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Mid-Atlantic sets all-time snow records

By: Dr. Jeff Masters, 12:15 PM GMT on February 11, 2010

The second ferocious blizzard in a week to pound the Mid-Atlantic continues to intensify, but has now moved out to sea away from the coast. That's a very good thing, because with a central pressure of 969 mb, the storm is as intense as a Category 1 hurricane. The blizzard brought wind gusts as high as 51 mph at Massachusetts' Nantucket Island last night. The snow has pretty much ended over the Northeastern U.S., but the mighty blizzard dumped 1 - 2 feet of snow over much of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast, with a peak snowfall of 27.5" recorded at Ortanna, Pennsylvania. When combined with the 1 - 2 feet of snow still on the ground from last weekend's blizzard, the snow depths in the Mid-Atlantic are reaching ridiculous proportions. This morning, Baltimore reported 35" of snow on the ground, which would break their previous all-time record of 30" on snow on the ground, set on February 13, 1899. The 19.8" that fell on Baltimore from the blizzard was that city's 10th greatest snowfall on record. Philadelphia's 15.8" was its ninth greatest snowfall. The winter of 2009 - 2010 now has three spots on the top ten all-time heaviest snowfall list for those cities. Record keeping began in the late 1800s, and I'm not aware of any major city in the U.S. that has that many record snowfalls in one winter. If there is, I want to hear about it! Washington D.C.'s 10.8" snowfall from the storm missed making its top ten list of heaviest snows, so that city has only two storms from the winter of 2009 - 2010 on the list. The snow blitz that the Mid-Atlantic has endured with the three record-setting Nor'easters of the 2009 - 2010 is truly a rare event that has no parallel in the historic record.


Figure 1. The Nor'easter of February, 11, 2010 in a infrared satellite image taken at 9:40 pm EST. Image credit: NASA GOES project.

Top 10 snowstorms on record for Philadelphia:

1. 30.7", Jan 7-8, 1996
2. 28.5", Feb 5-6, 2010 (Snowmageddon)
3. 23.2", Dec 19-20, 2009 (Snowpocalypse)
4. 21.3", Feb 11-12, 1983
5. 21.0", Dec 25-26, 1909
6. 19.4", Apr 3-4, 1915
7. 18.9", Feb 12-14, 1899
8. 16.7", Jan 22-24, 1935
9. 15.8", Feb 10-11, 2010
10. 15.1", Feb 28-Mar 1, 1941

The top 10 snowstorms on record for Baltimore:

1. 28.2", Feb 15-18, 2003
2. 26.5", Jan 27-29, 1922
3. 24.8", Feb 5-6, 2010 (Snowmageddon)
4. 22.8", Feb 11-12, 1983
5. 22.5", Jan 7-8, 1996
6. 22.0", Mar 29-30, 1942
7. 21.4", Feb 11-14, 1899
8. 21.0", Dec 19-20, 2009 (Snowpocalypse)
9. 20.0", Feb 18-19, 1979
10. 19.5", Feb 10-11, 2010

The top 10 snowstorms on record for Washington, D.C.:

1. 28.0", Jan 27-28, 1922
2. 20.5", Feb 11-13, 1899
3. 18.7", Feb 18-19, 1979
4. 17.8" Feb 5-6, 2010 (Snowmageddon)
5. 17.1", Jan 6-8, 1996
6. 16.7", Feb 15-18, 2003
7. 16.6", Feb 11-12, 1983
8. 16.4", Dec 19-20, 2009 (Snowpocalypse)
9. 14.4", Feb 15-16, 1958
10. 14.4", Feb 7, 1936

Snowiest winter on record for Baltimore, Washington D.C., Philadelphia, Atlantic City, and Wilmington
The snow from this latest blizzard have pushed snow totals for the 2009 - 2010 winter season to a new record for Baltimore, Washington D.C., Wilmington, Philadelphia, and Atlantic City. As of midnight last night, here were the snowfall numbers so far for the 2009 - 2010 winter, and the records they have broken:

Baltimore, MD, 79.9". Old record: 62.5", winter of 1995 - 1996.
Washington D.C. National Airport, 55.9". Old record: 54.4", winter of 1898 - 1899.
Washington Dulles Airport, VA, 75.0". Old record: 61.9", winter of 1995 - 1996.
Wilmington, DE, 66.7". Old record: 55.9", winter of 1995 - 1996.
Philadelphia, PA, 71.6". Old record: 65.5", winter of 1995 - 1996.
Atlantic City, NJ, 49.9". Current record: 46.9", winter of 1966 - 1967.

For comparison, the average snowfall amounts for a season for these cities ranges from 16 - 22". This winter's snowfall amounts are similar to what Anchorage, Alaska and Portland Maine typically receive (about 70"). All this comes with the end of winter still more than a month away--and more snow is likely to fall yet this winter. The latest runs of the GFS and ECMWF models show yet another Nor'easter hitting the D.C./Baltimore/Philadelphia region next Monday. However, next Monday's storm is likely to be much weaker than the last two Nor'easters, with perhaps 2 - 8 inches of snow falling. It is too early to be confident of this prediction, though, and it is possible that the storm will miss.

The extreme amounts of snow on the ground in the Mid-Atlantic will melt only slowly over the coming week, as temperatures are expected to climb only into the low to mid-thirties. That is a good thing, because a sudden thaw could create significant flooding problems. The latest long-range forecast from the GFS model predicts continued below-average temperatures for the mid-Atlantic region for at least the next week, with a possible significant thaw occurring the last week of February.

A new winter storm takes aim at the Deep South
A powerful and fast-moving low pressure system is developing over the Gulf of Mexico today, and will pull in a significant amount of Gulf moisture over the very cold air mass in place over the Deep South today and Friday. A band of moderate snow will develop over Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama, bringing 4 - 6" of snow to the southern portions of those states. Florida's Panhandle will see mostly rain, but some snow is expected to mix in, with accumulations around an inch possible in the extreme northwest Panhandle near the Alabama border, away from shore. Among the major cities likely to get 2+ inches of snow are Mobile, Jackson, and Montgomery. The record heaviest snowfalls for those cities are 6", 11.7", and 11", respectively.

Snow avalanches in Afghanistan kill 172
The U.S. isn't the only part of the world with heavy snow problems this winter. Heavy snow in Afghanistan triggered avalanches Monday that killed at least 172 people traveling along the road over 12,700 foot high Salang Pass through the Hindu-Kush Mountains, according to media reports. The death toll makes this avalanche one of the ten deadliest in world history. The ten deadliest world avalanche disasters, as compiled using Scientific American and the book, Natural Disasters and How We Cope, are:

1) 218 B.C. Avalanches decimate Hannibal's army as it crosses the Alps with elephants. Twenty thousand soldiers and many elephants are lost.

