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Paloma dies; Cayman Brac and Cuba hard-hit

By: Dr. Jeff Masters, 3:18 PM GMT on November 10, 2008

Hurricane Paloma has died, torn apart by high wind shear and passage over the rugged terrain of Cuba. The remains of Paloma can still be seen in satellite imagery, spinning over central Cuba, but with wind shear a hefty 50 knots, there is no chance of Paloma regenerating into a tropical storm. Elsewhere in the Atlantic, there are no threat areas to discuss, and none of the reliable computer models are forecasting tropical storm development over the next seven days. With wind shear expected to rise over the Caribbean later this week, and continue to remain at high levels until late November, it is likely that the Atlantic hurricane season of 2008 is finally over. It is possible we could get one more weak tropical storm out in the middle Atlantic, forming from an extratropical storm that gets cut off from the jet stream. Such storms are usually only a threat to shipping, and rarely affect land areas, though.

Paloma's impact on the Cayman Islands
Paloma roared through the Cayman Islands Friday night and Saturday morning as a Category 4 hurricane with 140 mph winds, brushing Grand Cayman Island, but pounding the "Sister Islands" to the northeast--Little Cayman and Cayman Brac--with its northern eyewall. The hardest-hit Cayman island was Cayman Brac, population 2,000, which was the only Cayman island to receive a direct hit from Paloma. Damage on Cayman Brac was very heavy, with over 90% of all the buildings damaged. However, the Cayman Compass reports that relief efforts are progressing swiftly. The airport has reopened, most of the roads have been cleared, and both gas stations on the island have re-opened. One person on the island sustained injuries requiring hospitalization. Paloma was the worst hurricane to hit the island since the deadly 1932 hurricane that flattened Cayman Brac, killing 69 people. Ironically, both hurricanes occurred on November 8.


Figure 1. Damage on Cayman Brac from Hurricane Paloma. Image credit: Glenda Davidowski.

Paloma's impact on Cuba
Paloma smashed into Cuba near Santa Cruz del Sur as a Category 3 hurricane with 120-125 mph winds. The hurricane destroyed at least 435 buildings in the city, and damaged 4,000 more. The hurricane's storm surge, estimated at over 20 feet, penetrated as far as a mile inland. However, no deaths have been reported in Cuba from Paloma, thanks to the evacuation of over 1.2 million people from vulnerable areas. The last major hurricane to hit Santa Cruz del Sur, the infamous Category 4 November 1932 hurricane, completely inundated the city with its storm surge, killing over 3,000 people. Paloma was the third major hurricane to hit Cuba this year, the first time that nation has received three major hurricane strikes. The other two major hurricanes, Gustav and Ike, did a combined $9.4 billion in damage to Cuba, destroying about 1/3 of the nation's crops. Paloma weakened so rapidly that its damage will be far less than Gustav's and Ike's. Seven Cubans died in Ike, and none in Gustav. The fact that only seven deaths occurred from the three major hurricane that hit Cuba this year is a testament to the success of their remarkable hurricane civil defense efforts. Some 4.4 million people had to be evacuated for the three hurricanes, 2.8 million of these because of Ike. Ike and Gustav destroyed 63,000 homes and damaged 440,000 more, and every province of Cuba reported hurricane damage. According to the official Granma newspaper, "the economic, social, and housing situation of the country has been devastated as never before in its history" due to Gustav and Ike.


Figure 1. Map of the hurricanes that have affected Cuba this year. Image credit: ReliefWeb.

Support the Portlight Christmas for Gulf Coast Kids Honor Walk
The Portlight.org charity is sponsoring a new nationwide grassroots event to raise funds for and awareness of their ongoing efforts, specifically to provide Christmas presents (and maybe a big party) for kids and families in the Gulf Coast areas devastated by Hurricane Ike. They need 100 people across the country to commit to walking one mile on November 22, and to raise at least $300.00 in sponsorship from friends, family, co-workers, neighbors, etc. Participants can choose where they want to walk--the local park, the mall, anywhere. Please support this worthwhile effort!

I'll have an update Tuesday.

Jeff Masters

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

Reader Comments

Thanks Doc! ^_^
Hurricane Paloma Eyewall Video

poor poor Cuba


i hop that was the last hurricane for Cuba
Repost:


(NOT) Nice to see I have this coming towards my area

Link

could anything come from it???
thanks dr masters
Thank You for the update Dr. Masters
Quoting Dr. M:

Seven Cubans died in Ike, and none in Gustav. The fact that only seven deaths occurred from the three major hurricane that hit Cuba this year is a testament to the success of their remarkable hurricane civil defense efforts.

Me:

We need that here... Y don't we have a civil defense plan like theirs?
Quoting Dr. M:

Elsewhere in the Atlantic, there are no threat areas to discuss, and none of the reliable computer models are forecasting tropical storm development over the next seven days. With wind shear expected to rise over the Caribbean later this week, and continue to remain at high levels until late November, it is likely that the Atlantic hurricane season of 2008 is finally over. It is possible we could get one more weak tropical storm out in the middle Atlantic, forming from an extratropical storm that gets cut off from the jet stream. Such storms are usually only a threat to shipping, and rarely affect land areas, though.

Me:

Sounds like great news to me... we'll take it ^_^
4. Hurricane4Lex

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0903 AM CST MON NOV 10 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...MIDDLE TX COAST

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 101503Z - 101600Z

ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS AND/OR A BRIEF INLAND TORNADO ARE POSSIBLE
THROUGH THE MORNING IN THE VICINITY OF THE MIDDLE TX COAST.

REGIONAL RADARS COMBINED WITH SURFACE/12Z UPPER AIR ANALYSES
INDICATED TSTMS CONTINUING TO DEVELOP ALONG A ZONE OF LOW LEVEL
CONFLUENCE WHICH EXTENDED SSEWD FROM JACKSON/CALHOUN COUNTIES TX AND
INTO THE WRN GULF OF MEXICO. THIS BOUNDARY AT THE SURFACE IS
ANALYZED AS A WARM FRONT MOVING SLOWLY NEWD. STRONGEST STORMS...AT
MID MORNING...REMAINED OFFSHORE WITH PERSISTENT LOW LEVEL ROTATION
ATTENDANT TO THE STORM LOCATED 45 SSE PSX AND IN VICINITY OF THE
WARM FRONT. CLOUDINESS/PRECIPITATION ALONG AND E/NE OF THIS FRONT
WILL LIMIT SURFACE HEATING. GREATER DESTABILIZATION SHOULD OCCUR W
OF THE FRONT WHERE SURFACE HEATING IS EXPECTED. SSELY LOW LEVEL
WINDS AT 35-40 KT BENEATH WLY MID LEVEL WINDS AT 40 KT ARE
SUPPORTING A KINEMATIC ENVIRONMENT FOR ORGANIZED STORMS...WHILE LOW
LEVEL CURVED HODOGRAPHS SUGGEST POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES.

TSTMS SHOULD CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ALONG THE WARM FRONT...WITH A
LIMITED AREAL COVERAGE FOR POTENTIAL INLAND SEVERE WEATHER THREAT AS
THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR STORMS TO MAINTAIN A SURFACE BASED
POTENTIAL SHOULD OCCUR ALONG THE FRONT
.


yes there can be something coming out of those cells. also the whole of Texas later on taoday and tonight needs to be warry, threat for tornados is up and already saying might be some bad ones
Re to post 9:

oh jeez better take some of my stuff in the garage then
7. Hurricane4Lex
We need that here... Y don't we have a civil defense plan like theirs?


Called buracracy.. just look at texas now after Ike and look at the upper gulf coast after Katrina.

It really is a shame that as one of the greatest powers in the world we have our head up our ass when it comes to natural/manmade desasters.
Complete Blog Refresh
Mirror Site (New Format)
here's the Regional on the Texas coastline

Link
Quoting Bonedog:
7. Hurricane4Lex
We need that here... Y don't we have a civil defense plan like theirs?


Called buracracy.. just look at texas now after Ike and look at the upper gulf coast after Katrina.

It really is a shame that as one of the greatest powers in the world we have our head up our ass when it comes to natural/manmade desasters.


so tru

I live near Houston and I go to the coast and bay from time to time plus in the summer I took the I-10 to go back to S. Florida

NO,LA is not a pretty sight
definatly seeing some spins on velocity scans way out there in the Gulf. Might see a waterspout warning soon.

Me:

We need that here... Y don't we have a civil defense plan like theirs?


We have great warning systems here. If a person doesn't know a hurricane (also tornado or blizzard) is coming then they probably watch no news or listen to radio or get on internet. The main difference between us and them, they are forced to move and we are not, even if mandatory, i.e. communism vs. freedom to choose.
Quoting Bonedog:
7. Hurricane4Lex
We need that here... Y don't we have a civil defense plan like theirs?


Called buracracy.. just look at texas now after Ike and look at the upper gulf coast after Katrina.

It really is a shame that as one of the greatest powers in the world we have our head up our ass when it comes to natural/manmade desasters.


Its simple, in Cuba when they say evacuate... you evacuate. In the US, they say evacuate, and people don't because they have the "freedom" to tell the Gov to stick it.

Then you spend the next few years feeding and sheltering them, and they complain that you were not there to rescue them 2 hours after the eye passed.



Quoting PcolaDan:


We have great warning systems here. If a person doesn't know a hurricane (also tornado or blizzard) is coming then they probably watch no news or listen to radio or get on internet. The main difference between us and them, they are forced to move and we are not, even if mandatory, i.e. communism vs. freedom to choose.


I'm all for freedom and free choices (except abortion)

but call me Red

because I'd rather be Red when it's hurricane season (or any other life endangering threat)
What an amazing tropical season for Haiti and Cuba,its crazy how a storm track sets up and stays that way for most of the season.
Today is gonna be a long day

Link

(Regional Composite Nexrad for TX coast)
Quoting Orcasystems:


Its simple, in Cuba when they say evacuate... you evacuate. In the US, they say evacuate, and people don't because they have the "freedom" to tell the Gov to stick it.

Then you spend the next few years feeding and sheltering them, and they complain that you were not there to rescue them 2 hours after the eye passed.





Sad and stupid isn't it?
Quoting NEwxguy:
What an amazing tropical season for Haiti and Cuba,its crazy how a storm track sets up and stays that way for most of the season.


3 majors to cuba is crazy but haiti didn't surprise me when it came to deforestation

at least no majors hit Haiti
there would have been absolutely noone there
This was a very interesting season. Now that Dr. Masters said it's over I'm sure many are breathing sighs of relief.

I'm curious to know how many records were broken this year and what they were exactly. I also wanted to know if this season has the record for the most records made. Please WU mail me if you have a answer to these question. Thanks.
Quoting Hurricane4Lex:


Sad and stupid isn't it?


I would have to agree with you on that one.
I just wanted to say thank you to Dr Masters and all the extremely intelligent people on this site. It seems like another hurricane season is over and, although I was a pretty infrequent poster, I was a very frequent observer. I learned many things and look forward to coming here for my hurricane information next season.
I'm wondering this? (forgot this)

what if a storm develops (hope just a fish) on Dec and goes thru Jan

would that count on this season?

also what if anything develops (hope just a fish) after Jan 1

does it go to the next season?

(I know there are alot of what ifs LOL but im just curious)
founds some pig ears on surfline. short video of the day at shipstern bluff tazamania surfers risking it all. http://www.surfline.com/video/video_player/video_player.cfm?id=20305
Quoting leftovers:
founds some pig ears on surfline. short video of the day at shipstern bluff tazamania surfers risking it all. http://www.surfline.com/video/video_player/video_player.cfm?id=20305


what the???
a few records that I know of off hand

first time 6 straight storms formed and made landfall in the conus

smallest storm in the world

5 straight months with majors

Earliest far-East Atlantic storm

Longest lasting July Hurricane

Most landfalls in a particular state, Florida

thats just off hand
30. IKE
From the good doctor....With wind shear expected to rise over the Caribbean later this week, and continue to remain at high levels until late November, it is likely that the Atlantic hurricane season of 2008 is finally over.............

AMEN!
Lex if a storm forms in dec and go to jan then it counts in both seasons

If a storm forms in December and carries into January of the next year it counts in the year it formed...ie Zeta, 2005.



