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Great Blizzard pounding Chicago; extremely dangerous Cyclone Yasi nears Australia

By: Dr. Jeff Masters, 1:31 AM GMT on February 02, 2011

The Great Groundhog's Day Blizzard of 2011 is wreaking havoc tonight from Texas to Michigan, and is poised to spread dangerous winter weather eastwards to New England during the day Wednesday. Four states have declared states of emergency—Oklahoma, Missouri, Illinois, and Kansas—and the National Guard has been called out in Illinois and Missouri. Up to 1/2” of ice has caused power outages in Indianapolis, and blizzard conditions have engulfed Chicago, where heavy snows of up to two inches per hour are falling in high winds. Winds tonight at Chicago's Calumet Harbor were tropical storm force, 39 mph, with gusts to 49 mph. Winds gusts of 60 mph were occurring at the Chicago buoy, 10 miles offshore in Lake Michigan.

The storm will probably be Chicago's biggest blizzard since January 2 - 4 1999, when a storm dumped 21.6" of snow. With tonight's snowstorm expected to have very unstable air aloft, "thundersnow" with snowfall rates of 4 inches/hour is possible, and there is a chance today's blizzard could rival Chicago's greatest snow storm of all time, the blizzard of January 26 - 27, 1967. That immense storm dumped 23 inches of snow on Chicago, stranding thousands of people and leaving an estimated 800 Chicago Transit Authority buses and 50,000 automobiles abandoned on the city streets and expressways. Twenty six Chicagoans died in the blizzard, mostly due to heart attacks from shoveling snow. Strong winds in Chicago today are expected to generate 14 - 18 feet waves on Lake Michigan, with occasional waves up to 25 feet. A significant coastal flooding event is possible for the city, with beach erosion and flooding along Lake Shore Drive. I'll have a full update on the great blizzard in the morning.


Figure 1. Satellite image of the Groundhog's Day Blizzard of 2011, taken at 8pm EST February 1. Image credit: NASA/GSFC.

Category 4 Tropical Cyclone Yasi nearing Queensland, Australia
Tropical Cyclone Yasi continues to intensify as it speeds westwards towards vulnerable Queensland, Australia. Yasi, now a Category 4 storm with 140 mph winds, is under light wind shear of 5 - 10 knots, and over record warm ocean waters of 29°C (84°C). Low wind shear, record warm sea surface temperatures, and favorable upper-level outflow should allow the cyclone to maintain Category 4 strength until landfall Wednesday evening (local time.)

The Austrailian Bureau of Meteorology had this to say about Yasi in their latest advisory:

YASI IS A LARGE AND VERY POWERFUL TROPICAL CYCLONE AND POSES AN
EXTREMELY SERIOUS THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY WITHIN THE WARNING AREA,
ESPECIALLY BETWEEN CAIRNS AND TOWNSVILLE.

THIS IMPACT IS LIKELY TO BE MORE LIFE THREATENING THAN ANY EXPERIENCED DURING
RECENT GENERATIONS.

On Wednesday morning at 9:30am local time, Yasi hit tiny Willis Island, where a minimum pressure of 938 mb and a peak wind gust of 115 mph was observed before Yasi cut communications and damaged the radar.

Queensland faces three major threats from Yasi. The cyclone will bring torrential rainfall to a region with saturated soils that saw record flooding earlier this month. The latest rainfall rates in Yasi's eyewall as estimated by microwave satellite imagery are 20 mm (0.8") per hour. The GFS model is predicting that a wide swath of Queensland will receive 5 - 10 inches of rain over the next week, due to the combined effects of Yasi and a moist flow of tropical air over the region. Fortunately, Yasi is moving with a rapid forward speed, about 21 mph, and is not expected to linger over Queensland after landfall. The heaviest rainfall will miss Queenland's most populated regions to the south that had the worst flooding problems earlier this month, including the Australia's third largest city, Brisbane.

Yasi will bring highly destructive winds to a region of coast south of the city of Cairns (population 150,000.) Townsville (population 200,000) is farther from the expected landfall of the eyewall, and should see lesser winds. Strong building codes have been in place in Queensland since the 1960s, which will help reduce the damage amounts. The fact that Yasi's eyewall will miss these two major cities is lucky, since the coast is less populous between the two cities.

A dangerous storm surge in excess of ten feet can be expected along the left front quadrant of the storm where it comes ashore. The tidal range between low and high tide along the coast near Cairns will be about 2 meters (6 feet) during the evening of February 2. Yasi is expected to hit near midnight, halfway between low and high tide. Thus, the inundation from the storm surge will be about 1 meter (3 feet) less than it would have been had the storm hit at high tide.

Yasi is larger and more dangerous than Cyclone Larry of 2006, which hit Queensland as a Category 4 storm with 135 mph winds. Larry killed one person and caused $872 million in damage (2011 U.S. dollars.) Yasi will bring heavy rains to a region with soils already saturated from record rains, and may become a billion-dollar cyclone.


Figure 2. Tropical Cyclone Yasi as captured by the Willis Island radar, as the western eyewall of Yasi moved over the island. Image credit: Australian Bureau of Meteorology, and kindly grabbed for me by Margie Kieper.

Links to follow:

Live streaming video from Channel 9 in Cairns, Australia

Jeff Masters

Winter Weather Hurricane

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

Reader Comments


THIS IMPACT IS LIKELY TO BE MORE LIFE THREATENING THAN ANY EXPERIENCED DURING
RECENT GENERATIONS.


TC Yasi, CATEGORY 5, will continue to move in a west-southwesterly direction
during the day. The cyclone is expected to cross the coast in the Innisfail area
at about midnight.(Local Time)
Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Brisbane
Tropical Cyclone Advice #13
SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE YASI (14U)
11:00 AM EST February 2 2011
=========================================

At 10:00 AM EST, Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi, Category Five (922 hPa) located 16.4S 149.9E, or 445 km east of Cairns and 455 km northeast of Townsville has 10 minute sustained winds of 115 knots with gusts of 160 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west southwest at 19 knots.

Hurricane Force Winds
======================
40 NM from the center

Storm Force Winds
=================
130 NM from the center in southern quadrant
60 NM from the center in northwestern quadrant
90 NM from the center in northeastern quadrant

Gale Force Winds
===============
190 NM from the center in northern quadrant
260 NM from the center in southwestern quadrant
250 NM from the center in southeastern quadrant

Dvorak Intensity: T6.0/6.5/D1.0/24HRS

SEVERE TC YASI IS A LARGE AND VERY POWERFUL TROPICAL CYCLONE AND POSES AN EXTREMELY SERIOUS THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY WITHIN THE WARNING AREA, ESPECIALLY BETWEEN CAIRNS AND TOWNSVILLE.

THIS IMPACT IS LIKELY TO BE MORE LIFE THREATENING THAN ANY EXPERIENCED DURING RECENT GENERATIONS.

TC Yasi, CATEGORY 5, will continue to move in a west-southwesterly direction during the day. The cyclone is expected to cross the coast in the Innisfail area at about midnight.

Coastal residents within the warning area, and particularly between Cairns and Ayr are specifically warned of an EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SEA LEVEL RISE [i.e. storm tide] as the cyclone approaches, crosses the coast and moves inland. The sea is likely to steadily rise up to a level which will be VERY DANGEROUSLY above the normal tide, with EXTREMELY DAMAGING WAVES, STRONG CURRENTS and FLOODING of low-lying areas extending some way inland. People living in areas likely to be affected by this flooding should take measures to protect their property as much as possible, and be prepared to follow instructions regarding evacuation of the area if advised to do so by authorities.

DAMAGING WINDS with gusts to 90 km/hr that are currently developing on coastal islands, are forecast to develop about the coast by late morning and about the tropical interior overnight.

Between Cape Tribulation and Ingham these winds will become DESTRUCTIVE with gusts in excess of 125km/hr during the afternoon and early evening and VERY DESTRUCTIVE with gusts up to 300 km/hr between Cairns and Ingham during the evening as the cyclone approaches and crosses the coast. These VERY DESTRUCTIVE winds can also occur on the seaward side of hills to the north of the cyclone and are also forecast to reach the Atherton Tablelands.

Winds are forecast to ease about the east coast during Thursday morning as the cyclone moves inland.

Tropical Cyclone Watches/Warnings
==================================
A Cyclone WARNING is current for coastal and island communities from Cape Melville to Sarina, extending inland to Croydon and Richmond.

A Cyclone WATCH is current for the remaining inland parts west to the Northern Territory border and north of Winton.

Forecast and Intensity
=====================
12 HRS: 17.6S 146.5E - 115 knots (CAT 5)
24 HRS: 18.9S 143.2E - 50 knots (CAT 2)
48 HRS: 21.2S 137.8E - 25 knots (TROPICAL LOW)
72 HRS: 23.0S 134.6E - 25 knots (TROPICAL LOW)

Additional Information
=======================

Following a period of rapid intensification overnight to category 5 intensity, Yasi has possibly steadied in the past 6 hours. Dvorak intensity: Eye pattern that had been based on W surround [6.0]and OW/W eye [0.5] adjustment has weakened to an LG surround [5.0] and OW/W [0.5]. Nevertheless time averaged DT is 6.0 and MET also at 6.0. CI held at 6.5. Max winds estimated at 115 knots supported by AMSU/SATCON estimates at 125kn [1min], although Willis Island pressure observations suggest a slightly weaker system.

The intensity is maintained through to landfall, given the environment of low shear and strong upper level outflow.

Motion remains steady west southwest at 18 knots which should persist through to landfall.

The combination of being intense, larger than normal [gales extending about 250nm to the south] and the 18 knot motion is enhancing waves/swell and the storm tide potential. Much depends upon the timing of landfall [high tide is about 21:00EST] as to the overall tide impact which potentiall is significant.


The next tropical cyclone advice on Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi will be issued at 4:00 AM UTC..
That is a pretty impressive radar image from Willis Island. I'm sure the BoM folks are loving what they have gotten from that site. It's not every storm that passes right over one's met. obs. site at peak intensity....
Thanks, Doc.

And, locally, this might be interesting. (2 inches here has the same effect as a foot in the plains or midwest)

It starts with a band from NOLA to Mobile Thursday morning. In the Texas direction the next day.

atmo,u got a spare Ski Pole?

I found my sled too,,I know where a Big River Lebee be.


Geaux Sneaux !!
Just got a tweet from TWC saying that pieces of roof are flying off of Wrigley Field in Chicago!
Quoting Patrap:
atmo,u got a spare Ski Pole?

I found my sled too,,I know where a Big River Lebee be.


Geaux Sneaux !!
sled!?! You mean the upside down rubbermaid lid?
Well that cant be good 1900.

Quoting atmoaggie:
sled!?! You mean the upside down rubbermaid lid?


Tote Brand here..


Where my Wax?
Quoting 1900hurricane:
Just got a tweet from TWC saying that pieces of roof are flying off of Wrigley Field in Chicago!
I can believe it. Not often they get sustained TS force winds in Illinois...some places do (Wyoming, e.g.). Not there, too much, even though it's name is the windy city.

From the Great Lakes to the Eastern Pacific..

Quite a Fetch I'd say.




Is the energy in the 4 corners the root cause for the GOM Spurious Low comes Thursday atmo?

Man, look at the Backside feeder Band will ya,!!



Quoting Patrap:
Is the energy in the 4 corners the root cause for the GOM Spurious Low comes Thursday atmo?

No, not really. The events are well ahead of the progression of that (would be a much, much bigger event, if so).

Not sure where it really comes from...I see a forecast vorticity coming up from central Mexico, riding along that low's isobars.
Both storms - one thing in common: fueled by warm waters. Tornados on the Gulf Coast. Very large amounts of precipitable water vapor in the atmosphere.

And the denialists continue to claim nothing is happening ...
Here's an image if it:

Quoting DocBen:
Both storms - one thing in common: fueled by warm waters. Tornados on the Gulf Coast. Very large amounts of precipitable water vapor in the atmosphere.

And the denialists continue to claim nothing is happening ...
how big of an event do they need before they can see whats really going on here
A-ha.

NWS Slidell has the Pkg

Arctic high pressure will settle over the central and Southern
Plains with a ridge extending east across the southeast states. At
the same time...the broad and cold upper level storm system over
the 4 corners region will be dropping south near the Arizona/New
Mexico and Mexico border Wednesday into Wednesday night. A belt of
strong southwest winds in the middle/upper levels will remain east of
the southwest Continental U.S. System as an inverted surface trough tries to
form over the central Gulf of Mexico. This will cause some over-
running precipitation to form...and the air will be marginally
cold and dry enough for some light sleet or freezing rain to mix
with light rain on the northern edge of where this precipitation
shield sets up late Wednesday night...most likely from the
Northshore of Lake Pontchartrain to just inland from the
Mississippi Gulf Coast. The chance of measurable precipitation is
only 20 to 30 percent at this time...so no hazardous travel
conditions are expected at this time. This all changes in the long
term.
Was thinking the same thing, Atmo.

Any suggestions on what might [could] cause a weakening trend prior to landfall? IIRC, just finished an EWRC....
Quoting 1900hurricane:
Just got a tweet from TWC saying that pieces of roof are flying off of Wrigley Field in Chicago!


Uhhh when did they put a roof on Wrigley Field?????
Dr. Masters do you think the dry slot will keep Chicago from reaching 20" of snow with this storm?

It is lucky that Lake Michigan is about 9 1/2" below normal. That's enough to keep a storm/wave surge down.
I'm just going hoping the Ground Hog Day Big Chill stays north of our area.... today was the first day in a while that going without a jacket wasn't the same as trying to prove u are too "macho" to feel the cold.... lol
Quoting PcolaDan:


Uhhh when did they put a roof on Wrigley Field?????

That's what they said, I was just relaying it. I imagine they meant the grandstand's overhang. :P
Looks like Willis Island is well into the back eyewall right now.... man, the data one could have picked up if that station was still fully operational.....
Quoting 1900hurricane:
Here's an image if it:



Ah, must be part of the grandstand area.

Quoting BahaHurican:
Looks like Willis Island is well into the back eyewall right now.... man, the data one could have picked up if that station was still fully operational.....

That would of told the real story of how powerful really is.

Watch live video from Cyclone Yasi - #bigyasi on twitter on Justin.tv

PSSSSSSSTTTTT. Dr Masters, your Channel 9 Cairns link is not working.
My cousin drive through storm on his way back to Kentucky. He said it's nuts out there.
Quoting weatherboy1992:
Dr. Masters do you think the dry slot will keep Chicago from reaching 20" of snow with this storm?

It is lucky that Lake Michigan is about 9 1/2" below normal. That's enough to keep a storm/wave surge down.

Radar is indicating 2" - 4" per hour falling in Chicago, with at least four to six more hours of the heaviest stuff still to come. With what's already fallen, 20" is certainly within the realm of possibility. It'll be interesting to see...
Latest reading 2 miles offshore from downtown Chicago...47 knots gusting to 57.

Link

It's a wild one here

Thanks Neapolitan. I think it would be cool if Chicago did break their single snowstorm record but right now I doubt it. They could get lucky with NE lake effect tomorrow--but would that count as part of the storm?
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
how big of an event do they need before they can see whats really going on here

This is what I grew up with in the '60s. Ho hum. Blizzard, cold weather, gets warmer, blizzard, cold weather, warms up. I miss the 2 weeks of -20F in January though.

Big events do not a climate make.
ASCAT caught the western semicircle of Yasi just a short while ago:

Click for larger image:

Appropriate tropical weather-related image.
I didn't know about glerl.noaa.gov. Thanks!

