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EF3 Tornado Rips Through New Orleans East, Injuring 25

By: Jeff Masters 3:53 PM GMT on February 08, 2017

At least nine tornadoes touched down in south Louisiana and south Mississippi on Tuesday, causing widespread damage and dozens of injuries, but no deaths. The largest tornado was an EF3 with winds over 135 mph that tore through New Orleans East, injuring 25, with three of the injuries deemed serious (the tornado was preliminarily rated EF2 on Tuesday, but was upgraded to EF3 on Wednesday after an NWS damage survey.) The tornado cut a swath through a residential area and a stretch of motels and trailer parks, and damaged roofs at NASA's Michoud Assembly Facility. About 250 buildings were damaged along the tornado’s 2.5 mile-long path, prompting mayor Mitch Landrieu to declare a state of emergency for New Orleans. Many of the homes damaged were also damaged during Hurricane Katrina in 2005, when a levee break flooded the area. According to WWLTV.com, some Katrina survivors had a miraculous escape when the tornado ripped through a mother and daughter’s neighboring houses, and the falling rubble hit almost everything except the people trapped inside (thanks go to wunderground member Patrap for this link.) Two more injuries were reported from a tornado near Watson, Louisiana, which damaged approximately ten homes; an additional two injuries were reported from a tornado in Killian, Louisiana, where five homes were damaged.


Figure 1. A man walks through the debris of what once was a motel on Chef Menture Ave. after a tornado touched down on February 7, 2017 in New Orleans East, Louisiana. According to the NWS, 25 people were injured in the aftermath of the tornado. (Sean Gardner/Getty Images) 



Figure 2. Forecasts from 1 am EST Tuesday morning (top) from NOAA’s Storm Prediction Center (SPC) showed only a “Slight” chance of severe weather over south Louisiana and south Mississippi, but by 8 am, SPC homed in on the potential for a more serious localized outbreak of severe weather, and upgraded their outlook to an “Enhanced” chance of severe weather (bottom.)

An unusually active start to tornado season
While it is not uncommon to get wintertime tornadoes along the Gulf Coast, the tornado activity so far in 2017 has been unusually high. The preliminary tally of U.S. tornadoes as of February 7 now stands at 151, which is more than double the 2005 - 2015 average of 67 we expect to see by this date. Most of this activity came in the January 21 - 23, 2017 tornado outbreak. This outbreak spawned 79 twisters, including three EF3s, over the Southeast U.S., killing 20 people and causing at least $600 million in damage. Since 2005, the only year that has had more tornadoes than 2017 by this date was 2008, when approximately 260 tornadoes had been reported by February 7.


Video 1. The EF3 tornado in New Orleans East on the morning of Tuesday, Feb. 7, 2017. Video by Aundra Woodfin, courtesy of NOLA.com.

Jeff Masters

Tornado

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

Reader Comments

Thanks for the update Dr. Masters.
Any hail pics Pat?
Thank You Dr.; I commented this morning with regard to the current US tornado numbers for 2017 that this unusually warm Winter in the Southern tier of the US might be correlated with this activity because of the warm Gulf flow that we do not normally see until later in the Spring; along with normal January-February winter frontal passages and the relative position of the Conus jet.

/data/atmosphere/hdwinds/amv/IRNHE15.GIF


What amazes me about this event yesterday is that there was no loss of life in spite of the quick manner in which everything spun-up yesterday morning.......................9 destructive tornadoes with no fatalities is a blessing.
Quoting 3. RitaEvac:

Any hail pics Pat?


I have 2 big uns in the freezer, and Ill post some pics of them in few. The one has lotsa spikes all round it.
The time of day, the great lead times ,and the fact that no schools were hit is really amazing.


The watch and warnings did their job and folks responded as all the media,social and broadcast were really on top of things.

A true testament to action and listening paid off with no fatalities.

For that, we here are all very grateful.

Quoting 5. Patrap:



I have 2 big uns in the freezer, and Ill post some pics of them in few. The one has lotsa spikes all round it.


What would you estimate wind was at your place?
Link



Critical Infrastructure for California's second largest lake is crumbling as another sieges the state...
Your source is as bad as the shill your posting about. That is Bunk,,..easily.

Your epiphany is not a epiphany..it's deep derp from a Guy with a derp website.

But thanks for bringing here..again..as yer not the first .

So there.

: P

Quoting 9. civEngineer:

Link


Critical Infrastructure for California's second largest lake is crumbling as another sieges the state...



Don't want to stir the blog up, but if their funding gets cut off like Trump might do, it's going to be anarchy out there in Cali...
Quoting 8. RitaEvac:



What would you estimate wind was at your place?


High nuff to cram 6 dogs and a wife into a bathroom.

That fast is my best guess.
Quoting 6. scottsvb:

Climate Change Data from Noaa was cooked to make it look more man made than really is. And before you go into saying.. "it's foxnews".. it's also being reported on other sites. Climate change is a normal thing and humans contribute less than 2% and mostly from China, India, Indonesia and Brazil.


You don't dispute scientific findings in blogs and tabloids. You get a peer-reviewed study published and you discuss your findings with other qualified scientists:

* No Data Manipulation in 2015 Climate Study, Researchers Say

* Climate Change, Science, NOAA Falsely Maligned by Tabloid Spin

* Mail on Sunday launches the first salvo in the latest war against climate scientists
The Guardian - Feb 5.
(...) The real story here is that the denial industry has lost the battle on the science. There are no reputable scientists who discount the enormous human influence on our Earth's climate. Because they have lost that battle, they are manufacturing doubt about the science. They are making misleading claims and attacking scientists with intimidating tactics. This is a playbook that has been used for years. It should alarm everyone that excellent researchers like Dr. Thomas Karl from NOAA can be attacked for just telling us what the data says.
Quoting 6. scottsvb:

Climate Change Data from Noaa was cooked to make it look more man made than really is. And before you go into saying.. "it's foxnews".. it's also being reported on other sites. Climate change is a normal thing and humans contribute less than 2% and mostly from China, India, Indonesia and Brazil.


http://www.foxnews.com/science/2017/02/07/federal -scientist-cooked-climate-change-books-ahead-obama -presentation-whistle-blower-charges.html
Quoting 6. scottsvb:

Climate Change Data from Noaa was cooked to make it look more man made than really is. And before you go into saying.. "it's foxnews".. it's also being reported on other sites. Climate change is a normal thing and humans contribute less than 2% and mostly from China, India, Indonesia and Brazil.


http://www.foxnews.com/science/2017/02/07/federal -scientist-cooked-climate-change-books-ahead-obama -presentation-whistle-blower-charges.html


Fox News is a poor place to get unbiased climate change information. For stories of this nature, I recommend climatefeedback.org, which presents expert analysis by experts in the field. Their report on the David Rose Daily Mail story is at:

http://climatefeedback.org/sensational-claims-of- manipulated-data-in-the-mail-on-sunday-are-overblo wn/

From the site:

"While the Daily Mail article includes serious allegations of "data manipulation", Dr. Bates (the "whistleblower") contradicted the statements in the Daily Mail in a pair of new interviews on Tuesday. Bates told EENews, "The issue here is not an issue of tampering with data, but rather really of timing of a release of a paper that had not properly disclosed everything it was." And in an interview with the Associated Press, Bates said there was "no data tampering, no data changing, nothing malicious."

Climatefeedback.org also has an analysis by Zeke Hausfather, Research Scientist, Berkeley Earth:
"The 'astonishing evidence' that David Rose purports to reveal in no way changes our understanding of modern warming or our best estimates of recent rates of warming. It does not in any way change the evidence that policymakers have at their disposal when deciding how to address the threats posed by climate change.

If anything, there is strong independent evidence that NOAA's new record may be the most accurate one over the last two decades, at least for the two-thirds of the world covered in ocean."

Jeff Masters

SPC MCD prior to issuing a tornado watch at 7:55 am

Mesoscale Discussion 0144
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0559 AM CST Tue Feb 07 2017

Areas affected...Central and southeastern Louisiana...much of southern Mississippi...far southwest Alabama

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely

Valid 071159Z - 071400Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

SUMMARY...The threat for severe thunderstorms should increase through the day. Very large damaging hail is possible over Louisiana into southern Mississippi, with isolated tornadoes as well. The threat will develop from west to east, affecting Alabama later in the day.

DISCUSSION...Very cold air aloft will continue to spread eastward across the region today with upper trough axis near the Mississippi river by 18Z. At the surface, substantial low-level moisture is already in place from Texas into Louisiana, with mid 60s dewpoints. This has created an unstable environment with MUCAPE in the 1500-2000 J/kg range. A more stable air mass currently resides roughly half way across Mississippi and points east, but gradual destabilization is expected there as well.

Low-level winds will remain veering with height, with 0-3 km SRH on the order of 200-300 m2/s2 throughout the day. Winds around 850 mb will tend to veer as the upper trough approaches, but at the same time, intense upper-level flow will spread southeastward across Louisiana into southern Mississippi, lengthening hodographs aloft and resulting in an increasingly favorable environment for very large hail. While tornadoes may not be the primary threat, a few will be possible due to supercell storm mode and sufficient low-level shear.

The greatest severe risk overall is likely to exist from Louisiana into southern Mississippi in closer proximity to the more unstable air, which is not forecast to spread east very quickly.

..Jewell/Guyer.. 02/07/2017

Watch excerpt: The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southern Louisiana
Southern Mississippi
Coastal Waters

* Effective this Tuesday morning and afternoon from 755 AM until
200 PM CST.

* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events to 3 inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SPC issued the "Enhanced Risk" and the "Tornado Watch" after two tornado warnings had already been issued in New Orleans.
The first tornado warning was issued at 7:35 am about 30 minutes before the tornado watch and the Enhanced risk was issued.
A second tornado warning was issued at 7:45 am.

Looks like the SPC was trying to play catch up since tornado warnings were being issued for the area.
Hard to get a USMC Veteran Fearful of ignorance..

Now His mental capacity is my worry..as He carries the War Biscuit in His pocket.

I just hope He dosen't eat it while snacking on a Big Mac with fries.
Quoting 12. RitaEvac:



Don't want to stir the blog up, but if their funding gets cut off like Trump might do, it's going to be anarchy out there in Cali...


Congress always comes through to fund states of emergency, to suggest otherwise is petty. Besides which CA has means to fund this itself if needed, if nothing else it could divert billions from the Bullet Train travesty.
California is the 6th Largest economy on the globe and pays way more to the fed, than vice versa.

If your chiming or channeling Trumps thoughts, you could become gravely Ill.

Quoting 22. civEngineer:



Congress always comes through to fund states of emergency, to suggest otherwise is petty. Besides which CA has means to fund this itself if needed, if nothing else it could divert billions from the Bullet Train travesty.


More recently, the state government and media began referring to the state's billions of dollars of mounting debts as a “Wall of Debt.” Generally, state officials and the media depict that “wall” as $26.2 billion, far smaller than it actually is. California's actual wall of debt is $443 billion.
Cherry picking your advisors is just as bad as cherry picking the science; I had a case several years ago where the expert Dr. from a particular University institution (for the other side) took a "minority" position against the majority of his colleagues (and traveled the country testifying as to his position to supplement his income). I came back with two Dr's., and one from his own University, who testified that his position was untenable and a minority scientific theory rejected by the majority of medical doctors in the nation.  Point being as related to the link below is that the Atmospheric Science departments at Yale and Princeton have a much different view on climate change than these two advisors:

http://www.sciencemag.org/news/sifter/leading-can didates-advise-trump-science-question-climate-chan ge-research


Two reportedly leading candidates to advise U.S. President Donald Trump on science laid out their policy priorities and questioned the credibility of human-induced climate change in interviews with The Scientist. Calling the growth of climate change research a “cult movement,” Princeton University physicist William Happer spoke out against the government “pushing technical information that they’re not absolutely certain about.” Another leading candidate, Yale University computer scientist David Gelernter (above), echoed that uncertainty in a separate interview, saying: “I think some [scientists] haven’t fully grasped what a gigantic proposition it is for measly human activity … to change something like the climate of a planet in the Solar System.” Gelernter said that if appointed, he would prioritize computers and networking, physics, and neuroscience.  

Heard of the tornado in NOLA yesterday, hope your city comes back stronger than ever, Pat.

Currently at Millersville University (Lancaster, PA): 60F

Winter Storm Warning in effect for 4-8"

Our university staff meteorologist says that this is the toughest forecast he's faced in the last few years. GFS most reliable for us. And that communicating this to the public is really hard, with warm surfaces fighting against heavy snowfall rates, valleys could get just a couple inches, while hilltops could see a foot. State College reflects this in their snow probability maps, as well.





Quoting 24. RitaEvac:



More recently, the state government and media began referring to the state's billions of dollars of mounting debts as a “Wall of Debt.” Generally, state officials and the media depict that “wall” as $26.2 billion, far smaller than it actually is. California's actual wall of debt is $443 billion.


Fully agree and it is because CA doesn't include unfunded liabilities in their budget projections, but regardless catastrophic infrastructure will be fixed when needed as an emergency priority, especially in this case where both state and Feds have a share and stake in the infrastructure.
Quoting 12. RitaEvac:



Don't want to stir the blog up, but if their funding gets cut off like Trump might do, it's going to be anarchy out there in Cali...


