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Mighty North Sea Storm Xaver Battering Denmark, Germany, and the Netherlands

By: Dr. Jeff Masters, 4:09 PM GMT on December 05, 2013

For the first time since 2007, the massive flood gates that protect the Netherlands from the North Sea have been closed, as a mighty North Sea storm hurls a huge storm surge propelled by near-hurricane force winds against the coast of the Netherlands, Germany, and Denmark. Windstorm "Xaver", as it is called by the Free University of Berlin, has already killed one person in Scotland, where a truck driver was killed and four people were injured in an accident west of Edinburgh when high winds toppled a vehicle onto several cars. Winds gusted up to 142 mph overnight in the Scottish Highlands; many roads and bridges were closed, and all train services in Scotland were suspended; Network Rail spokesman Nick King said that "there's too much debris and too much damage to equipment to continue." At 2:55 pm local time Thursday, oil rig F3 in the North Sea about 200 km (125 miles) north of the Netherlands recorded sustained winds of 83 mph, gusting to 99 mph. These winds were recorded at an elevation of 49 meters (161 feet), so were stronger than the standard winds measured at 10 meters at most world airports. Oil rig Ula off the coast of southern Norway recorded sustained winds of 91 mph, gusting to 108 mph, at 2 pm local time. On the west coast of Denmark at St. Peter Ording Airfield, sustained winds of 58 mph were recorded at 2 pm local time. Winds at Sylt, Germany were 58 mph at 5 pm local time (see the Sylt, Germany beach webcam here.


Figure 1. Waves lash the North Sea coast at the ferry dock in Dagebuell, Germany, on December 5, 2013. (CARSTEN REHDER/AFP/Getty Images)


Figure 2. MODIS satellite image of Windstorm Xaver taken at approximately 11 UTC Thursday December 5, 2013. Image credit: NASA Worldview.

Heavy wind damage likely
A squall line with severe thunderstorms has developed along a cold front that is sweeping across Northern Europe this Thursday afternoon, and these thunderstorms are bringing intense lightning, heavy rains, and damaging winds. The European Storm Forecast Experiment is warning of the risk of tornadoes with this squall line, and damaging wind gusts of up to 90 mph (145 kph) in the severe thunderstorms. The Thursday morning 00Z run of the European model predicted that Xaver would bottom out with a central pressure near 960 mb Friday morning; the GFS model had it stronger, at 956 mb. This will make Xaver stronger the October's Windstorm "Christian" (AKA the St. Jude storm), which bottomed out at 968 mb. Christian killed 18, and did $1.4 billion in damage. It is possible that the wind damage from Xaver will approach that of Windstorm Anatol, which hit Denmark, Southwest Sweden, and Northern Germany on December 3, 1999. Anatol had sustained winds of up to 91 mph (146 kph), killed 20 people, and injured over 800. Damage was $2.6 billion (1999 dollars) in Denmark, making it the costliest disaster in Danish history.


Figure 3. Severe weather warnings for Xaver from the European Storm Forecast Experiment.

3.5-meter storm surge predicted for Germany
The maximum storm tide of Xaver will be in Germany and Denmark, and will be unusually high, since we are only two days past the new moon. Fortunately, the German coast is well protected by dikes, which are about 8 meters high, and these dikes should be able to withstand Xaver's storm surge. The German weather service storm surge forecast made Thursday morning called for a storm tide of 3.5 meters (11.5') above average high tide in Cuxhaven and Bremerhaven during the high tide cycle early Friday morning. This is about 4.8 meters above mean sea level in Bremerhaven, which will be very close to the all-time record of 5.18 m above mean sea level set there in January 1976.

German storm surge history
The deadliest flood of the last hundred years in Germany was the "North Sea flood" in 1962 (16/17 February), where many dikes broke and 340 people were killed. In the Bremerhaven area, the dikes from the 1840s were just able to withstand the storm surge but were heavily damaged. Bremerhaven had installed storm surge gates at the mouth of the river Geeste in summer 1961 as a reaction to the 1953 flood in the Netherlands. That small-scale Deltaworks saved the city. After this catastrophe, the dikes along the German coast were strengthened. Just in time, as the highest storm surge of at least the last hundred years occurred in January 1976. In Hamburg, the 1976 flood was 4.35 meters (14.3') above average high tide, which is 6.45 meters (21.2') above mean sea level. This is 75 cm higher than the storm surge of 1962, but the dikes were strong and high enough in 1976 to withstand the flood. Thanks go to Dr. Michael Theusner of the German climate museum Klimahaus for these stats.

