WunderBlog Archive » Category 6™

Category 6 has moved! See the latest from Dr. Jeff Masters and Bob Henson here.

Sean brushes Bermuda; largest wave ever surfed; Tipton tornado an EF-4

By: Dr. Jeff Masters, 3:26 PM GMT on November 11, 2011

Tropical Storm Sean brushed by Bermuda this morning, bringing winds near tropical storm force to the island. Top sustained winds at the Bermuda airport were 37 mph this morning, and a gust of 56 mph occurred at 4:38 am AST. Dry air disrupted the circulation of Sean before it reached Bermuda, and the island picked up just 0.08" of rain as of 10 am AST today. Sean is headed northeastward, out to sea, and will cease to exist later today or on Saturday. Sean may not be the last storm of the season, however. The most recent runs of the GFS, NOGAPS, and ECMWF models all predict an extratropical storm capable of transitioning to a subtropical or tropical storm will form in the middle Atlantic late next week. If such a storm did form, it would be called Tammy, and would not threaten any land areas.


Figure 1. A wet, windy day in Bermuda: morning webcam image from the island. Image credit: freddiebda's webcam.

Largest wave ever surfed
A new world record was set this week for the largest wave ever surfed. On Tuesday, November 8, Hawaiian big wave rider Garrett McNamara caught a 90-foot (27 meter) wave during a tow-surfing session just offshore of the small fishing village of Nazare, Portugal. An undersea canyon 5000 meters deep runs very close to the shore, and the unique bathymetry is known to create unusually large waves when west-northwest swells affect the coast. On Tuesday, an approaching cold front extending southwards from a low pressure system centered just south of Iceland generated strong winds off the coast of Portugal, and a west-northwest swell of 8 meters (26'). The canyon generated three big waves in excess of 60 feet that day, and McNamara was able to catch the tallest, 90-foot wave. The previous record highest wave surfed was a 77-foot (23 meter) wave caught in 2008 at Cortes Bank off the coast of Southern California by Mike Parsons.


Video 1. Surfer Garrett McNamara rides a 90-foot wave off the coast of Portugal on November 8, 2011, setting a new world record for the largest wave ever riden.

November 7 Tipton, Oklahoma tornado rated an EF-4
The powerful tornado that hit Tipton, Oklahoma on November 7 has been rated an EF-4 by the National Weather Service. The Tipton tornado hit two Oklahoma Mesonet stations and destroyed them; the Tipton mesonet site measured winds of 86.4 mph and the Fort Cobb site measured winds of 91.4 mph before destruction. The tornado was one of a family of six spawned that day by the parent supercell thunderstorm. The Tipton tornado is the first November EF-4 tornado in Oklahoma's history, and one of only twenty EF-4 or stronger November tornadoes observed in the U.S. since 1950, according to the Tornado History Project. There have been twelve December EF-4 tornadoes and two December EF-5 tornadoes observed in the U.S. since 1950. The confirmed tornado count for 2011 is 1543, putting this year in third place so far for most tornadoes, behind the 1692 tornadoes observed in 2004 and 1817 tornadoes in 2008. By the time the year ends, 2011 should wind up with 1600 - 1700 confirmed tornadoes.


Figure 2. Time series showing the weather at the Fort Cobb, OK mesonet station during passage of the November 7, 2011 Tipton tornado. A wind gust of 91.4 mph and pressure spike down to 946 mb occurred during the tornado's passage. Image credit: NWS/Norman Oklahoma.

Have a great weekend, everyone, and I'll be back Monday with a new post.

Jeff Masters
Southwest Oklahoma Chase 11-7-11
Southwest Oklahoma Chase 11-7-11
This is the Tipton-Snyder, OK tornado. This supercell produced multiple tornadoes over a couple of hours.

Tornado Hurricane

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

Reader Comments

Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

That's just a tad bit creepy....


Please stay on topic. We are talking about Reese's Pieces tonight.
Quoting ClaySFL:


Hi Geoffrey. I've been around here recently haha, but i'm very good, how about you?


Doing good. I see Grothar is back causing trouble.
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
I think saying Florida was "hit hard" in this decade is a bit of an understatement.

Well what can I say?.Hurricanes just hate Florida.
Quoting Grothar:


Please stay on topic. We are talking about Reese's Pieces tonight.


I thought the topic was space cows or some utter nonsense.
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:


Hi Clay...Longtime no see. How are you tonight?


Hi, Geoff. Haven't seen you on much. This weather is great we are having. Should be like this for awhile.

We had some nasty winds in the Colorado front range the past few days. Last night they caused damage in Georgetown, CO along I-70 and turned over several semi trucks along the freeway. Locals said it was some of the worst winds they've experienced in about a decade.

