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Killer tornado hits Texas and Mexico

By: Dr. Jeff Masters, 2:14 PM GMT on April 25, 2007

A killer tornado swept through Piedras Negras, Mexico, crossed the Rio Grande River, and brought devastation to the small town of Eagle Pass, Texas, at about 7pm CDT last night. The tornado killed three and injured 87 in Mexico; seven died in Texas, and 74 were injured. Five of the U.S. deaths occurred in a single mobile home when it was picked up and tossed into an elementary school. The tornado destroyed 20 homes, two schools, and the local sewage treatment plant in Eagle Pass. Killer tornadoes in Mexico are rare, as most of the country is too far south to get tornado weather, and is sparsely populated in the Texas border regions that are prone to tornadoes. Mexico's worst tornado that I could find record of occurred in 2004, when a tornado killed 32 in Piedras Negras.

Tornadoes were also reported last night in Oklahoma, Kansas, and eastern Colorado. More tornadoes are possible today, as the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed much of the Mississippi Valley under it's "Slight Risk" area. This is a major step down from yesterday's risk level, though, when SPC had portions of Texas under its "High Risk" area (although Eagle Pass was in the "Moderate Risk" area). This is the third time in 2007 that SPC issued a "High Risk" forecast. A "High Risk" forecast was also issued for the EF4 March 1 Enterprise, Alabama tornado that killed 20. It's been a bad year for tornadoes--last night's storm brought the 2007 U.S. death toll to 59. The average tornado death toll for the entire year has been just 46 the past three years. It's only April, and we still have the peak tornado months of May and June to get through.


Figure 1. Radar reflectivity image of the April 24, 2007 tornado as it approached Eagle Pass, Texas. Note the distinctive hook shape of the radar echo, which is characteristic of supercell thunderstorms that spawn strong tornadoes.

Figure 2. Radar velocity image of the April 24, 2007 tornado as it approached Eagle Pass, Texas. Note the area of blue and red echoes just south of the circle with a "+" inside it that marks the location of Eagle Pass. The blues and reds show that strong winds going both towards and away from the radar exist in a small area, denoting the presence of a parent mesocyclone (rotating thunderstorm) and a tornado.

Figure 3. Vertically integrated Liquid Water (VIL), in kilograms per square meter, for the April 24, 2007 tornado as it approached Eagle Pass, Texas. VIL is a measure of how much water is in the storm, when measured from the surface to the top of the storm. The Eagle Pass thunderstorm had cloud tops at 56,000 feet, so a column of air one meter square extending from the surface to 56,000 feet had up to 70 kilograms of liquid water in it. That's a lot of water available for hailstones to grow in, and large hail up to 1.75 inches in diameter was observed with this storm. A VIL of at least 50 is typically required to get large hail two inches in diameter in April in the Plains. A VIL of about 65 is needed later in summer, when the thunderstorms grow taller and more liquid water is needed to make large hail. See the Oklahoma Climatological Survey VIL help page for more information.

We've saved a 300 Mb radar animation of the Eagle Pass tornado for those interested.

Jeff Masters
T-3
T-3
A Tornado crosses the 283 west of Laverne Oklahoma during a severe thunder storms passing through the great plains late monday night April 23,2007Photo by Gene Blevins/LA Daily News
TORNADO!!
TORNADO!!
My first time seeing a tornado - I cannot tell you how fun this was. I never got to see one actually touch down, but I saw so many just finger up and down out of the clouds!! It was just amazing. Thes were taken just east of Nickerson, Kansas!

Tornado

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

Reader Comments

Was pretty rough here in San Antonio last night as well.
Great stuff DR.Masters...

Thanks for the blog and great new animation feature.
WU e mail for dr m e mail me thanks
Incredible hook ocho.
Thanks Dr M. One of my coworkers has family in Eagle Pass. Thankfully they were all ok. Did have monetary damage, but in the whole scheme of things that is no big deal!
I am in awe regarding the powerful weather systems we have seen this spring. It's nothing to take lightly, for sure. I had no idea that May and June are the peak months (I have never lived in an area with consistent tornado threats) because with all of the recent activity, I thought we were in the clutch of the worst right now.



As far as my weather (Miami), we have been dry as a bone. I finally see some cloud activity in the GOM - can anyone surmise as to whether or not we might get some moisture from this? It looks like it has a bit of potential, but I am still confused regarding the height of the clouds and what they mean.
Thanks Dr. Masters. I couldn't help but notice that you put the size of the tornado animation at 300MB. Now with DSL that would load in 4 hours lol. I think you meant Kb. Might draw more clicks to that link if the size wasn't so menacing lol. Thanks for the great update, sad so many people have died.
Actually, the other High Risk was not February 2, but April 13 (that one busted even though a stray tornado killed one near Fort Worth). Eagle Pass was outside the High Risk area as well; it was mostly wind damage in that area.

