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Category 6 has moved! See the latest from Dr. Jeff Masters and Bob Henson here.

Huge storm poised to pound California; snow falls in Florida

By: Dr. Jeff Masters, 7:59 PM GMT on January 03, 2008

A large and very powerful Pacific storm is poised to hammer California this weekend, bringing blizzard conditions and sustained winds over hurricane force to the Sierra Mountains. The mighty storm, currently about 1000 miles west of the state of Washington, is intensifying rapidly today. As the system approaches the coast of Washington State on Friday afternoon, its pressure is expected to bottom out at 960 mb--a pressure similar to that of a Category 2 hurricane. High winds will buffet all of California Friday and Saturday, with sustained winds of hurricane force and gusts of 145 mph expected along the high ridge tops of the Sierra Mountains. Blizzard conditions will envelop much of the Sierras, with 2-5 feet of snow likely to fall by Saturday. Snowfall rates up to six inches per hour are expected. Travel will be difficult or impossible in the northern mountains of California Friday and Saturday.


Figure 1. A massive winter storm (left side of image) prepares to hammer the U.S. West Coast on Friday and Saturday. A second, weaker storm is affecting the coast today.
In Southern California, the concern is heavy rain and flooding. Rainfall rates of up to an inch per hour are expected in the mountains, with total rain amounts of up to 10 inches expected in the south facing mountains. Landslides and debris flows are likely on the hillsides burned by the recent fires. Strong, damaging winds are expected over much of Southern California, as well. High winds over the the ocean will bring swells of 6-10 feet to the coast and 20 foot seas offshore, and isolated thunderstorms could spawn waterspouts. The storm responsible for the wild weather will weaken and move ashore on Saturday over British Columbia, but will still be strong enough to bring additional heavy rains, high winds, and mountain snows to California through Sunday.

Florida snow
It's cold in Florida! Snow flurries were reported along the east central coast of the state this morning, near Daytona Beach and Cocoa. It was the first snow seen in the region since 2003.The cold air behind the cold front responsible for the freeze was pushed by an unusually strong high pressure system. Tallahassee, Florida reported a new atmospheric pressure record at 11 am today: 30.77 inches (1042 mb). The previous record was 30.74 inches (1041 mb) which occurred on January 4th 1979 and again on February 5th 1996. Record low temperature records were set in Fort Myers (32° F), Miami Beach (40° F) and Key West (45° F) this morning, and citrus growers worked hard to keep their orange crops from freezing.

Jeff Masters
Cold morning in SW Florida
Cold morning in SW Florida
I put my sprinklers on this morning to protect things from the 31-degree cold snap. My oranges will now be sweeter, but ice here is certainly uncommon.

Winter Weather

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

Reader Comments

At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Disturbance, Ex-Elnus [1000 hPa] located near 25.0S 42.4E had 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots with gusts up to 35 knots. The disturbance is reported moving south-southeast at 13 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T1.5/2.0

Forecast and Intensity
======================
24 HRS: 28.3S 46.0E 25 knots (Devenant Extratropical)
48 HRS: 31.4S 51.2E (Depression Extratropical)

Additional Information
========================
The low level circulation is fully exposed northwest of the deep convection due to a rather strong northwesterly vertical wind shear weakening the system. The system tracked southeastward over the last hours, likely under the steering influence of an equatorward extension of the subtropical ridge over Madagascar. The system has clearly accelerated during the last hours and seem to track quickly in front the trough, becoming extra-tropical.
It rains iguanas at Bill Baggs park

Wednesday night's bitter cold came like a giant Sominex for the tree-dwelling iguanas of South Florida.

When the temperature falls below a certain level, the large green lizards drop out of the trees and litter the ground.

They aren't dead. At least a lot of them aren't. It is as if they are in suspended animation, said Robert Yero, park manager at Bill Baggs Cape Florida State Park on Key Biscayne.




I had to share this from the NWS for Mt. Shasta over the next few days (check out the snow accumulations - I have never seem dumps like these!):


NWS Forecast for: Mount Shasta
Last Update on 03 Jan 11:56 PST
Issued by: National Weather Service Medford, OR
Last Update: 7:21 am PST Jan 3, 2008


This Afternoon: Periods of snow. Temperature falling to around 16 by 4pm. Windy, with a south southwest wind between 50 and 55 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Total daytime snow accumulation of 18 to 24 inches possible.

Tonight: Periods of snow. Low around 15. Windy, with a south southwest wind 45 to 50 mph increasing to between 60 and 65 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 33 to 39 inches possible.

Friday: Periods of snow. Temperature rising to near 16 by 9am, then falling to around 5 during the remainder of the day. Windy, with a southwest wind 60 to 65 mph decreasing to between 45 and 50 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 37 to 43 inches possible.

Friday Night: Periods of snow showers. Low around 2. Windy, with a west southwest wind 45 to 48 mph decreasing to between 36 and 39 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.

Saturday: Periods of snow showers. High near 5. Windy, with a west southwest wind between 26 and 36 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

Saturday Night: Snow showers likely. Mostly cloudy and breezy, with a low around 1. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
It did snow/Furries across northern florida mostly across the Cape Canaveral area.VIDEO

Here's an animated close-up visible of the parade of systems in the pacific.



LARGE LOOP
Tropical Low 06U/Tropical Cyclone 10S

Basin: Southeast Indian Ocean

Pattern Type: Curved band 0.40

Current Intensity: CI 2.0/30/1000

Adjustments: None

Final Estimate: CI 2.0/30/1000

Dvorak Trends:
1400 UTC 03 JAN 2007 - CI 2.0

nasanut - wild forecast!
From the Tallahassee,FL. weather office...


"Statement as of 1:15 am EST on January 3, 2008

... New atmospheric pressure record set at Tallahassee...

The sea level pressure at the Airport at 11 am was 30.77 inches
which established a new pressure record for Tallahassee. The
previous record was 30.74 inches which occurred on January 4th 1979
and again on February 5th 1996."
Jan 03, 2008
Highest December Southern Oscillaion Index Since 1975 By Eugenio Hackbart, METSUL Weather Center, Brazil

The Australian Bureau of Meteorology released today the December value for the Southern Oscillation Index, one of the most important indicators of the Pacific Ocean conditions. The oscillation is calculated from the monthly or seasonal fluctuations in the air pressure difference between Tahiti and Darwin. Positive values are associated with stronger Pacific trade winds and La Nina episodes. Waters in the central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean become colder while near Australia they are warmer.

Photobucket
The December value released by BoM today for December 2007 was 14.4. This is the highest December SOI value since 1975, an indication of the strength of the ongoing Pacific cold event. It also figures among the top ten positive values for the SOI in December.

I think more people need to be aware about storms this size. I work at Trader Joes, and half of my customers don't have a clue it's supposed to rain tonight-Mon/Tues. It would be crazy to see another 2005 flood event unfold.
longtime lurker, first time poster.

