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Historic 3-day tornado outbreak kills at least 40

By: Dr. Jeff Masters, 2:45 PM GMT on April 18, 2011

In a stunning display of violence, close to 200 tornadoes rampaged across the Midwestern and Southeast U.S. April 14 - 16 in one of the largest tornado outbreaks in history. At least 40 people died in the tornadoes, making it the deadliest tornado outbreak since the Super Tuesday tornado outbreak of February 5 - 6, 2008, which killed 57 people. Severe thunderstorms and flash floods killed at least seven more people in this April's severe weather outbreak. Hardest hit was Bertie Country in northeast North Carolina, where an EF-3 tornado carved a path of destruction 18.8 miles long and 1/2 - 3/4 miles wide, killing 11 people in the town of Colerain. It was the deadliest single tornado in the United States since May 10, 2008 in Picher, Oklahoma and Neosho, Missouri, which killed 21. Also hard-hit Saturday was the Raleigh area, where a 3/10 mile-wide tornado carved a 63-mile long path of destruction through downtown. Damage was rated EF-2 in downtown Raleigh, but was EF-3 along other portions of its path, and the tornado killed five people. The 23 tornado deaths in North Carolina made Saturday's outbreak the deadliest day for tornadoes in the state since 1984, when the infamous March 28 tornado outbreak killed 57 people and injured 1248. The 1984 outbreak had more violent tornadoes--seven F4 twisters in all. None of the tornadoes in this year's outbreak have been rated above EF-3, as of yet.


Figure 1. Viewer-uploaded photo sent to WRAL of damage in Fayetteville, NC on Saturday.


Figure 2. Radar reflectivity image of North Carolina on Saturday during the height of the tornado outbreak, showing four simultaneous hook echoes of tornadoes. The storm at the top of the image is the EF-3 tornado that ripped through Raleigh, killing five people.

One of the largest tornado outbreaks in history
NOAA's Storm Prediction Center logged 120 preliminary tornado reports on Saturday, 120 on Friday, and 27 on Thursday, bringing the 3-day total to 267 twisters. In past years, these preliminary tornado reports typically were an over-count of the actual confirmed tornado totals by about 15%. However, this year the Storm Prediction Center stopped trying to filter out preliminary reports they thought were from the same tornado, so the over-count may be higher. Even so, the 3-day April 14 - 16 2011 tornado outbreak will likely will end up with close to 200 confirmed tornadoes, making it the largest tornado outbreak since the 235 tornadoes recorded in the May 22 - 31, 2008 outbreak. According to a list of tornado outbreaks maintained by Wikipedia, only two other tornado outbreaks have had as many as 150 twisters--the May 2004 outbreak (385), and the May 2003 outbreak (401). An average April typically has 150 - 160 tornadoes across the entire U.S.


Figure 3. North Carolina Department of Transportation worker Steven Hoag sat in his car filming the EF-2 tornado that hit Wilson, North Carolina on Saturday. We can hear his side of a cell phone conversation to his sister as the tornado passes directly over him, unroofing a Walgreens store across the street. His calmness and lack of concern are truly extraordinary to hear (in an interview with the local ABC affiliate, Hoag attributes his calmness to his family upbringing, and to being an ex-Marine.) Hoag was very fortunate, as the 120-mph winds of the tornado rolled several cars as much as 100 feet.

Another significant severe weather outbreak coming on Tuesday
NOAA's Storm Prediction Center is predicting another major severe weather outbreak for the Midwest on Tuesday, when a strong cold front is expected to sweep across the Mississippi and Ohio River Valleys. A "moderate" risk of severe weather is expected across much of Missouri, Illinois, and Indiana. The weather conditions are not expected to be as conducive for severe weather as was the case Saturday, when SPC placed much of North Carolina in their "high risk" area for severe weather, the only "high risk" forecast they've issued this year.


Figure 4. Severe weather risk for Tuesday.

Wikipedia has a nice summary of the April 14 - 16 tornado outbreak.

Jeff Masters
Tornado - Pine Apple,AL
Tornado - Pine Apple,AL
Tornado just south of Pine Apple, AL on around 5:40pm. This storm was a part of the Alabama tornado outbreak on April 15, 2011. earlb.com VIDEO - See video of tornado at earlb.com
Between Water Front Park and Holiday City Mobile Home Park
Between Water Front Park and Holiday City Mobile Home Park
Jacksonville NC
Tornado
Tornado
Taken near Pike 277 and MO-NN.

Tornado

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

Reader Comments

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
242 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
COAL COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
SOUTHERN HUGHES COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...

* UNTIL 330 PM CDT

* AT 240 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM NEAR CENTRAHOMA TO 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
OLNEY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

HAZARDS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS...
WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH...

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE CENTRAHOMA...CLARITA...COALGATE...
OLNEY AND TUPELO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE TORNADOES WITH NO ADVANCE WARNING.
MOVE IMMEDIATELY TO A STORM SHELTER... BASEMENT OR STURDY BUILDING IF
A TORNADO IS SIGHTED.



LAT...LON 3460 9609 3443 9641 3443 9651 3463 9650
3469 9643 3469 9641 3471 9640 3478 9626
3490 9609 3469 9608
TIME...MOT...LOC 1940Z 242DEG 37KT 3463 9628
Still holding on too. Half expecting to see 91L pop up on the NRL & ATCF sites later today.
Quoting CybrTeddy:
CMC, GFS, NOGAPS, UKMET, ECMWF all showing some sort of development with the CMC and GFS being most aggressive. Main problems will be with shear & April SST's.

Still, impressive we're talking about near unanimous model support for a system in April. If it gets named, it will probably take until Friday for it to get going with dissipation probably by Sunday.

The setup somewhat reminds me of TD-1 in 2009.. but even more so reminds me of Tropical Storm Ana in 2003.

Yep. The setup is marginally favorable for an STD to form, but I really don't think the conditions are right for a named ST. (based on shear, water temps, the trough, and small window)
Quoting jeffs713:

Yep. The setup is marginally favorable for an STD to form, but I really don't think the conditions are right for a named ST. (based on shear, water temps, the trough, and small window)


I could see 40 mph, but nothing more. CMC is obviously overboard with this though.
interesting:

Magnitude
4.6
Date-Time
Monday, April 18, 2011 at 15:38:03 UTC
Monday, April 18, 2011 at 11:38:03 AM at epicenter
Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones
Location
32.454°N, 65.707°W
Depth
10 km (6.2 miles) set by location program
Region
BERMUDA REGION
Distances
88 km (54 miles) WNW of HAMILTON, Bermuda
992 km (616 miles) ESE of Nags Head, North Carolina
994 km (617 miles) ESE of Ocracoke, North Carolina
1197 km (743 miles) SSE of BOSTON, Massachusetts
It's gulf bound!!





Sarcasm flag: On
Ahhhh, the times of writing, "gulf coast residents need to keep a wary eye on this system as explosive development looks likely once it reaches the Florida Straits".
Better early than never...........

Arleeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeene......in April!!!

