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Nation's Icebox basks in 77°F warmth

By: Dr. Jeff Masters, 1:08 PM GMT on March 18, 2012

Each year, when the list of coldest U.S. cities is compiled, International Falls, Minnesota regularly winds up at the top of the list, earning its title as "Icebox of the Nation". The city once hit -55°F (on January 6, 1909), and takes pride in the distinction of being the coldest city in the U.S., having trademarked the term "Icebox of the Nation" in 1948. The city recently defended the trademark against the town of Fraser, Colorado, which sought to usurp the title as the Nation's Icebox. But yesterday, International Falls set a truly phenomenal weather record for warmth. The city's temperature soared to 77°F, which was 42° above the average high temperature for the date. Not only was it the city's hottest March temperature on record by 4°, it was just 4° shy of yesterday's high in Miami, Florida. But what was truly amazing is that the 77°F high in International Falls beat the previous record for the date by 22°! I talked to Christopher C. Burt, wunderground's weather historian, and he couldn't recall seeing a station with a century-plus period of weather records break a daily record by such a wide margin (International Falls' records go back to 1895.) Yesterday's temperatures in International Falls were but one chapter in the on-going story of one of the most extreme meteorological events in U.S. history. Never before has such an extended period of extreme and record-breaking warm temperatures affected such a large portion of the U.S. in March, going back to the beginning of record keeping in the late 1800s. The record-breaking warmth will continue through Thursday, and I'll have much more to say in Monday's post.

Jeff Masters
Haze Night
Haze Night
This is not what the sky should look like this time of year, What will it look like in July?

Heat

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

Reader Comments

Looks like the radar is starting to quiet down for the night.
AT 909 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR AND STORM
SPOTTERS WERE TRACKING A LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO. THIS
TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR NORTH PLATTE...MOVING NORTH AT 60 MPH.

RESIDENTS IN NORTH PLATTE SHOULD BE IN THERE SHELTERS.
503. wxmod
Quoting HouGalv08:
Well, it can be done that a product made in China is made in the US, just gotta look for it, or order over the Internet. But our society is so ingrained with the immediate gratification that most of us don't think twice about running off to Target, SAMs Club, Kmart, etc, etc, to get what we want right that moment.


Kurt Vonnegut called everything people do a "twitch". Here's what happens: you see an ad and you go shopping and the planet dies. I think immediate gratification causes a lot of heart ache. Think before you shop.
Quoting wxmod:


Quit buying the stuff from China. It's just that simple.


We wll substitute those jobs with local american labor.... But one of the many problems that will affect our economy is to find americans willing to get paid the Chinese salary........

"The shift was illustrated Sunday, when Foxconn Technology, one of the world’s largest contract electronics manufacturers and the maker of well-known products that include Apple iPhones and Dell computer parts, said that it was planning to double the salaries of many of its 800,000 workers in China, beginning in October. The new monthly average would be 2,000 renminbi — about $300, at current exchange rates.


As China’s Wages Rise, Export Prices Could Follow

http://www.nytimes.com/2010/06/08/business/global /08wages.html
Quoting HouGalv08:
Looks like the radar is starting to quiet down for the night.
Lol as soon as u say that...
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Well, this is disturbing...

Michael Phelps
"From Kendra Reed regarding the tornado video shot from 100 yards away by Jon Stone and Amy Phelps: CNN's exact words..."We can't buy this, there isn't any building being ripped apart...death or destruction"."

I don't find it much of a surprise that they would say that, but still, it's very disgusting and cruel that people prefer to show footage of towns being destroyed and people loosing their lives rather than showing a nice tornado in a rural area doing no damage..

085
WFUS53 KLBF 190228
TORLBF
NEC111-113-117-190300-
/O.NEW.KLBF.TO.W.0003.120319T0228Z-120319T0300Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
928 PM CDT SUN MAR 18 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTH PLATTE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTH CENTRAL LINCOLN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA...
WESTERN LOGAN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL NEBRASKA...
EASTERN MCPHERSON COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL NEBRASKA...

* UNTIL 1000 PM CDT

* AT 924 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A CONFIRMED TORNADO 7 MILES NORTH OF NORTH PLATTE. DOPPLER RADAR
SHOWED THIS TORNADO MOVING NORTH AT 55 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
RINGGOLD AROUND 945 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THE TORNADO INCLUDE HIGHWAY 97 MILE
MARKER 20 AND HIGHWAY 92 MILE MARKER 220.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORNADOES ARE DIFFICULT TO SEE AND CONFIRM AT NIGHT. TAKE COVER NOW.



LAT...LON 4173 10093 4173 10044 4118 10068 4121 10092
TIME...MOT...LOC 0228Z 190DEG 50KT 4129 10078



College of DuPage Meteorology
Severe Weather and Flash Flood Warnings
Note: This page will reload every 2 minutes. Warnings are listed with the most recent first.
Click on the station ID to bring up list of recent severe weather statements.



TORNADO WARNING NORTH PLATTE NE - KLBF 904 PM CDT SUN MAR 18 2012

SVR T-STORM WARNING LUBBOCK TX - KLUB 903 PM CDT SUN MAR 18 2012

SVR T-STORM WARNING AMARILLO TX - KAMA 901 PM CDT SUN MAR 18 2012
Quoting Patrap:
Caesar:
Who is it in the press that calls on me?
I hear a tongue shriller than all the music
Cry "Caesar!" Speak, Caesar is turn'd to hear.

Soothsayer:
Beware the ides of March.

Caesar:
What man is that?

Brutus:
A soothsayer bids you beware the ides of March.

The Ides of March have come...

...and gone.
Quoting Chicklit:

whoa. you are in tornado alley then.
looks like the current system is going ne toward Missouri.


Yes. I am.
:)

It was a pretty complicated forecast. The main trough hasn't arrived yet - the one with all the water in it. Last I checked, it is supposed to form a cut-off low and hang out for a bit, then move NE. Supercells today popped off the dryline from a lead impulse, but I don't know that they're gonna organize in any way. They look to be wasting away (Add: here in Oklahoma).

More to come in next couple days.
Quoting Birthmark:

The Ides of March have come...

...and gone.



Shakespeare is eternal.


..and I can count.

: )
North Platte is a city in and the county seat of Lincoln County, Nebraska, United States.[3] It is located in the southwestern part of the state, along Interstate 80, at the confluence of the North and South Platte Rivers forming the Platte River. The population was 24,733 at the 2010 census.[4]
Good morning all.

Heat and storms I see! More like May than March.


Grothar I'm in tropics talk if you're on and want to chat.
513. wxmod
Quoting sunlinepr:


We wll substitute those jobs with local american labor.... But one of the many problems that will affect our economy is to find americans willing to get paid the Chinese salary........

"The shift was illustrated Sunday, when Foxconn Technology, one of the world’s largest contract electronics manufacturers and the maker of well-known products that include Apple iPhones and Dell computer parts, said that it was planning to double the salaries of many of its 800,000 workers in China, beginning in October. The new monthly average would be 2,000 renminbi — about $300, at current exchange rates.


As China’s Wages Rise, Export Prices Could Follow

http://www.nytimes.com/2010/06/08/business/global /08wages.html


There are no economic arguments that take into account the trillions of dollars of storm damages and billions of lives that will be sacrificed if we continue doing everything the same old way. But, as China prices rise, that will help send jobs to the USA; that is true.
Winter storm closes 180 miles of I-40 in Arizona
By the CNN Wire Staff
updated 7:48 PM EDT, Sun March 18, 2012



(CNN) -- A winter storm packing heavy snow and gusty winds forced authorities to close 180 miles of Interstate 40 in northern Arizona on Sunday until further notice.
The road was closed in both directions about 6:30 a.m. (9:30 a.m. ET), said David Beck, dispatch supervisor for the Flagstaff office of the Arizona Highway Patrol. The closure stretched roughly from Kingman in western Arizona to eastward to Winslow, including the city of Flagstaff, he said.
Portions of Interstate 17 south of Flagstaff were also closed, according to the Arizona Department of Transportation's website, as were several state roads.
As of 9 a.m. Sunday, Flagstaff -- with an elevation of about 6,900 feet -- had received 10 to 14 inches of snow, according to the National Weather Service. The city of Prescott had received 8 to 12 inches. Areas above 7,000 feet could see up to 22 inches, according to the weather service.
Several crashes and reports of stuck vehicles had been reported as of Sunday morning, Beck said, with one person sustaining minor injuries on I-40.
The Flagstaff Unified School District said its schools would be closed Monday. Northern Arizona University said its Flagstaff campus would be closed Monday, and Coconino Community College said its Flagstaff and Page campuses would be closed.
Much of Arizona remained under a winter weather advisory or a winter storm warning on Sunday. The warning was in effect until midnight Sunday. In addition to heavy snow, wind gusts of up to 30 mph were forecast for the Flagstaff area, according to the National Weather Service.
CNN's Maggie Schneider and Ashley Hayes contributed to this report.


