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Meteorological Bomb Brewing for Canada on Wednesday

By: Dr. Jeff Masters, 2:25 PM GMT on March 24, 2014

The most powerful Nor'easter of the year will gather strength over the waters offshore of Virginia on Tuesday, then head northeast and bring damaging winds, heavy rain and snow, and a substantial storm surge to Nova Scotia and Newfoundland Canada on Wednesday. The storm will brush Cape Cod, Nantucket, and Martha's Vineyard, Massachusetts on Tuesday night and Wednesday morning, bringing at least six inches of snow and wind gusts of up to 60 mph. A Blizzard Watch and Coastal Flood Watch are posted for Cape Cod and Nantucket Island, where a NOAA storm surge model run using the winds from the 00Z run of the GFS model predicted almost a 2 foot surge could occur on Wednesday morning. A surge of this magnitude is capable of causing minor to moderate flooding.


Figure 1. Wind forecast for 5pm EDT Wednesday March 26, 2014, made from the 2am EDT Monday, March 24, 2014 run of the GFS model. Winds in excess of 50 knots (57.5 mph, pink colors) are predicted along the coasts of Nova Scotia and Newfoundland, Canada.

A Meteorological Bomb
As the storm pulls away from the Mid-Atlantic coast on Tuesday evening, it will undergo explosive deepening, meeting the criteria of a "meteorological bomb"--a storm that deepens by at least 24 mb in 24 hours. In fact, the Monday morning 00Z run of the European model shows the pressure falling by more than double that pace--deepening by an extraordinary 40 mb in just eighteen hours, ending at 2 pm EDT Wednesday. When the Nor'easter hits Nova Scotia and Newfoundland on Wednesday evening, the central pressure of the storm is expected to be between 956 - 960 mb, similar to the central pressure of a strong Category 2 hurricane. However, Nor'easters do not form eyewalls with intense winds concentrated over a small area, and this Nor'easter's strong winds will be spread out over a large area. I doubt we'll see sustained hurricane-force winds of 74 mph or greater at any land stations, but sustained winds of 60 - 70 mph are likely in some locations, which will be capable of causing widespread power outages and considerable tree damage. A storm surge of 2 - 4 feet may also cause coastal damage and moderate flooding, if the surge arrives at high tide.

Jeff Masters

Winter Weather

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

Reader Comments

Thanks, Doc.
Thanks Dr. Masters !
Thanks Dr Masters..... could be a A Meteorological A-Bomb. Take care all in the NE USA and Canada
weather bombs are much more dangerous than forecast bombs
Thanks Doc !
The Exxon Valdez oil spill occurred in Prince William Sound, Alaska, on March 24, 1989, when Exxon Valdez, an oil tanker bound for Long Beach, California, struck Prince William Sound's Bligh Reef at 12:04 a.m. local time and spilled 260,000 to 750,000 barrels (41,000 to 119,000 m3) of crude oil.

USS Mount Vernon acted as the control ship for the cleanup of the Exxon Valdez oil spill.

Last blog

Quoting 1089. AussieStorm:
I can't believe that Malaysian Airlines sent text messages to the Chinese families. For goodness sake, have respect and tell them face to face. What a gutless way to break news of their families members have been lost in a plane crash.



ITCZ firing up nicely.

I know right no respect

The ITCZ will help develop most of this years storm in the Caribbean
Almost no blue in the Epac
the big snow storm
Thanks Dr Masters
Thanks Dr. The latest GFS runs seem to indicate that it will "dissipate" after arriving in Nova Scotia and Newfoundland.......Looks like Greenland will just get remnants from the low.
Almost no blue in the Epac



isn't that a beautiful pic.....
Quoting 9. Gearsts:
Almost no blue in the Epac

You do realise that that is over the 24 hour averages right
Wow, that will pack quite a punch!
I hope Ann has her green gables tied down.
Quoting 9. Gearsts:
Almost no blue in the Epac
Goodmorning everyone thanks for the update Doc. Notice the warm water anomaly in the Subtropical Atlantic extending down into the Western Caribbean, those would be the regions we would need to watch this upcoming hurricane season.
Yes I do see warming but during the last week or two the heat has dropped a bit maybe as I mentioned on the last blog it might just fluctuate like it did back in Nov/Dec/Jan where it jumped to warm but then fell cold again



Thanks a lot global warming. We can easily pinpoint this bombing to you, because well, everything is related to global warming now.
Thanks a lot global warming. We can easily pinpoint this bombing to you, because well, everything is related to global warming now.






am i the only one growing bored with these types of comments?
Quoting 16. GTstormChaserCaleb:
Goodmorning everyone thanks for the update Doc. Notice the warm water anomaly in the Subtropical Atlantic extending down into the Western Caribbean, those would be the regions we would need to watch this upcoming hurricane season.

As I stated this year appears to be the year for storms in the West Caribbean the GOM and the extreme US E coast while Atlantic E Caribbean and NW Atlantic is null
Here's the message again for those that did not see it on the other blog--

Malaysia Airlines deeply regrets that we have to assume that MH370 ended in the southern Indian Ocean. As you will hear in the next hour from Malaysia’s Prime Minister, new analysis of satellite data suggests the plane went down in the Southern Indian Ocean.

On behalf of all of us at Malaysia Airlines and all Malaysians, our prayers go out to all the loved ones of the 226 passengers and of our 13 friends and colleagues at this enormously painful time.

We know there are no words that we or anyone else can say which can ease your pain. We will continue to provide assistance and support to you, as we have done since MH370 first disappeared in the early hours of 8 March, while flying from Kuala Lumpur to Beijing.

The ongoing multinational search operation will continue, as we seek answers to the questions which remain. Alongside the search for MH370, there is an intensive investigation, which we hope will also provide answers.

We would like to assure you that Malaysia Airlines will continue to give you our full support throughout the difficult weeks and months ahead.

Once again, we humbly offer our sincere thoughts, prayers and condolences to everyone affected by this tragedy.
Anyway I want to wait see what April bring then I will make final judgement on this matter

I guess they found it ?
Snow amounts through Monday night will generally be on the order of a coating to an inch or two.

As the storm reorganizes along the East Coast on Tuesday, the snow will develop across the mid-Atlantic, southern New York and Connecticut. Outside of the mountains, there will likely not be enough cold air in place for more than wet snowflakes across the Carolinas.

Most of the snow that falls during the midday and afternoon hours on Tuesday will have a hard time sticking to roads.
Quoting 21. TropicalAnalystwx13:
Here's the message again for those that did not see it on the other blog--

Malaysia Airlines deeply regrets that we have to assume that MH370 ended in the southern Indian Ocean. As you will hear in the next hour from Malaysia’s Prime Minister, new analysis of satellite data suggests the plane went down in the Southern Indian Ocean.

On behalf of all of us at Malaysia Airlines and all Malaysians, our prayers go out to all the loved ones of the 226 passengers and of our 13 friends and colleagues at this enormously painful time.

We know there are no words that we or anyone else can say which can ease your pain. We will continue to provide assistance and support to you, as we have done since MH370 first disappeared in the early hours of 8 March, while flying from Kuala Lumpur to Beijing.

The ongoing multinational search operation will continue, as we seek answers to the questions which remain. Alongside the search for MH370, there is an intensive investigation, which we hope will also provide answers.

We would like to assure you that Malaysia Airlines will continue to give you our full support throughout the difficult weeks and months ahead.

Once again, we humbly offer our sincere thoughts, prayers and condolences to everyone affected by this tragedy.

Yeah already heard from they guy with his press conference look it up on CNN anyway I'm getting the Joint Naval Ops reports and not the press conference reports so that there can be no misinformation
Very sad day, Cody.
The amount of ocean heat content in the Pacific subsurface continues to be the highest on record, beating values observed during the 1997-98 El Nino (the record holder; included in the image). An El Nino is almost inevitable by now; what remains to be seen is how strong it gets. There remains a good chance we see this become a strong El Nino (>1.5C).

From last blog my post

"Joint Navy Ops Report: debris found---- Orange Rectangular possibly a raft --- white metal unknown --- Grey metal unknown--- R.A.N. with other vessels soon be on location for recovery and inspection by transport safety board ---...USNS P-8 Poseidon"
Quoting 27. TropicalAnalystwx13:
The amount of ocean heat content in the Pacific subsurface continues to be the highest on record, beating values observed during the 1997-98 El Nino (the record holder; included in the image). An El Nino is almost inevitable by now; what remains to be seen is how strong it gets. There remains a good chance we see this become a strong El Nino (>1.5C).


Still say weak to neutral conditions
Quoting 27. TropicalAnalystwx13:
The amount of ocean heat content in the Pacific subsurface continues to be the highest on record, beating values observed during the 1997-98 El Nino (the record holder; included in the image). An El Nino is almost inevitable by now; what remains to be seen is how strong it gets. There remains a good chance we see this become a strong El Nino (>1.5C).

I'm becoming increasingly curious about the coming months.
My last comment this morning on the upcoming Atlantic hurricane season. Regardless of what the Enso phase is this year, we saw two "x" factors influence the last two seasons in spite of having enso neutral conditions.

The 2012 season saw the issue of faster than usual trade winds across the Atlantic and Caribbean which kept many storms trucking along in the 15-20 mph range which prevented vertical stacking and many tropical storms struggled as a result.....They needed that optimum 10-12 mph range.

The 2013 season saw very dry and stable air in the same regions (perhaps a by product of the drought condition in SA) which chocked off the tropical storms in spite of warm sst's and moderate SAL last year.

Finally, and as I noted earlier this morning, all of the pro prediction outlets (and most of us on here too) fell way short of their projections for majors both of these seasons as well. In fact, Gray issued a post-season comment addressing this issue (the stable air from SA last year) and noted that they would try to incorporate/address this issue in upcoming seasons.

My point is that we do not know, and cannot predict, what will happen this year until we actually get to the August-September period and even then some.
. An El Nino is almost inevitable by now; what remains to be seen is how strong it gets. There remains a good chance we see this become a strong El Nino (>1.5C).



although i think el nino will verify...i get the willies when i see things like inevitable as i remember hearing those same phrases back in 2012
Another image to go with post 27:

34. josF
Thanks for the update, Dr Masters.
Quoting 29. wunderkidcayman:

Still say weak to neutral conditions


......Brings usually active seasons ;)
Thanks Doc...Very intense..A member here lives very near Halifax, and may send some reports to your blog.
Quoting 32. ricderr:
. An El Nino is almost inevitable by now; what remains to be seen is how strong it gets. There remains a good chance we see this become a strong El Nino (>1.5C).



although i think el nino will verify...i get the willies when i see things like inevitable as i remember hearing those same phrases back in 2012

I was never on the 2012 bandwagon, model guidance seemed too bullish and the atmosphere wasn't cooperating. Since the start of this year, we've seen 3 huge westerly wind bursts, a flip to a positive PDO, and an absolutely enormous amount of heat build under the surface. I think El Nino has returned.

Just as a reminder, just three months ago, I was doubting the development of an El Nino. :)
They still need two find the black box that would tell us what really happen with this airline

I was never on the 2012 bandwagon, model guidance seemed too bullish and the atmosphere wasn't cooperating. Since the start of this year, we've seen 3 huge westerly wind bursts, a flip to a positive PDO, and an absolutely enormous amount of heat build under the surface. I think El Nino has returned



i would hope so as i'm a fan of inactive seasons......and need the rain a moderate to strong event should bring to the southwest
Quoting 23. EyEtoEyE:
I guess they found it ?
No, but they are pretty sure it's at the bottom of the ocean somewhere in southern Indian Ocean. However, I am struggling to take Malaysia's words seriously as they've screw up multiple of times in the past few weeks. I wish they would share the data with rest of the world, but if they said it's in Southern Indian Ocean, so be it.
The atmosphere is changing. 2009 was the last El Nino 5 years later here comes another one.
Ocean-atmosphere forcing of centennial hydroclimate variability in the Pacific Northwest†

Abstract
Reconstructing centennial timescale hydroclimate variability during the late Holocene is critically important for understanding large-scale patterns of drought and their relationship with climate dynamics. We present sediment oxygen isotope records spanning the last two millennia from 10 lakes, as well as climate model simulations, indicating that the Little Ice Age was dry relative to the Medieval Climate Anomaly in much of the Pacific Northwest of North America. This pattern is consistent with observed associations between the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO), the Northern Annular Mode and drought as well as with proxy-based reconstructions of Pacific ocean-atmosphere variations over the past 1000 years. The large amplitude of centennial variability indicated by the lake data suggests that regional hydroclimate is characterized by longer-term shifts in ENSO-like dynamics, and that an improved understanding of the centennial timescale relationship between external forcing and drought conditions is necessary for projecting future hydroclimatic conditions in western North America
Another thing I have noticed the the current and past few ENSO forecast cpc models earlier the plots were more concentrated and agreed with the rise in temps but unlike the last 2 especially the current one the plots are now much more spread out and not only that but dipping into the neutral and neutral cool suggesting in disagreement about this
Either way I'll stand by what I said I will wait to see what April brings us before I have final say on this matter
They really need to put multiple subs down there , from all the countries involved !
Quoting 40. Bluestorm5:
No, but they are pretty sure it's at the bottom of the ocean somewhere in southern Indian Ocean. However, I am struggling to take Malaysia's words seriously as they've screw up multiple of times in the past few weeks. I wish they would share the data with rest of the world, but if they said it's in Southern Indian Ocean, so be it.
Goes back to what I was saying the other day that the Government likes to hide or not disclose certain information, probably due to privacy. The victims families will know more than we do and rightfully so. Now the investigation begins, was it the planes fault? Or some human intervention? Both scenarios will be taken into account as part of the investigation.
Quoting 35. VR46L:


......Brings usually active seasons ;)

Or if anything we will call this year one of those transitional years


Quoting 40. Bluestorm5:
No, but they are pretty sure it's at the bottom of the ocean somewhere in southern Indian Ocean. However, I am struggling to take Malaysia's words seriously as they've screw up multiple of times in the past few weeks. I wish they would share the data with rest of the world, but if they said it's in Southern Indian Ocean, so be it.

Actually we think we have actually found it the stuff that is found looks to have came from a plane of that size and colour according to joint navy ops reports
I don't want a winter repeat of 97-98.Absolutely pitiful.
Quoting 44. EyEtoEyE:
They really need to put multiple subs down there , from all the countries involved !

What gave you the idea that they don't

Quoting 19. ricderr:
Thanks a lot global warming. We can easily pinpoint this bombing to you, because well, everything is related to global warming now.






am i the only one growing bored with these types of comments?


I agree it's childish.
Interestingly, here are the stats (from Wiki) for the 1997 and 1998 seasons for comparison purposes this year as we move towards August:

1997

The 1997 Atlantic hurricane season is the most recent season to feature no tropical cyclones in August %u2013 typically one of the most active months. The season officially began on June 1,[1] and lasted until November 30.[2] These dates conventionally delimit the period of each year when most tropical cyclones form in the Atlantic basin. The 1997 season was inactive, with only seven named storms forming, with an additional tropical depression and an unnumbered subtropical storm. It was the first time since the 1961 season that there were no active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic basin during the entire month of August. A strong El Nino is credited with reducing the number of storms in the Atlantic, while increasing the number of storms in the Eastern and Western Pacific basin to 19 and 29 storms, respectively. As is common in El Nino years, tropical cyclogenesis was suppressed in the tropical latitudes, with only two becoming tropical storms south of 25N.

1998

The 1998 Atlantic hurricane season featured the highest number of storm-related fatalities in over 200 years.[1] It officially began on June 1 and ended on November 30, dates which conventionally delimit the period during which most tropical cyclones form in the Atlantic Ocean.[2] The first tropical cyclone, Tropical Storm Alex, developed on July 27, and the season's final storm, Hurricane Nicole, became extratropical on December 1. The strongest storm, Mitch, was tied with Hurricane Dean for the seventh most intense Atlantic hurricane ever recorded. Mitch is also the second deadliest Atlantic hurricane in recorded history. The system dropped tremendous amounts of rainfall in Central America, causing 19,000 confirmed deaths and at least $6.2 billion (1998 USD)[nb 1] in damage. The season was the first to feature a Category 5 hurricane on the Saffir%u2013Simpson hurricane wind scale since Hurricane Andrew in the 1992 season.

Quoting 14. wunderkidcayman:

You do realise that that is over the 24 hour averages right
Record least: 0.1" (1997-98).Ayah!.Not again..not again (Chants 5x).I was afraid 09-010 was going to turn out like this but thankfully it didn't.
Quoting 51. Gearsts:

I'm not disagreeing that it has risen but I don't think this will blow up as you would see it but I still want to wait and see what happens during the next month
54. JRRP
Quoting ricderr:
. An El Nino is almost inevitable by now; what remains to be seen is how strong it gets. There remains a good chance we see this become a strong El Nino (>1.5C).



although i think el nino will verify...i get the willies when i see things like inevitable as i remember hearing those same phrases back in 2012

yea... i remember the super el niño in 2012
Any one no what today is for me its the 24th


I went you take a Gust
Quoting 54. JRRP:

yea... i remember the super el niño in 2012
lol
Quoting 55. Tazmanian:
Any one no what today is for me its the 24th


I went you take a Gust
Birthday?.
What many fail to realize, is that the Atmosphere is much warmer, and wetter than at ANY time in the past, even the 90's.


You have to account for the increase in Global WV.

Which is 10% higher now.

Food to process.



A Blizzard Watch and Coastal Flood Watch are posted for Cape Cod and Nantucket Island
Quoting 19. ricderr:
Thanks a lot global warming. We can easily pinpoint this bombing to you, because well, everything is related to global warming now.






am i the only one growing bored with these types of comments?


Nope I'm sick of them too. As Freud once said
"Sometimes a cigar is just a cigar"

And sometimes (actually most of the time) it's just weather being weird.

I'm not a denier (actually more a despairist.. we can't stop the warming to levels that will be disastrous) but prefer to leave citing individual weather events as evidence of the state of the climate to deniers who have nothing else to go with.

Changes in the frequency of weather anomalies is another matter entirely
but determining a frequency change requires a large number of events from both populations sampled.

Quoting 57. washingtonian115:
Birthday?.



Wow 1st gust and you got it right yep


And for being right you won a 24hr ban



This kidding
Quoting 19. ricderr:
Thanks a lot global warming. We can easily pinpoint this bombing to you, because well, everything is related to global warming now.






am i the only one growing bored with these types of comments?


When one like the above don't Understand a thing, well they default to ridicule.

Itsa common pattern ric, dint the Admiral xplain dat?

: p
Quoting 54. JRRP:

yea... i remember the super el niño in 2012


This one occurred in imaginary space in an alternate universe
Quoting 50. weathermanwannabe:
Interestingly, here are the stats (from Wiki) for the 1997 and 1998 seasons for comparison purposes this year as we move towards August:

1997

The 1997 Atlantic hurricane season is the most recent season to feature no tropical cyclones in August %u2013 typically one of the most active months. The season officially began on June 1,[1] and lasted until November 30.[2] These dates conventionally delimit the period of each year when most tropical cyclones form in the Atlantic basin. The 1997 season was inactive, with only seven named storms forming, with an additional tropical depression and an unnumbered subtropical storm. It was the first time since the 1961 season that there were no active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic basin during the entire month of August. A strong El Nino is credited with reducing the number of storms in the Atlantic, while increasing the number of storms in the Eastern and Western Pacific basin to 19 and 29 storms, respectively. As is common in El Nino years, tropical cyclogenesis was suppressed in the tropical latitudes, with only two becoming tropical storms south of 25N.

1998

The 1998 Atlantic hurricane season featured the highest number of storm-related fatalities in over 200 years.[1] It officially began on June 1 and ended on November 30, dates which conventionally delimit the period during which most tropical cyclones form in the Atlantic Ocean.[2] The first tropical cyclone, Tropical Storm Alex, developed on July 27, and the season's final storm, Hurricane Nicole, became extratropical on December 1. The strongest storm, Mitch, was tied with Hurricane Dean for the seventh most intense Atlantic hurricane ever recorded. Mitch is also the second deadliest Atlantic hurricane in recorded history. The system dropped tremendous amounts of rainfall in Central America, causing 19,000 confirmed deaths and at least $6.2 billion (1998 USD)[nb 1] in damage. The season was the first to feature a Category 5 hurricane on the Saffir%u2013Simpson hurricane wind scale since Hurricane Andrew in the 1992 season.


Yeah, expect 2015 to be very active if we get a strong El Niño in the summer and fall that rapidly transitions back to La Niña (as is typical). That's a classic setup for a big season. 1995...1998...2010.
Quoting 64. TropicalAnalystwx13:

Yeah, expect 2015 to be very active if we get a strong El Niño in the summer and fall that rapidly transitions back to La Niña (as is typical). That's a classic setup for a big season. 1995...1998...2010.
2005?
Quoting 27. TropicalAnalystwx13:
The amount of ocean heat content in the Pacific subsurface continues to be the highest on record, beating values observed during the 1997-98 El Nino (the record holder; included in the image). An El Nino is almost inevitable by now; what remains to be seen is how strong it gets. There remains a good chance we see this become a strong El Nino (>1.5C).

Cue the Jellyfish to spoil everyone's summer in SoCal!
its all squishy fun until you realize your standing on the buried tentacles! (almost had a spell check disaster with that)
Quoting 52. washingtonian115:
Record least: 0.1" (1997-98).Ayah!.Not again..not again (Chants 5x).I was afraid 09-010 was going to turn out like this but thankfully it didn't.