WOOOOOW!!!
Quoting CybrTeddy:


I could see 40 mph, but nothing more. CMC is obviously overboard with this though.

Pretty much. The CMC is great for forecasting possibilities (and as others have said, sometimes gets a jump on the other models), but its positive feedback within storms is irritating to say the least.

I tend to stick with ECMWF, GFDL and HWRF (and sometimes NOGAPS, UKMET, and GFS) for more precise modeling.
Good afternoon all. Just April and the high down here today was 102F.
Looking nice. Won't be surprise to see this become 91L.
514. Jax82
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:


If we could only link directly from that site instead of having to upload! Those supercells sure would be cool to look at, if you were just to the west of them.
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:

Puff puff, like a chimney.
Quoting Jax82:


If we could only link directly from that site instead of having to upload! Those supercells sure would be cool to look at, if you were just to the west of them.
can not link it its a pay site you have to pay a monthly fee to get a user name and password for access
Quoting jitterboy:

Puff puff, like a chimney.
Its going to be impressive in about a couple of hours, when the sun starts setting on the storms, and you get to see more defined shadows.
Quoting Ameister12:
Looking nice. Won't be surprise to see this become 91L.


Doubt the National Hurricane Center will ever put a floater or declare it as an invest.

520. JRRP



wave
It begins..................



BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
331 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL ATOKA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...

* UNTIL 415 PM CDT

* AT 332 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR ATOKA...MOVING
EAST AT 35 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE ATOKA RESERVOIR...ATOKA...DAISY...
NORTHERN MCGEE CREEK LAKE...REDDEN AND STRINGTOWN.
Quoting sammywammybamy:


Doubt the National Hurricane Center will ever put a floater or declare it as an invest.



Hey Sammy!

Should be quite an interesting week.
Station 41044
NDBC
Location: 21.652N 58.695W
Conditions as of:
Tue, 19 Apr 2011 19:50:00 UTC

Winds: NNE (30°) at 7.8 kt gusting to 9.7 kt
Significant Wave Height: 8.2 ft
Dominant Wave Period: 9 sec
Atmospheric Pressure: 29.91 in and falling
Air Temperature: 77.5 F
Water Temperature: 78.8 F

Thunderstorms now starting to pop around Orlando. Very dark sky looking east of Wekiva Springs.
Quoting Ameister12:
Looking nice. Won't be surprise to see this become 91L.
It does look rather healthy for April...:)....On a different note..This water vapor image is about to light up with incredible speed......It is 3:45 P.M. Central Time...In 2 or 3 hours,..... boom.
Quoting hurricanealley:


Hey Sammy!

Should be quite an interesting week.


I missed this blog...

Been so caught up in my studies and life.

How have ya been?
Quoting jeffs713:

I think a solid majority of us would love a "good soaking rain". An inverted trough that somehow, through magic or luck, that makes it all the way over to SE TX would be awesome.


That would be nice. Seems to be on everyone's mind. Sadly, we'll probably have to wait.


The Atlantic's hurricane season could begin as early as this week
By Eric Berger, Houston Chronicle Link

It feels like it's way too early for the Atlantic hurricane season to begin - it doesn't officially start until June 1 - but there's a buzz in the meteorology community about the possibility of the season's first named storm forming this week.

We're not talking about anything that's going to threaten land, and I actually doubt it's going to develop. But it's a possibility, and since we're just in April for goodness sake, it's worth talking about...

So what are the chances that this system actually acquires the characteristics of a subtropical storm and gets named "Arlene" by the National Hurricane Center? I put the question to tropics forecaster Chris Hebert at ImpactWeather. His reply:

"Sea surface temperatures in the area are a bit cool for tropical development, and wind shear is quite high for tropical development. But neither of these two factors would prevent the development of a subtropical type low pressure system.

"Will that happen with this week's low pressure system? Probably not. I think that a low center will likely form, but I think that wind shear may remain a bit too strong for thunderstorms to persist near its center for a long enough time to become classified as a subtropical storm."


For us the action won't begin for five or six more weeks, at least. By then, given our drought, we probably won't mind some modest tropical weather.














Quoting RitaEvac:
Ahhhh, the times of writing, "gulf coast residents need to keep a wary eye on this system as explosive development looks likely once it reaches the Florida Straits".


Was that about Rita?
Summer thunderstorm pattern has now commenced here in C and S FL.
Quoting hurricaneben:


Was that about Rita?


They need the rain BAD


Florida and the Carolina's could get some rain.


Wist more of TX could get some of this
Quoting sammywammybamy:


I missed this blog...

Been so caught up in my studies and life.

How have ya been?


I been doing very good lately. Heavy work hours has kept me from visiting the site. I haven't posted in Dr Jeff's blog for months!

TORNADO WARNING ST LOUIS MO - KLSX 359 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2011
TORNADO WARNING TULSA OK - KTSA 358 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2011
Quoting RastaSteve:
Summer thunderstorm pattern has now commenced here in C and S FL.


We sure need the rain... Lake O has been dry for too long.
Link

tornado
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
I see a big brush fire near the southern most thunderstorm. (The high rez you posted )...This will be a nasty outbreak of severe weather....I hope folks are ready to take cover if needed.
540. JRRP


Quoting hurricanealley:


We sure need the rain... Lake O has been dry for too long.


Popping thunderstorms right now around Orlando. Thunder is really beginning to get loud now.
Quoting emcf30:


Wist more of TX could get some of this
That tornado is hookin right...
Quoting JRRP:




Possible subtropical system in diagram two is moving wnw in that diagram.
Reed Timmer: Meteorologist and Extreme Storm Chaser
Tornado on our live stream right now
Live video from Reed Timmer, Chris Chittick, Joel Taylor, TornadoVideos.net - TornadoVideos.net Vide
weather.wdtinc.com
Reed Timmer, Chris Chittick, Joel Taylor, TornadoVideos.net:"" Watch live streaming video of storm chasers as they search the plains for dangerous supercell thunderstorms and their
Quoting SQUAWK:
It begins..................



BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
331 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL ATOKA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...

* UNTIL 415 PM CDT

* AT 332 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR ATOKA...MOVING
EAST AT 35 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE ATOKA RESERVOIR...ATOKA...DAISY...
NORTHERN MCGEE CREEK LAKE...REDDEN AND STRINGTOWN.


Hopefully this doesn't touch down. Atoka county was hard hit by a tornado last Thursday.
Quoting stormwatcherCI:
Good afternoon all. Just April and the high down here today was 102F.

Wow!!
You can keep that!
Overcast here, but slightly so.
Had a cloudburst yesterday with 2.5" around noon.
Raindrops the size of Nevada.
548. IKE

Yea Ike got a couple clasps of thunder here in South Orlando. Still no rain. Need it
Quoting IKE:





Amazing View of the SeaBreeze and the flow.
552. IKE

Quoting emcf30:
Yea Ike got a couple clasps of thunder here in South Orlando. Still no rain. Need it
Hope you all get some.
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
515 PM EDT TUE APR 19 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTH CENTRAL ORANGE COUNTY IN FLORIDA

* UNTIL 600 PM EDT.