Quoting riblet2000:
Latest reading 2 miles offshore from downtown Chicago...47 knots gusting to 57.

Link

It's a wild one here


Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

Media: Transmitters serving the area between Cape Melville to Sarina are
requested to USE the Standard Emergency Warning Signal before broadcasting the
following warning.

TOP PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 13
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
Issued at 11:12am EST on Wednesday the 2nd of February 2011

A Cyclone WARNING is current for coastal and island communities from Cape
Melville to Sarina, extending inland to Croydon and Richmond.

A Cyclone WATCH is current for the remaining inland parts west to the Northern
Territory border and north of Winton.

At 10:00 am EST Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi, Category 5 was estimated to be 445
kilometres east of Cairns and 455 kilometres northeast of Townsville and moving
west southwest at 30 kilometres per hour.

SEVERE TC YASI IS A LARGE AND VERY POWERFUL TROPICAL CYCLONE AND POSES AN
EXTREMELY SERIOUS THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY WITHIN THE WARNING AREA,
ESPECIALLY BETWEEN CAIRNS AND TOWNSVILLE.

THIS IMPACT IS LIKELY TO BE MORE LIFE THREATENING THAN ANY EXPERIENCED DURING
RECENT GENERATIONS.

TC Yasi, CATEGORY 5, will continue to move in a west-southwesterly direction
during the day. The cyclone is expected to cross the coast in the Innisfail area
at about midnight.

Coastal residents within the warning area, and particularly between Cairns and
Ayr are specifically warned of an EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SEA LEVEL RISE [i.e. storm
tide] as the cyclone approaches, crosses the coast and moves inland. The sea is
likely to steadily rise up to a level which will be VERY DANGEROUSLY above the
normal tide, with EXTREMELY DAMAGING WAVES, STRONG CURRENTS and FLOODING of
low-lying areas extending some way inland. People living in areas likely to be
affected by this flooding should take measures to protect their property as much
as possible, and be prepared to follow instructions regarding evacuation of the
area if advised to do so by authorities.

DAMAGING WINDS with gusts to 90 km/hr that are currently developing on coastal
islands, are forecast to develop about the coast by late morning and about the
tropical interior overnight.

Between Cape Tribulation and Ingham these winds will become DESTRUCTIVE with
gusts in excess of 125km/hr during the afternoon and early evening and VERY
DESTRUCTIVE with gusts up to 300 km/hr between Cairns and Ingham during the
evening as the cyclone approaches and crosses the coast. These VERY DESTRUCTIVE
winds can also occur on the seaward side of hills to the north of the cyclone
and are also forecast to reach the Atherton Tablelands.

Winds are forecast to ease about the east coast during Thursday morning as the
cyclone moves inland.

FLOODING RAINS will develop from Cooktown to Sarina during the afternoon and
then extend inland overnight.
People between Cape Melville and Sarina, extending inland to Croydon and
Richmond should complete preparations quickly and be prepared to shelter in a
safe place.
- Boats and outside property should be secured.
- For cyclone preparedness and safety advice, visit Queensland's Disaster
Management Services website [www.disaster.qld.gov.au]
- For emergency assistance call the Queensland State Emergency Service [SES] on
132 500 [for assistance with storm damage, rising flood water, fallen trees on
buildings or roof damage].

People about the remaining inland parts west to the Northern Territory border
and north of Winton should consider what action they will need to take if the
cyclone threat increases.
- Information is available from your local government
- For cyclone preparedness and safety advice, visit Queensland's Disaster
Management Services website [www.disaster.qld.gov.au]
- For emergency assistance call the Queensland State Emergency Service [SES] on
132 500 [for assistance with storm damage, rising flood water, fallen trees on
buildings or roof damage].

Details of Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi at 10:00 am EST:
.Centre located near...... 16.4 degrees South 149.9 degrees East
.Location accuracy........ within 30 kilometres
.Recent movement.......... towards the west southwest at 30 kilometres per hour
.Wind gusts near centre... 295 kilometres per hour
.Severity category........ 5
.Central pressure......... 922 hectoPascals


Please ensure that neighbours have heard and understood this message,
particularly new arrivals or those who may not fully understand English.

The next advice will be issued by 2:00 pm EST Wednesday 02 February.

This warning is also available through TV and Radio Broadcasts; the Bureau's
website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 212. The Bureau and the State
Emergency Service would appreciate this warning being broadcast regularly.


That's gonna leave a mark.

Forecast track and intensity was just updated.

Category 4 landfall, category 3 maybe 190 miles inland...incredible
Was out to shovel out the doors. Pretty windy. The snow, when it drifts, gets tight or packed on the surface. We haven't had much snow 60 miles ESE of Chicago. Looking at possible freezing rain later on the radar. That will bring down trees and power lines.

Wind is from the NE which is unusual for storms in this area (Northern Indiana)
Quoting weatherboy1992:
Thanks Neapolitan. I think it would be cool if Chicago did break their single snowstorm record but right now I doubt it. They could get lucky with NE lake effect tomorrow--but would that count as part of the storm?

I think it could, since the lake-effect would be caused and steered by the storm's circulation. That's just my take though and I'm not really sure.
Quoting BahaHurican:
Looks like Willis Island is well into the back eyewall right now.... man, the data one could have picked up if that station was still fully operational.....
That's what I was wishing for.

Not impossible that it's still collecting, but comms were lost...such as a little satellite dish on a roof. Possible, anyway.
The Impact is going to be catastrophic.


Funktop Image



Quoting AussieStorm:

That would of told the real story of how powerful really is.

Watch live video from Cyclone Yasi - #bigyasi on twitter on Justin.tv

PSSSSSSSTTTTT. Dr Masters, your Channel 9 Cairns link is not working.


Its working, but it keeps in replaying the same thing over and over.
Quoting kellnerp:
Big events do not a climate make.

True--but many big events of increasing frequency and intensity certainly do fit a certain widely-accepted climatological theory.

I realize it's coming at the expense of everyone else, but the current ten-day forecast here calls for mid- to upper-70s every day, with only one sub-50 night in store, so I'm good. It's 71 now; I've got the house fully opened, and there's a very nice breeze blowing through... ;-)
Hope Australia doesn't have as many deaths as they did during another Cat 5 in their past:

There, they had 400-410.

Struck Bathurst Bay, Australia.

http://www.ask.com/wiki/Mahina_Cyclone_of_1899

Mahina is currently listed as the worst cyclone to hit Australia.
Quoting kellnerp:

This is what I grew up with in the '60s. Ho hum. Blizzard, cold weather, gets warmer, blizzard, cold weather, warms up. I miss the 2 weeks of -20F in January though.

Big events do not a climate make.


but multi world wide events occurring at a rate that should be seen once every hundred years means nothing

yep move along nothing to see here it was only fireworks

in the end you will proably be one of those that will likly not make it good luck
0 UTC NAM just coming out...same solution as 18 UTC.

Starts with snow from NOLA to Mobile at 15 UTC, Thursday.

Whats the best est. on where Yasi makes landfall?
Tully heads area?
Whats the population density there anyone know?
Looks like most of the coastline there is parkland.
Neapolitan I like that snowfall forecast graphic you put up in #51. If Chicago gets 20" they may as well go past 23" and set a new storm record!
Quoting spathy:
Whats the best est. on where Yasi makes landfall?
Tully heads area?
Whats the population density there anyone know?
Looks like most of the coastline there is parkland.
Quoting weatherboy1992:
Thanks Neapolitan. I think it would be cool if Chicago did break their single snowstorm record but right now I doubt it. They could get lucky with NE lake effect tomorrow--but would that count as part of the storm?

I'm not certain, but I believe so long as there's no break in precipitation greater than one hour, any rain/snow that falls will be considered part of the same event. Sounds about right; wouldn't it be difficult to tell which snowflakes came from the storm, and which came from the lake? ;-)
Quoting Neapolitan:

I'm not certain, but I believe so long as there's no break in precipitation greater than one hour, any rain/snow that falls will be considered part of the same event. Sounds about right; wouldn't it be difficult to tell which snowflakes came from the storm, and which came from the lake? ;-)
*Some* of the moisture is coming from the lake. Now.


(Best viewed full size)


NE winds, like someone from Indiana already said. (Which is, itself, not very common, or Chicago's normal winter snowfall would rival Buffalo's)
53:

With the jogs it's had over the past several hours, it looks like it's probably going to hit about the midpoint between Cairns and Townsville.

I'm not sure what the population distribution is between these locations, except that both were pretty decent sized populations, but the surrounding area is a bit less.

If the storm takes the center track it's probably going to be worst at that town called Cardswell. The shape of that bay there may enhanced surge potential.
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:

Thanks Keep.
Innisfail looks pretty populated.
And that bay area there looks like a bad funneling area for surge.
Quoting atmoaggie:
That's what I was wishing for.

Not impossible that it's still collecting, but comms were lost...such as a little satellite dish on a roof. Possible, anyway.
Yah. It would be great if the data collection continued, even if we don't get to see it ... would be vastly useful.

I'm still arguing that the next major advance in wx accuracy [i.e. forecasting] has to come via more durable instrumentation for storm situations. I'm including satellite instrumentation in this.
Quoting PcolaDan:


Ah, must be part of the grandstand area.


From Chicagobreakingnews.com:

Due to the high winds, a portion of a structural panel above the press box at Wrigley Field "broke away" tonight, scattering debris outside the ball park, officials said.

Chicago police cordoned off streets and sidewalks around the park, while Cubs officials worked with the city to monitor the situation and ensure there weren't any public safety issues, Cubs spokesman Peter Chase said.

No injuries were reported from the falling panel made of fiber board.
Comparison between TC Tracy(Dec 24 1974) TC Larry(Mar 20 2006) and TC Yasi (Feb 2 2011)



Cairns humor.
LOL
Quoting AussieStorm:


Remnants of Anthony still alive and headed for Victoria and New South Wales! Incredible.
Another picture from Wrigley off twitter:

I have just created a Wikipedia article on the Groundhog storm here.

I would like to request some help of any partially-experienced fellow Wikipedians on the following:

-Breaking news updates
-Useful links by NOAA showing constant updates
-Archived storm and warning information
-More details on closures and effects
-More text to the body of article
-Some images (upload first to Wikimedia Commons)
-Any new records of snowfall or ice accumulation
-All-time records
-Reports on storm surge and tornadoes

Thanks!
hi guys & dr masters.

i was just watching cnn and they had a live feed of chicago. there was lightening & thunder during the snow storm. is that something that normally happens?
Quoting AussieStorm:
Comparison between TC Tracy(Dec 24 1974) TC Larry(Mar 20 2006) and TC Yasi (Feb 2 2011)



Cairns humor.
LOL

Would that be Monica from 2006 instead of Tracy?

Quoting Neapolitan:

True--but many big events of increasing frequency and intensity certainly do fit a certain widely-accepted climatological theory.

As the ocean warms it can't radiate energy to space like land can so the oceans depend on convection to do the job. The heating up of the ocean is the driver of GW. What is happening in Chicago is driven by heat carried up from the GOM and the Pacific Ocean. Frankly, we need the moisture up here.
Quoting AstroHurricane001:
I have just created a Wikipedia article on the Groundhog storm here.

I would like to request some help of any partially-experienced fellow Wikipedians on the following:

-Breaking news updates
-Useful links by NOAA showing constant updates
-Archived storm and warning information
-More details on closures and effects
-More text to the body of article
-Some images (upload first to Wikimedia Commons)
-Any new records of snowfall or ice accumulation
-All-time records
-Reports on storm surge and tornadoes

Thanks!

Isn't there already a page here?
Quoting 1900hurricane:

Would that be Monica from 2006 instead of Tracy?

It's Cyclone Tracy from 24 Dec 1974.
Quoting AussieStorm:

It's Cyclone Tracy from 24 Dec 1974.


Tracy was only 30 miles in diameter, doubt any of those cyclones in that pic were of Tracy

Quoting WaterWitch11:
hi guys & dr masters.

i was just watching cnn and they had a live feed of chicago. there was lightening & thunder during the snow storm. is that something that normally happens?
It's fairly rare, but happens somewhere a couple of times every winter, it seems.

All about it: http://www.theweatherprediction.com/habyhints/334/
BOM says Willis Island observation station may have been destroyed. No data for over 40 minutes.
Quoting WaterWitch11:
hi guys & dr masters.

i was just watching cnn and they had a live feed of chicago. there was lightening & thunder during the snow storm. is that something that normally happens?


Thundersnow
Quoting AstroHurricane001:


Remnants of Anthony still alive and headed for Victoria and New South Wales! Incredible.
I noticed that on a map a minute ago. BoM had flood watches still out for parts of the Darling / Murray watershed up to yesterday...
Quoting kellnerp:

As the ocean warms it can't radiate energy to space like land can
Well, not true. The oceans radiate just like land, only it doesn't result in a lower temperature as quickly. (specific heat much higher)

Just sayin, everything that has a temperature above absolute zero radiates just the same...
Quoting 1900hurricane:

Isn't there already a page here?


D'OH! *Facepalm*
Quoting Hurricanes101:


Tracy was only 30 miles in diameter, doubt any of those cyclones in that pic were of Tracy




Darwin after Tracy.
Quoting AussieStorm:
BOM says Willis Island observation station may have been destroyed. No data for over 40 minutes.


That would not surprise me based on the geography and based on the wave heights reported by NASA. With 37.5ft waves, the crests may have over-topped the highest point on the island by as much as 12 or 13 feet(4meters), even if the mean water level rise did not.

There might not be a willis island at all any more.

When Andrew hit Louisiana it cut Timbalier island clean in half, and that island was a lot bigger than Willis.
Aussiestorm - Are you in harms way? If so, stay safe!
Quoting AussieStorm:
very nicely done... always good to see comparisons.. many have no idea how huge Australia is.
Quoting AussieStorm:




Darwin after Tracy.


Also in your pic, the location of the 3rd cyclone is in the NW part of the Gulf of Carpentia; Tracy never was tracked that far east
Here is a NOAA GOES13 Video of your snowstorm
Quoting oddspeed:
Quoting AussieStorm:




Darwin after Tracy.


How can Tracy be even close to Monica's size? And are you sure Australia is almost as big as the US?
Quoting Dakster:
Aussiestorm - Are you in harms way? If so, stay safe!

I am 1200 miles from where TC Yasi will make landfall at 11pm tonight. 9hrs time

Dayton, Ohio - local tv station reports 45,000 have already lost power
Quoting AstroHurricane001:


How can Tracy be even close to Monica's size? And are you sure Australia is almost as big as the US?

From the most easterly to the most westerly points of Australia it's approx 2550 miles. North to south is 3100miles
From the most easterly to the most westerly points of USA is 2600 miles.From north to south 2500miles.
Quoting RecordSeason:


That would not surprise me based on the geography and based on the wave heights reported by NASA. With 37.5ft waves, the crests may have over-topped the highest point on the island by as much as 12 or 13 feet(4meters), even if the mean water level rise did not.

There might not be a willis island at all any more.

When Andrew hit Louisiana it cut Timbalier island clean in half, and that island was a lot bigger than Willis.
It sure will be a mess, etc., but this is not a river sediment, mud-island:



There's some rock, there, on/under Willis Is. JMHO.
NAM 0 UTC run a hair less snow for TX-LA-MS-AL and shifted a little to the NW from 18 UTC run. And Houston misses it, on this one.

