WunderBlog Archive » Category 6™

Category 6 has moved! See the latest from Dr. Jeff Masters and Bob Henson here.

Second Warmest January on Record Globally

By: Dr. Jeff Masters, 5:53 PM GMT on February 19, 2015

January 2015 was the second warmest January since record keeping began in 1880, said NOAA's National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) on Thursday. NASA also rated January 2015 as the 2nd warmest January on record, behind January 2007, which had the warmest departure from average of any month in recorded history. January 2015's near-record warmth continues a trend of very warm months for the planet--December 2014 was the warmest December on record, and 2014 was Earth's warmest calendar year on record. Global ocean temperatures during January 2015 were the 3rd warmest on record, and global land temperatures were the 2nd warmest on record. Global satellite-measured temperatures in January 2015 for the lowest 8 km of the atmosphere were the 7th or 5th warmest in the 37-year record, according to Remote Sensing Systems and the University of Alabama Huntsville (UAH), respectively.


Figure 1. Departure of temperature from average for January 2015, the 2nd warmest January for the globe since record keeping began in 1880. China had its warmest January on record, and record warmth was observed over much of the Caribbean and portions of Brazil and Mongolia. Image credit: National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) .

No billion-dollar weather disasters in January 2015
No billion-dollar weather-related disasters hit the Earth during January 2015, according to the January 2015 Catastrophe Report from insurance broker Aon Benfield. January 2015 joins November 2014 as the only months since January 2012 to go without a billion-dollar weather disaster. However, one nation experienced its most expensive natural disaster in its history in January 2015: Malawi, where two weeks of heavy rains triggered rampaging floods that killed at least 176 people and left 260,000 homeless. According to EM-DAT, the international disaster database, the floods of March 10, 1991 were the most expensive weather-related natural disaster in their history, with damages estimated at $24 million (1991 dollars.) The floods of 2015 may be ten times more expensive: Malawi requested humanitarian assistance of $430 million for recovery efforts from last month's disaster. The tropical disturbance that spawned these heavy rains moved over Mozambique on January 14, triggering flooding that killed at least 120 people there. The next day, the disturbance moved over the Mozambique Channel between Mozambique and Madagascar, becoming Tropical Storm Chedza, which hit Madagascar on January 16, killing 68 people on the island.


Figure 2. A bridge destroyed by flooding at Nchalo in Chikwawa, Malawi, the week of January 13, 2015. Image credit: Source: Department of Disaster Management Affairs, Malawi.

No official El Niño, but unusual warmth in Eastern Pacific
January 2015 officially featured neutral El Niño conditions in the equatorial Eastern Pacific, but sea surface temperatures were 0.5°C above average in the so-called Niño3.4 region (5°S - 5°N, 120°W - 170°W), where SSTs must be at least 0.5°C above average for five consecutive months (each month being a 3-month average) for an El Niño event to be declared. The warmth in the Niño3.4 region has continued into mid-February, and was still standing at 0.5°C above average this week. NOAA is continuing its El Niño Watch, giving a 50 - 60% chance of a weak El Niño event verifying for late winter and early spring. Nearly all international computer models are now projecting Niño3.4 temperatures to be well above the 0.5°C threshold by July, according to a roundup released this week by the Australian Bureau of Meteorology. However, model predictions are least likely to be accurate when issued during the period from February to May, as temperature contrasts across the tropical Pacific are normally weakening at that point.

Arctic sea ice falls to 3rd lowest January extent on record
Arctic sea ice extent during January 2015 was the 3rd lowest in the 36-year satellite record, according to the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC). During most of January, the Arctic Oscillation (AO) was in a strongly positive phase, bringing low sea level pressure to the Arctic and high pressure to the middle latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere. Typically, during the positive phase of the AO, surface winds push ice away from the shores of Siberia, leading to the formation of more young, thin ice that is prone to melting out in summer. The positive phase also tends to increase the transport of thick, multiyear ice out of the Arctic through Fram Strait. Thus, January's weather may be setting the stage for greater ice melt in the Arctic during the summer of 2015 than occurred in 2014.

Notable global heat and cold marks set for January 2015
Hottest temperature in the Southern Hemisphere: 49.0°C (120.2°F) at Marble Bar, Australia, January 23
Coldest temperature in the Southern Hemisphere: -48.2°C (-54.8°F) at Concordia, Antarctica, January 31
Hottest temperature in the Northern Hemisphere: 42.0°C (107.6°F) at Abu Na'Ama, Sudan, January 30
Coldest temperature in the Northern Hemisphere: -55.0°C (-67.0°F) at Selagoncy, Russia, January 5

Major stations that set new all-time heat or cold records set in January 2015
Cozzo Spadaro (Italy): min. -0.2°C [31.6°F), January 1
Ottosdal (South Africa): max. 40.0°C [104°F], January 6
M'Pouya (Congo-Brazzaville): min. 12.5°C [54.5°F], January 12
Afiamalu (Samoa): max. 31.2°C [88.2°F], January 15
Jabal Shamas (Oman): min. -9.7°C [14.5°F], January 20
Paynes Find (Australia): max. 48.0°C [118.4°F], January 21
Lamap Malekula (Vanuatu): max. 34.5°C [94.1°F], January 22

New all-time national and territorial heat records set or tied in 2015
Futuna Airport (Wallis and Futuna Territory, France) hit 35.5°C (95.9°F) on January 19

Samoa tied its national heat record with 36.5°C (97.7°F) on 20 January at Asau. Previously, the record was set at the same location in December 1977.

A big thanks goes to Maximiliano Herrera for providing the global heat and cold records. He maintains a comprehensive list of extreme temperature records for every nation in the world on his website.

Jeff Masters

Climate Summaries

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

Reader Comments

Quoting VirginIslandsVisitor:
Good morning

It's a 73 going for a high of 82, partly cloudy kind of day here on the island today.

We are slowly recovering from the foot of rain we got in less than 12 hours last weekend. Still dealing with washouts on roads and things like this (driveway where I work):

img src="">

Hope all is well with everyone!