2) 1970. The Huascaran Mountain, Peru avalanche of May 31, 1970. A magnitude 8.0 earthquake caused a huge chunk of snow-covered glacier to collapse and roar down the mountain, killing up to 20,000 people.

3) 1916. A series of avalanches during a WW I battle kills at least 10,000 Austrian and Italian soldiers over a 48-hour period. Many of these avalanches were triggered by artillery fire.

4) 1962. Huascaran Mountain, Peru avalanche of January 10, 1962. Avalanches from heavy snows killed up to 4,000.

5) 1618. Plurs, Switzerland: the Rodi avalanche buries the town of Plurs, claiming 2,427 victims. Note: since this avalanche occurred in August, it is likely that is was actually a rock avalanche, and therefore does not belong on this list. Thanks go to Randy Head for pointing out this error that has made it into many Internet locations.

6) 1951. A January avalanche in the Alps' The "Winter of Terror" kills 275.

7) 1991. Bingol, Turkey: an avalanche hits several towns, killing 255 people.

8) 1954. Vovarlberg disaster of January 12, 1954, killed 225 in the Austrian Alps. Nine hours later, a second avalanche killed 115 survivors and rescue workers.

9) 1979. Lahaul Valley, India. A series of avalanches bury the valley, leaving at least 200 victims .

10) 2010. Salang Pass, Afghanistan avalanche kills 166.

The worst avalanche in U.S. history is the Wellington, Washington avalanche of March 1, 1910, which killed 96 people on a train and at a train station.

Jeff Masters
Top Hat
Top Hat
Maryland or Alaska??
Maryland or Alaska??
The view coming up our driveway!My dog Cody walking up the driveway!
Frosted Forest
Frosted Forest

Winter Weather

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

Reader Comments

Quoting Bordonaro:
990. JG, I never thought I'd see a foot of snow on the ground here in the Dallas-Ft Worth, TX area. It is amamzing!!


happy for ya! right now i got about 1.50 inches of rain and lots puddles.. then it might change over to snow later. and tonight its supposed to get below freezing.. and thats goin to be dangerous.. just like everywhere else is experiencing that..
1003. code1
Quoting Orcasystems:


And to think..they blame me when it snows


?? Who blames you?
I am only posting this because it is a nice graphic.

1005. IKE
Dothan, Alabama (Airport)
Updated: 27 min 49 sec ago
Light Snow

33 °F
Light Snow Mist
Windchill: 27 °F
Humidity: 96%
Dew Point: 32 °F
Wind: 7 mph from the NE
Pressure: 29.94 in (Falling)
Visibility: 4.0 miles
UV: 0 out of 16
Clouds:
Mostly Cloudy 3400 ft
Overcast 4100 ft
(Above Ground Level)
Elevation: 400 ft
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
not yet but soon the atmospheric ultra sonic wave generation device is at the max give it time



There's been a hitch!
We have to replace the ultrasonic-de-hydrode-moleculizer first!



rates of 3 to 5 inches hr near change over line nnw of mobile
Quoting PensacolaDoug:



There's been a hitch!
We have to replace the ultrasonic-de-hydrode-moleculizer first!

a who?

lol
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:


rates of 3 to 5 inches hr near change over line nnw of mobile


almost to the south shore!
snow shield is also begining to expand coverage in the se storm area
Quoting code1:
#991, I've watched it on the news. Amazing!
#996, ah come on. It's not going to amount to much. Only happens every 20 or so years anyhow. Enjoy watching it fall if it happens!


Delta has flights everyday to places with snow. Let it snow, let it snow, let it snow...somewhere else
1012. IKE
COME ON SNOW! Keep advancing south of east!
I can walk to the snow line right now!
Quoting IKE:
COME ON SNOW! Keep advancing south of east!


I don't have a problem with it going south towards Sarasota either :)
1015. code1
Quoting NttyGrtty:


Delta has flights everyday to places with snow. Let it snow, let it snow, let it snow...somewhere else


Well to leave from here to go most anywhere on Delta, you have to go through ATL first. ATL canceled most Delta flights last night.
1016. MTWX
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:


rates of 3 to 5 inches hr near change over line nnw of mobile

Alot of that snow in the northern part of MS is not reaching the ground due to a dry layer causing it to evaporate
Quoting MTWX:

Alot of that snow in the northern part of MS is not reaching the ground due to a dry layer causing it to evaporate
Do you mean there is still rain but no snow?
1018. Ossqss
Quoting Orcasystems:


I don't have a problem with it going south towards Sarasota either :)


NO, NO, NO !

We had our sleet last month. I need to borrow KOG's fan to blow it back north. LoL
1019. MTWX
Quoting stormsurge39:
Do you mean there is still rain but no snow?

we are getting no precipitation at all right now. just cloudy...
Can snow show up on radar and snow not hit the ground?
Quoting code1:


Well to leave from here to go most anywhere on Delta, you have to go through ATL first. ATL canceled most Delta flights last night.


Not true...Memphis, Detroit, Minneapolis all have direct Delta flights from PNS and VPS, plus United, American, and US Air fly snow seekers out of here every hour or so...
1023. IKE
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
815 AM CST FRI FEB 12 2010

ALC003-097-FLC033-091-113-MSC039-131-122215-
/O.NEW.KMOB.FA.Y.0011.100212T1415Z-100212T2215Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GEORGE MS-STONE MS-BALDWIN AL-MOBILE AL-OKALOOSA FL-ESCAMBIA FL-
SANTA ROSA FL-
815 AM CST FRI FEB 12 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
ESCAMBIA COUNTY IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...
OKALOOSA COUNTY IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...
SANTA ROSA COUNTY IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...
GEORGE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
STONE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
BALDWIN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...
MOBILE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...

* UNTIL 415 PM CST FRIDAY

* AT 808 AM CST...RECENT OVERNIGHT MODERATE RAINFALL OF THREE
QUARTERS OF AN INCH TO JUST OVER AN INCH AREAWIDE HAVE CAUSED
PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADWAYS...MAINLY ALONG THE I-10 CORRIDOR
AND ESPECIALLY IN THE MOBILE AND PENSACOLA METROS.

UNTIL THE RAIN TURNS TO SNOW DURING COURSE OF THE LATE MORNING AND
EARLY AFERNOOON... GENERAL INUNDATION FLOODING WILL OCCUR. THE MAIN
THREAT WILL BE PONDING IN LOW LYING AREAS...ESPECIALLY IN THE
CONCRETE LADEN URBAN AREAS. RUNOFF SHOULD CEASE THROUGH MID MORNING
TO EARLY AFTERNOON AS THE RAIN CHANGES TO SNOW FROM NORTH TO SOUTH.

Quoting MTWX:

we are getting no precipitation at all right now. just cloudy...
Is the dry air working its way SE from you?
1025. IKE
Low now at 997mb's....south of Mobile by about 150 miles. Mobile should be switching over to snow....soon.
Quoting stormsurge39:
Can snow show up on radar and snow not hit the ground?


