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La Niña becomes weak; February the globe's 14th-17th warmest on record

By: Dr. Jeff Masters, 1:48 PM GMT on March 22, 2011

The equatorial waters of the Eastern Pacific off the coast of South America have steadily warmed during March, and it appears increasingly likely that the current La Niña event will be over by June. This week, sea surface temperatures (SSTs) over the tropical Eastern Pacific in the area 5°N - 5°S, 120°W - 170°W, also called the "Niña 3.4 region", warmed to 0.8°C below average, according to NOAA. This puts the current La Niña in the "weak" category for the first time since the event began in July 2010. If these SSTs continue to warm such that they are no more than 0.5°C below average, the La Niña event will be over, and we will be in "neutral" conditions. An animation of SSTs since late November shows this developing warmth nicely. Springtime is the most common time for a La Niña event to end; since 1950, half of all La Niñas ended in March, April, or May. The weakness displayed by the current La Niña event has prompted NOAA's Climate Prediction Center to predict that La Niña will be gone by June. As La Niña continues to wane, we can expect that rainfall over the drought regions of the southern U.S. will gradually return to normal levels by mid-summer.


Figure 1. Latest runs of the long-range El Niño models have 5 predictions for La Niña conditions during hurricane season, 7 for neutral conditions, and 5 for El Niño. Image credit: IRI.

Impact on hurricane season
It is well-known that when an El Niño event is in place, a significant reduction in Atlantic hurricane activity results due to an increase in wind shear. With La Niña likely gone by June, what are the chances of having El Niño in place by the August-September-October peak of hurricane season? Well, our long-range El Niño models do a poor job of making accurate predictions in the spring, a phenomena known as the "spring predictability barrier." True to form, the March predictions by these models are all over the place (Figure 1.) There are 5 predictions for La Niña conditions being present during the upcoming hurricane season, 7 predictions for neutral conditions, and 5 predictions for El Niño. If we look at past history, since 1950, there have been six La Niña events that ended in the spring. During the subsequent hurricane season, two of those years experienced El Niño conditions: 1951 (10 named storms, 8 hurricanes, and 5 intense hurricanes) and 1976 (10 named storms, 6 hurricanes, and 2 intense hurricanes.) The other four years had neutral conditions during hurricane season. These years were 1968 (8 named storms, 5 hurricanes, 0 intense hurricanes), 1989 (11 named storms, 7 hurricanes, 2 intense hurricanes); 1996 (13 named storms, 9 hurricanes, 6 intense hurricanes); and 2008 (16 named storms, 9 hurricanes, and 5 intense hurricanes.) An average hurricane season has 10 named storms, 6 hurricanes, and 2 intense hurricanes. So, three of these six analogue years had five or more intense hurricanes (including one of the El Niño years). Looking at sea surface temperature in the hurricane main development region (MDR), the stretch of ocean between the coast of Africa and Central America, including the Caribbean, February temperatures this year were 0.62°C above average, the 7th highest February anomaly since the late 1800s. Of the six analogue years since 1950 when La Niña ended in spring, only 1996 had a much above average February SST anomaly in the MDR (0.61°C.) Thus, I believe it is a reasonable speculation at this point to predict this year's hurricane season will be similar to 1996, with its 13 named storms, 9 hurricanes, and 6 intense hurricanes--assuming we end up with neutral and not El Niño conditions this fall.


Figure 2. Departure of temperature from average for February 2011. Image credit: National Climatic Data Center (NCDC).

February 2011: 14th - 17th warmest on record for the globe
February 2011 was the globe's 17th warmest February on record, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) National Climatic Data Center (NCDC). NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies rated February the 14th warmest on record. February 2011 global ocean temperatures were the 10th warmest on record, and land temperatures were the 28th warmest on record. Global satellite-measured temperatures for the lowest 8 km of the atmosphere were average, the 14th or 17th coolest in the 34-year record, according to Remote Sensing Systems and the University of Alabama Huntsville (UAH). The global cool-down from November, which was the warmest November on record for the globe, was due in large part to the moderate strength La Niña episode in the Eastern Pacific. The large amount of cold water that upwells to the surface during a La Niña typically causes a substantial cool-down in global temperatures. The coldest places on the globe in February, relative to average, were Eastern Europe and northeastern Siberia. Central Africa, central China, and western Greenland were exceptionally warm. For the contiguous U.S., February temperatures were near average, ranking the 51st coldest in the 117-year record, according to the National Climatic Data Center. Precipitation was also near average, ranking as the 41st driest February since 1895. February 2011 Northern Hemisphere sea ice extent was tied for the lowest on record in February, according to the National Snow and Ice Data Center. Satellite records extend back to 1979. This is the third consecutive month of record low Arctic sea ice cover.

Mostly offshore winds expected over Japan through Thursday
Radioactive plumes emitted from Japan's troubled Fukushima nuclear power plant will mostly head to the south today, passing just east of Tokyo. Northerly winds wrapping around the back side of an area of low pressure moving out to sea to the east are responsible for this pattern. As high pressure builds in over the next few days, mostly offshore winds will carry radiation from the Fukushima plant out to sea. This should change on Friday, when an approaching low pressure system will once again bring northeasterly onshore winds to Japan, possibly blowing heightened levels of radioactivity into Tokyo.


Figure 3. One-day forecast movement of plumes of radioactive air emitted at 10 meters altitude (red line) and 100 meters (blue line) at 18 UTC (2pm EDT) Tuesday, March 22, 2011 from the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant. Mostly offshore winds are predicted to keep the plumes east of Tokyo. Image created using NOAA's HYSPLIT trajectory model.


Figure 4. One-day forecast movement of plumes of radioactive air emitted at 10 meters altitude (red line) and 100 meters (blue line) at 18 UTC (2pm EDT) Wednesday, March 23, 2011 from the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant. Offshore winds are predicted to carry radioactivity away from Japan. Image created using NOAA's HYSPLIT trajectory model.

Resources
The Miami Herald has an interesting article discussing how Japan's earthquake caused a 3-inch jump in ground water levels in South Florida 34 minutes after the quake struck on March 11.

Seven-day weather forecast for Sendai near the Fukushima nuclear plant

The Austrian Weather Service is running trajectory models for Japan.

Spring is here, and wunderground has set up an eCard to send messages to friends and family celebrating the arrival of spring.

My next post will probably be on Thursday.
Jeff Masters

Climate Summaries

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

Reader Comments

Uh oh, guess were stuck on OIL then. Back to the same old same old
Quoting RitaEvac:


Think of submarine, that's how it would be


It would take more energy to move it to the bottom than it would produce. Just like a submarine.
No it wouldn't. We put a damn man on the moon, then by GOD we can make this crap work
Quoting RitaEvac:
Uh oh, guess were stuck on OIL then. Back to the same old same old

Of course. Finding a solution would mean nothing more to whine, moan, and complain about.
Quoting RitaEvac:
No it wouldn't. We put a damn man on the man, then by GOD we can make this crap work


That is a sore subject in this blog. LOL
Quoting pottery:

Spoil Sport!
:)

Pot....whaddya think of those windmills, bud?
Quoting RitaEvac:
Uh oh, guess were stuck on OIL then. Back to the same old same old

Seems so.
Nice try though.
The day you figure out Perpetual Motion, do let me know!

There really is no way to get Cold, Pressurized water from the Deep to the Surface without a pump.
It's down there because the warm water rises....
It's pressurized because of the Weight of the water above it.

And it's probably like that for a very good reason.
Best we leave it alone!
Quoting cat5hurricane:

Pot....whaddya think of those windmills, bud?

Great Idea...
ESPECIALLY if they are 10 miles off the coast where I cant see them. Would improve the fishing around them, too.
Cept the Guy's who got us to the Moon NEW how to use a slide rule.
Quoting pottery:

Great Idea...
ESPECIALLY if they are 10 miles off the coast where I cant see them. Would improve the fishing around them, too.

10 miles will be enough to account for the curvature of the earth. And great fishing holes will attract vendors, tourism, and bait and tackle shops.
Quoting Patrap:
Cept the Guy's who got us to the Moon NEW how to use a slide rule.

Just another step in the Adventure....
The Guy who got us to America didnt even have that, and he didnt even know it was there....
AND he was in danger of falling off the edge.

Bring on the Thinkers and Doers!
Quoting cat5hurricane:

10 miles will be enough to account for the curvature of the earth. And great fishing holes will attract vendors, tourism, and bait and tackle shops.

DAM!!
You just spoiled the entire concept.
Quoting pottery:

DAM!!
You just spoiled the entire concept.

Plenty of fish to go around for us all, my kind friend.
Why sure they did Pot,,its called a "sextant".

But you couldn't get E-mail on it then

Quoting cat5hurricane:

Plenty of fish to go around for us all, my kind friend.

Yep, and you just helped solve a hunger issue, too. (now if you can get us off the farm lobby... I mean ethanol, we're off to a good start!)
Quoting jeffs713:

Yep, and you just helped solve a hunger issue, too. (now if you can get us off the farm lobby... I mean ethanol, we're off to a good start!)

Okay. But you realize by the time that will take several years to even get that proposal hot, right? Some strings will have to be pulled.

And we're not all greedy like QuiltingQueen claims us to be.
Quoting Skyepony:
Looks like Northern Japan maybe getting some ill winds on the 25th..


Cat5~ I've seen where some diluted form of the plume should have covered near all the N Hemisphere in a few days. They measured some radiation in Europe yesterday from it.


The information is in German, a translation in English in the form of a PDF-file can be obtained by scrolling to the bottom of page 1, click on 'weiter' (=next), at the bottom of page 2 you can download an English version.
Fukushima Nuclear Accident Update (23 March 2011, 01:10 UTC)


Units 3 and 4

Reactor cooling systems at Unit 3 are severely hampered. There is suspected damage to the reactor's fuel, and the condition of its spent fuel pool is uncertain. Unit 4 had been shut down for routine maintenance - and all its fuel was removed to the reactor building's spent fuel pool - prior to the earthquake. There is therefore no concern about fuel in the reactor core, but considerable concern about the fuel in the spent fuel pool.

Workers are moving toward restoring electricity to both units, but their progress is uncertain.
Quoting Patrap:
Why sure they did Pot,,its called a "sextant".

But you couldn't get E-mail on it then



Well, not really. That was not invented until the mid 1700s.

The critical development was made independently and almost simultaneously by John Hadley in England and by Thomas Godfrey, a Philadelphia glazier, about 1731. The fundamental idea is to use of two mirrors to make a doubly reflecting instrument - the forerunner of the modern sextant.
Cept the Guy's who got us to the Moon NEW how to use a slide rule.

Yes, and they KNEW how to spell.
Coonass talking outta Knew Orleens
Quoting Patrap:
Fukushima Nuclear Accident Update (23 March 2011, 01:10 UTC)


Units 3 and 4

Reactor cooling systems at Unit 3 are severely hampered. There is suspected damage to the reactor's fuel, and the condition of its spent fuel pool is uncertain. Unit 4 had been shut down for routine maintenance - and all its fuel was removed to the reactor building's spent fuel pool - prior to the earthquake. There is therefore no concern about fuel in the reactor core, but considerable concern about the fuel in the spent fuel pool.

Workers are moving toward restoring electricity to both units, but their progress is uncertain.

Not good Pat. Thanks for the update.
Quoting NRAamy:
Cept the Guy's who got us to the Moon NEW how to use a slide rule.

Yes, and they KNEW how to spell.

LMAO!!!
Quoting NRAamy:
Cept the Guy's who got us to the Moon NEW how to use a slide rule.

Yes, and they KNEW how to spell.


Do you know how to make an on-topic post?
nope!
Quoting DARPAsockpuppet:


Do you know how to make an on-topic post?


You don't seem to be doing so well at it either.
On topic, off topic, hell, who cares. That was freaking hilarious!
that's ok, SQUAWK.... he's only been around for a week....
A tad earlier for those with a Nautical sense of History.

The History of the Sextant

Talk given at the amphitheatre of the Physics Museum under the auspices of the Pro-Rector for Culture and the Committee for the Science Museum of The University of Coimbra, the 3 October 2000.



Mariner's brass quadrant. The scale spans 90 degrees and is divided into whole degrees. A plumb bob establishes a vertical line of reference. The quadrant shown here is a replica of the type Columbus might have used on his voyages to the New World. This one is marked off at the latitudes of Lisbon, Cabo Verde and Serra Leoa, down near the Equator where Columbus is known to have visited.
Quoting DARPAsockpuppet:


Do you know how to make an on-topic post?

What exactly IS the topic here today?
Quoting pottery:

What exactly IS the topic here today?

Good fishing holes. We'll wait until quiltingqueen shows up later and see if she can share some good fishing stories.
Turbines are the topic
Sacramento Buddhist Church collects donations for Japan
Share
By Stephen Magagnini


The Sacramento Buddhist Church has turned into Sendai Relief Central with an army of volunteers sorting through mountains of clothes, blankets, toys and food for those who fled the tsunami with nothing.

By 4 p.m. Tuesday, the gym was stacked with hundreds of boxes of sweaters, pants, jackets, tops, shoes and sneakers for victims of all ages.

Two hundred more boxes were crammed with Spam, ramen, granola, soup and dried goods. Others were packed with diapers and medical supplies donated by Sutter Hospital.

"On a basic human level, the community wants to help," said church president Kelvin Mark. "It's really awe-inspiring – people freely gave of their money, belongings and time."

Grateful as they are for the 1,000 bags of clothes donated since Friday, church leaders wanted to spread the word that they are not seeking any more clothing.

About 100 volunteers carefully sorted clothing by type. A wall of donated blankets and sleeping bags dominated the church stage.

Volunteers have included Mexican American youths, Girl Scouts, Boy Scouts and Sacramentans across age and race.

"It reminds us we're really a world community," said Mark, whose church has raised close to $100,000 and will ship the boxes out of Oakland in a 40-foot cargo container bound for Kobe, Japan, later this week.

After an eight-to-10-day voyage, the donations will go to Matsuyama, Sacramento's sister city, where 100 families have been relocated about 500 miles south of Sendai, Mark said. "We can help those folks immediately, and then Japanese Boy Scouts will send the rest north to Sendai."

The tsunami survivors need everything, Mark said. "They escaped from the coast with what they were wearing. When the sirens go off, it's literally grab and go."

The jackets, blankets and winter clothes will come in handy, as Japan still has wintry weather, Mark said.

"We have to help them," said his 12-year-old son, Brandon, as he hung on an outdoor railing some clothing that was left outside over the weekend. "When we hand out these goods, they'll be grateful."

As he pushed a big box of men's sweaters, Brandon observed with a smile, "This is definitely going to aid thousands."

Brian Noguchi, 11, and Jared Mah, 12, put on white gloves, sorted sneakers and swabbed them down with sanitary wipes before packing them.

One man donated a new, never-worn tailored suit from Macy's, and several women donated real furs.

The only thing the volunteers couldn't use were "abundant-size bras that won't fit the Japanese ladies," said Aileen Nishio, who said those items will be given to Goodwill.

Tuesday's wave of volunteers included Utako Kimura, 85, who carefully folded kids clothes for seven hours. "The kids will like these," she said, pointing to a pile that included a purple "Wizards of Waverly Place" top.

Volunteers planned to sort and stack until 10 p.m. Tuesday. Today a new wave of volunteers will tackle what's left from 10 a.m. to 9 p.m.

A slightly overwhelmed Lynn Kurahara, president of the Church Women's Association, gazed at huge piles to be sorted and declared the church didn't need any more clothes: "We have bags and bags and bags."


Quoting RitaEvac:
Turbines are the topic

What a Relief!!
For a moment there I thought that Pat was becoming preoccupied with something to do with Sex..
I thought the topic was tunnels.
Quoting RitaEvac:
Turbines are the topic

Doesn't look like Xyrus and Pot are convinced. Their loss.
Quoting DARPAsockpuppet:


Do you know how to make an on-topic post?


She provides the levity that otherwise evades most.
Let's have more of that "Pure Energy".
Quoting cat5hurricane:

Doesn't look like Xyrus and Pot are convinced. Their loss.

Not true! I am open to all suggestions.
But what powers the Turbines???
Radiation detected in Tokyo's tap water; smoke prompts new evacuation of leaking nuclear plant

From the article:

A spike in radiation levels in Tokyo tap water spurred new fears about food safety Wednesday as rising black smoke forced another evacuation of workers trying to stabilize Japan's radiation-leaking nuclear plant.

I also notice there were at least three >6.0 magnitude "aftershocks" near Japan again yesterday. Calling them aftershocks this far out from the main quake seems wrong. I'm starting to wonder if this just the new reality for Japan... >6.0 mag earthquakes on a near daily basis. But surely the pressure will be expended soon...
Quoting pottery:

Not true! I am open to all suggestions.
But what powers the Turbines???

Oh okay! My bad. Rita's our head engineer in that field.
Quoting MrMixon:
Radiation detected in Tokyo's tap water; smoke prompts new evacuation of leaking nuclear plant

From the article:

A spike in radiation levels in Tokyo tap water spurred new fears about food safety Wednesday as rising black smoke forced another evacuation of workers trying to stabilize Japan's radiation-leaking nuclear plant.

I also notice there were at least three >6.0 magnitude "aftershocks" near Japan again yesterday. Calling them aftershocks this far out from the main quake seems wrong. I'm starting to wonder if this just the new reality for Japan... >6.0 mag earthquakes on a near daily basis. But surely the pressure will be expended soon...

MrMixon!! How's the weather been in the great Rockies today? Are the wildfires still burning?
Can't believe the new way of STATE democracy in our States that Congressman at the State level are using. Lets just stay out of the State so we can't vote, therefore policy change can't happen. NICE
Onshore winds are blowing in the jellies to the Daytona Spring Break Party..


Close to 100 swimmers have been treated for jellyfish stings within a two-day period on Volusia County beaches. Thousands of jellyfish have either washed up on the beach or are swimming close to shore, stinging spring breakers and other swimmers. One family vacationing in Daytona Beach Shores grabbed a bucket and began collecting jellyfish swimming close to shore so they could observe them. However, what is entertaining to some can be painful for others. A young swimmer was treated with vinegar for his stings. Five-year-old Mathew Hernon was taken by his mother to a Volusia County Beach Patrol truck where officers treated him with vinegar. "It feels bad," Mathew said as he pointed out the areas of his body where it hurt. Beach Patrol is stocking every truck and lifeguard tower with vinegar. "There's a whole bunch of Jellyfish out there," said Vicky Free, a visitor to Daytona Beach. "When you play in the water you have to run all around them so you that they don't sting ya." Beach Patrol spokesperson said the stings are minor. However, they warn people allergic to bee or jellyfish stings may have to seek medical help. Twenty-five people were treated on Monday, with 65 on Tuesday. None were serious stings.
544. beell

sorry, SPC error. No discussion available at this time.

