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Invest 92L Retired From List of Tropical Disturbances

By: Dr. Jeff Masters, 12:46 PM GMT on April 01, 2015

The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) announced a surprise addition to the list of retired Atlantic storm names during their annual meeting held in Ann Arbor, Michigan yesterday: henceforth, the name "Invest 92L" will no longer be used for tropical disturbances in the Atlantic, after that storm savaged South Florida in September 2014. Damage from Invest 92L as it swept across South Florida on September 11, 2014 was piddly, but as residents of Florida can attest to, the media hype surrounding the approach of the storm was extreme, thanks to computer model projections that showed the storm potentially intensifying into a serious heavy rainfall and wind event. Given the massive media attention given to the storm, the WMO decided that it would be unwise to give future tropical disturbances the same name, to avoid confusion with the September 2014 version of "Invest 92L".


Figure 1. Invest 92L swirls over Florida at 12:30 pm EDT Friday September 12, 2014. Image credit: NASA.


Figure 2. Damage from Invest 92L's rampage across South Florida on September 10, 2014, was mind-numbing, as this photo demonstrates. Image credit: wunderground member Ameister12. Credit also goes to wunderground member MAWeatherboy1 for commenting on this photo in my September 12, 2014 blog post, saying, "It's hard to imagine the scope of the damage in Florida this morning. 92L will probably get retired from the invest list for this."

With the name "Invest 92L" now excluded from the list of tropical disturbance names that NHC can use, they were in the awkward position of having to jump from Invest 91L to Invest 93L, skipping over the name Invest 92L, during this year's hurricane season. In addition, the WMO could decide to retire more "Invest" names in the future, so NHC decided to come up with a radically new system for naming tropical disturbances. NHC director Dr. Rick Blabb announced yesterday that the list of tropical disturbances for 2015 would completely do away with the numbering system used in the past and be replaced by more memorable names. Here, then, is the list of names for Atlantic tropical disturbances in 2015:

Pikachu
Dr. Evil
Pipsqueak
Ralph the Wunder Llama
Zippy
Cthulu
Mr. Bill
Little Rascal
Obi-Wan
HAL 9000
Stay Puft Marshallow Man
Miss Piggy
Cruella
Gumby
Buckaroo
The Borg
Sauron
Tyrion
Sponge Bob
Quasimodo
Tiamat
Pac-Man
Ms. Pac-Man
Bellatrix
Bob Dobbs
Mr. Mxyzptlk
Anne of Green Gables
Endora

In a press release, Dr. Blabb extolled the virtues of the new system of naming tropical disturbances: "It used to be that we called tropical disturbances "Invests" and numbered them beginning at 90 and ending at 99, and then recycled the name back to 90 after we hit 99. This really doesn't make much sense. I mean, come on, why didn't we give each start a unique number, like 1 through 99? And why do we give each tropical disturbance the letter "L" after it, to denote the "atLantic Ocean?" OK, the letter "A" is reserved for tropical disturbances in the Arabian Sea, but the Atlantic is far more deserving of getting the coveted letter "A" for its tropical disturbances, since we get far more activity than the Arabian Sea. And why do we call them "Invests", like they were code for some sort of obscure financial strategy? Instead of "Invests", we could call them "Tropical Disturbances", but that has the initials "TD", which could get them confused with Tropical Depressions. Calling them "Areas of Interest" is way too boring, so we decided to call them "Thingamabobbers." Numbers aren't very memorable, so it makes much more sense to attach names to our Thingamabobbers. The names we picked this year are not fixed in a certain order, so we can assign a name when a Thingamabobber gets designated, based on what we expect the storm's character to be. For example, if we expect a Thingamabobber to make many course changes we might name it "Thingamabobber Pac-Man" or "Thingamabobber Ms. Pac-Man." A storm with a lot of electrical activity we might call Pikachu, and a fast-moving storm might be called Zippy. A Thingamabobber that has the strong potential to become a nasty hurricane would get a name like Sauron, Bellatrix, or Cruella, and a relatively innocuous one might get named Little Rascal, Pipsqueak, or Sponge Bob. Although we might get some criticism for our choice of names, it sure makes a lot more sense than the ridiculous Invest 90L through 99L naming scheme that we use now."

Happy April Fool's Day!

Jeff Masters

Humor Hurricane

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

Reader Comments

First!

Happy April Fools!
Ha.

I forgot today was April Fool's Day; this blog had me very confused for a few seconds.

Thanks, Dr. Masters.
We all knew this was coming right?
such epic carnage.

would have been better had JM been able to keep a straight face.

I want to play poker with this man.
Quoting 1. WunderAlertBot:

First!

Happy April Fools!


Where's Taz when we need him?
I knew this was a joke because they don't retire invest.It'll be no point in that.
Almost got me there Doc! 92L was the worst storm to hit florida since andrew!
Thank you Dr. Masters. We will rebuild.
LOL! Good one Dr Masters... I do fully endorse the naming convention names, but Thingamabobber may be too generic. I like Gro's "Blob" for big and messy systems and "Naked Swirl" for the undressed ones. The Stay Puft Marshmallow Blob...
That was a good one, thanks Dr. Masters.
HahaHaha I almost believed it - it seemed shockingly Krazee they would retire an invest, until I saw the picture of the overturned chair !!! Good 1 !!
Quoting 10. wxgeek723:

Thank you Dr. Masters. We will rebuild.

Your call, but don't ask me to subsidize it. ;-)
lol
thanks for the update
never forget always remember
a tossed lawn chair is a terrible thing
I may never get over it
According to Nature IT'S THE DRAGONS

Dr. Rabett writes:


Well, it's silly season again, and Nature has a good one and it is open

Emerging evidence indicates that dragons can no longer be dismissed as creatures of legend and fantasy, and that anthropogenic effects on the world's climate may inadvertently be paving the way for the resurgence of these beasts.
and another taste
Further work has revealed that the early medieval period was a veritable paradise for dragons. This can be attributed to the period's unusually warm temperatures Fig. 2 and an abundance of knights, the beasts' favourite combatant and food. It was also a time when wealth and status were measured in terms of gold and silver — the preferred nesting material for Western dragons. As a result, the major needs for living, feeding and, crucially, relaxation were readily available to dragons, allowing populations to flourish. The roasting of flesh and the indiscriminate demolition of hovels and castles became commonplace.

The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) announced a surprise addition to the list of retired Atlantic storm names during their annual meeting held in Ann Arbor, Michigan


any word on any retired names from the E Pac
Quoting 16. JohnLonergan:

According to Nature IT'S THE DRAGONS

Dr. Rabett writes:


Well, it's silly season again, and Nature has a good one and it is open

Emerging evidence indicates that dragons can no longer be dismissed as creatures of legend and fantasy, and that anthropogenic effects on the world's climate may inadvertently be paving the way for the resurgence of these beasts.
and another taste
Further work has revealed that the early medieval period was a veritable paradise for dragons. This can be attributed to the period's unusually warm temperatures Fig. 2 and an abundance of knights, the beasts' favourite combatant and food. It was also a time when wealth and status were measured in terms of gold and silver — the preferred nesting material for Western dragons. As a result, the major needs for living, feeding and, crucially, relaxation were readily available to dragons, allowing populations to flourish. The roasting of flesh and the indiscriminate demolition of hovels and castles became commonplace.




That graph is bad, try this one:



;) Happy April Fool's.
Quoting WunderAlertBot:
First!

Happy April Fools!




reported

April Fool's


Quoting 15. KEEPEROFTHEGATE:

lol
thanks for the update
never forget always remember
a tossed lawn chair is a terrible thing
I may never get over it
There are sites on line that help individuals who have lost yard items of great sentimental value, or PTSD from trauma caused by light rain associated with the disturbance. I found therapy can reduce fatigue and get ones life back to normal.
It's about time 92L gets retired. I've been harassed by more invests named 92L than any other & last year's was the worst! It's like 92L has it out for FL. Once There was a really flooding 99L but usually it's a 92L.. Here is a shot I saved of the one last year mentioned by Masters. It was also featured in my memorable weather pics from 2014 blog.



I'd also like to suggest DOOM!!! and Bodacious Blob for invest names.
Gov. Rick Scott has cancelled the 2015 Hurricane Season.

That is all.
On a serious Climate note,..

Tornado strikes Northwest India




Is it ,that 92Lwill be no more and move from 91L to 93L ?
Quoting 11. SouthTampa:

LOL! Good one Dr Masters... I do fully endorse the naming convention names, but Thingamabobber may be too generic. I like Gro's "Blob" for big and messy systems and "Naked Swirl" for the undressed ones. The Stay Puft Marshmallow Blob...


Yes, I agree that "Naked Swirl Sauron" or "Blob The Borg" would properly convey the potential for such disturbances to cause major trouble in the future...

Jeff Masters
Quoting 15. KEEPEROFTHEGATE:

lol
thanks for the update
never forget always remember
a tossed lawn chair is a terrible thing
I may never get over it


Damage was in the $100s of dollars.
The rebuild could take seconds!
Quoting JeffMasters:


Yes, I agree that "Naked Swirl Sauron" or "Blob The Borg" would properly convey the potential for such disturbances to cause major trouble in the future...

Jeff Masters


hey dr m can you respond back too this please

The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) announced a surprise addition to the list of retired Atlantic storm names during their annual meeting held in Ann Arbor, Michigan


any word on any retired names from the E Pac
Meanwhile I had this horrible dream. I was living in a world that was slowly getting hotter and hotter with increased CO2 and methane while those in power, like frogs in a warming pot, refused to acknwledge the threat. People
just wouldn't listen to reason and science and were dominated by wishes, magic and denial.

