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Second deadliest tornado of 2010 kills 5 in Ohio; oil spill update

By: Dr. Jeff Masters, 2:00 PM GMT on June 07, 2010

The second deadliest tornado of 2010 hit Millbury, Ohio, about 10 miles southeast of Toledo, on Saturday night, killing five. The deaths brought this year's tornado death toll to 23, which is, fortunately, well below the approximately 70 deaths we expect to see by mid-June, based on averages from the past three tornado seasons. The deadliest tornado of 2010 was the EF-4 Yazoo City, Mississippi tornado in April, which killed ten. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center recorded 55 tornado reports on Saturday, plus 104 reports of damaging winds and 16 of large hail. The tornadoes hit Iowa, Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, and Ohio. Ohio's killer tornado was preliminarily rated a high-end EF-3 with 165 mph winds, but has now been upgraded to an EF-4 with 175 mph winds. An EF-3 tornado also hit Indiana near Grissom Air Force Base on Saturday, and two EF-3 tornadoes were reported in Illinois, one near St. Anne, and one in Livingston County. Here in Michigan, I found myself making some very late night calls at 12:30 am on Sunday to warn relatives about the Doppler radar signatures of rotating supercells bearing down on them. Hardest hit was the town of Dundee, south of Ann Arbor. An EF-2 tornado swept through the town, damaging Michigan's most visited tourist attraction, Cabela's sporting goods store on US-23. An EF-1 tornado also damaged a building at the Fermi II Nuclear Power Plant on Lake Erie, forcing an automatic shutdown of the nuclear reactor.


Figure 1. Severe weather reports for Saturday, June 5, 2010. Image credit: NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.

Oil spill update
Light winds of 5 - 10 knots today will turn to southeasterly Tuesday through Wednesday, then southerly on Thursday through Friday, according to the latest marine forecast from NOAA. These winds will keep oil near the beaches of Alabama, Mississippi, and the Florida Panhandle, according to the latest trajectory forecasts from NOAA and the State of Louisiana. The latest ocean current forecasts from the NOAA HYCOM model show that the ocean currents that have carried oil eastward along the Florida Panhandle coast will weaken this week, making it unlikely that oil will penetrate farther eastwards than Panama City, Florida. Long range surface wind forecasts from the GFS model for the period 8 - 14 days from now show a return to a southeastery wind regime, which would prevent any further progress of the oil eastwards along the Florida Panhandle, and would tend to bring significant amounts of oil back to the shores of eastern Louisiana next week. If you spot oil, send in your report to http://www.gulfcoastspill.com/, whose mission is to help the Gulf Coast recovery by creating a daily record of the oil spill.


Figure 2. The oil spill on June 5, 2010 at 11:49pm EDT, as seen by Sythetic Aperature Radar (SAR) imagery from the European Space Agency's ENVISAT satellite. Image credit: University of Miami Center for Southeastern Tropical Advanced Remote Sensing, Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science.

Oil spill resources
My post, What a hurricane would do the Deepwater Horizon oil spill
My post Wednesday with answers to some of the common questions I get about the spill
My post on the Southwest Florida "Forbidden Zone" where surface oil will rarely go
My post on what oil might do to a hurricane
Oil trajectory forecasts from NOAA
Gulf Oil Blog from the UGA Department of Marine Sciences
Oil Spill Academic Task Force
University of South Florida Ocean Circulation Group oil spill forecasts
Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) imagery from the University of Miami

Join the "Hurricane Haven" with Dr. Jeff Masters
I'll have a new post on Tuesday. The tropical Atlantic is quiet right now, with no models predicting tropical cyclone development over the next seven days. Also on Tuesday, I'll be continuing our experiment with my live Internet radio show called "Hurricane Haven." The show will be aired at 4pm EDT on Tuesdays during hurricane season. Listeners will be able to call in and ask questions. Some topics I'll cover on the show:

1) What's going on in the tropics right now
2) New advancements in hurricane science presented at this month's AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology last month

Tomorrow's show, which will probably be just 1/2 hour, will be at http://www.wunderground.com/wxradio/wubroadcast.h tml. The show will be recorded and stored as a podcast, as last week's show was.

Jeff Masters
Massive Thunderhead!
Massive Thunderhead!
Mike shot only the top quarter of this storm cell... Quite a sight!
June 5th Tornado
June 5th Tornado
Near Peoria IL
Dundee, Michigan Tornado Damage
Dundee, Michigan Tornado Damage
More damage, but other areas were much worse.

Tornado

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

Reader Comments

Quoting FLWeatherFreak91:
lol. I wonder if he believes it now.

On another note, there are some fairly hefty storms heading south along the west coast of Florida toward Tampa. Excessive lightning.
Ha ha nice one but I live in baltimore away from hurricanes,and I'm a female.
1002. hydrus
1003. pottery
Hello Snake!
I notice that Keeper did not deny that it was him.
Makes you wonder, what kind of people we are associating with here LOL.

And then, along comes Oz!
Quoting CycloneOz:
I like my new avatar...
I like your new avatar looks like something that came from out the twighlight zone.
Quoting Baltimorebirds:
I like your new avatar looks like something that came from out the twighlight zone.


I'm going for the technological look now that things are starting to cook out there. :)
1006. Grothar
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:



KEEPER if you have trouble posting something, ask hydrus.
Looks like it's time for me to go to bad.G'night.
1008. hydrus
.
Quoting CycloneOz:


I'm going for the technological look now that things are starting to cook out there. :)
If you look at it closley it looks like termenator.
1010. Grothar
Quoting hydrus:
.


Does it start with an A?
1011. spathy
.
Quoting Grothar:



KEEPER if you have trouble posting something, ask hydrus.
i'll get right on that
1013. hydrus
Quoting Grothar:



KEEPER if you have trouble posting something, ask hydrus.
Did you forget your Geritol today? sheesh!,,,,,,,,,,,:)
1014. pottery
heheheheh, you guys crack me up sometimes.....
1015. RTLSNK
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
what are you doing in here


Thought I would drop by and see how your anti-troll device was working. Looked like it was working just fine until the battery wore out. :(
Quoting hydrus:
.
1017. pottery
...quite often, in fact.
hehe

(Gro and hydrus...)
1019. Grothar
Quoting RTLSNK:


Nice one Pottery, and fast too!!! :)


YO, Snake! 5 inches of rain in Lauderdale today, don't you miss it? How ya doing?
1020. pottery
...actually, ALL the time!
1021. xcool
m
1022. spathy
Wow that took me a while to figure out how to do that.
I thought the spot in Hydrus post was just a speck of dust on me screen.

