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First tornado death of 2013 ends record 219-day streak without a tornado death

By: Dr. Jeff Masters, 7:50 PM GMT on January 30, 2013

A powerful tornado ripped through Adairsville, Georgia, northwest of Atlanta, at 11:19 am EST this morning, killing at least one person in a mobile home park. The tornado caused major structural damage in the downtown district, and overturned approximately 100 cars on I-75 near Exit 306 (see eyewitness video here, with swear words.) Eight injuries, some serious, are also being reported from a tornado just southeast of Calhoun, GA around 11:30am EST. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center has placed most of the Southeast in their "Slight Risk" region for severe weather for Wednesday, a step down from the "Moderate Risk" potential issued on Tuesday for the Midwest. Three other tornadoes have hit Georgia today, and there were 79 reports of wind damage due to high winds as of 2 pm EST along the cold front that triggered today's severe weather, from Alabama to Pennsylvania. Tornado watches continue for a wide swath of the Southeast this afternoon, from Alabama to North Carolina.


Figure 1. Car overturned by the tornado near Adairsville, Georgia, on January 30, 2013. Image courtesy of WSB-TV on http://pic.twitter.com/2lAL0Lmc.



Figure 2. Radar reflectivity (top) and Doppler velocity (bottom) images of the tornado that hit Adairsville, Georgia at 11:19 am EST Wednesday, January 30, 2013. Adairsville is under the circle with a "+" in it.


Figure 3. A wild weather day in the Southeast: NOAA's Storm Prediction Center logged four preliminary reports of tornadoes as of 2 pm Wednesday, along with 79 reports of damaging winds.


Video 1. View of the Adairsville, Georgia tornado of January 30, 2013. Note the blue power flashes as the tornado brings down power lines.

Record string of 219 days without a tornado death ends
Today's fatality ends the longest continuous stretch without a tornado death ever recorded in the U.S.--219 days. The last time the U.S. saw a tornado death was at Venus in Highlands County, Florida, from an EF-0 tornado associated with Tropical Storm Debby on June 24, 2012. The previous record was 197 straight days without a tornado death, which ended on February 28, 1987. Part of the reason for the long stretch without a tornado death during 2012 - 2013 was the relative lack of tornadoes. According to NOAA's Storm Prediction Center (SPC), the total number of tornadoes during 2012 was just 936. This is the first time since 2002 that fewer than 1000 tornadoes have been recorded. The jet stream was positioned unusually far north in Canada during much of 2012, which brought drought to much of Tornado Alley. It's tough to get tornadoes when you're experiencing near-record drought conditions and very few thunderstorms. Saskatchewan, Canada saw as many tornadoes in July 2012 as all of the U.S., thanks to the more northward position of the jet stream.


Figure 4. June 24, 2012: A tornado spawned by Tropical Storm Debbie crosses Lake Winterset in Winter Haven, Florida. Another tornado from Debbie on this day caused the last tornado death in the U.S., at Venus in Highlands County, Florida. Image credit: wunderphotographer whgator3.

Record moisture and rains
Today's severe weather outbreak was helped by record levels of January moisture, as a flow of unusually moist air rode northwards from the Gulf of Mexico, where water temperatures were about 0.5°F above average. Meteorologists use a term called "precipitable water" to discuss how much water vapor is in the atmosphere. Precipitable water is defined as how much rain would fall on the ground if one took a vertical slice of the atmosphere above a given location and condensed all the water vapor into rain. Precipitable water levels tend to be highest in the summer, since warm air holds more waver vapor, and can exceed two inches in the Midwest U.S. In winter, though, it is rare to see precipitable water values higher than one inch. However, precipitable water was well over an inch well into Canada, and three upper air stations--Detroit, MI, Lincoln IL, and Caribou, Maine--set all-time records for January moisture, and four other stations had their 2nd highest January moisture on record. From the 00Z January 30 to 00Z January 31 upper air balloon soundings taken at the 73 radiosonde stations in the contiguous U.S., we observed these record or near-record precipitable water values for January:

Detroit, MI: New Record: 1.21" Old record: 1.20" 1/11/75
Lincoln, IL: New record: 1.46" Old Record: 1.35" 1/12/60
Caribou, Maine: New Record: 1.21" (Ties old record of 1.21" 1/14/2005)
Alpena, MI: 2nd place, 0.99". First place: 1.01", 1/5/97
Buffalo, NY: 2nd place, 1.21". First place: 1.34", 1/15/95
Wilmington, OH: 2nd place, 1.44" First place: 1.51", 1/12/2005
Gray, ME: 2nd place, 1.36" First place: 1.38" 1/20/96

Green Bay (4th), Albany, NY (4th), Sterling, VA (4th), Shreveport (6th), Little Rock (3rd), Nashville, TN (10th), Chatham, MA (10th), and Maniwawi, Quebec (4th) all had top-ten January precipitable water values. Radiosonde data goes back to 1948.

The exceptional moisture led to record rains in many regions of the Midwest, with numerous locations setting daily precipitation records. Two airports recorded their wettest January day on record, including Madison, WI (1.84", previous record 1.80" on January 1, 1892) and Houghton Lake, MI (1.21", old record 1.08" on in 1938.) Top-five wettest January days in recorded history were also set at Muskegon, MI (2.48"), Marquette, MI (1.21"), and South Bend, IN (1.94".) Here where I live, in Southeast Michigan, being outside yesterday was like walking through a surreal white soup. Rains like nothing I've ever seen in January fitfully poured from the sky throughout the day, ponding up on the frozen ground. Eerie white fog swirled over the sodden snow drifts as thunder rumbled overhead in temperatures 25°F above average. What planet was this? The heavy rains of 1.60" that fell in 26 hours at the nearby Flint airport made this month our wettest January in recorded history, with 3.66" of precipitation.

Jeff Masters

Tornado Severe Weather

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

Reader Comments

Current obs at Mount Washington...