THe alarm clock just went off.. I'll log in to news sites and see what happened overnight.. What a horrible nightmare.. glad this ain't really happening.
well truth be told.....the model runs longer than ten days depicted 92l to be a monster....and was expected to make multiple landfalls on the state of florida....i remember the fight on the blogs of who saw it first...but thanx a few bloggers who share these models...place their absolute faith in these models...and the fact that they are always right..coupled with the knowledge that everyone in the state of florida reads this blog (ok...change that to those in florida that can read).......the entire state of florida evacuated mitigating the possible damage to just that of the thoughtful....... most wonderful...... life giving.....hero worthy lawn chair...i personally was touched by the massive turn out shown by floridians as they spent two days paying tribute to the life and contributions of the lawn chair....not to forget the endless throng of plastic pink flamingos that lined up to pay their respects
After the 20'th winter storm of the season all of my suggested names have four letters.
Why won't anybody use them?? They are so easy to remember and stick in the mind although
given human nature, some are just not retireable. But the number of four letter strings we can come up
with in the English Language is inexhaustible.

very cute...
Quoting 22. Patrap:

Gov. Rick Scott has cancelled the 2015 Hurricane Season.

That is all.


We don't have the money in the budget this year for any relief efforts so they can't be allowed to happen
and no permits will be issued by the state.

There.. DONE!
I absolutely cannot believe that I read the first paragraph before realizing the date. Somewhere between WTF and laughing myself silly I realized I'd been had.

Very good one Dr. M.
Thank You Dr; hilarious. However, that swirl in the posted picture did allow for a few folks to "surf" Lake Okeechobee that afternoon.
Meanwhile in the East Pacific, the true cause of El Nino has been traced to a spill of several hundred grams of fast food coffee, from a rogue Liberian registered Cruise Ship. This material, comprising a sixth superenergized state of matter is widely described as one of the hottest substances known to science.
Quoting 24. stoormfury:

Is it ,that 92Lwill be no more and move from 91L to 93L ?


Yes. I thought that was pretty clear in the original post. Frankly, this is momentous. It's really only a matter of time before we retire 90L through 99L and we'll need to devise some other plan to identify invests.

There has also been some mumblings from those in the upper echelon of weather geniuses that they are planning on retiring Enhanced Fujita numbers.
Meanwhile, in a development that should have been anticipated, a steady and dramatic reduction in winter wildfires on the surface of the Great Lakes has resulted in increased winter ice cover from both lack of combustion heating, and from a dramatic increase in the melting point of the increasingly dilute chemical solution that comprises their content.

We should have realized this was happening when Cleveland residents stopped driving to the lake to gas up their cars with its contents.

40. SLU
I realised it was a hoax when I saw Dr Evil in the list of names. You did get be for a good while. Nice one!
Quoting 27. Tazmanian:



hey dr m can you respond back too this please

The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) announced a surprise addition to the list of retired Atlantic storm names during their annual meeting held in Ann Arbor, Michigan


any word on any retired names from the E Pac


The WMO judged that due to the relative lack of hype for EPac tropical disturbances, none of 2014's 90E - 99E Invests would be retired.

Jeff Masters
There is a saying that people are adverse to change, but the names used to describe this year's disturbances looks very ridiculous. change for the better yes. but change for change no
did our friends the aussie mets start april fools a day early with this ENSO update


Recent warming of Pacific Ocean could be early indication of El Niño
Issued on 31 March 2015 | Product Code IDCKGEWW00
Recent warming of the tropical Pacific Ocean has primed the Pacific for El Niño. However, history has shown El Niño does not always develop from the ocean trends currently observed.
International climate models monitored by the Bureau indicate the central tropical Pacific Ocean is likely to continue to warm, with all models predicting El Niño thresholds will be reached or exceeded by mid-year. However, the accuracy of model outlooks at this time of year, the traditional El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) transition period, is lower than for outlooks made at other times of the year. Hence, some caution should be exercised when using model outlooks to predict the likelihood of El Niño.
The Bureau's ENSO Tracker remains at El Niño WATCH status. This means that when current observations and model outlooks are considered together, there is about a 50% chance of El Niño developing in the coming months, which is twice the normal likelihood.
El Niño is often associated with below-average winter and spring rainfall over eastern Australia and above-average daytime temperatures over the southern half of Australia. However, in the shorter-term, much of Australia is likely to have a wetter-than-average April to June. See the latest climate outlook.
Next update expected on 14 April 2015 | print version
Quoting 38. LongIslandBeaches:



Yes. I thought that was pretty clear in the original post. Frankly, this is momentous. It's really only a matter of time before we retire 90L through 99L and we'll need to devise some other plan to identify invests.

There has also been some mumblings from those in the upper echelon of weather geniuses that they are planning on retiring Enhanced Fujita numbers.


Only numbers 0-5
Quoting 2. TropicalAnalystwx13:

Ha.

I forgot today was April Fool's Day; this blog had me very confused for a few seconds.

Thanks, Dr. Masters.


Me too. XD
I am sure 92L was caused by AGW....
I survived 92L last year and it was really exciting!
Even though we had more than 40,000 ripe avocados on the ground and 100+ avocado trees down in the "surprise" from the small tropical storm called Katrina, 92L was much worse last year. Down south of Miami in an area called the Redlands, our primary official weather station for the Homestead area is the Homestead Air Reserve Base which is adjacent to Biscayne Bay. They are typically 8-10 degrees F warmer than the farming areas in the winter, and in the fall at the end of our rainy season, they typically report clear skies when we are getting clobbered by CBs. 92L was no exception. I was out cutting the grass and with no warning, wind gusts of up to maybe 10 kts came without warning associated with the dreaded mosquito vortex event as well. For those of you who talk about snow (whatever that is) we have swirling clouds of mosquitos [or is it mosquitoes] that generally come from the southwest out of the Everglades and they can strip the skin off any living creature when they are pushed along by the wind, especially in the eastern quadrant of the swirling mass. This was probably an M-4 mosquito swirl based on the 0-5 Mosquito Swarm scale. I had to pull maybe 1-2 inches of dead mosquito carcasses off the face of my faithful hound before he could see again. He still apparently has nightmares about it, because almost every night I can hear him calling MOE! MOE! MOE-skito! Anyway, back to work. Thanks to all you weather experts for all the wisdom and insights on this site from the old timers and Dr. M! Many of us professional lurkers have actually learned to determine truth from trolls and it is critically important for those of us who do potentially live in harm's way from tropical systems. Thanks for what you do here!
JB
Quoting 46. yoboi:

I am sure 92L was caused by AGW....


ffs, this blog has a jovial mood going on for once. Don't ruin it.
Link

I'll keep you all posted as category 5 Hurricane Ana has south florida in her crosshairs. :O)
Miss Piggy gets to investigate herself but not Kermit? What about Gonzo?
Quoting 48. KoritheMan:



ffs, this blog has a jovial mood going on for once. Don't ruin it.



He's the Scrooge of April Fool's.
Quoting JeffMasters:


The WMO judged that due to the relative lack of hype for EPac tropical disturbances, none of 2014's 90E - 99E Invests would be retired.

Jeff Masters



thats not what i means am talking about real names and if your trying too be funny its not working with me am being real i really dont do march of April Fool's am talking about names like the O storm that did a ton of damges there may have been a few others
Quoting 51. TimTheWxMan:




He's the Scrooge of April Fool's.


Dude... I said on the other blog that I'm piss poor with people. If I have to set him straight, that's pretty bad... :O
Quoting 48. KoritheMan:



ffs, this blog has a jovial mood going on for once. Don't ruin it.


Was making a joke also.....Cheer up..
Quoting 52. Tazmanian:




thats not what i means am talking about real names and if your trying too be funny its not working with me am being real i really dont do march of April Fool's am talking about names like the O storm that did a ton of damges there may have been a few others


The WMO hasn't actually had their annual spring meeting yet, afaik. They'll announce it then, and Odile will almost certainly be retired.
Quoting 47. F16NightSpook:

I survived 92L last year and it was really exciting!
Even though we had more than 40,000 ripe avocados on the ground and 100+ avocado trees down in the "surprise" from the small tropical storm called Katrina, 92L was much worse last year. Down south of Miami in an area called the Redlands, our primary official weather station for the Homestead area is the Homestead Air Reserve Base which is adjacent to Biscayne Bay. They are typically 8-10 degrees F warmer than the farming areas in the winter, and in the fall at the end of our rainy season, they typically report clear skies when we are getting clobbered by CBs. 92L was no exception. I was out cutting the grass and with no warning, wind gusts of up to maybe 10 kts came without warning associated with the dreaded mosquito vortex event as well. For those of you who talk about snow (whatever that is) we have swirling clouds of mosquitos [or is it mosquitoes] that generally come from the southwest out of the Everglades and they can strip the skin off any living creature when they are pushed along by the wind, especially in the eastern quadrant of the swirling mass. This was probably an M-4 mosquito swirl based on the 0-5 Mosquito Swarm scale. I had to pull maybe 1-2 inches of dead mosquito carcasses off the face of my faithful hound before he could see again. He still apparently has nightmares about it, because almost every night I can hear him calling MOE! MOE! MOE-skito! Anyway, back to work.
JB


Please reserve solid truth for the other 364 days of the year.
Found this video footage of 92L's devastating winds. Sure this monster of a storm had to be retired! As always, thanks for the valuable information, doc!