On a serious note can we expect the Gulf Eddy to stay as is for another few weeks?
Quoting RTLSNK:


Thought I would drop by and see how your anti-troll device was working. Looked like it was working just fine until the battery wore out. :(


time up on time out i guess
1024. RTLSNK
Quoting pottery:
Hello Snake!
I notice that Keeper did not deny that it was him.
Makes you wonder, what kind of people we are associating with here LOL.

And then, along comes Oz!


Some things simply defy any rational definition. :)
1025. Grothar
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:



If I didn't know better, I would swear that looks just like Hurricane Alice.
1026. hydrus
Thanks Keep...That is a radar image of Hurricane Alice, Which formed in late Dec-54 into early Jan-55. Interesting to note that it formed not to far from where the March 1908 hurricane originated.
1027. pottery
Quoting RTLSNK:


Some things simply defy any rational definition. :)

True. That's why I like it when you come by.
You are so Sensible, Serious, and Succinct.
Finger in the breach, and all that...
1028. hydrus
Quoting Grothar:



If I didn't know better, I would swear that looks just like Hurricane Alice.
Yeah, you probably saw it in the newspaper that day.hehe
1029. DDR
Hi pottery,how are you?
Tomorrow and most of this week looks wet,nice!:)
1030. RTLSNK
Quoting Grothar:


YO, Snake! 5 inches of rain in Lauderdale today, don't you miss it? How ya doing?


YO, Grothar! Doing fine thanks, how about yourself? I do miss Lauderdale and the Keys, but Macon seems to have all the rain we can handle!
Quoting pottery:
heheheheh, you guys crack me up sometimes.....


I don't get it. Why would this place make you stand on your head? ;)
1032. xcool
lmao
1033. pottery
Quoting DDR:
Hi pottery,how are you?
Tomorrow and most of this week looks wet,nice!:)

Yeah! And I am going to Brasso Seco in the morning.
I hope any heavy rains hold off till I come back down the mountain...
1034. spathy
Looks like last weeks curiositys are about to be swept clean away.


Last cleaner of the season?
This far South anyway.
1035. pottery
Quoting PcolaDan:


I don't get it. Why would this place make you stand on your head? ;)

I am really not sure...
I had'nt noticed, come to think of it.
Maybe that's why I am having trouble swallowing.........?
TROPICAL DISCUSSION - INTERNATIONAL DESKS
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
235 PM EDT MON JUN 07 2010

Link
I see no imminent threats for tropical development in the Atlantic basin. Good!
Quoting pottery:

Yeah! And I am going to Brasso Seco in the morning.
I hope any heavy rains hold off till I come back down the mountain...


Mountain? How High?
1039. pottery
Quoting ShenValleyFlyFish:


Mountain? How High?

The Northern Range goes to 3000 feet. I will cross the main ridge at about 2200 ft.
Very nice up there.
Quoting RTLSNK:


YO, Grothar! Doing fine thanks, how about yourself? I do miss Lauderdale and the Keys, but Macon seems to have all the rain we can handle!


I like it when it rains in Georgia :)

Umm isn't that a song or something??
1041. Grothar
Quoting hydrus:
Yeah, you probably saw it in the newspaper that day.hehe


No, but I was living on Long Island in 1954 and remember Hazel. Even though it went through PA, we had hurricane force winds on Long Island. Of course I was very young.
1042. hydrus
Quoting StSimonsIslandGAGuy:
I see no imminent threats for tropical development in the Atlantic basin. Good!
The Atlantic basin reminds me of champagne.....With the cork in too tight.
Quoting RTLSNK:


YO, Grothar! Doing fine thanks, how about yourself? I do miss Lauderdale and the Keys, but Macon seems to have all the rain we can handle!


We need rain here, 7" below normal for the year to date!
I was reading this and thought the information might be of interest to the blog. It is about solar weather and how it threatens the Earth.

http://science.nasa.gov/science-news/science-at-nasa/2010/04jun_swef/
Evening buds, whats 411 dawgs anathin sizllin in the atlantic. Fo schizzle.
Hey Orca long time no see you have made me less grumpy with your appearance.
Quoting pottery:

The Northern Range goes to 3000 feet. I will cross the main ridge at about 2200 ft.
Very nice up there.


Hey that counts. Used to go form ~700' to 2000' to 1500' every working day. Makes my ears pop just thinking about it.
Quoting StSimonsIslandGAGuy:
I see no imminent threats for tropical development in the Atlantic basin. Good!


NOpe there is not. Been saying it all day as you just did. Could not even try to wish one up as there just is no chance of anything until mid to late next week if even then.
Quoting ElConando:
Hey Orca long time no see you have made me less grumpy with your appearance.


I am normally here in the evening... just lurking :)
1050. RTLSNK
Quoting pottery:

True. That's why I like it when you come by.
You are so Sensible, Serious, and Succinct.
Finger in the breach, and all that...


One of the benefits of a classical education I would say. Much like yourself, at this point in my life I find myself more interested in the weather than Philosophy. I have managed to keep up with certain new areas that the younger generation seem to be interesed in.
1051. hydrus
Quoting Grothar:


No, but I was living on Long Island in 1954 and remember Hazel. Even though it went through PA, we had hurricane force winds on Long Island. Of course I was very young.
My dad told me about Hazel. He said it was very bad. He was in Morristown,NJ at the time. He said the worst of it was between 8 pm till 2 am.
1052. pottery
Quoting ShenValleyFlyFish:


Hey that counts. Used to go form ~700' to 2000' to 1500' every working day. Makes my ears pop just thinking about it.

LOL
1053. Grothar
Quoting RTLSNK:


YO, Grothar! Doing fine thanks, how about yourself? I do miss Lauderdale and the Keys, but Macon seems to have all the rain we can handle!


Real good, taking my Geritol and all. Really hot here though Snake, no kidding.
Its sort of like old home night on here... lots of the umm older members here... makes me feel young :)
1056. Grothar
Quoting hydrus:
My dad told me about Hazel. He said it was very bad. He was in Morristown,NJ at the time. He said the worst of it was between 8 pm till 2 am.



