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Honduras, Yemen struggle to recover from tropical cyclones; tropics remain quiet

By: Dr. Jeff Masters, 1:51 PM GMT on October 29, 2008

Rains have increased in northern Honduras over the past day, with 1-2 inches falling. Additional sporadic heavy rains of 1-2 inches per day are likely over the northern portion of the country through Saturday, as the tail end of a strong cold front interacts with the tropical moisture of the Caribbean. Tropical storm development is not likely in this area due to high wind shear.

The UKMET, NOGAPS, and ECMWF have all been pointing to the possible development of a tropical depression in the south central Caribbean Sea 6-7 days from now, off the coast of Nicaragua. I give a 40% chance that we will see a tropical depression form in the Caribbean 5-10 days from now--the upper level environment looks conducive for tropical cyclone development next week. A tropical wave, currently about 500 miles east of the Lesser Antilles Islands, is under high wind shear and is not a threat to develop.

Honduras struggles to recover from October floods
The situation in Honduras continues to be bad, due to ten days of heavy rains earlier this month from Tropical Depression 16 and a tropical disturbance. The flooding has left 33 dead, 16 missing, 40,000 homeless, and at least $150 million in damage in this impoverished nation of seven million people. The heavy rains this month have also killed seven in Costa Rica, five in Belize, six in Guatemala, four in Nicaragua, and four in El Salvador, for a total of 75 dead or missing.


Figure 1. Total rainfall from Tropical Cyclone 03B. Image credit: NASA TRMM.

Yemen cleans up after Cyclone 03B
In the Middle East, the nation of Yemen continues to recover from Cyclone 03B, which moved ashore October 23 as a tropical depression. Cyclone 03B dumped up to eight inches of rain (Figure 1) on the desert nation, which typically receives only a few inches of rain per year. The deluge from Cyclone 03B created destructive flooding that resulted in at least 180 deaths. The depression had an unusual amount of electrical activity, and nine deaths were due to lightning strikes. The Yemen cyclone is the fourth deadliest tropical cyclone of 2008. The three deadliest were Cyclone Nargis, which killed at least 146,000 people in Myanmar in May; Typhoon Fengshen, which capsized a ferry and killed approximately 1400 people in the Philippines June 19-21; and Hurricane Hanna, which killed 537 people, mostly on Haiti.

October summary of portlight.org Hurricane Ike relief efforts
Beginning balance on October 1, 2008: $11,000
Donations received: $3,800
Total available: $14,900

Expenditures:
Icepilot: $365 (fuel)

Software: $385 (Windows software to better facilitate communication with donors)

Scholarship: $950 to a wheelchair-bound Galveston college student who lost her job at a hotel in Galveston due to the destruction. The scholarship enabled her to finish the semester, which she otherwise would not have been able to do.

Last week's trip: $,(fuel, insurance, crew meals, and lodging enroute (they stayed with and were fed by EmmyRose while there), pizza and drinks for the Saturday meal on the Bolivar Peninsula. This mission delivered over $200,000 in donated supplies.

Supplies: $2,200 (this includes some last minute materials which had been requested but which we couldn't get donated, as well as all the supplies needed to repatriate BillyBadBird to his home place on the Bolivar Peninsula).

Ramps: $1,750 (building materials for reconstruction of ramps at over a dozen disability service organizations)

Salary for Stormjunkie: $1,800. He has put in four 60 hour weeks on this project, plus made two trips to the area. This project couldn't have been done without his hard work.

Total spent in October: $11,350

Remaining balance: $3,550

Escrow: beginning balance: $8,950
Expenditures: $1,500 Legal fees
Remaining funds: $7,450

Support the Portlight Christmas for Gulf Coast Kids Honor Walk
Portlight is sponsoring a new nationwide grassroots event to raise funds for and awareness of their ongoing efforts, specifically to provide Christmas presents (and maybe a big party) for kids and families in devastated Gulf coast areas. Paul Timmons (Presslord) of Portlight has pulled out all the stops in an effort to promote this effort, to the point of posing in woman's clothing. I am supposed to threaten to leave up this truly frightening photo until y'all cough up enough donations to give the people of the hurricane zone a proper Christmas.

Alternatively, committing to a monthly donation--no matter how large or small--will help them build a dependable revenue source, enabling continued operations in the most efficient and effective manner possible. 



I'll have an update Friday (or Thursday, if there's a major development to report). Happy Halloween!

Jeff Masters

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

Reader Comments

Konk and Seastp.
Did not mean to pass you all bye.
Yeah, 92L is still there, or thereabouts. Not faring well with the Westerly winds aloft.
But the weather here has indeed been real nice. Pretty clouds rushing along, showers, good visibility, cooler temps. Feels like a transition to dry season to me !!
In fact, life is pretty dam good........
hey pottery, I do feel a little kinship w/you. Been down there on business. A national co. of yours is a client of mine.

Edited: Long time client... since 1992
Yeaa, I poked around looking for Press too... did not find him.

Busy weekend coming up...thankfully no surf to conflict w/barnwork, and polo games. Looks like it won't be too windy either..... hopefully to warm just a tad more.

