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Five more weeks of winter?

By: Dr. Jeff Masters, 3:33 PM GMT on February 02, 2006

Punxsutawney Phil, the fearless rodent prognosticator of Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania, saw his shadow this morning. According to tradition, we can expect six more weeks of winter are on tap for the United States.

Your fearful human forecaster predicts about five more weeks of winter--including some very harsh winter weather in mid-February. This forecast is based on long range model forecasts from the GFS model, plus observations of a "resonance" in Earth's climate system called the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) that I discussed two weeks ago. The NAO has just switched from its positive phase to its negative phase. The negative phase is typically associated with a jet stream pattern that brings cold Arctic air to the Eastern U.S., and that is the pattern we saw in the five week period from November 16 - December 23, when cold air gripped much of the Eastern U.S. The positive phase of the NAO is associated with a northward retreat of the jet stream into Canada, and usually brings much above normal temperatures to the eastern half of the U.S. The positive phase of the NAO dominted during the five-week period from December 23 - February 2, and record warm winter conditions were experienced across most of the U.S. during these past five weeks.


Figure 1. The North Atlantic Oscillation for Nov. 1 2005 - Feb. 2, 2006. The postive phase of the NAO has been associated with warmer than average temperatures at Detroit and most of the eastern half of the U.S., while the negative phase has been associated with cooler than average temperatures. Image credit: NOAA Climate Prediction Center.

Well, the NAO has just flipped back into it's negative phase (Figure 1), and I anticipate that given the five-week periodicity in the oscillation we've been seeing the past few months, we're in for a five-week period of colder than normal weather across most of the U.S. These below-average temperatures should ease up in early March when the NAO flips back into its positive mode. Long range temperature outlooks from the GFS model show the first Arctic air of the year invading the U.S. after Super Sunday, peaking in mid-February. I expect below-zero temperatures will affect most of the Midwest and Northeast by mid-February, with temperatures colder than -20 F in Minnesota. The Siberian Express is on its way!

Jeff Masters

Punxsutawney Phil
Punxsutawney Phil
The town has placed these statues of groundhogs all over. They are about five feet standing and all of them are unique, like this one.
Siberian Landscape 1
Siberian Landscape 1

Winter Weather

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

Reader Comments

Thanks for the update. This should indeed please those wishing for winters return. However, I worry for those with high heating bills.
Short term models aren't looking as cold as even 12-24 hours ago. There will be a pretty good cold shot to the mid-west and N. East starting this weeked; however, it doesn't look as if it's going it get absolutly frigid or not.

Only the NOGAPS says temps of 260 degree Kelvin and below(8 degrees F) will reach all the way down to the Kentucky/Tennessee and Viginia N. Carlonina borders by into next weekend. The rest of the models don't have the cold going as far south, but they all say by this weekend that we won't be enjoying the mild weather anymore.
I don't trust the groundhog at all. Stranger things have happened...and the more weeks of winter is all relative based on location.
It is all fun and many of us that celebrate groundhogs day for other reasons. I unofficially look at today as the first day of spring. Days are noticeably getting longer, I can walk around the lake before it gets dark, birds are signing, animals are pairing up, and things are starting to become better! I make it through the winter knowing the warblers and butterflies will be back in the spring. Either Mr. Groundhog is right or wrong, it is still a fun day to have hope for spring!
Crazy, I dont think the groundhog has ever said Spring is here. I've never heard the news say the groundhog didnt see its shadow. It always says thier's 6 week's of winter, and this time he's actually right cuz winter is about to make a return.
Wow, we're in for a cold February! That should be enough for speculators to take gas above $4/ gallon!!
Still not going to be cold enough to close up the lakes in Southern Michigan. May ice over but not enought to stand on. Dissapointed Ice Fishermen for sure.
Ok globalize, let's not overdo it here. It could, and I stress,
Glad I'm not an ice fisherman, just a regular one =)
But anyways, I doubt gas will go up to $4/gallon just because of some cold weather. We'll see, but I dont think its too likely. You obviously disagree, globalize.
Oops, that what happened when all the weird stuff happened to my comp. Disregard the choppy post, I was changing this around and something screwy happened.
U.S. Average is $2.34 a gallon at the moment. I will say it will go to $2.69 a gallon by 2/16 and peak at $2.89 by the end of the month. Don't think you will see it get back above $3 until closer to Memorial Day and it will probably bounce around either side of $3 all summer provide there are no major supply problems (Hurricane's,Iran,etc...).
A few potshots then I reply to the good doctor's new post