North Carolina~ Situation Update No. 1
On 23.03.2011 at 03:59 GMT+2

Calls and emails have been coming into the newsroom about a fireball streaking across the sky Tuesday night. It appears what people saw was a meteor like the one in the picture accompanying this story, but maybe not quite as big. We received calls emails and from people in Beaufort County, Kinston, Camp Lejeune, and Winterville all describing the same thing around 7:30: A blue-green fireball streaking across the sky towards the East until it disappeared. No one reports hearing or seeing any impact. We talked with the National Weather Service out of Newport where officials say they have also had similar reports, but can't confirm for sure that it was a meteor. A meteor is a piece of rock or other debris from space that burns up as it enters Earth's atmosphere. Because the objects are moving at many thousands of miles per hour, they create friction with the atmosphere as they enter and burn up. If you happened to have seen the fireball streaking across the sky and took any pictures we would love to see them You can email them to Carolina Camera on our home page.
Sounds like a Bolide meteor
Quoting pottery:

Not true! I am open to all suggestions.
But what powers the Turbines???


The steam will power the turbines, until the generators kick in.

Oh wait...that's what they were testing at Chernobyl that night...

In remembrance, twenty-five years ago.
Quoting Skyepony:
Onshore winds are blowing in the jellies to the Daytona Spring Break Party..


Close to 100 swimmers have been treated for jellyfish stings within a two-day period on Volusia County beaches. Thousands of jellyfish have either washed up on the beach or are swimming close to shore, stinging spring breakers and other swimmers. One family vacationing in Daytona Beach Shores grabbed a bucket and began collecting jellyfish swimming close to shore so they could observe them. However, what is entertaining to some can be painful for others. A young swimmer was treated with vinegar for his stings. Five-year-old Mathew Hernon was taken by his mother to a Volusia County Beach Patrol truck where officers treated him with vinegar. "It feels bad," Mathew said as he pointed out the areas of his body where it hurt. Beach Patrol is stocking every truck and lifeguard tower with vinegar. "There's a whole bunch of Jellyfish out there," said Vicky Free, a visitor to Daytona Beach. "When you play in the water you have to run all around them so you that they don't sting ya." Beach Patrol spokesperson said the stings are minor. However, they warn people allergic to bee or jellyfish stings may have to seek medical help. Twenty-five people were treated on Monday, with 65 on Tuesday. None were serious stings.

Oh well. When a good portion of your day is spent under the influence of alcohol, the pain doesn't feel as bad.
Quoting cat5hurricane:

MrMixon!! How's the weather been in the great Rockies today? Are the wildfires still burning?


Wind, snow, and fire. Just another spring day in the Rockies. We've had nasty winds for the past 24 hours. Gusts well over 60mph were recorded in various parts of Boulder County. I've seen numerous reports of trees down, and this morning I noticed the top was snapped off of a tree in our office park. The winds were worse down here on the plains yesterday, but now they've calmed down here and they've picked up in the foothills and mountains (nearly lost the door off my car this morning to a rogue gust).

There have been reports of numerous small fires popping up all over the area, including a grass fire in an open area in downtown Boulder yesterday. Most have been put out before causing any damage, though. The Indian Gulch Fire is the biggest at the moment... about 1,200 acres. It's in the mountains west of Golden. Despite the high winds, firefighters prevented the fire from growing over the past 24 hours, but it's still only about 25% contained.

Up at home (around 8,300 feet) we've gotten a couple inches of snow from intermittent wind-driven showers over the past two days, but you wouldn't know it by looking at open areas since the wind has blown most of the snow into wind-protected areas. I heard they got a few flurries and light rain down on the plains yesterday morning, but otherwise it's been clear to partly cloudy down low...
Quoting aquak9:


The steam will power the turbines, until the generators kick in.

Oh wait...that's what they were testing at Chernobyl that night...

In remembrance, twenty-five years ago.

To the date? I thought it happened it April...
Quoting Patrap:
A tad earlier for those with a Nautical sense of History.

The History of the Sextant

Talk given at the amphitheatre of the Physics Museum under the auspices of the Pro-Rector for Culture and the Committee for the Science Museum of The University of Coimbra, the 3 October 2000.



Mariner's brass quadrant. The scale spans 90 degrees and is divided into whole degrees. A plumb bob establishes a vertical line of reference. The quadrant shown here is a replica of the type Columbus might have used on his voyages to the New World. This one is marked off at the latitudes of Lisbon, Cabo Verde and Serra Leoa, down near the Equator where Columbus is known to have visited.


For those with an ability to spell or understand the language, a quadrant is not a sextant.
Thought there might be something at spaceweather..



SQUARE SUPER MOON: Like so many other people around the world, James Helmericks of Alaska went outside on the evening of March 19th to watch the super perigee Moon rise in the east. "Imagine my surprise," he says, "when I saw that it was almost square." He took this picture from the Colville River Delta on Alaska's north slope: Atmospheric optics expert Les Cowley explains what happened: "This is a very strong mirage produced by rays bent while crossing intense vertical temperature gradients between a layer of cold air beneath warmer air. The lunar disk details are vertically stretched, suggesting that the mirage is part of a fabled Fata Morgana. If we could see distant mountains they would likely be distorted into fantastical vertically elongated shapes resembling castles and tall spires. The high Arctic is famous for these mirages."
For those with an ability to spell or understand the language, a quadrant is not a sextant.

( purple hippo sprays Dr. Pepper all over her computer screen )
Patrap you posted an Infrared Pic from the Japan Powerplant. That was a great graphic of the problem. Is there a new Picture? Thanks!
Quoting MrMixon:


Wind, snow, and fire. Just another spring day in the Rockies. We've had nasty winds for the past 24 hours. Gusts well over 60mph were recorded in various parts of Boulder County. I've seen numerous reports of trees down, and this morning I noticed the top was snapped off of a tree in our office park. The winds were worse down here on the plains yesterday, but now they've calmed down here and they've picked up in the foothills and mountains (nearly lost the door off my car this morning to a rogue gust).

There have been reports of numerous small fires popping up all over the area, including a grass fire in an open area in downtown Boulder yesterday. Most have been put out before causing any damage, though. The Indian Gulch Fire is the biggest at the moment... about 1,200 acres. It's in the mountains west of Golden. Despite the high winds, firefighters prevented the fire from growing over the past 24 hours, but it's still only about 25% contained.

Up at home (around 8,300 feet) we've gotten a couple inches of snow from intermittent wind-driven showers over the past two days, but you wouldn't know it by looking at open areas since the wind has blown most of the snow into wind-protected areas. I heard they got a few flurries and light rain down on the plains yesterday morning, but otherwise it's been clear to partly cloudy down low...

Did not realize the weather up there was that volatile. That's the whole enchilada in one day. I'm just glad all is well around your residence.
Other than these 2,,I can find no others yet.



That's the whole enchilada in one day.

just be glad it doesn't come with a side of beans....
Quoting jitterboy:


Check your facts bro http://www.snopes.com/politics/gasoline/braziloil. asp


Just thought you'd like to know.




Page last updated at 12:44 GMT, Thursday, 18 February 2010


US billionaire George Soros has more than doubled his investment in gold, despite calling it the "ultimate bubble" just weeks ago.

As well as raising its stake in SPDR, Soros Fund Management also increased its holding in Canadian gold producer Yamana Gold.

The company also bought more shares in seed producer Monsanto, Brazilian oil producer Petrobras, and Wall Street bank Citigroup.

Link
Quoting NRAamy:
That's the whole enchilada in one day.

just be glad it doesn't come with a side of beans....

It won't be Co2 Neo will be worrying about...
One more tidbit on fires. We've had at least two major evacuations (>100 homes) so far this year. It strikes me as rather early in the season for such things (according to the BLM our fire season typically starts in May), but it's not exactly shocking:

Meteorologists say wildfires are common this time of year, when strong wind persists and vegetation is dry. Compounding that was a severe drought, which is affecting most of Colorado east of the Rocky Mountains — including the Denver metropolitan area — the U.S. Drought Monitor said.

The lower foothills and high plains on the eastern side of the Rockies have had little moisture since August, said Tim Mathewson, a fire meteorologist for the Rocky Mountain Area Coordination Center, which coordinates federal, state and local firefighting.

"It hasn't been just the last couple weeks. This is part of an extended dry period," he said.


Full Story Here
Quoting RitaEvac:
Turbines are the topic


Turpentine? :-/
funky monkey!
Quoting iceagecoming:


Just thought you'd like to know.




Page last updated at 12:44 GMT, Thursday, 18 February 2010


US billionaire George Soros has more than doubled his investment in gold, despite calling it the "ultimate bubble" just weeks ago.

As well as raising its stake in SPDR, Soros Fund Management also increased its holding in Canadian gold producer Yamana Gold.

The company also bought more shares in seed producer Monsanto, Brazilian oil producer Petrobras, and Wall Street bank Citigroup.

Link


And? Your whole initial premise was mistaken and misinformed. You implied that US taxpayers were funding Soros as a kickback- none of which is true. I thought we settled this yesterday.
Quoting TampaSpin:

What is it?
Quoting jitterboy:


And? Your whole initial premise was mistaken and misinformed. You implied that US taxpayers were funding Soros as a kickback- none of which is true. I thought we settled this yesterday.

More than one way to skin the cat, jitterboy.
Quoting TampaSpin:


Are those the Chilean miners from last year?
Quoting cat5hurricane:

More than one way to skin the cat, jitterboy.

Huh?
New approach just released on Libya. The US will now attack Libyan ground troops..........WOW. Change in policy in just 2 days!
Trapped, buckled drill pipe stopped Macondo well blowout preventer from closing, investigators find
Published: Wednesday, March 23, 2011, 11:07 AM Updated: Wednesday, March 23, 2011, 12:01 PM


A drill pipe got trapped and buckled in the device that was supposed to stop BP's Macondo well from blowing out last year, preventing some mechanisms from closing as they should have, a report released by federal investigators said.


The report is by forensic investigators from Det Norske Veritas, the company hired by the federal government to analyze the four-story-tall blowout preventer.

The blowout preventer, or BOP, is supposed to use a series of rams,valves and sheering blades to close in a subsea well if oil and gas starts spewing out of it. At Macondo, it sat on the well head, nearly a mile below the Deepwater Horizon rig, where a drill pipe entered the top of a 3-mile-deep well hole.

The BOP is meant to be the last line of defense, but it failed to stop the massive flow of oil when the Deepwater Horizon rig blew up last April 20.

The Det Norske Veritas investigators concluded that the rig crew succeeded in closing an upper set of rams some time in the seven minutes between the first natural-gas induced explosion on the rig and the first failed attempt to disconnect the rig from the well. But the drill pipe was "deflected ... from the moment the well began flowing," causing a buckling of the pipe that prevented the separate slicing rams from working properly.

The report finds that the slicing blind shear rams didn't actually activate until April 22, two days after the explosion, when teams of industry officials used remote-controlled submarine robots to activate the closures. But, because the blockage occurred as soon as the well began flowing, the investigators conclude it wouldn't have mattered how and when the rams activated.

Either way, it was too late and never actually blocked the flow. It took until April 29 for the BOP to finally shear the drill pipe, but that only changed the exit point of the oil, which simply diverted through the open pipe itself and through gaps in the BOP's walls eroded by the constant battering of the first nine days of high-pressure oil flow.

Those internal metal surfaces continued to be battered for months, until a cap stopped the flow in mid-July and relief wells stopped the well from flowing entirely in mid-September. As the relief wells were being completed, the Department of Justice, Coast Guard and Interior Department brought the 400-ton BOP to the surface and to the NASA Michoud Assembly Facility in eastern New Orleans, as evidence in the federal probe of the accident.

Det Norske Veritas' forensic investigation was delayed several times as the various companies involved battled over how the evidence should be handled. The BOP was made by Cameron International and was property of the rig's owner, Transocean.
Related topics: bp, oil spill gulf of mexico 2010
Quoting jitterboy:

Huh?

Huh???? LMAO!!
574. IKE

Oil
+1.31

Price/barrel
$106.28

$4 a gallon?
Quoting IKE:

Oil
+1.31

Price/barrel
$106.28

$4 a gallon?


Heck we might want just $4 before this is over. It will be $5 by summer. Very high Inflation coming no matter what our Government wants to say!
Well,well,well....It looks lke I was right! about 1996 becoming an anolog year!It was one of my top three anolog years.Sometimes I can truley surprise myself....Now that that's over where's PalmBeachweather?.
Quoting cat5hurricane:

Huh???? LMAO!!

Grammar Girl here.
Today’s topic is taking care of clichés.
Guest writer Sal Glynn writes, clichés can be a writer’s worst enemy, and the reader usually doesn’t like clichés much either. Writers from Jonathan Swift to George Orwell have ranted against the cliché like it was the Devil tempting an innocent seminary student (1).
Clichés are the metaphors and turns of phrase that have become tired through overuse (2). All walks of life is a cliché, along with behind the eight ball and cried over spilled milk. When these appear in copy, editors usually reach for a blue pencil or red pen and ask the writer to come up with something better.
Quoting jitterboy:

Huh?


Grammar Girl here.
Today’s topic is taking care of clichés.
Guest writer Sal Glynn writes, clichés can be a writer’s worst enemy, and the reader usually doesn’t like clichés much either. Writers from Jonathan Swift to George Orwell have ranted against the cliché like it was the Devil tempting an innocent seminary student (1).
Clichés are the metaphors and turns of phrase that have become tired through overuse (2). All walks of life is a cliché, along with behind the eight ball and cried over spilled milk. When these appear in copy, editors usually reach for a blue pencil or red pen and ask the writer to come up with something better.
Quoting cat5hurricane:

To the date? I thought it happened it April...


uhhmm...like march 26-28, I think.
579. IKE

Quoting TampaSpin:


Heck we might want just $4 before this is over. It will be $5 by summer. Very high Inflation coming no matter what our Government wants to say!
I'm getting 31.6 MPG on a 2010 Ford Focus. Good car.
Quoting jitterboy:

Grammar Girl here.
Today’s topic is taking care of clichés.
Guest writer Sal Glynn writes, clichés can be a writer’s worst enemy, and the reader usually doesn’t like clichés much either. Writers from Jonathan Swift to George Orwell have ranted against the cliché like it was the Devil tempting an innocent seminary student (1).
Clichés are the metaphors and turns of phrase that have become tired through overuse (2). All walks of life is a cliché, along with behind the eight ball and cried over spilled milk. When these appear in copy, editors usually reach for a blue pencil or red pen and ask the writer to come up with something better.

Grammar Girl here.
Today’s topic is taking care of clichés.
Guest writer Sal Glynn writes, clichés can be a writer’s worst enemy, and the reader usually doesn’t like clichés much either. Writers from Jonathan Swift to George Orwell have ranted against the cliché like it was the Devil tempting an innocent seminary student (1).
Clichés are the metaphors and turns of phrase that have become tired through overuse (2). All walks of life is a cliché, along with behind the eight ball and cried over spilled milk. When these appear in copy, editors usually reach for a blue pencil or red pen and ask the writer to come up with something better.

LMAO!!!!
Quoting aquak9:


uhhmm...like march 26-28, I think.

April 26, 1986
Okay...thanks aqua.
Quoting IKE:

I'm getting 31.6 MPG on a 2010 Ford Focus. Good car.


i drive about 15 miles a day and own a jeep! Wanna trade. I hate to get rid of something i have no payments on!
Quoting cat5hurricane:

LMAO!!!!

Easy big guy, don't fall off of your chair
Quoting jitterboy:

April 26, 1986

Thnx guy. Hey, I'm sorry bud. I'm done laughing now.
ok gotta get up and be productive around here or my butt will be in trouble........LOL! Everyone have a good afternoon!
I haven't been on here in a day and a half.The same.....never mind.....It feels so weird returning.It feels like returning back to a high school reunoin.
588. IKE

Quoting TampaSpin:


i drive about 15 miles a day and own a jeep! Wanna trade. I hate to get rid of something i have no payments on!
No thanks. Sirius radio is great!
Just wait till the Saudi Reign FalLs soon for the Old Monarchs there as the Revolution strikes them down and out. The new Younger smarter Saudi People will have the US in their hands,,unlike now,when we call the Shots.

$240 bbl will be the new norm.


And you will pay like Europe does,,

9 bucks to go 31 miles.

Fabulous'''
aww c'mon ike...everyone looks sexy in a Jeep

you're right jitter, it was april not march...I have a coworker, born in 1984, who has never heard of Chernobyl.
We will have a Moment of Silence in remembrance for the people who lost their lives from the explosion at BP in 2005 and for all the friends and families that were devastated and affected by that event at 1:20PM CDT.
Quoting washingtonian115:
I haven't been on here in a day and a half.The same.....never mind.....It feels so weird returning.It feels like returning back to a high school reunoin.

wash...you need a nice giant, big hurricane to make you happy. I'll see what I can dial up.
Afternoon everyone my pricess was finally born sunday at 6:16pm weighing in at 6 lbs 6oz.

Gianna
Quoting Patrap:
Just wait till the Saudi Reign FalLs soon for the Old Monarchs there as the Revolution strikes them down and out. The new Younger smarter Saudi People will have the US in their hands,,unlike now,when we call the Shots.

$240 bbl will be the new norm.


And you will pay like Europe does,,

9 bucks to go 31 miles.

Fabulous'''

$5 says that when that happens, everyone complaining about "there is no alternative energy" will move on to either:
a. Helping to get that alternative energy source going
(unlikely, since they spent so much time fighting it),
or
b. Arguing for a war to invade Saudi Arabia.
Quoting hurricane23:
Afternoon everyone my pricess was finally born sunday at 6:16pm weighing in at 6 lbs 6oz.

Gianna

CONGRATS!

Gianna is a beautiful name, too.

(and one unlikely to show up on any hurricane lists, too)
Quoting jeffs713:

$5 says that when that happens, everyone complaining about "there is no alternative energy" will move on to either:
a. Helping to get that alternative energy source going
(unlikely, since they spent so much time fighting it),
or
b. Arguing for a war to invade Saudi Arabia.


It'll be B because we taught the Saudis how to do oil in the first place. And C gonna make those damn Turbines happen as well
Quoting hurricane23:
Afternoon everyone my pricess was finally born sunday at 6:16pm weighing in at 6 lbs 6oz.

Gianna

Congratulations! She's beautiful.
Quoting aquak9:
aww c'mon ike...everyone looks sexy in a Jeep

you're right jitter, it was april not march...I have a coworker, born in 1984, who has never heard of Chernobyl.

Ever hear about the Fermi Reactor right outside of Detroit? Had a partial meltdown in 1966.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Enrico_Fermi_Nuclear _Generating_Station
OH, I have an idea to high oil prices.
They have a solution in OKC just last week. Pump more!