Yes, especially the further away you get from the radar station.
1027. IKE
Switch back to snow at Andalusia....

Andalusia, Alabama (Airport)
Updated: 5 min 48 sec ago
Light Snow
35 °F

Light Snow Mist
Windchill: 30 °F
Humidity: 85%
Dew Point: 31 °F
Wind: 6 mph from the East
Pressure: 29.91 in (Rising)
Visibility: 1.2 miles
UV: 1 out of 16
Clouds:
Overcast 600 ft
(Above Ground Level)
Elevation: 308 ft


Dothan, Alabama (Airport)
Updated: 8 min 46 sec ago
Light Snow
34 °F

Light Snow Mist
Windchill: 29 °F
Humidity: 93%
Dew Point: 32 °F
Wind: 6 mph from the NE
Pressure: 29.94 in (Rising)
Visibility: 1.0 miles
UV: 1 out of 16
Clouds:
Scattered Clouds 400 ft
Mostly Cloudy 1200 ft
Overcast 3200 ft
(Above Ground Level)
Elevation: 400 ft


Fort Rucker and Ozark, AL. have snow too.
1028. MTWX
Quoting stormsurge39:
Is the dry air working its way SE from you?

yes. The layer is only about 1000' thick from the surface. Hopefully it breaks!! I want to see some snow dang it
Quoting IKE:
Low now at 997mb's....south of Mobile by about 150 miles. Mobile should be switching over to snow....soon.
Im READY!!!
1030. IKE
I'm up to .82 inches of rain at my location.

37.6 outside with light rain.
1031. MTWX
Quoting largeeyes:


Yes, especially the further away you get from the radar station.

I know. Thing is we are not that far from the radar. We are the ones that maintain it. The station sits about 30 miles NE of us.
1032. IKE
Snow line is now just north of Mobile....it's imminent in Mobile for the S word....

Rain, snow, and sleet, becoming all snow after 10am. Steady temperature around 31. Wind chill values between 15 and 25. Blustery, with a north wind between 10 and 20 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total daytime snow and sleet accumulation of less than one inch possible.

Thats what it says from the NWS site.. so c'mon snow!
1034. IKE
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
828 AM CST FRI FEB 12 2010


ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-122030-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUTLER...LISMAN...SILAS...CHATOM...
MILLRY...JACKSON...THOMASVILLE...GROVE HILL...CAMDEN...
PINE HILL...HOMEWOOD...MONROEVILLE...EVERGREEN...GREENVILLE...
LUVERNE...BRANTLEY...ATMORE...BREWTON...EAST BREWTON...
ANDALUSIA...OPP...MOBILE...PRICHARD...SARALAND...BAY MINETTE...
TILLMANS CORNER...THEODORE...DAPHNE...FAIRHOPE...FOLEY...
SPANISH FORT...CENTURY...FLOMATON...MOLINO...PENSACOLA...
FERRY PASS...BRENT...WEST PENSACOLA...BELLVIEW...ENSLEY...
MYRTLE GROVE...JAY...PACE...MILTON...GULF BREEZE...CRESTVIEW...
WRIGHT...FORT WALTON BEACH...NICEVILLE...DESTIN...SEMINOLE...
EGLIN AFB...VALPARAISO...WAYNESBORO...RICHTON...BEAUMONT...
NEW AUGUSTA...LEAKESVILLE...MCLAIN...WIGGINS...LUCEDALE
828 AM CST FRI FEB 12 2010

.NOW...THROUGH 10 AM CST...RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO CHANGE TO SNOW SOUTH
OF A WIGGINS TO PRICHARD TO JAY TO NORTH OF CRESTVIEW LINE. REPORTS
FUNNELING INTO THE NWS INDICATE THAT SNOWFALL RATES ARE FAIRLY
INTENSE ALONG AND TO THE NORTH OF THE LINE. SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW
ARE NOW ON THE GROUND OVER THE INTERIOR COUNTIES. SEVERAL MORE INCHES
ARE EXPECTED. URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING WILL OCCUR ALONG THE
I-10 CORRIDOR FROM OVERNIGHT RAINS. THIS RUNOFF WILL CEASE BY EARLY
AFTERNOON.


I have a question for everyone-- I have seen mentioned on the blog several times in the past that the "thermodynamic profiles will look favorable for non-liquid precip" in a certain area at a certain time (future). Is there a resource out there that provides future thermodynamic profiles? or am I just mis-interpreting? I thought these were only gathered by weather balloon soundings?
Brownsville, TX
3276.7 °F
Overcast
Lmao
Rain. The rain may briefly mix with snow late in the afternoon. Highs 38 to 43...warmest at the coast. Northeast winds around 15 mph. Chance of rain near 100 percent I live about 15 miles north of the forcast spot and it is already mixing outside. the temp is 37.
Quoting Orcasystems:


I don't have a problem with it going south towards Sarasota either :)


Your just really a very nice guy today!
Quoting IKE:
Snow line is now just north of Mobile....it's imminent in Mobile for the S word....



Happy Dance Happy Dance ;)
Same cold drizzle continues on the beach with 37 degrees and winds NE at 12...
1041. IKE
Quoting Orcasystems:


Happy Dance Happy Dance ;)


It's within 10-20 miles of Mobile and about 40 miles north of me. I'm in wishcast mode.
Precip is rapidly moving east, if it dont snow for some, it may not happen
Quoting TampaSpin:


Your just really a very nice guy today!


hey....I meant for Sarasota.... I didn't build the map that puts Tampa a smidge north of there :)
Hurry Up Snow! Bottom lip out...Pouting!
Sun angle is higher now in sky, beginning to cook the clouds and preicip, lmao, its not gonna let it snow for some
Quoting FLPandhandleJG:


happy for ya! right now i got about 1.50 inches of rain and lots puddles.. then it might change over to snow later. and tonight its supposed to get below freezing.. and thats goin to be dangerous.. just like everywhere else is experiencing that..

Went out to my neighbor across the street, an elderly lady to visit.

There is about 14-15" of wet, heavy snow on the ground here in SE Arlington, TX. Although the roads are passable there is about 4-8" of slush on my street.
Crestview line, Crestview line, hold, hold...stay north, stay north!!
Quoting Bordonaro:

Went out to my neighbor across the street, an elderly lady to visit.

There is about 14-15" of wet, heavy snow on the ground here in SE Arlington, TX. Although the roads are passable there is about 4-8" of slush on my street.


wow! yep im just chillin and waiting.. thats all i can do.. we have plenty of rain tho.. If we had that cold artic air blast like we did early January.. that would b something..
This could really get nasty in South Florida if this LOW deepens to under 1000mb as expected now. The CAPE values are climbing as the LOW pulls in Warm air from the south as it collides with the colder air.