Globalize - gas will be going up period. Cold weather doesn't has as much effect on gas as oil (since their isn't too many homes that heat with gasoline aka car fuel). Now international events on the other hand do. Since its a sellers market right now because Business 101, demand is high, supply is tight and any little effect causes a mad rush of buying.

As far as high heating prices we could always ask Iran for some uraium to keep warm (LOL).

_______________________________________________


Seriously if what the good Doctor is preaching comes to past then us folks around the lakes may be in for some fun since usually the lakes are partial to full frozen this time of year. They are not (maybe I can sneak up to Lake Ontario today before sunset and snap a couple of shots, for those not in the know I live about 2 miles from the southern shore of Lake Ontario). Being the case if a good strong front came down I wouldn't be surpised to see a repeat of a blizzard we had a couple of years back where it snowed 22 inches in under 10 hours, then another 20 inches 2 days after.
Actually, cold weather usually depresses gasoline prices because people drive less in the cold.

My natural gas bill was $170 even with the warmest January on record in KC! Sheesh, and last January I used a lot more but paid less.
hey oriondarkwood, I'm about 15 K from the western end of Lake Ontario, and yes all it will take is cold air and a good strong wind off the lake to bury those on the downwind side...
15. F5
rwdobson,

True, but that is usually offset by the drop in supply as production shifts from gasoline to home heating oil.

Snowboy,

Since yer talking clicks aka kilometers instead of miles (for those not in the know 1 kilometer = 0.621371192 miles, thanks to Google, I live in the Toronto area for 2 years snowboy). And assumeing you talking exterme western in (ie Burlington Bay area) that would put you around the St. Geroge area.

Do I get a cigar (LOL)?

Yea they is a bridge near my house (look up Webster, NY on the map and go west you see a Irondequoit Bay, there is a bridge on expressway 104), this is a nasty bridge to cross in a blizzard, the wind is funneled in along with everything else. My poor Nissian gets batted around like a hockey puck on that bridge during a blizzard.
Anyone taken a look at Boloeste lately? It's a hurricane now and incredibly small. The whole storm center CDO is only about 140 miles across. I think Katrina had hurricane force winds out 140 miles each side at one time!
Something ya'll might appreciate...Link
Winter, what is this winter all of you speak of?

:P

Greetings to all from Tucson ;)
...and the shift to home heating oil is partly balanced by the fact that refineries don't have to make as many different blends of gas as they do during ozone season. it's a complicated business.
21. F5
That is is. I have a friend who is a project engineer for one of the major refiners in the US. It's incredibly complex. Most of us think in terms of oil and gas, but there are countless variations of each, not to mention all the volatile chemical by products, some of which are used as inputs into other products.
so how is Snowshow west virgina gonna be, more snow around febeurary 17th?
volcanopele,

Greets, and I know people from Tucson. I am surpised everyone is not sick most of the time because from what I heard (correct me if I am wrong) is most of the malls, grocery stores etc.. etc.. have the AC crankin at its like 100 degress outside then you step into a mall that is somewhere just above 60
no snow global warming andrew
well i am going to West Virgina feberaury 17th just wanted to see if it would snow , and i dont belive in global warming
well lets wait a few more years boy then you wil find out
Hi there volcanpele!!! I lived in Tucson for about 10 years! Small world!! Where are you located? I lived on the other side of Mt.Lemon in Coronado. That is just before Oracle.
but it might be snowing on graduation day 2008 LOL
If global warming was true in the first place, it wouldnt happen in 5 years for climate change, and second of all this earth of ours have been around for billons of years, this could be a natural thing, i wont worry about this.
Boldman..you are making me feel OLD!! LOL!!
nah, maybe nice sunshine like grad day 2005 for my bro
oh boy here we go here comes calling cali folk racists
The Question is the Nor'Easter's NOT the Cold though

