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More tornadoes and flooding for the Midwest

By: Dr. Jeff Masters, 4:21 PM GMT on January 09, 2008

Wild spring-like severe weather continued Tuesday, with eight tornadoes reported in Arkansas, Missouri, and Tennessee. One Arkansas man died in Appleton when a tornado rolled his mobile home. The same tornado gave a cow a wild ride of 3/4 mile before setting it down unharmed. A total of 48 tornadoes have been reported for the two day severe weather outbreak that has affected much of the Midwest. Two people were killed and three critically injured in southern Missouri on Monday near the town of Marshfield, northeast of Springfield, when a tornado rated EF3 with winds of 136-165 mph smashed through a mobile home park. In Wheatland, Wisconsin, just north of the Illinois border, another EF3 tornado damaged or destroyed 55 buildings and injured 13 people. Twelve homes were demolished down to their foundations. The Wheatland tornado was only the second January tornado on record in Wisconsin. The only other one was a long-track F3 in Green and Rock counties on 24 January 1967. Detailed imagery and analysis of this tornado are available from the National Weather Service in Milwaukee and the CIMSS Satellite Blog.


Figure 1. Storm reports for Tuesday compiled by the Storm Prediction Center.

In north central Indiana, heavy rains of up to eight inches triggered floods along the Wabash and Tippicanoe rivers that killed three people and forced the evacuation of hundreds. No further rain or severe weather is expected in the Midwest today. A new storm system on Thursday may bring the risk of severe weather to Alabama and surrounding states on Thursday.


Figure 2. Heavy rains of up to eight inches hit portions of Indiana and Illinois this week. Image credit: NOAA.

Jeff Masters
Missouri tornandos
Missouri tornandos
Our news commented that for Springfield there were 63 tornado warnings over 15 hours of which at least 10 passed over the city. It was a very long scary night that these storms kept coming and coming and coming
More Flood in My Backyard!
More Flood in My Backyard!
Whole addition gone! Only Two hours for a flash flood!
my site
my site
my site check it out www.tornadolinks.com All your tornado and weather links, all on one website!

Tornado

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

Reader Comments

Thanks for the new blog Doc. Simply amazing weather the past few days.
Magnitude 6.2
Date-Time

* Wednesday, January 09, 2008 at 14:40:01 UTC
* Wednesday, January 09, 2008 at 06:40:01 AM at epicenter

Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones
Location 51.701°N, 131.096°W
Depth 10 km (6.2 miles) set by location program
Region QUEEN CHARLOTTE ISLANDS REGION
Distances

* 275 km (171 miles) WNW (296°) from Port Hardy, BC, Canada
* 294 km (183 miles) S (191°) from Prince Rupert, BC, Canada
* 382 km (238 miles) S (175°) from Metlakatla, AK
* 624 km (388 miles) WNW (299°) from Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada

Location Uncertainty horizontal +/- 6.8 km (4.2 miles); depth fixed by location program
Parameters Nst= 91, Nph= 91, Dmin=519.6 km, Rmss=1.03 sec, Gp=137°,
M-type=moment magnitude (Mw), Version=6
Source

USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)

Event ID us2008lzas
tornados, fires, earthquakes, floods, snow, volcanos...

yea Mother Nature is POed
tornados, fires, earthquakes, floods, snow, volcanos...

Just another day, these things happen all the time throughout the world. It makes life interesting for sure. It also gives us something to blog about!
yeah I know that earthquake post is off topic right now, but the new blog was already up.

What a rough night for many folks.
LOL Storm. If I hear about a locust swarm somewhere I am going to find a nice deep cave somewhere to live for a few years LOL
ashame about that pile up on I-4 in Florida :(
and glowing pigs...
got this on the last post but too late...
Link
6. tornadofan 4:39 PM GMT on January 09, 2008
tornados, fires, earthquakes, floods, snow, volcanos...

Just another day, these things happen all the time throughout the world. It makes life interesting for sure. It also gives us something to blog about!


It does! And if there were no gloomy weather related happenings we'd be blogging about glacial ice melting and the end of days for beachfront property owners...
The time on the blogs looks really messed up... I am seeing things like comments posted -500 seconds ago (I also posted a comment in my blog and it says it was posted 18 minutes ago, after having one appear 10 minutes too early). Anybody else seeing this?
glowing pigs (rolls eyes)

ok anyone know a good cave somewhere?
yea Michael. Blogs went haywire at 10am. Only came back up a few minutes ago.

Most have been a glitch
lol,gotta love the glowing pigs
StL, WU servers must still be outta sync. As it gets worse, seems like the blogs go down, like just happened a little bit ago.
it was all Ne falt.
Regarding post 11 - have they proven that the earthquake was caused by global warming yet? :)
way outta sink LOL


last comment
-1141 second ago|-
Thanks DR. Masters.
the information here is always appreciated, including some "off Topic" posts.

I will post more off topic to my blog later.
The Pine beetle swarms have shown up on Alberta weather radar
Speaking of plagues
17. Bonedog 4:55 PM GMT on January 09, 2008
it was all Ne falt.

yeh,must have been that file I tried to upload listing all the tornadic history in the U.S. for the past 200 years.
WOW trailer getting rocked now. Winds way up and gusting hard.

Wind: 30 mph from the West
Wind Gust: 43 mph
21. NEwxguy 11:57 AM EST on January 09, 2008
17. Bonedog 4:55 PM GMT on January 09, 2008
it was all Ne falt.

yeh,must have been that file I tried to upload listing all the tornadic history in the U.S. for the past 200 years.


or my list of all current active volcanos throughout the world
ok wow. even higher at my house. Latest from the rapid fire

Wind: 20.1 mph from the WNW
Wind Gust: 51.9 mph
good afternoon to all
hey 456
Bone,the front must have past you with that kind of wind.
have they proven that the earthquake was caused by global warming yet? :)

LOL... I would really laugh at anybody who suggested that earthquakes can be caused by climate change (unless it is related to melting ice)...
Yea NE front passed at around 9:30- 10:00. Winds started to pick up steadely. But in the past few mintues it has really started gusting. Went from not really feeling it in the trailer to watching the water cooler slosh around.
This has to be a record:

-1346 second ago

Edit:

-1351 second ago
LOL,trailer doesn't sound like a good place to be in strong wind.
its strapped down NE. But still has enough give for a fun day of thinking I am on a boat.

Gotta love working in an office trailer :)
Michael here is a link for you and "global warming" induced quakes.

Link

its as you said, from melting glaciers
Tropical Depression 07F Update 4

Issued 1700 UTC JAN 09 2007 by W456

Tropical Depression 07F is located near 20.3S-175.5W movement towards the south. Position based on QuikSCAT, synoptic reports and microwave satellite. Estimated surface winds are 30 knots based on QuikSCAT and estimated surface pressure is 998-999 mb based on a synoptic report near the center. SSTs are 26-28C and wind shear is 10-15 knots.

Tropical Depression 07F has increase in organization in the past 12 hrs or so. Satellite imagery showed wind shear has fallen over the disturbance, which enabled the depression to build convection over the exposed LLCC. The LLCC is tightly wounded and well define as seen on QuikSCAT and microwave imagery with associated winds of 30 knots. Estimated surface pressure is 998-999 mb measured by station MFTF on the island of Tonga, which is near the center. Global models have done extremely well on 07F, indicating that wind shear would relax enough to allow development as seen in update 3. The models still allow the TD to develop further and move southeastward around a transitory ridge.

by W456

JTWC Stats:
1200 UTC 30kts-1000mb-201S-1756W




===================================================
Tropical Depression 07F Update 3

Issued 0200 UTC JAN 08 2008 by W456

Tropical Depression 07F centered near 19.56N-175.5W moving slowly towards thr south. Position and movement based QuikSCAT and visible imagery. Surface winds measured by QuikSCAT is 35 knots. Estimated surface pressure is around 1003-1004 hpa based on synoptic reports.

Visible imagery along with microwave data showed the well-defined LLCC of 07F remains expose due to northerly vertical wind shear induced by an upper low to its northwest. A recent QuikSCAT pass showed an excellent circulation with associated uncontiminated wind barbs of 35 knots. SSTs are 26-28F. Global models take this towards the southeast around the influence of a transitory anticyclone and are persistent on developing the depression further.

by W456

JTWC Stats:
0000 UTC 25kts-1004mb-194S-1756W

Interesting Tropics:

On January 7 2008 both Tropical Depression 07F and Tropical Disturbance 07R were designated.
No real surprise as the result when 2 airmasses clash together most of the time the ending result is deadly.
This is a great CD to own if ur interestted in the TWC music. I already have most of their music on my PC. My fav is "Along the Way by Ryan Farish". They are both soothing and fun to listen

Link

Now everyone that knows me knows i know my stuff about tropics. This could very well be NOTHING, I did not take time to analyze it much or even get a logn animation its just something i eyeballed when looking @ the Atlantic satellite map. LIKE I SAID ITS PROBABLY NOTHING! Just something to analyze for the bored tropical fanatics! Enjoy.

Image Hosted by ImageShack.us
CaneAddict, i have been wathcing that area for the past day or so...doesnt appear to have a LLCC yet and when i check the models this morning...there was a hint that some of them were backing off.
Weather456: Yeah but it is something to watch, Before we know it it will be Hurricane Season again in 5 Months.
Cane,its been in the models all week,interesting to watch,but doesn't appear to have much future
The way this crazy winter with its springlike weather,would not be surprised to see an early season tropical system
Visible imagery show some spin but it is more pronounce in the mid-upper levels with a large perturbation at the surface. Something that needs to be watch incase of development but no threat to land*
Actually if you take a good look upper level shear is running at around 40-50kts in the area.The approaching cold front front will sweep the area clean.

www.AdriansWeather.com

My Severe Weather Page

Tropics Page

My Hurricane Archives
The increasing help of micorwave sensors, conventional sat imagery and quikscat have been more than helpful in tracking 07F with few surface reports available and no reccon. This is good practise for Tthe Trop Atl in May



A curve band arc of 0.33 will give T# of 2.0

47. N3EG
The same tornado gave a cow a wild ride of 3/4 mile before setting it down unharmed.

What, no picture of the cow?
1900Z-2000Z Synoptic Reports - Ships, Buoys and Land Stations - SW Pacific just west of the date line and south of the EQ.



Holy Moly!!!!!!


Katrina victim sues U.S. for $3 quadrillion
Federal government hit with 489,000 damage claims after hurricane.


updated 12:40 p.m. ET, Wed., Jan. 9, 2008
NEW ORLEANS - Hurricane Katrina's victims have put a price tag on their suffering and it is staggering — including one plaintiff seeking the unlikely sum of $3 quadrillion.

The total number — $3,014,170,389,176,410 — is the dollar figure so far sought from some 489,000 claims filed against the federal government over damage from the failure of levees and flood walls following the Aug. 29, 2005, hurricane.

Of the total number of claims, the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers said it has received 247 for at least $1 billion apiece, including the one for $3 quadrillion.

"That's the mother of all high numbers," said Loren Scott, a Baton Rouge-based economist.

For the sake of perspective: A mere $1 quadrillion would dwarf the U.S. gross domestic product, which Scott said was $13.2 trillion in 2007. A stack of one quadrillion pennies would reach Saturn.....

