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Hurricane Richard bears down on Belize

By: Dr. Jeff Masters, 3:35 PM GMT on October 24, 2010

Data from an Air Force hurricane hunter aircraft confirms that Richard has intensified to hurricane strength, as it bears down on the coast of Belize. At 7:30am CST, the aircraft measured surface winds of 85 mph. Winds at their 5,000 foot flight level were 97 mph, qualifying Richard as the 10th hurricane of the 2010 Atlantic hurricane season. This year is now tied for sixth place for most hurricanes in an Atlantic hurricane season. This year's 17 named storms also ranks 6th most in history. Atlantic hurricane season records go back to 1851. Richard's center passed just north of the Honduras' Bay Islands this morning, bringing winds of 46 mph, gusting to 58 mph, to the Roatan Airport. Winds were clocked at 49 mph, gusting to 69 mph, at Calabash Bight on Roatan Island.

The latest 8am CST eye report from the Hurricane Hunters noted that Richard had formed a nearly complete eyewall, with a gap in the southwest side. Radar images from the Belize radar also showed this gap, but the gap closed at 9am CST, and Richard now has a complete eyewall, which will promote more rapid intensification. Recent satellite imagery shows a symmetrical, well-organized hurricane with respectable low level spiral banding, and upper level outflow improving in all quadrants. Richard has now walled itself off from the dry air to the storm's west, as seen on water vapor satellite loops.


Figure 1. The eye of Richard is very prominent in this radar image from the Belize radar taken at 9:15am CST 10/24/10. Image credit: Belize Meteorological Service.

Forecast for Richard
The latest set of 12am CST (6Z) model runs are in excellent agreement with Richard's track, taking the enter of the storm inland over Belize between 4pm - 9pm CST tonight. The latest radar animations from the Belize radar indicate that Belize City will experience a portion of the eyewall of Richard, and residents of Belize City can expect a 2 - 4 hour period of hurricane force winds to begin between 4pm - 6pm CST this evening. Tropical storm force winds of 39+ mph should arrive at the coast between 2pm - 4pm CST this afternoon. A good way to estimate these arrival times is using the wundermap with the "hurricane" layer turned on and the "wind radius" and "forecast" boxes checked. Richard is in a very favorable environment for intensification, with low wind shear between 5 - 10 knots, and warm water temperatures of 29 - 29.5°C. Given these conditions, and the fact that the eyewall is is now fully formed, Richard will probably undergo a period of rapid intensification that could take it to Category 2 strength with 100 mph winds at landfall this evening. Once inland, Richard's small size and relatively slow forward speed of 5 - 10 mph on Monday will lead to substantial weakening as it crosses the Yucatan Peninsula. The storm will probably be a tropical depression when it emerges over the Gulf of Mexico on Tuesday--if it survives the crossing. If Richard does survive the crossing, high wind shear over the Gulf of Mexico on Tuesday and Wednesday should keep the storm from intensifying. Richard should dissipate by Wednesday, before affecting any other land areas.

Invest 90L
A tropical wave (Invest 90L) centered 600 miles northwest of the Cape Verde Islands off the coast of Africa is encountering a very high 40 - 60 knots of wind shear. The shear is predicted to drop to the moderate range, 10 - 20 knots, Monday through Wednesday. This may give 90L the opportunity to develop, and the NOGAPS model is calling for 90L to develop into a tropical depression by mid-week. NHC is giving 90L a 10% of developing into a tropical depression by Tuesday.

Next update
I'll have an update on Monday morning at the latest.

Our weather extremes expert Christopher C. Burt has a very interesting post today on the hottest temperatures ever measured on Earth.

Jeff Masters

Hurricane

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

Reader Comments

Quoting GeoffreyWPB:


How often are you going to post the same image?
ok.

I stopped in and said hello!

Good luck to all in the way of Richard if you can see this.

Night all!
Quoting HurricaneDean07:
lol, hopefully not, but you have to admit, Fay, Ike, And Karl are some examples of what Richard is trying to pull right now, but Fay is likely to be what richard is trying to pull, I think if this keeps up we could see 65 to 75 Mph storm emerging into the BOC.
Ike being an example because he maintained intensity before slowly weakening
Quoting Cat5Hurricane250:
I wouldn't be surprised if he made it to 100 mph at landfall judging by the satellite signature. Unfortunately we didn't have recon in there during the last couple of hours before landfall.
Couldn't they at least do it off of satelite presentation/estimates.
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
This is the second or third storm to form an eye feature while moving inland over that area...interesting.
it looks like richard could be upgraded to a cat 2, it's structure is fantastic for making landfall 2 hours ago.
Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
Lol, that happened with Alex. As it was making landfall, an eye appeared. Just goes to show that if it were over water for just a little longer, it probably would of gone under another deep burst of intensification.
Karl did it too...
It is rare Hydrus. Pretty amazing to see. Not that off-ten.
510. JLPR2


I think I'm going to save this one. XD
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
It is rare Hydrus. Pretty amazing to see. Not that off-ten.
I do not see it offen either...Is it pronounced eye-ther or ee-ther.?..Hmmmm..
Curious. Are Belize citizens known as Belizians? Or something else.

Just struck me.
Quoting JLPR2:


I think I'm going to save this one. XD
Its a pic worth savn.
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
It is rare Hydrus. Pretty amazing to see. Not that off-ten.
Sometimes these storms can either maintain their intenssity over land or do the other(which is rare)intensify a little.Like Fay did.(I still don't know why she wasn't retired).
Quoting Seastep:
Curious. Are Belize citizens known as Belizians? Or something else.

Just struck me.
It just struck you and the Belizians...
Quoting Seastep:
Curious. Are Belize citizens known as Belizians? Or something else.

Just struck me.


Sure. http://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Belizeans&redirect=no
Quoting washingtonian115:
Sometimes these storms can either maintain their intenssity over land or do the other(which is rare)intensify a little.Like Fay did.(I still don't know why she wasn't retired).
Andrew intensified while moving inland. Probably because of all that energy and momentum it was gaining. Especially over the Gulf Stream..
If Richard was not making landfall it would become a major hurricane
Quoting hydrus:
It just struck you and the Belizians...
What is that hurricane you have in your avatar?
Quoting KerryInNOLA:
If Richard was not making landfall it would become a major hurricane
Easily....
Quoting KerryInNOLA:
If Richard was not making landfall it would become a major hurricane


However as usual reality got in the way.
so percentage wise do you think richard has at maintaining TS force till landfall in the gulf?
Just speculating, but could the appearance of a cloud free eye be caused by some weakening of the storm? Consider that it had a lot of strong convection before hand, so much that the cirrus obscured the eye. (It has had an eye for a while, clearly visible on radar.) Now it goes over land and the convection decreases, pressure rises, eye wall moves away from the center of the storm as pressure gradient decreases, less cirrus generated near the center of the storm, descending motion over the eye finally dissipates the cirrus faster than it is created. Presto: cloud free eye. Seems more reasonable than a hurricane strengthening over dry land.
Quoting washingtonian115:
What is that hurricane you have in your avatar?


Click on it.
Quoting Thundercloud01221991:
so percentage wise do you think richard has at maintaining TS force till landfall in the gulf?


Less than 10%.
That is definitely an eye.

Quoting washingtonian115:
What is that hurricane you have in your avatar?
You can click your mouse on the avatar and see it up close..It is 1985,s Kate.
Quoting hydrus:
I do not see it offen either...Is it pronounced eye-ther or ee-ther.?..Hmmmm..


You say potato, I say potato.
Quoting oleClegs:


Excuse me I was just sitting in on the class professor but do you mean "recognize"?

Caught! I read too much British literature, and it affects my spelling.
Quoting Grothar:
That is definitely an eye.

Yes...YES,...EYE...!...
getting reports on my local news of power out roofs torned off in area of landfall in belize
Quoting Grothar:
That is definitely an eye.



Yah, don't know if you are commenting on my post or not. That is an eye. The storm has had an eye all day. It was obscured on satellite photographs.
Aye!
Quoting hydrus:
Yes...YES,...EYE...!...
Pinhole!!!.I also wanna add that an intensifying sysytem can have more punch than a weakning hurricane.
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
19L/H/R/C1
overland

WEAKENING FLAG FLAG

U notice it's popped out an eye and improved its overall structure as it moves across the yucatan.
Quoting Thundercloud01221991:
so percentage wise do you think richard has at maintaining TS force till landfall in the gulf?
65 % to 55%
Quoting Grothar:
That is definitely an eye.