I remember the first record least in the winter of 1972-73, again 0.1"
at DCA although my home in Mt Vernon got an additional -.3" from a thundersquall sometime in February with a cold frontal passage. 5 minutes of heavy snow left that coating.
Quoting 64. TropicalAnalystwx13:

Yeah, expect 2015 to be very active if we get a strong El Nino in the summer and fall that rapidly transitions back to La Nina (as is typical). That's a classic setup for a big season. 1995...1998...2010.


I would agree with that; if a strong El Nino impacts the season this year, then 2015 (if it transitions to La Nina) could go out with a bang. Most interesting comment in the Wiki article for me is how much the 97 El Nino enhanced the activity in the Pacific basin.

Has me wondering about the "total" average number of tropical storms in both basins in any given El Nino year and whether the totals balance out over time (and over Enso phases). For example, if the Atlantic had a big total La Nina season, did the numbers drop on the Pacific side as well but with a consistent overall total for both basins. Either way you cut it, tropical storms help release heat content from the equatorial regions every year and it seems like that function is "shared" every year between the Atlantic and Pacific basins depending on which basin has the most favorable conditions that particular year.
69. jpsb
Quoting 58. Patrap:


Food to process.




Speaking of food

Biofuels do more harm than good, UN warns



Link



not only that it is time for lunch!
Quoting 47. washingtonian115:
I don't want a winter repeat of 97-98.Absolutely pitiful.


For me that winter was a gift of absence of weather hassle, since I was exhausted by infant twins and a very active toddler that year. I don't remember much of calendar 1998.
Short Range Forecast Discussion...correction
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
618 AM EDT Mon Mar 24 2014

Valid 12Z Mon Mar 24 2014 - 12Z Wed Mar 26 2014

...Spring put on hold for much of the central and eastern U.S....

...More snows possible across parts of the Midwest to the Northeast and
the Mid-Atlantic region...

...A powerful storm is expected to churn the waters off of the East Coast
Tue evening...

...Precipitation returns to the Northwest and northern California...

Below normal temperatures are expected to continue across much of the U.S.
east of the Rockies as another arctic high slides southeast out of western
Canada into the central U.S., fortifying the cold air already in place.
The leading edge of the initial shot of cold air is expected to settle and
stall across south Florida and the central Gulf of Mexico today, with
scattered showers and thunderstorms persisting along and to the north of
the stalled front. Storms are expected to become better organized by this
evening across central Florida as a weak upper disturbance moves through
the eastern Gulf. As this feature moves off of the Southeast coast early
Tue it is expected to begin interacting with a more defined upper-level
system moving into the Ohio valley. In addition to more cold air, this
northern system is expected to deliver some light precipitation, mainly in
the form of snow, forecast to advance eastward from the mid Mississippi
valley today and into the Ohio valley this evening, before reaching across
the mountains into the Mid-Atlantic region by early Tuesday. As this
system interacts with the system off of the Southeast coast, a powerful
low pressure system is expected to develop Tuesday night off of the
Mid-Atlantic coast. How much precipitation this system spreads inland
late in the period and in the hours that follow will depend greatly upon
its track - the details of which are still unclear given the variability
in model solutions. However, while the amount of precipitation is in
question, cold and very windy conditions are certain along the northern
Mid-Atlantic and Northeast coasts by Wednesday morning.

Across the West, a long-standing upper-level ridge will give way to an
upper-level low nearing the coast and its associated surface frontal
boundary, bringing much needed precipitation to parts of the region.
Showers and a few thunderstorms are expected to reach the Washington,
Oregon and far northern California coasts Tuesday morning before spreading
further south and east as the day progresses.

Pereira
sunny and windy and cold in new haven,conn by Tuesday night heavy snow
Quoting 52. washingtonian115:
Record least: 0.1" (1997-98).Ayah!.Not again..not again (Chants 5x).I was afraid 09-010 was going to turn out like this but thankfully it didn't.


2009-10 only produced 560 times as much snow as 1997-98
Stay alert down in south florida.........................ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT...
...SLIGHT CHANCE OF FLOODING TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS: THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS NORTH OF
ALLIGATOR ALLEY...AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ELSEWHERE.
THE PRIMARY IMPACTS FROM THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE OCCASIONAL TO
FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES, HEAVY DOWNPOURS AND GUSTY WINDS.

FLOODING: LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT, MAINLY NORTH
OF ALLIGATOR ALLEY. PONDING OF WATER IN LOW LYING AND POORLY
DRAINED AREAS IS POSSIBLE.

RIP CURRENTS: THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE
BEACHES OF PALM BEACH COUNTY TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF STORMS OVER SOUTH FLORIDA ON TUESDAY
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. THE PRIMARY IMPACTS FROM STORMS WILL BE
LIGHTNING STRIKES, GUSTY WINDS, AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

COLDER AIR WILL THEN ARRIVE TUESDAY NIGHT ALLOWING FOR
TEMPERATURES TO FALL INTO THE 40S OVER THE NORTHERN INTERIOR. WIND
CHILLS AROUND 40 DEGREES ARE POSSIBLE WEST OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR THE LOCAL WATERS
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. THE STRONG
WINDS WILL ALSO LEAD TO AT LEAST A MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS
AT THE ATLANTIC COAST BEACHES WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.

$$
Quoting 66. JNTenne:
Cue the Jellyfish to spoil everyone's summer in SoCal!
its all squishy fun until you realize your standing on the buried tentacles! (almost had a spell check disaster with that)
Quoting 66. JNTenne:
Cue the Jellyfish to spoil everyone's summer in SoCal!
its all squishy fun until you realize your standing on the buried tentacles! (almost had a spell check disaster with that)


LMAO ! I bet you did !

Cute beach image though

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND
SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT COASTAL STORM FROM LATE
TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. WHILE CONFIDENCE REMAINS HIGH THAT
THE STORM WILL DEVELOP...THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE
TRACK AND STRENGTH. A SHIFT IN THE TRACK OF LESS THAN 100 MILES IN
EITHER DIRECTION WILL RESULT IN A SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCE IN
IMPACTS ACROSS THE AREA. AT THIS TIME...THERE IS A CHANCE FOR AT
LEAST 6 INCHES OF SNOW ACROSS MAINLY SOUTHEASTERN CONNECTICUT AND
EASTERN LONG ISLAND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
Quoting 61. Tazmanian:



Wow 1st gust and you got it right yep


And for being right you won a 24hr ban



This kidding
Lol.

Well one of these years had to be the sacrifice to the great el nino.Lol.I would have much rather it be 2013 considering how it turned out and that was without a el nino.Perhaps we'll see some normal moisture levels return to the Atlantic like what we saw in 2010.
thanks for lunch time read doc

gonna be interesting watchin this one spin up
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1037 AM EDT MON MAR 24 2014

...POWERFUL WINTER STORM LIKELY TO AFFECT SOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND...

MAZ017>021-RIZ007-242245-
/O.CON.KBOX.WS.A.0009.140326T0000Z-140326T1600Z/
NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-NEWPORT RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TAUNTON...BROCKTON...PLYMOUTH...
FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...MATTAPOISETT...NEWPORT
1037 AM EDT MON MAR 24 2014

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...PLYMOUTH AND BRISTOL COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST
MASSACHUSETTS AND NEWPORT COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST RHODE ISLAND.

* HAZARD TYPES...POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY SNOW WITH BLOWING AND
DRIFTING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 6 INCHES OR MORE IS
POSSIBLE DEPENDING UPON THE EXACT TRACK OF THE STORM.

* TIMING...TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATION ALONG WITH BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW THAT MAY MAKE TRAVEL HAZARDOUS.

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...AROUND 30.

* VISIBILITIES...ONE QUARTER TO ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH IS ISSUED FOR THE POTENTIAL OF ACCUMULATING
SNOW OF 6 OR MORE INCHES IN A 12 HOUR PERIOD...OR 8 OR MORE
INCHES IN A 24 HOUR PERIOD. ANYONE TRAVELING IN THE NEXT 24 TO
36 HOURS SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO MODIFY
TRAVEL PLANS SHOULD WINTER WEATHER DEVELOP.

&&
Ryan Maue ‏@RyanMaue · 2 min
WRF 4-km Simulated radar shows tell-tale hook of bent-back warm-front of explosive cyclone (warm seclusion) Link
Winter Storm Watch

------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
836 AM EDT MON MAR 24 2014

MEZ017-029-030-242045-
/O.CON.KCAR.WS.A.0006.140326T0400Z-140327T0400Z/
CENTRAL WASHINGTON-COASTAL HANCOCK-COASTAL WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DEBLOIS...GRAND LAKE STREAM...
MEDDYBEMPS...PEMBROKE...PERRY...PRINCETON...ELLSW ORTH...
BAR HARBOR...BLUE HILL...EASTPORT...MACHIAS...CHERRYFIELD
836 AM EDT MON MAR 24 2014

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...DOWNEAST AND THE COAST.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 7 TO 10 INCHES POSSIBLE.

* IMPACTS...HEAVY SNOW WITH CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING
SNOW COULD LEAD TO NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES. ROADS
COULD BECOME IMPASSABLE.

* WINDS...NORTH 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 20S TUESDAY NIGHT WITH UPPER
20S TO LOWER 30S ON WEDNESDAY.

* VISIBILITIES...VISIBILITIES OF ONE QUARTER OF A MILE OR LESS ARE
POSSIBLE IN HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. STAY
TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER
INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO
BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/CAR.

&&

$$

DUDA
well 7-day for the Tampa bay area.........

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0400 AM CDT MON MAR 24 2014

VALID 271200Z - 011200Z

...DISCUSSION...
THE LATEST MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE DOES NOT SEEM OFFER MUCH IN THE WAY
OF GREATER CERTAINTY CONCERNING SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL ACROSS THE
CENTRAL AND EASTERN U.S. DURING THE EARLY PORTIONS OF THIS FORECAST
PERIOD. CONSIDERABLE SPREAD EXISTS AMONG THE MODELS CONCERNING
DEVELOPMENTS ASSOCIATED WITH A SHORT WAVE TROUGH WITHIN AN
INCREASINGLY ZONAL AND PROGRESSIVE REGIME...AS IT ADVANCES ACROSS
AND EAST OF THE ROCKIES DURING THE LATTER PORTION OF THIS WEEK.
SIGNIFICANT SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS DOES APPEAR PROBABLE TO THE LEE OF
THE CENTRAL ROCKIES BY 12Z THURSDAY...BEFORE IT TRACKS EAST
NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION AND ST. LAWRENCE VALLEY
BY THE WEEKEND. WHILE A SLOWER AND STRONGER DEVELOPMENT THAN THAT
CURRENTLY SUGGESTED BY THE GFS/NCEP MREF CURRENTLY SEEMS MOST
PROBABLE...IT STILL SEEMS MOST LIKELY THAT THE EASTWARD AND
NORTHEASTWARD PROGRESSION OF THE STRONGER MID/UPPER FORCING FOR
LARGE-SCALE ASCENT AND DEEP LAYER FLOW FIELDS...AWAY FROM THE GULF
OF MEXICO...WILL OCCUR PRIOR TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SEASONABLY
MOIST RETURN FLOW. AND THE MODEST NATURE OF THE RETURN FLOW
PROBABLY WILL LIMIT THE EXTENT OF THE CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL. AT
LEAST LOW SEVERE PROBABILITIES MAY DEVELOP ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTH
CENTRAL PLAINS AND OZARK PLATEAU THROUGH THE LOWER OHIO/TENNESSEE
VALLEY REGION...PERHAPS INTO THE MID ATLANTIC COAST ...THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY. BUT CERTAINTY IS NOT GREAT ENOUGH AT THIS TIME TO INTRODUCE
A REGIONAL SEVERE RISK AREA.

..KERR.. 03/24/2014
OMG the page scroll is like a mile long. Please fix
Ryan Maue ‏@RyanMaue · 3 min
Zooming in on bent-back warm front of "warm seclusion" reminiscent of ERICA IOP4 from 1989 -- as intense as can get. Link
Quoting 87. Gearsts:
OMG the page scroll is like a mile long. Please fix


Thank God you didn't quote it !

LMAO
Quoting 92. VR46L:


Thank God you didn't quote it !

LMAO
i don't want a 2 mile long page
Short Range Forecast Discussion...correction
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
618 AM EDT Mon Mar 24 2014

Valid 12Z Mon Mar 24 2014 - 12Z Wed Mar 26 2014

...Spring put on hold for much of the central and eastern U.S....

...More snows possible across parts of the Midwest to the Northeast and
the Mid-Atlantic region...

...A powerful storm is expected to churn the waters off of the East Coast
Tue evening...

...Precipitation returns to the Northwest and northern California...

Below normal temperatures are expected to continue across much of the U.S.
east of the Rockies as another arctic high slides southeast out of western
Canada into the central U.S., fortifying the cold air already in place.
The leading edge of the initial shot of cold air is expected to settle and
stall across south Florida and the central Gulf of Mexico today, with
scattered showers and thunderstorms persisting along and to the north of
the stalled front. Storms are expected to become better organized by this
evening across central Florida as a weak upper disturbance moves through
the eastern Gulf. As this feature moves off of the Southeast coast early
Tue it is expected to begin interacting with a more defined upper-level
system moving into the Ohio valley. In addition to more cold air, this
northern system is expected to deliver some light precipitation, mainly in
the form of snow, forecast to advance eastward from the mid Mississippi
valley today and into the Ohio valley this evening, before reaching across
the mountains into the Mid-Atlantic region by early Tuesday. As this
system interacts with the system off of the Southeast coast, a powerful
low pressure system is expected to develop Tuesday night off of the
Mid-Atlantic coast. How much precipitation this system spreads inland
late in the period and in the hours that follow will depend greatly upon
its track - the details of which are still unclear given the variability
in model solutions. However, while the amount of precipitation is in
question, cold and very windy conditions are certain along the northern
Mid-Atlantic and Northeast coasts by Wednesday morning.
Ryan Maue ‏@RyanMaue · 24 min
At 900-hPa level, winds solidly Category 4 about 130-knots -- about 1,000 feet above ocean surface Link
OMG the page scroll is like a mile long. Please fix


one more post towards the 100 comments and a new page
Thank you Dr. Masters... Great post





el paso is in the general risk area for tomorrow...


WOOT WOOT!!!!!!!....yep.......quarter inch of rain equals danger around these parts :-)
Quoting 96. ricderr:
OMG the page scroll is like a mile long. Please fix


one more post towards the 100 comments and a new page


That was a little excessive.

Does anyone NOT buy the story of the plane going down?
How much precipitation this system spreads inland
late in the period and in the hours that follow will depend greatly upon
its track - the details of which are still unclear given the variability
in model solutions. However, while the amount of precipitation is in
question, cold and very windy conditions are certain along the northern
Mid-Atlantic and Northeast coasts by Wednesday morning.
That was a little excessive.

Does anyone NOT buy the story of the plane going down?



i bet there's a lot who enjoy conspiracy theory who will never believe the plane went down regardless if and when more facts become available
Thanks for the update Dr. Masters.
Quoting 101. ricderr:
That was a little excessive.

Does anyone NOT buy the story of the plane going down?



i bet there's a lot who enjoy conspiracy theory who will never believe the plane went down regardless if and when more facts become available


The fact I want to see is parts of the plane and the "black box". It would be interesting to know what exactly happened.
all the news is saying that missing plane crashed in the indian ocean and all aboard presumed dead....
As I was walking down the street one day, a pretty lady looked at me and said her diamond watch had stopped cold dead, And I said...Does anybody really know what time it is, Does anybody really care
Quoting 105. LargoFl:
all the news is saying that missing plane crashed in the indian ocean and all aboard presumed dead....
LOL.You did fine Largo... We all are not perfect, accept me...LOL
Quoting 107. PalmBeachWeather:
As I was walking down the street one day, a pretty lady looked at me and said her diamond watch had stopped cold dead, And I said...Does anybody really know what time it is, Does anybody really care


Says the retired person, who probably doesn't really know what day of the week it is either.

Enjoying the rainy weather today PBW?
as much as i want el nino for added rain in the west....these headlines will become more frequent...


sad very sad....
.


108 missing, unaccounted for in Wash. mudslide

At least four people are dead, 18 unaccounted for after a landslide in Oso, Washington north of Seattle, the fire chief said at a news conference Sunday. VPC
Heather Graf, KING-TV, Seattle-Tacoma, Wash. 1:04 p.m. EDT March 24, 2014
Soupy, 'quicksand' has kept rescuers from searching entire area.

ARLINGTON, Wash. — More than 100 people remain missing after a massive mudslide that hit rural Snohomish County, emergency officials announced Monday.

Searchers don't expect to find any more survivors from Saturday's mudslide that killed at least eight people and is estimated to contain 15 million cubic yards of debris.

"We're still in rescue mode at this time, but the situation is very grim," said Chief Travis Hots of Snohomish County Fire District 21. "We have not found anybody still alive on this pile since Saturday."

Teams took to the air in helicopters and the ground on foot Sunday looking for anyone who might still be alive. Their spirits had been raised late Saturday when they heard voices calling for help from the flotsam of trees, dirt and wreckage. Dangerous conditions forced them to turn back in the darkness, but they resumed their work at first light Sunday.

"We didn't see or hear any signs of life out there today," Hots said Sunday. "It's very disappointing to all emergency responders on scene." Sunrise on Monday was 6:59 a.m. PT; sunset will be at 7:27 p.m
I am sure that this tragedy, as it currently stands, will be the platform for discussion between aviation authorities, and the airlines and plane manufacturers, and to how to improve and require additional in-flight tracking gear that be used to reconstruct exact flight trajectories. I am thinking that frequent satellite up-linking of some sort (as well as coverage in remote oceanic regions away from radar) is going to be on the top of the list over the next year.
Quoting 109. Dakster:


Says the retired person, who probably doesn't really know what day of the week it is either.

Enjoying the rainy weather today PBW?
Dak....Wonderful day... Took my grandson last Wednesday on a bass fishing guided trip on Stick Marsh near Fellsmere...I was the only old lady on the lake but had a ball. Caught some big bass on shiners...Great day for all...
Quoting 84. LargoFl:
(CNN) -- Malaysia Airlines Flight 370 went down over the southern Indian Ocean...why don't you put the link instead?! Geesh!
Quoting 99. Dakster:


That was a little excessive.

Does anyone NOT buy the story of the plane going down?
I don't!
Northeast | march 24 2014 at 1pm


- High pressure keeps the region dry and cold Monday, but it is only the calm before the next storm.

- Temperatures only reach the 10s and 20s for highs in Upstate New York and northern New England.

- Chilly 30s and 40s are forecast from southern New England and southeast New York to the Virginias.

- A clipper from the Midwest spreads light snow into West Virginia, west and north Virginia, west Maryland and southwest Pennsylvania tonight.

- Tuesday the snow continues from West Virginia through south Pennsylvania and spreads into north and east Pennsylvania, north New Jersey, south New York and southern New England.

- Snow mixes with or changes to rain from Virginia to southern New Jersey Tuesday.

- Tuesday night low pressure off the Northeast coast rapidly strengthens causing the precipitation to increase in intensity, but move toward the coast.

- Snow becomes locally heavy in far eastern Long Island and southeastern New England Tuesday night.

- Biizzard conditions possible tor eastern Cape Cod Tuesday night into AM Wednesday

- The precipitation should end from the Virginias to eastern New York from southwest to northeast Tuesday night.

- Snow, some heavy, continues in eastern New England Wednesday.

South |

- Rain and showers linger along the Gulf Coast and in Florida Monday.

- Low pressure forms in the eastern Gulf of Mexico and tracks across the Florida Peninsula Monday night.

- Rain ends along the central Gulf Coast, but increases in the Florida Peninsula Monday night and early Tuesday.

- Chance of a few thunderstorms in central and south Florida Monday night.

- Light rain spreads into Georgia and the Carolinas Monday night.

- Rain ends in eastern Georgia, but continues in the Carolinas Tuesday.

- Wet snow falls in the mountains of North Carolina Monday night and Tuesday.

- Snow could also mix in with the rain in the lower elevations of western North Carolina and across northern North Carolina.

- Cold temperatures flow into the region behind the storm.

- A hard freeze is likely in Arkansas, Tennessee, northern portions of Mississippi, Alabama and Georgia and in the Carolinas Tuesday night.
Quoting 18. StormWx:
Thanks a lot global warming. We can easily pinpoint this bombing to you...
No, "we" can't. No one can, nor has even tried to. However...
Quoting 18. StormWx:
...everything is related to global warming now.
Yes, it is. With nearly the entire environment heating up, it would be darn difficult for something to not be related to it. That doesn't mean every particular event is made worse by it; it just means that every particular event is affected. As Paracelsus might have said, dosis sola venenum facit...
Did anyone tune in today to Sam's morning show to see the 2014 hurricane predictions on the Weather Channel? I have DTV and don't have it anymore. I looked on the website and twitter and wasn't able to find anything..


for those waiting til june.....here's today's tropical weather outlook


Guys chill out we got about 3-4 hours till sunrise at sunrise the planes take off towards the derbis that they feel extremely confident is parts of MH370 just give it some time we should have more info by the time sunsets on US E coast
Joe Bastardi ‏@BigJoeBastardi · 4 min
Canadian has shifted west.very close to my forecast pt at 40 n/70 w ( benchmark) Trying to jump more on
nw system Link

Quoting 109. Dakster:


Says the retired person, who probably doesn't really know what day of the week it is either.

Enjoying the rainy weather today PBW?


The date is in the lower corner of this screen. No need to have to remember those things. Monday the 24th of 2014, hee hee.
Looks rather tranquil for now..Clouds thicken quick tho over Florida and the gulf.
Quoting 117. ncstorm:
Did anyone tune in today to Sam's morning show to see the 2014 hurricane predictions on the Weather Channel? I have DTV and don't have it anymore. I looked on the website and twitter and wasn't able to find anything..