Of the 17 killer tornadoes so far this year, six took place in High Risk areas (killing 20), six in Moderate Risk areas (killing 14) and five in Slight Risk areas (killing 26).
Posted By: thisisfurious at 2:28 PM GMT on April 25, 2007.

As far as my weather (Miami), we have been dry as a bone. I finally see some cloud activity in the GOM - can anyone surmise as to whether or not we might get some moisture from this? It looks like it has a bit of potential, but I am still confused regarding the height of the clouds and what they mean.


The forecast is for SLIGHT chances of showers over the weekend in South Florida. SLIGHT means HECK NO, I'LL BE AT VENETIAN POOL IF YOU NEED ME in Miamian.
10. Inyo
I happened to see that storm yesterday on the radar just when it was crossing the border, and it was pretty obviously doing something nasty. What a distinct hook echo!
Thanks Dr. M. Sad and scary weather happenings this year so far. Makes me more than a little nervous for season upcoming. LRandyB said it best though in a toast the other night, "Here is to a season full of Cat 5's, with no landfalls." We all of course agreed :-)
The forecast is for SLIGHT chances of showers over the weekend in South Florida. SLIGHT means HECK NO, I'LL BE AT VENETIAN POOL IF YOU NEED ME in Miamian.

LOL!0 chance is correct...Very dry air in place over south florida during the next 3-5 days with slight chance maybe a 20-30 percent chance of precip.

Also look for temps to be in the upper 80's this weekend.
neutral or La Nina for this year?
I guess its about time that I try out that Venetian Pool that I have been hearing about... I only work 2 miles from it, but I have never gone!

I used to live in the desert... Miami is starting to feel similar.
Yup, i feel bad for those folks affected by the tornado. Thanks Dr. M.
CrazyC83 wrote:


Actually, the other High Risk was not February 2, but April 13 (that one busted even though a stray tornado killed one near Fort Worth). Eagle Pass was outside the High Risk area as well; it was mostly wind damage in that area.

Of the 17 killer tornadoes so far this year, six took place in High Risk areas (killing 20), six in Moderate Risk areas (killing 14) and five in Slight Risk areas (killing 26).


Thanks, I dropped the Feb 2 mention, I wasn't sure if I was remembering that one correctly.

Jeff Masters
what is evere one take on for this hurricane year neutral or La Nina for this year?
and they had a PDS watch boxs too at the time
I realize there is not necessarily a direct correlation, but is there any evidence that an active year for tornado's may mean an active year for hurricanes??

just curious if there is any evidence, or merely coincidence?

as I stated yesterday, tornado's are the ultimate in terror.... feel for those in tornado prone area's!
lol


TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 179
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
400 PM CDT TUE APR 24 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 400 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CDT.

...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...

DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL TO 3.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 115 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
DEL RIO TEXAS TO 30 MILES NORTHWEST OF WACO TEXAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 172...WW 173...WW
174...WW 175...WW 176...WW 177...WW 178...

DISCUSSION...SUPERCELLS WITH AN ATTENDANT THREAT FOR VERY LARGE
HAIL...HIGH WIND AND POSSIBLY A STRONG TORNADO OR TWO...WILL DEVELOP
OVER THE CNTRL/S TX AREA THROUGH THIS EVENING. CONTINUED SFC
HEATING...RICH MOISTURE INFLOW AND ARRIVAL OF SW TX UPR DISTURBANCE
SHOULD CREATE FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR A FEW LONG-LIVED
STORMS...ESPECIALLY ALONG WSW/ENE AXIS OVER CNTRL TX ALONG SRN
FRINGE OF STORMS THAT FORMED EARLIER IN THE DAY.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.

her is watch 179
Taz, you do realize that was yesterday's watch, right??
LOL i no that
Hey stormw i sent you and email...
Just checking friend! So you were just pointing out what the forecast was yesterday, before the Eagle Pass event?

If you would have posted this yesterday, I would have been more impressed! :D
27. Inyo
someone did post it yesterday! i forget who, but it might have been Taz
In that case, I am impressed! :)

Great weather minds around here! Yes Taz, you are included! ;)
Posted By: thelmores at 4:10 PM GMT on April 25, 2007.

I realize there is not necessarily a direct correlation, but is there any evidence that an active year for tornado's may mean an active year for hurricanes??

just curious if there is any evidence, or merely coincidence?

as I stated yesterday, tornado's are the ultimate in terror.... feel for those in tornado prone area's!


It depends.
If anything,there appears to be an inverse relationship between early tornado season activity and hurricane activity.
guess no one is on
34. H2PV
Posted By: thelmores at 4:10 PM GMT on April 25, 2007.
I realize there is not necessarily a direct correlation, but is there any evidence that an active year for tornado's may mean an active year for hurricanes??


2004 was an hyperactive year for both hurricanes and tornadoes. However it was the hurricane-spawned tornadoes from Ivan and Frances that pushed it over the top as the all time record year for tornadoes.