Richard has shown it's true strength tonight, the eye is deepening further on IR Sat.
Quoting bappit:
Just speculating, but could the appearance of a cloud free eye be caused by some weakening of the storm? Consider that it had a lot of strong convection before hand, so much that the cirrus obscured the eye. (It has had an eye for a while, clearly visible on radar.) Now it goes over land and the convection decreases, pressure rises, eye wall moves away from the center of the storm as pressure gradient decreases, less cirrus generated near the center of the storm, descending motion over the eye finally dissipates the cirrus faster than it is created. Presto: cloud free eye. Seems more reasonable than a hurricane strengthening over dry land.


I would say yes, but more because of the shear and the top being able to catch up to the bottom that is being subjected to drag. Also, angle of Sat vision plays a role.

Radar, when available, is nice. Radar has the eye significantly E of the sat presentation.
Richard will not make it to the GOM as a TS.
What is the speed of Richard's forward motion?
Quoting bappit:


Yah, don't know if you are commenting on my post or not. That is an eye. The storm has had an eye all day. It was obscured on satellite photographs.


Hey bappit! Yes, funny to see an eye so far inland and intact. I guess it may have been a little stronger than they thought.
Quoting scott39:
Richard will not make it to the GOM as a TS.


+1
What is the elevation of the Yucatan Peninsula?
It has a mean elevation of 8 meters (26 feet) above sea level.
What is the geography of the Yucatan Peninsula?
It is a flat land with a subtropical climate, much akin to that of Florida, in the United States.

(From Internet page link)
Quoting katadman:
What is the speed of Richard's forward motion?
about 14 MPH
Quoting HurricaneDean07:
Richard has shown it's true strength tonight, the eye is deepening further on IR Sat.



You mean, like this........

Quoting Grothar:



You mean, like this........

Yes, That's my new screen saver!!! LOL
Definitely an eye, and a well defined one at that!



553. JLPR2
Quoting Seastep:


I would say yes, but more because of the shear and the top being able to catch up to the bottom that is being subjected to drag. Also, angle of Sat vision plays a role.

Radar, when available, is nice. Radar has the eye significantly E of the sat presentation.


Seems to be on the same spot to me:


Conditions at

2010.10.25 0200 UTC
Wind from the E (090 degrees) at 37 MPH (32 KT) gusting to 62 MPH (54 KT)
Visibility less than 1 mile
Sky conditions mostly cloudy
Weather Heavy rain
Temperature 75 F (24 C)
Dew Point 75 F (24 C)
Relative Humidity 100%
Pressure (altimeter) 29.66 in. Hg (1004 hPa)
Quoting Grothar:



You mean, like this........

Looks like a cat-2. It would be something if it officially went from a one to a two over land.
Quoting 1900hurricane:
Definitely an eye, and a well defined one at that!



DANG! That is one impressive eyewall for a storng cat 1. they shouldve called it at least a two. at the 11 they should keep it at the same intesity i would be surprised to see them weaken Richy.
How long will it take Richard to go across land?
Highest elevation Yucatan....

Cerro Benito Juárez 210 m or 630 ft.
Cordón Puc 150 m or 450 ft.
aprox.....
Quoting JLPR2:


Seems to be on the same spot to me:




Could be an image of a big lake!
560. JLPR2
Quoting Grothar:


Could be an image of a big lake!


You'll have to explain that one, I didn't get it. :S
Quoting JLPR2:



Seems to be on the same spot to me.


EDITED: My bad, I see that you did post in-sync images.

That's 0215Z. Below is 0145Z, atm.

JMO. Not going to post the Belize radar pic because I think the inline placement is what has caused outage for the public there today. Here's the link for comparison.

Quoting scott39:
How long will it take Richard to go across land?


Depends if it takes the highways across or goes the back roads. How you doing scott?
48HR VT 26/1800Z 19.5N 92.5W 25 KT...OVER WATER
564. JLPR2
Quoting Seastep:


That's 0215Z. Below is 0145Z, atm.

JMO. Not going to post the Belize radar pic because I think the inline placement is what has caused outage for the public there today. Here's the link for comparison.



So I guess you are comparing images of different times? O.o
I posted a current image of the radar and a nasa one basically of the same time, check it out.
whatever is left of Richard could survive in the GOM. The wind shear becomes more condusive over the next 72 hours in the GOM.
Quoting HurricaneDean07:
Yes, That's my new screen saver!!! LOL


Wouldn't be a bad idea, if the subject came up in the future. LOL
Quoting JFLORIDA:
TORNADO DAMAGED HIGH SCHOOL IN RICE. REPORTS OF MULTIPLE INJURIES AND PEOPLE TRAPPED IN CARS.



Havoc from south of Fort Worth to northern Ky right now, storm report loaded, I saw the meso warnings this morning and didnt pay much attention until I noticed it exploading in IR off the LSU site while updating myself on Richard.
Quoting scott39:
whatever is left of Richard could survive in the GOM. The wind shear becomes more condusive over the next 72 hours in the GOM.


No Scott. Sorry.
Quoting Grothar:


Depends if it takes the highways across or goes the back roads. How you doing scott?
Not to good! How about you? Ive got the measels at 40 years old.
Quoting JLPR2:


Seems to be on the same spot to me:




My bad, I see that you did post in-sync images.

But, SSD vs. radar doesn't look the same, imo.
Storm report has basketball size hail reported in AL. Hope thats not possible.
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTH CENTRAL ESCAMBIA COUNTY IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...
EAST CENTRAL BALDWIN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...

* UNTIL 1000 PM CDT

* AT 913 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 10 MILES EAST OF
ROBERTSDALE...OR 10 MILES NORTHEAST OF SUMMERDALE...MOVING NORTH AT
30 MPH.

19 mins ago
new image just came out on IR Sat and Eye still holding up on Richy! i cant believe this. this is one Extraordinary storm, but you have to admit most storms arent alike
Seems like the moisture from that SA big wave moving NW, is going to feed or ventilate Richard.... if it keeps alive.....

Quoting oleClegs:
Storm report has basketball size hail reported in AL. Hope thats not possible.


Ding dong, hardly not possible.
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:


No Scott. Sorry.
I must be looking at those colored wind shear forecast maps wrong then. I see the GOM going from blue and yellow to more oranges and reds.
Heads up Tyler.

564. JLPR2

See 570 and my edit. :)
Quoting Grothar:
looks like the eyewall is reintensifying with convection again too.
581. JLPR2
Quoting Seastep:


My bad, I see that you did post in-sync images.

But, SSD vs. radar doesn't look the same, imo.


SSD sucks... LOL
They take so long to update and sometimes after it updates it goes back to a previous image, so now I prefer the NASA images. XD

But it would be weird if the eye isn't in the same place since there aren't any dry spots in the convection.... yet.
Sorry to read that Scott. Take care of yourself.
Quoting sunlinepr:
Seems like the moisture from that SA big wave moving NW, is going to feed or ventilate Richard.... if it keeps alive.....

yeah, although it being that far out it wont really matter
584. JLPR2
Quoting sunlinepr:
Seems like the moisture from that SA big wave moving NW, is going to feed or ventilate Richard.... if it keeps alive.....



If it heads northwest I think the biggest effect it could have would be moistening the Caribbean.
Can I get a Sat Loop of Our Yucatan Trucker.
Wow! Eye cleared out nicely after landfall!
Quoting JFLORIDA:
Heads up Tyler.

looks like some of my relatives are getting pumbled by that T Storm Cell nearing Tyler
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
Sorry to read that Scott. Take care of yourself.
Thanks, Oatmeal baths are the only relief. I should have got this when I was a kid. It would have been alot easier. LOL
Quoting Seastep:
Curious. Are Belize citizens known as Belizians? Or something else.

Just struck me.
Why didn't you know, they are Americans. I was lectured on this subject by several pumpkin headed members of this blog last PM
Quoting pilotguy1:


Ding dong, hardly not possible.
lol..Could you imagine basketball sized hail? Giant ice balls movin at 120 could put a few dings on the cars new paint job aye..?lol
Still looking for a answer on what is the ideal temperature of the Earth, however I don't expect it tonight so good night all. Beam me up Scotty.
Don't see that to off-ten:

Make your own analysis with this animated link

Link

Quoting JLPR2:


If it heads northwest I think the biggest effect it could have would be moistening the Caribbean.
Quoting PensacolaDoug:
Wow! Eye cleared out nicely after landfall!
And it is clearing out even more...
Quoting oleClegs:



Havoc from south of Fort Worth to northern Ky right now, storm report loaded, I saw the meso warnings this morning and didnt pay much attention until I noticed it exploading in IR off the LSU site while updating myself on Richard.
Dewpoint as high as 75 in SE LA. This time of year, that means *someone* is getting it on...
Quoting HurricaneDean07:
looks like some of my relatives are getting pumbled by that T Storm Cell nearing Tyler


The National Weather Service in Fort Worth has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
northeastern Henderson County in northeast Texas...