But if California does not play by the rules, the feds cut funds.
Feds never cut taxes.
I'm not sure who people will blame.
Yes they can be the sixth largest economy but what really matters is are they in the red or in the black?
If they are in the black, then they have cash that Trump will not want to walk away from.
Quoting 26. RitaEvac:

California debt clock




Thank you. That is very educational.
California is just barely in the black with a larger need for federal funds.
In case of a natural disaster - they will need help.
Perhaps it would be cheaper to import good through Mexico and then ship them across the US.
Quoting 30. TechnoCaveman:



Thank you. That is very educational.
California is just barely in the black with a larger need for federal funds.
In case of a natural disaster - they will need help.
Perhaps it would be cheaper to import good through Mexico and then ship them across the US.


Click on other states, and even the US debt
Quoting 6. scottsvb:

Climate Change Data from Noaa was cooked to make it look more man made than really is. And before you go into saying.. "it's foxnews".. it's also being reported on other sites. Climate change is a normal thing and humans contribute less than 2% and mostly from China, India, Indonesia and Brazil.


http://www.foxnews.com/science/2017/02/07/federal -scientist-cooked-climate-change-books-ahead-obama -presentation-whistle-blower-charges.html

Well that's just Foxed up! There I said it.
Quoting 27. Astrometeor:

Heard of the tornado in NOLA yesterday, hope your city comes back stronger than ever, Pat.

Currently at Millersville University (Lancaster, PA): 60F

Winter Storm Warning in effect for 4-8"

Our university staff meteorologist says that this is the toughest forecast he's faced in the last few years. GFS most reliable for us. And that communicating this to the public is really hard, with warm surfaces fighting against heavy snowfall rates, valleys could get just a couple inches, while hilltops could see a foot. State College reflects this in their snow probability maps, as well.








Thanxfor sure....... , the damage was limited to the Eastern part in the Suburbs and had no impact on the other 95% of our area. And for that and no loss of life,we are very fortunate and very grateful.



Quoting 28. civEngineer:



Fully agree and it is because CA doesn't include unfunded liabilities in their budget projections, but regardless catastrophic infrastructure will be fixed when needed as an emergency priority, especially in this case where both state and Feds have a share and stake in the infrastructure.


Unfortunately it appears that hold up in federal money is due to local re-licensing of the Orville damn. The last license expired in 2007. Documents were provided to the federal government on 12-5-2016.

Link
Quoting 26. RitaEvac:

California debt clock

$454B


I noticed that California's debt to GDP ratio is still quite low (17.6%) and that spending is below in-state revenues. As a comparison, Germany's debt to GDP ratio is 78.4%. The UK is at 90.6%. France is at 93.5%. source The U.S. debt to GDP ratio is over 104%. source So, while California's debt load may look bad, it is in far better shape concerning this than many major countries. I would say that the U.S. still benefits from California's economy.
Australia probes coal spill near Great Barrier Reef

SYDNEY: Coal has washed up in waters dangerously close to Australia's Great Barrier Reef, environmental authorities said on Wednesday, following an investigation into complaints of black dust on nearby beaches.

Ship-loading facilities at the port of Hay Point, which ships tens of millions of tonnes of coal annually to export markets worldwide, are at the centre of the investigation by authorities in the northeastern state of Queensland.


Link
Quoting 34. justmehouston:



Unfortunately it appears that hold up in federal money is due to local re-licensing of the Orville damn. The last license expired in 2007. Documents were provided to the federal government on 12-5-2016.

Link


FERC licencing is for operations regarding the water not the dam itself. I.E. how much do the ag users get vs the environmental releases and how much for hatcheries and other recreational purposes etc. I don't believe it has much to do with the dam itself.

Since you brought it up though the new biological opinion calls for 40% of all San Joaquin River watershed flow to be uninhibited, therefore 40% of all runoff will go straight to the ocean vs being held in reservoirs if the opinion is sustained... that would be truly devastating to food production in the central valley.
Having youtube upload issues, but in the video here the wife took as we had about 4 minutes before we took to the shelter, one can see the acuual Rotation beginning just behind the really dark clouds to my East.

That misty look behind the rotation near the Flag, is the hail core coming.


The nado touched down just 5 minutes after the video here. 5 miles due east of our Home.
Still waiting for scottsvb to explain where the 'less than 2%' comes from...

"Climate change is a normal thing and humans contribute less than 2% and mostly from China, India, Indonesia and Brazil."
Quoting 13. Patrap:



High nuff to cram 6 dogs and a wife into a bathroom.

That fast is my best guess.
And a wise guess, with a cell like that coming toward you. As you know, that thing could have touched down long before it did. Looks like first warning on that cell was a Tor warning when the cell was to your SW.
Quoting 19. Sfloridacat5:

SPC issued the "Enhanced Risk" and the "Tornado Watch" after two tornado warnings had already been issued in New Orleans.
The first tornado warning was issued at 7:35 am about 30 minutes before the tornado watch and the Enhanced risk was issued.
A second tornado warning was issued at 7:45 am.

Looks like the SPC was trying to play catch up since tornado warnings were being issued for the area.
Thanks for the comeback. Ketchup? Maybe. With mesoscale, that's the way it goes sometimes. Risk area designated for Feb 7 on the prior day 2 outlook and at midnight Feb 6 into 7 had shifted abruptly. I'm seeing the enhanced risk delineated at 0700 on the next scheduled outlook. The watch-related MCD #0144 was out at 0559 cst calling for a watch likely prior to 0800. The 0755 watch listed tornadoes in the text and gave a 20% chance of 1 or more EF2 and above.* Not a perfect job (good luck with that when you're talking severe) but good. NWS New Orleans was on local radar, as is their job, especially considering the SPC's morning outlook and the MCD. Warnings from the NWS New Orleans office (which imo did a stellar job) were out but but not "in New Orleans." No tornadoes are reported that early anywhere overnight or into the Feb 7 report page. First Tor report is at 10:35 am cdt in Livingston Parish, LA from, maybe, the cell that long-tracked toward Madisonville. I didn't watch any radar after about 10 am cst yesterday. Gorgeous day here and I was out in it, tilting at giant windmills and singing along with Garth Brooks on the radio.

Storm reports for Feb 7, 2017. Click image for report text


*Wonder what the surveys of the other tornadoes show? I don't see a report yet from NWS. Add: Twitter says they have 3 survey crews out.
NOLA tornado upgraded to an EF3 per NWS New Orleans on Twitter.
Quoting 41. LAbonbon:

Still waiting for scottsvb to explain where the 'less than 2%' comes from...

"Climate change is a normal thing and humans contribute less than 2% and mostly from China, India, Indonesia and Brazil."



400,000 tons of CO2 per hour,,,is the reality they missed.

Their math is alternative....as I saw, 1,to 1.5 million people easily at the Bowling Green Memorial March.
Hey Dr. Masters the article needs to be updated to reflect the tornado as an EF-3. NWS New Orleans tweeted that EF-3 damage has been found.

https://twitter.com/NWSNewOrleans/status/82936428 3725193219

"NWS New Orleans ‏@NWSNewOrleans 1h1 hour ago

Survey crew in NO East confirms EF3 damage; no estimate on wind speed as crew continues to investigate. More details later today. #LAwx"
47. Gearsts
12:34 PM EST on February 08, 2017

That Godzilla hybrid would go better with the North Pacific basin......................Look at those anomalies next to Japan...... :)

Quoting 40. Patrap:

Having youtube upload issues, but in the video here the wife took as we had about 4 minutes before we took to the shelter, one can see the acuual Rotation beginning just behind the really dark clouds to my East.

That misty look behind the rotation near the Flag, is the hail core coming.


The nado touched down just 5 minutes after the video here. 5 miles due east of our Home.
Tried but can't see it r/t I don't belong at Facebook. I get your description, though, and can picture it. Been in the hail looking at willowing pitch black clouds in the distance, knowing it was trouble.
Quoting 45. Patrap:





Survey crew in NO East confirms EF3 damage; no estimate on wind speed as crew continues to investigate. More details later today. #LAwx


The NASA vids online like the one Doc M posted looked like a strong tornado.
Yesterday hail from the Tornadic cell.

wgntv.com



Quoting 48. Patrap:

The Advocate

Nobody killed is pretty amazing when one see's the region and path where the tornado struck. Prayers to the people who were injured..Hope the Prez and the feds help the victims...Has New orleans ever been hit by an F-3 before i wonder...
Quoting 23. Patrap:

California is the 6th Largest economy on the globe and pays way more to the fed, than vice versa.

If your chiming or channeling Trumps thoughts, you could become gravely Ill.




Eventually we are going to get tired of supporting our Red State Friends.
We entertain you, feed you, supply you with technology and educate your escapees from the backward parts of the land.
It seems techies prefer The Bay, and would not live anywhere else.

Lets be honest. Aside from that Dog Track in NYC, some good universities and technology in Boston, a few bomb factories in Colorado , Arizona and Texas, some really nasty corporations in Washington State, and a bunch of GMO Corn in the Midwest, we are rally a third world backwater.
Dr Julia Shaw:
‏@drjuliashaw

Teaching regression in 2017.

Note the extreme damage, and the spared homes just next door.

Quoting 10. TheBigBanana:

Linking articles isn't that hard scottsvb. I fixed your link so it goes to the correct story. You're welcome :)


Make no mistake about it, this is yet another instance of a well-orchestrated publicity assault on climate science. Expect more of this sort of thing (and there has already been plenty). All of it is to a purpose, probably legislative but possibly administrative, and certaily to sway public opinion (lots will see the headline, few will find that it was a mis-informed, mis-represented disinformation piece)

The Climate Science Defense Fund operation needs to get pro-active about thiss and document and press-release a summary of all the disinformation that is being propagated, and by whom., and follow the money if you can
Quoting 18. TheBigBanana:

People get scared and Trump becomes more powerful and popular.


The Mayo's diagnostic for Narcissistic Personality Disorder

Symptoms
Except for BC, January 2017 has been VERY warm in Canada. More than 7°C above normal in Northern Ontario & Inuvik (vs 1981-2010 climatology)!


Source: Patrick Duplessis
Quoting 58. MontanaZephyr:



The Mayo's diagnostic for Narcissistic Personality Disorder

Symptoms

Might as well look up the word delusional too, because it also applies.
It is quite literally 6 weeks too early for my citrus trees to be blooming and grass coming out of hibernation on the Florida panhandle. This is NOT normal. The grass will survive a cold snap; the fruit will not.
Quoting 62. WXGulfBreeze:

It is quite literally 6 weeks too early for my citrus trees to be blooming and grass coming out of hibernation on the Florida panhandle. This is NOT normal. The grass will survive a cold snap; the fruit will not.


# climate change. Last year, south Florida was at 40 degrees today for the low temperature. I don't know when south Florida will see a real cold blast like in 2013 and 2014.
In the utube video here the wife took as we had about 4 minutes before we took to the shelter, one can see the actual Rotation beginning just behind the really dark clouds to my East.


That misty look behind the rotation near the Flag, is the hail core coming.

The nado touched down just 5 minutes after the video here. 5 miles due east of our Home.

Quoting 62. WXGulfBreeze:

It is quite literally 6 weeks too early for my citrus trees to be blooming and grass coming out of hibernation on the Florida panhandle. This is NOT normal. The grass will survive a cold snap; the fruit will not.
Same thing has happened in all of the Florida Big Bend............I even found a Tangerine tree in the back of the property last week, when I was clearing out brush and leaves on Saturday, that I did not even know was back there; the flash of orange in the tree caught the corner of my eye.  At this rate, we will be competing in North Florida with Central Florida for orange crops in about another 30 years....................
Quoting 65. weathermanwannabe:


Same thing has happened in all of the Florida Big Bend............I even found a Tangerine tree in the back of the property last week, when I was clearing out brush and leaves on Saturday, that I did not even know was back there; the flash of orange in the tree caught the corner of my eye.  At this rate, we will be competing in North Florida with Central Florida for orange crops in about another 30 years....................

I would say earlier.. Maybe 5 years
Quoting 65. weathermanwannabe:


Same thing has happened in all of the Florida Big Bend............I even found a Tangerine tree in the back of the property last week, when I was clearing out brush and leaves on Saturday, that I did not even know was back there; the flash of orange in the tree caught the corner of my eye.  At this rate, we will be competing in North Florida with Central Florida for orange crops in about another 30 years....................


It's really strange. I have tangerine, lemon, orange, and key lime trees. The only one not getting blossoms right now is the key lime. Neighbor has a satsuma that is in full bloom. Gonna either be an early harvest this year, or nothing (if we get a cold snap).
Quoting 51. Patrap:

Yesterday hail from the Tornadic cell.

wgntv.com






Might have some roof damage from that...my parents back in 2013 had a hail storm like that and everybody in town had to have a new roof.
You may look at this photo and say wow that was a powerful tornado, and it was, but I look at the photo and say wow look at how poorly the house was built. Look at the brick. Loose and laying on the inside of the house. Now look at the wall with the black board that says Nu-Wood. That's a portion of an exterior wall. There are no brick ties! They failed to connect the brick to the studs! I see a lot more wrong but I don't feel like going through it all.

Good luck!
Republican elders call for new national carbon tax to replace federal regulations
GOP elder statesmen urge Donald Trump’s administration to impose a ‘free market, limited government’ response to rising global temperatures
The Guardian, Wednesday 8 February 2017 16.50 GMT
A group of senior Republicans will meet with White House officials on Wednesday to call for a new national carbon tax to replace federal regulations as a way to combat climate change.
The GOP elder statesmen – which include former secretaries of state James Baker and George Shultz, and ex-treasury secretary Hank Paulson – will urge Donald Trump’s administration to impose a “free market, limited government” response to rising global temperatures. ...
Portrait of the secondary low of Niklas which ruffled Iceland today, on its way to Greenland with more mild air in its luggage:


Click to enlarge.