The 509 tornadoes that came in May 2004 helped push the total up to 1819 tornadoes for the year.

May of 2003 was the record breaker for most tornadoes in May with 562 that came in swarms up to 100 at a time.
http://groups.google.com/group/sci.geo.meteorology/

http://www.guardian.co.uk/gall/0,8542,950314,00.html

2003 was also a hyperactive year for Atlantic Hurricanes.
35. H2PV
Posted By: weatherboykris at 6:25 PM GMT on April 25, 2007.
If anything,there appears to be an inverse relationship between early tornado season activity and hurricane activity.


Not in 2003, 2004, or 2005, according to this page...

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/torn/monthlytornstats.html

This year is having a lot of deadly tornado outbreaks. Do you think 2007 will end up being the deadliest year for tornadoes since 1974 in the USA?
This d a gppd day
doesnt have anything to do with thie blog right as of now but; thier is a april huricanes forecast of 17 named storms 5 major 3,4,5 chances of a hit is 140% this season humm probably gulf state east side fl ' have
a good day !!
dew
38. Inyo
you can't have more than an 100% chance of a hurricane strike!
maybe 140% of the average?
Its a terribly sad situation at Eagle Pass:
"It was a whole family, and they were all together, probably like they were huddling," said police Officer Ezekiel Navjas, who arrived Tuesday night just as crews were pulling from the wreckage the body of the girl, believed to be about 5 years old...
One of the dead was found in a house, and the other died after being taken to a San Antonio hospital, authorities said. More than 80 others were injured, and at least four remained in critical condition Wednesday
Across the Rio Grande in Piedras Negras, three people were killed and 300 homes were damaged. About 1,000 people sought refuge in shelters in Piedras Negras, where 32 people were killed by a tornado three years ago.

After the tornado passed, neighbors poured onto the darkened streets checking for anyone who needed help, said Eglanteina Alamillo, 20. "You could hear everyone was walking around and helping people get out of the trailers," she said Navjas said he and other rescuers worked as long as they could Tuesday night. He finally went home for a couple hours of sleep after his flashlight went out around 4 a.m.


I looked back and all I could find was a Flash flood that killed people in 2004 - Perhaps a tornado was also associated :

during April 1-6. In the Coahuila state of northern Mexico, a deadly flash flood occurred along the Escondido River in Piedras Negras where locally 125-180 mm (~5-7 inches) of rain fell late on the 5th and early on the 6th. At least 36 people were killed by the early morning flooding which damaged or destroyed hundreds of homes, prompting a state of emergency declaration by Mexican president Vicente Fox (Reuters/AFP).


Also:

Heavy rains in Angola produced flooding along the river system which flows into neighboring Zambia, Botswana and Namibia. Extensive flooding along the Zambezi River threatened more than 20,000 people in northeastern Namibia, and was characterized by local officials as the worst flooding since 1958 (Reuters).

The NOAA article mentions Flooding in Angola that year - I checked the news and:

4 April 2007 Torrential rain in neighbouring Angola caused the Zambezi River to burst its banks and spill onto the floodplains.

But it seems to flood a lot there.
T-MINUS 843HRS 40MINS TO HURRICANE SEASON
Hi Dr Jeff,
Excellent report... Thought you and fellow weather enthusiasts might find this vis satellite view of that supercell interesting... Obtained imagery from Texas Commission on Environmental Quality (only maintain a 24 hr archive), cropped and adjusted color / contrast in Photoshop, otherwise as original...



Wow, what a monster! ... This rogue cell was another classic "right-mover", tracking more due east than NNE of storms along the previous squall line... (last night's GFS 0Z view of atmospheric levels from initiation period shows the evolving dynamics well and the secondary low pressure area it formed within)... In the sat imagery it almost appears one can see the vortex, although that eye-like center may not be in reality... Condolences to those who lost lives / property there from this historic storm... With all the sparsely populated areas nearby, sad this one found a target... As the MCS continued into San Antonio after midnight this morning, copied barometric pressure data from numerous stations there, indicating a rapid BP spike range of .16" to .20" (inHg) / 5.42 mb to 6.77 mb (i.e. at KSAT, jumped from 29.79" to 29.95") within 30 minutes from powerful gust front / downdrafts... with sharpest jump of near 3-4 mb occurring in under 10 minutes... BP then fell back under the broader synoptic low pressure of the storm system as transient effects of MCS's mesohigh abated... The phenomena can be viewed from San Antonio airport's charts (KSAT)...

Amazing number of deadly severe storms we've seen this winter / spring...
T-MINUS 843HRS 40MINS TO HURRICANE SEASON...Are you kidding me...lol

That is a good one Keeper!