* until 1000 PM CDT

* at 946 PM CDT...National Weather Service meteorologists detected a
developing tornado 4 miles southwest of Chandler...moving east
at 40 mph. If you are in the town of Chandler take cover
immediately!


* The tornado will close to Chandler by 950 PM CDT.
i think i just crashed the NHC site by pressing F5 over and over and over and over
Getting some good ran out of this:

10:00 PM CDT Sun Oct 24
Location: 17.3°N 88.6°W
Max sustained: 90 mph
Moving: WNW at 9 mph
Min pressure: 981 mb
Quoting scott39:
Not to good! How about you? Ive got the measels at 40 years old.


Ouch! Really sorry to hear that! Not a good thing to have at any age. Thought everyone got shots for that!
so Richard maintains 90 MPH
theyre reporting 110 MPH Wind Gusts in Belize
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
Getting some good ran out of this:

lol..Looks like a red string over you..Richards eye on the shortwave...
604. JLPR2
Quoting KerryInNOLA:
Why didn't you know, they are Americans. I was lectured on this subject by several pumpkin headed members of this blog last PM


Yeah they are Americans the same as you, but they aren't North-Americans.

But you guys like to call yourself Americans so eh... I have never understood clearly the reason behind it, but really... who cares? XD
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
Don't see that to off-ten:



Seems to be happening oftener these days.
Purported witness imagery.



I donno ef 2 or 3 perhaps?!? A train was also overturned.

These storms are moving east.
607. mbjjm
Eye of Richard approaching Belize Capital Belmopan.


Live radio from Belize












608. JLPR2
Quoting sunlinepr:
Make your own analysis with this animated link

Link



Neat link!
Seems to be doing what I said already but its too slow, I don't think Richard will meet it.
What's up with ASCAT?
Quoting KerryInNOLA:
Why didn't you know, they are Americans. I was lectured on this subject by several pumpkin headed members of this blog last PM


ACTUALLY CENTRAL Americans.
there are three you know that right


North Americans,Central Americans,South Americans.
knew it wouldnt last long, Richy's eye starting to fade.
612. JLPR2
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:


ACTUALLY CENTRAL Americans.
there are three you know that right


North Americans,Central Americans,South Americans.


That's a nice point! :D
Quoting HurricaneDean07:
knew it wouldnt last long, Richy's eye starting to fade.

Link Heres a link
Quoting JLPR2

Explore the main link of that animation

Link

for your bookmark database...


http://www.atmos.washington.edu/data/data.php?loc=satellite
--As of 11PM EDT, Richard's ACE has reached 4.1875, putting him into 9th place for the season; he's ahead of 10th place Lisa and just a bit behind 8th place Otto.

--Today marks the 22nd day this season that at least two full ACE units have been added, and the first time that's happened since October 13th.

--ACE for the season stands at 146.22; another 3.78 units will put seasonal ACE at 150, the number generally considered the threshhold for a season to be called "hyperactive".

--This year's ACE has now exceeded that accumulated during the 2008 season.
Quoting Orcasystems:


Not if you know how to speak.
If the T is silent... your killing someone :)


SORRY -- the silent T is the preferred pronunciaton: [aw-fuhn, of-uhn; awf-tuhn] :)
Grothar...You stole one of my luftballoons...I now have only 99.
CANADA,NORTH AMERICA
619. JLPR2
Quoting Neapolitan:
--As of 11PM EDT, Richard's ACE has reached 4.1875, putting him into 9th place for the season; he's ahead of 10th place Lisa and just a bit behind 8th place Otto.

--Today marks the 22nd day this season that at least two full ACE units have been added, and the first time that's happened since October 13th.

--ACE for the season stands at 146.22; another 3.78 units will put seasonal ACE at 150, the number generally considered the threshhold for a season to be called "hyperactive".

--This year's ACE has now exceeded that accumulated during the 2008 season.


Once Nicole's report comes out the Ace count should get a little boost.
Quoting SaraGal:


SORRY -- the silent T is the preferred pronunciaton: [aw-fuhn, of-uhn; awf-tuhn] :)


Or should I say the "pwee-ferred pwonunciaiton"
621. beell


DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1229 PM CDT SUN OCT 24 2010

...NERN MO/ERN IA/SERN MN/SWRN WI/WRN/NWRN IL...
MODELS CONTINUE TO ADVERTISE RAPID ATMOSPHERIC MASS ADJUSTMENTS
TAKING PLACE MONDAY NIGHT AS THE STRONG UPPER JET SPREADS INTO THE
REGION...CONTRIBUTING TO INTENSE CYCLOGENESIS EXPECTED ACROSS THE
UPPER MS VALLEY DURING THIS PERIOD. 15 MB/12 HR SURFACE PRESSURE
FALLS ARE SUGGESTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN 26/00-12Z WITH 972 MB LOW
FORECAST TO BE LOCATED OVER EAST CENTRAL MN/NWRN WI BY 12Z TUESDAY...
Link

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA636 PM CDT SUN OCT 24 2010

...LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AN ACTIVE FIRST PART OF THE WEEK AS STRONG SEGMENT OF THE EAJ SLAMS
INTO THE WRN CONUS AND BUCKLES. NEG TILT TROF AND IMPRESSIVE TROP
FOLD TAKING PLACE LATER MON NGT INTO TUE NGT...LEADING TO BOMB LOW
PRES DVLPMT TO THE N OF THE CWA. SIM TO CASES OF 01-02 NOV 1991 AND
10 NOV 1998 AND EXPECT TO SEE A SIG WIND EVENT OUT OF THIS FOR TUE.
HAVE GONE WITH A HIGH WIND WATCH FOR ABOUT THE NRN HLF OF THE
STATE...
Link

Tuesday NWS High Wind Watches-IA, IL, MN, SD, WI,
AMERICAS: are lands in the Western hemisphere, also known as the New World, comprising the continents of North America and South America with their associated islands and regions. The plural form the Americas is often used in English, as the singular America is ambiguous: America is more commonly used to refer to the United States of America.[2][4] The Americas cover 8.3% of the Earth's total surface area (28.4% of its land area) and contain about 13.5% of the human population (about 900 million people).

Quoting oleClegs:
Storm report has basketball size hail reported in AL. Hope thats not possible.


Never heard of hail that big. Several reports of baseball size today though.

Link
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:


ACTUALLY CENTRAL Americans.
there are three you know that right


North Americans,Central Americans,South Americans.
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:


ACTUALLY CENTRAL Americans.
there are three you know that right


North Americans,Central Americans,South Americans.
I have no problem with that.
19L/H/R/C1
overland

WEAKENING FLAG OFF
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
Grothar...You stole one of my luftballoons...I now have only 99.


Wouldn't that be 98, then?
Evening all. the login thing is from the Belize radar website.... iirc.

Amazing Richard carrying that clear eye almost as far W as Belmopan..... This part of Belize is flat coastal plain, and the higher mountains are further south anyway, IIRC....

Sure hope our Belizean friends are all right. Anybody heard from Belizit recently?
630. 7544
richard gets stronger over land go figure
90l is gone died out ?
Quoting Grothar:


Wouldn't that be 98, then?


I had 100. How off-ten do I have to remind you? You fell into that too easily!
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
19L/H/R/C1
overland

WEAKENING FLAG OFF
you can turn it on now, the eye is beginning to collapse, gradually, slowly.
Luftballons! Bottles of Beer! Same Difference.
It is pouring down here in my little part of the world!
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:


I had 100. How off-ten do I have to remind you? You fell into that too easily!


Then someone must have busted two of your balloons! It happens quite offen on the blog.
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:


PDS.
a lot of severe weather tonight!
Belize's coast is pretty swampy in the area where Richard came ashore... can u say Everglades?
Quoting scooster67:
Luftballons! Bottles of Beer! Same Difference.


Excellent post!
641. 7544
new system

Link
Not sure Richard will weaken as much over land as they think he will. Another Surprise might come in the BOC.
No HurricaneDean07 in fact on the MIMIC imagery the eyewall has gotten better organized since it made landfall

Quoting JLPR2:


No sorry you got the wrong pumpking since I was on my net book for nearly a week which meant I wasn't going to waste time on petty arguments like this one. (keyboard was too small)

And that's probably the reason, the USA just doesn't have any other alternative.
And even if they don't call themselves that they are for living in the Continent called America and as keeper pointed out, it divides into three.
I called my self Puertorican, but I'm also an American(actually for being a US citizen and living in this continent) so yeah, rather complex theme... XD


Again, I say there is a method to the madness.

I have a total of eleven on my ignore list and most of those are stormtop variations.