News Article
Link

Local Storm Report
Link

0200 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 S FRISCO 39.51N 106.10W
11/13/2011 M115 MPH SUMMIT CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0200 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 SSW LOVELAND PASS 39.64N 105.89W
11/13/2011 M100 MPH SUMMIT CO TRAINED SPOTTER

1224 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 WNW ASPEN SPRINGS 39.84N 105.52W
11/13/2011 M87.00 MPH GILPIN CO MESONET

1135 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 ENE ESTES PARK 40.38N 105.48W
11/12/2011 M77.00 MPH LARIMER CO MESONET

1103 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 ENE NEDERLAND 39.99N 105.45W
11/12/2011 M72.00 MPH BOULDER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

1030 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 SSW BOULDER 39.98N 105.27W
11/12/2011 M90.00 MPH BOULDER CO MESONET

NCAR MESA LAB
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:


I thought the topic was space cows or some utter nonsense.


I believe that was an earlier discussion. And don't you mean udder?
Quoting Grothar:


I believe that was an earlier discussion. And don't you mean udder?


*snicker*
Quoting BaltimoreBrian:


*snicker*


So now we have moved on to Snicker bars. The blog is on a roll.
.
Quoting BaltimoreBrian:
No wrong way to eat a Reese's!


Scary video. You should have posted that on Halloween.
Grothar, post 502.
As can be seen from your Map, there is plenty of Red and Green all over the place.
This tends to indicate (to the Observant) that it could possibly be raining somewhere in Northern South America.
From careful and persistent Observations here, I can confirm the following--
1- it has indeed rained
2- it has rained on-and-off every day for weeks
3- the gardens are Swampy Bogs of Evil Smelling mud
4- there is no prospect for sunshine until tomorrow morning(it being night time)
5- and anyway, it will doubtlessly rain again tomorrow

See? Your map is filled with Spurious yet Strangely Accurate Information.
I trust you have a Pleasant Evening.
And ask that tomorrow you post a map that has none of those bright colours on it.

With thanks,
The Residents of Boggy Spong.
Quoting Grothar:


So now we have moved on to Snicker bars. The blog is on a roll.


So now it is a tootsie roll? Do you have a have confection to make?
Quoting Some1Has2BtheRookie:


So now it is a tootsie roll? Do you have a have confection to make?

His blog is somewhere else.....
Quoting pottery:
Grothar, post 502.
As can be seen from your Map, there is plenty of Red and Green all over the place.
This tends to indicate (to the Observant) that it could possibly be raining somewhere in Northern South America.
From careful and persistent Observations here, I can confirm the following--
1- it has indeed rained
2- it has rained on-and-off every day for weeks
3- the gardens are Swampy Bogs of Evil Smelling mud
4- there is no prospect for sunshine until tomorrow morning(it being night time)
5- and anyway, it will doubtlessly rain again tomorrow

See? Your map is filled with Spurious yet Strangely Accurate Information.
I trust you have a Pleasant Evening.
And ask that tomorrow you post a map that has none of those bright colours on it.

With thanks,
The Residents of Boggy Spong.


You certainly have had your share of rain this season. We didn't get much at all. Spurious???
Quoting BaltimoreBrian:


*snicker*


Don’t encourage him Brian. He is an “utter” garconanokin.
Quoting Some1Has2BtheRookie:


So now it is a tootsie roll? Do you have a have confection to make?


You got it! :)
Quoting weatherbro:
Waves have been getting smaller here(since I moved here in 1991). Is there some kind of 15-30 year ocean oscillation I'm not aware of(where average wave heights increase and decrease)?
Well you'd have to look at buoy data before you could accurately determine what changes have occurred with average wave height.

It does makes sense that the average wave height for a given area does change over time. Large scale ocean oscillations (such as the PDO, AMO, or ENSO) have a large influence on global ocean temperatures and, as a result, also have large complications on the global atmosphere. Since waves are created by winds in the atmosphere, large scale oscillations certainly would have an impact on the average wave height for a location.
Quoting Grothar:


You certainly have had your share of rain this season. We didn't get much at all. Spurious???


Specious???
Quoting Some1Has2BtheRookie:


Specious???


Facetious?
Quoting Grothar:


You certainly have had your share of rain this season. We didn't get much at all. Spurious???

Certainly.
Without going to check, my understanding of 'spurious' is 'information that can be, or indeed may not be correct.
As in your map.
I mean, can we TELL that it is raining anywhere, from that?

Please feel free to correct my use of the word if I am in error.
But know that I will never talk to you again.

:):))
Back at 11-ish.
Quoting Some1Has2BtheRookie:


Specious???


No, just pure serendipity.
Quoting BaltimoreBrian:


Facetious?


Factoid!
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:


No, just pure serendipity.


Purely you jest?
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:


Don’t encourage him Brian. He is an “utter” garconanokin.