NO!
125. beell
Well if that ain't just the best weather graphic I have ever seen! A surface low spouting arrows with a misplaced jet stream streaking along underneath. It's all clear now...

Is this TWC?

Quoting 125. beell:
Well if that ain't just the clearest weather graphic I have ever seen! A surface low with the jet stream streaking along underneath. It's all clear now...

Sigh. Looks like we have more possible paths MH370 could have taken. Either into the Atlantic Ocean or into Vermont....this is nuts!
127. beell
Quoting 126. Waltanater:
Sigh. Looks like we have more possible paths MH370 could have taken. Either into the Atlantic Ocean or into Vermont....this is nuts!


I did better than a sigh!
:)

"What the **** is that" would be close.
I thought this year was brutally cold in the temperature department around here but not unprecedented in history.

Coldest Start to a Calendar Year at International Falls

The period from January 1st through March 23rd at International Falls ranks as the coldest start to a calendar year in recorded history. The average temperature for that period was 1.9 degrees. Non continuous weather records began there in 1897. The following is a list of the coldest starts to a calendar year at International Falls.

Rank Value Ending Date
1 1.9 3/23/2014
2 2.1 3/23/1979
3 2.2 3/23/1950
4 2.7 3/23/1972
5 2.8 3/23/1982

Source NWS
To far out , but the GFS has a system that could produce severe weather for the Eastern U.S.

New scale for me, "Hurricane Force Seas". Wonder what the categories are?


Quoting 127. beell:


I did better than a sigh!
:)

"What the **** is that" would be close.
LOL
Quoting 107. PalmBeachWeather:
As I was walking down the street one day, a pretty lady looked at me and said her diamond watch had stopped cold dead, And I said...Does anybody really know what time it is, Does anybody really care


Chicago, good tune.
Snow depth of greater than 15 inches is in 3rd place at the moment.

110 Consecutive Days of at Least 15 inches of Snow on the Ground at Duluth

Today, March 24th, marks the 110th day in a row with a snow depth of at least 15 inches in Duluth.
This stretch of days began on December 5th of last year and ranks as the 3rd most in recorded history.

Rank # Days End Date
1 131 4/12/1956
2 120 4/11/1996
3 110 3/24/2014

Source NWS
Ryan Maue ‏@RyanMaue · 1 min
Bomb is 24 mb / 24 hr "explosive deepening" of central pressure.
12z ECMWF 6-hourly MSLP:
1000 mb, 993 mb, 978 mb, 956 mb, 951 mb


Quoting 114. Waltanater:
I don't!



I don't either....the Boeing engine maintenance reports to the satellite being the key giveaway here.

That plane landed somewhere....Diego Garcia, Maldives, or Pakistan
Happy birthday Taz.
138. MTWX
Is it just me, or is this spring lacking in something so far???

Been a little too quiet across the SE, almost to the point of being scary...
Joe Bastardi ‏@BigJoeBastardi · 5 min
ECMWF hurricane forecast in line with http://Weatherbell.com . Lower than ave yr overall, but heightened US impact risk, esp US e coast NC N

Is it just me, or is this spring lacking in something so far???

Been a little too quiet across the SE, almost to the point of being scary..






february saw half the tornadoes of normal and even lower so far this month
12z CMC







Quoting 136. KuCommando:



I don't either....the Boeing engine maintenance reports to the satellite being the key giveaway here.

That plane landed somewhere....Diego Garcia, Maldives, or Pakistan
Yes, it "landed", alright. Kind of like how the Titanic "docked" in the North Atlantic...
Quoting 136. KuCommando:



I don't either....the Boeing engine maintenance reports to the satellite being the key giveaway here.

That plane landed somewhere....Diego Garcia, Maldives, or Pakistan


And so it begins. The Internet conspiracy theorists are going to have a field day with this one.

Personally, I think MH360 will turn up safe and sound in the Gobi desert, or some such place, in about 30 years time. The passengers and crew won't have any recollection of how they got there, and won't look a day older.

Until then, I guess the CIA will be taking most of the flak.
Quoting 19. ricderr:
Thanks a lot global warming. We can easily pinpoint this bombing to you, because well, everything is related to global warming now.






am i the only one growing bored with these types of comments?


No, you're not. :)
Quoting 1089. AussieStorm:
I can't believe that Malaysian Airlines sent text messages to the Chinese families. For goodness sake, have respect and tell them face to face. What a gutless way to break news of their families members have been lost in a plane crash.

That's right....on the one hand you got your internet conspiracy theorists....and on the other hand you got your mainstream media propagandists.

I'll stick with the "theorists" on this one
Quoting 143. yonzabam:


And so it begins. The Internet conspiracy theorists are going to have a field day with this one.

Personally, I think MH360 will turn up safe and sound in the Gobi desert, or some such place, in about 30 years time. The passengers and crew won't have any recollection of how they got there, and won't look a day older.

Until then, I guess the CIA will be taking most of the flak.


Think you have the wrong Flight #, MH360 isn't lost.
Link big northeaster on my new blog!
More people have walked on the moon than have been to the bottom of the deepest ocean. It really does not surprise me that this aircraft is still missing. There is quite a bit of area to search. I imagine that once it is found, it will take years for the puzzle to be put together. Also if it is found in 3K-4K metres of water, it will take some effort to recover it.
Quoting 142. Neapolitan:
Yes, it "landed", alright. Kind of like how the Titanic "docked" in the North Atlantic...


the location of the plane is some where ne of boomerang ridge south indian ocean

but that's just a guess on my part
151. yoboi
Quoting 142. Neapolitan:
Yes, it "landed", alright. Kind of like how the Titanic "docked" in the North Atlantic...




FWIW.....You do know that the Titanic sunk??????
Quoting 136. KuCommando:



I don't either....the Boeing engine maintenance reports to the satellite being the key giveaway here.

That plane landed somewhere....Diego Garcia, Maldives, or Pakistan
My initial thought/theory on this back on DAY 1 was Maldives. Also, whatever happened to all of those eye-witnesses seeing a low flying jet to the SW of those islands? No further developments or comments?! Very strange.
Quoting 142. Neapolitan:
Yes, it "landed", alright. Kind of like how the Titanic "docked" in the North Atlantic...
I believe there was some type of criminal behavior associated with the planes disappearance.... It was not the planes fault. Human action is responsible for the loss. jmo
Quoting 143. yonzabam:


And so it begins. The Internet conspiracy theorists are going to have a field day with this one.

Personally, I think MH360 will turn up safe and sound in the Gobi desert, or some such place, in about 30 years time. The passengers and crew won't have any recollection of how they got there, and won't look a day older.

Until then, I guess the CIA will be taking most of the flak.
...watch the plane land safely at Beijing tomorrow, somehow...LOL
Quoting 153. hydrus:
I believe there was some type of criminal behavior associated with the planes disappearance.... It was not the planes fault. Human action is responsible for the loss. jmo
Yup!
Are any of the models coming into agreement for possible severe weather across the South this Thursday into Friday?
Quoting 151. yoboi:




FWIW.....You do know that the Titanic sunk??????


That's what they want you to think.
Quoting 121. PedleyCA:


The date is in the lower corner of this screen. No need to have to remember those things. Monday the 24th of 2014, hee hee.


Yes, but does it matter when you are retired?
161. VR46L
Quoting 157. calkevin77:
Are any of the models coming into agreement for possible severe weather across the South this Thursday into Friday?


Well instability on GFS





Quoting 145. WaterWitch11:
Quoting 1089. AussieStorm:
I can't believe that Malaysian Airlines sent text messages to the Chinese families. For goodness sake, have respect and tell them face to face. What a gutless way to break news of their families members have been lost in a plane crash.



I agree that it is cold, heartless, and gutless. But if they are about announce on live TV that the plane is found with no survivors. At least you got to know a little bit before the rest of the world.
163. VR46L

From Severe plains Twitter feed
Quoting nrtiwlnvragn:
New scale for me, "Hurricane Force Seas". Wonder what the categories are?



Yer reading that wrong.

It's Hurricane Force (winds).
Seas 28-36 feet.
Quoting 146. KuCommando:
That's right....on the one hand you got your internet conspiracy theorists....and on the other hand you got your mainstream media propagandists.

I'll stick with the "theorists" on this one
Knock yourself out; it's a free country. Personally, however, when making a decision based on information vs. imagination, I'll choose the former every time.
Quoting 153. hydrus:
I believe there was some type of criminal behavior associated with the planes disappearance.... It was not the planes fault. Human action is responsible for the loss. jmo
Human action? Possibly: pilot error, loading error, mechanical negligence, etc. But criminal and intentional? Doubt it; there's not been a shred of evidence to back up that claim, and all signs to date point at the typical culprit in such matters: a chain of unfortunate events...
Quoting 162. Dakster:


I agree that it is cold, heartless, and gutless. But if they are about announce on live TV that the plane is found with no survivors. At least you got to know a little bit before the rest of the world.


There is a cultural difference in regards to text messaging. In many parts of Asia, a text like that would not be considered rude/heartless.
167. VR46L
Quoting 165. Neapolitan:
Knock yourself out; it's a free country. Personally, however, when making a decision based on information vs. imagination, I'll choose the former every time.Human action? Possibly: pilot error, loading error, mechanical negligence, etc. But criminal and intentional? Doubt it; there's not been a shred of evidence to back up that claim, and all signs to date point at the typical culprit in such matters: a chain of unfortunate events...


So why was it flying thousand miles in the wrong direction ... It sounds like more than error to me !
Quoting 125. beell:
Well if that ain't just the best weather graphic I have ever seen! A surface low spouting arrows with a misplaced jet stream streaking along underneath. It's all clear now...

Is this TWC?

No. The design for a bridge across forever.
Quoting 116. Neapolitan:
As Paracelsus might have said, dosis sola venenum facit...
We walk through a lone daisy easily?

Have a nice day, peoples of the wu.
Why is it so horrible to tell you by text vs phone call ,personal meeting etc?

It's just a little bit of political correctness in method...if it was me, I wouldn't have cared either way
Quoting 165. Neapolitan:
Human action? Possibly: pilot error, loading error, mechanical negligence, etc. But criminal and intentional? Doubt it; there's not been a shred of evidence to back up that claim, and all signs to date point at the typical culprit in such matters: a chain of unfortunate events...



There isn't too much evidence for either claim.

Things like this are so rare anyhow.
Quoting 167. VR46L:


So why was it flying thousand miles in the wrong direction ... It sounds like more than error to me !


dont try to debate with a pilot..

The Three Pilots

Three pilots are walking through the forest when they come upon a set of tracks.

The first pilot says, "Those are deer tracks."

The second pilot says, "No, those are elk tracks."

The third pilot says, "You're both wrong! Those are moose tracks."

The pilots were still arguing when the train hit them.
Per CNN

Statement from families of Chinese and Taiwanese passengers, reported by CCTV, calls Malaysia government, military "murderers."
174. VR46L
Quoting 172. ncstorm:


dont try to debate with a pilot..

The Three Pilots

Three pilots are walking through the forest when they come upon a set of tracks.

The first pilot says, "Those are deer tracks."

The second pilot says, "No, those are elk tracks."

The third pilot says, "You're both wrong! Those are moose tracks."

The pilots were still arguing when the train hit them.


LOL !!

Some pilots ... I get on well with ... but Yeah I know what you mean !
Quoting 167. VR46L:


So why was it flying thousand miles in the wrong direction ... It sounds like more than error to me !


Nea must have lost his marbles as this is not what everyone on CNN is saying. They are saying this appears to be "deliberate" as the plane dropped down to 12,000 feet so that the plane couldn't be tracked. This is the main reason why the authorities are at a loss right now. Whether this was a deliberate act by the pilot or hijacked by a group of people onboard we may never know. Mechanical error appears to be less likely with each and everyday passing as more and more information is being leaked out.
Quoting 167. VR46L:


So why was it flying thousand miles in the wrong direction ... It sounds like more than error to me !
What makes you think it was going in the wrong direction? If the pilots were headed to the nearest large and unobstructed airport where they could land with a fully-fueled, heavily-loaded airliner in distress, the plane was headed in precisely the right direction. It simply overflew that landing spot by many hundreds of miles. Why it did so is THE big question...
Quoting 175. StormTrackerScott:


Nea must have lost his marbles as they is not what everyone on CNN is saying. They are saying this appears to be "deliberate" as the plane dropped down to 12,000 feet so that the plane couldn't be tracked. This is the main reason why the authorities are at a loss right now. Whether this was a deliberate act by the pilot or hijacked by a group of people onboard we may never know. Mechanical error appears to be less likely as each and everyday passing as more and more information is being leaked out.
Is this the same CNN that had on a psychic yesterday to discuss the plane's whereabouts? That CNN? Gee, I'm not sure how much credence to put into "what everyone on CNN is saying"...

;-)
The latest CFSv2 forecast is calling for a strong El Nino in the fall. Note how the ensemble mean line (dashed black) begins to fall towards the end. Most El Ninos peak in the fall and quickly begin to fade away thereafter.

179. VR46L
Quoting 176. Neapolitan:
What makes you think it was going in the wrong direction? If the pilots were headed to the nearest large and unobstructed airport where they could land with a fully-fueled, heavily-loaded airliner in distress, the plane was headed in precisely the right direction. It simply overflew that landing spot by many hundreds of miles. Why it did so is THE big question...


Because I know where Malaysia and China and Australia are on a map....

But I guess I will have to take the Captains word for it ....
Quoting 179. VR46L:


Because I know where Malaysia and China and Australia are on a map....

But I guess I will have to take the Captains word for it ....


Yeah and flew at 12,000 feet so that the plane couldn't be tracked.
I got the new GFS model!! its move to the east now!!
Quoting StormTrackerScott:


Nea must have lost his marbles as they is not what everyone on CNN is saying. They are saying this appears to be "deliberate" as the plane dropped down to 12,000 feet so that the plane couldn't be tracked. This is the main reason why the authorities are at a loss right now. Whether this was a deliberate act by the pilot or hijacked by a group of people onboard we may never know. Mechanical error appears to be less likely as each and everyday passing as more and more information is being leaked out.

Revised data say that the plane maintained 35,000 ft.
Seems like the only plausible theory would be onboard fire, smoke inhalation, fire went out, plane continued flying.

If Capt. knew he was blacking out he may have re-engaged auto-pilot.

But, really, who knows ?
183. VR46L
Quoting 180. StormTrackerScott:


Yeah and flew at 12,000 feet so that the plane couldn't be tracked.


And never made radio contact that they were going off course ....

Quoting 182. pottery:

Revised data say that the plane maintained 35,000 ft.
Seems like the only plausible theory would be onboard fire, smoke inhalation, fire went out, plane continued flying.

If Capt. knew he was blacking out he may have re-engaged auto-pilot.

But, really, who knows ?


Last I heard was the plane flew at 12,000 feet but again that was last night.

Revised data say that the plane maintained 35,000 ft.
Seems like the only plausible theory would be onboard fire, smoke inhalation, fire went out, plane continued flying.

If Capt. knew he was blacking out he may have re-engaged auto-pilot.

But, really, who knows ?



i think i'd like to wait and see for sure that the wreckage was indeed tied to the flight
It seems that every piece of information about what this plane did or didn't do gets refuted a day or so later. So, how much credence can we place in the latest 'revised' information?

I think it probably did fly thousands of miles south and crashed into the Indian Ocean, never to be recovered. But, at the same time, I wouldn't be all that surprised if the wreckage was found in the Himalayas in 20 years time. A passenger plane that crashed in the Andes wasn't found for 50 years.
10 days has a storm over the Great Lakes, and Battle of the air masses..
Quoting 176. Neapolitan:
What makes you think it was going in the wrong direction? If the pilots were headed to the nearest large and unobstructed airport where they could land with a fully-fueled, heavily-loaded airliner in distress, the plane was headed in precisely the right direction. It simply overflew that landing spot by many hundreds of miles. Why it did so is THE big question...
She probably meant "different" direction, not "wrong" direction. She probably used the word loosely to mean a diverted course, from that to Beijing.
Quoting ricderr:

Revised data say that the plane maintained 35,000 ft.
Seems like the only plausible theory would be onboard fire, smoke inhalation, fire went out, plane continued flying.

If Capt. knew he was blacking out he may have re-engaged auto-pilot.

But, really, who knows ?



i think i'd like to wait and see for sure that the wreckage was indeed tied to the flight

Yeah, true.

Strange stuff, however it goes.
190. VR46L
Quoting 188. Waltanater:
He probably meant "different" direction, not "wrong" direction. He probably used the word loosely to mean a diverted course, from that to Beijing.


He is She ..... LOL!!!

But yeah that's what I meant ...

191. VR46L
Quoting 187. hydrus:
10 days has a storm over the Great Lakes, and Battle of the air masses..


Got to feel for the folks in that area ... Summer still must seem so far away !
Quoting 190. VR46L:


He is She ..... LOL!!!

But yeah that's what I meant ...

LOL...didn't know. I guess I referenced the "wrong" gender there. Sorry about that, no offense intended though.
Quoting 190. VR46L:


He is She ..... LOL!!!

But yeah that's what I meant ...

I went back in time and revised it.
194. VR46L
Quoting 192. Waltanater:
LOL...didn't know. I guess I referenced the "wrong" gender there. Sorry about that, no offense intended though.


No Problemo !

You get used to it on this forum , most seem to be Guys! But Its mostly the Gals that stand up to some folks ;) ....
Quoting 191. VR46L:


Got to feel for the folks in that area ... Summer still must seem so far away !
Yep. I posted this earlier..The polar vort,s spring attack..:)

Quoting 157. calkevin77:
Are any of the models coming into agreement for possible severe weather across the South this Thursday into Friday?
Not yet, according to the official day 4-8 convective outlook - today being day 1, Thurs being day 4 and Friday being day 5. from SPC this morning recognizes severe potential over the south central plains perhaps clear to mid-Atlantic, but they have not yet designated a risk area. The question is whether or not enough low level moisture will stream up from the GOM in time. The short wave (a mid-level atmospheric impulse) that would stir up severe weather may arrive sooner than the moisture. Moisture contributes to instability and is vital for thunderstorm formation and maintenance. Meteorologist Jeff Haby hints: A good reference for anyone who would like to read about the atmospheric ingredients necessary for a thunderstorm/severe thunderstorm and other aspects of severe weather.

Excerpt from today's day 4-8 SPC convective outlook...
STILL SEEMS MOST LIKELY THAT THE EASTWARD AND NORTHEASTWARD PROGRESSION OF THE STRONGER MID/UPPER FORCING FOR LARGE-SCALE ASCENT AND DEEP LAYER FLOW FIELDS... AWAY FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO... WILL OCCUR PRIOR TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SEASONABLY MOIST RETURN FLOW. AND THE MODEST NATURE OF THE RETURN FLOW PROBABLY WILL LIMIT THE EXTENT OF THE CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL. AT LEAST LOW SEVERE PROBABILITIES MAY DEVELOP ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTH CENTRAL PLAINS AND OZARK PLATEAU THROUGH THE LOWER OHIO/TENNESSEE VALLEY REGION... PERHAPS INTO THE MID ATLANTIC COAST ... THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. BUT CERTAINTY IS NOT GREAT ENOUGH AT THIS TIME TO INTRODUCE A REGIONAL SEVERE RISK AREA.
steady rain here most of this afternoon............
Quoting 180. StormTrackerScott:


Yeah and flew at 12,000 feet so that the plane couldn't be tracked.


I guess that the report of flying at 12,000 ft has been refuted, so it's entirely moot-- but if one of the things that suddenly went haywire on that flight was a loss of cabin pressure, it would be expected that the pilots would try to get the plane to a lower altitude.

I have no inside knowledge if any of this is valid, but I may or may not have stayed at a Holiday Inn Express last night...
12z GFS has the big storm staying off shore,til it hits far eastern Canada..
Quoting 191. VR46L:


Got to feel for the folks in that area ... Summer still must seem so far away !

This cold has probably messed up any idea of 'summer' for them. The Great Lakes being as frozen as they are right now means that it'll take longer to melt, and the water temperatures will be below average for much of the year. The cooler water will promote cooler temperatures in surrounding locations (this happens here in the spring; the air temperature inland will be warm, but if you go to the beach, the air temperature is a good 10-15 degrees colder because of the Atlantic). It also probably signals an earlier start to winter next season.
Quoting LargoFl:
steady rain here most of this afternoon............

Send some for me%u2026.

Temp 90
Humid. 52%
H.Index 95.
Wind 14 mph SE.

Dry, smoky, dusty.
Not Sahara dust, though.

(edited)
HRRR model has a slight risk of Tornado's behind the front........
Quoting 201. pottery:

Send some for me%u2026.

Temp 90
Humid. 52%
H.Index 95.
Wind 14 mph SE.

Dry, smoky, dusty.
Not Sahara dust, though.

(edited)


Feel the same way. Like one of those 90/90 days. (temp/humidity)
XX/XX/XX
Quoting 203. Dakster:


Feel the same way. Like one of those 90/90 days. (temp/humidity)


BTW the combination of 90F and 90% relative humidity is extremely rare outdoors in the U.S. It requres an 86F dewpoint.
206. VR46L
Quoting 200. TropicalAnalystwx13:

This cold has probably messed up any idea of 'summer' for them. The Great Lakes being as frozen as they are right now means that it'll take longer to melt, and the water temperatures will be below average for much of the year. The cooler water will promote cooler temperatures in surrounding locations (this happens here in the spring; the air temperature inland will be warm, but if you go to the beach, the air temperature is a good 10-15 degrees colder because of the Atlantic). It also probably signals an earlier start to winter next season.


