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'Noreaster Noel whips up high winds and huge waves

By: Dr. Jeff Masters, 1:50 PM GMT on November 04, 2007

'Noreaster Noel whipped past New England Saturday, bringing coastal flooding, heavy rains up to four inches, and numerous reports of downed trees and power lines. The top wind gust in the U.S. was 89 mph at Barnstable on Cape Cod. The highest sustained winds were measured on Nantucket Island--56 mph, gusting to 72. The highest wind gusts in Maine were 64 mph measured at Brooklin and Cutler. Acadia National Park had one of the highest rain fall totals, 4.2 inches, and up to three inches of snow was recorded in northwestern Maine. At the storm's peak, 43,000 people lost power in Massachusetts.

Huge waves up to 34 feet high were measured in Halifax Harbor in Nova Scotia, and waves up to 46 feet high were measured at the Georgian Bank buoy midway between Cape Cod and Nova Scotia. Top winds in Nova Scotia were 50 mph, gusting to 62 mph, measured at Brier Island between 4am and 6am this morning. The 'Noreaster is over the Gulf of St. Lawrence this morning, with a central pressure of 970 mb and sustained winds near 50 mph. The storm knocked out power to over 150,000 people in Nova Scotia.


Figure 1. Rainfall estimate for the six hours ending at 4am EST Sunday, 11/04/07. Rainfall amounts up to 3 inches (75 mm) were observed in extreme northeastern Nicaragua. Image credit: Navy Research Lab, Monterey.

Near-tropical depression hits Nicaragua and Honduras
A region of disturbed weather that was the southern portion of Hurricane Noel's rainy regime acquired a spin of its own, almost became a tropical depression, and has now moved inland near the Nicaragua/Honduras border. This disturbance (91L) is generating rains of up to three inches every six hours (Figure 1). Total rain rain amounts of 5-10 are possible in Nicaragua and Honduras along the path of 91L, which could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.

I'll have an update Monday morning.

Jeff Masters
Noel's Beach Erosion
Noel's Beach Erosion
No big hits this year but ended the season at a 19 year low for sand. Caught in the gradent between highs up north & 'canes down south, with a handfull of invests/depressions come through.
Shredded foresail
Shredded foresail
The remnants of hurricane Noel passed just east of us this afternoon. Narragansett Bay experienced sustained winds over 40 mph with gusts over 60 mph. Most sailors got their boats to safe harbor, but some were not so fortunate. Five boats broke free of their moorings in Dutch Harbor. Four of them ended up on the rocks.
Broken free
Broken free
The remnants of hurricane Noel passed just east of us this afternoon. Narragansett Bay experienced sustained winds over 40 mph with gusts over 60 mph. Most sailors got their boats to safe harbor, but some were not so fortunate. Five boats broke free of their moorings in Dutch Harbor. Four of them ended up on the rocks. This one hit very hard

Winter Weather

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

Reader Comments

Morning Sebastian, looks like its just you and me so far this morning
Thanks for the update.
omg, wreckhouse in newfoundland just recorded a 180 km/h gust with sustained winds of 108km/h
Thanks Dr M but quikscat shows 91L to actually be at 12N/81W and not ashore in Nicaragua.

If the convection that went ashore is in fact 91L then we will soon have 92L based upon the very distinct surface low that can be seen spinning just to the N of Panama
Year of the almost tds 2007.
Thank you Skepony for proving my point:)
TS Pepiah rapidly approaching Luzon in the Philippines this area has already had mudslides from earlier Typhoons - then heading to Central Vietnam which is already experiencing the worst flooding in 40 years - forecast to be CAT1 by the time it reaches Vietnam

Link
7. leftovers 8:16 AM CST on November 04, 2007
Year of the almost tds 2007.


Yeah, you only say that because your country is not one of those that suffered billions in damage and/or hundreds of deaths... trying to downplay the season just because it wasn't like 2005 (for the United States; it was even worse than 2005 in some other countries). Also, some perspective on just how well the Atlantic has done this year:



I would say pretty good when comparing it to other basins and the Northern Hemisphere overall, the lowest activity since 1977 (though some are trying to make you think that Atlantic has been the least active since then; this also does not consider the number of storms, which is dismal in the East Pacific)...
12. KRL
46 foot waves? Wow, can you imagine being in a boat with those coming at you. Ouch.
So...Do you all think we're done for the year? Or is there going to be one more surprise?