It should be gusting well over 100mph all night up there.
Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:
9 aftershocks from the main 6.0 quake in Santa Cruz Islands..including a stronger 6.2 as well



That would make the 6.0 quake a foreshock; the biggest quake is always considered the main event.
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:


From what link you got that?

Adairsville, GA Preliminary Tornado Report
Quoting wxgeek723:


That would make the 6.0 quake a foreshock; the biggest quake is always considered the main event.


true...thanks for pointing that out
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Adairsville, GA Preliminary Tornado Report


Dangerous tornado indeed as the report says
The AccuWeather Spring outlook is out.



So judging by what they say, the northwest should see a ton of precipitation. Wet in the southwest and cold and snowy across the Colorado Rockies. Dry at times across the Great Lakes region and full sunshine across the South. Cool in Florida and a mild start/cool end across the Northeast. ;)
Quoting whitewabit:


See that its balmy there ..
ya may have a clipper or two for ya to deal with over weekend











Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
The AccuWeather Spring outlook is out.



So judging by what they say, the northwest should see a ton of precipitation. Wet in the southwest and cold and snowy across the Colorado Rockies. Dry at times across the Great Lakes region and full sunshine across the South. Cool in Florida and a mild start/cool end across the Northeast. ;)


you're LATE... I posted it yesterday when it came out (cough)
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
ya may have a clipper or two for ya to deal with over weekend













yeah..I want snow
Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:


you're LATE... I posted it yesterday when it came out (cough)

Sorry...I did not know there was a specific time and day one was expected to post a news story in order to show those who have not yet seen it.
Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:
yay!!!





Grrr... east/central Boulder County is on the edge of it... again.

For those who missed post 400, here's my Grumpy-Gus rundown of the snow situation in the Front Range:

Here on the east side of the Continental Divide (Boulder/Denver/Ft. Collins area) we're approaching critically low snow levels. The system that just tore across the Midwest and Southeast dropped a lousy 1" of snow in Nederland. Boulder is currently about 3' (yes, FEET) of snow behind where it was last year... and last year was an exceptionally low snow year.

But our winds have certainly kept up their usual winter bluster. The Fern Lake Fire in Rocky Mountain National Park is STILL burning (LINK). Just ten days ago firefighters had to put down a small grassfire in the foothills west of Boulder (LINK). So until things change it seems our fire "season" along the Front Range doesn't end, even in the depths of winter. If we don't get snow soon I predict this year's fire season for Colorado will be one for the history books (even worse than last year's, which broke several records for the largest and most expensive fires).

Now, February and March are typically our snowiest months, so there's still hope... but the 10-day forecast shows few signs of improvement in the near-term.

Anyone have any snow they want to share... please?

Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Sorry...I did not know there was a specific time and day one was expected to post a news story in order to show those who have not yet seen it.


what did you say to me Tuesday about Magnus???
513. wxmod
Quoting wxgeek723:


That would make the 6.0 quake a foreshock; the biggest quake is always considered the main event.


If the quakes were ten miles apart is that considered an aftershock?
SNOW SQUALL WARNING IN EFFECT

Current Conditions


Observed at: Toronto Pearson Int'l Airport
Date: 7:00 PM EST Thursday 31 January 2013
Condition: Mostly Cloudy
Pressure: 29.6 inches
Tendency: rising
Visibility: 15 miles
Air Quality Health Index: 2

Temperature: 22.3°F
Dewpoint: 10.9°F
Humidity: 61 %
Wind: W 15 gust 22 mph
Wind Chill: 9
Quoting wxmod:


If the quakes were ten miles apart is that considered an aftershock?


There are two guidelines for labelling an earthquake as an aftershock. First, it must occur within an "aftershock zone." This is sometimes defined as within one fault-rupture length of the mainshock rupture surface, or alternatively, within an area defined by seismologists based upon early aftershock activity. Second, it must occur within that designated area -- the "aftershock zone" -- before the seismicity rate in that area returns to its "background", meaning pre-mainshock, level. If an earthquake meets these two criteria, seismologists consider it an "aftershock."

SOURCE

EDIT - FYI, fault rupture lengths are usually measured in tens or even hundreds of miles... though I've seen rupture lengths as low as 2 miles.
Quoting wxmod:


If the quakes were ten miles apart is that considered an aftershock?


I don't know if there is any criteria for that but remember how the Japanese coast looked after the nearly-apocalyptic 9.0 ?
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
ya may have a clipper or two for ya to deal with over weekend













could get up to 4 inches of snow from those clippers ..
Good Evening Everyone..wild night last night

Storm brings high winds, flooding to NC
Submitted by WWAY on Thu, 01/31/2013 - 9:00am.READ MORE:

News
Weather
N.C.
Severe Weather

1
boonemallflooding.jpg

RALEIGH, NC (AP) -- A winter storm system brought high winds and heavy rains that sparked some flooding in western North Carolina.

Nearly 14,000 customers were still without electric service late Thursday morning.

A fire driven by strong winds has destroyed a motel and a house in Surf City early Thursday. One person was taken to the hospital.

Another man was hurt when a tree fell on his house in Fayetteville on Wednesday evening.

A Charlotte television reporter was hurt when she was struck by a vehicle during a wreck Wednesday night. News 14 Carolina News Director Jim Newman said reporter Caroline Vandergriff was in stable condition in a Charlotte hospital.

Tornado watches and wind advisories expired in eastern North Carolina early Thursday.

Flooding occurred in the western mountains.

Appalachian State University canceled night classes Wednesday because of heavy rains and flooding across the campus in Boone. Classes were being held on a normal schedule Thursday as the flood waters receded.

Duke Energy reported more than 11,000 people without service, Jackson County in western North Carolina had the most outages.

Progress Energy reported nearly 1,800 without service. The biggest problem was near Fort Bragg.

Dominion reported more than 600 customers without service in the northeastern corner of the state.