Thanks guys! I will be in and out this hurricane season but i'll definitely be around.
Quoting iceagecoming:
OH, I have an idea to high oil prices.
They have a solution in OKC just last week. Pump more!


You got it!!
602. IKE

Quoting aquak9:
aww c'mon ike...everyone looks sexy in a Jeep.
lol
Quoting hurricane23:
Afternoon everyone my pricess was finally born sunday at 6:16pm weighing in at 6 lbs 6oz.

Gianna
Congrats on your new Princess!
congrats
Quoting aquak9:
aww c'mon ike...everyone looks sexy in a Jeep

you're right jitter, it was april not march...I have a coworker, born in 1984, who has never heard of Chernobyl.


How about the SL-1 accident in Idaho
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SL-1
Quoting hurricane23:
Thanks guys! I will be in and out this hurricane season but i'll definitely be around.


Congratulations.Do you have a preliminary analysis on how you see the 2011 season unfolding in terms on how active it will be? The other question is if the U.S. will have landfalls? My numbers are 13/8/4.
not in iowa
congrats 23
God's precious gifts, baby girls

Not too familiar with the other nuke accidents, just somehow my interest got piqued on Chernobyl
Afternoon, folks. Congrats Weather23.
Glad for you and your wife. Many special days, weeks and years ahead!

The embassies have closed in Toyko, this update reports, once radiation levels in water there found unsuitable for infants.

UPI
Quoting aquak9:
congrats 23
God's precious gifts, baby girls

Not too familiar with the other nuke accidents, just somehow my interest got piqued on Chernobyl

You ever read Kiddofspeed's first hand account?
Wow the GFS is showing atleast 4" to 7" of rain next week for the FL Penisula with what looks like a bulls-eye over C FL. This would be great in getting us out of this drought. GFS is showing rain nearly everyday starting Monday afternoon.
Quoting aquak9:
congrats 23
God's precious gifts, baby girls

Not too familiar with the other nuke accidents, just somehow my interest got piqued on Chernobyl


I guess that's the point, most people have never heard of these other accidents. The explosion at the SL-1 reactor sent a control rod through the top of the reactor that impaled a worker on the ceiling of the building. The Fermi reactor came very close to a full- on meltdown, a meltdown that would have probably forced the evacuation of Detroit. Funny how quick we forget.
Bring it on. Roofers need work too.
Impressive and this is just one of the days next week. Almost everyday next week on the 12Z GFS looks like this.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/ namer/gfs/12/fp0_216.shtml
615. beell
click for text
don't currently have the link waterdoggie but if you google "kiddofspeed", it will come up.
Quoting RastaSteve:
Wow the GFS is showing atleast 4" to 7" of rain next week for the FL Penisula with what looks like a bulls-eye over C FL. This would be great in getting us out of this drought. GFS is showing rain nearly everyday starting Monday afternoon.

Fantastic. Best news thus far.
Quoting RastaSteve:
Impressive and this is just one of the days next week. Almost everyday next week on the 12Z GFS looks like this.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/ namer/gfs/12/fp0_216.shtml
Are you sure about that. It would be a cruel April Fools joke to tell Florida they are getting rain on April 1st and then we not get any.
tornado watch is pretty large, and warnings are already underway... big system sure made it's mark in northern Midwest last night!
Quoting Minnemike:
tornado watch is pretty large, and warnings are already underway... big system sure made it's mark in northern Midwest last night!

Yeah I was thinking about you up in Minnesota. I hope you were alright.
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:


Congratulations.Do you have a preliminary analysis on how you see the 2011 season unfolding in terms on how active it will be? The other question is if the U.S. will have landfalls? My numbers are 13/8/4.


Thanks for the congrats!! Hmm tough question on this season as some ENSO models are hinting at a possible el nino by the heart of this season but as masters mentioned in his blog most el nino models do a pretty poor job of making accurate predictions during spring time. The european model seems to be hinting at higher pressures across the Atlantic indicating a stronger bermuda high. A decent analog for the coming season i believe is 2008. All in all as we get closer to late april into may we may have a better idea.
Quoting Minnemike:
tornado watch is pretty large, and warnings are already underway... big system sure made it's mark in northern Midwest last night!


Yikes... the active tornado watch zone covers pretty much my entire extended family (in various part of Ohio, Indiana, and Kentucky). Guess I'll quit geeking out on our fires here in Colorado and keep an eye on my peeps in the Midwest today.

Quoting kwgirl:
Are you sure about that. It would be a cruel April Fools joke to tell Florida they are getting rain on April 1st and then we not get any.


Well going by the models it looks as if FL is heading into a rainy pattern for awhile. I just hope the models don't pull a fast one on us and then show nothing. The thing going for us right now is how consistant the models have been on showing this pattern setting up since last week.
Neutron beam observed 13 times at crippled Fukushima nuke plant

TOKYO, March 23, Kyodo

Tokyo Electric Power Co. said Wednesday it has observed a neutron beam, a kind of radioactive ray, 13 times on the premises of the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant after it was crippled by the massive March 11 quake-tsunami disaster.

TEPCO, the operator of the nuclear plant, said the neutron beam measured about 1.5 kilometers southwest of the plant's No. 1 and 2 reactors over three days from March 13 and is equivalent to 0.01 to 0.02 microsieverts per hour and that this is not a dangerous level.

The utility firm said it will measure uranium and plutonium, which could emit a neutron beam, as well.

In the 1999 criticality accident at a nuclear fuel processing plant run by JCO Co. in Tokaimura, Ibaraki Prefecture, uranium broke apart continually in nuclear fission, causing a massive amount of neutron beams.

In the latest case at the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant, such a criticality accident has yet to happen.

But the measured neutron beam may be evidence that uranium and plutonium leaked from the plant's nuclear reactors and spent nuclear fuels have discharged a small amount of neutron beams through nuclear fission.


==Kyodo


For the latest information regarding the reactors in Japan, courtesy of MIT...here is the link.

MIT NSE Nuclear Information Hub

Note: Latest update is from today, March 22.


Quoting RastaSteve:
Wow the GFS is showing atleast 4" to 7" of rain next week for the FL Penisula with what looks like a bulls-eye over C FL. This would be great in getting us out of this drought. GFS is showing rain nearly everyday starting Monday afternoon.
I live in swfl and the only precip on our 7 day is isolated t storms monday,dont get your hopes up this time of year
Quoting stillwaiting:
I live in swfl and the only precip on our 7 day is isolated t storms monday,dont get your hopes up this time of year


GFS is showing lots of rain for FL starting as 30 percent Monday then increasing to maybe likely the rest of the week. Big pattern change coming as result of our ridge being kicked to the SE and allowing for lots of Caribbean moisture to flow over FL. Also the trough out west will set up over the C and Eastern US allowing for a SW flow over FL.
Pwat rates could rise to 2" come the middle on next week across FL.
Alright back to work folks!
The ITCZ has returned to the N Atl..

Quoting hurricanejunky:


Sounds better than the federal dipsticks on the right filibustering everything that comes down the pike without even attempting to govern. You guys are such hypocrites it makes my stomach turn. Gimme a break...

Oh, Junky. Let's not forget how the Congressmen got elected in the first place. Do we need a refresher course on 4th grade social studies?
Quoting cat5hurricane:

Oh, Junky. Let's not forget how the Congressmen got elected in the first place. Do we need a refresher course on 4th grade social studies?

All I'm going to say is an old saying my dad taught me...

"As the twig is bent, so grows the tree"

I'll leave it up to y'all to decide who is the twig, and who is the tree.
Quoting cat5hurricane:

Oh, Junky. Let's not forget how the Congressmen got elected in the first place. Do we need a refresher course on 4th grade social studies?


Oh, Cat5.
What in the heck are you babbling about?
Quoting kwgirl:
Congrats on your new Princess!
Happy Father's Day!!!

Pretty baby....
Quoting hurricanejunky:


Sounds better than the federal dipsticks on the right filibustering everything that comes down the pike without even attempting to govern. You guys are such hypocrites it makes my stomach turn. Gimme a break...


ya the thinking of your party is so correct.......ROFLMAO.....nice win for your thinking last fall.......keep up the good work!
Don't know if this has been posted yet, but that white smoke from #3 is now black smoke.

Quoting RastaSteve:
Wow the GFS is showing atleast 4" to 7" of rain next week for the FL Penisula with what looks like a bulls-eye over C FL. This would be great in getting us out of this drought. GFS is showing rain nearly everyday starting Monday afternoon.


Ok Jeff
Quoting stillwaiting:
I live in swfl and the only precip on our 7 day is isolated t storms monday,dont get your hopes up this time of year


Hey man! I was noticing earlier in the week the 10 day was showing a 60% chance of rain Mon/Tue of next week but now I'm only seeing a 30% chance on Tue/Wed! How is fire season up there? We are REALLY dry right now. Had some neighbors burning the last few days and the horses next door were hacking and we were getting a little affected by it as well. Don't know what they were burning but it smelled BAD. Division of Forestry came out and sited him. While he was there the ranger educated us on burning guidelines. Although we're on AG-2 zoned land (residential/agricultural) and burning is allowed, we have to call to get a daily permit from Division of Forestry. Once you receive permission you can then only burn between dawn and dusk. You also have certain setbacks and guidelines for the burn pile. Thankfully our fire pit is totally compliant. Interesting info...right now we're under fire weather warning and I can't believe anyone is burning.Wildfires in Charlotte County and Lehigh Acres but thankfully contained. Nothing outrageous YET.
Quoting TampaSpin:


ya the thinking of your party is so correct.......ROFLMAO.....nice win for your thinking last fall.......keep up the good work!


It goes in cycles. I would think you'd be smart enough to know that. You guys got your butts handed to you in 2006/2008. So you're 1-2. Big deal. Where are the jobs? Not one piece of job creating legislation yet but plenty of red herrings like Planned Parenthood, NPR, NWS/NOAA. And those wonderful proposals are slated to eliminate 800k jobs. WOW! Speaking of great jobs...thankfully that abomination of a budget won't make it past the Senate. Try cutting 200 billion out of the 708 billion defense budget or maybe the 53 billion in subsidies to oil companies or perhaps the 150 billion in subsidies for corporations to advertise abroad. You know, the REALLY important stuff.
Just a quick scan of the blog today.

All the talk of alternatives:

has anybody mentioned thorium reactors?

Link

"...China’s Academy of Sciences said it had chosen a “thorium-based molten salt reactor system”. The liquid fuel idea was pioneered by US physicists at Oak Ridge National Lab in the 1960s, but the US has long since dropped the ball..."

"...US physicists in the late 1940s explored thorium fuel for power. It has a higher neutron yield than uranium, a better fission rating, longer fuel cycles, and does not require the extra cost of isotope separation.

The plans were shelved because thorium does not produce plutonium for bombs. As a happy bonus, it can burn up plutonium and toxic waste from old reactors, reducing radio-toxicity and acting as an eco-cleaner..."

And we haven't even considered it since?
Situation Update No. 57
On 23.03.2011 at 15:04 GMT+2

WORK at the No. 2 reactor at Japan's stricken Fukushima nuclear plant was halted today after radiation levels of 500 millisieverts were detected. The work suspension came after two workers at the plant were injured while toiling on power restoration. External power was reconnected to all six reactors at troubled Fukushima earlier today, bringing Japanese engineers one step closer to restarting the facility's desperately needed cooling systems. However the continued leakage of radiation was proving a problem at the scene and much further beyond, with fears about continuing contamination of food and water. To put the 500 millisieverts detected at No. 2 reactor into perspective, background radiation levels of around 1.5 millisieverts every year are normal and poses no harm, according to the Australian Cancer Council. Nuclear workers are allowed exposures up to 20 millisieverts annually. "At 100 millisieverts exposure, there will be one additional cancer detected years later for each 100 people exposed," the Cancer Council said in a statement on its website, adding that the cancer risk due to radiation leaks at Fukushima was "minimal." Despite reassurances from authorities, concerns about the potential fallout from the nuclear crisis following the March 11 earthquake and tsunami continued.
TVS heading in my direction.
Smoke headed in my direction..


So is that just members that don't scroll down any more for the the radar control:?
I still don't understand why they keep trying to compare yearly dosage rates with an hour dosage rate. 500 mSv per hour is equivalent to a yearly dose of 4380000 mSv.


I wonder if Tornado Dude will be on the prowl?
Quoting alfabob:
I still don't understand why they keep trying to compare yearly dosage rates with an hour dosage rate. 500 mSv per hour is equivalent to a yearly dose of 4380000 mSv.

Likely hoping people won't notice--because most, indeed, won't.
23.6-meter-high tsunami triggered by March 11 quake

A tsunami wave that hit a coastal city in Iwate Prefecture after the March 11 massive earthquake is estimated to have reached 23.6 meters [77.4 feet] in height, a government-commissioned field survey by the Port and Airport Research Institute showed Wednesday.

The tsunami wave measured in the city of Ofunato was lower than the domestic record of 38.2 meters [125.3 feet] marked in the 1896 Meiji Sanriku Earthquake Tsunami, and 34.9 meters [114.5 feet] logged in the wake of the 2004 earthquake off the Indonesian coast of Sumatra.

However, Kazuhiko Toda, a researcher at the institute, said the height of the March 11 tsunami was marked under the condition where breakwaters and other counter-tsunami facilities have been set up, so it may have been greater in power than the one in 1896.

According to the Japan Meteorological Agency, tsunami waves higher than 2 meters [6.5 feet] an destroy timber houses. Concrete buildings can withstand tsunami up to 4 meters [13.1 feet] or so, but would also be destroyed if it exceeds 16 meters [52.4 feet].

Article...

Yikes...
Energy Secretary Chu On Thorium Reactors


Link

Energy Secretary Chu responds to a question on research funding for Thorium reactors. Recorded: October 26, 2009 | Google Campus | Mountainview, CA...






Quoting Neapolitan:
23.6-meter-high tsunami triggered by March 11 quake

A tsunami wave that hit a coastal city in Iwate Prefecture after the March 11 massive earthquake is estimated to have reached 23.6 meters [77.4 feet] in height, a government-commissioned field survey by the Port and Airport Research Institute showed Wednesday.

The tsunami wave measured in the city of Ofunato was lower than the domestic record of 38.2 meters [125.3 feet] marked in the 1896 Meiji Sanriku Earthquake Tsunami, and 34.9 meters [114.5 feet] logged in the wake of the 2004 earthquake off the Indonesian coast of Sumatra.

However, Kazuhiko Toda, a researcher at the institute, said the height of the March 11 tsunami was marked under the condition where breakwaters and other counter-tsunami facilities have been set up, so it may have been greater in power than the one in 1896.

According to the Japan Meteorological Agency, tsunami waves higher than 2 meters [6.5 feet] an destroy timber houses. Concrete buildings can withstand tsunami up to 4 meters [13.1 feet] or so, but would also be destroyed if it exceeds 16 meters [52.4 feet].

Article...

Yikes...


That's truly a freak of nature...WOW! What did the damage path look like or is there even any footage/images of it?
hurricanejunky,

"Had some neighbors burning the last few days"
and
"Don't know what they were burning but it smelled BAD."

I think I know what was burning.

Ameister12~ See any tornadoes?
Quoting European58:
hurricanejunky,

"Had some neighbors burning the last few days"
and
"Don't know what they were burning but it smelled BAD."

I think I know what was burning.



It smelled like creosote soaked wood products (likely fence posts) or maybe something worse. It also reminded me a bit of when Lake Okeechobee was on fire a few years back and we were getting smoke on the west coast from it. Nasty smelling...if you're being funny and are going to say "pot". Uh, no...it wasn't.
I assumed your neighbours were burning.
Quoting Neapolitan:
23.6-meter-high tsunami triggered by March 11 quake

A tsunami wave that hit a coastal city in Iwate Prefecture after the March 11 massive earthquake is estimated to have reached 23.6 meters [77.4 feet] in height, a government-commissioned field survey by the Port and Airport Research Institute showed Wednesday.

The tsunami wave measured in the city of Ofunato was lower than the domestic record of 38.2 meters [125.3 feet] marked in the 1896 Meiji Sanriku Earthquake Tsunami, and 34.9 meters [114.5 feet] logged in the wake of the 2004 earthquake off the Indonesian coast of Sumatra.

However, Kazuhiko Toda, a researcher at the institute, said the height of the March 11 tsunami was marked under the condition where breakwaters and other counter-tsunami facilities have been set up, so it may have been greater in power than the one in 1896.

According to the Japan Meteorological Agency, tsunami waves higher than 2 meters [6.5 feet] an destroy timber houses. Concrete buildings can withstand tsunami up to 4 meters [13.1 feet] or so, but would also be destroyed if it exceeds 16 meters [52.4 feet].

Article...

Yikes...

For perspective, think of a 6-7 story building. Thats the size of the tsunami.
Quoting Skyepony:
Ameister12~ See any tornadoes?

No, but I did see a nice looking shelf cloud. There was also quite a bit of hail.
Quoting European58:
I assumed your neighbours were burning.


Canabals right?
23.6-meter-high tsunami triggered by March 11 quake

A tsunami wave that hit a coastal city in Iwate Prefecture after the March 11 massive earthquake is estimated to have reached 23.6 meters [77.4 feet] in height, a government-commissioned field survey by the Port and Airport Research Institute showed Wednesday.

The tsunami wave measured in the city of Ofunato was lower than the domestic record of 38.2 meters [125.3 feet] marked in the 1896 Meiji Sanriku Earthquake Tsunami, and 34.9 meters [114.5 feet] logged in the wake of the 2004 earthquake off the Indonesian coast of Sumatra.

However, Kazuhiko Toda, a researcher at the institute, said the height of the March 11 tsunami was marked under the condition where breakwaters and other counter-tsunami facilities have been set up, so it may have been greater in power than the one in 1896.

According to the Japan Meteorological Agency, tsunami waves higher than 2 meters [6.5 feet] an destroy timber houses. Concrete buildings can withstand tsunami up to 4 meters [13.1 feet] or so, but would also be destroyed if it exceeds 16 meters [52.4 feet].


That is just wrong. I can't even imagine that much water coming at me.

I think they need to stop referring to a tsunami as a "wave." I saw the video and that was not a wave. It is the ocean rising 70 or 80 feet. It is like calling an avalanche a snowball. The term "surge" seems more appropriate. A "tsunami surge" might better convey the power and magnitude of what that thing was. Maybe "tsunami flood" might be better. I am not sure what to call it but "wave" sure as heck doesn't do the job.
Quoting RastaSteve:


Canabals right?


No, I think cannibalism is wrong, not right!
Hurricanes Igor and Tomas are no longer a threat.

The World Meteorological Organization has retired the two names from those used in 2010 because of the damage they caused. Names are retired from time to time to avoid confusion.