GO GFS PLEASE BE RIGHT THIS TIME!!
i lived in Raleign NC when we had a major snowstorm in january 2001
lol buckeye
Ok everyone..we have now turned the page on the calander and finally what I have been waiting for all "winter" the COLD will finally arrive!! Add the pinapple express and I want a major snowstorm for Valentine's day!! What a great time for some snow days here in the south!!! WOO HOO!!!
We all why people want snowstorms on valetines day, so people could snuggle up. Next 9 months later the birth rate SHOOTS up
Snowman I am keeping fingers and toes crossed for the GFS to verify!! At least I know that you will appriciate the white stuff as much as I do!!! :) GOOO SUPER SUNDAY SNOW!!!
whats so bad about that
But that is vary rare, i think the world will balance out itself
nothing is bad,the babies would be called "Valentine day babies"
Not for me!!! LOL!! All finished there!! The fire and an old football or current basketball game on after building the biggest snowman available!!! PARADISE!!!! :)
Still a couple of days yet, it got up to 52 degrees today and tommorrow suppose to be mid-40's. Saturday night and Sunday supposely when the winter show is going to kick off. Actually might be good in the long run kill all the bugs that are crawling out cause they think its spring. (not to mention cover the leaves in my backyard I didn't rake last fall)
well 70 temps in jax is the PREFECT WEATHER for me>
Gatorboy..they would be called Thanksgiving babies!!!
True buckeye, very true.
alright strong storms heading towards jax, this is going to be an interesting night
Hey orion!!! I didn't rake this fall either!! LOL! :) I need the snow to cover up the oak and pine on the ground! LOL!
yall are lucky to see snow yearound, well in jax we dont even has rakes!
i have a better chance of snow then jax
Hey buckeyefan1, did you see who had the top recruting class in football, THE FLORIDA GATORS BABY
well i have a better chance at a hurricane then you boldman(which isnt really a good thing)
Did anyone see that South Park episode on Global Warming last night, I had a good chuckle.
hey gator some0one wants you to come to the chat room
Gatorboy..do you know who holds the record for the most players picked in the NFL draft? (they just broke their previous record) GOOO BUCKS!!! :)
ahh well ohio state has had some marquee players in there past.
Past,Present, and Future!!! BTW they also have the highest GPA for any sport throughout...3.1 Not to shabby!!! LOL!
Maybe 3 more weeks of winter? Canadian groundhogs predict early Spring. Link
ESPN said USC had the #1 recruiting class this morning on Sportscenter? Are you so sure about that gatorboy? Florida was ranked number 2 on thier list.
Cregnebaa- clue me in on the South Park Global Warming episode. I'm sure they were very concerned.
Had a near racey ad come up on that link Stormdrain...lol..Figured there'd be a groundhog out there to say i hadn't planted the spring garden too early.

As for getting a tropical or sub-tropical storm in the eastern Atlanta, the models have diverged some. GFS has it going tropical & looking quite impressive around 144hrs. The Ukmet~ couldn't find a 12Z run going out that far, the 00Z has it staying a broad perhaps not ever full formed sub-tropical(radical change from yesterday's 12Zrun), being torn up by shear in 144hrs. The Nogaps seems about the same as the consensis of yesterday, now somewhere in the middle, with perhaps a weak sub-tropical going TS forming by 144hrs.
It's hard to guage whether the increased Asian demand is actually there. The high inventories belie the increased demand hype. But futures traders have to keep covering, and that means ever more speculation. If the demand is there, it'll keep going higher. If these increases have been the product of speculative hype, then there will be a collapse. Whichever, it will be soon.
The President hyping switchgrass as an alternative is the green light for increased oil speculation. What a jokester.
I can just see him snickering.
rwdobson- yeah, the natural gas gouging is really a bigger crime than petroleum. Not a whole lot of the world where it is used. It's burned off as waste by most middle eastern oil rigs, when they could catch it and compress it and make an even bigger fortune. But then they would probably make bombs from it instead!
TOP 10 CLASSES
Four of the top recruiting analysts rate the nation's top 10 classes on college football signing day:

Max Emfinger

1. Florida
2. Florida State
3. USC
4. Texas
5. Notre Dame
6. LSU
7. Alabama
8. Penn State
9. Ohio State
10. Georgia

Rivals.com

1. USC
2. Florida
3. Florida State
4. Georgia
5. Texas
6. Penn State
7. LSU
8. Notre Dame
9. Oklahoma
10. Auburn

Tom Lemming/CSTV

1. Florida
2. USC
3. Notre Dame
4. Texas
5. Penn State
6. LSU
7. Georgia
8. Michigan
9. Florida State
10. Oklahoma

Allen Wallace/Scout.com
SuperPrep Magazine


1. Florida
2. USC
3. Texas
4. Penn State
5. Georgia
6. LSU
7. Ohio State
8. Michigan
9. Notre Dame
10. Oklahoma

Gators are #1 in 3 out of 4 of the Top 10 rankings and #2 in the other.

GO GATORS!!!
Skyepony, sorry. I'll see if Yakuza can take care of it.
No offence to me StormDrain:) just thought it was funny.

Still no 12Z ukmet~ 18Z GFS still shows intensity, just ends a little more north & east. Being middle of feb, don't give it much of a chance.
well,

i see things on the 18Z run as looking like some winter will finally be back uphere to the NE. I noticed that starting a few days ago hen some ofthe models were finally starting to print out the 490dkm and 480dkm 1000-500hPa thicknesses over the canadian arctic. for most of the winter so far, they were nowhere to be found in the NWT or Nunavut. Once they started appearing, I knew winter was in sight, so I think phil may be right.

Speaking of Punxetawney Phil, how many people here have actually been on top of Gobbler's Knob on Feb 2? 10 years ago, it was my second time on the knob in two years. That's when it expanded from about 3000 people accomidated in 1995 to 12000 people accomidated in 1996, if my memory serves me right. I have to admit that those experiences were definately some of the biggest parties I was ever at. And It's a good thing Phil isn't brought onto the knob until right before the ceremony itself, because wth all the blaring music and the partiers from all the local colleges, I don't know how he wouldn't have the **** scared out of him with all that going on. Between that and all the events leading up to that day and right after that day, it's definately a different world.

I wouldn't call it mandatory by any means, but I sort of consider it something of an unofficial pilgrimage that forecasters should expereince at least once.
.SYNOPSIS...STRONG WEST FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE A CHANCE
OF SHOWERS OVER WESTERN WASHINGTON TONIGHT. A POWERFUL STORM
DEVELOPING OVER THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC WILL MOVE TOWARD VANCOUVER
ISLAND FRIDAY NIGHT...BRINGING WET WEATHER AND POTENTIALLY HIGH
WINDS TO WESTERN WASHINGTON FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. A WEAK
WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BRUSH MAINLY NORTHWEST WASHINGTON SUNDAY AND
MONDAY. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY FOR AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF DRY AND MILD WEATHER.

&&

.SHORT TERM...MOST ATTENTION THIS SHIFT HAS GONE TOWARD THE
DEVELOPING STORM OVER THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC. THIS COULD POSSIBLY BE
THE STRONGEST WIND EVENT THIS SEASON...AND MAYBE THE STRONGEST SINCE
1999.

THE PRELIMINARIES TONIGHT...THE JET STREAK OVER THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON WILL CONTINUE NORTH TONIGHT. THUS THE MORE WIDESPREAD RAIN
THAT HAS DEVELOPED OVER PUGET SOUND THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD TAPER OFF
EARLY THIS EVENING AS THE JET STREAK DEPARTS.