The peak of snowcover on Friday morning:
What a storm!!
Today

State Extremes

Louisiana


State Lows:
Shreveport 21°F

State Highs:
Boothville 71°F
The Groundhogs aren't going to like coming out of their holes tomorrow. Some too buried under snow even.
101. DEKRE
96. atmoaggie 10:16 PM EST on February 01, 2011

Its just coral - not very solid. You can nicely see the reef on your photograph
102. flsky
FEMA has issued to a deployment warning to me.
Nice, big CONUS water vapor loop for all day (WARNING, 16 MB): http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/goes/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/110201-02_goes_wv_anim.gif

Can see Chicago getting some drier mid to upper level air in this. (GOES water vapor can tell us nothing about what moisture, thus, lake effect snow, is going on at lower levels)
Quoting DEKRE:
96. atmoaggie 10:16 PM EST on February 01, 2011

Its just coral - not very solid. You can nicely see the reef on your photograph
Right, I see it.

Still not a river sediment barrier island. Willis Island has been in the open ocean for...well since the Aussies towed it out there from Sydney harbor. (Sry)

I'll be surprised if anything more than what man brought there is destroyed. Again, JMHO.
Quoting AstroHurricane001:
I would like to request some help of any partially-experienced fellow Wikipedians on the following:


Just popped in a paragraph. Editing wikipedia is not for the faint of heart.
Looks to be CAT4 at landfall.
Yasi is a horrific cyclone.
Next one...
Quoting Skyepony:
The Groundhogs aren't going to like coming out of their holes tomorrow. Some too buried under snow even.

I hope they do come out. Wind will blow them to Chicago.
The live cam of Yasi with twitter on the side.. It's like couch tour for cyclones.
A new format or an odd reload...
?

I like it. Much cleaner.
YEA new look - NICE!

It feels less cluttered. Good job on the redesign.
big yasi is right. grave situation over there now.
this on top of the rains is unprecedented, i think,
at least in modern history.
Quoting sunlinepr:
Next one... Link

Isn't that this storm? That's from January 29th.
Presto Chango ! :)

Woah, new look to the webpage!
Quoting atmoaggie:
A new format or an odd reload...
?


Looks like the former.
How about a "change" intermission? :)

Quoting 1900hurricane:

Isn't that this storm? That's from January 29th.


Don't know.... Maybe you're right...
Cool new look Wunderground!
Guided Tour to NewWU
over and out. goodnight..
Here's something you don't see at this time of the year. Looks pretty interesting to me, even though nothing is to come from it.

Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Here's something you don't see at this time of the year. Looks pretty interesting to me, even though nothing is to come from it.


I think that's actually the storm that came through a few days ago.
The hurricane/typhoon archive is much more useful: http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/hurrarchive.asp
something isn't right with the script.

It's cutting off the right side of some posts.
Argh. Looks like blowing snow got into the server. I sure liked the old radar controls better.

Liked the favorites on the side where I could see them all the time.

Sorry, change is hard. Must be old age.
Quoting RecordSeason:
something isn't right with the script.

It's cutting off the right side of some posts.
That's info WunderAdmin would like in their blog. They'll check it out if they know about it, I've found.
http://www.wunderground.com/blog/WunderPress/comment.html?entrynum=12
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Here's something you don't see at this time of the year. Looks pretty interesting to me, even though nothing is to come from it.



Noticed it, too. At a glance, it looks like a surface trough. Too bad upper-level shear is strong, else we might see Arlene out of it.
I will risk being off topic to try to lighten things up a bit. This post warrants it. Good luck to all in the blizzard's path (including myself) and the cyclone's path.

congrats on the new look, looks cleaner and easier to use ;]
Well, this is the next one....
Link

Pretty amazing to see the observations coming out of Chicago. Heavy Snow with outright blizzard conditions with gusts near 60mph as the deformation band snow swath moves through the city.



Quoting spathy:

Thanks Keep.
Innisfail looks pretty populated.
And that bay area there looks like a bad funneling area for surge.
point of extreme effect
I must say, I do rather enjoy this new look. For those complaining about it, you'll get used to it.
someone under the age of 30 is responsible for this travesty!....where is my old WU?
i like the changes to the site
Quoting Drakoen:
Pretty amazing to see the observations coming out of Chicago. Heavy Snow with outright blizzard conditions with gusts near 60mph as the deformation band snow swath moves through the city.





Good to see you around, Drak.
size comparison with countries and Yasi
Link
Quoting ktymisty:
size comparison with countries and Yasi
Link


Whoa..
Freezing rain, stay 10 miles south where you belong.
Quoting KoritheMan:


Good to see you around, Drak.


Thank You!
Quoting ktymisty:
size comparison with countries and Yasi
Link


Excellent...
Can we please rename this storm? "The Groundhog Day Blizzard" sounds way too generic, especially for a storm of this magnitude.
Really like the new site design:)

Here's one for the snow geeks from SpaceWeather..

SNOW SPIRALS: As a winter storm of historic proportions prepares to sweep across the USA later this week, midwesterners should be alert for some unaccustomed sights. One of them is snow spirals. Michael French photographed this specimen in Frederick, Maryland, on Jan. 29th:


"I call them Karra Spirals, after my wife Karra Strickland who discovered them in our yard," says French. "They were all over town, spiraling down the braided metal guy-wires on telephone poles. Here's the curious thing: The wires were spun clockwise, while the snow formations were spun anti-clockwise. The hardened snow spirals were rotated opposite of the metal wire's weave. We also noticed that spirals near the top of the wires were longer (~1 meter) than spirals at the bottom (0.1 - 0.3 meters)--perhaps because of gravity?"

Indeed, the changing wavelength of the spiral suggests gravity played a role in their formation. This could be how heavy snow sags under its own weight when it clings to a braided wire. Why the spirals should oppose the braid, however, is not obvious. Readers with explanations are invited to submit them for consideration.
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:


Whoa..
Wow.
149. JRRP
O o
que gran cambio
Quoting PrivateIdaho:
Wow.
No, the storm surge isn't going to wash away Denver, y'all...
Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Brisbane
Tropical Cyclone Advice #14
SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE YASI (14U)
2:00 PM EST February 2 2011
=========================================

At 1:00 PM EST, Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi, Category Five (930 hPa) located 16.8S 149.0E, or 345 km east of Cairns and 360 km northeast of Townsville has 10 minute sustained winds of 110 knots with gusts of 155 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west southwest at 19 knots.

Hurricane Force Winds
======================
40 NM from the center

Storm Force Winds
=================
130 NM from the center in southern quadrant
60 NM from the center in northwestern quadrant
90 NM from the center in northeastern quadrant

Gale Force Winds
===============
190 NM from the center in northern quadrant
260 NM from the center in southwestern quadrant
250 NM from the center in southeastern quadrant

Dvorak Intensity: T6.0/6.5/D1.0/24HRS

SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE YASI IS A LARGE AND VERY POWERFUL TROPICAL CYCLONE AND POSES AN EXTREMELY SERIOUS THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY WITHIN THE WARNING AREA, ESPECIALLY BETWEEN CAIRNS AND TOWNSVILLE.

DURING THE EVENING, THE VERY DESTRUCTIVE CORE OF CYCLONE YASI WILL CROSS THE COAST BETWEEN CAIRNS AND INGHAM, ACCOMPANIED BY A DANGEROUS STORM TIDE SOUTH OF THE CYCLONE CENTRE.

Tropical Cyclone Yasi, CATEGORY 5, will continue to move in a west-southwesterly direction. The cyclone is expected to cross the coast between Innisfail and Cardwell close to midnight.

Coastal residents within the warning area, and particularly between Cairns and Proserpine including the Whitsundays, are specifically warned of an EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SEA LEVEL RISE [i.e. storm tide] as the cyclone approaches, crosses the coast and moves inland. The sea is likely to steadily rise up to a level which will be VERY DANGEROUSLY above the normal tide, with EXTREMELY DAMAGING WAVES, STRONG CURRENTS and FLOODING of low-lying areas extending some way inland. People living in areas likely to be affected by this flooding should take measures to protect their property as much as possible, and be prepared to follow instructions regarding evacuation of the area if advised to do so by authorities.

DAMAGING WINDS with gusts to 90 km/hr are currently affecting the coast and islands, and are forecast to spread into the tropical interior overnight and west to Julia Creek during Thursday.

Between Port Douglas and Ayr these winds will become DESTRUCTIVE with gusts in excess of 125 km/hr developing during this afternoon and early evening, spreading into the tropical interior overnight. VERY DESTRUCTIVE winds with gusts up to 290 km/hr are expected to develop between Cairns and Ingham during the evening as the cyclone approaches and crosses the coast. These VERY DESTRUCTIVE winds will also occur on the seaward side of hills to the north of the cyclone and also affect the Atherton Tablelands.

Due to the large size of the cyclone, people in the path of the VERY DESTRUCTIVE WINDS are likely to experience these conditions for about 3 to 4 hours.

Winds are forecast to gradually ease about the east coast during Thursday morning as the cyclone moves inland. FLOODING RAINS will develop from Cooktown to Sarina during the afternoon and then extend inland overnight.

Tropical Cyclone Watches/Warnings
==================================
A Cyclone WARNING is current for coastal and island communities from Cape Flattery to Sarina, extending inland to Julia Creek and to the area west of Croydon.

A Cyclone WATCH is current for the remaining inland parts west to the Northern Territory border and north of Winton.

The Cyclone WARNING from Cape Melville to Cape Flattery has been cancelled.
Quoting Skyepony:
Readers with explanations are invited to submit them for consideration.
Interesting.
(And your "submit" link is no good. WU may nix a "mailto" html link.
Quoting 1900hurricane:
Can we please rename this storm? "The Groundhog Day Blizzard" sounds way too generic, especially for a storm of this magnitude.


Seems like there is a need to document Winter season the same way it's done in the Hurricane season. Systems should be classified by category, named and all data collected...
This is sick. Look how much the symetry improved in just the past 2 hours.



Incredible.




Yasi may be stronger than ever right now.

It looks like Katrina or Rita at peak intensity, only bigger...
I pray the powerpuff girls protect the citizens of townsville tonight!
This seems like scary stuff.
Quoting 1900hurricane:
Can we please rename this storm? "The Groundhog Day Blizzard" sounds way too generic, especially for a storm of this magnitude.


Snowtorious B.I.G.
Flinders Reef Sustained at 70 knots, Gusting to 90 knots. Pressure 977.3 (as of 2 pm)

Holmes Reef Sustained at 51 knots, Gusting to 63 knots. Pressure 980.0 (as of 1:52 pm)
Quoting atmoaggie:
Interesting.
(And your "submit" link is no good. WU may nix a "mailto" html link.


The Link at the top of that will get you there. Better yet it could the topic of hot debate here tonight.
What a DRY--WARM winter La-nina has brought to the SE!! High in Mobile, Al. Wed. HI-47 Low-34 Thurs 80% rain Hi-39 Low-29 Fri 100% rain Hi-40 Low 34. Then it will be seasonal for a couple of days and then go right back into a COLD---WET pattern. What is going on and what kind of forecast can we expect to see for the 2011 Hurricane season, when the forecast didnt pan out for the winter??
Quoting presslord:


Snowtorious B.I.G.
*groan*
Quoting atmoaggie:
No, the storm surge isn't going to wash away Denver, y'all...
Thanks for clearing that up...I thought it was a Great Salt Lake-effect storm!...lol
This isn't something we see everyday...

.. Wind Chill Advisory now in effect until 10 am CST Wednesday...

The Wind Chill Advisory is now in effect until 10 am CST
Wednesday.

* Wind chills... lowest wind chill readings Wednesday morning are
expected to range from the single digits across the East Texas
lakes into central Louisiana... to the lower teens across the
Interstate 10 corridor.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A Wind Chill Advisory means that very cold air and strong winds
will combine to generate low wind chills. This will result in
frost bite and lead to hypothermia if precautions are not taken.

If you must venture outdoors... make sure you wear a hat and
gloves.

But all and all we have it better than many who are facing this cold. My heart goes out to everyone in Yasi's path. That's a scary thing to have to face.:(
Stay safe and stay warm everyone.
Quoting Skyepony:
Readers with explanations are invited to submit them for consideration.


Doing some research....

http://www.its.caltech.edu/~atomic/snowcrystals/frost2/frost2.htm

Link
ACK!!! the new layout is really jarring to my Aspie self, LOL!

Yasi
Quoting RecordSeason:
This is sick. Look how much the symetry improved in just the past 2 hours.



Incredible.




Yasi may be stronger than ever right now.

It looks like Katrina or Rita at peak intensity, only bigger...


Ugh, it's as if Nature were being a sadistic ***** torturing those folks in Queensland! :-(
IDQP0005
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

Media: Transmitters serving the area from Cape Flattery to Sarina and inland to
Georgetown are requested to USE the Standard Emergency Warning Signal before
broadcasting the following warning.

TOP PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 14
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
Issued at 1:53pm EST on Wednesday the 2nd of February 2011

A Cyclone WARNING is current for coastal and island communities from Cape
Flattery to Sarina, extending inland to Julia Creek and to the area west of
Croydon.

A Cyclone WATCH is current for the remaining inland parts west to the Northern
Territory border and north of Winton.

The Cyclone WARNING from Cape Melville to Cape Flattery has been cancelled.

At 1:00 pm EST Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi, Category 5 was estimated to be 345
kilometres east of Cairns and 360 kilometres northeast of Townsville and moving
west southwest at 35 kilometres per hour.

SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE YASI IS A LARGE AND VERY POWERFUL TROPICAL CYCLONE AND
POSES AN EXTREMELY SERIOUS THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY WITHIN THE WARNING AREA,
ESPECIALLY BETWEEN CAIRNS AND TOWNSVILLE.

DURING THE EVENING, THE VERY DESTRUCTIVE CORE OF CYCLONE YASI WILL CROSS THE
COAST BETWEEN CAIRNS AND INGHAM, ACCOMPANIED BY A DANGEROUS STORM TIDE SOUTH OF
THE CYCLONE CENTRE.

Tropical Cyclone Yasi, CATEGORY 5, will continue to move in a west-southwesterly
direction. The cyclone is expected to cross the coast between Innisfail and
Cardwell close to midnight.

Coastal residents within the warning area, and particularly between Cairns and
Proserpine including the Whitsundays, are specifically warned of an EXTREMELY
DANGEROUS SEA LEVEL RISE [i.e. storm tide] as the cyclone approaches, crosses
the coast and moves inland. The sea is likely to steadily rise up to a level
which will be VERY DANGEROUSLY above the normal tide, with EXTREMELY DAMAGING
WAVES, STRONG CURRENTS and FLOODING of low-lying areas extending some way
inland. People living in areas likely to be affected by this flooding should
take measures to protect their property as much as possible, and be prepared to
follow instructions regarding evacuation of the area if advised to do so by
authorities.

DAMAGING WINDS with gusts to 90 km/hr are currently affecting the coast and
islands, and are forecast to spread into the tropical interior overnight and
west to Julia Creek during Thursday.

Between Port Douglas and Ayr these winds will become DESTRUCTIVE with gusts in
excess of 125 km/hr developing during this afternoon and early evening,
spreading into the tropical interior overnight. VERY DESTRUCTIVE winds with
gusts up to 290 km/hr are expected to develop between Cairns and Ingham during
the evening as the cyclone approaches and crosses the coast. These VERY
DESTRUCTIVE winds will also occur on the seaward side of hills to the north of
the cyclone and also affect the Atherton Tablelands.

Due to the large size of the cyclone, people in the path of the VERY DESTRUCTIVE
WINDS are likely to experience these conditions for about 3 to 4 hours.

Winds are forecast to gradually ease about the east coast during Thursday
morning as the cyclone moves inland.

FLOODING RAINS will develop from Cooktown to Sarina during the afternoon and
then extend inland overnight.