Lindy
But at least the cisterns are full. :-) How is the tourist traffic so far this winter?
Quoting 493. Grothar:



I think it's your skin that hurts, not the air.

Quoting 495. sar2401:

Kind of over your house tomorrow, Bonnie. We'll see what happens. At least they'll be warm thunderstorms. :-)

Expect to get into the 70s tomorrow :D
NWS Anchorage:

Recent warm trend is making travel dangerous on Southwest Alaska rivers.

National Weather Service daily records page.

Link
Quoting 392. trunkmonkey:

And the hits keep on coming!

In Indiana it has been below normal temperatures for the last 17 months in a row, if February continues with cold fronts one after another it will be 18 months continuously.
Last summer 2014, 90 degree days were 2,
Spoke with NWS folks at a meeting on Wednesday about this, they stated to me they don't see any changes in weather patterns for the next couple of months.
Bring on the AGW  I'm freezing! and so is most of America.


Using the baseline typically used by NCDC (20th century average), the last time Indiana was above normal was December 2014.
http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cag/time-series/us/12/00 /tavg/1/12/1895-2015?base_prd=true&firstbaseyear=1 901&lastbaseyear=2000

Using the baseline typically used for local station climatic purposes (30yr average, currently 1981-2010), Indiana was last above normal in December 2014.
http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cag/time-series/us/12/00 /tavg/1/12/1895-2015?base_prd=true&firstbaseyear=1 981&lastbaseyear=2010

So no, 18 months is just not accurate.
you can help global warming by hanging some of the laundry outside. you know for sure your helping when the clothes freeze.
Where's my daily El Nino update? What going on with the neutral El Nino?
I was so excited when I got to March 4 and saw I was in the green....then looked at mar 7 and uber cold again....waahh!

Quoting 484. TimTheWxMan:

Latest GFS shows the cold air not going anywhere the entire run.













Spring's cancelled. :/
Quoting ricderr:
Really? Darn! OK, you can be my partner in dominating the amateur weather space. There is a slight fee, however...


you two might have walked the walk yesterday...but you couldn't talk the talk.......

remember...it's not whether you're right or wrong..it's all about self promotion....
also......there were no words such as impressive...blasted.....hammered.....once you learn how to flower your statements....you'll be on your way to taking over the blog...until then....the king still has his throne
Really? Darn! I guess nobody will cough up that slight fee to be my partner then. Just when I was looking forward to being able to afford Happy Meals again too...
Quoting 472. ClimateChange:



I still don't know how these temperatures are even possible in the modern greenhouse atmosphere. Can't believe it.

Not sure how it's unbelievable.
No physical mechanism has changed to stop winter from occurring.
Where's my daily El Nino update? What going on with the neutral El Nino?


well drak...i'm so glad you asked........

the daily SOI value...(the second part of ENSO)......the daily value is at a whopping.... positive 24 anomaly....that's outrageously high...and normaly only seen during a la nina phase....more importantly though...is the daily value...which is typically below -8 during an el nino...has climbed 8 spots in a week to a neutral value of -3.94
Quoting 510. weesej:

I was so excited when I got to March 4 and saw I was in the green....then looked at mar 7 and uber cold again....waahh!




Due to other problems I'm late with all spring seedling transplants except tomatoes so a delay will be like
a few snow days when I didn't study for the test.
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
1003 AM EST FRI FEB 20 2015

...WINTER STORM WITH ACCUMULATING WINTRY MIXED PRECIPITATION...

WVZ046-047-202315-
/O.EXP.KRLX.WC.W.0002.000000T0000Z-150220T1500Z/
/O.CON.KRLX.WS.W.0004.150221T0400Z-150222T0900Z/
POCAHONTAS-RANDOLPH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARLINTON...ELKINS
1003 AM EST FRI FEB 20 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING
TO 4 AM EST SUNDAY...
...WIND CHILL WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...POCAHONTAS AND RANDOLPH COUNTIES IN WEST VIRGINIA.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN.

* ICE ACCUMULATIONS...LESS THAN ONE TENTH OF AN INCH.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...8 TO 12 INCHES.

* TIMING...BEGINNING FRIDAY NIGHT.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...MID 20S TO MID 30S.
Quoting 512. ScottLincoln:


Not sure how it's unbelievable.
No physical mechanism has changed to stop winter from occurring.


Actually CO2 has probably added a few degrees to this bitter airmass and made it not quite as cold as its analogs in the 19'th and early 20'th century. I was speculating this morning walking the dogs (3F with a breeze in College Park MD ) if we might have gone below 0F if we had the C02 levels of my youth (320ppm rather than 400ppm).
Quoting Drakoen:
Where's my daily El Nino update? What going on with the neutral El Nino?


We're calling it a warm-biased La Nina now.
Quoting 497. cRRKampen:


Stuck Pattern Syndrome. The up limbs of the jet give rise to record breaking heat that is much more widespread. But where the Arctic drops in for weeks on end record cold still remains unescapable. Still a symptom is the profuse snowfall.


I expected this pattern to set up in September and continue without a break until Spring. I was wrong.

Just two weeks ago I wondered why a huge Western Ridge wasn't producing a deep cold East Coast trough as in 1976-77. Well that's not bugging me anymore!
Quoting 513. ricderr:

Where's my daily El Nino update? What going on with the neutral El Nino?


well drak...i'm so glad you asked........

the daily SOI value...(the second part of ENSO)......the daily value is at a whopping.... positive 24 anomaly....that's outrageously high...and normaly only seen during a la nina phase....more importantly though...is the daily value...which is typically below -8 during an el nino...has climbed 8 spots in a week to a neutral value of -3.94


isn't that due to the cyclone?
520. bwi
Was a brisk 6 degrees American when I headed for work this morning. And a surprisingly fresh NW breeze to boot. No sign of a switch to southerly wind in DC yet. Looking forward to a nice new spot of snow to play in tomorrow, which hopefully will change to rain enough to clean off the roads on Saturday night and Sunday. Major salt overload, and the bike trails (which we of course don't get plowed because, bike commuters aren't "serious" enough or something) have been pounded down into a jagged glaciated mess.
Quoting 454. hurricanes2018:

"There is the possibility of a heavy amount of freezing rain and sleet in parts of northern and western Virginia to southern and eastern New England," Paquette said.
Should a heavy amount of freezing rain occur versus sleet, there could be downed trees and numerous power outages to contend with.
Due to the depth and coldness of the snow cover, widespread flooding problems are not expected with the brief thaw the storm brings to the Northeast. However, should temperatures climb higher than expected with more plain rain, rather than ice and snow, flooding problems associated with ice jams along streams and rivers could develop beyond sporadic incidents.
Another dose of frigid air will follow the storm, so any areas made wet by the rain and thaw will freeze in its wake.