Links
Weather graphics and storm impacts from Storm #Xaver from Tim Ballisty @IrishEagle
Sylt, Germany webcam
‪Dagebüll‬, Germany ferry terminal webcam
Thyboroen, Denmark webcam (thanks go to wunderground member barbamz for this link.)
24-hour storm surge forecasts and actual water levels for the North Sea coast
Tide chart for Bremerhaven, Germany. The highest storm tide will occur at high tide at 1:59 UTC (2:59 CET) on Friday morning.
German weather forum
Wikipedia's list of great European windstorms.
A list of the severest storm surges at the North Sea (in German) and a not so-detailed list in English here
The Future of Intense Winter Storms, my 2010 blog post on climate change and winter storms (updated in early 2013.)

Jeff Masters

Winter Weather

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

Reader Comments


@jstar79
Icicles in Denton, TX.



@TulsaWxChaser
3" here. So far
Quoting 462. KEEPEROFTHEGATE:


My Brother lives in Carbondale. Said they had a little ice (0.1-.2") to start then, sleet(1"), then snow and still snowing (8"). I would not at all be surprised at some 10-20" totals.



Widespread 8-10" reports already as of 7am this morning south of I-64 in Southern Illinois, and also Southeastern Missouri.

Still have all this to swing through withthe second shortwave. Very impressive system. A lot of people are going to remember this one.

While the Country is in the midst of an Arctic Blast we in FL are in a Heat Wave as summer like humidity has returned making the 87 during the day feel much hotter.

Any word on how everything is in Dallas as it appears they were dealt with a serious ice storm?

Obs in Dallas are 29 degrees with .82" of freezing rain so far. Geesh!!!

Issued by The National Weather Service
Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

. WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING...
* TIMING... SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.
* MAIN IMPACT... SLEET AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL CREATE VERY DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ON AREA ROADS... BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES THROUGH FRIDAY NOON.
* OTHER IMPACTS... LIGHT ICE ACCUMULATIONS MAY CAUSE POWER OUTAGES.

* ACCUMULATION... SLEET ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 2 INCHES IS EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. FREEZING RAIN AND ICE ACCUMULATION OF A TENTH TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH IS POSSIBLE AS WELL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM IS OCCURRING. DO NOT TRAVEL TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING UNLESS IT IS AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL... KEEP AN EXTRA BLANKET... FLASHLIGHT... FOOD... AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE YOU BECOME STRANDED.
&&
Hopefully Doc can shed some light on this instead of a mild Europe storm.
Little Rock and Nashville both could get shut down from this Ice Storm along with other major cities across the South & Ohio Valley.

Good Morning.  Walshy hit the nail on the head.  Ice storms equal potential massive power outages due to tree limbs and such breaking from the weight and downing power lines.  You couple that with no power in the wake of such a storm for a period of time, and folks really need to have generators to power heaters or plenty of wood in stock to keep their fireplaces going.  The alternative is having plenty of blankets and jackets to get through the aftermath.

Hopefully, folks further down South in the lower Mid-West, including parts of North Texas have prepared for this system.
Also; driving on ice slicked roads is a no-go/dangerous proposition in such conditions.  If this system is headed your way later, you would want to make your store trips for supplies as soon as you can ahead of the storm. 
Wonder when more of the US will join much of the developed world and bury their power lines so that these kinds of storms quite being so destructive....
Finally, here is the current GFS 300mb jet stream chart for today.  Strong winds also likely in parts affected by this storm as relative sheer profiles are elevated:
Little bit of rain and sleet coming through my town here in MD..

India Meteorological Department
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #3
DEPRESSION BOB08-2013
17:30 PM IST December 6 2013
=======================================

At 12:00 PM UTC, The depression over southwest Bay of Bengal remained practically stationary and lays center near 10.0N and longitude 84.0E, about 530 km southeast of Chennai and 350 km northeast of Trincomalee (Sri Lanka).

It would intensify further into a deep depression during next 24 hours and subsequently into a cyclonic storm. It would move nearly northwards very slowly during next 48 hours and then recurve north northeastwards.

According to satellite imagery, the Dvorak intensity of the system is T1.5. Associated broken low/medium clouds embedded with intense to very intense convection is seen between 5.0N to 16.0N and 80.0E to 90.0E. The lowest cloud top temperature is about -75C.

3 minute sustained winds near the center is 25 knots with gusts of 35 knots. The state of the sea is rough to very rough around the center. The central pressure of the depression is 1004 hPa.

Scatterometry wind data indicates the cyclonic circulation over the region and associated wind speed to be about 30-35 knots to the north and southeast sector and 20-25 knots to the southwest sector of the system. The ship observation located near 11.0N 86.4E at 1200 UTC of December 6th 2013 today. Reported mean sea level pressure 1005.1 hPa and surface wind of 21 knots.