There are six lists of hurricane names used in rotation in the Atlantic and Caribbean region. When the 2010 list comes around again in 2016, Igor and Tomas will be replaced by Ian and Tobias.

Last year was a busy season with 19 named storms, but only two of them entered the United States. Bonnie crossed the southern tip of Florida as a tropical storm and then weakened to a depression before reaching Louisiana in July. Hermine made landfall in Texas as a tropical storm in September.

Igor struck Bermuda on Sept. 19 and then veered north, striking Cape Race, Newfoundland, on Sept. 21 where it killed three people and was the most damaging hurricane to strike there in 75 years.

Tomas became a hurricane on Oct. 30 after striking Barbados. It went on to affect Haiti -- where 35 died in flooding and landslides -- Jamaica, the Turks and Caicos Islands and St. Lucia, where 14 people were killed.

Hey Folks......Heard on Florida NPR Radio this morning that some scientists in South Florida actually measured a rise/fall of a few inches in the underground limestone aquafer deep underground of Florida (porous limestone)as the result of the tsunami......Have no clue how they were able to measure that, and tie it to the tsunami in the Pacific, but that is quite interesting given the distance, two different ocean basins, and no appreciable wave or ocean rise level that I am aware of on the Atlantic side of the event......I actually find this a little hard to believe.
Quoting SQUAWK:
23.6-meter-high tsunami triggered by March 11 quake

A tsunami wave that hit a coastal city in Iwate Prefecture after the March 11 massive earthquake is estimated to have reached 23.6 meters [77.4 feet] in height, a government-commissioned field survey by the Port and Airport Research Institute showed Wednesday.

The tsunami wave measured in the city of Ofunato was lower than the domestic record of 38.2 meters [125.3 feet] marked in the 1896 Meiji Sanriku Earthquake Tsunami, and 34.9 meters [114.5 feet] logged in the wake of the 2004 earthquake off the Indonesian coast of Sumatra.

However, Kazuhiko Toda, a researcher at the institute, said the height of the March 11 tsunami was marked under the condition where breakwaters and other counter-tsunami facilities have been set up, so it may have been greater in power than the one in 1896.

According to the Japan Meteorological Agency, tsunami waves higher than 2 meters [6.5 feet] an destroy timber houses. Concrete buildings can withstand tsunami up to 4 meters [13.1 feet] or so, but would also be destroyed if it exceeds 16 meters [52.4 feet].


That is just wrong. I can't even imagine that much water coming at me.

I think they need to stop referring to a tsunami as a "wave." I saw the video and that was not a wave. It is the ocean rising 70 or 80 feet. It is like calling an avalanche a snowball. The term "surge" seems more appropriate. A "tsunami surge" might better convey the power and magnitude of what that thing was. Maybe "tsunami flood" might be better. I am not sure what to call it but "wave" sure as heck doesn't do the job.
As a kid in California during the 60's we called them tidal waves.
#661 Weatherman wannabe, The measurement was taken at the water measuring devices in our well fields. They are constantly monitoring the level in the aquifer and the level rose 3 inches and fluctuated for several hours about 45 minutes after the tsumani. How about that. One big slosh bucket.
Maybe I am wrong....found this on the net from a 2005 tsunami in Asia.....Pretty interesting stuff:

In relation to the December 26 quake and tsunami, Jane Sutton reporting for Reuters via Yahoo!® News reports that this quake caused the water levels of the Florida aquifer to rise four inches around an hour after that quake took place. There's around 8,000 miles distance between Florida and the quake's epicenter.

Scientists with the U.S. Geological Survey estimated that seismic waves from the earthquake traveled across the globe at approximately 7,400 mph, causing small water-filled crevices in the Florida aquifer to expand and contract.

That forced water in and out of the wells, which ranged in depth from 1,350 to 1,900 feet in southern Florida, the scientists said.

665. IKE

Quoting mgreen91:
Hurricanes Igor and Tomas are no longer a threat.

The World Meteorological Organization has retired the two names from those used in 2010 because of the damage they caused. Names are retired from time to time to avoid confusion.

There are six lists of hurricane names used in rotation in the Atlantic and Caribbean region. When the 2010 list comes around again in 2016, Igor and Tomas will be replaced by Ian and Tobias.

Last year was a busy season with 19 named storms, but only two of them entered the United States. Bonnie crossed the southern tip of Florida as a tropical storm and then weakened to a depression before reaching Louisiana in July. Hermine made landfall in Texas as a tropical storm in September.

Igor struck Bermuda on Sept. 19 and then veered north, striking Cape Race, Newfoundland, on Sept. 21 where it killed three people and was the most damaging hurricane to strike there in 75 years.

Tomas became a hurricane on Oct. 30 after striking Barbados. It went on to affect Haiti -- where 35 died in flooding and landslides -- Jamaica, the Turks and Caicos Islands and St. Lucia, where 14 people were killed.

Hermine made landfall in extreme NE Mexico....


Hey, from #658 down, all the postings are cut off in the right margin. I have tried compatibility but to no avail. Did that one post do it to the rest of the blog?
Quoting SQUAWK:
23.6-meter-high tsunami triggered by March 11 quake

A tsunami wave that hit a coastal city in Iwate Prefecture after the March 11 massive earthquake is estimated to have reached 23.6 meters [77.4 feet] in height, a government-commissioned field survey by the Port and Airport Research Institute showed Wednesday.

The tsunami wave measured in the city of Ofunato was lower than the domestic record of 38.2 meters [125.3 feet] marked in the 1896 Meiji Sanriku Earthquake Tsunami, and 34.9 meters [114.5 feet] logged in the wake of the 2004 earthquake off the Indonesian coast of Sumatra.

However, Kazuhiko Toda, a researcher at the institute, said the height of the March 11 tsunami was marked under the condition where breakwaters and other counter-tsunami facilities have been set up, so it may have been greater in power than the one in 1896.

According to the Japan Meteorological Agency, tsunami waves higher than 2 meters [6.5 feet] an destroy timber houses. Concrete buildings can withstand tsunami up to 4 meters [13.1 feet] or so, but would also be destroyed if it exceeds 16 meters [52.4 feet].


That is just wrong. I can't even imagine that much water coming at me.

I think they need to stop referring to a tsunami as a "wave." I saw the video and that was not a wave. It is the ocean rising 70 or 80 feet. It is like calling an avalanche a snowball. The term "surge" seems more appropriate. A "tsunami surge" might better convey the power and magnitude of what that thing was. Maybe "tsunami flood" might be better. I am not sure what to call it but "wave" sure as heck doesn't do the job.


Much of the footage I've seen did remind me of fast rising storm surge rather than a wave. Holy cow we actually agreed on something!
Well Good night all. See you tomorrow. Be nice to each other:)
Quoting weathermanwannabe:
Hey Folks......Heard on Florida NPR Radio this morning that some scientists in South Florida actually measured a rise/fall of a few inches in the underground limestone aquafer deep underground of Florida (porous limestone)as the result of the tsunami......Have no clue how they were able to measure that, and tie it to the tsunami in the Pacific, but that is quite interesting given the distance, two different ocean basins, and no appreciable wave or ocean rise level that I am aware of on the Atlantic side of the event......I actually find this a little hard to believe.


I think it was mentioned yesterday here that the water tables in SW Florida rose after the earthquake. Interesting.
Quoting European58:


No, I think cannibalism is wrong, not right!


It's how your wrote it.
Quoting hurricanejunky:


Much of the footage I've seen did remind me of fast rising storm surge rather than a wave. Holy cow we actually agreed on something!


Rut Roh!!! That could be trouble. LOL
Quoting kwgirl:
Hey, from #658 down, all the postings are cut off in the right margin. I have tried compatibility but to no avail. Did that one post do it to the rest of the blog?

Entirely possible if you are using IE (Internet Explorer). I use IE7 on my laptop for work, and it does that. But I am allowed to install firefox for other stuff, and it works fine, no cutting off of margins or anything.
77 foot wave! WOW!! Thanks for sharing NEA. One can only imagine the force that wave packed.
Quoting IKE:

Hermine made landfall in extreme NE Mexico....




I remember CycloneOz chased this storm straight up the highway from Brownsville to west of Corpus Christi last year. It was an awesome chase as he drove through the storm several times over the course of the evening. If memory serves he drove straight from his home and then chased the storm without rest and without anyone else with him to help.

I hope he is going to chase again this year. I would love to see him work in a full fledged hurricane.

If you are still out there Oz, some here are still cheering you on.

BTW: Yesterday's tornadoes got pretty close to home here in Nebraska! It is time to clean out an area of the basement and put down some mattresses!
Cool, just remind TheXtremeWino not to drink and drive this year, please.
Quoting kwgirl:
Hey, from #658 down, all the postings are cut off in the right margin. I have tried compatibility but to no avail. Did that one post do it to the rest of the blog?
No Issues Here
Quoting KennyNebraska:


I remember CycloneOz chased this storm straight up the highway from Brownsville to west of Corpus Christi last year. It was an awesome chase as he drove through the storm several times over the course of the evening. If memory serves he drove straight from his home and then chased the storm without rest and without anyone else with him to help.

I hope he is going to chase again this year. I would love to see him work in a full fledged hurricane.

If you are still out there Oz, some here are still cheering you on.

BTW: Yesterday's tornadoes got pretty close to home here in Nebraska! It is time to clean out an area of the basement and put down some mattresses!


Tornado Alley is going to be a bust for the next several weeks with this pattern change coming in. Most of the storms are going to be confined to the Gulf Coast States and SE US. This is beginning to look similar to 2009 when the 2009 tornado season was a bust.

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions /814day/

PROGNOSTIC DISCUSSION FOR 6 TO 10 AND 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOKS
NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS, MD
300 PM EDT WED MARCH 23 2011

6-10 DAY OUTLOOK FOR MAR 29 - APR 02, 2011

TODAY'S MODEL RUNS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT ON THE EXPECTED 500-HPA HEIGHT PATTERN
FOR THE 6-10 DAY PERIOD OVER NORTH AMERICA AND VICINITY. MOST MODELS AGREE ON
A FORECAST OF A BROAD 500-HPA TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN AND
ANOTHER OVER THE WESTERN NORTH ATLANTIC. THERE IS CONSIDERABLE DISAGREEMENT ON
THE DETAILS OF THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW PATTERN OVER THE CONUS. THE 0Z ECMWF
ENSEMBLE MEAN AND THE 06Z GFS OPERATIONAL RUN SUGGEST A SPLIT FLOW WITH A TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHERN ROCKY MOUNTAINS AND A RIDGE OVER CENTRAL CANADA, WHILE
THE GFS AND CANADIAN ENSEMBLE MEANS SUGGEST A WEAK RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN CONUS
WITH ONLY A SLIGHT HINT OF A SOUTHERN JET. TODAY'S BLEND REFLECTS A FAIRLY
EVEN MIX BETWEEN THE MODEL SOLUTIONS, RESULTING IN A FLOW PATTERN THAT APPEARS
MORE CONSISTENT WITH THE GFS AND CANADIAN ENSEMBLE MEANS. THE TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION OUTLOOKS HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED TO REFLECT THE POSSIBILITY OF A
STRONGER SOUTHERN JET THAN THE TOOLS BASED ON THE MANUAL BLEND ALONE WOULD
INDICATE.

BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE STRONGLY FAVORED OVER MUCH OF THE EASTERN CONUS.
THE CHANCES FOR BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE FURTHER ENHANCED BY SUGGESTIONS
FROM NAEFS OF LOW LEVEL COLD AIR TO THE NORTH OF THE MEAN STORM TRACK. THE
CHANCES FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE SLIGHTLY ELEVATED IN THE SOUTHWESTERN CONUS AND IN THE NORTHERN ROCKIES ALTHOUGH AN EXPECTED COLD START TO THE 6-10
DAY PERIOD IN THE GREAT BASIN AND PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL ROCKIES FAVOR NEAR
NORMAL MEAN TEMPERATURES THERE FOR THE PERIOD AS A WHOLE. BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES ARE FAVORED IN WESTERN AND CENTRAL ALASKA UNDER THE EXPECTED UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH WITH ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY FAVORED IN THE ALASKAN
PANHANDLE.

TODAY'S MODEL SOLUTIONS SUGGEST LESS SHORT WAVE ACTIVITY IN THE 6-10 DAY PERIOD
OVER THE CONUS THAN YESTERDAY'S SOLUTIONS. THE CHANCES FOR ABOVE MEDIAN
PRECIPITATION ARE ELEVATED FOR MUCH OF THE SOUTHEASTERN CONUS, EXTENDING TO THE
OHIO VALLEY AND TO NEW ENGLAND DUE TO AN EXPECTED STORM SYSTEM EARLY IN THE
PERIOD, AND DUE TO PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE POSSIBLE SOUTHERN JET AS
SUGGESTED BY THE ECMWF MEAN SOLUTIONS.
MOST TOOLS FAVOR ABOVE MEDIAN
PRECIPITATION FOR THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND THE ALASKAN PANHANDLE AHEAD OF THE
STRONG JET AND TROUGH EXPECTED OVER THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC. BELOW MEDIAN
PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS ARE FAVORED IN AREAS TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH OF THE
EXPECTED STORM TRACK OVER THE CONUS, AND IN MOST OF THE ALASKAN MAINLAND.
CONDITIONS ARE QUITE UNCERTAIN IN THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL GREAT PLAINS DUE TO
THE POSSIBILITY OF A SPLIT FLOW SUGGESTED BY THE ECMWF ENSEMBLES.
Quoting RastaSteve:


Tornado Alley is going to be a bust for the next several weeks with this pattern change coming in. Most of the storms are going to be confined to the Gulf Coast States and SE US. This is beginning to look similar to 2009 when the 2009 tornado season was a bust.


Great!!!! I can take my time, enjoy my work, and I probably will not break anything in the process. I do not wish severe weather on anyone! Especially ME!
Strong TVS in Pennsylvania.
Quoting KennyNebraska:


Great!!!! I can take my time, enjoy my work, and I probably will not break anything in the process. I do not wish severe weather on anyone! Especially ME!


Yeah should be good thru 4/15. If this pattern sets up to be wet across the south then most of the moisture further north would be robbed of energy. This was a big problem in May 2009 as the SE US especially FL saw record rains. Daytona Beach recorded 22.30" in May 2009 while Bunnel just to the NW recorded 37" of rain. Again 2009 was an La Nina year transitioning to El-Nino.
Congrats 23! Best regards!!
Quoting SQUAWK:


Rut Roh!!! That could be trouble. LOL
Scooby Dooby Doo!.Where are you?.I wish that show could've stayed a classic.Instead their shoving it down peoples throats,and making bad remakes of it.Not cool man,not cool...at all!.
Quoting CybrTeddy:
Congrats 23! Best regards!!
You came on just in time!.And what do you mean by 23?.Is it your birthday?.
Record rainfall floods FL towns
Nearly 1,000 buildings damaged in Volusia County alone
BY VICKI DESORMIER | DAYTONA BEACH | May 25, 2009 Printer Friendly Email Article


It's worse than with any hurricane or tropical storm I’ve seen.
—Dan Roll, American Red Cross

While hurricane season doesn’t officially start until June 1, recent tropical-like rainfall in Florida found many residents cleaning up from flooding, or waiting for the water to recede, instead of focusing on usual holiday activities over the Memorial Day weekend.


Less than a month ago, emergency officials were warning the severe drought could produce damaging wildfires, Instead more than 1,000 buildings have been damaged following record May rains.


In parts of the state, Volusia County (in which Daytona Beach is located) in particular, it is estimated that $52 million in damage has already been reported. The early estimate assessments show 967 buildings have already been reported damaged. As people return to their homes and businesses over the next few days, that number is expected to rise dramatically.


David Gaul, 33, and his daughter Ana, 5, were staying at the American Red Cross shelter set up at Daytona Beach’s Westside Baptist Church with 48 others trying to escape the flood. They woke on Friday to find dirty water seeping under the door of their duplex apartment.


“The street was flooded like a river and water got into the car when I opened the door. That’s how deep it was,” he said. “But we had to leave. We couldn’t stay at home because water was getting in there too. We just took the stuff we have to have and left.”


It’s not just the streets adjacent to "the world’s most famous beach" that are under water. Several miles inland, the Daytona International Speedway is better suited for speedboat races than for high-speed automobiles with nearly a foot of water on the track.


According to the National Weather Service, nearly two feet of rain has fallen in parts of central Florida (including Daytona) during the past two weeks. It is expected that the rain will continue to fall in scattered downpours across the region until Tuesday when it will begin the more traditional pattern of afternoon thunderstorms.

Quoting kwgirl:
Hey, from #658 down, all the postings are cut off in the right margin. I have tried compatibility but to no avail. Did that one post do it to the rest of the blog?


i got the same problem and i am using a brand new computer.......being doing that off and on
Never mind Cyberteddy.I see what you mean.
Tornado Update for the U.S. and Nebraska, January 1-May 31, 2009

There were 665 reported Year 2009 U.S. tornadoes as of May 29, 2009 (black line in the following graph). The Year 2009 total is approximately 50% of what the total was a year ago. Note how the May 2009 line on the graph basically becomes horizontal during May 2009 indicating the scarcity of tornadoes this year in the U.S. during May. The climatological peak month for tornadoes in the entire U.S. is the month of May (although the peak period in Nebraska is early June and late June in the northern portion of the High Plains) . Although we have passed the time of year which normally sees the most number tornadoes, it is not possible to predict what the rest of the season might bring in the way of tornadoes. If the current trend continues, however, we would expect that the number of tornadoes this year will be well below last year's total for the Great Plains as well as Nebraska., U.S. Tornadoes, January 1, 2009 -May 31, 2009


One of the primary reasons that there has been a lack of tornadoes across the Plains has been the persistent drier than normal weather pattern stretching back to last Winter. The next two maps show the extent of the current dry conditions. Lincoln is currently the 7th driest May on record, and the period of January 1 through May 28 is the 3rd driest on record for Lincoln (out of 123 years of data, 1887-2009). Omaha is a little better off, but still quite dry for the year. Much of the area of the Great Plains is below normal precipitation (yellow, orange and red) and parts of the area are less than 50% of normal precipitation. The Nebraska - Kansas tornado alley is moisture starved right now and until the gulf moisture returns, storms and tornadoes will be fewer than normal.


Quoting washingtonian115:
Scooby Dooby Doo!.Where are you?.I wish that show could've stayed a classic.Instead their shoving it down peoples throats,and making bad remakes of it.Not cool man,not cool...at all!.


They are about to do the same thing with Jonny Quest. Did you know that Tim Mattheson (aka: Otter from Animal House) was the voice of Jonny?
2011 Tornado season could very well end up like 2009 if tis pattern really locks into place starting later this weekend.
Quoting RastaSteve:
2011 Tornado season could very well end up like 2009 if tis pattern really locks into place starting later this weekend.