Cool Vis loop 07F

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t6/loop-vis.html
49. vortfix 4:45 PM AST on January 09, 2008

WOW...i didnt even know they had a number called quadrillion.
quadrillion,may as well shoot for the sky.
any bets on anyone seeing a penny
This is weather-related, I suppose. From The Tampa area.

Included here, from MyFoxTampa, is Gallery: Foggy I4 Pile-up...these pics were taken after much of the fog started to lift. You can see the extent of the pile-ups all along I4, as well as some more raw footage of the wreckage scene.

I found most of this to be mind-numbing, I honestly have not seen such wreckage.

Link
aquak,thats pretty amazing stuff.
Tropical Depression 07F Update 4

Issued 1700 UTC JAN 09 2008 by W456
Update 2100 UTC JAN 09 2008 by W456

Tropical Depression 07F is located near 20.9S-175.5W; movement is a little east of due south. Position based on QuikSCAT, synoptic reports, microwave satellite and visible imagery. Estimated surface winds are 30 knots and extends outward 30 nmi mainly in the NE quadrant based on QuikSCAT and AMSU with estimated surface pressure near 995 mb based on a synoptic report near the center. SSTs are 26-28C and wind shear is 10 knots.

Tropical Depression 07F has increase in organization in the past 12 hrs or so. Satellite imagery showed wind shear has fallen over the disturbance, which allow the depression to build convection over the once exposed LLCC. The LLCC is tightly wounded and well define as seen on QuikSCAT and microwave imagery with associated winds of 30 knots. Estimated surface pressure is 995 mb measured by station MFTF on the island of Tonga, which is near the center. Global models have done extremely well on 07F, indicating that wind shear would relax enough to allow development as seen in update 3. The models still allow the TD to develop further and move southeastward around a transitory ridge.

by W456

JTWC Stats:
1800 UTC 30kts-1000mb-208S-1754W
I suspect the amount of the lawsuit was determined in part by trying to attract attention to the suit.
I think they were successful!
NEwx...it was a controlled burn, believe it or not. Certainly the local mets were aware of the conditions before this morning. Why the folks decided to go ahead with the burn is beyond me.

yeah, those pics from MyFoxTampa are amazing.
Controlled burn,its hard to believe people would be so reckless,I smell a lawsuit in the future.
This is the main artery between central Florida and the more southern part of the west coast of Florida. Now they are saying it will be closed indefinitely.
aquak: do they believe that the fire had a part to do with this? or was it just the fog? That was unreal footage!
The accident was very much weather related. If you look at the graph from this weather station in Lakeland from yesterday, Lakeland 1/8/08 you will see that the winds picked up and became rather unpredictable midday. I'd be interested to know if this was forecast prior to the control burn.

Controlled burns are absolutely necessary in Florida but they need to plan carefully.

49. vortfix 2:45 PM CST on January 09, 2008
Holy Moly!!!!!!


Yea I saw that story too, and it doesnt surprise me that the claims were filed, but the amount sure does!

When you really break it down though that's only about 6.1 trillion a person. Not to shabby if I say so myself.

Hell I'm not greedy, they can transfer a couple mil to my account and that'd be just fine :-)
It was a combination of smoke from the out-of-control fire and fog.

I have been on I-4 during similar conditions and it is like looking off the edge of the world. You can't see a thing. You have to be extremely careful.
We all have been there...driving in fog on the edge our seats. I couldn't imagine running up on a scene like that with no warning.
Sw Pacific

An area of disturb weather within the monsoon trough needs to be watch over the next several days. Models have been predicting the development of a relatively strong tropical cyclone over the past week. New model runs indicating a possible second low. If anything were to form it would move towards the SE then recurve back southwestward under the influence of a building ridge in about 108 hrs.

One thing I should of included in update 4 is the dry air affecting 07F, despite 07F well define circulation and organize convection. The first image shows the diameter of the of circulation (yellow arrow) and the diameter of the area absent of CCC - cold cloud cover (red arrow). Water vapor imagery in the second image reveals the culprit is dry air. This dry air is coming as a result of an upper circulation NE of the TC.



Darker shades indicate dry air in the mid-upper levels and there is a trail leading right to the culprit.

Also notice the outflow jet or channel to the east.

There is sufficient evidence suggesting there maybe a broad circulation trying to form. Awaiting QSCAT to confirm.

Thats correct W456. Low level wind product already shows west winds at the surface. Possible broad circulation.
70. Drakoen 7:28 PM AST on January 09, 2008
Thats correct W456. Low level wind product already shows west winds at the surface. Possible broad circulation.


Hey Drak...yeah i saw that too.
Sarah~ Fog was forecast as it had been every night this week.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
820 PM EST TUE JAN 8 2008

.DISCUSSION...

TONIGHT...SURFACE RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO SETTLE SOUTH WHICH WILL
CAUSE LOW LEVEL FLOW TO VEER TO THE SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH. A POCKET
OF DRIER AIR MOVED ACROSS THE AREA SO THERE WAS LESS CLOUDINESS
TODAY OVER BOTH LAND AND OCEAN. MAIN CONCERN OVERNIGHT WILL BE
WHETHER DENSE FOG FORMS. WITH THE RIDGE SETTLING SOUTHWARD THE
BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW WILL BE WEAKER. ALSO...SKIES WILL BE CLEAR SO I
WOULD SIDE WITH MORE THAN PATCHY/SHALLOW FOG. CURRENT FORECAST HAS
AREAS OF FOG OVER THE INTERIOR NORTH AND PATCHY ELSEWHERE...WHICH
LOOKS GOOD.

LASCODY

Pretty crazy watching the troopers deny that smoke & fog was for sure a factor after listening to recounts of victims & geez NOAA made it the image of the day!

Hmm, Arthur? I hear a Broad Circulation is forming, is Sub-Tropical Arthur an the way?
Evening, everybody.

This caught my eye:

19. Bonedog 11:56 AM EST on January 09, 2008
way outta sink LOL


u know things are REALLY slow on the blog when I stopped to find the correct spelling of "sync" before I continued reading . . .

LOL

There sure have been some dips and curves weatherwise across the US, though. I'm sorry to hear about the tornado and flood related deaths.


73. CybrTeddy 8:16 PM AST on January 09, 2008
Hmm, Arthur? I hear a Broad Circulation is forming, is Sub-Tropical Arthur an the way?


too earlier to tell..but he better hurry up..a front is swinging in soon and all models show it sweeping away the area as h23 said. The key is how much can this develop before the front comes.
The cold air reached us in the Leeward Islands and boy it was and is still cold and refreshing (at least for us). Cold for us is 19-21C but it felt chillier on the skin.
I haven't seen all the stuff out there but didn't appear that Troopers were denying that fog was involved. Where just attempting to say that they had no reports that would have indicated need to close Interstate and refusing to speculate on causes of fog formation. Folks in their position are in a damned if you do damned if you don't situation. Close an interstate and no one hurt: everyone unhappy about lost travel time and back ups which can lead to accidents. Wait till confirmed reports of trouble and then accused of being too slow. As Gomer Pyle said "It happens". Not dismissing that it is a tragedy, just saying that hindsight is 20-20 and a press conference can make an honest man look like a lier and the smartest look like a fool.
37. Weather456 2:12 PM EST
This is a great CD to own if ur interestted in the TWC music.

Best TWC music ever IMHO: Pink Floyd - Terminal Frost (on a cold day)
ON the fog / smoke, I saw a TWC program a while back that focused on accidents resulting from foggy conditions, and I got the impression that road systems need to be upgraded, especially in areas where dense fog is likely to form, so that motorists can have more information. I think they were showing in one part of the program some of the technological responses to such events, including weather-sensitive signage (i. e. using weather sensors to trigger warning signs that reduce speed limits or state that foggy weather is ahead) and traffic-monitoring via camera for similar areas.
RAMSDIS

Very broad area of low pressure. Still could be a surface trough with a well defined low level inverted V signature, which is what tonight's QuickSat shows. That was the case with Olga, intially.
This QSCAT shows a perturbation (inverted V) within the wind field at the surface.

area of disturb weather west atlantic
571w/258n broad cirulation subtropical
with tropical flow to its south shrinking front to the nor west may be enough pull to drag it west ward to 25n65w could be the makings of invest 90l
whats the earliest invest in the atlantic ?
No. This thing is definately going out to sea.
Go here PSU steering click on the the different time frames. The ridge won't hold as the front will be pushing eastward. Oh another thing. Its not the front thats of the eastern seaboard right now that will do it. The one behind it will.
Tropical Depression Seven-F [994 hPa] located near 21.4S 175.7W as of 0:00 AM UTC is reported moving south at 5 knots. Position FAIR. Within the next 3 to 9 hours expect winds of 25 to 35 knots with possible gusts up to 40 knots within 30 to 150 miles away from the center in the sectors southeast to southwest.

Areas of Gale force winds moving with Tropical Depression Seven-F.

This Gale Warning Replaces Warning Number One
drakeon from what i can see the front to the nor west is pulling nne with that low over ne canada trackin to south tip of greenland bringing that front with it but the front appears to be shrinking on the south end as a weak rtn flow sets up over gom to feed that mid west system movin east nor east to shove the low off east canada track over lakes in same general motion if all these come into play it may allow further west movemen maybe as far as 25/65 for now hopefully wont mount to nothing more than a good trackin event
well look what the cat dragged in
good eve jp
88. KEEPEROFTHEGATE 2:09 AM GMT on January 10, 2008
well look what the cat dragged in
good eve jp


LOL yea. How uneventful.
whats going on blogs running funny or am i seeing things
86. KEEPEROFTHEGATE 2:05 AM GMT on January 10, 2008
drakeon from what i can see the front to the nor west is pulling nne with that low over ne canada trackin to south tip of greenland bringing that front with it but the front appears to be shrinking on the south end as a weak rtn flow sets up over gom to feed that mid west system movin east nor east to shove the low off east canada track over lakes in same general motion if all these come into play it may allow further west movemen maybe as far as 25/65 for now hopefully wont mount to nothing more than a good trackin event


There is a low north of texas with an attached surface cold front that will help to push everything eastward. Currently that front of the eastern sea board is not strong enough to curve anything. Look at the NAM model for instance and go to the surface. Looks at the winds. You can see streaming winds from the Gulf about 42 hours out as the front approaches
2. The retrogressive trough over the Plains States moves far enough west to bring cold Arctic air into the West. This pattern is favored in La Nina years, and is hinted at by the 12z GFS. Keep an eye on it


from here

Link
gotta wait an see but u have to admit its funny for anything to be there in the first place unless its movin due east
Good Morning
Tropical Cyclone Elisa 07F/Tropical Cyclone 11P Update 5

Issued 1000 UTC 10 JAN 2008 by W456

Tropical Depression 07F has been upgraded to Tropical Cyclone Elisa located near 22.5S/175.5W moving towards the south. Estimated surface winds have increase to 42 knots and estimated surface pressure is 991 mb. SSTs are running 80F-85F and wind shear is 10-15 knots.