Spouse is off to Germany up coming week... poor dear ....he's very cranky about this ...hates the cold....and it's nasty in munich
496. Seastep

Rob's avatar is also blocked!


??? What's up with that?
I know I would love to visit Trin.... surf, rainforests, RUM and they must have polo somwhere
Quoting RobDaHood:
496. Seastep

Rob's avatar is also blocked!


??? What's up with that?


ROFLMAO... grade school setting and the app is very conservative. I'll usually up it to "young teen" for my daughter when she complains.
a humm, cough -- it's the enticing smile....
Quoting surfmom:
Yeaa, I poked around looking for Press too... did not find him.

Busy weekend coming up...thankfully no surf to conflict w/barnwork, and polo games. Looks like it won't be too windy either..... hopefully to warm just a tad more.

Spouse is off to Germany up coming week... poor dear ....he's very cranky about this ...hates the cold....and it's nasty in munich
Okay, back from the bar now, so here's to Pottery and all my WUblogger girls...and you too Seastep...even if you can't see me! cheers!
oh well, men are seeking out the domestic.... guess that's me... take care all - : )
Quoting surfmom:
sighhhhhhhh yellow fin tuna.........lucky girl!!!

Entire month of Oct is the fishing rodeo here in Destin. I have "friends" who fish every week-end, and I have been eating well! I am a lucky girl! Had some Trigger just a few days ago.
Quoting RobDaHood:
Okay, back from the bar now, so here's to Pottery and all my WUblogger girls...and you too Seastep...even if you can't see me! cheers!
Well, we WUblogger girls can see you! Cheers to Pottery and actually everyone! What an interesting group we are!
Quoting conchygirl:
Well, we WUblogger girls can see you! Cheers to Pottery and actually everyone! What an interesting group we are!

Got my glass of Erath Pinot, cheers!
Seastep. Small world. Who knows, we may have already met.....

Surfmom, no polo here. Check the Bajans, I think they do there.
Quoting conchygirl:
Well, we WUblogger girls can see you! Cheers to Pottery and actually everyone! What an interesting group we are!


interesting


well, that's putting it mildly, and in a very "G" rated sort of way...Thanks.
So, Pottery, you expecting anything out of 92L?
Just watching the fronts here. Weather in FL is great, even if KeyWestBrat has to wear socks.

Could possibly see some development well off the coast, maybe subtropical next week.
Well, A TOAST to all you jolly people.
Some months ago, Press and I were the only people on the blog, and the subject came up about "strange people".
Press said " nah, we are not strange, we are just 2 grown men sitting around on a Saturday night, at 10:00 oclock,
on a weather blog"

Made me think.............. (but only briefly)
Interesting exercise...

"Younger teen" = Dresslord pic and Rob's avatar still blocked.

"Older teen" = both revealed.

I'll have to do some more extensive testing, but maybe my daughter can have younger teen vs. child permanently iso upon request and review.
Rob, last time I looked, the westerly winds had 92 under heavy manners. Then they took it down. It looks like it is going back from whence.......
But, who knows ??
toast to u2 pottery!
Quoting pottery:
Well, A TOAST to all you jolly people.
Some months ago, Press and I were the only people on the blog, and the subject came up about "strange people".
Press said " nah, we are not strange, we are just 2 grown men sitting around on a Saturday night, at 10:00 oclock,
on a weather blog"

Made me think.............. (but only briefly)
Not too strange to me!
519. pottery

sort of my take too.
Hi The shepherd,

Thanks for the enquiry about the reef. I don;t know the answer to your question, will try to find out and report back.

For those who don't know, Belize has the largest LIVING barrier reef in the world. Very lovely. We also have a lot of rivers which bring down sediment from the Maya mountains. The reef is closest to the shore in the north, where the worst of the flooding has been.

Fyi, it is CHILLY here - at least, it feels chilly. Light winds, and cold front moving over. THREE comforters on my bed.

I have a weather station which I am planning to set up - after the Hurricane season is over. I have a superstition about this thing, every time I decide to get it set up, a hurricane starts heading our way!

Let me get this straight. A mindless mechanical device, has taken it upon itself, to expunge Rob from you view ??
Dresslord, I can understand, LOL

edited, the above to Seastep.
523 Hi Norfolk! My friend is coming to Belize on Sunday for 5 days. She is with Cabela's and will be fishing and diving. Lucky girl!
523. norfolknob

Thank you.
OATHS>>>>>>>>>
The cat jumped on the table, knocking my drink over, which filled up the printer. I can always get a new printer, but what an awful waste of rum.
Quoting sugarsand:

Got my glass of Erath Pinot, cheers!
I am a Chardonnay girl! Here we go, back to discussing drink.
Pottery,
did we scare all the girls off?

what about that sober girl with the keys, who's been gone since yesterday?
524. pottery

Read towards the end of page 9 and you'll understand. :)
Good evening... I'm still a bit traumatized by Press's picture... /sigh

Well... in regards the tropics... latest 18Z GFS has been trending a bit stronger with the slow in favor to the CMC and ECMWF. Guess we'll see what really evolves.
Conchy, where do you live?
Oh,
Conchy still here, good.