Yes I am aware of that , The CFS is predicting below average temps right through to November ...










I have left out a few months but they all show its going to be cold

By the way I am also aware of both the warming during the winter and cooling effect in the summer of the atlantic ... I probably live closer to the Atlantic .. 500 metres away
If anyone wants to voice a guess on how strong the 2014 El Nino will be,you can voice your take on my ENSO Blog.
The commahead of developing super nor'easter will impact the mountains of North Carolina to Maryland with few inches of snow before moving offshore. Asheville is expecting around one inch of snow, although I think it'll be less than that since microclimate of the valley here tends to make events drier than what the models are showing.
Quoting 207. Tropicsweatherpr:
If anyone wants to voice a guess on how strong the 2014 El Nino will be,you can voice your take on my ENSO Blog.


How can I "voice" my opinion on a typed blog?

I really don't want to create a youtube... However, I may post my opinion.

(sarcasm - not being serious)
Quoting 205. georgevandenberghe:


BTW the combination of 90F and 90% relative humidity is extremely rare outdoors in the U.S. It requres an 86F dewpoint.


When it is 90f and raining, it sure feels horrible. I know it kinda cools off, but then when the sun shines and evaporates the water off the driveway we can have a clam bake without a fire or grill..
NEW: Malaysian police have interviewed 50 people in their investigation, state media reports
Prime Minister says analysis of satellite data shows the plane went down in the Indian Ocean
"They have told us all lives are lost," a relative of a missing passenger tells CNN
Family statement: If relatives lost lives because of delays, Malaysian officials are "murderers"

Wow harsh words, I feel their pain and anger in this and I agree Malaysian officials did not handle this situation well at all.
Indian Hills, Riverside, California (PWS)
Updated: 2:04 PM PDT on March 24, 2014
Haze
66.7 °F
Haze
Humidity: 64%
Dew Point: 54 °F
Wind: 8.0 mph from the North
Wind Gust: 12.0 mph

Pressure: 30.01 in (Falling)
Visibility: 6.0 miles
UV: 7 out of 16
Pollen: 9.10 out of 12
Pollen Forecast new!
Clouds:
Scattered Clouds 20000 ft
(Above Ground Level)
Elevation: 1070 ft

We are still being promised(sic) .10-.25" of rain on Wednesday. 70.2F at my place.
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
337 PM EDT MON MAR 24 2014

...POWERFUL WINTER STORM LIKELY TO AFFECT SOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND
AND PARTICULARLY THE CAPE AND ISLANDS VERY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

MAZ022>024-250345-
/O.EXT.KBOX.BZ.A.0004.140326T0400Z-140326T1800Z/
BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHATHAM...FALMOUTH...PROVINCETOWN...
VINEYARD HAVEN...NANTUCKET
337 PM EDT MON MAR 24 2014

...BLIZZARD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...CAPE COD...NANTUCKET AND MARTHA/S VINEYARD.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW...STRONG DAMAGING WINDS AND BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH A LOW
PROBABILITY FOR UP TO A FOOT OF SNOW ACROSS THE OUTER-CAPE AND
NANTUCKET.

* TIMING...VERY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY IN HEAVY SNOW AND STRONG WINDS
ARE POSSIBLE. BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW MAY MAKE TRAVEL ALMOST
IMPOSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY FOR THE WEDNESDAY MORNING RUSH HOUR. IN
ADDITION...STRONG WINDS MAY RESULT IN DOWNED TREES AND POWER
OUTAGES.

* WINDS...NORTH 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 65 MPH. LOW
PROBABILITY FOR A FEW GUSTS UP TO HURRICANE FORCE ACROSS THE
OUTER-CAPE AND NANTUCKET.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S AND LOWER 30S.

* VISIBILITIES...ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR CONSIDERABLE
FALLING AND/OR BLOWING SNOW WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT
GUSTS OVER 35 MPH AND VISIBILITIES BELOW 1/4 MILE FOR AT LEAST
3 HOURS. WHITEOUT CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAKING TRAVEL
VERY DANGEROUS.
A pretty good article here about tornadoes. Even though 2014 is among the slowest start to the season (still slightly ahead of 2013 I believe), it's really dangerous to say we're in tornado drought. Last year was a very good example of that as Oklahoma suffered two weeks of chaos that won't be forgotten for a long time. Also, we can't forget November outbreak in Illinois/Indiana as well. 2013 was like 1992 hurricane season regarding tornadoes. Even though this year look dead once again for the 3rd year in the row, there will be an outburst or two somewhere in USA and hopefully no major city get hit...

http://thevane.gawker.com/beware-the-tornado-drou ght-it-only-takes-one-1549721487?utm_campaign=soci alflow_gawker_twitter&utm_source=gawker_twitter&ut m_medium=socialflow
Quoting 210. Dakster:


When it is 90f and raining, it sure feels horrible. I know it kinda cools off, but then when the sun shines and evaporates the water off the driveway we can have a clam bake without a fire or grill..


I can see how this could happen for a short time over a local area after a small amount of rain had fallen on hot bare soil or pavement. But it wouldn't last long before being mixed out with drier surrounding and aloft air.
The weather channel forecast for the AHS was 11/6/3.
Quoting 216. georgevandenberghe:


I can see how this could happen for a short time over a local area after a small amount of rain had fallen on hot bare soil or pavement. But it wouldn't last long before being mixed out with drier surrounding and aloft air.


Ever been in Miami during the summer. Even at night you sweat the second you hit the door to the outside.

And I am not really being serious - it's hot but probably not 90/90 for long. Hot enough, let's put it that way.
Quoting 215. hydrus:


Image 215 looks like a damming signature for the northeast (sigh! some things never change)
Just saw the movie Gravity..excellent film!!
Quoting 217. Haiyan2013:
The weather channel forecast for the AHS was 11/6/3.
Seems reasonable. I'm thinking about going with 9/4/1. The 1 major being a Cat. 5 Hurricane.
Quoting 221. GTstormChaserCaleb:
Seems reasonable. I'm thinking about going with 9/4/1. The 1 major being a Cat. 5 Hurricane.


Gutsy.
Quoting 218. Dakster:


Ever been in Miami during the summer. Even at night you sweat the second you hit the door to the outside.

And I am not really being serious - it's hot but probably not 90/90 for long. Hot enough, let's put it that way.


Not since 1973. Don't remember it that bad but do remember the tiny cumulus that could produce rain showers there in marine air.

TLH 1985 and 1986
FMY 1982 1983 1985 1986 (July)

I don't remember it THAT bad but it was pretty hot and humid all the time in these places.

DC gets conditions as bad or worse but not for very long. What got me in FL wasn't the daily heat, it was the week after week persistence for months.

Yeah DC isn't nearly as bad as FL for summer heat. I'll grant that.

Quoting 178. TropicalAnalystwx13:
The latest CFSv2 forecast is calling for a strong El Nino in the fall. Note how the ensemble mean line (dashed black) begins to fall towards the end. Most El Ninos peak in the fall and quickly begin to fade away thereafter.

And why is that?
Researchers Unravel the Mystery of El Niño’s Link to the Indian Monsoon

For more than 100 years scientists have connected the variability of the summer monsoon rains in India to El Niño, a rise in sea surface temperatures in the equatorial Pacific having significant consequences for weather around the globe. But events in the last 25 years seem to have reduced forecasters’ ability to predict the monsoon to a mere roll of the dice.

During the 1980s and 1990s, the correlation between El Niño events and the monsoon fell to near zero. While El Niño events became more frequent during this period, the summer rains remained normal in India. Then, in 1997, a widely heralded prediction of drought based on real-time data from buoys placed in the Pacific Ocean proved to be totally false.

While flooding events have certainly damaged crops and claimed lives, drought is of even more concern in India, says CU-Boulder Assistant Professor Balaji Rajagopalan, because the impact is so long-lasting. The country lacks large reservoirs that can moderate a drought’s impact on food supplies. The fact that the monsoon season is evolving at the same time as El Niño each year makes it all the more difficult to predict conditions and avert disaster.

Following the 1997 prediction failure, Rajagopalan joined with colleagues Krishna Kumar and Mark Cane, all of whom were at Columbia University at the time, to analyze the apparent weakening relationship between El Niño and the monsoon. In a 1999 article in Science, they traced the breakdown to a southeastern shift in the position of El Niño along with increased surface temperatures over Eurasia brought on by the continental warming trend. The warming of the land mass appeared to essentially balance or negate the effects of the El Niño disturbance.

Two subsequent prediction failures, resulting in unexpected and devastating droughts in 2002 and 2004, prompted the researchers to continue their work. In the September 2006 issue of Science, they published a new paper with colleagues Martin Hoerling and Gary Bates of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Admin-istration showing that the spatial location of El Niño warming is actually more important than its relative strength in predicting the monsoons.

The researchers analyzed historical data of rainfall over central India along with satellite observations of sea surface temperatures in the Pacific and were able to identify two distinct patterns or “flavors” of El Niño. Warming in the central Pacific correlated with drought conditions in India, whereas warming in the eastern Pacific correlated with normal monsoon conditions. When El Niño warming is located farther to the west, Rajagopalan says, the physical effect is to cause an increased ascent of moisture over the ocean anomaly, which then descends broadly over southeast Asia and suppresses the monsoon rains.

The authors confirmed their findings in three climate models, and efforts are under way by the Indian Meteorological Department to incorporate this information into the monsoon forecasting system.

Rajagopalan and his colleagues will continue their work by creating a new forecasting model, while also looking at climate warming trends and trying to determine which “flavor” of El Niño is likely to dominate in the years to come.

Although some researchers believe that conditions in the Indian Ocean may play an independent role in determining the strength of the monsoons, Rajagopalan maintains they are more a response to El Niño than a separate factor. “El Niño is still the 600-pound gorilla that moves the monsoon,” he says.

Rajagopalan studies a variety of climatic and hydrologic phenomena and their impacts on water resources management and decision support as a faculty member in the department of civil, environmental and architectural engineering and a fellow of the Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences.

“The monsoon is my passion,” he says. “With even a little more understanding, we can impact up to one billion people.”

Link
Quoting 178. TropicalAnalystwx13:
The latest CFSv2 forecast is calling for a strong El Nino in the fall. Note how the ensemble mean line (dashed black) begins to fall towards the end. Most El Ninos peak in the fall and quickly begin to fade away thereafter.



Most El Ninos in a negative PDO pattern, I believe do that.
Freeze warning very far south.
Quoting 207. Tropicsweatherpr:
If anyone wants to voice a guess on how strong the 2014 El Nino will be,you can voice your take on my ENSO Blog.
maybe the super el nino come in the summer like 3.5


i think this data is incorrect
876mb... really.. no
Quoting 212. PedleyCA:
Indian Hills, Riverside, California (PWS)
Updated: 2:04 PM PDT on March 24, 2014
Haze
66.7 °F
Haze
Humidity: 64%
Dew Point: 54 °F
Wind: 8.0 mph from the North
Wind Gust: 12.0 mph

Pressure: 30.01 in (Falling)
Visibility: 6.0 miles
UV: 7 out of 16
Pollen: 9.10 out of 12
Pollen Forecast new!
Clouds:
Scattered Clouds 20000 ft
(Above Ground Level)
Elevation: 1070 ft

We are still being promised(sic) .10-.25" of rain on Wednesday. 70.2F at my place.
I wish its was 70F HERE its only 33F IN NEW HAVEN,CONN its cold and windy here
I saw a precip N.O.A.A map issued today forecast valid for Thursday, and it showed a sliver of snow depth between 27 to 33 inches through the middle of Nova Scotia. That cannot even be close to correct, do N.O.A.A actually forecast with any accuracy in snowstorms?
232. VR46L
Quoting 229. nwobilderburg:


i think this data is incorrect
876mb... really.. no


I think you are right ... will hunt around more

Link
Jeb Bush, Hillary Clinton together again to talk education

(CNN) – Jeb Bush and Hillary Clinton - two central figures in modern politics with 2016 prospects - joined forces Monday to talk global education.

In her keynote address, Clinton praised Bush's dedication to education reform since serving two terms as governor of Florida, where he overhauled the state's education system, introducing a school voucher program and banning using race as a factor in university admissions.

2 thumbs up! In fact, if these 2 ran for the next presidential election I don't know who I would vote for, seriously. Jeb was a good governor for this state in both education and disaster response and relief. Clinton well her husband was the last great president we had, economy was booming back then, gas price was like 99 cents and we were in a surplus. 15 years later gas is over 3 dollars and people are living pay check to pay check.

Link
Quoting 233. GTstormChaserCaleb:
Jeb Bush, Hillary Clinton together again to talk education

(CNN) – Jeb Bush and Hillary Clinton - two central figures in modern politics with 2016 prospects - joined forces Monday to talk global education.

In her keynote address, Clinton praised Bush's dedication to education reform since serving two terms as governor of Florida, where he overhauled the state's education system, introducing a school voucher program and banning using race as a factor in university admissions.

2 thumbs up! In fact, if these 2 ran for the next presidential election I don't know who I would vote for, seriously. Jeb was a good governor for this state in both education and disaster response and relief. Clinton well her husband was the last great president we had, economy was booming back then, gas price was like 99 cents and we were in a surplus. 15 years later gas is over 3 dollars and people are living pay check to pay check.

Link


Jeb wont win cause of his brother.... even though he is much better than W. ever was. Hillary clinton will probably win if she runs.
Quoting 233. GTstormChaserCaleb:
Jeb Bush, Hillary Clinton together again to talk education

(CNN) – Jeb Bush and Hillary Clinton - two central figures in modern politics with 2016 prospects - joined forces Monday to talk global education.

In her keynote address, Clinton praised Bush's dedication to education reform since serving two terms as governor of Florida, where he overhauled the state's education system, introducing a school voucher program and banning using race as a factor in university admissions.

2 thumbs up! In fact, if these 2 ran for the next presidential election I don't know who I would vote for, seriously. Jeb was a good governor for this state in both education and disaster response and relief. Clinton well her husband was the last great president we had, economy was booming back then, gas price was like 99 cents and we were in a surplus. 15 years later gas is over 3 dollars and people are living pay check to pay check.

Link


We dont need another Bush in the White House..
Quoting 233. GTstormChaserCaleb:
Jeb Bush, Hillary Clinton together again to talk education

(CNN) – Jeb Bush and Hillary Clinton - two central figures in modern politics with 2016 prospects - joined forces Monday to talk global education.

In her keynote address, Clinton praised Bush's dedication to education reform since serving two terms as governor of Florida, where he overhauled the state's education system, introducing a school voucher program and banning using race as a factor in university admissions.

2 thumbs up! In fact, if these 2 ran for the next presidential election I don't know who I would vote for, seriously. Jeb was a good governor for this state in both education and disaster response and relief. Clinton well her husband was the last great president we had, economy was booming back then, gas price was like 99 cents and we were in a surplus. 15 years later gas is over 3 dollars and people are living pay check to pay check.

Link
Jeb was a great Governor. Hillary is very intelligent, probably more so than William...
Quoting 232. VR46L:


I think you are right ... will hunt around more

Link


probably some glitch or some error... the eye was already breaking apart at that point
Quoting 227. hydrus:
Freeze warning very far south.


High today in the 50s... tomorrow and wednesday in the low to mid 50s...typical january weather.

Lows in the upper 20s
Quoting 235. ncstorm:


We dont need another Bush in the White House..
This is true..The Bush name has been broadcast with annoying frequency since the 70,s , all through the 80,s and early 90,s. . They are a great family, however... enough already.
Quoting 237. nwobilderburg:


probably some glitch or some error... the eye was already breaking apart at that point

Don't trust that page for pressure estimates. It almost always has an outrageous low pressure bias.

Global warming not stopped, will go on for centuries: WMO
BY ROBERT EVANS.

(Reuters) - There has been no reverse in the trend of global warming and there is still consistent evidence for man-made climate change, the head of the U.N. World Meteorological Organisation (WMO) said on Monday.

A slow-down in the average pace of warming at the planet's surface this century has been cited by "climate skeptics" as evidence that climate change is not happening at the potentially catastrophic rate predicted by a U.N. panel of scientists.

But U.N. weather agency chief Michel Jarraud said ocean temperatures, in particular, were rising fast, and extreme weather events, forecast by climate scientists, showed climate change was inevitable for the coming centuries.

"There is no standstill in global warming," Jarraud said as he presented the WMO's annual review of the world's climate which concluded that 2013 tied with 2007 as the sixth hottest year since 1850 when recording of annual figures began.

"The warming of our oceans has accelerated, and at lower depths. More than 90 percent of the excess energy trapped by greenhouse gases is stored in the oceans.

"Levels of these greenhouse gases are at a record, meaning that our atmosphere and oceans will continue to warm for centuries to come. The laws of physics are non-negotiable," Jarraud told a news conference.

The 21-page survey said the global land and sea surface temperature in 2013 was 14.5 degrees Celsius (58.1 Fahrenheit), or 0.50C (0.90F) above the 1961-90 average. It was also 0.03C (0.05F) up on the average for 2001-2010.

The WMO's Annual Statement on the Status of the Climate, pointed to droughts, heatwaves, rising seas, floods and tropical cyclones around the globe last year as evidence of what the future might hold.

FLUCTUATIONS

It was issued on the eve of a conference bringing climate scientists together with officials from over 100 governments in Japan from March 25-29 to approve a report on the effects of future global warming and how these might be mitigated.

A draft of this report, from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), says global warming will disrupt food supplies, slow world economic growth and may already be causing irreversible damage to nature.

The chair of the IPCC, Rajendra Pachauri, told Reuters last week that the report made even more compelling the scientific arguments for a reduction in greenhouse gas emissions.

Some 200 countries have agreed to try to limit global warming to less than 2.0 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial times, largely by cutting emissions from burning fossil fuels like coal, oil and gas.

Skeptics argue that changes in global weather are the product of natural fluctuations or other natural causes.

But such arguments were rejected by Jarraud.

Natural phenomena like volcanoes or the El Nino/La Nina weather patterns originating in Pacific Ocean temperature changes had always framed the planet's climate, affecting heat levels and disasters like drought and floods, he said.

"But many of the extreme events of 2013 were consistent with what we would expect as a result of human-induced climate change," declared the WMO chief, pointing to the destruction wreaked by Typhoon Haiyan in the Philippines.

Another example was the record hot summer of 2012-13 in Australia which brought huge bush fires and destruction of property. Computer simulations showed the heat wave was 5 times as likely under human influence on climate, Jarraud said.

Among other extreme events of 2013 probably due to climate change were winter freezes in the U.S. south-east and Europe, heavy rains and floods in north-east China and eastern Russia, snow across the Middle East and drought in south-east Africa.

(Editing by Robin Pomeroy) Tue Mar 25, 2014 2:13am IST.
So... there will be a SUPER MODOKI EL NINO?? Great!!
Quoting 20. wunderkidcayman:

As I stated this year appears to be the year for storms in the West Caribbean the GOM and the extreme US E coast while Atlantic E Caribbean and NW Atlantic is null


Of course lol
I have a lot of respect for Old Man Bush and met him a few times back in the day; don't care for either of his sons however...............

On the weather front, the cold continues for much of the US this week. Someone made the comment this morning that we have had a mild March Spring severe weather season; however, Winter is not quite over this year for the US regardless of the date. I think that, this year, the severe weather season for the mid-west will unfold in April once the moist Gulf flow is in place on a consistent basis.
Global warming to hit Asia hardest, warns new report on climate change
Flooding, famine and rising sea levels will put hundreds of millions at risk in one of the world's most vulnerable regions



Robin McKie, science editor
The Observer, Saturday 22 March 2014 17.21 EDT



Asia will face new challenges over food security because of climate change. Photograph: Jiang Kehong/AP


People in coastal regions of Asia, particularly those living in cities, could face some of the worst effects of global warming, climate experts will warn this week. Hundreds of millions of people are likely to lose their homes as flooding, famine and rising sea levels sweep the region, one of the most vulnerable on Earth to the impact of global warming, the UN states.

The report Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability makes it clear that for the first half of this century countries such as the UK will avoid the worst impacts of climate change, triggered by rising carbon dioxide levels in the atmosphere. By contrast, people living in developing countries in low latitudes, particularly those along the coast of Asia, will suffer the most, especially those living in crowded cities.

A final draft of the report, seen by the Observer, will be debated by a panel of scientists set up by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) this week at a meeting in Yokohama, Japan, and will form a key part of the IPCC's fifth assessment report on global warming, whose other sections will be published later this year.

According to the scientists who have written the draft report, hundreds of millions of people will be affected by coastal flooding and land loss as global temperatures rise, ice caps melt and sea levels rise. "The majority of it will be in east, south-east and south Asia. Some small island states are expected to face very high impacts."

In addition, the report warns that cities also face particular problems. "Heat stress, extreme precipitation, inland and coastal flooding, as well as drought and water scarcity, pose risks in urban areas with risks amplified for those lacking essential infrastructure and services or living in exposed areas." The report adds that this latter forecast is made with very high confidence.

In addition, climate change will slow down economic growth, further erode food security and trigger new poverty traps, particularly "in urban areas and emerging hot spots of hunger," it is argued.

This combination of a high-risk region and the special vulnerability of cities make coastal Asian urban centres likely flashpoints for future conflict and hardship as the planet warms up this century. Acrid plumes of smoke produced by forest fires triggered by drought and other factors %u2013are already choking cities across south-east Asia. In future, this problem is likely to get worse, say scientists.

The authors warn that some other climate change effects will be global. "Climate change throughout the 21st century will lead to increases in ill-health in many regions, as compared to a baseline without climate change," the report states. "Examples include greater likelihood of injury, disease, and death due to more intense heatwaves and fires; increased likelihood of under-nutrition resulting from diminished food production in poor regions; and increased risks from food-borne and water-borne disease."