Quoting Ameister12:

I don't find it much of a surprise that they would say that, but still, it's very disgusting and cruel that people prefer to show footage of towns being destroyed and people loosing their lives rather than showing a nice tornado in a rural area doing no damage..


Any evident death and destruction fits into a "nature is evil" narrative. I'm really not sure who's benefiting from this narrative but it's there. The news seems to exist to breed a controlled and targeted numbing fear of everything and everyone.
Quoting Chicklit:

Wait til they get to the gas pump and fill up.
They won't win any drag races, but can still get there in time. Every time I fill up, double the cost and reaize that's what I'd be spending with the Jeep V8. I cannot believe people are still driving new Armadas.


They drive diesels in TX, and it costs even more, bunch of rednecks, that are paying out their ....
Quoting Barefootontherocks:


Yes. I am.
:)

It was a pretty complicated forecast. The main trough hasn't arrived yet - the one with all the water in it. Last I checked, it is supposed to form a cut-off low and hang out for a bit, then move NE. Supercells today popped off the dryline from a lead impulse, but I don't know that they're gonna organize in any way. They look to be wasting away.

More to come in next couple days.

Okay, thanks. Will you please try to keep us informed?
It sounds like you know what you're talking about!
over and out...
Houston to Beaumont to Lake Charles, could see significant rain totals as the line slows over these areas. With SE low level flow into storm with front incoming is setting the stage for a training long rain event that could push up to 3" an hr
San Antonio bound

Night everyone
Quoting Chicklit:

Okay, thanks. Will you please try to keep us informed?
It sounds like you know what you're talking about!
over and out...


Nice to see the interest in severe here. I usually blog in my own blog when there's weather afoot because I focus on W OK. Thanks. 'Nite.
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

You've been reading back, I see...

The only time hurricanes usually weaken is when they approach the Southeast coast because dry continental air is injected into the system.

That, or wind shear/dry air is affecting the storm at any other location.
Hope you weren't referring to the southeast coast exclusively. The air over land is just about always drier than the air over the ocean. Shallower waters along the coast also provide for less TCHP or heat with depth. So proximity to any coastline is usually a bad thing.

The only time when proximity to land is good for a storm is when the coastline forms a parabolic shape. The curved shape of the coastline mirrors the shape of the cyclone. The greater friction over land (relative to the ocean) allows for winds to flow more directly across the pressure gradient, allowing for greater surface convergence. The Bay of Campeche is a good example of this as storms are known to rapidly intensify in that area.
Quoting SPLbeater:


so...they dont want the footage unless somebody is DYING??

HOW ABOUT WE DESTROY CNN THEN RECORD THAT!!!

Quoting hurricanehunter27:
Well its the sad truth. The general public is more interested with videos of death and destruction.


Let's be careful with the telephone game. It's now a quote of someone else's quote of someone else's quote.

Certainly could see this being true... but of any media outlet. It isn't entirely their fault either. Certain elements of the chase community strive to get crazy video in dangerous locations. And some of those people do it for ego reasons. It is becoming more and more the norm, making the crazier videos the ones that will make it on air. It has contributed to a culture of being partially desensitized to tornado footage. I can see the reaction of the media folk after the last several years... "oh, we've seen that before. been there, done that, not exciting."
Quoting ScottLincoln:



Let's be careful with the telephone game. It's now a quote of someone else's quote of someone else's quote.

Certainly could see this being true... but of any media outlet. It isn't entirely their fault either. Certain elements of the chase community strive to get crazy video in dangerous locations. And some of those people do it for ego reasons. It is becoming more and more the norm, making the crazier videos the ones that will make it on air. It has contributed to a culture of being partially desensitized to tornado footage. I can see the reaction of the media folk after the last several years... "oh, we've seen that before. been there, done that, not exciting."


Reed Timmer mentioned in his book Into The Storm that he tried selling his first footage in college to an ABC person, and it was a good strong tornado in rural OK. the reporter looked at him and said "this is boring"

!?!?

But when it got to the part where the tornado was threatening his life and he had to back up, the reporter said "how much?" and they settled on 500$ which was too low i think lol
Real-Time Twitter Posts

severestudios: Unconfirmed...? RT @SWATChasers: Here's a picture of the North Platte, Nebraska tornado: http://t.co/YxYKAvX8
severestudios: Now a Tornado Warning for the city of VALENTINE, NE in Cherry County. #tornado #newx
severestudios: Tornado Warning for Cherry County in NE until 9:15pm MDT. #newx
severestudios: RT @MarkKCTV5: Emergency Vehicles headed toward the rail yards in NP NE. KNOP TV is back on the air
severestudios: Trained spotters continue to report tornado touching down and lifting about 10 mi. north of North Platte. #NEwx
severestudios: RT @MarkKCTV5: No confirmed injuries, but there is damage at Bailey Yards. The worlds biggest rail yard.
severestudios: RT @MarkKCTV5: A confirmed tornado has hit North Platte, NE. [TV] station went off the air and viewers report hearing screams over the mics.
severestudios: Tornado Warning for Lincoln County in NE until 10:00pm CDT. #newx
Quoting skook:



I had no idea that they had extreme weather back in the 1700's. Thank you for the insight.
There has been extreme weather for as long as there has been an atmosphere. Humans just haven't always been around to observe and record the weather.
Quoting wxmod:

If you want a hurricane to sweep over your house that's a thousand times stronger than anything ever recorded, keep buying cheap frills from China. It will happen. Every legitimate climate scientist knows this.


I really understand your concern. We've got to do something about climate change or sentence those who follow us to terrible conditions.

But I really don't think China is the worst of the bad guys here, by any accounting.

The US emits an enormous amount of CO2 per person. We are doing less than is China to get our emissions under control. At this point were we to bring manufacturing back to our shores the world would probably see an increase in greenhouse gas emission, not a reduction.

Cutting our consumption of "frills" would help, but a no-frills campaign isn't likely to work. Far too many people can't seem to keep a clue in their heads.

Getting off fossil fuels ASAP is the real answer. We can manufacture "frills" with clean energy.
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
AT 909 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR AND STORM
SPOTTERS WERE TRACKING A LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO. THIS
TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR NORTH PLATTE...MOVING NORTH AT 60 MPH.

RESIDENTS IN NORTH PLATTE SHOULD BE IN THERE SHELTERS.


I like the wording in that warning.

That one was moving fast. 9:11 pm CDT
Quoting Ameister12:

I don't find it much of a surprise that they would say that, but still, it's very disgusting and cruel that people prefer to show footage of towns being destroyed and people loosing their lives rather than showing a nice tornado in a rural area doing no damage..


That is how the media works. Sensationalism and doom and gloom reap profit. Whether we admit it or not, we are intrinsically attracted to misfortune. How we feel about it of course, is subject to each individual. In general though, we find it more "appealing" (for lack of a better term) when an extreme weather event brings death and destruction. Obviously, we also don't like it, but the former is also undeniable. Otherwise, the media wouldn't prey upon this.
Quoting PensacolaDoug:



I wish it were possible to stop purchasing Chineese products. Our manufacturing base has been decimated during the last 30 years. We are a consumer nation and want their products at a cheap "wal-mart" price.
I wish I knew the solution. I don't feel stupid tho because people smarter than I don't have the solution either.
Well we could raise taxes on items being made overseas or we could make it cheaper to produce stuff here. Problem with the first option is nobody wants to pay more, problem with the second option is we would have to basically throw out all our labor laws and higher standard of living.



This looks horrible...OH BOY
535. JRRP
Quoting TampaSpin:



This looks horrible...OH BOY
dang, everyone's got these fancy weather programs except me
Quoting TomTaylor:
dang, everyone's got these fancy weather programs except me


And me.

I honestly don't care to. Well I do, but with a trip to Ohio planned, I'm not forking over $250 for that (plus an additional $250 if you want additional features, IIRC).



THIS IS REALLY GONNA HURT....NORTH of VALENTINES, Nebraska
Quoting JRRP:


Don't come on here often but...what the hell is that?
Quoting KoritheMan:


And me.

I honestly don't care to. Well I do, but with a trip to Ohio planned, I'm not forking over $250 for that (plus an additional $250 if you want additional features, IIRC).
Yeah I'm sure those programs are great but it's not worth it for me. Wouldn't make my parents pay for that either.
Quoting dogsgomoo:


Any evident death and destruction fits into a "nature is evil" narrative. I'm really not sure who's benefiting from this narrative but it's there. The news seems to exist to breed a controlled and targeted numbing fear of everything and everyone.
What I find curious is that given about 10 min googling I can't find a primary source for this. Also info on who the heck's Kendra Reed is rather sketchy.
Quoting TomTaylor:
Yeah I'm sure those programs are great but it's not worth it for me. Wouldn't make my parents pay for that either.