Pottery, charge that cat with alcohol abuse!
Quoting RobDaHood:
Pottery,
did we scare all the girls off?

what about that sober girl with the keys, who's been gone since yesterday?

We're drinking!
Yeah, Seastep, I have it figured out.LOL
Quoting sugarsand:

We're drinking!


Good to know.
Norfolk, I'll be in Belize next week too...I've dove your beautiful reefs (off the Nekton Pilot) but this time on a cruise and planning an excursion of horse back riding. Beautiful place!
Quoting sugarsand:
Conchy, where do you live?
Melbourne, you?
Ah, Sugar. A true WUBA. Love it!!
Seriously, I need to talk to some WU people from the keys. We're going down there in 3 weeks for T'giving so the boys can dive and I can drink (just kidding). We want to fish,dive, etc. I know there's KW Brat, who else?
The girl with the keys is with Sugar. I think she has changed her ways. Get new keys.......
Quoting conchygirl:
Melbourne, you?

Destin, the "panhandle"...hate that name for our location.
Quoting sugarsand:
Seriously, I need to talk to some WU people from the keys. We're going down there in 3 weeks for T'giving so the boys can dive and I can drink (just kidding). We want to fish,dive, etc. I know there's KW Brat, who else?
grew up down there, what do you need to know?
Quoting pottery:
The girl with the keys is with Sugar. I think she has changed her ways. Get new keys.......
Guess, someone will have to call a cab!
Quoting pottery:
Ah, Sugar. A true WUBA. Love it!!

My husband says I am obsessed with the weather, and I tell him "either you are obsessed or you don't give a flip". And yes, imbibing is a must.
Evening folks, hope all is well with y'all

523. norfolknob - Is this your first weather station? I would think it would be quite a blast to set one up. Very interesting

Does anyone else have a weather station?
Quoting conchygirl:
Guess, someone will have to call a cab!

Who is the girl with the keys with me??? I have been off the blog a few days.
Quoting sugarsand:

Who is the girl with the keys with me??? I have been off the blog a few days.
I don't have the keys, so you must be the DD tonight. This is getting pretty nuts! :)
Hi Folks

A quick check in tonight. The NW Caribbean under stiff NE winds for a second day. Really nice and cool.
Well we seem to have seen- off Rob and them. Its me and the girls....
SugarSand:

The WU google map shows: KwestPharm, KeyWestCanes,WindyNEYW...none of whom I know anything about...Brat is the only blog bud I have there.
543 Here is the loaded question. What is the weather "typically" like around T'giving. We are staying on Duck Key. My 16 year old is booked to dive every day. The 13 year old will dive and fish. We have wet suits, but is it rainy season? Last year we went to Key West and Caymans and the offshore winds were too bad to dive.
Quoting KEHCharleston:
Evening folks, hope all is well with y'all

523. norfolknob - Is this your first weather station? I would think it would be quite a blast to set one up. Very interesting

Does anyone else have a weather station?


I do. A Davis Vantage Pro 2
Hi Kman. Dont look for any sanity here tonight......
Quoting pottery:
Hi Kman. Dont look for any sanity here tonight......

Ah, yup !.

I see signs of winter madness LOL
Quoting kmanislander:
Hi Folks

A quick check in tonight. The NW Caribbean under stiff NE winds for a second day. Really nice and cool.
Hey Kman, haven't seen you in awhile but tropical weather is very quiet now which is great. I'll be in Grand Cayman (on a cruise) arriving there on Monday - know you folks love the cruise ships......was planning to dive but too early for us so we'll do Costa Maya in Mexico.....first cruise so should be interesting.
hope the cool weather continues for you kman heading over to the west coast of Nicar. for a surfing trip in Dec people are generally more hospitable when the weather is nice. plus it is easy to sleep there is no electricity where we are staying
Quoting RobDaHood:
SugarSand:

The WU google map shows: KwestPharm, KeyWestCanes,WindyNEYW...none of whom I know anything about...Brat is the only blog bud I have there.

K, thanks.
Quoting pottery:
Hi Kman. Dont look for any sanity here tonight......
Now Pottery, you know there is complete sanity in here tonight! LOL
560. DDR
Quoting pottery:
Hi Kman. Dont look for any sanity here tonight......

Hi pottery,hi kman and everyone else...
look @ that pic of press lol
Sugarsand,

"Typically" the weather will be mild, a little warmer than what you are used to in the panhandle. Good season to be in the keys, barring any tropical activity, which is "usually" over by then.
Quoting sugarsand:
543 Here is the loaded question. What is the weather "typically" like around T'giving. We are staying on Duck Key. My 16 year old is booked to dive every day. The 13 year old will dive and fish. We have wet suits, but is it rainy season? Last year we went to Key West and Caymans and the offshore winds were too bad to dive.


