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Florida's soaking continues; 5th warmest April for the globe

By: Dr. Jeff Masters, 12:51 PM GMT on May 20, 2009

The large extratropical storm that has been drenching Florida over the past few days continues to pour rain on the state as it treks slowly westward over the Gulf of Mexico. Rainfall amounts as high as 13.3 inches have been measured in Northern Florida in Flagler County over the past three days, with another 2 - 4 inches expected from the storm. The storm is bringing beach erosion, 7 - 10 foot waves, and tides 2 - 3 feet above normal to the Northeast Florida coast, along with damaging thunderstorm winds. While the storm's center is located just offshore Southwest Florida, a large band of precipitation arcs to the north and east, extending over northern Florida. This type of structure is typical of subtropical storms, though the storm does not have enough heavy thunderstorm activity or warm core air to qualify as a subtropical storm. The storm is under about 30 knots of wind shear, and shows no signs of developing more tropical characteristics. The computer models generally predict the storm should weaken this week as it moves towards Louisiana or Texas. As the center moves farther north over the next few days, it will be moving into a region of lower wind shear, and I still give the storm a 20% chance of becoming a subtropical depression 2 - 7 days from now.


Figure 1. Latest satellite image of the Gulf of Mexico storm.

Fifth warmest April on record
The globe recorded its 5th warmest April on record, according to the National Climatic Data Center. The period January - April was tied for the sixth warmest such period on record. April marked the first time since October 2008 that the planet has recorded a monthly temperature anomaly in the top five warmest months. The warming may be due to the fact that a La Niña event ended in the Eastern Pacific in April. Global temperature records go back to 1880.

A cool, wet April for the U.S.
For the contiguous U.S., April temperatures were the 36th coolest in the 115-year record, according to the National Climatic Data Center. The month was also quite wet, ranking as the 35th wettest April. The warmest state was New Hampshire, which recorded its 8th warmest April. The coldest state was South Dakota, which wad its 25th coldest April. Through April, U.S. tornado activity was very close to the mean observed during the past five years, according to NOAA's Storm Prediction Center. However, there were just 15 tornado deaths through April, compared to 70 deaths through April of 2008, and the 3-year average of 60 deaths.

On May 12, 2009, 17% of the contiguous United States was in moderate-to-exceptional drought. This is a drop from the 19% figure observed at the beginning of the year. However, The amount of the U.S. in the highest levels of drought, extreme to exceptional, had increased from 1.2% at the beginning of the year to 2.6% by May 12. These extreme drought regions were in South Texas and South Florida.

La Niña officially over
The La Niña event of September 2008 - March 2009 is officially over, according to NOAA's Climate Prediction Center. They define La Niña conditions as occurring when the 1-month mean temperature anomaly in the equatorial Eastern Pacific (the area 5°N - 5°S, 120°W - 170°W, also called the "Niña 3.4 region") cools below -0.5°C and is expected to persist for three consecutive months. Temperatures warmed significantly in the Equatorial Eastern Pacific during April, and are now near average in the Niña 3.4 region. Most of the model forecasts for the Niño 3.4 region predict neutral conditions for the August - October peak of hurricane season. Three out of 16 El Niño models are predicting an El Niño event for hurricane season. Columbia University's International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) is predicting a 30% chance of an El Niño event during the coming hurricane season. The number of Atlantic hurricanes is typically reduced in an El Niño year, due to increased wind shear from strong high-level winds.

Sea ice in the Arctic below average, but not greatly so
April 2009 Northern Hemisphere sea ice extent was the 10th lowest since 1979, according to the National Snow and Ice Data Center. The record April low was set in 2007. The rate of ice decline in April was the third slowest on record, thanks to cooler than usual temperatures over the Arctic. Nevertheless, the Arctic remains vulnerable to near-record melting this summer if much warmer than average temperatures return to the region. Strong winter winds pushed a considerable amount of multi-year-old ice out of the Arctic this year, leaving the Arctic with the lowest amount of old sea ice on record in March. The amount of ice more than two years old fell below 10% for the first time since satellites began observing the ice in 1979.