THE BIG KAHUNA...SO FAR THE MODELS HAVE BEEN RATHER CONSISTENT IN
HANDLING THIS STORM. GFS REMAINS THE STRONGEST AND SLOWEST OF THE
MODELS BUT IS STILL THE PREFERRED SOLUTION. THE CANADIAN...ECMWF...
AND UKMET ARE ALL SIMILAR BUT WITH MINOR VARIATIONS. THE NAM HAS
BEEN NOTICABLY SLOWER AND WEAKER...AND TAKES THE LOW INLAND ACROSS
TATOOSH ISLAND RATHER THAN CENTRAL OR NORTHERN VANCOUVER ISLAND. SO
DESPITE THE MODEL CONSISTENCY THESE SMALL DIFFERENCES CONTINUE TO
RAISE DOUBT ON WHETHER A SIGNIFICANT HIGH WIND EVENT WILL
MATERIALIZE OR WHETHER IT WILL JUST BE WINDY. CURRENT TIMING BRINGS
THE COLD FRONT ACROSS THE COAST JUST BEFORE MIDNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT.
THE MAIN LOW HITS VANCOUVER ISLAND AROUND 18Z OR LATE SATURDAY
MORNING. THE NORMAL SE EXPOSED AREAS...COAST-NW INTERIOR-LAKE
LAWRENCE SHOULD PICK UP WIND LATE FRIDAY NIGHT. PUGET SOUND AND THE
STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA WAIT UNTIL AFTER THE LOW MOVES INLAND AND
PRESSURE RISES BEHIND THE LOW INCREASE THE S GRADIENT. HAVE INCLUDED
HIGH WINDS FOR THE MOUNTAINS...BUT THIS FORECAST IS MUCH LESS
CERTAIN.

DESPITE THE DOUBT...THE LOCAL STAFF CONCLUSION WAS TO ISSUE A HIGH
WIND WATCH FOR WESTERN WASHINGTON THIS AFTERNOON...ALTHOUGH IT IS A
LEAST A HALF DAY SOONER THAN IS NORMALLY PRUDENT. FACTORS IN FAVOR
WERE THIS BEING A POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT WIDESPREAD EVENT AND THAT
WAITING 12 HOURS WOULD PUT THE ISSUANCE AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. EVEN
THOUGH WINDS WILL POTENTIALLY DEVELOP AT DIFFERENT TIMES BEST
APPROACH WAS TO ISSUE A WATCH FOR THE WHOLE AREA ALL AT ONCE RATHER
THAN STRING IT OUT PIECEMEAL.

PRECIP WITH THE FRONT HASN'T BEEN MUCH OF AN ISSUE. TYPICALLY THESE
STRONG SYSTEMS PRODUCE EITHER LOTS OF WIDESPREAD WIND OR LOTS OF
RAIN...RARELY BOTH. THE FRONT DEPICTED BY THE MODELS IS RATHER
SKINNY. STILL ENOUGH TO PUSH THE SKOKOMISH BACK ABOVE FLOOD STAGE.

THE POINT NOT ADDRESSED MUCH SO FAR IS SNOW OVER THE CASCADES
SATURDAY NIGHT. THIS COULD END UP BEING A HEAVY SNOW EVENT GIVEN 850
MB WEST WINDS 40-50 KT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. WILL LIKELY HAVE TO
ISSUE A WINTER STORM WATCH TO COVER THIS PERIOD. NAM12 HAS UP TO 2
INCHES OF QPF OVER THE CASCADES FROM 18Z SATURDAY THROUGH 18Z
SUNDAY. KAM

.LONG TERM...THE WEATHER CALMS DOWN. FINALLY. LATEST 18Z GFS IS EVEN
WEAKER WITH THE SYSTEM THE BRUSHES THE AREA SUNDAY AND MONDAY. SO IT
MAY BE POSSIBLE TO DROP THE MENTION OF RAIN FOR SUNDAY. NEXT WEEK
LOOKS DRY. GFS HAS STAYED WITH THE BIG RIDGE DEVELOPING OVER THE
PACIFIC NW AND THE ECMWF HAS JOINED IN. THE ONLY ITEM NOT ADDRESSED
AT THIS POINT IS FOG. THERE WILL BE AREAS DEVELOPING MAINLY DURING
THE MORNING...BUT THIS WILL BE ADDRESSED AS THE EVENT DRAWS
NEARER...AND AFTER THE WIND STOPS. KAM