By November we are usually in the dry season here. We will get occasional showers if a wet enough cold front comes through but other than that the tap is shut off until the beginning of June. As far as temps go, it's still very nice. Might get a bit chilly at night on occasion, again if a front comes through. The water temps are generally in the 70's but you said you have wet suits so you should be all set. Winter/Fall is one the nicest seasons here. It's the time of year we love the most! Hope that helps.
Quoting conchygirl:
Hey Kman, haven't seen you in awhile but tropical weather is very quiet now which is great. I'll be in Grand Cayman (on a cruise) arriving there on Monday - know you folks love the cruise ships......was planning to dive but too early for us so we'll do Costa Maya in Mexico.....first cruise so should be interesting.

That's what we did last year right before Christmas. You will love Costa Maya.
Quoting conchygirl:
Hey Kman, haven't seen you in awhile but tropical weather is very quiet now which is great. I'll be in Grand Cayman (on a cruise) arriving there on Monday - know you folks love the cruise ships......was planning to dive but too early for us so we'll do Costa Maya in Mexico.....first cruise so should be interesting.


Hi There. I haven't been on much, no action in the tropics.

Hopefully the weather will settle down by the time you get here Monday. The last two days have been rainy and overcast with no sun and NE winds at 20 mph.

My office is right on the water about 400 feet from the dock where the cruise tenders come ashore. I'll give you a wave from my 4th floor window LOL
Hi DDR.
We changed his name to Dresslord.........
Quoting sugarsand:
543 Here is the loaded question. What is the weather "typically" like around T'giving. We are staying on Duck Key. My 16 year old is booked to dive every day. The 13 year old will dive and fish. We have wet suits, but is it rainy season? Last year we went to Key West and Caymans and the offshore winds were too bad to dive.


Rainy season is over unless something pops up or a front is over. Winds are zero right now for me in SE FL, and really, Thanksgiving is an absolutely beautiful time down this way.
Quoting CapeObserver:


By November we are usually in the dry season here. We will get occasional showers if a wet enough cold front comes through but other than that the tap is shut off until the beginning of June. As far as temps go, it's still very nice. Might get a bit chilly at night on occasion, again if a front comes through. The water temps are generally in the 70's but you said you have wet suits so you should be all set. Winter/Fall is one the nicest seasons here. It's the time of year we love the most! Hope that helps.
Thank you! Are you in the Keys? We love the fall here in the panhandle, too. Touristas are gone for the most part.
Quoting DDR:

Hi pottery,hi kman and everyone else...
look @ that pic of press lol


The diamond on the finger is the redeeming feature LMAO
Quoting sugarsand:
Thank you! Are you in the Keys? We love the fall here in the panhandle, too. Touristas are gone for the most part.


I'm in Cape Coral, SW but spend a good amount of time going to the Keys.
Quoting sugarsand:
543 Here is the loaded question. What is the weather "typically" like around T'giving. We are staying on Duck Key. My 16 year old is booked to dive every day. The 13 year old will dive and fish. We have wet suits, but is it rainy season? Last year we went to Key West and Caymans and the offshore winds were too bad to dive.
Ah, Duck Key - you picked a very, very nice spot. I've spent some very nasty Thanksgivings but some extremely nice ones too....as you know we are still in 'cane season but I think you'll find some great weather for diving/fishing, etc. I am not particularly fond of Looe Key for diving (too shallow) but the dive boats should find some great spots for ya'll. Fishing is always good and if you want to do the touristy things (and even the locals love it), go to the No Name Pub on Big Pine and also Rob's Grill in Big Pine. Key West is totally tourist town (in my opinion). But you'll have fun whatever you do!
Quoting pottery:
Well we seem to have seen- off Rob and them. Its me and the girls....


Not bloody likely!
The weather here in the Cayman Islands right now is very windy, about 30 mph and overcast. It's been like this all week so I knwo what you are saying. blockquote class='blogquote'>Quoting Seastep:


Rainy season is over unless something pops up or a front is over. Winds are zero right now for me in SE FL, and really, Thanksgiving is an absolutely beautiful time down this way.
573. DDR
Quoting pottery:
Hi DDR.
We changed his name to Dresslord.........

LOL,how was your weather today,there were some breif but heavy showers today.
Quoting kmanislander:


Hi There. I haven't been on much, no action in the tropics.

Hopefully the weather will settle down by the time you get here Monday. The last two days have been rainy and overcast with no sun and NE winds at 20 mph.