Position and movement was based on satellite imagery, a microwave pass by the SSMI sensor and my favorite, QuikSCAT. They all show a well define LLCC with associated winds of 35 knots well under the deep convection. However, Dvorak satellite intensity estimates were done and gave the cyclone a CI of about 2.8 based a curve band arc of about 0.55. The radius maximum winds have tightened up to 28 nmi mainly within the eastern quadrants based on QuikSCAT and AMSU. The cyclone has also develop a warm-core structure near the center at 9-13 km within the troposphere which is significant as 12 hrs ago 07F warm core was vertically slanted which was a prohibiting factor of development. Satellite imagery along with storm centered TPW (Total Precipitable Water) reveals convection is sill being limited due to dry air on the western side, but nevertheless, bursts of deep clouds continue near and over the center, and the cyclone is still maintaining a nice cyclonic curvature. Estimated surface pressure is down to 991 mb and this is based on synoptic reports, Dvorak estimates and numerical models.

The cyclone is forecast to maintain intensity and may intensify some more as it moves towards the southeast under the influence of the permanent easterlies.

by W456

JTWC Stats:
11P NONAME.45kts-989mb-222S-1756W


Morning
Shortwave channel infrared and QSCAT shows that an area of disturb weather assoicated with a surface trof and 1012 mb low in conjunction with an upper level low in the Western Subtropical ATL continues to amplify with winds now turning 90 degrees. There is also evidence of a broad but tightening circulation at the surface. The disturbance is porducing gale forece winds well away from the center to the north. Wind shear is 30-40 knots over the intial area, and SSTs are 24C. Some development could occur before the cold front of an extratropical storm over Canada absorbs the disturbance and take it out to sea in about 48-72 hrs.
sub or extra tropical in origin due to baroclonic forcing am i correct 456?
quick question for the weather nuts out there....


Last night I noticed something wierd that I haven't seen before. Contrails at night!! With it being a New Moon there wasn't any light source to illuminate them yet they were distinct and clearly visable. Tried to take some shots of them but by the time I grabbed the camera and got the settings correct they were behind high cirrus clouds. Has anyone ever experienced these? Bright contrails at night?

FYI I live in a mountain region in NW NJ far removed from city lights, surrounded on three sides by large state parks. So light pollution is ruled out.
102. Bonedog 7:14 AM AST on January 10, 2008
sub or extra tropical in origin due to baroclonic forcing am i correct 456?


sorry if i took long.....yeah ur correct.
gotcha 456.

been paying more attention to the Northeast. Possible big storm for monday up here so it has all my attention right now.
wow i-4 fog is so thick this morning repair work had to cease! Police state visablity less then 3 feet. Thats right I said 3 feet!!!
MODIS caught it yesterday :(

I-4 250m Vis
Tropical Invest 90W

Issued 1200 UTC JAN 10 2008 by W456

Tropical invest located near 9N/129W. Movement is towards west-northwest. Estimated surface winds are 20 knots. Estimated surface pressure is near 1007 mb. Wind shear is 0-10 knots. SSTs are near 82F.

Position was based on microwave imagery which shows a define circulation and QuikSCAT determine winds near the center is 20-25 knots. Surface pressure was estimated using synoptic reports. Satellite imagery showed a distinct system with limited to moderate shower activity. Global models develop the system as it treks across the Philippines and into the South China Sea. After which it will be force southwestward and into South East Asia due the influence of very strong East Asian High (Siberian High).

by W456

JTWC Stats:
0600 UTC 15kts-1010mb-82N-1286E
Low pressure system over Kansas should continue to push north east-ward following the jet stream. A surface cold front will be advecting some colder air into the region giving the potential for some moderate snowfall west of the low pressure area later today and tommorow for the central and northern plains region. The models show the 540 rain/snow line getting down to 37N in the central plain.
In the Southeast, some upper level energy in the baroclinic zone along with the pre-frontal trough will be producing some precipitation over the drought stricken areas. Rainfall amounts of 1-3 inches is expected.

Friday morning forecast.
The area in the Central Atlantic around 26N 55W continues to be somewhat disorganized. This morning's quicksat revealed that an area of low pressure is trying to close of at the surface...some west winds were found Link. The system is current under the influence of an upper level low which is on the axis of an upper level trough which extends from the 69W 28N all the way to the Cape Verde islands. Shear tendency map along with current shear maps reveal that shear has dropped to 20-30 knots over the system and the potential for subtropical or baroclinic development does exist before a cold front sweeps the system out to sea in the next 48-72 hours.

The low is current is hanging on to a 3/4 arcing band of convection being supported by the diffluent flow aloft creating good upper level divergence. Also some surface convergence along the trough axis can be seen on the cimss lower level convergence product.

111. P451
Pretty wacky weather here in central Jersey. Hit 68 degrees yesterday after never dipping below 60 the previous night.

34 right now but they are calling for 60 with thunderstorms tomorrow.

Then there's this:

SUNDAY NIGHT
CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT.

MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT.


Are they expecting the upper atmosphere to cool significantly heading into Monday allowing Snow in 38 degree weather? I know it happens but it's usually rare this time of year that's usually a spring time event here in Jersey (being 40 degrees but snowing because of cold air aloft).


GFS still wants a pretty significant coastal event days 8-9 but today's run seems to have it further off shore.
112. P451
Bonedog: quick question for the weather nuts out there....


Last night I noticed something wierd that I haven't seen before. Contrails at night!! With it being a New Moon there wasn't any light source to illuminate them yet they were distinct and clearly visable. Tried to take some shots of them but by the time I grabbed the camera and got the settings correct they were behind high cirrus clouds. Has anyone ever experienced these? Bright contrails at night?

FYI I live in a mountain region in NW NJ far removed from city lights, surrounded on three sides by large state parks. So light pollution is ruled out.


There has been a program on Discovery about contrails and how they used to last only a few minutes but now they last up to hours.

There's a conspiracy theory that the government is putting chemicals into jet fuel that are causing the contrails to last.

The theory is that the government is trying to combat global warming by putting (a chemical I forget) into the fuel that is then expelled by the planes and supposedly helps reflect sunlight back into space.


......personally, I don't really believe that, but, that's what the program was about.

It's likely due to a fuel additive and I believe that portion but I don't know about the actual conspiracy theory.
This image is from the Wisconsin NWS per the link that Dr. Master's provided. Can someone explain to me what the lines in the graph on the right side of this image are and what they mean. Actually I have never seen any of this kind of data before so any explanation would be helpful. Thank you.

I hope the people in those flood photos are on sewer!

MNTornado, your image only showed up on my blog as 2 lines.

I know some high level clouds can be nacreous and seem to glow. Some clouds at high altitudes catch sunlight long after typical sunset. As for contrails, I have noticed those "dove in a hole" clouds more and more where the jet exhaust causes stratified clouds to precipitate out. I first saw it on here and keep seeing it in the sky, in photos, all over the place. Is the phenomena new, is the explanation new, or is it just that I have been unaware my whole life?
MNTornado, its a skew-t chart...these charts show lapse rate, inversions, etc and use to acess the stability of the atmopshere. Below is a simple explanation but you need more than that:

http://www.atmos.millersville.edu/~lead/SkewT_HowTo.html

http://www.geo.mtu.edu/department/classes/ge406/cledlin/

It shows the vertical cross section of the atmosphere.

the yellow appears to be the lifted air parcel
the green is the dew point measured by the air ballon
the red is the actual air temp measured by the air ballow

the vertical axis is the height of the atmosphere and the horizontal scale shows the temperature scale

the contrails I witnessed last night were at 12 midnight so I dont belive they were noclucient clouds ( i have seen them one 2 occasions and they are definatley diffrent)

These were wierd. Looked like they would normally during the day (white streaks same as clouds) but at midnight!

I dont belive in the concperacy theroy of chemtrails. Anyone with a mild knowledge of how a jet engine works can tell you any foriegn substance would render the engine useless as the air/fuel mix would be thrown off and if you belive that its oxides the fuel orrifaces would clog or the stator fins would have hotspots that would lead to failure.

I belive this is just a weather phenomina but was wondering if anyone else ever experinced it?

On another note I am currently reading NOAA paper on east coast tsunami's that making me cringe. I had no idea of how many tsunamic wave events have occured on the east coast (particularly NJ, as this is the NOAA office where the paper originated)
Link
Good Morning All...

Bonedog, would be very difficult to believe that any chemical alteration would be put into jet fuels. I have seen the trails last for a very long time when there were little to no upper level winds. I cannot say as to whether I have seen them at midnight! But I have seen them at night especially when near or on the water where there is less light pollution.
thanks fox. glad to seesomeone else noticed them at night.

I just wish i got pictures. If it was wierd enough for me to run and get the camera gear then you know it was something I hadn't seen before.
Bone, I am going to ask hubby about them too... He travels alot and works in the airline industry. But I have to think that it would have something to do with the winds... the less wind the longer the trails would last.
Gotcha. Its not so much that the trails were there as in so much how bright they were at midnight.

I have seen them on nights with the moon out but last night was the new moon so that cancels that out.

Just wierd
here we go again...

cell NE of Oxford is showing rotation on the volocity radar images!

cell already has a severe warn on it.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Tornado Warning

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORNADO WARNING
MSC033-093-TNC047-101615-
/O.NEW.KMEG.TO.W.0009.080110T1524Z-080110T1615Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
924 AM CST THU JAN 10 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHEASTERN DESOTO COUNTY IN NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHWESTERN MARSHALL COUNTY IN NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...
FAYETTE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE...

* UNTIL 1015 AM CST

* AT 924 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR BYHALIA...OR ABOUT 6
MILES SOUTHEAST OF OLIVE BRANCH...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO MT
PLEASANT...SLAYDEN AND SOMERVILLE.

.IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
PENNY SIZE HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.

.IF NO BASEMENT IS AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF
THE BUILDING IN AN INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE
BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

.IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.
gotem by a minute
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Tornado Warning

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
936 AM CST THU JAN 10 2008

MSC093-TNC047-101615-
/O.CON.KMEG.TO.W.0009.000000T0000Z-080110T1615Z/
MARSHALL MS-FAYETTE TN-
936 AM CST THU JAN 10 2008

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1015 AM CST FOR FAYETTE
AND NORTHWESTERN MARSHALL COUNTIES...

AT 936 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR PIPERTON...OR
ABOUT NEAR COLLIERVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
MOSCOW...WILLISTON AND SOMERVILLE.

.IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
PENNY SIZE HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.
Morning Storm

nice writeup from NOAA
Good morning
morning NE
I see we have started the severe weather again,crazy January weather
Morning Bone,Storm,interesting analysis report Storm,I guess we can expect more crazy weather right into spring.
yup. Spoted the cell around 10am and kept watching it. By 10:20 I spoted the signature change, posted and a minute later BAM - TW.

guess I better stop again 8o/
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Tornado Warning

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORNADO WARNING
LAC037-091-MSC005-101615-
/O.NEW.KLIX.TO.W.0002.080110T1551Z-080110T1615Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
951 AM CST THU JAN 10 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EAST FELICIANA PARISH IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF CLINTON...
ST. HELENA PARISH IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...
AMITE COUNTY IN SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF LIBERTY...

* UNTIL 1015 AM CST

* AT 932 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 11 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF CLINTON...OR ABOUT NEAR JACKSON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
30 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF NORWOOD BY 955 AM CST...
FELPS BY 1010 AM CST...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CST THURSDAY AFTERNOON
FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.