Jeff Masters

Climate Summaries

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

Reader Comments

Quoting sarasotaman:
I am in agreement with a below average season. Kim Clement who is a profet of God who predicted katrina and said Gustov whould not be like Katrina says no majior hurricanes will hit th U.S. this year.


We are jinxed for sure now! LOL
Quoting KoritheMan:


WTF?

Even if the season does turn out to be below average, that means NOTHING. It only takes ONE.


No Kidding Andrew was a great example of a below average season!
And as far as Kim accurately predicting Katrina, it was predicted for decades prior to Katrina, that NOLA would suffer a destructive hurricane like Katrina that would flood the city.

With that same prediction unfolding year after year, of course somebody was going to get it right eventually. Nothing divine there, I'm afraid.

I really hate to bring religious discussions to a weather blog, but I have a strong interest (as well as extensive knowledge of) in theology.
Katrina was not the "Big One" but it was just the last warning from Mother Nature.
Quoting SevereHurricane:
Katrina was not the "Big One" but it was just the last warning from Mother Nature.


Unfortunately, no, it wasn't. It is my fear that with the next hurricane, NOLA will not be so lucky, and will be practically destroyed.

You have to remember that both Katrina and Gustav did not deliver the punch that they could have.
TampaSpins blog now with Stormw is great take a look!
tampa radar shows a lot of rain moving slowly north.
terminator salvation is great :)
just got back from midnight showing.
i see a second low has formed more west in the gulf, will they compete for the most dominant?
Sitting here on the 18th floor directly on the beach in Miami Beach. Getting hit with a wet rainband. Gusts personal estimate (after being here for six years through it all) are 35mph. Sure seems like a tropical storm to me.
Quoting KoritheMan:


Unfortunately, no, it wasn't. It is my fear that with the next hurricane, NOLA will not be so lucky, and will be practically destroyed.

You have to remember that both Katrina and Gustav did not deliver the punch that they could have.


I agree,
They both could have been way worse,
And every year the Big One doesn't come the chance of it happening the next year increases.
Quoting SevereHurricane:


I agree,
They both could have been way worse,
And every year the Big One doesn't come the chance of it happening the next year increases.


how does it increase?
Quoting SevereHurricane:


I agree,
They both could have been way worse,
And every year the Big One doesn't come the chance of it happening the next year increases.


Right.

And as far as the potential El Nino goes, I think that a lot of people are forgetting one very critical thing, and that is that during quiet periods (which El Nino's have been known to produce), a majority of people, primarily except for those who are knowledgeable in the field of meteorology, get complacent.

And then, when the big one comes along during that same El Nino year, they are caught off guard, and the storm ends up being far worse than it otherwise would've been. Case in point, Andrew in 1992.

My point is that an El Nino does more harm than good, most of the time.
Quoting KoritheMan:


Right.

And as far as the potential El Nino goes, I think that a lot of people are forgetting one very critical thing, and that is that during quiet periods (which El Nino's have been known to produce), a majority of people, primarily except for those who are knowledgeable in the field of meteorology, get complacent.

And then, when the big one comes along during that same El Nino year, they are caught off guard, and the storm ends up being far worse than it otherwise would've been. Case in point, Andrew in 1992.

My point is that an El Nino does more harm than good, most of the time.


Yes,
And what a lot of people don't understand is that if nothing significant happens in the MDR in 1 season then most of the warm water gets simply stored and warms up quicker and warmer than the year before once the season starts thus increasing the likelihood of a powerful hurricane.
Quoting sarasotaman:
TampaSpins blog now with Stormw is great take a look!