Evening JF, SSIG, Taz an Inyo, good to see everyone!
Evening Doc, good to see ya and great pic!
Hey SJ! Yeah I was digging around and copying storm data earlier today when came across those images... Less than 4 hrs before that image, there was nothing in sight! ...LOL, nothing visible, ...just a ton of potential about to happen!
How are any of our people out in Texas and Louisiana?
Great read Dr. Masters. Like a few others I noticed this particular storm as it was happening. At that time it had a top of 51,000 feet. with 4+ inch hail. I pray for those affected.
Not much happened in Louisiana, at least in New Orleans. I slept through most of it. Woke up only a couple times when the rain pounded especially hard on my windows. Then again, I was so tired that I could have slept through a freight train going by. :)
Well here in Chickasaw,Al right outside of Mobile It's getting black and starting to rain.
How many tornado fatalities have there been in the USA so far this year?
Hey StormJunkie! It's been awhile! Thank you again for your help with my wifes' website link this past year!!

Boy has it ever been crazy dry here on the SW side of Florida...fire indexes' over 660....It seems like every front washes out about the middle of the state say around Tampa. Ft Myers and Naples have been getting nothing! Hope all is well
Pensacola will be next with the squall line (in about 1-2 hours) but hoping there are no tornados, they really need the rain in the SE. Too bad it is a short term event and we could actually use some tropical moisture (a good strong tropical depression/weak tropical storm) to alleviate the drought conditions...We will have to wait a few weeks (and months) for that possability
What's up Buhdog! Good to see ya. Wondered when we would see you!
This looks interesting what are the shear values in that area. Northwest of south america. I canty post a picture but i can give the link http://www.goes.noaa.gov/GIFS/HUIR.JPG
CARIBBEAN...
THE TAIL END OF A STATIONARY FRONT IS JUST N OF THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS FROM 19N60W TO 19N68W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE N OF 18N
AND E OF 72W TO INCLUDE THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF HISPANIOLA AND
PUERTO RICO. THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA HAS 15-25 KT
EASTERLY TRADEWINDS. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE NOTED OVER THE SW
CARIBBEAN AND CENTRAL AMERICA FROM E PANAMA TO E HONDURAS
BETWEEN 77W-86W. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...A RIDGE IS OVER THE NW
CARIBBEAN SEA N OF 15N AND W OF 70W. UPPER LEVEL WLY ZONAL FLOW
COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE SEA. EXPECT MORE SCATTERED SHOWERS
OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN AND CENTRAL AMERICA DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

can someone show me the image html for posting. I am using a mac and it does not allow me to use the image button
How's it going Drak! Welcome, as I am not sure we have met before.

(img src="http://stormjunkie.com/images/catdance.gif"/)

Instead of the )( Use >< also, with some pics you need to reduce the size. After the web address you can put width="640" height ="480" Put that right before the /)

If you have any questions WU mail me.
by the way is any one geting this????

Site is currently overloaded. Please try again in a few minutes...
Here's the shear.
good just looking at that area in the carribean.
Taz ~ all is good here.

The shear in the gulf really dropped overnight. It was 40kts lastnight shearing up an interesting wanttabe swirl, which is gone now.
all i am seeing is a red X boxs
what is shear like right now in the gulf if it was 40kt this last night sky?
lol it didn't work. the shear in that area looks like 10-20 mph?
Taz: yea i got the same thing a while ago
skyepony: what do you think about the shear in association with that area noth of south america?
No worries anywere currently...Lots of dry air place.Give it a few weeks to moisten up.

hhh
well could that be come 90L?
storyofthecane: that area looks better thanit did earlier, the shear need to drop more though.
well its geting to that time of year
Huricane23: the area in the southern carribean looks good and there is little moisture to the north of it. What i am worried about is the shear.
yeah the shear is going to prohibit any development, all other conditions are good, that area will probably produce the first storm in mid may
yes the wind shear needs to drop a little more but it looking good right now
the Caribbean is going to be extremely active
sotryofthecane: there is also little mositure to the north of it. Does the nhc give out the 11:00 am analysis in the off season?
talking about bolds


lol
no, there will be no reason for the NHC to discuss this blob for now
Nothing is going to develope out there mark my words!Atleast not anytime soon.

hhh
well may is this in a few days from now
taz - that area looks too far south....
what is the link for the gfs model?
yep, we've still got a little while until the ITCZ rises and the African waves traverse its path



GFS Models

Under Model select GFS and under DOMAIN select Tropical Atlantic
huricane23: just for interest purposes :). whats the link to the gfs model?
i think this wave has a little spin to it
Link
Here is my model page on my website...

MODEL PAGE
dos this little wave that we are talking about dos it have a little spin to it?