Re to 23 and 29:

all I know is Fay, Marco, and Paloma set records LOL i'm bad at record keeping am I?

PS how many times did Fay hit I think it was 5 but I think I'm wrong
thanks vort i assumed it counted twice thanks for the clarification ;)
Re to 31 and 32:

a little different eh?

anyways what about after Jan 1

PS thanks for your responses ^_^
I had to look it up Bone!
LOL

All storms are added to the totals of the year in which they formed.

SWFL/Gomex Surf Info. Continued "why we live here weather" - surf less then 1ft today. When Paloma's rements/feathers are gone - the deep trough attempts to set-up in the East, hopefully this will put us in a SW flow - then turning NW when the front pushes in ...providing surf opportunity next week - something to hope for --not count on. flat till Friday - gulf 68 Degrees
Quoting surfmom:
SWFL/Gomex Surf Info. Continued "why we live here weather" - surf less then 1ft today. When Paloma's rements/feathers are gone - the deep trough attempts to set-up in the East, hopefully this will put us in a SW flow - then turning NW when the front pushes in ...providing surf opportunity next week - something to hope for --not count on. flat till Friday - gulf 68 Degrees


Hmmm surf weather or snow on the FL panhandle.. which will happen first?
Spouse/boss is back - lots of seatwork - work/lurk mode today.

The shining sun,low humidity & gentle breezes in Ocala, Florida yesterday provided my young buck with all that he needed to ride and play polo like a champ.
Re to 37:

brrrrrr 68 degree waters are cold for me never get in water unless it's 80 degrees or above

then again never wore surf suits just swam in the water with trunks

PS funny how that works cause I'm a cold land person but not a cold water person LOL
P L E A S E .......NO SNOW.... although young buck has never seen the stuff......

Keep your moose breath up north ok?? LOL
Wet suit makes all the difference - HATE to be cold on land or in the water-- Wet suit lets me play unless water temp goes under 58 degrees --
I'm off for today cyallater tomorrow

have fun yall

hope alls well (especially for those who got hit bad by these canes and storms)

Re to 42:

gotta get me one then ^_^
hey surfmom. how did the youngin do over the weekend?
Quoting Bonedog:
hey surfmom. how did the youngin do over the weekend?


He made his trainer PROUD!!! - youngest out there--stood up against a 3goaler who later told me "that kid was a thorn in my side the entire game" My son is a -1 (but considered a ringer as he plays at a 0 or low 1) (in the States that keep the young one as low as possible for as long as possible 16 - so that they grow up mentally & physically first/like a "green horse) The -1 allows for play though. He played his first 8 goal game ( in the past his experience has been mostly 4 goal, once 6 goal) so this was a HUGE step-up with a great deal of pressure. The man he replaced, the Patron was thrilled with him as well. He played brilliantly defensively (which was his job) The speed was intense, and the use of horses to body block, push players off the line etc., was the toughest he ever had to encounter.... they lost by one goal -- but he did his job.
Thanks for asking Bonedog!...was Orca teasing about snow in the panhandle????
Glad to hear surfmom. I knew you were worried.
I think so surfmom, will be a cold shot coming down but dont think snow yet.
Thanks Bone - got to be on Colic Alert - with that front.

back on worklurk - still got the barnwork this afternoon - busy day
Anyone want to trade weather??

Good afternoon...
BRB, called into work
Report from ET Low over Great Britain.

This is the report for an ET low that has just died over us.

The ET low was intense, with several massive squalls. Winds over night reached up to 55mph sustained. This caused bins, cars, roofs and trees to become structually weakened or damaged. A "whirlwind" was reported and hit several gardens shifting furniture. In the North of Scotland on the Highlands there was masses of snow. All hell broke loose the next afternoon as further squalls - the last breaths of this ET Low caused flooding and made roads impassable.... it also made the local bus network sprint towards collapse as the buses where having to not accept people on after they picked up near schools.
Quoting Orcasystems:
Anyone want to trade weather??


Wow, that looks like a big storm. I live in S. Ontario, and we could get snowsqualls today. I already saw a few flurries fly by and we could get up to an inch.
56. IKE
Quoting IKE:
From the good doctor....With wind shear expected to rise over the Caribbean later this week, and continue to remain at high levels until late November, it is likely that the Atlantic hurricane season of 2008 is finally over.............

AMEN!



(1)eddye....so much for missing anymore school this year from storms.

(2)This blog will almost die now.
"The fact that only seven deaths occurred from the three major hurricane that hit Cuba this year is a testament to the success of their remarkable hurricane civil defense efforts."

Dr. Masters usually gives credit to Cuba when they are hit, and credit is surely deserved if true. However, am I the only one that wonders how accurate those death toll numbers are? Media is state controlled, much like the rest of the world's dictatorships, and it's a well known fact that many countries hide deaths and injuries in an attempt to put on a display of control and power.

China used to be one of the best examples of this. They've gotten much better over the past 5 years though. I don't really see why Cuba would be as open though.
I agree 100% with you!!

Quoting chilliam:
"The fact that only seven deaths occurred from the three major hurricane that hit Cuba this year is a testament to the success of their remarkable hurricane civil defense efforts."

Dr. Masters usually gives credit to Cuba when they are hit, and credit is surely deserved if true. However, am I the only one that wonders how accurate those death toll numbers are? Media is state controlled, much like the rest of the world's dictatorships, and it's a well known fact that many countries hide deaths and injuries in an attempt to put on a display of control and power.

China used to be one of the best examples of this. They've gotten much better over the past 5 years though. I don't really see why Cuba would be as open though.
Quoting Bonedog:
a few records that I know of off hand

first time 6 straight storms formed and made landfall in the conus

smallest storm in the world

5 straight months with majors

Earliest far-East Atlantic storm

Longest lasting July Hurricane

Most landfalls in a particular state, Florida

thats just off hand


Remember, It's ain't over yet...


MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2361
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1133 AM CST MON NOV 10 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF CENTRAL TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 101733Z - 101830Z

WW WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED BY 18-19Z ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL TX.

LATEST TRENDS IN VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED GREATER CLEARING
OF THE LOW LEVEL STRATUS CLOUDS ALONG AND WEST OF A LINE FROM KINNEY
COUNTY TO SHACKELFORD COUNTY...WHICH ALSO IS THE WRN EXTENT OF
STRONGER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE RETURN. ALTHOUGH CURRENT MID LEVEL
LAPSE RATES ARE MODEST AT BEST /6 C/KM/...ADDITIONAL LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE ADVECTION AND SURFACE HEATING WILL SUPPORT AIR MASS
DESTABILIZATION AS HAS BEEN INDICATED ALONG THE CORRIDOR OF
DISSIPATING CLOUDS /MLCAPE 500-750 J/KG/. REGIONAL RADARS/
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED PERSISTENT UPDRAFTS/CONVECTION WITHIN THIS
SAME ZONE FOR THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS AND IS LIKELY INDICATING LARGE
SCALE ASCENT SPREADING ACROSS THIS REGION AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING
SRN ROCKIES TROUGH. KINEMATICS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS...ONCE
STORMS DEVELOP...AS 70 KT SWLY MID LEVEL JET TRANSLATES EWD ACROSS
CENTRAL TX THIS AFTERNOON ATOP SLY LLJ. LOW LEVEL HODOGRAPH
CURVATURE WILL SUPPORT TORNADOES WITH THE MORE PERSISTENT
SUPERCELLS.

..PETERS.. 11/10/2008

RSMC: India Meteorological Department (New Delphi, India)

Tropical Cyclone Bulletin (0600z 10Nov)
========================================
Convective clouds are seen over parts of Andaman Sea and south Bay of Bengal

  • A low pressure area is likely to form over southeast Bay of Bengal and adjoining areas during next 48 hours. Numerical weather prediction models indicate its west- northwestwards movement and intensification into a depression around 14th.

    Joint Typhoon Warning Center

    Tropical Disturbance Summary (1800z 09NOV)
    =============================================
    An area of convection (91B) located near 9.1N 93.3E or 800 NM east-southeast of Madras, India. Recent animated multispectral satellite imagery shows limited deep convection developing near an elongated low level circulation center also evident in a 1406z TRMM Pass. This disturbance lies slightly equatorward of an upper level ridge axis in an area of low vertical wind shear and favorable westward diffluence.

    Maximum sustained winds near the center is 15-20 knots with a minimum sea level pressure of 1008 MB. Because the low level circulation center is elongated and associated convection is disorganized, the potential for this disturbance to form into a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains POOR.
  • Photobucket

    URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
    TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 929
    NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
    1225 PM CST MON NOV 10 2008

    THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
    TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

    EXTREME SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA
    CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST TEXAS

    EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1225 PM UNTIL
    700 PM CST.

    TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
    GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
    AREAS.

    THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
    MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES NORTHWEST OF WICHITA
    FALLS TEXAS TO 40 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF JUNCTION TEXAS. FOR A
    COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
    UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

    REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
    TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
    AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
    THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
    AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

    DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE BEGINNING TO DEVELOP ACROSS CENTRAL
    TX WHERE LOW-LEVEL MOISTENING AND SURFACE HEATING HAVE ERODED
    CONVECTIVE INHIBITION...AND ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT
    APPEARS LIKELY DURING THE AFTERNOON ALONG THE WARM FRONT AND DRYLINE
    NEAR THE RED RIVER IN NW TX. THOUGH MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE NOT
    PARTICULARLY STEEP AND CLOUDS HAVE LIMITED SURFACE HEATING THUS
    FAR...GRADUAL MOISTENING AND CLOUD BREAKS W OF I-35 SHOULD ALLOW
    SUFFICIENT DESTABILIZATION IN THE WARM SECTOR TO SUPPORT A SEVERE
    STORM THREAT. MLCAPE VALUES OF 500-1500 J/KG AND STRONG
    LOW-LEVEL/DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL SUPPORT SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF
    PRODUCING A FEW TORNADOES...ALONG WITH AT LEAST ISOLATED LARGE HAIL
    AND DAMAGING WINDS.




    TORNADO WATCH PROBABILITIES FOR WT 0929
    NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
    1228 PM CST MON NOV 10 2008

    WT 0929
    PROBABILITY TABLE:
    PROB OF 2 OR MORE TORNADOES : 50%
    PROB OF 1 OR MORE STRONG /F2-F5/ TORNADOES : 20%
    PROB OF 10 OR MORE SEVERE WIND EVENTS : 30%
    PROB OF 1 OR MORE WIND EVENTS >= 65 KNOTS : 20%
    PROB OF 10 OR MORE SEVERE HAIL EVENTS : 40%
    PROB OF 1 OR MORE HAIL EVENTS >= 2 INCHES : 20%
    PROB OF 6 OR MORE COMBINED SEVERE HAIL/WIND EVENTS : 70%

    &&
    ATTRIBUTE TABLE:
    MAX HAIL /INCHES/ : 1.5
    MAX WIND GUSTS SURFACE /KNOTS/ : 60
    MAX TOPS /X 100 FEET/ : 450
    MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR /DEGREES AND KNOTS/ : 25030
    PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION : NO
    Quoting surfmom:
    Thanks Bone - got to be on Colic Alert - with that front.

    back on worklurk - still got the barnwork this afternoon - busy day


    Ocala polo? Horsepark on 475?
    Quoting Bonedog:
    a few records that I know of off hand

    first time 6 straight storms formed and made landfall in the conus

    smallest storm in the world

    5 straight months with majors

    Earliest far-East Atlantic storm

    Longest lasting July Hurricane

    Most landfalls in a particular state, Florida

    thats just off hand


    Others:

    First time 3 majors hit Cuba in one season

    Largest Atlantic hurricane on record (Ike)

    World record for highest measured winds over land at landfall (Gustav)

    Most destructive hurricane on record in Texas (Ike)


    Sure that there are more besides these, then you have all of the near-records like second highest IKE in Ike, third costliest hurricane (second in actual values). Also remember that Ike went from a tropical storm to Cat 4 in 6-12 hours, not sure where that stands though (a lot of other storms this year intensified like that).
    61 - HGW

    WU-Mail
    hope who cares enjoyed the clip of tazmania the leftovers of paloma are still strong enough to produce quick pulses of precip. seems to be just sitting there waiting for a favorable situation. hope everyone is having a great day
    65. RTLSNK 6:43 PM GMT on November 10, 2008

    replied =)
    Forecast for next weekend for SE LA looks like the middle of winter.