You are making me feel better by the minute, hydrus. LOL It was the damage on Long Island was terrible. We lived on Long Island Sound and got those back winds.
Quoting Orcasystems:
Its sort of like old home night on here... lots of the umm older members here... makes me feel young :)


I'll have you to know I resemble that remark.
1058. hydrus
Quoting Grothar:


Real good, taking my Geritol and all. Really hot here though Snake, no kidding.
Yeah, The Extra Strength Brand is available OTC...:)
1059. RTLSNK
Quoting StSimonsIslandGAGuy:


We need rain here, 7" below normal for the year to date!


I know, I've noticed that most of the storms that have hit Macon either go to Savannah or head NE and miss the Brunswick area completely.
1060. pottery
Quoting RTLSNK:


One of the benefits of a classical education I would say. Much like yourself, at this point in my life I find myself more interested in the weather than Philosophy. I have managed to keep up with certain new areas that the younger generation seem to be interesed in.

How very Peculiar.
I seem to be, as the years retreat and I grow younger, more and more interested in Me.
Maybe it is just a Phase.
Not that there is anything wrong with that. I must be single-phasing..
Quoting ShenValleyFlyFish:


I'll have you to know I resemble that remark.


All we need now is Shep and Flood.
Quoting hydrus:
Yeah, The Extra Strength Brand is available OTC...:)


Walmart house brand works fine for me.
1063. hydrus
Quoting Grothar:



You are making me feel better by the minute, hydrus. LOL It was the damage on Long Island was terrible. We lived on Long Island Sound and got those back winds.
He said he was laughing his off watching everything but the kitchen sink flying down the street.
Quoting Orcasystems:


All we need now us Shep and Flood.


Floods around. Where's Shep?
Some of the younger members are here too!
Quoting ShenValleyFlyFish:


Hey that counts. Used to go form ~700' to 2000' to 1500' every working day. Makes my ears pop just thinking about it.

Once went on a flight where we went from 40k feet to 1k feet and back up 8 times. Head imploded right about the time we finally got to the runway...it was then I knew I was not going to be doing any field campaigns for my career...
Quoting zoomiami:
Some of the younger members are here too!


Hey Zoo
1068. pottery
Quoting zoomiami:
Some of the younger members are here too!

Well watch out.
It's Geriatric Hour...
Quoting ShenValleyFlyFish:


Floods around. Where's Shep?


He is still around... we have a new little member to the gang... watch out.. he has a interesting sense of humour, his nick is Swampliliy.
1070. hydrus
Quoting ShenValleyFlyFish:


Walmart house brand works fine for me.
Nice sunburst 12 string on the back wall of you avatar Shen.
Quoting zoomiami:
Some of the younger members are here too!


Where Zoo??
I beleive those water temps - my pool, even after about 6 inches of storm water, is already like a bath tub. Normally doesn't get like this so early.

In Fort Myers today, and its baking here, walk outside -- instant melt.
1073. Grothar
Quoting Orcasystems:
Its sort of like old home night on here... lots of the umm older members here... makes me feel young :)


Keep it up Orca and you wont know what old age feels like. LOL
1074. pottery
Quoting atmoaggie:

Once went on a flight where we went from 40k feet to 1k feet and back up 8 times. Head imploded right about the time we finally got to the runway...it was then I knew I was not going to be doing any field campaigns for my career...

And you lived???
That would of killed me dedder than Mic....well, I wont repeat that.
Quoting Orcasystems:


Where Zoo??


Ha Ha
1076. pottery
Quoting hydrus:
Nice sunburst 12 string on the back wall of you avatar Shen.

I noticed that too!
Quoting pottery:

And you lived???
That would of killed me dedder than Mic....well, I wont repeat that.

I lived...but that's not what I was asking for halfway through...
Weather is definitely different though - the cool temps for so long - then right into the super heat. The thunderstorms are very powerful - from the intensity of the heat running into the sea breeze.

I'm getting tired of fishing my furniture out of the pool, and its only June.
Quoting pottery:

I noticed that too!


I couldn't get past the hat??
1080. RTLSNK
Quoting pottery:

How very Peculiar.
I seem to be, as the years retreat and I grow younger, more and more interested in Me.
Maybe it is just a Phase.
Not that there is anything wrong with that. I must be single-phasing..


Grandchildren cause that to happen to us. After 63 years on this planet, I find it difficult to reconcile the man you see in my Avatar with the man who when the grandchildren are around has to use the word "poo poo". :)
1081. pottery
Quoting Orcasystems:


I couldn't get past the hat??

He has on a hat?
Hi Shen! How've you been?
1083. xcool
GFS SHOW STORM
1084. xcool


Quoting RTLSNK:


Grandchildren cause that to happen to us. After 63 years on this planet, I find it difficult to reconcile the man you see in my Avatar with the man who when the grandchildren are around has to use the word "poo poo". :)


63.. wow..
Pretty soon they will be saying it about Grandpa :)
Quoting xcool:
GFS SHOW STORM

There is a pic of StormW embedded in the GFS graphics?
WOW!
(sorry, j/k)
1087. xcool




1088. pottery
Quoting RTLSNK:


Grandchildren cause that to happen to us. After 63 years on this planet, I find it difficult to reconcile the man you see in my Avatar with the man who when the grandchildren are around has to use the word "poo poo". :)

Reality Really Revolts. (oooh, that's good).
Yeah!
Grands are sent to prepare us for, er, well, um, something !
I have this Urgent Desire to be completely unprepared.
Its hard work, man.
1089. RTLSNK
Quoting Orcasystems:


I like it when it rains in Georgia :)

Umm isn't that a song or something??


Cute Big Fish, it does sound familar. :)
Sorry it took me so long. Couldn't find my trifocals. :)
1091. xcool
gfs now show 5 storms wt------
1092. pottery
Quoting PcolaDan:
Sorry it took me so long. Couldn't find my trifocals. :)

heheheheh
1093. xcool
atmoaggie lmao
Quoting RTLSNK:


Cute Big Fish, it does sound familar. :)


I found Georgia rain
I thought there was a better known one?
Another difference in the weather - for the first time in about five years - the water on the Atlantic side is calmer. The past few years its always windy & choppy - or some kind of seas. Before that I can remember entire seasons when we would go fishing -- either flat calms or just little guys.
1096. pottery
Quoting PcolaDan:
Sorry it took me so long. Couldn't find my trifocals. :)

Anyone remember 'patent-leather shoes'?
Hope we don't get another one of these:

Image and video hosting by TinyPic
Quoting pottery:

Anyone remember 'patent-leather shoes'?


psss - they're back!
1099. xcool



new ngp





1100. Grothar
Quoting pottery:

Anyone remember 'patent-leather shoes'?