Severe Weather Update
By Vala Hafstað Society about 3 hours ago
Rescue workers have been called out in Southwest Iceland to assist people due to the severe weather that is affecting the area, mbl.is reports. Roof sheets have been blown away on Reykjanes peninsula, and warnings were issued against driving on Reykjanesbraut road between 9 am and noon.
Þorsteinn G. Gunnarsson, public relations representative at ICE-SAR, stated, “In Reykjanesbær and Garður [on Reykjanes peninsula], roof sheets and scaffolding have been blown away.” Roof sheets came loose in Hveragerði, Southwest Iceland, as well. Some were fastened by putting a load on them, while others were blown away.
All domestic flights have been canceled for today. The situation was reevaluated at 2:15, and the decision made to cancel flights for the rest of the day. ...
Just saw 2 mockingburds courting and flying on and off the page fence out front.

One never sees dat Feb 8th here.

Well I've never had.

Ive restrained myself to not comment on how yesterdays VIOLENT outbreak was a WV infused and AGW derived event.

But I can say this,,..its is darn sure uncommon for a EF 3 from a rogue cell to do this here.

It was a Severe right mover more common to a April Midwest event.


Radar showing some snow to my N and a further S dipping arm to my W, so shouldn't be long before we get some in S C IL, though I did see a few random flakes before lunch, but was 35 w/ 32 d.p. then. Now 32 w/ same 32 d. p., 29.9", 9-12 NNW-N winds w/ a 25 gust (was only 21 an hour ago). They said last night a dusting, now in 1" category, but a 3-5" pocket was shown pretty close, so we'll see. They also dropped tomorrow's low to 17 from 20, but still showing 62 for Sat, so a little spin at the bottom of the yo-yo string before a jerk up again.

Forgot to mention we received no precip yesterday, all stayed S of I-70 and nothing severe even to our S which was in the slight area. Glad nothing worse than it was, have a feeling this will be a different spring, for many reasons:)

Pat, just wanted to be sure you got my WUmail, it got fritzy after sent it. Glad all were safe, enjoy Carnival!
Quoting 75. dabirds:

Radar showing some snow to my N and a further S dipping arm to my W, so shouldn't be long before we get some in S C IL, though I did see a few random flakes before lunch, but was 35 w/ 32 d.p. then. Now 32 w/ same 32 d. p., 29.9", 9-12 NNW-N winds w/ a 25 gust (was only 21 an hour ago). They said last night a dusting, now in 1" category, but a 3-5" pocket was shown pretty close, so we'll see. They also dropped tomorrow's low to 17 from 20, but still showing 62 for Sat, so a little spin at the bottom of the yo-yo string before a jerk up again.

Forgot to mention we received no precip yesterday, all stayed S of I-70 and nothing severe even to our S which was in the slight area. Glad nothing worse than it was, have a feeling this will be a different spring, for many reasons:)

Pat, just wanted to be sure you got my WUmail, it got fritzy after sent it. Glad all were safe, enjoy Carnival!


Thanx Man, all werking out well with the canines. Parades begin rolling next week.

O, and Geaux Sneaux!
Highest radiation reading since 3/11 detected at Fukushima No. 1 reactor

Excerpts:

The radiation level in the containment vessel of reactor 2 at the crippled Fukushima No. 1 power plant has reached a maximum of 530 sieverts per hour, the highest since the triple core meltdown in March 2011, Tokyo Electric Power Co. Holdings Inc. said.


In the coming weeks, the utility plans to deploy a remote-controlled robot to check conditions inside the containment vessel, but the utility is likely to have to change its plan.

For one thing, it will have to reconsider the route the robot takes into the interior because of the hole in the grating.

Also, given the extraordinary level of radiation, the robot would only be able to operate for less than two hours before it is destroyed.

That is because it is designed to withstand exposure of up to 1,000 sieverts. Based on the calculation of 73 sieverts per hour, the robot could run for more than 10 hours, but 530 sieverts per hour means it would be rendered inoperable in less than two hours.
Once the Arctic gets messed up, it impacts the weather across the entire Northern Hemisphere. This is clearly evident this particular Winter: make no bones about it.........................Look at all that heat invading the pole just over the next few days.





Quoting 79. weathermanwannabe:

Once the Arctic gets messed up, it impacts the weather across the entire Northern Hemisphere. This is clearly evident this particular Winter: make no bones about it.........................Look at all that heat invading the pole just over the next few days.








The warming continues,

unabated




For the relief efforts and clean up..the NWS NOLA Disco'.

fxus64 klix 080958 
afdlix

Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service New Orleans la
358 am CST Wed Feb 8 2017

Short term...
moisture looks to be about 3k feet dep today. Above that, fcast
soundings dry extensively. This remains the same way as the cold
front move through tonight. 3k ft of moisture is not enough to get
thunderstorms but there could and likely will be a few areas of
light rain from time to time as this boundary layer moisture is
lifed as much as it can be. Lifted index values show this very
well. Good moisture at the sfc for negative values. But when one
looks at 850mb the dry air becomes apparent as values are
positive. Cold front will pass late tonight into early Thursday
morning. Some patchy dense fog will be found mainly over coastal
locations as the production area will be the cooler waters nearby
this morning. Fog may settle back in ahead of the cold front
tonight but will not last long once the front reaches each
location.

Long term...
some cool dry days Thursday and Friday with a warming trend and
return flow over the weekend. Fog will revisit the area ahead of
the next front that should get close to the area before either
slowing or stalling just north Monday night. This is where things
get a little more interesting. The problem is timing and placement
of a system that moves through the area during mid to late week.
The Euro and GFS both have a well developed sfc low and cold front
that affects the area next week. The GFS keeps the sfc low very
close to this area as it moves east while the Euro keeps the sfc
low farther north and brings the cold front through much earlier.
Since they both bring a cold front near the area and stall it
Monday night. It makes more sense that a sfc low that develops on
the very western end of this boundary would move along it as it
forces the boundary back toward the north by mid-week. This
scenario would lend more credence to the GFS solution for now. But
there is plenty of room for change as we get closer to this time
frame.

&&

Aviation...

High pressure will maintain onshore flow for the next 24 to 48
hours. This will allow marine layer cloud deck and some advective
fog to develop this morning and some terminals have already seen
visibilities drop below 1/4 mile. After sunrise, conditions should
improve to VFR for the late morning through early evening hours.

&&

Marine...

High pressure has moved in temporarily to the area and relaxed winds
and seas for the overnight period. As the front moves into the area
late tonight and early tomorrow morning, cold air advection will aid
in wind speeds and seas increasing. Small craft advisories have been
issued beginning tomorrow morning and running through late tomorrow
afternoon.

&&

Decision support...
dss code: green.
Deployed: none.
Activation: none.
Activities: none.

Decision support services (dss) code legend
green = no weather impacts that require action.
Blue = long-fused watch, warning, or advisory in effect or
high visibility event.
Yellow = heightened impacts with short-fused watch, warning or
advisory issuances; radar support.
Orange = high impacts; slight to moderate risk severe; nearby tropical
events; hazmat or other large episodes.
Red = full engagement for moderate risk of severe and/or
direct tropical threats; events of National significance.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
mcb 77 49 62 39 / 10 20 0 0
btr 78 54 65 43 / 20 20 0 0
asd 77 56 66 43 / 20 20 0 0
msy 77 58 65 50 / 20 20 0 0
gpt 73 58 65 43 / 20 20 0 0
pql 76 57 66 40 / 20 20 0 0

&&

Lix watches/warnings/advisories...
la...none.
GM...dense fog advisory until 9 am CST this morning for gmz530-532-
534-536-538-550-552-555-557.

Small Craft Advisory from 6 am to 6 PM CST Thursday for gmz530-
532-534-536-538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577.

MS...none.
GM...dense fog advisory until 9 am CST this morning for gmz532-534-
536-538-550-552-555-557.

Small Craft Advisory from 6 am to 6 PM CST Thursday for gmz532-

National Weather Service Glossary of Abbreviations

Quoting 80. Patrap:



The warming continues,

unabated







Natures way for the mass depopulation that is underway...
If you go to google maps and zoom all the way out to earth the clouds show up, there's a lot of sunlight hitting the surface....just warming the planet up. Oceans wide open to sunlight just warming everything up, and add CO2 to the absorption into the oceans.....recipe for warming world.
85. bwi
Whatever snow falls in DC tomorrow morning, it's not going to last.
I never act on any population revision nor quips,comments usually as I've seen the bad,the worst and the ugly of it. 11 years ago and some months now.


Every Human life is precious, and if one Human life could live a conflict free life, we all could learn from that.

I met a man under the worst possible conditions post K who taught me a life lesson. He was mumbling about a Dr. as we came into the rally point near the old Bomb shelter. As He was lifted out to another boat to care, I asked Him if a Dr. was still back there, or what He meant. He answered in a weak voice.If my knee Doctor hadn't pushed my surgery up..6 months earlier, I would have never been able to climb up the attic access steps to the attic.

One remembers thats.

What you do today for another, can have life changing or saving impacts, months and years later.





2017 ushers in record low extent
National Snow & Ice Data Center - Feb 7.
Record low daily Arctic ice extents continued through most of January 2017, a pattern that started last October. Extent during late January remained low in the Kara, Barents and Bering Seas. Southern Hemisphere extent also tracked at record low levels for January; globally, sea ice cover remains at record low levels. Arctic sea ice extent for January 2017 averaged 13.38 million square kilometers (5.17 million square miles), the lowest January extent in the 38-year satellite record. (...)

In the Shadow of Trump's First Week, Climate Scientists Gather in Washington
Pacific Standard - Feb 3.
Researchers at this week's conference discuss how Arctic sea ice is fundamentally changing air masses and weather systems in the Northern Hemisphere.

Think climate change is a hoax? Visit Norway
Climate Home - Feb 7.
Environment minister says warm temperatures and low levels of Arctic sea ice are an early warning to world that climate change is biting. (...)
"What is happening now is a harbinger of things to come, we are seeing drastic changes," he tells Climate Home in an interview.
"One of our major glaciers is retreating one metre a day, two kilometres in five years. It's happening very fast and the world should take note.
"This will happen faster in the Arctic. We know a 2C rise in global average temperatures means up to 4C in the Arctic."
The unusual conditions should alarm all governments, he says, given the Arctic's influence on global weather patterns and the evolving links between climate change and issues such as conflict and migration. (...)


Click articles' title for more. 2nd picture: mean surface temperature, GISTEMP Trend (1970-2016) - source.
Quoting 70. washingaway:

You may look at this photo and say wow that was a powerful tornado, and it was, but I look at the photo and say wow look at how poorly the house was built. Look at the brick. Loose and laying on the inside of the house. Now look at the wall with the black board that says Nu-Wood. That's a portion of an exterior wall. There are no brick ties! They failed to connect the brick to the studs! I see a lot more wrong but I don't feel like going through it all.




That is the difference between a trained eye and mine.
I've heard of folks "upgrading" their homes to "all brick" by stripping off the vinal siding and then "building" a brick wall.
No extra foundation. No metal straps. The only give away was the door frame.
People will do anything to make a buck.

Warm front has passed thru the SF Bay Area with steady light to moderate rain. Cold front offshore with associated lows at the surface and aloft headed in tomorrow. Two deep moisture plumes, one from the vicinity of Hawaii, the other flowing out of the ITCZ between Hawaii and Mexico, are merging and will be pushed in by the front. Strong winds and heavy rain for tomorrow. High snow levels currently will lower once the front lifts over the Sierra, but right now, considerable melting is occuring at the middle elevations.
What is in the image captures a lot. Blue tarps here are and will always be a reflection of what happened here in 2005. A mother's comforts a son who sees His own home ravaged by nature. They were both fortunately not at Home, as school and work along with the Storms timing saved scores of lives I believe.

Grace of knowing a neighbor is up there securing the inside,their entire life's belongings, from the weather.

It is the best of all things Human. One comforting and caring for another.

NOLA is strong.

Quoting 28. civEngineer:



Fully agree and it is because CA doesn't include unfunded liabilities in their budget projections, but regardless catastrophic infrastructure will be fixed when needed as an emergency priority, especially in this case where both state and Feds have a share and stake in the infrastructure.
If the hillside next to the Oroville dam gives way I'm sure that Oroville and Yuba city could be evacuated in time. Link
Did I miss spring this year?

Temperature 88.0 F

10 deg above normal.
From The New York Times:

American Universities Must Take a Stand


Richie Pope

Not since the era of witch hunts and “red baiting” has the American university faced so great a threat from government. How is the university to function when a president’s administration blurs the distinction between fact and fiction by asserting the existence of “alternative facts”? How can the university turn a blind eye to what every historian knows to be a key instrument of modern authoritarian regimes: the capacity to dress falsehood up as truth and reject the fruits of reasoned argument, evidence and rigorous verification?

[...]

Moreover, what will become of the major government agencies of scientific research, the National Institutes of Health and the National Science Foundation? Will their research agendas be manipulated to fit Mr. Trump’s view of reality? Will there be a continuing erosion of support for basic research as opposed to research that contributes to some commercial product? The greatest advances in medicine were a result of research conducted after World War II, motivated exclusively to enable humankind to better understand nature, not to come up with a new drug.

What, then, are we, the leaders of our institutions of higher education, to do when faced with a president who denies facts, who denies science? Is it best to stand by when he repudiates climate science and revives the credibility of discredited theories about autism? Facts and photographs did not stop him from rejecting the evidence regarding the election results or the size of crowds at his inauguration. He has undermined public confidence in the electoral system. In the face of this, standing up for the truth — which is, after all, higher education’s business — might appear to be an act of political partisanship. But this is not about political parties. It is about the proper role of the academy in a troubling time.