Just trying to bring a little geflerkenurkin to the blog when it is a a little slow.
Quoting Some1Has2BtheRookie:


Purely you jest?


Don't call him Purely.
Quoting Grothar:


Just trying to bring a little geflerkenurkin to the blog when it is a a little slow.


If you cannot spell it, just say so.
Quoting Grothar:


Just trying to bring a little geflerkenurkin to the blog when it is a a little slow.

I know you're not prevaricating...
Quoting Grothar:


Don't call him Purely.


Don't worry. I have it on autopilot.
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

I know you're not prevaricating...


No. Grothar is just shy.
Quoting Some1Has2BtheRookie:


Purely you jest?

Surely, purely used preceeding you indicates poor jestation...

Quoting pottery:

Surely, purely used preceeding you indicates poor jestation...



That would be worse than poor gestation?
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Peanut Butter? That's just disguisting.
is this a joke?

Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

and Reese's would be MUCH better off without Peanut butter.
no wayy
Quoting Some1Has2BtheRookie:


That would be worse than poor gestation?

Apparently.
Terminal, from all reports.
Quoting TomTaylor:
is this a joke?

no wayy

You're being a little ambiguous...Could you elaborate on what you mean?
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

I know you're not prevaricating...


Right now I am just gesticulating.
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

You're being a little ambiguous...Could you elaborate on what you mean?

Someone here is being ambiguous???
Quoting Grothar:


Right now I am just gesticulating.

Family Blog....
Quoting pottery:

Someone here is being ambiguous???

Yes, was I not specific enough?

Soyuz Booster Rocket
JSC2011-E-209247(10 Nov. 2011)---The first stage engines of the Soyuz booster rocket are visible as engineers mated the rocket with the Soyuz TMA-22 spacecraft at the Baikonur Cosmodrome in Kazakhstan Nov. 10, 2011. Preparations continue for the Nov. 14 launch from Baikonur to the International Space Station with Expedition 30 Commander Dan Burbank of NASA, Soyuz Commander Anton Shkaplerov and Flight Engineer Anatoly Ivanishin aboard. Photo credit: NASA/Victor Zelentsov


New Crew Members Set for Launch to Station

A new trio of International Space Station residents, Expedition 29 Flight Engineers Dan Burbank, Anton Shkaplerov and Anatoly Ivanishin, are set to launch from the Baikonur Cosmodrome in Kazakhstan at 11:14 p.m. EST Sunday (11:14 a.m. Baikonur time Monday) aboard the Soyuz TMA-22 spacecraft.

In preparation for Sunday’s launch, the Soyuz TMA-22 spacecraft is scheduled to roll out to the launch pad Friday morning. The rollout will not be seen live on NASA TV. Video of the rollout will be played on NASA TV at 12 p.m. Friday. Photos of the rollout will be posted on http://www.flickr.com/photos/nasahqphoto/ when they become available.

Burbank, Shkaplerov and Ivanishin will join Expedition 29 crewmates Commander Mike Fossum and Flight Engineers Satoshi Furukawa and Sergei Volkov when their spacecraft docks to the Poisk mini-research module at 12:33 a.m. Wednesday.

Five days later Expedition 29 will end when Fossum, Furukawa and Volkov return home inside the Soyuz TMA-02M spacecraft. The trio is scheduled to undock from the Rassvet mini-research module Nov. 21 and land in Kazakhstan at 9:25 p.m. Expedition 30 will officially begin when the Soyuz TMA-02M undocks. Burbank will take over station command in a ceremony scheduled to take place on Nov. 20.

Aboard the orbiting International Space Station Thursday, Fossum, Furukawa and Volkov continued preparations for their upcoming departure, gathering and packing gear for return to Earth inside the departing Soyuz spacecraft. They also performed a series of leak checks on their Sokol launch and entry suits.

Fossum had some time set aside to conduct experiments, including the Binary Colloidal Alloy Test experiment. The current version of the ongoing study, called BCAT-6, may help manufacturers design new leading edge materials with molecular precision at the nanoscale.

Fossum also joined Furukawa for Ultrasound 2 operations as part of the Integrated Cardiovascular experiment. That study measures the decrease in a crew member’s heart size during long duration microgravity missions.

Volkov replaced some filters that are part of the carbon dioxide scrubbing unit in the Russian segment.
Thanks for the laffs.
I'm Gone>>>>>>>>>

heheheheh
This blog page made me use a dictionary...
Quoting WeatherNerdPR:

LOL Just had to do this xD
Lee wasn't very nice with you.
Even better




Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

You're being a little ambiguous...Could you elaborate on what you mean?
you need peanut butter.

is that better?
Quoting pottery:

Apparently.
Terminal, from all reports.