Other than that, sorry Jason, but just couldn't take it anymore and that one that shouldn't be dignified with any responses.
Richard is toast once he enters the BOC. Copy, Paste and Crow me if I am wrong.
Quoting 7544:
richard gets stronger over land go figure
90l is gone died out ?
no, actually the GFS predicts a sub tropical storm out of it
Quoting JLPR2:


No sorry you got the wrong pumpking since I was on my net book for nearly a week which meant I wasn't going to waste time on petty arguments like this one. (keyboard was too small)

And that's probably the reason, the USA just doesn't have any other alternative.
And even if they don't call themselves that they are for living in the Continent called America and as keeper pointed out, it divides into three.
I called my self Puertorican, but I'm also an American(actually for being a US citizen) so yeah, rather complex theme... XD
I agree with you it's a petty argument. They all know when someone says I'm an American their talking about the USA. Last PM's pumpkins were just trying take a knock at the USA and I called them on it. No big deal.
Quoting BahaHurican:
Belize's coast is pretty swampy in the area where Richard came ashore... can u say Everglades?


Hey, Baha, the Everglades isn't a swamp, it's a river. The only thing like it in the entire world. (Where you been?, haven't seen you around)
Be carefull, when you do Yahoo weather searchs in the internet... Check out the source....
Richard has maintained itself very well. But with the whole core inland, and its small size, it should fall apart pretty quickly later tonight. And conditions in the Gulf are forecast to be hostile.

Wonder how many tornadoes Belize, Guatemala and the Mexican Yucatan will get.
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
It is pouring down here in my little part of the world!

654. JLPR2
Quoting Seastep:


Again, I say there is a method to the madness.

I have a total of eleven on my ignore list and most of those are stormtop variations.

Other than that, sorry Jason, but just couldn't take it anymore and that one that shouldn't be dignified with any responses.


XD I understand that part, had him on ignore for awhile but I started to get used to him with his last handles so I just went with the flow. LOL!
It look to be a bad night for storms in many places in America. (north America)
Quoting Seastep:


Again, I say there is a method to the madness.

I have a total of eleven on my ignore list and most of those are stormtop variations.

Other than that, sorry Jason, but just couldn't take it anymore and that one that shouldn't be dignified with any responses.
Are you trying to insult me or what? And leave the Jasons alone. They contribute. :)
Quoting DontAnnoyMe:


Never heard of hail that big. Several reports of baseball size today though.

Link


Myself... anyway went back to the report later and it has been changed or I was mistaken, ...Late.

0045 275 LINDEN MARENGO AL 3231 8780 MEDIA REPORTS A MIX BETWEEN BASEBALL AND GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL IN LINDEN. (BMX)
OK, step away from the Thesaurus. Americans (without the qualifying adjective of North, Central, or South)are citizens of the United States of America. North Americans are Americans and Canadians. When the rest of the world references Americans without the qualifying adjectives, do you think they are including Costa Ricans and Paraguayans? I rest my case.
Though hurricanes thunderstorms usually create tornados, at least our experience here in the tropics is that they aren't as frequent as those experienced in Conus.... Here in PR, you do see waterspouts.... Don't think it is the same in Belize/Yucatan.... due to topography



Tornado climatology

The United States has the most tornadoes of any country, nearly four times more than estimated in all of Europe, excluding waterspouts.[1] This is mostly due to the unique geography of the continent. North America is a large continent that extends from the tropics north into arctic areas, and has no major east-west mountain range to block air flow between these two areas. In the middle latitudes, where most tornadoes of the world occur, the Rocky Mountains block moisture and buckle the atmospheric flow, forcing drier air at mid-levels of the troposphere due to downsloped winds, and causing cyclogenesis downstream to the east of the mountains
Quoting JFLORIDA:
It look to be a bad night for storms in many places in America. (north America)
here is the North America full view

I don't see how updrafts could be strong enough long enough to make a basketball sized hailstone. Maybe if a bunch stuck and froze together you could get one. But I suspect that a hailstorm averaging basketball sized hailstones is impossible.
Quoting scooster67:
Luftballons! Bottles of Beer! Same Difference.
I'll take the bottles of beer if it's all the same to you.
I wonder if the disparity in tornado counts between the USA and the tropics when hurricanes make landfall is that no one is looking for evidence of them. And at night, no one would see them unless they happen to hit a town.
Quoting AEKDB1990:
I don't see how updrafts could be strong enough long enough to make a basketball sized hailstone. Maybe if a bunch stuck and froze together you could get one. But I suspect that a hailstorm averaging basketball sized hailstones is impossible.


grapefruit or softball yeah, basketball - no way
I was saying think Everglades more because of the available water than anything else.
Quoting sunlinepr:
Though hurricanes thunderstorms usually create tornados, at least our experience here in the tropics is that they aren't as frequent as those experienced in Conus....


Tornadoes spawned by hurricanes are usually rather weak and short-lived (even in America), as opposed to those which occur during severe weather outbreaks.
667. JLPR2
Quoting sunlinepr:
Though hurricanes thunderstorms usually create tornados, at least our experience here in the tropics is that they aren't as frequent as those experienced in Conus.... Here in PR, you do see waterspouts.... Don't know if that is the same in Belize/Yucatan....



Tornado climatology

The United States has the most tornadoes of any country, nearly four times more than estimated in all of Europe, excluding waterspouts.[1] This is mostly due to the unique geography of the continent. North America is a large continent that extends from the tropics north into arctic areas, and has no major east-west mountain range to block air flow between these two areas. In the middle latitudes, where most tornadoes of the world occur, the Rocky Mountains block moisture and buckle the atmospheric flow, forcing drier air at mid-levels of the troposphere due to downsloped winds, and causing cyclogenesis downstream to the east of the mountains


We had two tornado reports from hurricane Earl.
The GFS Long range sure make a very strong storm coming into the Western Caribbean again.
Yap, I read that... But what i mean, is that they aren't as powerfull, frequent and constant as in the Conus...


Quoting JLPR2:


We had two tornado reports from hurricane Earl.
Quoting BahaHurican:
I was saying think Everglades more because of the available water than anything else.


yes, that is what they believe aided Andrew in maintaining such strength so far inland.
Quoting HurricaneDean07:
new image just came out on IR Sat and Eye still holding up on Richy! i cant believe this. this is one Extraordinary storm, but you have to admit most storms arent alike


Does this mean he is on longer a " Sissy" ?...LOL
650. sunlinepr 11:21 PM EDT on October 24, 2010

Source??
Quoting TampaSpin:
The GFS Long range sure make a very strong storm coming into the Western Caribbean again.


Why do you always have to post these scary things, right when they are getting ready to put me to bed?
"Hi everybody
I'm new to the blog. I'm a Conesian from CONUS.
I hope Richard doesn't affect us here in CONUS"

Is that acceptable to blog members.
My last post on this topic. Don't want to be accused of monomania. XD
Tim...That link connects me back to the blog.
Quoting oleClegs:


grapefruit or softball yeah, basketball - no way




Posted 25 July 2010 - 07:11 PM

Hoosier, on 25 July 2010 - 06:50 PM, said:

I'd love to see that in a warning...


"...THE PUBLIC REPORTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING CATASTROPHIC HAIL UP TO BASKETBALL SIZE..."
Quoting TampaSpin:
The GFS Long range sure make a very strong storm coming into the Western Caribbean again.
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
Tim...That link connects me back to the blog.


Is the 00z run complete? I just looked at e-wall and navy and it doesn't look right.
Richard seems to be feeling the Trough to its north and is being yanked north some IMO
680. JLPR2
Quoting sunlinepr:
Yap, I read that... But what i mean, is that they aren't as powerfull, frequent and constant as in the Conus...




Ah! I see, yeah.
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:




Posted 25 July 2010 - 07:11 PM

Hoosier, on 25 July 2010 - 06:50 PM, said:

I'd love to see that in a warning...


"...THE PUBLIC REPORTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING CATASTROPHIC HAIL UP TO BASKETBALL SIZE..."


How bout them melons!!!
Quoting ShenValleyFlyFish:
650. sunlinepr 11:21 PM EDT on October 24, 2010

Source??


Just looked on my menu for the history of links and I noticed the source..... man, discard it

Dvorak Image

Quoting AEKDB1990:
I wonder if the disparity in tornado counts between the USA and the tropics when hurricanes make landfall is that no one is looking for evidence of them. And at night, no one would see them unless they happen to hit a town.
SSG that you?
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
Tim...That link connects me back to the blog.



GFS LONG RANGE .......sorry MEDS FROM THE PAIN im in......sorry
Quoting oleClegs:


How bout them melons!!!
It would be interesting to see what would have happened if Richard had come up the Yuc Channel
Quoting Grothar:


Why do you always have to post these scary things, right when they are getting ready to put me to bed?