Couldn't wear them in Catholic school.
Quoting xcool:
gfs now show 5 storms wt------


Where??

GFS
Quoting pottery:

Anyone remember 'patent-leather shoes'?


Weren't they replaced with corfam?
Fun hanging out with you old guys - have to find the pillows, morning comes early.
1104. Grothar
Quoting PcolaDan:
Sorry it took me so long. Couldn't find my trifocals. :)


Why, did you have to look 3 times?
Quoting zoomiami:


psss - they're back!


WOW They got patent leather ortho's now. ;)
1106. xcool
Orcasystems go page 22
Quoting Grothar:


Why, did you have to look 3 times?


Had em on upside down.
1108. xcool



1109. pottery
Quoting zoomiami:


psss - they're back!

Seriously??
I get to clean mine off and strut about in them again??
What a thing........
1110. pottery
Quoting Grothar:


Couldn't wear them in Catholic school.

They were too shiny?
1111. RTLSNK
Quoting pottery:

Reality Really Revolts. (oooh, that's good).
Yeah!
Grands are sent to prepare us for, er, well, um, something !
I have this Urgent Desire to be completely unprepared.
Its hard work, man.


Ahh, there at the end of your comment is your problem wise, wicked, but wayward one. Spontaneity by its very nature should not be hard work my good man. It should be instinctive, involuntary, casual, unintentional, impulsive, unforced, natural, and free of worldly constraints, plans, and schedules. Loosen up chap, go with the flow, listen to your inner child, and mail the normal fee to my acct in the Cayman Islands per our usual arraingment.
Quoting xcool:
Orcasystems go page 22


Pottery is going to be peeved if he finds out you have been drinking his Rum again
1113. xcool
lmao
Quoting xcool:
gfs now show 5 storms wt------
1115. xcool
hahaKEEPEROFTHEGATE .
1116. JLPR2
I need someone to mark with a red sharpie where are these five storms, I dont see them there :S

Well besides that, hello everyone XD
1117. Grothar
Quoting pottery:

They were too shiny?


Your memory is too good pot. I liked patent leather shoes. LOL
1118. xcool
JLPR2 hey
1119. pottery
Quoting RTLSNK:


Ahh, there at the end of your comment is your problem wise, wicked, but wayward one. Spontaneity by its very nature should not be hard work my good man. It should be instinctive, involuntary, casual, unintentional, impulsive, unforced, natural, and free of worldly constraints, plans, and schedules. Loosen up chap, go with the flow, listen to your inner child, and mail the normal fee to my acct in the Cayman Islands per our usual arraingment.

I knew I could count on you for advice that comes straight from the wallet. Thank you my Friend.
You are absolutely correct you know.
The Persuit of Happiness is a futile chase.
I will defer to your method.
OMMMMMMMMMMMM

1120. RTLSNK
Quoting zoomiami:


psss - they're back!


Are you kidding me? I have a black pair that go with my Army Dress Blue Formal uniform, and a white pair that go with my white Tuxedo. Yes you youngsters, a white Tuxedo. You just have to be very careful around tomato sauce!!!
1121. pottery
Quoting Orcasystems:


Pottery is going to be peeved if he finds out you have been drinking his Rum again

What's This??
to page 22 I go>>>>>>>>>
1122. JLPR2
Looks like our next wave is getting ready to emerge
Quoting Grothar:


Your memory is too good pot. I liked patent leather shoes. LOL


Didn't require polishing on Saturday night. :)

And on that note, , ttfn.
1124. JLPR2
Oh noes! I killed the blog!
:O
1125. JLPR2
Ah no, wait, it still has a pulse
^^
Quoting hydrus:
Nice sunburst 12 string on the back wall of you avatar Shen.


You want it? It's a Stella! I bought it it in a fit of sentamentality for the 6o's off eBay. They were worth $10 back then and a lot less now. (if you want to play it) Never could be tuned. Thought with today's tech I could do it but it ain't gonna happen. Lol
1127. Grothar
Quoting RTLSNK:


Are you kidding me? I have a black pair that go with my Army Dress Blue Formal uniform, and a white pair that go with my white Tuxedo. Yes you youngsters, a white Tuxedo. You just have to be very careful around tomato sauce!!!


You still use potato skins to clean them? Nobody would remember that
1128. pottery
Quoting Orcasystems:


Pottery is going to be peeved if he finds out you have been drinking his Rum again

I can find no reference to this Accusation.
I also know that the Young Man in question would never stoop so low.
Well, he better not!
This must be some sort of Strange, Northern humour.
heheheheh
1129. pottery
Quoting Grothar:


You still use potato skins to clean them? Nobody would remember that

even I dont remember potato skins for cleaning.
Weirdness Rules!
latest big picture up to 1212 am jun 8

xcool, trouble is a coming.
1132. pottery
Quoting ShenValleyFlyFish:


You want it? It's a Stella! I bought it it in a fit of sentamentality for the 6o's off eBay. They were worth $10 back then and a lot less now. (if you want to play it) Never could be tuned. Thought with today's tech I could do it but it ain't gonna happen. Lol

LOL, I had one a long time ago, like that (not a Stella) that gave endless trouble to tune.
Went to a weekend party on the east coast here, and when I looked for it next morning, 2 guys were taking turns surfing on the thing.
What a party.........
Quoting TropicalWave:
xcool, trouble is a coming.
1134. xcool
TropicalWave :)
my new video
1136. pottery
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:

Man! I'm getting so sleeeeppppy...
1137. RTLSNK
Quoting Grothar:


You still use potato skins to clean them? Nobody would remember that


Even I don't remember that one!!! I have both pairs in sealed plastic bags, and they still look brand new.

12:43 am here, time to go horizontal, will check back in later, much later.
1138. pottery
See you all another time.
I am out...
1139. JLPR2
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:


LOL! Perfect, I'm saving this one to look at it
XD
Quoting pottery:

LOL, I had one a long time ago, like that (not a Stella) that gave endless trouble to tune.
Went to a weekend party on the east coast here, and when I looked for it next morning, 2 guys were taking turns surfing on the thing.
What a party.........


Been to a party or two like that. Where did they go?
1141. xcool
ok next is cmc models
Quoting pottery:
See you all another time.
I am out...
good night friend sleep well
1143. pottery
Quoting ShenValleyFlyFish:


Been to a party or two like that. Where did they go?