Thanks
You are welcome TampaSpin, will be in Tampa in june.
Wow look at this band of rain moving north on Tampa radar.
Quoting sarasotaman:
It looks like this band of rain will be the drought buster for sarasota.
Quoting VAbeachhurricanes:
terminator salvation is great :)
just got back from midnight showing.
i see a second low has formed more west in the gulf, will they compete for the most dominant?
Will Arnold be terminated as governor lol
Am I the only one on here right now lol
Quoting sarasotaman:
Am I the only one on here right now lol


No.
just got up (thunder knocked me out of bed) looked at the WV loop on WU and looks to me like another eye is forming east of st. augustine. Lotta spirals in this little system, seems crazy
1023. kingy
good morning all. 90 minutes sleep is all I need these days.

amazing centre formed for the unnamed storm, look at the wv loop

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-wv.html
I'll say this system has a lot of spirals and spins. I'm getting dizzy looking at it. Lol. To me it looks like a strong upper level low has formed east of Florida and is pulling the surface low thats at 25-85 northeast towards it. And there are 2 surface lows in the gulf itself. Interesing blob to say the least.
Quoting KoritheMan:


Unfortunately, no, it wasn't. It is my fear that with the next hurricane, NOLA will not be so lucky, and will be practically destroyed.

You have to remember that both Katrina and Gustav did not deliver the punch that they could have.


Gustav had potential to be FAR more devastating than Katrina. If it wasn't for Cuba or EWRCs, Gustav would have been a full blown Category 5. Ike had more potential than Gustav because of its sheer size, if Ike's winds increased in the gulf as the pressure rapidly increased, Ike would have been a Category 4 at landfall and it would have been far more devastating.
1027. EMT907
Sea ice in the Arctic below average, but not greatly so

Weren't we supposed to believe that the North Pole was going to melt completely last summer? What happened to that hysteria?
another cyclone still possible for West Bengal or Bangladesh region.. starting this weekend.
1029. Keys99
Looks like another very wet day on tap for North/Central Florida.
Most lightning in a storm I've seen in a while last night. Got over 1 inch of rain. Had a 33 mph wind gust also.

Some one looks a little naked- Link
Quoting Keys99:
Looks like another very wet day on tap for North/Central Florida.


Wish some of that rain would move into Tallahassee. Been cloudy and windy here but not a ton of rain yet.
1032. MahFL
Morning all. A nightmare drive into work this am in extremely heavy rain, from North Clay Co to Duval Co. in FL. I also heard 3 people died when a tree fell on thier car.
Also my rain guage was acting up, replaced the bateries and hope it records again. had about 11 inches so far, same as we got from Fay.
1033. aquak9
g'morning ya'll...MahFl, I hear ya. We're swamped on the coast of jax as well.

Points south, even worse.
QS showing a surface low to the south west of florida



Link
Goodmorning all, Been gonr all off season but this 15 (my rain guage)inches of rain in 4 days has brought me back a little early. Another drenching day here in fla.
1037. MahFL
456, your second link is the same as the first one.
I can't find it. How do i update my little picture? Avaitar?
Quoting stoormfury:
QS showing a surface low to the south west of florida



Link
you should see the clouds over the atlantic dark! third day in a row is it ever going to move.
Quoting MahFL:
456, your second link is the same as the first one.


Sorry for the confusion, not the actually forecast but news about it and when it can be available.
1042. IKE
GOM swirl...It's under about 20+ knots of shear right now. Has good vorticity. Starting to get some low-level convergence and upper-level divergence.

I've got cloudy skies outside and 69 degrees. Winds about 10 mph.
no drought here! melbourne florida radar http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=mlb&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=no
lots of rain for southeast FL today as all the crap on on back side moves in and with daytime heating
Good Morning! To all the folks in Florida - as much as you need the rain, I'm beginning to feel sorry for you. Get out the water wings.
1046. IKE
Buoy 262 NM south of Panama City,FL. is very near the COC. Coordinates 25.97N and 85.59W. Winds have shifted to the south. Pressure is 1005 mb's....