I there's a small chance for something else...maybe from a stalled front in the Caribbean or something.
Thanks for the update, Doc M
Thanks Dr M you snuck that on in on me

Bump over from previous blog:

607. ShenValleyFlyFish 9:27 AM EST on November 04, 2007
Atlantic coast marine weather from Enviro/Canada Link
Morning.

None of the models are predicting anything to form anytime this week. Well still probably see more invests and maybe one more named storm but I think this season is now closing up. Still, anything could happen between now and the end of November...
Kman is right:

Yep, I see that Kman but it is a naked swirl and will need to gain convection over itself if it wants to develop. Shear is pretty high though (20-30 knots of northeasterly shear due to the anticyclone over 91L)...it's going to have a tough time getting anywhere if/until the shear diminishes (which it doesn't look like it unless it goes farther north) and it can get some decent thunderstorm activity going...
great link Sidney
Thx ShenValley - This is a relatively new Typhoon Site setup by someone in the Philippines

Link
Good Day

Non Tropical Vortex in the South Atlantic just to the East of Southern South America.

Cold Front Leaving Iceland

There are two separate areas of low pressure.
Fantastic images 456
sydneyaust1,

thanks
Typhoon 21W PEIPAH

Station LAOAG, Philippines (RPLI) on the northwest coast of the island being impacted is reporting 12 Knot winds and 1005 millibar pressure. The core of tightest winds is near the center which is a tropical characteristic as oppose to non-tropical storm Noel whose winds were felt well away from the center decreasing near the center as it crossed over buoy 44004 yesterday.
Blob? is there anything to the swirly blob around 17N/58W.

You can't beat technical mumbo jumbo like that.
Well 4AM and time for sleep - good thoughts to people of Philipines and hope you all have a good day and Mount Kelud erupted yesterday. Also may the Invests leave Mexico alone. Nite to all you North West hemisphere people.
Thanks for a feature pic spot Dr Masters:)

What has been shelled out & layed down after the 2004 storms has all been taken & then some. The pic was from across Coral Way in Indialantic, FL. The news & NWS is still pleeding with the public to stay out of the water because of the dangerous surf. In the same series as that erosion pic is a dude Kite Surfing. Has a huge parishute kite & a surfboard strapped to him.
By BBC

Scientists from Queen's University in Belfast have found three new planets orbiting their own stars.

The new discoveries have been named Wasp-1, 2 and 3 respectively. They are all gas giants similar to our Jupiter.

Using equipment they built themselves, the scientists from the University's Astrophysics Research Centre have been observing hundreds of thousands of stars for several months.


An artist's impression of an Exoplanet

Enlarge Image

The team is hunting what are known as exoplanets.

These are planets outside our Solar System. They orbit their own stars, or suns, many of them in just a couple of days, unlike the Earth which takes a year to make a full orbit.

Indeed, some of the planets discovered so far are so close to their stars that their "surface" temperatures probably exceed 2000C.

So there is little chance of life being present.


It looks like 91l is travelling NW and will re-enter the Caribbean later today.

Should get real rough here on The Bay Islands of Honduras later on. If it gets real good I will take some pics and post.

Anybody know why the models are showing west or SW movement when it has been on a nw track almost constantly?

Thanks.
from Enviroment Canada

Warnings

Nain to Hopedale
11:20 AM NST Sunday 4 November 2007
Blowing snow warning for
Nain to Hopedale continued


Blowing snow giving near zero visibilities at times can be expected today and tonight.

This is a warning that an extended period of blowing snow with poor visibilities is expected or occurring in these regions. Monitor weather conditions..Listen for updated statements.



Post tropical storm Noel will move into southern Labrador today and is forecast to pass over Goose Bay this evening. Snow associated with this system will begin near noon for northern areas. Total snowfall of 20 centimetres is expected in parts of northern and western Labrador. Strong winds will also result in near zero visibilities at times in blowing snow over western and northern Labrador. Southwesterly winds gusting to 100 km/h are forecast to develop along the strait of Belle Isle this evening as the low passes by.

Please refer to the latest public forecasts for further details and monitor future forecasts for additional warnings if required.
My Home from Queen Mary 2 cruise ship web cam

Environment Canada Weather Forecast

Marine Forecast issued for North Labrador Coast.
Issued: 9.30 AM NST on Sunday 04 November 2007.

Synopsis:
The remnants of post-tropical storm Noel will track northward over the western half of the Gulf of St Lawrence today then move northeastward over the Mid Labrador Coast tonight. On Monday the storm will continue its northeastward track across the East Labrador Sea. Ahead of the system winds will increase to gale to storm force southeasterlies south of the track while north of the track gale force northeasterlies will develop. In the wake of the system winds will shift to gale to storm force westerly winds. Winds will begin to diminish over western waters late on Monday as the storm pulls away.
Marine interests are advised that storm warnings are continued for South Labrador Coast..Mid Labrador Coast Hopedale and south..South Labrador Sea..And East Labrador Sea southern half. Gale warnings Are continued for all other areas.