Who knows! But their gone. Thank goodness. Whew!
LOLOL
I'm Gone, Solid Gone, this time.
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
good night friend sleep well


make that for me too.
1145. hydrus
Quoting louisianaboy444:
Hope we don't get another one of these:

Image and video hosting by TinyPic
I hope not too. what a nasty freaken path that was.
Wow it is pooring rain outside....geesh.....we needed it too..
822PM PR DISCUSSION...

MOISTURE ON FRIDAY LOOKS LIKE IT WILL STAY SOUTH OF
THE AREA BUT WILL HOLD OFF ON ANY CHANGES UNTIL 00Z MODELS CONFIRM THIS DRIER TREND.

..............
Obviously it will.
1148. xcool
Quoting TampaSpin:
Wow it is pooring rain outside....geesh.....we needed it too..


Glad you got the rain you needed. Lol we need it too but it doesnt want to come.
local isolated rain tampa
I was just looking at how the SubTropical Jet is lifting out.....trouble is coming within the first week of July .......BIG TIME!
Quoting TampaSpin:
I was just looking at how the SubTropical Jet is lifting out.....trouble is coming within the first week of July .......BIG TIME!
last week of june
1153. Grothar
Quoting TampaSpin:
I was just looking at how the SubTropical Jet is lifting out.....trouble is coming within the first week of July .......BIG TIME!


Just what we want to hear before going to bed. LOL. Besides, July 1st is my birthday.
1154. xcool
oh boy
water temps in all S. FL in the 90's now, some spots reading as high as 94.....my pool was 91 today, warmest i ever seen it
Quoting TampaSpin:
I was just looking at how the SubTropical Jet is lifting out.....trouble is coming within the first week of July .......BIG TIME!
Yep im getting concerned about july
1157. hydrus
Quoting spathy:
Wow that took me a while to figure out how to do that.
I thought the spot in Hydrus post was just a speck of dust on me screen.

On a serious note can we expect the Gulf Eddy to stay as is for another few weeks?
The Naval Research Lab has a forecast model for Frank or Franklin( yes they named it ). Someone on here has the link. That should help you track the loop current eddy.
1158. xcool


Quoting Grothar:


Just what we want to hear before going to bed. LOL. Besides, July 1st is my birthday.


If we have a nasty one on your birthday....we need to name it Grothar on the blog....LOL
Quoting xcool:


Wow favorable conditions everywhere july going to be busy thats for sure if this comes true
Quoting alexhurricane1991:
Yep im getting concerned about july


Its coming as MJO returns....about that time.....nothing we can do but be prepared.
1162. Grothar
Quoting pottery:

even I dont remember potato skins for cleaning.
Weirdness Rules!


We used to use them to get a spit shine on our boots and shoes when I was in the army. If you don't believe me, try it some time, the inside of the skin. For real. And no, I was not in World War I. LOL nite pot.
Quoting jasoniscoolman09:
my new video


Great job Jason!
Is it hurricane yet?
1165. xcool
bad july come..
more august for few...
Quoting CycloneOz:
more august for few...
Great avatar! sam fisher splinter cell
1168. Grothar
Quoting TampaSpin:


If we have a nasty one on your birthday....we need to name it Grothar on the blog....LOL


Thanks for the thought. Big LOL
later all iam out


You can see how MJO is coming in July by this graph
I am CycloneOz.
I am CyclopseOz.
I am CycloneOz.
I am CyclopseOz.

-->reset *whirl*shunt*bleeng
Right now were setting the fuse to the powder keg come july its ready to go off.
1174. hydrus
Good night to all.
Quoting alexhurricane1991:
Right now were setting the fuse to the powder keg come july its ready to go off.


Is this for hurricanes or July 4th...cause if it's for July 4th, we can save it.

We're a nation of dependents now...
Quoting CycloneOz:
I am CycloneOz.
I am CyclopseOz.
I am CycloneOz.
I am CyclopseOz.

-->reset *whirl*shunt*bleeng
Quoting zoomiami:


psss - they're back!


even worse, so is disco
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:


I thought you were in bed. I know, I'm going to mine soon.

'Nite everyone! :)
Quoting Grothar:


We used to use them to get a spit shine on our boots and shoes when I was in the army. If you don't believe me, try it some time, the inside of the skin. For real. And no, I was not in World War I. LOL nite pot.


I always thought it was the War of 1812 *hides*
tim, how bad could it get in july?
Quoting TropicalWave:
tim, how bad could it get in july?


...Congratulations! You're the one millionth poster to ask a question that cannot be answered!

Johnny! Tell him what he's won!

(Johnny) He's Won A New Car!

How bad do you think it will get in July Janile?
Quoting TropicalWave:
tim, how bad could it get in july?


Come to my blogsite and i will show you!
Quoting CycloneOz:


...Congratulations! You're the one millionth poster to ask a question that cannot be answered!

Johnny! Tell him what he's won!

(Johnny) He's Won A New Car!

LOL!
Quoting TampaSpin:


Come to my blogsite and i will show you!


There is shadow under this red rock,
(Come in under the shadow of this red rock),
And I will show you something different from either
Your shadow at morning striding behind you
Or your shadow at evening rising to meet you;
I will show you fear in a handful of dust.

from T.S. Elliot's "The Waste Land"
Weather Student you win this brand new car!!!

i will tim.
From this current blog (2nd picture in main):
Quoting idzrvit:

Bad timing with this car coming by! For a small town, there sure was a lot of traffic!


No need to fret! There's a Photoshop app for that! :)

This is a golfball propelled to 150miles per hour _ This is the golfball hitting a wall at high Cat.4
- - -
...you've gotta ask yourself a question, "Do I feel lucky?"... -- Harry Callahan, practical physicist
Quoting TampaSpin:


Its coming as MJO returns....about that time.....nothing we can do but be prepared.


Please forgive my ignorance, but what is "MJO"? I've been racking my brains trying to figure it out.
Quoting Fla55Native:


Please forgive my ignorance, but what is "MJO"? I've been racking my brains trying to figure it out.


Basically an abbundance of moisture in the Atmosphere that circles the globe about every 40-50 days
Quoting Orcasystems:


Where??

GFS

Xcool get a life. He trolled you. Congrats. Anyway yeah, latest GFS shows a lot of convection/ low pressure in the Carribean (any of which could spin up into a storm unexpectedly) but no storms.
Quoting ElConando:
Weather Student you win this brand new car!!!



