a problem as much financial as technical, but it needs addressing. Fail to address it, and we may invent all the wonderful new technologies we wish, and it will avail us not; for civilization will still be founded on yesterday's infrastructure.
we need rain but the forcast is dry for me next week going in to week 4 with out rain send some my way thanks
lol
for the ones that not yet seen it

That forcast has a strong La Nina all the way through peak H Season


lol
The West Pacific storm season won't quit..lol. The new invest this morning 95W doesn't look as good as it did earlier, but their season is suppose to end with Nov.

& for those complaining we have no TCs how about Arthur?




click to enlarge
hey sky what you think about the map i post about may be a strong La Nina this year?
Taz it looks more realistic than it did a few weeks ago when it had, near nuetral in a few months & then right back to a very stong El Nino for the summer. It has changed greatly in a few weeks which shows no consistantcy, also beyond the 1st few months on there it gets pretty hard to predict as the models fray.
bbl
so sky will this have to wait and see whats see what we get in nexts week update
sky i think the olny way to tell where the high will set up shop is in may right
Hocus Pocus By Focus...Link
I am still waiting for other things Bush has proposed in previous State of the Union addresses, such as the mission to Mars, and the hydrogen economy he promised some years ago.
CB,no offense,but can't you just post links?It gets annoying having to scroll through pages of comments to get to the bottom.
Heavens Above Home Page ..Link
Don't forget switch grass!!
Job openings ..Clean Criminal record.SOme College Preferred.Openings for computer minded and skilled observers.Link
Sorry,
Thats why I always put my comments on the top of the page!


But your comments aren't at the top.never mind
This position still open as of today..Link
Port Terminal Live feed in Infrared B & W..River to Right.Link
I c a Choo-choo..LOL!Link
GW & Hurricanes Link
see my blog
GALE WARNING 062 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Jan 26/0109 UTC 2007 UTC.

Tropical Cyclone ARTHUR [987hPa] centre was located near 19.7 South
153.9 West at 260000 UTC.
Position poor.
Repeat position 19.7S 153.9W at 260000 UTC.
Cyclone is moving southeast about 20 knots.
Expect sustained winds of 45 knots close to the centre decreasing to
35 knots in the next 12 to 24 hours.
Expect winds over 33 knots within 120 miles of centre in the
southeastern semicircle and within
90 miles of centre in the northwestern semicircle.

Forecast position near 23.1S 151.5W at 261200 UTC
and near 26.8S 149.7W at 270000 UTC.

All vessels within 300 nautical miles of the centre are requested to
send reports every three hours to RSMC NADI. VOS reporting ships use
normal channels. Other vessels fax plus 679 6720190 or email naditcc
at met dot gov dot fj.



More Here
I have posted a Blog on the Fact what if theres a CAT 6 happening in the Atlatnic, I will update with a senerio in the Pacific Link
cyclone check your mail.
teddy,check your blog.I Left a comment
If President Bush were serious about alternative fuels, he'd be pushing for biodiesel made from hemp (which is more environmentally friendly, and doesn't take valuable corn fields out of production).
Temps next week will be quite cold come tuesday into wednesday with a strong cold front pushing into the southeast.Mid to low 40's across south florida are very possible.
Temps next week will be quite cold come tuesday into wednesday with a strong cold front pushing into the southeast.Mid to low 40's across south florida are very possible.


NWS says upper 30s
mid to low 50's across most parts of south florida tonight with highs in the low 70's tommorow.

Free Image Hosting at www.ImageShack.us

For more visit Adrian's Weather
how you doing h23?Do you know where Atmosweather has been?I emailed him a question two weeks ago and he never answered.
I haven't seen him on lately...Iam about to hit the sheets gotta work tommorow take care bro.
you too
1 lone ship near Arthur.
SHIP 0000(GMT) located -12.50S -157.30W ~332nm from Arthur WDir 310 WSpd 17.1kts
hi Skye
goodnight!
I wonder if anyone has thought about the fact that all the coal, oil and gas in the world are storing CO2 that was once in the atmosphere. Add to this the limestone bedrock which is primarily calcium carbonate which sinks CO2 and the conclusion has to be that worldwide CO2 was once quite a bit higher. If the greenhouse folks are right the earth was either quite a bit warmer once or warmer over a wider area (like the artctic being balmy).