Other potential crises highlighted by the report include the likelihood that yields of major crops such as wheat, rice and maize are likely to decline at rates of up to 2% a decade, at a time when demands for these crops triggered by world population increases are likely to rise by 14%. At the same time, coral reefs face devastating destruction triggered by increasing amounts of carbon dioxide dissolving in sea water and acidifying Earth's oceans.

The report makes grim reading. "This comprehensive scientific assessment makes clear that climate change is having a growing impact in the UK and around the world, and that the risks of catastrophic consequences increase every day as more greenhouse gas pollution is pumped into the atmosphere. I hope David Cameron will read this report and understand the huge dangers of delaying the bigger cuts in emissions that are required to protect our children, grandchildren and future generations against this devastating threat," said Bob Ward, policy and communications director at the Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change.



Quoting 235. ncstorm:


We dont need another Bush in the White House..
This country has been ran by morons for the last 14 years im voting for monty Brewster
Quoting 242. CaribBoy:
So... there will be a SUPER MODOKI EL NINO?? Great!!
Because is super and a modoki doesn't mean is good for the atlantic.Warmer water on another ocean is not good for atlantic instability.
Quoting 243. CaribBoy:


Of course lol

Speak for yourself you want a maj hurricane on you to dump a monsoon ton of rain on you

Quoting 242. CaribBoy:
So... there will be a SUPER MODOKI EL NINO?? Great!!

I personally think if any El Ninõ it would be a modoki
There sure has been a lot of talk about a Modoki El Nino. I'm not sure where this is coming from...while it may transition into a Modoki El Nino towards the end of its life as Neutral/La Nina begins to take over, the upcoming El Nino looks to be very traditional in nature.
Quoting 248. wunderkidcayman:

Speak for yourself you want a maj hurricane on you to dump a monsoon ton of rain on you


I personally think if any El Ninõ it would be a modoki

And it would be weak max would be moderate El Ninõ
About to sign off until tomorrow but here is the latest NWS update on the current weather set-up for Conus. Notice the wording for the NE low. Thank God it is going to stay offshore of the NE US.... :)

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
505 PM EDT Mon Mar 24 2014

Valid 00Z Tue Mar 25 2014 - 00Z Thu Mar 27 2014

...Spring put on hold for much of the central and eastern U.S....

...Blizzard conditions possible with bombogenesis off the Northeast coast...

...Widespread precipitation expected with a Pacific front moving inland over the western U.S....

...Shower and thunderstorm activity will be on the increase across Texas...

Another Arctic high sliding down from western Canada and moving in over the central and eastern U.S. will keep temperatures well below normal across several locations east of the Rockies early this week. In addition to the cold...light snows will be possible with energy embedded in the flow aloft...which is expected to swing through the Middle/Upper Mississippi Valley Monday evening and into the northern Mid-Atlantic region by Tuesday morning.


See You Folks in the AM.
Article is in the Telegraph.
With what been going on over the past year or two with the ENSO I would not be surprised if it jumps on the warm side and then fall back to cool like it did in Nov/Dec13-Jan14
The Weather Channel 2014 Atlantic Hurricane Season Prediction

After one of the quietest hurricane seasons in decades, forecasters with The Weather Channel predict a below-average 2014 Atlantic hurricane season.

The early outlook released Monday calls for 11 named storms, including five hurricanes, two of which are predicted to attain major hurricane status (Category 3 or stronger on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale).

This is slightly below the long-term average of 12 named storms, six hurricanes and three major hurricanes.

"The early dynamical model runs suggest another relatively slow season," said Dr. Todd Crawford, chief meteorologist for Weather Services International (WSI), a part of the The Weather Company. "Three independent statistical techniques all suggest 11 named storms this year."

Here are four questions about this outlook and what it means for you.
2014 Atlantic hurricane season outlook

Potential impact of El Nino on 2014 Atlantic hurricane season.
Q: Does this mean a less destructive hurricane season?

There is no strong correlation between the number of storms or hurricanes and U.S. landfalls in any given season.

"It is important to note that our forecasts are for the total number of storms that may occur anywhere within the Atlantic Ocean, and do not attempt to predict the number of storms that will make landfall in the U.S.," said Dr. Peter Neilley, vice president of Global Forecasting Services at WSI.

In 1983, there were only four named storms, but one of them was Alicia, a Category 3 hurricane which hit the Houston-Galveston area.

The 2010 season featured 12 hurricanes and 19 named storms, which tied 1995 for the third most named storms in any Atlantic season, at the time. But not a single hurricane, and only one tropical storm, made landfall in the U.S during that active season.

In other words, a season can deliver many storms, but have little impact, or deliver few storms and have one or more hitting the U.S. coast with major impact.

Therefore, it's important to be prepared for hurricanes and tropical storms every year, regardless of seasonal forecasts.



Quoting 240. 1900hurricane:

Don't trust that page for pressure estimates. It almost always has an outrageous low pressure bias.



836... i want to believe.... lol
Quoting 165. Neapolitan:
Knock yourself out; it's a free country. Personally, however, when making a decision based on information vs. imagination, I'll choose the former every time.Human action? Possibly: pilot error, loading error, mechanical negligence, etc. But criminal and intentional? Doubt it; there's not been a shred of evidence to back up that claim, and all signs to date point at the typical culprit in such matters: a chain of unfortunate events...



Sadly, conspiracy theory photos abound already on social networks, and our being shared with frequency.

I'd say it might be possible something criminal was involved, but as you point out, there isn't any proof of it being so. If that's the case, we certainly shouldn't treating it as so, it doesn't do any good, and simply spreads fear and slander.

One of the ugly sides of of internet and social networks, is that never before is there such vast attainable amount of misinformation to access that people embrace, get angry and get passionate about, all for nothing.
A raw day in the 50s. We had a high of 65 shortly after midnight. Cloudy and windy and 50s all day. Temp now 54, our low for the day. No rain yet. Ate lunch inside.
Quoting 259. DonnieBwkGA:
A raw day in the 50s. We had a high of 65 shortly after midnight. Cloudy and windy and 50s all day. Temp now 54, our low for the day. No rain yet. Ate lunch inside.
Where are you at.?
Indian Hills, Riverside, California (PWS)
Updated: 4:30 PM PDT on March 24, 2014
Clear
66.1 °F
Clear
Humidity: 65%
Dew Point: 54 °F

Wind: 9.0 mph Variable
Wind Gust: 13.0 mph

Forecast was 76, made it to 70.7 at my place.
winds in the east, mist coming in like something is brewing about to begin. cant put my finger on what lies in store but I feel whats to happen all happen before.

adore this little poem...
Quoting 265. WaterWitch11:
winds in the east, mist coming in like something is brewing about to begin. cant put my finger on what lies in store but I feel whats to happen all happen before.

adore this little poem...
Are you in Maryland.
Quoting 209. Dakster:


How can I "voice" my opinion on a typed blog?

I really don't want to create a youtube... However, I may post my opinion.

(sarcasm - not being serious)
Metaphor, dude...

Quoting 233. GTstormChaserCaleb:
Jeb Bush, Hillary Clinton together again to talk education

(CNN) – Jeb Bush and Hillary Clinton - two central figures in modern politics with 2016 prospects - joined forces Monday to talk global education.

In her keynote address, Clinton praised Bush's dedication to education reform since serving two terms as governor of Florida, where he overhauled the state's education system, introducing a school voucher program and banning using race as a factor in university admissions.

2 thumbs up! In fact, if these 2 ran for the next presidential election I don't know who I would vote for, seriously. Jeb was a good governor for this state in both education and disaster response and relief. Clinton well her husband was the last great president we had, economy was booming back then, gas price was like 99 cents and we were in a surplus. 15 years later gas is over 3 dollars and people are living pay check to pay check.

Link
Not to get into politics, but I always thought they picked the wrong brother the first time around.... [lol]
Quoting 266. hydrus:
Are you in Maryland.


no should I be? :)
maybe a big storm but out in the water less snow now for the northeast!! new modeles are out and move to the east on this run!!
Quoting 261. hydrus:
Where are you at.?


Brunswick, GA
Quoting 270. DonnieBwkGA:


Brunswick, GA
Thanks..It helps..:)
Quoting 268. WaterWitch11:


no should I be? :)
Louisiana..?
Quoting ncstorm:


We dont need another Bush in the White House..
Quoting GTstormChaserCaleb:
Jeb Bush, Hillary Clinton together again to talk education

(CNN) – Jeb Bush and Hillary Clinton - two central figures in modern politics with 2016 prospects - joined forces Monday to talk global education.

In her keynote address, Clinton praised Bush's dedication to education reform since serving two terms as governor of Florida, where he overhauled the state's education system, introducing a school voucher program and banning using race as a factor in university admissions.

2 thumbs up! In fact, if these 2 ran for the next presidential election I don't know who I would vote for, seriously. Jeb was a good governor for this state in both education and disaster response and relief. Clinton well her husband was the last great president we had, economy was booming back then, gas price was like 99 cents and we were in a surplus. 15 years later gas is over 3 dollars and people are living pay check to pay check.

Link


The economy ISN'T booming because gas is 3 times the rate. Oil prices are set internationally, nothing to do with Bush, Obama or Clinton. Your post almost sounds like the gas price was the result of the economy, where as it is the CAUSE of the economy more than likely.
Remember everybody is invited to my 1 year anniversary on my blog tomorrow.
Quoting 273. hydrus:
Louisiana..?

I wish...california
Quoting 274. jonger1150:


The economy ISN'T booming because gas is 3 times the rate. Oil prices are set internationally, nothing to do with Bush, Obama or Clinton. Your post almost sounds like the gas price was the result of the economy, where as it is the CAUSE of the economy more than likely.
Gas prices put many small and medium businesses under...Shame
Quoting 276. WaterWitch11:

I wish...california
There was a handle similar to yours that hailed from Maryland.
For West Palm Beach...

Come check out my blog Andre, a bittersweet story.
Quoting 273. hydrus:
Louisiana..?

You are being very persistent tonight Hydrus!

So our big question is ????
What is going to be the direction of the storm bomb thing after its has done its bit in Nova Scotia?
Is it coming over to our lot and going to cause more bother?
Meanwhile we are dipping back into winter here for a few days with temps down to about 14/C max.
Hmmm... the MetBomb looks like it's going to be a relatively light and fast-moving event for us. I won't be sad to get some rain, though, since it helps keep the dust down.

Any rain started yet in the S FL area?
Plaza it looks like the storm will head up Baffin Bay.
Quoting 283. DonnieBwkGA:
Plaza it looks like the storm will head up Baffin Bay.

Thanks for that one.
We have had enough of those things for one year and its nice to sleep at night without hearing the screaming of gale force winds around the house.
Quoting 282. BahaHurican:
Hmmm... the MetBomb looks like it's going to be a relatively light and fast-moving event for us. I won't be sad to get some rain, though, since it helps keep the dust down.

Any rain started yet in the S FL area?


Nice evening. Have doors open, listening to the showers...

Quoting 282. BahaHurican:
Hmmm... the MetBomb looks like it's going to be a relatively light and fast-moving event for us. I won't be sad to get some rain, though, since it helps keep the dust down.

Any rain started yet in the S FL area?

I've had sprinkles. Darker rain clouds off to my south 1/2 the day. I'm getting mostly missed so far but some are getting rain.

Quoting 277. hydrus:
Gas prices put many small and medium businesses under...Shame

Based on an exchange rate of $1.34 to the Euro and a litre to gallon rate of 3.8.

We are paying $7.23 cents a gallon for gas as of today in my town.
A lot of people are working for about $5 an hour and some as low as $3 an hour.
Based on this for a low paid worker on welfare he has to work, or collect for about 3 hours to get enough to buy a gallon of gas.
Meanwhile they tell us that the economy is improving and that the weekends riots in Madrid to do with what they call austerity measure's are simply and anomaly!

Que sera sera?

Hope we get a long calm spell before the next storm.
Looks like it's staying north of Miami, which means we prolly won't get much tonight [the storms don't look like they're in much of a hurry to drop any further south for the time being].

It still seems unusual to see a system with this much moisture associated in March...
289. beell
Re: MH 370
A snippet from a BBC release around 7PM ET. Not sure if this was posted earlier. Hopefully, the details will follow.

BBC/Asia

...Inmarsat had already revealed that it did indeed receive signals - automated "pings" - from the plane over its satellite network after the aircraft ceased radio and radar contact.

Sources told the BBC that flight MH370 continued to ping for at least five hours after the aircraft left Malaysian airspace - which indicated the plane was intact and powered.

And initial analysis showed the location of the final "ping" was probably along one of two vast arcs running north and south.

On Monday, the Malaysian prime minister said Inmarsat had been able to shed further light on the plane's flight path by performing further calculations on the MH370 data "using a type of analysis never before used in an investigation of this sort".

According to Inmarsat, this involved a totally new way of modelling, which was why it took time.

The company told the BBC the new calculation involved crunching far more data and that engineers spent all weekend looking back at previous Malaysia Airlines Boeing 777 flights.

They compared the satellite data from those flights with flight MH370 and were able to work out that it went south.

As far as the engineers could tell, the plane was flying at a cruising height above 30,000ft, but its final position could not be pinpointed more clearly, says BBC transport correspondent Richard Westcott.

Inmarsat gave the AAIB the new data on Sunday, it said, which had to be checked before it could be made public...





GeoffreyWPB~ Had I not been distracted we'd have jinxed with our spot reports & Nexrad..

Edited mine to make the loop longer. The showers off the east coast, where the low should start pulling together look neat, nearly stationary. Definitely not moving like the rest. Found the eddy that sets up there.
Quoting 233. GTstormChaserCaleb:
Jeb Bush, Hillary Clinton together again to talk education

(CNN) – Jeb Bush and Hillary Clinton - two central figures in modern politics with 2016 prospects - joined forces Monday to talk global education.

In her keynote address, Clinton praised Bush's dedication to education reform since serving two terms as governor of Florida, where he overhauled the state's education system, introducing a school voucher program and banning using race as a factor in university admissions.

2 thumbs up! In fact, if these 2 ran for the next presidential election I don't know who I would vote for, seriously. Jeb was a good governor for this state in both education and disaster response and relief. Clinton well her husband was the last great president we had, economy was booming back then, gas price was like 99 cents and we were in a surplus. 15 years later gas is over 3 dollars and people are living pay check to pay check.

Link


I have the same delimma. I really liked Jeb Bush when he was governor of Florida Had a chance to personally talk to him one on one two years ago. I am impressed with him.

I like Hillary Clinton too. I like what she has done since her husband was president and how she was involved when he was president.

Being moderate in this instance makes this choice tough.

IMHO, The good news is that no matter who wins, we will get a good person in - if those two end up running against each other.

Anyways - Hope everyone stays safe during the Nor'easter coming.
Quoting 270. DonnieBwkGA:


Brunswick, GA


Used to have a Brunswick Pool Table...


Quoting 275. Andrebrooks:
Remember everybody is invited to my 1 year anniversary on my blog tomorrow.
Cool, bro.

...hope I remember.

I'm horrible at short-term memory. Which begs the question as to how I can remember all the way back into the beginning of mankind's history.

...That was hyperbole, but you hopefully knew that. :]
294. wxmod
Satellite view of the Oregon coast today. Jets, smog and massive clearcuts.


Quoting 287. PlazaRed:

Based on an exchange rate of $1.34 to the Euro and a litre to gallon rate of 3.8.

We are paying $7.23 cents a gallon for gas as of today in my town.
A lot of people are working for about $5 an hour and some as low as $3 an hour.
Based on this for a low paid worker on welfare he has to work, or collect for about 3 hours to get enough to buy a gallon of gas.
Meanwhile they tell us that the economy is improving and that the weekends riots in Madrid to do with what they call austerity measure's are simply and anomaly!

Que sera sera?

Hope we get a long calm spell before the next storm.


Cheer-up , you could own 2,000 acres of almonds in California, a cattle ranch in Queensland , or 2 acres of coffee in Coasta Rica . Everyway we're screwed.
By the way, I'm under this -

Dust storms in southcentral United States
(morning overpass)
I site this because of all the things we cut, harvest, or kill just because it is big.

From the “puny humans file” :

Humans drive evolution of conch size

Summary:

Scientists found that 7,000 years ago, the Caribbean fighting conch contained 66 percent more meat than its descendants do today. Because of persistent harvesting of the largest conchs, it became advantageous for the animal to mature at a smaller size, resulting in evolutionary change.

Human-driven evolution of wild animals, sometimes referred to as “unnatural selection,” has only previously been documented under scenarios of high-intensity harvesting, like industrialized fishing. “These are the first evidence that low-intensity harvesting has been sufficient to drive evolution,” said lead author Aaron O’Dea of the Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute. ”
Link
Quoting 295. ColoradoBob1:


Cheer-up , you could own 2,000 acres of almonds in California, a cattle ranch in Queensland , or 2 acres of coffee in Coasta Rica . Evevyway we're screwed.
By the way, I'm under this -

Dust storms in southcentral United States
(morning overpass)

First thing you need is rain.
Then after that a lot more rain.
That link you posted looks like a desert, I sure hope that things improve for you.
Hell of a problem those fires.
Over Here our problem is humans and probably too many of us.
You need a nature based solution to those droughts. We need an economically based miracle here!
We are paying $7.23 cents a gallon for gas as of today in my town.

Then you need an electric bicycle .
its look like fort myers is raining right now.
Quoting 297. PlazaRed:

First thing you need is rain.
Then after that a lot more rain.
That link you posted looks like a desert, I sure hope that things improve for you.
Hell of a problem those fires.
Over Here our problem is humans and probably too many of us.
You need a nature based solution to those droughts. We need an economically based miracle here!


Your blue jeans were grow here. Take care of the ones you got.
Quoting 295. ColoradoBob1:


Cheer-up , you could own 2,000 acres of almonds in California, a cattle ranch in Queensland , or 2 acres of coffee in Coasta Rica . Evevyway we're screwed.
By the way, I'm under this -

Dust storms in southcentral United States
(morning overpass)


You mean 2,000 acres of firewood!!!

Quoting 250. TropicalAnalystwx13:
There sure has been a lot of talk about a Modoki El Nino. I'm not sure where this is coming from...while it may transition into a Modoki El Nino towards the end of its life as Neutral/La Nina begins to take over, the upcoming El Nino looks to be very traditional in nature.
What can I say? Wishful thinking goes a long way. :)
Quoting 298. ColoradoBob1:
We are paying $7.23 cents a gallon for gas as of today in my town.

Then you need an electric bicycle .
the best thing to do its walk!!
304. yoboi
Quoting 165. Neapolitan:
Knock yourself out; it's a free country. Personally, however, when making a decision based on information vs. imagination, I'll choose the former every time.Human action? Possibly: pilot error, loading error, mechanical negligence, etc. But criminal and intentional? Doubt it; there's not been a shred of evidence to back up that claim, and all signs to date point at the typical culprit in such matters: a chain of unfortunate events...


If you ever FLEW a plane you would know it only takes a milla second to hail a mayday......
Quoting 295. ColoradoBob1:


Cheer-up , you could own 2,000 acres of almonds in California, a cattle ranch in Queensland , or 2 acres of coffee in Coasta Rica . Everyway we're screwed.
By the way, I'm under this -

Dust storms in southcentral United States
(morning overpass)


Man you have bad luck if you own all of those.
Quoting 287. PlazaRed:

Based on an exchange rate of $1.34 to the Euro and a litre to gallon rate of 3.8.

We are paying $7.23 cents a gallon for gas as of today in my town.
A lot of people are working for about $5 an hour and some as low as $3 an hour.
Based on this for a low paid worker on welfare he has to work, or collect for about 3 hours to get enough to buy a gallon of gas.
Meanwhile they tell us that the economy is improving and that the weekends riots in Madrid to do with what they call austerity measure's are simply and anomaly!

Que sera sera?

Hope we get a long calm spell before the next storm.
Greetings Plaza..I should have been more specific. About 4 years ago, gas here was nearing 5 bucks, and even higher in California. The gas prices in Europe, and British Isles have always had expensive fuel. It has a much different situation in the U.S. when the price of gas skyrockets. In short, five dollar gas here is about the equivalent of 15 dollar gas in England.
It's always very tenuous attempting to draw connections quite so readily. So I'm not going to. But based on what TWC said in their article for the 2014 Atlantic hurricane season, I'm tempted to at least give it a peruse as thorough as one person can muster. David Roth hinted at something like this too:

There have been nine other years where sea-surface temperatures
(SSTs) in the El Ni%uFFFDo zone have matched what is currently forecast:
1951, 1957, 1963, 1965, 1968, 1976, 1982, 1997 and 2002. Those years
averaged 11 named storms, 4-5 hurricanes, and 1-2 major hurricanes.


It should also be noted that eight of these nine years had a hurricane over the Gulf of Mexico, Crawford. said, and four hurricanes achieved
major hurricane intensity while in the Gulf.





Link

EDIT: David Roth noted something similar as well, albeit with less... expressive language.
Quoting 298. ColoradoBob1:
We are paying $7.23 cents a gallon for gas as of today in my town.

Then you need an electric bicycle .