Forecast:
Gale warning continued.
Winds southwest 20 knots becoming variable 10 to 15 early this afternoon then increasing to northeast 20 early this evening.
Winds increasing to northerly gales 35 overnight and to northwest gales 45 Monday morning. Gales diminishing to northwest winds 25 Monday evening. Snow beginning this afternoon ending Monday morning.
Visibility fair to poor in snow. Temperatures near zero.
Copyright © 2007 Environment Canada
All Rights Reserved
Looks like 91L might come offshore fairly intact around Roatan, Honduras and move more NW. Does anyone else see this possibility, I don't think it will make into the EPAC at this point.Just my opinion.
Can anyone explain to me why Dr. Masters uses the term 'Noreaster rather than Nor'easter? I live in the northeast and I've only ever seen the apostrophe replace the "th". Thanks.
I have written a website to show off your weather images http://thundercloud.freeweb7.com/images/index.php
storm,

With you all the way.
39. Weather456 12:44 PM EST on November 04, 2007 My Home from Queen Mary 2 cruise ship web cam

Alright
btw how did you link to it, and how did you know camera was there?
Weather456,

Nice Photos and I wouldn't want to live on a planet that is 2000C. A little too warm and toasty for me!

Hopefully no suprises for the end of the 2007 Hurricane Season. 2007 was kind to the U.S. Hopefully 2008 will be too. I feel sorry for The Carribean and South American and other countries that were not so lucky this year.
That's really sad about the broken boats! Thanks for the updates (yesterday and today) and for the photos, Dr. Masters!
MOUNT KELUD in Indonesia eruption:

The country is spread across 17,500 islands and is prone to volcanic eruptions and earthquakes because of its location on the so-called "Ring of Fire"--a series of fault lines stretching from the Western Hemisphere through Japan and Southeast Asia.
...
For weeks, authorities have pleaded with villagers to move to tent camps or government buildings, but have faced resistance.

Many people have insisted on staying behind to tend to crops or look after their houses.

Some apparently believe a local myth stating if they stayed at home without switching indoor lights on or speaking in a loud voice then the mountain would not erupt.

http://newsinfo.inquirer.net/breakingnews/world/view_article.php?article_id=98647
46. ShenValleyFlyFish 1:57 PM AST on November 04, 2007 Hide this comment.
39. Weather456 12:44 PM EST on November 04, 2007 My Home from Queen Mary 2 cruise ship web cam

Alright
btw how did you link to it, and how did you know camera was there?


Most cruise ships have public webcams and i knew queen Mary 2 was in dock today so i went to the website and link the image using the code image posting code.

http://www.cunard.com/bridgecam/qm2_cam1.asp
Funny, That's my shredded foresail in the pictures. One of the lucky ones though, the mooring bridle was worn almost all the way through.
Indonesia officials deny Mt. Kelud erupted
http://abcnews.go.com/US/wireStory?id=3815831
47. listenerVT 12:59 PM EST on November 04, 2007
Has anyone heard from Bonedog since he went storm chasing Noel?

If he's who I think (how many wunderblogers could have been storm chasing in Nova Scotia, locals would have seen similar and have enough sense to come in out of the rain) he's OK but weather messed up his camera. What happened to days of old Nikon F when you could drop it in salt water, slosh it out good with Vodka, sit it in the sun for a bit then spray it down with WD 40, and keep on gittin it? You still would have been considered a fool if you traveled without a spare back and lenses? Not saying Bonedog is a fool just seems strange how things change. Read an article in a mag by a pro animal photographer went to Jungle and didn't mention a backup.
I went a head and took down my storm shutters today.
I wanted to wait a couple more weeks just in case, but the weather is so nice today (75-80 degrees with low humidity) I couldn't resist.

The odd are in my favor of not having a major storm. If we do get a storm I will gladly put them back up because it will be something very rare.

Here's an article I found about Nov. Hurricanes.

Major storms, U.S. hurricanes rare in November

When Hurricane Michelle became a major hurricane with winds of 135 mph on Nov. 3, 2001, it was the first major Atlantic Basin hurricane in November since Hurricane Lenny in 1999 and only the sixth major hurricane in any November since 1900.

November hurricanes that hit the USA are even rarer than major November hurricanes. Only four hurricanes have hit the USA in November since 1900 and these were all were category 1 storms that hit Florida. While Michelle's tropical storm force winds (39 to 73 mph) hit Florida, its eye didn't cross the coast, which means the storm "brushed" but didn't hit the USA.