I did give birth to a new thought but, I do believe it was premature.
Guess I killed the blog. dang
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:


Doing good. I see Grothar is back causing trouble.


Haha yes he is. There's a rumor that Canes might come back too.
Quoting TomTaylor:
you need peanut butter.

is that better?

Need? No...I don't need Peanut Butter.

However, Peanut Butter NEEDS to disappear from the world.
Quoting TomTaylor:
Guess I killed the blog. dang


Uh, no. Apparently that is my job. I put the blog to sleep at night.
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Need? No...I don't need Peanut Butter.

However, Peanut Butter NEEDS to disappear from the world.


Why do you say that?
Quoting ClaySFL:


Haha yes he is. There's a rumor that Canes might come back too.


Good to hear. Canes is cool.
killed it again, dang i'm good. If people are offended by that vid I'll take it down. If you've ever seen Step Brothers though, you'll know it's one of the funniest movies. ever
Quoting TomTaylor:




excuse the language lol

LOL, no.

Quoting ClaySFL:


Why do you say that?

because its nasty and icky, and yuck. :P
Quoting washingtonian115:
Oh no.A bunch of men are on.That could only means alot of testosterone.And that leads to toolism,.


Good evening Washatonian115. Did you perhaps mean foolism? ;-)
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:


Peanut butter gave us Mr. Ed!



That is very true but, you will never hear Mr. Ed speak of it.
Quoting Some1Has2BtheRookie:


Good evening Washatonian115. Did you perhaps mean foolism? ;-)


I resemble that remark.
Quoting TomTaylor:




excuse the language lol


lmfao
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:


Good to hear. Canes is cool.


He's very cool. Got to hear a few things from him this weekend.
Quoting Some1Has2BtheRookie:


Good evening Washatonian115. Did you perhaps mean foolism? ;-)
Nah.Lol.When a bunch of men get around each other they start...acting weird.And then they start acting like tools.
Quoting ClaySFL:


He's very cool. Got to hear a few things from him this weekend.


Glad he is doing okay. Maybe some others who defected will return now that the season is winding down, and hopefully admin is loosening up for the sake of the blog.
Quoting washingtonian115:
Nah.Lol.When a bunch of men get around each other they start...acting weird.And then they start acting like tools.



"Act" would be suggestive. Are you certain it would be an act?
Quoting Some1Has2BtheRookie:



"Act" would be suggestive. Are you certain it would be an act?
I guess all men have a tool in them somewhere deep down that doesn't come out often than more often.I'm not a man.So I really don't know how you guys really function.I do notice however that men like to mark their territory.
Quoting washingtonian115:
I guess all men have a tool in them somewhere deep down that doesn't come out often than more often.I'm not a man.So I really don't know how you guys really function.I do notice however that men like to mark their territory.


The power of suggestion. Be back in a minute.
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

You're being a little ambiguous...Could you elaborate on what you mean?


Have I increased your vocabulary? My charisma is constantly radiating, after all.
Quoting washingtonian115:
I guess all men have a tool in them somewhere deep down that doesn't come out often than more often.I'm not a man.So I really don't know how you guys really function.I do notice however that men like to mark their territory.


Ah, yes but, a real man never forgets where their territory ends and gives way to the lady.
Quoting KoritheMan:


Have I increased your vocabulary? My charisma is constantly radiating, after all.


That is really Supercalifragilisticexpialidocious.
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

LOL, no.


because its nasty and icky, and yuck. :P


What you may not like, others do, so don't mess it up for the ones who do and don't worry about it. Food for thought.
Quoting KoritheMan:


Have I increased your vocabulary? My charisma is constantly radiating, after all.


You're glowing? ------->Exit! Stage right! ;-)
Looks like a fun blog tonight, how is everyone?
Quoting ClaySFL:


What you may not like, others do, so don't mess it up for the ones who do and don't worry about it. Food for thought.

Not sure if you did that on purpose or not, but..lol.
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:


Glad he is doing okay. Maybe some others who defected will return now that the season is winding down, and hopefully admin is loosening up for the sake of the blog.


Hopefully. Most of them deserve to come back.
Quoting KoritheMan:


Have I increased your vocabulary? My charisma is constantly radiating, after all.


You should probably check the radiation levels in your home then.
Quoting Some1Has2BtheRookie:


Ah, yes but, a real man never forgets where their territory ends and gives way to the lady.
I will never fully understand men.But when it comes to a women men can get a little crazy.
Quoting KoritheMan:


Have I increased your vocabulary? My charisma is constantly radiating, after all.

Yes; your choice of words each night has blatantly enhanced my vocabulary.
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Not sure if you did that on purpose or not, but..lol.