I do just fine with operational tools. Apparently, so did the NWS (before the advent of such sophistication).
Line out in west TX has come outta nowhere



I tell you what, once this system taps the gulf, all hell is gonna break loose on radars
Quoting RitaEvac:
Line out in west TX has come outta nowhere

Bit of convergence out there on some sort of boundary (haven't looked to see what it is yet, probably a dry line or a cold front). With PWs below one inch, the moisture is somewhat lacking, but relatively high CAPE approaching 3000 J/kg and favorable lapse rates make up for that.







510. Patrap 2:34 AM GMT on March 19, 2012 +0
Quoting Birthmark:

The Ides of March have come...

...and gone.


Shakespeare is eternal.


..and I can count.

: )
Action: Quote | Ignore User



they ride a little late thats all
they approach as we type
Quoting RitaEvac:
Line out in west TX has come outta nowhere




Amazing how they do that, isn't it? SPC says retreated dryline is starting to interact with the pacific cold front.
Click image for text.
Quoting 1900hurricane:

Bit of convergence out there on some sort of boundary (haven't looked to see what it is yet, probably a dry line or a cold front). With PWs below one inch, the moisture is somewhat lacking, but relatively high CAPE approaching 3000 J/kg and favorable lapse rates make up for that.








Hey, 19!
I see you're onto it. :)
Quoting Barefootontherocks:

Amazing how they do that, isn't it? SPC says retreated dryline is starting to interact with the pacific cold front.
Click image for text.


Yeppers
I see why the models are spitting out large rainfall amounts, the cutoff low is supposed to stall over TX, if that pans out, gonna be training rains and storms,some serious rain
Watch has gone out for West TX

Quoting TampaSpin:



THIS IS REALLY GONNA HURT....NORTH of VALENTINES, Nebraska


That, seems from archive, was a separate cell from the one that caused the tornado near N Platte. This one popped kind of NW of North Platte and went into SD. Saw this one last on radar over Mission, SD. Tor warned and a confirmed tor on the ground to the south of Mission.
Expecting high water Pat?
Here?

Not like they were earlier.

Things have changed for the better seems here.



Long term...


All of the medium range guidance...emcwf...GFS...CMC...indicate
that the closed low will move more to the north on Wednesday as
opposed to the easterly movement forecast the last few days. Given
the great model agreement on this trend...have decided to go with
it for this forecast period. This has drastically changed the
forecast from Wednesday into the weekend. Have had to lower precipitation
chances for Wednesday from categorical and likely to only chance.
Additionally...there will be gradient across the County Warning Area with far
western zones have higher rain chances than eastern zones. This
will hold true into Thursday...as the upper low tracks into
Oklahoma and Kansas...and a weak frontal boundary stalls over
western Louisiana. With less forcing throughout the atmospheric
column...weaker thermodynamic profiles due to less cooling
aloft...and less overall shear in the low levels in place...the
threat for severe weather looks to be lower for Wednesday and
Thursday. However...there could be some locally heavy rainfall
Wednesday night and Thursday as precipitable water values increase to around 1.5
inches. This rainfall threat could lead to some localized flooding
issues with cells train over the same region.
night all
time for bed
Quoting Patrap:
Here?

Not like they were earlier.

Things have changed for the better seems here.



Long term...


All of the medium range guidance...emcwf...GFS...CMC...indicate
that the closed low will move more to the north on Wednesday as
opposed to the easterly movement forecast the last few days. Given
the great model agreement on this trend...have decided to go with
it for this forecast period. This has drastically changed the
forecast from Wednesday into the weekend. Have had to lower precipitation
chances for Wednesday from categorical and likely to only chance.
Additionally...there will be gradient across the County Warning Area with far
western zones have higher rain chances than eastern zones. This
will hold true into Thursday...as the upper low tracks into
Oklahoma and Kansas...and a weak frontal boundary stalls over
western Louisiana. With less forcing throughout the atmospheric
column...weaker thermodynamic profiles due to less cooling
aloft...and less overall shear in the low levels in place...the
threat for severe weather looks to be lower for Wednesday and
Thursday. However...there could be some locally heavy rainfall
Wednesday night and Thursday as precipitable water values increase to around 1.5
inches. This rainfall threat could lead to some localized flooding
issues with cells train over the same region.


Seems like they changed the temperature forecast too. We were supposed to get down into the upper 40s after the frontal passage.
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1109 PM CDT SUN MAR 18 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LUBBOCK HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN HOCKLEY COUNTY IN NORTHWEST TEXAS.
NORTHEASTERN TERRY COUNTY IN NORTHWEST TEXAS.

* UNTIL 1130 PM CDT

* AT 1106 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THE MOST
DANGEROUS PART OF THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 3 MILES WEST OF
LOCKETVILLE...OR ABOUT 14 MILES NORTH OF BROWNFIELD...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE LOCKETVILLE AND
ROPESVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORNADOES AT NIGHT ARE ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS. DO NOT WAIT UNTIL YOU
SEE OR HEAR THE TORNADO...IT MAY BE TOO LATE. TAKE COVER NOW!
Sure is alot of upper air energy out there...

Quoting TomTaylor:
Well we could raise taxes on items being made overseas or we could make it cheaper to produce stuff here. Problem with the first option is nobody wants to pay more, problem with the second option is we would have to basically throw out all our labor laws and higher standard of living.


There's a third option. Get smarter.

There are things that we can manufacture here and be competitive. Already many of the cars we drive are made here even though they might have Japanese or German names. Sometimes shipping costs make it cheaper to build locally and pay more for labor.

It's getting more likely that we'll have great electric car options in the next 2-5 years. We can build the batteries and the cars here. Remember, a bunch of the stimulus money went to build battery plants, so we're ready to go.

Some plants are moving back. If you've got a product that you need to update quickly and requires little unskilled labor the US can be competitive. It takes a lot of time and some expense to keep flying engineers and designers back and forth to make product updates.

If you're doing a lot of custom work it can be cheaper to do it closer to your market.

I think we've just about reached the end of our great manufacturing decline. The Chinese market has matured and their workers want a better life. Chinese prices are on the rise and they are beginning to ease up on the undervaluation of their currency.

I doubt we'll get back clothing factories and other lower-skilled manufacturing. That sort of stuff will move from China to other parts of Asia and off to Africa. But we should be able to find things that we can make and make competitively.

---

Actually I think we'll get a share of the clothing manufacturing a few decades from now when the standard of living has improved all around the world.

We'll make the clothes we wear using either the labor of those who didn't bother finishing school or, perhaps, robots.
Quoting 1900hurricane:
Sure is alot of upper air energy out there...



19, Do you know about theta e? I'm trying to learn more about it.

Quoting jamesrainier:


Severe Thunderstorm watch 81 went up at 10:50 pm. Sometimes their graphics get behind.
Add:

Here's the text

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 81
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1050 PM CDT SUN MAR 18 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

WEST TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 1050 PM UNTIL
500 AM CDT.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES EAST
SOUTHEAST OF FORT STOCKTON TEXAS TO 50 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
CHILDRESS TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

DISCUSSION...A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS HAS RAPIDLY DEVELOPED AS THE
PACIFIC COLD FRONT OVERTAKES THE RETREATING DRYLINE. STORMS ARE IN
AN ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND
AMPLE LOW/DEEP LAYER SHEAR...BUT ALSO WITH CONSIDERABLE CAP. GIVEN
THE LINEAR NATURE OF THE FORCING AND THE STRENGTHENING CAP...BELIEVE
THAT DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL ARE THE PRIMARY THREATS.
HOWEVER...WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR CAP STRENGTH AND STORM TRENDS FOR
POSSIBILITY OF A TORNADO RISK.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 26035.


...HART
Tor watch just came out. No graphic yet

Add:


TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 82
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1125 PM CDT SUN MAR 18 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

WEST CENTRAL TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 1125 PM UNTIL
500 AM CDT.


TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 75 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 40 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES SOUTH OF LUBBOCK
TEXAS TO 45 MILES NORTHEAST OF PLAINVIEW TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 81...

DISCUSSION...SEVERAL CIRCULATIONS HAVE RAPIDLY FORMED ALONG THE
DEVELOPING SQUALL LINE OVER WEST TX. DESPITE THE RATHER STRONG
CAP...IT APPEARS THE RISK OF TORNADOES IS SUFFICIENT TO UPGRADE THE
ONGOING SEVERE TSTM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL TX.


AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.