after looking at the models they show 91l going in land and the going ne in the caribiean could the clip be on to something here .
StormW what do you think of 91L today? Thank you in advance for your input
Afternoon All, that was some "weak" front that turned Noel lol It did not stall until it hit eastern Cuba!! lol
Link
What does that mean if it continues westward for another day in a half it should die out in nicaragua? Thank you
Could someone post what Dr. Gray forecasted for november
Wow so the possibility of still having two hurricanes and a major one is still present
If a hurricane were to form it could only be supported in the Caribbean. I doubt we will see two hurricanes.
good
Whats up drakoen what are your views on 91L today
this is sort of weather related...
I vaguely remember a correlation from I think the farmer's almanac (haven't had one in years)
about the years that the oak trees drop an abundance of acorns means a long cold winter. I guess extra food for the critters, does that sound familiar to anyone else?
108. Miamiweather 9:13 PM GMT on November 04, 2007
Whats up drakoen what are your views on 91L today

not much to say. Moving west over land...
tig I never heard that one. Wouldn't hold up anyhow as is more dependent on growing season. That's why we are having such problems with road kills and the hunters are having such a poor deer harvest. Browse along roadside more plentiful than mast crop in the mountains. Looks to be a rough winter for the wild critters.

Plant your corn when oak leaves the size of squirrel's ears is actually pretty reliable. Have to have a certain combination of moisture, soil temperature and daylight which works for sprouting corn.
In SC we are innundated by acorns...never been this many before. Neighbor has the tree, maybe 15-20% of it is over the fence...I can sweep 5 gallons of the suckers every other day and have been for weeks...
119. ryang
.
thats what i was wondering JP LOL.
124. ryang
LOL... That's why the TWD, came out at 1:00 EST?
hello everyone. tahnks god everything is quiet again.down here in hialeah the weather is very good with cool temperatures
new update
lol miami...was wondering what the link was for..he he he :0)
US Navy as an Aerographer's Mate for 7 1/2 years, got out in 2004, logistically supported Kosovo, was not in major combat, and I support anyone with a different opinion than mine...
Peipah.....Now this is what you call a jog. Speed up a bit.

MIMIC


Comming out the other side soon if not already.
Anyone else notice that plume of colder water into the Pacific on the back side of Yucatan Mts. Water must just be rolling off them.
This is off-topic but the GFS finally shows some accumulating snow for the Northeast in about 5-6 days. So does the DGEX and GEM.
Phillies, pass me a link? Thnx
Here floodman:

18z GFS

You should know that a lot of past runs have shown this too. When the GFS is consistent with their forecasts for 5-7 days, look out. It correctly predicted Hurricane Dean 10 days before it formed.
Storm W - OK, just wandering as I will be taking Mom again on a lil trip and last time she was so upset no snow! We are booked Dec 2 - 6th. Thanks again! You are the best!
Looks like you're right, Phillies...the temps shoud be right and there's a nice low sliding through
Storm W - Thanks, better get my nickels out for her, no snow, so casino it is! LOL
no Olga i guess lol
Did anybody get pictures of the 34' waves in Halifax Harbor. If so, please send me some pics, thanks David Savannah dhkeywest@aol.com

I wonder how the lighthouse at Peggy's cove faired?
Just back in from a backpacking trip, wondering what I've missed in the last two days. Noel swept north, I see. 91L is moving over land, but there appears to be another circulation ENE of it?
Been gone for the day.

Anybody come up with the ACE numbers for this year. I know the year isn't over so the numbers will be YTD more than likely.

Just curious how it compares with previous years.
jpritch
Just back in from a backpacking trip, wondering what I've missed in the last two days. Noel swept north, I see. 91L is moving over land, but there appears to be another circulation ENE


I agree. The circulation looks like it is moving off the coast now. We will see if we get another burst of energy soon.

The whole area in the Northern Caribbean is associated with a surface trough of low pressure. The NHC is probably monitoring it to see if another area of low pressure can form over water. I don't see any defined circulation center at this point.
181. dhkeywest 6:26 PM EST on November 04, 2007
Did anybody get pictures of the 34' waves in Halifax Harbor. If so, please send me some pics, thanks David Savannah dhkeywest@aol.com

I wonder how the lighthouse at Peggy's cove faired?


There is a blog in the featured section of the blogs you can access with the blogs button at the top of the page which is by a storm chasing photo who was in Nova Scotia. I expect that he will have some stuff up by late tomorrow. If you want to read about his experience it's fun.

As for Peggy's Cove lighthouse, it's stood this long I didn't have any worries for it. The web cam on the hotel across the street craped out in the middle of the night which dissipointed me because I was hoping to see some waves when daylight came. It's back up and the lighthouse is standing. If you want to check: Link
Query if I may...since someone asked about snow. I have reservations for Cancun Jan 5-19. Hopefully no snow.. but would love clear skys and hot :)

AND no out of season hurricanes thank you very much.

StormW, any ideas what I can expect that time of year?
183. lindenii 5:31 PM CST on November 04, 2007
Been gone for the day.

Anybody come up with the ACE numbers for this year. I know the year isn't over so the numbers will be YTD more than likely.

Just curious how it compares with previous years.