* AT 515 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL. THIS
STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR LAKE MARY JANE...OR 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
ORLANDO INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...AND MOVING NORTHWEST AT 5 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL OTHERWISE REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL
AREAS OF THE INDICATED COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58 MILES AN
HOUR AND OR LARGE DESTRUCTIVE HAIL. FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING
AND VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. IF THE STORM APPROACHES
YOU...SEEK SHELTER IN AN ENCLOSED BUILDING ON THE LOWEST FLOOR. KEEP
AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
if the tornado is on the ground and as impressive as its radar signature nw of st. louis...i pray for those in the path...
SPECIAL MARINE WARNING
Waterspout near Santa Isabel
http://www.puertoricoweathercenter.com
Good evening everyone. Wow, I'm surprised so see people talk about 91L in April. Did we have 90L already? Did I miss it? I wasn't on the blog all the time.
Quoting taistelutipu:
Good evening everyone. Wow, I'm surprised so see people talk about 91L in April. Did we have 90L already? Did I miss it? I wasn't on the blog all the time.


There was 90L last month from a little extratropical system near Canary Islands (near Azores/Spain).
Link

Nice looking tornado near Bowling Green. Reed is closing in
Wilson man's tornado video goes viral

"Despite the attention he's getting – Hoag was interviewed on The Today Show – he said he's not sure he'd do it all over again.

"Regrets? Oh yes. Next time (I'll) keep driving," he said."
Good evening... I see some of you have been watching the possible early development in the west CATL.
Quoting pottery:

Wow!!
You can keep that!
Overcast here, but slightly so.
Had a cloudburst yesterday with 2.5" around noon.
Raindrops the size of Nevada.
Heat is unbearable. My central a/c has gone on the bum and just using window units in the bedrooms. The rest of the house is like a furnace. Praying for rain too. Had a 5 minute shower last night but that hasn't helped much. :(
I don't see this AOI developing, generally strong wind shear and moderate SSTs. I think of 90L from last May, and it looks just like this...everyone was excited and then nothing came of it.
568. flsky
Clasps?? Yow, sounds kinda dangerous!!

Quoting emcf30:
Yea Ike got a couple clasps of thunder here in South Orlando. Still no rain. Need it
Quoting RastaSteve:
Summer thunderstorm pattern has now commenced here in C and S FL.


ehhh this isn't the summer thunderstorm pattern yet, moisture is still far too low to be the wet season pattern yet, and storms are too isolated for that. However this is the precursor to the wet season pattern. This is something we have typically not seen til mid to late May in the last few years. So we are certainly getting a nice start, I have never seen this much persistent upper 80's to low 90's here on the west coast of Florida either. Water temps are also probably the warmest Ive ever known to date. Water temps are already around 80.

In a few weeks the wet season pattern should really be cranked up.
Quoting MrstormX:
I don't see this AOI developing, generally strong wind shear and moderate SSTs. I think of 90L from last May, and it looks just like this...everyone was excited and then nothing came of it.
90L we had that back in march as our first invest the next one is 91L
Quoting hurricaneben:


There was 90L last month from a little extratropical system near Canary Islands (near Azores/Spain).


Thanks. I wasn't aware of that. I'm surprised to see that they labeled an extratropical system 90L, must have had a chance for subtropical development at some point to merit the 90L.
3/4 inch hail was reported at orlando excutive airport. lots of thunder here at my place but no rain yet.
Quoting MrstormX:


Those are some booming cloudtops!
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
90L we had that back in march as our first invest the next one is 91L


No I think you misunderstand, I am referring back to an invest from last year that is very similar to the current AOI.



581. JRRP
Quoting MrstormX:


No I think you misunderstand, I am referring back to an invest from last year that is very similar to the current AOI.




,
Quoting JRRP:

the second graph is wrong


It's just a reference to 90L of May, 2010.
Bermuda seems to recognize the feature on it's 4 day chart.

Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
AOI/XX/XL
MARK
22.30N/57.13W



It's really starting to build convection out there. Looks like the shear over it may have decreased a little. It's on course for another area of bad shear though, it'll plague it throughout it's life.

Ah, an April AOI. What a lovely birthday present :)
OK...Spring is here...had my first drunken tourist relieving himself on my shrubbery today...
AOI/XX/XL
MARK
22.81N/58.13W

How out of the ordinary is an AOI in April?
Quoting presslord:
OK...Spring is here...had my first drunken tourist relieving himself on my shrubbery today...
I forgot to make a deposit before leaving hooters...:0
Quoting Jedkins01:


ehhh this isn't the summer thunderstorm pattern yet, moisture is still far too low to be the wet season pattern yet, and storms are too isolated for that. However this is the precursor to the wet season pattern. This is something we have typically not seen til mid to late May in the last few years. So we are certainly getting a nice start, I have never seen this much persistent upper 80's to low 90's here on the west coast of Florida either. Water temps are also probably the warmest Ive ever known to date. Water temps are already around 80.

In a few weeks the wet season pattern should really be cranked up.


Oh I sure hope so!
The sea breeze just let up a little and now the storms that were inland of Fort Myers Fl are starting to head in my direction.
Tornado near Bowling Green, MO today. Destroyed one home and some farm buildings. Weird thing is it hit just a few miles away from the pic of the tornado just below Dr. Master's text in this blog.


Link
Quoting spathy:


Oh I sure hope so!
The sea breeze just let up a little and now the storms that were inland of Fort Myers Fl are starting to head in my direction.


Yeah it should get cranking in May the way things are headed, of course I could be wrong but some years the wet season does get fired up in May, and this April the weather has been like May so we the wet season might just be approaching pretty soon.


Why does the cell in Desoto county not have warning? It has a DBZ rating of 65 and a hail core of 1.50 inches, probably some strong winds too.
Very violent thunderstorms in Illinois...
am I the only one getting red crosses (radar down) on WU radar? yet when I go to it directly, it's there. But regional is blank, too.

St. Louis, north of there, about to get whacked.
tornado on the ground reed timmer
Reed Timmer has a large tornado on his live stream!
Link
Decent rotation in the Timmer video
Funnel/Tornado on the comstock stream as well

Link
that looks terrible, Nea. We never get that dark here during a storm.
Illinois looks like a battleground tonight...Strong thunderstorms from the Wisconsin border all the way to East Saint Louis.

Quoting Neapolitan:
Big one:

Comstock: http://weather.wdtinc.com/popout/index.php?M=1016 4&C=20226&O=10212

Timmer: http://weather.wdtinc.com/popout/index.php?M=1016 4&C=20226&O=10011


Does Reed have audio? Last few times I've followed I haven't heard any. Following Comstock now.
607. DDR
Good Evening all
Light winds and plenty heat this afternoon in Trinidad lead to some heavy showers again along the mountains of which i picked up 1.53 inches between 3 and 7 pm.
got no audio on reed, comstock feed real choppy
Quoting aquak9:
got no audio on reed, comstock feed real choppy
Quoting aquak9:
got no audio on reed, comstock feed real choppy


Same here Aqua. Had good audio on Comstock for awhile but now the feed's frozen.