LAT...LON 3116 9056 3074 9107 3085 9123 3100 9109
3101 9106 3103 9106 3134 9079
TIME...MOT...LOC 1551Z 221DEG 27KT 3088 9106

$$






--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
945 AM CST THU JAN 10 2008

TNC047-101615-
/O.CON.KMEG.TO.W.0009.000000T0000Z-080110T1615Z/
FAYETTE TN-
945 AM CST THU JAN 10 2008

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1015 AM CST FOR FAYETTE
COUNTY...

AT 945 AM CST...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WITH STRONG ROTATION. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED
NEAR ROSSVILLE...OR ABOUT 8 MILES EAST OF COLLIERVILLE...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
MOSCOW...WILLISTON AND SOMERVILLE.

.IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.

.HEAVY RAINFALL MAY OBSCURE THIS TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW! IF YOU WAIT
TO SEE OR HEAR IT COMING...IT MAY BE TOO LATE TO GET TO A SAFE PLACE.
I hear you Storm. Might be in for one heck of a ride.
looks like another going to pop south of Jackson, TN heading NE
Im going to stop now. We know the track record for me :(
impressive cell isnt it Storm. Classic hook echo
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Tornado Warning

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORNADO WARNING
LAC037-091-MSC005-101615-
/O.NEW.KLIX.TO.W.0002.080110T1551Z-080110T1615Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
951 AM CST THU JAN 10 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EAST FELICIANA PARISH IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF CLINTON...
ST. HELENA PARISH IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...
AMITE COUNTY IN SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF LIBERTY...

* UNTIL 1015 AM CST

* AT 932 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 11 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF CLINTON...OR ABOUT NEAR JACKSON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
30 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF NORWOOD BY 955 AM CST...
FELPS BY 1010 AM CST...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CST THURSDAY AFTERNOON
FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.
looks like its going to be another wild day :(
hola. craziness ensues, eh?
yea lake. I shut the second screen down.
its going to be a bad day. I dont remeber so many days in January with such severe weather.


they are just blowing through the Cap right now :/
....SYNOPSIS....

GULF OF MEXICO/NORTHWEST ATLANTIC OCEAN WEST OF 50W....

A shortwave trough continues to move across the US Plains with the associated surface cold front extending from a low in Kansas at 36N/98W to the Texas border at 28N/100W. Upper level divergence and surface inflow from the Gulf of Mexico near these features is producing a swath of multilayered cloudiness showers and thunderstorms extending from Northern Mexico across Coastal Texas and Louisiana into the Southeast United States.

The Western extent of a surface ridge over the Western Atlantic intrudes into the Gulf of Mexico producing 5-10 knot return flow and fair weather. Seas will remain below 5 ft...low enough to allow most marine activities. Expect a cold front to enter the Gulf in the next 24 hrs and as the associated high builds in behind over Texas, expect winds and seas to increase over the Northwest Gulf behind the front.

A 1024 mb high near 34N/65W dominates the weather pattern across the Atlantic west of 60W this afternoon with fair weather and light to moderate anticyclonic flow. Upper-air time cross sections from Nassau, Bahamas show an abundance of dry air in the mid-upper levels of the atmosphere, which is further enhancing stability.

An area of disturb weather is located in the Central Atlantic Subtropics in associated with a surface trough and a low-mid level circulation located near 26N/57.5W based on RGB satellite imagery. Upper level forcing continues enhance low level lift along these surface features and as a result a 1012 mb low has form along the surface trough. Furthermore, low cloud motion indicates a close circulation has already formed or is almost closed off. 20-30 knot wind shear continues to displace the convective mass within a semi-circle of 240 nm northeast of the center. Some development may occur before a cold front absorbs the feature in 48-72 hrs.


by W456
CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN REGION....

Strong westerlies over the Caribbean continue to advect lines of cirrus spikes across the Caribbean from Central America to 70W. Meanwhile, at the surface, trades have strengthened in response the forcing of the surface ridge to the north by the disturbance over the Subtropical Atlantic. These trades are advecting there typical patches of shallow cloudiness across the Caribbean and banking them across the Central American terrain. This northerly flow will also maintain exceptionally cool weather across the Caribbean, as CAA values remain high. Otherwise, relatively quiet weather across our part of the Atlantic.


by W456

CAA - Cold air advection
yeah, doesnt look so good. I wonder if the tornado chasers are out in this...
Posted last night

Sw Pacific

An area of disturb weather within the monsoon trough needs to be watch over the next several days. Models have been predicting the development of a relatively strong tropical cyclone over the past week. New model runs indicating a possible second low. If anything were to form it would move towards the SE then recurve back southwestward under the influence of a building ridge in about 108 hrs.



===========================================

Today 99P/TD 08F

Bonedog, and all...

150. Bonedog 10:30 AM CST on January 10, 2008

Interesting view... course we are probably in for some interesting weather here today!

TTYL
Well here we go again :

Statement as of 11:17 AM CST on January 10, 2008


... A Tornado Warning remains in effect until noon CST for Yazoo
County...

At 1117 am CST... National Weather Service meteorologists were
tracking a tornado. This tornado was located near Tinsley... or about
10 miles south of Yazoo City... moving northeast at 45 mph.

The tornado will be near...
Myrleville by 1125 am CST...
Benton by 1130 am CST...
midway by 1135 am CST...
Vaughan by 1145 am CST...

Looks like TWO on radar near Jackson
Tropical Cyclone Elisa 07F/Tropical Cyclone 11P Update 5

Issued 1000 UTC 10 JAN 2008 by W456
Updated 1600 UTC 10 JAN 2008 by W456

Tropical Depression 07F has been upgraded to Tropical Cyclone Elisa located near 23.0S/174.5W moving towards the southeast. Estimated surface winds have increase to 45 knots and estimated surface pressure is 989 mb. SSTs are running 80F-85F and wind shear is 10-15 knots.

Position and movement was based on satellite imagery and Morphed Integrated Microwave Imagery at CIMSS (MIMIC). MIMIC revealed convective banding has steadily increase arocund the well-define LLCC. Dvorak estimates done were CI 3.0 which corresponds to 45 knots and a pressure of 989 mb. The radius maximum winds have tightened up to 28 nmi mainly within the eastern quadrants based on QuikSCAT and AMSU. The cyclone has also develop a warm-core structure near the center at 9-13 km within the troposphere which is significant as 12 hrs ago 07F warm core was vertically slanted which was a prohibiting factor of development. Satellite imagery along with storm centered TPW (Total Precipitable Water) reveals convection is sill being limited due to dry air on the western side, but nevertheless, bursts of deep clouds continue near and over the center, and the cyclone is still maintaining a nice cyclonic curvature.

The cyclone is forecast to maintain intensity and may intensify some more as it moves towards the southeast under the influence of the permanent easterlies.

by W456

JTWC Stats:
1200 UTC 11PELISA.50kts-985mb-229S-1751W


This week has looked so much like spring weather patterns,,don't ever remember so many storms in January,like there has been this week.
!!!!ALL HELL IS BREAKING LOOSE!!!!

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Tornado Warning

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1130 AM CST THU JAN 10 2008

LAC091-105-MSC113-101745-
/O.CON.KLIX.TO.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080110T1745Z/
TANGIPAHOA LA-ST. HELENA LA-PIKE MS-
1130 AM CST THU JAN 10 2008

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1145 AM CST FOR PIKE
COUNTY...AND ST. HELENA AND TANGIPAHOA PARISHES...

AT 1126 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF
KENTWOOD...OR ABOUT 12 MILES NORTH OF GREENSBURG...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 20 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
KENTWOOD BY 1135 AM CST...
OSYKA BY 1145 AM CST...

THERE IS ANOTHER THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO LOCATED
ABOUT 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF GREENSBURG MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
PENNY SIZE HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CST THURSDAY AFTERNOON
FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.

LAT...LON 3097 9035 3083 9072 3099 9082 3101 9078
3100 9056 3101 9055 3113 9054 3117 9047
TIME...MOT...LOC 1730Z 242DEG 18KT 3100 9058

$$

24





--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1130 AM CST THU JAN 10 2008

MSC029-101815-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0008.000000T0000Z-080110T1815Z/
COPIAH MS-
1130 AM CST THU JAN 10 2008

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1215 PM CST FOR
SOUTHEASTERN COPIAH COUNTY...

AT 1130 AM CST...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD
JUST WEST OF WESSON. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED 12 MILES WEST OF
ROCKPORT...OR ABOUT 9 MILES SOUTH OF HAZLEHURST...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 40 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
ROCKPORT BY 1145 AM CST...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

LAT...LON 3170 9037 3177 9042 3193 9020 3188 9016
3186 9017 3183 9014 3181 9015 3180 9013
3176 9011
TIME...MOT...LOC 1730Z 237DEG 38KT 3176 9032

$$

BANNAN






--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1130 AM CST THU JAN 10 2008

MSC163-101800-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0007.000000T0000Z-080110T1800Z/
YAZOO MS-
1130 AM CST THU JAN 10 2008

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST FOR EASTERN
YAZOO COUNTY...

AT 1130 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
TRACKING A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR BENTON...OR ABOUT
9 MILES SOUTHEAST OF YAZOO CITY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
MIDWAY BY 1135 AM CST...
VAUGHAN BY 1145 AM CST...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

LAT...LON 3265 9030 3271 9036 3298 9028 3299 9026
3295 9021 3288 8997 3283 9001 3272 9007
TIME...MOT...LOC 1730Z 243DEG 40KT 3282 9023

$$

GARRETT






--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORNADO WARNING
MSC021-101800-
/O.NEW.KJAN.TO.W.0010.080110T1729Z-080110T1800Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1129 AM CST THU JAN 10 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHEASTERN CLAIBORNE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...

* UNTIL NOON CST

* AT 1129 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
TORNADO NEAR ROCKY SPRINGS...OR ABOUT 17 MILES SOUTH OF
VICKSBURG...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL OTHERWISE REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF THE
INDICATED COUNTY.

IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

LAT...LON 3209 9092 3213 9091 3213 9085 3216 9084
3215 9079 3217 9076 3218 9078 3222 9073
3204 9073 3198 9081
TIME...MOT...LOC 1729Z 245DEG 39KT 3210 9077

$$

OLB






--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1127 AM CST THU JAN 10 2008

ALC129-MSC153-101800-
/O.CON.KMOB.TO.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080110T1800Z/
WASHINGTON AL-WAYNE MS-
1127 AM CST THU JAN 10 2008

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST FOR
SOUTHEASTERN WAYNE AND NORTHWESTERN WASHINGTON COUNTIES...

AT 1122 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A POSSIBLE TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED 9 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF CHICORA...OR ABOUT 15 MILES SOUTH OF WAYNESBORO...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
BUCKATUNNA...ROBINSON JUNCTION...CHICORA AND BATTLES BY 1135 AM
CST...
6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF WINCHESTER BY 1140 AM CST...
6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF DENHAM BY 1145 AM CST...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

LAT...LON 3182 8851 3174 8845 3171 8846 3171 8842
3151 8827 3144 8846 3144 8873
TIME...MOT...LOC 1727Z 229DEG 34KT 3148 8862

$$






--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORNADO WARNING
MSC029-049-101830-
/O.NEW.KJAN.TO.W.0009.080110T1724Z-080110T1830Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1124 AM CST THU JAN 10 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN COPIAH COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
SOUTHERN HINDS COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...