A bust tornado season would be welcome. A bust hurricane season would also be welcome. It would be nice for the planet to settle down for awhile.
Quoting weathermanwannabe:
Hey Folks......Heard on Florida NPR Radio this morning that some scientists in South Florida actually measured a rise/fall of a few inches in the underground limestone aquafer deep underground of Florida (porous limestone)as the result of the tsunami......Have no clue how they were able to measure that, and tie it to the tsunami in the Pacific, but that is quite interesting given the distance, two different ocean basins, and no appreciable wave or ocean rise level that I am aware of on the Atlantic side of the event......I actually find this a little hard to believe.


That's not quite accurate. The water table fluctuations were due to the earthquake, not the tsunamis. The fluctuations and tsunami were both products of the energy released from earthquake.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
330 PM EDT WED MAR 23 2011

.DISCUSSION...

...CONTINUED WARM AND DRY THROUGH THE WEEKEND...

...INCREASING RAIN CHANCES FOR THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK...

MON-WED...INCRSG RAIN CHCS LOOK LIKE AN INCRSGLY GOOD BET EARLY NEXT
WEEK AS DEEPENING S-SW FLOW DRAWS HIGHER PWAT AIR NEWD ACROSS FL.
THIS TAKES PLACE AHEAD OF LOW PRESSURE CTR WHICH TREKS ACROSS THE
GULF COAST STATES...DRAGGING A FRONTAL BDRY INTO THE PENINSULA...AND
IT NOW LOOKS AS IF THE BDRY MAY STALL OVHD FOR SEVERAL DAYS. SUCH A
PATTERN CHG...IF IT VERIFIES TO THE EXTENT THAT THE GFS ADVERTISES...
WOULD BRING WELCOME RAINS TO THE STATE EACH AFTN. HAVE STARTED AN
UPWARDS TREND IN POPS FOR DAYS 5-7...BUT NOT OVERLY SO (30 ON
TUE...BOOKENDED BY 20S BOTH MON AND WED). SUBSEQUENT FCSTS WILL
REFINE (AND LKLY RAISE FOR ONE OR MORE PDS) THE CURRENT POP FCST...
BUT FEEL CONFIDENT THAT WE ARE TRENDING IN THAT DIRECTION FOR NOW.
TEMPS CONTINUE ABOVE NORMAL...ESPEC MINS - MAINLY M80S DURING THE
AFTN AND MID TO EVEN U60S AT NIGHT. WED AFTN MAY BE A FEW DEGS
COOLER SHOULD THE FRONT SAG INTO SOUTH FL AS PROGGED.

Who messed up the blog this time? No image, stretched blog, and can't post. You know I have important things to say.
Quoting KennyNebraska:


They are about to do the same thing with Jonny Quest. Did you know that Tim Mattheson (aka: Otter from Animal House) was the voice of Jonny?
They should leave classics alone.I hope they don't turn it into a bad remake production.
Quoting KennyNebraska:


A bust tornado season would be welcome. A bust hurricane season would also be welcome. It would be nice for the planet to settle down for awhile.


Neither of which, unfortunately, are unlikely to happen IMO (though I can't say really about the tornado season)

Setup in the ATL for 2011 resembles 2008 somewhat.
Quoting TampaSpin:


i got the same problem and i am using a brand new computer.......being doing that off and on

Everything is A.O.K. on my Mac!
Quoting CybrTeddy:


Neither of which, unfortunately, are unlikely to happen IMO (though I can't say really about the tornado season)

Setup in the ATL for 2011 resembles 2008 somewhat.


Yes I read Masters blog. 2008 was Ike's year. Gulf hurricanes seem more scary. One can only hope. Prayer may go along way, also.
Quoting MissNadia:

Everything is A.O.K. on my Mac!


Got a Mac too, and everything's well.
699. flsky
I've been having trouble with this site for weeks now. I've done everything I could think of TO straighten things out. I've even searched wunderground's support pages to find out what's going on - to no avail. Today, I updated to Firefox 4 hoping that would stop the problems - no luck, it's acting just the same. To see anything in it's "correct state," I have to reload the page 3 or 4 times. This is getting VERY tiresome. Admin - can't you figure this out, or, at least, tell us the exact settings we need to solve this? PLEEEEZE!!
701. flsky
Quoting RastaSteve:
Wow the GFS is showing atleast 4" to 7" of rain next week for the FL Penisula with what looks like a bulls-eye over C FL. This would be great in getting us out of this drought. GFS is showing rain nearly everyday starting Monday afternoon.


Can you provide a link?
Quoting CybrTeddy:


Neither of which, unfortunately, are unlikely to happen IMO (though I can't say really about the tornado season)

Setup in the ATL for 2011 resembles 2008 somewhat.
Again!,I said in December of 2010 that we were following the 06,07,and 08 shceme.2009 was like 2006.2010 was like 2007.So I wasn't going to be to surprised if 2011 resembeled 2008.A matter of fact I even suspected it.So if this pattern/set-up continues.....The U.S will be in a sh**load of trouble this year.
Folks were asking about fires in Colorado earlier today. I snapped this photo of the Indian Gulch Fire (near Golden, Colorado) during my lunch break about 2 hours ago. The latest news update puts it at over 1,200 acres and about 25% contained. No reports of injuries or structures lost yet. Luckily, winds have calmed down enough that they've been able to resume air support.

Quoting caneswatch:


Got a Mac too, and everything's well.
Mac + Firefox = No Problamo
Got a simple desktop, windowsXP and firefox (not upgraded yet).

The only time the blog looked strange to me is when it had the new look. No stretching problems.
Evening Everybody:-
This is just a brief note from the bottom left hand corner of Europe to you all and as I have been out in the bush for a few days messing with old factories I just looked back over the last few days and was wondering what might have happened last night about 24 hours ago on the east coast of Japan.:-

MAP 5.1 2011/03/22 22:53:31 37.062 140.620 27.9 EASTERN HONSHU, JAPAN
MAP 5.0 2011/03/22 22:51:38 36.924 142.333 30.1 OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
MAP 5.4 2011/03/22 22:36:33 37.078 140.561 15.7 EASTERN HONSHU, JAPAN
MAP 5.7 2011/03/22 22:12:29 37.109 140.673 1.0 EASTERN HONSHU, JAPAN

Not to want to appear alarmist but the above data, must have raised a few eyebrows around the world, though I haven't yet noted them, as a untrained amateur in this kind of thing I was wondering what Mister 'Keeper' might have to say about this and of course other learned observers. From our point of view here these types of readings look a trifle grim.

I must stress that these readings are from about 24 hours ago on the 22 0f March and not today but we have to note all this activity takes place over about 40 minutes!
What the hell?.No one has posted in this long?.
Tis eerily quiet in here... maybe we're in the eye?
Quoting washingtonian115:
What the hell?.No one has posted in this long?.


Sometimes happens in the middle of the night but not at 'teatime.'
Been looking at NHK-television.
Japan is waking up for a new day of trouble.
PC + Firefox or Seamonkey and everything works just fine.
Quoting PlazaRed:


Sometimes happens in the middle of the night but not at 'teatime.'
One time I remember they had stopped people from commenting on the blog permently.
A lot of people can't get on the blog. I have had to restart my PC twice. Something is wrong. I cannot post an image, even in Classic view. Something is locking the site.
If I bring the view number down to 50, it seems to work fine. Anything more than that, it does not work.
Quoting Grothar:
A lot of people can't get on the blog. I have had to restart my PC twice. Something is wrong. I cannot post an image, even in Classic view. Something is locking the site.


We might have been taken out of the 'equation?'
Another boring week down here in Ft. Lauderdale.

Quoting Grothar:
If I bring the view number down to 50, it seems to work fine. Anything more than that, it does not work.


I find that if you hit the 'quote' and then wait 10 seconds and never use any more then the 'view' 50 it works best1
Quoting PlazaRed:


We might have been taken out of the 'equation?'


Uh-OH!
msnbc.msn.com: The official report on the BP oil spill states that the reason for the disaster was that drill pipe in the BOP prevented the blind shear rams from closing.

'Holy smokes, every set of blind shear rams out there may have this problem,' expert says

Article on BP Oil Spill Report

In a statement, Transocean said the findings "confirm that the BOP was in proper operating condition and functioned as designed." It added: "High-pressure flow from the well created conditions that exceeded the scope of BOP's design parameters."

(hmmn, wonder what those design parameters look like?)
Quoting Grothar:
A lot of people can't get on the blog. I have had to restart my PC twice. Something is wrong. I cannot post an image, even in Classic view. Something is locking the site.


There have been a number of DDoS attacks over the last day or so. Wordpress was hit hard along with several others.

http://www.thepeoplesvoice.org/TPV3/Voices.php/20 11/03/23/china-attacks-wordpress

http://www.physorg.com/news/2011-03-horizon-victi ms-ddos.html
Quoting Grothar:


Uh-OH!


Might be better to state 'out of their equation!'

All a bit of a mix up on the 3rd stone from the Sun at the moment?

wish I knew how to post 'u tube' video's?
Are "paid" members having trouble getting on the site? If not, it may be coming from ads.

I'm paid and no problems whatsoever over the past God-knows-how-long on a PC with Windows 7. I'm running the "new" wunderground.com

WTO

Edit: just read Oss's post 720 ... that makes sense. But I wonder why I am having no issues. Different routing? *shrugs*
723. beell
Fukushima faced 14-metre tsunami
23 March 2011
World Nuclear News.org
...This is the third upward revision of tsunami's scale since it disabled emergency power generators and heat removal pumps at Fukushima Daiichi on 11 March...

...In early statements, Tepco had said the tsunami was at least seven metres high. Later the company increased its estimate to ten metres at the Daiichi plant and 12 metres at Daini. Today's figures describe a 14-metre tsunami at both plants. By regulation, the Daiichi plant was fully prepared for a tsunami of up to 5.7 metres. At Daini, ten kilometres along the coast, the design basis was 5.2 metres...


World Nuclear News-Fukushima Portal
Quoting Grothar:
Another boring week down here in Ft. Lauderdale.

Austin's Forecast isn't Much Different
TODAY: Sunny, Hi:90
Thursday: Sunny Hi:91
Friday: Sunny Hi:90
Saturday: Sunny, Hi:85
Sunday: Sunny, Hi:77
Monday: Partly Cloudy, Hi:84
Tuesday: Isolated T-Storms Hi:88
Quoting Grothar:
Another boring week down here in Ft. Lauderdale.

With those tempetures the sst will warm up quite nicley.And they will be ready for hurricane season unfortunatly........
Quoting beell:
Fukushima faced 14-metre tsunami
23 March 2011
World Nuclear News.org
...This is the third upward revision of tsunami's scale since it disabled emergency power generators and heat removal pumps at Fukushima Daiichi on 11 March...

...In early statements, Tepco had said the tsunami was at least seven metres high. Later the company increased its estimate to ten metres at the Daiichi plant and 12 metres at Daini. Today's figures describe a 14-metre tsunami at both plants. By regulation, the Daiichi plant was fully prepared for a tsunami of up to 5.7 metres. At Daini, ten kilometres along the coast, the design basis was 5.2 metres...


World Nuclear News-Fukushima Portal

It's fully expected that TEPCO will claim the tsunami was as high as possible; under the law, if the destruction of the plant can be blamed on an "extraordinary act of God", TEPCO will be off the hook for all but a few hundred million dollars, and the tens of billions it'll take to clean up the mess and replace the plant will be shifted onto the shoulders of the good and longsuffering taxpayers of Japan.

What a deal for TEPCO, no? Build a plant; reap the profits from it for years; watch it destroyed due to your own negligence; then hand the ginormous bill for cleanup and repair over to the very people who already paid for the plant in the first place. Smart thinking, that...
Quoting WatchingThisOne:
Are "paid" members having trouble getting on the site? If not, it may be coming from ads.

I'm paid and no problems whatsoever over the past God-knows-how-long on a PC with Windows 7. I'm running the "new" wunderground.com

WTO

Edit: just read Oss's post 720 ... that makes sense. But I wonder why I am having no issues. Different routing? *shrugs*


I'm not paid and I'm just using windows 7 at about half a megabyte/second but i do have direct satellite connections.

I think some of the servers are a bit stuffed up and there's a lot of things not working too well at the moment.

Having said that I'm in Europe and not far from all the action here! It quiet tonight and a bit windy, This 'communication breakdown' is a bit tedious?
repost of #571

Trapped, buckled drill pipe stopped Macondo well blowout preventer from closing, investigators find
Published: Wednesday, March 23, 2011, 11:07 AM Updated: Wednesday, March 23, 2011, 12:01 PM


A drill pipe got trapped and buckled in the device that was supposed to stop BP's Macondo well from blowing out last year, preventing some mechanisms from closing as they should have, a report released by federal investigators said.


The report is by forensic investigators from Det Norske Veritas, the company hired by the federal government to analyze the four-story-tall blowout preventer.

The blowout preventer, or BOP, is supposed to use a series of rams,valves and sheering blades to close in a subsea well if oil and gas starts spewing out of it. At Macondo, it sat on the well head, nearly a mile below the Deepwater Horizon rig, where a drill pipe entered the top of a 3-mile-deep well hole.

The BOP is meant to be the last line of defense, but it failed to stop the massive flow of oil when the Deepwater Horizon rig blew up last April 20.

The Det Norske Veritas investigators concluded that the rig crew succeeded in closing an upper set of rams some time in the seven minutes between the first natural-gas induced explosion on the rig and the first failed attempt to disconnect the rig from the well. But the drill pipe was "deflected ... from the moment the well began flowing," causing a buckling of the pipe that prevented the separate slicing rams from working properly.

The report finds that the slicing blind shear rams didn't actually activate until April 22, two days after the explosion, when teams of industry officials used remote-controlled submarine robots to activate the closures. But, because the blockage occurred as soon as the well began flowing, the investigators conclude it wouldn't have mattered how and when the rams activated.

Either way, it was too late and never actually blocked the flow. It took until April 29 for the BOP to finally shear the drill pipe, but that only changed the exit point of the oil, which simply diverted through the open pipe itself and through gaps in the BOP's walls eroded by the constant battering of the first nine days of high-pressure oil flow.

Those internal metal surfaces continued to be battered for months, until a cap stopped the flow in mid-July and relief wells stopped the well from flowing entirely in mid-September. As the relief wells were being completed, the Department of Justice, Coast Guard and Interior Department brought the 400-ton BOP to the surface and to the NASA Michoud Assembly Facility in eastern New Orleans, as evidence in the federal probe of the accident.

Det Norske Veritas' forensic investigation was delayed several times as the various companies involved battled over how the evidence should be handled. The BOP was made by Cameron International and was property of the rig's owner, Transocean.
Related topics: bp, oil spill gulf of mexico 2010
729. beell
Quoting Neapolitan:

It's fully expected that TEPCO will claim the tsunami was as high as possible; under the law, if the destruction of the plant can be blamed on an "extraordinary act of God", TEPCO will be off the hook for all but a few hundred million dollars, and the tens of billions it'll take to clean up the mess and replace the plant will be shifted onto the shoulders of the good and longsuffering taxpayers of Japan.

What a deal for TEPCO, no? Build a plant; reap the profits from it for years; watch it destroyed due to your own negligence; then hand the ginormous bill for cleanup and repair over to the very people who already paid for the plant in the first place.


In this case, the truth appears to be the best business decision...
;-)
Quoting washingtonian115:
With those tempetures the sst will warm up quite nicley.And they will be ready for hurricane season unfortunatly........
That's exactly what i was thinkin...
Quoting beell:


In this case, the truth appears to be the best business decision...
;-)

Yeah, great for business. Not so great for the people of Japan. But then again, corporations are all about profit, so they never did care much about people anyway, did they?

The status quo is maintained.
Quoting Grothar:


Uh-OH!


Well, all I have to do is pull my left earlobe to the right....just a little bit.....and everything works just perfect. /)
733. beell
click for storm reports

From a seminar years ago: "People oriented companies rarely have profit problems, profit oriented companies almost always have people problems."
Quoting Neapolitan:

Yeah, great for business. Not so great for the people of Japan. But then again, corporations are all about profit, so they never did care much about people anyway, did they?

The status quo is maintained.


I think we have to bear in mind with these kind of things that the truth as they wish to convey it may be meaningless, as the consequences of their actions and fibs will come out and we are not dealing with a western society here who will blindly accept any old story just to get the soap operas back on the 'idiot box'

Added to all the 'stories so far' we also have to consider that this might only be the beginning of the next chapter of uncharted and uncontrollable demise?
Damaging storms containing possible tornadoes tore across Southwestern Pennsylvania Wednesday afternoon.

Westmoreland County is reporting the most severe damage so far. Dan Stevens with the county says 20 to 27 homes have substantial damage, along with two schools.

"We aren't just talking about roofs missing," Stevens says. He tells The Weather Channel "second floors are missing, too."

He also says homeowners are reporting minor injuries like cuts and bruises.

There has also been damage at Hempfield High School. Both the auditorium and athletic field took a bad hit. Students were inside the school when the storms blew through, but there aren't any reports of major injuries so far.

Tom Zangla lives in South Greensburg. He captured a photo of at least one funnel cloud Wednesday afternoon. He says his sister called to warn him storms were coming in his direction. He stepped outside with his camera and took photos, including one of a funnel.

"As soon as I took the picture, it disappeared," he says. "But you could see debris."

Emergency managers are investigating. The National Weather Service has not yet confirmed that the storm was a tornado.

The Weather Channel's severe weather expert Dr. Greg Forbes says Westmoreland County has seen 30 confirmed tornadoes since 1950.




coming about
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:



coming about


Now what does that mean? and where is the radar?
Quoting HurricaneDean07:
That History shows that the U.S might indeed be in danger.I hope history doesn't "repeat" it's self to say the least.
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:



coming about


Mister Keeper,
Not to want to bore you but what do you make of this yesterday?

MAP 5.1 2011/03/22 22:53:31 37.062 140.620 27.9 EASTERN HONSHU, JAPAN
MAP 5.0 2011/03/22 22:51:38 36.924 142.333 30.1 OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
MAP 5.4 2011/03/22 22:36:33 37.078 140.561 15.7 EASTERN HONSHU, JAPAN
MAP 5.7 2011/03/22 22:12:29 37.109 140.673 1.0 EASTERN HONSHU, JAPAN

It does seem a bit concentrated!

Quoting EYEStoSEA:


Now what does that mean? and where is the radar?
next active period approaches

here is a back side view of sun
four to come in this next period
Quoting Grothar:
Another boring week down here in Ft. Lauderdale.