The depression lies close to the upper tropospheric steering ridge, which runs along 10.0N. The low level convergence along with low level relative vorticity and upper level divergence have further increased during past 12 hrs and are favorable for intensification. The sea surface temperature is about 26-28c. The ocean thermal energy is about 60-80 kj/cm2 around system center. It is relatively less over central Bay of Bengal, i.E. To the north of 13n. The vertical wind shear of horizontal wind has decreased during past 12 hours and is light to moderate (10-20 knots) around system center. It is high to the north of 13.0N. The Madden-Jullian oscillation index lies over phase 3 with amplitude less than 1. Numerical weather prediction models suggest that Madden-Jullian oscillation would continue in phase 3 during next 5 days with increasing amplitude. These are supportive for intensification.

There is general consensus among the numerical weather prediction models with respect to track and intensification during next 48 hours. The numerical weather prediction models suggest near northward and slow movement and intensification of the system into a cyclonic storm during this period. Beyond 48 hours there is divergence in the model with respect to track, as a few models suggest southwestward movement. Current forecast has not taken into consideration these models suggesting southwestward movement and weight has been given to majority of the models and large scale environmental conditions which is expected to steer the system north northeastwards after 48 hours.
514. VR46L
Hmmm I think I see some popcorn starting to pop

I would assume we'd see an updated blog in an hour or two.
As mentioned, be nice to see info on on-going systems affecting the U.S.
Quoting 515. Sfloridacat5:
I would assume we'd see an updated blog in an hour or two.
As mentioned, be nice to see info on on-going systems affecting the U.S.


Yes, I should have something up on both storms by 11am at the latest. I was hoping to give updates on both storms yesterday, but a visit to the local ER for a family member that needed stitches put an end to that idea, ouch....

Dr. M.
Ow.. Hope they are OK Dr. Masters.
ASCAT from the night.



Quoting 514. VR46L:
Hmmm I think I see some popcorn starting to pop

Popcorn is forecast. NWS said Tupelo,MS had thundersnow early this morning. We had thunder here on the plateau.
Quoting 509. largeeyes:
Wonder when more of the US will join much of the developed world and bury their power lines so that these kinds of storms quite being so destructive....
It's a money thing large... Not cheap at all... Most cities are now going to underground utilities when building new developments.Trees are also a major problem in older neighborhoods. A 30 MPH wind can cause havoc with lines in the trees. Many people plant their 3 foot beautiful tree directly under a power line not thinking where that tree will be in 10 years.
Quoting 519. hydrus:
Popcorn is forecast. NWS said Tupelo,MS had thundersnow early this morning. We had thunder here on the plateau.


Yum. Popcorn, butter flavor?
522. VR46L
Quoting 519. hydrus:
Popcorn is forecast. NWS said Tupelo,MS had thundersnow early this morning. We had thunder here on the plateau.


I like to watch that stuff evolve on Satellite !
90L getting ripped apart right now from upper level winds....

I still think that yesterday around 11:00 AM this thing was, in fact, a subtropical storm.

gee this storm is dangerous,hopefully folks stayed home and off the roads.

...MAJOR WINTER STORM WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MUCH OF ARKANSAS
THROUGH THIS EVENING...

ARZ016-024-025-031>034-037>047-052>057-070000-
/O.COR.KLZK.IS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-131207T0000Z/
ARKANSAS-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CONWAY-FAULKNER-GARLAND-G RANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-LONOKE-MONROE-MONT GOMERY-PERRY-
PIKE-POLK-PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-WHITE-WOOD RUFF-YELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ARKADELPHIA...AUGUSTA...BATESVILLE...
BEEBE...BENTON...BRINKLEY...BRYANT...CABOT...CLAR ENDON...CONWAY...
COTTON PLANT...DANVILLE...DE VALLS BLUFF...DE WITT...DES ARC...
GLENWOOD...HAZEN...HEBER SPRINGS...HOT SPRINGS...LITTLE ROCK...
LONOKE...MALVERN...MCCRORY...MENA...MORRILTON...M OUNT IDA...
MURFREESBORO...NEWPORT...NORMAN...NORTH LITTLE ROCK...OLA...
PERRYVILLE...PINE BLUFF...SEARCY...SHERIDAN...STUTTGART...WALDRON
645 AM CST FRI DEC 6 2013

...ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

AN ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK HAS ISSUED AN ICE
STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM
CST FRIDAY.

* EVENT...SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
CENTRAL ARKANSAS TODAY.