People between Cape Flattery and Sarina, extending inland to Julia Creek and to
the area west of Croydon should complete preparations quickly and be prepared to
shelter in a safe place.
- Boats and outside property should be secured.
- For cyclone preparedness and safety advice, visit Queensland's Disaster
Management Services website [www.disaster.qld.gov.au]
- For emergency assistance call the Queensland State Emergency Service [SES] on
132 500 [for assistance with storm damage, rising flood water, fallen trees on
buildings or roof damage].

People about the remaining inland parts west to the Northern Territory border
and north of Winton should consider what action they will need to take if the
cyclone threat increases.
- Information is available from your local government
- For cyclone preparedness and safety advice, visit Queensland's Disaster
Management Services website [www.disaster.qld.gov.au]
- For emergency assistance call the Queensland State Emergency Service [SES] on
132 500 [for assistance with storm damage, rising flood water, fallen trees on
buildings or roof damage].

Details of Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi at 1:00 pm EST:
.Centre located near...... 16.8 degrees South 149.0 degrees East
.Location accuracy........ within 30 kilometres
.Recent movement.......... towards the west southwest at 35 kilometres per hour
.Wind gusts near centre... 290 kilometres per hour
.Severity category........ 5
.Central pressure......... 930 hectoPascals


Please ensure that neighbours have heard and understood this message,
particularly new arrivals or those who may not fully understand English.

The next advice will be issued by 3:00 pm EST Wednesday 02 February.

This warning is also available through TV and Radio Broadcasts; the Bureau's
website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 212. The Bureau and the State
Emergency Service would appreciate this warning being broadcast regularly.
Quoting Skyepony:


The Link at the top of that will get you there. Better yet it could the topic of hot debate here tonight.
I'll admit that I am intrigued...

Thoughts ranging from the snow sliding down the wire and accumulation piling up on top to the behavior of the wind around a cable like that.

But, also have to admit that I am tired and may need to sleep on it to have any coherent thoughts...
Quoting sunlinepr:


Doing some research....

http://www.its.caltech.edu/~atomic/snowcrystals/frost2/frost2.htm

Link


Nice hoarfrost & frost flowers..
CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
6.9 / 903.4mb/137.4kt


Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
6.6 7.0 7.0
Wow...

Double posted...
My brother live in Chicago and he called me and told me that the wind is very strong and he can't bearly see across the street
I love the new style for the new style of wunderground, just can't wait til this hurricane season to see how it works
Complete Update






Quoting TORMENTOSO83:
My brother live in Chicago and he called me and told me that the wind is very strong and he can't bearly see across the street

Hopefully the backside shouldn't be too terribly far away, although that isn't taking into account any lake-effect snow.

173. TORMENTOSO83 4:53 AM GMT on February 02, 2011
My brother live in Chicago and he called me and told me that the wind is very strong and he can't bearly see across the street


Did he tell you about the thunder and lightning?
Yasi is a beautiful beast -- looks great on Sat.

Although with the WU changes, it's not on the full map picture with the SSTs on the Tropical Weather front page.
Quoting TORMENTOSO83:
I love the new style for the new style of wunderground, just can't wait til this hurricane season to see how it works


The tropical page got an upgrade and we seem to have more code available too in the blogs.
Quoting Cat5Hurricane250:
CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
6.9 / 903.4mb/137.4kt


Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
6.6 7.0 7.0


Yeah, that now meets the SS definition of a Category 5.
I live very close to where Dr. Masters lives, and it's starting to pick up now. Heavy stuff supposed to hit here about 4 AM (in 4 hours)
New format...

If I click on someone's avatar I no longer get the photo, etc...
Quoting Patrap:
We have a new Look to the whole site


Spiffy
its all good got some adjustments to make on my blog other than that i like the sleek new look
New format...

If I click on my own avatar I get the image... protection problem?

Running Vista with IE7
Australia RSMC ADT

2011FEB02 033200
T 6.6
Estimated pressure: 913.0
129.6 knots
Final: 6.6
Adjusted: 6.9
Raw: 6.9

Quoting EnergyMoron:
New format...

If I click on my own avatar I get the image... protection problem?

Running Vista with IE7


My guess is Browser. Nice wildflowers (from Firefox).
haha

I keep on clicking the community chat instead of the member chat in the menu.
Anyone reading this in Australia. If you live in the forecast cone, you can always start walking.

If you have any doubt whatsoever about the building you're riding this out it, you should make better plans. I wish someone would post the videos of Katrina in Waveland and Biloxi, and maybe some from Andrew in Florida.

It's going to be that bad, maybe worse if there is such a thing...
Quoting EnergyMoron:
New format...

If I click on someone's avatar I no longer get the photo, etc...


Maybe it depends on the browser.... I clicked on yours and I got this photograph...

I like the new update.
Interesting new format.

Any new snowfall totals from Chicago, IL?
Quoting Skyepony:


My guess is Browser. Nice wildflowers (from Firefox).


Okay, hopefully an admin/developer type is reading this.

You can click my avatar and get my info from firefox and I cannot click your avatar and get yours from IE7.

Yah, on wildflowers... Thanks.

Almost everything in the yard (except for dyanthus, allysum, snapdragons, and maybe some of the winter garden veggies) will be pretty black by morning with 19 F temperatures but the seeds are already planted!
Cat 5?
Quoting all4hurricanes:
Cat 5?
Most certainly looks like it!
Quoting sunlinepr:


Maybe it depends on the browser.... I clicked on yours and I got this....


Yah, thanks... we are debugging (hopefully a developer reading).

The silly SmartMeterTexas site does not work on my laptop. I have to use the kid's notebook to get to it (running IE8) but there is still a bug in that it does not display the 2 day old electric usage without first displaying the day before!

WU is much better but simply reporting a problem

Quoting HadesGodWyvern:


Did he tell you about the thunder and lightning?

It is getting progressively worse here (Chicago). Wind is picking up (45+ MPH almost constant now) with gusts to 60+...drifts to 3 feet...and we're only half done...wait until Lake Michigan snow machine gets going.
Some reports in Cook County, Illinois
=======================================

02/01/2011 1045 PM

3 miles SW of midway airpor, Cook County.

Snow m10.2 inch, reported by co-op observer.


02/01/2011 1039 PM

Schaumburg, Cook County.

Snow e13.0 inch, reported by amateur radio.

Wise and plumb Grove Rd. Drift 2 feet. E30 to 40 mph.



02/01/2011 1035 PM

Tinley Park, Cook County.

Snow e12.0 inch, reported by amateur radio.

Thundersnow.
198. JRRP
Quoting riblet2000:

It is getting progressively worse here (Chicago). Wind is picking up (45+ MPH almost constant now) with gusts to 60+...drifts to 3 feet...and we're only half done...wait until Lake Michigan snow machine gets going.

So are meteorologists more familiar with the area expecting the lake effect to kick in?
Posted by: WunderPress, 8:04 PM CST on February 01, 2011


You found you're way to this blog so you've already seen the new design of wunderground.com and we hope that you like what you've seen so far.

This is the culmination of 2 years of development and planning with the goal to improve the user interface and make it even easier for our users to quickly surface the weather data that they are looking for.

In fact, you could argue that this is the culmination of 16 years hard work. As you know, we constantly launch new products and tools to enhance the service we provide to you all. Over the years we've added so much data to the back-end that we needed to reorganize the Site Architecture - a spring clean as it were.

This has helped us group all of our content into 7 main channels which in turn has led to the easier to use navigation of the new site. The simple new layout design presents the data in a more digestible format and appears less data heavy.

Rest assured, we have not taken away any of the data from the old site. To the contrary, it is now easier to quickly view a lot more weather data than before - especially on the city forecast pages where you now get an overview of the hourly forecasts without having to click to a new page.

There are too many new benefits to list them all - the load time is a lot faster than the previous version, we have new graphics such as spark lines that enable you to quickly view weather patterns and you can customize your city forecast page using the collapsable modules.

If you want to learn more please take a look at this presentation that we put together which showcases some of the more significant changes.

Please let us know what you think of the new design - it's all for your benefit so we hope you like it!

If you have any issues with the new site please submit a support ticket.
198. JRRP 5:23 AM GMT on February 02, 2011


Is that Puerto Rico in the lower left?
Quoting 1900hurricane:

So are meteorologists more familiar with the area expecting the lake effect to kick in?

We're expecting another 3"-10" depending on where you are in relation to the Lake. NW Indiana could be in for a very bad day tomorrow. Where I am (12 miles west of downtown Chicago) we had about four inches of lake snow this morning and I expect another foot on top of the 6" we already have before noon Weds. There is a 3 foot drift on the south side of the house...
Quoting Patrap:
You found you're way to this blog... blah...

If you have any issues with the new site please submit a support ticket.


Thanks Pat...

Don't know how to submit a support ticket but at least left a comment on that blog.

How would I ever figure out how to send a WU e-mail if I can't click on your avatar and get everything?
206. JRRP
Quoting HadesGodWyvern:


Is that Puerto Rico in the lower left?

yes
Quoting HadesGodWyvern:


Did he tell you about the thunder and lightning?

Actually, when I was talking with him, I heard a thunder and I asked him: "what the heck?"

At once he had to stopped his car because there were ice on the wipers!
Quoting JRRP:

yes


Quoting EnergyMoron:


Thanks Pat...

Don't know how to submit a support ticket but at least left a comment on that blog.

How would I ever figure out how to send a WU e-mail if I can't click on your avatar and get everything?


The times dey be a changing seems.
I heard the thunder was loud according to Jim Cantore reporting from Chicago.
Quoting 1900hurricane:

Hopefully the backside shouldn't be too terribly far away, although that isn't taking into account any lake-effect snow.


Yeah, it seems like that!!!
Yasi is looking fearsome. Hopefully Yasi is peaking now and will weaken a little before landfall. Looks too perfect to weaken a lot though.

Wonders how much worse Katrina would have been if it had maintained peak strength.
Quoting HadesGodWyvern:
I heard the thunder was loud according to Jim Cantore reporting from Chicago.

Yeah, I saw the same thing on my twitter feed.
Check this Australian Radar Site...

Link

Link
Odd that little blob NE of PR isn't on any of the analysis and forecast cyclone phase evolution maps. Shows up on the 850 vort.
Eye on Radar Loop...

Link
Quoting Patrap:
Submit a Support Ticket here


Pretty cool... there are upload photo issues (screendumped but could not upload to the site) but apparently the support ticket submittal took the dump
Quoting presslord:


Snowtorious B.I.G.

Awesome!
For all the folks wanting the old site back, there is a nice little link on the "Notice Anything Different?" notice bar that lets you return to the Classic Site.
223. JRRP
Quoting sunlinepr:



exacto
jejeje
Winds from Yasi are already near 100km/hour and it is still 6 hours before landfall. see:


http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2011/02/02/3127949.htm


look on the sidebar for the recent winds, the peak is at Ingham as of 3pm australia time.
Link to the 'classic' wunderground site. But I like the update better.
At first I was a little annoyed by the change, however its only because I'm used to the old version. But I'm sure I'll get used to this version soon enough and end up liking it better.


I'm for change as long as it is actually in improvement.
Landfall is Misleading as to IMPACT always.

When the Eye Crosses the Coast,,fully half the Storm is onshore with most of the Surge.

Conditions will go downhill fast as the Left Side of the Eyewall closes in on the Coast.

Quoting Patrap:


man that thing looks extremely well organized, poor northeast Australia
Quoting weatherboy1992:
Link to the 'classic' wunderground site. But I like the update better.


Thanks... Skyepony still doesn't show up on the classic site so there is still a change and a problem.
The latest pass on Yasi wasn't excellent, but at least it was something.

skyepony is on classic wunderground. Just way down the list. Because no one has commented on her blog for 2 hours. There's a storm of comments on blogs that's making other blogs drop down the list very fast if no one comments on them
I hearby name this winter storm: Snowfalupagus

*ducks*
Thousands off the road, national guard called.

NWS Chicago

Blizzard creating life threatening situation for motorists... Reports from media and local law enforcement officially indicate that hundreds if not thousands of vehicles have gone off the roads. The governor has activated the National guard who are currently rescuing stranded motorists. The blizzard conditions will continue tonight... particularly in open areas where white out conditions will make travel impossible. Local law enforcement officials are telling people to stay off the roads as not a single Road is passable in rural and open areas. They are asking people to stay in a safe place and not to leave home tonight. This is a potentially life threatening situation. Link
New Wunderground format sucks! I've been a loyal fan since the old days at umich.edu, but this is sterile and bland and difficult to navigate. Tweak it a bit at a time, but don't blow it out of the water with this ridiculous and traumatic overhaul.
Lightning is fading out over northern Illinois.

Groundhog Day


New pass!

Not good for Australia...

I think it's now officially a SS category 5.

Intensity 135kts 1-min average...
NOT SURE I LIKE THE NEW LOOK
Quoting Patrap:
Posted by: WunderPress, 8:04 PM CST on February 01, 2011


If you have any issues with the new site please submit a support ticket.


When I read it on my screen it ended by saying:

If you have any issues with the new site please email to support@wunderground.com
Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Brisbane
Tropical Cyclone Advice #17
SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE YASI (14U)
5:00 PM EST February 2 2011
=========================================

At 5:00 PM EST, Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi, Category Five (930 hPa) located 17.2S 147.8E, or 220 km east of Cairns and 260 km north northeast of Townsville has 10 minute sustained winds of 110 knots with gusts of 155 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west southwest at 19 knots.

Hurricane Force Winds
======================
40 NM from the center

Storm Force Winds
=================
120 NM from the center in southeastern quadrant
100 NM from the center in southwestern quadrant
60 NM from the center in northwestern quadrant
80 NM from the center in northeastern quadrant

Gale Force Winds
===============
240 NM from the center in southeastern quadrant
170 NM from the center in southwestern quadrant
190 NM from the center in northeastern quadrant
140 NM from the center in northwestern quadrant

Dvorak Intensity: T6.5/6.5/D1.5/24HRS

SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE YASI IS A LARGE AND VERY POWERFUL TROPICAL CYCLONE AND POSES AN EXTREMELY SERIOUS THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

DURING THE EVENING, THE VERY DESTRUCTIVE CORE OF CYCLONE YASI WILL CROSS THE COAST BETWEEN INNISFAIL AND CARDWELL, ACCOMPANIED BY A DANGEROUS STORM TIDE SOUTH OF THE CYCLONE CENTRE.

Tropical Cyclone Yasi, CATEGORY 5, will continue to move in a west-southwesterly direction and is expected to cross the coast between Innisfail and Cardwell at about 11 pm EST tonight.

Coastal residents within the warning area, and particularly between Cairns and Proserpine including the Whitsundays, are specifically warned of an EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SEA LEVEL RISE [i.e. storm tide] as the cyclone approaches, crosses the coast and moves inland. The sea is likely to steadily rise up to a level which will be VERY DANGEROUSLY above the normal tide, with EXTREMELY DAMAGING WAVES, STRONG CURRENTS and FLOODING of low-lying areas extending some way inland. The storm tide will persist for many hours after landfall of the cyclone and secondary peaks may occur around high tide on Thursday morning.

People living in areas likely to be affected by this flooding should take measures to protect their property as much as possible, and be prepared to follow instructions regarding evacuation of the area if advised to do so by authorities.

DAMAGING WINDS with gusts to 90 km/hr are currently affecting the coast and islands, and are forecast to spread into the tropical interior overnight and west to Mt Isa during Thursday.

Between Port Douglas and Ayr these winds will become DESTRUCTIVE with gusts in excess of 125 km/hr developing during the next few hours, spreading into the eastern tropical interior overnight. VERY DESTRUCTIVE winds with gusts up to 290 km/hr are expected to develop between Cairns and Ingham during the evening as the cyclone approaches and crosses the coast. These VERY DESTRUCTIVE winds will also occur to the north of the cyclone and affect the Atherton Tablelands.