It won't be boring next week.
Situation Update No. 46
On 23.03.2011 at 04:25 GMT+2

The death toll in the Japanese earthquake and tsunami grew to more than 9,300 in the past 24 hours. According to Japan's National Police Agency data, 9,301 people were killed and 12,645 remain unaccounted for as of 09:00 local time (00:00 GMT). A fresh tremor measuring 6.6 rattled Japan's northeastern Fukushima prefecture on Tuesday, the strongest so far in a series of aftershocks following the 9.0-magnitude March 11 earthquake. More than 160 Russian rescuers, who worked in the worst damaged Japanese cities of Sendai and Niigata, have been returning to Russia on Tuesday and Wednesday.
Quoting caneswatch:


It won't be boring next week.
CanesWatch I see your out.
Quoting washingtonian115:
CanesWatch I see your out.


What do you mean "out?"
Quoting caneswatch:


What do you mean "out?"


Not in?
And I'll see your out and raise you a far out.
Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Accident Update (23 March, 20:00 UTC)

Brief update on state of Fukushima Daiichi reactors

Japanese authorities today announced a number of developments at Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant, where reactor cooling systems were disabled following the massive earthquake and tsunami on 11 March.

At Units 1, 2, 3, and 4, workers have advanced the restoration of off-site electricity, and the lights are working in Unit 3's main control room.

Black smoke was seen emerging from the Unit 3 reactor building, spurring the temporary evacuation of workers from Units 3 and 4. The emission of smoke has now decreased significantly.

Crews continued today to use a concrete pump truck to deliver high volumes of water into the Unit 4 spent fuel pool, where there are concerns of inadequate water coverage over the fuel assemblies.

At Units 5 and 6, workers have successfully restored off-site power to the reactor, which had previously reached a safe, cold shutdown status.
Briefing on Fukushima Nuclear Accident (23 March 2011, 15:30 UTC)

On Wednesday, 23 March 2011, Graham Andrew, Special Adviser to the IAEA Director General on Scientific and Technical Affairs, briefed both Member States and the media on the current status of nuclear safety in Japan. His opening remarks, which he delivered at 15:30 UTC at the IAEA headquarters in Vienna, are provided below:

* There are some positive developments related to the availability of electrical power supply to the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plants, although the overall situation remains of serious concern.
* AC power is now available at Units 1, 2 and 4. Power has been restored to some instrumentation in all Units except Unit 3. At Unit 3, the main control room has lighting, but no power to its equipment or instruments. As a positive development instrumentation, as it becomes available, is providing more data that can be assessed by experts.
* The pressure in the reactor pressure vessel and drywell of Unit 3 is stable. However, pressure has increased in both the reactor pressure vessel and the drywell of Unit 1, where seawater injection has been increased. Until heat can be removed from Unit 1, pressure tends to increase as water is injected. The reactor feed water system is being used, in addition to water injection through fire extinguisher lines.
* Pressure readings in Unit 2 appear to be less reliable. Only limited data is available concerning the reactor pressure vessel and reactor containment vessels' integrity of Unit 2. Temperature readings in the reactor pressure vessels of Units 1 and 3 were high and of some concern. The temperature has now dropped in Unit 1 following the start of seawater injection via feed-water pipes. Indications are that the temperature at Unit 2 is stable.
* Units 5 and 6 continue to have off-site power and remain in cold shutdown.
* Dose rates measured in the containment vessels and suppression chambers of Units 1, 2, and 3 are available and are being studied.
* Periodic water spraying of Units 2, 3, and 4 and the common spent fuel pool has continued.

Radiation Monitoring

The IAEA radiation monitoring team took additional measurements at distances from 30 to 73 km from the Fukushima nuclear power plant. Results from gamma dose-rate measurements in air ranged from 0.2 to 6.9 microsievert per hour. The beta-gamma contamination measurements ranged from 0.02 to 0.6 Megabecquerel per square metre.

The second IAEA monitoring team has now arrived in Japan. The two teams in Japan will continue to work closely with the Japanese authorities. Monitoring will be undertaken in the areas of Fukushima and Tokyo. Measurements will be taken to determine more precisely the actual composition of the radionuclides that have been deposited.

More data has become available from the Japanese authorities. The measurements indicate that the radiation dose rates at the Daiichi site are decreasing. Absent further releases from the site, this is to be expected as relatively short lived radionuclides such as Iodine-131 decay away. At the Daiini site, small spikes have been observed in gamma dose rate measurements; these are most likely to be the result of releases carried by the wind from the nearby Daiichi site.

The deposition of iodine-131 and caesium-137 varies across some ten Prefectures from day to day, but the trend is generally upward. In contrast, environmental radiation monitoring data in the Fukushima Prefecture outside the 20km evacuation zone, shows mostly decreasing values.

Monitoring of the marine environment is being undertaken by the Japanese Ministry of Education, Culture, Sport, Science and Technology (MEXT). High levels of iodine-131 and caesium-137 were measured close to the effluent discharge points Units 1 to 4 of Fukushima Daiichi (i.e. before dilution by the ocean). Future monitoring will cover eight locations 30 km off the coast at 10 km intervals. Results for seawater and the atmosphere above the sea should be available in the next few days. IAEA experts from the Marine Environment Laboratory, Monaco will assess this data.

Since yesterday, the IAEA has received further information from the Japanese Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare regarding the presence of radioactivity in milk, drinking water and vegetables. The results of some samples were above the limits specified in Japanese regulations concerning limits for food and water ingestion.

In Fukushima prefecture six raw milk samples, and in Ibaraki prefecture three spinach samples, showed concentrations of Iodine-131 in excess of limits. We understand that the Prime Minister of Japan, Mr. Naoto Kan, has today issued instructions to food business operators to cease, for the time being, the distribution of, and for the public to cease the consumption of, certain leafy vegetables (e.g., spinach, komatsuna, cabbages) and any flowerhead brassicas (broccoli, cauliflower) produced in Fukushima Prefecture. The Prime Minister has ordered food business operators not to distribute, for the time being, any fresh raw milk and parsley in Ibaraki Prefecture.

We have also been advised that the Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare has encouraged Ibaraki and Chiba Prefectures to monitor seafood products.

The Tokyo Metropolitan Water Office stated that levels of iodine-131 in tap water at a purification plant were found to be above the limits for drinking water for infants but below the level for adults. The Ministry of Health Labour and Welfare, has requested that tap water in Tokyo is not used as drinking water for infants.

So, in summary: there are some positive indications on the site; precautionary restrictions around the site on certain foodstuffs; and monitoring of the environment is continuing beyond the evacuation zone and at sea. No significant risk to human health has been identified.

→ Watch Video :: View Presentation
Fukushima Nuclear Accident Update (23 March 2011, 01:10 UTC)

Restoring Power to Fukushima Daiichi

Without electrical power, cooling systems at Fukushima Daiichi's six reactors cannot operate. Many of the problems facing the nuclear power plant stem from the loss of electrical power at the site following the massive earthquake and tsunami on 11 March. The earthquake cut off external power to the plant and the tsunami disabled backup diesel generators.

Japanese officials have been working to restore power to the facility, and their efforts are organized in three phases.

Units 1 and 2

Reactor cooling systems at these units are severely hampered. There is suspected damage to the nuclear fuel in both units. Workers successfully connected off-site electrical supplies to a transformer at Unit 2 on 19 March and later to at least one electrical distribution panel inside the plant. Technicians are conducting diagnostic tests to determine the integrity of the reactor's electrical systems.

Japanese authorities plan to connect Unit 1 sometime after Unit 2. Because of the degraded condition of the Unit 1 reactor building, this work may take more time compared to Unit 2, the reactor building sustained significantly less damage since the earthquake struck.

Units 3 and 4

Reactor cooling systems at Unit 3 are severely hampered. There is suspected damage to the reactor's fuel, and the condition of its spent fuel pool is uncertain. Unit 4 had been shut down for routine maintenance - and all its fuel was removed to the reactor building's spent fuel pool - prior to the earthquake. There is therefore no concern about fuel in the reactor core, but considerable concern about the fuel in the spent fuel pool.

Workers are moving toward restoring electricity to both units, but their progress is uncertain.

Units 5 and 6

Both units had been shut down for routine maintenance prior to the earthquake, reducing their cooling needs somewhat, but not entirely. On 17 March operators were able to start one of the Unit 6 diesel generators. On 19 March, workers successfully connected the second diesel generator in Unit 6. The two generators were used to power cooling systems in both reactors, which then achieved a safe, cold shutdown configuration. Off-site power was restored to Unit 5 on 21 March.

Restoring external power to the power plant does not mean the reactors will immediately resume normal safety function. The earthquake and tsunami may have inflicted considerable damage in addition to knocking out electricity supplies. Since the extent of this damage (and therefore the extent of necessary repair) is unknown, it is not possible to accurately estimate a work schedule. Progress of efforts to restore power may be impaired by heavy gloves or respirators required to permit the operators to work in the reactors following the damage inflicted by the earthquake and tsunami.

As power is restored, workers will perform checks to make certain the conditions are safe to restart individual components. They will check for grounds and ensure circuits remain intact. If damage is discovered, a decision will have to be made whether to perform repairs or move on to the next component on a prioritised list. Nuclear reactors, especially safety related equipment, incorporate multiple layers of redundancy. So a problem in one component does not necessarily mean a specific safety function will be unrecoverable. It is more likely that operators will move on to the redundant equipment in an effort to determine the most intact system and focus their restoration efforts there. This process takes time.
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:



coming about


Sol had some comets over for dinner, and they were not guests :)



http://stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov/gallery/item.php?id=s elects&iid=148

hi ya'll

will someone please send some rain to Florida, esp the east-central and northeastern areas. No, not the severe stuff, that'll come mid, late April. Right now, I just want some rain.

Please.
Thanks, Pat. For some reason, pink dinosaurs used to work, too. Ah well, each time is different.
BTW, if you have not, check for updated patches for your OS and browser, and update them accordingly. There have been a number of recent issues that prompted the updates that have come out recently.
Wildfire near McClellanville...north of Charleston
Link
I wonder how many people died in the tsunami because it happened at the end of winter instead of August. If the water had been 77°F, not 37°F, would many more have survived?
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
next active period approaches

here is a back side view of sun
four to come in this next period

Quite lovely and useful graphic, thank you.
I was thinking about that because I never saw helicopter rescues of people in the water hanging on to debris--like you might have had the tsunami happened in summer. Helicopter rescues of people floating in the water 2 or 3 days out, even. I bet inside an hour, everyone floating in that water, even if uninjured, was dead.
The nuclear emergency is not over.

Worth reading, unless you are looking for something light.

NYT - New Problems at Japanese Plant Subdue Optimism
706 PlazaRed "I just looked back over the last few days and was wondering what might have happened last night about 24 hours ago on the east coast of Japan.:-
MAP 5.1 2011/03/22 22:53:31 37.062 140.620 27.9 EASTERN HONSHU, JAPAN
MAP 5.0 2011/03/22 22:51:38 36.924 142.333 30.1 OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
MAP 5.4 2011/03/22 22:36:33 37.078 140.561 15.7 EASTERN HONSHU, JAPAN
MAP 5.7 2011/03/22 22:12:29 37.109 140.673 1.0 EASTERN HONSHU, JAPAN
...the above data must have raised a few eyebrows around the world...
...all this activity takes place over about 40 minutes!
"

As mentioned in page5comment213 along with accompanying map, JMA found that three quakes epicentered between 29to35miles southwest of the FukushimaDaiichi powerplants to be sufficiently interesting to call a press conference.
Other than NHK coverage of the JapaneseMeteorologicalAgency briefing, not much reaction, neither here nor in the media presence on the WorldWideWeb.

It's been 12hours now since the last quake of magnitude5-or-greater has been reported.
Could just be a page-renewal-cookie glitch in either my machine or at the USGS...
...but after getting used to such a long&sustained period of frequent 5s&up, I find myself waiting for the other shoe to drop with a !KABOOM!(even though intellectually I know things hafta quiet down soon).
762. xcool
BP workers are sick and dying from COREXIT! This woman is suffering from a lot of issues including neurological damage. I know a lot is going on right now, but let's give a voice to the clean up crew whos ailments are being ignored! [video]


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SZc9fwTAz_k&featur e=player_embedded#at=34
Quoting aquak9:
hi ya'll

will someone please send some rain to Florida, esp the east-central and northeastern areas. No, not the severe stuff, that'll come mid, late April. Right now, I just want some rain.

Please.


What about South Florida? We're drier than you.

Quoting Grothar:


What about South Florida? We're drier than you.



I heard we're getting some, but not until next week.
Quoting Grothar:


What about South Florida? We're drier than you.


I will see your drought monitor post, and raise you by a South Central US.

Evening, this is from the New York Times article Watching This One just posted:

Nuclear engineers have become increasingly concerned about a separate problem that may be putting pressure on the Japanese technicians to work faster: salt buildup inside the reactors, which could cause them to heat up more and, in the worst case, cause the uranium to melt, releasing a range of radioactive material.

Richard T. Lahey Jr., who was General Electric’s chief of safety research for boiling-water reactors when the company installed them at the Fukushima Daiichi plant, said that as seawater was pumped into the reactors and boiled away, it left more and more salt behind.

He estimates that 57,000 pounds of salt have accumulated in Reactor No. 1 and 99,000 pounds apiece in Reactors No. 2 and 3, which are larger.

The big question is how much of that salt is still mixed with water and how much now forms a crust on the uranium fuel rods.

Crusts insulate the rods from the water and allow them to heat up. If the crusts are thick enough, they can block water from circulating between the fuel rods. As the rods heat up, their zirconium cladding can rupture, which releases gaseous radioactive iodine inside, and may even cause the uranium to melt and release much more radioactive material.

If Caneswatch is still on what I mean by out is that you were on the blog.And were blogging.
Quoting caneswatch:


I heard we're getting some, but not until next week.
Quoting caneswatch:


I heard we're getting some, but not until next week.


Moving on!!!
IAEA Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Accident Update (23 March, 20:00 UTC)

Brief update on state of Fukushima Daiichi reactors
Quoting jeffs713:

I will see your drought monitor post, and raise you by a South Central US.



Oh, yeah. Well I raise you this. LOL



I heard we're getting some, but not until next week.


"Must resist retort ,,must be strong"..
Quoting Patrap:

I heard we're getting some, but not until next week.


"Must resist retort ,,must be strong"..


FAMILY BLOG YOU TWO!!!!!!! LOL

I knew Grothar would get it first LOL
Quoting Chicklit:
Evening, this is from the New York Times article Watching This One just posted:

Nuclear engineers have become increasingly concerned about a separate problem that may be putting pressure on the Japanese technicians to work faster: salt buildup inside the reactors, which could cause them to heat up more and, in the worst case, cause the uranium to melt, releasing a range of radioactive material.

Richard T. Lahey Jr., who was General Electric’s chief of safety research for boiling-water reactors when the company installed them at the Fukushima Daiichi plant, said that as seawater was pumped into the reactors and boiled away, it left more and more salt behind.

He estimates that 57,000 pounds of salt have accumulated in Reactor No. 1 and 99,000 pounds apiece in Reactors No. 2 and 3, which are larger.

The big question is how much of that salt is still mixed with water and how much now forms a crust on the uranium fuel rods.

Crusts insulate the rods from the water and allow them to heat up. If the crusts are thick enough, they can block water from circulating between the fuel rods. As the rods heat up, their zirconium cladding can rupture, which releases gaseous radioactive iodine inside, and may even cause the uranium to melt and release much more radioactive material.


Interesting...
But will someone do the Math here, and say how much sea water is needed (even if ALL of it boils away) to create 99,000 lb. of salt?

Then double that, cos it's 2 reactors and add 57,000 lb again for the other one....

Sounds unlikely, to me..
Quoting Patrap:

I heard we're getting some, but not until next week.


"Must resist retort ,,must be strong"..


I was, notice my response earlier.
Quoting Grothar:


Moving on!!!


Like I said, FAMILY BLOG!!!!!!
Quoting Neapolitan:

Yeah, great for business. Not so great for the people of Japan. But then again, corporations are all about profit, so they never did care much about people anyway, did they?

The status quo is maintained.


If you elect businessmen to run government (Florida governor for example) and privatize our public schools, do you think the public will get more and better services or less? Will we be safer and healthier or more at risk?
Anybody else still having problems with the blog presentation in views other than 50 messages?
Quoting BahaHurican:
Anybody else still having problems with the blog presentation in views other than 50 messages?


Yes, except it seems, those with Mac's and Firefox. I guess I'll have to get rid of my Windows 3.1 and Explorer 1.1 and upgrade someday. I couldn't get on for about 3 hours.
Quoting pottery:

Interesting...
But will someone do the Math here, and say how much sea water is needed (even if ALL of it boils away) to create 99,000 lb. of salt?

Then double that, cos it's 2 reactors and add 57,000 lb again for the other one....

Sounds unlikely, to me..




okay, math whizzes figure this one out, please!
SeawaterSaltConcentrations

Where is atmoaggie when you need him?!
Quoting Chicklit:




okay, math whizzes figure this one out, please!
SeawaterSaltConcentrations

Where is atmoaggie when you need him?!


I'm sure he's looking up in Wiki, as we speak. LOL
Thanks Grothar. I guess that is my sign to go to bed.

I have a hectic 7 day period coming up, so if u don't see me it's not because I don't love u guys anymore.... lol

Night all.
Quoting Grothar:


I'm sure he's looking up in Wiki, as we speak. LOL


aw cmon he can figure that out in his head!
anyway, i'm outta day.
night all.
Quoting Chicklit:




okay, math whizzes figure this one out, please!
SeawaterSaltConcentrations

Where is atmoaggie when you need him?!

Well, this is what we have so far...

a total (estimated) of aprox 255,000 lb of salt (about 25,500 tons!!)
ocean salinity is around 35 parts per THOUSAND.
So if ALL the water boiled away (which it did not or the place would have gone crazy), then we needed to pump water 255,000 X 1000 and divide by 35.

Eh???
Stop talking that blah,blah,blah,blah,blah,blah.....
Quoting Chicklit:




okay, math whizzes figure this one out, please!
SeawaterSaltConcentrations

Where is atmoaggie when you need him?!


I'll give it a go...
Twice 99,000 + 57,000 yields 255,000 lbs of salt.

From here it says one cubic foot of seawater yields 2.2 lbs of salt.

250,000/2.2 gives 116000 cubic feet of seawater to yield 255000 lbs of salt; which is about 868000 US gallons.
Quoting sirmaelstrom:


I'll give it a go...
Twice 99,000 + 57,000 yields 255,000 lbs of salt.

From here it says one cubic foot of seawater yields 2.2 lbs of salt.

250,000/2.2 gives 116000 cubic feet of seawater to yield 255000 lbs of salt; which is about 868000 US gallons.