(Copyright 2013 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.)

(Photo of flooding at Boone Mall courtesy WSOC-TV. Click here to see more storm damage images at WSOCTV.com)
oh great... My internet connection has been restored... I don't have to wait for pic to load here anymore
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Sorry...I did not know there was a specific time and day one was expected to post a news story in order to show those who have not yet seen it.
Children please
You, who are on the road
Must have a code, that you can live by
Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:


what did you say to me Tuesday about Magnus???


Neapolitan complex?. Correction, Napolean complex??


outside my window
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:


outside my window


That looks like a lot of fun ..
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:


outside my window
KEEPER...Where are you...On a busy Interstate??
just south of the highway 401 at kenndy rd interchange
The number of confirmed tornadoes following the January 29-30 tornado outbreak is up to 37.

This makes it the largest tornado outbreak since April 13-16, 2012.
496 Tropicsweatherpr: Only 120 days until June 1st.

So only 103days until HurricaneSeason. Yeah, I know... but I can see it now...
"When I was your age, we useta hafta wait until June for the hurricanes. Made ya appreciate 'em all the more when they finally rolled around...
Not like you young'uns who can enjoy 'em all year long... And not an ounce of gratitude..."
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:


outside my window


You are right on the 401? That's way more snow than we have had out here about an hour east and 10 km north of Steeles/Taunton.

Ah, now I see the map. Thanks. Know it well.
506 TropicalAnalystwx13: ...
508 trHUrrIXC5MMX: you're LATE... I posted it yesterday when it came out (cough)

Yeah, but was your editorial as tongue-in-cheek?
Amid growing concern over the surprisingly large amount of greenhouse gas produced by the Internet and other telecommunications activities, researchers are reporting new models of emissions and energy consumption that could help reduce their carbon footprint. Their report appears in ACS’ journal Environmental Science & Technology.


Researchers from the Centre for Energy-Efficient Telecommunications (CEET) and Bell Labs explain that the information communications and technology (ICT) industry, which delivers Internet, video, voice and other cloud services, produces more than 830 million tons of carbon dioxide (CO2), the main greenhouse gas, annually. That’s about 2 percent of global CO2 emissions — the same proportion as the aviation industry produces. Projections suggest that ICT sector’s share is expected to double by 2020. The team notes that controlling those emissions requires more accurate but still feasible models, which take into account the data traffic, energy use and CO2 production in networks and other elements of the ICT industry. Existing assessment models are inaccurate, so they set out to develop new approaches that better account for variations in equipment and other factors in the ICT industry.

They describe development and testing of two new models that better estimate the energy consumption and CO2 emissions of Internet and telecommunications services. They tested the models on a simulated network and on a deployed network that serves the majority of schools in California. Both models delivered better estimates than the current “top-down” models. The researchers suggest, based on their models, that more efficient power usage of facilities, more efficient use of energy-efficient equipment and renewable energy sources are three keys to reducing ICT emissions of CO2.
SNOW SQUALL WARNING IN EFFECT

Current Conditions

Observed at: Toronto Pearson Int'l Airport
Date: 8:00 PM EST Thursday 31 January 2013
Condition: Mostly Cloudy
Pressure: 29.7 inches
Tendency: rising
Visibility: 15 miles
Air Quality Health Index: 2

Temperature: 21.9°F
Dewpoint: 11.1°F
Humidity: 63 %
Wind: W 22 gust 28 mph
Wind Chill: 6
WU Weather Historian Christopher Burt has a great new blog entry on this month's crazy weather (A Wild Ride Weather-wise for the Eastern Half of the U.S. the past Four Days). In it he makes a very keen observation:

"It has been interesting how the popular media reacted to the week-long cold wave that affected the Midwest and East Coast last week (Jan. 20-27). It was lead story on both the national and local TV networks with breathless reporters shivering in the windy streets of New York City or Minneapolis, etc.. What was significant, however, was that the cold wave was simply a typical January event that used to be common every winter (typical in terms of what the temperatures actually fell to). Of course, since last winter had no major arctic outbreaks, the recent cold was the first such in at least two years for many major cities east of the Mississippi. Everyone seems to have forgotten what normal winter weather feels like!"

Good point. In fact, the United States saw 507 low (or low maximum) temperature records from the 20th through the 27th (inclusive). Meanwhile, there were 2,025 high (or high minimum) temperature records from the 23rd through the 30th, almost exactly four times as many--yet we've become so inured by warmer-than-it-should-be weather that those latter records didn't even rate a mention in the evening news. Nothing surprising about that; as the planet continues to warm, deep cold snaps of any type are likely to become more and more a headline-making novelty when they do occur, while abnormal heat will become a ho-hum commonplace. No, nothing surprising--but certainly something worth a bit of concern...
Wow, it's actually warming up here in Moab, Utah (40s today). About time. Everyone's ready for it. City pipes burst in several neighborhoods and some have been w/o water for a couple of weeks, it's been so cold.

Not much snow in the La Sal mtns, though.

Boulder, I remember going to grad school there and the winds were something else. In fact, there was a stiff drink at one bar called the Boulder Wind. Would knock you out.

Hope my home state of CO gets some snow soon. Can't imagine a worse fire season than last year.
538. beell
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
The number of confirmed tornadoes following the January 29-30 tornado outbreak is up to 37.

This makes it the largest tornado outbreak since April 13-16, 2012.


Please, Mister, can I have a link?
Impressive look at the stratospheric warming event. Its amazing how the polar vortex just splits in two. In all my years of being a meteorologist, I have never seen anything like this.

Link
Here's all the scientific poop about it for those interested.

Link
542. beell
Quoting Chucktown:
Impressive look at the stratospheric warming event. Its amazing how the polar vortex just splits in two. In all my years of being a meteorologist, I have never seen anything like this.

Link


Inconceivable! (j/k)

Nice link, thanks.
Temperatures slowly dropping ..