Upgraded to a WW warning.....woot!
Tampa, thought Ike or someone mentioned it was already 997.

BTW, here's our updated notice.

SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE IN THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF THIS MORNING WILL MOVE
RAPIDLY NORTHEAST...PASSING JUST SOUTH AND EAST OF THE NORTH
CAROLINA COAST TONIGHT. THE LOW WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OFF TO THE
NORTHEAST SATURDAY. A FAST-MOVING COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH ON
MONDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST THROUGH THE
REST OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
-- Changed Discussion --AS OF 950 AM FRIDAY...AFTER LOOK AT INITIAL PANELS OF THE 12Z
NAM12 WHICH SHOW THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME 850-500 MB FRONTOGENETIC
BANDING OVER THE SOUTHWEST PORTION OF THE CWA...HAVE ELECTED TO
UPGRADE CURRENT WINTER STORM WATCH AREA TO A WARNING AND ADD
DUPLIN...LENOIR AND GREENE COUNTIES TO THE WARNING AREA. WILL KEEP
REMAINDER OF COUNTIES IN THE ADVISORY PENDING LOOK AT ADDITIONAL
12Z GUIDANCE. HAVE MADE ADJUSTMENTS TO ACCUMULATIONS FOR THE NEW
WARNING COUNTIES. REMAINDER OF SHORT TERM FORECAST REMAINS
UNCHANGED.-- End Changed Discussion --

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/...
AS OF 330 AM FRI...THE LOW WILL MOVE OFF THE NORTH COAST OF FLORIDA
THIS EVENING AND RAPIDLY DEEPEN AS IT CONTINUES MOVING NORTHEAST.
PRECIP TYPE NOT IN QUESTION AS THICKNESSES INDICATE ALL SNOW
THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST AREA...EXCEPT FOR A RAIN/SNOW MIX OVER THE
SOUTHERN COASTAL WATERS THIS EVENING. BEST SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WITH
DEEPEST MOISTURE AND BEST DYNAMICS WILL BE ALONG AND EAST OF HIGHWAY
17 WHERE 1-3" EXPECTED...WITH LIGHTER AMOUNTS OF 1-2" OVER THE
COASTAL PLAINS AND NORTHERN TIER COUNTIES. BASED ON THIS...WILL
RAISE A WINTER STORM WATCH ALONG AND EAST OF 17 WITH A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY ACROSS THE REMAINDER. DAY SHIFT WILL HAVE THE
ADVANTAGE OF ANOTHER COUPLE OF MODEL RUNS AND CAN FURTHER FINE TUNE
THE FORECAST IF NEEDED. SNOW WILL BEGIN AROUND THE MID-EVENING HOURS
AND LAST THROUGH MID-MORNING SATURDAY. SNOW WILL END BY EARLY
AFTERNOON ALL AREAS EXCEPT THE OUTER BANKS AS THE LOW RACES OFF TO
THE NORTHEAST...BUT EVEN THERE ANY FURTHER AMOUNTS IN THE AFTERNOON
WILL BE VERY LIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHEAST GULF SUNDAY
WILL SINK TO THE SOUTH AND EAST AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT.
Snowing in Dothan, AL- Picture Proof follow the traffic cam link below
http://www.wtvynews4.com/aboutus/misc/28425649.html
1053. IKE
Special Weather Statement
Alert:


...WINTER STORM UPDATE...
MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW CONTINUES TO FALL AT MID MORNING ACROSS MUCH
OF NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI. SNOW
WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE IN INTENSITY FROM THE WEST LATER THIS
MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES
WILL BE LIKELY...PARTICULARLY EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI
RIVER...BETWEEN 9 AM AND 3 PM. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS MAY OCCUR OVER
PARTS OF EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.
TEMPERATURES ARE NEAR FREEZING ACROSS THE AREA...AND ARE SLIGHTLY
BELOW FREEZING OVER PARTS OF EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.
TRAVEL IS HAZARDOUS...WITH ICY BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES AND SLUSHY
ROADS. UNTIL THE SNOW DIMINISHES...TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN NEAR
FREEZING...AND TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL NOT IMPROVE.
AT 9 AM...THE OFFICIAL SNOWFALL TOTAL AT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN JACKSON IS 3.5 INCHES. 2.9 INCHES OF THIS HAS FALLEN
SINCE MIDNIGHT. THIS IS THE 13TH LARGEST CALENDAR DAY SNOWFALL IN
JACKSON HISTORY...AND IS THE THIRD LARGEST SINGLE DAY FEBRUARY
SNOWFALL ON RECORD. THE EVENT TOTAL OF 3.5 INCHES IS THE 12TH
LARGEST SNOWFALL EVENT ON RECORD IN JACKSON.
OTHER SNOWFALL MEASUREMENTS AS REPORTED BY SPOTTERS...THE
PUBLIC...EMERGENCY MANAGERS...COOP AND COCORAHS OBSERVERS...AND LAW
ENFORCEMENT INCLUDE THE FOLLOWING. ALL OF THESE AMOUNTS WERE AS OF
BETWEEN 8 AND 9 AM. SNOW WAS STILL FALLING OVER MOST OF THE AREA...
SO THESE TOTALS WILL INCREASE.
NATCHEZ...ADAMS COUNTY...6 INCHES
VICKSBURG...WARREN COUNTY...5.5 INCHES
2 MI N PRENTISS...JEFFERSON DAVIS COUNTY...4.5 INCHES
RAYMOND...HINDS COUNTY...4.5 INCHES
MONTICELLO...LAWRENCE COUNTY...4 INCHES
COLLINS...COVINGTON COUNTY...4 INCHES
RIDGELAND...MADISON COUNTY...4 INCHES
LAUREL...JONES COUNTY...4 INCHES
OVETT...JONES COUNTY...4 INCHES
DECATUR...NEWTON COUNTY...4 INCHES
MCCALL CREEK...FRANKLIN COUNTY...4 INCHES
FOREST...SCOTT COUNTY...3.5 INCHES
GRAND GULF PARK...CLAIBORNE COUNTY...3.5 INCHES
DOWNTOWN JACKSON...HINDS COUNTY...3.2 INCHES
HOUSE...NESHOBA COUNTY...3 INCHES
SUMRALL...LAMAR COUNTY...3 INCHES
PELAHATCHIE...RANKIN COUNTY...3 INCHES
TAYLORSVILLE...SMITH COUNTY...3 INCHES
QUITMAN...CLARKE COUNTY...3 INCHES
VALLEY PARK...ISSAQUENA COUNTY...2 INCHES
PHILADELPHIA...NESHOBA COUNTY...1.7 INCHES
WILMOT...ASHLEY COUNTY...1 INCH
THE NWS THANKS EVERYONE FOR REPORTING THEIR SNOW TOTALS...AND ASKS
THAT REPORTS CONTINUE TO BE SUBMITTED. YOU CAN SUBMIT STORM REPORTS
FROM THE FRONT PAGE OF OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN.