* UNTIL 1230 PM CST

* AT 1124 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
TORNADO 10 MILES WEST OF CARPENTER...OR ABOUT 19 MILES SOUTH OF
VICKSBURG...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
CARPENTER BY 1135 AM CST...
UTICA BY 1145 AM CST...
DRY GROVE BY NOON CST...
6 MILES SOUTH OF RAYMOND BY 1205 PM CST...
7 MILES NORTH OF TERRY BY 1210 PM CST...

IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

LAT...LON 3203 9071 3204 9073 3224 9073 3227 9069
3237 9046 3206 9022 3204 9024 3194 9070
TIME...MOT...LOC 1724Z 252DEG 35KT 3205 9084

$$

OLB






--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1123 AM CST THU JAN 10 2008

MSC107-101745-
/O.CON.KMEG.TO.W.0010.000000T0000Z-080110T1745Z/
PANOLA MS-
1123 AM CST THU JAN 10 2008

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1145 AM CST FOR PANOLA
COUNTY...

AT 1123 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR BATESVILLE...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
ENDVILLE...SARDIS...COMO AND GLENVILLE.

.IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
PENNY SIZE HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.

.HEAVY RAINFALL MAY OBSCURE THIS TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW! IF YOU WAIT
TO SEE OR HEAR IT COMING...IT MAY BE TOO LATE TO GET TO A SAFE PLACE.

.STAY TUNED TO THIS BROADCAST FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND INFORMATION.
TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER ONLY...CALL 1 800 4 3 2 0 8 7 5.

LAT...LON 3424 9008 3431 9012 3456 9000 3455 8973
3426 8971 3426 8972 3423 8972 3417 8995
TIME...MOT...LOC 1723Z 225DEG 46KT 3433 8998

$$






--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORNADO WARNING
MSC113-147-101800-
/O.NEW.KLIX.TO.W.0005.080110T1713Z-080110T1800Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1113 AM CST THU JAN 10 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
PIKE COUNTY IN SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...
WALTHALL COUNTY IN SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...

* UNTIL NOON CST

* AT 1111 AM CST...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED A TORNADO NEAR
MAGNOLIA...OR ABOUT 9 MILES SOUTH OF MCCOMB...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
30 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
RURAL PIKE COUNTY AT 1130 AM CST
RURAL WALTHALL COUNTY AT 1140 AM CST

IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
PENNY TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS NEAR
70 MPH.

AT 1108 AM CST...PIKE COUNTY OFFICIALS REPORTED A TORNADO TOUCHDOWN
JUST WEST OF THE CITY LIMITS OF MAGNOLIA. MAGNOLIA IS IN THE PATH OF
THIS STORM. TAKE COVER NOW!

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
STURDY SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE NEAREST
DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CST THURSDAY AFTERNOON
FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.

LAT...LON 3137 9023 3119 9011 3117 9011 3100 9051
3100 9053 3102 9055 3105 9056 3119 9054
TIME...MOT...LOC 1713Z 239DEG 30KT 3112 9047

The News stations in Jackson Mississippi are rather laid back considering two tornadoes are in the immediate vicinity.

WJTV just popped
up a warning

yea bone - all of a sudden like everything went south.
wow 8 tornado boxes up in Miss!!!

hope everyone is taking cover.

Al and Fl better prepare
WTF!! Why is the radar down from Jackson, MS??? did it take a hit???
SL has been keeping us updated in her Blog. Hope everyone stays safe down South. Really has been some strange weather for January. I see that the NW is getting hit again today.
Those really look nasty,their popping up all over the place,have a feeling this is going to be one of those historic days,in a bad way.
me too NE. I am not even looking at the radar anymore. Seems every cell is popping :(


Sad Sad Sad day. this year is geting off to a real bad start :(


I pray everyone is taking cover and is safe. Hope the folks in AL and FL and surronding states all take appropriate mesaures now.
rotation south of system!

waiting for noaa confirmation?
Bone,it doesn't bode well for the spring if this kind of pattern holds on.
heinz county might have a tornado down waiting for confirmation from noaa
amazing thing is all the warnings are for bonfide tornados. All seem to be saying spotters and mets have spoted and are tracking them.

this is going to be one of those days years from now when you sit down with your grandchildren and tell them about it :(
yea these look very real.
weather.gov
National Weather Service

Watches, Warnings & Advisories
Local weather forecast by "City, St" or zip code

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Tornado Warning

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1146 AM CST THU JAN 10 2008

MSC049-101830-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0009.000000T0000Z-080110T1830Z/
HINDS MS-
1146 AM CST THU JAN 10 2008

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1230 PM CST FOR SOUTHERN
HINDS COUNTY...

AT 1146 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
TRACKING A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR UTICA...OR ABOUT
18 MILES NORTHWEST OF CRYSTAL SPRINGS...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
LEARNED BY 1155 AM CST...
DRY GROVE BY NOON CST...
6 MILES SOUTH OF RAYMOND BY 1205 PM CST...
6 MILES NORTH OF TERRY BY 1210 PM CST...

IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS
I cant belive the jackson, MS radar is down.

Link

same with Birmingham

Link

new tornado warnings

until 12.45 local time
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 17
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1135 AM CST THU JAN 10 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

MUCH OF WESTERN AND NORTHERN ALABAMA
PARTS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA
PARTS OF EASTERN MISSISSIPPI
MUCH OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE
COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1135 AM UNTIL
700 PM CST.

...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...

DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
BOOTHVILLE LOUISIANA TO 50 MILES NORTHEAST OF NASHVILLE
TENNESSEE. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 16...

DISCUSSION...WARM SECTOR HAS CONTINUED TO DESTABILIZE AS SHEAR
PROFILES CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY ACROSS MUCH OF WATCH AREA. DISCRETE
SUPERCELLS ARE DEVELOPING AHEAD OF THE MAIN AREA OF SEVERE OVER WRN
MS/TN. AS 500MB TROUGH AND 100KT WIND MAX ROTATE TOWARD AREA THIS
AFTERNOON...TORNADIC SUPERCELLS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN NUMBER
AND DEVELOP EWD ACROSS AL AND NWD INTO MID TN. THERE IS A THREAT OF
LONG LIVED SUPERCELLS INCLUDING STRONG TORNADOES.
its early still - this could be WAY worse than Tuesday's record outbreak.
that was a record on tuesday?

wtf?
3 tornados down near joseph , newport and aberdeen junction

around the 5 mile reigon away from each of them!
offical tornado touchdown on the i55

i repeat

tornado touchdown on the i55
Not again!

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1201 PM CST THU JAN 10 2008

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1245 PM CST FOR
ATTALA...SOUTHEASTERN HOLMES...NORTHWESTERN LEAKE AND NORTHEASTERN
MADISON COUNTIES...

AT 1201 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
TRACKING A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR GOODMAN...OR ABOUT
10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DURANT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF DURANT BY 1205 PM CST...
SALLIS BY 1210 PM CST...
MCADAMS BY 1215 PM CST...
KOSCIUSKO AND HESTERVILLE BY 1220 PM CST...
ETHEL BY 1230 PM CST...

THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND LIFE THREATENING SITUATION. THIS
STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG TO VIOLENT TORNADOES. IF YOU ARE
IN THE PATH OF THIS TORNADO...TAKE COVER IMMEDIATELY!
dime sized hail reported and a new warning for jackson itself
http://www.wlbt.com/global/video/popup/pop_player.asp?vt1=l&d1=0&ClipId1=mms%3A//a901.l1220632572.c12 206.n.lm.akamaistream.net/D/901/12206/v0001/reflector%3A32572%20&LiveURI=mms%3A//a901.l1220632572.c1 2206.n.lm.akamaistream.net/D/901/12206/v0001/reflector%3A32572%20&h1=WLBT%20Live%20Weather%20Coverag e&at1=Newstream&LiveURITitle=WLBT%20Live%20Weather%20Coverage&LaunchPageAdTag=Newstream&playerVersio n=1&hostPageUrl=http%3A//www.wlbt.com/Global/category.asp%3FC%3D7855%26nav%3Dmenu119_2&rnd=87083187

this link shows the local tv
Gotta love the convective outlook page,has the area as a moderate risk.

Rough out there...

that was supposed to be a nexrad map of Miss. with radar and warnings...very cluttered.

didnt post right though.

so here's a link.

Link
The Nam actually has it getting worse in Alabama tonight.
I have not seen so many tornado warnings at once on the radar (in Missisipi)as at present..........Lots of prayers are in order over the next day for all of people in harms way as this dangerous system moves through the US..............
This is for one of the areas in the warning that I posted earlier:

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1211 PM CST THU JAN 10 2008

1200 PM TORNADO GOODMAN 32.97N 89.91W
01/10/2008 HOLMES MS EMERGENCY MNGR

TORNADO REPORTED ON THE GROUND IN WESTERN ATTALA COUNTY.
DAMAGE OCCURED IN GOODMAN. MORE DETAILS TO COME.
Here is another one:

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1226 PM CST THU JAN 10 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHEASTERN ATTALA COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
CHOCTAW COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHWESTERN WINSTON COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF LOUISVILLE...
SOUTHWESTERN OKTIBBEHA COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...

* UNTIL 115 PM CST

* AT 1226 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
TORNADO 29 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CHESTER...OR ABOUT NEAR KOSCIUSKO...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
ACKERMAN AND CHESTER BY 1255 PM CST...
7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF REFORM BY 105 PM CST...

THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND LIFE THREATENING SITUATION. THIS
STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG TO VIOLENT TORNADOES. IF YOU ARE
IN THE PATH OF THIS TORNADO...TAKE COVER IMMEDIATELY!
That local TV link doesnt have any warnings other that "strong storms" forecasted on their weather page and a story about tornadoes from Tuesday. no NWS statement or anything. odd...
maybe I'm missing something?
lake look at the link not the channel

they talking about it
The storm heading south of winona heading toward columbus mississippi,has really turning.
And the cells and warnings are moving into alabama now
Good afternoon all. To some, that may the most inappropriate greeting considering what has been occuring over the past 48 hours. Like many have said, I cannot remember having this many tornado warnings popping. My prayers are certainly with those in the path of this hellish storm system. Please heed all warnings.
I cannot believe what I am watching right now.
The National Weather Service in Memphis has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
northwestern Pontotoc County in northeast Mississippi...
Union County in northeast Mississippi...

* until 130 PM CST

* at 1241 PM CST... National Weather Service Doppler radar indicated a
severe thunderstorm producing a tornado 8 miles south of
Pinedale... or about 14 miles west of Pontotoc... moving northeast at
55 mph.

* Other locations in the warning include but are not limited to
Ecru... New Albany... New Harmony and Keownville.

.In addition to the tornado... This storm is capable of producing
golfball size hail and destructive straight line winds in excess of
70 mph.
Good afternoon,

Another great day in paradise..........The midwest is getting all the action..........and the rain.......
Northwest Pacific Ocean

JTWC designated this system as 90W.


WWJP25 Weather Chart (1200 UTC 10Jan)
=====================================

LOW PRESSURE AREA (90W)
06.0N 132.0E - 15-20 knots 1008 hPa

moving west slowly.

PAGASA

Tropical Disturbance Synopsis
===========================
At 2:00PM PST, a low pressure area was estimated based on satellite and surface data at 480 kms east of Mindanao (8.0N 131.0E) embedded along the Intertropical Convergence Zone affecting Visayas and Mindanao region.
Is this storm system going to calm down before it gets to Georgia? Or do we need to make plans with our neighbors who have a basement?
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
112 PM CST THU JAN 10 2008

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 130 PM CST FOR NORTHERN
MARION COUNTY...