Peoria, Illinois (Airport)
Updated: 11 min 34 sec ago
Overcast
7 °F
Overcast
Windchill: -11 °F
Humidity: 64%
Dew Point: -3 °F
Wind: 16 mph from the WNW
Wind Gust: 33 mph
Pressure: 30.23 in (Rising)
Quoting beell:


Please, Mister, can I have a link?


Here is the link to the Adairsville Tornado information.

Link
January was below normal in terms of rainfall in Puerto Rico/U.S VI and it's going to be that way for the next couple of months as the dry season get's into full force. This will increase the fire danger in PR.

.CLIMATE...AT CHARLOTTE AMALIE JAN 2013 WILL END AS THE DRIEST ON
RECORD WITH ONLY 0.55 INCHES OF RAIN. THE PREVIOUS DRIEST JAN ON
RECORD WAS IN 2007 WITH 0.76 INCHES.

AT CHRISTIANSTED...JAN 2013 WILL END AS THE TENTH DRIEST ON RECORD
WITH 1.05 INCHES OF RAIN. THE DRIEST JAN WAS IN 2011 WITH 0.49
INCHES OF RAIN.

AT SJU LMM INTL ARPT...JAN 2013 WILL END AS THE TWELFTH DRIEST ON
RECORD WITH 1.78 INCHES OF RAIN. THE DRIEST JAN ON RECORD WAS IN
1978 WITH 0.31 INCHES.


.FIRE WEATHER...BUILDING UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL RESULT IN RAPID
EROSION OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WITH MODELS INDICATING WATER VAPOR
CONTENT DROPPING TWO STANDARD DEVIATIONS BELOW NORMAL OVER THE
WEEKEND. THIS IN COMBINATION WITH EXTREMELY DRY FUELS WILL RESULT
IN HEIGHTENED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. WINDS PEAKED TODAY AND WILL
BE DIMINISHING SOMEWHAT OVER THE WEEKEND. STABILITY IS FCST TO
INCREASE OVER THE WEEKEND WHICH SHOULD TEND TO SUPPRESS ANY FIRES BUT
THE LONG DURATION OF VERY LOW HUMIDITIES AND EXTREMELY DRY FUELS
AND HIGH FUEL LOAD RAISES A LOT OF FLAGS AND CONCERNS. DON`T
EXPECT HUMIDITIES TO RECOVER AT NIGHT DUE TO EXTREME DRYNESS.
Quoting beell:


Please, Mister, can I have a link?

We keep track of the totals, as usual, on Wikipedia. Though the article may be lacking in content (as far as the meteorological synopsis section is concerned), the tornado count is constantly being updated.

Link
Wind damage across my area...


Hopefully it fulfills my needs... some significant snow

Sunday "somewhat potential" snowstorm for NE big cities...



check out if you are within the blue shade, some snow could be for you on Sunday

click picture for larger size...
553. wxmod
Quoting MrMixon:


There are two guidelines for labelling an earthquake as an aftershock. First, it must occur within an "aftershock zone." This is sometimes defined as within one fault-rupture length of the mainshock rupture surface, or alternatively, within an area defined by seismologists based upon early aftershock activity. Second, it must occur within that designated area -- the "aftershock zone" -- before the seismicity rate in that area returns to its "background", meaning pre-mainshock, level. If an earthquake meets these two criteria, seismologists consider it an "aftershock."

SOURCE

EDIT - FYI, fault rupture lengths are usually measured in tens or even hundreds of miles... though I've seen rupture lengths as low as 2 miles.


Thanks.


Got to 74.5 here today. Airport (KRAL) got 78
good evening all. interesting Al Gore interview on global warming by Jon Stewart on the Daily Show http://www.thedailyshow.com/full-episodes/wed-janu ary-30-2013-al-gore
557. beell
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

We keep track of the totals, as usual, on Wikipedia. Though the article may be lacking in content (as far as the meteorological synopsis section is concerned), the tornado count is constantly being updated.

Link


Thanks. I made a quick tally from the links to WFO's in the Wiki plus a few more. IMO & FWIW, and all that, of course, it looks like some good work there.
Afternoon all. How many people here have an iPhone?

If you do, go to this website and download a free weather app, the maker of this app was on the Barometer Bob show. The broadcast is here with the app maker here. It's a beta test as it's only version 1.0, also if you get version 1.0 you'll get lifetime updates.
WOW....

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
for LARGE HAILSTONES, HEAVY RAINFALL and DAMAGING WIND
For people in the Mid North Coast, Hunter, Illawarra, Central Tablelands, North West Slopes and Plains and parts of the Metropolitan, Southern Tablelands, Central West Slopes and Plains, South West Slopes, Upper Western and Northern Tablelands Forecast Districts.
Issued at 2:24 pm Friday, 1 February 2013.
Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce large hailstones, heavy rainfall that may lead to flash flooding and damaging winds in the warning area over the next several hours. Locations which may be affected include Port Macquarie, Taree, Newcastle, Gosford, Katoomba, Nowra, Armidale, Orange, Goulburn, Tamworth, Moree, Dubbo and Parkes.

Spring Creek, near Orange, rain gauge recorded 29mm in 30 minutes to 12:25pm.
26mm in 30 minutes was also recorded at Craven (Longview) ay 1:15pm.
Storm spotter near Orange in the Central Tablelands reported about 2.2cm hail and estimated 90 km/h wind gusts at 1:26pm.
Coonabarrabaren recorded winds of 36 knots, gusting to 57 knots at 1:30pm.
40.4mm in 30 minutes was recorded at Dungog Post Office at 1:38pm.
Cabbage tree mountain (far north of Hunter near the Mid North Coast border) recorded 30mm in 30 minutes at 1:46pm.
Storm Spotter reported about golf ball sized hail near Mount Vic and torrential rain at 2:20pm.


Quoting AussieStorm:
WOW....