American colleges and universities, public and private, are properly seen as nonpartisan elements in civil society, committed to research and teaching in a manner that transcends ordinary politics. But to succeed, these institutions must ensure that academic freedom and the highest standards of scholarship prevail. This means respect for the rules of evidence, rigorous skepticism and the honoring of the distinction between truth and falsehood.

[...]

The voices of our leaders in higher education must be heard in opposition. The cause is not partisan. The cause is a democracy where citizens of the entire world are welcome, minorities are protected and dissent respected. Such a democracy is the only context in which research and learning and the pursuit of knowledge can thrive. The time to act together is upon us. The world must have no doubt about where the American university stands.

Click here to read full article
95. bwi
Another record high in DCA, IAD, BWI


Capital Weather Gang
D.C. just broke a 117-year old high temperature record by 6 degrees
By Angela Fritz February 8 at 2:45 PM


The record high temperature for Feb. 8 has been broken. The high temperature came in the 12 o’clock hour — 74 degrees (!!!) — thanks to lots of sunshine and a strong wind from the west. The record at National, originally set in 1900, is 68 degrees. It was tied in 2015, but hasn’t been surpassed until today.

This is classic down-slope warming. As air descends, it warms up. First law of thermodynamics. When the wind comes from the west, the D.C. metro tends to be warmer because air is flowing down off the mountains. All three airports set new records for the date.

Feb. 8 records

Washington, D.C.: 68 degrees (1900) → 74 degrees (2017)

BWI: 70 degrees (1965) → 72 degrees (2017)

Dulles Airport: 70 degrees (1965) → 71 degrees (2017)


Oroville Dam, a major mostly earthen dam on the Feather River in the Sierra and the main source for the aqueduct that ships water to SoCal. The dam is reportedly not in danger of something catastrophic, but one has to wonder.

"OROVILLE, Calif. (KCRA) —
The damaged spillway at Oroville Dam remains closed Wednesday as water continues to surge into the man-made reservoir, pushing the Butte County lake near its capacity.

The Californian Department of Water Resources closed the gates around noon Tuesday after a gaping hole was discovered in the spillway that leads to the Feather River.

Engineers said it appeared soil around the spillway had eroded, causing the concrete structure of the Oroville Dam Spillway to partially collapse during what was described as a moderate to heavy release of water.

The spillway is used to dump water from the Lake Oroville when the reservoir's capacity hits a mandated flood control level.

With the spillway closed for survey and repair, the lake rose 12.5 feet in a 24-hour period, as of 7 a.m. Wednesday.

The reservoir stands at 85 percent of total capacity and well over the desired flood control conservation level, according to Department of Water Resources statistics.

Engineers met late Tuesday to discuss ways to repair the spillway as water continued to rush into the rising lake.

With the spillway closed, engineers hope to get a better look at the hole and possible cause of the failure Wednesday morning.

"They definitely need to look at the substrate what’s under there," said Eric See, of the California Department of Water Resources. "Maybe it was a soft spot under the spillway that wasn’t known, a pocket of material they didn’t know about. There is bedrock and soil under there. Perhaps water got in and started eroding."

Engineers said they probably have several days before the lake reaches capacity, at which time they hope to have a repair in place or will simply have to open the spillway and risk further damage.

Engineers stressed there is no danger to the dam or the public.

"They have reaffirmed that there is nothing at all wrong with dam’s integrity," Department of Water Resources spokesman Doug Carlson said. "It’s holding back water just as it should. It’s the spillway that has a huge hole in it."

The reservoir's capacity is 3,537,577 acre-feet of water.

As of Wednesday morning, the dam was holding back 3,002,419 acre-feet of water, leaving just over 500,000 acre-feet of capacity before the lake is full.

On Tuesday alone, the lake took in 157,000 acre-feet of water.

When the spillway was open Tuesday, water managers were releasing around 60,000 cubic feet per second (cfs).

That number was cut back to a mere 5,000 cfs passing through the power generation plant when the spillway was closed.

Engineers cancelled seasonal maintenance at the power plant Tuesday and hoped to have outflows through the generators back up to around 15,000 cfs by noon Wednesday.

The inflow to Lake Oroville was around 75,000 cfs Wednesday morning."
Quoting 95. bwi:

Another record high in DCA, IAD, BWI


Capital Weather Gang
D.C. just broke a 117-year old high temperature record by 6 degrees
By Angela Fritz February 8 at 2:45 PM


The record high temperature for Feb. 8 has been broken. The high temperature came in the 12 o%u2019clock hour %u2014 74 degrees (!!!) %u2014 thanks to lots of sunshine and a strong wind from the west. The record at National, originally set in 1900, is 68 degrees. It was tied in 2015, but hasn%u2019t been surpassed until today.

This is classic down-slope warming. As air descends, it warms up. First law of thermodynamics. When the wind comes from the west, the D.C. metro tends to be warmer because air is flowing down off the mountains. All three airports set new records for the date.

Feb. 8 records

Washington, D.C.: 68 degrees (1900) %u2192 74 degrees (2017)

BWI: 70 degrees (1965) %u2192 72 degrees (2017)

Dulles Airport: 70 degrees (1965) %u2192 71 degrees (2017)




Angela Fritz is a former wunderground featured blog author too.

Quoting 96. BayFog:

Good info in that article.
Quoting 85. bwi:

Whatever snow falls in DC tomorrow morning, it's not going to last.



not gonna mention February 1976, nope.. not gonna!

nothing to see here, move along.


Actually hot enough here in DC today, low to mid 70s with sun at noon, that my black labs did not want to run and chase their ball. Only my (small white) cockapoo did. These labs have always hated the heat.
Quoting 99. georgevandenberghe:



not gonna mention February 1976, nope.. not gonna!

nothing to see here, move along.


Actually hot enough here in DC today, low to mid 70s with sun at noon, that my black labs did not want to run and chase their ball. Only my (small white) cockapoo did. These labs have always hated the heat.



Low to mid 70s is about the perfect temperature for outdoor activities (hiking, golf, tennis, yard work, etc) for people.
This is Not the atmosphere of 1976....

That is 41 years ago now..back when the ppm of CO2 was well below todays.

just the Arctic ice mass alone is well...a lot worse than back then. Let alone the Avg increase in WV and Global Avg temps.

Nope,not gonna be that in any form. The Physical growth and bloom is staggering across the Southern US currently.






Hasn't been a real winter anyway.I rather just enjoy these 70's while we have them because I suspect we'll hop right into summer starting mid May
This pales in comparison to what NOLA went through but NWS confirmed an EF1 tornado with 100mph winds 2 miles to my west from last nights storms. Winds here were quite strong. I only had a screen enclosure panel ripped out along with no power for 3 hours. Here is a pic of a home with roof damage along with the storm path.





Quoting 96. BayFog:



Really should be a pretty simple fix, back fill the washout on the side. Saw cut at the fracture joints to get a nice geometry. Then fill the hole in the spillway with a concrete slurry and cap the sand slurry with a foot or so of high strength concrete mix. Dowel and epoxy some rebar into the existing slab for to reinforce the connection to the existing, finally reform and pour the vertical parapets on the side to channelize the flow. Probably when everything dries out this summer they should come out and seal the cracks and joints to prevent water piping and erosion. Shouldn't take more than a couple days and minimal cost... but wait and see how red tape drags it out.
Quoting 86. Patrap:

I never act on any population revision nor quips,comments usually as I've seen the bad,the worst and the ugly of it. 11 years ago and some months now.


Every Human life is precious, and if one Human life could live a conflict free life, we all could learn from that.

I met a man under the worst possible conditions post K who taught me a life lesson. He was mumbling about a Dr. as we came into the rally point near the old Bomb shelter. As He was lifted out to another boat to care, I asked Him if a Dr. was still back there, or what He meant. He answered in a weak voice.If my knee Doctor hadn't pushed my surgery up..6 months earlier, I would have never been able to climb up the attic access steps to the attic.

One remembers thats.

What you do today for another, can have life changing or saving impacts, months and years later.








ok...you made me cry
Sneaux is Geaux, about a 1/2" from band 1, that band continued growing to the S, all the way past StL. Band 2 with some darker blue in it over us now. Side roads started to accumulate a little, highway seems clean. Appears a third band behind, but smaller and as of now nothing dark in it. Temp hit 29, but back to 30 with band arrival, press up a little as are winds and gust. Makes up for missing precip yesterday & will be gone by Friday afternoon. Had been a while, so nice to see a little snow cover in S C IL, just wonder if we'll see one of those late winter SW dumpers, haven't had one for many years here.
emergency.louisiana.gov
La. Guard providing support for tornado response
NEW ORLEANS (February 7, 2017): At the request of the Governor’s Office of Homeland Security and Emergency Preparedness, the Louisiana National Guard has mobilized 150 personnel to assist local, parish and state emergency officials after severe thunderstorms spawned several tornados in southeast Louisiana, Feb. 7.
Contd..,

Governor Edwards Declares State of Emergency in Louisiana

BATON ROUGE (February 7, 2017): The Governor’s Office of Homeland Security and Emergency Preparedness (GOHSEP) Crisis Action Team (CAT) has been activated in order to address any requests for support from parishes and other state agencies due to today’s tornadic activity.

Seven areas across southeast Louisiana sustained possible tornado damage during several rounds of storms lasting most of the day. Governor John Bel Edwards has declared a state of emergency and FEMA preliminary damage assessment teams are scheduled to begin work tomorrow in impacted areas in order to help determine what levels of Federal assistance will be available.
Contd..,

Strong agreement with a "warm-throughout" Atlantic SST setup for summer/fall 2017, similar to the one of the past few years. Setup favors intensification of TCs in subtropics but will likely result in the MDR being full of dry, sinking air.




Strong agreement of El Nino on the Pacific side.
Quoting 101. Patrap:

This is Not the atmosphere of 1976....

That is 41 years ago now..back when the ppm of CO2 was well below todays.

just the Arctic ice mass alone is well...a lot worse than back then. Let alone the Avg increase in WV and Global Avg temps.

Nope,not gonna be that in any form. The Physical growth and bloom is staggering across the Southern US currently.









Point taken. you're right. When I was a kid 320ppm was the number I memorized. oops wrong! It's now 400+ and climbing. I've made this note before and one point to make to deniers is that this number has not been reached in 800,000 year and its 40% higher than prior to the Industrial Revolution. It's a hard number, fast increasing, isotope studies have shown it isn't of natural origin so yeah.. its us.






Poof...

How a culture clash at NOAA led to a flap over a high-profile warming pause study
ScienceMag / AAAS - Feb 8.

(...) Thomas Peterson, a principal scientist at NCEI who was involved in developing the new surface temperature estimates before retiring in 2015, says he spent several years pressing the agency to let its scientists publish parts of the new data analysis. But he says he met resistance from some who argued that even though the older approach was less accurate, it had gone through the quality control checks for operational data. The new study "wasn't rushed. It was delayed for a long time. It would have been out years ago except for all this processing that John [Bates] pushed."

(...) In a strange coincidence, Peterson ran into Bates at the theater in Asheville on Saturday, shortly before the Daily Mail article was published. He says he asked Bates how retirement was treating him. Bates replied that it was "going to get interesting," then walked off without clarifying what he meant. The play they were attending: Shakespeare's
Much Ado About Nothing.

"That just strikes me as perfect," Peterson says.

Click for more.
This video from yesterday of a business roof dancing thru the parking lot and toppling a parked 18wheeler...and one lucky driver too.


weather.com
Quoting 111. 999Ai2016:

Poof...

How a culture clash at NOAA led to a flap over a high-profile warming pause study
ScienceMag / AAAS - Feb 8.

(...) Thomas Peterson, a principal scientist at NCEI who was involved in developing the new surface temperature estimates before retiring in 2015, says he spent several years pressing the agency to let its scientists publish parts of the new data analysis. But he says he met resistance from some who argued that even though the older approach was less accurate, it had gone through the quality control checks for operational data. The new study "wasn't rushed. It was delayed for a long time. It would have been out years ago except for all this processing that John [Bates] pushed."

(...) In a strange coincidence, Peterson ran into Bates at the theater in Asheville on Saturday, shortly before the Daily Mail article was published. He says he asked Bates how retirement was treating him. Bates replied that it was "going to get interesting," then walked off without clarifying what he meant. The play they were attending: Shakespeare's
Much Ado About Nothing.

"That just strikes me as perfect," Peterson says.

Click for more.


The Universe, She sometimes winks her disapproval by a coincidence.
Quoting 113. Patrap:



The Universe, She sometimes winks her disapproval by a coincidence.

Exactly :-)
/
*
Quoting 100. Sfloridacat5:



Low to mid 70s is about the perfect temperature for outdoor activities (hiking, golf, tennis, yard work, etc) for people.


We are acclimated to colder at this time of year and both the dogs and I were hot.

It won't last.. accumulating snow is possible here tomorrow morning and a short lived polar blast will drop our temps into the low 20s Friday morning. Then warm again this weekend and the warming may be be underdone as this one was three days prior.

Feb. 8, 2017
RELEASE 17-013
Tornado Recovery Efforts, Assessments Ongoing at NASA’s Michoud




Recovery operations are underway at NASA’s Michoud Assembly Facility in New Orleans where a tornado touched down on Feb. 7. Emergency personnel have secured the perimeter including repairing fences and are continuing to assess damage to buildings and structures.
Credits: NASA/Jude Guidry

Teams at NASA’s Michoud Assembly Facility in New Orleans worked overnight and are continuing Wednesday with assessment and recovery efforts following a tornado strike at the facility Tuesday.