Link
yep, there is circulation

that map dos not tell me any thing so you are going to tell me what that map is about
A circulation that does't stand a chance at the present time.
yes theere is a spin i see it. it is west of the convection. Hurricane 23 look at it.
Nothing there is at the surface from what iam seeing and even it if would develope which the chances are about 5% it would have no place to go. Atleast nowhere near the united states.
WE KNOW, 23, take it easy, its not much circulation
models are still projecting something is that it?
ok mid level circulation? there is a spin, from the animation loop. Yes huricane23 you are right the shear isn't conducive for tropical cyclone development nor is the shear. just an area o finterest.
Iam doing just fine story...Just stateing facts thats about it.
theres a difference between discussing and acting like you know everything and you're doing a lot of acting right now, 23, lets discuss
hey may be dr m can come on in and tell us whats going on down there it may be this some day time t-storms and die out at night
we all know and have said it wont develop, so quit saying it every 5 seconds
good idea Story
we are just discussing it no one is saying it is going to develop. I am just stating what i see from the naimation loop and the shear values.
how do you no it wont develop shear is low
its going to have to double in size to be worth developmental discussions, right now its just an ordinary blob, if it stays stationary and doesn't go any further north its chances are much better, but i dont see that happening

we cant be sure of anything yet
i say we wait a day or to before making any conclusions
and like i this siad it may be this some day time t-storms and then die out
yeah, thats the mystery of these things, one blob can blow up and one blob can vanish like it was nothing
lol

this is a beter discussion topic
ill be back later, we'll give that blob some time to figure out where it wants to go
i say give it a day i give it 20% of becomeing 90L
Posted By: Tazmanian at 12:44 EDT le 26 avril 2007.

and like i this siad it may be this some day time t-storms and then die out.

Thas correct taz..Persistance is always key with a tropical cyclone.Anyway hopefully a mean trof is in place this season and will see them from far away in the far atlantic.Another quite season sounds great to me.
am i seeing what i think i am seeing take a look at B5
i dont want a Another quite season thank you
u talkin about the vortex signature.

thats why i posted it
There is no way this develops into anything... Too early.
Posted By: Tazmanian at 4:47 PM GMT on April 26, 2007.

i say give it a day i give it 20% of becomeing 90L

I second that
23 you better be hoping for a quiet season with the High setting up like this

its going to be a rough year for Florida and the Gulf Coast, while I do miss the beautiful beaches and warm climate, Im glad I got out of Florida prior to the 2007 season.
Nobody knows were the high will be in place 2 months from now as its hard to predict 2 weeks out.Some models are indicateing a stronger high this season but things can change.Iam hopeing for another quite one cause iam not interested in seeing any more distruction and lives ruined.Adrian
its hard to predict, yes, but it wasn't this stable at this time last year and the Trofs dont seem to be giving it as much trouble as they were last year either. Its not like Im saying this hoping for death & destruction, Im just stating what Im concluding from my observations. I too hope for a quiet season, but realistically I dont see a shred of possibility for that to be the case.
No problem story...

Lets hope for the best and prepare for the worst.
yep, thats a good plan, ALWAYS prepare for the worst
are you entering any predictions for JP's contest, 23?
Afternoon all!

23, just for the record, there is not "a mean trof"

Troughs come and go and some dig deeper then others. What we want is a trend of strong troughs moving across the nation that dig deep in to the S. This does not mean a storm can not strike the US, but if the troughs are strong and come back to back they can do a very good job of protecting us.
right now the troughs have been fairly well spread out and not as far south as we'd like
my weather station picked up over 2.95 inches of rain in an hour getting really wet in pr today
this is something worth paying attention to, the East Atlantic is well below the average

A strong high will make the conus lows ride further north (what we have been seeing for the past 3 months) and not be a big factor in recurving Hurricanes. I agree, all signs are pointing to an active season and a strong high! To be quite honest, I haven't found a shred of evidence, early on, to contest that either. All that can change in an instant. Unpredictable April Brings Predictable May.
That would explain the SST jump in the MDR Story!
Apparently the NWS doesn't think we will get any rain either. They stripped us of our some improvement label!!
Tornado warning in Alabama now.
Where is the tornado warning for in alabama
: StoryOfTheCane now that dos not look good
Pike County, Alabama
Pike County - it's moving Northeast - just going to clip the north corner of the county.
Posted By: TheCaneWhisperer at 5:32 PM GMT on April 26, 2007.

That would explain the SST jump in the MDR Story!


No it wouldn't.Shear has no effect on SST.
137. RL3AO
Tornado Warning
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
104 PM CDT THU APR 26 2007

ALC109-261815-
/O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0123.000000T0000Z-070426T1815Z/
PIKE AL-
104 PM CDT THU APR 26 2007

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 115 PM CDT FOR NORTHERN
PIKE COUNTY...

AT 101 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR TROY MUNICIPAL
AIRPORT...OR ABOUT 9 MILES NORTHWEST OF TROY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30
MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
CHINA GROVE AND 9 MILES NORTHWEST OF SANDFIELD BY 115 PM CDT...