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
for LARGE HAILSTONES, HEAVY RAINFALL and DAMAGING WIND
For people in the Mid North Coast, Hunter, Illawarra, Central Tablelands, North West Slopes and Plains and parts of the Metropolitan, Southern Tablelands, Central West Slopes and Plains, South West Slopes, Upper Western and Northern Tablelands Forecast Districts.
Issued at 2:24 pm Friday, 1 February 2013.
Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce large hailstones, heavy rainfall that may lead to flash flooding and damaging winds in the warning area over the next several hours. Locations which may be affected include Port Macquarie, Taree, Newcastle, Gosford, Katoomba, Nowra, Armidale, Orange, Goulburn, Tamworth, Moree, Dubbo and Parkes.

Spring Creek, near Orange, rain gauge recorded 29mm in 30 minutes to 12:25pm.
26mm in 30 minutes was also recorded at Craven (Longview) ay 1:15pm.
Storm spotter near Orange in the Central Tablelands reported about 2.2cm hail and estimated 90 km/h wind gusts at 1:26pm.
Coonabarrabaren recorded winds of 36 knots, gusting to 57 knots at 1:30pm.
40.4mm in 30 minutes was recorded at Dungog Post Office at 1:38pm.
Cabbage tree mountain (far north of Hunter near the Mid North Coast border) recorded 30mm in 30 minutes at 1:46pm.
Storm Spotter reported about golf ball sized hail near Mount Vic and torrential rain at 2:20pm.




be alert there... stay safe Aussie


If I ever get to see this this close and w/o thinking on a safe place anywhere...I'll probably say "Im over!".
Dropped 4 degrees in the last 20 minutes here (mid TN).. from 37 to 33 with drizzle probably turning to snow shortly through the early morning and a forecast low of 18 once the clouds move out about time I get the kids up for school in the morning... Have a good and safe night everyone!
Evening all. We got a fine downpour this evening during rush hour as this system dragged its tail through the islands [it's not gone, but that leading edge is through the NW Bahamas now]. Afterwards we had one of the most spectacular rainbows I've seen in recent times. Unfortunately I didn't have my camera with me :o(.

I was sorry to hear about the tornado damage and the loss of life. I was also interested in the following headline:

Deadly Tornado Batters District of GOP Congressman Who Opposed Sandy Aid. I have to admit I was wondering if this was his district. I find it ironic that proof of the adage "what goes around comes around" arrived so swiftly at his doorstep. But those of us who live in the hurricane belt understand all too well that today it is for you, tomorrow it is for me, and we generally have compassion one for another....
As expected, the northeast quadrant prominence eruption today flung a Coronal Mass Ejection into space. The plasma cloud was directed to the northeast and away from Earth. Image by Lasco C3.
A large prominence eruption is currently underway in the northeast quadrant. Image by SDO
just three report left. Chris,Leslie and Sandy.
Quoting allancalderini:
just three report left. Chris,Leslie and Sandy.


I hope they don't take 50 years for Sandy's
Quoting allancalderini:
just three report left. Chris,Leslie and Sandy.

All reports should be out within the next two weeks.


The storm responsible for all the severe weather in NE has deepened to 953 mb!! wow
Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:


I hope they don't take 50 years for Sandy's
Was about to say that it's likely to be a doozy...
Not staying on long tonight... but wondering if we're going to see any serious fall in temps once the back side of this goes through. Right now the light cloud cover is keeping the temps from falling off too fast.

Later, all...
Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:


be alert there... stay safe Aussie

Getting hammered right now, have had pea size hail.

Time to Bail - Stay Safe All - Hard Hat for Aussie - Stay Warm - Sleep Well
If Pat's out there, he may be interested in this: http://www.nasaspaceflight.com/2013/01/dream-chase r-breathe-new-life-into-michoud/

Michoud's getting to store the new Sierra Nevada lifting body ''mini-space shuttle'', one of the three commercial replacements to the ISS after the space shuttle, the other two being SpaceX's Dragon and Boeing's CST-100.
Quoting PedleyCA:
Time to Bail - Stay Safe All - Hard Hat for Aussie - Stay Warm - Sleep Well

Thanks

I have this one on.

Improvised QuickScat replacement: www.space-travel.com/reports/NASA_to_recycle_parts _for_science_work_999.html
Quoting gippgig:
Improvised QuickScat replacement: www.space-travel.com/reports/NASA_to_recycle_parts _for_science_work_999.html


Your link ---> Link
I've has 0.28inch of rain from this storm. but more to come.

I found one location that experienced their warmest January day on record in Quebec. Mont-Joli set a new record of 13.3 C on January 31 (yesterday) by beating their previous record of 13.0 C registered on January 19, 1996 (records go back to 1943).
Mont-Joli's temperature fluctuated in a rather strange manner between 9 am and 1 pm:

More than a month after BP and the Coast Guard finished a subsea operation to inspect the Deepwater Horizon site for oil leaks, no source has been found. Also, BP and the Coast Guard have not publicly identified a mystery white, milky substance observed seeping from the wreckage. But they say it's not oil and it's not harmful. Recurring oil sheens have been spotted in recent months around the Deepwater Horizon site. Several missions to inspect the sunken Deepwater Horizon platform, riser pipe, wellhead, relief wells and containment domes found no oil leaks. However, the Coast Guard reported seeing "an unidentified substance inconsistent with oil" emitting from several areas of the wreckage. Samples were collected for analysis and the Coast Guard this week said the lab "detected no traces of harmful pollutants," and that a BP test "yielded similar results." Neither BP nor the Coast Guard responded to the question of what the unidentified substance may be. With no source of leaking oil identified, the Coast Guard told CBS News: "satellite surveillance continue to monitor the sheen while future steps are being considered." The Coast Guard said the main components of the Deepwater Horizon wreckage, including BP's main Macondo well and two relief wells, were found to be secure. BP told CBS News it is still working with the Coast Guard to investigate possible sources of one oil sheen in the area: "BP has also capped and plugged an abandoned piece of subsea equipment known as a cofferdam that was identified as a potential source of the sheen." BP says the Coast Guard has indicated that "the sheen is not feasible to recover and does not pose a risk to the shoreline."
A large-scale landslide has collapsed 35 residential houses in mountainous Zhenxiong county in southwest China's Yunnan province, local authorities said Thursday. Starting Monday, the gradually deteriorating landslide has affected the life of 712 villagers in Zhongtun township, according to the Zhenxiong county government. The landslide also damaged 928 houses in the county. As of Thursday, no casualties have been reported, and the county government has implemented a geological disaster emergency response to the landslide. The local government has sent professional rescuers to the sites and assisted the affected villagers to remove to safe areas.
The roof of a Fall River, Mass. school incurred significant damage Thursday and a full structural assessment of the building needs to be done. Much of the debris landed here in a nearby backyard. Fall River's school spokesman told NECN it is possible that students will not return to this building this year. What's left of the roof of Resiliency Prep School is flapping in what's left of a powerful winter wind storm. It blew through Fall River, Mass. overnight, and left rubble behind. "A friend came over and he said, 'there's police on your back deck.' I said, 'what?' And I looked out the window and that's when I saw it. I was like 'oh my goodness," said Robyn Berube-Goncalo.

It wasn't until the light of day that neighbors got a look: A roof in a backyard. It wasn't just shingles from a nearby house, but a good part of the top of the 105-year-old school thrown from a football field away. "It's amazing that there was no one out there, and as you can see, there's a bunch of kids' toys under there, so it's actually amazing it happened in January and not some other time of year," Brandy Joyce said. A view from the air shows how significant the damage was and how fortunate the neighborhood is that no one was hurt. A few blocks up the hill, crews are working through the evening to fix a roof and siding because of holes in a home the damaging winds created. It was 6:30 in the morning, a towering limb from this beech tree, on its own larger than many entire trees, snapped and came to rest on top of the house.

Damage to the roof, the eaves, some of the interior, as well. "We have a third floor apartment, we figured if it went though the second floor it must have hit the third floor. We went up there and there was literally the skylight in the living room, and it was still raining at the time so, it was water pouring in," said Allison Sirois. And at RPS, an alternative high school with 215 students, kids will not be in school tomorrow but the district will let them know where they will go to school, a temporary location starting Monday.
Good Morning Folks! evening Aussie..stay safe down there..a cool 46 here this morning but at least that wind had stopped...the blogs coffee is perked..grab a cup or two...have a wonderful day everyone!
7-day for Tampa Bay area..................
to my north, freezing temps this morning.....
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

RIP CURRENTS: A NORTH WIND OF 15 TO 20 MPH WILL SHIFT TO THE
NORTHEAST BY THIS AFTERNOON ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST. THIS WILL
RESULT IN A SLIGHT RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT THE BEACHES.

TEMPERATURES: TEMPERATURES EARLY THIS MORNING HAVE FALLEN INTO THE
MID 30S TO AROUND 40 FROM THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE REGION AND TOWARDS
THE GULF COAST. A NORTH WIND OF 5 TO 10 MPH WILL CREATE MINIMUM
WIND CHILL READINGS IN THE 30S TO AROUND 40 ACROSS THESE AREAS.
THE COLDEST WIND CHILLS ARE PROJECTED TO BE IN THE LOWER TO MID
30S OVER GLADES COUNTY FOR A COUPLE OF HOURS UNTIL AROUND 8 AM
THIS MORNING. TEMPERATURES ACROSS THIS SAME REGION LATE TONIGHT
WILL FALL TO AROUND 40 TO THE MID 40S.
folks around the great lakes region,stormy weekend...
Quoting SteveDa1:
I found one location that experienced their warmest January day on record in Quebec. Mont-Joli set a new record of 13.3 C on January 31 (yesterday) by beating their previous record of 13.0 C registered on January 19, 1996 (records go back to 1943).
Mont-Joli's temperature fluctuated in a rather strange manner between 9 am and 1 pm:

in new brunswick, saint john was over ten degrees and beat thier record and moncton was over 14 degrees beating that record as well its been nice lol
Coldest night this winter .. 1 degree here at the house ..

Peoria, Illinois (Airport)
Updated: 28 min 24 sec ago
Overcast
4 F
OvercastF
Humidity: 73%
Dew Point: -3 F
Wind: 8 mph from the WNW
Pressure: 30.40 in (Rising)
Visibility: 10.0 miles
Statement as of 3:45 AM CST on February 01, 2013

... Wind Chill Advisory remains in effect until 10 am CST this
morning...

A Wind Chill Advisory remains in effect until 10 am CST this
morning.

* Wind chill values... 15 to 20 below zero.

* Temperatures... observed temperatures are expected to settle to
around zero by sunrise.

* Winds... west to northwest winds of 15 to 20 mph and gusts to
around 25 mph will occur this morning.

* Impacts... frost bite can occur on exposed skin in 25 to 30
minutes under these conditions.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A Wind Chill Advisory means that very cold air and strong winds
will combine to generate low wind chills. This will result in
frost bite and lead to hypothermia if precautions are not taken.
If you must venture outdoors... make sure you wear a hat and
gloves... and minimize as much exposed skin as possible.
Quoting AussieStorm:

I've has 0.28inch of rain from this storm. but more to come.




I ended up with just under 1 inch of rain from that big wide storm, It caused some damage here in Sydney too.

Storms, hail and winds lash NSW

THE SES has responded to around 50 calls for help as fierce storms continue to lash parts of Sydney and NSW.

The Bureau of Meteorology issued a severe thunderstorm warning for this afternoon as thunderstorms develop in the Newcastle and Wollongong areas and further inland.

"There's a big line of thunderstorms moving though Southwest Sydney at the moment," Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) forecaster Jane Golding said. "We’ve had reports of gale force winds and golf ball sized hail."