What does this storm off the coast potentially mean for the rest of the country? From what I can tell, temperatures won't be dropping significantly behind the front, and they're rising ahead of the front, so if it powers over the mountains, it'll probably just bring rain to the conus, or am I totally off?
456 has been tracking the Cal. storm most of today. I checked some of the pressure and winds off the WA. cost and they were strong and pressure was low. And this is not the storm that Dr. Masters, as talking about
Photobucket


This some of what it has in store for the CONUS cajuncook.
tengo miedo de la tormenta! help me!
Garnowich...half the time many ppl dont know what's going on in the weather. I cannot tell you how many ppl I talk to that say "Oh I just go by the way it feels, and what it looks like outside"

The sad thing is that weather changes so quickly a lot of times you just cannot do that.

Perfect instance of this is the evening before Katrina came ashore (about 12 hours) a guy stopped in my drive way wanting to fix the cracks in my winshield.

I told him I didnt think it was a great idea due to the fact that a hurricane was about to hit and he very non-chalantly said "oh really?" Like he didnt even care. Granted he could have been trying to rip me off, but according to him (and this is generally true) most insurance companies will cover winshield repair as far as cracks are concerned. My insurance didnt cover it, and I told him not to worry about it because of the pending storm.

At any rate, he had no idea, and acted like he didnt really care at all. A lot of ppl dont care till it affects them in some way.

Cajuncook...Pacific storms usually dont bring *significant* drops in temperature to the rest of the country.

Like you observed it will warm up ahead of it and then it will just cool down. Generally the pacific fronts are what bring us our average temperatures during the winter.

Our temps for next Tuesday are gonna be in the 60's...which is about average for here. This weekend they will be mid 70's to near 80°F which will be ahead of that storm.

The front that just came through is what brings all the below average temps...The arctic front :-D :-D
Twin Storms

I am currently updating my blog

Current Storm
A 974 mb low pressure area located over the Northeast Pacific Ocean at 47N/131W is producing gale force winds, heavy rain and snow over the Pacific Northwest. The associated cold front remains offshore but precipitation is moving ahead over California and Oregon. This storm is mild compared to whats behind it. Some of highest winds reported today offshore was 40 knots, while inland winds were around 20-25 knots. The storm crossed over buoy 46005 giving an idea of the intensity. The buoy bottomed out near 974 mb which is also mild to the forecast 958 mb with the second low. Snow cumulations were confined to the higher elevations of Washington were 1-2 inches were reported. And additional 4 inches were reported elsewhere in isolated locals.

Major Storm to come
Winter weather and high wind watches and warnings have been posted for numerous counties across California, Nevada, Idaho, Oregon and Washington in preparation for a large developing system in the Central Pacific (Figure 4). This storm system has the potential to bring dangerous hurricane force winds, 50 ft seas and over 12 inches of snow over the Rockies. More updates on this storm as it approaches the coast.


Figure 1. NWS Doppler Radar for the Pacific Northwest.


Figure 2. Surface winds reported earlier.


Figure 3. Buoy 46005 wind speed sustain, gusts and barometric pressure time series.


Figure 4. Visible imagery of the current low to the left and the more powerful storm developing well offshore.
BBL
19. P451
Cold Air: Meet Warm Water (Wish I had thought to check this for Florida last night tho...oh well.)




Also, here's some of last nights low temp plots.

Link
20. P451
And...you still have to marvel at what could have been "Pablo" lasting so long.

Link

Could this storm get more intense? Maybe as low as 945-950 mb (well into Category 3 intensity), and perhaps with Category 5 wind gusts on the mountain summits?
8. vortfix 8:50 PM GMT on January 03, 2008 Hide this comment.
Jan 03, 2008
Highest December Southern Oscillaion Index Since 1975 By Eugenio Hackbart, METSUL Weather Center, Brazil

The Australian Bureau of Meteorology released today the December value for the Southern Oscillation Index, one of the most important indicators of the Pacific Ocean conditions. The oscillation is calculated from the monthly or seasonal fluctuations in the air pressure difference between Tahiti and Darwin. Positive values are associated with stronger Pacific trade winds and La Nina episodes. Waters in the central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean become colder while near Australia they are warmer.

The December value released by BoM today for December 2007 was 14.4. This is the highest December SOI value since 1975, an indication of the strength of the ongoing Pacific cold event. It also figures among the top ten positive values for the SOI in December.


Interesting article. Based off of past occurrences, the current Southern Oscillation Index values would result in a warmer than normal Jan and Feb for the northeast. It will be interesting to see how this pans out.
Evening, all.

Current temp here (Nassau) is 64. Low tonight is expected to reach 49, at latest report. That's cold enough to reach for the space heaters, or alternatively every blanket you own LOL. I guess this is the worst of what u guys got 12 hrs ago.
Interesting looking clouds behind the front . . .

I thought that article was interesting also USMC.

Then there's this:


January Thaw Will Come Early But Won’t LastAs I write this it is the coldest morning of the winter so far with single digit to sub-zero temperatures across the north from Iowa, Illinois and Missouri east to Pennsylvania, New York and New England. The coldest reading on the map appeared to be -20F in Saranac Lake, NY. The cold extended deep into the south with freezing temperatures to Fort Myers and a chilly 39 in Miami and 45 in Key West. Readings were in the high 20s to low 30s across the growing areas, likely doing some damage to vegetables but it appears damage to citrus was minimal.
After a frigid day, a moderation will spread from the central states where it begins tomorrow to the east coast this weekend. Temperatures for the early into the middle part of next week will be much above normal in the central and east. There could be some records set. In New York City, it will reach the 60s. The best chance of a record high will come at the end of the warm spell on Thursday where the daily record at Central Park is just 58. Note how most every day in January has had record highs in the 60s and even 70s (in 1932, 1950 and 2007).
It's minus-10 here tonight, so far.

Nippy!
RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
115 AM EST THU JAN 3 2008

...NEW ATMOSPHERIC PRESSURE RECORD SET AT TALLAHASSEE...

THE SEA LEVEL PRESSURE AT THE AIRPORT AT 11 AM WAS 30.77 INCHES
WHICH ESTABLISHED A NEW PRESSURE RECORD FOR TALLAHASSEE. THE
PREVIOUS RECORD WAS 30.74 INCHES WHICH OCCURRED ON JANUARY 4TH 1979
AND AGAIN ON FEBRUARY 5TH 1996.
Tropical Cyclone Helen near Darwin has been named as Cat 1 (Australian Scale)
syd, this is the same low that was tracking across land, or a new one?
Syd,

I really like your avatar, BTW. Great shot of that storm.
At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Cyclone Helen [985 hPa] located near 13.4S 128.1E or 230 kms north of Wyndham and 320 west-southwest of Darwin had 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts up to 45 knots. The cyclone is reported moving northeast at 8 knots.

The cyclone is likely to take a more eastward track during today toward the Top End of the Northern Territory.