    "Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 57. "

    Who am I kidding? 75 for a high is the norm for middle of winter around here.

    Look out tomorrow in the Ike-affected area: SPC day 2. If I remember correctly, the Gulf coast does have a climatological secondary maximum in tornado numbers in November.
    No posts in 45 minutes.

    Does anyone know what the damage estimates are for Paloma?

    Also, what happened to 94L?
    Quoting MichaelSTL:


    Others:

    First time 3 majors hit Cuba in one season

    Largest Atlantic hurricane on record (Ike)

    World record for highest measured winds over land at landfall (Gustav)

    Most destructive hurricane on record in Texas (Ike)


    Sure that there are more besides these, then you have all of the near-records like second highest IKE in Ike, third costliest hurricane (second in actual values). Also remember that Ike went from a tropical storm to Cat 4 in 6-12 hours, not sure where that stands though (a lot of other storms this year intensified like that).

    Highest measured wind at landfall? Is that correct? And if possible what speed was the wind? Thanks in advance.
    Always interesting reading here:


    CARIBBEAN FORECAST DISCUSSION


    73. IKE
    12Z ECMWF shows the cold-air this weekend eventually making it all the way to south Florida and the keys...Link
    Quoting usa777:

    Highest measured wind at landfall? Is that correct? And if possible what speed was the wind? Thanks in advance.


    Here:

    World Record Tropical Cyclone Wind Gust Observed In Gustav as it Hit Cuba
    here's 2008 in a Nutshell

    7th most active Hurricane Season (16 named storms)
    5 Major Hurricanes (Bertha, Gustav, Ike, Omar, Paloma)
    50+ Billion dollars in damage (2nd most destructive Hurricane season ever.)
    200+ Dead in the United States (Ike and Gustav.)
    500+ Dead in Hispaniola (Hanna, Ike, Gustav.)
    Strongest winds ever recorded at a landfall (212 MPH in Gustav.)
    6 US Landfalls, three of them deadly and destructive (Dolly, Gustav, Ike.)
    First hurricane season with 2 storms that move backwards in the Caribbean, E-NE (Omar, Paloma.)
    2nd Strongest November hurricane (Paloma 145 MPH)
    Largest Atlantic Hurricane ever (Ike)
    Smallest Tropical cyclone ever recorded (Marco)

    The 2nd most insane and crazy year of the 2000's. Back in 2007 I would never expected the horror's that this year would unleash.
    i would not be too surprised if the storm makes alittle comback
    THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A

    * TORNADO WARNING FOR...
    NORTH CENTRAL STANTON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST KANSAS.

    * UNTIL 415 PM CST

    * AT 323 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
    TRACKING A CONFIRMED TORNADO 3 MILES NORTHWEST OF JOHNSON CITY...
    MOVING NORTH AT 15 MPH.
    afternoon,all,the way the shear is setting up,don't expect anything to get going in the near future.
    347 PM CST MON NOV 10 2008

    THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A

    * TORNADO WARNING FOR...
    NORTH CENTRAL ERATH COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...
    NORTHWESTERN HOOD COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...

    * UNTIL 415 PM CST

    * AT 347 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
    DEVELOPING TORNADO 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LIPAN..MOVING EAST AT 35
    MPH.

    * THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
    LIPAN BY 355 PM CST...
    OAK TRAIL SHORES BY 410 PM CST...
    Thanks for a great answer to my earlier question. What a year!
    <
    blockquote class='blogquote'>Quoting CybrTeddy:
    here's 2008 in a Nutshell

    7th most active Hurricane Season (16 named storms)
    5 Major Hurricanes (Bertha, Gustav, Ike, Omar, Paloma)
    50+ Billion dollars in damage (2nd most destructive Hurricane season ever.)
    200+ Dead in the United States (Ike and Gustav.)
    500+ Dead in Hispaniola (Hanna, Ike, Gustav.)
    Strongest winds ever recorded at a landfall (212 MPH in Gustav.)
    6 US Landfalls, three of them deadly and destructive (Dolly, Gustav, Ike.)
    First hurricane season with 2 storms that move backwards in the Caribbean, E-NE (Omar, Paloma.)
    2nd Strongest November hurricane (Paloma 145 MPH)
    Largest Atlantic Hurricane ever (Ike)
    Smallest Tropical cyclone ever recorded (Marco)

    The 2nd most insane and crazy year of the 2000's. Back in 2007 I would never expected the horror's that this year would unleash.
    Quoting NEwxguy:
    afternoon,all,the way the shear is setting up,don't expect anything to get going in the near future.


    Except nados...
    Does this season have the record for the most records broken???????
    2008 did produce some of the longest, tallest, and hairest, but just where does the 2008 season fall in relation to other seasons?

    From a trusted source:
    Named storms: 16 (T-4)
    Named storm days: 84.75 (7)
    Hurricanes: 8 (T-11)
    Hurricane days: 29.50 (22)
    Major hurricanes: 5 (T-8)
    Major hurricane days: 8.50 (18)
    Net Tropical Cyclone activity (first six parameters normalized by their 1950-2000 average values): 164 (13)
    Accumulated Cyclone Energy: 141 (15)
    It is interesting to see how much low level circulation is still left in Paloma, looks like it trying a little strengthening on N,Nw quad. but my be opening up on the se quad. Still a lot of thunderstorms firing up but quickly getting sheared.If it stayed around until cold front comes down might create a little more than usual instability for Florida weather. But if se quad. dosent get off Cuba not much to talk about. I believe the doc. is right 2008 R.I.P.
    74. MichaelSTL
    80. wanabwetherman

    Strongest winds ever recorded at a landfall (212 MPH in Gustav.)

    SEE:
    World Tropical Cyclone Records
    http://wmo.asu.edu/#cyclone

    Most Intense - by Maximum Sustained Surface Wind
    Typhoon Nancy in the Northwest Pacific Ocean 12/9/1961
    Surface Wind 95m/s (185 kt, 215 mph)

    CRS
    To me I think storms should be ranked by barometric pressure adjusted for longitude and latitude. While the wind record is very interesting in and of itself.There are way to many explanations for that to be anything more than a curiosity like where was the anemometer located and was it recording a very local event such as a tornado in the storm. Just posting for conversational aspects.
    Quoting wanabwetherman:
    Does this season have the record for the most records broken???????


    I believe that was 2005.
    Quoting CaicosRetiredSailor:
    74. MichaelSTL
    80. wanabwetherman

    Strongest winds ever recorded at a landfall (212 MPH in Gustav.)

    SEE:
    World Tropical Cyclone Records
    http://wmo.asu.edu/#cyclone

    Most Intense - by Maximum Sustained Surface Wind
    Typhoon Nancy in the Northwest Pacific Ocean 12/9/1961
    Surface Wind 95m/s (185 kt, 215 mph)

    CRS


    At landfall and ever measured are not the same things however; the wind report in questing in Gustav was recorded at a surface station over land; i.e. recon, etc doesn't count. Also, it is likely that the winds in Nancy were overestimated which was common back then (consider Ethel the year before in the Atlantic; "supposedly" a Cat 5 with a pressure of 972 mb, also supposedly went from TD to Cat 5 in less than a day and weakened just as fast, even Paloma didn't weaken that fast and it was also over land), also considering that Wilma had a lower pressure but winds were only 185 mph (some think that the highest sustained wind possible in a tropical cyclone is 190 mph, which is also the highest reliably measured wind).

    Also, in 1997, a 236 mph wind gust was recorded in Paka in Guam, but that was found to be faulty (from what I have seen, the 212 mph gust in Gustav has been determined to be accurate and official).
    89. MichaelSTL

    (from what I have seen, the 212 mph gust in Gustav has been determined to be accurate and official)


    Ruling on Marco record could be ‘months’

    By Charles Elmore | Thursday, October 9, 2008, 06:07 PM

    The World Meteorological Organization will need some time to sort out whether Marco is the smallest tropical cyclone on record.

    “Sorry but we won’t be able to tell you whether it will be a new record for a few months,” said Randy Cerveny, a WMO official who enters new records into the group’s database.

    “The process for verifying a new world record is rather involved,” Cerveny said in an email. ” We will create a verification committee of experts around the world to examine the data, discuss the procedures used to collect the data, determine if there were any problems with the way the measurement was taken and so on. Once that committee has reached a concensus\decision, they pass it on to me (I’m the World Meteorological Organization’s ‘rapporteur of weather and climate extremes’ — basically the guy who enters the record into the official database) and I make a final determination as whether it will be a new record or not. Normally that process takes a few months given the workloads of the evaluation committee members.

    For example we are currently setting up a committee to investigate a possible new world record for an observed hurricane wind speed potentially set during hurricane Gustav over Cuba.

    “So, long answer short, we’re much like the NHC — it will take a while before we can verify the record. I’ll be happy to send our findings to you once the committee has meet and reached a decision.

    “Many thanks for your interest and let me know if you have any questions,

    Randy Cerveny”

    Thats my point hurricane hunter in eye should be the measure. People will do or say anything just look at Guinness book of records.And then you got a bunch of clowns like Olympic judges trying to act important and justifying there existence. OOps promised I wouldnt rant.
    Quoting gordydunnot:
    To me I think storms should be ranked by barometric pressure


    um....
    if you click on the link

    you will see that the first two "record entries" are:

    Most Intense - by Central Pressure
    (World and Eastern Hemisphere)
    870mb (25.69" 12/10/1979 Typhoon Tip in the Northwest Pacific Ocean


    (western hemisphere)
    882mb (26.05" 19/10/2005 Hurricane Wilma in Caribbean Sea

    to me... it would appear that the "umpires" tend to think like you do also

    CRS
    The Amazing Hurricane Contest has begun! Check my blog for more details.

    GOES-12 Atmospheric Animations Link

    Click to return to the Earth Scan Laboratory Link
    NOAA Hurricane IKE Base Index Map with Thumbnails Link
    The NE cold blast has begun! Today was the coldest day in about a week!
    Is anybody still here?
    Quoting MichaelSTL:


    Others:

    First time 3 majors hit Cuba in one season

    Largest Atlantic hurricane on record (Ike)

    World record for highest measured winds over land at landfall (Gustav)

    Most destructive hurricane on record in Texas (Ike)


    Sure that there are more besides these, then you have all of the near-records like second highest IKE in Ike, third costliest hurricane (second in actual values). Also remember that Ike went from a tropical storm to Cat 4 in 6-12 hours, not sure where that stands though (a lot of other storms this year intensified like that).

    more others
    First P major hurricane and 1st time the name Paloma was used in a cyclone
    Fay strengthening on land
    Bertha furthest east forming early season TS Hurricane Major hurricane longest lasting early season hurricane and ts
    1st time two consecutive years had pre season storms
    3 simultaneous storms in july
    the coldest the 10-day west palm beach forcast has is 55 one week from this wednesday. High temp. same day 67.
    Wow. Only 100 posts since 10:30 a.m.??? The season must really be winding down . . . lol

    Today, the day when The Bahamas was scheduled to receive a visit from Hurricane (or TS) Paloma was a very nice day, in fact a bit warmer than those last week (Paloma's dying breaths?) We've had some rain this afternoon, mainly squalls of short duration, which I've been attributing to tropical moisture vs. approaching cold front. I'll have to look at the maps to verify that theory.

    Quoting PcolaDan:


    We have great warning systems here. If a person doesn't know a hurricane (also tornado or blizzard) is coming then they probably watch no news or listen to radio or get on internet. The main difference between us and them, they are forced to move and we are not, even if mandatory, i.e. communism vs. freedom to choose.
    My problem with this argument every time is that invariably people who die in the US do so because of somebody ELSE who didn't want to move. Then they call for "help", "please help me" and ruin the lives (or cost the lives) of people who did what they were supposed to. What about the children who die because of their parents's stubbornness? Is is "freedom" to make me have to clean up your dead body afterwards? to wake up to my nightmare of your staring eyes? What about all your loved ones who will cry again and again because they didn't convince you to leave?

    For "freedom" of Americans, I read "selfishness". I read "egotism" (nothing will happen to ME, as if you are better than God, even).