Here are the currentl stats for the Northern Hemisphere, whoch is experiencing historic inactivity this year (currently the second lowest on record):



Another way to compare is with the Power Dissipation Index (similar to ACE, except that ACE squares the windspeeds and PDI cubes it, so it emphasises stronger storms more):



Link

The latter is pretty telling; relatively speaking, the Atlantic has been very active this year (it is also the only basin that has had an above average number of storms). In fact, I think that if it wasn't for La Nina, the 2007 season would have been like 1977 (6 storms, although one was a Cat 5 that hit Mexico; 2007 has actually been similar to 1988, in the major storms and intensity distribution (a few strong storms, many weaker storms); 1988 also had a strong La Nina and no significant U.S. hits but a lot of Caribbean and Central America hits).
hi all is something tying to form north of the islands in the cent atlantic ?Link
Trolls can only 'survive' thru attention. Take that attention away from them and they crawl back where they came from.

AND yes, guys, I know it's hard to do so:(
214. V26R
Flood or Bone
You guys around???
218. V26R
Not much
Came thru Noel pretty much clean
Had a few mnasty winds gusts about 37 mph
but no rain to speak of Just a few sprinkles
217. V26R 12:45 AM GMT on November 05, 2007
And whats A pokeman tournement???


LOL.
It's a card game with little anime monsters, played by children...

Stormybil, it looks like there's some low level vorticity north of Hispaniola; it doiesn't extend above 850mb...probably some thunderstorm activity, though there's a tropical wave south of there and 10-20 knt shear in the area
Good deal, V2...looks like you may get some more later this week though; a couple of the models are showing a fairly deep low moving up the coast
peace and love dudes.. peace and love.

k.c. lost, bummer. they came in second as did matt kenseth.

wazzup in the carib, gom and atl tonight? i just got it so haven't checked yet. gonna go check real quick.

keywords: peace and love everyone.. harmony
Wazzup, scuba? Not much, really...some light convection here and there associated with a tropical wave, other than that just 91L breaking up over Nicaraugua
The GOM is DRY and looking at 30-80knt shear all the way down to the west enbd of Cuba, so not a lot there, but the Phillipines are heating up
What is happening wih the RED and BLUE models at the bottom?

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200791_model.html
243. V26R
Sorry Flood minor trouble here with oil burner
Which models calling for another hit up this way???
ban been imposed
Evenin folks. Well, at least the tropics are pretty quiet *smiles*
Hey welcome back Stormpetrol
V26R thanks but sometime you have set the record straight, now back to weather. Does anyone have idea whats going on with 91L?
Thanks ShenValleyFlyFish.
LOL...smart a@@

Winding down from work, catching up on maps etc. Feelin pretty darned good. How bout yourself? Did you survive "post-tropical" Noel unscathed?
257. V26R
Yep that my middle name!!!

Got a few sprinkles yesterday morning
alot with a gust of 37mph on my wind gauge
So yes I think we got thru okay
252. V26R 8:42 PM EST on November 04, 2007 Man I suddenly got this terrible headache

Check your barometer. Sometimes if my sinus allergies are kicking just right I can tell to the second when a front moves through.
Can someone please answer my question? thanks.

What is happening wih the RED and BLUE models at the bottom?

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200791_model.html
265. V26R
HG those are probably the computer guesstimating where a center may form
and move from
LOL......... Storm!! Good to see you again, sir
thanks V26R, so that means they are predicting the center reform around there?
274. V26R
Those computer models HG
263. HurricaneGeek 1:51 AM GMT on November 05, 2007
Can someone please answer my question? thanks.

What is happening wih the RED and BLUE models at the bottom?

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200791_model.html



Those are the GFDL and NOGAPS models...looks like they intialized with bad data
Good evening StormW, or if you could answer my question that would be helpful thanks.
OK thanks!
Last year I told myself I'd tidy up all my links after the season was over. This year..they got even worse. I started trying to "organize" them and now I'm having trouble FINDING things *laffs*
287. V26R
okay posts are disappearing once again from me
All my good stuff just went to someplace on Mars
OK StormW thanks!
290. V26R
Evening STorm!!!

(second try)
57. ShenValleyFlyFish 6:24 PM GMT on November 04, 2007

47. listenerVT 12:59 PM EST on November 04, 2007
Has anyone heard from Bonedog since he went storm chasing Noel?


If he's who I think (how many wunderblogers could have been storm chasing in Nova Scotia...


Shen, my understanding is that Bonedog was going to Gloucester, MA, not Nova Scotia. So maybe that was someone else with the camera issue.