* TIMING...PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THROUGH THIS
EVENING. TEMPERATURES IN THE NORTHEAST ARE ALREADY BELOW
FREEZING SO PRECIPITATION WILL INITIALLY BE FREEZING RAIN THEN
TRANSITION TO SLEET BY LATE MORNING. IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS...RAIN
IS EXPECTED INITIALLY...FOLLOWED BY FREEZING RAIN AROUND
DAYBREAK AND POSSIBLY A FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET MIX AS
PRECIPITATION TAPERS OFF THIS EVENING. FROM PINE BLUFF
WESTWARD...IT WILL BE SIMILAR BUT THE TRANSITIONS TO FREEZING
RAIN WILL OCCUR LATER THIS MORNING AND SHOULD REMAIN FREEZING
RAIN THROUGH THE END OF THE EVENT.

* ICE ACCUMULATIONS...WIDESPREAD QUARTER TO HALF INCH ICE TOTALS
ARE EXPECTED...WITH ONE HALF TO THREE QUARTER INCH ACCUMULATIONS
POSSIBLE FOR AREAS NORTHEAST OF LITTLE ROCK.

* IMPACT...VERY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL WILL DEVELOP. NUMEROUS DOWNED
TREE BRANCHES...TREES...AND POWER LINES...ARE EXPECTED AND MAY
LEAD TO THE POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD AND PROLONGED POWER
OUTAGES. FALLING TREES AND TREE BRANCHES MAY ALSO BECOME A
DANGER TO ANYONE OUTDOORS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AN ICE STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF ICE ACCUMULATIONS
WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. TRAVEL IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE WILL LIKELY BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU
MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. ICE ACCUMULATIONS AND WINDS WILL
LIKELY LEAD TO SNAPPED POWER LINES AND FALLING TREE BRANCHES THAT
ADD TO THE DANGER.

INDIVIDUALS ARE ENCOURAGED TO CONTINUE TO MONITOR FORECAST FROM
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK FOR THE LATEST
REGARDING THIS WINTER STORM.

&&

$$


Time will tell.
Quoting 521. Dakster:


Yum. Popcorn, butter flavor?


Cold air is just oozing into the DC area. 64F at dawn, dropping through 50s now. Expecting moderate icing Sunday with severe icing in NW 'burbs.
Quoting 524. LargoFl:
gee this storm is dangerous,hopefully folks stayed home and off the roads.


They will be off the roads on way or the other with that Ice... Already reports of truck drivers in areas that are forecasted to get hit are hunkering down at rest stops/truck stops (like Pilots and Flying Js).
Quoting 528. Dakster:


They will be off the roads on way or the other with that Ice... Already reports of truck drivers in areas that are forecasted to get hit are hunkering down at rest stops/truck stops (like Pilots and Flying Js).
I guess alot of power outages too with that heavy ice on the lines
GFS is not sure.

GFS 24 hours.

Quoting 527. georgevandenberghe:


Cold air is just oozing into the DC area. 64F at dawn, dropping through 50s now. Expecting moderate icing Sunday with severe icing in NW 'burbs.


Interesting and doesn't sound like fun...

Hot air is still king in South Florida and we don't have to worry about ice, snow, a coat, heck a shirt. Almost swimming weather today. (It is for Northerners)
dallas ice storm






little oops



The NAVGEM thinks it will happen... But it has said this about every system.

36 hours out.
prep for after the storm...as of now 264,000 without power


GFS also wishcasting at 174 hours near 20N 20W.

Icy roads cause 65-vehicle crash in Massachusetts
ricderr- you in DFW?
Quoting 538. LargoFl:
Icy roads cause 65-vehicle crash in Massachusetts


...5 Days ago.

Link
ROUND ROCK -- Icy road conditions are causing problems in Central Texas.

Round Rock

Round Rock police responded to a crash in the westbound lanes of SH 45 Friday morning. Officers say they anticipated that the area near Interstate 35 would be a problem.

They closed the exit from I-35 southbound onto SH 45 earlier because there was ice on the overpass. A TxDOT crew treated the road, but within 10 minutes there was a crash and the road was shut down again. Police say emergency crews also responded to a crash less than a mile from that area.

Austin

Just before 7 a.m. EMS responded to a six-vehicle crash involving an 18-wheeler at northbound U.S. 183 near Spicewood Springs Road. No injuries were reported.

Austin police say most elevated roadways near U.S. 183 and Lake Creek/RM 620 have ice on them. They advise drivers to stay off roads Friday if possible.

In North Austin, police were forced to shut down U.S. 183 at SH 45 after crashes occurred.