My office is right on the water about 400 feet from the dock where the cruise tenders come ashore. I'll give you a wave from my 4th floor window LOL
We have been there three times and loved it. Swam in Sting Ray City (for the boy's sake), and were scheduled to dive with South Point last year but no go. Love your area.
Quoting sugarsand:

That's what we did last year right before Christmas. You will love Costa Maya.
Great news....we haven't been there before, so the barrier reef is good? Nice to get such good info here.
Quoting conchygirl:
Ah, Duck Key - you picked a very, very nice spot. I've spent some very nasty Thanksgivings but some extremely nice ones too....as you know we are still in 'cane season but I think you'll find some great weather for diving/fishing, etc. I am not particularly fond of Looe Key for diving (too shallow) but the dive boats should find some great spots for ya'll. Fishing is always good and if you want to do the touristy things (and even the locals love it), go to the No Name Pub on Big Pine and also Rob's Grill in Big Pine. Key West is totally tourist town (in my opinion). But you'll have fun whatever you do!
We are soooooooo ready for a vacation. Long hard summers here. Do you still see the Pine deer? Little bitty things they are.
LOL Rob, heheheh

DDR, some heavy ones here too. Brief. Great weather.
hi kmanislander-it's blowing a lot harder in East End. Can hear the wind whistling outside. Check out weatherincayman.com
Kman: Will wave to you too - well, the boat arrives at 8 am so unlikely I'll be awake at that hour. Done all the 7-mile beach things but will go out for lunch somewhere.
Quoting sugarsand:
We have been there three times and loved it. Swam in Sting Ray City (for the boy's sake), and were scheduled to dive with South Point last year but no go. Love your area.


Not being a diver myself I have never heard of South Point but the diving here is known around the world to be spectacular.

Deep or shallow, whatever grabs your fancy.
Feel a little kinship with the Cayman folks, too, in addition to pottery. Clients. All good folks. ABC's too. :)
Quoting conchygirl:
Great news....we haven't been there before, so the barrier reef is good? Nice to get such good info here.

Awesome if the vis is good and winds aren't crazy.
Quoting sugarsand:
We are soooooooo ready for a vacation. Long hard summers here. Do you still see the Pine deer? Little bitty things they are.
The Key Deer are lovely little creatures and yes there is no shortage of them. I too love them!
Quoting conchygirl:
Kman: Will wave to you too - well, the boat arrives at 8 am so unlikely I'll be awake at that hour. Done all the 7-mile beach things but will go out for lunch somewhere.


If you need any tips drop me an e mail.

Gotta run now to watch Lost. Sooo addictive LOL

Gnite all
You have been keeping busy, Seastep.
Quoting kmanislander:


Not being a diver myself I have never heard of South Point but the diving here is known around the world to be spectacular.

Deep or shallow, whatever grabs your fancy.
South Point is the dive company and we were going to dive the wall. You can walk out from their dive shop location and not have to be on a boat. We plan to come back. Conchy, be careful drinking and shopping. I almost go into trouble.
Quoting sugarsand:
South Point is the dive company and we were going to dive the wall. You can walk out from their dive shop location and not have to be on a boat. We plan to come back. Conchy, be careful drinking and shopping. I almost go into trouble.
Yep, I know about that....we dove Bob Soto's and many times at Cayman Dive Lodge, East End, until Ivan took it out. It should be pretty much rebuilt and quite the resort. East End is my absolute favorite!
Quoting pottery:
You have been keeping busy, Seastep.


Gotta pay the bills. Really need to get busy again... have allowed some relationships fade. :(
Ok, gotta work tomorrow.....night all!
Quoting kmanislander:


Not being a diver myself I have never heard of South Point but the diving here is known around the world to be spectacular.

Deep or shallow, whatever grabs your fancy.


Yes, Cayman's are in the top spots in the world but, no offense, Bonaire is THE best in the world, IMO.
Hey ya'll, time to go. Have a WUnderful evening!
Quoting Seastep:


Yes, Cayman's are in the top spots in the world but, no offense, Bonaire is THE best in the world, IMO.
last post........haven't been to Bonaire but heard wonderful things.
Gonna break for a while and eat my supper. You girls watch out for that Pottery character. Don't like the looks of his Avatar!(LOL)
Quoting RobDaHood:
Gonna break for a while and eat my supper. You girls watch out for that Pottery character. Don't like the looks of his Avatar!(LOL)
supper at 10 pm? and I thought I was a night owl!
Quoting conchygirl:
supper at 10 pm? and I thought I was a night owl!


I thought you said last post? ;)

Goodnight all, I just got the "Is it a big weather night?" (sarcastically) from the wife... her show (one of the one's I refuse to watch) must be over...
Quoting Seastep:


I thought you said last post? ;)

Goodnight all, I just got the "Is it a big weather night?" (sarcastically) from the wife... her show (one of the one's I refuse to watch) must be over...
see how we are? truly off now!
Huh, Dont mind Rob, girls. He's just trying to come between us.
hehehheh
Quoting conchygirl:
see how we are? truly off now!


Yep. LOL. Off now... "you have five minutes."

And I'm not even going to refresh or I'll miss it. ;)
Quoting Seastep:


Yep. LOL. Off now... "you have five minutes."