Photography is one of my favourite hobbies, though, and I miss the simplicity of all-manual cameras. I sure do like the digital kind now, all the same. I have a Nikon D70, which has manual override, so that's the best of both worlds.
295. V26R
I went out after it started clearing up here
and saw only one sailboat that broke
loose from its moorings
I took a shot of it and posted it with my other shots here
Hey V2, you got a pic of the "Teaser"!
300. V26R
Thanks Storm
Only really started taking Pix in ernest about a year ago
Not sure what type of ship The Ghost Ship
was but was out fishing on a foggy misty day
and she just popped out of the fog and couldn't resist
Not even sure how I got that Brownish tint
to the shot, but looks funky!
That's a gorgeous pic, V2 It has a really eerie quality about it
302. V26R
Thanx Baja

Flood Teaser???
Is there anyone on from Cancun? I am going there and I have never been to the eastern side of Mexico befor, normally its the west coast. The websites I have found are not all that helpful about the weather in January?
305. V26R
test
302. V26R 2:15 AM GMT on November 05, 2007
Thanx Baja

Flood Teaser???



An 1812 war privateer that sailed out of NY; lost at sea in 1813 or so but seen occasionally since then...supposedly

sorry, head full of useless knowledge LOL
307. V26R
okay let me try this again
Orca been there in Late November
was rainy then
But you should be okay bring sunscreen
and use the buses
they're cheaper than the taxi's and will get you around just the same
309. V26R
Just may have been Flood
Went back out that way after that and She
was gone
So who knows, especially with the wierd
brown tint that I cannot explain!
307. V26R 2:24 AM GMT on November 05, 2007
okay let me try this again
Orca been there in Late November
was rainy then
But you should be okay bring sunscreen
and use the buses
they're cheaper than the taxi's and will get you around just the same
Action: | Ignore User


Thank you :)
Looking forward to it.. love to snorkle, and its suppose to be better then PV and HI.
If that fails.. will sit beside/in the pool and drink for 14 days.
312. V26R
One more thing
If you want buy those underwater cameras
get the ones from Kodak that are good to 35 feet down) at home before you leave
Man they cost a bundle down there
291. listenerVT 9:01 PM EST on November 04, 2007
Photography is one of my favourite hobbies, though, and I miss the simplicity of all-manual cameras. I sure do like the digital kind now, all the same. I have a Nikon D70, which has manual override, so that's the best of both worlds.


It's not so much the controls so much as the total dependence on electronics which worries me. Goes back before digital. If your batteries crap out you might as well flush the assignment. Did some hack work for a guy several years ago. Something was always fowling up. Got so I started packing my old FTN along. As long as there was light i could save the shoot. I bailed when he started giving us digital. No way to save the day and I wasn't about to shell out for a whole rig. Since i got this wizzbang computer i guess I'll have to bite the bullet. Still don't know to do about fowl weather used to shoot some of my best sports stuff in the rain. Wouldn't even think about a tropical storm. (See its blog related) ;~)
Thank you StormW & V26R
"You fool me not a bit, you and JRF are one and the same...

Again, just put the joint down, take a deep breath, eat a brownie and go away. I'm sure you'll be a little more coherent in the morning.

P.S. - Didn't you say that you were out of here?
later jp flood everybody else
I heard some companies are starting to sell homeowners insurance for property in the east side of US1 again here on the Treasure Coast of Florida. For a while, only the state run Citizens would sell in my area. Rates were 300% higher. I guess they figured there is an invisible wall that keeps storms from crossing over the highway. I did see many home on the west side damaged too, but I guess it was just a mistake. I guess you can only get insurance if you are in an area where you will never need to use it. We had about $5,000 worth of damage from three directed hits in 2004 and 2005. First time in over 30 years, but I guess that makes us a double victim. Glad to see the last 2 years avoid our area even though we have had plenty of rain.

helloooooooo

246. stormpetrol 1:30 AM GMT on November 05, 2007

Been in bed overnight. Welcome back Stormpetrol, you did us all a favour in the end. You saying you would leave the blog led a number of defending your case and this flushed the trolls out, they have I understand now been banned.

'Evil prospers when good men do nothing.'

Thanks once again for waking us up to what was happening to OUR blog!
Good Morning, cannot stay long

I don't if you all heard of the recent flooding in the Mexican state of Tabasco where heavy rains submerge 80% of the city in at least 6 meters of water. The scene was describe as similar to the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina in New Orleans.


Homes sit under floodwaters in Villahermosa, Mexico, Sunday, Nov. 4, 2007. Mexico's President Felipe Calderon called the flooding one of the country's worst recent natural disasters, submerging at least 80 percent of the oil-rich Tabasco state and destroying or damaging the homes of as many as half a million people. At least 8 people have died. (AP Photo/Eduardo Verdugo)

An upper anticyclone is situated over the Northwest Caribbean and an upper low/trough is over the far Northeast US. These two features is producing strong southwesterly flow over Florida and the Gulf Region which is confluent in nature (converging as it flows). This confluent pattern is advecting very dry and stable air over the region leading to subsidence and low dew points, hindering development of significant cloudiness. This confluent pattern is also supporting a surface ridge which is providing fair skies across the region.