    Those people died in Cuba in 1932 because they didn't know about the storm. In 1900 Galveston, they believed the weatherman who told them they had nothing to fear. Today, we have excellent information. It's not right that you should punish us by remaining in a risk area "just because you feel like it". I'm with the Cubans.
    Baha,

    Looks like the "Tongue of the Ocean" is breathing fire this evening....

    Link
    CRS
    anyone catch msnbc's morning joe's faux pas this morning? i watched it live and couldn't believe it!!!! check out you tube to watch it.
    Quoting Hurricane4Lex:
    I'm wondering this? (forgot this)

    what if a storm develops (hope just a fish) on Dec and goes thru Jan

    would that count on this season?

    also what if anything develops (hope just a fish) after Jan 1

    does it go to the next season?

    (I know there are alot of what ifs LOL but im just curious)
    Would you believe that both these things have happened in the historical record? And as recently as 2005 in one instance? LOL

    A storm that starts in December is considered part of the current season. A storm that starts in January is considered part of next year's season.
    Hurricane Paloma Eyewall video


    Quoting Bonedog:
    a few records that I know of off hand

    first time 6 straight storms formed and made landfall in the conus

    smallest storm in the world

    5 straight months with majors

    Earliest far-East Atlantic storm

    Longest lasting July Hurricane

    Most landfalls in a particular state, Florida

    thats just off hand
    Would there also be a record for number of storms in a row that impacted Haiti/Hispaniola?
    Quoting IKE:



    (1)eddye....so much for missing anymore school this year from storms.

    (2)This blog will almost die now.
    On #2, Hey, some of us are only on hiatus until the Southern Hemisphere season picks up . . . lol
    Quoting BahaHurican:
    On #2, Hey, some of us are only on hiatus until the Southern Hemisphere season picks up . . . lol

    I'm always here.

    Big brother (HK) is watching. LOL. I like winter storm updates also.
    Quoting BahaHurican:
    On #2, Hey, some of us are only on hiatus until the Southern Hemisphere season picks up . . . lol


    Yea. And i'll be here for the cold snaps.
    There are many of us here, quietly reading, surfing the personal blog sites, and checking back in here on a regular basis.
    i'm going back and forth doing some online xmas shopping.
    yep i,m in here everyday just lucking most of the time. weather alittle chilly here in zephyrhills fl. 55 right now
    74 here in west palm
    opps thats lurking...lol
    Its getting closer :(
    Anyone want to trade weather??

    Right on the edge.. going to get wet tonight.

    Quoting Orcasystems:
    Its getting closer :(
    Anyone want to trade weather??



    Not a chance. Left that all behind. Most recent 4 locations of my life... MN-AK-NW NJ------S FL.

    I'm good to go. ;)
    Nope don't want to trade weather Orca... but I know of a much better place you could fly to.

    Got the feeling that you & THE Lady will be receiving a box of Florida Sunshine tomorrow - hope the box doesn't freeze......hoping it will fill the house with sunbeams and treat your tastebuds to tropical delights
    Quoting surfmom:
    Nope don't want to trade weather Orca... but I know of a much better place you could fly to.

    Got the feeling that you & THE Lady will be receiving a box of Florida Sunshine tomorrow - hope the box doesn't freeze......hoping it will fill the house with sunbeams and treat your tastebuds to tropical delights


    I am looking forward to it :)
    I needs something that will remind me of the sun, this weather isn't going to do it.
    That is the kind of weather I RUST in!!!! - love the trees..... but I got to have LOTS of sun.

    I'm in for a penny, in for a pound -- I'm a year round WU girl -- got to know when those cold fronts are coming -- want to catch a wave when ever i can..... need to know what's happening to keep the horses safe and sound
    what is up with storm w? anybody..
    Being a native-born Floridian..I LOVE THE COLD...It doesn't happen that often and it sucks waking up on xmas day to temps. in the 80's
    I am signing off - reached total exhuastion from a busy, but happy weekend, then too much catch up work today.

    Totally gorgeous in Florida - the light is so nice this time of year -- bluest of skies -- the tourista aka(terrorista's) are beginning to arrive boo hoo -- the locals are groaning -- Traffic,Pushiness, littering and yes $. Have always said this, and I'm not "sucking up" I have always preferred our Canadian Guests then most of our other visitors. Kind, polite, respectful of the environment, GOOD drivers, I just always want to help them out.... love the "eh?"
    Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
    Being a native-born Floridian..I LOVE THE COLD...It doesn't happen that often and it sucks waking up on xmas day to temps. in the 80's


    I think it sucks when I have to wear so much clothes I look and feel like the Michelin Man LOL

    I love celebrating XMAS on a snow white beach w/a pair of shorts & a bikini top...

    Not sure on Storms where abouts....maybe busy w/kids...drop him a note
    out for the night - take care ALL!!!
    Have a good night surfmom.
    Quoting CaicosRetiredSailor:
    Baha,

    Looks like the "Tongue of the Ocean" is breathing fire this evening....

    Link
    CRS
    LOL I just saw this . . . .
    Hey everyone... it snowed last night here in MI. I still have snow on the ground :)
    Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
    Being a native-born Floridian..I LOVE THE COLD...It doesn't happen that often and it sucks waking up on xmas day to temps. in the 80's
    You are SO right. . . Christmas just isn't Christmas if it isn't below 75 degrees. . . . lol . . .
    130. Enola
    #105 - Nice vid, and yes you are crazy! :)

    What were you looking for?
    OTOH, WPB, I am also the one who revised "White Christmas" to "Green Christmas" . . . lol

    This early cold spell is making me feel the season a bit earlier than usual.
    132. Enola
    Quoting BahaHurican:
    You are SO right. . . Christmas just isn't Christmas if it isn't below 75 degrees. . . . lol . . .

    You all are evil! EVIL I say!!! C'mon up to the mountains when the windchill is -50F and say that! LOL
    Quoting BahaHurican:
    You are SO right. . . Christmas just isn't Christmas if it isn't below 75 degrees. . . . lol . . .


    LOL. Nice and toasty
    Quoting Enola:

    You all are evil! EVIL I say!!! C'mon up to the mountains when the windchill is -50F and say that! LOL
    [politely folds hands]
    No thankee . . .

    [big grin]

    Actually one would always hope for a cool Christmas, as at least one gift was aways something for the "winter" - sweater, hat, jacket, scarf, gloves, etc - and one would be eager to don the new duds ASAP. Usually these items would be needed for the Junkanoo outing at three a.m. on Boxing Day or New Year's morning. But a cold Christmas Day meant an excuse to wear the new things right away . . .
    Quoting Enola:

    You all are evil! EVIL I say!!! C'mon up to the mountains when the windchill is -50F and say that! LOL


    I like the cold but I am not that crazy. I do live in the north though. I think it isn't Christmas if it isn't below freezing and there isn't any snow.
    Quoting Orcasystems:
    Its getting closer :(
    Anyone want to trade weather??



    I'm guessing that is something like this (this is my forecast)?

    Tonight: Occasional rain, mainly after midnight. Low around 38. East wind between 5 and 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
    Veterans Day: Occasional rain, with thunderstorms also possible after noon. High near 47. Southeast wind between 10 and 14 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
    Tuesday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a low around 43. South wind between 6 and 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
    Wednesday: A chance of drizzle. Cloudy, with a high near 53. South wind between 6 and 8 mph.
    i trade weather with you this send all the storms down here in ca
    I will trade weather to get some rain. My county got called a disaster area today.


    59 NC Counties Declared Disaster Areas Due To Drought
    Quoting NorthxCakalaky:
    I will trade weather to get some rain. My county got called a disaster area today.


    59 NC Counties Declared Disaster Areas Due To Drought
    OFF TOPIC WARNING!!!

    [tongue in cheek] Wonder if people think Obama will solve the drought problem too . . .
    I just returned from Orange,Texas for work(I live about two hours north) and am saddened by the devistation from Ike throughout East Texas. It is better than it was a month ago, but still so depressing.We had a house on Bolivar in Gilchrist we got rid of six months to the day before Ike hit. It is gone needless to say. (We replaced it with a safe place on the lake).I, for one, will consider it an honor to contribute to your children's Christmas Fund this Thanksgiving and ask my family and friends to do the same Dr. Masters. Galveston is a beautiful island and gets alot of attention but the less glamorus spots are truly in need as well. Thanks for caring.
    Philippines Atmospheric Geophysical Astronomical Services and Administration

    Tropical Depression "QUINTA" has slowed down while maintaining its strength.

    Tropical Cyclone Bulletin #12
    ================================
    At 11:00 AM PhST, Tropical Depression Quinta (Maysak) located at 11.8ºN 116.4ºE or 330 kms northwest of Puerto Princesa has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots.

    Additional Information
    ======================
    Meanwhile, a Low Pressure Area was estimated based on satellite and surface data at 510 kms East Northeast of Aparri, Cagayan (19.3°N, 126.8°E).

    The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 11 p.m. today.
    Complete Blog Refresh
    Mirror Site (New Format)
    RSMC: India Meteorological Department
    5:30 AM IST November 11 2008
    ============================================

  • A low pressure area is likely to form over southeast Bay of Bengal and adjoining areas during next 48 hours. Numerical weather prediction models indicate its west- northwestwards movement and intensification into a depression around 14th

    ---
    The IMD is still calling for a depression for form in the Bay of Bengal.
  • Just in case some of you forgot, Space Shuttle Endeavour's launching Friday @ 7:55 PM, more info here.
    Link
    A quick good evening...

    Thx CybrTeddy... for the Shuttle info. WX should be deteriorating a bit as the night progresses on Friday... but hopefully they'll have a decent window of opportunity for this launch. Should be a very nice launch during the night.
    Quoting WxLogic:
    A quick good evening...

    Thx CybrTeddy... for the Shuttle info. WX should be deteriorating a bit as the night progresses on Friday... but hopefully they'll have a decent window of opportunity for this launch. Should be a very nice launch during the night.


    Doesn't look it, Cold front's slowing and rain chances are lowering. Little triva, this is going to be the Coldest space shuttle launch since 2002. Space Shuttle can't launch in anything below 40, well, I am sure most of you know why because of what happened in '86.
    Quoting NorthxCakalaky:
    I will trade weather to get some rain. My county got called a disaster area today.


    59 NC Counties Declared Disaster Areas Due To Drought


    Which counties?
    148. KRL
    Yeh!! Made it through another season safe and sound in South Florida!

    Happy Holidays!

    See y'all in July!

    Ciao
    Good Morning everyone !
    Happy Veterans Day

    Patrap, Indianrivguy and StormW

    ATTENTION
    Present ARMS
    Order ARMS
    Thank You for your Service !

    The 11th hour of the 11th day of the 11th Month, 1918, Veterans Day. Thank you for your service to your country. No matter what you've heard from the flower children of the sixties to the gen-xers of today, freedom has never been free, you understood that, and still chose to offer your life so that others might live, there is no greater Love than that. It has been my honor to serve with you.

    35 F in Macon, Ga with 92% humidity.
    Good Morning Florida & everyone - great sunrise today - lovely weather - thinking of putting on the wetsuit and going for a paddle... water is 68degrees in the Gulf, but if the sun is out and shining --won't be too bad......otherwise is a yardwork AM -- yuck
    thanking the devine for this beautiful morning. seems like ages since fay (never seen the artisian well pump like it has) have a good day
    153. IKE
    19 days....
    17 hours...
    33 minutes and the season is over...


    TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
    700 AM EST TUE NOV 11 2008

    FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

    A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
    PALOMA...IS NEARLY STATIONARY ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF CUBA...ABOUT
    50 MILES NORTHWEST OF NUEVITAS. RE-DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS
    NOT EXPECTED DUE TO STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS.

    ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
    NEXT 48 HOURS.

    $$

    FORECASTER BROWN
    Quoting IKE:
    19 days....
    17 hours...
    33 minutes and the season is over...


    TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
    700 AM EST TUE NOV 11 2008

    FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

    A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
    PALOMA...IS NEARLY STATIONARY ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF CUBA...ABOUT
    50 MILES NORTHWEST OF NUEVITAS. RE-DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS
    NOT EXPECTED DUE TO STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS.

    ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
    NEXT 48 HOURS.

    $$

    FORECASTER BROWN


    And 3 days
    12 hours
    00 Minutes
    and 35 seconds and counting for Space Shuttle Endeavour's liftoff.
    Morning everyone (those few here). A beautiful morning here in Central Florida - Thanks to all the Vets who have served our Country!
    Good morning! It's sunny here, not a cloud in the sky. The only setback: it's in the upper 30s!
    Good morning...
    Amazing Hurricane Contest still on, if anyone wants to participate. Check my blog for more.
    with a walgreens coupon you can get their extra strength batteries this week cheap
    160. IKE
    Quoting CybrTeddy:


    And 3 days
    12 hours
    00 Minutes
    and 35 seconds and counting for Space Shuttle Endeavour's liftoff.


    Also....from Wikipedia....

    2010, the projected end of the Shuttle program.


    That program is soon-to-end.
    161. IKE
    Thanks to all of the VETS from me. Your service to this country is appreciated by IKE~
    Good morning everyone,

    Another beautiful day in the neighborhood. Going to be hard to keep the mind on work today.

    Also just a quick shout out to those Veterans who have served so faithfully, often at tremendous personal sacrifice...we honor and appreciate you.
    Morning all,
    Horrid day here in the TCI:
    Temperature: 74.0 °F / 23.3 °C
    Humidity: 83%
    Dew Point: 69 °F / 21 °C
    Wind: 25.0 mph / 40 km/hfrom the ESE
    Wind Gust: 31.0 mph / 49 km/h
    Pressure: 29.90 in / 1012.4 hPa
    Whats left of Paloma looks to be heading Sw a lot less shear under Cuba if it moved a hundred or so miles south of Cuba.
    163. 21N71W

    Sorry about that, yeah, I noticed it this morning. At least is seems like it's moving rather quickly, so maybe you get some sun before the day is through...stay safe.
    thanks RobDaHood!
    167. IKE
    Quoting gordydunnot:
    Whats left of Paloma looks to be heading Sw a lot less shear under Cuba if it moved a hundred or so miles south of Cuba.


    Probably what eventually happens is the trough that heads into the SE USA this weekend will sweep what's left of Paloma off to the NE and out-to-sea.
    Morning yall

    anyone know what day? and advisory number? NHC posted that if the people were to stay in Ike's path that they will face "certain death"

    (It's for a project on Ike)

    TIA for your responses ^_^
    Trough definitely going to be stronger than last week Ike.
    GOES-12 WV Loop with Dry Air Shaded Link
    anyone know what day? and advisory number? NHC posted that if the people were to stay in Ike's path that they will face "certain death"


    That originated from the local Houston NWS...not the NHC.

    You can look it up on their website.

    Lot of dry air for Paloma remnants which ever way it went.
    Actually...here it is:


    ALL NEIGHBORHOODS...AND POSSIBLY ENTIRE COASTAL COMMUNITIES...
    WILL BE INUNDATED DURING HIGH TIDE. PERSONS NOT HEEDING
    EVACUATION ORDERS IN SINGLE FAMILY ONE OR TWO STORY HOMES WILL
    FACE CERTAIN DEATH.
    MANY RESIDENCES OF AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION
    DIRECTLY ON THE COAST WILL BE DESTROYED. WIDESPREAD AND
    DEVASTATING PERSONAL PROPERTY DAMAGE IS LIKELY ELSEWHERE. VEHICLES
    LEFT BEHIND WILL LIKELY BE SWEPT AWAY. NUMEROUS ROADS WILL BE
    SWAMPED...SOME MAY BE WASHED AWAY BY THE WATER. ENTIRE FLOOD PRONE
    COASTAL COMMUNITIES WILL BE CUTOFF. WATER LEVELS MAY EXCEED 9 FEET
    FOR MORE THAN A MILE INLAND. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN MULTI-STORY
    FACILITIES RISK BEING CUTOFF. CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY
    BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL EXACERBATE PROPERTY DAMAGE...WITH
    MASSIVE DESTRUCTION OF HOMES...INCLUDING THOSE OF BLOCK
    CONSTRUCTION. DAMAGE FROM BEACH EROSION COULD TAKE YEARS TO
    REPAIR.
    re to 171 and 173

    ah there it is


    Thank you very much vortfix
    Quoting IKE:


    Also....from Wikipedia....

    2010, the projected end of the Shuttle program.


    That program is soon-to-end.


    And to be replaced by going back to the moon with the Orion and on to Mars. The Shuttle is as old as I am, 20+ Years.
    As paloma's remnents head SW more condusive UL conditions w/sheer values in the 10-20kt are forcast for tomorrow in the area SW of cuba and some redevelopment is possible if ex-paloma can make it far engough south!!!!
    Special announcement on my blog!
    is the any real precip. left with the ex storm or is that spin just low clouds?
    What is strange is how some systems never really develop while others seem to refuse to die. I do hope Paloma gives it up. But it does appear to be picking up speed to the sw
    And it's ironic that Paloma is taking that crazy nogaps forecasted path that we all discounted as an outlier "on crack" model.
    179. gordydunnot

    Yeah, Hanna was a trip to watch. Naked swirl how many times? And would redress just in time for HH.
    The remnant low of Paloma looks to be drifting back south. I think conditions are much too hostile for redevelopment though.
    Really windy in S Fla today whats up?
    Vortex95 - noticed that on the way to work, out of the E to NEish, and thought it was former Paloma starting to move W or NW. Popped on Sat at work expecting to see that, but she's moving SW.

    Must be the LL flow/steering that is moving the L that direction.
    Looks like the frontal line. Quite a mish mosh of winds there:

    Link
    Anyone catch this model run:

    Link

    Was surprised to see it had run as they don't run that one very often (look at the available runs).
    What a relief to look at the map and see NO invests.... I am enjoying the peace and quiet!!!
    Watch your step there surfmom, don't wanna fall into the blog hole!


    Really nice today. Hurricane shield running at full tilt.
    any updates as to which day we can expect that cold front?

    SWFL Gomex - "why we live here weather" - Nice breeze, no humidity, Gulf is Flat & 68 degrees. Mullet running biog time up in St. Pete. Hopefully "When" this front pushes in, it will provide a chilly surf opportunity next week --something to hope for, not count on...definitely FLAT till Friday.
    surfmom, you might have some waves coming up with the cold front coming this weekend
    You Bet Rob, Got the Protective Dome up over the Gomex.
    LOL, That's why I'm peeking in Ft.Pierce -- kinda feel it in the "air".

    Picked the very last Mango on the tree today -- the last taste of summer.
    looks like NWS has maybe backed off a little on the front, at least for my area...low 55 sat nite 47 sun nite.

    Of course that's kinda long range as far as front timing goes...could change 3 times this week.
    Quoting surfmom:
    LOL, That's why I'm peeking in Ft.Pierce -- kinda feel it in the "air".

    Picked the very last Mango on the tree today -- the last taste of summer.
    looking forward to the oranges and grape fruit
    194. ftpiercecane

    Noticed yesterday that I'm going to have to figure out what to do with a lot of lemons soon
    going to homestead this weekend for the race and hoping it cools off a little. a lot of people in the stands
    197. IKE
    Quoting CybrTeddy:


    And to be replaced by going back to the moon with the Orion and on to Mars. The Shuttle is as old as I am, 20+ Years.


    I'm looking forward to seeing us head back to the moon.
    RobDhood -- squeeze & freeze --- you'll be happy for the effort down the road. Mango's also freeze very, very well
    Quoting surfmom:
    RobDhood -- squeeze & freeze --- you'll be happy for the effort down the road. Mango's also freeze very, very well


    Yeah, need to invest in a bigger freezer, then need more house to put bigger freezer, vicious cycle...
    That is my "young bucks" dream -- designing cargo ships that run economically, with engines that run on a different set-up ( frankly I can't remember his tech talk ) to go the moon and mars......he's main think is that it has to become far more cost efficient. As long as he's not going up in them I'm OKay with the dream.
    bounced in for just a sec...anyone heard from kman? he alright after paloma?
    I know that song Rob..... better to keep the overhead low...lemons are cheaper. less maintenance is my way of going. Often food banks will take in surplus or I just make up bags and give them away.... it's amazing what will come back your way
    Tig,

    Yeah, he was on quite a bit durring and after the storm. He's okay.
    202. surfmom

    For the first time in my life I finally have "everything" paid for. Best feeling in the world...no hurry to jump back in the mortgage game...Of course now everyting will start breaking down and wearing out...LOL
    thanks rob...and btw...you can send some lemons this way...my oldest is in college for pastry arts...makes a killer lemon merainge cake...not pie...cake...it ROCKS...could use the lemons for that and the lemon petite fours he makes...ROFL
    Tig,

    Sounds yummy!
    ok...read back a litte during the lulls...what is supposed to be spinning and where?
    they are...last time he used myer lemons to make it with...OMG...he is a natural, really, born into him I guess since my fathers family comes from Europe...baking is in the blood but he is just rediculous good at it...and makes this chocolate expresso mousse that would blow you away....ok...now I'm hungry...roflmao
    ok...gotta bounce for a bit...laundry to wash and hang outside, dinner to contemplate, painting to do....anyone know how to add a few hours to the day? =P
    your making me hungry too...stop it! LOL

    Tig, the only game in town right now is the remnants of Paloma...I really would be surprised to see anything come of it.

    Carib is still warm enough to support development but I don't see any threats there right now either. Some interesting stuff in the atlantic last couple days, but conditions are pretty hostile for development there too.
    afternoon all,busy day here at work,but got a sec to see what's going on,but not much.Would really,really be surprised if the leftovers from Paloma do anything,way too much dry air around.
    Talks of all the fruit - we have so many oranges and grapefruit that folks cringe when they see us, NO More they say! You can only juice so many! Surfmom: Yum, Mangoes - must plant one this year.
    ESL by LSU Link
    212. conchygirl

    Waiting for my mangoes to get old enough to produce...Good crop of avocados this year since no hurricanes to blow them off...rented my house to my brother for a while when I was away more than home, he planted at least 1 of every citrus tree I can imagine...I love oranges, tangerines, all of it, but why in the world does one family need 30 citrus trees? And guavas...someone raised them nearby and they spring up wild everywhere.

    Friends and relatives come to visit and freak when they see fruit laying on the ground. Can't give it all away
    216. IKE
    Looks like what was left of Paloma(circulation), is just about history.

    TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
    100 PM EST TUE NOV 11 2008

    FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

    1. A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
    PALOMA...IS LOCATED ABOUT 20 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF CAMAGUEY CUBA
    AND IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST. RE-DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS
    NOT EXPECTED DUE TO STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS.

    ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
    NEXT 48 HOURS.

    $$

    FORECASTER BRENNAN/BEVEN
    Good afternoon everyone. It looks like the remains of Paloma is retrackin back across Cuba and is picking up speed to the sw. Is it possible that it could redevelope once over the open water?
    Quoting RobDaHood:
    212. conchygirl

    Waiting for my mangoes to get old enough to produce...Good crop of avocados this year since no hurricanes to blow them off...rented my house to my brother for a while when I was home more than away, he planted at least 1 of every citrus tree I can imagine...I love oranges, tangerines, all of it, but why in the world does one family need 30 citrus trees? And guavas...someone raised them nearby and they spring up wild everywhere.

    Friends and relatives come to visit and freak when they see fruit laying on the ground. Can't give it all away
    Love those guavas too! I too hate seeing them on the ground! OMG, 30 citrus - amazing -- we only have 6 so can't even imagine the amount of fruit you are dealing with. Mango, avocado and guava must be planted this year.
    Quoting lawntonlookers:
    Good afternoon everyone. It looks like the remains of Paloma is retrackin back across Cuba and is picking up speed to the sw. Is it possible that it could redevelope once over the open water?


    If the circulation doesn't dissipate over land which I bet it will, then there's a very small possibility it might.
    Looks like a cool down coming over the weekend. The 9-10 day GFSx looks even crazier.
    Well well, the remnant circulation of Paloma is back in the NW Caribbean sea, good thing conditions for redevelopment are hostile at this time.
    Good day everyone.

    Yes, the remnant low of Paloma is indeed back over water just South of Cuba and still diving to the WSW.