Jim R. Bounds, The Associated Press
Mackayla Jones comforts a dog with a broken leg in Askewville, N.C., after a tornado moved through the area.

Shards of glass from old bottles and furniture smashed by a tornado that tore through town littered the concrete floor of Rhonda Carter's antique store, shattering her plans to open an auction house in nearby Salemburg. A storage area in the back was flattened.


"I just had a feeling something bad was going to happen, and it did," Carter said of Saturday, when storms raged through Bonnetsville and other parts of North Carolina, killing at least 23 and damaging or destroying more than 800 homes. "Now I'm starting over."

From remote rural communities to the state's second-largest city, thousands of residents hit by the most active tornado outbreak recorded in North Carolina's history were clearing away rubble and debris, repairing power lines and facing a recovery that will cost tens of millions of dollars. Gov. Beverly Perdue on Tuesday requested a federal disaster declaration for 18 counties, which would open up federal aid.

The storms that chugged across the South last week killed at least 46 people in six states, but the worst devastation came over about four hours Saturday in North Carolina. A confirmed tally had been difficult to reach because of the far-flung destruction and multiple government agencies involved.

The Associated Press confirmed the identities of each of the 23 who died in North Carolina with relatives, local officials or state troopers.

"In the blink of an eye, so many people have been plunged into grief and crisis," said Preston Parrish, executive vice president of ministry at the Billy Graham Evangelistic Association, which dispatched its disaster-response teams to four areas of the state.

One was Bertie County in the state's northeast corner, where the ministry also deployed volunteers just seven months ago, after floods devastated the county seat of Windsor and surrounding communities.

At least two tornadoes hit the county in rapid succession, one doing enough damage to kill 11 people. The twisters descended suddenly, with only about 15 minutes of warning.

"I saw it coming, we got in there, and as soon as we hit the door, boom, it hit," said Roy Lee, whose house was destroyed. "About three minutes max it was over."

When it was over, Lee's neighbor, 60-year-old Peggy Leary, was dead.

The National Weather Service said Tuesday that its preliminary analysis has identified 25 different tornadoes in North Carolina. That's three more touchdowns than during a March 1984 event that included more powerful systems and killed twice as many people but was largely isolated to the Interstate 95 corridor.

Saturday's outbreak spread across more than half the state, from near Winston-Salem to the Outer Banks.

Perdue and other officials toured the damage Monday, pledging prompt support to rebuild. Charities, religious groups and emergency shelters sprang into action, offering their services to residents well-versed in disasters like hurricanes, who suddenly found themselves in the path of a very different type of storm.

Bertie County's property damage was at least $2.5 million, but that figure doesn't include infrastructure damage or the loss of crops. Bertie County produces tobacco, peanuts and soybeans, among other staples. Statewide, costs will likely be at least in the tens of millions because the weather raged through densely populated cities, trashing homes, businesses and public buildings.

Employees in Wake County, where Raleigh is located, estimated Monday that local costs will be around $65 million, county commission Chairman Paul Coble said, an estimate he expects to rise.

One mobile home in Raleigh was the site of four deaths, including 6-month-old Yaire Quistian-Nino, who had been listed in critical condition at a nearby hospital. Yaire was killed along with her 9-year-old brother, Daniel Quistian-Nino, and two cousins, 8-year-old Osvaldo Coronado-Nino and 3-year-old Kevin Uriel Coronado-Nino.

Authorities have said that Yaire's mother moved all the kids into a closet when the storm came in but that a large tree fell on the home. Police have said the mother was momentarily knocked unconscious but survived.

In Roseboro 60 miles south of Raleigh, Larry Tanner had heard the warnings on TV, but at home with his wife and two of his three children, he looked outside and it was sunny.

He thought he was safe until his son, Jonathan, 19, a volunteer firefighter, walked in and his pager went off. A tornado had just touched down in Ammon about 10 miles way. Tanner walked outside and spotted a funnel cloud headed toward the house.

"Turn around," he shouted at his son.

Jonathan was trapped inside the front door. The column from the front porch hit him on the head, cutting a deep gash. The windows blew out, sending shards of glass flying like shrapnel.

Tanner was knocked on his back and watched as the winds ripped the roof off the house.

It lasted about a half-minute.

"It was terrible. I couldn't breathe. The dirt and debris got in my lungs," Jonathan recalled Monday, his voice trailing off. He was quiet for a moment.

"I thought we were going to die."

More than a quarter-million people lost power during the storm, but by late Monday that had dropped to a few thousand. The storm not only brought down power lines, but crews responding to outages found the storm had been so strong that some wires had simply vanished.

Emergency workers took damage estimates to see if uninsurable losses reach $10.3 million, the minimum amount needed for North Carolina to qualify for federal disaster assistance. Residents without insurance were advised to take photos of the damage before they clean up. And the emergency workers tell everyone to put debris in two piles: construction materials and vegetative materials.

But beyond the material losses are injuries that won't be remedied as quickly.

Gary Cary, 46, who lives in Roseboro, got his wheelchair up a ramp into his mother's house moments before a tornado blew through the area, shattering the home's windows. Both he and his mother lived, but his own home was obliterated. Worse, he said, was the death of Possum, the 8-year-old calico cat he called "my right arm."

"I could have lost my life," he said. "My mother could be gone. It's just rough. Real rough."

By Brock Vergakis and Mitch Weiss,Associated Press

Vergakis reported from Windsor. Associated Press writers Tom Breen, Martha Waggoner and Mike Baker in Raleigh, and Jeffrey Collins in Columbia, S.C., contributed to this report.
Quoting StAugustineFL:


Does Reed have audio? Last few times I've followed I haven't heard any. Following Comstock now.


SWIFT doesn't have audio, but it does have higher quality video.

Link
frozen feed here too, St.Aug. No audio at all.
liable to add more statistics after tonite, pat.
Quoting MrstormX:


SWIFT doesn't have audio, but it does have higher quality video.

Link


Thank you
Yeah,,sad to see those numbers rise.

Wouldn't be surprised to see another watch issued for Northern Illinois.
People trapped in destroyed structures in Girard, IL according to SPC.
Major damage is being reported, including people trapped in the Girard, Illinois area.
"According to reports, the worst of the storm damage from either reported tornadoes or severe storm damage seems to have been in Auburn, Girard, Nokomis and Kincaid."
-Springfield Illinois Journal
Quoting Jedkins01:
Rick Scott is an embarrassment to Florida. He decided to not participate in filing a law suit against the oil disaster in the gulf. But then again he is a former billionaire businessman so why am I not surprised he doesn't care about nature/the environment. I'm not saying all business owners don't care, the boss of the electric company I work for is a multimillionaire and he is a strong supporter of wild life conservation and protection of of the environment, and he is also an avid fisher/hunter/outdoorsman.