LAT...LON 3192 8622 3176 8612 3191 8579 3205 8598
3198 8598 3197 8614



is the High setting up shop?
That storm is really more a threat to the counties north and east of Pike County - it is just barely clipping areas of our county. But it appears the line building to our south and west may have some danger to it.
140. RL3AO
Tornado warning was canceled/discontinuted. Nice line in Southern AL and the western panhandle.
They never saw it on the ground - just radar - I live just 20 miles south - nothing here - not even wind or rain yet.
142. ryang
Hello Everyone,check my 2007 Hurricane season outlook on my blog...
saddlegait you live 20 mile south of troy?
Yes - right at 20 miles! First you get to Troy and think you reached paradise. Drive 20 miles south and you KNOW you reached paradise.
Tell me about .....I am originally from the big city of Opp Alabama.....now living closer to the FL state line, unfortuneately I must commute to Mobile each Monday and Friday to work.so just not in paradise long enough
Ahh - the beaches are great to visit and enjoy, but this is home sweet home! So you are a Opption!
you live down around Jack?
I live southeast of Brundidge right hand corner of Pike County.

yes ocne an Opption always an Opption... rattlesnakes and all
hello
Know it well, I worked the tornado that hit the water tank in Hamilton Crossroads
Maybe not directly Kris but, it is indicitive of other conditions present in the area that are having an effect on the SST's.
Here is a view of a new radar i'll be useing this summer.View of bouys and radar and visible on top.

Free Image Hosting at www.ImageShack.us
Tornado warning for Bullock county.
My husband was there right before it hit - he worked for Doug Miles a year ago. He got blown into a ditch but managed to really come out of it miraculously unscathed. It was amazing that the building that Doug had was gone - nothing - and those employees were not hurt - that wall they were standing next two was the only one left. That tornado took out or back corner fence.

Next too that is.
Some in that area are still not "recovered" Those in the trailers had no insurance - they lost everything or what little they had.
yeah I know, I also worked the tornado that hit Enterprise high school. Worked 3 major hurricanes and they are of course a much wider path of destrustion but a tornado that hits something I about the most damage I have ever seen in a normally very small area.
H23 hello how's everyone doing? We got some much needed rain her in Mobile,Al and know the sun is shining. Has turned out to be a nice afternoon
Alaema You from Alabama? If so what county? I'm from a little town right outside of Mobile called Satsuma.
Is anyone here.
I am from covington county small community called Hacoda.......but I work in Mobile
Sorry about the delay sometimes they make me work around here.......
what kind of work do u do? I'm not trying to be nosey. just wondering.
alaema - yes - the hurricanes are massive but if you are in the path of a tornado and it's YOU - you sort of lose sight of that don't you. Then, those victims here sit back and reflect on the Katrina situation and they get some perspective. The bad thing about here is that the feds did not declare Pike County a part of the disaster area - so no federally funded loans available. The City here and the County is doing what it can to help out. It's sad though. Then again, the feds can't bail everyone out - that's what insurance is for. Doug didn't have enough coverage - he was just struggling to stay afloat and couldn't afford it. He DID finally get a low interest loan with the help of the local authorities. It's a loan though so he has to pay it back. I don't think he even has issue with that at this point. He's just glad to be back working.
Saddlegait
I know the feds did not declare the area, that is what I was trying to do was qualify the disaster. I know it sounds dumb but pike county quailfied but the state has to qualify also and not enough damage to quailify the state.
Hey saddle: how ya doing?
I use to work for the Alabama Emergency Management Agency, now I work for FEMA out of the office in Mobile
I work in the Public Assistance part of FEMA...not what is sounds like though....we do the public infastructure, police,fire, water& sewer, power. make sure the cites can run and provide survices. Indivudal Assistance is a hard job, not sure I could work that sidew of the house
yeah I work for Pilot out of Mobile as a adjuster.
sorry it took so long to get back phone rang, r u still there?
yeah still here
I was setup to work with pilot and FEMA called so I went to work with them
aleama - what do you know about the program to assist in paying for storm shelters. A friend in Barbour county got funding - when I called Pike county they told me it was a dead program. That is a great program for people who can't afford it otherwise.
Yeah I just found out this morning this man name french just got a $100,000.00 dollar loan for his business thru FEMA or someone like that and the interest rate is 1% can u believe that and also the fema trailor he's been living in they sold it to him for $1.00. These friends of mine have a fema trailor just like his with a slide out and I would love to be able to buy one but don't know how. I mean I don't have thousands of dollars to go buy one but if i could get a deal like that I would just love it. And what's so funny is that man has 2 motor homes and he's rich. and no I'm not jealous.lol
Saddlegait let me find out if nothing else I will give you the number to public assistance in Montgomery
That kind of stuff is why I can't work in Individual Assistance. We are suppose to be a last resort type of funding. After insurance and everything else pays off. at least thats how it works in my side of the house
Thanks - I know some people who would love to know about it.
Call the Critical Information Line @ 1-877-757-2744. They may not know but can point ya in the right direction
Alaeme:that # is the Alabama Employee message line.
Thanks.
It said there is no messages at this time.
Well let me look again then. That what happens when ya use computer listings instead of looking for yourself
Alaema: That # was for Saddle wasn't it? I'm not trying to put my nose in you'll business.
Alaema: what do you think about the up coming Hurricane Season? You think it's gonna be as busy as some of them are saying? If i heard it right it might be a Neutral season and I think they say that could be bad. i don't know I'm still learning what's what.
Saddlegait you got mail
Well I guess i'll go so you'll can have you conversation sry didn't mean to intrude. have a nice day.
Well the weather part of it I am trying to learn and this is a great site to learn from.I am here alot and listen alot. Don't say much but ya can't learn by talkin.thats what dad always told me
no intrudion just tryin to help saddlegait always willin to talk to a new friend.
189. RL3AO
Hows the blob doing?
catastrophe- sometimes it's hard not to put your nose in it if we're hear talking all in the open and such. Sorry to distract guys - carry on.
Thank You Alaema&Saddle.
lol