The cyclone is expected to cross the coast between Darwin and Port Keats tonight or early tomorrow.

GALES with gusts to 100 kilometres per hour could affect coastal and island communities in the north Kimberley and western Top End during today.

DESTRUCTIVE WINDS with gusts to 130 kilometres per hour could affect coastal and island communities between Darwin and Port Keats tonight or early tomorrow.

If the system were to take a more northeast track, there is the possibility that GALES could affect coastal and island communities between Cape Hotham and Goulburn Island, including the Tiwi Islands during Saturday.

Heavy rain is expected to cause flooding in the north Kimberley region and the Top End.

Tropical Cyclone Watches/Warning
===============================

A Cyclone WARNING is current for coastal and island communities from Kalumburu in Western Australia to Cape Hotham in the Northern Territory, including Darwin.

A Cyclone WATCH is current for coastal and island communities from Cape Hotham to Goulburn Island, including the Tiwi Islands.

Forecast and Intensity
======================

12 HRS: 50 knots [CAT 2]
24 HRS: 30 knots [Tropical Low]
The low is deepening pretty fast...now down to 960 mb

East Coast of the United States

Gale Force Conditions

This stratocumulus cloud deck sure is deep

Pray we don't lose power! Our church kitchen is all electric and we have to cook for hungry, homeless folks tomorrow. . . .whoohooo, what a storm track!
snow motels are preparing to open

Hey Weathe456 and all, good evening.

Do you think the low is going to be stronger than forecast since it is already at 960mbs and it is still early?

Thanks for all your insight and wisdom to help all these people like you do. Much appreciated

Patrick
39. Trouper415 12:42 AM AST on January 04, 2008 Hide this comment.
Hey Weathe456 and all, good evening.

Do you think the low is going to be stronger than forecast since it is already at 960mbs and it is still early?

Thanks for all your insight and wisdom to help all these people like you do. Much appreciated

Patrick


It is possible.....but a storm can only can deepen so much...most likely it will attain the forecast pressure quicker.
I feel that it will attain the forecast pressure sooner but not too much lower than 950 mb.
Alright thanks. I'm just 20-30 miles north of San Francisco and we have urban flood advisory and flash flood watches.

Is there any website that you know of that has more specific data for towns and specific rivers and their watersheds so I could get a more detailed and specific probability of flooding?

Thanks
Patrick
Tomorrow's storm looks quite impressive for NorCal. Lots of discussion at Weather West...
Link
later
TIME WELL TELL
Thanks 456
At 06:00 AM UTC, Extratropical Depression, Ex-Elnus [1000 hPa] located near 26.0S 42.1E had 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots with gusts up to 35 knots. The disturbance is reported moving south-southeast at 13 knots.

Dvorak Intensity:

Stronger winds 26 knots locally 30 knots are located at about 70 NM from the center. Winds are lighter near the center around 15-20 knots up to 120 NM from the center in the southeastern semi-circle.

Forecast and Intensity
======================
48 HRS: 26.4S 43.0E (Devenant Extratropical)

Additional Information
========================
System has begun an extratropical transistion. Winds and position have been adjusted consequently based on an Quikscat Pass. System should moving at slower speed generally southeastward as ridge is building southward and continuing its extratropical transistion.
TROPICAL CYCLONE HELEN ADVISORY NUMBER SIX - Strengthening
============================================

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Cyclone Helen [980 hPa] located near 13.3S 129.0E or 190 kms west-northwest of Daly River and 225 west-southwest of Darwin had 10 minute sustained winds of 40 knots with gusts up to 55 knots. The cyclone is reported moving east at 9 knots.

The cyclone is expected to INTENSIFY in the next 6 hours and cross the coast between Darwin and Daly River Mouth tonight or early tomorrow morning. Tropical Cyclone Helen is expected to weaken below cyclone intensity over land tomorrow, but may continue to move east and redevelop in the Gulf of Carpentaria on Sunday.

DESTRUCTIVE WINDS with gusts to 130 kilometres per hour could affect coastal and island communities between Darwin and Daly River Mouth overnight.

GALES with gusts to 100 kilometres per hour should begin to affect coastal and island communities between Darwin and Port Keats in the next 6 hours, and may extend to Cape Hotham and the Tiwi Islands later tonight.

GALES with gusts to 100 kilometers per hour may affect coastal and island communities between Elcho Island and Numbulwar, including Nhulunbuy and Groote Eylandt, on Sunday if the system redevelops in the Gulf of Carpentaria.

Heavy rain is expected to cause flooding over the Top End.

Tropical Cyclone Watches/Warning
===============================

A Cyclone WARNING is current for coastal and island communities from Port Keats to Cape Hotham including Darwin and the Tiwi Islands.


A Cyclone WATCH has been declared for coastal and island communities from Elcho Island to Numbulwar, including Nhulunbuy and Groote Eylandt.

Forecast and Intensity
======================

12 HRS: 30 knots [Tropical Low/Overland]
24 HRS: 25 knots [Tropical Low/Overland]
eye developing
Helen

Good Mornin All:
Curent @ Crozet, VA: 12.4 F/ -10.9 C Clear

Special Weather Statement

Statement as of 4:23 AM EST on January 04, 2008

... Beware of thin ice on lakes... ponds... streams... and rivers...


The Arctic airmass that has been in place for the past couple of
days has caused thin ice conditions on many area
lakes... ponds... streams... and rivers. These hazardous thin ice
conditions are primed for people and pets to fall through... as
unfortunately happens every winter. Young children at play are
especially vulnerable to this hazard.


Everyone should avoid going out on ice unless they are positively certain
that the ice is strong enough to support them... and this is not
likely in the Baltimore-Washington-Charlottesville region except
perhaps in the highest elevations of the Potomac Highlands. It
takes many days and nights of sub freezing weather to produce a
layer of ice strong enough to support the weight of a person.

May all stay safe and warm today.

Shen
Newly formed Cyclone Helen(10S)crossing the coastline south of Darwin as a strong category 2 storm.


Darwin 256km Radar:





Current Darwin Radar Images: Link

Storm pounding the west coast

I must be crazy posting this in the middle of the storm, but a huge gust woke me at around 4 AM and I can't go back to sleep. . .

I got up early to high winds and rain. . .this morning at around 4:15, I heard the unmistakable calls of a flock of geese (Cackling Canada or Snow/Ross from the high-pitched honking), flying very low over my place. I can't see them, but they are circling back and forth over the city and I am afraid for them in these high winds.

the power's been out off and on, so I am going to try to go back to bed and get some sleep.

The Weather Underground site says the gusts aren't higher than 50, but there were a few out there that were, I can assure you - after 21 (almost 22) years of living here and remembering the storms of early and late 1995, I can tell you that this is comparable to then, when we had 115 MPH gusts on our cliffs by the ocean.