Michoud remains closed to all but security and emergency operations crews. Temporary flight restrictions are in place over the area to ensure recovery and operations crews can complete their work without interference from other drones or low-flying aircraft. All Michoud personnel are accounted for, and no new injuries have been reported.

“The entire NASA family pulls together during good times and bad, and the teams at the Michoud Assembly Facility are working diligently to recover from the severe weather that swept through New Orleans Tuesday and damaged the facility,” said acting NASA Administrator Robert Lightfoot. “We are thankful for the safety of all the NASA employees and workers of onsite tenant organizations, and we are inspired by the resilience of Michoud as we continue to assess the facility’s status.”

Teams worked through the night on temporary repairs to secure the perimeter fencing and provide access for the essential personnel through the main gate. Approximately 40 to 50 percent of the buildings at Michoud have some kind of damage; about five buildings have some form of severe damage.

Efforts Wednesday are focused on completing damage assessments and restoring power to buildings that are in the best condition, including the main NASA administration building, boiler house, and U.S. Coast Guard facilities. Power was restored to the east master substation, and it will be used to begin methodically and safely restoring power to buildings. The west master substation sustained some damage that will need to be repaired before it can begin receiving power.

Teams will reassess the condition of the Vertical Assembly Center (VAC), as the initial examination revealed some electrical damage to its substation. The VAC is used to weld all major pieces of hardware for the core stage of the Space Launch System. The most recently welded part was removed from the facility last week.

The team has prioritized completing the assessment at the site’s main manufacturing building for the Space Launch System and Orion spacecraft flight hardware so power can be restored in phases and temporary protection put in place to shield hardware from any further inclement weather.

For more information about Michoud, visit:

https://www.nasa.gov/michoud
Tornado damage at the Michoud, NASA facility in NOLA east.



From Grist:

DAKOTA ACCESS


Daniel Penner

It’s official: The city of Seattle is divesting from Wells Fargo. The Seattle City Council voted unanimously Tuesday to withdraw $3 billion from the bank, in part because it is funding the Dakota Access Pipeline, and the city’s mayor said he would sign the measure.

The vote delivered a win for pipeline foes, albeit on a bleak day for the #NoDAPL movement. Earlier in the day, the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers announced that it will allow construction of the pipeline’s final leg and forgo an environmental impact statement.

Before the vote, many Native speakers took the floor in support of divestment, including members of the Standing Rock Sioux Tribe, Tsimshian First Nation, and Muckleshoot Indian Tribe.

Seattle will withdraw its $3 billion when the city’s current contract with Wells Fargo expires in 2018. Meanwhile, council members will seek out a more socially responsible bank. Unfortunately, the pickings are somewhat slim, as Bank of America, Chase, CitiBank, ING, and a dozen other banks have all invested in the pipeline.

While $3 billion is just a small sliver of Wells Fargo’s annual deposit collection of $1.3 trillion, the council hopes its vote will send a message to other banks. Activism like this has worked before — in November, Norway’s largest bank sold all of its assets connected to Dakota Access. With any luck, more will follow.
Quoting 111. 999Ai2016:

Poof...

How a culture clash at NOAA led to a flap over a high-profile warming pause study
ScienceMag / AAAS - Feb 8.

(...) Thomas Peterson, a principal scientist at NCEI who was involved in developing the new surface temperature estimates before retiring in 2015, says he spent several years pressing the agency to let its scientists publish parts of the new data analysis. But he says he met resistance from some who argued that even though the older approach was less accurate, it had gone through the quality control checks for operational data. The new study "wasn't rushed. It was delayed for a long time. It would have been out years ago except for all this processing that John [Bates] pushed."

(...) In a strange coincidence, Peterson ran into Bates at the theater in Asheville on Saturday, shortly before the Daily Mail article was published. He says he asked Bates how retirement was treating him. Bates replied that it was "going to get interesting," then walked off without clarifying what he meant. The play they were attending: Shakespeare's
Much Ado About Nothing.

"That just strikes me as perfect," Peterson says.

Click for more.


This made my day...
https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2017/feb/0 8/wikipedia-bans-daily-mail-as-unreliable-source-f or-website
A still frame from the EF3 Tornado video as it tore thru the Michoud NASA Facility yesterday.


georgevandenberghe how do the isotopes prove that increasing carbon dioxide is manmade? I know that we are increasing carbon dioxide with our fossil fuels. How do isotopes show that?
Everyone have a safe weather evening; here is the current Conus forecast for tomorrow: more snow and rain in the West-NW; great news to help fill up the reservoirs for the Spring in those parts but bad news for many, like we are starting to see already in Nevada and other parts. The bigger problem is going to be with all the water that does/not, cannot be stored because of overflow issues, and where it is going to go/end up as all of the snow continues/starts to to melt.






Stable and Radiocarbon Isotopes of Carbon Dioxide
Contents
The Basics: Isotopic Fingerprints

By Lauren Shoemaker
August, 2010

Lauren is a mathematics and biology double major at Colorado College. She thanks NOAA ESRL's Carbon Cycle Greenhouse Gases group, and the Stable Isotope Laboratory and the Radiocarbon Laboratory, both at INSTAAR (University of Colorado), for their help in creating this website.

This project was made possible through the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Ernest F. Hollings Scholarship Program.

A Mixture of Knowledge and Questions

Ever since the early 1960s, atmospheric scientists have known that carbon dioxide levels in the atmosphere are on the rise. We know that this increase is caused by burning of fossil fuels - coal, oil and natural gas - which emit carbon dioxide into the air. Yet only about half of the carbon dioxide produced each year from fossil fuels remains in the atmosphere. The rest is absorbed by the oceans and land plants.

Even with this wealth of knowledge, scientists have more to discover about carbon dioxide levels in our atmosphere and its interactions with the oceans and land.

How much of the carbon dioxide in the air comes from fossil fuels?
How is this changing?
Where in the world is the carbon dioxide from fossil fuels coming from?
How much is coming from each region?
How much of the added CO2 goes into the oceans, and how much into the biosphere?
Which parts of the biosphere are absorbing CO2, and why?
Are some parts of the biosphere releasing CO2 to the atmosphere?
How much carbon dioxide is added to the atmosphere from deforestation?
Is this offset by increased plant growth in other parts of the terrestrial biosphere?
How much carbon dioxide is being absorbed into the ocean?
Which parts of the ocean are absorbing the carbon dioxide?
What other effects may this have, such as the ocean becoming more acidic 1?
Isotopes are the Key
How can we distinguish between the different sources and sinks of carbon dioxide? Carbon dioxide, or CO2, contains the key piece of information within the carbon atoms themselves. Although it may seem that a carbon atom is just the same as every other carbon atom out there (perhaps they appear to all be clones of each other–where each looks and acts exactly the same), this is not the case.

In fact there are three isotopes of carbon atoms - all three react the same way in chemical reactions–the only chemical difference between them is that they have slightly different masses. The heaviest is carbon-14 (which, in the scientific world, is written as 14C), followed by carbon-13 (13C), and the lightest, most common carbon-12 (12C). Different carbon reservoirs “like” different isotopes, so the relative proportion of the three isotopes is different in each reservoir - each has its own, identifying, isotopic fingerprint. By examining the isotopic mixture in the atmosphere, and knowing the isotopic fingerprint of each reservoir, atmospheric scientists can determine how much carbon dioxide is coming and going from each reservoir, making isotopes an ideal tracer of sources and sinks of carbon dioxide.
Quoting 121. weathergirl2001:

georgevandenberghe how do the isotopes prove that increasing carbon dioxide is manmade? I know that we are increasing carbon dioxide with our fossil fuels. How do isotopes show that?


Carbon that has recently been in the atmosphere has some Carbon 14, formed by impact of high energy radiation (i think it's cosmic rays). Carbon 14 has an extra two neutrons. It breaks down to the more common Carbon 12 and Carbon 14 has a half life of about 4,000 years. Carbon from fossil fuel sources is virtually devoid of Carbon 14.
Lowering ratios of C14:C12 indicate that the carbon we're pumping into the atmosphere is from an ancient source.


That how I THINK it works. Anyone who sees this feel free to correct.
Another image from the NASA Michoud Facility in Eastern NOLA...yesterday.

The Vertical assembly Bldg is in the Background


Home near the hard hit entrance to Sherwood Forest Neighborhood in NOLA east.



Quoting 121. weathergirl2001:

georgevandenberghe how do the isotopes prove that increasing carbon dioxide is manmade? I know that we are increasing carbon dioxide with our fossil fuels. How do isotopes show that?


There are several common carbon isotopes found on the surface: C12, C13, and C14. The C14 isotope, commonly known as carbon-14, is the radioactive version of carbon typically used in carbon dating.

Unlike C12 and C13, C14 only has one source: cosmic ray bombardment of nitrogen. Outside of rare cosmic events that happen in our neighborhood that temporarily increases cosmic rays, the amount of surface C14 is pretty much constant.

Given that the half-life of C14 is about 5700 years, any sequestered carbon (dead plants and animals) decays into C12 and C13. So things like coal and oil that have been buried for millions of years are full of C12 and C13, but have no C14 left as it has all decayed.

Given that, it's pretty straightforward to tell where the increased carbon in the atmosphere is coming from just by looking at the amount of each isotope and how they have changed. The isotopic ratio increases have all been in C12 and C13. Furthermore, the increases corresponds nearly perfectly with with our consumption of fossil fuels. (NOTE: C12 and C13 also come from volcanic activity, but that amount is dwarfed by human activity).
Quoting 121. weathergirl2001:

georgevandenberghe how do the isotopes prove that increasing carbon dioxide is manmade? I know that we are increasing carbon dioxide with our fossil fuels. How do isotopes show that?

From RealClimate:

How do we know that recent CO2 increases are due to human activities?

[...]

Another, quite independent way that we know that fossil fuel burning and land clearing specifically are responsible for the increase in CO2 in the last 150 years is through the measurement of carbon isotopes. Isotopes are simply different atoms with the same chemical behavior (isotope means “same type”) but with different masses. Carbon is composed of three different isotopes, 14C, 13C and 12C. 12C is the most common. 13C is about 1% of the total. 14C accounts for only about 1 in 1 trillion carbon atoms.

CO2 produced from burning fossil fuels or burning forests has quite a different isotopic composition from CO2 in the atmosphere. This is because plants have a preference for the lighter isotopes (12C vs. 13C); thus they have lower 13C/12C ratios. Since fossil fuels are ultimately derived from ancient plants, plants and fossil fuels all have roughly the same 13C/12C ratio – about 2% lower than that of the atmosphere. As CO2 from these materials is released into, and mixes with, the atmosphere, the average 13C/12C ratio of the atmosphere decreases.

Isotope geochemists have developed time series of variations in the 14C and 13C concentrations of atmospheric CO2. One of the methods used is to measure the 13C/12C in tree rings, and use this to infer those same ratios in atmospheric CO2. This works because during photosynthesis, trees take up carbon from the atmosphere and lay this carbon down as plant organic material in the form of rings, providing a snapshot of the atmospheric composition of that time. If the ratio of 13C/12C in atmospheric CO2 goes up or down, so does the 13C/12C of the tree rings. This isn’t to say that the tree rings have the same isotopic composition as the atmosphere – as noted above, plants have a preference for the lighter isotopes, but as long as that preference doesn’t change much, the tree-ring changes wiil track the atmospheric changes.

[...]

Click here to read full article
Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Elko NV
121 PM PST WED FEB 8 2017

NVC007-090200-
/O.CON.KLKN.FF.W.0003.000000T0000Z-170209T0200Z/
/00000.0.DM.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000 Z.OO/
Elko NV-
121 PM PST WED FEB 8 2017

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM PST FOR
EAST CENTRAL ELKO COUNTY...

At 114 PM PST, local law enforcement reported the possible failure
of Twentyone and Twelve Mile Dam.
This is a possible breach of an
earthen dam. Unconfirmed Reports of at least two to three feet of
water is rapidly moving downstream. Although uncertainty exists
about the breach, dangerous flash flooding is still occurring with
road washouts of County Road 765. The depth of water may increase if
the dam fails. Regardless, Take immediate action and move to higher
ground. This is a dangerous and life threatening situation. County
road 765 and 766, Twentyone Mile Ranch, Eighteen Mile Ranch are
downstream of the dam and could see dangerous flash flooding. There
is a confirmed report of an emergency stop of railroad traffic near
the Utah and Nevada border due to water over the tracks. Northern
sections of Montello and State Route 233 could eventually be
impacted.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Move to higher ground now. Act quickly to protect your life.

&&

LAT...LON 4127 11434 4145 11452 4162 11447 4152 11404
4122 11404

$$

JRM/LW
How to Make America Great Again: Rachel Carson on Protecting Nature and Heeding Science as a Force of Democracy

"For many years public-spirited citizens throughout the country have been working for the conservation of the natural resources, realizing their vital importance to the Nation. Apparently their hard-won progress is to be wiped out, as a politically minded Administration returns us to the dark ages of unrestrained exploitation and destruction."

(1953)

Quoting 133. no1der:

How to Make America Great Again: Rachel Carson on Protecting Nature and Heeding Science as a Force of Democracy

"For many years public-spirited citizens throughout the country have been working for the conservation of the natural resources, realizing their vital importance to the Nation. Apparently their hard-won progress is to be wiped out, as a politically minded Administration returns us to the dark ages of unrestrained exploitation and destruction." (1954)





No. They will not. As too much has been lost to them since 1980.

The line stops here.

As #DAPL proved, Veterans are the wall in front of the voice less heard. We will protect the water, the Earth, the Air.