Why thank you Brother Groth. So happy to be in your Dreams......LOL
Quoting TampaSpin:
Richard seems to be feeling the Trough to its north and is being yanked north some IMO


You think it will hit Florida (Come on Tim, you can't leave a line like that alone) LOL
What's going on Tim? What happened?
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #40
TROPICAL STORM CHABA (T1014)
12:00 PM JST October 25 2010
=================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In Sea East Of The Philippines

At 3:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Chaba (990 hPa) located at 17.0N 130.8E has 10 minute sustained winds of 45 knots with gusts of 65 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north slowly

Dvorak Intensity:

Gale Force Winds
================
140 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 19.0N 129.2E - 55 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm)
45 HRS: 20.4N 128.8E - 55 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm)
69 HRS: 22.9N 129.0E - 65 knots (CAT 3/Typhoon)
Philippines Atmospheric Geophysical Astronomical Services and Administration
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin #5
TROPICAL STORM KATRING (CHABA)
11:00 AM PhST October 25 2010
=====================================

Tropical Storm "KATRING"" has intensified as it continues to move a north northwestward direction.

At 10:00 AM PhST, Tropical Storm Katring (Chaba) located at 16.9°N 130.6°E or810 km east of northern Luzon has 10 minute sustained winds of 40 knots with gusts of 50 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north northwest at 3 knots

Additional Information
=======================
This weather disturbance is still far to affect any part of the country.

The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin alert to be issued at 11 p.m. today.

Updates on TS "KATRING" will be included in the 5 p.m. Weather Forecast today.
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
here is the North America full view



That storm out west is also going to be a good one.

Its weird how this year in particular its been like someone turns a switch and storms occur over a large area. Much like the early monsoon like activity in the tropics this year - and the groupings of hurricane activity or complete inactivity that has occurred.

Broad areas of descending air/MJO/whatever it seems rather striking this year in particular.
Quoting TampaSpin:


Why thank you Brother Groth. So happy to be in your Dreams......LOL


Now THAT is scary! LOl.

Tell, Geoff to get a new PC, he won't have so much trouble. If happens to often.
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
What's going on Tim? What happened?


Got some Medical issues going on that is hitting me hard. Stupid stuff when i played Baseball that i did is now haunting me bad.
Who are these people?

Quoting Patrap:


Sorry, Pat, didn't know you were on. I posted the "dynamic" models in your stead.
Quoting Grothar:


Sorry, Pat, didn't know you were on. I posted the "dynamic" models in your stead.


Thanx..

Im in Saints/Cleveland Shock still..

But the twitching has stopped.

Some.
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
Who are these people?



Are they Americans, I mean North Americans? They have odd accents. One sounds like a French guy trying to sing with a Southern accent.
Quoting Patrap:


Thanx..

Im in Saints/Cleveland Shock still..

But the twitching has stopped.

Some.


You beat me to the punch by 30sec. I can't believe what happened to the Saints today the way they beat up the Bucs last week.
They were peeking ahead to the Steelers come next Sunday Halloween TS.

4-3 in the NFC is the new norm.

Tampa squeaked one out we saw too.
710. beell
00Z GFS with a sub-970mb surface low over the upper midwest and Canada on Tuesday evening.


Link
711. flsky
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
It is pouring down here in my little part of the world!


Can you send some of that up to Daytona? Please....
iam out as well later all see ya at sunrise
geepy86 hangs out on the troll blogs BTW.

Night.
Full Conus view

Quoting Patrap:
They were peeking ahead to the Steelers come next Sunday Halloween TS.

4-3 in the NFC is the new norm.

Tampa squeaked one out we saw too.


We was lucky.....YOur Saints i believe is the best team in the NFC especially once Reggie gets back.
Quoting Patrap:


Thanx..

Im in Saints/Cleveland Shock still..

But the twitching has stopped.

Some.


Did you see that bad call against the Dolphins? Think the ref was from Pittsburg. Really bad call.
Quoting Grothar:


Are they Americans, I mean North Americans? They have odd accents. One sounds like a French guy trying to sing with a Southern accent.
time for bed lights out
Quoting Grothar:


Did you see that bad call against the Dolphins? Think the ref was from Pittsburg. Really bad call.


Both linesmen were from Pittsburgh,,both signaled TD.

Go fig-ya
Quoting beell:
00Z GFS with a sub-970mb surface low over the upper midwest and Canada on Tuesday evening.


Link
gales of november come early

with that iam out
Quoting Patrap:
They were peeking ahead to the Steelers come next Sunday Halloween TS.

4-3 in the NFC is the new norm.

Tampa squeaked one out we saw too.
Saints are injured. Trick plays and the breaks all went against them. Brees sucked. A classic trap game. Can they rebound?
Quoting Grothar:


Are they Americans, I mean North Americans? They have odd accents. One sounds like a French guy trying to sing with a Southern accent.


I would not allow them on NPR.
Quoting TampaSpin:


We was lucky.....YOur Saints i believe is the best team in the NFC especially once Reggie gets back.


Reggie may be back Sunday Night for "Boo Dat 2010"


We took a Hit letting Scott Fujita go to Cleveland,,he had a INT and a Sack.
Quoting Patrap:


Both linesmen were from Pittsburgh,,both signaled TD.

Go fig-ya


That was horrible.........why the heck is the NFL setting themselves up with Refs. doing games that they have some relationship with...Stupid.


Destroyed Mississippi gulf coast Highway I-90 as a result of winds and tidal surge from Hurricane Katrina.
Source: http://www.katrinadestruction.com/images/v/hurricane/

Pass Christian, Ms., October 4, 2005
Date: 10/04/2005
Nite all not feeling well.......see you all tomorrow. At least i hope so......LOL NIte!
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
time for bed lights out


No, Sundays we can stay up late and watch episodes of the Golden Girls. One can still hope!!!!
Quoting TampaSpin:
Nite all not feeling well.......see you all tomorrow. At least i hope so......LOL NIte!


Take care, Tim. Double up on the meds, it always helps me. (It think)
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:


I would not allow them on NPR.


OK, you know my English is not that good, but what is an NPR?
730. mbjjm
Belmopan now seen the eye of Richard







Quoting Patrap:


Both linesmen were from Pittsburgh,,both signaled TD.

Go fig-ya


Can't even think about it. Don't usually get that emotional, but they really tried today. Lousy deal all the way around. Felt bad for them.
National Public Radio...Juan Williams...I am stunned! And not too off-ten.
Can't even think about it. Don't usually get that emotional, but they really tried today. Lousy deal all the way around. Felt bad for them.

I'll yell something in Norwegian at Big Ben next Sunday Night for ya..

Just wu-mail it to me

I plan on being there..
735. JLPR2
That disturbance waaay south of the Cave Verde islands should be the precursor of the Caribbean storm, I think...

Quoting mbjjm:
Belmopan now seen the eye of Richard









How long is that eye going to stay in tact. I never wish for a storm to maintain, but would get a kick out of seeing Geoff eat crow on this one.
I heard on Belize radio that a baby was just born in Belize City after the mother was taken to the hospital during the hurricane. They're naming him Richard. :)
Quoting Patrap:
Can't even think about it. Don't usually get that emotional, but they really tried today. Lousy deal all the way around. Felt bad for them.

I'll yell something in Norwegian at Big Ben next Sunday Night for ya..

Just wu-mail it to me

I plan on being there..


What do you want to say, I will translate it for you.
Banana Banks reporting in with trees down and roof damage to structure's from Richard.

They in the backside of the Eyewall now..
Quoting JFLORIDA:
geepy86 hangs out on the troll blogs BTW.

Night.
not


GoodNite...



Quoting Grothar:


What do you want to say, I will translate it for you.


Whatever you want to say to Him,..Ill bring the Nocular cam for some pics too.

Ill be yelling at Him in English ,,or French,,depending on my beverage intake.
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
National Public Radio...Juan Williams...I am stunned! And not too off-ten.


I'm not good a current events. Just ask me something prior to the Civil War and I will be right on top of it. Didn't watch the news much this week.
Quoting JLPR2:
That disturbance waaay south of the Cave Verde islands should be the precursor of the Caribbean storm, I think...




It's spinning free....

746. mbjjm
Quoting Grothar:


How long is that eye going to stay in tact. I never wish for a storm to maintain, but would get a kick out of seeing Geoff eat crow on this one.


Soon, So far Richard has moved over the swampy , low lying area of Belize, similar to the Everglades . Richard is now moving into the Mayan Mountains and Mountains of Guatamala .
Quoting mbjjm:


Soon, So far Richard has moved over the swampy , low lying area of Belize, similar to the Everglades . Richard is now moving into the Mayan Mountains and Mountains of Guatamala .