Quoting 54. yoboi:



Was making a joke also.....Cheer up..


It was a lame one, but... conceded. :)
Quoting 55. KoritheMan:



The WMO hasn't actually had their annual spring meeting yet, afaik. They'll announce it then, and Odile will almost certainly be retired.



I think it's next thursday. I thought it was the 2nd thursday of april.
Quoting KoritheMan:


The WMO hasn't actually had their annual spring meeting yet, afaik. They'll announce it then, and Odile will almost certainly be retired.




any idea when there meeting is it normly around this time
Quoting 28. georgevandenberghe:

Meanwhile I had this horrible dream. I was living in a world that was slowly getting hotter and hotter with increased CO2 and methane while those in power, like frogs in a warming pot, refused to acknwledge the threat. People
just wouldn't listen to reason and science and were dominated by wishes, magic and denial.

THe alarm clock just went off.. I'll log in to news sites and see what happened overnight.. What a horrible nightmare.. glad this ain't really happening.



As goosegirl said :



Yet again, we hear Winston Churchill’s words echoing into our uncertain future:

“The era of procrastination, of half-measures, of soothing and baffling expedients, of delays is coming to its close. In its place we are entering a period of consequences.”



Quoting 16. JohnLonergan:

According to Nature IT'S THE DRAGONS

Dr. Rabett writes:


Well, it's silly season again, and Nature has a good one and it is open

Emerging evidence indicates that dragons can no longer be dismissed as creatures of legend and fantasy, and that anthropogenic effects on the world's climate may inadvertently be paving the way for the resurgence of these beasts.
and another taste
Further work has revealed that the early medieval period was a veritable paradise for dragons. This can be attributed to the period's unusually warm temperatures Fig. 2 and an abundance of knights, the beasts' favourite combatant and food. It was also a time when wealth and status were measured in terms of gold and silver — the preferred nesting material for Western dragons. As a result, the major needs for living, feeding and, crucially, relaxation were readily available to dragons, allowing populations to flourish. The roasting of flesh and the indiscriminate demolition of hovels and castles became commonplace.


Trogdar!!!
Quoting 54. yoboi:



Was making a joke also.....Cheer up



you guys need to be carfull on oh you makes jokes to on here has some may or may not like it
I'm quiet surprised, but very glad that 92L has been retired. You can't even imagine the effort it took into getting that chair back into place. :/
Not sure right now where to post my own *very dramatic* video footage of yesterday's windstorm "Niklas": in the serious blog or the fool's blog? It fits to both. Note the sad end of a creature named "Flapping Curiosity" by its creator at the end of the video ;-) No joke! Nomen est omen ...

Thanks Dr Jeff, nice to have a pause in all the seriousness!
And the comments section has provided extensive additions to my ignore list.... (Af!)
Quoting 60. Tazmanian:





any idea when there meeting is it normly around this time


It's never been later than April as far as I know. It's usually between now and the 15th if memory serves.
68. vis0
This was the STORM OF THE CENTimeter and i think i have a capture of the STORM CHASING team of Oz & Sar2401...

CREDIT:: SoSo Humor
D&T:: The day after yesterday.


As you can see Dr. Masters' pointed out (arrow) how the winds ACTUALLY raised one of the (storm chasers) truck fringes, at Invest92L high point.
60 days until the 2015 Atlantic Cane Season

Quoting 56. georgevandenberghe:



Please reserve solid truth for the other 364 days of the year.


if we had the truth that many days of the year this world would be a different place :)
Quoting 64. Ameister12:

I'm quiet surprised, but very glad that 92L has been retired. You can't even imagine the effort it took into getting that chair back into place. :/


The Portlight response to 92L was a Chair Pillow if I recall.

Quoting KoritheMan:


It's never been later than April as far as I know. It's usually between now and the 15th if memory serves.



ok thanks!
Quoting 69. Patrap:

60 days until the 2015 Atlantic Cane Season



T-59 DAYS 12 HRS 18 MINS
Dr. Blabb. LOL
This post is absolutely brilliant. Well done.
Quoting 71. Patrap:



The Portlight response to 92L was a Chair Pillow if I recall.




Chairs have feelings, too.
And 45 days until the "official" start of the E-Pac season:

When lurkers I don't even recognize come out of the woodwork, you know something was done right.
Two April Fools -

7 questions with John Christy and Roy Spencer: Climate change skeptics for 25 years

Link
Mr Bill, Miss Piggy? LOL!



source: http://post-snippets.blogspot.com/

And one of the latest, Jermaine wings....



What? It's just a poem!

got a feeling things are getting wacky check everything twice before reply april fools are abound
Quoting 80. TropicalAnalystwx13:

The conspiracy theorists were right!

REVEALED: The Dirty Truth About Chemtrails



So that's why there hasn't been a major hurricane in ten years.
This sounds like the Climate Change Debates on here.

There are two types of people in this world:… Those who can extrapolate from incomplete data

Quoting 80. TropicalAnalystwx13:

The conspiracy theorists were right!

REVEALED: The Dirty Truth About Chemtrails



LMFAO...

dihydrogen monoxide.

well done sir, very well done. ;)
What happens when 3 bald White men walk into a bar?
Quoting KoritheMan:


Chairs have feelings, too.
No, they don't. That was shown quite clearly by the table with the glass top's response to 94L. This was clearly just another reason to try to make us feel sorry for chairs and contribute to that relief fund. Personally I'm getting donor's fatigue after all the fuss created with that "We are the Chaise Lounge" marathon last year about this time.
High amounts of CO2 gas has been released from China and is piling up across the Eastern Pacific in the form of El-Nino.
Quoting barbamz:
Found this video footage of 92L's devastating winds. Sure this monster of a storm had to be retired! As always, thanks for the valuable information, doc!

Aww! That looks just like Radar Dog when he was young. It's my own theory that those ears are why he's afraid of thunderstorms.
Quoting vis0:
This was the STORM OF THE CENTimeter and i think i have a capture of the STORM CHASING team of Oz & Sar2401...

CREDIT:: SoSo Humor
D&T:: The day after yesterday.


As you can see Dr. Masters' pointed out (arrow) how the winds ACTUALLY raised one of the (storm chasers) truck fringes, at Invest92L high point.
Pictures like that are enough to irritate the Good Humor man.
Gotta love Dr .Masters for his jokes here
I admit it was caught off guard for a few seconds
New record of heat in Death Valley for March:
104ºF yesterday!
Quoting barbamz:
Not sure right now where to post my own *very dramatic* video footage of yesterday's windstorm "Niklas": in the serious blog or the fool's blog? It fits to both. Note the sad end of a creature named "Flapping Curiosity" by its creator at the end of the video ;-) No joke! Nomen est omen ...

I'm very surprised that plastic bag managed to stay anchored to the roof. It certainly appears that the Germans make better plastic bags than we do.
Quoting KoritheMan:


It was a lame one, but... conceded. :)
If you're a hammer, everything looks like a nail...
Quoting JeffMasters:


The WMO judged that due to the relative lack of hype for EPac tropical disturbances, none of 2014's 90E - 99E Invests would be retired.

Jeff Masters
Thank goodness. I was so sick of seeing all those repetitive 99E's last year when we hadn't even made it to 91L yet...
Philippines Atmospheric Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin #1
TYPHOON CHEDENG
11:30 PM PhST April 1 2015
=============================

The typhoon east of Visayas has entered the Philippine Area Of Responsibility and was named "CHEDENG"

At 10:00 PM PhST, Typhoon Chedeng [Maysak] (N/A hPa) located at 11.9N 135.0E or 1,040 km east of Borongan, Eastern Samar has 10 minute sustained winds of 100 knots with gustiness up to 115 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 11 knots.

Additional Information
===================
Within the next 18 hours, PAGASA will raise Public Storm Warning Signal #1 over Bicol and Samar Provinces. Hence, sea travel over these areas will be possibly suspended.

It is estimated to make landfall over eastern coast of Samar, Quezon or Isabela by late Saturday (April 4) to early Sunday (April 5)

Estimated rainfall amount is from heavy to at times intense within the 150-200 km radius of the typhoon.

Storm surges and sea surface waves of up to 4 meters are possible over the eastern coast of Samar, Bicol Aurora-Quezon.

Fisherfolks and those with small seacrafts are advised not to venture out over the eastern seaboard of Bicol Region and of Visayas.

The public and the disaster risk reduction and management council concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 11AM tomorrow.
Mauritius Meteorological Services
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #1
PERTURBATION TROPICALE 13-20142015
16:00 PM RET April 1 2015
======================================

At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Disturbance 13R (1005 hPa) located at 18.4S 74.3E has 10 minute sustained wind of 20 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The disturbance is reported as moving west northwest at 8 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0/2.0/D0.5/24 HRS

Forecast and Intensity
===================
12 HRS 18.1S 72.3E - 20 knots (Perturbation Tropicale)
24 HRS 17.9S 70.5E - 20 knots (Perturbation Tropicale)
48 HRS 17.2S 67.8E - Depression Residuelle
72 HRS 17.3S 64.4E - Depression se Comblant

Additional Information
=====================
An impulse of deep convection has occurred since last night, due to the improving polar divergence. The center is challenging to locate, and has been estimated thanks to data ASCAT of 0350z and last available microwaves data at 0959z.