The paranoia is in bloom, the P-R
Transmissions will resume
They'll try to push drugs
That keep us all dumbed down and hope that
We will never see the truth around
(So come on)

Another promise, another scene,
Another package lie to keep us trapped in greed
With all the green belts wrapped around our minds
And endless red tape to keep the truth confined
(So come on)

They will not force us
They will stop degrading us
They will not control us
We will be victorious
(So come on)

Interchanging mind control
Come let the revolution take its toll if you could
Flick a switch and open your third eye, you'd see that
We should never be afraid to die
(So come on)

Rise up and take the power back, it's time that
The fat cats had a heart attack, you know that
Their time is coming to an end
We have to unify and watch our flag ascend
(So come on)

They will not force us
They will stop degrading us
They will not control us
We will be victorious
(So come on)

Hey, hey, hey, hey
Hey, hey, hey, hey
Hey, hey, hey, hey

They will not force us
They will stop degrading us
They will not control us
We will be victorious
135. vis0
BE VERY CAREFUL with the February 9th 2017 Snowstorm in the NE USofA.


Don't allow the imagined fun take over the serious reality a lot of snowfall causes.
 

why?

 

Being its the first "big" (over 3 inches) snowfall and at the same time might be a major snowfall TWO THINGS people tend to want to do.

 
ACTIVITY 1)  Experience the first accumulating snowfall which is usually okay since it is in early December and 3to4 incher.   NOT HERE those in Conn., NYS, NJ have not refreshed their driving in snow know-how so right off the bat yer going to be in it to yer muffler, make sure muffler is cleared.

 

 
ACTIVITY 2) Also for ACTIVITY 1, people like to take out the kids in the first big snowfall even drive around the county/town. A nono in this storm as far as going away from home.

 

i fear there might be many more stranded than usual due to the "fun as to the  first big snowfall" mood people will be in.




IF YOU CAN TAKE CRAZY vis0 explanations read on , if you prefer weather updates via the known science skip to the next comment.

No washi115 the ml-d cannot shift wash DC towards a higher Lat line though it can cause plate tectonic shifts (at settings much higher i theorize) via sub-equatorial expansions and obviously  if misused.  That's another story and why i alerted MIT to be careful with their plasma experiments specially when facing equatorial coordinates (was worried something bad could happen in 2016 as i read in the 1990s that MIT will test something as to plasma in 2016 but heard recently its been put off for a later year careful...like they read nut vis0's typing.

As to the device i type of on my blogs THIS IS MY LAST WARNING AS NO LONGER ALERTING AS TO when "2WkAnoms" nor 2 months WxTrends are to begin (+/- 36 hrs).
  From 2009/2010 till 2016 ~90% of the major ATL or e PAC TS and 65% of the severe weather or 1/250, 500+ yr storms  formed during these "2WkAnom" periods and/or while the ml-d was resetting.      &nbs p;     And remember when its too quiet as with droughts also fell within these "2WkAnioms" as weather tapped into the "2 times" influence. 
Also on the opposite side of the world you saw ml-d areas of influence in the opposing manner where the area in the center was the  opposite as to the ml-d onto the NYc  centered 600 dia area. Near Australia it was as to a 6 or 7 out of 11 year HIGH and around it LOWs  as the rains towards SE Africa. or TS near Madagascar and weird direction  TS east of Northern / NE Australia or twin TS on the equator there in playing on the RRR(r)s i  called it TTTs Tough Tenacious Troughs in that area of the world
In a way this is a preview of how aGW will influence the new Atmosphere v2.0 even with the ml-d off and this preview is as if no ml-d was ON from 2030s  AD till 2090s AD the big difference is it will be happening all over the world.  Those that followed my alerts over the years saw the crappy graphics and alerts warning areas of a serious "2 times" more than expected weather event.  There are still 4+ to 5+ years left in the present ml-d cycle so stay alert its good practice for whats ahead, to happen naturally

Remember though its just in my imagination please be alert  for 2 times more SPEED,  POWER, SUDDEN SHIFTS, OUTPUT(rain/snow etc), WIND SPEEDS cause in the real world we saw Joaquin, CA fires moving 2 times faster than expected, a Patricia off W-Mexico like TS, 2017 ATL Mathew, Sandy, atmospheric fire hoses, severe droughts immediately followed by serve floods, soon atmospheric rivers (hope no Atmospheric Dam breaks...where HIGHs that seem RRR yet after blocking/building moisture off CA for ~2-3 weeks suddenly the RRR breaks allowing 2 atmospheric rivers to flow onto one area), Mass SnowPalooza and much more is what a richer atmosphere can bring.  Not trying to scare but not seen TRUE TS biggies yet "hit"  FL nor GoMx coasts since 2009/2010.

BACK TO OBSERVING WEATHER


Above freezing North Pole? Might happen.....
From Nature:

Arctic 2.0: What happens after all the ice goes?

Researchers look into the future of the far North for clues to save species and maybe even bring back sea ice.



[...]

Blue period
Pfirman remembers the first time she realized just how fast the Arctic was unravelling. It was September 2007, and she was preparing to give a talk. She went online to download the latest sea-ice maps and discovered something disturbing: the extent of Arctic ice had shrunk past the record minimum and was still dropping. “Oh, no! It’s happening,” she thought.

Although Pfirman and others knew that Arctic sea ice was shrinking, they hadn’t expected to see such extreme ice losses until the middle of the twenty-first century. “It was a wake-up call that we had basically run out of time,” she says.

In theory, there’s still a chance that the world could prevent the total loss of summer sea ice. Global climate models suggest that about 3 million square kilometres — roughly half of the minimum summer coverage in recent decades — could survive if countries fulfil their commitments to the newly ratified Paris climate agreement, which limits global warming to 2 °C above pre-industrial temperatures.

But sea-ice researchers aren’t counting on that. Models have consistently underestimated ice losses in the past, causing scientists to worry that the declines in the next few decades will outpace projections2. And given the limited commitments that countries have made so far to address climate change, many researchers suspect the world will overshoot the 2 °C target, all but guaranteeing essentially ice-free summers (winter ice is projected to persist for much longer).

In the best-case scenario, the Arctic is in for a 4–5 °C temperature rise, thanks to processes that amplify warming at high latitudes, says James Overland, an oceanographer at the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration in Seattle, Washington. “We really don’t have any clue about how disruptive that’s going to be.”

[...]

Global cooling
Given the stakes, some researchers have proposed global-scale geoengineering to cool the planet and, by extension, preserve or restore ice. Others argue that it might be possible to chill just the north, for instance by artificially whitening the Arctic Ocean with light-coloured floating particles to reflect sunlight. A study9 this year suggested installing wind-powered pumps to bring water to the surface in winter, where it would freeze, forming thicker ice.

But many researchers hesitate to embrace geoengineering. And most agree that regional efforts would take tremendous effort and have limited benefits, given that Earth’s circulation systems could just bring more heat north to compensate. “It’s kind of like walking against a conveyor the wrong way,” Pfirman says. She and others agree that managing greenhouse gases — and local pollutants such as black carbon from shipping — is the only long-term solution.

[...]

Some researchers also say that the idea of regrowing sea ice seems like wishful thinking, because it would require efforts well beyond what nations must do to meet the Paris agreement. Limiting warming to 2 °C will probably entail converting huge swathes of land into forest and using still-nascent technologies to suck billions of tonnes of CO2 out of the air. Lowering greenhouse-gas concentrations enough to regrow ice would demand even more.

And if summer sea ice ever does come back, it’s hard to know how a remade Arctic would work, Derocher says. “There will be an ecosystem. It will function. It just may not look like the one we currently have.”

Click here to read full article
What happens with German renewables in the dead of winter?
Germany has a reputation for being a renewable energy leader - but some believe that the nation's long, still and dim winters threaten such green aspirations.
DW, 08.02.2017
The "dark doldrums" conjures images of the deep Middle Ages, when the only light to be had flickered from a tallow candle. In fact, this is the loose translation for the German word Dunkelflaute, which describes this time of year, when neither sun nor wind are to be found in great abundance. ...

Good night from Germany's "Dunkelflaute" - a word I've never heard before reading that article, lol. But it's great :-) However, due to a massive high over Scandinavia, our current weather is dry and calm again, and quite sunny (but a bit boring, too).

Meanwhile in Australia:
SA power crisis: Will there be more blackouts?
Herald Sun, 12 minutes ago
SOUTH Australians have been offered no guarantee that power will not be deliberately cut again today as Federal Energy Minister Josh Frydenberg demands answers. About 40,000 homes and businesses across the state had their power deliberately cut yesterday afternoon as temperatures soared. Power to customers across the state was switched off from 6.33pm under “rotational load shedding’’ orders from the Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO) “due to lack of available generation supply in SA”, SA Power Networks said. It was restored about 45 minutes later. When asked if the AEMO would conduct load shedding in South Australia again today, a spokesman for the operator said “we hope not, that’s the plan”. ....
Last stand: 'water protectors' return to Standing Rock as drilling set to begin
Tribal leaders may have urged activists to let the fight play out in the courts, but many on the ground are calling for a final push as the pipeline moves ahead
The Guardian, Sam Levin in Cannon Ball, North Dakota, Wednesday 8 February 2017 23.02 GMT
I see a bill was introduced today that would eliminate the EPA and the DOE (Dept. of Education)...

http://www.newsy.com/stories/bills-introduced-to- abolish-epa-and-department-of-education/

Link
Massive ice shelf break forces Antarctic researchers to evacuate

In our NewsHour Shares moment of the day, British researchers have monitored changes in the world’s atmosphere from a remote lab in Antarctica for more than 60 years. Now, for the first time the state-of-the-art facility will close -- at least temporarily -- after a nearly 30-mile long crack opened up on the ice shelf.

PBS Newshour video
Why aren't you reporting what's going in the North Atlantic?
Quoting 142. RobertWC:

Massive ice shelf break forces Antarctic researchers to evacuate

In our NewsHour Shares moment of the day, British researchers have monitored changes in the world’s atmosphere from a remote lab in Antarctica for more than 60 years. Now, for the first time the state-of-the-art facility will close -- at least temporarily -- after a nearly 30-mile long crack opened up on the ice shelf.

PBS Newshour video



Quoting 141. Dakster:

I see a bill was introduced today that would eliminate the EPA and the DOE (Dept. of Education)...

http://www.newsy.com/stories/bills-introduced-to- abolish-epa-and-department-of-education/

Link



So, just to be sure you 2 know, that Blogging about climate change, CO2, or any other heretical subject matter, will bring swift consequences from above.

Now Nea, Patrap..you two are excused.





Quoting 142. RobertWC:

Massive ice shelf break forces Antarctic researchers to evacuate

In our NewsHour Shares moment of the day, British researchers have monitored changes in the world’s atmosphere from a remote lab in Antarctica for more than 60 years. Now, for the first time the state-of-the-art facility will close -- at least temporarily -- after a nearly 30-mile long crack opened up on the ice shelf.

PBS Newshour video
A touch late -- there was a report a couple of days ago that the move of the entire station had been completed to a new site, but that it would remain shut down for the winter and the staff would be temporarily reassigned. However, there are some new cracks showing closer to the new site!
Quoting 133. no1der:

How to Make America Great Again: Rachel Carson on Protecting Nature and Heeding Science as a Force of Democracy

"For many years public-spirited citizens throughout the country have been working for the conservation of the natural resources, realizing their vital importance to the Nation. Apparently their hard-won progress is to be wiped out, as a politically minded Administration returns us to the dark ages of unrestrained exploitation and destruction."

(1953)


Great piece. And I bookmarked that site :)

This and weathermanwannabe's recent mentions of Walden Pond and Thoreau got me thinking a bit. Many of us have likely read, and our views shaped by, works by naturalists and scientists. I'd be interested to know who are some favorites and what works are recommended.

Lots to choose from, but personally, I'd say Aldo Leopold, A Sand County Almanac, and several works by John McPhee (including Encounters with the Archdruid and Annals of the Former World).

Anyone feel like offering up some recommendations?
Quoting 141. Dakster:

I see a bill was introduced today that would eliminate the EPA and the DOE (Dept. of Education)...

http://www.newsy.com/stories/bills-introduced-to- abolish-epa-and-department-of-education/

Link
It's OK -- I believe WW3 is scheduled for Thursday between 3 and 4pm, and after it's over neither department will be of much use. (snark)
Quoting 149. LAbonbon:

no1der's post below (#133)
Great piece. And I bookmarked that site :)

This and weathermanwannabe's recent mentions of Walden Pond and Thoreau got me thinking a bit. Many of us have likely read, and our views shaped by, works by naturalists and scientists. I'd be interested to know who are some favorites and what works are recommended.

Lots to choose from, but personally, I'd say Aldo Leopold, A Sand County Almanac, and several works by John McPhee (including Encounters with the Archdruid and Annals of the Former World).

Anyone feel like offering up some recommendations?
I always enjoyed Loren Eiseley's writing about many subjects, with more focus on nature, paleontology, and such. I would love to have a complete collection of his writing, but it's hard to get books, especially used ones, shipped to Costa Rica.
Quoting 143. airdropper:

Why aren't you reporting what's going in the North Atlantic?
Whats happening there?
Quoting 151. CaneFreeCR:

I always enjoyed Loren Eiseley's writing about many subjects, with more focus on nature, paleontology, and such. I would love to have a complete collection of his writing, but it's hard to get books, especially used ones, shipped to Costa Rica.