This may not be a large system, but it certainly has been an interesting one. Thanks for the map. Explains a lot.
Quoting Patrap:


Whatever you want to say to Him,..Ill bring the Nocular cam for some pics too.

Ill be yelling at Him in English ,,or French,,depending on my beverage intake.


Just tell me good or bad and I will WU mail you. Now remember, Norwegians are very polite people, we very rarely engage in arguments, unless we are talking to the Swedes. LOL
Quoting JFLORIDA:
geepy86 hangs out on the troll blogs BTW.

Night.
You are really messing up now. You don't know me at aLL. Don't put me in some group. PM me if you have a problem.
Quoting beell:
00Z GFS with a sub-970mb surface low over the upper midwest and Canada on Tuesday evening.


Link


At least it won't be snow...at least here in Ohio.
Quoting Patrap:


Thanx..

Im in Saints/Cleveland Shock still..

But the twitching has stopped.

Some.


Hey, I'm from Cleveland...aren't we allowed to win once in a while (usually only a few times a season lol)
Quoting Patrap:


Whatever you want to say to Him,..Ill bring the Nocular cam for some pics too.

Ill be yelling at Him in English ,,or French,,depending on my beverage intake.


But I thought he was German, that is not a Scandinavian name. I can give you some good German ones, too! though he might come up into the stands. LOL
I think that song has something to do with the Macy's Thanksgiving Day parade.
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:


Es kommt mir vor, dass ich Heimweh habe!
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
I think that song has something to do with the Macy's Thanksgiving Day parade.


Only you could think of something like that? LOL (Deeper meaning Geoff, just think Berlin.) I know you know, that is what's funny.
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:


Are you going to post that image, ad nauseum?
I wish I knew what ya'll where saying.
What image?
Can't wait until Richard passes over the Yucatan, or is that ucitan? Maybe Geoff will stop posting that same image.
LOL...the great Grothar...Spelling is kind of bad tonight!
Quoting geepy86:
I wish I knew what ya'll where saying.
GeoffreyWPB says "Who Dat Say De Gonnna Beat Dem Saints? Clevland thats who"

Es kommt mir vor, dass Saints ich Heimweh Cleveland habe!
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
What image?


This one, and what do you mean about my spelling?? I can spell in 6 different languages and make the same mistakes in all of them.

Is it hard to teach another language?
1. I did not post that loop....2. We all make mistakes in spelling.
Quoting KerryInNOLA:
GeoffreyWPB says "Who Dat Say De Gonnna Beat Dem Saints? Clevland thats who"

Es kommt mir vor, dass Saints ich Heimweh Cleveland habe!


Almost got it Kerry, but the sentence does not make too much sense. What are you trying to say? Maybe I can help.
Quoting geepy86:
Is it hard to teach another language?


No, it is easy to teach, but difficult to learn.
Lionrock..Seems like you are a fan of the KKK.
Quoting Grothar:


No, it is easy to teach, but difficult to learn.
lol
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
1. I did not post that loop....2. We all make mistakes in spelling.


Ah, yours was a closeup or is that close-up? Sorry, Geoff. Guess I posted the wrong one. English is by far the most difficult language to spell. That is why I never correct anyone. It is done far to often on the blog.
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
Lionrock..Seems like you are a fan of the KKK.



That is Dead Kennedys and the footage is from the Bohemian Grove
Quoting geepy86:
lol


Have you studied any other languages?
Quoting SuperTyphoonLionrock:



That is Dead Kennedys and the footage from the Bohemian Grove


Dead Kennedy's. Sounds family oriented.
Quoting Grothar:


Have you studied any other languages?
No
howdy guys
dodue how's it going?
782. JLPR2
Anyone know any Italian?
I'll need someone to practice with come August. :]
Long time no see Matt!
784. JLPR2
Quoting tornadodude:
howdy guys


Hiya! How's college treating you?
Quoting SuperTyphoonLionrock:
Thats one creepy Halloween video. But what does it have to do with the weather.
Quoting tornadodude:
howdy guys


Dude!!! Thought you moved to Cambodia or something. Still got that last bottle waiting??
Richard had a decent core about 3 hours ago, don't know about now though. Could be under there somewhere.



Many owls and their habitats in Belize are being affected by Richard.
Quoting JLPR2:
Anyone know any Italian?
I'll need someone to practice come August. :]


S, che cosa vuoi? Dove stai andando?
haha yeah, Grothar I do, saving it for who knows when ha

JLPR2,
I took this semester off from school, plan on going back next semester, also contemplating the Air Force, so yeah ha

Good to see you Geoff, how you been?


doing well geepy, yourself?
Quoting alfabob:
Richard had a decent core about 3 hours ago, don't know about now though. Could be under there somewhere.






Maintained itself quite well for a long time, though. Still has excellent structure.

792. JLPR2
Quoting Grothar:


Sì, che cosa vuoi?


Grazie Dio! :]
Non pensare che avera qualcuno che parlare italiano.

I'll bug you more than usual next year XD and that sentence probably has more errors than Jason has accounts. LOL!
Dude good to hear from you I'm just hanging.
Quoting geepy86:
Dude good to hear from you I'm just hanging.


sounds like a good plan lol
The air force is good if you want to be a lifer.
796. JLPR2
Quoting tornadodude:
JLPR2,
I took this semester off from school, plan on going back next semester, also contemplating the Air Force, so yeah ha


ha! XD
I got a friend who joined the Air force he's at Texas I believe.
Quoting JLPR2:


ha! XD
I got a friend who joined the Air force he's at Texas I believe.


oh right on,

I am leaning pretty heavily towards joining


Quoting JLPR2:


Grazie Dio! :]
Non pensare che avera qualcuno che parlare italiano.

I'll bug you more than usual next year XD and that sentence probably has more errors than Jason has accounts. LOL!


Credo che ci siano alcuni che parlano l'italiano qui.

Anytime! Don't speak it much any more since my mom passed away. Most of the Italian speakers in the family have mostly passed. Funny, she alway spoke to me in Italian and Spanish, but quite often spoke to my other brothers in sisters in German or Norwegian. I never really thought about it until recently. Strange you should bring that up tonight.
Quoting tornadodude:


oh right on,

I am leaning pretty heavily towards joining




Matt, not a bad decision. The time goes by faster than you think. The military is not a bad life, difficult at times, far more rewards than detriments. Look what it did for me. (OK, bad example) That would be a great thing. You know, the Air Force is the gentleman's service. Not a bad deal.
Quoting Grothar:


Matt, not a bad decision. The time goes by faster than you think. The military is not a bad life, difficult at times, far more rewards than detriments. Look what it did for me. (OK, bad example) That would be a great thing. You know, the Air Force is the gentleman's service. Not a bad deal.


haha you turned out fine,

and Im ready for something challenging, getting sick of just breezing through life and not really getting anywhere out of it
801. JLPR2
Quoting Grothar:


Credo che ci siano alcuni che parlano l'italiano qui.

Anytime! Don't speak it much any more since my mom passed away. Most of the Italian speakers in the family have mostly passed. Funny, she alway spoke to me in Italian and Spanish, but quite often spoke to my other brothers in sisters in German or Norwegian. I never really thought about it until recently. Strange you should bring that up tonight.


Bene! :]

I'm not even sure why I'm so obsessed with the language, no heritage what so ever from there, I don't have any friends that speak it, the idea and motivation surged out of nowhere.
And the pronunciation just comes so naturally to me, grammatically, well... XD

That is an interesting coincidence since my main language is Spanish...
802. xcool




maker 6 time shows snow for southeast all way down south.
Quoting JLPR2:


Bene! :]

I'm not even sure why I'm so obsessed with the language, no heritage what so ever from there, I don't have any friends that speak it, the idea and motivation surged out of nowhere.
And the pronunciation just comes so neutrally to me, grammatically, well... XD

That is an interesting coincidence since my main language is Spanish...


You should not have problem at all. If you want a hint, just get a Spanish grammar book and an Italian grammar book and compare the verb declensions. Then just substitute one for the other. You would be suprised in the similarity. This trick will cut your learning time in half. You know 70% of the words are almost identical, but just learn the differences and you are home free.
Quoting JLPR2:


Bene! :]

I'm not even sure why I'm so obsessed with the language, no heritage what so ever from there, I don't have any friends that speak it, the idea and motivation surged out of nowhere.
And the pronunciation just comes so naturally to me, grammatically, well... XD

That is an interesting coincidence since my main language is Spanish...