Did not notice the pun until now haha
Quoting VAbeachhurricanes:


You should probably check the radiation levels in your home then.
.
Quoting VAbeachhurricanes:
Looks like a fun blog tonight, how is everyone?
Good,Good.And you?
Quoting Some1Has2BtheRookie:


You're glowing? ------->Exit! Stage right! ;-)


Quoting washingtonian115:
. Good,Good.And you?


Good as well, getting chilly up in DC?
Quoting VAbeachhurricanes:


You should probably check the radiation levels in your home then.


Nah. If anything, I should check the radiation levels in myself. Who knows, maybe I'm a mutant.
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Yes; your choice of words each night has blatantly enhanced my vocabulary.


I'll give you a cookie if you aren't looking these up. It definitely wouldn't be impossible to do.
Quoting KoritheMan:


I'll give you a cookie if you aren't looking these up. It definitely wouldn't be impossible to do.

Nah, these are middle school words.

Now give me my cookie! :P
Quoting Some1Has2BtheRookie:


Ah, yes but, a real man never forgets where their territory ends and gives way to the lady.


Real men know how to treat a lady. When the lady sees that a man that she's dating is a real man, she will be very happy.
Quoting VAbeachhurricanes:


Good as well, getting chilly up in DC?
It's cool.But nothing like freezing cold.We can take it!.However a warm November often leads to a cold December.And that's when I think we'll really start to see the cold coming.
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Nah, these are middle school words.

Now give me my cookie! :P


Well I didn't know them at your age. >_>
Quoting ClaySFL:


Real men know how to treat a lady. When the lady sees that a man that she's dating is a real man, she will be very happy.
And that's what I saw in my husband when I first met him.He was different from the other guys(will not get into that discussion).
im tired. i dont want hurricane season to end lol
NASA TV for tonight's Manned Launch

5-6 inches snow on the ground and falling at the Launch Area
Watch live streaming video from spaceflightnow at livestream.com
im still hopin for a T storm this month :D
slow tonight, the 1 night im bored
F5....F5......F5.....lol
---
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
Those of you who follow me....you know who this is for...Enjoy it! A blast from the past.





I definitely know who that is for.

Quoting VAbeachhurricanes:


LOL
Now you see there's more to me than weather.
Looks like there was a good outbreak of silliness :)

Quoting BaltimoreBrian:
Looks like there was a good outbreak of silliness :)
:D

How are you?
Quoting BaltimoreBrian:
Looks like there was a good outbreak of silliness :)


Not from me.
I'm good, up for a little bit and seeing what's going on.
Quoting BaltimoreBrian:
Looks like there was a good outbreak of silliness :)


It gets like this sometimes. I stay off the blog until they are done. I don't know where it comes from.
There's a youtube vid that ends with "Stop that! Silly! (and a bit suspect I think.)" Don't dare post it though.
Another bit of energy coming off the Carolinas.

Quoting Grothar:
Another bit of energy coming off the Carolinas.



Could be heading towards the Caymans...IMO.
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
Here is what I use to do for a living, announcing Greyhound races. This race was seen and heard by more people, till this day, than any other in the sports history.



Is that really your voice?
Odd. No precip.

Quoting GeoffreyWPB:


Could be heading towards the Caymans...IMO.


I see you corrected your spelling before I could post it.
Quoting Grothar:


Is that really your voice?


Yes!
Quoting BaltimoreBrian:
Odd. No precip.



Here is another shot.





Soyuz TMA-22 with the Expedition 29 Crew aboard now successfully inserted into Earth Orbit.
Quoting Patrap:



Soyuz TMA-22 with the Expedition 29 Crew aboard now successfully inserted into Earth Orbit.


I watched the liftoff.
Was a Snow Launch fer sure.
Guess who's back?
Quoting caneswatch:
Guess who's back?


Welcome back!
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:


Welcome back!


Thanks Geoff! I sure hope Clay didn't tell you everything that's happened haha
Quoting caneswatch:


Thanks Geoff! I sure hope Clay didn't tell you everything that's happened haha


Good to see the old crew is getting back together for the winter season.
Hey Pat,
Thanks for the info on the Soyuz TMM #29 Expo. status.
By the way have you seen Skyepony on the blog lately?
I saw this on RSOE EDIS website and would be interested in your input as well as Skys on this storm in the Bering Straits...Classified as Cat. 3 on Saffir/Simpson..will post detail link first and homepage link second...take a look if you get a chance..TIA

Link

Link


November 10 detail are as current as I can find at this time...
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:


Good to see the old crew is getting back together for the winter season.


'Tis the season LOL
Quoting BaltimoreBrian:
Odd. No precip.



whys that odd?
Quoting caneswatch:
Guess who's back?


Backstreet is back, alright?
Quoting KoritheMan:

Now you see there's more to me than weather.


It's about time! ;)
Quoting VAbeachhurricanes:


Backstreet is back, alright?