Due to the large size of the cyclone, people in the path of the VERY DESTRUCTIVE WINDS are likely to experience these conditions for about 3 to 4 hours.

Winds are forecast to gradually ease about the east coast during Thursday morning as the cyclone moves inland.

FLOODING RAINS will develop from Cooktown to Sarina during this evening and then extend inland overnight.

Tropical Cyclone Watches/Warnings
==================================
A Cyclone WARNING is current for coastal and island communities from Cape Flattery to Sarina, extending west across the tropical interior to Mt Isa.

A Cyclone WATCH is current for the remaining inland parts west to the Northern Territory border and north of Winton.

Forecast and Intensity
=====================
12 HRS: 18.6S 144.5E - 85 knots (CAT 3)
24 HRS: 19.9S 141.3E - 45 knots (CAT 1)
48 HRS: 22.1S 136.4E - 25 knots (TROPICAL LOW)
72 HRS: 23.7S 133.9E - 25 knots (TROPICAL LOW)

Additional Information
=======================

The latest imagery shows Yasi as very symmetric showing a well defined eye with surrounding deep convection. Dvorak intensity: Eye pattern white surround [6.0] with OW/W [0.5] eye adjustment giving DT=6.5, adj. MET=6.0. FT/CI=6.5. Max winds estimated at 110 knots [205 km/h] [AMSU/SATCON estimates at 125kn [1min]]. Surface observations indicate hurricane force winds extend about 50 nm [95 km] to the southwest of the track.

At 0600UTC [16:00EST] Yasi was just 120nm from the coast and with a steady 19 knot WSW movement, landfall is estimated at about 1300UTC [23:00EST] with the intensity maintained at category 5. The combination of being intense, larger than normal [gales extending about 250 nm [460 km] to the south] having 19 knot motion and with high tides expected at 21:00EST there is a significant risk of very dangerous storm tides south of the track.

Although the mountain ranges will greatly weaken the cyclone after landfall very strong downslope winds may extend well north of the track on the seaward side of the hills. Cyclone intensity is maintained inland beyond 24 hours although gales later Thursday afternoon will rely upon mixing of winds aloft south of the track.
245. mnsky
Feel bad for the Aussies after they had also the flood now cyclone ;( Free counters!
Free counters!
Quoting RecordSeason:
I think it's now officially a SS category 5.

Intensity 135kts 1-min average...


Not quite, has to be greater than 135 knots. It's only a definition on the scale, and obviously won't make any difference for the impending disaster.
I have a friend who's sister lives in cairns. She evacuated 25 miles west of the city, but the imagery would merit a further trip west, I think. Any thoughts? This is a 500km wide monster with very sharp teeth and lacerating tentacles.
248. xcool
ilove new wu
249. P451
Currently in Ossining, NY
25F, Heavy Sleet, Heavy Freezing Rain

----
ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING
AN ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING.
* LOCATIONS...INTERIOR PORTIONS OF THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY AND
NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY.
* HAZARDS...FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET.
* ACCUMULATIONS...BETWEEN 3/4 AND 1 INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION IS
EXPECTED THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.
----

0.75-1.00" Ice Accrual?

That's going to rip a lot of trees down. Can't see me keeping power given where I am.


...Ice Accrual NWS NYC:




Widespread state wide destruction if these totals come to fruition.


scary, I hope their ready for this
Yasi is at 135 knots.
2011FEB02 083200

T6.8
estimate pressure: 906.6
Final: 6.8
Initial: 6.9
Raw: 6.9

Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Brisbane
Tropical Cyclone Advice #19
SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE YASI (14U)
7:00 PM EST February 2 2011
=========================================

At 7:00 PM EST, Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi, Category 5 (930 hPa) located at 17.2S 147.4E, or 150 km east northeast of Innisfail and 175 km east of Cairns has 10 minutes sustained winds of 110 knots with gusts of 155 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west southwest at 15 knots.

SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE YASI IS A LARGE AND VERY POWERFUL TROPICAL CYCLONE AND POSES AN EXTREMELY SERIOUS THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

THE VERY DESTRUCTIVE CORE OF CYCLONE YASI WILL CROSS THE COAST NEAR INNISFAIL CLOSE TO MIDNIGHT, ACCOMPANIED BY A DANGEROUS STORM TIDE SOUTH OF THE CYCLONE CENTRE.

Tropical Cyclone Yasi, CATEGORY 5, will continue to move in a west-southwesterly direction and is expected to cross the coast near Innisfail close to midnight.

Coastal residents between Cairns and Ayr are specifically warned of an EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SEA LEVEL RISE [i.e. storm tide] as the cyclone approaches, crosses the coast and moves inland. The sea is likely to steadily rise up to a level which will be VERY DANGEROUSLY above the normal tide, with EXTREMELY DAMAGING WAVES, STRONG CURRENTS and FLOODING of low-lying areas extending some way inland. The storm tide will persist for many hours after landfall of the cyclone and secondary peaks may occur around high tide on Thursday morning. Higher than normal tides will exceed the high water mark with damaging waves and flooding in low lying areas in remaining warning areas to the south of Ayr.

People living in areas likely to be affected by this flooding should take measures to protect their property as much as possible, and be prepared to follow instructions regarding evacuation of the area if advised to do so by authorities.

DESTRUCTIVE winds with gusts in excess of 125 km/hr between Port Douglas and Ayr are expected to spread into the eastern tropical interior overnight. VERY DESTRUCTIVE winds with gusts up to 290 km/hr are expected to develop between Cairns and Ingham during the next few hours as the cyclone approaches and crosses the coast near midnight. These VERY DESTRUCTIVE winds will also occur to the north of the cyclone and affect the Atherton Tablelands.

Due to the large size of the cyclone, people in the path of the VERY DESTRUCTIVE WINDS are likely to experience these conditions for about 3 to 4 hours.

DAMAGING WINDS with gusts to 90 km/hr are occurring in remaining coastal areas between Cape Flattery and Sarina, and are forecast to spread into the tropical interior overnight and west to Mt Isa during Thursday.

Winds are forecast to gradually ease about the east coast during Thursday morning as the cyclone moves inland.

FLOODING RAINS will develop from Cooktown to Sarina during this evening and then extend inland overnight.

Tropical Cyclone Watches/Warnings
======================================
A Cyclone WARNING is current for coastal and island communities from Cape Flattery to Sarina, extending west across the tropical interior to the Northern Territory border.
It'll take a day or two to get used to the new look, but overall, good job.
YASI approaching a cat 3 on the Kinetic Energy Scale.... would hate to see what a cat 5 on that scale would be.

Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Brisbane
Tropical Cyclone Advice #20
SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE YASI (14U)
8:00 PM EST February 2 2011
=============================================

At 8:00 PM EST Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi, Category Five (930 hPa) located at 17.2S 147.3E, or 165 km east southeast of Cairns and 135 km east northeast of Innisfail has 10 minute sustained winds of 110 knots with gusts of 155 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west southwest at 13 knots.

THE VERY DESTRUCTIVE CORE OF CYCLONE YASI WILL CROSS THE COAST NEAR INNISFAIL CLOSE TO MIDNIGHT, WITH A DANGEROUS STORM TIDE AND BATTERING WAVES SOUTH OF THE CYCLONE CENTRE.

Tropical Cyclone Yasi, CATEGORY 5, will continue to move in a west-southwesterly direction and is expected to cross the coast near Innisfail close to midnight.

Coastal residents between Cairns and Ayr are specifically warned of an EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SEA LEVEL RISE [i.e. storm tide] as the cyclone approaches, crosses the coast and moves inland.

Higher than normal tides will exceed the high water mark with damaging waves and flooding in low lying areas in remaining warning areas to the south of Ayr.

VERY DESTRUCTIVE winds with gusts up to 290 km/h are expected to develop between Cairns and Ingham during the next few hours as the cyclone approaches. These VERY DESTRUCTIVE winds will extend inland to the nearby ranges including the Atherton Tablelands.

Due to the large size of the cyclone, people in the path of the VERY DESTRUCTIVE WINDS are likely to experience these conditions for about 3 to 4 hours.

DESTRUCTIVE winds with gusts in excess of 125 km/h between Cape Tribulation and Ayr are expected to spread inland overnight.

DAMAGING WINDS with gusts to 90 km/hr are occurring in remaining coastal areas between Cape Flattery and Sarina, and are forecast to spread inland and west to Mt Isa during Thursday.

Winds are forecast to gradually ease about the east coast during Thursday morning as the cyclone moves inland.

FLOODING RAINS will develop from Cooktown to Sarina tonight and gradually extend inland.

Tropical Cyclone Watches/Warnings
================================
A Cyclone WARNING is current for coastal and island communities from Cape Flattery to Sarina , extending west across the tropical interior to the Northern Territory border.
Insane.
India Meteorological Department
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
11:30 AM IST February 2 2011
=====================================

A low pressure area lies over southwest Bay of Bengal and adjoining Indian Ocean near 6.0N 83.0E.

Dvorak Intensity: T1.0

Quoting HadesGodWyvern:
India Meteorological Department
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
11:30 AM IST February 2 2011
=====================================

A low pressure area lies over southwest Bay of Bengal and adjoining Indian Ocean near 6.0N 83.0E.

Dvorak Intensity: T1.0




Looks like Cyclone Jal.
260. IKE

Quoting BigToe:
It'll take a day or two to get used to the new look, but overall, good job.
You can keep it as it was by clicking the classic look...which I just did. I'll keep it as it was:)
g'morning ike....toldja :)
262. IKE

Quoting aquak9:
g'morning ike....toldja :)
Morning. Yeah....U did.

6Z GFS @ 174 hours....incredibly cold, with the -10 line almost all the way to the Florida panhandle....


250 I'm fairly certain that's Igor,
wow this is an impressive system, I hope everyone evacuated
I think we're gonna get the tail end of whatever that is, offa the northern west coast of CONUS. In about a week, I guess.

Ike I swear I can't handle the cold.
265. IKE

Quoting aquak9:
I think we're gonna get the tail end of whatever that is, offa the northern west coast of CONUS. In about a week, I guess.

Ike I swear I can't handle the cold.
That's colder than anything I've seen all winter. It's a week out and may change....hopefully...or it may get down to around 10 degrees here.

I had .62 inches of rain with the cold front as it moved through. Cloudy and breezy here now...46.6 outside my window.
266. IKE
Read this NO,LA. discussion about a freezing rain event possible and then another blast of winter early next week....


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
523 AM CST WED FEB 2 2011

.DISCUSSION...AFTER A DAY WITH A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WE NOW
GET TO FOCUS ON THE POSSIBILITY OF A WINTER STORM. MUCH COLDER AIR
HAS SURGED IN BEHIND THE COLD FRONT WHICH IS ALREADY WELL INTO THE
GULF. OUR NEXT KEY PLAYERS WILL BE WHEN AND WHERE A SFC LOW WILL
DEVELOP IN THE GULF ALONG THE COLD FRONT AND THE EVENTUAL TRACK OF
THE L/W TROUGH WITH THE BASE CURRENTLY OVER THE FOUR CORNERS REGION.

TODAY AND TONIGHT...QUIET DAY IN STORE AS ARCTIC HIGH IS SETTLING IN
OVER THE REGION. RATHER COLD TEMPS ARE ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA WITH
MCB IN THE MID 20S BY 10Z AND WITH WIND CHILLS BELOW 15 DEGREES.
SKIES WILL BE CLOUDY AS SW FLOW CONTINUES TO STREAM IN HIGH CLOUDS
AND HELPS TO KEEP BLOCK SOME SOLAR RADIATION. THINGS SHOULD START TO
GET INTERESTING TONIGHT. AN INVERTED TROUGH WILL START TO DEVELOP
OVER THE CNTRL GULF WHILE THE BASE OF THE L/W TROUGH WILL CONTINUE
TO DIG INTO OLD MEXICO. THIS WILL KEEP THE REGION IN THE SW FLOW
INCREASING THE MOISTURE FROM THE PACIFIC WHILE GULF MOISTURE STARTS
TO OVERRUN THE SFC TROUGH. PRECIP WILL START TO DEVELOP EARLY IN THE
EVN ACROSS THE SERN HALF OF THE CWA AND THEN SPREAD NORTH OVER
NIGHT. LOOKING AT FCST SNDGS CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR
SLEET INITIALLY OVER AT LEAST THE NRN HALF OF THE CWA. THIS INCLUDES
PORTIONS OF THE MS COAST BUT WITH THAT SAID WE CANT EVEN RULE OUT
SOME LIGHT SLEET FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHSHORE INITIALLY AS THE
COLUMN COLES TO THE WET BULB. THAT SAID IT WILL BE VERY LIGHT BUT
AFTER SUNRISE THINGS MAY BEGIN TO GET A LITTLE MORE WORRISOME IN
THE FAR NW.

THU THROUGH FRI NIGHT...THIS IS THE MAIN TIME FRAME FOR CONCERN. AT
THE SFC THE INVERTED TROUGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE CNTRL GULF BEFORE A
SFC LOW STARTS TO DEVELOP IN THE GULF LATE THU NIGHT. THIS LOW WILL
MOVE NNE INTO THE NERN GULF BY FRI EVN AND THEN ACROSS FL OVERNIGHT.
AS FOR THE UPPER LVLS THE ELONGATED L/W TROUGH WILL STAY IN PLACE
WITH A STRONG DISTURBANCE MOVING THROUGH THE FLOW TWRDS THE SRN
PLAINS. WITH THE COLD AIR MASS IN PLACE THE SETUP IS THERE FOR A
POTENTIAL ICE STORM OVER NWRN PORTIONS OF THE CWA...MAINLY ALONG AND
NW OF A LINE FROM NEAR BATON ROUGE TO TYLERTOWN.

THERE ARE MANY UNCERTAINTIES RIGHT NOW AND DECIDING WHICH MDL IS
HANDLING THINGS THE BEST IS ALL THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN AN ICE STORM
OR A VERY COLD RAIN. LOOKING AT FCST SNDGS SNOW IS NOT AN ISSUE BUT
THE QUESTION OF SLEET BUT MORE SO FREEZING RAIN/RAIN IS DIFFICULT.
AT FIRST SLEET LOOKS POSSIBLE MAINLY DUE TO EVAPORATIVE COOLING BUT
BY MID THU MORNING THE SNDGS SHOW A RATHER DEEP WARM LAYER IN THE
UPPER PORTIONS OF THE LOWER LEVELS AND MID LEVELS. THIS WARM LAYER
APPEARS TO BE SUFFICIENT(ABOUT 3-6K FT THICK) TO GET COMPLETE
MELTING AND THAT LEAVES FREEZING RAIN AND RAIN AS THE MAIN CONCERN.
EVEN WITH COOLING BY MELTING AND WE SHOULD HAVE A THICK ENOUGH WARM
LAYER THROUGH PRETTY MUCH THE ENTIRE THU-FRI TIME FRAME. DEWPOINTS
WILL REMAIN BELOW FREEZING ALL DAY THU AND MOST OF NIGHT IN THE NW
WHILE AT THE SAME TIME ALL MDLS SHOW QPF VALUES OF GREATER THAN
0.5 INCH OCCURRING. THIS SUGGEST TEMPS COULD HOVER FROM 30-34 MUCH
LATE THU AND OVERNIGHT. THE NAM HAS THE WORST CASE SCENARIO AS IT
SHOWS SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN BEGINNING IN THE NW FROM TOMORROW
MORNING THROUGH FRI MORNING. THE GFS IS WARMER WITH FREEZING RAIN
INITIALLY LATE THU AFTN AND EVN AND THEN SFC TEMPS AND DEWPOINTS
STARTING TO WARM NEAR 32-34 DEGREES. THE SREF AGREES MORE WITH THE
NAM WHILE THE ECMWF AGAIN SEEMS TO BE IN THE MIDDLE. WITH THAT
CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING THAT WE WILL SEE SOME WINTER WEATHER IN THE
NW WITH A DECENT CHANCE OF AN ICE STORM. AGAIN THE MAIN CONCERN IS
THE NW AND COULD INCLUDE BTR AND MCB. THINGS SHOULD WARM UP ENOUGH
TO GET ALL LIQUID BY MID FRI MORNING. NOW AFTER THE SFC LOW STARTS
TO PUSH TO THE NE INTO FL AND THE TROUGH MOVES INTO THE PLAINS/MS
VALLEY CONDITIONS MAY TEMPORARILY BECOME COLD ENOUGH FOR VERY LIGHT
SNOW TO OCCUR FRI NIGHT BUT THERE WILL BE NO ACCUMULATIONS AND VERY
SHORT LIVED.

HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND THINGS WILL BE QUIET AS HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BE BACK OVER THE REGION AND MUCH DRIER AIR WILL MOVE IN PLACE. THE
L/W TROUGH WILL STILL BE IN PLACE OVER THE CONUS WITH SW FLOW ALOFT
OVER THE REGION. THIS WILL BE A TEMPORARY WARMING PERIOD AS ALL OF
THE MDLS ARE STARTING TO SUGGEST ANOTHER VERY COLD AIRMASS WORKING
ALL THE WAY DOWN TO THE GULF COAST EARLY MID NEXT WEEK.
oh thanks...you just wanna re-inforce my winter depression, huh ike.

we both got nuthin to look forward to this week, overcast and drizzy. No rain here, just a temptation. But PLEASE, no freeze...ya'll definitely can NOT handle 10º.

Oh no way...

268. IKE
I'm sick of this winter. I wish Kman would invite me down to the Cayman's for awhile.

Good luck to the folks in Australia.....that's a buzzsaw.
Watching now

http://www.ustream.tv/channel/uofficial-cyclone-yasi-news-channel

http://www.ustream.tv/channel/yasi-from-innisfail
Quoting IKE:
I'm sick of this winter. I wish Kman would invite me down to the Cayman's for awhile.

Good luck to the folks in Australia.....that's a buzzsaw.
Ike..currently 77 degrees on the way to a high of 85 today here. Come on down! SP
271. IKE

Quoting superpete:
Ike..currently 77 degrees on the way to a high of 85 today here. Come on down! SP
I wish I was on a beach...laying out on a lounge chair enjoying the breeze....catching a few rays:)

Thanks for the invite! Sounds like paradise to me. Always has.
272. IKE
Oh yeah....77 degrees....lucky. Rain here the next 2 days, after today. Highs in the 40's(:
From one "sunshine state" to another, best of luck to all our friends down under. Spent quite a bit of time in Queensland and it breaks my heart imagining what is going on there right now. A beautiful place full of really great people.
Quoting IKE:
Oh yeah....77 degrees....lucky. Rain here the next 2 days, after today. Highs in the 40's(:
We could certainly use that rain.We had a wet summer/ fall but it has been very dry since about Dec', but that is typical for winter down here.Hope it warms up a bit for you there when this front passes thru.
275. IKE

Quoting superpete:
We could certainly use that rain.We had a wet summer/ fall but it has been very dry since about Dec', but that is typical for winter down here.Hope it warms up a bit for you there when this front passes thru.
Suppose to be a nice weekend here....can't complain much compared to other areas.
weather is becoming overhyped nowadays. wait to 2012 not sure its a good thing
Morning all. Looks like the back side of Yasi is going to be pretty bad. Looking at the WunderMap for Cairns, the eye looks to be coming in just between Cairns and Innesfall, but there is now a large area of pink in the even larger CDO of red.... all on the back side. It's going to be a challenging six hours in QLD....
hmmm.... this new format is going to take a little getting used to...

L8r, all.
281. IKE

Quoting BahaHurican:
hmmm.... this new format is going to take a little getting used to...

L8r, all.
You can use the old format. Look for the "classic" link on a cities weather page. Look on the upper right of the page.
Quoting IKE:

You can keep it as it was by clicking the classic look...which I just did. I'll keep it as it was:)

Where do you click to get back to the classic look?
Here is the radar this morning for Indiana and Chicago.

0


In terms of precipitation the majority fell about 60-70 miles south of the Michigan border in Indiana. Don't let the colors fool you. Chicago at it's worst got half of what hit rural Indiana.

Kokomo Tribune, Tuesday

Fort Wayne Journal Gazette

WTTV Indianapolis It looks like Vigo, Indiana was hard hit. Vigo is not a big city so 6,000 plus outages is a huge percentage of the total number of customers. AEP reported St. Joseph County had 110 outages. This is nothing compared to a good storm there where 25,000 will be out for days.
284. IKE

Quoting FtMyersgal:

Where do you click to get back to the classic look?
Where I found it...I was looking at some city forecast. I looked at my home town page and found the "classic" link in the upper right portion of the page.
Quoting IKE:

Where I found it...I was looking at some city forecast. I looked at my home town page and found the "classic" link in the upper right portion of the page.

Thanks Ike!
286. IKE

Quoting FtMyersgal:

Thanks Ike!
You're welcome. Sun is out here and 44.8.
I wonder if the new and "improved" format is troll proof?
Oops
Quoting IKE:

You're welcome. Sun is out here and 44.8.

Sun is out here too, we are currently 66 in Ft Myers and expecting 81 today.
I hope they leave the classic option, but I'm gonna try the new format out for a bit.

...old dog, new tricks, we'll see.
According to MSNBC, people were being turned away from overcrowded shelters in northeastern Australia.

Not good...

MSNBC

"...We are facing a storm of catastrophic proportions," Queensland state premier Anna Bligh said after Yasi was upgraded to a maximum-strength category five storm.

"All aspects of this cyclone are going to be terrifying and potentially very, very damaging."

She had daunting words for those yet to find a refuge.

"It is now time for all movement and evacuation to cease," she said, adding 10,680 people had now crammed into evacuation centers.

More than 400,000 people live in the cyclone's expected path, which includes the cities of Cairns, Townsville and Mackay..."
IDQP0005
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

Media: Transmitters serving the area from Cape Flattery to Proserpine and inland
to the Northern Territory border are requested to USE the Standard Emergency
Warning Signal before broadcasting the following warning.

TOP PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 23
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
Issued at 10:56pm EST on Wednesday the 2nd of February 2011

A Cyclone WARNING is current for coastal and island communities from Cape
Flattery to Proserpine, extending west across the tropical interior to the
Northern Territory border

At 11:00 pm EST Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi, Category 5 was estimated to be 125
kilometres southeast of Cairns and 65 kilometres east southeast of Innisfail and
moving west southwest at 25 kilometres per hour.

Tropical Cyclone Yasi, CATEGORY 5, will continue to move in a west-southwesterly
direction and is expected to cross the coast near Mission Beach close to
midnight.

AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SEA LEVEL RISE [i.e. storm tide] will occur between
Innisfail and Ayr, peaking between Cardwell and Lucinda, as the cyclone
approaches, crosses the coast and moves inland.

Higher than normal tides exceeding the high water mark, and damaging waves will
continue between Cairns and Proserpine until at least the morning high tide.

VERY DESTRUCTIVE winds with gusts up to 290 km/h are developing between Cairns
and Ingham and the adjacent ranges.

Due to the large size of the cyclone, people in the path of the VERY DESTRUCTIVE
WINDS are likely to experience these conditions for about 3 to 4 hours.

DESTRUCTIVE winds with gusts in excess of 125 km/h between Cape Tribulation and
Ayr are expected to spread inland overnight.

DAMAGING WINDS with gusts to 90 km/hr are occurring in remaining coastal areas
between Cape Flattery and Proserpine, and are forecast to spread inland and west
to Mt Isa during Thursday.

Winds are forecast to gradually ease about the east coast during Thursday
morning as the cyclone moves inland.

FLOODING RAINS will develop from Cooktown to Proserpine tonight and gradually
extend inland.

People in the path of the very dangerous cyclone should stay calm and remain in
a secure shelter, above the expected water level, while the very destructive
winds continue.
- Do not venture outside if you find yourself in the eye of the cyclone; very
destructive winds from a different direction could resume at any time.
- Follow the evacuation advice or directions of Police, Emergency Services
personnel and local authorities.

People in remaining areas between Cape Flattery and Proserpine and extending
west across the tropical interior to the Northern Territory border, should
complete preparations quickly and be prepared to shelter in a safe place.
- Boats and outside property should be secured.
- For cyclone preparedness and safety advice, visit Queensland's Disaster
Management Services website [www.disaster.qld.gov.au]
- For emergency assistance call the Queensland State Emergency Service [SES] on
132 500 [for assistance with storm damage, rising flood water, fallen trees on
buildings or roof damage].

Details of Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi at 11:00 pm EST:
.Centre located near...... 17.7 degrees South 146.6 degrees East
.Location accuracy........ within 20 kilometres
.Recent movement.......... towards the west southwest at 25 kilometres per hour
.Wind gusts near centre... 285 kilometres per hour
.Severity category........ 5
.Central pressure......... 930 hectoPascals


Please ensure that neighbours have heard and understood this message,
particularly new arrivals or those who may not fully understand English.

The next advice will be issued by 12:00 am EST Thursday 03 February.

This warning is also available through TV and Radio Broadcasts; the Bureau's
website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 212. The Bureau and the State
Emergency Service would appreciate this warning being broadcast regularly.
Quoting atmoaggie:
0 UTC NAM just coming out...same solution as 18 UTC.

Starts with snow from NOLA to Mobile at 15 UTC, Thursday.



Records fall along with snow, temperature

Link

Looks like the record won't last long.
This is worst case scenario.
Extreme flooding followed by extreme cyclone.

Meanwhile, a co-worker thinks he is flying out of Orlando to NYC today. Flights were canceled yesterday. Any opinions about whether he'll have better success today?
Quoting BahaHurican:
Morning all. Looks like the back side of Yasi is going to be pretty bad. Looking at the WunderMap for Cairns, the eye looks to be coming in just between Cairns and Innesfall, but there is now a large area of pink in the even larger CDO of red.... all on the back side. It's going to be a challenging six hours in QLD....

Evening all, The Eye of yasi has taken a jump to the SW, Innisvale will not get any part of the eye. Dunk Island will get a servere dunking. Yasi looks to make landfall at Cardwell. i will try and post radio links, soon.
Quoting tkeith:
I hope they leave the classic option, but I'm gonna try the new format out for a bit.

...old dog, new tricks, we'll see.


Old Dog - not too happy w/the new trick - specially when I'm late for work -- like stumbling around a room w/no lights.

PrayersUP for all in the Land Down Under -- They're UNDER the weather for sure
Quoting tkeith:
I wonder if the new and "improved" format is troll proof?
BAwahahahaaaa -- don't you know that was my FIRST THOUGHT - lol
Quoting tkeith:
I wonder if the new and "improved" format is troll proof?
well from looking at all the comments in wunder press with the date of join feb 2 trolls don't seem to happy about it

lol
me iam ok with it
128 km Cairns Radar Loop
Link
302. Jax82
CIVIL EMERGENCY MESSAGE
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT LAKE COUNTY ILLINOIS
RELAYED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL
547 AM CST WED FEB 2 2011

THE FOLLOWING MESSAGE IS TRANSMITTED AT THE REQUEST OF THE
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT LAKE COUNTY ILLINOIS.

BECAUSE OF LIFE THREATENING BLIZZARD CONDITIONS...ROADS ACROSS
LAKE COUNTY ARE CLOSED TO ALL TRAFFIC. EMERGENCY RESPONDERS ARE
HAVING DIFFICULTY REACHING NUMEROUS STRANDED MOTORISTS. DRIVING
WILL CONTINUE TO BE NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.
IF YOU BECOME STRANDED...EMERGENCY VEHICLES MAY NOT BE ABLE TO
REACH YOU.

IF YOU ARE STRANDED...DO NOT LEAVE YOUR VEHICLE. RUN YOUR VEHICLE
10 MINUTES PER HOUR. MAKE SURE YOUR EXHAUST PIPE IS NOT SNOW
COVERED...AND CRACK OPEN A DOWNWIND WINDOW FOR VENTILATION.

ALL RESOURCES ARE BEING USED TO REACH STRANDED MOTORISTS. PLEASE
DO NOT DRIVE UNLESS ABSOLUTELY NECESSARY. DOING SO WILL PUT YOUR
LIFE AT RISK.


Quoting tkeith:
I hope they leave the classic option, but I'm gonna try the new format out for a bit.

...old dog, new tricks, we'll see.


I like the aesthetics of the new layout, for the most part, but I don't like the fact that the long range forecast and favorites now require large numbers of mouse clicks. I dislike mouse clicks. I liked having all that information on one page before.
305. IKE

Quoting bluheelrtx:


I like the aesthetics of the new layout, for the most part, but I don't like the fact that the long range forecast and favorites now require large numbers of mouse clicks. I dislike mouse clicks. I liked having all that information on one page before.
That's exactly what I don't like.
It looks like Chicago will get its 20" of snow, or very close to it. And what a mess; there are many preliminary spotter/law enforcement reports of 16" - 21" of new snow, and still falling. Also a number of 6' - 8' snowdrifts. Officially, O'Hare has seen 17.3".

Here in Naples: 68 and sunny, headed for the low 80s. Come on down!
Good Morning...

Hope those in Queensland, Australia have completed preparations.

On a note in the US... next week could be a mini event like we had in Jan. 2010 w/ Wintry WX in FL, but this time it could be confined to NCFL and up.
308. IKE

Quoting FtMyersgal:

Sun is out here too, we are currently 66 in Ft Myers and expecting 81 today.
Lucky:(
Quoting AussieStorm:

Evening all, The Eye of yasi has taken a jump to the SW, Innisvale will not get any part of the eye. Dunk Island will get a servere dunking. Yasi looks to make landfall at Cardwell. i will try and post radio links, soon.
Aussie. I've got several friends evacuated from Cairns up to Kuranda. They are up in the high tablelands there but will still see very high winds I think. Hope the surge is not too severe for Cairns on the back side of the eye wall. Dunk Is' & Mission Beach not looking good though.Thoughts?
Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Brisbane
Tropical Cyclone Advice #23
SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE YASI (14U)
11:00 PM EST February 2 2011
=========================================

At 11:00 PM EST, Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi, Category Five (930 hPa) located 17.7S 146.6E, or 125 km southeast of Cairns and 65 km east southeast of Innisfail has 10 minute sustained winds of 110 knots with gusts of 155 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west southwest at 13 knots.

Tropical Cyclone Yasi, CATEGORY 5, will continue to move in a west-southwesterly direction and is expected to cross the coast near Mission Beach close to midnight.

AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SEA LEVEL RISE [i.e. storm tide] will occur between Innisfail and Ayr, peaking between Cardwell and Lucinda, as the cyclone approaches, crosses the coast and moves inland.

Higher than normal tides exceeding the high water mark, and damaging waves will continue between Cairns and Proserpine until at least the morning high tide.

VERY DESTRUCTIVE winds with gusts up to 290 km/h are developing between Cairns and Ingham and the adjacent ranges.