&&

.AVIATION...ATMOSPHERE WILL START TO STABILIZE LATE THIS EVENING FOR
DECREASING SHOWER COVERAGE. OFFSHORE FLOW QUICKLY DEVELOPS AFTER 12Z
FRIDAY AND SHOULD DRY OUT THE LOWER CLOUD DECKS...BUT THEN RAIN
SPREADS INTO SEA-TAC ARND 21Z IN ADVANCE OF A POWERFUL LOW PRESSURE
CENTER. HANER



Hurricane Force Wind Warning for the United States
OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WASHINGTON DC
OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER/OCEAN FORECAST BRANCH
230 PM PST THU FEB 2 2006

.WASHINGTON AND OREGON WATERS FROM 60 NM TO 250 NM OFFSHORE.

PZZ082-030530-
CAPE LOOKOUT TO POINT ST GEORGE
230 PM PST THU FEB 2 2006

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...

.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT BECOMING SE AND INCREASING TO 20
TO 30 KT LATE...HIGHEST W. SEAS 11 TO 14 FT WITH W SWELL...
HIGHEST NW. RAIN DEVELOPING.
.FRI...S WINDS INCREASING TO 45 TO 60 KT...EXCEPT TO 65 KT FAR W
PORTION LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 15 TO 21 FT E PORTION...AND 21 TO
32 FT W PORTION LATE. WINDS AND SEAS HIGHEST W. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...WINDS BECOMING SW 45 TO 65 KT EARLY...HIGHEST
CENTRAL AND W PARTS. WINDS THEN SHIFTING TO W AND DECREASING TO
40 TO 50 KT TOWARD MORNING...HIGHEST N. SEAS BUILDING TO 28 TO
39 FT...HIGHEST N. SCATTERED SHOWERS.
.SAT...W WINDS 35 TO 45 KT EARLY...DECREASING TO 25 TO 35 KT IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 28 TO 37 FT IN NW SWELL...HIGHEST NE.
.SAT NIGHT...W TO SW WINDS DECREASING TO 10 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING
TO 17 TO 23 FT IN NW SWELL...HIGHEST E.
.SUN...WINDS BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT OR LESS... EXCEPT S 10 TO
20 KT FAR NW PORTION. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 8 TO 12 FT LATE...IN NW
SWELL.
.MON...WINDS BECOMING N AND INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 KT...EXCEPT S
WINDS 10 TO 15 KT FAR NW. SEAS BUILDING TO 15 TO 18 FT IN NW
SWELL...HIGHEST NW.
.TUE...NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...EXCEPT SE 10 TO 15 KT FAR NW. SEAS
15 TO 18 FT IN NW SWELL...HIGHEST N.
$$

.FORECASTER BANCROFT. OCEAN FORECAST BRANCH.




A STRONG FRONTAL SYSTEM MAY BRING HIGH WINDS TO PARTS OF
WESTERN WASHINGTON FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING...

COMPUTER MODELS INDICATE THAT A STRONG FRONTAL SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN
DEVELOPING OVER THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC TODAY...THEN TRACK NORTHEAST
TOWARD NORTHERN VANCOUVER ISLAND FRIDAY NIGHT. A STRONG COLD FRONT
IS EXPECTED TO CROSS WESTERN WASHINGTON FRIDAY NIGHT AND THE MAIN
LOW WILL MOVE INLAND OVER SOUTHERN BRITISH COLUMBIA SATURDAY MORNING.

THE FORECAST FOR THIS SYSTEM IS STILL SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN...SINCE
SMALL CHANGES IN THE TRACK AND CHANGES IN STRENGTH CAN HAVE A BIG
IMPACT ON THE STRENGTH OF WINDS ACROSS WESTERN WASHINGTON.