I don't give two you-know-whats about them, but Roger Waters' The Wall show is doing a second go-around. Now that's something worth seeing.
Quoting caneswatch:


Not alright, but I heard Roger Waters' The Wall show is doing a second go-around. Now that's something worth seeing.


Never heard of it.
Quoting caneswatch:


Not alright, but I heard Roger Waters' The Wall show is doing a second go-around. Now that's something worth seeing.


seen that about 10 years back or so..and it was AMAZING
pcola57~ I just got in from camping at Bear Creek Festival in NFL. It was 28ºF Friday night. Saw Trey lastnight.

That storm was going on in the Bearing Sea when I left, Masters did a blog on it. There was some great footage on Youtube. Sounded like a hurricane. Made landfall like 4 days ago.
Quoting VAbeachhurricanes:


whys that odd?


Because the satellite shots look like a mesoscale storm system heading offshore from NC. It's just upper level clouds though.
Quoting VAbeachhurricanes:


Never heard of it.


Are you one of those kids who listens to just rap, pop, or whatever?
I'll be back in 2013. Carry on and be good. And be kind. A good group here. Farewell!
Quoting caneswatch:


Are you one of those kids who listens to just rap, pop, or whatever?


No, ACDC, The Who, Rolling Stones, Kansas.
Quoting BaltimoreBrian:
I'll be back in 2013. Carry on and be good. And be kind. A good group here. Farewell!


um what?!
Quoting NJcat3cane:


seen that about 10 years back or so..and it was AMAZING


My father went last year, and he said it was the best concert he ever went to.
Quoting VAbeachhurricanes:


No, ACDC, The Who, Rolling Stones, Kansas.


And you never heard of Pink Floyd?
Quoting Skyepony:
pcola57~ I just got in from camping at Bear Creek Festival in NFL. It was 28%uFFFDF Friday night. Saw Trey lastnight.

That storm was going on in the Bearing Sea when I left, Masters did a blog on it. There was some great footage on Youtube. Sounded like a hurricane. Made landfall like 4 days ago.


I've been ill but try to catch up...can't really write well at this time...I bet you had a tremdous time(28F is chilly!!)(Trey moving at 29,000mph/487.3per sec is a wow factor...takes special equip to view that) at the festival.I've never been but want to go sometime soon.I will look up Dr. Masters Archives and U-tube vids..GB and thanks to you...If I can't respond tonight again please understand..TIA
Quoting caneswatch:


And you never heard of Pink Floyd?


I have, I don't like them. Every song sounds the same.
Quoting VAbeachhurricanes:


I have, I don't like them. Every song sounds the same.


I'm going to pretend I didn't hear that, and probably many others will do the same.
Quoting caneswatch:


I'm going to pretend I didn't hear that, and probably many others will do the same.


There are a lot of bands better than pink floyd
Quoting VAbeachhurricanes:


There are a lot of bands better than pink floyd


The same statement as I said in post 643 applies here.
Weather news looks pretty slow..

Invest near Fiji is causing flooding.

Some findings on rogue wave triggers.

An ongoing EPA investigation of possible contamination from hydrofracking in Wyoming has found significant amounts of cancer-causing fracking chemicals in a freshwater aquifer in that state.

I'm surprised, Keystone pipeline might not be going through after all.

GeoffreyWPB~ I was a Greyhound racing announcer among other things at two FL tracks. The first female Greyhound track announcer in the state from what I was told. I may go back someday..
Quoting Skyepony:
Weather news looks pretty slow..

Invest near Fiji is causing flooding.


.

Fiji met has this forecast for 95P

Tuesday 15th November
TD01F is expected to lie within the shaded region near Fiji. The potential for TD01F to develop in to a tropical cyclone is low.

Wednesday 16th November
TD01F is expected to lie within the shaded region near Fiji. The potential for TD01F to develop in to a tropical cyclone is moderate.

Thursday 17th November
TD01F is expected to lie within the shaded region near Tonga. The potential for TD01F to develop in to a tropical cyclone is moderate.





pcola~ Felt like 29,000mph..no special equipment was needed but many in attendance used regardless..we may be thinking of different Treys..this is the typical highlight I experienced. Feel better. Kinda catching up here too.

The three invests aren't very impressive. Indian ocean one (97B) has near no chance.
#597 Rickrolled on the Wunderblog! Now I've seen it all. :)
Quoting VAbeachhurricanes:


I have, I don't like them. Every song sounds the same.
You're right. They don't have the diversity of Justin Bieber.
Fiji Meteorological Services
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 01F
18:00 PM FST November 14 2011
======================================

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Disturbance 01 (1005 hPa) analyzed at 14.5S 176.0E is reported as moving south southeast at 5 knots. Position poor based on multisatellite visible with animation and surface observations. Sea surface temperature is around 29C.