    Shear is lessening the further S it goes. I hope the heralding of the death of Paloma does not prove to have been premature.

    The steering from the central Bahamas to the southern tip of Fla. dives to the South all the way through the NW caribbean and no doubt this is what has ex- Paloma heading this way again. Currently at 21N 79W.

    This is one big trough the ECMWF is showing with the vorticity lobe dipping down into the GOM.Link
    Paloma will not be regenerating. Too much subsidence and nearly zonal wind shear.
    Quoting Drakoen:
    Paloma will not be regenerating. Too much subsidence and nearly zonal wind shear.


    I am definitely rooting for you to be right LOL
    What temps would this bring to S Fla Drak?
    227. IKE
    Doesn't look like there's much left of the circulation of Paloma.
    Hi Kman: Paloma sure wasn't nice to your area. I passed through there last Tuesday and it rained the entire day - assume this was the beginning. Hope all on Little Cayman and Cayman Brac are ok.
    227. IKE 9:31 PM GMT on November 11, 2008

    I am not sure I would agree on that. The circulation looks pretty decent for a " dead " system. The 850 mb vort also looks reasonable.

    Given the surprises we have seen this year it is at least of passing interest to see it moving in the opposite direction of the TFPs.

    Quoting Vortex95:
    What temps would this bring to S Fla Drak?


    Don't even want to begin to think about that lol. It looks unrealistic for this time of year. Such a trough would probably bring us the coldest weather so far this season. It shows snow possible all the way down to the Gulf Coast.
    Im just guessing lets say in Miami highs in the 40s possible from this trough?
    232. IKE
    Quoting Vortex95:
    Im just guessing lets say in Miami highs in the 40s possible from this trough?


    40's in Miami for highs? No way.

    You mean lows?
    Quoting conchygirl:
    Hi Kman: Paloma sure wasn't nice to your area. I passed through there last Tuesday and it rained the entire day - assume this was the beginning. Hope all on Little Cayman and Cayman Brac are ok.


    The weather was horrible all of last week. You need to come back when the sun is out !

    The sister islands were hit very hard, particularly Cayman Brac where some 80% of the structures sustained damage, much of it severe with roof loss etc. Paloma did to them what Ivan did to Grand Cayman.

    The road to recovery will be long and difficult. Visit stormcarib.com and click on the Cayman Islands section for pics of the damage.

    Luckily, no life threatening injuries and no fatalities
    Quoting Vortex95:
    Im just guessing lets say in Miami highs in the 40s possible from this trough?


    Highs LOL? Maybe lows.
    Kman - sorry to hear about all the destruction but fortunately no one was killed - life is the most important. We had a wonderful day in the rain in Grand Cayman and the best conch fritters ever!
    236. IKE
    Forecast is no where near lows even in the 40's.....


    Miami....
    Saturday Night and Sunday
    Partly cloudy. Breezy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 70s.
    Sunday Night through Tuesday
    Mostly clear. Breezy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s.
    strong winds here just had a large shower.
    Quoting IKE:


    40's in Miami for highs? No way.

    You mean lows?


    Think he's in this mentality lol:
    Link
    235. conchygirl 9:41 PM GMT on November 11, 2008

    Glad you enjoyed it even in the rain.
    ah okay you made it sound far crazier, im down with lows in the 40s.
    Quoting IKE:
    Forecast is no where near lows even in the 40's.....


    Miami....
    Saturday Night and Sunday
    Partly cloudy. Breezy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 70s.
    Sunday Night through Tuesday
    Mostly clear. Breezy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s.


    That 500mb map is for 9 days from now.
    I'm out now. Will check in later.
    I know it won't get that cold :D.

    I'd expect 1-2 lows in the upper 20's-lower 30s here sometime in late december early january.
    Quoting Vortex95:
    I know it won't get that cold :D.

    I'd expect 1-2 lows in the upper 20's-lower 30s here sometime in late december early january.



    Wishful thinking.
    I find it interesting that the 540gpm line would be able to sink that far south.
    246. IKE
    Quoting Drakoen:


    That 500mb map is for 9 days from now.


    Okay.
    247. IKE
    Quoting Drakoen:


    Think he's in this mentality lol:
    Link


    That day...January 19th, 1977...Crestview,FL....just to my west(about 25 miles), had a high of 32, w/a low of 10. Dew point got down to 4. Event for the day was snow.
    Quoting IKE:


    That day...January 19th, 1977...Crestview,FL....just to my west(about 25 miles), had a high of 32, w/a low of 10. Dew point got down to 4. Event for the day was snow.


    Yea. That's had to be one hellish CAA for that to happen.
    it's cold here in New Jersey
    46 degrees fahrenheit to be exact

    glad to see the tropics quiet but ther is one blob of clouds right by the lesser antilles
    Quoting Drakoen:


    Think he's in this mentality lol:
    Link


    The cause of the unrelenting cold was a persistent atmospheric circulation pattern that established itself in early autumn 1976 and remained remarkably unchanged until late February 1977. The Aleutian Low, a semi-permanent feature of the annual circulation map, was especially deep and large that winter, spreading to cover most of the North Pacific by January.

    Image Hosted by ImageShack.us

    Interesting...
    I see what you are saying MichaelSTL, we'll see what happens lol.
    Just an interesting SHIP obs just S of haiti.

    Pres: 1007mb Wind: 36kts

    Link
    Good evening...
    Look how far south the 5400gpm line sunk that day. All the way down to south Florida. Arctic conditions along the eastern seaboard.

    And now a second ship just SE popped on that link w/same pressure and 26kt winds.

    I think it's safe to say there is a 1007mb low there. Not on the NHC 18Z map.
    .
    Although, just realized... it's probably the same ship so the instruments could be off. Two different ships and there has to be a low there.
    Yep, the Zuiderdam.
    Evening all,
    I see the mention of Jan. 19 1977 above... I distinctly remember that morning, as I was working on a sailboat tied up at Harbor West in Fort Lauderdale. When I got up you could see a little bit of snow on the deck.

    We had a charter scheduled for that day... It was canceled.
    CRS
    259. CaicosRetiredSailor
    ...We had a charter scheduled for that day... It was canceled.

    hehe...had it been me, I'd have said "lets get this puppy out of port and make for the southern cross at best speed...
    As the low level swirl of Paloma has reemerged in the waters south of Cuba cloud tops have begun to cool directly over the center of circulation, shear is certainly no longer 50 knts over the circulation as it was as it crossed Cuba originally, yes the air is dry, and there is moderate shear of 20 to 25 knots, sadly i would not declare this remnant low totally dead yet, i could see a scenario that allows paloma to regenerate into a tropical storm and race ne this weekend ahead of the trough that will be plowing through the eastern part of the united states........concerns for wind NO, but Cuba does not need another soaking rain, or any winds above 40 mph for that matter, i truly think it will be interesting to see if paloma can become a TS before it is absorbed by the westerlies and rockets up the east coast....
    hmmm... see we have ghost of Paloma. I've decided Paloma doesn't like tourist...stirs things up near Panama, scares Jamaica before reeking havoc on the Caymans, pounces on Cuba just to mess with the Canadian Touristas, feints toward the Bahamas and So.Florida, and now it seems her ghost will attempt to scare the heck out of the Yucatan.

    Fortunately she is on a BYOB cruise. Have to make her own water 'cause there's not a drop to be had in the atmosphere. Hopefully just be something wierd to watch for a couple days.
    Now I'll shut up before she decides to finish by hopping the next trough to Florida.
    263. IKE
    There's zero left of Paloma....

    263. IKE

    Yeah, invisible on WV too, but you can see her ghost on rgb-loop.

    BTW, not saying I expect any redevelopment. Just amazed that there is any evidence of circulation left. Paloma has been an impressive girl.
    uhm, just to help fill in blog hole, has anyone else noticed the WU - tropical front page shows no activity in any basin. When was the last time that happened?
    266. IKE
    It's been a while.

    You can tell tropical season is over...this blog dies.
    THANK YOU VETS

    RE:254. Drakoen

    Just looked up the stats for Charleston 1/19/77

    Actual High 32F
    Actual Low 17F

    Pretty cold - That is water main breaking weather for us here.
    It was even colder here:

    Mean Temperature: 12 °F / -11 °C
    Max Temperature: 26 °F / -3 °C
    Min Temperature: 0 °F / -17 °C

    Although the coldest day was several days before, on the 16th:

    Mean Temperature: -6 °F / -21 °C
    Max Temperature: 0 °F / -17 °C
    Min Temperature: -13 °F / -25 °C


    For comparison, it hasn't reached zero (low) here since January 5, 1999, when it dropped to -4.
    Quoting MichaelSTL:
    IAlthough the coldest day was several days before, on the 16th:

    Mean Temperature: -6 °F / -21 °C
    Max Temperature: 0 °F / -17 °C
    Min Temperature: -13 °F / -25 °C


    It was a balmy 55F in Charleston on the 16th, but the next day's high was 32F

    I like having a bit of seasonal weather - gives the deciduous trees a bit of rest, and helps with the pests. - However daytime should NEVER be near freezing. Nights only, thank you very much
    Hello all.
    The ghost of Paloma. ??
    I am seeing too much dry air in the Caribbean sea, south of Cuba and for a big area after. Am I missing something? Not seeing anything on the images and loops to warrant any concern. Anywhere !
    Been a glorious day here, What can I say......
    Evening pottery

    Was quite a nice day in Charleston as well.
    As I left work:
    Sky had that almost neon light blue color, and wispy clouds were bright pink.
    By the time I reached the car:
    Grays had started to mix with clouds and sky.
    15 minutes later:
    The automatic street lights were lit up.

    Amazing to watch. Ohh.. and through it all an iridescent silver moon (full two days from now)
    Chilly though (54F)
    272. JRRP
    Evening Pottery,

    It's been a very gray day here, Heavy overcast.... the remains of the convection which blew off the top of Paloma... but its gone now

    CRS
    Sounds nice, Charlseton.
    Heading into our best weather here, Dec-Feb.
    Very little rain in those months, cooler temps ( in the high 70's low 80's)
    Trees still have their folliage on, and many flowering
    Breeze more northerly (cooler)
    It can get down to a frigid 68 F.... in the early morning. BRRRR. LOL
    By march, it is too dry for comfort, and rain does not come again until mid June. Generally speaking.
    Bush fires and water shortages in those months. Not nice.
    Yes CRS, I was looking at the loops earlier. Some dry days ahead for you, unless that stuff around Western Haiti heads your way.
    Hey pottery,

    was on a rum break! No no real concerns at this time. Just ghosts.
    Yep,
    Cooler & Dry is just fine!

    Hood, rum and ghosties. Could be an interesting night. With any luck
    heheheh
    ....was on a rum break! No no real concerns at this time. Just ghosts.

    hmmmm....

    with no context, this is a chuckle
    my lady is calling me outside, back later!
    RE:274. pottery

    I would think Dec-Feb makes up for March (I think it would for me )
    Is Dec-Feb your tourist season? Or should we keep this a secret.

    Do you have any deciduous trees such as Live Oaks - or is it all tropical vegetation?
    We are a mix of tropical and temperate zone vegetation - probably a pretty even split along the Carolina coast However, I do not think we could grow mangoes (to my dismay)
    See ?? I told you............
    post 280
    Does anyone know how cold/cool(or about) the front will be when it reaches sofla?

    and

    Are we still meeting here when hurricane is over? What will I do for my daily tropical yabber.......?
    was on a rum break! No no real concerns at this time. Just ghosts.


    Right!
    Now about those ghosts...LMAO!

    Wassup Rob, Pottery and the rest of you misfits?
    Good evening to all.

    Day here was overcast and windy with some sprinkle. Felt like I was in Seattle. Not really, but almost at times. Sun peeked through here and there. But, all in all, not bad. Cool (upper 70s) and low humidity, so can't complain.