Instructions:
Target Area:
Bolivar
Sunflower
Leflore
Grenada
Carroll
Montgomery
Webster
Clay
Lowndes
Choctaw
Oktibbeha
Washington
Humphreys
Holmes
Attala
Winston
Noxubee
Issaquena
Sharkey
Yazoo
Madison
Leake
Neshoba
Kemper
Warren
Hinds
Rankin
Scott
Newton
Lauderdale
Claiborne
Copiah
Simpson
Smith
Jasper
Clarke
Jefferson
Adams
Franklin
Lincoln
Lawrence
Jefferson Davis
Covington
Jones
Marion
Lamar
Forrest
Quoting IKE:


It's within 10-20 miles of Mobile and about 40 miles north of me. I'm in wishcast mode.
The FREAKIN RAIN has almost dried up here NNW Mobile County and still no snow!!!! I hope the rain comes back!!
WOW! The cold air IS NOT going away! Look at the end of the 10 day run how the cold air dives South again.....GEEESH! Let O'Canada keep i please!

Some good streaming traffic cams around Mobile. Only see rain.

Link

Mississippi traffic cams

Link


apparently there could be snow in ALL 50 states today! C'mon Florida!!!!


Link
1058. IKE
Quoting stormsurge39:
The FREAKIN RAIN has almost dried up here NNW Mobile County and still no snow!!!! I hope the rain comes back!!


Just a matter of time. I see a band heading ESE toward Gulfport,MS.
Quoting PcolaDan:
Some good streaming traffic cams around Mobile. Only see rain.

Link
The snow line is about 25 mile N of Mobile.
Quoting IKE:


Just a matter of time. I see a band heading ESE toward Gulfport,MS.
Thanks, Im tryin to keep the faith! LOL
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
850 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2010

.FOR THE MORNING UPDATE...SURFACE LOW OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF
MEXICO CONTINUES TO TRACK RAPIDLY EAST TOWARD WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA.
AREA OF LIGHT RAIN CURRENTLY CONFINED TO NORTH OF TAMPA...BUT WILL
SEE RAIN SPREAD ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA LATER THIS
MORNING INTO THIS AFTERNOON. STRONG U/L DYNAMICS AND LIFT AHEAD OF
THE COLD FRONT WILL BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS
AFTERNOON SOUTH OF SARASOTA...WITH THE BEST CHANCE IN THE FORT MYERS
AREA. DUE TO THE STRONG SHEAR ALOFT AND INCREASING LOW LEVEL JET...
CAN`T RULE OUT A THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS
OVER SOUTHWEST FLORIDA LATER THIS AFTERNOON. GALE WARNING FOR THE
OFFSHORE WATERS SOUTH OF TARPON SPRINGS WITH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES
ELSEWHERE WITH THE EXCEPTION OF TAMPA BAY. MAY NEED TO EXTEND THE
GALE WARNING NORTH AND COVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS
TO SUWANNEE RIVER.
RAIN MAY BRIEFLY BECOME MODERATE TO HEAVY AS THE
SURFACE LOW TRACKS ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
1062. IKE
Quoting stormsurge39:
Thanks, Im tryin to keep the faith! LOL


It's gonna happen for Mobile,AL. within the hour....by 10:15am it should be snowing.

If I'm wrong...crow me.
Quoting IKE:


It's gonna happen for Mobile,AL. within the hour....by 10:15am it should be snowing.

If I'm wrong...crow me.

Well TWC says it's already starting in areas a few miles north of Cantonment in Escambia County FL...it's coming...
Any bouys near the L?
I set my alarm at 8 this morning to watch the snow. lol
Quoting TampaSpin:
WOW! The cold air IS NOT going away! Look at the end of the 10 day run how the cold air dives South again.....GEEESH! Let O'Canada keep i please!



Hey Tim! I think the cold air will be around or the end of February as of right now.. I just see alot of cold air is going plunge down every now and then til that time.. That could b more crazy weather..
Quoting quakeman55:
I set my alarm at 8 this morning to watch the snow. lol


Dont worry man.. I had to be awake by 8 until i got a call saying my appt at 10:30 was cancelled.. go figure! if i take a nap, theres a good chance i might miss it, if it does snow.. It would b nice if it does..
Quoting IKE:


It's gonna happen for Mobile,AL. within the hour....by 10:15am it should be snowing.

If I'm wrong...crow me.
Whewwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwww Hoooooooooooooooooo no crow for you my friend it is pouring snow here!!! YEEEEEE HAWWWWWW
1069. IKE
Quoting quakeman55:

Well TWC says it's already starting in areas a few miles north of Cantonment in Escambia County FL...it's coming...


LOOK!

02/12/2010 0831 am

Citronelle, Mobile County.

Heavy snow e3.5 inch, reported by broadcast media.


Citizen reported live that 3.5 inches was on ground most
of which feel since 7 am CST.
1070. IKE
Quoting stormsurge39:
Whewwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwww Hoooooooooooooooooo no crow for you my friend it is pouring snow here!!! YEEEEEE HAWWWWWW


YES!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Quoting stormsurge39:
Whewwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwww Hoooooooooooooooooo no crow for you my friend it is pouring snow here!!! YEEEEEE HAWWWWWW


congrats!! maybe the panhandle next..
The LOw is currently at 28N 84W


Quoting stormsurge39:
Whewwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwww Hoooooooooooooooooo no crow for you my friend it is pouring snow here!!! YEEEEEE HAWWWWWW


Where are you at?
Quoting FLPandhandleJG:


Hey Tim! I think the cold air will be around or the end of February as of right now.. I just see alot of cold air is going plunge down every now and then til that time.. That could b more crazy weather..

Yeah, as long as the NAO is in a negative phase, expect more cold air plunging into the eastern US.
Quoting IKE:


LOOK!

02/12/2010 0831 am

Citronelle, Mobile County.

Heavy snow e3.5 inch, reported by broadcast media.


Citizen reported live that 3.5 inches was on ground most
of which feel since 7 am CST.

Yeah I saw that on the "Local Snowfall Report" on TWC...I hope we get a taste of some of that heavy snow!
Quoting IKE:


LOOK!

02/12/2010 0831 am

Citronelle, Mobile County.

Heavy snow e3.5 inch, reported by broadcast media.


Citizen reported live that 3.5 inches was on ground most
of which feel since 7 am CST.



THAT is true GOM effect snow.....LOL
Quoting iluvjess:


Where are you at?
Georgetown Al. about 10 miles south of Citronelle AL. Its coming down hard, my digital camera is broke or i would send yall some pictures!
The bigger threat of Snow for Central Florida and the EAst Coast of Central Florida will come later after the LOW passes and the cold air rushes in on the back side tonite.....i think the Melbourne area Northward might get a dusting.
temp is still rising a bit.. warm lift needs to leave.. lol crestview is still at 37..
1021. NttyGrtty 2:35 PM GMT on February 12, 2010
Quoting code1:
Well to leave from here to go most anywhere on Delta, you have to go through ATL first. ATL canceled most Delta flights last night.