I'm also worried about icing in DC metro but primarily on roads and sidewalks. A major ice storm with 1/2"+ accretions needs cold air recharge and with a high to the east and a storm track to the west we just won't get it.
But it only takes a millimeter (.04"] to make roads extremely dangerous and that's what I see Saturday evening and night.

Quoting 513. ricderr:


...well drak...i'm so glad you asked........

the daily SOI value...(the second part of ENSO)......the daily value is at a whopping.... positive 24 anomaly....that's outrageously high...and normaly only seen during a la nina phase....more importantly though...is the daily value...which is typically below -8 during an el nino...has climbed 8 spots in a week to a neutral value of -3.94


ESPI has came up the last few weeks and has been hovering around 0..today it is even 0.00. Heat has really piled up well out in the West Pacific.

I still like neutral for the next few months
deleted by author after second thoughts


cold weather will be here for the next week to
Quoting 522. Skyepony:



ESPI has came up the last few weeks and has been hovering around 0..today it is even 0.00. Heat has really piled up well out in the West Pacific.

I still like neutral for the next few months


neutral Neutral conditions?


I'll stop.
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
1003 AM EST FRI FEB 20 2015

...WINTER STORM WITH ACCUMULATING WINTRY MIXED PRECIPITATION...

WVZ046-047-202315-
/O.EXP.KRLX.WC.W.0002.000000T0000Z-150220T1500Z/
/O.CON.KRLX.WS.W.0004.150221T0400Z-150222T0900Z/
POCAHONTAS-RANDOLPH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARLINTON...ELKINS
1003 AM EST FRI FEB 20 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING
TO 4 AM EST SUNDAY...
...WIND CHILL WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...POCAHONTAS AND RANDOLPH COUNTIES IN WEST VIRGINIA.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN.

* ICE ACCUMULATIONS...LESS THAN ONE TENTH OF AN INCH.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...8 TO 12 INCHES.

* TIMING...BEGINNING FRIDAY NIGHT.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...MID 20S TO MID 30S.



wow 8 to 12 inches of snow!! n
528. jpsb
Quoting 120. Neapolitan:


At any rate, the talk is of some of the coldest temperature readings in decades, not "their coldest temps in centuries". Just so you know...



120-year-old record low broken in D.C.


Ice volcano' forms at New York state park
Quoting ScottLincoln:

Using the baseline typically used by NCDC (20th century average), the last time Indiana was above normal was December 2014.
http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cag/time-series/us/12/00 /tavg/1/12/1895-2015?base_prd=true&firstbaseye ar=1 901&lastbaseyear=2000

Using the baseline typically used for local station climatic purposes (30yr average, currently 1981-2010), Indiana was last above normal in December 2014.
http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cag/time-series/us/12/00 /tavg/1/12/1895-2015?base_prd=true&firstbaseye ar=1 981&lastbaseyear=2010

So no, 18 months is just not accurate.
When's the last time an entire state was below normal for months on end? Indiana's not huge, but the entire state? Then some guy talked to some other alleged NWS guys at some meeting and those guys said the pattern wouldn't change for months?

What does it take for some people's fib meter to light up?
Quoting ricderr:
Where's my daily El Nino update? What going on with the neutral El Nino?


well drak...i'm so glad you asked........

the daily SOI value...(the second part of ENSO)......the daily value is at a whopping.... positive 24 anomaly....that's outrageously high...and normaly only seen during a la nina phase....more importantly though...is the daily value...which is typically below -8 during an el nino...has climbed 8 spots in a week to a neutral value of -3.94


I am so confused. Yesterday we were told to "eat crow" and that his el nino forecast verified and now this.
Interesting, I guess Pellston, Michigan was the coldest in the nation (must be lower 48) at -35f this morning
edit: northern lower Michigan
Quoting 518. georgevandenberghe:



I expected this pattern to set up in September and continue without a break until Spring. I was wrong.

Just two weeks ago I wondered why a huge Western Ridge wasn't producing a deep cold East Coast trough as in 1976-77. Well that's not bugging me anymore!


Link
Hit a low of -2 Thursday morning.
Sent in by a viewer at NBC-2 in Fort Myers.

Quoting 510. weesej:

I was so excited when I got to March 4 and saw I was in the green....then looked at mar 7 and uber cold again....waahh!




At least you break the freezing mark. I only do so tomorrow when the freezing rain becomes normal rain for a few hours. I'm supposed to get 1-3 inches of sleet and snow as well as <.1 of an inch of ice.
541. jpsb

Things that make you go Hmmmm
This winter has been rather warm. Really
Really? Hmmm
Quoting 528. jpsb:




120-year-old record low broken in D.C.

Read closer. That's a daily temperature record being discussed. DC has almost certainly broken daily record low temperatures in February at some point in the last few decades.