It just seems like anytime you have billionaire businessman becoming politicians it usually is a sign of bad news for the environment. Not to say that is a rule, but it often seems to be common place.


*cough* Donald Trump

EF3 OR GREATER EVENT
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:

EF3 OR GREATER EVENT
70 dBZ or better on some of those signatures..
The line of storms in both Southern Missouri and in Illinois look very powerful on radar.
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
717 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2011

ARC083-113-127-149-200030-
/O.CON.KLZK.TO.W.0027.000000T0000Z-110420T0030Z/
POLK AR-SCOTT AR-YELL AR-LOGAN AR-
717 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2011

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EXTREME SOUTH CENTRAL
LOGAN...WEST CENTRAL YELL...EASTERN SCOTT AND NORTH CENTRAL POLK
COUNTIES UNTIL 730 PM CDT...

AT 711 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS
DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED 4 MILES NORTHEAST OF LAKE WILHELMINA...OR
6 MILES NORTHWEST OF MENA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH. LAW
ENFORCEMENT REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD NOT ON THE GROUND.

* LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH OF THIS DANGEROUS STORM INCLUDE...
STONEHOUSE REC AREA... CARDIFF...
Y CITY... UNION HILL... RICH MTN...
PARKS... OLIO... NOLA...
NEEDMORE... HARVEY... GRAVELLY...
EAGLETON... CEDAR CREEK... BOLES...
BLUE BALL... WOLF PINNACLE... SHILOH...
MILL CREEK REC AREA...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN LITTLE ROCK.

&&

LAT...LON 3462 9433 3464 9435 3469 9436 3510 9375
3489 9360 3465 9416
TIME...MOT...LOC 0016Z 245DEG 33KT 3466 9426

$$

225
Quoting Jedkins01:


Donald Trump as President would likely be the worst thing that's happened to American leadership in a very long time. Let's hope that never happens. As many things Obama does do that bothers me deeply, I would vote to have him re-elected if Donald Trump became the Republican Nominee.
Guys like Trump just savor every minute they are headline, top of the food chain news...He has become even worse in that regard over the years...This is a very powerful line...
I just realized the University of Illinois is directly in the line of one of those tornado warnings, on that nasty bow echo in Central Illinois.
Tornado warning for St. Louis. Low hanging wall cloud heading into the area.
639. code1
Hey KOG! Will watch for your's (really good to see you still here), and other's updates in the a.m. Take care all in the path! Damn the storms, but love the watching!
always forever watching
641. code1
I know, and it is comforting. You, along with others. Take care!
ANY CONFIRMATION OF ANYTHING ON THE GROUND IN THE ST. LOUIS AREA YET?...I HAVE ALOT OF FAMILY IN THE AREA, IN EDWARDSVILLE, FAIRVIEW HIEGHTS ALL THE WAY EAST TO CENTRALIA...LOOKS REAL BAD...


Never mind false positive
Quoting watchingnva:
ANY CONFIRMATION OF ANYTHING ON THE GROUND IN THE ST. LOUIS AREA YET?...I HAVE ALOT OF FAMILY IN THE AREA, IN EDWARDSVILLE, FAIRVIEW HIEGHTS ALL THE WAY EAST TO CENTRALIA...LOOKS REAL BAD...

St. Louis isn't quite out of the gun yet, but I haven't heard any tornado reports in the area.
000
NWUS53 KLSX 200050
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
750 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0749 PM FUNNEL CLOUD PRAIRIE DU ROCHER 38.08N 90.10W
04/19/2011 RANDOLPH IL TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

GKS
Derechoish looking. Heads up to those in front of it.

000
NWUS53 KILX 200057
LSRILX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
757 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0602 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 N AUBURN 39.59N 89.75W
04/19/2011 SANGAMON IL EMERGENCY MNGR

FARM BUILDINGS DAMAGED

0605 PM TSTM WND DMG CHATHAM 39.67N 89.70W
04/19/2011 SANGAMON IL EMERGENCY MNGR

ROOF DAMAGE IN CHATHAM

0640 PM TSTM WND DMG TAYLORVILLE 39.52N 89.26W
04/19/2011 CHRISTIAN IL EMERGENCY MNGR

RAIL CARS BLOW OFF TRACKS

0714 PM TSTM WND GST MONTICELLO 40.03N 88.57W
04/19/2011 M66.00 MPH PIATT IL MESONET

0730 PM HAIL CHAMPAIGN 40.11N 88.26W
04/19/2011 M1.00 INCH CHAMPAIGN IL TRAINED SPOTTER

0730 PM TSTM WND GST 2 W MAHOMET 40.19N 88.44W
04/19/2011 E65.00 MPH CHAMPAIGN IL TRAINED SPOTTER

60-65 MPH ESTIMATED NEAR CHAMPAIGN AND PIATT COUNTY LINE

0735 PM HAIL 3 SW PESOTUM 39.88N 88.31W
04/19/2011 M1.00 INCH CHAMPAIGN IL EMERGENCY MNGR

0745 PM HAIL OGDEN 40.12N 87.96W
04/19/2011 M0.50 INCH CHAMPAIGN IL CO-OP OBSERVER

0745 PM TSTM WND GST 2 WNW HUTTON 39.41N 88.10W
04/19/2011 E65.00 MPH COLES IL MESONET


&&

$$

LAUFENBERG

Got to be careful with anticyclonic tornadoes on bows like the one in Illiana.
If your interested, stumbled across this just now on the Derecho item from 09.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EyvTuWAexMU
Quoting hydrus:
Guys like Trump just savor every minute they are headline, top of the food chain news...He has become even worse in that regard over the years...This is a very powerful line...


Yeah he sure is...

Yeah that is a very impressive line of thunderstorms. Definitely great stuff for storm chasing.

Meanwhile back home here in Florida, there is a very impressive light show from some inland thunderstorms to my east. Its amazing to see any sea breeze thunderstorm activity in April. Even more so because we have strengthening ridge overhead. Its because we have a persistence of very warm temps near 90 which has helped to boost water temps enough to start building the low level moisture.

Its still way too early for a wet season regime, not nearly enough moisture and lift yet. However low level moisture was high enough to punch through the very dry and sinking air aloft from the ridge to produce a few storms. The CAPE got to around 4000 today and we have some unstable air above the high pressure inversion so the storms that have popped have been impressive today.

My friend who lives in interior Florida said he had about 2 inches of rain, some down limbs and 0.50 to 0.75 inch diameter hail, not bad for April sea breeze convection :)
Mean lookin line of storms...
AOI/XX/XL
MARK
22.81N/58.13W

It's a "Go" for Endeavour's Launch on April 29
Tue, 19 Apr 2011 03:53:52 PM CST



NASA managers announced that space shuttle Endeavour is ready to launch next week on its final flight to the International Space Station following a daylong Flight Readiness Review on Tuesday. Endeavour is scheduled to launch Friday, April 29, at 3:47 p.m. EDT.