Don't laugh, but I speak Italian with a thick Spanish accent. Don't know why really, and I have not Spanish background at all.
Quoting tornadodude:


haha you turned out fine,

and Im ready for something challenging, getting sick of just breezing through life and not really getting anywhere out of it


Hey, if I were your age, I would have done a lot more breezing than I did. Didn't have the chance. Don't rush life, it does well enough on its own. Enjoy it while you can.
Quoting Grothar:


Hey, if I were your age, I would have done a lot more breezing than I did. Didn't have the chance. Don't rush life, it does well enough on its own. Enjoy it while you can.


yeah I understand that, but Im at a point where I want to do something
Quoting tornadodude:


yeah I understand that, but Im at a point where I want to do something
do it
808. JLPR2
Quoting Grothar:


You should not have problem at all. If you want a hint, just get a Spanish grammar book and an Italian grammar book and compare the verb declensions. Then just substitute one for the other. You would be suprised in the similarity. This trick will cut your learning time in half. You know 70% of the words are almost identical, but just learn the differences and you are home free.


True many similarities, there are times where I kinda get what it means because it sounds so similar.
But since I want to fluently speak and write it I'm taking ITA I and ITA II, two semesters and I'm actually looking forward to it, arrg! My third year needs to start already! XD

Besides I will be able to insult my neighbors and they wont even know. LOL!
Quoting tornadodude:


yeah I understand that, but Im at a point where I want to do something


You'll be what, 20 around December 17 or something. You have plenty of time. Talk to people who are in or were in to gain a better perspective. And remember that pension for life and the Post Exchange and the free meals and free insurance. LOL You will probably breeze more through the military than civilian life, but it is a noble profession.
Quoting geepy86:
do it


most likely

Quoting Grothar:


You'll be what, 20 around December 17 or something. You have plenty of time. Talk to people who are in or were in to gain a better perspective. And remember that pension for life and the Post Exchange and the free meals and free insurance. LOL You will probably breeze more through the military than civilian life, but it is a noble profession.


Jan 9th (;

haha yeah the military has its benefits for sure, so I will definitely take all aspects into consideration, also Hurricane Hunting could become an option
811. JLPR2
Quoting Grothar:


Don't laugh, but I speak Italian with a thick Spanish accent. Don't know why really, and I have not Spanish background at all.


I wont laugh...
I guess we are just weird. LOL!

And I basically learned more English from Cartoon and this blog than from the teachers at school. XD
.
813. JLPR2
Quoting Grothar:


That is the advantage of being multi-lingual. LOL You can insult people and they never know it. Been guilty of it myself.


Oh I'll be yelling in Italian a lot.
Quoting tornadodude:


most likely



Jan 9th (;

haha yeah the military has its benefits for sure, so I will definitely take all aspects into consideration, also Hurricane Hunting could become an option


OK, so I was a few weeks off. LOL Just for that, no Urge for you this year. By the way, I am still in contact with Halvor in Norway. Now the entire Royal Family is drinking it, probably because of you. Do you remember??
.
Quoting Grothar:


OK, so I was a few weeks off. LOL Just for that, no Urge for you this year. By the way, I am still in contact with Halvor in Norway. Now the entire Royal Family is drinking it, probably because of you. Do you remember??


haha close enough!

its sooo good, I cant blame them!

and of course I remember, I still have your post cards from various places as well
817. JLPR2
Well we have kept the blog moving and friendly but we are horribly off topic. LOL! :|
Quoting JLPR2:
Well we have kept the blog moving and friendly but we are horribly off topic. LOL! :|


haha buttttttttt, it is troll free :D
819. JLPR2


Richard steadily weakening and unless he accelerates there might not be much emerging into the GOM, small storms weaken faster than bigger ones.
219
TCNA21 RJTD 250600
CCAA 25060 47644 CHABA(1014) 18174 11305 13344 235// 93306=

October 25 2010, 0600z
Severe Tropical Storm Chaba (STS 18)
17.4N 130.5E
Dvorak Intensity: T3.5
821. JLPR2
Quoting tornadodude:


haha buttttttttt, it is troll free :D


I'll give you that one.
The atmosphere is nice here. :D
<.
Quoting JLPR2:


I'll give you that one.
The atmosphere is nice here. :D


quite nice!

how's school for you?
.
825. JLPR2
Quoting tornadodude:


quite nice!

how's school for you?


Got 3 exams this week and I haven't touched a single book yet, I'll be eating them later in the week. XD
826. JLPR2
Quoting Grothar:
Got to go guys. You all take care, and TD you better drop by more, ya hear. THAT'S AN ORDER!

Take care guys, and Geoff, if you are still on, we don't hear from you often enough!

Nite guys.


Buonanotte!
I'm learning some basic words, huzzah! XD
Dove vai..
Quoting Grothar:


I am still traveling, would you believe! I would have sent you others, but didn't know where you were. Still write to the others when I am away. Had some nice ones from Greenland I wanted to send. You would have enjoyed them. Large ones. Keep in touch now and then. A lot of people still ask for you. You were part of the old crowd. Some laughs back then, eh? Now, 50% of the blog is under water.


well i guess we'll have to get you my new address soon, and take care man! I will definitely drop by a lot more often!

Quoting JLPR2:


Got 3 exams this week and I haven't touched a single book yet, I'll be eating them later in the week. XD


haha wow man
Quoting justalurker:
Dove vai..


a dormire
take care dude bed time here.
.
Quoting Grothar:


a dormire


e tropo presto a dormire
833. JLPR2
Quoting tornadodude:

<

haha wow man


I guess I can't complain since it is my fault I'm so far behind, eh...
You guys will probably not see me till Wednesday. LOL!
.
Quoting Grothar:


per chi? Sono vecchio


va bene...anche io..ciao tutti..haha
haha


well Im going to call it a night, have a great one everybody, im sure I'll drop in tomorrow!
837. JLPR2
Well I'm off to bed too!

Buena notte tutti!
HurricaneRichard's heading had turned northward to (1.7degrees north of) WestNorthWest
from its previous heading of 7.9degrees west of WestNorthWest
H.Richard's average speed moving between its last 2 reported positions had increased to ~17mph(~27.4km/h) from its previous travel speed of ~9mph(~14.5km/h)
TropicalStormRichard
24Oct 06amGMT - 16.4n85.1w - 70mph(~112.6km/h) - 995mb - #13A
24Oct 09amGMT - 16.5n85.5w - 70mph(~112.6km/h) - 995mb - #14
24Oct 12pmGMT - 16.8n86.4w - 70mph(~112.6km/h) - 990mb - #14A
HurricaneRichard
24Oct 03pmGMT - 16.9n86.9w - 85mph(~136.8km/h) - 991mb - NHC.Adv.#15
24Oct 06pmGMT - 17.1n87.5w - 85mph(~136.8km/h) - 988mb - #15A
24Oct 09pmGMT - 17.2n88.0w - 90mph(~144.8km/h) - 981mb - #16
25Oct 12amGMT - 17.2n88.2w - 90mph(~144.8km/h) - 981mb - #16A
25Oct 03amGMT - 17.3n88.6w - 90mph(~144.8km/h) - 981mb - #17
25Oct 06amGMT - 17.6n89.3w - 75mph(~120.7km/h) - 987mb - #17A

Copy&paste 16.4n85.1w, 16.5n85.5w, 16.8n86.4w, 16.9n86.9w, 17.1n87.5w-17.2n88.0w, 17.2n88.0w-17.2n88.2w, 17.2n88.2w-17.3n88.6w, 17.3n88.6w-17.6n89.3w, cun, 17.6n89.3w-cme into the GreatCircleMapper for a look at the headings and distances travelled over the last 12^hours.

Using straightline projection upon the speed&heading averaged
over the 3hours spanning the last two reported positions:
H.Richard will be taxiing across Guatamala then Mexico for a 4:35pmGMT takeoff tomorrow
from Ciudad del Carmen International Airport for its flight over the Bay of Campeche

^ The westernmost line-segment is the straightline projection
At least Halloween Weekend will be nice and cool in Florida. There's nothing I hate more then spending Halloween on a muggy night!
Quoting AEKDB1990:
There is Mount Dora in Florida. That's about 180 feet I think. That may be the highest elevation in the peninsula.