I've got to bale out in a few minutes as its coming up to 2 am here.
My electric bill for January and February was about $20, the taxes on it were about $40 so I had to pay about $60 for the 2 months.
I could photograph it and e-mail it to you.
Bare in mind that most of the time we earn almost nothing here in Europe now!
I consume 2 KWH a day in my house which costs about 30 cents, the taxes on this are about 65 Cents, a day.
Makes no difference in Europe, you are machinated and extracted to the limits at all levels, to extract the maximum amount of cash from you, so as you never have a spare cent!
Para los amigos de Puerto Rico miren lo q encontre:
El Nio, que suprimen la
preciptacin y estuvieron presente en los aos de 1994 y 1997,
cuando Puerto Rico vivi tiempos de racionamiento de agua.
No obstante, la salud de las reservas de agua isleas estn
todas en su estado ptimo o sobre l, segn inform la
portavoz de prensa de la Autoridad de Acueductos y
Alcantarillados, Edith Seda.
Link
Quoting 308. PlazaRed:

I've got to bale out in a few minutes as its coming up to 2 am here.
My electric bill for January and February was about $20, the taxes on it were about $40 so I had to pay about $60 for the 2 months.
I could photograph it and e-mail it to you.
Bare in mind that most of the time we earn almost nothing here in Europe now!
I consume 2 KWH a day in my house which costs about 30 cents, the taxes on this are about 65 Cents, a day.
Makes no difference in Europe, you are machinated and extracted to the limits at all levels, to extract the maximum amount of cash from you, so as you never have a spare cent!


It is no different here. The taxing structure is different. I had my lowest electric bill of the year last month at $355.00.

We are stretched thin, barely making it, and lots of people had to declare bankruptcy and lost their houses. We are slowly recovering, but a majority of people have been left behind.

I wish you luck and hopefully we both don't have to worry about a war bringing us out of it - because the new potential war on the horizon could be very deadly and potentially life ending as we know it.

--

I don't like El Nio stats, remembering that Andrew formed in one as well. It only takes one.
Quoting 308. PlazaRed:

I've got to bale out in a few minutes as its coming up to 2 am here.
My electric bill for January and February was about $20, the taxes on it were about $40 so I had to pay about $60 for the 2 months.
I could photograph it and e-mail it to you.
Bare in mind that most of the time we earn almost nothing here in Europe now!
I consume 2 KWH a day in my house which costs about 30 cents, the taxes on this are about 65 Cents, a day.
Makes no difference in Europe, you are machinated and extracted to the limits at all levels, to extract the maximum amount of cash from you, so as you never have a spare cent!
pretty much the same here plaza its called working from pay check to pay check


Brush fire near me again today. These firefighters need a break
Quoting 312. KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
pretty much the same here plaza its called working from pay check to pay check



More like pay check to pay check to pay the minimum due on a credit cards, hoping a better day is coming..

BTW, I thought of you today KOTG. One of your former trauma surgeons moved from Toronto do Ryder Trauma Center down here, because she wasn't getting enough "business" or experience in Toronto. We haven't disappointed her - with daily shootings and stabbings. And of course the weather is nicer down here.

(There was an article about her in a local paper I get)
Quoting 308. PlazaRed:

I've got to bale out in a few minutes as its coming up to 2 am here.
My electric bill for January and February was about $20, the taxes on it were about $40 so I had to pay about $60 for the 2 months.
I could photograph it and e-mail it to you.
Bare in mind that most of the time we earn almost nothing here in Europe now!
I consume 2 KWH a day in my house which costs about 30 cents, the taxes on this are about 65 Cents, a day.
Makes no difference in Europe, you are machinated and extracted to the limits at all levels, to extract the maximum amount of cash from you, so as you never have a spare cent!


My bill , was for the same period was nearly $200.00 and we pay some of the cheapest rates in America.
Quoting 312. KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
pretty much the same here plaza its called working from pay check to pay check


Hell of situation everybody.
Last real job I had was at the world Expo in Seville in 1992.Site engineer building 3 exhibition stands.
22 years ago.
Since the then I continue scratching a living and not complaining. After all I'll be a pension next year, not that I will get any pension but then again I am an engineer so solutions will always be a probability.

So sad to think of all the problems all our talent has in the world trying to get from month to month!

Just trying to put perspective into the world is getting harder, I'm very concerned about the North American drought and its implications right now.
All the best and Good Night.

Quoting 313. Doppler22:

Brush fire near me again today. These firefighters need a break


What was the dew point, and wind speed ?
Quoting 316. PlazaRed:

Hell of situation everybody.
Last real job I had was at the world Expo in Seville in 1992.Site engineer building 3 exhibition stands.
22 years ago.
Since the then I continue scratching a living and not complaining. After all I'll be a pension next year, not that I will get any pension but then again I am an engineer so solutions will always be a probability.

So sad to think of all the problems all our talent has in the world trying to get from month to month!

Just trying to put perspective into the world is getting harder, I'm very concerned about the North American drought and its implications right now.
All the best and Good Night.

nite plaza see ya tomorrow
Quoting 310. Gearsts:
Para los amigos de Puerto Rico miren lo q encontre:
El Ni�o, que suprimen la
preciptaci�n y estuvieron presente en los a�os de 1994 y 1997,
cuando Puerto Rico vivi� tiempos de racionamiento de agua.
No obstante, la salud de las reservas de agua isle�as est�n
todas en su estado �ptimo o sobre �l, seg�n inform� la
portavoz de prensa de la Autoridad de Acueductos y
Alcantarillados, Edith Seda.
Link



What?
Quoting 316. PlazaRed:

Hell of situation everybody.
Last real job I had was at the world Expo in Seville in 1992.Site engineer building 3 exhibition stands.
22 years ago.
Since the then I continue scratching a living and not complaining. After all I'll be a pension next year, not that I will get any pension but then again I am an engineer so solutions will always be a probability.

So sad to think of all the problems all our talent has in the world trying to get from month to month!

Just trying to put perspective into the world is getting harder, I'm very concerned about the North American drought and its implications right now.
All the best and Good Night.

great post Red. Thank you. Many good people with alot of wonderful gifts...There are very bad people too...and it is the truth.
Quoting 305. Dakster:


Man you have bad luck if you own all of those.


We all "own" all of them.
Quoting 321. ColoradoBob1:


We all "own" all of them.


Yes, in a way. But money in my pocket tomorrow isn't immediately dependent on them succeeding. Long term, perhaps.
Quoting 307. KoritheMan:
It's always very tenuous attempting to draw connections quite so readily. So I'm not going to. But based on what TWC said in their article for the 2014 Atlantic hurricane season, I'm tempted to at least give it a peruse as thorough as one person can muster. David Roth hinted at something like this too:

There have been nine other years where sea-surface temperatures
(SSTs) in the El Ni%uFFFDo zone have matched what is currently forecast:
1951, 1957, 1963, 1965, 1968, 1976, 1982, 1997 and 2002. Those years
averaged 11 named storms, 4-5 hurricanes, and 1-2 major hurricanes.


It should also be noted that eight of these nine years had a hurricane over the Gulf of Mexico, Crawford. said, and four hurricanes achieved
major hurricane intensity while in the Gulf.





Link

EDIT: David Roth noted something similar as well, albeit with less... expressive language.
Hey Kori, how is everything going buddy? 1951 8 hurricanes 5 of which became major hurricanes and Hurricane Charlie caused 252 fatalities, 152 of those in Jamaica, and was the costliest natural disaster in Jamaica in the 20th century causing 50 million dollars in damage.

Here is a track of that storm:



And check out the track of Hurricane Able which became the earliest major hurricane on record and remains that way till this day:



Now 1968 featured Category 1 Hurricane Gladys which made landfall in Homosassa Springs, FL. just a few miles north of Tampa Bay.



All in all El Nino's can and have been quite eventful for us in the states. Audrey, Flora, Betsy, Andrew, Isidore, and Lili were all El Nino hurricanes.
Quoting 316. PlazaRed:

I would remind you, that you folks invented western civilization, and now you just lay down like dogs ?

Europe needs an electric bike , with a hydrosatic drive. The world needs an electric bike , with a hydrosatic drive.

The market for this is in the billions. And Europe needs this first . Because Europeans are the first adopters.

hydrosatic drive ..... A bicycle without chains and gears.
Pretty cool that we had the satellites back in the 60s to track the Cape Verde storms.

Television Infrared Observation Satellite

Here is an image of TIROS-6:



This was surely an epic breakthrough:



Link
Quoting 317. ColoradoBob1:


What was the dew point, and wind speed ?


Dewpoint was 9 degrees and the winds were around 5-10mph . Today was not bad but this past weekend was very very busy for local firefighters. My county actually called out our Forest Fire Unit (Which I did not even know my county had a Forest Fire Unit) to help with all the fires this past weekend.
176 names have been reported as unaccounted for following #530slide.

Via: @KIRO7Seattle

Up to 176 missing :( :(


Also, President Barack Obama has declared a federal emergency for Washington State, ordering the federal government to send aid.
My nightly CFS ponder

Monsoonal low pressure? lowering of pressures in the SE atlantic?









Autocorrect just changed 'bombogenesis' to 'bimbo genius' ;)
Caleb, here is a picture of Hurricane Gladys when it was in the southeastern Gulf of Mexico taken by an astronaut in Apollo 7.

Quoting 331. BaltimoreBrian:
Autocorrect just changed 'bombogenesis' to 'bimbo genius' ;)


LOL. Which is better?

And how are you doing tonight BB, staying warm and dry?
Quoting 330. ncstorm:
My nightly CFS ponder

Monsoonal low pressure? lowering of pressures in the SE atlantic?









Looks like an early TC?
It's embarrassing enough that you people are using TWC terminology because they forced you to, which btw, is the laughing stock of at real weather sites, but now you have to use the word "bomb" to get page hits. What are they calling this storm, "Apocalypse"? Shutter your doors. You aren't a weather site anymore.
Quoting 331. BaltimoreBrian:
Autocorrect just changed 'bombogenesis' to 'bimbo genius' ;)
OMG.
Quoting 331. BaltimoreBrian:
Autocorrect just changed 'bombogenesis' to 'bimbo genius' ;)
LOL!!
Quoting 324. ColoradoBob1:
Quoting 316. PlazaRed:

I would remind you, that you folks invented western civilization, and now you just lay down like dogs ?

Europe needs an electric bike , with a hydrosatic drive. The world needs an electric bike , with a hydrosatic drive.

The market for this is in the billions. And Europe needs this first . Because Europeans are the first adopters.

hydrosatic drive ..... A bicycle without chains and gears.


SO adopt one out of a lawnmower. http://www.hydro-gear.com/Main/

Heck we used to put chainsaw engines on regular "schwinn" bicycles. Poor man's motorcycle. Just gotta feed a regular bicycle chain into the chainsaw, no reason to cut your leg off. Could ride all day on a quart of two cycle fuel.
It is 33.1 with light and variable winds. Partly cloudy. Dewpoint in mid teens. Have my heat on, Dakster :)
Appears that I'll at least still be part of this upcoming nor'easter. 1-2 inches of snow for Asheville by noon of tomorrow, although I'm thinking trace to one inch due to microclimate that we got here. NWS agrees.

Anyway, what's up tonight?
Quoting 339. BaltimoreBrian:
It is 33.1 with light and variable winds. Partly cloudy. Dewpoint in mid teens. Have my heat on Dakster :)


Could you imagine saying that in boot camp... They would have called you a wussy.

We had to stand out in the hot sun with our feet cooking on the blacktop for hours during stress inspections. (and this wasn't for the armed forces) Usually it took a person passing out to stop it.
342. SLU
Can someone please explain this strange and unusual pulse-like phenomenon that appears to sweep across the MIMIC-TPC imagery immediately prior to hurricane Tomas cranking up and undergoing a process called explosive deepening which resulted in its winds increasing by at least 50kts in less than 24 hours?

Quoting 342. SLU:
Can someone please explain this strange and unusual pulse-like phenomenon that appears to sweep across the MIMIC-TPC imagery immediately prior to hurricane Tomas cranking up and undergoing a process called explosive deepening which resulted in its winds increasing by at least 50kts in less than 24 hours?



Sat. data failure?
For not coming two my blog and wishing me a happy birthday like you guys normally do I post this has your punishment in joy


TAZ - MY EYES, MY EYES.... AHHHHHH.

You know you can't unsee things.
Quoting 344. Tazmanian:
For not coming two my blog and wishing me a happy birthday like you guys normally do I post this has your punishment in joy




Oh, it has been awhile since presslord is around... I don't see his name anymore on list of members so what's the give?
Quoting 319. Tazmanian:



What?
They're expecting drier than average conditions in PR if there's an el nino.

Quoting 328. Doppler22:
176 names have been reported as unaccounted for following #530slide.

Via: @KIRO7Seattle

Up to 176 missing :( :(


Also, President Barack Obama has declared a federal emergency for Washington State, ordering the federal government to send aid.
They need help to dig.

Sad story.

Quoting 329. KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
Shield is still staying north... we may not see any rain until the morning. DEFinitely need to leave here early if it's going to rain for the morning rush hour drive...
0z NAM at the worst for Cape Cod:

Quoting 343. Dakster:


Sat. data failure?
's actually what did indeed happen....
Quoting 344. Tazmanian:
For not coming two my blog and wishing me a happy birthday like you guys normally do I post this has your punishment in joy


Is it your birthday AGAIN already!!!! We just had one... oh... that was last year, wasn't it....

Happy Birthday, TAZ!!! May you have many more happy ones!
Quoting 346. Bluestorm5:


Oh, it has been awhile since presslord is around... I don't see his name anymore on list of members so what's the give?
For some reason I have this fuzzy idea of him sailing....
Quoting 326. FIUStormChaser:




We haven't had a drop here in Orlando and I don't think we will, despite the high rain chances. Good to see South Central FL is getting a good soaking though. Our area can use all the rain it can get (within reason) in March through May.
How old are you Taz?
The reanalysis for the 1946-50 Atlantic hurricane seasons is complete, and with some changes.

1946 Atlantic hurricane season

- Hurricane Four downgraded to 100 mph from 135 mph

1947 Atlantic hurricane season

- 1947 Fort Lauderdale Hurricane downgraded to 145 mph from 160 mph
- Hurricane "King" (Fort Sable Hurricane) upgraded to 105 mph from 90 mph.
- A new tropical storm added

1948 Atlantic hurricane season

- A new tropical storm added
- Hurricane Eight upgraded to 135 mph from 120 mph
- Hurricane Eight downgraded to 125 mph from 135 mph

1949 Atlantic hurricane season

- Hurricane Two downgraded to 135 mph from 155 mph
- Hurricane Ten downgraded to 110 mph from 135 mph
- Two new tropical storms added

1950 Atlantic hurricane season

- Hurricane Able downgraded to 125 mph from 140 mph
- Hurricane Baker downgraded to 105 mph from 120 mph
- Hurricane Charlie downgraded to 110 mph from 115 mph
- Hurricane Dog downgraded to 145 mph from 185 mph
- Hurricane Easy downgraded to 120 mph from 125 mph
- Tropical Storm How downgraded from 60 mph to 45 mph
- Hurricane Item downgraded to 105 mph from 110 mph
- Hurricane Jig downgraded to 115 mph from 120 mph
- Hurricane King upgraded to 135 mph from 120 mph
- Hurricane Love downgraded to 80 mph from 90 mph
- Tropical Storm Mike and two new tropical storms added

There were some other changes, including revisions in start/dissipation date, minimum pressure, and some transitional things, but I don't think it's really necessary to post all that.
Quoting 341. Dakster:Could you imagine saying that in boot camp... They would have called you a wussy.

We had to stand out in the hot sun with our feet cooking on the blacktop for hours during stress inspections. (and this wasn't for the armed forces) Usually it took a person passing out to stop it.
That's ridiculous. What's that supposed to accomplish? I guess it's like blood pinning. Yeah, been through that.
Quoting 354. TropicalAnalystwx13:
The reanalysis for the 1946-50 Atlantic hurricane seasons is complete, and with some changes.

1946 Atlantic hurricane season

- Hurricane Four downgraded to 100 mph from 135 mph

1947 Atlantic hurricane season

- 1947 Fort Lauderdale Hurricane downgraded to 145 mph from 160 mph
- Hurricane "King" (Fort Sable Hurricane) upgraded to 105 mph from 90 mph.
- A new tropical storm added

1948 Atlantic hurricane season

- A new tropical storm added
- Hurricane Eight upgraded to 135 mph from 120 mph
- Hurricane Eight downgraded to 125 mph from 135 mph

1949 Atlantic hurricane season

- Hurricane Two downgraded to 135 mph from 155 mph
- Hurricane Ten downgraded to 110 mph from 135 mph
- Two new tropical storms added

1950 Atlantic hurricane season

- Hurricane Able downgraded to 125 mph from 140 mph
- Hurricane Baker downgraded to 105 mph from 120 mph
- Hurricane Charlie downgraded to 110 mph from 115 mph
- Hurricane Dog downgraded from 185 mph to 145 mph
- Hurricane Easy downgraded to 120 mph from 125 mph
- Tropical Storm How downgraded from 60 mph to 45 mph
- Hurricane Item downgraded to 105 mph from 110 mph
- Hurricane Jig downgraded to 115 mph from 120 mph
- Hurricane King upgraded to 135 mph from 120 mph
- Hurricane Love downgraded to 80 mph from 90 mph
- Tropical Storm Mike and two new tropical storms added

There were some other changes, including revisions in start/dissipation date, minimum pressure, and some transitional things, but I don't think it's really necessary to post all that.


1947 Fort Lauderdale Hurricane and 1950 Hurricane Dog are two major changes...
Well, shoot Dakster. Instantweathermaps sucks. The latest NAM has 6" of snow over the Delmarva.


Notice how a few little thunderstorms/ showers are popping up before the convective mass cluster of showers.
Has the low been born yet?
Quoting 358. BaltimoreBrian:


Uhh. We can't see the image... It says hotlinking is not allowed.
Today's selection of articles about science, climate change, energy and the environment.

Water Scarcity Drives U.S. Communities Toward Smarter Use, Recycling

River pollution could be increased by wetter winters

!!! Ecologists learn lessons from the 'ghosts of megafauna'

*** Human activities 'caused record Australian heat'

3-D model links facial features and DNA

* Unconscious mind can detect a liar -- even when the conscious mind fails

!!! Shock-absorbing 'goo' discovered in bone

* New insight into improved wave energy testing

*** Lots of carbon dioxide equivalents from aquatic environments

Southeast England most at risk in UK of rising deaths due to climate change

*** Nene geese on Oahu for first time since 1700s

!!! Global warming not stopped, will go on for centuries: World Meteorological Organization


5 things to know about the Texas oil spill

Duke Energy: South Carolina coal ash ponds different from North Carolina Of course they are.

Lawyer hired by North Carolina in spill probe represented Duke Energy

Texas cities worried about flood insurance hikes

*** US approves more LNG exports as Europe looks to curb Russian gas

* Moa's Extinction Is Tied to the Arrival of Humans



Can You Spot the Liar? (interactive game)

!!! Ripples From the Big Bang This has been covered before but not in such a comprehensive way.

Thousands Vote on NASA's Next Spacesuit Design: You Can, Too

!!! Special report: Taxpayers fund creationism in the classroom

* Dissent among scientists over key climate impacts report

Indonesia's haze: Leaders fiddle as Sumatra burns
Oh, never mind Instantweathermaps.com is useless.
Quoting 360. BaltimoreBrian:
Has the low been born yet?


Yes, it is located in the convective cluster
365. emguy
Quoting 328. Doppler22:
176 names have been reported as unaccounted for following #530slide.

Via: @KIRO7Seattle

Up to 176 missing :( :(


Also, President Barack Obama has declared a federal emergency for Washington State, ordering the federal government to send aid.


I believe this post needs to be clarified somewhat...At any point in time, when necessary, FEMA will send aid (May it be food/water/blankets/etc, or personnel, or Urban Search and Rescue, gererators, or what not). A declaration is not required and a order is not needed. HOWEVER, what does have to happen is an appropriate request for assistance that flows from Local gov to State to Federal.

Now, that said, there is a Declaration, and what that does accomplish is to open up federal funds for later reimbursement to compensate for eligible disaster related expenses. This is not an order to respond, it is financial aid. None the less, this is significant as it does help to significantly offset local government costs (local taxpayer costs) through a federal share payment of 75%, for valid expenses.

In this current declaration, this addressed "Category B" emergency work, and the Declaration is defined as the following:

- FEMA is authorized to provide appropriate assistance for required emergency measures, authorized under Title V of the Stafford Act, to save lives and to protect property and public health and safety, or to lessen or avert the threat of a catastrophe in the designated areas.

- Specifically, FEMA is authorized to provide emergency protective measures (Category B), limited to direct Federal assistance, under the Public Assistance program at 75 percent Federal funding.

The decalration will therefore pay for eligible expenses related to Overtime labor hours worked, operational hours of equipment (tractors/dozers/etc), materials that were required to be purchased to respond, emergency debris push work, potential response contract work if properly applicable, and etc. The key is, if it directly attributable to saving life or improved property, and the costs were incured by the local agency responding, then the costs are considered at a 75% Federal cost share for the work accomplished...it's what the declaration means.

At this time, there is no declaration for permanent repairs of local government facilities and/or person residential property (Homes/Trailers/etc).

A little snow squall.

Quoting 353. Dakster:
How old are you Taz?



Am now 29 years old


And thank you all
Temperature is dropping quickly here. Down to 30.6 degrees now.
Headed out / down...

Just for kicks, today's heat index in Nassau was 90 degrees... Daytime high was 86. Not outrageous, but warmer than average.

I am SO glad I am not in one of those genuinely cold places...