Tax, title, and tag not included!
Quoting aspectre:
This is a golfball propelled to 150miles per hour _ This is the golfball hitting a wall at high Cat.4
- - -
...you've gotta ask yourself a question, "Do I feel lucky?"... -- Harry Callahan, practical physicist

thats assuming the ball would reach the windspeed and unless Im mistaken that seems unlikely ... of course the "gusting to 165" might do the trick
Quoting Fla55Native:


Please forgive my ignorance, but what is "MJO"? I've been racking my brains trying to figure it out.


I have also wondered about what the MJO is? After doing some internet research in the past, this is my best answer for what it is (MJO stands for Madden-Julian Oscillation, named after the scientists who discovered it)

Equatorial storms fire over the Indian Ocean at the start of the oscillation, leading to enhanced upper divergence and upper ridging above the storms. To the northeast and southeast of the upper ridging is relative low pressure air aloft for upper troughs in both the southern and northern hemispheres, and the upper trough flows converge and create sinking air in the tropics to the east of the storminess. The lack of sunlight beneath the storms cools the ocean while sunlight heats the ocean to the east where storms are lacking. A sufficiently hotter ocean to the east destabilizes the atmosphere so that the sinking motion is overcome for an eastward transition of the storms over fueling warmth, and the storms leave behind relatively cooler water to the west. The MJO wave of storms continually propagates east with this process across the Pacific toward the Atlantic. Another MJO wave develops in the Indian Ocean after a sufficient reheating, resetting the oscillation.
1197. xcool
Hey.i.m on my cel
im getting pounded here in deep south tx :0
Quoting Dakster:


Woah... That is a little too hot... Talk about being able to fry and egg on the sidewalk. I could cook my ham, eggs, steak, make coffee...Almost make hard boiled eggs...


...And get trenched in bucketfuls of sweat(dewpoint 95F) but with absolutely no relief lol!
From my understanding, I think the Atlantic is currently to the east of the current MJO wave (which would imply a GENERAL tendency of sinking air in the tropical latitudes of the Atlantic). Once the MJO wave arrives, the upper ridging associated with the enhanced storms will reverse this to reduced shear and a tendency for lift in the Atlantic tropics.
I am off to NITE NITE.......so NITE NITE!
1203. xcool
Who.
Quoting aspectre:
This is a golfball propelled to 150miles per hour _ This is the golfball hitting a wall at high Cat.4
- - -
...you've gotta ask yourself a question, "Do I feel lucky?"... -- Harry Callahan, practical physicist


Maybe I'll stay away from driving ranges during a Cat 4 or more....
Are those Cat 4 winds or is it a 5?
Hurricane Harry don't take no jive!
Do you feel lucky, junk?
Well, do ya...punk?
Your choice may keep you alive!
1206. xcool
Im better that.anyway
.
An example of a season heavily influenced by the MJO was in 2002 (link)

2002 was an El Nino year, El Nino usually increasing shear in the Atlantic so that tropical cyclones struggle to form. But in September 2002, an MJO wave arrived:

June 2002: 0 Atl tropical cyclone formations
July 2002: 1 Atl tropical cyclone formations
August 2002: 3 Atl tropical cyclones form
Sept 2002: 9 Atl tropical cyclone formations
Oct 2002: 1 Atl tropical cyclone forms

Factors like El Nino/La Nina, or the warm phase of the Atlatic multi-decadal influence (which has been enhancing Atl storms since 1995) determine whether the season is overall inactive or active. MJO controls active-inactive periods WITHIN a single season.
,
Quoting TropicalWave:
ignore him, xcool!

????????????????????????
Quick photoshop work tonight on the blog, LOL
Quoting NCHurricane2009:
Quick photoshop work tonight on the blog, LOL


The Shadow...knows.
Quoting NCHurricane2009:


I have also wondered about what the MJO is? After doing some internet research in the past, this is my best answer for what it is (MJO stands for Madden-Julian Oscillation, named after the scientists who discovered it)

Equatorial storms fire over the Indian Ocean at the start of the oscillation, leading to enhanced upper divergence and upper ridging above the storms. To the northeast and southeast of the upper ridging is relative low pressure air aloft for upper troughs in both the southern and northern hemispheres, and the upper trough flows converge and create sinking air in the tropics to the east of the storminess. The lack of sunlight beneath the storms cools the ocean while sunlight heats the ocean to the east where storms are lacking. A sufficiently hotter ocean to the east destabilizes the atmosphere so that the sinking motion is overcome for an eastward transition of the storms over fueling warmth, and the storms leave behind relatively cooler water to the west. The MJO wave of storms continually propagates east with this process across the Pacific toward the Atlantic. Another MJO wave develops in the Indian Ocean after a sufficient reheating, resetting the oscillation.


Thanks, while waiting for a response, I, too did some research, which led me to a slightly different slant on the process. The essentials were the same with a somewhat more lengthly and different perspective. Thanks for the insight
Heat Advisory

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
948 PM CDT MON JUN 7 2010

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TUESDAY TO 6 PM CDT
THURSDAY...

.AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 90S IN CONJUNCTION WITH
HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL RESULT IN HEAT INDEX READINGS IN THE 105
TO 110 DEGREE RANGE EACH AFTERNOON TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