Leander

Just after 8 a.m. Leander police closed down 183A until further notice.

Pflugerville

Pflugerville police have closed all ramps of SH 45. They urge drivers to avoid the SH 45/130 overpass.

The Texas Department of Transportation warned drivers Friday morning about black ice being found on roads. They advise to reduce your speed while driving or stay home.
no aqua....11 hours by car to the southwest in el paso

it's just that the storm missed us by about 80 miles to the north so it's garnered big play on local news


thanks for the reply ric-
TROPICAL CYCLONE 6.

Quoting 521. Dakster:


Yum. Popcorn, butter flavor?
Ice cream.
90L windfield.

thanks for the reply ric-



always nice to see the old timers on here...well...not that you're old :-)
I'm vieja, ric. This place made us old before our time. I went grey and you went bald, hahahaha

Nasty mess in DFW. I'm guessing Oklahoma city is even worse?

anyone got some good stats on viability of I-10 and I-40 over the next week? It IS christmas shipping time...
'm vieja, ric. This place made us old before our time. I went grey and you went bald, hahahaha




LMAO...i did go bald while blogging here.....


i believe OKC is just starting to feel the full effects......
Anybody remember this dreadful week?...

Katrina, 2005.

Quoting 554. LargoFl:

didnt say it was today,it shows just how dangerous icy roads are,which is why everyone should be safe and stay off the roads TODAY because crashes like this will be and are being reported all over the place today
I 10 should be fine at least here in tx as it is south of most of the affected areas.....
Quoting 520. PalmBeachWeather:
It's a money thing large... Not cheap at all... Most cities are now going to underground utilities when building new developments.Trees are also a major problem in older neighborhoods. A 30 MPH wind can cause havoc with lines in the trees. Many people plant their 3 foot beautiful tree directly under a power line not thinking where that tree will be in 10 years.


It's also not nearly the 10x as expensive I have seen claimed. And over time....it avoids a lot of the maintenance and repairs that obviously come with wind, trees, etc. etc. Most of the time in the US, we had underground power and long blackouts were very, very rare.
Quoting 545. hydrus:
Ice cream.
Hydrus you ok there today?
...SELECTED STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL IN INCHES FROM 500 AM CST THU DEC
05 THROUGH 800 AM CST FRI DEC 06...

...ARKANSAS...
BENTONVILLE 7.0
BEAVER 6.5
CENTERTON 6.5
BELLA VISTA 6.0
PEA RIDGE 1 W 6.0
GAMALIEL 2.2 SSW 5.5
FAYETTEVILLE 5.0
CALICO ROCK 6.1 WNW 4.0
MOUNTAIN HOME 5.8 NE 4.0
SILOAM SPRINGS 4.0

...ILLINOIS...
MOUNT VERNON 10.0
SUNFIELD 10.0
CHESTER 2 SSE 9.5
OLNEY 9.0
CLAY CITY 7.5
FAIRFIELD 7.5
MARISSA 7.5
CHESTER 7.0
DU QUOIN 7.0
FLORA 7.0
RUMA 6.2
ALBION 6.0

...INDIANA...
SPENCER 7.0 S 6.2
GREENCASTLE 3.6 ESE 5.5
BROOKLYN 0.5 ENE 5.0
GOSPORT 4.0 WSW 5.0
JASONVILLE 4.0 ENE 4.8
INDIANAPOLIS 8.7 S 4.3
MOORESVILLE 6.1 SSE 4.2
BROWNSBURG 4.6 S 4.0
INDIANAPOLIS INTL ARPT 3.5
LAWRENCE 3.1

...MISSOURI...
FREDERICKTOWN 9.0
CASSVILLE 4.8 SSE 8.3
PERRYVILLE 8.3
FARMINGTON 8.0
LEADWOOD 8.0
ROUND SPRING 2 NW 8.0
SUMMERSVILLE 3 S 8.0
LESTERVILLE 7.5
AVA 7.0
VAN BUREN 6.7
CENTERVILLE 6.0
CLEVER 4.0 ENE 6.0

...OHIO...
CONNEAUT I-90 3.0

...OKLAHOMA...
BETHANY 0.7 SSW 5.0
FORT COBB 0.4 NNW 5.0
JAY 3.3 NNE 5.0
OKEMAH 5.0
OKMULGEE 5.0
BRISTOW 4.0
CHECOTAH 4.0
KEEFETON 4.0
MIDWEST CITY 1.6 NNW 4.0
JENKS 4.5 ENE 3.8
TULSA 3.7

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL SLEET IN INCHES FROM 500 AM CST THU DEC 05
THROUGH 800 AM CST FRI DEC 06...