...HART
Quoting jamesrainier:


Somebody is really asleep at the SPC....NO Watches or Warning....UNREAL
Quoting JRRP:


Subtropical system developing? Ohhhh boy...
Quoting RitaEvac:
I see why the models are spitting out large rainfall amounts, the cutoff low is supposed to stall over TX, if that pans out, gonna be training rains and storms,some serious rain
You guys need the rain, tho'.
571. wxmod
Quoting BobWallace:


I really understand your concern. We've got to do something about climate change or sentence those who follow us to terrible conditions.

But I really don't think China is the worst of the bad guys here, by any accounting.

The US emits an enormous amount of CO2 per person. We are doing less than is China to get our emissions under control. At this point were we to bring manufacturing back to our shores the world would probably see an increase in greenhouse gas emission, not a reduction.

Cutting our consumption of "frills" would help, but a no-frills campaign isn't likely to work. Far too many people can't seem to keep a clue in their heads.

Getting off fossil fuels ASAP is the real answer. We can manufacture "frills" with clean energy.


Moving away from fossil fuels is something Obama was hired to do. It didn't happen because big oil owns everything in this country, including so called investment firms that send everybody's retirement funds to Chinese sweat shops. If the government won't make a change this important happen, you and I HAVE TO. You can send big money a decisive message by cutting off their profits. There are a hundred million pieces of China-made frills that nobody needs. Save your money folks and quit contributing to your own destruction (and mine, thanks).
572. wxmod
Quoting TomTaylor:
Well we could raise taxes on items being made overseas or we could make it cheaper to produce stuff here. Problem with the first option is nobody wants to pay more, problem with the second option is we would have to basically throw out all our labor laws and higher standard of living.


I guess you're voting for doing nothing, which leads to huge storms or droughts battering your home town, maybe destroying your life. But, alas, when your house is splinters you will need to buy a new one, which will help the economy.
Quoting washingtonian115:
Charley had made a right turn just in time and made landfall south of Tampa.Tampa was very lucky.Next time they might not be...



Oh trust me, I was 13 back then, and at that time I wanted a hurricane to hit because I loved the hype of storms but at that age I didn't really want to face the fact that hurricanes destroy lives as exciting as they are for weather geeks like me. However when Charley reached major status it scared the crap out of me and had me on my knees in prayer, unlike previously, I did not want that one to hit.
577. wxmod
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:


If this comes true: Perfect storm!
Quoting TampaSpin:


Somebody is really asleep at the SPC....NO Watches or Warning....UNREAL


See 566. and 567. Watches have been up. Graphics are messed up. I emailed them. Not that that will fix it, but at least I tried.
Quoting jamesrainier:


How about removing that "No Watches in Effect" graphic?
Quoting wxmod:


Moving away from fossil fuels is something Obama was hired to do. It didn't happen because big oil owns everything in this country, including so called investment firms that send everybody's retirement funds to Chinese sweat shops. If the government won't make a change this important happen, you and I HAVE TO. You can send big money a decisive message by cutting off their profits. There are a hundred million pieces of China-made frills that nobody needs. Save your money folks and quit contributing to your own destruction (and mine, thanks).


Well, President Obama greatly raised car mileage requirements, including pickups and SUVs for the first time.

He use a bunch of stimulus money to help build EV battery plants.

He's pushed wind and solar, making it easier to get permits and opened up lots of federal land for use.

He's pushed the military to work hard to use as much green energy and cut their oil use as possible.

He didn't sign a climate change bill. Republicans in Congress blocked it. Give President a Congress that gives a damn about our future and he'll be glad to sign a bill to fix stuff sooner.

IMO, we're on the cusp of a major change in how we generate electricity and how we drive. Solar panel prices are dropping very rapidly, in a couple of years installations should take off. In a couple of years EV battery capacity should greatly double and price take a big cut.

When those things happen we're going to see some much faster movement away from fossil fuels.

BTW, do you know that this last year we got only 39% of our electricity. Just a few years back we were getting around 55% from coal.



Quoting RitaEvac:
I see why the models are spitting out large rainfall amounts, the cutoff low is supposed to stall over TX, if that pans out, gonna be training rains and storms,some serious rain


It's one huge bowling ball of a low...
Quoting Patrap:
“Chaos is what we've lost touch with. This is why it is given a bad name. It is feared by the dominant archetype of our world, which is Ego, which clenches because its existance is defined in terms of control.”



You're scarin me there man, are you about about to go on a serial killing spree?


lol
Quoting TampaSpin:


Somebody is really asleep at the SPC....NO Watches or Warning....UNREAL


SPC doesn't issue warnings.

SPC also coordinates with the local WFOs regarding watches; it may be that the local office and the SPC staff believe that severe weather will be mostly isolated and have decided against a watch for now. Just because there is a warning somewhere does not necessarily imply that there needs to be a watch.
At midnight Fargo ND was 70 degrees. This means they already broke their record high of 66 for March 19 which was set in 1910.

At midnight International Falls MN was 66 degrees. This means they already broke their record high of 60 for March 19 which was set in 1918.
Quoting KoritheMan:


And me.

I honestly don't care to. Well I do, but with a trip to Ohio planned, I'm not forking over $250 for that (plus an additional $250 if you want additional features, IIRC).
Yikes... which program are you looking at that is $500 for full features?

Even GR2Analyst which is arguably the best out there is only $375 for the full-featured L2 data program and a dual-pol addon.
Quoting BaltimoreBrian:
At midnight Fargo ND was 70 degrees. This means they already broke their record high of 66 for March 19 which was set in 1910.

At midnight International Falls MN was 66 degrees. This means they already broke their record high of 60 for March 19 which was set in 1918.


And it's STILL friggin' hot in my apartment!!!

*mad*
Quoting TaylorSelseth:


And it's STILL friggin' hot in my apartment!!!

*mad*


Yuck. Who would have thought that a winter night in North Dakota would be stuffy and warm!

70 at midnight is probably warmer than most midnights in July in Fargo.
Quoting ScottLincoln:
Yikes... which program are you looking at that is $500 for full features?

Even GR2Analyst which is arguably the best out there is only $375 for the full-featured L2 data program and a dual-pol addon.


Actually, I heard GR2 was.
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Well, this is disturbing...

Michael Phelps
"From Kendra Reed regarding the tornado video shot from 100 yards away by Jon Stone and Amy Phelps: CNN's exact words..."We can't buy this, there isn't any building being ripped apart...death or destruction"."


That's just freaking gross, the media scares me sometimes.
Quoting BaltimoreBrian:
At midnight Fargo ND was 70 degrees. This means they already broke their record high of 66 for March 19 which was set in 1910.

At midnight International Falls MN was 66 degrees. This means they already broke their record high of 60 for March 19 which was set in 1918.



:0
Wouldn't it be wild if either of those cities had a low today that is warmer than the record high was?
The Shreveport NWS has pictures. Makes it easy for me to understand. :D More at the Link

A large upper level trough of low pressure will be making its way across the western United States through the weekend. By Monday, it will have deepened and tracked into the four corners region of the southwest. In advance of this strong upper level trough, a surface low pressure system will develop across the plains states with an associated cold front and dryline extending southward across portions of west Texas. As Monday progresses, the surface low and dryline will march eastward acting as the focus for widespread thunderstorm activity from Texas to Iowa.



A typical Spring time storm system is in the forecast from Monday into Tuesday with a strong upper level trough coming in from the west with much cooler air. At the same time, a stubborn, broad area of high pressure(that has been responsible for above average temperatures) remains strong over the southeast United States. Where these two air masses collide, the potential exists for thunderstorms, some of which will be severe.
Both Fargo and International Falls have records going back to the 1800s. Over 100 years.

Here's a question for Dr. Masters.

When was the last time a city with over 100 years of records had a low that was warmer than the old record high?

Or has that never happened at all?
Random question, but I'm curious as to which areas would experience the least amount of change due to global warming. Theoretically I'd say it would be the tropics, but I dunno...
Some awesome Lightning photo's from a storm near Geelong, Victoria.










Link
Quoting AussieStorm:
Some awesome Lightning photo's from a storm near Geelong, Victoria.










Link


epic
Click image for probability graphics.


DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1257 AM CDT MON MAR 19 2012

VALID 191200Z - 201200Z

...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER MUCH OF CNTRL AND NERN TX
INTO FAR SERN OK...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FOR MUCH OF THE SRN PLAINS NWD
INTO THE MID MO RIVER VALLEY...

...SYNOPSIS...
AN EXPANSIVE FULL LATITUDE UPPER TROUGH WILL OVERSPREAD THE SRN AND
CNTRL PLAINS ON MONDAY WITH MERIDIONAL STYLE FLOW REGIME. SLY LOW
LEVEL FLOW WILL PERSIST THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD AHEAD OF A COLD
FRONT...RESULTING IN AMPLE MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD
THUNDERSTORMS FROM TX INTO MN AND WI. THIS FRONT IS FORECAST TO
EXTEND FROM WRN/CNTRL OK INTO WRN N TX EARLY MON...BUT SHOULD STALL
ACROSS CNTRL TX.