Organization has not improved much in the last 24 hours. Convection has increased and remains persistent in the last 24 hours. Cyclonic circulation extends from surface up to 500 HPA. Disturbance 01F lies under a 250 HPA diffluent region along a surface trough in a low to moderate sheared environment.

Most model have picked the system and slowly moves it south southeast with slight intensification.

The potential for this disturbance to form into a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24-48 hours remains low.
Just thought I'd say a quick hello, but no one here this early. Looks like big storms for us tomorrow. Everyone have a great Monday!
Cold front has past through Sydney in the last hour. Temps have dropped 10C since it's passing. Was 31C at 21:50 and not 21C at 22:50.


Loop
Cold front is now passing Lake Macquarie on it's way to Newcastle.
Morning Wunderworld, its 0653 hrs in Macon, Georgia, 47*F, 97% Humidity, winds calm, clear sky, visibility 10 miles, high today in the mid 70's.

French Roast Coffee with sugar and cream and Cinnamon Rolls and Apple Friters are on the side board. Breakfast will be served promptly at 0800 hrs.

Bacon, sausage patties, country ham, eggs to order and western omelettes, cheese grits and real oatmeal with brown sugar and cream, home fries with onions, blueberry pancakes and Belgian waffles with real butter and maple syrup, and for the kids, Frosted Flakes with chocolate milk.

Don't laugh. And don't knock it if you've never tried it. Works like a charm on my Grandkids. Pure energy food. Wires them right up. After breakfast have them go out and rotate the tires on your car and polish the chrome on the Harley. When they are done with that, fire up the John Deere lawn tractor and let one of them cut the grass and give the other one the weed wacker.

Just make sure the one with the weed wacker doesn't go anywhere near Grandma's flower gardens.

I'm still getting flack over that little mistake. It looked like a weed to me. :)
I just found one of my baby pictures. Damn I was cute!

Quoting BaltimoreBrian:
I'll be back in 2013. Carry on and be good. And be kind. A good group here. Farewell!


Take care Brian and thank you.
biggest wave? maybe tallest yes but jaws during a maxing swell is number 1
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
240 AM EST MON NOV 14 2011


.DISCUSSION...

...PATCHY DENSE FOG POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT...

TODAY/TONIGHT...MID/UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRES RIDGE WILL BUILD EWD
ACROSS FL AND THE ADJACENT ATLANTIC OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SURFACE
/LOW LEVEL RIDGE AXES WILL REMAIN ACROSS NORTH FL WITH LIGHT EAST TO
ESE FLOW OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA. GLOBAL AND MESOSCALE MODEL GUIDANCE
INDICATE MOISTURE FROM A WEAK INVERTED TROUGH WILL MOVE WEST AND NW
FROM THE BAHAMAS UP ACROSS SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA FROM LATE
THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. WHILE THIS WILL PRIMARILY OCCUR TOO
LATE TO IMPACT (INCREASE) RAIN CHANCES...IT WILL MAKE CONDITIONS
FAVORABLE FOR FOG/STRATUS FORMATION AREAWIDE TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY
FROM MIDNIGHT ONWARD. CURRENT FORECAST ALREADY ADDRESSES THIS WELL.
OTHERWISE SUNSHINE WILL GIVE WAY TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH WARM
TEMPS...L80S FOR MAXES AND M-U60S FOR MINS.

TUE-WED...SURFACE RIDGE ACROSS THE NORTH-CENTRAL PENINSULA WILL
WEAKEN AND SLIDE SOUTHWARD TO ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PENINSULA WITH THE
APPROACH OF A COOL FRONTAL BOUNDARY. LOW-LEVEL SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL
RESPOND BY VEERING AROUND TO THE SOUTHWEST BY LATE IN THIS PERIOD.
DEEP LAYER MOISTURE VALUES WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE AND POOL
NORTHWARD AHEAD AND ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. DUE TO THIS WILL
KEEP INHERITED GRIDS OF SMALL THREAT 15 TO 20 PERCENT FOR LIGHT
PRECIPITATION DURING THIS TIME.

CLIMO HIGH TEMPERATURES RUN IN THE MIDDLE/UPPER 70S FOR THIS TIME OF
YEAR. WARMER SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING FRONT WILL
ALLOW AFTERNOON MAXES TO REACH THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 80S. WILL HAVE TO
MONITOR FUTURE MODEL RUNS AS RECORDS HIGHS ARE IN THE UPPER 80S SO
WE WILL AT LEAST BE CLOSE EACH AFTERNOON. WITH DEWPOINT VALUES
APPROACHING THE UPPER 60S/LOWER 70S EXPECT OVERNIGHT LOWS TO REMAIN
MILD IN THE MID/UPPER 60S...EXCEPT LOWER 70S POSSIBLE ALONG THE
SPACE AND TREASURE COASTS.
CLIMO LOW TEMPERATURES FOR THIS TIME OF
YEAR RUN IN THE 50S. ITS POSSIBLE THAT RECORD WARM LOWS MAY ALSO BE
IN JEOPARDY OF FALLING.