Nice :)

How about electronically - are they available that way? (yeah, I know it's not quite the same, but needs must...)
Quoting 149. LAbonbon:


Great piece. And I bookmarked that site :)

This and weathermanwannabe's recent mentions of Walden Pond and Thoreau got me thinking a bit. Many of us have likely read, and our views shaped by, works by naturalists and scientists. I'd be interested to know who are some favorites and what works are recommended.

Lots to choose from, but personally, I'd say Aldo Leopold, A Sand County Almanac, and several works by John McPhee (including Encounters with the Archdruid and Annals of the Former World).

Anyone feel like offering up some recommendations?


Fahrenheit 451 maybe?



“If you hide your ignorance, no one will hit you and you'll never learn.”
― Ray Bradbury, Fahrenheit 451
Quoting 147. Patrap:

So, just to be sure you 2 know, that Blogging about climate change, CO2, or any other heretical subject matter, will bring swift consequences from above.

Now Nea, Patrap..you two are excused.








Wow. Thank you all for the CO2 discussions. Each response had a bit to fill an open space in my brain.

Nice work folks. Appreciated.

Buy Local, Eat Fresh, Drink Craft Beer.
JR
@Patrap, Fahrenheit 451 disturbs me to this day, decades after reading it.
Quoting 156. LAbonbon:

@Patrap, Fahrenheit 451 disturbs me to this day, decades after reading it.


Indeed, it is one of the great fictional pokes at our new reality that I can truly offer.

Every American, or Human over 10 should read it.


I read it yearly,usually on Vacation.
159. beell
Some cherry-picked weather data.

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
415 PM CST WED FEB 1 2017

...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE TIED AT HOUSTON`S HOBBY AIRPORT...

A HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 81 DEGREES WAS RECORDED THIS AFTERNOON
AT HOUSTON`S HOBBY AIRPORT.

THIS TIES THE OLD RECORD OF 81 SET IN 1989.
------------------------------------------------- ---

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
116 AM CST THU FEB 02 2017

...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT HOUSTON/HOBBY AIRPORT...

A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 81 DEGREES WAS TIED AT HOUSTON/HOBBY
AIRPORT YESTERDAY. THIS OLD RECORD OF 81 SET IN 1989.
------------------------------------------------- -----------------

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
0418 PM CST MON FEB 06 2017

...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT HOUSTON INTERCONTINENTAL...

A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 81 DEGREES WAS SET AT HOUSTON
INTERCONTINENTAL TODAY. THIS TIES THE OLD RECORD OF 81 SET IN 1911.
------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------


RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
0420 PM CST TUE FEB 07

...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT HOUSTON INTERCONTINENTAL...

A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 86 DEGREES WAS SET AT HOUSTON
INTERCONTINENTAL TODAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 80 SET IN
1957.

&&

...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT HOUSTON/HOBBY AIRPORT...

A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 85 DEGREES WAS SET AT HOUSTON/HOBBY
AIRPORT TODAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 82 SET IN 1950.
------------------------------------------------- ---------------------------

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
416 PM CST WED FEB 08 2017

...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT HOUSTON INTERCONTINENTAL...

A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 87 DEGREES WAS RECORDED AT HOUSTON`S
INTERCONTINENTAL THIS AFTERNOON.

THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 82 SET IN 1932.

&&

...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT HOUSTON HOBBY AIRPORT...

A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 85 DEGREES WAS RECORDED AT HOUSTON`S
HOBBY AIRPORT THIS AFTERNOON.

THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 83 SET IN 1962.


Meanwhile...
Here I am.

Current conditions at
Little Rock, Adams Field (KLIT)
Lat: 34.73°NLon: 92.24°WElev: 259ft.

Partly Cloudy
40°F
4°C
Humidity 68%
Wind Speed N 16 mph
Barometer 30.15 in (1021.4 mb)
Dewpoint 30°F (-1°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Wind Chill 32°F (0°C)
Last update 8 Feb 8:53 pm CST
After faire fresshe May this afternoon it is still mild. We just walked back from the harbor after eating dinner.

Philadelphia had a remarkable temperature rise last night, 20°F in one hour. I've seen lots of temperature falls like that during thunderstorms, and in some northers on the plains. But I don't remember a 20°F rise in one hour before. Especially in the middle of the night. At 1 a.m Philadelphia International Airport was 62°F and Northeast Philadelphia Airport was 40°F and they are both inside the city limits. 20 miles apart.
161. beell
Quoting 149. LAbonbon:


Anyone feel like offering up some recommendations?


Well, there's always this...

The Monkey Wrench Gang (1975)-Edward Abbey (1927 - 1989)
Hi all! Can't believe I never noticed how many of you all joined on Dec 31, 1969
Quoting 161. beell:



Well, there's always this...

The Monkey Wrench Gang (1975)-Edward Abbey (1927 - 1989)

Read that one years ago too. I've got mixed feelings on Abbey. Liked Desert Solitaire, but don't agree with some of his views.
#164 That suggestion you claim was a list of traits He does share with the list provided.

Your faux outrage is a sad reminder that well..facts are not relevant.

New Flash from the Cognitive ability granted by the creator,...

They actually are.



Kim Stanley Robinson is coming out with a new science fiction book on March 14:

New York 2140

Quoting 164. hotroddan:

So when someone post a comment suggesting that Trump has narcissistic personality disorder and then I post a comment saying that the same is also true for Hillary Clinton it gets deleted but the original comment suggesting Trump has narcissistic personality disorder is not deleted. The bias on this blog makes it almost impossible to have any sort of discussion or debate. And I'm sure this comment will get deleted too, because I know how y'all handle the truth.
;)

Some cherry-picked weather data.

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
415 PM CST WED FEB 1 2017

...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE TIED AT HOUSTON`S HOBBY AIRPORT...

A HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 81 DEGREES WAS RECORDED THIS AFTERNOON
AT HOUSTON`S HOBBY AIRPORT.

THIS TIES THE OLD RECORD OF 81 SET IN 1989.
------------------------------------------------- ---

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
116 AM CST THU FEB 02 2017

...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT HOUSTON/HOBBY AIRPORT...

A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 81 DEGREES WAS TIED AT HOUSTON/HOBBY
AIRPORT YESTERDAY. THIS OLD RECORD OF 81 SET IN 1989.
------------------------------------------------- -----------------

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
0418 PM CST MON FEB 06 2017

...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT HOUSTON INTERCONTINENTAL...

A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 81 DEGREES WAS SET AT HOUSTON
INTERCONTINENTAL TODAY. THIS TIES THE OLD RECORD OF 81 SET IN 1911.
------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------


RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
0420 PM CST TUE FEB 07

...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT HOUSTON INTERCONTINENTAL...

A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 86 DEGREES WAS SET AT HOUSTON
INTERCONTINENTAL TODAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 80 SET IN
1957.

&&


Seems it t'was 'Smokin Hot" there at 0420pm CST fo sho beell,ehhh?

Darn man'

For our NOLA family still hurting and missing home tonight.
We are here for you .

Cooler temps come tomorrow with dawn.

It's gonna be a beautiful day, don't let it get away'...



G'night

LABonbon #149

In the second paragraph of "The Voyage of the Beagle," Darwin describes de-forestation and its consequences on one of the Cape Verde Islands, Jan. 1832:

"The island would generally be considered as very uninteresting; but to anyone accustomed only to an English landscape , the novel aspect of an utterly sterile land possesses a grandeur which more vegetation might spoil. A single green leaf can scarcely be discovered over wide tracks of the lava plains; yet flocks of goats, together with a few cows, contrive to exist. It rains very seldom, but during a short portion of the year heavy torrents fall, and immediately afterwards a light vegetation springs out of every crevice. This soon withers; and upon such naturally formed hay the animals live. It had now not rained for an entire year. When the island was discovered, the immediate neighbourhood of Porto Playa was clothed with trees, the reckless destruction of which has caused here, as at St. Helens, and at some of the Canary Islands, almost entire sterility. The broad, flat-bottomed valleys, many of which serve during a few days only in the season as water-courses, are clothed with thickets of leafless bushes. Few living creatures inhabit these valleys."
Chasin Carlos..
Quoting 149. LAbonbon:


Great piece. And I bookmarked that site :)

This and weathermanwannabe's recent mentions of Walden Pond and Thoreau got me thinking a bit. Many of us have likely read, and our views shaped by, works by naturalists and scientists. I'd be interested to know who are some favorites and what works are recommended.

Lots to choose from, but personally, I'd say Aldo Leopold, A Sand County Almanac, and several works by John McPhee (including Encounters with the Archdruid and Annals of the Former World).

Anyone feel like offering up some recommendations?

Hmmm... John McPhee, Basin and Range (1981) and Assembling California (1993)
Marc Reisner, Cadillac Desert: The American West and its Disappearing Water (1986) and Overtapped Oasis: Reform or Revolution for Western Water (1990)
and, of course, Walden, the most influential book of my life (I read it 40 years ago).
I totally missed hearing about this. We're in a really good spot for missing out on flooding - Fernley, 30ish miles up US50 from us, not so fortunate. They're under a flash flood advisory along with all the others for tomorrow too. We just get a high wind warning for tomorrow's daylight hours.

Quoting 132. LAbonbon:

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Elko NV
121 PM PST WED FEB 8 2017

NVC007-090200-
/O.CON.KLKN.FF.W.0003.000000T0000Z-170209T0200Z/
/00000.0.DM.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000 Z.OO/
Elko NV-
121 PM PST WED FEB 8 2017

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM PST FOR
EAST CENTRAL ELKO COUNTY...

At 114 PM PST, local law enforcement reported the possible failure
of Twentyone and Twelve Mile Dam.
This is a possible breach of an
earthen dam. Unconfirmed Reports of at least two to three feet of
water is rapidly moving downstream. Although uncertainty exists
about the breach, dangerous flash flooding is still occurring with
road washouts of County Road 765. The depth of water may increase if
the dam fails. Regardless, Take immediate action and move to higher
ground. This is a dangerous and life threatening situation. County
road 765 and 766, Twentyone Mile Ranch, Eighteen Mile Ranch are
downstream of the dam and could see dangerous flash flooding. There
is a confirmed report of an emergency stop of railroad traffic near
the Utah and Nevada border due to water over the tracks. Northern
sections of Montello and State Route 233 could eventually be
impacted.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Move to higher ground now. Act quickly to protect your life.

&&

LAT...LON 4127 11434 4145 11452 4162 11447 4152 11404
4122 11404

$$

JRM/LW
Quoting 175. nonblanche:

I totally missed hearing about this. We're in a really good spot for missing out on flooding - Fernley, 30ish miles up US50 from us, not so fortunate. They're under a flash flood advisory along with all the others for tomorrow too. We just get a high wind warning for tomorrow's daylight hours.



That is, indeed, good news - I had visions of little goats in the house to stay dry. That, or humans and kids up on the roof, literally butting heads for the best spot.
Quoting 176. oldnewmex:


That is, indeed, good news - I had visions of little goats in the house to stay dry. That, or humans and kids up on the roof, literally butting heads for the best spot.


We're not in Elko County, we're in Churchill. I'd be really PO'd if we got that much rain - with one goat (an older girl, I've only got her kidding every other year now) and three sows ready to drop any time now, and the pig pens only now just drying out enough to be functionally mucked out (kind of useless when it's all sludgy mud that slips through rakes and slides off shovels).

Oh look, NWS says models show another possible AR late next week.
Quoting 176. oldnewmex:


That is, indeed, good news - I had visions of little goats in the house to stay dry. That, or humans and kids up on the roof, literally butting heads for the best spot.


Addendum: from our Sheriff's FB page:

Recent flooding upstream from us on the Carson and Truckee Rivers combined with huge snow packs in the Mountains and very wet valley floor conditions have prompted us to evaluate our readiness for a very high water year. We have been in meetings with TCID, emergency management and other local Law Enforcement agencies regarding this topic. We are asking for residents who live along the river to make sure you dont have any cross fences in the river or obstructions that would block flow or collect debris when water is released into the river later in the year. If you know of a tree or major obstruction in the river that would hinder flow please contact TCID and advise them. Right now we have plenty of room for storage and TCID has a solid plan for moving water around the valley however we are interested in eliminating as many potential issues as possible. As more information is available we will continue to keep you updated. Thanks for your help in keeping Churchill County Safe.


Yesterday was spectacular! 19° in the morning with a solid 13" of snow on ice. We were out of power for 3 days, the combo of ice and heaps of snow has caused more damage than I've ever seen. Today we got one final blast of flakes pushing my snowpack back up to 14". Only had more snow on the ground in my 13 years here in Acme Wa, one time, Dec 08. Now we are up to 27° and wouldn't you know it, we're being blessed with a final bought of freezing rain.
Quoting 180. plantmoretrees:



Yesterday was spectacular! 19° in the morning with a solid 13" of snow on ice. We were out of power for 3 days, the combo of ice and heaps of snow has caused more damage than I've ever seen. Today we got one final blast of flakes pushing my snowpack back up to 14". Only had more snow on the ground in my 13 years here in Acme Wa, one time, Dec 08. Now we are up to 27° and wouldn't you know it, we're being blessed with a final bought of freezing rain.


I know that look on the landscape all to well... Looks like that around here too.
Quoting 141. Dakster:

I see a bill was introduced today that would eliminate the EPA and the DOE (Dept. of Education)...

http://www.newsy.com/stories/bills-introduced-to- abolish-epa-and-department-of-education/

Link


A modern day dark age. Woohoo. George Orwell would be proud. All we need is an executive order for a Ministry of Truth.
Quoting 182. Xyrus2000:



A modern day dark age. Woohoo. George Orwell would be proud. All we need is an executive order for a Ministry of Truth.