Due to the large size of the cyclone, people in the path of the VERY DESTRUCTIVE WINDS are likely to experience these conditions for about 3 to 4 hours.

DESTRUCTIVE winds with gusts in excess of 125 km/h between Cape Tribulation and Ayr are expected to spread inland overnight.

DAMAGING WINDS with gusts to 90 km/hr are occurring in remaining coastal areas between Cape Flattery and Proserpine, and are forecast to spread inland and west to Mt Isa during Thursday.

Winds are forecast to gradually ease about the east coast during Thursday morning as the cyclone moves inland.

FLOODING RAINS will develop from Cooktown to Proserpine tonight and gradually extend inland.

Tropical Cyclone Watches/Warnings
==================================
A Cyclone WARNING is current for coastal and island communities from Cape Flattery to Proserpine, extending west across the tropical interior to the Northern Territory border.
Yasi looks to make landfall within the next 30 minutes or so after passing directly over Dunk Island. Cardwell, which isn't a large place, looks for now as though it will be the coastal city chosen as the recipient of the worst.
00Z GFS Precipitation Type:



Current 06Z GFS:



Should be interesting if things shape up.
Things looking pretty hectic on the Oz coast right now.

http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDR211.shtml

New site looks cool, WUG rocks.
Landfall is Misleading as to IMPACT always.

When the Eye Crosses the Coast,,fully half the Storm is onshore with most of the Surge.

Conditions will go downhill fast as the Left Side of the Eyewall closes in on the Coast.

315. Jax82
What day in weather. Massive snowstorm paralyzing the U.S., and a catastrophic hurricane in Australia. Simply incredible. I dont know which one to follow more closely. It is 70 degrees outside where I am though which is quite pleasant compared to 90% of the rest of the country!
Quoting superpete:
Aussie. I've got several friends evacuated from Cairns up to Kuranda. They are up in the high tablelands there but will still see very high winds I think. Hope the surge is not too severe for Cairns on the back side of the eye wall. Dunk Is' & Mission Beach not looking good though.Thoughts?


Looks like I hit the landfall pretty close last night at Tully Heads.
Pete this storm is spinning clockwise.
There should be no surge for Cairns.
Quoting WxLogic:
00Z GFS Precipitation Type:



Current 06Z GFS:



Should be interesting if things shape up.


looks like overdone long range junk to me, I doubt it will get that cold in Florida next week. The upper air pattern doesn't support massive blasts of cold diving into Florida now. However, that doesn't rule out that it can't or won't happen. You just never know for sure.
319. Jax82
Almost a completely symmetrical eye. Stunning.

Quoting Jedkins01:


looks like overdone long range junk to me, I doubt it will get that cold in Florida next week. The upper air pattern doesn't support massive blasts of cold diving into Florida now. However, that doesn't rule out that it can't or won't happen. You just never know for sure.


Indeed... you never know. One thing I'm almost certain, is that if it does come to fruition then it should be a very short duration type event.
Quoting Jax82:
Almost a completely symmetrical eye. Stunning.



It sure is...
Looks the the ausi's radar's are that much more terrible and giving a good feedback of tropical cyclone intensity, LOL.

At least we still got the best radars in the world. I'd love to see the day when a radar can give an accurate display of convection intensity of tropical cyclones someday. I always hated when the radar showed "yellow" in a rain band over my area with half inch an hour rain rates, but in reality in actual conditions its a rain rates of 3 to 4 inches per hour of white out torrential rain and damaging winds... lol
Link

Hope it ain't the super snow bowl, might need to move it to further south next year.
Quoting WxLogic:


Indeed... you never know. One thing I'm almost certain, is that if it does come to fruition then it should be a very short duration type event.



Yeah I would hope it would be short lived... Here in Pinellas County FL(Tampa Bay area), our winter started a month early in the beginning of December, we broke records across central Florida for the coldest December ever on record here. I was happy t see the change of season, but I'm over the cold and ready for the return of more normal Florida weather like we have had the last week or so.
Seems the new View Layout entry got a tad too er,..full of feed back eh?

Wunderground News addremove

Last Updated: 2:07 AM CST on February 02, 2011 — Last Comment: 7:48 AM CST on February 02, 2011

This entry has been removed.

Maybe try and let some users give some feedback in a beta version before ya Spring something as big as that next time.


i guess the whining was too much for wunderpress they have removed the entry


lol
morning everyone...i have a question for all the experts out there...is there a local satellite view of the oil in the gulf of mexico that i can look at?? a recent view if possible...thanks!!
Eye of TC Yasi minutes away from landfall between Bingil Bay and Dunk Island
332. MahFL
The new layout is terrible.
The menus don't work for me, when you hover over them and move down them, they re-collapse. I had to get to this page via an old link.
you been here awhile pat how do ya like the change on the site

myself iam ok with it

other than changing a bit of code on my blog it seems ok
Quoting MahFL:
The new layout is terrible.
The menus don't work for me, when you hover over them and move down them, they re-collapse. I had to get to this page via an old link.

it was making my laptop lag very badly. I am also using the old layout.
Good Morning everyone! This layout does look nice, but I am reserving judgment until I get to work in it awhile. It is easier on the eyes. I just need to get used to where all the buttons are located. A great morning in the Keys. 73 degrees and forecast for another 80 degree day. As they say, another "Chamber of Commerce" day. That said, I hope everyone in the deep freezer is staying inside and warm. And I am saying a prayer for all the people in Australia being impacted by Yasi.
The western eyewall just passed over the mainland around Mission Beach/Wongaling Beach. Yasi's heavy front left quadrant should push directly into Cardwell within the next hour.
Hmm, may snow in Florida next week, models are showing another arctic blast coming down, a rain changing to snow event for northern Florida. Similar to last year..
Quoting Neapolitan:
The western eyewall just passed over the mainland around Mission Beach/Wongaling Beach. Yasi's heavy front left quadrant should push directly into Cardwell within the next hour.

I have just had a frightening phone call from my brother. His GF lives in South Mission Beach. She has evacuated to Port Douglas. She is expecting to return to nothing. Her house is 200 yards from the beach and its fairly flat once off the beach. Her Father lives in Tully which is next stop for Yasi. he was forcably evacuated by police today.
I am having problems with the pages. The HIDE button is hidden and part of the words are lopped off. I guess this is one way to get rid of some of the bloggers on here. Any suggestions?
Quoting reedzone:
Hmm, may snow in Florida next week, models are showing another arctic blast coming down, a rain changing to snow event for northern Florida. Similar to last year..


Drove the kids to Georgia last year to see snow. Told them I would only go as far as Jacksonville this year if it snowed there. They may get their wish!
345. beell
ERCOT: Statewide rolling power outages ordered to conserve energy-KHOU.com

HOUSTON—The Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) has instructed utilities to begin rotating outages to compensate for a generation shortage due to numerous plant trips that occurred because of the extreme weather...
Yasi Eye now minutes from Tully.
20km's inland from Mission beach
The Eye is just the Storms center,,the Destructive Impact is under way and has been for Hours now.


Never liked the Landfall term,,all my days,

Its misleading as all get out.


348. IKE

Quoting kwgirl:
I am having problems with the pages. The HIDE button is hidden and part of the words are lopped off. I guess this is one way to get rid of some of the bloggers on here. Any suggestions?
Are you on IE? Firefox is okay for me?
349. DEKRE
Quoting AussieStorm:
Lucinda Point Observations
Closest to the eye


24 mm rain - surprisingly low
It seems the radar was correct showing mainly light to moderate rain

All the better if it is true
Quoting IKE:

Are you on IE? Firefox is okay for me?

Never use IE on WU. It don;t like it. Firefox is fine, so is Google Chrome.
Landfalling at peak intensity. Utterly devastating storm..
Who Broke my WU? Only have IE here at work. This sux.
Quoting RecordSeason:
Landfalling at peak intensity. Utterly devastating storm..

Winds are at 130Kts


141kts / 902

IDQP0005
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

Media: Transmitters serving the area from Cape Flattery to Proserpine and inland
to the Northern Territory border are requested to USE the Standard Emergency
Warning Signal before broadcasting the following warning.

TOP PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 24
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
Issued at 11:54pm EST on Wednesday the 2nd of February 2011

A Cyclone WARNING is current for coastal and island communities from Cape
Flattery to Proserpine, extending west across the tropical interior to the
Northern Territory border.

At 12:00 am EST Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi, Category 5 was estimated to be 120
kilometres south southeast of Cairns and 50 kilometres southeast of Innisfail
and moving west southwest at 27 kilometres per hour.

THE LARGE DESTRUCTIVE CORE OF CYCLONE YASI IS STARTING TO CROSS THE COAST
BETWEEN INNISFAIL AND CARDWELL, WITH A DANGEROUS STORM TIDE AND BATTERING WAVES
TO THE SOUTH OF THE CYCLONE CENTRE.



Tropical Cyclone Yasi, CATEGORY 5, will continue to move inland in a
west-southwesterly direction towards the Georgetown area during the morning.

As the cyclone crosses the coast, an EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SEA LEVEL RISE [i.e.
storm tide] will occur between Innisfail and Ayr, peaking between Mission Beach
and Lucinda.

Higher than normal tides exceeding the high water mark, and damaging waves will
continue between Cairns and Proserpine until at least the morning high tide.

VERY DESTRUCTIVE winds with gusts up to 290 km/h between Cairns and Ingham and
the adjacent ranges will extend inland and gradually weaken.

The VERY DESTRUCTIVE CORE of the cyclone will take up to 4 hours to pass.

DESTRUCTIVE winds with gusts in excess of 125 km/h between Cape Tribulation and
Ayr will spread inland overnight.

DAMAGING WINDS with gusts to 90 km/hr are occurring in remaining coastal areas
between Cape Flattery and Proserpine, and are forecast to extend through to Mt
Isa during Thursday.

Winds are forecast to gradually ease about the east coast during Thursday
morning.

FLOODING RAINS will develop from Cooktown to Proserpine tonight and gradually
extend inland.

People in the path of the very dangerous cyclone should stay calm and remain in
a secure shelter, above the expected water level, while the very destructive
winds continue.
- Do not venture outside if you find yourself in the eye of the cyclone; very
destructive winds from a different direction could resume at any time.
- Follow the evacuation advice or directions of Police, Emergency Services
personnel and local authorities.

People in remaining areas between Cape Flattery and Proserpine and extending
west across the tropical interior to the Northern Territory border, should
complete preparations quickly and be prepared to shelter in a safe place.
- Boats and outside property should be secured.
- For cyclone preparedness and safety advice, visit Queensland's Disaster
Management Services website [www.disaster.qld.gov.au]
- For emergency assistance call the Queensland State Emergency Service [SES] on
132 500 [for assistance with storm damage, rising flood water, fallen trees on
buildings or roof damage].

Details of Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi at 12:00 am EST:
.Centre located near...... 17.9 degrees South 146.3 degrees East
.Location accuracy........ within 20 kilometres
.Recent movement.......... towards the west southwest at 27 kilometres per hour
.Wind gusts near centre... 285 kilometres per hour
.Severity category........ 5
.Central pressure......... 930 hectoPascals


Please ensure that neighbours have heard and understood this message,
particularly new arrivals or those who may not fully understand English.

The next advice will be issued by 1:00 am EST Thursday 03 February.

This warning is also available through TV and Radio Broadcasts; the Bureau's
website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 212. The Bureau and the State
Emergency Service would appreciate this warning being broadcast regularly.


Quoting RecordSeason:


141kts / 902


LOL. where did you get that info from,,, the official is 930hPa
The ADT Estimate is the RAW data and not official as its not corrected for the Pacific Basin Lower Surface Pressures,..

930mb is official


Fox News

Fox is reporting 59ft waves off the coast near Townsville.

The wave buoy only records waves up to 18 meters, and the waves are now breaking over that buoy, so they are no longer an accurate reading. The location of the buoy is in a place where waves do not normally break," she told a news conference at 10:40pm local time.


From the Fox News article I just linked to...
YO! What happened to the WU page. I have been trying to get on for that last half hour. It redirects me to all different pages. I don't even know how I got on here. None of the links work Does anyone know if there is a problem? I can't find anything. And no wise-ass remarks about my age atmo!!
Quoting RecordSeason:
Fox News

Fox is reporting 59ft waves off the coast near Townsville.


That is a false reading that Bouy has been upturned by wave action.
Quoting Grothar:
YO! What happened to the WU page. I have been trying to get on for that last half hour. It redirects me to all different pages. I don't even know how I got on here. None of the links work Does anyone know if there is a problem? I can't find anything. And no wise-ass remarks about my age atmo!!

Try this.... Link
It seems to have fixed itself. I will have to ask my IT person what I have on this computer. I am just a user, so I have no idea how to find what you are talking about. LOL I think of a computer as a typewriter with a brain. Those of you too young to know what a typewriter, please don't ask. It will make me feel way too old, like the time I went into an electronics store and asked if they had stylises and I was asked what that was. And when I explained, I still got a vacant look.
371. MahFL
Yes the links don't work. They released code that seems not to have been tested, wtg Wundergound.....!!!!!


Note that there is some radar beam attenuation, there...much more going on on the south end than appears in this loop...
Closest Weather obs. 50km's south of the eye.
Link
Quoting Grothar:
YO! What happened to the WU page. I have been trying to get on for that last half hour. It redirects me to all different pages. I don't even know how I got on here. None of the links work Does anyone know if there is a problem? I can't find anything. And no wise-ass remarks about my age atmo!!
[snip]
East of Houston, TX was 21F last night and currently is 26F. Expected high is 34F today. Forecast for Thursday night is snow/sleet/freezing rain depending on which area of Houston you are in. Just as a heads up, most of us along the GOM coast don't do well in the cold. ... Keeper, can you give your fans a rest now?

A blast from the past:
1983


It was the coldest Christmas Eve on modern record in the United States. Arctic air covered almost 90% of the country with temperatures well below freezing and, in many areas of the north, well below zero. On Christmas day 125 record lows were set in 24 different states. Chicago, IL recorded its' coldest temperature ever with a reading of -25°. Miles City, MT established a new U.S. record high barometric pressure of 31.42 inHg or 1063.9 millibars. Sioux Falls, SD led the nation with record cold as the city stayed below zero for 8 consecutive days. Oklahoma City, OK set their highest barometric pressure reading with 31.14 inHg.

Miles City, MT set their all-time record low and coldest high temperature with -38° and -25° respectively. Sheridan, WY also recorded their all-time coldest temperature of -37°.

Locations reporting their lowest December temperature: Alma, WI: -32°, Billings, MT: -32° (broke previous record by 18 degrees), Waukon, IA: -27°, Dubuque, IA: -25°, Chicago, IL: -25°, Rockford, IL: -24° and Youngstown, OH: -12°-Tied (broke previous daily record by 12 degrees).