And I'm not even going to refresh or I'll miss it. ;)
ok, you win, I went for a cup of camomile tea and checked back in....I imagine I am the last person on here!
Conchygirl you going cruising next week
Quoting Robin08:
Conchygirl you going cruising next week
you all are reeling me in so I can't go to sleep....yes, going cruising next week. LOL
you should have a blast we have been about 5 times husband dives he dove mexico, jamaca, grand cayman. liked mexico the best
well I'll sign off so you can go to sleep.
Quoting Robin08:
you should have a blast we have been about 5 times husband dives he dove mexico, jamaca, grand cayman. liked mexico the best
you got my interest now....This will be my first Mexico diving.....hearing some scary things about Mexico....leaving the divers....etc. But we love Caymans (been there many times)....never been to Jamaica..........gotta but it on the list, think I am so excited about the trip that I can't slow down - first cruise ship trip.
He dove there twice he liked it so much did a drift dive along a 2000 ft wall. No problems.
Oh yea that one was during a tropical storm a couple of yrs ago. At first the ship cancelled all dives but I guess people not happy. After he dragged all his gear back to the cabin they allowed only expert divers to go. He staid it was great crystal clear.
night talk to you later
Wow, reading back a couple pages, they are going to come in here in the morning and think we all went totally insane! They might be right.
Good morning DocBloggers!

Off topic, but Texas had an earthquake last night. 3.0, right in between Dallas and Fort Worth. It was shallow, at only about 5 miles deep. Certainly some folks felt something, being so highly populated.
Magnitude 3.0
Date-Time

* Friday, October 31, 2008 at 05:01:54 UTC
* Friday, October 31, 2008 at 12:01:54 AM at epicenter
* Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones

Location 32.809°N, 97.011°W
Depth 5 km (3.1 miles) set by location program
Region NORTHERN TEXAS
Distances

* 6 km (4 miles) SW (225°) from Irving, TX
* 9 km (5 miles) ESE (120°) from Euless, TX
* 10 km (6 miles) N (3°) from Grand Prairie, TX
* 21 km (13 miles) W (273°) from Dallas, TX

Location Uncertainty horizontal +/- 16.6 km (10.3 miles); depth fixed by location program
Quoting aquak9:
where is that?
look on the map, post 610. In Texas, between Dallas and Fort Worth.
Morning Folks.

Next week looks interesting according to the models and even the HPC is backing it up...

OFFSHORE THE EAST COAST...A CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO OCCLUDE AND MOVE SLOWLY NORTHEAST FROM THE BAHAMAS INTO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC SHIPPING LANES REMAINING BLOCKED BY A POSITIVE
ANOMALY/RIDGE MOVING ACROSS EASTERN CANADA. CYCLONE PHASE SPACE DIAGRAMS INDICATE THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF SUBTROPICAL CYCLOGENESIS /00Z CANADIAN/ WITH THIS SYSTEM. STAY TUNED.


Good morning...
Hey Everyone,

Wx - scrolled right past your post last night. Brief burst of craziness here. Wasn't ignoring you.
Looks like the 06Z GFS has shifted again.
Hehe... np Rob... saw the thread and just knew people were having fun with it, so wasn't expecting an acknowledgment. :P

Heck I was going to be surprised if I got one.

But looks like a wet weekend is about to shape up for at least the E half of the FL Peninsula. Will be interesting to see what takes shape late this week into Monday.
Morning Rob and Wx
Quoting RobDaHood:
Looks like the 06Z GFS has shifted again.


Well, is like it's said around... location, location, location... of that High and its strength.

CMC did a pretty good job early on in forecasting the cyclogenesis and it has been flip flopping a bit in regards this High pressure strength. We'll see what evolves.
Morning Bone...
Hey guys.
Quoting WxLogic:

...But looks like a wet weekend is about to shape up for at least the E half of the FL Peninsula. Will be interesting to see what takes shape late this week into Monday.


We'll see about that. Maybe the models will stabilize a bit soon. At least the GFS is thinking a little further offshore with that mess it's predicting. Nothing imminent and scary though.
Hi Cot...
Hi Bone, Cottillion.

Cot, you disappeared on me last evening. How is your weather today? Any better?
Quoting RobDaHood:
Hi Bone, Cottillion.

Cot, you disappeared on me last evening. How is your weather today? Any better?


I did? I apologise. :( Guitar Hero must've got the better of me...

And yes, it's reasonable today. Bloody cold, but clear at least.
Quoting RobDaHood:


We'll see about that. Maybe the models will stabilize a bit soon. At least the GFS is thinking a little further offshore with that mess it's predicting. Nothing imminent and scary though.


Interesting to note on the IR Sat Images... is the SC field deepening about 100NM E of the FL NE / ENE Coast. Which tells us that there's definitely a good source of low level moisture being tap (namely the Gulf Stream) as it is still quite warm for this time of the year and the rather "cool" conditions above this warm water is helping on developing a healthy SC field.