For the next days, low levels conditions remain marginal, with a weakening of the monsoon flow becoming more indirect.

Available numerical weather prediction show a global westward track, without significant deepening, with a dissipating depression north to Mascareignes islands.

The intensity of this system does not justify the issuance of regular warnings.
On a related, but serious, note: Can Greek letters be retired? If so, then potentially they could all be retired over a sufficiently long time. Even if just one of them were retired it could be awkward skipping it later (for those of us who know the Greek alphabet by memory).
Quoting 77. weathermanwannabe:

And 45 days until the "official" start of the E-Pac season:




44
Quoting 99. pablosyn:



44


Sorry I should know better; my B-Day is also on May 15th (E-Pac start date) so no excuse for it..................... :)
Quoting Chucktown:
Interesting read of how the science community came up with the 97%. Also, great twitter handle to follow @Al_Gorelioni

Link
Interesting? Meh. A known denialist posted a blog entry--a blog entry, mind you, not a peer-reviewed article--whinging about the methodologies used in a real, honest-to-goodness published article.

Imagine my surprise.

My advice to Tol: if he really thinks he's onto something, he should write up an article outlining all his "refutations", then submit it for peer review. That's how science is done--not by taking to a blog entry to cry that scientists said something with which he disagrees.
Lasers Map the Earth That Moved in Colorado’s Epic Floods

The 2013 storm in Colorado was all kinds of historic. One week of steady precipitation broke daily, monthly, and yearly rainfall records all over the state. The flooding tore away roads, rails, and homes, and forced more than 12,000 people to evacuate. But the rains made their mark on the mountains, too. The stalled storm scraped away hundreds—maybe even thousands—of years of rock, dirt, and sand that had accumulated in the mountain range’s creased valleys. In fact, the storm washed out so much gunk that scientists are reconsidering how storms like these play a role in shaping the mountains and plains below.

Link
UKMET, South Atlantic Again?


MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC
GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 01.04.2015
NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 26.6S 46.0W
LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 06.04.2015 108 26.6S 46.0W 997 40
1200UTC 06.04.2015 120 26.9S 43.3W 992 48
0000UTC 07.04.2015 132 27.0S 40.0W 993 46
1200UTC 07.04.2015 144 28.2S 36.5W 986 50


Link
you got me right till I hit the name list...Thanks for the reminder of the calendar.
Me too, I got to that list and knew I was had, and I knew what day it was. Happy New Years WU'ers
I was buying the post as real until I saw the overturned lawn chair and remembered the date.
Quoting 100. Chucktown:

Interesting read of how the science community came up with the 97%. Also, great twitter handle to follow @Al_Gorelioni

Link


Not really interesting at all. The Doran and Zimmerman article was pretty standard, with no known issues. In fact, there weren't any issues taken with the methodology by his peers. You know there is actually a method by which you can make a legitimate inquiry of a published article through a response to the journal. Writing an opinion piece in Forbes isn't that way.

You need to understand there is a way to go about things in academics, blathering ideological, pseudo scientific nonsense on blogs and through opinion pieces is not the way. Giving any sort of legitimacy to conspiracy blogs and opinion pieces only serves to self marginalize an all ready marginalized perspective. You should probably focus on reading the published papers and then if you have a criticism, respond through the actual processes designed to handle those responses. The Doran and Zimmerman paper had no such issues, the only problems came from people on the internet who were upset that they measured something and the results weren't to their liking.

Yawn.
No change (after the lunch-time update) from SPC on the slight/marginal risks today
for parts of the US in terms of strong winds-potential hail in some of the stronger cells.
We can all certainly wait on any potential tornadic threats for April as long as possible into this month.


DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1122 AM CDT WED APR 01 2015

VALID 011630Z - 021200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM NORTH CENTRAL KS INTO
SOUTHERN MN...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM NORTH TX INTO SOUTHERN
MO...

...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL PLAINS...

...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO
THE OZARKS REGION...

...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF GA/FL...

...SUMMARY...
A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS...ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM
NORTHERN KANSAS NORTHEASTWARD TO SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA. ALSO...WIDELY
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS WILL OCCUR
FROM NORTH TEXAS INTO PARTS OF ARKANSAS AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI. A
SEPARATE AREA OF CONCERN FOR THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS
WILL EXIST ACROSS NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

...MN/IA/NEB/KS...
FORECAST APPEARS TO REMAIN ON TRACK ACROSS THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL
PLAINS. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE COLD FRONT
FROM SOUTHWEST MN INTO NORTH CENTRAL KS BY LATE AFTERNOON. STEEP
LAPSE RATES AND COLD TEMPERATURES ALOFT...COUPLED WITH SUFFICIENT
DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL PROMOTE ORGANIZED STORMS CAPABLE OF LARGE
HAIL. ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO CONGEAL INTO A LINEAR MCS DURING THE
EVENING WITH AN INCREASING RISK OF LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS. DUE TO
RATHER LOW DEWPOINTS AND LIMITED INSTABILITY...THE SEVERE THREAT
WILL LIKELY BEGIN TO DIMINISH BEFORE MIDNIGHT.

...TX/OK/AR/MO...
MULTIPLE MCV CENTERS ARE NOTED THIS MORNING OVER EASTERN OK INTO
NORTH TX. THESE ARE ALONG THE WESTERN FRINGE OF A PLUME OF
RELATIVELY MOIST AND MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR EXTENDING FROM CENTRAL
TX INTO SOUTHERN MO. 12Z MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT...DESPITE
WEAK LARGE SCALE FORCING...SUFFICIENT MESOSCALE FORCING AND DAYTIME
HEATING MAY RESULT IN A CORRIDOR OF AFTERNOON/EVENING THUNDERSTORMS
IN THIS AREA. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW PARAMETERS FAVORABLE FOR
ORGANIZED MULTICELL OR SUPERCELL STORMS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS.

..HART/ROGERS.. 04/01/2015


Feels good to laugh, does it not?

Excuse me, while I whip this out:

112. wxmod
Pacific Carbon monoxide today. White is off the charts. MODIS satellite data.


Quoting 83. KoritheMan:



So that's why there hasn't been a major hurricane in ten years.

Residents of the Philippines, Vanuatu, etc., might dispute that statement. The ones that are still alive, anyway.
Quoting 108. Naga5000:



You know there is actually a method by which you can make a legitimate inquiry of a published article through a response to the journal. Writing an opinion piece in Forbes isn't that way.

You need to understand there is a way to go about things in academics, blathering ideological, pseudo scientific nonsense on blogs and through opinion pieces is not the way. Giving any sort of legitimacy to conspiracy blogs and opinion pieces only serves to self marginalize an all ready marginalized perspective. You should probably focus on reading the published papers and then if you have a criticism, respond through the actual processes designed to handle those responses. The Doran and Zimmerman paper had no such issues, the only problems came from people on the internet who were upset that they measured something and the results weren't to their liking.

Yawn.


But if good old Chuck did that he would find himself contradicting his own arguments now wouldn't he?
Some great pictures of Super Typhoon Maysak from space.

Link

http://www.usatoday.com/story/weather/2015/04/01/ astronaut-photos-super-typhoon-maysak/70771436/
Quoting 100. Chucktown:

Interesting read of how the science community came up with the 97%. Also, great twitter handle to follow @Al_Gorelioni

Link

Members of the science community came up with that number via multiple peer-reviewed studies. Members of the "skeptic" community can only write blog posts about them, since there are no studies that came up with significantly different results, and no "skeptic" has ventured to perform a new study that corrects the alleged "errors" in the old ones--most likely because they know how exactly how such a study would turn out.
Quoting 116. chrisd3:


Members of the science community came up with that number via multiple peer-reviewed studies. Members of the "skeptic" community can only write blog posts about them, since there are no studies that came up with significantly different results, and no "skeptic" has ventured to perfrom a new study that corrects the alleged "errors" in the old ones--most likely because they know how exactly how such a study would turn out.


Bingo! We have a winner...
"Credit also goes to wunderground member MAWeatherboy1 for commenting on this photo in my September 12, 2014 blog post, saying, "It's hard to imagine the scope of the damage in Florida this morning. 92L will probably get retired from the invest list for this.""

Lol, looks like that's my best forecast ever. Thanks for the laughs Dr. Masters :)
Quoting 116. chrisd3:


Members of the science community came up with that number via multiple peer-reviewed studies. Members of the "skeptic" community can only write blog posts about them, since there are no studies that came up with significantly different results, and no "skeptic" has ventured to perform a new study that corrects the alleged "errors" in the old ones--most likely because they know how exactly how such a study would turn out.

Quoting WunderAlertBot:
First!

Happy April Fools!


HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Thanks dok!

When I saw the list, I thought: WTF?

Severe weather incoming!!!

YAY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


(april fools-not till tommorow)
Quoting 118. MAweatherboy1:

"Credit also goes to wunderground member MAWeatherboy1 for commenting on this photo in my September 12, 2014 blog post, saying, "It's hard to imagine the scope of the damage in Florida this morning. 92L will probably get retired from the invest list for this.""

Lol, looks like that's my best forecast ever. Thanks for the laughs Dr. Masters :)



I can't believe you didn't catch a perma-ban for that. People have for less.
New Mesoscale discussion from SPC.



MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0175
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1239 PM CDT WED APR 01 2015

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN OK...NWRN AR...SWRN MO AND SERN KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 011739Z - 012015Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT

SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS MAY UNDERGO A SLOW BUT GRADUAL INCREASE IN
INTENSITY INTO THE AFTERNOON FROM ERN OK INTO NWRN AR...SWRN MO AND
SERN KS. SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS MIGHT BECOME CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING ISOLATED STRONG TO DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL. THE
TIMING REGARDING IF AND WHEN STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE IS
UNCERTAIN...AND ANY WW ISSUANCE WILL DEPEND ON CONVECTIVE TRENDS.

DISCUSSION...EARLY THIS AFTERNOON A WARM FRONT EXTENDS FROM NRN MS
INTO NCNTRL AND NWRN AR THEN WWD THROUGH SRN KS. DESTABILIZATION IS
OCCURRING PRIMARILY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THIS BOUNDARY AS DEWPOINTS
RISE INTO THE LOW 60S AND TEMPERATURES WARM THROUGH THE 70S...THOUGH
WIDESPREAD CONVECTIVE DEBRIS IS SLOWING THE RATE OF DIABATIC WARMING
WITHIN THE SFC LAYER. RADAR...SATELLITE AND RUC DATA SHOW AN MCV
OVER NERN OK MOVING NEWD. DEEPER FORCING ACCOMPANYING THIS FEATURE
IS AUGMENTING ASCENT AND PROMOTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW ELEVATED
THUNDERSTORMS NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT FROM NWRN AR INTO SWRN MO.
INFLOW FROM THE DESTABILIZING WARM SECTOR MIGHT FOSTER A GRADUAL
INCREASE IN INTENSITY OF STORMS DEVELOPING ALONG THE WARM FRONT.
MOREOVER...A MID-LEVEL JET ASSOCIATED WITH MCV CIRCULATION OVERLAPS
THIS BOUNDARY FROM NERN OK...NWRN AR INTO SWRN MO RESULTING IN A
NARROW CORRIDOR OF 30-40 KT 0-6 KM SHEAR WITHIN A BROADER AREA OF
WEAKER VERTICAL SHEAR. WHILE MOST STORMS WILL LIKELY REMAIN
MULTICELL IN CHARACTER...A FEW STORMS COULD DEVELOP SUPERCELL
STRUCTURES IF ACTIVITY BECOMES ROOTED IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER.

..DIAL/HART.. 04/01/2015


ATTN...WFO...LZK...SGF...TSA...ICT...

LAT...LON 37739352 37019239 36239213 35389264 35199374 35549478
36709529 37779497 37739352
92L was a good example of when 85-90 degree water temperatures weren't enough to form a tropical cyclone.
92L was also a good example of how the season went last year in the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico.
Anyone want to call the "Wunderblog" and "Thunderblog"?

Hahaha...april fools, I know.

But I shall call it a "Thunderblog".






Good maps and graphs today. Fire weather outlook is insane.
The strongest storm cell so far today is just entering SW MS at the moment (and just passing the Southern outskirts of Joplin):

Southern Mississippi Valley sector
127. N3EG
This reminds me of my Thingamabobbercane wrap-up, where I said that FEMA sent an emergency shipment of rakes to Sequim, WA.
Good one, doc. Had me going until the new list of names...
Good to see everyone on here putting their differences aside for a good laugh. it should be like this more often on here.
The WMO has just recognized a new weather oscillation they'd like to call El Dorado in the tropical Pacific! This new phenomena is different from El Nino and La Nina in that the waters turn fresh off the shores of Equator once every 500 years. The sea becomes so sweet, the locals were known to drink out of it without going insane! This episodic pattern was first discovered by Sir Charkle. A renown climatologist at the University of Clownsville.

Oh the weather phenomena is known to cause snowstorms in Florida, hypercanes in the Atlantic, and 150 degree heat in the Desert Southwest! "This explains why neither Florida nor the Yucatan saw any resemblance of a rainy season for three hundred years" says Professor Farkle-who works under Mr. Charkle's wing. "Yet both were known to see snow drifts by the Native Americans"!

The PhD warns that we could be on the verge of another Dorado onslaught in the next 5-10 years and could last anywhere from 5-500 years in length! Though unlike ENSO, no opposite phenomena could be noticeably detected in the historical record.

Happy April Fools everybody!
Quoting chrisd3:

Residents of the Philippines, Vanuatu, etc., might dispute that statement. The ones that are still alive, anyway.

Hurricanes are not a thing in the West or South Pacific. He's referring to landfalling U.S. major hurricanes.
Philip Klotzbach @philklotzbach · 57m 57 minutes ago
The NW Pacific has already accumulated as much ACE in 2015 (36 units) as did the North Atlantic in all of 2013.
Hello everyone. Tigger is back!!! Reducing my numbers.Link
Ryan Maue ‏@RyanMaue 39m39 minutes ago
@philklotzbach also note western pacific warm pool SST are normal or slightly below. Big diff between 28°C current and 30°C in May

This is a result of warmer SST's being transferred east across the Pacific.
Quoting 125. 62901IL:







Good maps and graphs today. Fire weather outlook is insane.



Our best shot for severe storms will be tomorrow evening through early friday morning.
Quoting 133. tiggerhurricanes2001:

Hello everyone. Tigger is back!!! Reducing my numbers.Link



Welcome back!
Quoting 136. TimTheWxMan:




Welcome back!

Thanks. Did u read it? Interesting indeed.
Quoting 89. sar2401:

Aww! That looks just like Radar Dog when he was young. It's my own theory that those ears are why he's afraid of thunderstorms.


Neither my twin labs (one of whom is named Thunder) nor my cockapoo, nor my two cats have any fear of storms. My Shephard/Retriever mix used to lock herself in the bathroom though when she heard thunder. The labs don't like heat above 80F, cold below 10F, wind, or rain and in cloudy weather Thunder thinks "well it's going to rain"
and doesn't want to go on his walks.
Quoting 135. TimTheWxMan:




Our best shot for severe storms will be tomorrow evening through early friday morning.


Could be a moderate to high risk for severe weather mid next week across the Midwest specifically Arkansas & MO. Looks like Wednesday is the day there could be some long track tornadoes.
All of you on here (and the scientific community at large) are completely wrong. Climate Change/Global Warming/AMO/PDO/Enso Cycles/MJO/AMO are part of an intergalactic board game (with the gravity devices focused on the Earth) being conducted on board the ancient mother ship by the kids (under adult supervision) which remains in orbit behind the dark side of the Moon until the "moment" when someone throws the "double snake eyes"....Then the game is really over.

ancient aliens, h2, history international, easter island

The atlantic is doing so bad.
Orlando 6.3 warmer than average in March with 25 days over 80, 2 of those 25 days we hit 90. Very hot month we just had here in C FL.
Quoting StormTrackerScott:


Could be a moderate to high risk for severe weather mid next week across the Midwest specifically Arkansas & MO. Looks like Wednesday is the day there could be some long track tornadoes.


Yes, could be some action next week over a wide area.
No April's hoax, unfortunately: the latest from the GOM:

Four dead, 16 injured in fiery blast at Mexico oil rig
AFP, By Laurent Thomet 28 minutes ago
Mexico City (AFP) - An explosion and a fire erupted on an offshore oil platform operated by Mexico's Pemex on Wednesday, killing at least four workers, injuring 16 and forcing 300 to be evacuated.
Eight firefighting vessels were battling the pre-dawn blaze at the Abkatun A-Permanente platform on the Gulf of Mexico's Campeche Sound, the state-run firm said in a statement.
The blast took place at 3:40 am in the dehydration and pump area of the platform, located off the coast of eastern Campeche state, the ASEA energy safety agency said in a separate statement.
Some 300 workers were taken to other platforms in the area while the injured were transported to Pemex's general hospital in Ciudad de Carmen. Two were in serious condition.
Pemex has not indicated whether the accident caused any oil spill.
AFP obtained a video taken from a boat showing huge flames and smoke engulfing much of the platform in the middle of the night. ...
Quoting 143. Sfloridacat5:



Yes, could be some action next week over a wide area.
\

Yeah watching the Euro upload frame by frame and it looks bad across Eastern Oklahoma, Arkansas, & MO seem to be the bullseye come next Wednesday.
Starting next Monday Euro is showing a Summertime pattern with Diurnal convection everyday favoring the interior areas of the FL Penisula however rain coverage becomes more widespread later next week as a strong southern jet takes hold allowing for cold mid level temps with lots of moisture and heat at the surface making the atmosphere very buoyant.
I'm not sure if anyone posted the update on the Moore, Oklahoma tornado.
It was given an EF2 rating.

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
423 PM CDT MON MAR 30 2015

…NWS DAMAGE SURVEY FOR 3/25/2015 MOORE TORNADO EVENT

.OVERVIEW…
DAMAGE ACROSS SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA CITY… MOORE AND FAR NORTH NORMAN WAS CAUSED BY A COMBINATION OF THUNDERSTORM WINDS AND A NARROW TORNADO WITH AN INTERMITTENT DAMAGE PATH. THE PATH OF WIND DAMAGE
VARIED FROM 0.1 TO 0.6 MILES WIDE WITH EVIDENCE OF A NARROW TORNADO OBSERVED OCCASIONALLY WITHIN THIS AREA OF DAMAGE.

THE DAMAGE BEGAN NEAR SOUTHWEST 119TH STREET AND MAY AVENUE IN SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA CITY… MOVED THROUGH MOORE… AND ENDED ABOUT ONE-HALF MILE
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF NORTHEAST 36TH AVENUE AND INDIAN HILLS ROAD IN EXTREME NORTHERN NORMAN. THE MOST CONSISTENT EVIDENCE OF A TORNADO WAS OBSERVED FROM SOUTHWEST OF NORTHWEST 12TH STREET AND SANTA FE AVENUE TO NEAR SOUTHWEST 7TH STREET AND BROADWAY AVENUE IN MOORE.