Locations reporting daily record low temperatures for the date included: Chester, MT: -52°, Wisdom, MT: -52°, Havre, MT: -50°, West Yellowstone, MT: -48°, Bozeman, MT: -46°, Chinook, MT: -46°, Conrad, MT: -46°, White Sulphur Springs, MT: -46°, Fort Assinniboine, MT: -44°, Lincoln Ranger Station, MT: -44°, Shelby, MT: -43°, Great Falls, MT: -42° (broke previous record by 18 degrees), Lewistown, MT: -42°, Livingston, MT: -41°, Cut Bank, MT: -40°, Butte, MT: -40°, Boulder, MT: -40°, Grass Range, MT: -39°, Del Bonita, MT: -38°, Virginia City, MT: -38°, Glasgow, MT: -37°, Helena, MT: -37°, Townsend, MT: -37°, Choteau, MT: -35°, Valier, MT: -35°, Casper, WY: -33° (broke previous record by 20 degrees), Kalispell, MT: -30° (broke previous record by 13 degrees), Ennis, MT: -30°, Timber Lake, SD: -28°, Watertown, SD: -28°, St. Cloud, MN: -28°, Mobridge, SD: -26°, Wheaton, SD: -26°, Waterloo, IA: -26°, Rochester, MN: -26°, Rapid City, SD: -26°, Sisseton, SD: -25°, Valentine, NE: -25°, Cheyenne, WY: -25°, Aberdeen, SD: -23°, Sioux Falls, SD: -23°, Green Bay, WI: -21°, Scottsbluff, NE: -21°, Des Moines, IA: -19°, Moline, IL: -19° (broke previous record by 10 degrees), Grand Island, NE: -19°, Omaha, NE: -19°, Sioux City, IA: -18°, Peoria, IL: -18°, Lincoln, NE: -18°, Indianapolis, IN: -17°, Kansas City, MO: -17° (broke previous record by 14 degrees), Springfield, IL: -16°, Fort Wayne, IN: -16°, Columbia, MO: -16° (broke previous record by 14 degrees), South Bend, IN: -15° (broke previous record by 11 degrees), Akron, OH: -15°, Dayton, OH: -15°, Toledo, OH: -15°, Topeka, KS: -14°, Mansfield, OH: -14°, Lewiston, ID: -13°, Concordia, KS: -13°, St. Louis, MO: -12°, Cincinnati, OH: -12°, Columbus, OH: -12°, Marquette, MI: -11°, Pittsburgh, PA: -11°, Beckley, WV: -11°, Lexington, KY: -10°, Jackson, KY: -10°, Wichita, KS: -10°, Springfield, MO: -10°, Cleveland, OH: -10°, Elkins, WV: -10°, Detroit, MI: -9°, Pocatello, ID: -8°, Louisville, KY: -8°, Huntington, WV: -7° (broke previous record by 11 degrees), Paducah, KY: -6°, Charleston, WV: -6°, Wilmington, DE: -5°, Asheville, NC: -5°, Nashville, TN: -4°, Erie, PA: -3°, Bristol, TN: -3°, Amarillo, TX: -3°, Tulsa, OK: -2°, Knoxville, TN: -2°, Oak Ridge, TN: -2°, Atlantic City, NJ: -1°, Allentown, PA: -1°, Harrisburg, PA: -1°, Trenton, NJ: -1°, Fort Smith, AR: 0°, Oklahoma City, OK: 0°, Lubbock, TX: 0°, Roanoke, VA: 0°, Yakima, WA: 0°, Lynchburg, VA: 1°, Sterling (Dulles Airport), VA: 1°, Huntsville, AL: 2°, Chattanooga, TN: 2° (Broke previous record by 10 degrees), Atlanta, GA: 3°, Newark, NJ: 3°, Philadelphia, PA: 3°, Birmingham, AL: 4°, Baltimore, MD: 4°, Tupelo, MS: 4°, Greensboro, NC: 4°, New York (LaGuardia Airport), NY: 4°, Abilene, TX: 4°, Washington, D.C.: 5°, New York (Kennedy Airport), NY: 5° (broke previous record by 10 degrees), Dallas, TX: 5°, Charlotte, NC: 6° (broke previous record by 11 degrees), Raleigh, NC: 6°, New York (Central Park, NY), NY: 6°, Midland-Odessa, TX: 6°, San Angelo, TX: 6°, Wichita Falls, TX: 6°, Richmond, VA: 6°, Athens, GA: 7°, Dallas (DFW), TX: 7°, Bridgeport, CT: 8°, Shreveport, LA: 8°, Greenville-Spartanburg, SC: 8°, Jackson, MS: 9°, Wallops Island, VA: 9°, Montgomery, AL: 10°, Macon, GA: 10°, Meridian, MS: 10°, Norfolk, VA: 10°, Augusta, GA: 11°, Columbus, GA: 11°, Wilmington, NC: 11° (broke previous record by 10 degrees), Columbia, SC: 12°, Austin, TX: 12°, Waco, TX: 12°, Mobile, AL: 13°, Baton Rouge, LA: 13°, Cape Hatteras, NC: 13° (broke previous record by 10 degrees), Houston, TX: 14°, Olympia, WA: 14°, Pensacola, FL: 15°, Portland, OR: 15°, Del Rio, TX: 15°, San Antonio, TX: 15°, Savannah, GA: 16°, Austin (Bergstrom), TX: 16°, Lake Charles, LA: 17°, New Orleans, LA: 17°, Galveston, TX: 17°, Victoria, TX: 17°, Astoria, OR: 18°, Jacksonville, FL: 18°, Charleston, SC: 18°, Quillayute, WA: 18°, Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX: 19°, Tallahassee, FL: 20°, Corpus Christi, TX: 20°, Brownsville, TX: 24°, Daytona, Beach, FL: 30°-Tied and Orlando, FL: 35°.

If the brutal dangerous cold wasn’t enough, 1983 the Northern Plains was in the grip of a ferocious ground blizzard. Over the stretch beginning on the 18th through the 25th temperatures were rarely above zero across the area and strong winds made conditions especially dangerous. The worst conditions occurred from the 23rd through the 25th as light snow and loose surface snow combined with strong northwesterly winds to produce whiteout conditions for extended periods of time.

The ground blizzard paralyzed most areas, completely blocking most roads with drifts 4 to 5 feet high. One drift in southwest Minnesota climbed to 15 feet deep and took five hours to clear with a large snowplow. With sub-zero temperatures and winds gusting up to 60 mph, at times, wind chills were from -60°to -100°. The intense and long- lived cold spell burst gas lines, caused propane gas to solidify, and froze water pipes and tanks.

The last of five consecutive days that the temperature remained below zero occurred on this day for Chadron, Alliance and Scottsbluff, NE. Cheyenne, WY warmed above zero in the late evening on this day due to Chinook winds, and ended their longest recorded streak of below zero temperatures at 120 hours.

Source:
http://www.examiner.com/weather-history-in-national/weather-history-december-24-record-temps-storms -wind-snow?render=print

http://www.abc.net.au/news/abcnews24/

Live feed of Australia TV storm coverage, they opened it up to viewers outside of AU.
Thanks Pat, Aussie, and MahFL.
According to ABC7, this ranks #5 in the list of biggest snow storms Chicago's had. And it could still go up that list as another band of heavy snow moves across the area.
We have also had rolling blackouts this morning as well.
NAM still liking snow for LA-MS. A little further from the coast, this time, tho.

Snow cover by midnight tomorrow night:
Cairns radar has just gone down... bugger

Eye is now fully over land.
Yasi --
I hope people were/are prepared.
I notice that most of the news statements include the following:
"People should be prepared to be self-sufficient for several days if the storm damaged roads and transport links".
UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 8.1.1
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 02 FEB 2011 Time : 133200 UTC
Lat : 17:48:26 S Lon : 146:14:01 E


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
7.0 / 899.9mb/140.0kt


Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
7.0 7.0 7.0

Latitude bias adjustment to MSLP : +1.9mb

Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR : 27 km

Center Temp : +14.0C Cloud Region Temp : -75.9C

Scene Type : EYE

Quoting atmoaggie:


Note that there is some radar beam attenuation, there...much more going on on the south end than appears in this loop...
Cairns got lucky i'd say, with that last southerly dip... and something tells me Dunk Island will live up to it's name! hope folks all got away with their lives; hate to think what they will return to.
In TC Yasi, 18 meter wave reading...they're now saying it's not accurate because the buoy is getting turned upside down...WOW!!!
Complete Update





#3 now
Quoting Beachfoxx:
Yasi --
I hope people were/are prepared.
I notice that most of the news statements include the following:
"People should be prepared to be self-sufficient for several days if the storm damaged roads and transport links".

People have been warned since last last week.
Very early reports of damage have started to come in. Building at Mission beach have some strutural damage, Roof's in innisvale have had there roof's peeled off. Tree branches coming through winds and walls. Trees down in cairns and Townsville. 250,000 homes now without power from Cairns to Burdiken.
The southern jog just before landfall probably saved a lot of damage. Not much data on damage yet, but tomorrow is going to be sobering.
Dunk Island




Quoting AussieStorm:


Umm, that isn't getting dunked...
Quoting Some1Has2BtheRookie:
We have also had rolling blackouts this morning as well.
we just came out of rolling blackout here in west houston... no ice or snow within 200 miles, just kinda cold in the mid 20s
Quoting atmoaggie:
Umm, that isn't getting dunked...

But maybe defoliated
Quoting Grothar:

Look at the big jump south
Chicago's O'Hare is officially up to 19.5". Hitting the big 20 should happen, then.
Yasi made landfall between Innisfail and Cardwell...uh oh...Professor Johnathan Nott from James Cook University is on there talking about global warming and how storms are getting stronger because of it...
Australian ABC News

It doesn't sound like ht eyewall has hit any of the major cities, but they didn't even mention any of the locations right where it hit. I guess time will tell.
Looking at forecast track it looks like Yasi will remain at Cat 1 or higher intensity for up to 1000 miles inland!!! Holy cow!
24 hours of GOES water vapor over CONUS (WARNING: 20 MB image): http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/goes/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/110201_goes_wv_anim.gif
Quoting AussieStorm:
Cairns radar has just gone down... bugger

Eye is now fully over land.
That looks more like a processing error than having gone down. We'll see shortly.

(wonder if they have backup power...)
Quoting AussieStorm:

Look at the big jump south


Good for some, bad for others. Hurricane Andrew did the same in 1992; straight line until the coast and drop South sparing a direct hit on Miami.
#394

Yes, just breezy, dry and cold for now. Thusrday night is suppose to bring the snow/sleet/freezing rain. Just more fun to come I guess.

I certainly hope that those being hit by Yasi come out of it well. My best to all of them. Yasi is a monster that I would not like to face.
404:

Category 1 on their scale is a Tropical Storm on ours.
Quoting Patrap:
Sheeesh.

Retentive ,eh?

The Impact is over a wide area.


It's sucking in moisture from as far north as Papua New Guinea
Quoting hurricanejunky:
Yasi made landfall between Innisfail and Cardwell...uh oh...Professor Johnathan Nott from James Cook University is on there talking about global warming and how storms are getting stronger because of it...

I was watching that, he even said Innisvale will experience storm surge. not when its on the northern side of the eye of a clock-wise turning Cyclone.
Quoting Grothar:


Good for some, bad for others. Hurricane Andrew did the same in 1992; straight line until the coast and drop South sparing a direct hit on Miami.


If Yasi didnt jump south, Innisfail would of coped it. Population 9000. Mission beach 3000, 99% evacuated.

Sheets of roof torn from shopping centre

SHEETS of roof iron have been ripped from a Townsville shopping centre and locals have reported seeing metal awnings flying down the street as Cyclone Yasi batters the north Queensland coast.

Townsville Resident Stewart Mclean said he saw two sheets of roof iron being torn from the top of the Urban Quarter shopping centre in the city's CBD.

"They came off quite early, it got quite hairy there for a while," he told AAP.

From a friend's apartment in the Metro Quays building in central Townsville Mr Mclean also saw awnings and sheets of metal flying down the street.

"We've also heard a lot of glass shattering so obviously some businesses in the CBD have lost windows," he said.

He said the nearby Holiday Inn, known colloquially as the "sugar shaker" because of its shape, also appeared to have suffered some damage.
"There are curtains flapping out of windows and there's no way they'd be open so it looks like they've been shattered."

Castle Hill resident Wil Kemp described the conditions as "scary".

"It's dark outside so we can't see a lot but there a whole trees, big ones, which just aren't there anymore," he told AAP.

"The rain doesn't fall, it just comes in horizontally as the wind goes roaring past."
Quoting AussieStorm:


If Yasi didnt jump south, Innisfail would of coped it. Population 9000. Mission beach 3000, 99% evacuated.

Not sure why yours appears upside down, but You are plotting another site. Sry.

I think Cairns simply switched coverage patterns for the radar.

They are getting more local detail, this way.

"The rain doesn't fall, it just comes in horizontally as the wind goes roaring past."

If you're high enough (second or third story), it even appears to go upward rather than down...interesting what rain will do when it's going 150mph

Morning, folks...Aussie, how are you this morning (afternoon)?
Elk Grove Village 22.00"

Band of Lake Effect Snow moving through the city. Wind Chill Watch goes into effect later today.
Quoting AussieStorm:

I was watching that, he even said Innisvale will experience storm surge. not when its on the northern side of the eye of a clock-wise turning Cyclone.


Maybe from the South? Wasn't listening to all of it...caught only part of it...what a horrific event this is shaping up to be...
Quoting atmoaggie:
Not sure why yours appears upside down, but I think Cairns simply switched coverage patterns for the radar.

They are getting more local detail, this way.


Mine is from Townsville. Cairns went offline for a few frames so i switched to get full view of the eye. Cairns Radar has to "see" throught alot of rain to see through.
Mornin' Flood...did you check back in with Tdude last night? I fell asleep!! DOH!
Quoting AussieStorm:

Mine is from Townsville. Cairns went offline for a few frames so i switched to get full view of the eye. Cairns Radar has to "see" throught alot of rain to see through.
Yeah, I caught what you were doing as soon as I posted that. Oops.
... Blizzard of 2011 officially one of the biggest snowstorms in
history...

As of 9 am this morning chicagos ohare international Airport has
officially had 19.5 inches of snow. This makes the February 1st
and 2nd 2011 blizzard the third biggest snow storm on record in
Chicago.

As of 6 am this morning Rockford has officially picked up 13.9
inches of snow. This makes this blizzard the 4 largest snow storm
in Rockford history.
Quoting Floodman:
"The rain doesn't fall, it just comes in horizontally as the wind goes roaring past."

If you're high enough (second or third story), it even appears to go upward rather than down...interesting what rain will do when it's going 150mph

Morning, folks...Aussie, how are you this morning (afternoon)?

Afternoon???? 2:42am here mate. I aint in UK mate. lol

I'm doing fine mate. Tired.
I have read report there is 6 people in there 60's in Port Hinchinbrook, the rang Police asking for help to evacuate, This was at 10pm Qld time, 3hrs before landfall. Reports from a person that the eye of Yasi took 45mins to pass at Mission beach.
Quoting AussieStorm:

I have read report there is 6 people in there 60's in Port Hinchinbrook, the rang Police asking for help to evacuate, This was at 10pm Qld time, 3hrs before landfall. Reports from a person that the eye of Yasi took 45mins to pass at Mission beach.
Eye still holding together
Quoting hurricanejunky:
Mornin' Flood...did you check back in with Tdude last night? I fell asleep!! DOH!


Nope...walked off and finished up some reporting and did what you did!
Quoting AussieStorm:

Afternoon???? 2:42am here mate. I aint in UK mate. lol

I'm doing fine mate. Tired.


I'll bet you are...
Storm tide currently at 6.5ft at Mission Feet.
I'm guessing land interaction cause the jump SSW just before landfall.
425:

It's forecast to remain a category 3 on the Saffir Simpson-Scale at least up to 11 hours from now.

At present movement speed, I guess that's about 240 miles inland as a SS Category 3.

That's the equivalent of being on the Louisiana/Arkansas Border as a cat 3...
429:

Storms in this strength range can experience rebound effects as the eyewall approachs land.

They call it the "island effect", because in some cases, the eye wall will actually "dodge" the island and go around it. I've seen it a few times with Jamaica and others in the Caribbean.
This is very interesting.... Yasi went SW then W then WSW. Yasi tracks along S17 from E150 to E147 then heads WSW
psst,psst,

new Blog entry
437. JRRP
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