"We had a very extensive and thorough review today," said Bill Gerstenmaier, NASA's associate administrator for Space Operations. "I think the things that impressed me the most is that the team is still continuing to really work issues and look at the vehicle performance on each and every flight just like they would during any normal mission."

"We're ready to go fly," Gerstenmaier said.

All analysis and inspections of External Fuel Tank-122 confirmed its integrity after repairs were made because of damage sustained during Hurricane Katrina, according to Gerstenmaier.
NW wind at buoy 41044.
Is that a derecho just north of indy?
Link

Live blog from Kokomo Ind.
Quoting eddy12:
Is that a derecho just north of indy?


I'm to the northeast of Indy, and was wondering likewise. Sure is looking impressive! Tornado warnings now for the counties to my immediate west, so I'm next.
I'm just NE of Indy in Fishers...should be through here in about 10 minutes. Sirens are going off here in hamilton county and you can just feel the energy in the air. It's been a weird weather day for us. Basement for us tonight.
Nocane you better get anything that can fly around inside went through a derecho in 99 all I can say is holy sh*t seen bad straight line winds before but nothing like that best of luck to you and yours
Quoting LS1redline:
I'm just NE of Indy in Fishers...should be through here in about 10 minutes. Sirens are going off here in hamilton county and you can just feel the energy in the air. It's been a weird weather day for us. Basement for us tonight.


Muncie here. I got about a half hour till it hits I guess. Stay safe.
Quoting eddy12:
Nocane you better get anything that can fly around inside went through a derecho in 99 all I can say is holy sh*t seen bad straight line winds before but nothing like that best of luck to you and yours


Appreciate it. Yeah I got everything put up yesterday, I figured today was going to get rough. Had a derecho go just to our south a year or 2 ago, but don't recall being in one.
Quoting MrstormX:
Got to be careful with anticyclonic tornadoes on bows like the one in Illiana.


How often does that occur in the northern hemisphere? What causes them?
Astro I know they are very rare but not sure what causes them
Our AOI looks rather tropical right now, what happens if the convection lasts?
Quoting all4hurricanes:
Our AOI looks rather tropical right now, what happens if the convection lasts?


The convection is being generated by a nearby upper-level low, which can be seen quite nicely on water vapor animations.
bow echoes may spawn anticyclonic tornadoes
Keeper - that it one wicked stormline marching eastward..
Quoting AllyBama:
Keeper - that it one wicked stormline marching eastward..
yes something wicked on the move
Quoting KoritheMan:


The convection is being generated by a nearby upper-level low, which can be seen quite nicely on water vapor animations.

Ahh, whats that mean development wise for the low level circulation?
Quoting all4hurricanes:
Our AOI looks rather tropical right now, what happens if the convection lasts?
then we go to invest status then we wait some more
This will be a long night for many. After the last event, I think people will be more cautious and leery.
Quoting AllyBama:
This will be a long night for many. After the last event, I think people will be more cautious and leery.


Hoping you're right....Ally,
Wow, check it out!

Keeper....seems to be moving pretty fast...a nasty looking line...
Apr. 19, 2011 5:45 pm ET

- A windy storm and cold front race eastward midweek.

- Mid-Atlantic thunderstorms could contain some damaging wind gusts and hail.

- Heaviest rains could top 1 inch in Upstate New York.

- Snow mixes with or changes to rain northern Maine. Some locations could accumulate over 6 inches of wet snow.

- Wind gusts could top 40 mph in Upstate New York and Vermont.

- With temperatures below average in New England but near average to 20 degrees above average elsewhere, highs will range from the 30s in northern Maine to the upper 80s in southeast Virginia.

- Dry high pressure takes control Thursday with only a few lingering rain and snow showers along the Canadian border.
Quoting all4hurricanes:

Ahh, whats that mean development wise for the low level circulation?


At this time, it essentially means that not even subtropical development will occur, because the upper low is too distant. If it were collocated with the low-level center (located near 21N 62W), vertical shear would be low enough to potentially allow for some development. But right now, the upper low is acting entirely as a shearing influence, imparting hostile southwesterly to westerly shear over the system. Additionally, the system is highly disorganized, with a vertical tilt of the low- and mid-level circulations by at least 50-100 miles:

850 mb vorticity:



500 mb vorticity:



Additionally, the system appears to be well-embedded within a sharp mid-oceanic trough:

200 mb vorticity:



A tropical entity would not have a cyclonic circulation extending upward to 200 mb. All of this data is conclusive that this system is still deriving its energy entirely from baroclinic processes, implying that it's not even close to acquiring subtropical characteristics yet.

None of the global models forecast any kind of reasonable development until 48-60 hours.
Quoting AllyBama:
This will be a long night for many. After the last event, I think people will be more cautious and leery.


As much as I hate to say it, that's just being too generous.
692 thanks
Quoting Ossqss:
Wow, check it out!


Looks like a fire racing through.

Has anyone seen this stupidity Link
AOI/XX/XL
MARK
23.11N/57.86W
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
954 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EAST CENTRAL CAPE GIRARDEAU COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...
NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...
NORTHEASTERN SCOTT COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...
ALEXANDER COUNTY IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...
WESTERN PULASKI COUNTY IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...
SOUTHWESTERN UNION COUNTY IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...
WEST CENTRAL BALLARD COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL 1030 PM CDT.

* AT 951 PM CDT...THE ALEXANDER COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT DIRECTOR
REPORTED 95 MPH WINDS IN OLIVE BRANCH! THIS IS A TORNADO OR STORM
WITH TORNADO LIKE WINDS! TAKE COVER NOW...IT IS MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 60 MPH.
Quoting KoritheMan:


As much as I hate to say it, that's just being too generous.


I am sure that it is...but at least one of my friends around Little Rock took this seriously enough to hunker down with her children tonight. However, once the front passed she felt safe. I told her that she needed to watch the cells building up west of the line and pay heed until they passed as well.
I'm in Louisville, Ky....storm is calculated to be here around midnight....70-80 mph winds....need to round up all my kitties before it gets here.
703. flsky
Anybody have ant wind speed numbers for the bows?
Quoting AllyBama:


I am sure that it is...but at least one of my friends around Little Rock took this seriously enough to hunker down with her children tonight. However, once the front passed she felt safe. I told her that she needed to watch the cells building up west of the line and pay heed until they passed as well.


Tell her that until she is no longer underneath a watch, that she should take heed to any additional storms.
707. JRRP
Quoting flsky:
Anybody have ant wind speed numbers for the bows?
90 TO 100 MPH I BELEIVE 95MPH WAS REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICERS
KORIT...I did that already and thanks for backing me up!
Besides the tornado warning, also warning of hurricane force winds.
we have a low on the map!!
Hopefully this line will play out before it reaches my family in Nashville area..
39 degrees in Chicago earlier today, 87 degrees in St. Louis. What a temp difference in a 4 hour drive.
this line of severe weather loooking bad!!
On the north side of all those storms, it's coming down in a frozen state.

..SEVERAL SNOWFALL RECORDS ESTABLISHED IN GREEN BAY WISCONSIN...