I did not look at your link, but sea water is about 35 parts per thousand salts.
And a cu'ft of water is about 7.5 galls. Or about 77 lb. So 2.2 lb salt from 77 lb water is a lot higher than 35 ppt.
So one of us is wrong...

I hope someone can clear this up.
Feel the wiki, be the wiki.

Oxygen 85.84 Sulfur 0.091
Hydrogen 10.82 Calcium 0.04
Chloride 1.94 Potassium 0.04
Sodium 1.08 Bromine 0.0067
Magnesium 0.1292 Carbon 0.0028

Seawater composition by mass. So 4 2=6, carry the 1.

Seawater is 96.66% water, thereabouts, or ...
3.44% "salt". (Agrees with Pottery's number.)

Take the reciprocal, 1 ton of salt to abooouuut 30 tons of seawater. But that's only 30 cubic meters of water, that is, if you get all the salt out (won't happen). That's a lot of tons of seawater to pump through the reactor to get that much salt.

I doubt it. Then again they do add xxxxxxx BORON I think. That ups the salt content and xxxxxx BORON absorbs neutrons, hmmmm. Need to be a real nuclear engineer to figure this out, but I doubt that story.
How much salt do I add for a 33 Lbs sack of Live crawfish with water to cover?




Quoting sirmaelstrom:


I'll give it a go...
Twice 99,000 + 57,000 yields 255,000 lbs of salt.

From here it says one cubic foot of seawater yields 2.2 lbs of salt.

250,000/2.2 gives 116000 cubic feet of seawater to yield 255000 lbs of salt; which is about 868000 US gallons.


I suggested last week that Saltwater would not be a good thing on those reactors as salt also decreases the boiling point of water. The insultation also does make total sense.........They are in trouble now!
Quoting hurricanejunky:


Hey man! I was noticing earlier in the week the 10 day was showing a 60% chance of rain Mon/Tue of next week but now I'm only seeing a 30% chance on Tue/Wed! How is fire season up there? We are REALLY dry right now. Had some neighbors burning the last few days and the horses next door were hacking and we were getting a little affected by it as well. Don't know what they were burning but it smelled BAD. Division of Forestry came out and sited him. While he was there the ranger educated us on burning guidelines. Although we're on AG-2 zoned land (residential/agricultural) and burning is allowed, we have to call to get a daily permit from Division of Forestry. Once you receive permission you can then only burn between dawn and dusk. You also have certain setbacks and guidelines for the burn pile. Thankfully our fire pit is totally compliant. Interesting info...right now we're under fire weather warning and I can't believe anyone is burning.Wildfires in Charlotte County and Lehigh Acres but thankfully contained. Nothing outrageous YET.
ayy HJ,been busyall day,our fire situation up here in sarasota is not good and son w/be bad as ourrainy season doesnt usually start until june at. the earliest!!!,we need rain soon or it'll be a tinderbox come may....
792. flsky
Just finished watching a great program on the History Channel called "Journey to the Earth's Core." I highly recommend it if it is shown again.
Quoting Patrap:
How much salt do I add for a 33 Lbs sack of Live crawfish with water to cover?





Depends on how much beer is involved....
Quoting bappit:
Feel the wiki, be the wiki.

Oxygen 85.84 Sulfur 0.091
Hydrogen 10.82 Calcium 0.04
Chloride 1.94 Potassium 0.04
Sodium 1.08 Bromine 0.0067
Magnesium 0.1292 Carbon 0.0028

Seawater composition by mass. So 4+2=6, carry the 1.

Seawater is 96.66% water, thereabouts, or ...
3.44% "salt". (Agrees with Pottery's number.)

Take the reciprocal, 1 ton of salt to abooouuut 30 tons of seawater. But that's only 30 cubic meters of water, that is, if you get all the salt out (won't happen). That's a lot of tons of seawater to pump through the reactor to get that much salt.

I doubt it. Then again they do add bromine I think. That ups the salt content and bromine absorbs neutrons, hmmmm. Need to be a real nuclear engineer to figure this out, but I doubt that story.


A ratio of 1 to 30 ??
Quoting pottery:

I did not look at your link, but sea water is about 35 parts per thousand salts.
And a cu'ft of water is about 7.5 galls. Or about 77 lb. So 2.2 lb salt from 77 lb water is a lot higher than 35 ppt.
So one of us is wrong...

I hope someone can clear this up.


Double checking w/ Wiki here it says that seawater has a salinity of 35g/L. Using WolframAlpha to translate below:
http://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=35+g%2FL+in+ lbs%2Fcu+ft

says this is equal to about 2.2 lbs/cu ft.

So it seems the 2.2 lbs/ cu ft is correct; still possible I made a mistake somewhere though--I welcome any confirmation or otherwise.
All I could find in Wiki on cooking crawfish:

A common myth is that a crawfish with a straight tail died before it was boiled and is not safe to eat. In reality, crawfish that died before boiling can have curled tails as well as straight, as can those that were alive, and may very well be fine to eat. Boiled crawfish which died before boiling are safe to eat if they were kept chilled before boiling and were not dead for a long time. (This does not mean that a sack of crawfish that are all dead should be boiled.) A much better test than the straight tail as to the edibility of any crawfish is the tail meat itself; if it is mushy, it is usually an indication that it should be avoided.[17]
Quoting pottery:


A ratio of 1 to 30 ??

Beats me, I still doubt the story.
Quoting Patrap:
How much salt do I add for a 33 Lbs sack of Live crawfish with water to cover?




2 cups
Quoting sirmaelstrom:


Double checking w/ Wiki here it says that seawater has a salinity of 35g/L. Using WolframAlpha to translate below:
http://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=35+g%2FL+in+ lbs%2Fcu+ft

says this is equal to about 2.2 lbs/cu ft.

So it seems the 2.2 lbs/ cu ft is correct; still possible I made a mistake somewhere though--I welcome any confirmation or otherwise.

Sounds like you are correct.
So a simple way to look at the thing would be--

255,000 lb salt would need 225,000 X 30 LB of water = 7,650,000 lb water. Or 7,650 tons. Or 7,650 cu yds.

am I correct here?
Quoting pottery:

Sounds like you are correct.
So a simple way to look at the thing would be--

255,000 lb salt would need 225,000 X 30 LB of water = 7,650,000 lb water. Or 7,650 tons. Or 7,650 cu yds.

am I correct here?


Yeah. That sounds right.

Edited/Added: Well the 7,650,000 lbs is right, but that would be 3875 tons; i.e., one ton is 2000 lbs.
So that much steam would have to boil off to leave that much salt behind?
Quoting sirmaelstrom:


Yeah. That sounds right.

Thanks.
That's a LOT of water to move through fire engines working sporadically.
Assuming 100% evap. too.
It does not sound right (the alarm raised about the salts build-up in the reactor).
Quoting bappit:
So that much steam would have to boil off to leave that much salt behind?

Yeah, About 800,000 gals of water would need to boil away...
Quoting sirmaelstrom:


Yeah. That sounds right.

Edited/Added: Well the 7,650,000 lbs is right, but that would be 3875 tons; i.e., one ton is 2000 lbs.

OOOPS!!
True.
Sorry.
Quoting Chicklit:


If you elect businessmen to run government (Florida governor for example) and privatize our public schools, do you think the public will get more and better services or less? Will we be safer and healthier or more at risk?


More and better services.

Safer and healthier.

Bad business plan, otherwise.

Good evening all. :)
Seems like some of you haven't took a math session since God knows when.
Well, I guess I finally get on and everyone's leaving....Why would you want more than 50 comments on a page anyway....it would take forever to "get past" a bad page........just thinking ...
Goodnight.
Quoting washingtonian115:
Seems like some of you haven't took a math session since God knows when.

Thats a fact.
And the same applies to Written English too. For some folk, anyway. :):)
Quoting washingtonian115:
Seems like some of you haven't took a math session since God knows when.



The advantage of being a college student, I work on Calculus almost everyday.
Quoting Jedkins01:



The advantage of being a college student, I work on Calculus almost everyday.


sure we should call it an adavantage haha, I can't wait to see summer, ive looked at way to many multi-variable calculus and quantum physics equations to last a life time this semester.
we never got the four inches of snow today its was to warm for snow in the northeast!! the weather man did not do a good job with this storm!!
further to the earlier discussion, an Olympic size swimming pool holds about 600,000 gallons of water (answers.com)
I took my cuppa coffee outside this morning to walk around the yard...when I came back in, there were nuthin' but little sparklin' granules in the bottom of my cup.

Red Flag Warning in effect sometime today; hadn't seen this dry of a westerly wind in a long long time.

Please send rain.
Morning all.



It may be boring, but it's beautiful, too.... lol

Quoting EYEStoSEA:
Well, I guess I finally get on and everyone's leaving....Why would you want more than 50 comments on a page anyway....it would take forever to "get past" a bad page........just thinking ...
I hate having to flip back to the last page to finish reading, so I use the 200 comments view. And there shouldn't BE any bad pages....
see the picture home page of the bruno who the mortgage company is using to sell their wares. come on now!
Quoting aquak9:
I took my cuppa coffee outside this morning to walk around the yard...when I came back in, there were nuthin' but little sparklin' granules in the bottom of my cup.

Red Flag Warning in effect sometime today; hadn't seen this dry of a westerly wind in a long long time.

Please send rain.

Aqua - I'm not able to do much for you here my friend, but once RastaSteve punches in later, he'll have some good news for next week.

These folks staying behind working at this plant truely are something. Lots of admiration for them. Lots.

2 workers exposed to high radiation at Fukushima plant hospitalized
Naples Municipal
Lat: 26.15 Lon: -81.77 Elev: 10
Last Update on Mar 24, 6:53 am EDT


Partly Cloudy

69 °F
(21 °C) Humidity: 84 %
Wind Speed: W 5 MPH
Barometer: 29.99" (1015.3 mb)
Dewpoint: 64 °F (18 °C)
Visibility: 10.00 mi.
Quoting washingtonian115:
Stop talking that blah,blah,blah,blah,blah,blah.....

A lil Ke$ha. Nice.
Here ya go Aqua. Maybe this will help a little.

I'll take anything, ya'll. Appreciate the good wet wishes.

Don't quite know who Rasta is, I've seen him post but I don't really know him yet. But I don't like rainwishcasters.
Lot's of rain coming next week for the SE US including all of FL!!

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/ namer/gfs/12/index_tpp_m_loop.shtml
Quoting RastaSteve:
Lot's of rain coming next week for the SE US including all of FL!!

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/ namer/gfs/12/index_tpp_m_loop.shtml

An inch of rain ain't gonna cut it though. It seems like this particular model backed off a bit from previous runs.
Quoting cat5hurricane:

An inch of rain ain't gonna cut it though. It seems like this particular model backed off a bit from previous runs.


On the legend of that model it shows 2" to 3". Not bad but remember when we get thunderstorms down here in FL it's not uncommon to get that in an hour. That 2 to 3" inches in area wide for all of C and N FL. The 1" is for extreme SE FL and the Keys.
From Accuweather
Orlando International

Thursday
Thunderstorms
Hi 87° RealFeel® 84° Day

N at 12 mph
Gusts: 29 mph
Cloudy and warmer with showers and thunderstorms
Max UV Index: 3 (moderate)
Thunderstorm Probability: 31%
Amount of Precipitation: 0.54 in
Amount of Rain: 0.54 in
Amount of Snow: 0.0 in
Amount of Ice: 0.00 in
Hours of Precipitation: 6 hrs
Hours of Rain: 6 hrs

Thunderstorms
Lo 59° RealFeel® 56° Night
SSW at 11 mph
Gusts: 30 mph
Cloudy with thunderstorms
Max UV Index: N/A
Thunderstorm Probability: 60%
Amount of Precipitation: 0.28 in
Amount of Rain: 0.28 in
Amount of Snow: 0.0 in
Amount of Ice: 0.00 in
Hours of Precipitation: 7 hrs
Hours of Rain: 7 hrs
829. IKE
  • Oil+0.74Price/barrel$106.49
:(


Quoting aquak9:
I'll take anything, ya'll. Appreciate the good wet wishes.

Don't quite know who Rasta is, I've seen him post but I don't really know him yet. But I don't like rainwishcasters.



RastaSteve is Jeff9641
Quoting RastaSteve:


On the legend of that model it shows 2" to 3". Not bad but remember when we get thunderstorms down here in FL it's not uncommon to get that in an hour. That 2 to 3" inches in area wide for all of C and N FL. The 1" is for extreme SE FL and the Keys.

That's true. An isolated stray cell can be very unpredictable and could dump training amounts over the same location. Although you would rather have that spread out over the entire region without the flash flooding risk. But 2 or 3 inches....okay, that's a start. I could live with that.
Quoting StAugustineFL:



RastaSteve is Jeff9641

And who are you?
Hi Everyone,

Not sure what the conversation is but please wishcast some rain for South Florida..
we are desperate. North and Central have received some good rain this winter but not us.

Happy Thursday!


Oh yes, just in case he drops by..
today is Taz's birthday.
I went and pulled up his blog in hopes some of you will stop by and leave him a birthday wish.

Take care,
Gams


834. IKE
Quoting StAugustineFL:



RastaSteve is Jeff9641
Why the name switch Jeff?
Quoting IKE:

  • Oil+0.74Price/barrel$106.49
:(



Ouch IKE. And ze boat takes premium too.
hi StAug..are ya'll as brittley dry as we are up here today? I'm in jax...

and like I said, I don't like RAIN-WISHcasters
837. IKE

Quoting cat5hurricane:

Ouch IKE. And ze boat takes premium too.
Get ready for that dime a gallon increase by the weekend. I'm calling it.
838. IKE
I haven't had any rain at my location since March 10th, but I have had 4.38 inches in March, so far.

Florida panhandle.
Quoting seflagamma:
Hi Everyone,

Not sure what the conversation is but please wishcast some rain for South Florida..
we are desperate. North and Central have received some good rain this winter but not us.

Happy Thursday!


Oh yes, just in case he drops by..
today is Taz's birthday.
I went and pulled up his blog in hopes some of you will stop by and leave him a birthday wish.

Take care,
Gams



Morning Gams. I'll be sure to drop on by and wish him a Happy Birthday.
Quoting washingtonian115:
Seems like some of you haven't took a math session since God knows when.
Quoting washingtonian115:
Seems like some of you haven't took a math session since God knows when.


took??? seems like some of you haven't taken an english class since god knows when....
Quoting IKE:

Get ready for that dime a gallon increase by the weekend. I'm calling it.

Hey, I wouldn't doubt it. But I heard it from you first.
Burn!
Quoting cat5hurricane:

And who are you?


I have no previous handles. I'm just an ordinary Joe with an interest in weather that lurked the blog for the past year or so and finally decided to sign up for an account.
URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
317 AM EDT THU MAR 24 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING EASTERN HALF OF SOUTH FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON...

FLZ067-068-071>074-168-172-173-241530-
/O.NEW.KMFL.FW.W.0015.110324T1600Z-110324T2200Z/
INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-
INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-
COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-
317 AM EDT THU MAR 24 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING FOR PALM BEACH...BROWARD AND MOST OF MIAMI DADE COUNTY
FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITIES BELOW 35 PERCENT AND FOR POSSIBLY
SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 15 MPH...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING.

VERY WARM TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON WILL ALLOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES TO FALL BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR SEVERAL HOURS THIS
AFTERNOON PLUS 20 FOOT WINDS MAY BE SUSTAINED AT 15 MPH.

ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. OUTDOOR
BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$
Quoting aquak9:
hi StAug..are ya'll as brittley dry as we are up here today? I'm in jax...

and like I said, I don't like RAIN-WISHcasters


Hi Aqua. Yep, dry as a bone. Had some relief the first half of February but virtually nothing since.
Quoting StAugustineFL:


I have no previous handles. I'm just an ordinary Joe with an interest in weather that lurked the blog for the past year or so and finally decided to sign up for an account.

Okay. That sounds good. You sound like most of us here.
847. IKE

Quoting StAugustineFL:


I have no previous handles. I'm just an ordinary Joe with an interest in weather that lurked the blog for the past year or so and finally decided to sign up for an account.
Hmmm......nah...couldn't be.


I don't know who this guy Jeff is but I am Steve from Runaway Bay, Jamaica. Wow what's wrong with some on here! Have a great day guys as I have to get back to work!
Just updated! 5 Day RAINWISHCAST FORECAST FROM NOAA!

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/p120i12.gif
Quoting RastaSteve:
I don't know who this guy Jeff is but I am Steve from Runaway Bay, Jamaica. Wow what's wrong with some on here! Have a great day guys as I have to get back to work!

Hey, I believe you Steve. I personally don't give a damn who are you, even if those accusations were true. If you have an interest in weather, you're alright with me. Take care. Keep us posted with that rain.
IT'S JOE B.!!!!
852. IKE

Quoting aquak9:
IT'S JOE B.!!!!
OMG!

Hey Joe...
Quoting RastaSteve:
Just updated! 5 Day RAINWISHCAST FORECAST FROM NOAA!

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/p120i12.gif

Yes! Looking better.
I don't care if he's Pee-Wee Herman on horseback- if he can get me some rain, I'll buy him dinner.
hahaha!
856. IKE

Quoting aquak9:
I don't care if he's Pee-Wee Herman on horseback- if he can get me some rain, I'll buy him dinner.
Where have I heard that before?


Quoting IKE:

Where have I heard that before?




Good Morning IKE! I always appreciate the wisdom you bring to the blog.
ike?
I think I said if a cetain storm came your way...or my way..I can't remember...

refresh my memory?
859. IKE

Quoting RastaSteve:


Good Morning IKE! I always appreciate the wisdom you bring to the blog.
Hmmm and you're a new blogger? You must be an oldie, but goodie?
860. IKE

Quoting aquak9:
ike?
I think I said if a cetain storm came your way...or my way..I can't remember...

refresh my memory?
Too much has happened since then to remember.
Complete Update






Quoting aquak9:
I don't care if he's Pee-Wee Herman on horseback- if he can get me some rain, I'll buy him dinner.


lol, agreed. 2" plus would be nice. I'd like to give my irrigation a break.

Back to lurking. Good day all.
PeeWee herman on horseback,not sure I like that picture in my head.
Quoting NEwxguy:
PeeWee herman on horseback,not sure I like that picture in my head.

NEw...maybe it he can allay your flooding risks up there this spring like folks need the rain down there in southern Florida, you would think different. Or not.
Good morning everyone. I heard last night that we (South Florida and Keys specifically) will not see any appreciable rain until July. I think the only thing that will help this drought is some nice slow moving tropical depressions. If we could only control how strong they get. I am not wishing for any, even as much as we need water. The last time I wished for storms was in 2005, and you know how that went.LOL
Quoting RastaSteve:
I don't know who this guy Jeff is but I am Steve from Runaway Bay, Jamaica. Wow what's wrong with some on here! Have a great day guys as I have to get back to work!