G'nite, and stay warm and safe, all!
Yikes, that's chilly.....
29.8 now. Whatever falls may stick.
Indian Hills, Riverside, California (PWS)
Updated: 8:52 PM PDT on March 24, 2014
Mostly Cloudy
57.5 °F
Mostly Cloudy
Humidity: 83%
Dew Point: 52 °F
Wind: 5.0 mph Variable
Wind Gust: 7.0 mph

Forecast Low is 52, I have 65.0 at my place.
Well, Good Night Peeps - Stay Warm - Stay Safe - Have a Nice Rest ....
Really not sure where NJDOT gets their meteorological information from, maybe Washi or someone. Roads are heavily salted and the highway messages read "Winter Storm Warning in effect". We're not even under an advisory.

Sigh...
Quoting Dakster:


Sat. data failure?


Or HAARP... :-)
Quoting PedleyCA:
Well, Good Night Peeps - Stay Warm - Stay Safe - Have a Nice Rest ..../blockquote>
GN, Ped. At least you don't have to worry about meteorological bombs out your way.
Good news everybody (those who are still awake).

Fixed da' computer. Dern fan was malfunctioning...causing computer software to think that computer was overheating...which forced the computer to undergo shutdown.

Astro has been restored to his 200 weather bookmarks. Yay!
Well, I'll be going to bed in 5 minutes or so. Night everyone.

Today I took my second visit of the University of Oklahoma. Also got a tour of the National Weather Center, so I'll write up a blog entry for that as well. Really cool stuff (not the campus tour, the NWC).
Quoting 379. Astrometeor:Well, I'll be going to bed in 5 minutes or so. Night everyone.

Today I took my second visit of the University of Oklahoma. Also got a tour of the National Weather Center, so I'll write up a blog entry for that as well. Really cool stuff (not the campus tour, the NWC).
How cool! Can't wait to read your account of your trip! :)
Quoting 380. BaltimoreBrian:


How cool! Can't wait to read your account of your trip! :)


Yeah, it'll include a picture of yours truly, so I'm sure Cody and Kori will be especially happy to see the blog.

Night night y'all.
Quoting 379. Astrometeor:
Well, I'll be going to bed in 5 minutes or so. Night everyone.

Today I took my second visit of the University of Oklahoma. Also got a tour of the National Weather Center, so I'll write up a blog entry for that as well. Really cool stuff (not the campus tour, the NWC).
Hope you saw OU's awesome library! :) Looking forward to your blog.
Quoting 379. Astrometeor:
Well, I'll be going to bed in 5 minutes or so. Night everyone.

Today I took my second visit of the University of Oklahoma. Also got a tour of the National Weather Center, so I'll write up a blog entry for that as well. Really cool stuff (not the campus tour, the NWC).
I will go visit a Weather NASA Museum on my Easter Break in Houston. It'll be fun.
Quoting 381. Astrometeor:


Yeah, it'll include a picture of yours truly, so I'm sure Cody and Kori will be especially happy to see the blog.

Night night y'all.
Nighty, night. I'm gone of to bed too, got my big WUNDERGROUND ANNIVERSARY TOMORROW.
Quoting Doppler22:
176 names have been reported as unaccounted for following #530slide.

Via: @KIRO7Seattle

Up to 176 missing :( :(


Also, President Barack Obama has declared a federal emergency for Washington State, ordering the federal government to send aid.

We had a similar landslide in my county about 20 years ago. We recovered 11 bodies almost immediately and suspected we still had more under the mountain of mud. We set up a telephone line and public information center to report missing persons. This was before FB or Twitter. We ended up with about 100 names. All the names were being reported by relatives, friends, co-workers, and acquaintances. We had everything in a database, checking for dupes, and all the records were unique. I couldn't believe that many people lived in the area and were trapped. I had our data people start checking for fuzzy matches like similar spellings for last names, people with different first or middle names but the same age, and people who didn't show up at work that had discipline problems.

The first thing I discovered was that different people know the same person by different names, sometimes wildly different. We had many acquaintances that couldn't correctly spell the last name, didn't get their street name or street address right, and relatives who just hadn't heard from Uncle Bobby for ages and heard he lived in the landslide area, only to find Uncle Bobby actually moved years before. We had a couple in trouble at work or with other relationships and thought the landslide would be a good way to slink off and start a new life. As long as you aren't evading arrest and don't claim to be another living person, there's no law against that. Of course, you also can't have your wife claim you're dead so get to split the life insurance. I learned a lot about people from that one, and we only had three more legitimate victims. I hope it's the same in Washington State.
Quoting Astrometeor:
Well, I'll be going to bed in 5 minutes or so. Night everyone.

Today I took my second visit of the University of Oklahoma. Also got a tour of the National Weather Center, so I'll write up a blog entry for that as well. Really cool stuff (not the campus tour, the NWC).

GN, Astro. I'll be looking forward to your blog. Exciting times for you.
Quoting 382. BaltimoreBrian:
WxRisk.com is getting aggressive.



Now that's a quality low hype forecast if I ever did see one...
Quoting yoboi:


If you ever FLEW a plane you would know it only takes a milla second to hail a mayday......

Nea has a flown a plane before, as have I. First, the idea that a pilot yells "Mayday" comes from the movies. If you have time, and especially if you need help from ATC or the tower, you declare an emergency. Second, when your pilot is trying his best to keep the plane in the air, would you rather have him concentrate on that or get in a long-winded explanation of his emergency with someone on the radio?
Quoting 381. Astrometeor:


Yeah, it'll include a picture of yours truly, so I'm sure Cody and Kori will be especially happy to see the blog.

Night night y'all.


I do like to put faces to the names. Gives the person a bit of liveliness.

Night there, dude.
391. OCF
Had an earthquake today. OK, it was magnitude 2.7, which is pretty much a nothingburger. But I actually felt it - a single bump, like something banging against the building. (I was sitting at the time. Had I been standing, it's likely I wouldn't have felt it.) Thing is, the epicenter was just about exactly where my house is, and about two miles away from where I work.
Quoting 391. OCF:
Had an earthquake today. OK, it was magnitude 2.7, which is pretty much a nothingburger. But I actually felt it - a single bump, like something banging against the building. (I was sitting at the time. Had I been standing, it's likely I wouldn't have felt it.) Thing is, the epicenter was just about exactly where my house is, and about two miles away from where I work.
gee you folks get one about every day or so there huh..stay safe ok.
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL HAS
ISSUED A LAKE WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY
TO 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING.

* TIMING...NOON THROUGH 9 PM.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED ON AREA
LAKES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST
TO BE 20 TO 29 MPH WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO NEAR OR ABOVE GALE
FORCE FOR AT LEAST 3 HOURS.
its been raining most of the night here..........
DC southward may Get some of this huge storm in about 24 hours 0ZGFS...
its going to get real windy by me today as this Low crosses florida..
Morning all...

Looks like the morning drive is likely to be wet today...



It's been thundering, too, which is quite unusual for storms this time of year...
some heavy rains coming to south florida....
400. VR46L
Good Morning Folks !

401. VR46L
Dr Forbes Tor:con Outlook

Thursday, March 27

There is still considerable difference between computer models regarding the position and eastward movement of a weather system in the central U.S., leading to uncertainties in the severe weather areas.

Isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms in southwest Iowa, western Missouri, eastern Kansas, extreme southeast Nebraska, eastern Oklahoma, western Arkansas, northeast Texas, northwest Louisiana. TOR:CON - 4 southeast OK, southwest AR, northeast TX, northwest LA; 2 to 3 rest of this area.

There is a chance that the severe storms could spread farther east across Missouri, Arkansas and Louisiana. Monitor the forecast for changes on subsequent days.

TOR:CON THURSDAY:
AR southwest - 4
AR northwest - 3
IA - southwest - 2 to 3
KS east - 3
LA northwest - 4
LA west-central - 3
MO west - 3
OK southeast - 4
OK northeast - 3
TX northeast - 4
TX east-central - 3

Winter Storm Watch

------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
437 AM EDT TUE MAR 25 2014

...POWERFUL OCEAN STORM LIKELY TO AFFECT CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS
WITH HEAVY SNOW AND STRONG TO DAMAGING WINDS VERY LATE TONIGHT
AND WEDNESDAY MORNING...

MAZ017>021-RIZ007-251645-
/O.CON.KBOX.WS.A.0009.140326T0400Z-140326T1600Z/
NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-NEWPORT RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TAUNTON...BROCKTON...PLYMOUTH...
FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...MATTAPOISETT...NEWPORT
437 AM EDT TUE MAR 25 2014

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...PLYMOUTH AND BRISTOL COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST
MASSACHUSETTS AND NEWPORT COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST RHODE ISLAND. THIS
INCLUDES THE CITIES AND TOWNS OF TAUNTON...BROCKTON...PLYMOUTH...
FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...MATTAPOISETT AND NEWPORT.

* HAZARD TYPES...POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY SNOW ALONG WITH SOME
BLOWING AND DRIFTING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 7 INCHES POSSIBLE.

* TIMING...VERY LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

* IMPACTS...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS MAY MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT VERY
LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. IN ADDITION...WINDY
CONDITIONS WILL RESULT IN BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ALONG WITH
POOR VISIBILITIES. THE WEDNESDAY MORNING RUSH HOUR MAY BE
IMPACTED SIGNIFICANTLY.

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S.

* VISIBILITIES...ONE QUARTER TO ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH IS ISSUED FOR THE POTENTIAL OF ACCUMULATING
SNOW OF 6 OR MORE INCHES IN A 12 HOUR PERIOD...OR 8 OR MORE
INCHES IN A 24 HOUR PERIOD. ANYONE TRAVELING IN THE NEXT 24 TO
36 HOURS SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO MODIFY
TRAVEL PLANS SHOULD WINTER WEATHER DEVELOP.

&&

$$

403. VR46L


DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0230 AM CDT TUE MAR 25 2014

VALID 271200Z - 281200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
ACROSS PARTS OF THE LOWER CENTRAL PLAINS INTO MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY AND OZARK PLATEAU...

...SYNOPSIS...
MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE THAT MID/UPPER FLOW WILL BECOME
GENERALLY ZONAL ACROSS MUCH OF THE U.S. BY THURSDAY...WITH A BELT OF
WESTERLIES EMERGING FROM THE MID LATITUDE PACIFIC MOST PROMINENT.
WITHIN THIS REGIME...THE REMNANTS OF AN INLAND ADVANCING LARGER
SCALE TROUGH APPEAR LIKELY TO CONTINUE EASTWARD ACROSS THE INTERIOR
U.S...INCLUDING ONE SIGNIFICANT IMPULSE THAT MAY CONTRIBUTE TO A
DEVELOPING SURFACE LOW OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS BY 12Z
THURSDAY...BEFORE TRACKING TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES REGION THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD.

GIVEN THE PROGRESSIVE NATURE OF THIS SYSTEM NOW EVIDENT IN MOST
MODEL GUIDANCE...IT STILL APPEARS MOST PROBABLE THAT STRONGER
MID/UPPER FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION AND DEEP LAYER MEAN
FLOW FIELDS WILL BEGIN SHIFTING AWAY FROM THE GULF COAST REGION
BEFORE GULF BOUNDARY LAYER MODIFICATION AND INLAND RETURN FLOW IS
ABLE TO YIELD A SEASONABLY MOIST WARM SECTOR. BUT A WINDOW OF
OPPORTUNITY DOES APPEAR TO EXIST FOR MODEST WARM SECTOR MOISTENING
AND DESTABILIZATION...WHICH SHOULD SUPPORT POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE
STORM DEVELOPMENT...PRIMARILY FROM THE LOWER CENTRAL PLAINS THROUGH
THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND OZARK PLATEAU...FROM MIDDAY
THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY EVENING.

...LWR CNTRL PLAINS INTO OZARK PLATEAU/MID MS VALLEY...
DISCRETE SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT APPEARS POSSIBLE BY AROUND 18Z NEAR
THE SURFACE FRONTAL LOW ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHEAST KANSAS/WEST
CENTRAL MISSOURI...SOUTHWARD ALONG A PRE-FRONTAL DRY LINE THROUGH
EASTERN OKLAHOMA...PERHAPS NORTHEAST TEXAS. SURFACE DEW POINTS MAY
ONLY REACH THE MID 50S TO AROUND 60F ACROSS MUCH OF THIS
REGION...EASTWARD INTO THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...BUT AT LEAST LARGE
HAIL AND LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS APPEAR POSSIBLE AS ACTIVITY
DEVELOPS EASTWARD. AND TORNADOES MAY NOT BE OUT OF THE
QUESTION...BEFORE THE COLD FRONT OVERTAKES THE DRY LINE AND
CONTRIBUTES TO THE EVOLUTION OF A BROKEN SQUALL LINE WITH DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS BECOMING THE MAIN THREAT BEFORE ACTIVITY WEAKENS THURSDAY
EVENING.

...SOUTHEAST TEXAS INTO LOUISIANA...
CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL IS A BIT MORE UNCERTAIN THAN FARTHER NORTH.
BUT A DISTINCTLY SEPARATE AREA OF CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT APPEARS
POSSIBLE IN THE PRESENCE OF FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH LOW-LEVEL WARM
ADVECTION BENEATH DIFLUENT AND...PROBABLY...INCREASINGLY DIVERGENT
UPPER FLOW THURSDAY AFTERNOON. LOW-LEVEL AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL
BE MORE MODERATE THAN AREAS TO THE NORTH...BUT SIZABLE BOUNDARY
LAYER BASED CAPE APPEARS POSSIBLE IN THE PRESENCE OF BETTER MOISTURE
INFLOW OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO. AT LEAST LOW PROBABILITIES EXIST FOR
ISOLATED SUPERCELLS AND AN UPSCALE GROWING CONVECTIVE CLUSTER BEFORE
ACTIVITY WEAKENS AND DEVELOPS EASTWARD THURSDAY NIGHT.

..KERR.. 03/25/2014
Blizzard warnings are now posted for the entire province of Nova Scotia, Eastern New Brunswick, all of P.E.I and a large portion of Newfoundland. Well I do live in Halifax and I do believe this storm will resemble White Juan with horizontal snowfall at times very heavy. Wish us luck were going to need it I think we have a good chance of widespread power outages.
405. VR46L
Quoting 404. Mikeylikesthesite:
Blizzard warnings are now posted for the entire province of Nova Scotia, Eastern New Brunswick, all of P.E.I and a large portion of Newfoundland. Well I do live in Halifax and I do believe this storm will resemble White Juan with horizontal snowfall at times very heavy. Wish us luck were going to need it I think we have a good chance of widespread power outages.


Stay Safe !

and Welcome
406. VR46L
Quoting 404. Mikeylikesthesite:
Blizzard warnings are now posted for the entire province of Nova Scotia, Eastern New Brunswick, all of P.E.I and a large portion of Newfoundland. Well I do live in Halifax and I do believe this storm will resemble White Juan with horizontal snowfall at times very heavy. Wish us luck were going to need it I think we have a good chance of widespread power outages.
yes stay safe up there..also hurricane force winds possible offshore nws said..
Good morning Liz and all
Up early here today. 5:50 AM
Quoting 400. VR46L:
Good Morning Folks !

We got some decent rain down here in Fort Myers.
1.58" of rain in the last 24 hours.
.47" since midnight

We're up to 2.62" for the month on my weather station. Not too bad.
Quoting 410. Sfloridacat5:
We got some decent rain down here in Fort Myers.
1.58" of rain in the last 24 hours.
.47" since midnight

We're up to 2.62" for the month on my weather station. Not too bad.
Good Morning..Im glad to see you folks finally got some good rain...its been raining on and off all night long..grass is loving this lol..now today the winds pick up.
all the action is now down in south Florida....
Jacksonville nws............
...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM EDT
THIS EVENING FOR MUCH OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA...
...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM
EDT WEDNESDAY FOR MUCH OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA...

* LOCATIONS...NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS WEDNESDAY MORNING IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE TUESDAY FROM NOON UNTIL 8 PM. FREEZING
TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN MIDNIGHT TUESDAY NIGHT AND 9 AM
WEDNESDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL CAUSE SMALL TO MODERATE-SIZED
BRANCHES TO FALL...AS WELL AS A FEW TREES THAT HAVE BEEN WEAKENED
BY THE WINTER STORMS THIS PAST WINTER. HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES ARE
ALSO AFFECTED BY THESE GUSTY WINDS. THE FREEZING TEMPERATURES MAY
DAMAGE OR KILL TENDER OR BUDDING VEGETATION.

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE MARYLAND PORTION OF THE
CHESAPEAKE BAY...TIDAL POTOMAC RIVER...AND ADJACENT COUNTIES IN
CENTRAL MARYLAND AND NORTHERN VIRGINIA AS WELL AS THE DISTRICT OF
COLUMBIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM FOR THE OUTLOOK
AREA WITH THE EXCEPTION OF ST MARYS AND CALVERT COUNTIES. PLEASE
SEE WBCWSWLWX FOR MORE DETAILS.

ACCUMULATING SNOW IS POSSIBLE THIS EVENING EAST OF INTERSTATE 95
AND MAY REQUIRE A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE WATERS
THIS AFTERNOON...THEN FOR ALL WATERS STARTING AT 8 PM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS
LIKELY WEDNESDAY EVENING.

A WIND ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED FOR STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS ACROSS
THE OUTLOOK AREA WEDNESDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. REPORTS OF SNOWFALL
TOTALS WILL BE APPRECIATED.

$$
415. beell
Quoting 406. VR46L:


Thanks, V!
I suppose it's time to pay attention.
416. beell


MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0206
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0510 AM CDT TUE MAR 25 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR SOUTH FL/FL KEYS

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 251010Z - 251215Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT

SUMMARY...AN ISOLATED SEVERE RISK INCLUDING SOME WIND DAMAGE AND/OR WATERSPOUT/BRIEF TORNADO MAY EXIST ALONG THE IMMEDIATE FAR SOUTH FL COAST AND FL KEYS VICINITY THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.

DISCUSSION...MULTIPLE SUPERCELLS HAVE BEEN COMMON OVERNIGHT IN THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF FAR SOUTH FL/FL STRAITS IN VICINITY OF A ROUGHLY WEST-EAST BAROCLINIC ZONE...WHERE STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS ESTIMATED TO BE ON THE ORDER OF 45-60 KT. IN THE SHORT-TERM...AN ONGOING SUPERCELL AS OF 10Z/6AM EDT IN FLORIDA BAY MAY CONTINUE TO GRAZE THE FAR SOUTHERN PART OF THE FL PENINSULA WHILE OTHERWISE APPROACHING PARTS OF THE UPPER KEYS. WHILE THIS SUPERCELL SHOULD PROGRESSIVELY ENCOUNTER SLIGHTLY MORE STABLE NEAR-SURFACE INFLOW...A LOCALIZED WIND DAMAGE AND/OR BRIEF WATERSPOUT/TORNADO RISK MAY EXIST. OTHERWISE...AN EVOLVING UPSTREAM SQUALL LINE /LEADING EDGE ROUGHLY 70 MILES WEST OF KEY WEST AS OF 10Z/ MAY GRADUALLY APPROACH THE SOUTH FL KEYS/ADJACENT OFFSHORE WATERS THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. THIS MAY ALSO POSE A LOCALIZED WIND DAMAGE RISK.

..GUYER/MEAD.. 03/25/2014
Last day here before White Juanita! Will be quite the storm!
418. VR46L
Quoting 415. beell:


Thanks, V!
I suppose it's time to pay attention.


:)

Yep Looks like Texas Might have an interesting day or two ahead
419. beell


Quoting 401. VR46L:
Dr Forbes Tor:con Outlook

Thursday, March 27

There is still considerable difference between computer models regarding the position and eastward movement of a weather system in the central U.S., leading to uncertainties in the severe weather areas.

Isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms in southwest Iowa, western Missouri, eastern Kansas, extreme southeast Nebraska, eastern Oklahoma, western Arkansas, northeast Texas, northwest Louisiana. TOR:CON - 4 southeast OK, southwest AR, northeast TX, northwest LA; 2 to 3 rest of this area.

There is a chance that the severe storms could spread farther east across Missouri, Arkansas and Louisiana. Monitor the forecast for changes on subsequent days.

TOR:CON THURSDAY:
AR southwest - 4
AR northwest - 3
IA - southwest - 2 to 3
KS east - 3
LA northwest - 4
LA west-central - 3
MO west - 3
OK southeast - 4
OK northeast - 3
TX northeast - 4
TX east-central - 3



The 2014 weather patten for the Midwest is similar to the 1974 pattern, I just have my memory to go on but March Temperatures were cold, then in April the warm weather came and we had the super outbreak, IMO, I believe were going to have the same conditions as in 1974, god forbid we don't!
Remember guys, ya'll can come to my blog for my Wunderground anniversary,
422. beell
Lead southern stream impulse along the gulf coast and southeast may keep development of the low more offshore a bit until phasing with the central US trough over the Ohio Valley as it swings towards a negative tilt. Then it should jump in towards shore later this afternoon and rocket up to the NNE.

ADDED @ 8:30AM CDT
Although looking at current WV, it may not jump too close!


423. beell
Quoting 418. VR46L:


:)

Yep Looks like Texas Might have an interesting day or two ahead


At least the NE corner. A couple of days earlier than our previous discussion!
Light snow has moved in the area but I don't expect anything significant.
426. beell
1018 mb @ midnight EDT.
1010 mb @ 8AM EDT.

Station 41002 (LLNR 830) - SOUTH HATTERAS - 225 South of Cape Hatteras



No working wind equipment at this buoy. Our buoys off the east coast need some attention.
Two storms combine to become an ocean giant

Mar .25, 2014 8:02 am ET

Northeast |


- Low pressure moving in from the Midwest pushes an area of light snow through West Virginia, Pennsylvania, northern Maryland, northern New Jersey and southern New York through this afternoon.

- Mixed wet snow and rain are likely in northern Virginia, southern Maryland, Delaware and southern New Jersey.