BBL
Good morning Muffelchen
Confession: I don't really speak German. 5 generations of direct ancestors are buried in the same church-yard in Canada. Great-Great-Grandfather's is last one cut in German. Bits of sayings and expressions survive.
376. IKE
I see Dr. Masters blog is still status quo.

Thank God the 2007 Atlantic tropical season is basically over with. I'm sure they'll be more of the same in 2008....stand by...June 1st, 2008 isn't that far away!
377. pcola
Good Morning...........
Just caught up reading and lurking. Wow I ignored rockford a month ago but I still have to read what he writes? Use the ignore button, it works great!
Work: The curse of drinking man. Gota go do it.
Yall fight nice hear?
check back this eve.
How extensive was the wind damage in the NE, I did not see any articles that suggested anything other than some downed trees and powerlines. Any damaged homes?
Mornin folks. I hope everyone is being fed good and treated well.
Boy, this is odd. Over 40 min between posts. That's kinda like it is at 2:00am.
BBL, gonna see what StormW has up.
Noel Report just in from Nova Scotia.

"Peggy’s Cove suffered a lot of damage. Roads washed out, homes damaged, and the breakwater dam destroyed".

Good Morning ALL! Mufflechen - I think you will get best quote of the day!! Just loved it. Wish I had a bumper sticker with that on it.

BlueRanch - the horse in your photo is extraordinary, a Grey paint roan???. I just recently saw a similar color combination on a polo horse visiting from Kentucky - the coloring is exotic --like my blue merle aussie.

I am so relieve with this first cool front in SRQ, FL. What an incredible difference for working in the barns and my little herd is already feeling soooo much better. The winds last week and cooler temperature had them all acting like wild mustangs, but it was a joy to finally see them feeling good enough to run the pastures like a race track, bucking and kicking up their heels. (it was hell to work them out with all the wind --but no one complained)
Good morning,

The tropics are about to close down for the winter. Theres still an outside chance something could re-fire in the western caribbean but i wouldnt hold my breathe.
Morning all :)
Up way to early, changed all the clocks back... except the bedroom alarm clock (Duh)
Any information on the swirl at 18N/60W?
384. surfmom 8:29 AM EST on November 05, 2007
I am so relieve with this first cool front in SRQ, FL. What an incredible difference for working in the barns and my little herd is already feeling soooo much better. The winds last week and cooler temperature had them all acting like wild mustangs, but it was a joy to finally see them feeling good enough to run the pastures like a race track, bucking and kicking up their heels. (it was hell to work them out with all the wind --but no one complained)


My 85lb german shepherd is acting like that with the cooler weather here in SE GA. We might have to get him a valium or something.lol
Orca and all, top of the mornin' to ya.
I agree, I think we are over the hill for 'canes this year. Whew! on one hand, but I will miss getting bits of ground swell to surf. I think that Dean was the best provider this year. Now I follow the cold fronts and get to ride windswell (not my favorite kind of waves, but on the west coast of FL you ride what you can get) Looks like there's a small window for surf late Wednesday, early Thursday AM, as there was a cold front predicted to blow down here Tuesday night.
Good morning, Orca, and everyone else...

The spin at 18N60W is the tail end of an upper level trough...there's no surface circulation; the vorticity actually seems to start at the 700mb level and works up from there...it's wrapping in a lot of dry air from it's west...deosn't look like it's going to amount to a lot...
Mornin' Flood. Did you read StormW's latest post on his blog site? It needs to be replied to and I did. Check it out. Por favor.
Looks like the trolls got in again last night. Glad you were ther to chase em out.lol
flaboyinga, Sounds like time to walk, run or play frisbee/ball toss. It is joyful to see them let loose when the weather cools. My geriatric cranky 19 year old cat herded me to the door this AM to be let out. First time in months - probably May. My aussie immediately stopped being itchy and the horses I care for...they were all smiling.

I on the other hand realize I have to pull my wetsuit out if I think I am getting in the water to surf thursday at sunrise.
Thanks Flood.
Surfmom, you should try long beach on Vancouver Island sometime... turning into quite the surfers mecca. Mind you.. the water is very cold.
Checking storm's blog --back in a few
391. flaboyinga 7:53 AM CST on November 05, 2007
Mornin' Flood. Did you read StormW's latest post on his blog site? It needs to be replied to and I did. Check it out. Por favor.
Looks like the trolls got in again last night. Glad you were ther to chase em out.lol



Yep...signed it yesterday...so how are you this morning?
orca, I would go to watch, but I am a gulf/tropical water princess. I wear insulation even in the summer. this week the Guys will be wearing shorties, and I will have my 3/4 on. In the real cold, I have a special micro thin wet suit under my 3/4, and when the water temp is 50 degrees, I have booties and a hood. Mind you 50 is probably warm in your waters. I'll be the waves are beautiful and probably the line-up not too crowded lol
392. surfmom 8:54 AM EST on November 05, 2007 Hide this comment.
flaboyinga, Sounds like time to walk, run or play frisbee/ball toss. It is joyful to see them let loose when the weather cools. My geriatric cranky 19 year old cat herded me to the door this AM to be let out. First time in months - probably May. My aussie immediately stopped being itchy and the horses I care for...they were all smiling.