Feather
The wind is picking up over Northern California

Showers over much of N CA and steady snow in the Sierra Nevada
GM,looks like some wild weather for the west,and some pretty nice weather for the east
52. CycloneQld 6:33 AM CST on January 04, 2008
Newly formed Cyclone Helen(10S)crossing the coastline south of Darwin as a strong category 2 storm


Where in the exactly on the map is this...what part of the world? I cannot place that land mass, or any of the cities listed on it just by seeing it! lol
Forgive the length.
Merry Christmas.

SOME LATE CHRISTMAS FORECASTS FROM THE NWS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
350 PM CST MON DEC 24 2007

.DISCUSSION...
IT IS THE AFTERNOON BEFORE CHRISTMAS AND ONCE AGAIN THIS YEAR
THE NWS IS FORECASTING ON THE METEOROLOGICAL FRONTIER.
THE MODELS ARE IN DISCORD WITH THIS TROF ON THE WAY...
AND WE ARE STILL TRYING TO FIGURE OUT IF SNOW IS IN PLAY.

THE NAM IS IN A HURRY WHILE THE GFS KEEPS THINGS SLOW.
WHICH ONE TO BELIEVE AND DO I CONTINUE WITH SNOW?
TEMPERATURES WILL BE COLD BUT MOISTURE IS LACKING.
SURFACE WINDS WON/T HELP BECAUSE THERE ISN/T ANY BACKING.

WITH DRY AIR AT THE SURFACE AND NO HOPES FOR SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW...
MOISTURE WILL HAVE TO FALL FROM ALOFT TO DOWN BELOW.
WITH SO MANY DIFFERENCES FROM MODEL TO MODEL
I FOLLOWED THE GFS SO I WON/T HAVE TO TWADDLE.

THE SLOWER PROGRESSION REQUIRED SOME CHANGES...
I ADJUSTED THE TEMPERATURES AND EXPANDED DIURNAL RANGES.
WARMER IN THE SOUTHEAST AND COOLER IN THE NORTHWEST
DUE TO THE FRONTAL TIMING THAT THE GFS MIGHT SUGGEST.

POP CHANCES HAVE BEEN UPPED LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.
30S NORTH TO 20S SOUTH AS THE GRIDS WILL DISPLAY.
WITH THIS FAST MOVING STORM AND THE DYNAMICS GOING NORTH...
ONE INCH OR LESS OF SNOWFALL IN THE GRIDS WILL GO FORTH.

TEMPERATURES ON WEDNESDAY WILL BE A BIT COOL.
THE AVERAGE OF GUIDANCE SEEMS LIKELY TO RULE.
SNOW SHOWERS COULD LINGER ACROSS THE FAR EAST...
THE TIMING OF THE TROF WILL DETERMINE WHEN THEY CEASE.

A PROGRESSIVE PATTERN WILL CONTINUE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...
THE MODELS ARE PERSISTENT WITH JUST A BIT OF CRITIQUE.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN AT OR BELOW CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMS
AND PRECIP CHANCES DEPEND ON THE STRENGTH OF THE STORMS.

FOR THE LAST FIVE DAYS OF THE FORECAST THINGS APPEAR IN GOOD SHAPE
BESIDES...THE STORM FOR LATE CHRISTMAS LEFT A PRETTY FULL PLATE.
MINOR ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE TO SOME OF THE FIELDS...
WE WILL JUST HAVE TO WAIT TO SEE WHAT MOTHER NATURE MIGHT YIELD.

TO THOSE WHO MIGHT COMPLAIN THAT THIS DISCUSSION IS IN RHYME...
MY APOLOGIES TO Y/ALL...I AM HAVING A GOOD TIME.
FOR WE AT THE NWS HAVE TO WORK ON CHRISTMAS DAY
AND I TRY TO HAVE FUN WHEN I CANNOT GO OUT AND PLAY.

REGARDLESS OF THAT...WE WILL BE SITTING RIGHT HERE
KEEPING OUR EYE ON THE WEATHER...BE IT CALM OR SEVERE.
TO CLOSE OUT THIS DISCUSSION...AND I KNOW I AM RIGHT...
MERRY CHRISTMAS FROM NWS AMARILLO AND TO ALL A GOOD NIGHT!

-----------------------------------------------
from NWS San Juan

THIS OVERNIGHT TRANQUIL WEATHER PATTERN WILL ALLOW FOR A SMOOTH
RIDE FOR SANTA AND HIS REINDEER. LATEST POLAR ORBITING SATELLITE
IMAGERY AND NORAD DEFENSE SYSTEMS ARE CURRENTLY TRACKING A SMALL
FEATURE JUST PASSING GREENLAND
AT THIS TIME. GFS ENSEMBLE ANALYSES
DEPICT THIS FEATURE TO EVENTUALLY TRACK ACROSS PUERTO RICO BY
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.


-----------------------------------------------
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
340 PM EST TUE DEC 25 2007

...DUE TO THE DREADED LACK OF COLD AIR...KEYS COMMUNITIES WILL BE
FOILED ONCE AGAIN IN EXPERIENCING A WHITE CHRISTMAS...

....CLIMATE...
DESPITE HAVING WEAK LOW LEVEL LIFT AND AMPLE MOISTURE...ONE RATHER
KEY INGREDIENT BEING "COLD AIR" IS LACKING
TO FULFILL A WHITE
CHRISTMAS. ALTHOUGH SO CLOSE...OUR RECORD STREAK OF CONSECUTIVE
YEARS WITHOUT A WHITE CHRISTMAS IN KEY WEST IS NOW 137...WITH
RECORDS GOING BACK TO 1871. OH WELL...MAY BE NEXT YEAR.
Severe weather outbreak likely Mon night/Tue morning ARKLATEX.
The NWS local area discussion here in the SF Bay Area reports this morning a 226 KT jet aloft and a 70 kt low level jet. The result of these two can be seen easily on the satellite loop. The wind where we are along the bay is increasing and becoming very gusty. No anemomoeter handy, but the reports on TV have gale to hurricane force winds and gusts throughout the area. The rain has been moderate so far, but those jets have induced a large bloom of moisture offshore which is headed our way.
honda, its northern Australia
Thanks 456.

Beell: That was a good read. It's nice to see that they have a good sense of humor there at the NWS's!
Down here in Seal Beach, south of L.A. we haven't received a drop of rain yet (7:23AM). When I look out at the sky right now, the clouds are even a little broken up. Doesn't look too threatening yet - but I know something is coming!

Feather - sounds like you have already been hit hard! Guess I'd better take my dog for a dry walk while I can!
Good morning and Happy New year to one and all. I hope the day is treating you good. I've been trying to get up the gumption to go see about my faucets , etc in the yard. Being born and raised in SW Fla has given me a great desire to run around outside when the temps are below 50F.lol. I trust that all of you were back in the malls this week to jump start the retail industry. I have been very blessed to have spent a lot of time with my family and extended family, and I have only been lurking for a while. I wanted to log on with a wish for all that this year will bless all of you with health, wealth, and happiness for you and all of your families. Seeing the reports from central Fla of frozen precip reminded of going out to move our 'rescue 2' back into Killarney Vol. Dept station (Org Cty #41) in Orlando and finding 2 inches of snow on the roof. (1980 something) Strange things is hapnin! Brrr! LOL
Later.
Take heart Florida much warmer days are ahead,and the same goes for up here in the northeast,good luck on the west coast things are really going downhill.
Thanks StormW, you have got it covered. Happy New Year.
Happy New Year Storm
morning all...
I've come to track the west coast storm...