...ARKANSAS...
JOHNSON 3 SW 3.00
HARRISON 2.00
HUNTSVILLE 4 S 0.75
SAINT PAUL 0.75
BENTONVILLE 1 SSW 0.50
FORT SMITH 0.50
POCAHONTAS 0.33
LESLIE 11 SW 0.30

...ILLINOIS...
COBDEN 1.50
CARBONDALE 0.75
MOUNT VERNON 0.75
CLAY CITY 4 SE 0.40

...INDIANA...
MORRISTOWN 2.00
EVANSVILLE 0.20

...KENTUCKY...
HENDERSON 0.70

...MISSOURI...
WHITE CHURCH 1.50
POPLAR BLUFF 1.00
TECUMSEH 1.00
MARBLE HILL 0.50

...OHIO...
EATON 3 E 1.00

...OKLAHOMA...
MUSKOGEE 3.00
POTEAU 2.00
WILBURTON 2.00
CHECOTAH 1.25
EUFAULA 1.00

...TENNESSEE...
UNION CITY 0.13

...TEXAS...
LITTLE ELM 3.50
HURST 2.50
LINDSAY 2.50
DECATUR 3 SSW 2.25
DENISON 2.00
EDEN 2.00
KELLER 2 E 2.00
BLUFF DALE 1.75
FORT WORTH 1.50
GAINESVILLE 1.50
OAK TRAIL SHORES 1.50
DALLAS 5 E 1.00

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL FREEZING RAIN ICE AMOUNTS IN INCHES FROM
500 AM CST THU DEC 05 THROUGH 800 AM CST FRI DEC 06...

...ARKANSAS...
GREENWOOD 1.25
OZARK 1.00
FORT SMITH 0.25
JETHRO 0.25

...ILLINOIS...
VALIER 0.50
SUMNER 0.30
CAIRO 0.20
LAWRENCEVILLE 0.10

...INDIANA...
CHARLESTOWN 0.10
LEAVENWORTH 0.10
MILAN 0.10

...KENTUCKY...
CALVERT CITY 2 S 0.10
PROSPECT 0.10
ROCHESTER 0.10

...MISSOURI...
ELLSINORE 0.25
LANTON 1 N 0.25
DONIPHAN 0.20
JACKSON 0.20

...OHIO...
XENIA 3 SE 0.16

...OKLAHOMA...
POTEAU 1.00
VALLIANT 0.25
CHECOTAH 0.10

...TEXAS...
FORT WORTH 2 S 0.40
DALLAS 5 NE 0.30
MESQUITE 0.30
RICHARDSON 0.30
MENARD 0.25
BRADY 0.20
DECATUR 3 SSW 0.20
ROUND ROCK 0.10




Link
G'morning from Central OK,

Only snow here - best guesstimate is around 2 inches. A very "dry" snow, not even sure if its snowman material. Gonna make travel into the region very interesting for the Bedlam football game (OSU vs OU).

Bitterly cold with temps expected to be at or around 10F tomorrow at game time, and only "warming" to 20 F by the 4th quarter. Windchills, single digits.

Highs not expected to get above freezing until Tues/Wednesday - at the earliest.

SeOK, Texas, and Arkansas bore the brunt of this one - with mostly sleet and ice. Feel for those folks without power.

Stay warm, stay safe, and enjoy warm beverages of your choice!

Cheers.
Quoting 558. LargoFl:
Hydrus you ok there today?
Cold rain and a bit windy. Have done everything I can just in case. Had thunder and wind last night.
Quoting 556. ricderr:
I 10 should be fine at least here in tx as it is south of most of the affected areas.....


thanks ric- Amazon is my bread n butter-

I saw a low temp of 3º for oklahoma city-
Quoting 562. hydrus:
Cold rain and a bit windy. Have done everything I can just in case. Had thunder and wind last night.
ok glad its ok by you..
Quoting 554. LargoFl:
If the 24 hour forecast you posted comes to fruition, we will get iced.
some power outages in mississippi too
Tomorrow's TCFP.

Quoting 566. hydrus:
If the 24 hour forecast you posted comes to fruition, we will get iced.
yeah hydrus its going to be a long weekend for alot of folks..
TCFP has purple here..... I see nothing there.

tomorrow its new englands turn wow....
sunday looks better.................
574. VR46L
Quoting 571. Torito:
TCFP has purple here..... I see nothing there.



Its a cute blob but will probably turn nasty by the time it nears the Philippines with the way things are going this year..

Here comes the rain.

Quoting 574. VR46L:


Its a cute blob but will probably turn nasty by the time it nears the Philippines with the way things are going this year..