"Wind Direction (WDIR): S ( 180 deg true )
5-day plot - Wind Speed Wind Speed (WSPD): 7.8 kts
5-day plot - Wind Gust Wind Gust (GST): 11.7 kts
5-day plot - Wave Height Wave Height (WVHT): 5.9 ft
5-day plot - Dominant Wave Period Dominant Wave Period (DPD): 8 sec
5-day plot - Average Period Average Period (APD): 6.2 sec
5-day plot - Mean Wave Direction Mean Wave Direction (MWD): NNE ( 28 deg true )
5-day plot - Atmospheric Pressure Atmospheric Pressure (PRES): 29.70 in
5-day plot - Pressure Tendency Pressure Tendency (PTDY): +0.00 in ( Steady )
5-day plot - Air Temperature Air Temperature (ATMP): 75.4 °F
5-day plot - Water Temperature Water Temperature (WTMP): 79.7 °F
5-day plot - Dew Point Dew Point (DEWP): 73.9 °F"
1047. IKE
Any vacationers planning to head to the NW FL. beaches for the weekend...you may want to cancel them.

Today...60% rain chance.
Tomorrow..70% rain chance.
Saturday..60% rain chance.
Sunday...60% rain chance.
Monday...50% rain chance.
Tuesday...50% rain chance.

Sorry..:(
Quoting IKE:
Any vacationers planning to head to the NW FL. beaches for the weekend...you may want to cancel them.

Today...60% rain chance.
Tomorrow..70% rain chance.
Saturday..60% rain chance.
Sunday...60% rain chance.
Monday...50% rain chance.
Tuesday...50% rain chance.

Sorry..:(


Actually Ike, might not be a bad thing, seeing how it is Memorial day weekend if you get my drift.
1049. IKE
Quoting PanhandleChuck:


Actually Ike, might not be a bad thing, seeing how it is Memorial day weekend if you get my drift.


LOL...I hear ya.
1050. russh46
I don't think this rain will effect us to much. Last month the panhandle had lots of rain and it didn't even make the news. Here in Polk county the lakes and mining pits were very low, now they are filling up again and the fishing will take off!!
1051. surfmom
Good Morning! With ALL DUE RESPECT AND CONSIDERATION to those who may be looking at serious flooding...... this comes from Micah Weaver this AM. Surf Report SWFL
Desk guess; waist to chest and clean at the best S facers. Though my margin-for-error could be big on this one so check the cams when it gets light out. A lot of S wind in the bottom of the gulf. The low is in a really good spot. Lots of E and NE wind up here, hopefully it has shot us some swell. This swell has been inside the buoys.
We're getting some decent rain up here too however, nothing like you guys have gotten. Glad to see the lawn coming back - just a bit gloomy though. Probably a good day for packing or getting the garage cleaned out so I can figure out what to take or throw out. The wind has stopped though which means our biting flies are back.
1054. IKE
From accuweather....

"Additional homes and roads will likely become flooded today as more rain inundates Florida. Rainfall totals from the slow-moving storm have already exceeded a foot in northeastern Florida.

Rain will stream into Florida and southern Georgia today as the storm churns over the eastern Gulf of Mexico. The corridor from Jacksonville to Daytona Beach will once again endure the storm's heaviest rain. An additional 4 to 6 inches of rain is anticipated through this evening.

The storm's total rain has already exceeded a foot across parts of northeastern Florida. The Flagler County Fairgrounds in Bunnell measured nearly 2 feet of rain from Sunday to Wednesday afternoon.

With the ground severely saturated and rivers running high, additional serious flooding will ensue. Be prepared for more roads and homes to become inundated with flood waters. The threat will be greatest near rivers and in low-lying and poor drainage areas. Do not put your life at risk by driving through a flooded road.

Gusty winds will continue to blow across Florida and nearby states. The saturated ground will make it easier for the winds to bring down trees throughout northern Florida. The strongest wind gusts will be measured at the coast, where rough surf will continue.

The storm will spread its heaviest rain and thunderstorms over New Orleans, Mobile and Pensacola Friday into Saturday. Florida, however, will remain unsettled through the long Memorial Day holiday weekend.