MULTIPLE EPISODES OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
SRN PLAINS...AND THERE IS A WIDE VARIETY OF MODEL SOLUTIONS.
HOWEVER...IT APPEARS CONSENSUS IS FOR WIDESPREAD SEVERE STORMS
CENTERED OVER THE MDT RISK AREA...FROM CNTRL/NERN TX INTO SERN OK.


ELSEWHERE...A WEAK DISTURBANCE IS FORECAST TO REMAIN OVER
OH/PA/WV...WITH ISOLATED HAIL OR WIND POSSIBLE FROM DIURNALLY DRIVEN
STORMS.

...TX INTO OK AND THE ARKLATEX REGION...
A COMPLICATED CONVECTIVE DAY WILL UNFOLD ON MONDAY. UNCERTAINTIES
BEGIN EARLY IN THE MORNING IN RELATION TO WHERE A SQUALL LINE...NOW
OVER WRN TX...WILL BE LOCATED...AND HOW MUCH COLD POOL AND
STABILIZATION WILL OCCUR WITH THIS SYSTEM. MODELS GENERALLY SUGGEST
THIS LINE WILL BE OVER W CNTRL OK INTO WRN N TX AT 12Z...WITH SRN
END NEAR I-20. THIS ACTIVITY WILL BE IN A STRONGLY SHEARED
ENVIRONMENT...AND STRONG TO SEVERE WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN
ADDITION TO SOME HAIL. THIS ACTIVITY MAY REJUVENATE OVER ERN OK/NERN
TX WITH A STRONG 50 KT LOW LEVEL JET FEEDING INTO THAT AREA. LATER
IN THE AFTERNOON IN THIS SAME GENERAL VICINITY...ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT FUELED BY WARM ADVECTION MAY OCCUR WITH CONVECTION
ALLOWING MODELS DEPICTING ISOLATED SUPERCELLS. SHEAR WOULD FAVOR
DAMAGING WINDS AND A FEW TORNADOES.

THE GREATEST SEVERE THREAT SHOULD BE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND INTO
THE EVENING OVER MUCH OF CNTRL TX. AS OF THIS WRITING...THIS AREA
SHOULD BE S OF THE MORNING ACTIVITY...AND ON THE INTERFACE OF STRONG
HEATING PROGGED OVER WRN/W CNTRL TX. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW STEEP
LAPSE RATES ALOFT...STRONG INSTABILITY...AND AMPLE DEEP LAYER SHEAR
FOR SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER INCLUDING VERY LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WINDS AND TORNADOES. ISOLATED STRONG TORNADOES MAY OCCUR...BUT WILL
DEFER POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT TORNADO PROBABILITIES TO LATER OUTLOOKS
GIVEN UNCERTAINTIES WITH LOW LEVEL FLOW AND BOUNDARY LOCATIONS.

CONVECTIVE COVERAGE WILL ONLY INCREASE OVERNIGHT WITH COUPLED JET
STRUCTURE ALOFT LIKELY RESULTING IN A LARGE MCS WITH SEVERE WEATHER
AND FLOODING RAIN.

...ERN KS...MO...NEB/IA...
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S F DEWPOINTS WILL STREAM NWD INTO THE MID MO
VALLEY WITH A 40+ KT SLY LOW LEVEL JET. LITTLE CIN WILL EXIST SO
WARM ADVECTION WILL BE SUFFICIENT TO DRIVE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT.
THIS WILL OCCUR IN A STRONGLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT...AND SOME STORMS
MAY ACQUIRE ROTATION. A BRIEF TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT...ALONG
WITH GUSTY WINDS.

...OH/WV INTO THE MID ATLANTIC REGION...
STRONG HEATING WILL OCCUR OVER THE REGION UNDER THE UPPER
RIDGE...BUT A POCKET OF MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE WEAK UPPER
WAVE/OLD MCV SHOULD HELP TO FOCUS SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE
DAY. ALTHOUGH SHEAR WILL BE WEAK...NWLY FLOW ALOFT AND STEEP LAPSE
RATES WILL FAVOR A FEW STORM CORES CAPABLE OF HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS.

..JEWELL/HURLBUT.. 03/19/2012

'Nite, wubloggers.
Quoting Barefootontherocks:


How about removing that "No Watches in Effect" graphic?


Refresh and it'll update for you.

And at the time I posted it I did it in an ironic way, as there was a flaming sword of storms in west Texas and a tornado warning.
Quoting jamesrainier:


Refresh and it'll update for you.

And at the time I posted it I did it in an ironic way, as there was a flaming sword of storms in west Texas and a tornado warning.


I negged it awhile back so I couldn't see it. Yeah. They caught up with their graphics a while ago. Ironic maybe, but wasn't funny to post it on a blog people come to for information. No excuses. Live and learn.

Ps. There's a link on left side of SPC page that will take you to the watches. they don't post warnings. That is done by individual NWS forecast office.
Quoting Barefootontherocks:


I negged it awhile back so I couldn't see it. Yeah. They caught up with their graphics a while ago. Ironic maybe, but wasn't funny to post it on a blog people come to for information. No excuses. Live and learn.


I wasn't being funny. I thought there should have been a watch when there wasn't, and I mis-assumed that the few people on here would see the acute difference between the no-watches map and the radar images being posted.

One might say, was it me or the SPC you were more displeased with?
Quoting jamesrainier:


I wasn't being funny. I thought there should have been a watch when there wasn't, and I mis-assumed that the few people on here would see the acute difference between the no-watches map and the radar images being posted.


SPC issued a watch at 10:50 pm and then another upgrading part of that watch to a tor watch. These did not show up on the map you posted because of a glitch in their graphics. Hope you saw the Ps I added before you posted. Here it is again: Ps. There's a link on left side of SPC page that will take you to the watches. they don't post warnings. That is done by individual NWS forecast office. Next time you might want to double-check it - the lefthand link - the list of current watches.

Please excuse me now. I need to get some sleep.
One might say, was it me or the SPC you were more displeased with?

I see your add at 606. I have not ever been displeased with the SPC. I was displeased with that map you posted stating no watches when a watch was up, not displeased with you. Good night.
Quoting jamesrainier:

looks like its going to be a very dangerous day for the midwest, take care out there folks and listen to the warnings.
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
433 AM CDT MON MAR 19 2012

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-191700-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJ OR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-B ECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCC LAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-J ACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COT TON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMA N-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
433 AM CDT MON MAR 19 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE STORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA WITH A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL... CENTRAL... AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA... AND
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS THROUGH TONIGHT.

LOCATION...
THE MODERATE RISK AREA IS ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM
ATOKA... TO MADILL OKLAHOMA. THE SLIGHT RISK AREA INCLUDES AREAS
NORTH AND WEST OF THE MODERATE RISK AND THEN ALONG AND SOUTHEAST
OF A LINE FROM CHEROKEE AND WATONGA... TO HOBART AND ALTUS
OKLAHOMA... TO VERNON AND BENJAMIN TEXAS.

TIMING...
SEVERE STORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THIS MORNING THEN AGAIN LATER
THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

IMPACTS...
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH AND LARGE HAIL TO THE SIZE OF
GOLFBALLS WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS. THIS MAY CAUSE SOME DAMAGE TO
AUTOMOBILES...VEGETATION...AND ROOFTOPS.

RECOMMENDED ACTIONS...
STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL ACROSS THE
RISK AREA SHOULD PLAN FOR SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS OFF AND
ON THROUGH TONIGHT.

DISCUSSION...
A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST ACROSS PORTIONS
OF OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS THIS MORNING. SOME OF THESE
STORMS COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE. WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH AND HAIL TO
THE SIZE OF QUARTERS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY SEVERE STORMS THIS
MORNING. AS THE LINE MOVES INTO CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND AREAS FURTHER
EAST THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL DECREASE.

A STRONG UPPER STORM SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO INFLUENCE THE REGION
THROUGHOUT THE DAY AND TONIGHT. SCATTERED TO WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT. INSTABILITY
AND WIND SHEAR WILL BE SUFFICIENT THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT FOR
SEVERE STORMS. THE MAIN CONCERNS WITH THESE STORMS WILL BE LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. AN ISOLATED TORNADO WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE
MAINLY IN THE MODERATE RISK AREA.

PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT TUESDAY MAR 20.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...100 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...60 PERCENT.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
ESPECIALLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA. THIS RAIN COULD LEAD TO FLOODING IN SOME LOCATIONS. A
FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF THIS AREA. PLEASE
REFER TO THE LATEST VERSION OF THIS PRODUCT FOR FURTHER DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY AS THE
UPPER STORM SYSTEM CONTINUES TO INFLUENCE THE AREA. HOWEVER...
WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
VERY HEAVY RAINFALL LEADING TO FLOODING WILL REMAIN A CONCERN
TUESDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA. WIDESPREAD AMOUNTS OF 1.5 TO 3
INCHES OR MORE WILL BE POSSIBLE.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED BY
NOON TODAY. UNSCHEDULED UPDATES ARE POSSIBLE.

$$

MAXWELL
Good morning folks, warm dry day here once again in the 80's they say, the spring breakers are all over the place,having a great time, like they say "come on down"!! lol..have a great day and folks in the midwest and eastward, pay attention to the weather later on today.
\
Took this from Shawn Tanner's blog.
He has a good explanation of what to expect.
LinkLoop
Just wanted to stop in quick and wish everyone a good Monday and to say those under the red to be careful today.
Good Morning !
That's some Potential Horrors setting up in the MidWest today.
Not looking too good.

Heading for Grenada at about noon for 5 days.
Plenty of wet stuff coming up out of the Amazon heading this way.
Overcast and gloomy right now.
It would be Terrible if it rained all week and I had to lie in a hammock on a gallery drinking beer and watching the rain come down.

Hmm, come to think about it.......

:):))
This is as the tornado entered North Platte, injuring two and destroying a few homes. It was a lot bigger beforehand, so the city was lucky.



0210 4 SW NORTH PLATTE LINCOLN NE 4109 10083 WELL DEFINED TORNADO ON THE GROUND WITH MULTIPLE POWER FLASHES WEST OF TOWN. (LBF)
0212 5 S NORTH PLATTE LINCOLN NE 4106 10077 LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTS LARGE TORNADO ON THE GROUND NEAR LAKE MALONEY. (LBF)
0215 4 W NORTH PLATTE LINCOLN NE 4113 10085 REPORT OF POWER LINES DOWN AND DEBRIS ACROSS HIGHWAY 30 AT MILE MARKER 171. (LBF)
0217 NORTH PLATTE LINCOLN NE 4113 10077 PUBLIC REPORTS TORNADO ON THE GROUND 1 MILE WEST OF SOUTH MILLER SCHOOL ROAD (LBF)
0218 3 WSW NORTH PLATTE LINCOLN NE 4112 10083 2 HOUSES DAMAGED. VISUAL CROSSING BAILEY YARDS. (LBF)
0220 3 WSW NORTH PLATTE LINCOLN NE 4112 10083 TRAINED SPOTTERS REPORTED DEBRIS CLOUD AND STOVE PIPE TORNADO LOOKING NORTHWEST TOWARD BAILEY YARD. (LBF)
0220 NORTH PLATTE LINCOLN NE 4113 10077 SPOTTER REPORTED WELL DEFINED TORNADO NEAR BAILEY YARD IN NORTH PLATTE. (LBF)
0220 4 W NORTH PLATTE LINCOLN NE 4113 10085 REPORTED 15 TRAIN CARS FLIPPED OVER WITH EXTENSIVE DAMAGE TO PRIVATE VEHICLES ON THE PLOT. (LBF)
0222 NORTH PLATTE LINCOLN NE 4113 10077 LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED A TORNADO AT BUFFALO AND NORTH RIVER ROAD IN NORTH PLATTE. (LBF)
0222 1 N NORTH PLATTE LINCOLN NE 4115 10077 SPOTTER REPORTED THAT TORNADO HAS ROPED OUT BUT WELL DEFINED WALL CLOUD AND FUNNEL CLOUD STILL EXISTS JUST NORTH OF NORTH PLATTE. (LBF)
0230 10 N NORTH PLATTE LINCOLN NE 4128 10077 TORNADO ON THE GROUND WITH A CYCLIC LIFTING OF THE FUNNEL. (LBF)
0239 15 N NORTH PLATTE LINCOLN NE 4135 10077 SPOTTER REPORTS TORNADO BECOMING MORE WELL DEFINED. LOCATION IS APPROXIMATE. (LBF)
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Another picture of the same tornado.
Quoting Ameister12:

Another picture of the same tornado.

Very ominous looking, huh?
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Very ominous looking, huh?

Yeah. Night time tornadoes are especially eerie.

Here's awesome footage of a couple tornadoes and large hail in Greer County, OK.
Intense day setting up..Those under the gun today, heed the warnings, good thing that this is happening during daytime hours

Day1 Tornado outlook

Quoting ncstorm:
Intense day setting up..Those under the gun today, heed the warnings, good thing that this is happening during daytime hours

Day1 Tornado outlook


That's a very bad location for the 10%.

Dallas, Fort Worth, San Antonio, Waco, Austin...they're all in the greatest tornado threat.
Greg Forbes Torcon Index

Monday March 19
AR west half - 3
IA southwest - 3
KS east - 3
LA northwest - 3
MO west half - 3
NE extreme southeast - 3
OK central, northeast - 4
OK southeast - 6
TX south - 4
TX northeast - 6
TX central - 7
TX southeast west of Laredo-Houston-Lufkin line - 3 to 4
Other areas - less than 2
I can't wait to see what the first hay cutting will be in Texas, that's the real drought monitor, not the govment fuey!

Some of my horse friends in Texas say they won't have to import their hay this year.

I'll report back around the second week in April. that should tell about the so-called drought monitor.
Quoting ncstorm:
Greg Forbes Torcon Index

Monday March 19
AR west half - 3
IA southwest - 3
KS east - 3
LA northwest - 3
MO west half - 3
NE extreme southeast - 3
OK central, northeast - 4
OK southeast - 6
TX south - 4
TX northeast - 6
TX central - 7
TX southeast west of Laredo-Houston-Lufkin line - 3 to 4
Other areas - less than 2
That's a big difference from yesterday; a '4' was the highest he gave to any area.
Another record breaking day across the east today.


Quoting trunkmonkey:
I can't wait to see what the first hay cutting will be in Texas, that's the real drought monitor, not the govment fuey!

Some of my horse friends in Texas say they won't have to import their hay this year.

I'll report back around the second week in April. that should tell about the so-called drought monitor.


Is this a matter of the quality of hay? Or the amount?
60 degree dewpoints in Canada in March! WOW!!!

That is some squall line in the southern plains!

Quoting AussieStorm:
Some awesome Lightning photo's from a storm near Geelong, Victoria.










Link


Really cool! love the electric blue color.
Looks like it's going to be a long night here in Austin.

Have a Battery Backed up NOAA Alert Weather Radio as it is the best bet on being alerted to Severe Weather.

Quoting KoritheMan:
Random question, but I'm curious as to which areas would experience the least amount of change due to global warming. Theoretically I'd say it would be the tropics, but I dunno...


Most likely the tropics, or areas furthest from jets. We're seeing the most change during the transition seasons in the transition zones. The tropics is probably where conceptually one would expect the least change, but there are possible impacts to ITCZ and drought/rainfall areas which could impact the tropics. I suppose it depends on what kind of change you are talking about.

Quoting KoritheMan:


Actually, I heard GR2 was.


http://www.grlevelx.com/gr2analyst/
$250 for the base program, $125 for dual-pol functionality turned on.

http://www.grlevelx.com/grlevel2/
For base data only, get GRLevel2. Although Mike Gibson is considering merging GR2 into GR2Analyst at some point, but at least now you can still purchase it apparently. I think he reduces the cost of GR2Analyst if you already bought GRLevel2.
Morning all. 30-sec look in before I head out.

Temps here in Nassau have been pretty average for March, with highs around 82 F . That's actually pretty good because March has of recnt years been an above average month tempwise. The unusual high has been rainfall. What is normally a dry month for us has been above average rainfall-wise.

Hope everybody stays safe in the US today....
Good morning all. Hope your weekend was good. I see that the people in the midwest need to keep alert today. Keep safe everyone. I was curious if anyone knows about that moisture in the GOM. Does it look like it might bring some rain to SE Fl.?
Quoting wxmod:


Quit buying the stuff from China. It's just that simple.


Yeah, try telling that that to the poor or working poor, which now make up a considerable percentage of the country's population.

Stores like Walmart aren't popular because they have the best goods. They're popular because it's affordable. Chinese goods are cheap, and therefore that's what most of the country will purchase.
Quoting StormTracker2K:
60 degree dewpoints in Canada in March! WOW!!!



*jaw wide open then a word tries to come out* ... Amazing.

It stayed above 16C all night in Winnipeg. The forecast high of 26C is a full 25C(45F) above normal. The Weather Network says there's a risk of severe thunderstorms today in south-eastern Manitoba...

Interesting, the record for the warmest March day on record in Winnipeg is only 23.3C set on the 27th in 1947. Therefore, today, we could see that record smashed by more than 3 degrees Celsius!!
Records go back to 1938.