No, you are Jeff9641, CFLWX and MagicFan. You arent kidding anyone.
867. IKE

Quoting TomasTomas:


No, you are Jeff9641, CFLWX and MagicFan. You arent kidding anyone.
EXPOSED!
868. Jax82
Quoting aquak9:
I don't care if he's Pee-Wee Herman on horseback- if he can get me some rain, I'll buy him dinner.


I'm right with you Aquak! Looks like tuesday of next week is our best shot at rain. Besides all the pollen and my pool being filled with it, the weather has been wonderful. Many weeks of leaving the windows open at night. It wont be long before the mosquitos and humid/sticky nights return.
This is interesting: According to KYODO, Neutron Beams are being emmited from the Fukushima power plant. This can mean only one thing,the containment vessle around the reactor is damaged. This would be the left over neutrons after Nuclear Fission that occurs in the reactor. Dont know which reactor(s) these beams are coming from.
Quoting TomasTomas:


No, you are Jeff9641, CFLWX and MagicFan. You arent kidding anyone.



Who really cares? I like Jeff9641 anyways! Whats the problem that i am missing!
Here is the article.
Neutron beam observed 13 times at crippled Fukushima nuke plant
TOKYO, March 23, Kyodo

Tokyo Electric Power Co. said Wednesday it has observed a neutron beam, a kind of radioactive ray, 13 times on the premises of the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant after it was crippled by the massive March 11 quake-tsunami disaster.

TEPCO, the operator of the nuclear plant, said the neutron beam measured about 1.5 kilometers southwest of the plant's No. 1 and 2 reactors over three days from March 13 and is equivalent to 0.01 to 0.02 microsieverts per hour and that this is not a dangerous level.

The utility firm said it will measure uranium and plutonium, which could emit a neutron beam, as well.

In the 1999 criticality accident at a nuclear fuel processing plant run by JCO Co. in Tokaimura, Ibaraki Prefecture, uranium broke apart continually in nuclear fission, causing a massive amount of neutron beams.

In the latest case at the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant, such a criticality accident has yet to happen.

But the measured neutron beam may be evidence that uranium and plutonium leaked from the plant's nuclear reactors and spent nuclear fuels have discharged a small amount of neutron beams through nuclear fission.

==Kyodo
Quoting kwgirl:
Good morning everyone. I heard last night that we (South Florida and Keys specifically) will not see any appreciable rain until July. I think the only thing that will help this drought is some nice slow moving tropical depressions. If we could only control how strong they get. I am not wishing for any, even as much as we need water. The last time I wished for storms was in 2005, and you know how that went.LOL









Some help might be coming! SOME it appears!
A video showing firefighters braving contamination risks at Fukushima nuclear
power plant and battling to cool down overheating reactors has been released
by the Tokyo Fire Department.


Yahoo! Australia is now on the Wunderground Radar. I Europe next?
Quoting cat5hurricane:
These folks staying behind working at this plant truely are something. Lots of admiration for them. Lots.

2 workers exposed to high radiation at Fukushima plant hospitalized


Google KidOfSpeed and look at the pictures and commentary. This is nothing, not even close to Chernobyl.
7.0 Quake, Myanmar
Magnitude 7.0 - MYANMAR
2011 March 24 13:55:36 UTC


* Details
* Maps
* Tsunami

Earthquake Details

* This event has been reviewed by a seismologist.

Magnitude 7.0 (Preliminary magnitude — update expected within 15 minutes)
Date-Time

* Thursday, March 24, 2011 at 13:55:36 UTC
* Thursday, March 24, 2011 at 08:25:36 PM at epicenter

Location 20.898°N, 99.883°E
Depth 229.4 km (142.5 miles) set by location program
Region MYANMAR
On March 7, 2011, Arctic sea ice likely reached its maximum extent for the year, at 14.64 million square kilometers (5.65 million square miles). The maximum extent was 1.2 million square kilometers (463,000 square miles) below the 1979 to 2000 average of 15.86 million square kilometers (6.12 million square miles), and equal (within 0.1%) to 2006 for the lowest maximum extent in the satellite record.
As of March 22, ice extent has declined for five straight days. However there is still a chance that the ice extent could expand again...
...Since the start of the satellite record in 1979, the maximum Arctic sea ice extent has occurred as early as February 18 and as late as March 31, with an average date of March 6.
Quoting Patrap:
7.0 Quake, Myanmar

Oh, boy. No tsunami threat, but a big quake for the area. A 6.4 struck the same area back in February, but did little damage. It, however, was at 88.8 km, whereas this one is at just 10km.

Expect some a lot of damage.
000
WEIO23 PHEB 241404
TIBIOX
TSUNAMI BULLETIN NUMBER 001
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 1404Z 24 MAR 2011
THIS BULLETIN IS FOR ALL AREAS OF THE INDIAN OCEAN.
... TSUNAMI INFORMATION BULLETIN ...
THIS MESSAGE IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY.
THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.
AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS
ORIGIN TIME - 1356Z 24 MAR 2011
COORDINATES - 20.9 NORTH 99.9 EAST
DEPTH - 229 KM
LOCATION - MYANMAR
MAGNITUDE - 6.9
EVALUATION
A DESTRUCTIVE TSUNAMI WAS NOT GENERATED BASED ON EARTHQUAKE AND
HISTORICAL TSUNAMI DATA. THIS EARTHQUAKE IS LOCATED TOO FAR
INLAND AND TOO DEEP INSIDE THE EARTH TO GENERATE A TSUNAMI IN
THE INDIAN OCEAN.
THIS WILL BE THE ONLY BULLETIN ISSUED BY THE PACIFIC TSUNAMI
WARNING CENTER FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
BECOMES AVAILABLE.
THE JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
FOR THIS EVENT. IN THE CASE OF CONFLICTING INFORMATION...THE
MORE CONSERVATIVE INFORMATION SHOULD BE USED FOR SAFETY.
Magnitude 7.0
Date-Time

* Thursday, March 24, 2011 at 13:55:12 UTC
* Thursday, March 24, 2011 at 08:25:12 PM at epicenter
* Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones

Location 20.705N, 99.949E
Depth 10 km (6.2 miles)
Region MYANMAR
Distances 89 km (55 miles) N of Chiang Rai, Thailand
168 km (104 miles) SSW of Yunjinghong, Yunnan, China
589 km (365 miles) NE of Rangoon, Myanmar
772 km (479 miles) N of BANGKOK, Thailand
Location Uncertainty horizontal /- 15.4 km (9.6 miles); depth /- 5.8 km (3.6 miles)
Parameters NST=109, Nph=109, Dmin=234.9 km, Rmss=0.88 sec, Gp= 36%uFFFD,
M-type=regional moment magnitude (Mw), Version=C
yep- that was shallow- expect liquefaction in that area to be bad
Quoting Patrap:
Location 20.898N, 99.883E
Depth 229.4 km (142.5 miles) set by location program
Region MYANMAR

So which is it? 229.4 km deep? Or 10 km? Makes a huge difference, no?

There are reports that large buildings in Bangkok were swaying.
The data was reset to show the current obs,as a algorithm posts the first data automatically.

10Km is a good bet as of now.

Quoting pottery:

Thanks.
That's a LOT of water to move through fire engines working sporadically.
Assuming 100% evap. too.
It does not sound right (the alarm raised about the salts build-up in the reactor).


You've never worked with fire engines. These are just small ones with maybe 1,000 GPM nozzles. If they had any larger equipment the stream would cause additional damage. I have seen 10,000 GPM oil refinery nozzles tear up asphalt roads. Of course a 10,000 GPM nozzle can throw a stream 600 ft or more.



The seawater off Honshu has a fairly low salt content as seawater goes.



USGS just knocked it back to 6.8...but at 10km, that's still capable of some very bad things. Pager reports from the USGS are expecting a X MMI experience for 232,000 people. That is, destructive.

Keeping my fingers crossed...
Quoting Patrap:
Magnitude 7.0 - MYANMAR
2011 March 24 13:55:36 UTC


* Details
* Maps
* Tsunami

Earthquake Details

* This event has been reviewed by a seismologist.

Magnitude 7.0 (Preliminary magnitude — update expected within 15 minutes)
Date-Time

* Thursday, March 24, 2011 at 13:55:36 UTC
* Thursday, March 24, 2011 at 08:25:36 PM at epicenter

Location 20.898°N, 99.883°E
Depth 229.4 km (142.5 miles) set by location program
Region MYANMAR


UGH! It's only a matter of time until the US West coast sees something. The amount of seismic activity recently is ridiculous.
Usually the algorithm posts a greater Quake ,,then when the seismologist reviews,,they downgrade the Quake.
But that reverse can happens as well..so early numbers can be different as the event is less than a Hour passed now.
JB has a new home at Weather Bell starting 4/1/11.
today i my B Day am 26 today and it is snowing
Quoting Patrap:
Usually the algorithm posts a greater Quake ,,then when the seismologist reviews,,they downgrade the Quake.

Correct. Then as further assessments are made, the number sometimes goes back up (as happened with the Japanese quake).

The WAPMERR theoretical earthquake damage model expects 400 to 3,000 fatalities and 1,000 to 5,000 injured people, along with extreme damage. Here's hoping it's way off...
Quoting kwgirl:
Good morning everyone. I heard last night that we (South Florida and Keys specifically) will not see any appreciable rain until July. I think the only thing that will help this drought is some nice slow moving tropical depressions. If we could only control how strong they get. I am not wishing for any, even as much as we need water. The last time I wished for storms was in 2005, and you know how that went.LOL


appreciable rain until July? Are you serious? That's way too far in advance of a prediction to be made. South Florida will likely get plenty of rain come June, maybe May as usual.

Quoting Tazmanian:
today i my B Day am 26 today and it is snowing


Well......HAPPY HAPPY BIRTHDAY, TAZ !!!!! Hope it will be a great day for you :)
Not to be critical, but people shouldn't be complaining about the dry weather in Florida. Dry weather this time of year is part of the ecologic cycle here. Occasionally we get very wet Springs but most of the time we don't, its typically the dry season. Fires and dry weather are part of Florida just as a season of torrential rain is for Summer and Fall.

That's just how living in the sub-tropics is, part of the year is very wet, and part of it is dry. There is a season for everything, this dry weather is not something to really worry about.
Quoting Jedkins01:


appreciable rain until July? Are you serious? That's way too far in advance of a prediction to be made. South Florida will likely get plenty of rain come June, maybe May as usual.

I hope you are correct. However, I did qualify it to say specifically the Keys. We have gotten about 1/2 as much rain as the mainland. We are small specks in a big ocean and don't produce the type of thunderstorms the mainland does.
Quoting Tazmanian:
today i my B Day am 26 today and it is snowing
Happy birthday Taz. It is not snowing here :)LOL
Quoting stormwatcherCI:
Happy birthday Taz. It is not snowing here :)LOL


thanks
6.8 quake was 6.2 miles deep
HAPPY BIRTHDAY TAZ!!!!!!!

:)
Quoting kwgirl:
I hope you are correct. However, I did qualify it to say specifically the Keys. We have gotten about 1/2 as much rain as the mainland. We are small specks in a big ocean and don't produce the type of thunderstorms the mainland does.



You are right about that, the Keys typically will go long term without rain, then they seem top get a sudden 8 inch deluge in 3 hours, than not rain for a while again! lol

The Keys do average only about as much average rainfall yearly as Seattle, which is less than the rest of us Floridians :)

Hmm, I get what your saying now though, I wasn't thinking about the Keys. It makes it harder to predict though in that case. Between now and July the keys still could get a huge dumper.
Live seismograph

Happy birthday Taz!

Jed were you here in '98 or the early '80s (maybe '83)? There was another legendary year in the 60s.. Dry season is one thing & separate from extreme fire weather. Which in some places is beginning to be a concern.
WTI Crude Oil
$106.21 ▲0.46
Quoting RitaEvac:
WTI Crude Oil
$106.21 ▲0.46


Dislike :-/
Fox and CNN don't even know about 6.8 quake in China
Quoting RitaEvac:
Fox and CNN don't even know about 6.8 quake in China


Maybe they don't care.
Conditions are so dry the most innocuous circumstance can start a wildfire.

As an example, Joseph Pozzo, chief of Volusia County Fire Services, pointed to an incident that sparked an 85-acre brush fire in Lake Helen last week. Investigators believe a bird flew into an electric fence and started a fire as its body hit the ground.

"That's a clear indication of how dry it is," Pozzo said. "I think we're just at a point where everybody has to be very cognizant of anything that generates heat around this dry vegetation."

Pozzo credited the quick actions of Division of Forestry personnel for plowing fire lines that helped county firefighters prevent any homes from burning during that Lake Helen fire.
Quoting Jedkins01:
Not to be critical, but people shouldn't be complaining about the dry weather in Florida. Dry weather this time of year is part of the ecologic cycle here. Occasionally we get very wet Springs but most of the time we don't, its typically the dry season. Fires and dry weather are part of Florida just as a season of torrential rain is for Summer and Fall.

That's just how living in the sub-tropics is, part of the year is very wet, and part of it is dry. There is a season for everything, this dry weather is not something to really worry about.


Hey, Jed. Thought you might find this interesting.

Excerpt:
Since October 2010, an average of about 7.5 inches of rain have fallen across urban areas of Collier and Lee counties, about 56 percent of the historic average, according to district rainfall data.

Across the 16-county water management district, the dry season rain deficit reached 7.7 inches Tuesday in the wake of the driest October-to-February period in 80 years. The region received just 5.7 inches of rain during that period, less than half the historic average.

Link
Probably dont
BBc still saying two 'quakes 7M:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-pacific-1285 2237
USGS saying one 6.8M and later one 4.8M
Local news for earthquake:
http://www.bangkokpost.com/breakingnews/228451/qu ake-strikes-burma-shakes-bangkok-buildings
MAP 4.7 2011/03/24 13:02:33 37.881 144.045 33.1 OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
MAP 4.8 2011/03/24 12:06:41 39.106 144.276 35.2 OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
MAP 4.6 2011/03/24 11:47:32 39.325 144.261 33.0 OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
MAP 2.6 2011/03/24 09:57:28 63.513 -150.864 8.3 CENTRAL ALASKA
MAP 3.3 2011/03/24 09:43:20 19.155 -64.678 2.9 VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION
MAP 6.1 2011/03/24 08:21:02 39.120 142.155 36.8 NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
We'll probably have to wait until it moves a little. It is in between Satellites:

Fox and CNN web pages under World has notice of the earthquake in Myanmar.
This voice sounds familiar

wonder if thats suppose to be me or is that mortagage broker on the ad page? strange looking dude
CNN report on the Earthquake in China



Link
(CNN) -- A powerful earthquake hit Myanmar Thursday near its borders
with China, Thailand and Laos, the U.S. Geological Survey said.
The quake hit in eastern Myanmar, about 55 miles (89 km) north of Chiang Rai,
Thailand, the survey reported.
It had a magnitude of 6.8, the survey said, revising the estimate down from
an initial reading of 7.0.
It was a relatively shallow quake, which can be very destructive.
The Geological Survey initially said the quake had a depth of 142 miles
(230km), but it later revised its estimate to say the quake was 6 miles (10 km)
deep, putting it fairly close to the surface.
A second quake hit about half an hour later, with a preliminary magnitude of
4.8, the USGS said.
There were no immediate reports of damage or injuries.
The center of the quake was 589 km (365 miles) northeast of Rangoon, the
capital of Myanmar, and 772 km (479 miles) north of Bangkok, Thailand.
It was 104 miles (168 km) south-southwest of Yunjinghong, Yunnan, China.
A destructive tsunami is not expected, the Pacific Tsunami Warning Center
said. In advice to government agencies, the center said the quake "is located
too far inland and too deep inside the earth to generate a tsunami in the Indian
Ocean."
Myanmar, which is also known as Burma, has been badly hit by natural
disasters in the past few years.
A powerful cyclone in 2008 left an estimated 100,000 people dead, and another
one two years later left 70,000 people homeless, the United Nations
estimates.
The quake was significantly less powerful than the one that hit Japan two
weeks ago, causing a tsunami, leaving thousands dead or missing, and prompting
fears of a nuclear meltdown.
It was roughly comparable in magnitude and depth to last year's Haiti
earthquake, which measured 7.0. More than 200,000 people died in the Haiti
earthquake, and millions were affected.
That quake's center was only 9 miles below the surface and
near congested population centers. Scientists said if the quake had been
centered deeper down, the damage would not have been as severe.
I guess we'll see if the Burmese junta learned anything from the Nargis debacle where they let their people die rather than accept foreign aid
Quoting DARPAsockpuppet:
I guess we'll see if the Burmese junta learned anything from the Nargis debacle where they let their people die rather than accept foreign aid


... and maybe natural population control is part of their agenda.
108.6degrees(ESE)&264miles from Mandalay,Burma
42.2degrees(NE)&366miles from Rangoon,Burma
355.8degrees(N)&480miles from Bangkok,Thailand
317.8degrees(NW)&256miles from Vientiane,Laos

Near the junction of the Burmese, Thai, and Laotian border.
Earthquake Shakes Bangkok Buildings
By
Phuket Word
2011/03/24
Posted in: National News, Phuket News,


WORD ON EARTHQUAKES: A 6.9 magnitude earthquake shook buildings in Bangkok, Thailand, at about 9pm
A Bangkok resident living in a 17th-floor apartment said he felt the earthquake while in his Bangkok apartment, and that many people had fled high-rise buildings around him.

The eartquakes epicenter was inland, in western Myanmar, near border with Thailand and Laos, at a depth of about 10 km so no tsunami was generated, the Tsunami Information Centre reported.
Quoting Tazmanian:
today i my B Day am 26 today and it is snowing
hAPPY b-dAY taZ....
24-MAR-2011 14:23:53 20.59 99.86 4.9 10.2 MYANMAR
24-MAR-2011 13:55:12 20.70 99.95 7.0 10.0 MYANMAR
19-MAR-2011 12:42:40 12.91 92.44 4.8 27.8 ANDAMAN ISLANDS, INDIA
HAPPY BIRTHDAY, TAZ !! Hope you have a Fantastic one.

Greetings, everyone else.
Still overcast today with occasional drizzle and patchy sunshine.
Been this way for several days.
June weather....
Did they change it from 6.8 back to 7.0?
Quoting kellnerp:


You've never worked with fire engines. These are just small ones with maybe 1,000 GPM nozzles. If they had any larger equipment the stream would cause additional damage. I have seen 10,000 GPM oil refinery nozzles tear up asphalt roads. Of course a 10,000 GPM nozzle can throw a stream 600 ft or more.



The seawater off Honshu has a fairly low salt content as seawater goes.




Thanks for this, Kellnerp!
Good Info.
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