If it sustains and if a new NE wind surge does materializes to bring it closer to the coast we shall see a reall quick airmass modification accross the E portions of FL. Will be interesting to see if it holds.
Thanks guys,

My router is getting blasted by somebody, firewall went into lockdown mode for a couple minutes. Gotta go see what that's all about and then handle some "work issues"

Later.
Morning Cotillion.
Good Morning. Dont you guys know that early birds get worms ??LOL
It is coming down in buckets on me, and no sign of a cloud on the satpics here. Its great.
A load of moisture in the Atl this morn, down to the equator. But it is being pushed back east still.
And earthquakes in Texas.
Mother Earth is rousing ??
Yeea HA! Good Morning -- LOL, Pottery... I say good night to you and wake up to you.....might see more of you then the spouse (nooo not really)

woooo - Earthquakes in Texas??? Got to check that out. TampaSpin has a great Earthquake link...
Morning Aqua - see your the girl w/the news today
Morning surfmom
Oklahoma had one yesterday also same size as Texas



LOL Surfmom. Its true. Have not seen her for 4 dam days. She is in the south of the Island, judging a primary school Seed Collection project.
It was her idea, so they roped her in. Funded by a big Gas producer here. The kids go into the forest, collect seeds, ID them, Germinate them, and do a workbook on their experience. Lots of drawing and stuff.
Now she is talking about getting container-loads of forest seeds, and going to Haiti....
She is having a blast.
All is well.
this pic shows they were almost inline with each other



and also almost exactly 12hrs apart.
........the idea is to get the young ones to notice, understand, and hopefully love the forest, so when they grow up they will protect the forest. The kids enthusiasm for the project is a real upper.
Looking at the earthquake maps. There are no plate boundaries there. Why is it moving around ??
aloha Bonedog
636 - TERRIFIC project Pottery - really, really like the concept.....going to file that one.

Seed projects are important... especially since Monsanto is trying to buy up and patten seeds -- thus control world food stock.

I see that what you speak about is different then food stocks -- but it will make the kids aware of the value of seeds
Oh yes Pottery -- these projects do work.... when you watch something come to life.... you become bonded.....you become it's Shepard.... I just LOVE the idea....
Been up drinking coffee since 5:30am -- no wonder I'm zooming already
TampaSpin mentioned some concern for the west coast/earthquakes per what he viewed on the map in the next few weeks. I'm clueless on this --so I am observing.
Morning All: Weather warming up today - 68 this morning. Like those 40 mornings best.
pottery to answer your question about the earthquakes not near plate boundries


EARTHQUAKES IN THE STABLE CONTINENTAL REGION
Most of North America east of the Rocky Mountains has infrequent earthquakes. Here and there earthquakes are more numerous, for example in the New Madrid seismic zone centered on southeastern Missouri, in the Charlevoix-Kamouraska seismic zone of eastern Quebec, in New England, in the New York - Philadelphia - Wilmington urban corridor, and elsewhere. However, most of the enormous region from the Rockies to the Atlantic can go years without an earthquake large enough to be felt, and several U.S. states have never reported a damaging earthquake. The earthquakes that do occur strike anywhere at irregular intervals.

Earthquakes east of the Rocky Mountains, although less frequent than in the West, are typically felt over a much broader region. East of the Rockies, an earthquake can be felt over an area as much as ten times larger than a similar magnitude earthquake on the west coast. A magnitude 4.0 eastern U.S. earthquake typically can be felt at many places as far as 100 km (60 mi) from where it occurred, and it infrequently causes damage near its source. A magnitude 5.5 eastern U.S. earthquake usually can be felt as far as 500 km (300 mi) from where it occurred, and sometimes causes damage as far away as 40 km (25 mi).


from the USGS
morning conchy
Good morning morning crew, temp in Macon,Ga at 34 F, 92% wet air. Earth is rocking and rolling allright, earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter shows yesterdays numbers, 23 at 2.5 and above for southern Calif, 15 at 2.5 and above for Alaska. That seems to be a lot of rocking and rolling for one day!
Thanks, Bone.
Happy Halloween to all!!!
Quoting pottery:
Thanks, Bone.
Pottery - you were here late last night too! And looks like you were the early bird this am! LOL
Conchygirl, have a lovely time in "Da jooell" - Belize. I don't dive, snorkel occasionally, and fish. Hope you will get good visability - the forecast is for pretty nice weather. Evenings are chilly atm so bring sweater.

I run a relaxed small resort, Steppingstones (2 cabanas)mainly for fishing in a very remote spot. It's a retirement business, most of my time I spend working managing the local school as a volunteer. Husband Chris is working on a big erosion project here, trying to get the government to act on erosion of the nearby village caused by water extraction - 20 homes under immediate threat from the sea. Signatures on our petition always welcome! Link
no problem Pottery

Morning Spicy and Happy All Hallows Eve to you too
and for you Celts Happy Samhain
LOL Conchy. But bone, Rob and Logic beat me too it this morn.
The heavy rain here woke me at 6, to close some windows...
Quoting Bonedog:
morning conchy
Morning Bone - how's your weather this beautiful Friday! Looking forward to the little ghoals this evening.
Morning All.

Yeah, the 06ZGFS shifted again. Have to see if the information loaded 12Z does the same.

84hr 00ZCMC



120hr 00ZUKMET

UKMET is a little slower with the evolution, mainly because it is showing a rather significant system taking shape in the Western Caribbean. CMC is much faster with the Bahama's low.
Morning Norfolk - sounds like a great project you are working on and quite worthwhile. I'll check out the link. Actually, we'll be horseback riding in Belize - 3 hour ride so hoping to see some great countryside!
Cold but clear this morning shaping up to be a nice day.