In fact, on average, Winnipeg sees 1.5 days in March above 10C - we are already at 8 counting today. Meanwhile, it sees "0 days" (probably between 0 and 0.05 - statistically insignificant to them I presume) above 20C. We have 4 days above 19C counting today.

This heat wave is simply unreal...
Quoting Chicklit:
\
Took this from Shawn Tanner's blog.
He has a good explanation of what to expect.

LinkLoop

Morning guys.....flooding is going to be a very big problem
Quoting nigel20:

Morning guys.....flooding is going to be a very big problem

Hi Nigel, is all that Gulf moisture going to flow into the system?
LinkGOM WV Loop
Temperatures through March 18th (numbers in parentheses are the departures from normal, all values in degrees Fahrenheit):

Cleveland

High 58.1 ( 14.1)
Low 38.8 ( 10.6)
Avg 48.4 ( 12.3)
Record warmest 49.5, 1946

Toledo

High 58.2 ( 14.1)
Low 37.1 ( 10.8)
Avg 47.6 ( 12.5)
Record warmest 47.7, 1945

Chicago

High 60.8 ( 16.9)
Low 39.9 ( 12.6)
Avg 50.4 ( 14.8)
Record warmest 48.6, 1945 & 1910

Detroit

High 58.4 ( 15.4)
Low 37.2 ( 10.8)
Avg 47.8 ( 13.1)
Record warmest 47.9, 1945
Quoting StormTracker2K:

Quite a bit of lightning in the Texas/Oklahoma area.
Quoting Chicklit:

Hi Nigel, is all that Gulf moisture going to flow into the system?
LinkGOM WV Loop

It's looking as if that's going to happen and it's quite a bit of moisture as well
I'm thinking about going chasing today. It's not the best setup, but I'm so close (at the edge of the moderate risk already) that if anything good does develop, I can get there in a hurry.
Be sure to have a Good first aid kit if chasing. One may need it .
March 19, 2012
Quoting 1900hurricane:
I'm thinking about going chasing today. It's not the best setup, but I'm so close (at the edge of the moderate risk already) that if anything good does develop, I can get there in a hurry.
don't forget a canoe lots of water coming turning on the tap soon real soon
Quoting Xyrus2000:


.

Stores like Walmart aren't popular because they have the best goods.

I always thought it was because the cheap products were constantly in need of replacement. Spend a little more up front (save if you have to) and get a product that lasts longer and works better. Or spend less now and replace it sooner. It's not a foolproof philosophy, but it has served me well as a general rule.
Quoting nigel20:
March 19, 2012


The GOM and the Gulfstream waters continue very warm.



Hi Tropicspr, and I don't think they're going to get any cooler from here on out.
SPC increased the area for tornado threat-Day 1

Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:


The GOM and the Gulfstream waters continue very warm.




The GOM and Gulf stream SST's are way above average, but look at the eastern equatorial pacific, it's not as warm as a couple a weeks ago
Wow, Keeper, that line is starting to look even worse!
Link Frederick OK radar
Statement as of 8:31 AM CDT on March 19, 2012

... Significant weather advisory for Cotton... Tillman... Baylor...
Wichita... Wilbarger and Archer counties until 915 am CDT...

At 831 am CDT... a line of strong thunderstorms along a line extending from Loveland to Westover... moving northeast at 45 mph.

Hazards include...
hail up to one-half inch diameter...
wind gusts to 50 mph...

Locations impacted include...
Wichita Falls... Burkburnett... Seymour... Sheppard AFB... Iowa Park...Electra... Archer City... Holliday... Grandfield... Davidson...Megargel... Devol... Hollister... Loveland... Grayback... Harrold...Oklaunion... Kamay... Dundee and Lake Diversion.

Monitor the weather situation closely and be alert for threatening weather conditions.

Lat... Lon 3341 9936 3427 9923 3442 9847 3340 9851
time... Mot... loc 1327z 242deg 37kt 3429 9870 3345 9906

p.s. I'm surprised there is no tornado warning.
They also increased the area for Severe Weather Threat

Hey, where did that squall line come from?, i went to be at 11 and there was nothing there.

And what happened with the storms in NE and SD?
I didnt see them get a tornado watch and the storms there were weakening at 11.

Now i see a bunch of tornado reports.
Quoting ncstorm:
They also increased the area for Severe Weather Threat


That's a large area
661. CJ5
Quoting Xyrus2000:


Yeah, try telling that that to the poor or working poor, which now make up a considerable percentage of the country's population.

Stores like Walmart aren't popular because they have the best goods. They're popular because it's affordable. Chinese goods are cheap, and therefore that's what most of the country will purchase.


Stores like Walmart carry the same products that stores "unlike" Walmart do. The same name brands. Now, you can go to a specialty store and likely by a different brand item but it will cost twice as much.

People buy China products because they meet the quality and prices standards Americans want. It is a global economy and China is meeting the need.
and April isnt even here yet, oh boy! What a day its going to be.
Quoting ncstorm:
and April isnt even here yet, oh boy! What a day its going to be.

Don't forget May
Quoting nigel20:

That's a large area

Huge. It's not only got legs, but arms, head and a tail.LinkIR Loop Central US
Waiting for BarefootontheRocks to report in.
I just stepped outside...gulf moisture heading north...and in a hurry. It is very breezy, muggy and warm in the ATX this morning.
Quoting nigel20:

Don't forget May


Its going to be a memorable spring unfortunately for disaster events
I was curious, so I went back to look at what the months of March 1945 & 1946 looked like using the NCDC Local Climate Data archives. Those months were fairly similar to this current month, though not as extreme so early. It seemed the more intense heat didn't arrive until later in the month then. But one thing I found striking was the change in what was considered normal March temperatures.

At Cleveland, normal highs at the airport for March today are 3.6 degrees greater than what was considered normal in 1946. Normal lows are 4.2 degrees warmer. And normal means are 3.9 degrees warmer.

At Toledo, normal highs at the airport for March are 5.2 degrees warmer than what was considered normal in 1945. Normal lows are 2.3 degrees warmer. And normal means are 3.8 degrees warmer.

At Chicago, normal highs at O'Hare for March are 3.7 degrees warmer than normals at Midway from 1945. Normal lows at O'Hare today are 3.1 degrees warmer than those for Midway in 1945. And current means at O'Hare are 3.4 degrees above Midway norms from 1945.

Using the Midway 1981-2010 norms, this effect is even more pronounced. Normal highs are 3.9 degrees warmer, normal lows 4.8 degrees warmer, and normal means 4.3 degrees warmer.

Note that the airports were all pretty new back then. The normals for those locations were evidently based on the old downtown sites with some sort of bias correction factor to account for the fact that the airport locations were often cooler, especially with respect to overnight minima. This is one thing that's lost on a lot of people when they talk about records from the past -- they were often taken downtown and on rooftops, and thus are not comparable to today. If you focus strictly on comparing the temperatures at one continuous site, you get a warming trend considerably greater than what is reported by mainstream science.

How can they say we've only warmed 0.8C since 1850 when the data show a 4F rise just since 1945? Maybe the midwestern US is warming more rapidly than the globe. I'm not sure, but it is alarming.
669. afj3
Greetings all!
I hate to ask a stupid question but any correlation to the jet stream and El Nino/La Nina events going on and hurricane season activity this summer? I realize El Nino depresses storm development with shear but will it be around in time?
We always think that morning rains lower severe weather threat, but many of the worst outbreaks were preceded by morning rains, very often a weak squall line,(like the one there right now).
I wonder why this is. Maybe it is because the systems strong enough to create severe weather outbreaks are so strong that they tend to produce rain from the day before as well.

Or maybe the evaporation of moisture from the ground plays a bigger role in severe weather than we think.

It will be interesting to see what happens today.
Geez wondr what got into the NWS....

yesterday my forecast highs for next 4 days were 78, 76, 76, 77. This morning they are 79, 80, 81, 81
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
427 AM CDT MON MAR 19 2012

.DISCUSSION...
TIGHTENING PRES GRADIENT WILL LEAD TO WINDY CONDITIONS TODAY. ALREADY
SEEING WIND ADVSY CRITERIA MET AT SOME LOCATIONS AND WOULD NOT
DOUBT IF WE SEE SOME GUSTS AOA 40 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. SHORTWAVES
MOVING INTO THE REGION FROM THE SW AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING UPPER
TROF WILL GENERATE SCT SHRA AND TSTMS TODAY AND TONIGHT. INSTABILITY
IS MORE ELEVATED IN NATURE TODAY...BUT KEEP IN MIND IN WOULDN`T
TAKE MUCH FOR A STRONGER CELL TO PRODUCE WINDS NEAR SVR CRITERIA.