Lets track it all the way across the pacific.

Quoting 572. LargoFl:
tomorrow its new englands turn wow....
Little snow between 12Z and 00Z from Satruday through Sunday for my area?
578. VR46L
Quoting 576. Torito:


Lets track it all the way across the pacific.



Yeah , Its not like there is gonna be much happening in the tropics .. Could be something of interest ! It goes to show how terrible uneventful the Atlantic was that I will now watch the rest of the tropics with interest !
90L still hanging in there with a symmetric warm core......

Quoting 561. daddyjames:
G'morning from Central OK,

Only snow here - best guesstimate is around 2 inches. A very "dry" snow, not even sure if its snowman material. Gonna make travel into the region very interesting for the Bedlam football game (OSU vs OU).

Bitterly cold with temps expected to be at or around 10F tomorrow at game time, and only "warming" to 20 F by the 4th quarter. Windchills, single digits.

Highs not expected to get above freezing until Tues/Wednesday - at the earliest.

SeOK, Texas, and Arkansas bore the brunt of this one - with mostly sleet and ice. Feel for those folks without power.

Stay warm, stay safe, and enjoy warm beverages of your choice!

Cheers.
An example of regional thinking: you said OSU and I thought "how can Ohio State be playing OU tomorrow? They're supposed to be playing Michigan State!"

LOL.. Good luck to your Oklahoma team, whichever one it is.
sunday looks better






as long as you don't live out west
I think the naming everything trend is cheapening hurricanes/typhoons/etc.

I'd like to just number tropical storms (using their depression number) until they become hurricanes in exchange for only naming blizzards or other high end event. Xaver should count, but perhaps not every snowstorm.
Only snow here - best guesstimate is around 2 inches. A very "dry" snow, not even sure if its snowman material. Gonna make travel into the region very interesting for the Bedlam football game (OSU vs OU).





enjoy your day daddy and stay warm
I am pretty sure this thing was the polar low I looked at last night off of south America.

Quoting 578. VR46L:


Yeah , Its not like there is gonna be much happening in the tropics .. Could be something of interest ! It goes to show how terrible uneventful the Atlantic was that I will now watch the rest of the tropics with interest !


This is what that little blob is like right now...

According to this, it shouldn't last long.

I think the naming everything trend is cheapening hurricanes/typhoons/etc.




i've heard this before...but i've never heard how it cheapens them.....
Quoting 583. ricderr:
Only snow here - best guesstimate is around 2 inches. A very "dry" snow, not even sure if its snowman material. Gonna make travel into the region very interesting for the Bedlam football game (OSU vs OU).





enjoy your day daddy and stay warm


Being from SEFL - still not used to this kind of snow. . .

Coffee is on and hot chocolate planned for later!
588. etxwx
Good morning all. Just cold drizzly rain here in Jasper County, I think we will miss the ice. Got a bunch of cold, wet cows with their heads in the hay rings this morning trying to fuel up and stay warm. But at least they are wearing leather....
Hope everyone stays safe and warm. It sure is a mess up there north of us.
Quoting 580. FLwolverine:
An example of regional thinking: you said OSU and I thought "how can Ohio State be playing OU tomorrow? They're supposed to be playing Michigan State!"

LOL.. Good luck to your Oklahoma team, whichever one it is.


LOL - yea peeps still don't give the Cowboys enough credit. New kid on the block (at least as contending goes).

GO POKES! Although, this is especially a good year for me, as I am an FSU alum . . . I was jumping up and down for joy, screaming at the tv watching that unbelievable last play of the Alabama/Auburn game. :D
590. VR46L
Quoting 585. Torito:


This is what that little blob is like right now...

According to this, it shouldn't last long.



I need something to track ... or else I end up in Dr Rood's blog and get in lots of hot water ... not because of what they say, more the way things are said ....
Quoting 557. largeeyes:


It's also not nearly the 10x as expensive I have seen claimed. And over time....it avoids a lot of the maintenance and repairs that obviously come with wind, trees, etc. etc. Most of the time in the US, we had underground power and long blackouts were very, very rare.
I absolutely agree large...It's getting the residents to agree to pay for it through taxes and any other means... Many say I will not be around long enough to see it... A Catch-22 I guess..
There is always this one......

It looks like it will have a very long journey. I believe it will be a polar low at some point...



Right now, it is right here.



Having a nice December thunderstorm in central Virginia.

The warm rain in front of a possible Sunday ice storm.
Good morning everybody.

Little Rock Radar.