Not true...Memphis, Detroit, Minneapolis all have direct Delta flights from PNS and VPS, plus United, American, and US Air fly snow seekers out of here every hour or so...


Yes, and re PNS, there's flights on Continental and Air Tran, too.

Re Airlines at VPS:

# What Airlines fly out of your airport?

* Delta/ASA, American Eagle, Northwest, US Airways and Continental.
snowing yet?
1082. IKE
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
929 AM CST FRI FEB 12 2010

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-121900-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUTLER...LISMAN...SILAS...CHATOM...
MILLRY...JACKSON...THOMASVILLE...GROVE HILL...CAMDEN...
PINE HILL...HOMEWOOD...MONROEVILLE...EVERGREEN...GREENVILLE...
LUVERNE...BRANTLEY...ATMORE...BREWTON...EAST BREWTON...
ANDALUSIA...OPP...MOBILE...PRICHARD...SARALAND...BAY MINETTE...
TILLMANS CORNER...THEODORE...DAPHNE...FAIRHOPE...FOLEY...
SPANISH FORT...CENTURY...FLOMATON...MOLINO...PENSACOLA...
FERRY PASS...BRENT...WEST PENSACOLA...BELLVIEW...ENSLEY...
MYRTLE GROVE...JAY...PACE...MILTON...GULF BREEZE...CRESTVIEW...
WRIGHT...FORT WALTON BEACH...NICEVILLE...DESTIN...SEMINOLE...
EGLIN AFB...VALPARAISO...WAYNESBORO...RICHTON...BEAUMONT...
NEW AUGUSTA...LEAKESVILLE...MCLAIN...WIGGINS...LUCEDALE
929 AM CST FRI FEB 12 2010

.NOW...THROUGH 11 AM CST...CURRENTLY THE RAIN SNOW LINE APPEARS TO
EXTEND FROM CENTRAL MOBILE COUNTY TO CENTRAL BALDWIN COUNTY AND JUST
NORTH OF THE I-10 CORRIDOR OVER TO OKALOOSA COUNTY. ALTHOUGH THE
SNOW LINE HAS BEEN ORIENTED WEST TO EAST THIS MORNING...IT IS
CHANGING ORIENTATION ALONG A DEVELOPING HEAVY SNOW BAND OVER
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. THIS BAND WILL TRANSLATE EASTWARD DURING THE
COURSE OF THE LATE MORNING. SNOWFALL RATES OF ONE TO TWO INCHES PER
HOUR ARE NOT OUT THE QUESTION. THOSE CURRENTLY EXPERIENCING THE
HEAVY SNOW BAND IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI ARE REPORTING HEAVY SNOW
AND IT ACCUMULATES QUICKLY. THIS WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE ALABAMA
MISSISSIPPI BORDER THROUGH 11 AM.

Jeez...looks like some real heavy stuff is falling around Dothan, AL.

Quoting IKE:
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
929 AM CST FRI FEB 12 2010

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-121900-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUTLER...LISMAN...SILAS...CHATOM...
MILLRY...JACKSON...THOMASVILLE...GROVE HILL...CAMDEN...
PINE HILL...HOMEWOOD...MONROEVILLE...EVERGREEN...GREENVILLE...
LUVERNE...BRANTLEY...ATMORE...BREWTON...EAST BREWTON...
ANDALUSIA...OPP...MOBILE...PRICHARD...SARALAND...BAY MINETTE...
TILLMANS CORNER...THEODORE...DAPHNE...FAIRHOPE...FOLEY...
SPANISH FORT...CENTURY...FLOMATON...MOLINO...PENSACOLA...
FERRY PASS...BRENT...WEST PENSACOLA...BELLVIEW...ENSLEY...
MYRTLE GROVE...JAY...PACE...MILTON...GULF BREEZE...CRESTVIEW...
WRIGHT...FORT WALTON BEACH...NICEVILLE...DESTIN...SEMINOLE...
EGLIN AFB...VALPARAISO...WAYNESBORO...RICHTON...BEAUMONT...
NEW AUGUSTA...LEAKESVILLE...MCLAIN...WIGGINS...LUCEDALE
929 AM CST FRI FEB 12 2010

.NOW...THROUGH 11 AM CST...CURRENTLY THE RAIN SNOW LINE APPEARS TO
EXTEND FROM CENTRAL MOBILE COUNTY TO CENTRAL BALDWIN COUNTY AND JUST
NORTH OF THE I-10 CORRIDOR OVER TO OKALOOSA COUNTY. ALTHOUGH THE
SNOW LINE HAS BEEN ORIENTED WEST TO EAST THIS MORNING...IT IS
CHANGING ORIENTATION ALONG A DEVELOPING HEAVY SNOW BAND OVER
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. THIS BAND WILL TRANSLATE EASTWARD DURING THE
COURSE OF THE LATE MORNING. SNOWFALL RATES OF ONE TO TWO INCHES PER
HOUR ARE NOT OUT THE QUESTION. THOSE CURRENTLY EXPERIENCING THE
HEAVY SNOW BAND IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI ARE REPORTING HEAVY SNOW
AND IT ACCUMULATES QUICKLY. THIS WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE ALABAMA
MISSISSIPPI BORDER THROUGH 11 AM.


I wonder if that band will stay together and give us sum Ike?
1085. IKE
Quoting FLPandhandleJG:


I wonder if that band will stay together and give us sum Ike?


It better...if it doesn't our forecast is a bust:(
i want snow too!!
000
FXUS62 KMLB 120830
AFDMLB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
330 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2010

.DISCUSSION...

...STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING...

...GALE CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE ATLANTIC LATER
TODAY/TONIGHT...

CURRENT...WATER VAPOR/RUC INIT/ANLYS FIELDS SHOW A VERY IMPRESSIVE
SHORT WAVE TROUGH OVER THE TX COAST...MOVING A BIT SOUTH OF DUE EAST
ATTM. STRONG 120KT+ H25 JET CORE EXTENDS FROM SOUTH OF THE TROUGH
ENEWD ACROSS THE SERN/MID ATLC STATES...AS WELL AS THE NRN HALF OF
FL. SFC LOW PRES CTR (1002MB AND DROPPING) SOUTH OF THE ERN LA COAST
NEAR 26-27N MOVING EWD.