AT 112 PM CST...METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUE TO DETECT STRONG ROTATION.
THIS POSSIBLE TORNADO WAS LOCATED 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
COLUMBIA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH DIRECTLY TOWARDS COLUMBIA.
PLEASE TAKE COVER NOW!!!


THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
COLUMBIA BY 120 PM CST...
IMPROVE BY 130 PM CST...
georgia325 Id watch it closely - especially in northern Georgia, the models show it bad there. But this one has been way worse than they predicted already and in places it wasn't supposed to be.
Thanks JFlorida. I live in North Metro Atlanta. We'll keep an eye on it
I have an important question. Given the fact that this severe weather outbreak has far exceeded expectations, should I be concerned for my relatives who live in Monroe, GA? They live in just a double-wide home. It looks like there is no slowing down this tornado outbreak at this time. God bless everyone that will be in the path.
Gale Warning Statement
====================================
At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Cyclone Elisa Category Two [980 hPa] located near 23.5S 175.5W moving south-southeast at 6 knots but expected to turn and accelerate southeast. Maximum 10 minute sustained winds near the center is 50 knots possibly increasing to 55 knots in the next 12-18 hours.

Storm-Force Winds within 150 miles from the center in the southeast semi-circle and within 50 mile from the center elsewhere.
214. IKE
Afternoon discussion from north Georgia....

"Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City Georgia
220 PM EST Thursday Jan 10 2008


Short term /tonight through Saturday/...
strong cold front moves into County Warning Area tonight with strong low and upper
level jet dynamics associated. Not sure how much instability will be
over area ahead of front but almost any instability will give
possibility for severe thunderstorms that could produce tornadoes or
strong winds. Best chance for severe weather will be on the west side
of the County Warning Area especially northwest Georgia. Strong low level winds will affect the
higher terrain of north Georgia so the Wind Advisory will continue."
215. IKE
Afternoon discussion from Tallahassee,FL...

"Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee Florida
228 PM EST Wednesday Jan 10 2008


..strong to severe storms possible across much of the region late
this evening through tomorrow morning...


Synopsis...developing severe weather event ongoing across much of
the southeast this afternoon. The 18 UTC surface analysis shows a
999 mb surface low just west of Columbia MO. The warm front extended
from near the Missouri bootheel to just north of
Nashville...southeastward from there into northern Georgia. Numerous
strong to severe storms are ongoing ahead of the main line of storms
associated with the cold front now located across eastern Texas.
This includes one very impressive supercell that has tracked across
southeast Mississippi and much of southwestern Alabama. Tornado
watches are out for areas to our west. A slight risk area remains
over our western counties.


&&


Short term...today-Sat.
Models in overall good agreement with the movement of this storm
system. Vapor imagery and profiler data continue to depict the upper
trough across the eastern plains. Upper level jet continues to be
strong...around 120 knots. The trough is beginning to take on a
negative tilt and bank northeast into central Illinois. Models have
been indicating this for the past few cycles. What remains to be
seen is how quickly this northeast movement takes place. If this
trough shifts rapidly northeast...wind fields will weaken leaving our
forecast area with little if any severe threat. If the movement is
slower...our region could be looking at a good chance for strong to
severe storms.


Current thinking is that our western counties in Alabama/fla Panhandle
will have the best chance for any strong to severe storms. Timing on
this was set on a blend of the NAM/GFS. Storms are already
developing ahead of the main line and this should continue as the
system moves toward our forecast area. Included high end likely probability of precipitation
for our western counties prior to midnight...increasing to
categorical thereafter. Will show a sharper increase in probability of precipitation further
eastward where main activity in fla Big Bend/S Georgia will likely only
be associated with the frontal boundary itself. The NAM is slower
than the GFS and brings the cold front into southeast Alabama/fla
Panhandle by 12z Friday whereas the GFS brings the cold front to
I-75 by 12z Friday. A blend of this solution has been
used...therefore expecting the cold front to get into southwest
Georgia before sunrise on Friday."
Looks interesting but also non-tropical in my opinion.Its 50/50 wheather it gets tagged by NRL.If you ask me i say nope.The vorticity with this feature is somewhat stretched out which again is something going againest its futher development.It appears to be closed at the mid-levels. Visible Loop

Close-up visible from Ramsdis

www.AdriansWeather.com
An area of disturb weather is located in the Central Atlantic Subtropics in associated with a surface trough and a low-mid level circulation located near 26N/57.5W based on RGB satellite imagery. Upper level forcing continues enhance low level lift along these surface features and as a result a 1012 mb low has form along the surface trough. Furthermore, low cloud motion indicates a close circulation has already formed or is almost closed off. 20-30 knot wind shear continues to displace the convective mass within a semi-circle of 240 nm northeast of the center. Some development may occur before a cold front absorbs the feature in 48-72 hrs.


by W456
i donno chs - what this will do.
Just gave my obs on that feature 456 but thanks anyway.Keep up the good work.

Its funny cause some models actually intensify this somewhat.
yeah h23 i saw it....i too agree its a 50/50 chance.
2nd tropical system in january??That would be something.
Wow, busy day. At last count, 13 active, current tornado warnings. Stay alert from Lake Charles to Cincinnati!
Make that 15.

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL IBERIA PARISH IN SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
SOUTHEASTERN VERMILION PARISH IN SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...PECAN ISLAND...INTRACOASTAL CITY...

* UNTIL 245 PM CST

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN CLARKE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...

* UNTIL 230 PM CST
And another...non-stop:

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHEASTERN LOWNDES COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...

* UNTIL 245 PM CST
NHC Discussion...

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A DEEP LAYER LOW PRES AREA IN THE CENTRAL ATLC CONTINUES TO
MEANDER OR DRIFT WWD. VISIBLE IMAGES AND SHIP OBSERVATIONS
SUGGEST A NEWLY FORMED SFC LOW...ANALYZED 1012 MB NEAR 26N57W.
IR IMAGERY AND LIGHTNING DATA INDICATE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
TSTMS TO THE E OF THE SFC LOW FROM 22N-27N BETWEEN 51W-55W.
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE ELSEWHERE N OF 26N BETWEEN 48W-58W. A WEAK
SFC TROUGH IS SITUATED TO THE S OF THE AFOREMENTIONED LOW ALONG
58W FROM 13N-18N. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE MAINLY WITHIN 240 NM E
OF THE AXIS SHEARED BY MID AND UPPER WLYS.

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
LAMAR COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...VERNON...MILLPORT...

* UNTIL 300 PM CST
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
MAURY COUNTY IN TENNESSEE...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF COLUMBIA...

* UNTIL 245 PM CST

This is a bit wild. A new t-warning every minute. Must be some terrific shear out there.
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
WESTERN LAUDERDALE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ALABAMA...

* UNTIL 245 PM CST
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF PARTS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN KENTUCKY EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 220 PM UNTIL 800 PM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 95 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF LONDON KENTUCKY TO 65 MILES NORTH OF LONDON KENTUCKY. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 16...WW 17...

DISCUSSION...WITH WARM FRONT MOVING NWD INTO CENTRAL/ERN KY...CONDITIONS ARE NOW FAVORABLE FOR TORNADIC SUPERCELLS GIVEN THE VERY STRONG SHEAR PROFILES IN PLACE. AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23050.
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN GREEN COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
SOUTHEASTERN HART COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL 300 PM CST...
Tropical Depression 08F Update 1

Issued 2000 UTC JAN 10 2008 by W456

New tropical depression formed this morning (AST/EST) near 12.5S-173E, remaining stationary. Estimated surface winds are 20 knots. Estimated surface pressure is 1003 mb. Wind shear is 5-10 knots and SSTs are 90F.

The center of the curve bands seen on infrared imagery was use to place the center. Synoptic reports, which is much more than with 07F was used to estimate the winds and pressure. QuikSCAT will be available tonight to get a true description of the winds. Based on the impressive satellite presentation and environmental conditions 08F has an excellent chance of developing and the models agree as they have been predicting development for the past week.

by W456

JTWC
1800 UTC 99PINVEST.15kts-1010mb-115S-1720E


* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN JEFFERSON DAVIS COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
SOUTHEASTERN LAWRENCE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHERN MARION COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...

* UNTIL 300 PM CST
Well defined but exposed area of low pressure.
RSMC Nadi - Marine Bulletin (2000z 10Jan)
=========================================

Tropical Depression Eight-F [998 hPa] located near 13.0S 171.0E reported as slow moving. Sustained winds near the center is 20-25 knots with gusts up to 30 knots within 50 miles from the center.
Did you know that QuickSCAT is unrealiable once heavy rain is present or the wind speed actually exceeds hurricane force?

One proposed replacement for QuickSCAT, already way beyond design life, is HIRAD. HIRAD is basically a souped-up version of SFMR that has a greatly expanded field-of-view over that of SFMR. HIRAD can infer wind speeds in the eyewall of a major TC and operate through heavy rainfall. This is useful as we have no representation in the H*Wind analysis of downbursts, as they occur during the heaviest of rains found in a TC.

Just a tidbit to chew on. This should be thoroughly presented at the AMS annual meeting in NOLA in 2 weeks. I will take notes.
1.
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
LARUE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
SOUTHWESTERN NELSON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL 400 PM EST...

2.
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
WILLIAMSON COUNTY IN TENNESSEE...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF FRANKLIN...

* UNTIL 300 PM CST

3.
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN CLARK COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON...
SOUTHWESTERN SKAMANIA COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON...

* UNTIL 100 PM PST.

* AT 1220 PM PST...THE PUBLIC REPORTED A TORNADO NEAR HAZEL DELL...OR
ABOUT NEAR VANCOUVER DOWNTOWN...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NOXUBEE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...

* UNTIL 315 PM CST

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN GREENE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHERN PERRY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
SOUTHWESTERN WAYNE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...

* UNTIL 330 PM CST
Tropical Cyclone Elisa (07F)/Tropical Cyclone 11P Update 6 (Revised)

Issued 2000 UTC JAN 10 2008 by W456

Tropical Cyclone Elisa (07F) by Nadi and 11P by the JTWC is centered near 23.2S-174.1 moving towards the south and east. Estimated surface winds are near 45 knots. Estimated surface pressure is near 989 mb. Wind shear in the vertical is 20 knots and SSTs are 26-28C.

The tropical cyclone was position using Morphed Integrated Microwave Imagery at CIMSS (MIMIC). The estimated surface winds and pressure will based on Dvorak classifications and VMAX. Infrared satellite imagery showed the cyclone is beginning to accelerate under the upper convergence of an approaching frontal boundary. Visible satellite presentation showed the familiar cirrus outflow of a tropical cyclone beginning extratropical transition. Furthermore, the convection is opening up and the radius of maximum winds (RMW) has increase from 28 nmi to 61 nmi. Expect the cyclone to continue to move quickly towards the southeast with little additional strengthening.

Note:
A microwave overpass around 1500 UTC this morning by TMI showed a small eye-like feature might have form on 07F indicating it may have reach intensity equivalent to hurricane status in the North Atlantic Ocean.

by W456

JTWC
1800 UTC - 11PELISA.50kts-985mb-236S-1743W
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
LEWIS COUNTY IN TENNESSEE...