Seattle radar:
Link

pacific NW sector loop:



Link
morning lake
This is insane:

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
240 AM PST FRI JAN 4 2008

.NEAR TERM...UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY
AN EXTREMELY POWERFUL PACIFIC STORM IS JUST ON THE DOORSTEP AT THIS
TIME. SEE ALL THE SUPPLEMENTAL STATEMENTS...WATCHES...AND WARNINGS
THAT ARE OUT. ALSO SEE THE LINKS FROM THE TOP OF OUR HOMEPAGE FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...WINTER SAFETY TIPS...AND LATEST STORM
REPORTS.

SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN IMPRESSIVE LOW PRESSURE AREA NEARING
130W RIDING A STRONG JET STREAM. SATELLITE DERIVED JET LEVEL WINDS
ARE AS HIGH AS 235 KTS!!!!
WV/IR SAT IMAGERY SHOWS AN IMPRESSIVE
BAROCLINIC LEAF NOW INSIDE 130W AT AROUND 35N. THIS FEATURE IS
POINTED DIRECTLY AT THE SIERRA AND WESTERN NEVADA WITH CURRENT RAINFALL
RATES ESTIMATED CLOSE TO 1 INCH PER HOUR.

WIND HAVE BACKED OFF TEMPORARILY ACROSS THE AREA...BUT
EXPECT THEM TO INCREASE AGAIN AS MAIN PRECIP SHIELD MOVES INTO THE
SIERRA. AS FAR AS WIND POTENTIAL...LOOKS TO BE VERY GOOD FOR
STRONG DOWNSLOPE WINDS IN THE LEE OF THE SIERRA FOR AN HOUR OR TWO
BETWEEN 15 AND 18Z. GUSTS OVER 100 MPH POSSIBLE IN THE FOOTHILLS
AND 75 MPH IN THE VALLEYS NEAR RENO...GERLACH...HAWTHORNE. THEN
PRECIP SHIELD WILL MOVE INTO THE SIERRA. GIVEN THE THERMODYNAMIC
PROFILES...AREA WILL BE ONLY WEAKLY STABLE WHICH WILL PROMOTE
IMMEDIATE SPILLOVER INTO WESTERN NEVADA NORTH OF GARDNERVILLE AND
WEST OF FERNLEY. DYNAMICS ARE NOT STRONG ENOUGH TO PUSH THE PRECIP
TOWARDS FERNLEY FALLON AT THIS TIME SO THE STRONGEST WINDS THERE
ARE LIKELY BETWEEN 18 AND 00Z...AS WELL AS THE HAWTHORNE/YERINGTON
AREAS. THEN PRECIP IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO ALL AREAS.

AS FAR AS THE SIERRA...WIDESPREAD BLIZZARD CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY
LATE MORNING. WHILE SNOW LEVELS WILL BRIEFLY RISE THIS MORNING TO
NEAR 6500 TO 7000 FEET...THE HEAVY PRECIPITATION RATES WILL
QUICKLY BRING SNOW LEVELS DOWN STARTING AROUND NOON. EXTREMELY
HEAVY SNOWFALL WITH WIND GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH OR MORE WILL MAKE ANY
TRAVEL NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE AND LIFE THREATENING. IN ADDITION...RIDGE
GUSTS OF UP TO 200 MPH WILL OCCUR
. AS DAY SHIFT MENTIONED...
SNOWFALL RATES OF 6 INCHES PER HOUR ARE LIKELY FOR A FEW
HOURS...AND MAY EVEN BE HEAVIER AT TIMES. TOTAL SNOW IN THE SIERRA
WILL BE SEVERAL FEET...AND WILL BE INCREASING ACCUMULATION AROUND
LAKE TAHOE AS SNOW LEVELS WILL NOT RISE AS HIGH AS EARLIER THOUGHT
DUE TO THE EXTREME PRECIP RATES. EXPECT THE PRECIP TO LET UP AFTER
MIDNIGHT MANY AREAS...BUT IT WILL STILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES...JUST
NOT EXTREME. WINDS WILL ALSO LET UP SOME...BUT GUSTS TO 45 MPH ARE
STILL LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
Morning all:
Environment Canada has some great stuff if you want to view the whole storm system. Appearently they don't think the world begins and ends at the 49th parallel.

Their Sat immage page: Link

Shen
wow thats nuts!
Thats incredible,ontop of the wind,that snowfall rate is unbelievable.
235 knot winds......mmmmmm....makes for breezy day...:-)
Good morning/afternoon to everyone. I, like lake droped in to check out the Pacific storm. Very impressive storm that 456 and others have been watching for several days. I checked Buoy 46089 which is located about 90 miles west of the Columbia River in WA and OR. The quickscat winds are unreal. The pressure at 7:30 AM PT was 28.61 and falling and the wave heights were about 19 feet. I wasn't able to find any active blogs in the north west to see what they thought. The links below take you to the buoy data and the quickscat.


Very powerfull storm.

____Quickscat____ ____Buoy 46089____
winds with that snowfall rate,it would feel like you were being sandblasted.
The place to be if you're a snow lover

WOCN13 CWVR 041143
Special weather statement
Issued for the south and central interior of British Columbia by
Environment Canada at 2.43 AM PST Friday 4 January 2008.

A moist pacific frontal system crossing the southern interior later
today followed by a moist unstable airmass tonight will result in
significant snowfalls to Rogers Pass and Kootenay Pass. The heavier
snow will begin later this morning over Kootenay Pass and then later
this afternoon over Rogers Pass. Total snowfall accumulations
Through tonight will be 30 to 40 centimetres for Kootenay Pass
And near 20 cm for Rogers Pass. The snow level will rise this
afternoon to near 1200 metres for Kootenay Pass and to near 800
metres for Rogers Pass.

END/PSPC

This one mentions snowfall rates of nearly a foot per hour, which seems almost impossible (even with lake effect snow, that has to be rare):

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
317 AM PST FRI JAN 4 2008

...RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING STORM CONTINUES TO DEVELOP OFF THE WEST
COAST...