LAZ034>040-046>050-056>070-MSZ068>071-077-080>082-081100-
/O.CON.KLIX.HT.Y.0001.100608T1400Z-100610T2300Z/
POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA-EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA-TANGIPAHOA-
WASHINGTON-ST. TAMMANY-IBERVILLE-WEST BATON ROUGE-
EAST BATON ROUGE-ASCENSION-LIVINGSTON-ASSUMPTION-ST. JAMES-
ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST-UPPER LAFOURCHE-ST. CHARLES-UPPER JEFFERSON-
ORLEANS-UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST. BERNARD-UPPER TERREBONNE-
LOWER TERREBONNE-LOWER LAFOURCHE-LOWER JEFFERSON-
LOWER PLAQUEMINES-LOWER ST. BERNARD-WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE-WALTHALL-
PEARL RIVER-HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEW ROADS...LIVONIA...
ST. FRANCISVILLE...JACKSON...CLINTON...GREENSBURG...MONTPELIER...
HAMMOND...PONCHATOULA...BOGALUSA...FRANKLINTON...SLIDELL...
MANDEVILLE...COVINGTON...LACOMBE...PLAQUEMINE...WHITE CASTLE...
PORT ALLEN...ADDIS...BRUSLY...BATON ROUGE...GONZALES...
DONALDSONVILLE...DENHAM SPRINGS...WALKER...PIERRE PART...
LABADIEVILLE...PAINCOURTVILLE...LUTCHER...GRAMERCY...LAPLACE...
RESERVE...THIBODAUX...RACELAND...LAROSE...DESTREHAN...NORCO...
METAIRIE...KENNER...NEW ORLEANS...BELLE CHASSE...CHALMETTE...
VIOLET...HOUMA...BAYOU CANE...CHAUVIN...DULAC...MONTEGUT...
GALLIANO...CUT OFF...GOLDEN MEADOW...PORT SULPHUR...EMPIRE...
YSCLOSKEY...CENTREVILLE...WOODVILLE...GLOSTER...LIBERTY...
CROSBY...MCCOMB...TYLERTOWN...PICAYUNE...BAY ST. LOUIS...
WAVELAND...DIAMONDHEAD...GULFPORT...BILOXI...PASCAGOULA...
OCEAN SPRINGS...MOSS POINT...GAUTIER...ST. MARTIN
948 PM CDT MON JUN 7 2010

...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TUESDAY TO 6 PM CDT
THURSDAY...

A HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TUESDAY TO 6 PM CDT
THURSDAY.

HIGHS IN THE MID 90S EACH AFTERNOON IN CONJUNCTION WITH HIGH
HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL RESULT IN HEAT INDEX READINGS IN THE 105 TO
110 DEGREE RANGE EACH AFTERNOON TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. ISOLATED
TO SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWERS ON TUESDAY MAY BRING A SHORT
REPRIEVE TO THE HEAT IN SOME AREAS...OTHERWISE SIGNIFICANT SHOWERS ARE
NOT EXPECTED WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE HEAT INDEX IS A MEASURE OF HOW HOT IT FEELS WHEN THE EFFECTS
OF HUMIDITY ARE COMBINED WITH THE TEMPERATURE. A HEAT INDEX OF
105 DEGREES IS CONSIDERED THE LEVEL WHERE MANY PEOPLE BEGIN TO
EXPERIENCE EXTREME DISCOMFORT OR PHYSICAL STRESS. THE HEAT INDEX
IS MEASURED UNDER SHADY CONDITIONS...AND DIRECT EXPOSURE TO
SUNLIGHT CAN INCREASE THE HEAT INDEX AS MUCH AS 15 DEGREES.

A HEAT ADVISORY MEANS THAT A PERIOD OF HOT TEMPERATURES IS
EXPECTED. THE COMBINATION OF HOT TEMPERATURES AND HIGH HUMIDITY
WILL COMBINE TO CREATE A SITUATION IN WHICH HEAT ILLNESSES ARE
POSSIBLE. DRINK PLENTY OF FLUIDS...STAY IN AN AIR-CONDITIONED
ROOM...STAY OUT OF THE SUN...AND CHECK UP ON RELATIVES AND
NEIGHBORS.

&&

anyway guys see you around 5 or 7 AM tomorrow I am out
1218. IKE
68.9 degrees at my house this morning.

Back in 2005, the A storm started today...

Ike I'm at 76 degrees and I live in Tampa.
1220. IKE
From San Juan discussion....

"TROPICAL WAVE APPROACHING 50W THIS MORNING IS EXPECTED TO REACH 70W
BY 18Z FRI AND BRING AN INCREASE IN SHRA/TSRA ACTIVITY. LOOKS LIKE
DEEP MOISTURE WILL STAY SOUTH OVR CARIBBEAN WATERS FOR ANY SIG
RAINFALL.
NEVERTHELESS...EXPECT SCT/NRMS TSRA FRI AFTERNOON."
Morning Ike Cybr, I have 76.1 in zephyrhills and very little rain yesterday .24
Quoting IKE:
68.9 degrees at my house this morning.

Back in 2005, the A storm started today...


Boy we don't need anything in the gulf with that mess out there.
1223. IKE
Looking at the 6Z GFS, it looks like moisture ramps up in the extreme western Caribbean in about a week, but continues west into the east-PAC beyond then.

It looks similar to what the latest ECMWF is showing.

I don't see much activity(a named storm), in the Atlantic for the next 10-14 days off this mornings models.
1224. IKE
Quoting severstorm:

Boy we don't need anything in the gulf with that mess out there.


I don't see anything.

Down to 67.8....a little cool outside.
Morning all.

Ike, how far north is that Twave analysed to be?
Wow 95 here all week and little rain whew! Ike our busy season is going to be all at one time.
Nvm...


1228. IKE
Quoting BahaHurican:
Morning all.

Ike, how far north is that Twave analysed to be?


From the new discussion...

"TROPICAL WAVE IS TILTED FROM 11N49W TO 6N46W MOVING W 10-15 KT.
WAVE IS TILTED WITHIN A MOISTURE MAXIMUM ON THE TOTAL
PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY WITH WELL DEFINED MID LEVEL CYCLONIC
CURVATURE ALONG THE WAVE AXIS. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE FROM 7N-12N BETWEEN 44W-50W."
It's relatively cool here for a June morning... likely the effect of the trough in the area, which kept the weather muggy but not overly hot yesterday.

1230. IKE
Quoting BahaHurican:
Nvm...




Looks like the north Atlantic high is suppressing everything. Long range GFS is similar in appearance.
I'm noticing that the ITCZ seems to have started its Nward transition.... seems to be staying N of 5N all the time now.

1232. IKE
Looks like the wave at 50 is headed for Pottery and points just north of him.
Yeah, I was looking at that big ole high jest a-settin' there.... lol

That high can be ur best friend in June and ur worst enemy in August....
Good Morning

Blog Update

Watching the SW Caribbean

1235. IKE
That's a rather healthy looking wave for June 8th. I don't recall seeing healthy waves like that in early June of 2009.

Watch out for July through October!
1236. IKE
Quoting BahaHurican:
Yeah, I was looking at that big ole high jest a-settin' there.... lol

That high can be ur best friend in June and ur worst enemy in August....


True...a slightly weaker high and August=trouble.
I'm wondering if the SCar will get any rain from that Twave. Since it's a bit further north, maybe they'll get some storminess, despite the alleged departure of the MJO....
Morning 456.
Well, I hate to blog and run, but I have to get out there and earn my crust of bread and Wundergroud membership money.... lol

Have a great day!
1240. IKE
Wave train...

hey guys
I found this graphic of the climatology per month tracks but I can't find the link to them.