A fallen tree has closed three lanes of the Pacific Highway at Campbell Street in Artarmon and there are delays on the Anzac Bridge and flooding on Epping Road at Culloden Road in Marsfield.

Ms Golding said the heavy rainfall was likely to cause flash flooding and NSW SES spokesperson Phil Campbell said around 50 calls for help had been made with more rescues expected as the storms worsened.

"The area we're most worried about is the Hunter,'' Mr Campbell said. "We think we’ll have to make more flood rescues tonight, which is obviously a concern.''

The BoM warns there "is a greater than 75 per cent chance that flooding as well as local flash flooding will develop during late Friday and into Saturday" in the Hunter Valley, including the Patterson and Williams Rivers and Scone and in the Manning Valley including Gloucester.

There is a severe thunderstorm warning currently in place for Port Macquarie, Taree, Newcastle, Gosford, Katoomba, Sydney, Wollongong, Nowra, Armidale, Orange, Goulburn, Tamworth, Moree and Dubbo.

There is a warning of gale force winds for the waters between Point Danger and Merimbula.

The SES advises people in the affected areas to move their car under cover or away from trees, and to secure any loose outdoor items.

The Daily Telegraph
594. VR46L
Quoting AussieStorm:

I ended up with just under 1 inch of rain from that big wide storm, It caused some damage here in Sydney too.


Gosh Aussie ,

Thats some storm.

My brother is now in Sydney. He had been bragging about the weather in Adelaide compared to what was back home ..
595. VR46L

Sorry, for the bold print, I dont know what I have done wrong !!
Poll:

Saturday is Groundhog Day (Fedruary 2nd. Will Punxsutawney Phil see not his shadow meaning Spring will come early or will he see his shadow meaning Winter will last 6 weeks longer.

A) Shadow(6 weeks more Winter)
B) No Shadow (Early Spring)

My guess is B
Aussie where exactly is your location in Sydney ??
Quoting VR46L:


Gosh Aussie ,

Thats some storm.

My brother is now in Sydney. He had been bragging about the weather in Adelaide compared to what was back home ..


Im in the process of making up a gif of the storm. Will be up soon.
Quoting whitewabit:
Aussie where exactly is your location in Sydney ??


I'm about 2 miles east of Parramatta which is the geographic centre of Sydney.
600. VR46L
Quoting AussieStorm:


Im in the process of making up a gif of the storm. Will be up soon.


Look forward to seeing it!
Good morning, everyone. Evening Aussie.

It's 44 degrees here, wind chill of 40. Our high is upper fifies and I left my coat at school. Guess I'll have to go dig for another one for today.

There's biscuits and gravy, Canadian bacon, eggs and hash browns on the sideboard.

Aussie, hope it's not enough rain to raise the water in your creek. Stay safe.
Quoting VR46L:


Look forward to seeing it!

It's about 60 frames, might take a while.
Quoting aislinnpaps:
Good morning, everyone. Evening Aussie.

It's 44 degrees here, wind chill of 40. Our high is upper fifies and I left my coat at school. Guess I'll have to go dig for another one for today.

There's biscuits and gravy, Canadian bacon, eggs and hash browns on the sideboard.

Aussie, hope it's not enough rain to raise the water in your creek. Stay safe.

It was enough rain, actually caused a 3ft surge, I could hear it but the rain was that heavy I couldn't take any photo's. The rain we got from Ex-TC Oswald raised the creek level from 0ft to 6ft. Today's rain raised it from to about 4.5ft, right now it's down to about 6inches.
Everyone have a great Friday. Aussie, have a great Saturday!
Hello folks. I have a temp of 46° and wind chill of 41° in Fort Myers Florida this morning.
Where are you aislin?
Fire Weather WarningMobile & Email Alerts Statement as of 3:16 AM EST on February 01, 2013
... Red flag warning in effect from 10 am this morning to 7 PM EST
this evening for relative humidities below 35 percent and 20 foot
winds of 15 mph or greater...

The National Weather Service in Tampa Bay area - Ruskin FL has
issued a red flag warning... which is in effect from 10 am this
morning to 7 PM EST this evening. The Fire Weather Watch is no
longer in effect.

* Wind... northeast around 12 to 15 mph.

* Humidity... 18 to 25 percent.

* Impacts... any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly.
Outdoor burning is not recommended.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A red flag warning is issued when very favorable conditions for
the spread of wildfire are occurring now... or will occur within
24 hours.



Chuck, these links that you posted last night are quite interesting. Thanks.

Quoting Chucktown:
Impressive look at the stratospheric warming event. Its amazing how the polar vortex just splits in two. In all my years of being a meteorologist, I have never seen anything like this.

Link


Link

Sydney radar loop
Quoting aislinnpaps:
Everyone have a great Friday. Aussie, have a great Saturday!

Will do, My Saturday is about to start in 5 minutes, woohoo!!!

Have a great Friday, As you can see, mine was pretty stormy.
Good morning all,
Here's a photo I just took of the light snow from last night here in Mid TN. Not enough to close schools.. 15 degrees now brrrr..

Surviving relatives of four people killed in flash flooding in Pittsburgh in August 2011 are suing several government and private entities claiming the deaths could have been prevented.

Seventy-two-year-old Mary Saflin was swept away from her vehicle and drowned in the torrential waters, and 45-year-old Kimberly Griffith and her two daughters, 12 and 8, were trapped in their van and died when heavy rains caused a nine-foot wall of water to sweep down a low-lying section of road.

Attorneys Alan Perer and Paul Manion say the lawsuit is being filed against the city, its water and sewer authority, Allegheny County and its sewage authority, PennDOT, an engineering firm and even Chrysler Group LLC, which made the Griffiths' van.
Quoting ChillinInTheKeys:
Chuck, these links that you posted last night are quite interesting. Thanks.