WITH STRONG LOW LEVEL JET NEAR 5000 FEET...THE WINDS WILL BE QUITE
STRONG AT THIS LEVEL AND ABOVE IN THE MOUNTAINS WITH THE POTENTIAL
FOR WIND DAMAGE TO OCCUR IN NEAR WHITE OUT CONDITIONS AS UPWARD
DYNAMICS WILL WRING OUT DEEP MOISTURE AS UPSLOPE CONDITIONS WILL
BE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY PRECIP TO OCCUR IN BANDS AS THE MOISTURE
COMES IN OFF THE PAC. POSSIBLE BARRIER JET ALONG THE FRONT RANGE
OF THE SIERRA WILL ALSO ACT AS A LOCALIZED PRECIP MAKER AS QPF
RATES DURING THE PEAK OF THE STORM COULD REACH UP TO ONE INCH PER
HOUR AND POSSIBLE SNOW FALL RATES OF UP TO 6 TO 10 INCHES PER HOUR

SNOW FALL AMOUNTS WILL BE 7 TO 10 FEET FROM YOSEMITE HIGH COUNTRY
THROUGH SEQUOIA PARK AND INTO KINGS CANYON NATIONAL PARK MAINLY
ABOVE 8000 FEET WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS ALONG THE CRESTS TO UPWARDS
OF 12 FEET


And with every update it seems like winds and snowfall both rise; for example, yesterday they said gusts up to 145 mph.
Those warnings aren't just nuts they are downright scary! I have family in Carson City, on the Nevada side of the valley. I think I'm going to email them to see how they are doing. They are on the east side of the Sierra's but they do get snow in bad storms - and it certainly sounds like this one is a bad one.

This is the time that you are so thankful you have a fireplace if you live in Tahoe. You loose power (and they just might with these fierce winds), it will be the only source of heat and light!

We had white out blizzard conditions once when we lived up there, but it didn't last long.

I also remember a winter trip up there in 1982, when we just made it down the mountain to Placerville before they closed the highway (50), and even Placerville was receiving torrential rain and had lost power for 2 days. That was one trip when we were soooo happy to be home!
Superstorm

Current Winds

The plains low level jet stands out nicely

Yeah I just had to go in to work today didn't I
the highest rainfall so far is 4 inches
highest 24hr snow depth....6 inches
Dr.Masters,
Thank you for the New Year's first blog update and the snowy dilemna in FL with 456's updates!
91. P451
That storm is just unbelievable. It's at 958MB right now (I could have sworn it was 957 earlier this morning) and it looks like 957 is going to be it's bottom. They have it 957 in 12 hours then 962 in 24 hours.
Geesh eagah - look at all those events! Where do you live? I have relatives in Citrus Heights, Auburn and Herald.

I'm trying to highlight this storm in my blog from my southern CA perspective. But for now, I've got to get going...trying to get things done before the rain arrives!
Tropical Weather Outlook for Indian Ocean south of the Equator...

1. An area of disturbed weather north of Madagascar. Circulation remains 25% open based on QuikSCAT derived winds. Microwave passes and conventional satellite imagery revealed some cloud banding around a core of thunderstorms. The disturbance is under 20-30 knots of southeasterly wind shear. Sea surface temperature under the disturbance is at 85F. Potential for development is low to moderate as wind shear is only forecast to drop to 20 knots in the next 24-48 hrs.

2. The remnants of Elnus becoming non-tropical south of Madagascar. QuikSCAT and satellite imagery indicated very well the merger of Elnus with a frontal boundary.

3. Elsewhere, there are no other features of interest.

by W456
the storm cross near buoy 46005 just like the last one...

First time poster, long time lurker.

This is sure a nice day to stay inside here in Sunnyvale (or should that be Rainydale). This PWS is less than a mile from my house. I just ventured outside about 45 minutes ago (and am about to leave again) - all I can say is I'm glad I bought new tires for my truck back in November.
Kings Beach Lake Tahoe Cam details

Kings Beach, CA United States

Hey folks. Good afternoon,

Looks like some wild weather on the west coast!!

BTW all my fish survived. Couldn't belive they made it. From fishy ice cubes to alright, amazing. I got some great shots of the ice cover on the pond.
01/04/2008 0753 am

Sacramento, Sacramento County.

Non-thunderstorm wind gust m66.00 mph, reported by ASOS.


Report from Sacramento international Airport - smf




01/04/2008 0825 am

Sacramento, Sacramento County.

Non-thunderstorm wind gust m69.00 mph, reported by ASOS.


Report from Sacramento Executive Airport - SAC




01/04/2008 0838 am

4 miles WNW of Elk Grove, Sacramento County.

Non-thunderstorm wind gust m71.00 mph, reported by mesonet.





01/04/2008 0800 am

Woodland, Yolo County.

Non-thunderstorm wind damage, reported by utility company.


Pg and E reported transmission poles down.




01/04/2008 0807 am

Woodland, Yolo County.

Non-thunderstorm wind damage, reported by law enforcement.


Chp reported an overturned big rig on Interstate 5 just
south of River Road.




01/04/2008 0830 am

Sacramento, Sacramento County.

Non-thunderstorm wind damage, reported by public.


80 foot Oak Tree down near the intersection of Elm and
Hazel.





01/04/2008 0727 am

Sacramento, Sacramento County.

Non-thunderstorm wind gust m61 mph, reported by ASOS.
hola bonedog!
Hey Lake
Here's a great IR loop from my software of the storm.Could get closer.



Large Loop Here
So this system will surely affect the entire country in some way, I would imagine... Its huge!
anyone have ideas about that?
Here's one more...

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1021 AM CST FRI JAN 04 2008

VALID 041630Z - 051200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

POWERHOUSE PACIFIC STORM WILL BE AFFECTING PAC COAST TODAY
ACCOMPANIED BY INTENSE WIND FIELD. THE SURFACE FRONT MOVED ONSHORE
NRN CA COAST AROUND 14Z AND BY 00Z WILL EXTEND FROM ERN OR SWWD TO
SCENTRAL CA COAST.

WITH REGARDS TO CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL WITH THIS SYSTEM...THE OBSERVED
LIGHTNING OFFSHORE RAPIDLY DIMINISHED AS THE FRONTAL SYSTEM MOVED
ACROSS THE COLDER COASTAL WATERS. WITH THE MID LEVEL COOLING
ACCOMPANYING THE UPPER TROUGH THAT MOVES INLAND THIS
AFTERNOON...POST-FRONTAL AIR MASS EXPECTED TO DESTABILIZE AS MID
LEVEL LAPSE RATES INCREASE TO IN EXCESS OF 7C/KM.

CONVECTION INCLUDING LOW TOPPED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP INLAND IN
WAKE OF FRONTAL ZONE THIS AFTERNOON W OF CASCADES AND NRN SIERRAS.
GIVEN THE INTENSE LARGE SCALE WIND FIELDS...ANY THUNDERSTORM COULD
BE ACCOMPANIED BY NEAR SEVERE SURFACE WIND GUSTS COASTAL AREAS OF
OR/NRN CA. HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ASSOCIATED WITH STRONGEST
UPDRAFTS.