You must be cautious when using a single point and a single day to extrapolate overall information about a particular weather pattern.
Quoting 531. KEEPEROFTHEGATE:



Lol would rather have snow than this cold
Quoting 541. jpsb:


Things that make you go Hmmmm
This winter has been rather warm. Really
Really? Hmmm


don't believe it?
Quoting 541. jpsb:


Things that make you go Hmmmm
This winter has been rather warm. Really
Really? Hmmm


Doesn't make me go hmmm because I can clearly see that regional cold is not global, nor is it even national. Are these concepts confusing? If anything made me go hmmm, it certainly was the incessant insistence by some that cold temperatures mean the planet stopped abiding by basic physical properties.
I'll break it for 12 hours on Sunday:) After the 5-8 inches of snow and some ice....but at least it'll be white. It looks like Early March might be my next shot at being above freezing here.

Quoting 540. TimTheWxMan:



At least you break the freezing mark. I only do so tomorrow when the freezing rain becomes normal rain for a few hours. I'm supposed to get 1-3 inches of sleet and snow as well as <.1 of an inch of ice.
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
1026 AM EST FRI FEB 20 2015


PAZ026>028-035-036-049>053-056>059-063-064-210330 -
/O.NEW.KCTP.WS.A.0004.150221T1200Z-150222T1100Z/
/O.CON.KCTP.WC.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-150220T1700Z/
HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-FULTON-FRANKLIN-UNION- SNYDER-MONTOUR-
NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-PERRY-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL- LEBANON-
CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HUNTINGDON...MOUNT UNION...LEWISTOWN...
MIFFLINTOWN...MCCONNELLSBURG...CHAMBERSBURG...LEW ISBURG...
SELINSGROVE...DANVILLE...SUNBURY...SHAMOKIN...BLO OMSBURG...
BERWICK...NEWPORT...HARRISBURG...HERSHEY...POTTSV ILLE...LEBANON...
CARLISLE...GETTYSBURG
1026 AM EST FRI FEB 20 2015

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.

* HAZARD TYPES...LOW WIND CHILLS TODAY. HEAVY SNOW AND SOME
FREEZING RAIN SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 5 TO 8 INCHES...ALONG WITH A
TRACE OF ICE SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT.

* WIND CHILLS...AS LOW AS 20 DEGREES BELOW ZERO THROUGH NOON
TODAY.

* IMPACTS...FROSTBITE TO EXPOSED SKIN IN AS LITTLE AS 15 MINUTES
SLOWED OR EVEN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL ALL DAY SATURDAY AND INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT.

* LOCATIONS...THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MOUNTAINS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS...DRESS IN LAYERS AND WEAR A HAT AND
GLOVES. YOUNG CHILDREN...THE ELDERLY AND THE HOMELESS ARE
ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE TO THE COLD. APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD BE
TAKEN TO ENSURE PETS HAVE ADEQUATE PROTECTION FROM THE COLD
TEMPERATURES.
548. jpsb
Quoting 542. ScottLincoln:


Read closer. That's a daily temperature record being discussed. DC has almost certainly broken daily record low temperatures in February at some point in the last few decades.

You must be cautious when using a single point and a single day to extrapolate overall information about a particular weather pattern.


Ok, point taken, how about this
Siberian Express Grips Midwest, Northeast, South; Four Cities Set All-Time Record Lows

From the article

"Hundreds of daily record lows and at least three all-time record lows have been set as a frigid air mass with a connection to Siberia grips the central and eastern United States with dangerously cold conditions. Friday morning has brought the most widespread and intense cold of the winter to many areas, sending temperatures into the 30s below zero as far south as Kentucky."
Quoting 535. TroutMadness:

Interesting, I guess Pellston, Michigan was the coldest in the nation (must be lower 48) at -35f this morning
edit: northern lower Michigan
There are others on here who can post more authorative information, but I just looked at the WU map for current temps in Alaska, and then checked the temp graphs for a few of the coldest PWS, and didn't see any that went below -5F since midnight. So maybe Pellston was the coldest in the entire US. In any event, brrrrrr....
550. mati
hey, it's minus 2C in Nome Alaska :)
http://www.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/findweather/g etForecast?query=nome+alaska
551. jpsb
Quoting 542. ScottLincoln:


ooops, sorry for the double post
Just outside of Peoria, Il it has started to snow already and wasn't suppose to till later this afternoon around 2-3 pm .. enough in Peoria where I was to almost cover the ground now ..

NWS is saying 1-2 inches this afternoon / evening and then 1-3 for tomorrow so maybe up to 5 inches here ..
isn't that due to the cyclone?


i don't think so as the readings are taken from the tahiti and darwin areas...and usually because of cyclones such as we saw a month ago...they drop the values and not raise them....as i understand it....we're just coming back to expected values after the tropical systems in the tahitian waters from a month ago
Quoting 543. TroutMadness:


Lol would rather have snow than this cold
snow tonight and tomorrow for us 3 to 5 cm tonight 5 to 10 cm Saturday total snow for event possible 15 cm temp rebounding up to 25f then rtn to bitter cold once again after passage of southern system late Saturday
Doesn't make me go hmmm because I can clearly see that regional cold is not global, nor is it even national. Are these concepts confusing? If anything made me go hmmm, it certainly was the incessant insistence by some that cold temperatures mean the planet stopped abiding by basic physical properties.



exactly...it sure isn't national as i'm in the upper 70's today.....20 percent above our normal highs........i wonder why the same people who use a local temp drop to say there's no AGW....never say...wow....agw is real when we're above average??????
557. mati
and it's 0C in Hammerfest Norway.. lovely town, i'm a member of the Polar Bear Society based there, joined when I visited in '89... Pretty far north if you know...
Quoting 555. KEEPEROFTHEGATE:

then rtn to bitter cold once again after passage of southern system late Saturday

Ya, I saw that :( still going to Arizona next week tho so you can have it all lol.
Quoting jpsb:



120-year-old record low broken in D.C.


Ice volcano' forms at New York state park


All time record cold temps getting smashed (I believe that is centuries). Hundreds of record cold temps falling. Amazing cold wave, that is for sure.
Quoting 542. ScottLincoln:


Read closer. That's a daily temperature record being discussed. DC has almost certainly broken daily record low temperatures in February at some point in the last few decades.

You must be cautious when using a single point and a single day to extrapolate overall information about a particular weather pattern.