Yea hoping to get a few kids at the door tonight we'll see. Some years more than others =)
How much do we have to pay to never see that picture again?
DAMN thought I made it through Mischeif Night unscathed.. wife just called and said the mailbox is smashed to bits. Must have happened after I left for work this morning. Little Bast@rds.
Be sure to wear jeans on the horseback ride -- don't want stir-ups chafing raw skin --also if you can snitch some apples or carrots and bring them with you -- (ask the owners first) but nice to treat your ride after they have worked (and have no bits in their mouth)
Quoting Bonedog:
DAMN thought I made it through Mischeif Night unscathed.. wife just called and said the mailbox is smashed to bits. Must have happened after I left for work this morning. Little Bast@rds.
That is horrible! My husband would be so pi....ed!
GM,all,23 deg. this morning,but should be a nice evening for all the little devils tonight,sounds like you had a few devils around your house,Bone
Surfmom - jeans are packed. Good idea about the carrotts - have to see if the cruise ship will provide some to me, what a nice thought!
I am I made the mailbox over the summer. 2 weeks worth of work destroyed for some morons laughter.

UGH I am so mad right now.

BRB need a smoke now.
Yea it does NE. Morning BTW. Sometime betwen 4am and 6am when the wife woke up.
Conchy, Oh yes... I know you like nakey toes.... NO Sandals while riding...sneaks do fine
surfmom just gave the little rats that trashed your mailbox...... "stink-eye"..... karma will take it from here
Quoting surfmom:
Oh yes... I know you like nakey toes.... NO Sandals while riding...sneaks do fine
too funny, I have actually ridden in sandals but this will be a long ride so will wear old running shoes. Work is calling, check back later.
Wish I could take the ride w/you -- we had wonderful experiences exploring the sierra madre mts., PuertaVallerta... and riding in Costa Rica -- keeps you close and in contact w/the land.... was the best way to see Monkeys in CR
Thanks surfmom ;)

Looks like a day spent in the shed making a new one this weekend.

I will add a little surprise to this one though hehehehehe
LOL Listening to you girls talk about riding in the jungles makes me remeber my vacation to DR and riding, well more like holding on for dear life, on the beach
Morning all,
Lots of rain in T&C overnight and this am...
More than I would have guessed by looking at Satellite photo.
Bar. high w/ ENE wind 8-10 mph
Been soul-searching over the past week and have been through war in my mind. Through this, I have discovered that I have so much that I need to straighten out mentally. So, I have made the difficult decision to step aside from weather forecasting indefinitely and will not be updating my website for quite some time. Just send me a message if you have any response since I don't want comments to clog the blog. I hope you will all understand this move. Have a great weekend and look forward to returning in the future.
mornin all
Wanted to repost my warning from last night...keep it going throughout day, please.
Gotta get ready to run to Orlando and Trick o' Treat with the grand youngins'.
****Candy warning****
Canadian Food Insp Agency has recalled Sherwood brand "Pirates Gold Chocolate Coins" as they contain Melamine....Do not eat !!!!
*************************************

Peace and love
Have a safe "good ol'fashion Halloween"
Good morning everyone....its a very cold 61 here this morning.......lol
Morning Tampa
672 - Bonedog

Years ago, a friend of mine had the same trouble, teenagers with baseball bats were doing it, they would do a drive by with one of them hanging out the rear window with the bat. After losing two mailboxes, the guys at his shop at Eglin AFB made him an 18guage steel box welded to a 3 in gal pipe, and came out after dark and concreted it in the ground. Two nights later they heard wood splintering and screaming, the cops found the kid at the emergency room with bones sticking out of his wrists! Never happened again.
Wasnt doing steel but am using concrete. Using an old plastic mailbox as a form, pouring concrete over small rebar, then building my wooden mailbox around that. Basically will look like your average mailbox until.. well you described it above :)
My dad had to replace many mailboxes when i was young.......had some friends that loved to pick on each other.......lol
Happy Halloween people:)

Still scarey in Honduras as rain won't stop. 24hr acumulations.

I know I've been MIA for near a month now. Took some time to play in the forest which always brings on some soul searching. Realized how spoiled I've become on the satalite views but within a week I could just watch it real time outside & get an overall sense of the big picture for the east without the need of satalite verification..like I used too.

cchs~ enjoy your time away:)
469 above

Quoting cchsweatherman:
Been soul-searching over the past week and have been through war in my mind. Through this, I have discovered that I have so much that I need to straighten out mentally. So, I have made the difficult decision to step aside from weather forecasting indefinitely and will not be updating my website for quite some time. Just send me a message if you have any response since I don't want comments to clog the blog. I hope you will all understand this move. Have a great night and look forward to returning in the future.
675 above

Quoting cchsweatherman:
Been soul-searching over the past week and have been through war in my mind. Through this, I have discovered that I have so much that I need to straighten out mentally. So, I have made the difficult decision to step aside from weather forecasting indefinitely and will not be updating my website for quite some time. Just send me a message if you have any response since I don't want comments to clog the blog. I hope you will all understand this move. Have a great weekend and look forward to returning in the future.