..HALES.. 01/04/2008

Photobucket

Link
looking at the models Lake it appears the system moves into Canada after impacting the West Coast then degenerates rapidly. A day or two later it appears that its energy spins up a low around the panhandle then it tracks across the Great Lakes back into Canada
PROBABILISTIC HEAVY SNOW AND ICING DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD


A POWERFUL NORTHEAST PACIFIC STORM DRIVES A STRONG UPPER JET
ONSHORE INTO CA WITH THE ECMWF FORECASTING A PERSISTENT 110-130 KT
300 MB WIND MAXIMA ACRS CENTRAL CA. DIVERGENCE MAXIMA ALOFT IN
THE VICINITY OF THE JET WILL COMBINE WITH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FLUX
ANOMALIES OF 4-5 STD DEVIATIONS ABV NORMAL TO AID ASCENT AS STRONG
DEEP LAYER SOUTHWEST FLOW PROVIDES UPSLOPE FLOW ON TERRAIN FACING
TOWARDS THE FLOW. THE MODELS AGREE ON FORECASTING SEVERAL INCHES
OF LIQUID EQUIVALENT QPF AND ROEBBER NEURAL NET SNOW TO LIQUID
RATIOS ESTIMATE ROUGHLY 8:1 RATIOS...REMINDING US WHY THIS SNOW IS
SOMETIMES CALLED SIERRA CEMENT (WET AND HEAVY).
SEVERAL FEET OF
SNOWFALL ARE EXPECTED IN THE CA SIERRA ON DAY ONE AND TWO. THE
NEGATIVE TILT OF THE TROUGH AXIS CREATES A HIGHLY DIFLUENT FLOW
PATTERN ALOFT ACRS THE CASCADES AND THEN NORTHERN
ROCKIES....SUPPORTING ADDITIONAL AREAS OF HEAVY SNOW IN FAVORED
TERRAIN.

SNOW AND STRONG WINDS WILL BE SPREADING FROM THE SAWTOOTH MTNS AND
TETONS AND ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN REGION ON DAY TWO...REACHING
THE UINTAS AND WASATCH AND RANGES OF WESTERN CO AS THE STRONGER
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FLUXES SHIFT SOUTH ACRS UT/CO. THE HEAVIEST
SNOWS SHOULD AGAIN OCCUR IN THE MOUNTAINS WHERE THE TERRAIN HELPS
FOCUS LIFT...WITH THE STRONGEST JET FROM CA TO CO FOCUSING HIGHEST
AMOUNTS PLUS LOCALLY HEAVY SNOWS IN THE CASCADES TO THE NORTHERN
ROCKIES WHERE HIGHER SNOW TO LIQUID RATIOS COMPENSATE FOR THE
SLIGHTLY LOWER QPF FORECASTS.

ON DAY THREE...THE UPPER TROUGH AXIS MOVES INTO THE CO
ROCKIES...WITH MORE SNOW FROM THE UT WASATCH/UINTAS EAST INTO THE
ROCKIES AND MORE UPPER DIVERGENCE MAXIMA CROSS THE REGION.
FRONTAL LAPSE RATES STEEPEN ON DAY TWO IN UT AND DAY THREE IN CO
TO NEAR 7-8 DEG C/KM FROM 700-500 MB...FURTHER SUPPORTING ASCENT
AS MOIST SOUTHWEST FLOW PERSISTS UNTIL THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. THERE
ARE TIMING DIFFERENCES ON DAY THREE WITH THE 700 MB SHORTWAVE
CROSSING CO WHICH WILL HAVE TO BE RESOLVED.

MANUAL PROGS FOLLOWED A SREFMEAN/NAM/ECMWF/GFS BLEND ALL THREE
DAYS.

THE PROBABILITY OF SIGNIFICANT ICING IS LESS THAN 10 PERCENT.
Wind gusts reported over interior northern California through 10
am...

Site wind gust time
Sugarloaf RAWS... ... ... ... ... ... 78 mph... ... ... ... ..651 am
Pike County lookout RAWS... ... ..67 mph... ... ... ... ..710 am
Sacramento int'l Airport... ... ..66 mph... ... ... ... ..753 am
Marysville... ... ... ... ... ... ... .61 mph... ... ... ... ..802 am
Sacramento exec Airport... ... ... 69 mph... ... ... ... ..825 am
Blue Canyon... ... ... ... ... ... ... 65 mph... ... ... ... ..828 am
Beale AFB... ... ... ... ... ... ... ..69 mph... ... ... ... ..828 am
Elk Grove... ... ... ... ... ... ... ..71 mph... ... ... ... ..838 am
Suisun City... ... ... ... ... ... ... 60 mph... ... ... ... ..838 am
Stockton... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... 60 mph... ... ... ... ..838 am
Redding... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... .82 mph... ... ... ... ..849 am
Chico... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... 66 mph... ... ... ... ..855 am
Eagle Peak RAWS... ... ... ... ... ..65 mph... ... ... ... ..915 am
Lyons Valley RAWS... ... ... ... ... 73 mph... ... ... ... ..917 am
taz can i get a link to that data with the wind gust?
heard reports of 120mph gusts in the Mountains already!!!


000
FXUS65 KREV 041732
AFDREV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
930 AM PST FRI JAN 4 2008



STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS TODAY AS
WELL. WIND GUSTS OVER THE SIERRA CREST ARE CURRENTLY ANYWHERE FROM
100 TO 120 MPH AND EXPECTED TO STAY VERY STRONG..
.DROPPING OFF THIS
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.
got a remote site on the sierra crest!!

Link

updates hourly.

I see alot of 100 mph gusts
web cam from Reno
456 the link is in your blog
MN DY Hour Temp Dir Wind Speed Gust

1 4 1100 27 328 62 109
1 4 1000 26 325 61 105
thanks
What do y'all think about the Weather Channel being up for sale (estimated $5 billion). Fox and NBC are said to the top companies interested in buying although there are others rumored to have interest.


Be cool if wunderground bought the Weather
Channel though :)

Thoughts?
118. Eegah
Geesh eagah - look at all those events! Where do you live? I have relatives in Citrus Heights, Auburn and Herald.
I live in Antelope around the northeast corner of that map, but commute to downtown, half by car and the rest by light rail.

This morning, the car portion of the commute was actually just fine, actually better than usual for the morning rush hour. The train was another story, as its power went out continually making for frequent coasts and stops.

As luck would have it, the train couldn't get through about four stations from where I get off. Instead of the driver, you know, telling us we couldn't get through, she just started backing the train on the reverse route to go back home. No warning or anything.

So, I got a nice fish's-eye view of the storm, braving the worst of the winds on foot for the last mile or so to the office. Good times.

I don't think we hit actual hurricane-force winds here or anything, but it was plenty bad anyway, and since this happens so rarely here there are lots of fragile-rooted trees to fall over. Right now the winds have died down and we're just left with the downpour, which to be honest we really needed anyway.
Does Wunderground have 5 billion dollars?
Sully, they could just borrow it--leveraged buyout ya know :P
What do y'all think about the Weather Channel being up for sale (estimated $5 billion).