* UNTIL 300 PM CST
1.
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN SMITH COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
SOUTHERN JASPER COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF STRINGER...
NORTHEASTERN COVINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHWESTERN JONES COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...

* UNTIL 330 PM CST

2.
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EASTERN JONES COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF ELLISVILLE...

* UNTIL 315 PM CST
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTH CENTRAL MARION COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ALABAMA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF WINFIELD...
NORTHERN FAYETTE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA...
EAST CENTRAL LAMAR COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA...

* UNTIL 315 PM CST
Ok,now this is getting crazy,this is in the northwest

...A Tornado Warning remains in effect until 100 PM PST for
southwestern Skamania and southern Clark counties...

At 1231 PM PST...the public reported a tornado. This tornado
touched down at 78th street and Fruit Valley Road in
Vancouver....then moved northeast to I-5 and 108th street.

There have been reports of power lines down in the vicinity of where
the tornado touched.
W456 where you getting such high pressure while the RSMC is reporting 980 hPa?
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CLARKE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF QUITMAN...

* UNTIL 330 PM CST
Yeah, crazy (panting breathlessly).

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EASTERN LARUE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
NORTHERN GREEN COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
MARION COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
NORTHWESTERN TAYLOR COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL 415 PM EST/315 PM CST/...
More high-end warnings:

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
246 PM CST THU JAN 10 2008

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 315 PM CST FOR
SOUTHEASTERN NOXUBEE COUNTY...

AT 246 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING
A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR MACON...OR ABOUT 19 MILES
NORTHEAST OF PRESTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
8 MILES NORTHWEST OF PAULETTE BY 255 PM CST...
PRAIRIE POINT BY 300 PM CST...
6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BIGBEE VALLEY BY 310 PM CST...

THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND LIFE THREATENING SITUATION. THIS
STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG TO VIOLENT TORNADOES. IF YOU ARE
IN THE PATH OF THIS TORNADO...TAKE COVER IMMEDIATELY!
WTF? I have to close IE to open Photoshop? That sux. See y'all later then.
As you guys know we are in the off-season of tropical activity. However, I want to get a blog going on a topic for the next 4 months. I was wondering what you guys would be interested in seeing or hearing in a blog. It must be weather related.
Drakoen:

I would!
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
255 PM CST THU JAN 10 2008

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 315 PM CST FOR
SOUTHEASTERN NOXUBEE COUNTY...

AT 255 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING
A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR MACON...OR ABOUT 19 MILES
WEST OF ALICEVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
PRAIRIE POINT AND 9 MILES NORTH OF COOKSVILLE BY 300 PM CST...
9 MILES SOUTH OF BIGBEE VALLEY BY 305 PM CST...

THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND LIFE THREATENING SITUATION. THIS
STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG TO VIOLENT TORNADOES. IF YOU ARE
IN THE PATH OF THIS TORNADO...TAKE COVER IMMEDIATELY!
huh ????
between now and half an hour ago at least 100 posts just disappeart.....
funny,
whats going on with the posting in the blog?
254. IKE
Memo to WU...your blogs are in need of being straightened out.
249. Drakoen 4:53 PM AST on January 10, 2008
As you guys know we are in the off-season of tropical activity. However, I want to get a blog going on a topic for the next 4 months. I was wondering what you guys would be interested in seeing or hearing in a blog. It must be weather related.


tropics around the world
256. Weather456 9:22 PM GMT on January 10, 2008
249. Drakoen 4:53 PM AST on January 10, 2008
As you guys know we are in the off-season of tropical activity. However, I want to get a blog going on a topic for the next 4 months. I was wondering what you guys would be interested in seeing or hearing in a blog. It must be weather related.

tropics around the world


Thats interesting. I will keep that in mind.
WFUS54 KJAN 102058
TORJAN
MSC031-065-067-102145-
/O.NEW.KJAN.TO.W.0035.080110T2058Z-080110T2145Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
258 PM CST THU JAN 10 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN JEFFERSON DAVIS COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
SOUTHERN COVINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
WESTERN JONES COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...LAUREL...ELLISVILLE...

* UNTIL 345 PM CST

* AT 258 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
TORNADO 16 MILES WEST OF SANFORD...OR ABOUT 14 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
COLLINS...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
SANFORD BY 315 PM CST...
6 MILES NORTH OF MOSELLE BY 330 PM CST...
ELLISVILLE BY 340 PM CST...
TUCKERS CROSSING AND LAUREL BY 345 PM CST...

IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GOLF
BALL SIZE HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

LAT...LON 3154 8981 3177 8909 3150 8909 3143 8964
TIME...MOT...LOC 2058Z 250DEG 35KT 3148 8966

$$

BYB


Tornado on the ground!





Drakoen,

cool
I started checking after NEwxguy's post of a tornado in Vancouver, WA. They confirmed it. The weather guy at KGW8 said damage looked like an EF0. There is a picture taken from a traffic cam, but it looks pretty small. Since those guys aren't used to tornadoes, I'm sure it's pretty scary for them. Here's a link to the picture. Link
Vorticity still appears elongated and still looks sheared.Models still suggest development will take shape as early as tommrorow.The window for some development will remain open till around the 12 of januaury.
Yea I agree Adrian and the is clear on the 850mb vorticity and satellite imagery. I will say however that it has improved somewhat over the past few days with now a closed surface low and a well established upper level outflow from the divergence aloft. Also that 3/4 arcing band has developed well today.

That same cold front is heading into Florida on Sat-Sun, I heard on Bay news 9 that a 50% chance of rain is coming. Also do i hear that That disturbance has a sfc low, Wow, its odd to think that I (Storm talked about it a tad on his wonderful blog, thanks to him) first mentioned it on jeffs blog.
look at the monster charging towards the invest



Yellow...surface
red - 300 hpa

Hey StormW.
264. Weather456 10:03 PM GMT on January 10, 2008
look at the monster charging towards the invest


yep. That monster will be responsible for taking it out to sea and/or dissapating the system. Thats what i was explaining yesterday.
267. StormW 10:14 PM GMT on January 10, 2008
Hey Drak!


Hows it going?
268. Drakoen 6:14 PM AST on January 10, 2008
264. Weather456 10:03 PM GMT on January 10, 2008
look at the monster charging towards the invest

yep. That monster will be responsible for taking it out to sea and/or dissapating the system. Thats what i was explaining yesterday.


yeah...h23 and I were also saying the same thing yesterday.
270. StormW 10:04 PM GMT on January 10, 2008
Going good Drak! How about you?


Good as well.
2007 warmest year in history for the Northern Hemisphere, #2 world wide beating 1998

Extraordinary year just passed was dominated by the great melt of the Arctic sea ice, which took some heat out of some monthly anomalies, it seems almost from May till September. A year when the sun was at is lowest period of solar activity, even with an La-Nina at year end, despite all this, beating 2005 and especially 1998 the supreme El-Nino year by +0.15 degrees C. It looks more and more like there is a large body of heat in the Earth's atmosphere which maintains itself somewhere , while another smaller region has normal temperatures at the same time, this heat only escapes to space at a constant rate, if there is more moisture in the atmosphere, this rate will slow down, opening up the Arctic ocean will only add more moisture to the atmosphere, trapping more heat.
hi
Hey Taz. Congrats, you're our first tester. :)
welcome back WunderYakuza thanks long time no see how have you been doing???
thanks
Snowing in Baghdad Link
if your still there admin everything seems to be working ok
i think the time seting with the blog post is a little off


how can i post some in at 9:08pm


and keeper posted some in at 8:56pm
hmmmm now it seen to be fixs that was odd
The time is still off...

JeffMasters More tornadoes and flooding for... 275 3 10 hours ago|37767 -1270 second ago|-1270

And I get this in my blog:

ERROR
There was a problem opening this user's Wunder Blog files. Please try again later.
or may be not
whats with this


283. Tazmanian 9:08 PM PST on January 10, 2008
hmmmm now it seen to be fixs that was odd
Action: Modify Comment


282. Tazmanian 9:11 PM PST on January 10, 2008

. WunderYakuza you there
time stamp out of sync
stl u here
Tropical Invest 90W Update 2

Issued 0000 UTC JAN 11 2008

An area of disturb weather is centered on a 1006 mb low near 6.5N-131W moving towards the west northwest. Estimated surface winds are near 20 knots. Wind shear is 10 knots and SSTs are near 82F.

Position and movement was based on QuikSCAT and low-level turning seen on infrared imagery. QuikSCAT shows a well-define LLCC with associated winds of 20 knots. Estimated surface pressure is near 1006 mb based on buoy, ship and station plots from the Philippines. Infrared satellite imagery shows a relatively large system accompanied by a broad zone of scattered showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are favorable for the development of a tropical depression as the system moves westward across the Philippines Islands, then into the South China Sea. After which the cyclone should turn southwestward under the influence of the NE Monsoon flow produced by the very strong Siberian High.

by W456

JTWC Stats:
1800 UTC 90W INVEST.15kts-1010mb-87N-1281E
Tropical Invest 90W Update 3

Issued 0900 UTC JAN 11 2008 by W456

Tropical disturbance centered near 8.5N-126.5 moving towards the west northwest. Estimated surface winds are 20 knots and minimum central pressure is 1008 mb. Wind shear is 5-10 knots and SSTs are near 82F.

Position poorly based on past microwave imagery and low level infrared winds. Surface winds and pressure estimated using synoptic reports. This disturbance continues to produce strong-moderate showers and thunderstorms mainly to the northwest of the well-define LLCC. The latest update shows the center nearing the coast of Mindanao Island in the Philippines. Environmental conditions are favorable for the development of a tropical depression once the system moves westward across the Philippines Islands, and into the South China Sea. After which the cyclone should turn southwestward under the influence of the NE Monsoon flow a product of the very strong Siberian High.

by W456

JTWC Stats:
0600 UTC 90W INVEST.15kts-1010mb-82N-1269E

Morning Folks. Raining here, few imbeded thunderstorms. I have camera gear with me, just incase.

WOW amazing how many tornado reports there were yesterday. I have seen images on CNN this morning of school buses blown oto a schools roof. That had to be one heck of a Tornado.

Hope everyone faired well overnight.
wow, local forcast discussion actual said its possible for isolated tornados here!! Im in NJ, tornados in January in NJ??? Im going to keep an eye on this one. With this storm system being the way it has been cant rule anything out I guess.

000
FXUS61 KPHI 110844
AFDPHI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
345 AM EST FRI JAN 11 2008

.......
.......
.......

FORECASTED 0-3KM HELICITY VALUES ARE THRU THE ROOF BETWEEN 200-500
M2/S2, WHILE SOME OF THIS IS ALONG/NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT, IT
STILL REMAINS PRETTY HIGH IN THE WARM SECTOR. VALUES LIKE THAT COULD
PRODUCE ISOLATED TORNADOES, ESPECIALLY IF WE GET A BREAK IN THE LINE
THAT WOULD ENHANCE LOCALIZED INFLOW
. SITU SIMILAR TO THESE IN THE
PAST HAVE PRODUCED SVR STORMS WHEN SFC BASED LIFTED INDICES DROP AOB
ZERO, THE SPC WEB SITE HAS A GOOD MESOANALYSIS PAGE THAT IS UPDATED
HOURLY THAT CAN BE FOLLOWED.
Everest hero Edmund Hillary dies

Sir Edmund Hillary, who made a historic first ascent of the world's highest peak, Mount Everest, has died aged 88.