LOW-END EF2 DAMAGE WAS OBSERVED IN A SMALL AREA OF MOORE FROM NEAR NORTHWEST 2ND STREET AND ARNOLD STREET TO NEAR MAIN STREET AND JANEWAY AVENUE.

.MOORE TORNADO…

RATING: EF-2 /MINIMAL/
ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 111-115 MPH
PATH LENGTH /STATUTE/: 11 MILES… ALTHOUGH NOT CONTINUOUS
PATH WIDTH /MAXIMUM/: 50 YARDS
FATALITIES: 0
INJURIES: 7

START DATE: MAR 25 2015
START TIME: 634 PM CDT
START LOCATION: 4.5 MILES WNW MOORE /CLEVELAND/ OK
START LAT/LON: 35.349/ -97.565

END DATE: MAR 25 2015
END TIME: 650 PM CDT
END LOCATION: 7 SE MOORE /CLEVELAND/ OK
END_LAT/LON: 35.283/ -97.384

NOTE: THE INFORMATION IN THIS STATEMENT IS PRELIMINARY AND SUBJECT TO CHANGE PENDING FINAL REVIEW OF THE EVENT AND PUBLICATION IN NWS STORM DATA.

Too much joking on the blog today for me. I'll be back later.


Quoting 141. Gearsts:


The atlantic is doing so bad.

But look at how normal/average it looks here.Really,by the way, it really doesn't look that bad.
Oklahoma news has raised the death toll to 4 weather related deaths from last Wednesday.

SPC still only has 1 fatality listed from the tornado in Sands Spring.

And I almost forgot; there will be 7 Atlantic season hurricanes this year:

ancient aliens, h2, history international, easter island
Quoting 140. weathermanwannabe:

All of you on here (and the scientific community at large) are completely wrong. Climate Change/Global Warming/AMO/PDO/Enso Cycles/MJO/AMO are part of an intergalactic board game (with the gravity devices focused on the Earth) being conducted on board the ancient mother ship by the kids (under adult supervision) which remains in orbit behind the dark side of the Moon until the "moment" when someone throws the "double snake eyes"....Then the game is really over.

ancient aliens, h2, history international, easter island


Absolutely ridiculous and beyond the pale.

Do we have any evidence, any at all??!! that the kids are under "adult supervison"?
That is hilarious April Fools ... LOL
There is a new theory floating that the impending, and perhaps already under way, reversal of the Earth's magnetic field will cause the North Atlantic hurricanes to move into the South Atlantic and make landfall mostly in Brazil and Argentina, with occasional hits as far South as the Falkland Islands. Evidence for this shift is emerging in the form of several storms that have already struck Southeast Brazil and Argentina. The hurricane Hunters base of operations will be moved to a newly-constructed air base near Rio de Janeiro. The theory is that storms landfalling on the US East coast will become so rare that the National Hurricane Center will be shut down and the budget diverted to public information offices of the U. S. Congress.
We're now up to 37 tornadoes for the year.
9 tornadoes in March.

157. yoboi
Quoting 100. Chucktown:

Interesting read of how the science community came up with the 97%. Also, great twitter handle to follow @Al_Gorelioni

Link


I have asked many times for someone to produce a list of names of the scientist....I have searched & searched and cannot not find a list....Maybe there is not a list???
Quoting 102. Neapolitan:

Interesting? Meh. A known denialist posted a blog entry--a blog entry, mind you, not a peer-reviewed article--whinging about the methodologies used in a real, honest-to-goodness published article.

Imagine my surprise.

My advice to Tol: if he really thinks he's onto something, he should write up an article outlining all his "refutations", then submit it for peer review. That's how science is done--not by taking to a blog entry to cry that scientists said something with which he disagrees.
Why would he do that? Being lazy and intellectually dishonest is so much easier... And with enough sheeple (like the [redacted]s on here that post this inane drivel) to cow into denial, there's really no reason to even try to be scientific or honest.
Looks like an El Nino Pattern should take hold toward mid month onward across Florida with plenty of cool(not cold) fronts ushering in cooler drier air with perhaps some thunder-boomers out ahead of each one! It could be the case that the Northeast and Midwest is above average while the southeast(especially the Gulf Coast and Florida are below!
SUBJECT: Maysak In Sea East Of The Philippines

Typhoon Maysak (935 hPa) located at 12.0N 134.7E has 10 minute sustained winds of 95 knots with gusts of 135 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 10 knots.

Storm Force Winds
=============
70 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
=============
180 NM from the center in northern quadrant
150 NM from the center in southern quadrant

Dvorak Intensity: T6.0

Forecast and Intensity
=================
24 HRS: 13.6N 131.7E - 75 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) Sea East Of The Philippines
48 HRS: 14.4N 127.5E - 65 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) Sea East Of The Philippines
72 HRS: 15.7N 122.8E - 50 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) Sea East Of The Philippines
Quoting 131. TropicalAnalystwx13:

Hurricanes are not a thing in the West or South Pacific. He's referring to landfalling U.S. major hurricanes.
I know he is. That was my point. "Skeptics" keep pointing to the lack of landfalling Atlantic hurricanes as if it that was all that matters--if a hurricane doesn't happen to strike the US, it's not a hurricane.

That's the way the comment read to me. If that wasn't the intent, then I apologize.
Quoting 159. weatherbro:

Looks like an El Nino Pattern should take hold toward mid month onward across Florida with plenty of cool(not cold) fronts ushering in cooler drier air with perhaps some thunder-boomers out ahead of each one! It could be the case that the Northeast and Midwest is above average while the southeast(especially the Gulf Coast and Florida are below!


The E-Nino pattern is there come next week but all models I see for now stall the fronts across FL leading to afternoon thunderstorms everyday. Well see though as the models can still change as this is still 6 to 8 days away.
Quoting 159. weatherbro:

Looks like an El Nino Pattern should take hold toward mid month onward across Florida with plenty of cool(not cold) fronts ushering in cooler drier air with perhaps some thunder-boomers out ahead of each one! It could be the case that the Northeast and Midwest is above average while the southeast(especially the Gulf Coast and Florida are below!
Good! It's been awhile since we had a nice thunderstorm here. A nice day of storms when I'm off work would be great.lol
Quoting 150. tiggerhurricanes2001:


But look at how normal/average it looks here.Really,by the way, it really doesn't look that bad.

No offence ;)
Quoting 163. Storms306:

Good! It's been awhile since we had a nice thunderstorm here. A nice day of storms when I'm off work would be great.lol


Looking like an active week with sea breeze fronts merging across the interior. I hope that I say this then the models mysteriously change as this has happened before. We could be seeing a set up where the wet season may start early across FL because of all the heat in place and now the jet getting established its setting up an ideal set for everyday storms across FL.
Quoting 165. StormTrackerScott:



Looking like an active week with sea breeze fronts merging across the interior. I hope that I say this then the models mysteriously change as this has happened before. We could be seeing a set up where the wet season may start early across FL because of all the heat in place and now the jet getting established its setting up an ideal set for everyday storms across FL.
Most of the time when FL sees a front, it has already passed through my area. However, WU is showing storms for next wednesday with temps in the mid to upper 70's.
Quoting 139. StormTrackerScott:



Could be a moderate to high risk for severe weather mid next week across the Midwest specifically Arkansas & MO. Looks like Wednesday is the day there could be some long track tornadoes.

Whoa there. Forecasts a week out are undoubtedly likely to waver some, especially when dealing with severe weather. Keeping that in mind, I don't see anything that would suggest long-tracked tornadoes any time next week. Maybe some isolated severe weather.
I think you should name an invest after me. I used to be rather large, but after cutting Twinkies, cheese danish, diesel fuel and plastic chairs out of my diet (all carbohydrates - well, carbohydrates, hydrocarbons, what's the difference?) I shrank quite a bit.
Awesome blog today, had me until the picture of the lawn chair (which is spot on)! Love the alternate names and rest of the blog.
Quoting 167. TropicalAnalystwx13:


Whoa there. Forecasts a week out are undoubtedly likely to waver some, especially when dealing with severe weather. Keeping that in mind, I don't see anything that would suggest long-tracked tornadoes any time next week. Maybe some isolated severe weather.


I don't know TA13 Arkansas especially looks to be a bulls eye for some dangerous weather. Looking at the models I can see where we might see a moderate risk issued for the Eastern OK, ARK, & MO if current trends hold. Again if as you said models can change as we have seen them change drastically just 3 days out from an event.
Quoting HadesGodWyvern:
SUBJECT: Maysak In Sea East Of The Philippines

Typhoon Maysak (935 hPa) located at 12.0N 134.7E has 10 minute sustained winds of 95 knots with gusts of 135 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 10 knots.

Storm Force Winds
=============
70 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
=============
180 NM from the center in northern quadrant
150 NM from the center in southern quadrant

Dvorak Intensity: T6.0

Forecast and Intensity
=================
24 HRS: 13.6N 131.7E - 75 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) Sea East Of The Philippines
48 HRS: 14.4N 127.5E - 65 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) Sea East Of The Philippines
72 HRS: 15.7N 122.8E - 50 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) Sea East Of The Philippines


Sounds pretty strong.
There are a couple of hail-producing thunderstorms moving across Southwestern Missouri currently. Using my GR2Analyst, I'd decided to take a 3D scan of one of those storms near Purdy about 30 minutes ago since there were reports of inch-wide hailstones near that town. As you can see here, a rather strong updraft inside this particular thunderstorm is promoting the creation of hailstones as high as 25,000 feet into the atmosphere. Pretty neat, huh?