With a period of record of about 150 years I would expect to break a daily record perhaps twice a year for each sign. Incidentally on Sunday Feb, 8, we broke a daily high record.. one of the soft ones in the upper 60s just waiting to be plucked. 68F was the new record. Most record lows this time of year are in the low single digits and 8 is a soft one, now eclipsed by today's 5.

The record low for February 11, just a week ago is -15F. That is the station record for cold for any month. We aren't close to it.
Quoting 554. ricderr:

isn't that due to the cyclone?


i don't think so as the readings are taken from the tahiti and darwin areas...and usually because of cyclones such as we saw a month ago...they drop the values and not raise them....as i understand it....we're just coming back to expected values after the tropical systems in the tahitian waters from a month ago


low pressure readings around Darwin due to a cyclone would lower the SOI?
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO 408 AM CST FRI FEB 20 2015 ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-095>102-MOZ018-019- 026-027-034>036- 041-042-047>052-059>065-202215- /O.EXB.KLSX.WW.Y.0007.150221T0000Z-150221T1800Z/ ADAMS IL-AUDRAIN MO-BOND IL-BOONE MO-BROWN IL-CALHOUN IL- CALLAWAY MO-CLINTON IL-COLE MO-FAYETTE IL-FRANKLIN MO- GASCONADE MO-GREENE IL-JEFFERSON MO-JERSEY IL-KNOX MO-LEWIS MO- LINCOLN MO-MACOUPIN IL-MADISON IL-MARION IL-MARION MO-MONITEAU MO- MONROE IL-MONROE MO-MONTGOMERY IL-MONTGOMERY MO-OSAGE MO-PIKE IL- PIKE MO-RALLS MO-SHELBY MO-ST. CHARLES MO-ST. CLAIR IL- ST. LOUIS CITY MO-ST. LOUIS MO-WARREN MO-WASHINGTON IL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BELLEVILLE...BOWLING GREEN...COLUMBIA... EDWARDSVILLE...HANNIBAL...JEFFERSON CITY...LITCHFIELD...MEXICO... QUINCY...SALEM...ST CHARLES...ST LOUIS...UNION...VANDALIA 408 AM CST FRI FEB 20 2015 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON CST SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR A COMBINATION OF SNOW...SLEET...AND ICE...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON CST SATURDAY. * TIMING...PRECIPITATION WILL INITIALLY BE SNOW OR SLEET BUT TRANSITION TO SLEET AND AND THEN FREEZING FROM WEST TO EAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THIS EVENING. OVERNIGHT...PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE OVER BACK TO SLEET AND SNOW FROM THE NORTHWEST TO THE SOUTHEAST. SOME THUNDER IS ALSO POSSIBLE THIS EVENING FOR AREAS ROUGHLY SOUTH OF THE MISSOURI RIVER IN MISSOURI AND US 50 IN ILLINOIS. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW (INCLUDING SLEET) ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3+ INCHES...ALONG WITH UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE. * WINDS...SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. * IMPACTS...THE WINTRY PRECIPITATION WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ON BRIDGES... OVERPASSES...AND UNTREATED ROADS. PARKING LOTS AND SIDEWALKS WILL BECOME SLIPPERY AS WELL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS...SUCH AS SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING DRIZZLE AND RAIN. IT ONLY TAKES A SMALL AMOUNT OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION TO MAKE ROADS...BRIDGES...SIDEWALKS...AND PARKING LOTS ICY AND DANGEROUS. IT IS OFTEN DIFFICULT TO TELL WHEN ICE BEGINS TO FORM...SO DO NOT BE CAUGHT OFF GUARD.
This series of cold snaps continues to rise in the ranks of impressive. As CWG’s Matt Rogers suggested earlier this month, February is easily on track to be remembered as very cold, and potentially also snowy when all is said and done.

Looks like February is carrying the back load of this failure of a winter.Good job Feb now lets see if I can at least get to 15 inches..So far up to 14.1.I've taped the snow tracker to the fridge.If we at least get 6 inches for tomorrow that'll put me at 20.1 for the season and more opportunities coming next week.
ice ice baby



Here is the ice accumulations for this afternoon through tomorrow morning.
Quoting 563. washingtonian115:

This series of cold snaps continues to rise in the ranks of impressive. As CWG%u2019s Matt Rogers suggested earlier this month, February is easily on track to be remembered as very cold, and potentially also snowy when all is said and done.

Looks like February is carrying the back load of this failure of a winter.Good job Feb now lets see if I can at least get to 15 inches..So far up to 14.1.I've taped the snow tracker to the fridge.If we at least get 6 inches for tomorrow that'll put me at 20.1 for the season and more opportunities coming next week.


12z models have trended better for us for tomorrow. Cold with more precip before the changeover. Looking forward to daytime heavy snowfall.
566. MahFL
Quoting 508. islander101010:

you can help global warming by hanging some of the laundry outside. you know for sure your helping when the clothes freeze.

In many places in the USA, your not allowed to hang clothes outside to dry.
Quoting 501. sar2401:

But at least the cisterns are full. :-) How is the tourist traffic so far this winter?


Hiya sar

Sorry for the delay in answering but I'm actually working between three computers today and it's taken me a while to get back to this one.

Yes, the cisterns are full, thank goodness, as I was really starting to get worried. It seems the tourist population is about normal for this time of year. I've no idea what the hotel occupancy rate is but I know the villa rentals are busy (at least the ones I personally know of).

Lindy
Quoting 559. jrweatherman:



All time record cold temps getting smashed (I believe that is centuries). Hundreds of record cold temps falling. Amazing cold wave, that is for sure.


There have been 1000's of daily record warm temperatures in the US recently.

"According to data from the National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) in Asheville, North Carolina, there were 3,829 daily high temperature records set or tied in the U.S. during the past 30 days, as well as 3,368 record warm overnight low temperature records set or tied. This compares to just 498 records set or tied for the coldest high temperature, along with 386 daily records set or tied for the coldest low temperature."