AS OF 9 PM THIS EVENING...8.7 INCHES OF SNOW HAD FALLEN IN GREEN BAY.

THIS IS THE GREATEST DAILY SNOWFALL EVER SO LATE IN THE SEASON.

TODAY`S SNOWFALL BRINGS THE SEASONAL TOTAL TO 91.2 INCHES...WHICH IS THE THIRD GREATEST SEASONAL TOTAL EVER IN GREEN BAY...AND THE MOST SINCE THE WINTER OF 1889-1890.

Power lines have come down across I-43 near/along the Bay. I'd imagine that the winds gusting to 40 mph down the Bay had something to do with it. If they're talking about the lines coming off the coal-fired power plant at the mouth of the Fox River, those are some pretty big wires.

Brown County: Law enforcement reports that the NB and SB lanes of I-43 are closed between Atkinson and US 41 in Green Bay , due to power lines that have fallen across the freeway lanes. The closure is expected to continue until morning. The detour is as follows: exit at Atkinson Dr,and travel SB on Atkinson to Velp Avenue, and then WB on Velp to US 41. Reverse these directions for SB traffic.
Am I alone in my thinking that this severe weather in northern portions of the region where the temp is sub 40 degrees is rather odd? I lived up there for 24 years and don't recall such an outbreak with such low temps. Heck, it just snowed Sunday night back home in South Bend, IN.

Quoting CyclonicVoyage:
Am I alone in my thinking that this severe weather in northern portions of the region where the temp is sub 40 degrees is rather odd? I lived up there for 24 years and don't recall such an outbreak with such low temps. Heck, it just snowed Sunday night back home.
One noticeable difference between tropical weather and mid-latitude weather is that the former is largely dependent on heat energy, while the latter relies more on complex mid- to upper-level dynamics.

To put it another way, the surface temperature is largely unimportant. As long as the upper support is adequate, severe weather is a corollary.
look at this tropical low!!
Looks like pac-man is about to chomp down on me (on radar).

Quoting jasonweatherman2010:
look at this tropical low!!


It's not tropical.
Quoting KoritheMan:

One noticeable difference between tropical weather and mid-latitude weather is that the former is largely dependent on heat energy, while the latter relies more on complex mid- to upper-level dynamics.

To put it another way, the surface temperature is largely unimportant. As long as the upper support is adequate, severe weather is a corollary.


Yeah, I understand that, just don't recall anything similar in my years there. 60-70 mph winds reported in the area with a temp of 39 will chill ya down rather quickly.
729. flsky
Federal disaster just declared for N. Carolina. If you've been affected call 1-800-621-FEMA (3362) to apply for assistance.
Quoting CyclonicVoyage:


60-70 mph winds reported in the area with a temp of 39 will chill ya down rather quickly.


This made me detest winter weather even more.
Quoting flsky:
Federal disaster just declared for N. Carolina. If you've been affected call 1-800-621-FEMA (3362) to apply for assistance.


hmmm...no individual assistance..not what I understood..also saw no mention of designated counties..thought there was to be 18...maybe tomorrow.
732. flsky
WASHINGTON -- The U.S. Department of Homeland Security’s Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) today announced that federal disaster aid has been made available to North Carolina to supplement the state and local recovery efforts in the area struck by severe storms, tornadoes and flooding on April 16, 2011.

The President's action makes Federal funding available to affected individuals in the counties of Bertie, Bladen, Cumberland, Halifax, Harnett, Johnston, Lee, Onslow, Wake, and Wilson.

Assistance can include grants for temporary housing and home repairs, low-cost loans to cover uninsured property losses, and other programs to help individuals and business owners recover from the effects of the disaster.

Quoting AllyBama:


hmmm...no individual assistance..not what I understood..also saw no mention of designated counties..thought there was to be 18...maybe tomorrow.
strange that it is in the msg but not listed that way on FEMA's website..like I said, hopefully they will update in the a.m...thanks for the posting and setting me straight....some people I know need to get ready to roll!
734. flsky
One can sign up for immediate direct emails from their website: fema.gov

Quoting AllyBama:
strange that it is in the msg but not listed that way on FEMA's website..like I said, hopefully they will update in the a.m...thanks for the posting and setting me straight....some people I know need to get ready to roll!
521 severe report so far today.



Hail reports
Quoting flsky:
One can sign up for immediate direct emails from their website: fema.gov



thanks for the tip!...I talked with someone earlier this evening on standy for deployment..I knew it was a matter of time...obviously Obama was up late tonight..lol
Quoting flsky:
WASHINGTON -- The U.S. Department of Homeland Security’s Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) today announced that federal disaster aid has been made available to North Carolina to supplement the state and local recovery efforts in the area struck by severe storms, tornadoes and flooding on April 16, 2011.

The President's action makes Federal funding available to affected individuals in the counties of Bertie, Bladen, Cumberland, Halifax, Harnett, Johnston, Lee, Onslow, Wake, and Wilson.

Assistance can include grants for temporary housing and home repairs, low-cost loans to cover uninsured property losses, and other programs to help individuals and business owners recover from the effects of the disaster.



I do contract FEMA housing inspections. It's listed as pending for individual assistance.
IFuSAYso, who for? being nosy - lol

I do contract FEMA housing inspections. It's listed as pending for individual assistance.
Quoting AllyBama:
IFuSAYso, who for? being nosy - lol

I do contract FEMA housing inspections. It's listed as pending for individual assistance.


PB and PaRR
A lil map before I turn in, concerning our C-ATL aoi. Night All

IFuSAYso - good for you..hopefully you will be going to work Thursday..I understand there is lots to be done.
PB's website has OK, NC, IA, MS, and AL as pending individual assistance.
Quoting IFuSAYso:
PB's website has OK, NC, IA, MS, and AL as pending individual assistance.


k...my person talked with them earlier today..
747. flsky
He's a good man.

Quoting AllyBama:


thanks for the tip!...I talked with someone earlier this evening on standy for deployment..I knew it was a matter of time...obviously Obama was up late tonight..lol
748. flsky
Assistance for Affected Individuals and Families Can Include as Required:

Rental payments for temporary housing for those whose homes are unlivable. Initial assistance may be provided for up to three months for homeowners and at least one month for renters. Assistance may be extended if requested after the initial period based on a review of individual applicant requirements. (Source: FEMA funded and administered.)
Grants for home repairs and replacement of essential household items not covered by insurance to make damaged dwellings safe, sanitary and functional. (Source: FEMA funded and administered.)
Grants to replace personal property and help meet medical, dental, funeral, transportation and other serious disaster-related needs not covered by insurance or other federal, state and charitable aid programs. (Source: FEMA funded at 75 percent of total eligible costs; 25 percent funded by the state.)
Unemployment payments up to 26 weeks for workers who temporarily lost jobs because of the disaster and who do not qualify for state benefits, such as self-employed individuals. (Source: FEMA funded; state administered.)
Low-interest loans to cover residential losses not fully compensated by insurance. Loans available up to $200,000 for primary residence; $40,000 for personal property, including renter losses. Loans available up to $2 million for business property losses not fully compensated by insurance. (Source: U.S. Small Business Administration.)
Loans up to $2 million for small businesses, small agricultural cooperatives and most private, non-profit organizations of all sizes that have suffered disaster-related cash flow problems and need funds for working capital to recover from the disaster's adverse economic impact. This loan in combination with a property loss loan cannot exceed a total of $2 million. (Source: U.S. Small Business Administration.)
Loans up to $500,000 for farmers, ranchers and aquaculture operators to cover production and property losses, excluding primary residence. (Source: Farm Service Agency, U.S. Dept. of Agriculture.)
Other relief programs: Crisis counseling for those traumatized by the disaster; income tax assistance for filing casualty losses; advisory assistance for legal, veterans’ benefits and social security matters.
749. xcool