As noted by Noaa/NWS records, late April/early May has historically produced the greatest number of tornado outbreaks across the mid-west/tornado alley but we have been lucky this year with the typical March activity as the pattern starts to shift (Earlier Blog from Ms. Henson). Not there yet but if/when the first strong low pressure system busts through producing some strong tornadoes in the alley, then we can probably expect a few more clusters going into May until things quiet down again.

This March has been a great blessing so far for the Mid-West with the exception of the recent events at the trailer park last week with the related death(s). Lets hope that April will remain as quiet as possible for a long as possible.
Quoting Bluestorm5:
There are a couple of hail-producing thunderstorms moving across Southwestern Missouri currently. Using my GR2Analyst, I'd decided to take a 3D scan of one of those storms near Purdy about 30 minutes ago since there were reports of inch-wide hailstones near that town. As you can see here, a rather strong updraft inside this particular thunderstorm is promoting the creation of hailstones as high as 25,000 feet into the atmosphere. Pretty neat, huh?



Wow...very nice!
Quoting 173. weathermanwannabe:

As noted by Noaa/NWS records, late April/early May has historically produced the greatest number of tornado outbreaks across the mid-west/tornado alley but we have been lucky this year with the typical March activity as the pattern starts to shift (Earlier Blog from Ms. Henson). Not there yet but if/when the first strong low pressure system busts through producing some strong tornadoes in the alley, then we can probably expect a few more clusters going into May until things quiet down again.

This March has been a great blessing so far for the Mid-West with the exception of the recent events at the trailer park last week with the related death(s). Lets hope that April will remain as quiet as possible for a long as possible.


Couple of very active days mid next week then that might be it for awhile so I'm sure StormChasers will be living it up next week.
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Whoa there. Forecasts a week out are undoubtedly likely to waver some, especially when dealing with severe weather. Keeping that in mind, I don't see anything that would suggest long-tracked tornadoes any time next week. Maybe some isolated severe weather.


Yeah, forecasting long track tornadoes a week out is being a little specific.

But I forecast the Oklahoma City/Moore and Tulsa tornadoes a week in advance.
I posted comments for a week everyday leading up to that day last Wednesday.
It was the first decent setup we'd had in months.

It's pretty easy. I just go off temperature anomaly setups.


Next week we should have a pretty decent setup for severe weather. But it's that time of year. We're starting to get the Gulf of Mexico moisture back up into the Southern Plains and Mississippi Valley region ahead of these cold fronts coming down.
Quoting 164. Gearsts:


No offence ;)

None taken. By the way, near-below average hurricane season forecasted this year by CSU. Not sure about the exact numbers, but forecast will be issued April 9th, and TSR on April 8th. It's somewhere posted in my comments near 135. The truth is, even though this season maybe relatively inactive, there might be some good looking storms to track, such as Fred,Bill(2009)Arthur,Edouard,Gonzalo(2014) in el nino like years. I just wanna have some good old fashioned hurricane tracking. Overall, I may downgrade my numbers. And who knows, things could significantly change by June 1st or September 10th. Who agrees. JMO.
Here's another temperature anomaly setup that just screams severe weather.
It's way too far out in time, but it's something to watch over the next week.

80th Anniversary of the establishment of the Hurricane Warning Network

Excerpt:

On April 1, 1935, the United States Weather Bureau (USWB) implemented an overhaul in the way it forecast hurricanes. The Bureau had come under increasing criticism over the past decade about the way it handled hurricane forecasts. A hurricane had struck Galveston in August 1932 with little warning. Two years later another storm threatened the city and an alert was raised. When the storm failed to materialize, Galveston authorities contacted the Washington headquarters of USWB. They were informed that the forecaster was presently on the golf course.
Quoting 178. Sfloridacat5:

Here's another temperature anomaly setup that just screams severe weather.
It's way too far out in time, but it's something to watch over the next week.




Just because temperature anomaly is warmer than normal doesn't necessary mean severe weather will happen in the area, though :)
Quoting 167. TropicalAnalystwx13:


Whoa there. Forecasts a week out are undoubtedly likely to waver some, especially when dealing with severe weather. Keeping that in mind, I don't see anything that would suggest long-tracked tornadoes any time next week. Maybe some isolated severe weather.
In my observation, often the synoptics as indicated by SPC's days 3-4-5-6 and 7 (rarely if ever do they identify an area of potential risk on day 8) risk areas shift quite a bit. To pinpoint a general risk area like "NE(northeast) OK" may work a few days in advance. Stating a week out "There will be a tornado in Sand Springs, OK" is a lucky guess.

Ps. That means I agree with you. LOL
Quoting 121. FBMinFL:



I can't believe you didn't catch a perma-ban for that. People have for less.
true but also true that was for peeps that were just out of control and kept posting disruptive comments over and over again without any regard for the rules or who they hurt insulted along the way
Only reports coming in so far to the SPC site is for hail in some places this afternoon (all in the SW corner area of MO):
Quoting 180. Bluestorm5:



Just because temperature anomaly is warmer than normal doesn't necessary mean severe weather will happen in the area, though :)
Temp anomaly alone might be like putting all your money on CAPE to win. Link to an explanation of CAPE. I know you know what CAPE is, Bluestorm. Just putting the link here for others who may not know, especially lurkers who are trying to learn about severe weather.
Notwithstanding the relative lack of instability at the surface (a good thing), the upper cloud deck on the complex over MO continues to grow and cool this afternoon; nice conditions for the production of hail:

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
340 PM CDT WED APR 1 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHWESTERN
STONE AND NORTHWESTERN CHRISTIAN COUNTIES UNTIL 430 PM CDT...

AT 337 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR CRANE...AND
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...PUBLIC.

IMPACT...DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BOAZ...CLEVER...CRANE AND HURLEY.

QUARTER SIZE HAIL WAS OBSERVED IN CRANE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.


any reports of hail the size of this today

Quoting Naga5000:


Not really interesting at all. The Doran and Zimmerman article was pretty standard, with no known issues. In fact, there weren't any issues taken with the methodology by his peers. You know there is actually a method by which you can make a legitimate inquiry of a published article through a response to the journal. Writing an opinion piece in Forbes isn't that way.

You need to understand there is a way to go about things in academics, blathering ideological, pseudo scientific nonsense on blogs and through opinion pieces is not the way. Giving any sort of legitimacy to conspiracy blogs and opinion pieces only serves to self marginalize an all ready marginalized perspective. You should probably focus on reading the published papers and then if you have a criticism, respond through the actual processes designed to handle those responses. The Doran and Zimmerman paper had no such issues, the only problems came from people on the internet who were upset that they measured something and the results weren't to their liking.

Yawn.
Here's the thing though. Let's say the poll that produced the 97% number really isn't up to the standards we expect from a poll. Let's say the sample size was too small and the questions were ambiguous. Let's just say the whole thing is bunk. How about the other polls that show 94% or 91% 0r even 82%? Those are still some pretty impressive numbers. I would certainly think, with all the polls that have been done, that at least one would have come up something like 50-50 if climate scientists were really on the fence when it comes to global warming. I haven't seen a poll like that though. If I do, I'll have to remember to check the date it was done. :-)
189. ch2os
Thank you Dr. Masters and a Happy April Fool's Day to you as well. Great read. It took a some imagination to come up with this one. Enjoyed it and had a big chuckle.
Quoting weathermanwannabe:
Notwithstanding the relative lack of instability at the surface (a good thing), the upper cloud deck on the complex over MO continues to grow and cool this afternoon; nice conditions for the production of hail:

Seven hail reports so far of which it looks like five were from the same cell. Yesterday was amazing in terms of hail, with 186 reports, of which about half were from AL or MS. About half the monster hail reports were also from those two states. Not one wind damage report from Alabama either, so the beginning of severe weather season sure got off to a strange start. It's 91 degrees here now with 29% humidity and not a cloud in the sky.
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
any reports of hail the size of this today

No, those are being predicted for tomorrow...
Cthulu is my favorite.

Meanwhile in the Northern Hemisphere....



April Fools!
Quoting Bluestorm5:
There are a couple of hail-producing thunderstorms moving across Southwestern Missouri currently. Using my GR2Analyst, I'd decided to take a 3D scan of one of those storms near Purdy about 30 minutes ago since there were reports of inch-wide hailstones near that town. As you can see here, a rather strong updraft inside this particular thunderstorm is promoting the creation of hailstones as high as 25,000 feet into the atmosphere. Pretty neat, huh?

That's a pretty neat look inside a thunderstorm. Any idea what the VIL numbers were for that storm? I'm still trying to figure out how much reliance I should put in high VIL numbers and the production of significant hail.
Quoting Sfloridacat5:
Here's another temperature anomaly setup that just screams severe weather.
It's way too far out in time, but it's something to watch over the next week.