Link
Quoting 569. washingtonian115:




My call is for 3-6in. of snow followed by sleet to rain with the possibility of being dry slotted early. I would put our maximum range at 6-9 in.
Quoting 565. Drakoen:



12z models have trended better for us for tomorrow. Cold with more precip before the changeover. Looking forward to daytime heavy snowfall.
I just don't see how the record cold air is going to just easily erode away like what some of the models are showing.This is cold air that has been in place since last Saturday night and has been very stubborn.It'd be different if we were in the low 30's all week put we've been teens and even single digits with highs at best in the upper teens to very low 20's.

Hello hydrus..I've not spoken to you in a while.Don't want you to think there's any hard feelings.
Quoting Naga5000:


Doesn't make me go hmmm because I can clearly see that regional cold is not global, nor is it even national. Are these concepts confusing? If anything made me go hmmm, it certainly was the incessant insistence by some that cold temperatures mean the planet stopped abiding by basic physical properties.
Here's the thing. It's not that this guy lacks facts. They have been given to him by you and others for a long time. The very same facts have been repeated over and over again. I assume he doesn't lack intelligence since he's able to post in a coherent manner. He just doesn't believe the facts. He doesn't want to believe the facts. He'll never believe the facts. You have a better chance of convincing a radical Islamist that Allah isn't real than convincing this guy that there's any truth - at all - to AGW.

I'm at a loss to understand why he's able to post here. He's a new type of troll. He's not profane, threatening, or any of the other things in the community standards. He just exists to come here, stir the pot, get the usual responses (which he ignores), and then starts again with some other tripe. The community standards need to be updated to deal with this kind of troll. Otherwise, it's Groundhog Day every day here.
Quoting 572. washingtonian115:

I just don't see how the record cold air is going to just easily erode away like what some of the models are showing.This is cold air that has been in place since last Saturday night and has been very stubborn.It'd be different if we were in the low 30's all week put we've been teens and even single digits with highs at best in the upper teens to very low 20's.

Hello hydrus..I've not spoken to you in a while.Don't want you to think there's any hard feelings.


True. The UKMET, GGEM and some of the hi-resolution models came in quite a bit colder delaying the changeover.
low pressure readings around Darwin due to a cyclone would lower the SOI index?

would they lower it...or raise it....hmmmm....LMAO


i'm sure the system passing around 200 miles south and west of darwin is playing a role in the readings....one of the reason the daily values are noise.....i do feel the monthly and 90 day readings though are more indicative that the atmosphere is still not responding to the warm enso regions
Quoting VirginIslandsVisitor:


Hiya sar

Sorry for the delay in answering but I'm actually working between three computers today and it's taken me a while to get back to this one.

Yes, the cisterns are full, thank goodness, as I was really starting to get worried. It seems the tourist population is about normal for this time of year. I've no idea what the hotel occupancy rate is but I know the villa rentals are busy (at least the ones I personally know of).

Lindy
I've been thinking there must be a lot of people up north who think a trip to the Virgins looks pretty good right now. Heck, there are people in Alabama who think that too. :-) It's too bad all the rain had to come at once but, like here, I'll take some flooding as long as we can get some of the lost water back. The drought is on the verge of serious here and we really need rain. Have you about fully recovered from your injuries now? I had a bad fall on New Year's Eve and I'm just getting back to what, for me, is normal.
Quoting 573. sar2401:

Here's the thing. It's not that this guy lacks facts. They have been given to him by you and others for a long time. The very same facts have been repeated over and over again. I assume he doesn't lack intelligence since he's able to post in a coherent manner. He just doesn't believe the facts. He doesn't want to believe the facts. He'll never believe the facts. You have a better chance of convincing a radical Islamist that Allah isn't real than convincing this guy that there's any truth - at all - to AGW.

I'm at a loss to understand why he's able to post here. He's a new type of troll. He's not profane, threatening, or any of the other things in the community standards. He just exists to come here, stir the pot, get the usual responses (which he ignores), and then starts again with some other tripe. The community standards need to be updated to deal with this kind of troll. Otherwise, it's Groundhog Day every day here.


Yup, bingo. I've been saying some variation of this for quite some time, but you nailed it.
some more moderate westerly wind bursts forecast



should these be strong enough (in the short term) and in the right location to strengthen and/or keep the current kelvin wave propagating eastward?
Quoting DCSwithunderscores:


1000's of daily record warm temperatures have been falling in the US.

"According to data from the National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) in Asheville, North Carolina, there were 3,829 daily high temperature records set or tied in the U.S. during the past 30 days, as well as 3,368 record warm overnight low temperature records set or tied. This compares to just 498 records set or tied for the coldest high temperature, along with 386 daily records set or tied for the coldest low temperature."

Link


I don't believe the climate center's data includes the past two days (Feb. 19th and Feb. 20th), because these dates don't show up yet on the record I tried to pull up. That should had a couple hundred or more record lows.

But there will also be equally if not more record highs added.

Quoting 556. ricderr:

Doesn't make me go hmmm because I can clearly see that regional cold is not global, nor is it even national. Are these concepts confusing? If anything made me go hmmm, it certainly was the incessant insistence by some that cold temperatures mean the planet stopped abiding by basic physical properties.



exactly...it sure isn't national as i'm in the upper 70's today.....20 percent above our normal highs........i wonder why the same people who use a local temp drop to say there's no AGW....never say...wow....agw is real when we're above average??????


When that happens the temperature measurements are not accurate, Ric. Haven't you been paying attention?
Not again pal...