1244. IKE

Tropical Atlantic Basin Tranquil
Jun 8, 2010 6:44 AM

As of Tuesday morning, EDT, a few tropical waves were found over the open North Atlantic Ocean. None of these waves are forecast to show any significant development for at least the next 48 hours due to moderate wind shear and cool sea surface temperatures. Other tropical waves were found at 60 west, 48 west and 35 west near 10 north. All of these waves are running into a highly sheared environment, which is unfavorable for development. The rest of the Atlantic remains very quiet with high pressure over the Gulf of Mexico.

By AccuWeather.com Meteorologist Justin Povick
1245. Makoto1
Morning, 54 with a few clouds outside right now.

Seems that all there is to watch is that wave train this morning. Impressive to say the least.
For a complete OHIO TORNADO RECAP with stats and maps, click here on my weather website:

http://sabolscience.blogspot.com

Scott Sabol
WJW FOX 8 Cleveland
Quoting Fla55Native:


Please forgive my ignorance, but what is "MJO"? I've been racking my brains trying to figure it out.


if you go to storm W's blog he lists all the abbreviations and what they mean.
1248. IKE
It was too early for me to see that picture...

Good morning!
good day wunderground
your getting stranger and stranger oz not that you were not strange in the first place
Quoting CycloneOz:
I'm developing a "new game" here on the main. It's called "Play Chicken with the Admin."

The rules are simple enough. Make single or multiple posts that normally would get you banned from the blog. You leave up the post(s) for as long as you dare, then modify them so they do not appear.

If you win, you do not get banned.
If you lose, you must publicly apologize and offer up your oldest child.


At least you took that awful picture down. :P_
1257. IKE
Quoting CaneWarning:
It was too early for me to see that picture...

Good morning!


I'm glad he deleted it. The deleted blogger is...a troll/trouble. Tired of him.
Hola Senior Chief!

¿Cómo está? ¿Qué hubo? ¿Qué onda?

¡Estar bien, mi amigos!

PS: please please send me out to a storm soon!
good AM my beloveing blog
Quoting IKE:


I'm glad he deleted it. The deleted blogger is...a troll/trouble. Tired of him.


I've got my finger on the pulse of the main. Luckily, the blog is healthy enough for a poke every now and then. ;)
1261. cg2916
Morning all!

Been at the beach for a couple days! Looks like the tropics are really quiet, but you have to expect that when it's early June with a downward MJO (which looks to me like it won't turn upward until mid-July).

Got some wave train going. Too far south for anything to develop, though. Even if we did have waves further north, shear's been on the increase everywhere except the extreme SW Caribbean, and even the AOI there doesn't look like it'll develop.
Quoting Weather456:
Good Morning

Blog Update

Watching the SW Caribbean



Looks like a little wave that has interacted with the Columbian Low that is always present. The Wave should move into the Pacific and possible develop in the Pacific! The blowup is pure Divergence and should fade during the day!
Not weather related but NEWS nonetheless.



LIMA, Peru - Joran van der Sloot confessed to the slaying of a 21-year-old woman in a Lima hotel room, a high-ranking Peruvian government official told NBC News on Monday.

According to La Republica newspaper, van der Sloot said he broke Stephany Flores' neck after she grabbed his laptop without his permission and found out that he was involved in the disappearance of an American woman.

The paper quoted van der Sloot as saying, "I did not want to do it. The girl intruded into my private life... she didn't have any right.
Gotta run....everyone have a good day!
Quoting Tazmanian:
good AM my beloveing blog
Good morning Taz.
Quoting StormW:
Above average vertical instability in the Caribbean and Atlantic.



What does this signify? TIA
1269. IKE
Quoting stormwatcherCI:
Not weather related but NEWS nonetheless.



LIMA, Peru - Joran van der Sloot confessed to the slaying of a 21-year-old woman in a Lima hotel room, a high-ranking Peruvian government official told NBC News on Monday.

According to La Republica newspaper, van der Sloot said he broke Stephany Flores' neck after she grabbed his laptop without his permission and found out that he was involved in the disappearance of an American woman.

The paper quoted van der Sloot as saying, "I did not want to do it. The girl intruded into my private life... she didn't have any right.


Oh yes she did and you murdered her. They should take him out in a boat and drop him in a sea of swimming hungry sharks.
We all know what could happen when a cold front stalls out in south Florida in June
From 8 a.m. NHC Discussion:
THE SURFACE LOW THAT WAS OVER PANAMA HAS SHIFTED WESTWARD INTO THE E PACIFIC REGION AND COMBINED WITH THE SMALL UPPER HIGH CONTINUES TO GENERATE SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS INLAND AND WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA AND NICARAGUA BETWEEN
10N-13N.

Have a good day everyone.



big picture up to 911am edt jun 8

Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
big picture up to 911am edt jun 8



i cant tell what am looking at too me the map is a big mass
1277. lakeEFX
Quoting StormW:
Above average vertical instability in the Caribbean and Atlantic.




I always have vertical instability after Friday night beer night.
1278. IKE
Quoting StormW:




I can see the pattern that appears to be shaping up for the season. I don't see how the GOM can avoid several systems.

Combine that with the oil volcano and.....not good.

EDIT>>>Then again...at least it would get some of it out of the GOM. Land masses will be affected though. It's going to happen.
I just saw on TV where they said there is a large oil sheen west of Tampa. They failed to mention it is 150 miles away. No wonder tourists aren't coming here.
1280. aquak9
Quoting Tazmanian:


i cant tell what am looking at too me the map is a big mass


taz- it is looking down from the sky, over the north pole. The north pole is in the middle of the circle.
1281. IKE
NEW BLOG!
1282. MWH
Good Morning!
After several years of lurking, I decided 2010 would be a good year to pay up and join the group. It looks as though it will be a very busy season. The fact that four of the ten years that Dr. Masters showe as neutural /La Nina were very bad for the NC Coast with several direct hits - Bertha and Fran (96), Bonnie(98), Floyd(99) and Isabel(03)- has me concerned. The members here that have provided a wealth of information have taught me a lot about tropical weather and others have provided, let's just say "good entertainment".

I am not a weather guru by any means, but a lifetime on the central NC Coast may allow me to share some good info and pics during the next storm.

Mike