The storm is currently non-tropical. While not expected, it is not out of the question that the storm could become subtropical and acquire a name over the Gulf of Mexico the next few days."
The cap can release anytime now. SFL is trapped in a rain sandwich.
1057. surfmom
Waterholes are beginning to replenish SRQ/FL:

this was last week

5/20 - still needs to come up several feet, but it's better then it was
shear continues to drop in the Caribbean
1059. IKE
Quoting PensacolaBuoy:

Since you and Ike seem to be insecure in your manhood on Memorial Day weekend... you must not be businessmen. This is the largest revenue weekend of the year for this area. In this economy, this will be a make-or-break weekend for many business owners. I'm praying for some breaks in the clouds, myself. Lighten up, guys!


???

I'm thinking less tourists...not what you're thinking. I am in business for myself and have been for 22 yrs.

Sorry...this weekend is a washout for the Florida panhandle.
no name # 1 not even a invest guess everyone is dodging viruses.
1061. surfmom
Sorry 1056 P-buoy..... I don't see those guys as insecure at all!!
We're not pleased to be on the water in boats or on the road with people who are intoxicated............. nothing to do with being insecure... a lot to do w/ have intelligence.................
Quoting weatherwatcher12:
shear continues to drop in the Caribbean

What part of it though?
1063. surfmom
Tourists eat & shop --rain or not
Quoting ChrisDcane:

What part of it though?

1056. Huh? Insecure with their manhood? Agree totally with surfmom.
Quoting ChrisDcane:

What part of it though?

north west just including Jamaica and a little under Hispaniola
Just to show you regional varibility of rainfall.

My station in Port Charlotte has received 6.95 inches of rainfall since the beginning of May. We are 40 miles to the SE and I have received 1.95 inches. Big difference.
1063. They were talking on the news the other day that business is booming at tybee since we are having yucky weather. All the people that would be layin on the beach are shopping in all the little touristy stores (and buying sweatshirts!) and hanging out in the restaurants.
1069. surfmom
Morning Melwerle - Grey day?...... clear out the garage - so when you got the weather you're out sailing!!!
A little 500mb vorticity under Hispaniola
1069. NO sailing this week surf - yesterday WAY too windy, was cancelled. And not even going to think about going out until the rain stops - I am getting too old to go hassle with slipping on decks when it's like this. If there was a race, I would do it but no pleasure sailign when it's nasty like this.

Going out and hitting the surf today? How's your boy?
Quoting PensacolaBuoy:

Since you and Ike seem to be insecure in your manhood on Memorial Day weekend... you must not be businessmen. This is the largest revenue weekend of the year for this area. In this economy, this will be a make-or-break weekend for many business owners. I'm praying for some breaks in the clouds, myself. Lighten up, guys!


Whatever... if your business rely's on one weekend a year, you have bigger problems than a commet on this blog!
1073. surfmom
Quoting charlottefl:
Just to show you regional varibility of rainfall.

My station in Port Charlotte has received 6.95 inches of rainfall since the beginning of May. We are 40 miles to the SE and I have received 1.95 inches. Big difference.


That's fascinating!!! just 40 miles -- but makes all the sense in the world.... I know my rainfalls at the barn(east I75) which is 29 miles from where I live (west I75) is double at least what I have received at the house.
latest shear and upper lower winds




1076. surfmom
I'm hoping to snitch out as soon as the young one is off to school... Dive son is great... although the weather has been slowing down the commercial dive work this week.... Gulf is too rough for them to be making repairs etc.
1077. IKE
All I was thinking of was less tourists which means less traffic on this outdated two-lane HWY. 331 I live off of.