Quoting 564. hydrus:

ice ice baby



Here is the ice accumulations for this afternoon through tomorrow morning.
Quoting 575. ricderr:



would they lower it...or raise it....hmmmm....LMAO


SOI is Tahiti minus Darwin. If readings at Darwin are low due to a cyclone, you'd expect the SOI to increase.
When that happens the temperature measurements are not accurate, Ric. Haven't you been paying attention?


that's my problem...i do pay attention and thus why i have to state BS when it's obvious to everyone but themselves
Please do the planet justice and write a similar report on February's global temps.
585. redux
Quoting 570. Drakoen:



My call is for 3-6in. of snow followed by sleet to rain with the possibility of being dry slotted early. I would put our maximum range at 6-9 in.


wundergrounds forecast for bmore is 8-12". RIP Saturday night house party.
SOI is Tahiti minus Darwin. If readings at Darwin are low due to a cyclone, you'd expect the SOI to increase.

exactly........thus i was confused as to your post asking if it would lower it...figured it was either a trick question or you didn't understand it yourself
Quoting 585. redux:



wundergrounds forecast for bmore is 8-12". RIP Saturday night house party.


WU has the same totals here but it doesn't make sense.
Quoting hydrus:
ice ice baby



Here is the ice accumulations for this afternoon through tomorrow morning.
Great. Just what you need. On the bright side, Decatur and Huntsville are both well below freezing and reporting light snow. There's been a wind shift to the south down here but WAA is nowhere to be seen yet. It's still 38 and the air gives no indication it's about to moisten up soon with a 10 degree dewpoint. That cold air is going to take awhile to scour out , so you might end up with more snow and less ice.
there is no doubt to state that January was the warmest month is a true oxymoron statement and shows what a closed minds that you have running the show I don't feel that they are properly look the information they are getting in things are always changing and this the natural cycle of this planet and after studying all of there info for the short period of time that they have been recording to make a deduction like is this very premature
591. vis0
If you read a previous cmmnt i posted on this blogbyte in reply to SAR2401 whom posted that the temperatures in his area and part of the
state where dropping very fast.
Here a further explanation.
As to the help i stated it was to use (forgot to incl. ROUND) concave and/or convex mirrors from the point of view of the plants less lit areas. In this manner light is not wasted but returned (reflected) from thus to the darker/less lit sides. If one just uses a reflective cloth or crinkled aluminum foil the plant gets sharp edges of heat (+cloth can burn, not safe). Plants prefer light that has a nice curve from the lights intensity to its drop off points, circular reflections give this feel to the light. If not in the market create them and call them "sarcular lights" or "xircular lights"....P.S. For those whom are German or know that language see the end of VID, i even turned the title into German, "Varmest January on Record Globally"...huh i'm wrong,
verdarnit!
http://youtu.be/7p52pJA7msw(760x560)

extreme cold alert has ended as temp slowly rise and windchills diminish to more reasonable levels
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATED A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES WERE MOVING
TOWARD THE GREAT SALT LAKE WITH THE LOW AMPLITUDE FEATURES
CONTINUES TO MOVE EASTWARD TOWARD THE CENTER OF THE COUNTRY. GIVEN
THE DOWNSTREAM AIR MASS IS EXTREMELY COLD...WINTRY PRECIPITATION
WILL BE THE PRIMARY ISSUE...PARTICULARLY AS MILDER GULF AIR
OVERRIDES THE FRIGID SURFACE LAYER LEADING TO FREEZING RAIN AND
SLEET. THE FOCUS WILL BE ON A SURFACE LOW TRACKING FROM THE OZARKS
TOWARD THE OH VALLEY ON SATURDAY. MODELS HAVE COME IN SLIGHTLY
BETTER AGREEMENT ALTHOUGH THERE REMAINS SOME TIMING/STRENGTH
DIFFERENCES. AS WAS THE CASE YESTERDAY...THE 00Z CMC IS DEEPER AND
ENDS UP BEING SLOWER GIVEN THE MORE DEVELOPED SOLUTION. THE 00Z
SURFACE ENSEMBLE LOW PLOTS SUGGEST THE 00Z CMC IS FOLLOWING THE
CLUSTERING OF ITS OWN ENSEMBLE MEMBERS WHICH ARE IN FACT SLOW.
OVERALL...THE 12Z GFS SEEMS TO HAVE THE BEST SUPPORT FROM THE
ENSEMBLE MEANS IN TERMS OF THE LOW TRACK AND ITS INTENSITY. WILL
LEAN ON ITS SOLUTION AT THIS TIME AND SEE IF THE 12Z
CMC/UKMET/ECMWF JOIN THIS IDEA.

THE DRY SLOT WILL WORK ITS WAY INTO MOST AREAS BY SUNDAY MORNING.
THE BEST CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION WILL BE ACROSS SOUTHERN MARYLAND
AND THE VIRGINIA PIEDMONT WHERE THE AIR WILL BE WARM ENOUGH FOR
RAIN. THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO PASS THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
TOOK POPS DOWN FOR MOST AREAS DURING THIS TIME DUE TO DRIER AIR
PUSHING IN AHEAD OF THE FRONT FROM THE DRY SLOT. MAX TEMPS WILL RANGE
FROM THE MID TO UPPER 30S IN NORTHERN MARYLAND TO THE MIDDLE 40S IN
CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

Looks like the rain idea is slowly but surely getting the boot and the freezing rain/sleet is looking more like a problem.

Elev 548 ft 43.77 °N, 79.28 °W | Updated 1 sec ago


Partly Cloudy

Partly Cloudy


4.1 °F

Feels Like -6 °F







N

11.2

Wind from WNW
Gusts 12.3 mph
Gee, Lat and Long, that should narrow these numbers down for some/

: 0
596. bwi
Quoting 577. Naga5000:



Yup, bingo. I've been saying some variation of this for quite some time, but you nailed it.


Behavior more consistent with funded online PR effort than usual blog comment give and take. The relentless persistence and obliviousness is the tell. Paid commenting is I think a pretty big business, although I've never seen any statistics nor do I know how to get data on the phenomenon.
Quoting snotface:
Please do the planet justice and write a similar report on February's global temps.
Oh, there will be a report for February, just like there's been a report about every month for years now. Of course, February's not over yet, so it will be a couple of weeks. Do you think the cold in the eastern US is going to have a big effect in offsetting the same extremes of heat in the western US? I don't think you'll actually reply but I'm open to surprises.
Interesting low in the Eastern Pacific..Very far south for winter..