TODAY/TONIGHT...SFC LOW WILL MOVE RAPIDLY EASTWARD NEXT H24. A ROUGH
CONSENSUS OF THE 96Z NAM AND 00Z GFS/ECM/UKM PLACES THE LOW ABOUT 120
MILES WSW OF TBW BY 18Z...AND ROCKETING TO THE EAST COAST OF FL NEAR
OR JUST SOUTH OF CAPE CANAVERAL BY 00Z (THIS IS ABOUT 250 MILES IN
6HR...OR ABOUT 40+ MPH FWD SPEED). STRONG ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE DVLPS
AREAWIDE - SLGTLY WEAKER NR LAKE OKEE...WHERE WARM SECTOR MAY NOSE
NWD BRIEFLY BY LATE AFTN...ALLOWING SOME ISOLD FAST MOVG TS TO FORM.
HEALTHY QPF AMOUNTS FOR SUCH A FAST MOVG SYS...ABOUT 3/4". HAVE KEPT
90% FAR SOUTH/100% ELSEWHERE POP CONFIG FOR THE CWA. TEMPS MAY HAVE
TROUBLE GETTING MUCH ABOVE 50F ACROSS THE FAR NORTH...AND ARE FCST
AOB 60F NORTH OF MCO-TTS...WITH SOME L70S ACROSS THE FAR SERN CWA
...ASSUMING THE WARM SECTOR MAKES IT THERE. CANNOT RULE OUT A FEW
FAST MOVING TS PRODUCING WIND DAMAGE NEAR THE LAKE....THOUGH FCST
CAPE VALUES ARE BARELY POSITIVE THAT FAR NORTH.

CTRL PRES DROPS BELOW 1000MB AS IT EXITS COAST...WITH STRONG GALE CTR
TAKING SHAPE OFFSHORE TNGT. STRONG (ALMOST ENOUGH FOR LAKE WIND ADV
CRITERIA) AND GUSTY WINDS ON TAP FRI NIGHT/EARLY SAT MORNING BEHIND
DEPARTING LOW. EVENING RAINS WILL GET SWEPT RAPIDLY OFFSHORE...AND
EXPECT PRECIP TO SHUT OFF OVER LAND BEFORE TEMPS GET COLD ENOUGH FOR
WINTER P-TYPE CONCERNS (WHAT STATE IS THIS AGAIN?) WCI VALUES BOTTOM
OUT 29-32F ACROSS THE FAR NRN CWA AROUND SUNRISE SAT...M30S-L40S
ELSEWHERE.



They are forecasting the low to drop below 1000 late tonight, theres one problem, its already down at 997 from the 7 AM obs report! Prepare for wilder weather than expected in central Florida later...
Not much doubt where the Surface Low is located!




ORANGE MARKS THE SPOT


Conditions at 42003 as of
(9:50 am EST)
1450 GMT on 02/12/2010: Unit of Measure: English Metric
Wind Direction (WDIR): SSE ( 160 deg true )
Wind Speed (WSPD): 16.0 m/s
Wind Gust (GST): 18.0 m/s
Wave Height (WVHT): 2.1 m
Dominant Wave Period (DPD): 7 sec
Average Period (APD): 5.2 sec
Mean Wave Direction (MWD): SSE ( 160 deg true )
Atmospheric Pressure (PRES): 1002.1 mb
Pressure Tendency (PTDY): -4.0 mb ( Falling Rapidly )
Air Temperature (ATMP): 23.5 °C
Water Temperature (WTMP): 24.9 °C
1089. IKE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
959 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2010

...WINTER STORM SPREADING ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH...


.UPDATE...DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE IS SITUATED OVER THE CENTRAL GULF
OF MEXICO THIS MORNING WITH A PRESSURE OF AROUND 1002MB. PARENT
SHORTWAVE HAS ENTERED THE WESTERN GULF WITH A NEUTRAL TO SLIGHTLY
NEGATIVE TILT. DIVERGENCE AND ISENTROPIC LIFT AHEAD OF THE
SHORTWAVE IS PRODUCING A LARGE SWATH OF LIGHT TO MODERATE
PRECIPITATION ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST THIS MORNING. COLD AIR
IS FILTERING SOUTH ALONG THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE PRECIP. MUCH OF
SOUTHEAST ALABAMA HAS TRANSITIONED TO SNOW WITH PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST GEORGIA BEGINNING TO MIX OVER THE LAST HOUR OR SO. RAIN-
SNOW LINE IS CURRENTLY LOCATED JUST SOUTH OF A LINE FROM ANDALUSIA
TO DOTHAN TO BLAKELY TO JUST NORTH OF ALBANY.

THE RAIN-SNOW LINE WILL CONTINUE TO SETTLE SOUTH THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. IT WILL PROBABLY BE NEAR
OF SHORTLY AFTER THE NOON HOUR BEFORE THE SNOW REACHES THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE NORTH OF INTERSTATE 10.

THE RAIN AND SNOW WILL TAPER OFF LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE
EVENING ACROSS THE AREA AS THE SHORTWAVE MOVES THROUGHT. SLIGHT
NEGATIVE TILT WITH THE SYSTEM MAY ALLOW FOR COMMA HEAD PRECIP TO
LINGER ACROSS SOUTH GEORGIA THROUGH MID EVENING BEFORE ENDING.

A COLD RAIN IS STILL EXPECTED FOR THE BIG BEND...INCLUDING
TALLAHASSEE...FOR MOST OF THE DAY. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR A BRIEF
SWITCHOVER TO SNOW LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR EARLY THIS EVENING
BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION ENDS. HOWEVER...NO ACCUMULATIONS ARE
EXPECTED.

THE WINTER STORM WARNING APPEARS TO BE IN GOOD SHAPE THIS MORNING
WITH NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE EXPECTED SNOWFALL TOTALS.
STILL ANTICIPATING 1 TO 3 INCHES ACROSS THE WARNING AREA WITH AS
MUCH AS 4 INCHES ALONG THE NORTHERN BORDER AND CLOSER TO ONE INCH
ALONG I-10. TEMPERATURES JUST ABOVE FREEZING AND WARM GROUND
TEMPERATURES SHOULD TEMPER THE ACCUMULATIONS OVER THE WARNING AREA
FROM WHAT WOULD NORMALLY BE EXPECTED WITH HALF INCH TO ONE INCH
QPF.

NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES PLANNED FOR THIS MORNINGS UPDATE.

Quoting IKE:


It better...if it doesn't our forecast is a bust:(


ya it is like a halo here lol..
Although very light, it is snowing in Biloxi!
1092. IKE
Quoting BiloxiIsle:
Although very light, it is snowing in Biloxi!


Good news.
snowing in hurley,ms
I can't find anything saying it is at 997mb now.......i think that is what it is suppose to bottom out at.....but, i can't find it at 997mb now.....where did some of you get that info from.......Please help!
Quoting IKE:


Good news.

sweet
1096. Michfan
Quoting WPBHurricane05:
Jeez...looks like some real heavy stuff is falling around Dothan, AL.