I wouldn't head to the beach if it was raining off and on all weekend. Sorry if it affects businesses looking at tourist dollars. I was speaking for myself and vacationing in the rain..not.
1078. surfmom
That low IS a trouble maker...--I know that.... but the surfer eye sees it is in the sweet spot as a wave maker..One man's sweet spot is another's disaster in the making
1079. surfmom
Keeper...I can hardly believe I'm looking at these maps seeing what I'm seeing..........ALREADY!!!! AHHH CARUMBA
1080. vortfix
Thursday, May 21, 2009
Posted at 7:01 AM
Edited on: Thursday, May 21, 2009 7:10 AM

An Increasing Risk of Brief Tornadoes


At 655 AM...National Weather Service Radar indicated storms over Volusia County containing weak rotation with increasing chances to acquire moderate rotation. This has prompted the concern for brief tornadoes to occur. Associated wind gusts will reach 45 to 55 mph with the stronger storms...but people will need to be aware of the increased chance for tornadoes and be prepared to take action. There is also an elevated threat for landfalling waterspouts and strong wind gusts along the Brevard County coast...especially from Cocoa Beach north...to inlcude Cape Canaveral.

Listen for possible tornado warnings.

Locally heavy rain remains a concern for Volusia County, as well as the Saint Johns River Basin.


1081. surfmom
apologies if I came off harsh P-buoy.....holidays are associated w/lots of Drink & Drive... --I'm usually happy when it rains 'cause it keeps those activities indoors and the drunks are less likely to be on the road or waterways....
1082. IKE
Well......there it is.....a lop-sided spinning low in the GOM.....if the shear relaxes it might have a shot....wouldn't be shocked to see this labeled an invest by tomorrow morning....

Quoting PanhandleChuck:


Actually Ike, might not be a bad thing, seeing how it is Memorial day weekend if you get my drift.


I get it, if only we could concentrate all that rain onto Pensacola Beach and leave the rest of the Panhandle clear for boating!
Hey IKE, looks a bit better this morning, convection on radar looking more like spiral bands then a mess. Lets see what evolves today, it's currently in the warm 79-80 degree water temps with 10-30 knots of shear.. it'll be interesting.
1085. IKE
Quoting reedzone:
Hey IKE, looks a bit better this morning, convection on radar looking more like spiral bands then a mess. Lets see what evolves today, it's currently in the warm 79-80 degree water temps with 10-30 knots of shear.. it'll be interesting.


I'll be watching.
1086. CeBas
The Low in the GOMX is near an area of low shear.
1087. MahFL
Oh I did not realise the low was that far west. I thought it was still forming under the convection SW of Tampa......interesting.
1088. MahFL
Tons more rain offshore at Daytona, heading my way.....
Anybody else see the swirl going into Georgia on this Water Vapor loop? I wonder what affect that will have on our GOM low.

Link
Quoting 69Viking:
Anybody else see the swirl going into Georgia on this Water Vapor loop? I wonder what affect that will have on our GOM low.

Link


I see it Vike --- It would be interesting if it also got sucked down into the GOM
Well, my worry came true. Went home last night from work and the roof is leaking in two or three places. We have been receiving lots of rain in Orange Park. And it appears as though we will keep getting dumped on today.
Quoting PanhandleChuck:


I see it Vike --- It would be interesting if it also got sucked down into the GOM


I was kind of hoping it was a super swirl and could keep going North and suck the GOM low with it on it's backside sending it off to the NE instead of it's predicted Westerly path! IKE has pretty much doomed us though, we need to teach him about positive thinking!
1092. Sorry about the roof leaks. Hopefully they will be easy to find and fix.
1095. Ossqss
Morinin

recent SST's

Hey Everyone--

How do I upload a "general" picture for this blog....the picture by our blog name???
1097. IKE
Quoting 69Viking:


I was kind of hoping it was a super swirl and could keep going North and suck the GOM low with it on it's backside sending it off to the NE instead of it's predicted Westerly path! IKE has pretty much doomed us though, we need to teach him about positive thinking!


LOL...:(


The "Blob" is still hanging around.. getting everyone wet.
Quoting obsessedwweather:
Hey Everyone--

How do I upload a "general" picture for this blog....the picture by our blog name???


Up top select WunderPhotos --> My Photos --> right hand side Upload a portrait
Quoting obsessedwweather:
Hey Everyone--

How do I upload a "general" picture for this blog....the picture by our blog name???