I on the other hand realize I have to pull my wetsuit out if I think I am getting in the water to surf thursday at sunrise.


Sounds like a rough life playin with the ponies and surfin.lol I haven't done quality surf time for a lotta years. I use to body surf on the SW coast of Fla when I was a kid and there were 25 people living on Marco Island. Enjoy. (my bride would get crazy over a chance to work with horses)
Hey Flood, I'm older but no wiser. How 'bout you?
Haven't had much time to catch up on the blog over the weekend. How are the water temps holding in the tropics? I reckon when they drop off, the season will be pretty much over.


The Caribbean still warrants a watch, but the GOM has cooled considerably.
Ahhhh, flaboy, you lived here when it was paradise. The changes here are heartbreaking. The gulf is not healthy, she keeps burping up masses of seaweed from over growth (probably fertilizers) before Bush left he signed a bill permitting toxic dumping again. The fish kills from past two years of serious red-tide has really hurt the fish population etc.

I am lucky as I can frame my hours. My son is an aspiring Polo player, we can not afford Polo horses, so we work trade for him to have the opportunity to practice on and play games with the owners horses. He's a traveling businessman who does not want to be bothered with the daily grit grind of horsecare. When he's in town the horses are fit and he can just jump on. The work is intensive, but it has really instilled a good amount of responsibility and knowledge for my son. Most of the time it is fun, but getting them through the hot Florida summers is a great deal of work. Personally, horses are not too happy below the tropic line. The sturdy, well-bred quarter horse can handle it better, but throughbreds have a hard time. Ideal humity for a horse's hoof is 60% -here we are at 80% and up.....a small thing like that means I have to constantly be oiling the outside of the hooves, and iodining the bottom to keep the hoof healthy for example.

If your honey wants to be around horses....my suggest is for her to check out several local barns. They almost always need "nannies" to help love and care for horses. She can offer her services on a volunteer level and then slowly work her way in. I shovel tons of manure, and played auntie till I worked my way in.
flaboy, we're still seeing 28-30 centigrade, but the big issue right now is the widespread shear; there's one small area of the Central Carib with borderline to favorable shear, the rest is 30knts and up...

Check your mail
The gulf has cool by me....70 degrees!!!! Yikes that is cool for me


Shear in the Caribbean is low.
402. surfmom 8:15 AM CST on November 05, 2007
The gulf has cool by me....70 degrees!!!! Yikes that is cool for me



That is cool, and if you add in the air temps (what, low to mid seventies) it's not exactly surf weather, huh?
Howdy, MLC...
It's time to pull out the stinking rubbersuit --which in my book reduces the pleasure greatly....oh well better safe then sorry
My son's godfather, a terrific surfer, now living in the Philippines, reports that Peipath was not too bad and they are all waiting to hit the beach today.
MLC, is that an anti-cyclone off Nicaraugua?
I guess I oughta go poke around some of the quick links to catch up,, Nah,, I'll just pick somebody else's brain if I need to. Man, I need another shot on my caffine IV fast drip. (or a short nap)
My daughter (the schoolmarm) had a low tire alert and of course Ddy had to leave a great rerun on the eyelids to get her on the road. I was gonna get a few more ZZZZ's ugh.
Well, I am off for a few hours, have a great day all!
406. surfmom 9:19 AM EST on November 05, 2007
It's time to pull out the stinking rubbersuit --which in my book reduces the pleasure greatly....oh well better safe then sorry


You're a smart lady. More people have died of hypothermia than straight drowning, and water immersion is one of the fastest forms of it.


I think so, Flood. There's some vorticity there, too.


"Mariah" has arrived.
MLC-remains of 91L? About the only other area that looks interesing (close in) is that bit of spin north of Antigua...
flaboy, I hear you...my 17 year old called me the other morning because she was needing some directions...she lives in St Louis, and I live in Fort Worth...luckily, I know St Louis like the back of my hand LOL


Probably 91 remnants, and yes, I see that litte Antigua spin, Flood. Thanks for pointing out. Yet, looking at all that heavy shear, the CONUS should be quite safe if anything were to spurn.
Those were my thoughts...30-80 knts is rather substantial, to say the least
Have a good day, Floodman and all! I'm off to the salt mines.
There's a healthy rotation showing in this at 17N,60W.

Link

Nothing showing up here , tho.
Link
New blog!

So long, MLC, have a good day...see you soon!