THU-SUN...FRONTAL PASSAGE SEEMS TARGETED FOR THU AFTERNOON/EVENING
ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. WILL GO WITH CHANCE POPS (30 TO 40
PERCENT) KMLB-KISM NORTHWARD DURING THE DAY AND 20 PERCENT FURTHER
SOUTH. BEHIND THE FRONT A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE QUICKLY BUILDS
TOWARD THE EASTERN CONUS. A WIND SURGE WILL FOLLOW WITH GUSTY
NORTHEASTERLY WINDS BUILDING SOUTH ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS FOR THU
OVERNIGHT INTO FRI. UPPER LEVEL ENERGY RACES QUICKLY NORTHEASTWARD
AS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY DISSIPATES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PENINSULA.
SOME LINGERING MOISTURE WILL KEEP POPS AT OR BELOW 20 PERCENT FOR A
FEW PERIODS INTO THE EXTENDED. HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN FIXATED
ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC STATES AND WESTERN ATLANTIC THROUGH THE
WEEKEND WITH ONSHORE FLOW EXPECTED ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

THERE WILL BE ONE MORE DAY OF ABOVE NORMAL HIGHS/LOWS ON THU AHEAD
OF THE FRONT. COOLER AND DRIER AIR BEHIND THIS BOUNDARY WILL BE
MARGINAL WITH HIGHS/LOWS CLOSER TOWARD CLIMO ON FRI BUT THEN
INCREASING AGAIN INTO THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S FOR THE WEEKEND.
ABOVE NORMAL LOWS ALSO RETURN AND WILL BE MAINLY IN THE 60S...EXCEPT
NEAR 70 DEGREES ALONG THE SPACE AND TREASURE COASTS.
The heat is on here in FL!
Tammy maybe on the way over the next week!

I know long ways out but this is consistant with the upward spike in the MJO.

This could be the seed here in the Southern Caribbean. Suspect this area maybe highlighted over the coming days.

Quoting StormTracker2K:
Tammy maybe on the way over the next week!


I don't know about Tammy (Atlantic), but it is highly likely we will see Kenneth develop in a few days time (Eastern Pacific).

00Z CMC @ 144 hours:



00Z ECMWF @ 144 hours:



06Z GFS @ 144 hours:



00Z NOGAPS @ 144 hours:

Boy that is one strong ridge basically blocking any cold air from coming east and south.

I leave you guys this morning with this image depicting the current situation.

Quoting StormTracker2K:
This could be the seed here in the Southern Caribbean. Suspect this area maybe highlighted over the coming days.



Reminds me of pre-Rina in the cloud appearance, but there is no way that it will be anything like her in track or intensity
Quoting WxGeekVA:


Reminds me of pre-Rina in the cloud appearance, but there is no way that it will be anything like her in track or intensity


The SST in the Caribbean are very warm only problem is that dry air to it's north but the models are forecasting this to erode so well see. I wouldn't be surprised if were tracking a hurricane in the Caribbean come Thanksgiving weekend as this could be a slow mover.
In the 70s for lows this morning so is it July or August or is it still November, too darn warm for this time of year, bring on the Cold Weather Please. Have a great day!
There's that blob in the Caribbean I was talking about late last week. It's waited too long I think, to have any sort of chance, atleast in the Atlantic.. May make for another in the EPac.
Quoting StormTracker2K:
Boy that is one strong ridge basically blocking any cold air from coming east and south.



At least the Southeast Ridge will break down by the 22-24th time frame. So I expect a short but sweet shot of chilly air for Thanksgiving.

But don't expect any sustained arctic air in the East until early December or so, when the pattern should shift and be much more favorable by then!

For now this will build the cold and snow up in Canada. The longer the delay, the stronger the onslaught.
Quoting bohonkweatherman:
In the 70s for lows this morning so is it July or August or is it still November, too darn warm for this time of year, bring on the Cold Weather Please. Have a great day!


We may have record highs and record low highs here in C FL as well. Very warm weather pattern setting up for what could be atleast 2 weeks.
Quoting weatherbro:


At least the Southeast Ridge will break down by the 22-24th time frame. So I expect a short but sweet shot of chilly air for Thanksgiving.

But don't expect any sustained arctic air in the East until early December or so, when the pattern should shift and be much more favorable by then!


I hope your right but that doesn't appear to be the case but who knows that can change.


Tammy and Kenneth