that blob in the SW carribean is getting slightly more organized.
any comments???
It's not even a blob lol! It's a group of thunderstorms that will die off by tonight probably. No circulation, shear is too high, the t-storms aren't even deep, and it's still April. I don't think we'll see our first invest until May.
wow, look at all the tornado watches up now - check Severe map.
any comments on the image above??
lol

this is the most current activity i could find on any thing severe
198. Dyce
It is way to early to consider development from any system, especially a weak group of thunderstorms.
199. RL3AO
Of course it wont turn into anything, but were 5 days away from May and were 20 days from EPac season.
Chess - did you not notice mine? lol.
I just meant current tornado watches in ten states.
Evening all, great to see ya Ema!

Good to see you Levi, and I second your opinion!
Welcome aboard Dyce
Hey SJ! Great to see you too!
Good afternoon.
A report from the Eastern Front, @ 11 N 61 W:-

Nothing is going on here weatherwise, except Hot and Dry.
Nothing is going to happen in the near future.
Water supplies are low.
Bushfires are raging.

Its kind of hum-drum, waiting on rain !
Thank the Brewers of the World for Beer. !
Good day all! I joined last year and ...didn't have too much to talk about.I'm on here quite a bit and just figured I would get this year going right by coming in early (I'm a quiet one).Does anyone know if and how many times the keys (Key west to Marathon) have been hit? I'm planning on moving soon.Anyway,thank all of you for the great info on here,I have learned a lot!Keep it going..
Hello hello to all!
Cloudy here in the Turks and caicos Islands with current conditions as follows :
Temperature 80.8 F / 27.1 C
Dew Point 73.3 F / 22.9 C
Humidity 78%
Wind Speed 13.0mph / 20.9km/h
Wind Gust 19.0mph / 30.6km/h
Wind ENE -
Pressure 29.93in / 1013.4hPa

Totaling everything up, 60 people have been killed so far in the USA by tornadoes this year. Pretty ugly, considering that May is the busiest tornado month!
209. MZT
The Mosquito Bay (north of Panama) is a common site of slowly generating tropical storms. But even if something can form there, it may take several more days to be named.

Invests from here usually don't amount to much, unless they can move north and get farther from land. More often, they drift west into the Nicaraguan mountains and fizzle.

Strong line with hail moving threw...

ggg
Hello ??
Ok Adrian I just have to know what software you use for those graphics lol. Must be radar-smoothing software or something.
213. DDR
goodnight everyone,POTTERY which part of trinidad are you from? look like a little rain tonight?
Hello again all.Hey,does anyone know where to get some novice help on wefax? I have a Kenwood TH-F6A and am trying to prepare for the season.I have downloaded JVcomm as well as SEATTY.I figured all these weather buffs should be able help me out.Thanks again all.You can email me KI4NEI@Gmail.com DE KI4NEI 73.
DDR, I'm near Freeport, central Trinidad. I dont think we will get rain tonight, but we did get a trace early this morning. Maybe a little convective stuff. Not enough to measure......
216. ryang
DDR where are you from??
Hi Ryang. My point earlier , in your blog, is that the Sahara dust is NOT as prevalent as it was a week ago overhead Trinidad.. Bear in mind that when you look at the image you posted, that the image is showing hot dry air as well as dust ( if there is any ). To see the real situation, animate the loop.
218. ryang
Hi Pottery,i don't think it can animate,but it's showing lots of dust that the trade winds wil blow across the atlantic...
Pottery, hope you get some rain.... and I too share you appreciation for some good brew! :)

nite weather world!
Ryang, try this

cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/wavetrak/sal.html
Later, Thelmores
222. ryang
WOW Pottery thanks,well expect hazy skies...
lol