Yeah were getting nailed at Fort Rucker right now. Snowflakes are huge too.
Quoting IKE:


YES!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Ike, i have not seen you this excited before. My wife is making fun of me. Of course she is from Minnesota.
1098. IKE
02/12/2010 0917 am

Covington, St Tammany Parish.

Snow e0.0 inch, reported by County official.


Snowflakes the size of quarters reported. Visibility down
to 3/4 of a mile. Light slushy accumulation reported on
cars.
Does anyone know how much longer it will take for winds to switch to out of N instead of NE in Pensacola?
1100. IKE
Quoting TampaSpin:
I can't find anything saying it is at 997mb now.......i think that is what it is suppose to bottom out at.....but, i can't find it at 997mb now.....where did some of you get that info from.......Please help!


Listed at 997mb's on the NCEP info with satellites.
How about for Miami-Dade County ? I see there is a wind advisory for the keys and mainland Monroe County, but nothing for Miami-Dade so far. Are the storms not going t be strong here in Miami ? Thanks for any coments
It has snowed so much in the last 30 minutes, that we can already make snow angels and have snow ball fights and probably could make a snowman right now! This is wonderful for a southern boy and family. Thanks God
1103. IKE
Quoting mossyhead:
Ike, i have not seen you this excited before. My wife is making fun of me. Of course she is from Minnesota.


I'm wound up on caffeine-light maxwell house....
Quoting TampaSpin:
I can't find anything saying it is at 997mb now.......i think that is what it is suppose to bottom out at.....but, i can't find it at 997mb now.....where did some of you get that info from.......Please help!



If you go the satellite page for NOAA,(SSD) go to gulf of mexico images, use the loop, and they give products on that page that go along with the satellite, one of them is pressure and fronts, and its putting the low at 997, thats a NWS report.
I Live in Satsuma,Alabama and it is Snowing. The Flakes are huge I am gonna go take pictures and try to figure out how to download them on the computer and show you all some. Gosh it is so Beautiful. I love it. It is accumulating on the ground i really didn't know if it would stick or not but been watching it and it's starting to turn white on the ground.

Sheri
Quoting catastropheadjuster:
I Live in Satsuma,Alabama and it is Snowing. The Flakes are huge I am gonna go take pictures and try to figure out how to download them on the computer and show you all some. Gosh it is so Beautiful. I love it. It is accumulating on the ground i really didn't know if it would stick or not but been watching it and it's starting to turn white on the ground.

Sheri

thats awesome and enjoy!
Down here in Tallahassee, FL...Storm is a little deeper and a bit further south than the 12z ETA run. Bodes well for us here locally, as we stand a better chance of seeing A) no warm air intrusion at any pressure level B) an "extended" period of moisture on the back side of this system.

Going on a limb here...Tallahassee will see a short period of all snow. Won't stick.
1109. IKE
Winter Storm Warning
Alert:

...A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST GEORGIA...AND INLAND PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE...UNTIL 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ THIS EVENING...

...A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA UNTIL 7 PM EST /6 PM
CST/ THIS EVENING... ...

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST /6 PM
CST/ THIS EVENING...
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO DETERIORATE OVER THE WARNING AREA
THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON AS THE SNOW SPREADS SOUTH.
SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES...IS OCCURRING OVER SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND
PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST GEORGIA. THE RAIN-SNOW LINE WILL GRADUALLY
SLIDE SOUTH THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE MORNING AND INTO THE
AFTERNOON.
ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE STILL EXPECTED ACROSS THE
WARNING AREA WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS EXPECTED NORTH OF A LINE
FROM GENEVA TO DOTHAN TO ALBANY. A FEW SPOTS MAY SEE UP TO 4
INCHES OF SNOW.
ALTHOUGH SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE JUST ABOVE FREEZING...THE
INTENSITY OF THE SNOW WILL ALLOW FOR ACCUMULATIONS ON
ROADS...ESPECIALLY BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY DANGEROUS ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
IN ADDITION...TEMPERATURES WILL DROP BELOW FREEZING TONIGHT
AND SATURDAY MORNING ALLOWING ANY LEFTOVER WATER ON ROADWAYS TO
FREEZE.
EXTREME CAUTION IS URGED IF TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA TODAY
AND TONIGHT.
A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.

Instructions:
Target Area:
Inland Walton
Holmes
Jackson
Just went out front at the Beau Rivage. No snow here. Where's my snow!!!??? grrr :)
Still just a cold drizzle on the beach. Local radar shows the snow line at ~I-10. Anyone seeing anyhting different?
Looks like it's just a bit to warm for snow at PensacolaDoug's.

NEW BLOG EVERYONE!!
1114. IKE
Mobile, Alabama (Airport)
Updated: 4 min 18 sec ago
Light Rain
35 °F
Light Rain Snow

Windchill: 27 °F
Humidity: 92%
Dew Point: 33 °F
Wind: 10 mph from the North
Pressure: 29.89 in (Rising)
Visibility: 9.0 miles
UV: 1 out of 16
Clouds:
Overcast 600 ft
(Above Ground Level)
Elevation: 217 ft
weather channel reporting snow north of pensacola, fl... hmmm
1116. JGreco
Well I have some hope. I've been at work since 3am so when I saw it was still raining I thought the forecast was a bust. When I saw it still was 36 degrees I also saw the forecast was a bust. So that leading edge from Mississippi is what is supposed to produce snow closer to the coast?
1117. Xandtar
Quoting nrtiwlnvragn:



http://www.reliefweb.int/rw/fullmaps_am.nsf/luFullMap/AC1B5A6CAA344B4B852572F7006610C1/$File/noaa_V O_msr070611.pdf?OpenElement

This picture doesn't tell the whole story. I live on the southwest side of Dominica, some 60-70 miles south by southeast to Montserrat... and I and the rest of the island woke up to a nice dusting of ash on my car, not a heavy accumulation but enough to completely cloud all the glass and make me get a towel to be able to drive. Interestingly enough, the heaviest ash was on the east and south sides of my car, so the ash cloud must have drifted east of Dominica before prevailing winds took it back to me.

Needless to say, when I saw ash all over in the sky and an ashfall on the south side of my car but I couldn't see a volcanic plume that I would have expected from our more southern volcanoes here, I wasn't thinking Monserrat, I was wondering whether Martinique had surprised us all and blown up again.

by 2012 they'll be snow drifts during the winter in nw florida just wait
im up to 38, not looking good.. lol
Whats the deal guys, not gonna snow in Pensacola? What happened?
Train Derailed in washington DC..
Quoting BioChemist:
Whats the deal guys, not gonna snow in Pensacola? What happened?


Right now its wait and c.. its hard to predict snow down here in the first place.. but hopefully we might c sum.. might not be alot but atleast its better than nothing if it does happen.. Its very rare to have this, but if we dont get it this time, theres still more winter left.. hey u can always go to DC and Philly and c all that snow and possibility of more coming in the future..