750. JRRP
It looks like, regardless of what comes of this disturbance, Florida may get some rain from it early next week.
752. Ylee
All of the tornado warnings have expired....
It seems that all this severe weather has worn out everyone....
good morning dayshift. Where's Cheerleader Ike? He needs to wave some pom-poms around or something.
Quoting Levi32:
It looks like, regardless of what comes of this disturbance, Florida may get some rain from it early next week.
Quoting CyclonicVoyage:
A lil map before I turn in, concerning our C-ATL aoi. Night All



If it can get north, it has a chance.
755. IKE

Quoting aquak9:
good morning dayshift. Where's Cheerleader Ike? He needs to wave some pom-poms around or something.
lol....just got a loop going of the "disturbance". Waiting on a 91L to be designated. Stay tuned!
756. IKE
From Crownweather......



"""Quick Update On The Area Of Disturbed Weather Northeast of Puerto Rico

Rob Lightbown on April 20, 2011, 6:18 am


I wanted to very quickly update
all of you on the area of disturbed weather that is located to the
northeast of Puerto Rico near 23 North Latitude, 60 West Longitude.
Satellite imagery from the overnight hours into early this morning
showed that convection is cycling up and down near the center of this
disturbance. The global model guidance continues to be in good agreement
in insisting that this system will try to develop into a weak
sub-tropical storm as we get into Thursday and especially Friday. The
key timeframe for this system will be from late Thursday through Friday
when this system approaches an upper level trough of low pressure and
encounters an area of lower wind shear values. This area of lower wind
shear values may give this system an opportunity to develop into a
sub-tropical storm between Thursday evening and Friday evening. It
should be noted that the model guidance also agrees that this system
will quickly weaken and dissipate by Saturday as it approaches the
eastern Bahamas due to very strong wind shear values.
I suspect that the National Hurricane Center will label this system
Invest 91-L within the next 24 hours.
What is an Invest you ask? An
Invest is basically an area of disturbed weather that the National
Hurricane Center has interest in. Once a disturbance is labeled an
Invest, track model guidance is run on the system and also a floater
satellite image is placed over the area of interest allowing for a
closer view of the disturbed weather.
I will continue to monitor this area of disturbed weather and will likely post again early Thursday morning."""............


WOOHOO!


He seems to be in the right places almost every time
Quoting IKE:

lol....just got a loop going of the "disturbance". Waiting on a 91L to be designated. Stay tuned!


I'll help you out, I don't think it will be designated. TAFB in their surface forecasts show the low attached to a front and as long as that thinking continues, no tropical/subtropical cyclone.

Now that I have typed that, expect an invest!
Ike has lost his ever-lovin' mind.
761. IKE

Quoting nrtiwlnvragn:


I'll help you out, I don't think it will be designated. TAFB in their surface forecasts show the low attached to a front and as long as that thinking continues, no tropical/subtropical cyclone.

Now that I have typed that, expect an invest!
:(

***tears rolling down face***
762. P451
Good Morning. The low in the Atlantic is under an insane amount of shear so there would be no development of it under these circumstances. It does however have the appearance of a disturbance that if it were to persist for many days and if the shear were to relax that Sub-Tropical development would be possible. At the moment the environment is simply way too hostile so there isn't anything to get excited or worried about at all. If I recall STS development can and does occur in 25-30kt shear at times. Given it's in the 60-90kt shear range well you can draw your own conclusions.


Meanwhile another round of strong storms today may even extend up into the Mid-Atlantic region.

9 Hour IR Loop (static image will not update).




You can see the satellites are already experiencing up to a one hour blackout period already. That gets real frustrating when it reaches four hours - of course near the peak of the Hurricane season.

763. IKE

Quoting emcf30:


He seems to be in the right places almost every time
"""Wipers....wipers....wipers!!!!!!!!!!"""

They seem to be just slightly more excited then......

"""I'd say it's coming right toward me"""

"""I happen to be recording it...that's even better isn't it"""

"""It's gonna pass right over me"""

"""I'm still good....now I got a problem with what I'm driving. It's damaged"""
764. P451
Simply getting tortured out there.... entirely non-tropical and getting shredded by 60kt+ shear. A wall of 90kt+ shear awaits it. An interesting entity at best attm.

WV Imagery, 9 hours, static imagery.

765. IKE
Looks like whatever is left of the "disturbance" in the western ATL will eventually get drawn into a cold front heading into the SE USA about a week from now...per the 6Z GFS @ 180 hours...


Very intense storms just west of me last evening with rainfall totals of 5" in spots across Lake County. Expect the same today with maybe a little better coverage than yesterday. Getting interested in this C ATL disturbance because eventually it will pull lots of moisture into FL come Monday on of next week if the 00Z GFS and EURO are to be believed.

Also, the NWS of Melbourne & Tampa bombed yesterday's forecast. I really don't know what they were thinking becuase the Lift Index was at -10C, PWAT at 1.3", and lots of surface instability with 92 to 95 degree temps and 70 plus degree dew points.

By the way I nailed yesterday's forecast. That almost sounds like StormW's slogan. LOL!
Anyone know how a tornado warning is generated? Is there a human looking at the radar on a constant basis or is it more computer generated? Thanks
Different perspective of Pike County, MO twister from Waly-mart parking lot. Hint, turn off computer speakers (sirens)

Poor guy, the Tornado took his hamburger
Quoting snotly:
Different perspective of Pike County, MO twister from Waly-mart parking lot. Hint, turn off computer speakers (sirens)


One may drag the cursor back and forth at the bottom, turns the video into a time lapse. Kinda cool.
Quoting emcf30:
Poor guy, the Tornado took his hamburger

Let go of my Eggo!
Quoting IKE:

"""Wipers....wipers....wipers!!!!!!!!!!"""

They seem to be just slightly more excited then......

"""I'd say it's coming right toward me"""

"""I happen to be recording it...that's even better isn't it"""

"""It's gonna pass right over me"""

"""I'm still good....now I got a problem with what I'm driving. It's damaged"""

LOL
Quoting jitterboy:

Let go of my Eggo!

I bet I would know who would win
774. IKE
I see the spin now near 23N and 60W....
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