Quoting 590. VR46L:


I need something to track ... or else I end up in Dr Rood's blog and get in lots of hot water ... not because of what they say, more the way things are said ....


Hey! No broad strokes with large brushes, unfair to tar everyone . . . Nice to hear you did ok with Xaver.
Quoting 589. daddyjames:


LOL - yea peeps still don't give the Cowboys enough credit. New kid on the block (at least as contending goes).

GO POKES! Although, this is especially a good year for me, as I am an FSU alum . . . I was jumping up and down for joy, screaming at the tv watching that unbelievable last play of the Alabama/Auburn game. :D


Hey James,

How you fairing with temps in the teens, snow and ice?
Being from SEFL - still not used to this kind of snow. . .

Coffee is on and hot chocolate planned for later!




i understand that...being from sefl myself and now living in the desert...adjusting to the weather has been hard.....i do tell people that i finally got my beachfront property...i'm just a thousand miles from the beach
Quoting 596. GatorWX:


Hey James,

How you fairing with temps in the teens, snow and ice?
Hey Gator, long time no see how is life treating you?
Good morning everybody.

Little Rock Radar.





nice show of rain...ice and snow
JeffMasters has created a new entry.
601. VR46L
Quoting 595. daddyjames:


Hey! No broad strokes with large brushes, unfair to tar everyone . . . Nice to hear you did ok with Xaver.


True But you would never Speak to me the way I have been spoken too there. I will never forget one day ....
Appears the front is closing in on Ann Arbor, saw 44 when logged on, now 37.

ILwthr - had one snow day in my 3.5 yrs at SIUC, 12" snow shut it down for first time in a while. Rem I always complained it wouldn't snow, just 33 degree rain, which I hated. Last 3 yrs SoIL has had far more snow than anywhere else S of I-80.

About 10:30 we had a little dusting come through. So far that & the sleet around 6:30 a.m. yesterday are all we received. Current - 21 w/ 16 dew pt, NNW winds 6-16, up to 30.27". Does like some more on its way from StL area, might get that inch. 6 for tomorrow's low, brr, been a while since that cold in early Dec. in S C IL.
Fayetteville, AR

Heavy Snow
19°
RealFeel® 15°

NESW
Humidity: 91%
Pressure: 30.33 in
UV Index: 1
Cloud Cover: 90%
Ceiling: 29300 ft
Dew Point: 17° F
Visibility: 0 mi
Quoting 596. GatorWX:


Hey James,

How you fairing with temps in the teens, snow and ice?


Since moving here, have had to deal with little ice - thank goodness. I am terrified of any ice that isn't contained in a glass ;)

This won't be so bad as 2009/2010. We had six+ inches of snow, and (if I remember correctly) did not make it above freezing for a month afterwards. The first day of spring that year, 2010, we had a blizzard. Does that count as baptism by fire?

The only thing that sucks is they don't clear out the snow and ice from where I live - and its uphill to the highway . . . happy, happy, joy, joy.
Quoting 604. daddyjames:


Since moving here, have had to deal with little ice - thank goodness. I am terrified of any ice that isn't contained in a glass ;)

This won't be so bad as 2009/2010. We had six+ inches of snow, and (if I remember correctly) did not make it above freezing for a month afterwards. The first day of spring that year, 2010, we had a blizzard. Does that count as baptism by fire?

The only thing that sucks is they don't clear out the snow and ice from where I live - and its uphill to the highway . . . happy, happy, joy, joy.


You live in spin city then
Quoting 605. Dakster:


You live in spin city then


More like a giant slip and slide!

New blog BTW.
Off Topic= Robinson Cano will play with the Seattle Mariners and the deal is 10 years $240 millon.
Quoting 604. daddyjames:


Since moving here, have had to deal with little ice - thank goodness. I am terrified of any ice that isn't contained in a glass ;)

This won't be so bad as 2009/2010. We had six+ inches of snow, and (if I remember correctly) did not make it above freezing for a month afterwards. The first day of spring that year, 2010, we had a blizzard. Does that count as baptism by fire?

The only thing that sucks is they don't clear out the snow and ice from where I live - and its uphill to the highway . . . happy, happy, joy, joy.


Never had to deal with it as an adult. I did spend a couple years in Indiana. I was around for the blizzard of '00. We had 18" of powdery snow and the following day, about .1-.25" of freezing rain. That was followed by a bitter cold period where temps dipped below 0 a few times. It was pretty intense. I got off school for 9 straight days. Being a kid from Florida, I thoroughly enjoyed the novelty of it. Was nice being to young to care! Now though, no thanks. Seems to me it'd be quite difficult maneuvering a motorcycle in snow and ice :) Stay safe!