Link



Thanks for the great Link Chillin/Chuck..
That was an amazing video compilation at the bottom of the report..
614. VR46L
The quiet after the storm.

A spirit breaking 35.6 below outside, wind chill -52. The trees are popping outside. This officially sucks
For those wondering last night, the report of over 100 cars flipped by the Adairsville tornado was actually confirmed this morning.

As I said a few hours ago, the tornado has been given a rating of a "high-end EF3".
Good Morning All..



Strong winds your way VR46L..



A bit cloudy as well..



Modis Image..

618. VR46L
Quoting pcola57:
Good Morning All..



Strong winds your way VR46L..



A bit cloudy as well..




Good Morning P'cola
Its actually quite windy but not raining at the moment .but should be nice in a couple of days:) See there is a front coming towards you but there seems to be no Precipitation with it .
TC Felleng this am..


Modis of Felleng..





JTWC Image..



Quoting VR46L:



Good Morning P'cola
Its actually quite windy but not raining at the moment .but should be nice in a couple of days:) See there is a front coming towards you but there seems to be no Precipitation with it .


Yeah it's our rainy time from now till June..
Then it tapers off considerably..
Then it's a wait and see game for TS and Hurricaines..
Were pretty good rain wise at this time..
It's time for my daily report. 20.3F and snowing moderately. About an inch overnight, 3 inches since yesterday. 27 inches since we got here! Best powder of the year so far. That's what the locals are saying. Today is last day on the slopes. Fly home tomorrow. Have a good day all!
Quoting PensacolaDoug:
It's time for my daily report. 20.3F and snowing moderately. About an inch overnight, 3 inches since yesterday. 27 inches since we got here! Best powder of the year so far. That's what the locals are saying. Today is last day on the slopes. Fly home tomorrow. Have a good day all!


Enjoy to the max Doug!!


NASA Astronomy Picture of the Day..

Atlas V Launches TDRS-K
Image Credit & Copyright: Ben Cooper (Launch Photography)

Explanation: Beyond a fertile field of satellite communication antennas at Kennedy Space Center, an Atlas V rocket streaks into orbit in this long exposure photograph. In the thoughtfully composed image recorded on the evening of January 30, the antennas in the foreground bring to mind the rocket's payload, a Tracking and Data Relay Satellite (TDRS; sounds like TEE-dress). This TDRS-K is the first in a next-generation series adding to the constellation of NASA's communication satellites. Operating from geosynchronous orbit 22,300 miles (36,000 kilometers) above planet Earth, the network of TDRS satellites relays communications, data, and commands between spacecraft and ground stations. Formerly the TDRS network provided communications for space shuttle missions. In fact, many TDRS satellites were ferried as far as low Earth orbit on space shuttles. The TDRS network continues to support major spacecraft like the International Space Station, the Hubble Space Telescope, and the Fermi Gamma-ray Space Telescope.
Quoting nymore:
A spirit breaking 35.6 below outside, wind chill -52. The trees are popping outside. This officially sucks

Impossible. Global Warming would never allow it to get that cold.





Northeast Eruption
A large prominence stretching hundreds of thousands of kilometers located in the northeast quadrant erupted on Thursday. A Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) will most likely be flung into space. Images and movie below by SDO. More to follow.

CME UPDATE: As expected, the northeast quadrant prominence eruption on Thursday flung a Coronal Mass Ejection into space. The plasma cloud was directed to the northeast and away from Earth. This image by Lasco C3.

solarham.net
Global Warming would never allow it to get that cold.

LOL! Sarcasm for breakfast :)
Quoting stormchaser43:

Impossible. Global Warming would never allow it to get that cold.
Who told you that?
Quoting Neapolitan:
Who told you that?


No worries Nea...everyone knows that global warming causes extreme cold and heat...at least they should by now, right?

Link (not peer reviewed)

Mag.6.0 52km SW of Lata..





Event Time

2013-02-01 05:36:40 UTC
2013-02-01 16:36:40 UTC+11:00 at epicenter
2013-01-31 23:36:40 UTC-06:00 system time

Location

11.090°S 165.538°E depth=9.3km (5.8mi)
Nearby Cities

52km (32mi) SW of Lata, Solomon Islands
522km (324mi) NNW of Luganville, Vanuatu
638km (396mi) ESE of Honiara, Solomon Islands
793km (493mi) NNW of Port-Vila, Vanuatu
1103km (685mi) N of We, New Caledonia



I needed a good laugh this morning
Quoting muddertracker:


No worries Nea...everyone knows that global warming causes extreme cold and heat...at least they should by now, right?

Link (not peer reviewed)

Here we go ,Again! LOL
JeffMasters has created a new entry.
633. VR46L
Quoting nymore:


I needed a good laugh this morning


That is hilarious !!!
I have another dumping of rain coming very soon.
There is some lightning with this system but not as much as the storm this afternoon.

Quoting nymore:


I needed a good laugh this morning

Oh how funny!! :-)

This blog is the only place where I find so much hype on this Global Warming stuff. Anyone else feel that way?

stormchaser43
Quoting AussieStorm:

Thanks

I have this one on.





You said it was hailing there so this is what I meant for you to use.....
Quoting BahaHurican:
Evening all. We got a fine downpour this evening during rush hour as this system dragged its tail through the islands [it's not gone, but that leading edge is through the NW Bahamas now]. Afterwards we had one of the most spectacular rainbows I've seen in recent times. Unfortunately I didn't have my camera with me :o(.

I was sorry to hear about the tornado damage and the loss of life. I was also interested in the following headline:

Deadly Tornado Batters District of GOP Congressman Who Opposed Sandy Aid. I have to admit I was wondering if this was his district. I find it ironic that proof of the adage "what goes around comes around" arrived so swiftly at his doorstep. But those of us who live in the hurricane belt understand all too well that today it is for you, tomorrow it is for me, and we generally have compassion one for another....