Actually it's Sugarloaf Mountain in Clearmont(chuckle).
Just dropped in to say... Richard looks amazing considering how far inland it is, and that it's going over mountains! I have no doubts it's going to regenerate into a hurricane, maybe even pull an Alex and hit cat 3 before it more than likely goes into mexico. Amazing, no landfalls on the US this season. Mexico and bermuda and the islands got hit hard though.
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #41
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CHABA (T1014)
15:00 PM JST October 25 2010
=================================

SUBJECT: Category Two Typhoon In Sea East Of The Philippines

At 6:00 AM UTC, Severe Tropical Storm Chaba (985 hPa) located at 17.4N 130.5E has 10 minute sustained winds of 50 knots with gusts of 70 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north northwest slowly

Dvorak Intensity: T3.5

Gale Force Winds
================
140 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 19.0N 129.3E - 60 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm)
48 HRS: 21.0N 129.0E - 65 knots (CAT 3/Typhoon)
72 HRS: 23.5N 129.3E - 70 knots (CAT 3/Typhoon)
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19
15:00 PM JST October 25 2010
=================================

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1008 hPa) located at 22.0N 153.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as moving west slowly
844. ackee
I see both the GFS and Ecmwf continue to devlop, another storm that far out nothing be too concern at this time after 5 days take it more serious
Quoting ackee:
I see both the GFS and Ecmwf continue to devlop, another storm that far out nothing be too concern at this time after 5 days take it more serious


CMC long range has it too.
Morning, everyone.
that disturbance is now in the deep eastern atlantic, and will track lower than normal
If my GPS is correct, my housr is 22 feet asl
cyber might be right this time sure was not right about early season development. it looks like that character nailed it at the end of the season though.
I think the season is over for U.S. Wish we could get some rain here in NE Fl.
Quoting winter123:
Just dropped in to say... Richard looks amazing considering how far inland it is, and that it's going over mountains! I have no doubts it's going to regenerate into a hurricane, maybe even pull an Alex and hit cat 3 before it more than likely goes into mexico. Amazing, no landfalls on the US this season. Mexico and bermuda and the islands got hit hard though.


Alex, Hermine, Bonnie, TD5, TD2, and Earl all impacted the US.

And for regeneration, shear is way too high for it to even strengthen. That's why the NHC weakens it slowly and dissipates it at 96 hours out.
Quick peek b/4 heading out east to the BARN -- 30% chance of rain..... that ain't gonna cut it -- we need 100% -- backyard is looking like a dustbowl... and we need to seed the horse pastures out east....

Seems Belize is down (power) from Ricky-boy as he drenched 4 Latin American countries - let's hope no mudslides

Good day to all - PraysUp for rain here in SWFL
853. IKE
Belize
City, Belize airport....for October 24th, 2010....

Wind:
Wind Speed 9 mph
Max Wind Speed 37 mph
Max Gust Speed 62 mph
Visibility 4.3 miles
Events Rain , Thunderstorm

.............................................

HURRICANE RICHARD DISCUSSION NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192010
1000 PM CDT SUN OCT 24 2010

RADAR DATA FROM BELIZE INDICATE THAT RICHARD MADE LANDFALL AROUND
0045 UTC ABOUT 20 N MI SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF BELIZE CITY.
Good Morning...
Crown Weather believes we'll sneak one more storm in.

All interests in the central and eastern Caribbean will need to pay close attention to the possibility of tropical cyclone development this weekend or more likely early next week. The overall pattern in the Caribbean next week favors lowering barometric pressures and upward motion and also all of the global model guidance agrees on the possibility of tropical cyclone development in either the central or eastern Caribbean as we get into early next week.
Quoting surfmom:
Quick peek b/4 heading out east to the BARN -- 30% chance of rain..... that ain't gonna cut it -- we need 100% -- backyard is looking like a dustbowl... and we need to seed the horse pastures out east....

Seems Belize is down (power) from Ricky-boy as he drenched 4 Latin American countries - let's hope no mudslides

Good day to all - PraysUp for rain here in SWFL
already west nile in s florida if it does rain not sure what would happen
Good Morning...

How is everyone doing this fine Monday?
19L/TD/R
G'morn dak..

Coffee and Sunrise almost here.
862. DDR
Quoting clwstmchasr:
Crown Weather believes we'll sneak one more storm in.

All interests in the central and eastern Caribbean will need to pay close attention to the possibility of tropical cyclone development this weekend or more likely early next week. The overall pattern in the Caribbean next week favors lowering barometric pressures and upward motion and also all of the global model guidance agrees on the possibility of tropical cyclone development in either the central or eastern Caribbean as we get into early next week.

Thanks
whats interesting to me is that the gfs has a low passing just off the Venezuelan coast a few runs now.
Looks like we are in a calm period for a while.
Not much out there that has the possibility of development. High pressure firmly in control of the atlantic basin with a little wave at 45W 15N and another at 25W 10N both with no circulation and dry air and the shear is high everywhere..

The trades are blowing and water temperatures dropping. You can feel the warmth and moisture being pulled off the ocean by the wind as you get alternating dry cool air mixed with the tropical air...

864. IKE
...RICHARD CONTINUES WEAKENING INLAND OVER NORTHERN GUATEMALA...
7:00 AM CDT Mon Oct 25
Location: 17.7N, 89.9W
Max sustained: 45 mph
Moving: WNW at 9 mph
Min pressure: 1005 mb

.......................................

3 hours ago it was at...

INITIAL 25/0900Z 17.6N 89.6W 55 KT...INLAND
is this what the models are indicating
next wk could be interesting!!
Who Dat is more like Who Not this year! Terrible!!
Quoting weatherbro:


Actually it's Sugarloaf Mountain in Clearmont(chuckle).
.....actually its along the al/fl boarder in the noryhern panhandle approx 380ft above sea level,maybe on the peninsula claermont is but not the intire state
Amazing TX tornado footage yesterday. I think this is just the sign of things to come with temps and humidity way above average for late October.

http://www.weather.com/outlook/videos/texas-tornado-caught-on-cam-18607
The Caribbean is for the most part cooler than it was two weeks ago, but it's still more than warm enough for more fun stuff. As they say, "cooler than it was" isn't the same as "cool". And with record to near-record highs expected over much of the area the next week or so, don't look for things to be much cooler come the first part of November. Here's a two-week comparison:

October 9 (click for larger image):

Appropriate tropical weather-related image


October 23 (click for larger image:

Appropriate tropical weather-related image
wonder if another trough is coming down to potentially swing this thing northward
TropicalStormRichard's heading had turned northward to (3.3degrees west of) WestNorthWest
from its previous heading of dueWest
TS.Richard's average speed moving between its last 2 reported positions had increased to ~7mph(~11.3km/h) from its previous travel speed of ~6.7mph(~10.7km/h)
TS.Richard
24Oct 12pmGMT - 16.8n86.4w - 70mph(~112.6km/h) - 990mb - #14A
H.Richard
24Oct 03pmGMT - 16.9n86.9w - 85mph(~136.8km/h) - 991mb - #15
24Oct 06pmGMT - 17.1n87.5w - 85mph(~136.8km/h) - 988mb - #15A
24Oct 09pmGMT - 17.2n88.0w - 90mph(~144.8km/h) - 981mb - NHC.Adv.#16
25Oct 12amGMT - 17.2n88.2w - 90mph(~144.8km/h) - 981mb - #16A
25Oct 03amGMT - 17.3n88.6w - 90mph(~144.8km/h) - 981mb - #17
25Oct 06amGMT - 17.6n89.3w - 75mph(~120.7km/h) - 987mb - #17A
TS.Richard
25Oct 09amGMT - 17.6n89.6w - 65mph(~104.6km/h) - 993mb - #18
25Oct 12pmGMT - 17.7n89.9w - 45mph(~72.4km/h) - 1005mb - #18A

Copy&paste 16.8n86.4w, 16.9n86.9w, 17.1n87.5w, 17.2n88.0w, 17.2n88.2w-17.3n88.6w, 17.3n88.6w-17.6n89.3w, 17.6n89.3w-17.6n89.6w, 17.6n89.6w-17.7n89.9w, ver, pnd, cun into the GreatCircleMapper for a look at the headings and distances travelled over the last 12^hours.

Essentially TS.Richard has spent the last 6hours ripping itself apart on northern Guatemala's highlands.

While the highest and the worst of the rugged terrain is now behind Richard, there's still enough ahead that it is to be expected that the TropicalStorm will be downgraded to to a TropicalDepression by the next NHC.Advisory.
britton hill fl,elv 345ft above sea level,think they hae snow guns??,lol
Quoting Jeff9641:
Amazing TX tornado footage yesterday. I think this is just the sign of things to come with temps and humidity way above average for late October.

http://www.weather.com/outlook/videos/texas-tornado-caught-on-cam-18607


I took this with my camera yesterday afternoon. The storms were long ways away (Probably over an hour and a half), so I got this image:

This was the strongest storm of all the storms in the USA at the time...Probably the one I got with my camera. This storm had a hail size of 3.5 at the time I believe, and look at the VIL...Bottom right corner...where it says max...

127 kg/m2

Last image, which is personally my favorite:

877. IKE
NEW BLOG!