And why focus on CO2 without going after CH4 an even more potent greenhouse gas?
Grimm wrote:

"Snowboy, I understand the president did not live up to your global warming iniative. However, global warming is not a new idea and did not just pop up during his presidency. What did Bill Clinton ever do to try to squash the problem before it became more pertinent? While I don't support the President in much that he is doing a lot of people want to place blame for everything on him. I still get a kick out of how people think the President really runs the country and his word is final. Let me clue you in on who really runs our country. BUREAUCRATS.Will Communists and opponents of free markets never learn? If I want to drive my SUV around at 20 mpg that is my right. You guys can go drive around those little cracker boxes. Also, please don't respond with the hybrid SUV's and trucks argument. The difference in gas mileage is neglible at best for the overall price difference."

I know Grimm reflected back on these posts later but there are some frequent themes in GW discussions here:

1) This is all about Bush: No. I personally think Bush is an incompetent ego-whore but I have no love for Clinton either and agree Clinton missed on oil/GW almost as bad as Bush has.

2) GW initiative infringe on rights. No, not on rights, On freedoms however, yes, they do. But necessarily. We all live on the same planet. This planet is our boat through the universe. If it was a inflatable dingy, the right to play with darts would be limited. Likewise, playing with matches in a wooden building, farting in elevators, not wearing seatbelts and so on.

3) In the same sense as number 2, it is not a free market anymore; e.g. we all pay a hidden tax for quality assurance in food. In a free market, tainted beef, poisoned cigarettes, etc. would be removed through the market reaction. We, as a society, have decided that a better way to enforce this policy is to act up front with laws and enforcement agencies. We collectively decide that the cost is better spread throughout society by taxes and higher prices rather than handled by the market.

Further, even in those cases, the assumption is that the guilty party will suffer through loss of business, etc and so therefore it is in their interest not to cheat. Some market cures are simply not possible: if the transaction is one off, if the damage does reflect on the cause or if it is an end-game. GW and Big Oil escape from market forces in all three of those ways.

4) Big Government meddling. Big government meddling is laws about behavior between consenting adults, free speech, etc.. I am a liberal but only in terms of freedom: If an action affects others, I recognise the need for laws. If it doesn't, no laws are needed. Consider that most 'liberal' laws are about the use of common resources, behavior in financial markets, and redistribution of wealth. Most conservative laws are about legislating individual behavior, removing social ties on wealth (and yet demanding common protection) and removing protections of common resources. I am all for simplifing the beaurocracy but without the common good, we are not a country but a collection of medieval fiefdoms.

5) In the US we pride ourselves on standing for freedom and justice internationally. we state, with a lot of reason, that we are the best country in the world. Forgetting about pride and behaving with the class due to being the best for a moment, it is simply in our best interests to play nice with the rest of the world. If we want to spread out ideals, we must lead by example. I remember hitch hiking through latin america and Venzuela in my early twenties and being welcomed as an American because of the admiration that was felt for freedom and the spirit of 'can do'. This is mostly gone, America is now seen as a symbol of 'take what you can', of hypocrisy and Haliburton/Cheney type backroom exploition and hidden agendas. If this is what america stands for, then fine, I am a patriot. However, lets not kid ourselves about who we are and what we stand for.

Sorry, all - no more posts from me except on weather. I am learning a lot and that is why I come here, having been in the Carribean in a few hurricanes and loving them as a force of nature (just not the damage done to people's lives and the horrible dreary stinky sleepless months putting everything back togather afterwards.)
Morning Green. Very well said......
627. 51pc
That is very good! I support you!





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