Good place to look for answers :)

And another one

Blog Update

AOI #1

AOI #2



Click Image for larger image
Quoting MahFL:
Oh I did not realise the low was that far west. I thought it was still forming under the convection SW of Tampa......interesting.



Yeah, not much farther to go before it turns north. I doubt that moisture fetch will ever make it to SFL, sigh. I guess 2 inches is good enough to start the wet season.
1104. IKE
Good Morning everyone...From South Fla..I followed this blog last year during the storm season. Look forward in blogging along this year. Lived in South Fla for over 49 years...retired USAF flight engieer /Blackhawk with a combat rescue unit out of Patrick AFB..

Enjoy the nice wet day...especially those in Fla..we sure needed it!
Steve
Quoting IKE:



Now that's just a tease IKE, lol. OHH so close.
ChrisDane sent ya some mail.
Anybody else notice on that radar that IKE posted the low looks to be going more North than West? I'm not so sure it's going to make it as far West as they have been predicting. It's still pretty close to the West coast of Florida. This sucks not having any coordinates to track the COC!
Waiting to see where the swirly goes-La, Tx or back to Fla or Ala? Will be an interesting season to watch develop.
1110. vortfix
Impact Weather Update and Graphicast for East Central Florida:

Posted at 9:19 AM
Edited on: Thursday, May 21, 2009 9:23 AM

Rainy weather pattern continues...thunderstorms possible this afternoon

A slow moving storm system over the Gulf of Mexico will continue to generate a deep south to southeast flow across the Florida peninsula today. These winds will draw a tropical moisture plume over the state, which will maintain the wet weather pattern that has affected Florida this week. Some drier air over west Cuba and the northeast Caribbean will work its way north...which will keep the south interior regions relatively free of rain. However...thunderstorms may form later today along the boundary between the dry and moist air...especially along the coast south of Cape Canaveral. Brief tornadoes or waterspouts may accompany some of the stronger storms.

Photobucket



Welcome RescueAFR. We did need rain in East CF; however, not this much.
Link
Thanks for that post Vortfix. People have been asking me if not a tropical storm what is the deluge called. "Wet weather pattern" I'll tell them...60 plus streets in Daytona now closed and it's still coming down. Wish it could've been more evenly distributed over the entire peninsula!
Daytona's sewage system now compromised. Processing 25 million gallons with increases expected. Normal flow is 11 million gallons/day.
1113. MahFL
The coc seems to be being blown NNE...towards...wait for it.....FLORIDA !...lol.
Quoting MahFL:
The coc seems to be being blown NNE...towards...wait for it.....FLORIDA !...lol.

That's not funny.
morning everyone, nice to see the regulars in here again for another year...viking i agree it sure looks to be heading our way...need the rain but i'll sure take the surf also!!!

Animated loop makes it look like all that moisture to the south and east is being pumped into Central Florida. No, can't be!
Maybe into north Fla and Georgia?!
Link
New Blog
This 'entity' is HUGE!!! What shall we call it??? Or has it been 'named' already???
Morning all. Our low is still struggling with the dry air to the south and west it appears. As much as I hate to see a washout for the holiday weekend, I'm praying for some rain here in PCB.
that is quite a plume of convection of to the east of Florida... could it tap this and wrap it around its COC? probably not enough time but will see...

To all you central Floridians plz be safe and don't drive in flooded areas
Quoting obsessedwweather:
This 'entity' is HUGE!!! What shall we call it??? Or has it been 'named' already???

If you're referring to the blobs lined up off the east coast of Florida, I believe the term is "wet weather pattern."
Morning everyone......StormW and I both updated a Blog Today if anyone would like to view and also i figured out a way to add the Computer Models Under the Tab "Tropical Weather Graphics" !

TampaSpins Link
Hi Chicklit- I just read your post....I'm in Tampa and we just had a strong storm pass through. Lots of lightning and thunder. Got real dark real quick. Seems to be dying off now. Still have some lightning and thunder light rain.