It's not just warm temperature anamolies that I look for. It's the warm temperatures next to cold temperatures. The picture shows a good cold front coming in from the north, but it doesn't extend far enough south to really be a good setup. What we've had so far is these cold air noses coming down directly from the north instead of vigorous fronts that cover all the way from the upper Plains to Texas. Those are the ones that will sweep across the plains and then into the Southeast and cause high winds and tornadoes. The setup in that picture is good for hail, especially hail in Arkansas over into the northern half of the Deep South, but we need to see is a deep low, a strong front, and good return flow from the Gulf to really set off some outbreaks. Those three things have been missing this year.
Quoting 193. Grothar:


temps are to soar tomorrow with the likelihood of our first spring thundershowers late afternoon evening
5:13 PM EDT Wednesday 01 April 2015
Special weather statement in effect for:
•City of Toronto

Brief freezing rain overnight or early Thursday morning over Eastern Ontario. Risk of scattered thunderstorms Thursday afternoon and early evening over Southwestern Ontario, Central Ontario, and the Golden Horseshoe.

A low pressure system moving across Northern Ontario will control the weather for the next few days.

A warm front associated with this low pressure system will move across Eastern Ontario bringing a mixed bag of precipitation including a very brief period of freezing rain overnight tonight and early Thursday morning ahead of this warm front. A freezing rain warning has been issued for parts of Central and Eastern Ontario where the freezing rain is expected to last longer and more intense.

In addition, a low pressure trough associated with the low pressure system is expected to move eastward through Southwestern Ontario, Central Ontario, and the Golden Horseshoe Thursday afternoon. Indications right now suggest that a few thunderstorms are likely along and just west of this trough. Even though they are not expected to be severe thunderstorms, they could give localized rainfall up to 25 mm in a short period of time over frozen ground.

The public is advised to monitor future forecasts and warnings as warnings may be required or extended.

Please monitor the latest forecasts and warnings from Environment Canada at www.weatheroffice.gc.ca.
Quoting weathermanwannabe:
As noted by Noaa/NWS records, late April/early May has historically produced the greatest number of tornado outbreaks across the mid-west/tornado alley but we have been lucky this year with the typical March activity as the pattern starts to shift (Earlier Blog from Ms. Henson). Not there yet but if/when the first strong low pressure system busts through producing some strong tornadoes in the alley, then we can probably expect a few more clusters going into May until things quiet down again.

This March has been a great blessing so far for the Mid-West with the exception of the recent events at the trailer park last week with the related death(s). Lets hope that April will remain as quiet as possible for a long as possible.
I think Bob Henson might be surprised to know he's really a Ms. :-) We do indeed need a strong low over the Rockies to swing down and deepen over the Plains before we will see widespread severe weather. Severe weather can stay away as long as it wants as far as I'm concerned but, without some at least moderately severe weather, we don't get any spring rains. It's already turned hot with low humidity. If this keeps up for a few more days, whatever good the small amount of rain we've had in the last couple of weeks vanishes fast. I was out planting in the yard, and the last two days of hot weather (87 and 91) have already had a noticeable effect on soil moisture compared to last weekend
Quoting 194. sar2401:

That's a pretty neat look inside a thunderstorm. Any idea what the VIL numbers were for that storm? I'm still trying to figure out how much reliance I should put in high VIL numbers and the production of significant hail.

Very little. High VIL values can indicate either large, dry hailstones or an abundance of small, wet hailstones.
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
5:13 PM EDT Wednesday 01 April 2015
Special weather statement in effect for:
•City of Toronto

Brief freezing rain overnight or early Thursday morning over Eastern Ontario. Risk of scattered thunderstorms Thursday afternoon and early evening over Southwestern Ontario, Central Ontario, and the Golden Horseshoe.

A low pressure system moving across Northern Ontario will control the weather for the next few days.

A warm front associated with this low pressure system will move across Eastern Ontario bringing a mixed bag of precipitation including a very brief period of freezing rain overnight tonight and early Thursday morning ahead of this warm front. A freezing rain warning has been issued for parts of Central and Eastern Ontario where the freezing rain is expected to last longer and more intense.

In addition, a low pressure trough associated with the low pressure system is expected to move eastward through Southwestern Ontario, Central Ontario, and the Golden Horseshoe Thursday afternoon. Indications right now suggest that a few thunderstorms are likely along and just west of this trough. Even though they are not expected to be severe thunderstorms, they could give localized rainfall up to 25 mm in a short period of time over frozen ground.

The public is advised to monitor future forecasts and warnings as warnings may be required or extended.

Please monitor the latest forecasts and warnings from Environment Canada at www.weatheroffice.gc.ca.
Maybe it's just an April Fool's forecast. Thundersleet on April has to be some kind of joke...
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Very little. High VIL values can indicate either large, dry hailstones or an abundance of small, wet hailstones.
Or, so it seems here, just a very dense rain shaft. I've seen storms with VIL's of 45 or 50 with no reported hail but lots of torrential rain. I suspect VIL's work better on the Plains or over the intermountain West, where there's plenty of cold, dry air at altitude. That's rarely the case here but high VIL's do seem to correlate with very heavy rain. It may also be those small, wet hailstones that only hit the ground as heavy rains too.
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Whoa there. Forecasts a week out are undoubtedly likely to waver some, especially when dealing with severe weather. Keeping that in mind, I don't see anything that would suggest long-tracked tornadoes any time next week. Maybe some isolated severe weather.
Wasn't there supposed to be a big outbreak of severe weather in Florida this week? Or was that last week? Maybe it'll be next week.
Quoting 204. sar2401:

Wasn't there supposed to be a big outbreak of severe weather in Florida this week? Or was that last week? Maybe it'll be next week.
some week
Quoting yoboi:


I have asked many times for someone to produce a list of names of the scientist....I have searched & searched and cannot not find a list....Maybe there is not a list???
Have you sent an e-mail to the organizations that actually did the poll? The answers for most polls are anonymous, but would you expect anyone here could provide you with a list? Why exactly do you need a list? Do you want to contact each of them and make sure they really answered the poll???
next chance for spring thunder will be hr 156

Quoting DFWdad:
Awesome blog today, had me until the picture of the lawn chair (which is spot on)! Love the alternate names and rest of the blog.
What was funny about that is how many times the chair has been used here when we've had a storm which didn't quite live up to expectations. I wonder if Dr. Masters was the first one to use a chair or if just likes the idea of the chair to describe the violence of 92L?
LaMalfa shocks the world: calls for climate change summit



Doug LaMalfa, Republican congressman from Northern California shocked his constituency and other Republicans in a surprise press conference by announcing, “Global climate change is real, is human-caused and extremely serious.”

LaMalfa, who in the past had joined with most other Republican leaders in denying the consensus view among climate scientists explained he had “a change of heart.” He said he recently looked at his four children and realized he had a responsibility to fight for “a better world for them.”

Choking back tears, the congressman said, “My kids, your kids, all kids deserve the best we can give them. And that includes a planet with a hospitable climate, not a world with steadily rising temperatures, rising oceans and flooded coastal communities.”

In particular, LaMalfa insisted, “I am concerned for my people.” After pausing to compose himself, LaMalfa soberly described his concerns for his voters in Northern California. “I am accountable to nearly a million Americans in my district and I owe it to them to tell the truth. For too long my party has placed the interests of the fossil fuel companies ahead of the needs of human beings to enjoy a livable climate. Here in Northern California, we know what that means: higher temperatures, endless drought and out-of-control wildfires for decades to come.”

LaMalfa admitted this could mean an end to his political career. Few Republicans have had the courage to break with their party and join with the 97 percent of climate scientists who have repeatedly warned that humans are creating a steadily hotter world that will permanently transform Earth’s climate.

LaMalfa then announced, “It is not enough to acknowledge the truth. That is easy. Anyone with a computer and a few minutes of time can visit the websites of NASA, NOAA or the National Academy of Sciences if they want to check the veracity of my claims.”

[...]

As he concluded the press conference, LaMalfa reminded everyone of what is most important. Pausing for several seconds, LaMalfa scanned the room and said, “Remember our kids, always speak the truth, respect science and honor the Earth.”

And then he walked from the podium, stopped, turned, broke into a big smile and yelled,


“APRIL FOOLS!”



Complete article >>
we could always do sharks

Quoting 208. sar2401:
What was funny about that is how many times the chair has been used here when we've had a storm which didn't quite live up to expectations. I wonder if Dr. Masters was the first one to use a chair or if just likes the idea of the chair to describe the violence of 92L?


Meme has been used a lot. First time I saw it was for the East Coast earthquake in 2011:

Quoting 188. sar2401:

Here's the thing though. Let's say the poll that produced the 97% number really isn't up to the standards we expect from a poll. Let's say the sample size was too small and the questions were ambiguous. Let's just say the whole thing is bunk. How about the other polls that show 94% or 91% 0r even 82%? Those are still some pretty impressive numbers. I would certainly think, with all the polls that have been done, that at least one would have come up something like 50-50 if climate scientists were really on the fence when it comes to global warming. I haven't seen a poll like that though. If I do, I'll have to remember to check the date it was done. :-)


This paper has the 97% number and a webpage of sourced documents.
Quoting 157. yoboi:



I have asked many times for someone to produce a list of names of the scientist....I have searched & searched and cannot not find a list....Maybe there is not a list???


That would be a violation of respondent confidentiality. Fantastic set of ethics you have there.
The April Fool's joke from 209 gave me a sad.
There is a new blog, for some reason I don't see the bot message.
Is a fallen plastic lawn chair, the weatherman equivalent of dropping the mic?
P.S. Thanks Dr. M.
I'm glad you kept the tradition.
.
Lol ... I gotta admit this headline had me going for a few seconds .... lol ....