Quoting bwi:


Behavior more consistent with funded online PR effort than usual blog comment give and take. The relentless persistence and obliviousness is the tell. Paid commenting is I think a pretty big business, although I've never seen any statistics nor do I know how to get data on the phenomenon.
I really don't think that's the case. You don't have to pay true believers. I'd expect paid shills to have a lot more sophisticated approach than just mindlessly post every meaningless story they dig up on the Net. Let's face it, a Google news feed will give you years worth of fodder.
Quoting 595. Patrap:

Gee, Lat and Long, that should narrow these numbers down for some/

: 0


LOL.
571) Happy to see that pink strip below the IL River confluence nub (for lack of proper term), earlier this week had purple over us, glad to see it move S ( & turn pink) so we get mainly snow. No minus lows this a.m., but they have sneaked some into the Mon. morning forecast. We're in the mid teens currently, w/ SSE winds also in teens w/ a 24 gust, putting the wc's in negative territory occasionally. Still partly sunny, press at 30.17".
Quoting 591. vis0:

If you read a previous cmmnt i posted on this blogbyte in reply to SAR2401 whom posted that the temperatures in his area and part of the
state where dropping very fast.
Here a further explanation.
As to the help i stated it was to use (forgot to incl. ROUND) concave and/or convex mirrors from the point of view of the plants less lit areas. In this manner light is not wasted but returned (reflected)from thus to the darker/less lit sides. If one just uses a reflective cloth or crinkled aluminum foil the plant gets sharp edges of heat ( cloth can burn, not safe). Plants prefer light that has a nice curve from the lights intensity to its drop off points, circular reflections give this feel to the light. If not in the market create them and call them "sarcular lights" or "xircular lights"....P.S.Forthose whom are German or know that language see the end of VID, i even turned the title into German, "Varmest January on Record Globally"...huh i'm wrong,
verdarnit!
http://youtu.be/7p52pJA7msw(760x560)




...don't mention the War, I did but I think I got away with it.

JeffMasters has created a new entry.
Good day, all. Winter storm Fredric is about to blast the area with a wintry mix, and I see that I am getting some ICE.
What about you all?
I have a winter weather advisory starting at noon.
Beautiful day in South Florida, kind of odd seeing people in jackets while I strolled around in khaki shorts and a short sleeve. Anyone from the area know why there's a fence on both sides of US 1 headed to the Keys? I did see an alligator behind one and was thinking maybe it's part of the glades or something.
Quoting 573. sar2401:

Here's the thing. It's not that this guy lacks facts. They have been given to him by you and others for a long time. The very same facts have been repeated over and over again. I assume he doesn't lack intelligence since he's able to post in a coherent manner. He just doesn't believe the facts. He doesn't want to believe the facts. He'll never believe the facts. You have a better chance of convincing a radical Islamist that Allah isn't real than convincing this guy that there's any truth - at all - to AGW.

I'm at a loss to understand why he's able to post here. He's a new type of troll. He's not profane, threatening, or any of the other things in the community standards. He just exists to come here, stir the pot, get the usual responses (which he ignores), and then starts again with some other tripe. The community standards need to be updated to deal with this kind of troll. Otherwise, it's Groundhog Day every day here.


As a long-time lurker, I actually like the way it plays out now. If the comments are coherent and respectful and relevant to the topic, leave them in. I enjoy reading the responses. Some of you make some really helpful points as you shoot these trolls down. The trolls, like you say, will never be persuaded by logic or reason but for the rest of us it's still helpful to see point-by-point refutations of the denialist talking point du jour. There's some good that comes from this conversation no matter how much it might resemble banging one's head against a brick wall. It's only a rhetorical head, after all.
Quoting hydrus:
Interesting low in the Eastern Pacific..Very far south for winter..

Does the Eatern Pacific Hurricanr Season want to start early. Nah. :)
#590 It seems like you don't even know that the month of January is summertime on half of Earth. If you actually do know then see #597.
Rhinelander, Wisconsin (Airport)
Updated: 11:53 AM CST on February 20, 2015
Light Snow
9 °F
Light Snow
Windchill: -6 °F
Humidity: 73%
Dew Point: 2 °F
Wind: 12 mph from the SSW
Wind Gust: 21 mph
Pressure: 29.98 in (Falling)
Yikes.....
Exactly the type of storm I hoped wouldnt happen..Significant tree damage here , and another round of snow and ice to contend with. We will likely loose power ...People should watch this storm if it is headed your way...

why do i have a 70 percent chance of snow this coming tuesday 1-3 inches of snow on weather.com (stedman, nc) but no mention of it on any other weather site.

p.s. i still have no power from the ice storm, and im at work been staying at my parents in hope mills, nc
Satellite data has better coverage of the earths surface temperatures because they are able to see most of the earth's surface. In addition, global warming due to the urban heat island effect is smaller because urban areas are tiny compared to the earth's total surface area. NOAA massages data because there are areas with no temperature gauges, so they interpolate between widely separate temperature stations to get temperatures for some regions.
Satellite data is presented as an anomaly in which the given temperature is the difference between the 30-year average from 1981-2010 and the actual temperature. For January 2015, the global average temperature is 0.35 degrees C. The average temperatures for 1998 was 0.47 degrees C, for 2007 was 0.42 degrees C, for 2010 was 0.56 degrees C, and for 2013 was 0.51 degrees C.
Therefore, for the 36 years of satellite temperature measurements, January 2015 was the fifth warmest year.
With all the attempts of U. S. government agencies to convince the public catastrophic global warming is taking place due to carbon dioxide from burning fossil fuels, this lame attempt to claim January 2015, as well as 2014, the warmest period in recorded history is false.
The nettles are 8 inches high on Vashon Island, Washington; about a month early. The camellias and Hellebore are in full bloom and the garden needs weeding. There is little snow in the mountains but precipitation has been normal. I read that the average temperature in the Pacific Northwest has been +4 F above normal over the last 90 days.