7N 178E
2N 156E


do you see it?
What you got there Taz ??
Just convection.......they aren't even tropical waves. Sorry David you gotta wait one more month lol.
That is in the West Pacific... LOL... look at the longitiude.
looks like an eye may form over the Great lakes.
228. RL3AO
And Taz, isnt your wave a little close to the equator?
229. DDR
im from trindad, t&t, oh and pottery im from st augustine, pottery your right the african dust has cleared away, we had a blue sky today at last
Yeah Ryang, you can see from that link, if you click " product information " that the image includes dry air ( even polar dry air ) ,and only when you JAVA it, can you see the origins of the dry, dust, whatever........
231. ryang
LOL....Taz what are you trying to say???
By the way, the equatorial EPAC is starting to cool again in response to the MJO (see my blog for details, somebody else posted that about the MJO):

...well fancy meeting you here, DDR.
Yeah, I thought I was still sleeping when I went outside this morning, havent seen the sky that pretty in Months............

Good to meet you.
I think we should take up a collection, to get Taz to Florida for the Season. You get to sit on the beach and watch one roll in Taz, what you say ?
237. RL3AO
I think we will be getting a little break from severe weather...then May gets here.
238. DDR
nice to meet you also :D
239. ryang
StormW you have mail...
Evening all!

I'll chip 5$ pottery!

Evening Taz :)
241. ryang
Evening SJ...
hello StormJunkie
DDR, if you are still on, I just checked Piarco weather.

" mostly cloudy "... So I went outside to see. Who writes these things??, there isnt a cloud in the sky. Its wishfull thinking !!!!!!!!!

Anyway I'm out. See you all tomorow sometime. Stay strong .
Posted By: pottery at 1:54 AM GMT on April 27, 2007.
I think we should take up a collection, to get Taz to Florida for the Season. You get to sit on the beach and watch one roll in Taz, what you say ?
Will that be smoking, or non-smoking?
KBDI
There is an area of disturbed weather in the Gulf in the Florida big bend area -its weaker than I expected so far.

Later in about a week or so there is an interesting spot perhaps north of the Bahamas on the wacky GFS - but really not all that much.
Stupidity knows no bounds and freedom is bound only by those who seek to control others
by means of legilation . no way you or i can be free in a land that you can't do anything that is legislated threw stupidity. Who needs to know weather of anykind .Sooner or later they will find a way to legislate weather . stupidity !!! The only thing that is right is the first 10 admendments to the Constitution of the US .everything else is wrong no wonder we have weather.i prey someday we The People wake up and see that any legislation is bad to the cause of freedom .Stop worrying about polotics and worry about secret societies tightening their grip on you and I .Im just wondering here how they will someday legislate Weather he he .smoke if you want drill oil ells in your yard and watch out for weather he he /tornadoes will go farther and farther into Mexico where they once were and wil be again and this dumb supposedly democracy will fail as all have .only a republic can survive the test of time .That of corse is what we are suppose to have here . but anyway just go ahead and listen to the global warmest talk abut warming and watch us sink into cooler days and dryer weather and drought .What has been will be again and that ladies and gentelmen is a fact !!
Bermuda high has too much influence this year it is lkely if any Huricanes development will have a higher likelyhood of effecting southern fl and al,miss,la,northern tx. most will be strong while out to se but i believe they will as many have in the past weeken as they get close to the continetal US as upper level trough interfearence comes to play not to say that one high risk or two want slip in . mre or less the danger is flooding lts of rain whre thier will be drought and as always natured way of replenishing the lost as well as taking heat off the ocean and cooling drought infested areas whitch in this manner will be a welcome relief . three years next will be one to wtch bit this is a medium threat year . although elnino has appeard to relax a bit dont count it out but most importantly the NOA will have more to do in the play this time around . have a goo day and night im intermitant at best so see ya
may even be a good year for Shouth America to get in on a Huricane this time around keep watch out and we'll see !!
If La nino event comes in three mounths from now as predicted i believe it will transend into Oct Huricanes effecting the continental US on the lower half of corse like isaid earlier . but cant rule out a southeastern event though unlikely at this time . eastern mexico and the gulf a great area of intrest if the NAO continues in its curent pattern .watch for the change in NAO .tht will be the diffrence in a hard charging la nino or a week at best just rain events from tropical systems this year .im gone now back in two weeks to up date my ideas on the issue and as far as the tornadoes in TX well they have been thier ever sence i have been here so isnt anything new to me .The mexico thing is though and i'll keep watchig the develping year have a good bye
This area is pretty active, once conditions are stable look out

lol

latest quickscat
Stop slacking and update your blog Dr. M.

We had better hope that this pattern does not persist through the season.

Tried loading the ATL wind field and surface map. Big high stretching all the way across the ATL. Looks like the 2004 set up.

Also noticed that the 8:05 Caribbean discussion referred to a 1008 mb low over N Colombia near 10 N 94 W !!

I think they must mean 74 W
This low may be responsible for the showers in the S Caribbean