- Wet snow changes to rain in southern Virginia.

- Later today the Midwest storm transfers its energy into a developing ocean storm off the North Carolina coast.

- The ocean storm rapidly strengthens on the infusion of the Midwest storm's energy tonight and Wednesday.

- Thankfully the brunt of the ocean storm's impacts remain over the ocean, but it will produce heavier snow in eastern New England.

- A period of heavier snow is also possible from the Del-Mar-Va Peninsula northeast to Long Island tonight.

- Snow arrives in southeast New England Tuesday night and quickly covers all of eastern New England by Wednesday morning.

- Snow gradually ends from southwest to northeast in eastern New England Wednesday.

- Due to the strength of the storm winds will increase Tuesday night and Wednesday in eastern New England.

- Sustained winds of 20 to 40 mph with gusts over 50 mph are likely from Cape Cod to Down East Maine.

- Blizzard conditions are likely due to the snow and strong winds.

- Snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches are forecast from central and eastern West Virginia and western Virginia northeast to central New England.

- Accumulations of 3 to 8 inches are likely in eastern New England with 8 to 12 inches possible on Cape Cod and in Down East Maine.
Snow has started to stick to surfaces outside but it's just the conversational kind.This had the potential to be a storm where we could go out with a bang if you will...
Morning/Afternoon/Evening guys!
Whats left of Gillian, hard to believe that it was a Category 5 two days ago.
431. beell

RAP Current 2 hr pressure change, winds
Quoting 429. ZacWeatherKidUK:
Morning/Afternoon/Evening guys!
Whats left of Gillian, amazing that it was a Category 5 two days ago.
Geez Louis talk about being a former shadow of it's self.
433. VR46L
Quoting 423. beell:


At least the NE corner. A couple of days earlier than our previous discussion!


Yeah I posted 120 HR map of the 12z on Sunday so it was out a bit .
MattRogers
8:48 AM EDT
I do suspect we'll see some flakes at some point. For the first time all winter, the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is poised to go more notably negative. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlin ...
XX/XX/XX
Quoting 428. washingtonian115:
Snow has started to stick to surfaces outside but it's just the conversational kind.This had the potential to be a storm where we could go out with a bang if you will...


No melting on elevated or grassy surfaces in College Park. Melting on roads and sidewalks but some accumulation where the road was shaded yesterday by long parked cars. Roads are wet but I am worried about a few icy spots since my wife is out on them today. I do not think this will be a non-event for roads and we need to watch for problems.
437. beell
Station 41010 (LLNR 845) - CANAVERAL EAST - 120NM East of Cape Canaveral
Station 41010 went adrift on 2/17/2013 and the last report from its moored position was at 0200Z. Additionally, station 41010 ceased transmissions 3/12/13 and then lost positioning 04/24/13.
(this is the buoy that came ashore in Spain in February, 2014)

Station 41012 (LLNR 845.3) - St. Augustine, FL 40NM ENE of St Augustine, FL
Station 41012 has been disestablished on 02/19/2014.
See the notice on loss of funding from the Coastal Storms Program for this station:
www.nws.noaa.gov/om/notification

Station 41001 (LLNR 635) - EAST HATTERAS - 150 NM East of Cape Hatteras
Station 41001 went adrift on 4/9/2013 and the last report from its moored position was at 0500Z. It has since been retrieved.

Station 44025 (LLNR 830) - LONG ISLAND - 30 NM South of Islip, NY
Station 44025 ceased transmitting data 10/24/2013.

Station 44008 (LLNR 827) - NANTUCKET 54NM Southeast of Nantucket
Station 44008 went adrift on 02/09/2013 and the last report from its moored position was at 1800Z. Transmits and positioning ceased on 03/26/2013.

Station 44011 (LLNR 825) - GEORGES BANK 170 NM East of Hyannis, MA
Station 44011 went adrift on 9/8/2012 and the last report from its moored position was at 2000Z. Station 44011 also ceased transmitting data 01/08/13. Buoy is no longer adrift, and was recovered 8/19/2013.

Station 44018 (LLNR 560) - CAPE COD - 24 NM East of Provincetown, MA
Station 44018 hull 3DV02 went adrift on 3/6/2012. The buoy was recovered on 3/14/12.
Blizzard warning in effect
WIND WARNING IN EFFECT
BLOWING SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT

Heavy snow and widespread blowing snow on Wednesday.

This is a warning that blizzard conditions with near-zero visibilities are expected in these regions. Monitor weather conditions..listen for updated statements.

A very intense low pressure system is forecast to develop off Cape Hatteras this evening. The storm is expected to track just south of Nova Scotia on Wednesday before moving on to Newfoundland on Thursday.

The snow is forecast to begin overnight in Southwestern Nova Scotia and spread to the remainder of the province Wednesday morning. The snow is expected to change to rain late in the day over the eastern half of the mainland and Cape Breton. Elsewhere the snow is expected to taper off Wednesday night. Strong winds gusting up to 110 km/h are forecast to develop ahead of the storm on Wednesday and gradually diminish as the system pulls away Thursday. The strong winds combined with heavy snow will cause widespread whiteout conditions in blowing snow. In general about 30 to 40 centimetres of snow can be expected with this system over most of Nova Scotia. Areas of Southwestern Nova Scotia may see upwards of 40 to 50 centimetres of snow before the system pulls away.

Additionally on Wednesday afternoon and evening higher than normal water levels combined with rapidly rising wave activity may produce local flooding along much of the Atlantic coast of Mainland Nova Scotia during the high tide late Wednesday. In the Northumberland Strait water levels are expected to rise Wednesday evening but appear not to coincide with high tide.

Les Suetes winds gusting up to 160 km/h are expected to develop late Wednesday afternoon and diminish Wednesday evening.

NEWFOUNDLAND
This is a warning that an extended period of blowing snow with poor visibilities is expected in these regions. Monitor weather conditions..listen for updated statements.

A low pressure system developing off the southeast coast of the United States will intensify rapidly as it tracks northeastward today and tonight. This low will develop into a very intense storm center and lie south of Cape Breton Island Wednesday evening. Very strong easterly winds, snow and blowing snow will develop along the South Coast Wednesday afternoon and spread throughout the island in the evening. The snow will become mixed with ice pellets or freezing rain along the South Coast and Southern Avalon Peninsula in the evening.

For regions under the blizzard warnings, snow will begin along the South Coast Wednesday afternoon then spread into Western and Central Newfoundland in the evening. 15 centimetres of snow combined with strong easterly winds and gusting up to 130 km/h along parts of coast will give zero visibility at times in blowing snow.

For regions under the wind and blowing snow warnings, snow and blowing snow will develop over the Burin and Southern Avalon peninsulas late Wednesday afternoon then elsewhere in the evening. The snow will become mixed with ice pellets or freezing rain later in the evening. Snowfall amounts near 10 centimetres are expected with very strong easterly winds gusting up to 130 km/h.

In the Wreckhouse area strong easterly winds gusting to 120 km/h will develop Wednesday afternoon and up to 160 km/h in the evening.

For regions under the winter storm watch, snow and blowing snow will develop Wednesday evening. Snowfall amounts near 5 centimetres are expected during the evening with higher amounts during the overnight period.

In addition higher than normal water levels combined with high waves will coincide with high astronomical tide late Wednesday afternoon and evening. This may cause some flooding and infrastructure damage along portions of the South Coast and Southern Avalon Peninsula.
Good Morning. That is one powerful low that is emerging off the Carolinas coast today with a very broad rotation across the SE......It is actually responsible for the showers sweeping across South Florida at the moment. Here is the relevant portion from the NCEP discussion this am:

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
401 AM EDT Tue Mar 25 2014

Valid 12Z Tue Mar 25 2014 - 12Z Thu Mar 27 2014

A storm will develop off the Southeast Coast and under go rapid deepening as the storm moves northeastward the Maritime Provinces by Wednesday evening. The system will produce showers and thunderstorms over Florida on Tuesday morning ending by evening. While light to moderate rain intensifies to moderate to heavy rain along parts of the Southeast Coast through late Tuesday evening. Snow will develop over parts of the Central Appalachians into parts of the Mid-Atlantic on Tuesday. Heavy snow will develop over parts of the Northern Mid-Atlantic and New England Coast overnight Tuesday into Wednesday morning. The snow will taper off over parts of Maine on Wednesday evening.

Got candles, phone will be charged, got plenty of blankets, got food that i can eat during an outage, and have plenty of board games to play with my roomate! I think I'm all preppered! Any suggestions?
about over here by me,suns out..now the winds should pick up as the Low crosses florida..
Quoting 440. Dragod66:
Got candles, phone will be charged, got plenty of blankets, got food that i can eat during an outage, and have plenty of board games to play with my roomate! I think I'm all preppered! Any suggestions?
good luck,stay alert and safe..
$$

------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
521 AM EDT TUE MAR 25 2014

NCZ095-260930-
CARTERET-
521 AM EDT TUE MAR 25 2014

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM
EDT WEDNESDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY...
...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 9 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

WIND ADVISORY.
COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.
FREEZE WARNING.

Quoting 440. Dragod66:
Got candles, phone will be charged, got plenty of blankets, got food that i can eat during an outage, and have plenty of board games to play with my roomate! I think I'm all preppered! Any suggestions?


Plan Ahead for Winter Storms

Play it safe by preparing ahead for winter storms and blizzards. Be sure to winterize your manufactured home by following all the tips in our winterizing section.

Remember, these storms can cause loss of electricity, heat, and telephone service and can trap you in your home for a few days. It’s important to have ample supplies on hand in your home:
•Flashlight and extra batteries.
•Battery-powered NOAA weather radio and portable radio to receive emergency information. These may be your only links to the outside.
•Extra food and bottled water. High energy food, such as dried fruit or candy, and canned food requiring no cooking or refrigeration is best.
•Manual can opener.
•Extra medicine and baby items.
•First-aid supplies.
•Heating fuel. Fuel carriers may not reach you for days after a severe winter storm.
•Back-up heating source, such as a fireplace, wood stove, space heater, etc.
•Fire extinguisher and smoke detector.
•Brush up on your fire safety knowledge by visiting our fire safety section.

Be sure to carry a survival kit in your car that contains:
•Cell phone
•Blankets/sleeping bags
•Flashlight with extra batteries
•Knife
•High calorie, non-perishable food
•A can and waterproof matches to melt snow for drinking water
•Sand or cat litter
•Shovel
•Windshield scraper
•Tool kit
•Tow rope
•Jumper cables
•Water container
•Compass
•Road maps
•Extra winter clothes and boots

Also, keep your vehicle’s gas tank full in case you get stranded and to keep the fuel line from freezing.

How to Dress for Winter Weather:
•Wear several layers of loose-fitting, lightweight, warm clothing rather than one layer of heavy clothing.
•Remove a layer or two if necessary to avoid overheating, perspiration, and subsequent chill.
•Make sure outer garments are tightly woven and water-repellent.
•Wear mittens — they are warmer than gloves.
•Wear a hat.
•Cover your mouth with a scarf to protect your lungs from extremely cold air.
•Wear sturdy, waterproof boots in snow or flooding conditions.

If You’re Away From Home When the Storm Hits:

If you’re outside:
•Find a shelter out of the wind. Try to stay dry and cover all exposed parts of your body.
•If you can’t find shelter, prepare a lean-to, windbreak or snow cave for protection from the wind. Build a fire for heat and to attract attention. Place rocks around the fire to absorb and reflect heat.
•Don’t eat snow – it will lower your body temperature. Melt the snow first.

If you’re in a car or truck:
•Pull off the road and turn on your hazard lights.
•Stay inside your vehicle. It’s easy to become disoriented in the wind and snow. Do not set out on foot unless you see a building close by where you know you can take shelter.
•Run the motor about ten minutes each hour for heat.
•Open the window a crack to avoid carbon monoxide poisoning.
•Make sure the exhaust pipe is not blocked by snow.
•Exercise frequently to keep blood circulating and to keep warm, but don’t overexert.
•Huddle with other passengers and use your coat as a blanket.
•In extreme cold, use road maps, seat covers, floor mats, newspapers or extra clothing for covering–anything to provide additional insulation and warmth.

Make yourself visible to rescuers:
•Turn on your dome light at night, but only when running the engine. You don’t want to wear down your battery.
•Tie a distress flag (preferably red) to your antenna or window.
•Raise the hood to indicate trouble after snow stops falling.

Once the blizzard is over, you may need to leave your vehicle and proceed on foot. Follow the road if possible. If you need to walk across open country, use distant points as landmarks to help maintain your sense of direction.

If you’re in your home or a building:
•Stay inside.
•If you must travel, do so during daylight. Don’t travel alone. Stay on main roads, and tell others about your route and schedule.
•Conserve fuel, if necessary, by keeping your house cooler than normal. Temporarily shut off heat to less-used rooms.
•When using alternative heat from a fireplace, wood stove, or space heater, use fire safeguards and properly ventilate.
•If using kerosene heaters, maintain ventilation to avoid buildup of toxic fumes. Keep heaters at least three feet from flammable objects. Refuel kerosene heaters outside.

If there’s no heat:
•Close off unneeded rooms.
•Stuff towels or rags in cracks under doors.
•Cover windows at night.
•Stay nourished: ◦Eat food to provide your body with energy so it can produce its own heat.
◦Keep your body replenished with fluids to prevent dehydration.


After the Blizzard has Passed:
•Look for any damage that may have occurred to your home and make sure water pipes are functioning. Check out the freezing pipes information on this site for help. If there are no other problems, wait for streets and roads to be plowed before you drive anywhere.
•Check on neighbors to see if they need help.
•Pace yourself and rest frequently when shoveling snow — don’t overexert. Shoveling causes many heart attacks, especially in very cold temperatures.

With a little planning and know-how, you can make this winter a safe and warm one for you and your family.

NWS up and down the east coast are really taking notice of this possible Monster sized storm thats going to ride up the east coast huh..my hope is that it edges just a little more eastward and spares all those coastal communities..sure does come close to the carolina's tho...
for sure there will be high wind warnings all along the eastern seaboard..hope not too many power outages.
well Nam has it a bit closer to the coast tomorrow..stay alert folks..
Middle TN Checking in... light snow falling out here for the last hour and a half.. accumulating on raised services. Temps in the upper 30's no wind, so pleasant for not being sunny and warm.. So much going on globally the temptation is to be completely distracted from what I can and should positively affect in my life today. Have a great Tuesday everyone, be safe, be ready and be kind!
(interesting mood mode:disengaged)
Wind Advisory

------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
427 AM EDT TUE MAR 25 2014

...STRONG LOW PRESSURE MOVES EAST OF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST
TONIGHT...

.A DEEPENING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST WILL
MOVE NORTHEAST TODAY. AS THE LOW STRENGTHENS PASSING EAST OF THE
NORTH CAROLINA COAST TONIGHT, STRONG WINDS AND COLD TEMPERATURES
WILL AFFECT THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

NCZ104-252030-
/O.NEW.KMHX.WI.Y.0010.140326T0100Z-140326T1400Z/
OUTER BANKS HYDE-
427 AM EDT TUE MAR 25 2014

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY HAS ISSUED
A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO
10 AM EDT WEDNESDAY.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* TIMING...THIS EVENING THROUGH DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH OR
GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN
MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.
USE EXTRA CAUTION.


$$

------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------
URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
851 AM EDT TUE MAR 25 2014

...A DANGEROUS STORM FOR MARINERS WITH NORTHERLY WIND GUSTS NEAR
HURRICANE FORCE /65 KNOTS/ AND SEAS EXCEEDING 20 FEET ACROSS THE
OCEAN WATERS EAST OF NANTUCKET AND CAPE COD LATE TONIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY...

ANZ256-252100-
/O.CON.KBOX.SR.A.0002.140326T0600Z-140326T1800Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
851 AM EDT TUE MAR 25 2014

...STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTH WINDS 25 TO 35 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 50
KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STORM WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF STORM FORCE WINDS OF
48 TO 63 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC
TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO
PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO
CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&


Quoting 444. KEEPEROFTHEGATE:


Plan Ahead for Winter Storms

Play it safe by preparing ahead for winter storms and blizzards. Be sure to winterize your manufactured home by following all the tips in our winterizing section.

Remember, these storms can cause loss of electricity, heat, and telephone service and can trap you in your home for a few days. It’s important to have ample supplies on hand in your home:
•Flashlight and extra batteries.
•Battery-powered NOAA weather radio and portable radio to receive emergency information. These may be your only links to the outside.
•Extra food and bottled water. High energy food, such as dried fruit or candy, and canned food requiring no cooking or refrigeration is best.
•Manual can opener.
•Extra medicine and baby items.
•First-aid supplies.
•Heating fuel. Fuel carriers may not reach you for days after a severe winter storm.
•Back-up heating source, such as a fireplace, wood stove, space heater, etc.
•Fire extinguisher and smoke detector.
•Brush up on your fire safety knowledge by visiting our fire safety section.

Be sure to carry a survival kit in your car that contains:
•Cell phone
•Blankets/sleeping bags
•Flashlight with extra batteries
•Knife
•High calorie, non-perishable food
•A can and waterproof matches to melt snow for drinking water
•Sand or cat litter
•Shovel
•Windshield scraper
•Tool kit
•Tow rope
•Jumper cables
•Water container
•Compass
•Road maps
•Extra winter clothes and boots

Also, keep your vehicle’s gas tank full in case you get stranded and to keep the fuel line from freezing.

How to Dress for Winter Weather:
•Wear several layers of loose-fitting, lightweight, warm clothing rather than one layer of heavy clothing.
•Remove a layer or two if necessary to avoid overheating, perspiration, and subsequent chill.
•Make sure outer garments are tightly woven and water-repellent.
•Wear mittens — they are warmer than gloves.
•Wear a hat.
•Cover your mouth with a scarf to protect your lungs from extremely cold air.
•Wear sturdy, waterproof boots in snow or flooding conditions.

If You’re Away From Home When the Storm Hits:

If you’re outside:
•Find a shelter out of the wind. Try to stay dry and cover all exposed parts of your body.
•If you can’t find shelter, prepare a lean-to, windbreak or snow cave for protection from the wind. Build a fire for heat and to attract attention. Place rocks around the fire to absorb and reflect heat.
•Don’t eat snow – it will lower your body temperature. Melt the snow first.

If you’re in a car or truck:
•Pull off the road and turn on your hazard lights.
•Stay inside your vehicle. It’s easy to become disoriented in the wind and snow. Do not set out on foot unless you see a building close by where you know you can take shelter.
•Run the motor about ten minutes each hour for heat.
•Open the window a crack to avoid carbon monoxide poisoning.
•Make sure the exhaust pipe is not blocked by snow.
•Exercise frequently to keep blood circulating and to keep warm, but don’t overexert.
•Huddle with other passengers and use your coat as a blanket.
•In extreme cold, use road maps, seat covers, floor mats, newspapers or extra clothing for covering–anything to provide additional insulation and warmth.

Make yourself visible to rescuers:
•Turn on your dome light at night, but only when running the engine. You don’t want to wear down your battery.
•Tie a distress flag (preferably red) to your antenna or window.
•Raise the hood to indicate trouble after snow stops falling.

Once the blizzard is over, you may need to leave your vehicle and proceed on foot. Follow the road if possible. If you need to walk across open country, use distant points as landmarks to help maintain your sense of direction.

If you’re in your home or a building:
•Stay inside.
•If you must travel, do so during daylight. Don’t travel alone. Stay on main roads, and tell others about your route and schedule.
•Conserve fuel, if necessary, by keeping your house cooler than normal. Temporarily shut off heat to less-used rooms.
•When using alternative heat from a fireplace, wood stove, or space heater, use fire safeguards and properly ventilate.
•If using kerosene heaters, maintain ventilation to avoid buildup of toxic fumes. Keep heaters at least three feet from flammable objects. Refuel kerosene heaters outside.

If there’s no heat:
•Close off unneeded rooms.
•Stuff towels or rags in cracks under doors.
•Cover windows at night.
•Stay nourished: ◦Eat food to provide your body with energy so it can produce its own heat.
◦Keep your body replenished with fluids to prevent dehydration.


After the Blizzard has Passed:
•Look for any damage that may have occurred to your home and make sure water pipes are functioning. Check out the freezing pipes information on this site for help. If there are no other problems, wait for streets and roads to be plowed before you drive anywhere.
•Check on neighbors to see if they need help.
•Pace yourself and rest frequently when shoveling snow — don’t overexert. Shoveling causes many heart attacks, especially in very cold temperatures.

With a little planning and know-how, you can make this winter a safe and warm one for you and your family.



Thanks Keep!
Quoting 452. Dragod66:


Thanks Keep!
stay safe stay inside till its done
JeffMasters has created a new entry.
SNOHOMISH COUNTY, WASH., MUDSLIDE
12h
Snohomish County official: We have 176 names reported as missing, notes it's 'individual names reported, not deceased, not missing' - @NBCNews live video
As I read about the terrible mudslide and the difficulty in rescue work in the slurry, I recall a tv program on Lahars, and on the high risk of much of coastal Washington from the volcanic soil on the slopes which is very prone to this kind of slippage if it is wet enough. The prediction was that it will happen and it would be catastrophic beyond belief. I fear this slide is a tiny foretaste of what could happen and wish we didnt' build whole communities in such dangerous geography. One zone in the Phillipines has had repeated slides, each time destroying communities yet again.

Ah well, in the meantime, one day at a time.

The rain is down here again... we had a bit of a lull after 6 a.m. It's still quite light, though I suppose it will pick up later...



More thunder with this round... much more interesting a system than I expected... :o)
Thanks for coming to blog party for my anniversary, you can still come and have fun.