MCS SHOULD DEVELOP TO OUR WEST LATER THIS EVENING AS A SPLITTING
JET MOVES INTO THE REGION. SFC LOW DEVELOPING IN S TX SHOULD MOVE
NE AND ALONG THIS COMPLEX AS IT EVOLVES INTO A SQUALL LINE THAT
SHOULD BE ROUGHLY SITUATED FROM NE TX-COLLEGE STATION-CORPUS LINE
AROUND 6AM...THE HWY 59 CORRIDOR AROUND NOON THEN INTO OUR ERN
CWA IN THE MID AFTN HOURS. SHOULD SEE THE WHOLE BAG OF WX
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LINE - DAMAGING WINDS, HAIL, ISOLATED
TORNADOES AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. THINK DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE
THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH A TREMENDOUS AMOUNT WIND ENERGY AVAILABLE
JUST ABOVE THE SFC. THOUGH TRAINING CELLS ARE A STRONG
LIKELIHOOD...THE LINE ITSELF LOOKS PROGRESSIVE ENOUGH THAT
WIDESPREAD FLOODING ISN`T A GIVEN. AM STILL TAKING NOTE OF THE GFS
WHICH BRINGS A 4" SWATH ACROSS NW ZONES (AND HAS DONE SO FROM
TIME-TO-TIME THE PAST FEW DAYS)...BUT IT IS THE HIGHEST OF THE
MODELS AND ALSO OVERESTIMATED THE LAST EVENTS RAINFALL - SOMETIMES
BADLY. HESITANT TO ISSUE A WATCH AT THIS TIME AND THINK WE HAVE
TIME TO LOOK AT A FEW MORE RUNS. STILL EXPECT 1-3" WITH ISOLATED
HIGHER AMOUNTS AS THIS LINE MOVES THROUGH.

FORECAST BECOMES QUITE DIFFICULT TUESDAY NIGHT THRU WED. I
ACTUALLY BELIEVE THIS COULD BE THE TIME PERIOD TO LOOK FOR A MORE
WIDESPREAD FLASH FLOOD THREAT. THE SFC LOW THAT IS FCST TO MOVE
NORTHWARD UP THE SQUALL LINE IS FCST TO LEAVE A NORTH-SOUTH
ORIENTED SFC BOUNDARY LINGERING OVER PARTS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS.
ROUGH EYEBALL GUESS BETWEEN ALL THE MODEL SOLNS WOULD BE AROUND
THE I-45 CORRIDOR. CONTINUED STRONG INFLOW FROM THE GULF (AND
SPEED CONVERGENCE INLAND) EAST OF THIS BOUNDARY COMBINED WITH
ROUNDS OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVING OVERHEAD FROM THE CUT-OFF
UPPER LOW STILL TO OUR WEST COULD PROVIDE A SET-UP FOR A CONTINUED
HEAVY RAIN TREAT. IF/WHERE THIS WILL SET UP WILL BE THE KEY. MANY
TIMES IN THESE SITUATIONS MESOSCALE FACTORS WILL TAKE OVER (COLD
POOL BEHIND SQUALL LINE PUSHES THE BOUNDARY A LITTLE FURTHER EAST,
ETC ETC) AND HAVE LOW CONFIDENCE NARROWING DOWN AN AREA RIGHT NOW.
BUT HEADS UP I-45 EASTWARD.

UPPER LOW WILL (HOPEFULLY) LIFT NORTH NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE
PLAINS DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK ALLOWING A DRIER
AIRMASS FILTERS INTO THE REGION FROM THE WEST. 47
Which weather radio do any of you think is the best? I am thinking of upgrading to a new one and just want some opinions!
Today's CPC ENSO update has no change at Nino 3.4 from last week's update at -0.6C.

Link
Quoting SPLbeater:
Geez wondr what got into the NWS....

yesterday my forecast highs for next 4 days were 78, 76, 76, 77. This morning they are 79, 80, 81, 81
Its called "new data". If the forecast stayed the same I'd be more concerned.
Central Texas has a TORCON of 7!
Quoting muddertracker:
Central Texas has a TORCON of 7!

not much there yet!Link Wichita TX

Further west it's kicking up Link Killeen TX
Quoting Chicklit:

not much there yet!

Nope...and I hope "they" are wrong :)
Moisture is in place, though. We'll see what happens.
Gonna be a BA BOOM over TX later today and tonight
later guys
Quoting ClimateChange:
I was curious, so I went back to look at what the months of March 1945 & 1946 looked like using the NCDC Local Climate Data archives. Those months were fairly similar to this current month, though not as extreme so early. It seemed the more intense heat didn't arrive until later in the month then. But one thing I found striking was the change in what was considered normal March temperatures.

At Cleveland, normal highs at the airport for March today are 3.6 degrees greater than what was considered normal in 1946. Normal lows are 4.2 degrees warmer. And normal means are 3.9 degrees warmer.

At Toledo, normal highs at the airport for March are 5.2 degrees warmer than what was considered normal in 1945. Normal lows are 2.3 degrees warmer. And normal means are 3.8 degrees warmer.

At Chicago, normal highs at O'Hare for March are 3.7 degrees warmer than normals at Midway from 1945. Normal lows at O'Hare today are 3.1 degrees warmer than those for Midway in 1945. And current means at O'Hare are 3.4 degrees above Midway norms from 1945.

Using the Midway 1981-2010 norms, this effect is even more pronounced. Normal highs are 3.9 degrees warmer, normal lows 4.8 degrees warmer, and normal means 4.3 degrees warmer.

Note that the airports were all pretty new back then. The normals for those locations were evidently based on the old downtown sites with some sort of bias correction factor to account for the fact that the airport locations were often cooler, especially with respect to overnight minima. This is one thing that's lost on a lot of people when they talk about records from the past -- they were often taken downtown and on rooftops, and thus are not comparable to today. If you focus strictly on comparing the temperatures at one continuous site, you get a warming trend considerably greater than what is reported by mainstream science.

How can they say we've only warmed 0.8C since 1850 when the data show a 4F rise just since 1945? Maybe the midwestern US is warming more rapidly than the globe. I'm not sure, but it is alarming.


No doubt land locations have risen more than 0.8C. Even though land temperatures rise faster we also have to average in surface temperatures over oceans. These temperatures bring down the average because water is slower to warm than land. So even though most land locations have risen 3+ degrees F the average when the cooler and more vast ocean air temperatures are averaged is apprx. 0.8 C. For example the northeastern corridor has risen almost 4 degrees F!
Link
Quoting ShenValleyFlyFish:
Its called "new data". If the forecast stayed the same I'd be more concerned.


the NWS doesnt make a rather large change like that. usually its gradual, not overnight smarts
Dr. Master's new Blog is up!
Quoting DavidHOUTX:
Which weather radio do any of you think is the best? I am thinking of upgrading to a new one and just want some opinions!


I have a First Alert NOAA radio...works good i think.
Quoting 1900hurricane:
I'm thinking about going chasing today. It's not the best setup, but I'm so close (at the edge of the moderate risk already) that if anything good does develop, I can get there in a hurry.
But the big show isn't until late tonight...
Quoting bluheelrtx:

I always thought it was because the cheap products were constantly in need of replacement. Spend a little more up front (save if you have to) and get a product that lasts longer and works better. Or spend less now and replace it sooner. It's not a foolproof philosophy, but it has served me well as a general rule.
First, just because they have the same brand name and look alike, products from one store to another to another are not necessarily interchangeable. You need to look at the base specs, particularly in electronics.

Secondly, while corporations collude to manipulate the tastes and styles of the consumer, the consumer still drives the market. Americans like to have "new" stuff. That may be evolving, witness mileage expectations for automotive products, but the idea of Detroit producing a car like the Volvo which is financed for 10 yrs and expected to last 20 is still not in the works, partially due to the fact that average commutes in the U.S. are much greater and partially due to the fact that few folks would be willing to hang on to a product for that long.

Thirdly, disposal costs are not internalized in the initial price of a product. Up until quite recently, we had the illusion that there was plenty of "useless" space where we could dump "useless" stuff.

It is very easy to "should" on our fellow occupants of the planet, changing the factors which cause them to behave as they do is a much more difficult struggle.
Quoting Patrap:

Have a Battery Backed up NOAA Alert Weather Radio as it is the best bet on being alerted to Severe Weather.

My interest in weather has landed me three of those over the years. And as corny as it may sound, I have quite a collection of "vintage" weather radios. I will have to see if I can post some pictures of them. Some are in bad shape, some in near perfect. I think I have 10, maybe 12.
Dr. Jeff Masters, I want to extend a big thank you for putting one of or coldest cities on the map for something other than being the Ice Box of America.

Can you imagine these people coming out of their homes dressed for Winter only to find that it's Summer already???!!!