New Zealand Prime Minister Helen Clark described the explorer as a heroic figure and said all New Zealanders would deeply mourn his passing.

Sir Edmund's health had reportedly been in decline since April, when he suffered a fall while visiting Nepal.

He was the first man to climb the 8,850m (29,035ft) peak, with Tenzing Norgay, on 29 May 1953.

Returning to Everest's South Col camp, he famously greeted another member of the British expedition group with the words: "Well, George, we've knocked the bastard off."


He was an heroic figure who not only 'knocked off' Everest but lived a life of determination, humility and generosity
New Zealand Prime Minister Helen Clark

Obituary: Sir Edmund Hillary
Life in pictures: Sir Edmund

After the ascent, Sir Edmund led a number of expeditions to the South Pole and devoted his life to helping the ethnic Sherpas of Nepal's Khumbu region.

His Himalayan Trust has helped build hospitals, clinics, bridges, airstrips and nearly 30 schools. He was made an honorary Nepalese citizen in 2003.

Prayer ceremonies are being held in Nepal to pay tribute to Sir Edmund, the charity says.

from BBC Link
Has anyone seen the fact that the "Atlantic Storm" is developing this morning it even has convection on the south side
what the .....

There were tornados in Washington State yesterday? I didnt notice returns in that area or even watchs

VANCOUVER LAKE CLARK WA 4568 12273 TOUCHDOWN REPORTED FROM NEAR 78TH (PQR)

HAZEL DELL CLARK WA 4568 12265 TORNADO WITH PRELIMINARY RATING OF EF1 ON THE ENHANCED FUJITA SCALE WITH ESTIMATED WINDS OF 90 TO 110 MPH. TORNADO PATH LENGTH WAS APPROX. 2 MILES LONG AND 1/4 MILE WID (PQR)

HAZEL DELL CLARK WA 4568 12265 TREE DAMAGE. POWER LINES DOWN AND TRANSFORMER BLOWN IN HAZEL DELL. POWER FOR ABOUT 2500 CUSTOMERS IN THE AREA IS OUT. (PQR)

HOCKINSON CLARK WA 4573 12248 TORNADO SPOTTED SOUTH OF HOCKINSON HIGH SCHOOL AND JUST WEST OF 172ND AVENUE (PQR)
WOW it did happen. Unreal!!

Published January 10, 2008
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tornado touches down in Vancouver neighborhood

SARAH SKIDMORE
Associated Press Writer

VANCOUVER, Wash. — A tornado downed power lines, uprooted trees, sent shopping carts flying into cars and demolished a rowing club Thursday in Vancouver.

There were no reports of injuries as the tornado cut through four miles from Vancouver Lake at the west edge of the town through the Hazel Dell area.

"It looks like we came through this pretty good," said Jim Flaherty, spokesman for the Vancouver Fire Department.

Utility officials said about 800 people lost power.

"I saw it coming and thought, 'Whatever that is, it's scary,'" said Kym Calder, 47, who ran into a nearby church for shelter when she saw the funnel cloud ahead of her.

The wind ripped swatches of shingles off buildings and fences out of the ground. The trampoline in one Hazel Dell yard lifted into another, only to be pinned by a falling tree.

Lori Ratliff, 46, said she saw limbs and newspapers swirling in the air outside her second-story office and felt the building shake when the storm ripped the brick facade of the building.

While pockets of some neighborhoods were severely damaged, others were untouched.

Some of the storm's most heaviest damage was at the edge of Vancouver Lake, where it demolished the home of Vancouver Lake Crew.

More than 50 rowing shells, which cost thousands of dollars each, lay splintered on the shores. Two large trailers that served as the base for the nonprofit club lay twisted on the ground.

Dozens of volunteers helped pull chunks of rowing machines out of the bushes and a canoe lay on the opposite shore.

It was a personal tragedy for the club's founder, Bill Kalenius, who had just finished chemotherapy and radiation treatment during the holidays.

"He's not supposed to be alive," said Zeph Halsey, coach of the youth team. "This is why he's alive."

The group is almost entirely run by volunteers. One of the docks is an Eagle Scout project. And Kalenius had personally restored much of the donated equipment used by the group.

"He has dedicated his life to this," his wife, Mary Kay Kalenius said. "It's kept him afloat."

The National Weather Service detected the tornado but couldn't estimate its wind speed, said Steve Todd, chief meteorologist for the National Weather Service in Portland.

Todd said the region of southwest Washington and northwest Oregon sees only one or two tornadoes a year, most often in sparsely populated areas.

"We do see more of actually what we call funnel clouds," he said. "Those are the same type of phenomenon, only they don't touch down. As soon as they touch down a funnel cloud changes from a funnel cloud to a tornado."

But, he said, Pacific Northwest tornadoes tend to be weaker than those of the Midwest.

On April 5, 1972, a tornado struck Vancouver, killing six people, injuring about 300 more and causing $3 million in damage. Among the injured were about 70 children from the Peter S. Ogden Elementary School, which was demolished.

Link
I just heard on Good Morning America that it snowed in Baghdad Iraq for the first time in living memory.
WHAT!! Snowed in Iraq??


WTF is up with the weather???

Tornados in Washington State, Severe Outbreak in January, Snow in Iraq

REM playing in the background.....
296. Thundercloud01221991 11:38 AM GMT on January 11, 2008
Has anyone seen the fact that the "Atlantic Storm" is developing this morning it even has convection on the south side


yes we (me Drak, H23 and others) know we have been talking about it for the past week.

My remarks,

the circulation has become better define on multispectural infrared imagery. I havnt check all the enviromental variables as yet but wind shear my satellite estimations seems to be relaxing but still above the threshold.



Here I found the link about the snow.

Link
from wunderground....

3:55 AM 37.4 F 35.6 F 93% 30.12 in 5.0 miles Variable 6.9 mph - N/A Rain , Snow Light Rain
4:26 AM 37.4 F 35.6 F 93% 30.11 in 3.7 miles Variable 6.9 mph - N/A Rain , Snow Light Rain
4:55 AM 37.4 F 35.6 F 93% 30.10 in 3.7 miles Variable 5.8 mph - N/A Rain , Snow Light Rain
5:55 AM 35.6 F 33.8 F 93% 30.11 in 3.7 miles Variable 5.8 mph - N/A Rain , Snow Light Rain
6:55 AM 35.6 F 33.8 F 93% 30.12 in - Variable 5.8 mph - N/A Snow Light Snow Showers
7:37 AM 33.8 F 33.8 F 100% 30.25 in 1.0 miles Variable 4.6 mph - N/A Snow Light Snow Showers
7:55 AM 33.8 F 33.8 F 100% 30.14 in 1.5 miles Variable 3.5 mph - N/A Snow Light Snow
8:55 AM 35.6 F 33.8 F 93% 30.14 in 1.2 miles North 8.1 mph - N/A Snow Light Snow
9:30 AM 35.6 F 33.8 F 93% 30.14 in - NNW 4.6 mph - N/A Rain , Snow Light Rain
9:55 AM 35.6 F 33.8 F 93% 30.15 in 3.1 miles North 6.9 mph - N/A Rain Light Rain


Baghdad, Iraq KQTZ
I watch this system all week going from nothing at the surface to a well define LLCC. This is really true genesis in the making.

Wind shear tendency has negative values near the system but still well above the 15 knot threshold near 30 knots.
Alll the system needs to do is contract the radius of maximum winds (RMW) and aquire some convection that will alow it develop a warm core in the upper levels. Currently a flat to cool thermal core exist near 200 hpa, which is not subtropical or tropical in nature. It has unitl Sunday to get its act togther before it becomes absorbed by a cold front.
456 cold the approaching front give it the needed energy to develope subtrobical characteristics?

Kind of give it a jump start?
Good morning all! I contacted my family in Monroe, GA early yesterday afternoon to prepare for possible tornadoes developing in and around the area. Thus far, I haven't gotten any calls from them, so Im guessing that they are doing well. Taking a look at the reports, I did not see anything from there, so I am quite relieved this morning, but I feel sorry for the thousands who lives have been changed forever by this historic severe weather outbreak. God bless them.
308. Bonedog 1:26 PM GMT on January 11, 2008
456 cold the approaching front give it the needed energy to develope subtrobical characteristics?

Kind of give it a jump start?


If the cold front was forecasted to be weak, stationary and/or dying. But it will be accomapnied by a shortwave.....most likely it will be absorbed and taken out to sea. The Global models agree to. Also....the definition of a subtropical or tropical is a "non frontal" area of disturb weathert.... and any interaction with a front that strong will just be contradicting the whole ideology.

Bonedog.....you could be on to something there. That's what I was thinking this morning also. Could be the energy needed to get something going for sure.
Could be interesting. It might just get drawn too far north though before the front really interacts......hmmmm.
I guess that I will have to update my site on this possible invest in the Central Atlantic. Based upon my analysis, it is quite evident that there is indeed a closed circulation at the surface. But, I do not see this system as either subtropical or tropical in nature just yet. I believe we will see some subtropical/tropical genesis during the day today. I will be monitoring both the cold front as well as this possible invest throughout the day.
Good morning all,what a crazy winter this is,driving to work this morning with lightning flashing around me
found this photo on an arab news network site SNOW in Baghdad

Morning NE, Vort, CCh, 456
remember when 95L started to interact with a front to its north...and the NHC drop the Special Tropical Disturbance Statement becuz of that reason?
morning bone
Mornin Bone. I saw a bunch of photos somewhere of that Baghdad snow. Let me find one. They were quite something to see.
!!!!!!!!!NEW BLOG!!!!!!!!
Oh....also.....here is a photo and short article regarding snow in South America:

Photobucket

Jan 10, 2008
Breaking News- Snow in the Middle of the South America Summer
You think the weather has been wild and extreme here in the United States the last 10 days. Take a look at this!!!

Metsul Weather Center

The weather went crazy. This is the most read sentence in the press of Buenos Aires at this moment. The central and northern areas of Argentina are experiencing a brutal heat wave that brought the electrical grid of country to near a collapse point. The temperature soared to 39C (102F) in Buenos Aires with a heat index of 42C (108F), but in some provinces of Argentina the heat index reached 54C (129F) yesterday. This morning it snowed in several locations of southern Argentina as the famous resort of Bariloche in the Andes Mountains. It even snowed in downtown Bariloche (photo), a rare event for January. Local press described the snow blanketed the Cordillera of Chubut, an unusual event for January. “I do not know if I use my plastic swimming pool or the skis”, told a local resident that saw snow this morning and just few hours earlier suffered with much above average temperature reaching 30C (86F) in the Patagonia region. Snow was also reported in San Martins de Los Andes. Tourists in the regional, used to see snow in the colder months of the years, could not believe the white thing was falling in the middle of January. Just like this week in the United States (winter storm in the West and unusually warm in the East), the northern areas of Argentina were under very warm weather warnings at the some moment it was snowing in the southern provinces.

Icecap Note: This is even more unusual than a July snow in Denver, a mile high (5,278 feet) city at about the same latitude. Bariloche is at just 2,772 feet elevation.