    As for former Paloma, I am surprised NHC kept it at yellow at 7pm.
    Charlesto.
    Yep, Tourist time. Big influx for our Carnival too.
    The forest is all tropical. Bear in mind we are 8 miles from Venezuela and are almost in the mouth of the Orinoco River. Its a big one. So our forest is real and still in good condition in many areas. The forest seldom burns, and occasional fire does it no lasting harm. Large areas are Reserve.
    But many of the trees lose their leaves in the dry season. Semi-Deciduous Forest. Not all. When they lose their leaves they tend to flower in the most magnificent way. Crowns of scarlet, bright yellow, several shades of pink, and such. And these are big trees some 120 ft.
    They seed just before the rains come, and start growing in every crack in the concrete, and in every gap between the roof and the guttering. Thats a nuisance.
    Its all good.
    Hi Vort. All is well ?
    Hood was called away, by errie voices in the evening gloom.
    286. pottery
    Omygawd - Incredible - someday I must see this.
    Amazing how trees that tall can weather tropical storms. It must take your breath away to see them in bloom - sort of like fall along the Merritt Parkway in Conn.

    With all the talk of rum.. I guess I am out of here - (though I really, really wish I had mangoes to go with the rum)

    Horticulturist - develop a hardy species of mangoes we can grow in Charleston!!!
    I'm out too. Early one in the am.
    Dont get into any trouble while I'm not around, you guys. Misfits ? I guess so.
    Hi Vort,
    Goodnight Pottery,
    Hood was called away, by errie voices in the evening gloom.
    One way of putting it I guess...
    Beautiful night here, full moon, clear sky...all good.
    I am really about to get in trouble...(errie voices-LOL)...see you all tomorrow...have a great evening.
    (must be the moon!)
    Philippines Atmospherical Geophyical Astronomical Services and Administration

    Tropical Weather Summary
    =========================
    At 2 AM PhSt, Active Low Pressure Area was estimated at 500 kms East of Northern Luzon (17.5N 127.5E).

    Meanwhile, Another Active Low Pressure Area was estimated at 270 kms West of Batangas (14.0N 118.4E).
    Time to play the waiting game
    Ship reports twice at 1007mb and high sustained winds.

    Two hours later, there are four ships in the area, two of which report steady pressure at 1009 and 1010 even though pressures should be rising.

    An hour after those readings, only one ship reports in the area.

    Hey, I'm an anomalies guy and it's something to talk about with the tropics.
    Sorry, forgot Link


    Tropical Depression, Ex Maysak (Quinta)
    JMA: Tropical Depression
    Low Pressure Area (96W)
    So sorry for the folks in Cuba, Little Cayman, and Cayman Brac. That's the last of it, although one those islands could have done without!
    Looks like the cold front won't make it to Central Florida.
    81° F | 67° F Wednesday
    27° C | 19° C
    83° F | 67° F Thursday
    28° C | 19° C
    83° F | 63° F Friday
    28° C | 17° C
    77° F | 58° F Saturday
    25° C | 14° C
    70° F | 50° F Sunday
    21° C | 10° C
    Good time for a hayride.
    Did someone call for a misfit? Cool evening, ghosts,full moon, rum, errie voices in the evening gloom, I love it when it slows down and we can start waxing poetic! Oh yeah, cool tonite in Macon, Ga and rain due Wed night.
    Japan Meteorological Agency

    Tropical Weather Summary (0000z 12NOV)
    ============================================

    TROPICAL DEPRESSION, FORMER MAYSAK (T0819)
    11.0ºN 116.0ºE - 25 knots 1006 hPa

    reported as moving southwest slowly

    TROPICAL DEPRESSION (95W)
    17.0ºN 128.0ºE - 25 knots 1006 hPa

    reported as moving east slowly
    You guys were talking cold in sub-tropical climes...I remember this day in Baton Rouge. 3 full days below freezing with this one in the middle. Mid 20s for a high, single digits at night with a dew point below zero.

    The LSU lakes froze over well enough to walk on, albeit, there were small waves...so they froze with no flat surfaces. Very challenging to walk around on. I probably spent more time outside in those 3 days than I did for a full month in the summer as a kid.

    Naturally, that one did make it to Miami.
    Quoting atmoaggie:
    You guys were talking cold in sub-tropical climes...I remember this day in Baton Rouge. 3 full days below freezing with this one in the middle. Mid 20s for a high, single digits at night with a dew point below zero.

    The LSU lakes froze over well enough to walk on, albeit, there were small waves...so they froze with no flat surfaces. Very challenging to walk around on. I probably spent more time outside in those 3 days than I did for a full month in the summer as a kid.

    Naturally, that one did make it to Miami.


    We rarely get into the 20s for lows in Louisiana; I can't imagine high temperatures being in the 20s. Talk about cold...
    Complete Blog Refresh
    Mirror Site (New Format)
    I also added the Pacific Northwest to the blog.. seems only fair since I seem to be the only one having close to Hurricane Winds & Rains
    Also, I'm really hoping that we don't get a significantly cold winter this year like we did during the 2006 and early 2007 winter. We had a series of really cold days there for awhile, it seemed. And not to mention the abnormally cold Spring that followed the winter of 2007...

    Unless it snows (which is almost non-existant in Louisiana), I would prefer for it to be mild, but not humid. If it gets too cold, I don't particularly like it.

    Supposed to be really cold on Saturday and Sunday, though, atmo, and not forecast to warm up significantly after those two days, so maybe we'll have a cold winter here in LA. I dunno. I hope not, though. :)
    Quoting foggymyst:
    Does anyone know how cold/cool(or about) the front will be when it reaches sofla?

    and

    Are we still meeting here when hurricane is over? What will I do for my daily tropical yabber.......?


    Visit Aruba??
    Quoting KoritheMan:


    We rarely get into the 20s for lows in Louisiana; I can't imagine high temperatures being in the 20s. Talk about cold...


    This same cold event was also responsible for a leak of a flammable gas (maybe propane) at the Exxon refinery in BR. It pooled in a railroad underpass until 2 unfortunate souls drove a pickup into it. The boom rattled windows for at least a 30 mile radius with substantial damage for a 1/4 mile radius. If I remember right, the temperature had a fair bit to do with some pipeline contracting further than it actually could and remain closed...ala Challenger Shuttle booster tanks.
    303 - Orca

    That thing looks nasty, whats going on up there?
    ok, cold BR weather, check out January 11-13, 1962. The lakes froze over good. I didn't go out on 'em, but a lot of people did. We "skated" on the drainage ditch next to my house.

    I remember that explosion in 89, too. You could see the Milky Way the air was so clear the night before.

    Don't understand Atmo ... didn't go outside in summer???? Early June is still my favorite time of year. That's when school let out and we spent all day running around bare foot. Of course the schools didn't have air conditioning so being outside was better than in!
    Quoting KoritheMan:
    Also, I'm really hoping that we don't get a significantly cold winter this year like we did during the 2006 and early 2007 winter. We had a series of really cold days there for awhile, it seemed.


    It wasn't like it was all cold however; you probably recall stories of flowers blooming in January and stuff like that, though 2006-2007 wasn't quite as bad as 2005-2006 (though 2005 did have a pretty cold December, I am actually thinking we may have a winter like this; a very cold December but warmer in January and February).



    (note that anomalies are in Celsius)
    Quoting RTLSNK:
    303 - Orca

    That thing looks nasty, whats going on up there?


    Damned if I know..I am under that great big white thing with the rain in it

    Quoting bappit:
    ok, cold BR weather, check out January 11-13, 1962. The lakes froze over good. I didn't go out on 'em, but a lot of people did. We "skated" on the drainage ditch next to my house.

    I remember that explosion in 89, too. You could see the Milky Way the air was so clear the night before.

    Don't understand Atmo ... didn't go outside in summer???? Early June is still my favorite time of year. That's when school let out and we spent all day running around bare foot. Of course the schools didn't have air conditioning so being outside was better than in!


    Yeah, I like early June, too, somewhat. I really prefer cold, though. I am one of those nuts that relished going skiing in the Michigan UP and northern Wisconsin. Done that a number of times with a high of about 3 F and loved it.

    We "skated" on the drainage ditch next to my house. Hah! I vividly remember doing that, too!
    Looks like a giant plucked chicken with a beak, of course I always see animals in the clouds when I'm hungry. LOL
    Hi Orca, If that cold front over you the one to make it to florida? I know that nasa lowered the lift off chance bc of a front.
    Quoting foggymyst:
    Hi Orca, If that cold front over you the one to make it to florida? I know that nasa lowered the lift off chance bc of a front.


    Look at my blog.. then look at the east Coast.. that shows the front your talking about... I think.

    The one over us, is a long ways from Florida.
    Quoting RTLSNK:
    Looks like a giant plucked chicken with a beak, of course I always see animals in the clouds when I'm hungry. LOL


    I do the same thing when I see the clouds... and I am a middle aged male.. I am always hungry
    Thanks Orca. Stay dry..
    Go to Code1's blog, click on comments, go back to page 2, go to post 92. Before you do, tie yourself to your chair or you will end up on the floor. I had to read it three times before I caught all of it. Enjoy!
    Quoting foggymyst:
    Thanks Orca. Stay dry..


    Watch out if you see BeachFoxx on here tonight.. she was mean to me on my Blog .. something about my Halo, and a physical realignment of its location
    Quoting Orcasystems:
    I also added the Pacific Northwest to the blog.. seems only fair since I seem to be the only one having close to Hurricane Winds & Rains


    Well we may not be having the wind,, but we are having the rain! :)

    I added a new weatherstation last month and it is telling me we have had 7.90 inches since midnight last night .. Its connected via a satellite connection so right now the heavy rain is killing the connection once in a while... Its ID is KTXNAVAS2 or Rocky Creek Farm or just type in 77868 in the weather look up and you will see it... IF you care to watch us drown :)
    319 - swatkins

    Holy cow Batman, way too much red on that radar screen, and a flash flood warning to boot! Only good news is its moving NE at 40mph so hunker down and stay away from the windows.
    Quoting swatkins:


    Well we may not be having the wind,, but we are having the rain! :)

    I added a new weatherstation last month and it is telling me we have had 7.90 inches since midnight last night .. Its connected via a satellite connection so right now the heavy rain is killing the connection once in a while... Its ID is KTXNAVAS2 or Rocky Creek Farm or just type in 77868 in the weather look up and you will see it... IF you care to watch us drown :)


    7.9 INCHES?? and you guys say its rains to much up here.
    2008 just became the third wettest year on record here today:

    ...THE ST. LOUIS MO CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR NOVEMBER 11 2008...
    VALID TODAY AS OF 0400 PM LOCAL TIME.

    CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1971 TO 2000
    CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1870 TO 2008

    WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST
    VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR
    NORMAL
    ..................................................................
    TEMPERATURE (F)
    TODAY
    MAXIMUM 50 308 PM 85 1989 56 -6 70
    MINIMUM 39 659 AM 18 1976 38 1 52
    1950
    1911
    AVERAGE 45 47 -2 61

    PRECIPITATION (IN)
    TODAY 0.45 1.53 1992 0.13 0.32 0.02
    MONTH TO DATE 0.48 1.30 -0.82 0.02
    SINCE SEP 1 11.48 7.02 4.46 3.70
    SINCE JAN 1 52.03 33.48 18.55 26.59


    1. 54.97 1982
    2. 54.76 1993
    3. 52.03 2008
    4. 51.65 1984
    5. 50.83 1927
    6. 50.73 1985
    7. 50.31 1946
    8. 49.28 1915
    9. 49.20 1898
    10. 48.46 1876
    8.75 now... And Climbing :) Link
    322 - MichaelSTL - I take it the totals run until Dec 31? Not that far to go for number one.
    Hey.... that's not fair! Attack a sweet southern gal when she's not around to defend herself! Mean to you??? Ah, ha! Not mean... just kindly reminding you that you should not call "ladies" names! LOL
    Quoting Orcasystems:


    Watch out if you see BeachFoxx on here tonight.. she was mean to me on my Blog .. something about my Halo, and a physical realignment of its location
    Shup Fox!

    You're not that sweet!
    I would like to know what happened to the cold front we were expecting. 79 and muggy at midnight.

    Beautiful full moon - so bright I can see to the bottom of the pool.
    Quoting zoomiami:
    I would like to know what happened to the cold front we were expecting. 79 and muggy at midnight.

    Beautiful full moon - so bright I can see to the bottom of the pool.


    Take a look at #310, you can have that one if you like :)

    I am off for the night.. I need my sleep... getting old
    Quoting vortfix:
    Shup Fox!

    You're not that sweet!