BASED ON THE LATEST MODELS THOUGH...THE WASHINGTON COAST AND THE
NORTH INTERIOR COULD POSSIBLY HAVE HIGH WINDS AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT FRIDAY NIGHT...AS WELL AS SATURDAY MORNING WHEN THE MAIN LOW
MOVES INLAND.

PARTS OF THE SOUTHWEST INTERIOR COULD POSSIBLY RECEIVE LOCALIZED HIGH
WINDS FRIDAY NIGHT AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT.

THE STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA COULD POSSIBLY RECEIVE HIGH WINDS
SATURDAY AS THE MAIN LOW MOVES INLAND.

HIGH WINDS ARE SUSTAINED WINDS (LASTING AROUND A MINUTE) OF 40 MPH
OR MORE...OR WIND GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR MORE.

FOR THE REMAINDER OF WESTERN WASHINGTON THE WINDS MAY NOT REACH 40
MPH WITH GUSTS TO 58 MPH...BUT THEY MAY BE STILL STRONG ENOUGH TO
CAUSE SOME TREE AND POWER LINE DAMAGE. WITH THE SOIL STILL RATHER
WET AROUND WESTERN WASHINGTON...TREES MAY STILL BE A LITTLE EASIER
TO TOPPLE IN VERY WINDY WEATHER.


vary big storm with 70 to 80mph winds sorry for the long post
69. Inyo
It looks bad for southern California either way... at least we have lots of water around from last year.
I highly suggest checking my blog guys. Let's just say it involves New Orleans, and disasterous weather that does NOT involve a hurricane.
poor NEW ORLEANS LA got hit by a F3 TORNADO to bad it is not friday the 13th what well the see next?
Yeah I heard about that. Can you say "God Target"?
frist a hurricane
now a TORNADO

hmmm what is next
a poor turnout for Mardi Gras?
Again not enough to make a big difference in the midwest unless this is a truley bitter cold front for several weeks.
How many lives do you think were ruined or temporarily ruined because of that storm? Please, out of the goodness of your hearts, stop making cheap comments toward them. That city has gone to hell and back over the last half year so unless you lost a daughter, an aunt and lost your house, stop making jokes about it, because they dont deserve it.

Hopefully winter will kick in with these current predictions.
Colby, you're a riot!
New to actively Blogging..... I've been reading the good Dr's since hurricane season.

I am dreading the cold and what looks like snow for our ride down to Chicago Friday afternoon.
We can hope the tornado only took out the remaining voodoo shops...and wherever the mayor stays.
Haha colby, I have always loved those Budweiser commercials, actually some of my favorite commercials of all time. But the weather one is SWEET!
Hey all, for those who like the NBA, the Warriors are playing the Spurs tonight. Big game for the warriors :)
Go Warriors! Muahahaa

Giants in 06
84. Inyo
new orleans isnt even near the gulf stream! if anything, shutting down the gulf stream would INCREASE the sea surface temperatures in the Gulf of Mexico because there would be less of a way for the warm water to mix out. Perhaps if the tunnels had been built, Katrina would have hit New Orleans dead on as a strong catergory 5.
Cyclone. I have two words of great importance about your tunnels...





























Shut up!!
ForecasterColby i do not mean to be a lol but that this only one word lol
I'm thinking about the cost of the Chunnel (England to France), as well as how long it took to create.

As cruel as it sounds, this tunnel project would never be cost effective; not in money, and in all liklihood, not in human lives. How many mines, how many miners will it take to understand how risky an undertaking such a project would be.
FINALLY!!! Some real winter weather coming back to Minnesota!
Yes here in minnesota most places haven been below zero yet this year. We actually don't mind minus 20 degrees here, gives us a good reason to be proud to be from here.
You may have though how to weaken Hurricanes, many have. BIG question is how do you NOT effect the world, hummm. Most people get stumped there.
Inyo your link did not work try one more time back to bed see you all