My thought is that it will be nice to see some ESS scientists make some money for once.
The scientists (meteorologists) don't own the Weather Channel. It was started by and still owned by Landmark communications--a relatively small cable tv operator in VA and NC. Landmark had an unusually innovative CEO, and he and John Coleman were the brains behind the start of the Weather Channel. Landmark also started the Travel Channel with less success.

Anyway Landmark is a small company not on the stock market--they may just want to cash out what the Weather Channel is worth.
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUREKA CA 506 AM PST FRI JAN 4 2008 ...VERY LARGE SWELL EXPECTED TO POUND THE NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA COAST TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY... .A POWERFUL NORTHEASTERN PACIFIC STORM WILL GENERATE HIGH SEAS THROUGH TODAY. THE SWELL FROM THESE STORMS WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA WATERS TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. CAZ001-002-050130- /O.CON.KEKA.SU.W.0001.080105T0600Z-080106T0000Z/ REDWOOD COAST-MENDOCINO COAST- 506 AM PST FRI JAN 4 2008 ...HIGH SURF WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM PST SATURDAY... A HIGH SURF WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM PST SATURDAY FOR COASTAL AREAS OF HUMBOLDT...DEL NORTE AND MENDOCINO COUNTIES. VERY LARGE WESTERLY SWELL WILL BUILD TONIGHT...AND REACH 28 TO 30 FT BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE SWELL WILL LIKELY CONTINUE VERY HIGH...NEAR 25 FEET...THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. SWELL OF THIS MAGNITUDE WILL CREATE VERY HIGH AND DANGEROUS SURF. IN ADDITION...A HIGH TIDE OF 6 TO 7 FEET IS FORECAST TO OCCUR BETWEEN 8 AM TO 9 AM ON SATURDAY. THE HIGH TIDE MAY COMBINE FORCES WITH THE VERY LARGE WESTERLY SWELL TO PRODUCE MINOR COASTAL FLOODING OF NORMALLY DRY AREAS.
121. StSimonsIslandGAGuy 2:35 PM EST on January 04, 2008
Sully, they could just borrow it--leveraged buyout ya know :P


Why in the world would they want it? They are a bunch of weather nuts (well most, someone must have a head for business and run round the parking lot figuring out what to do with the cars with doors locked and motors still running). The headaches involved in trying to salvage that shipwreck would make "Storm Stories" look like a walk in the park on a clear spring day.
(CNN) -- Fierce winds toppled trucks on a major Bay Area bridge and knocked out power to more than 100,000 people in Sacramento as wicked winter weather moved into California on Friday.

California transportation officials shut down the Richmond-San Rafael Bridge in the San Francisco area during Friday morning's commute when gusty winds blew over big rigs on both the upper and lower decks of the bridge, CNN affiliate KTVU reported.

Winds in the nearby Lucas Valley registered 83 mph, KTVU reported. The station also said the high winds forced 35 flights to be canceled at San Francisco International Airport, where wind was gusting at more than 60 mph.


wow. thanks for all of the stats and maps and images everyone...this is great to watch this storm this way...
Here's an article on the early effects of the storm in Northern Cali, including...
Since the storm hit early this morning, 750,000 customers from Bakersfield to Eureka were blacked out,
It's raining in my part of So Cal and I'm waiting to see what happens next. It won't be as bad as that, though.
Just wait if Faux News gets it--"Big storms heading your way--but first! Blond, Busty, Bikini-clad Blizzard Babes!" at 10!
The cold front associated with the monster low off the Pac NW coast is beginning to pass through the SF Bay Area. Winds are still strong and gusty from the south. Rainfall is moderate, heavy in spots. Winds on the other side of the front are shifting to SW, but still pretty strong. Numerous convective cells behind the front, so expecting thunder later. Winds along the crest of the Sierra gusting to 110 currently.
131. N3EG
Barometer here in WA has been hanging around at about 980 mb all morning...Link
It is too bad they don't have a weather observation post at the top of Mount Whitney, like they do at Mount Washington and Pikes Peak.
Look at the pressure map in the USA now---never seen a pressure distribution quite like this before http://coolwx.com/usstats/presstats.php
Im watching the observations from the sierra crest. I made the link in post 112.

WOW Sts i dont remeber seeing it like that either
Cool link! But Mount Whitney is almost 6,000 feet higher--would be interesting to see the winds and temps there!
The temp change, temp advection, and pressure change links are also cool. Don't try to set up a hotlink in a comment though--you have to type or paste in the link--it wont let you link directly from another page.
yea must be lowing like mad at 14K
afternoon,was just scanning through all the blogging,nice job to everyone some great links were provided.When all is said and done,I think you will some records set in different categories.
Whew. That was the biggest storm in a long time. Here in Marin County (San Rafael), I have received 5.50 inches of rain since midnight on top of 2.05 inches yesterday. Winds really got going in the early morning hours and reached 57 mph before my anemometer failed and the station was apparently dislodged from quarduple 4-inch bolts in the roof! I estimate that gusts here reached at least 80 mph--I saw a discarded Christmas tree fly up the street around sunrise--perhaps 90 mph. Numerous trees are down, most are without power, some roofs have been compromised, high-tension power lines are down on the roadways, and a substantial storm surge in San Francisco Bay crested about 2 feet above the seawall in San Rafael and flooded homes. The peak wind gust so far in the Bay Area was 107 mph in the Santa Cruz Mountains. Rain continues at a lesser intensity, but winds have died down behind the cold front. I do expect more significant rainfall with strong convective elements for the next 48 hours at least, and some strong thunderstorms with hail are likely. More at Weather West
Link
Truckee at 6000 feet in the Sierra has been reporting rain, not snow, all morning, reflecting the subtropical air being pulled in ahead of the cold front.
I'm surprised that the front has already passed thru the Santa Cruz Mtns. as it has yet to pass through the central bay section. Perhaps the front has a wave on it. The winds along the east shore of SF Bay and along the hills remain very strong and gusty at this moment, and the barometer has yet to start rising.
While surfing the web for storm reports in CA, I cam across Tazmanian. Located in Sulsbyville, ca. I thought it was interesting to see some of the pictures he has in the blog. Lot of wind damage and power outages all over CA. CNN has an article on some of the storm damage. Will have to see what the storm does over the next few days as far as going across the country. Looks like it may move to the north.
Faux pas. I see the poster is in Marin County, not the Santa Cruz Mtns. The front looks to be passing through Marin County right now.
Wind shifted to SW just now, less gusty, barometer turning---frontal passage here along the east shore of SF Bay.
~~~~~NEW BLOG UP~~~~~


~~~~~NEW BLOG UP~~~~~


~~~~~NEW BLOG UP~~~~~
Using the link in post #112, Ward Mt. has reported a wind gust of 163mph.
AP article on the storm:
Link
Can only imagine how many mudslides will occur in the fire ravaged areas.