    Thank you :)
    Now I get to see her pick on someone else.. I appreciate you taking up the challenge.. she is a handful
    Vort,

    I am hurt, serious hurt... You know I am sweeter than southern molasses!

    Brrr! Cold Front, can't we keep those Cold Fronts north of the border... say in Canada????
    Quoting vortfix:
    Shup Fox!

    You're not that sweet!
    Joint Typhoon Warning Center

    Tropical Disturbance Summary (0600z 12NOV)
    =========================================
    An area of convection (95W) located at 20.4N 128.5E has dissipated and is now no longer considered for tropical cyclone formation.

    An area of convection (24W) located at 17.8N 123.7E or 290 NM west-southwest of Manila, Philippines has become more persistent over the last 12 hours. Animated multispectral satellite imagery, an 2155z Quikscat image and a 0135z WINDSAT image all indicate that the existing low level circulation center has become better organized. Both the Quikscat and WINDSAT images depict 15-20 knot winds associated with the low level circulation center. Convection has persisted near the LLCC and weak banding has developed. Upper level analysis indicates a marginal environment with light to moderate vertical wind shear value have decreased and are expected to continue to decrease as the mid-latitude trough to the north moves eastward.

    Maximum sustained winds near the center is 15-20 knots with a minimum sea level pressure of 1006 MB. Due to the improved convective signature and lower vertical wind shear, the potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is FAIR.
    332. 7544
    cmc agrees with the msu and puts in a cane in the caribiean at 144 hours wait and see on this one

    Link
    RSMC: India Meteorological Department (New Delphi, India)

    Tropical Cyclone Bulletin (0600z 12Nov)
    ========================================
    A low level circulation lies over southeast and adjoining east central Bay of Bengal

    Convective clouds are seen over parts of Andaman Sea, South Bay of Bengal, and southeast Arabian Sea.

  • A low pressure area is likely to form over southeast Bay of Bengal and adjoining areas during next 48 hours. Numerical weather prediction models indicate its initial west- northwestwards movement and further intensification.
  • Joint Typhoon Warning Center
    11:00 AM UTC November 12 2008

    Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert (24W)
    morning......waking up slowly - to another beautiful -albeit -slightly gray morning ion Florida paradise. Cats love the cooler weather as they are racing up and down the hall & zooming out the swing door.
    Philippines Atmospherical Geophyical Astronomical Services and Administration

    The Active Low Pressure Area West of Southern Luzon has developed into a Tropical Depression named "SIONY"

    Tropical Cyclone Bulletin #1
    =========================
    At 5:00 PM PhST, Tropical Depression Siony located at 11.3°N 116.0°E or 310 km northwest of Puerto Princesa City has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots.

    Additional Information
    =======================
    Tropical Depression "SIONY" is expected to bring rains over Palawan area which may trigger flash floods and landslides.

    The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 11 p.m. tonight.
    Good morning...
    Morning Hades, Surfmom, 48 F in Macon Ga this morning, 74% wet air, no rain yet, the veggie garden could use some real rain, they don't seem to like the house chloro stuff much.
    Morning Logic, you snuck in here while I was typing!
    Quoting KoritheMan:


    We rarely get into the 20s for lows in Louisiana; I can't imagine high temperatures being in the 20s. Talk about cold...



    why not move up north here where I am it is 36 right now and not even winter yet
    Quoting RTLSNK:
    Morning Logic, you snuck in here while I was typing!


    Hehe...
    morning

    These names are really getting confusing in the WPAC.

    JTWC is calling it 24W (Maysak)
    Pagasa gave it a new name Siony.. a 24-48 ago it was Quinta.

    guess will wait to see if JMA gives 24W another name or JTWC re-numbers it 25W.
    Well... looking at the models this AM and it sure looks the Hurricane season is about to be done, but it wants to at least squeeze one more system before it goes out officially.

    00Z/06Z GFS/NOGAPS/MM5 shows a weak low developing in the Central Carib. Of course 00Z CMC is being a bit more bullish on this one.

    Guess we'll see how subsequent runs do... but it seems that the majority of the models are developing some sort of troughiness in the area. MJO is forecasted to be in its positive phase towards the start of December in this region... as as we saw with Paloma shear will be a great barrier for whatever attemps to develop in this region this time of the year.
    342 - hades - I'm still working on that typhoon that hit DaNang Vietnam in Sep of 1967. Along with Patsy there was also Thelma and Vera. All three were only tropical storms but I still can't find which one of them hit DaNang, but I'm having fun checking and learning about all of the Pacific typhoon centers, tons of records to go through!
    345. IKE
    Paloma.....




    TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
    700 AM EST WED NOV 12 2008

    FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

    A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
    PALOMA...IS LOCATED BETWEEN CUBA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND IS
    MOVING WESTWARD NEAR AT 15 MPH. THE ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY IS
    LIMITED...AND CONDITIONS DO NOT FAVOR RE-DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
    SYSTEM.

    A SLOW-MOVING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 850 MILES SOUTHWEST
    OF THE AZORES IS PRODUCING A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
    UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
    SO...AND DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED.

    ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
    NEXT 48 HOURS.

    $$

    FORECASTER PASCH
    346. IKE
    Paloma looped(give it a minute to load).


    Paloma is like the energizer-bunny.....keeps going and going and going........
    until paloma shows up on the ir i really dont care or do yes i care im obsessed with this stuff. have a good day bloggers
    OK, 51 degrees, time to check the gardens before the rain moves in, BBL.
    Quoting IKE:
    Paloma looped(give it a minute to load).


    Paloma is like the energizer-bunny.....keeps going and going and going........


    I wouldn't mind getting the remnants of Paloma on its current stated... given that it maintain its current circulation and strength. :P
    Good Morning: Drizzley morning here in Melbourne - the cold front is beginning to come through but temps are great!
    I just updated my blog if anyone would like to review....

    TampaSpin Blog Link
    thanks for the update tampa
    Quoting ftpiercecane:
    thanks for the update tampa


    Your welcome......its been a long season that is coming to and end soon. The LeeWard Islands could have a storm coming in about 4 days.
    Morning Tampa

    Complete Blog Refresh
    Mirror Site (New Format)
    Quoting TampaSpin:


    Your welcome......its been a long season that is coming to and end soon. The LeeWard Islands could have a storm coming in about 4 days.


    You talking about this one?

    Nice update Tampa,thanks again for keeping us updated all season,as the season winds down,most areas of interest have little or no chance from here on out.
    Morning Orca, We need to get those storms clouds out of your neighborhood - 2nd day of yuck weather?

    when does your postal guy show? my postal guy said the canadian postal system is notoriously slow...now I found that hard to believe.. is it so.

    Cause with that weather you and the Mrs. deserve some tropical sunshine delivered to your door.
    Quoting Orcasystems:


    You talking about this one?



    Yep thats the one i see possibly having a chance nearing the islands.
    short active period ahead? thanks the update devilray guy.
    One thing interesting is how warm the GOM, Carribean and the Altantic still is.......

    Im ready for College Basketball now......
    baseball is all yr round offseason is just a blur happy weather folks
    363. IKE
    Water temps right at the NW Florida coast have dropped into the mid-60's.
    spring training opens in less than 3 months
    BracGypsy here with an update of Cayman Brac's progress a month after Paloma. It's come a long way in a month, but lot's of the island is still without power. I live here on the Brac, and have seen first hand devastation of what Cat 4 Palomam with CAT 5 winds gust can do.

    We are doing ok, were just really tired. I seemed to have hit a wall, I am so tired, and stressed out. I am surprised that no here as jumped off the end of the Bluff yet. Everyone here is stressed out. We are still digging out from Paloma. It really hit the Brac hard. Paloma was an extremely dangerous category 4 with Category 5 gust.

    Everyone here on the Brac has a different story, here is my story: My husband and I were in our home though it all. When the wind was at it's highest 3 huge pine trees "2 of which uprooted and hit the back of our house, which caused 2 -12 ft sliding doors to break out. That's when all hell broke loose inside our home, there were 145 to 155mph winds going straight though the living room and kitchen of our home, and out the living room picture windows in the front of the house, along with everything else we owned.. Also the sliding glass door in our master bedroom blew out, and the winds blew straight though to the bathroom and blew out a 4ft window, and most everything in the bathroom blew with it, never have found that window.

    THE "Beaufort wind force scale" which records the wind speed was located at the airport here on the Brac, It is said it can withstand up to 200mph without blowing away. Well it blew away and was never found. "that's what I was told anyway".

    The back end of our house is practically gone with the winds, and everything with it. It was really scary. It's like everything we owned just sucked up inside something huge above us, and poof it is gone in seconds.

    Just about 10 minutes before the glass doors broke out we were sitting about 15ft from those same glass sliding doors, when my husband shined his flashlight at the doors, the doors looked as if they were really breathing. I jumped up and said: Honey this is not a safe place to be, so we went into or bedroom, and grabbed our king size mattress and slid it into the hallway with us, along with two couch pillows, cell phones and flash lights, water. Then we started hearing things hit the house "really hard, and then we heard sheet metal roofing peeling off the house. The house was shaking and making strange cracking sounds. The roar of the hurricane was deafening, I will never forget that loud roaring sound Paloma made. The winds blew away 40ft of our back room, 20ft of our master bedroom and the wash room, and our master bath, and wet sheet rock went down in nearly every room. The walls of parts of our house also hit my car and totaled it, and we lost a 3rd of all the roofing. Our House looks like a real hurricane hit it, the yard as well. We have chainsawed up the biggest of the mess, but it still looks like a real mess. In all, 4 big huge pines fell. A lot of grape trees, and 5 coconut trees, and bush and wood everywhere. Thousands of trees, and brush are down all over the island. It looked as if ALL telephone polls and lines went down all over the Brac. It also looks like a huge lawn mower went over the island and mowed off everything, and what Paloma left is no taller than 15th in height. All leaves are stripped of all trees We have found parts of our roof up 1500ft away, and parts of other people stuff in our yard. We have NO houses close to us, the only one is at the least 2000ft away. What a war-zone

    When the winds came in the back glass doors of the house they blew out the front picture windows. We have a wooden sliding door in our hallway, Mark and I opened it about3 inches, and we saw everything blowing out the front of the house, plus we couldn't see the other side of the living room wall "which was 20ft away" because of the blast of winds and rain and salt spray that was blasting through our living room..We live 110ft fro the sea, and about 12ft above sea level. Pictures off the walls, furniture, and glass was braking everywhere, we slammed that little wooden door shut real fast when glass came flying towards us and hit the door.

    The waves came almost up to the house, and also brought the prettiest white beach sand you ever seen, but also rocks. When I pick out all the rocks it's will be beautiful again. After a month today we still have no power, We were running a generator at the office in-order to get Internet, and a generator at home. We just got phone here at the office, and hoping to get power soon. The light company are getting all business's up and running before homes.

    90% of all homes and business lost roofs here, and parts or all of peoples homes are gone with the winds too. This island is devastated, at least 500 to 600 people are homeless.
    The day after Paloma' I hung 400ft of clothes line and filled the line 6 times with wet things. What a mess, wet drywall, and insulation is horrible, and whoever invented that shit should be shot dead, and if he's already dead, dig him up and kill him again. "Just kiddng"....

    We are still finding our clothes, and all kinds of our personal things up in the bush, and even in the trees.

    Then water stared coming in and it tasted like SALT, that's when we got REAL scared. We both jumped up and ran to a window to look were the sea was. It was slapping up against the back of the trees, 10ft from the house. Waves at that time were between 25 to30ft in storm serge. WE are 110 ft from the sea. So waves were pushing in 100 ft. but by the time they reached the house' they were just slapping the back of the pine trees. Thanks goodness, or we could have kissed our asses good-bye. We could not have ever tried to make a run for it, cause the way we would have had to run was the directon the winds was blowing parts of our house, so that would have been per suicide. I would have rather taken my chances inside my home. Which was a smart move on our part, because it was still dark at that time, and our 800ft driveway was full of tree limbs and wood and sheet metal from our house.

    I can' speak for everyone here on the Brac, but I do give thanks for being alive to relay this story to anyone who wants to hear it.

    Here are some really great pictures from Courty Platt of what Paloma did to Cayman Brac.
    http://www.flickr.com/photos/courtneyplatt/sets/72157609576323778/

    BracGypsy!