Scary... Also thinking the movie War Games could become reality... Only not a computer simulation.
Carlos is a hurricane now

Seychelles Meteorological Services
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #24
Hurricane Warning
CYCLONE TROPICAL CARLOS (04-20162017)
10:00 AM RET February 9 2017
==============================
Southwest of Réunion
East of southern Madagascar

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Cyclone Carlos (975 hPa) located at 23.7S 53.7E has 10 minute sustained winds of 65 knots with gusts of 90 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving east southeast at 6 knots.

Hurricane Force Winds
================
10 NM in the eastern semi-circle

Storm Force Winds
===============
20 NM radius from the center, extending up to 35 NM in the eastern semi-circle

Gale Force Winds
===============
30 NM radius from the center, extending up to 85 NM in the southeastern quadrant and up to 90 NM in the northeastern quadrant

Near Gale Force Winds
================
60 NM radius from the center, extending up to 70 NM in the southwestern quadrant, up to 120 NM in the southeastern quadrant and up to 140 NM in the northeastern quadrant

Dvorak Intensity: T4.0/4.0/D1.0/12 HRS

Forecast and Intensity
==================
12 HRS 25.5S 55.2E - 50 knots (Forte Tempête Tropicale)
24 HRS 27.4S 57.1E - 45 knots (Tempête Tropicale Modérée)
48 HRS 29.9S 62.5E - 40 knots (Depression Extratropicale)
72 HRS 30.4S 63.8E - 40 knots (Depression Subtropicale)

Additional Information
======================
The cloud pattern has improved early in the morning with a warm spot that temporarily become a pretty well defined (although somewhat ragged) eye pattern with an off white eye seen on MET-8 and MET-7 imagery between 0400z and 0500z. Accordingly, Carlos is upgrade as a tropical cyclone in line with ADT analysis at 4.4 (75 knots 1 min) since 0400z. Very recently, the cloud pattern has deteriorated ... suggesting that a weakening trend is starting.

Carlos has moved a little more east southeastwards this morning but should resume a southeastwards track later steered by a midtropospheric ridge in the northeast and a trough coming from the mid-latitudes. From Sunday, Carlos should be blocked by a high cell circulating eastwards in its south. The model guidance is in rather good agreement. At the end of the forecast outlook, as Carlos should make a u-turn, the uncertainty becomes greater.

The influence of an upper trough coming from the southwest should gradually become significant today. Friday, the sharp increase in vertical wind shear and a suggested barocline interaction with the upper level trough should give post-tropical characteristics to the system. During the weekend, Carlos could shift under the upper trough which then isolate itself as a cut-off low above the circulation, shielding it from the shear. In this context, Carlos may become a subtropical system at the end of the forecast outlook, and even potentially regain tropical characteristics over however low ocean heat content waters.
Quoting 174. oldnewmex:


Hmmm... John McPhee, Basin and Range (1981) and Assembling California (1993)
Marc Reisner, Cadillac Desert: The American West and its Disappearing Water (1986) and Overtapped Oasis: Reform or Revolution for Western Water (1990)
and, of course, Walden, the most influential book of my life (I read it 40 years ago).


My career has absolutely been shaped by Sand County Almanac.
I recently read "Fire Season", by Philip Conors - a year as a Gila Wilderness fire lookout.
It certainly reminded me of Leopold, and discusses him quite a bit.

By the way, McPhee's 4 (and 1/2) geology books are now available together as "Annals of the Former World".
For the most part, each book stands alone, but as his intro points out, they were conceived of as a unified project. McPhee's work, along with Robert Hazen's "The Story of Earth", completely reshaped how I see natural geological structures & processes.
Quoting 158. Patrap:



Indeed, it is one of the great fictional pokes at our new reality that I can truly offer.

Every American, or Human over 10 should read it.


I read it yearly,usually on Vacation.


Mine has reduced to a pile of paper...
Quoting 138. barbamz:

However, due to a massive high over Scandinavia, our current weather is dry and calm again, and quite sunny (but a bit boring, too).


In fact we are now into a global warming bomb here.
This circulation pattern used to be a guarantee for skating ice in Holland.
In fact we're left with some light frosts at night and while the fetch of the easterlies grows to from behind the northern Ural temps will actually rise as of the weekend. This is new. This was probably impossible even up to last year.
I'm sick of it. And I'll keep telling you that, how sick of this I am, y'all destroying MY planet.
New York, Boston Braced for Foot of Snow: Schools Closed, Flights Canceled
Feb 9 2017, 4:37 am ET, by Phil Helsel
The Northeast is about to go from short sleeves to snow boots in less than 24 hours.
More than 2,700 flights were canceled and all public schools in New York City, Boston and Philadelphia will be closed Thursday as the region braced for a winter storm that could dump a foot of snow or more.
This comes just a day after much of the region was enjoying record highs in the 60s and 70s.
"It's going to be a big shock to people, no doubt," said Michael Palmer, lead meteorologist at The Weather Channel. "It's quite unusual to have such a change in the space of one day."
The storm was expected to start rolling down over the Interstate 95 corridor as snow in the early hours Thursday, and was expected to hit Boston at around 6 a.m. and New York City an hour later. ...
Quoting 182. Xyrus2000:



A modern day dark age. Woohoo. George Orwell would be proud. All we need is an executive order for a Ministry of Truth.


Would that not be the Ministry of Alternative Facts?
Almost 90% of new power in Europe from renewable sources in 2016
Wind energy overtakes coal as the EU’s second largest form of power capacity but concerns remain over politicians’ enthusiasm for renewables
The Guardian, Thursday 9 February 2017 05.00 GMT
Renewable energy sources made up nearly nine-tenths of new power added to Europe’s electricity grids last year, in a sign of the continent’s rapid shift away from fossil fuels.
But industry leaders said they were worried about the lack of political support beyond 2020, when binding EU renewable energy targets end.
Of the 24.5GW of new capacity built across the EU in 2016, 21.1GW – or 86% – was from wind, solar, biomass and hydro, eclipsing the previous high-water mark of 79% in 2014.
For the first time windfarms accounted for more than half of the capacity installed, the data from trade body WindEurope showed. Wind power overtook coal to become the EU’s second largest form of power capacity after gas, though due to the technology’s intermittent nature, coal still meets more of the bloc’s electricity demand.
Germany installed the most new wind capacity in 2016, while France, the Netherlands, Finland, Ireland and Lithuania all set new records for windfarm installations. ...

More see link above.
Quoting 191. daddyjames:



Would that not be the Ministry of Alternative Facts?

Ministry of Propaganda and Delusions
Delusion: A delusion is a belief that is held with strong conviction despite superior evidence to the contrary.

Alternative Facts: A lie, falsehood, made up bull$1&!

"I know more about ISIS than the generals do. Believe me." Is that an alternative fact or delusional?

"The concept of global warming was created by and for the Chinese in order to make U.S. manufacturing non-competitive." Is that an alternative fact or delusional?

"This was the largest audience to ever witness an inauguration, period, both in person and around the globe." Is that an alternative fact or delusional?

I could do this all day.

Whooops...

Quoting 173. BaltimoreBrian:

*** Why the ocean has absorbed more carbon over the past decade


(...) New research from UC Santa Barbara geographer Timothy DeVries and colleagues demonstrates that a slowdown of the ocean's overturning circulation is the likely catalyst. (...)

"Such a slowdown is consistent with the projected effects of anthropogenic climate change, where warming and freshening of the surface ocean from melting ice caps leads to weaker overturning circulation," DeVries explained. "But over the time periods we studied, it's not possible to say whether the slowdown is related to natural climate variability or to climate change caused by human activity." (...)
196. elioe
Quoting 187. cRRKampen:



Still completely clear sky here, though pressure is falling. It peaked at 1050.3 mbar, now only 1046.7 ;)

What is most evident about climate change in these conditions: temperatures have failed to plunge below -20 C, and every day they have risen above -10 C. This all, despite persistent high pressure, calmness, and the timing (early February). You can almost feel the carbon dioxide radiating back towards ground, preventing significant inversion. And not only that, but the RH has been near 90% during nights. There has to be much wv above surface layer also, meaning even more downward IR.

But this is all going to change, as the high stretches towards Greenland, and a low pressure moves to NW Russia. By Tuesday, Föhn wind may raise temperatures to +8 C.
Said this before here and it's just a thought, but snow pack out West I strongly believe plays a large role into slow or active seasons. Low snow levels indicate from my memory slow seasons and above average years tends towards more active seasons. Available potential energy from more or less moisture available. Will do a deeper study into, just a trend I've noticed through the years. "If" that's the case, we could be in for a very active season ahead.
Quoting 194. washingaway:

Delusion: A delusion is a belief that is held with strong conviction despite superior evidence to the contrary.

Alternative Facts: A lie, falsehood, made up bull$1&!

"I know more about ISIS than the generals do. Believe me." Is that an alternative fact or delusional?

"The concept of global warming was created by and for the Chinese in order to make U.S. manufacturing non-competitive." Is that an alternative fact or delusional?

"This was the largest audience to ever witness an inauguration, period, both in person and around the globe." Is that an alternative fact or delusional?

I could do this all day.



Overwhelming response, global press attention for new UW Information School course, Calling BS

It's almost unheard of for a university class to spark global press attention, and offers of book deals, before instruction even begins. But such is the case with the UW Information School's new course, Calling Bulls**t in the Age of Big Data.
[ . . . ]
The course's brief description, atop the syllabus online, is as blunt and compelling as its title: "Our world is saturated with bulls**t, it says. Learn to detect and defuse it."

I wonder if they have an online version. George Carlin would be proud.
Carlos (MIMIC-TC, last 24 hours):
Source.
* UW-CIMSS Automated Satellite-Based Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT): Link
* Eumetsat/Meteosat Indian Ocean Data Coverage Imagery: Link
Quoting 198. daddyjames:



Overwhelming response, global press attention for new UW Information School course, Calling BS

It's almost unheard of for a university class to spark global press attention, and offers of book deals, before instruction even begins. But such is the case with the UW Information School's new course, Calling Bulls**t in the Age of Big Data.
[ . . . ]
The course's brief description, atop the syllabus online, is as blunt and compelling as its title: "Our world is saturated with bulls**t, it says. Learn to detect and defuse it."

I wonder if they have an online version. George Carlin would be proud.

I miss George Carlin.
From RealClimate:

Serving up a NOAA-thing burger

by Gavin-Schmidt

I have mostly been sitting back and watching the John Bates story go through the predictable news-cycle of almost all supposed ‘scandalous’ science stories. The patterns are very familiar – an initial claim of imperfection spiced up with insinuations of misconduct, coordination with a breathless hyping of the initial claim with ridiculous supposed implications, some sensible responses refuting the initial specific claims and demolishing the wilder extrapolations. Unable to defend the nonsense clarifications are made that the initial claim wasn’t about misconduct but merely about ‘process’ (for who can argue against better processes?). Meanwhile the misconduct and data falsification claims escape into the wild, get more exaggerated and lose all connection to any actual substance. For sure, the technical rebuttals to the specific claims compete with balance of evidence arguments and a little bit of playful trolling for the attention of anyone who actually cares about the details. None of which, unfortunately, despite being far more accurate, have the narrative power of the original meme.

The next stages are easy to predict as well – the issues of ‘process’ will be lost in the noise, the fake overreaction will dominate the wider conversation and become an alternative fact to be regurgitated in twitter threads and blog comments for years, the originators of the issue may or may not walk back the many mis-statements they and others made but will lose credibility in any case, mainstream scientists will just see it as hyper-partisan noise and ignore it, no papers will be redacted, no science will change, and the actual point (one presumes) of the ‘process’ complaint (to encourage better archiving practices) gets set back because it’s associated with such obvious nonsense.

This has played out many, many times before: The Yamal story had a very similar dynamic, and before that the ‘1934‘ story, etc. etc.

Assuming for the sake of politeness that sound and fury signifying nothing is not the main goal for at least some participants, the question arises: since this is so predictable why do people still keep making the same mistakes?

I have two slides that I use in my talks about the challenges of science communication in a politicized world:



The Bates story is an excellent illustration of how this plays out in real life. The key thing to remember is that there is a ready-made narrative and ‘public’ issue for all stories like this and it takes real skill (and might not be possible) to avoiding falling into that pre-existing narrative rut. You know, this one: Link

[Pro-tip: talking about massive international multi-agency conspiracies makes you sound like a crazy person, so get past that by only talking about the whistleblowers!].

Click here to read more.
Scott Morrison Brought A Lump Of Coal And Waved It Around In Parliament
Huffington Post Australia - Feb 9.
During a heatwave... That just made my day.

Quoting 204. 999Ai2016:

Scott Morrison Brought A Lump Of Coal And Waved It Around In Parliament
Huffington Post Australia - Feb 9.
During a heatwave... That just made my day.



http://www.huffingtonpost.com.au/2017/02/08/44-45 -44-sydney-braces-for-the-mega-meltdown-of-the-mil lenn/

Let 'm burn.
(y'all know I don't mean the coals).
Good Morning Folks; here is the Conus forecast for today and current look across North America and the Northern Hemisphere. More rain, snow, and flooding in the Western tier of North America and  that current break in the polar jet between Greenland and Northern Europe is what is allowing the current rush of warmer air  pool into the Arctic region:


A reader at Scibbler's from OZ --

This in response to the rolling blackouts in South Australia :


Mark in OZ / February 9, 2017
“It’s my understanding that AEMO (Australian Energy Market Operator) was made aware more generation was available and chose not to turn that generation on. Serious questions have to be asked about why we had generation available that wasn’t used.”

There’s a lot more to the story than most realize. The Herald Sun ( referenced) is one of Uncle Rupe’s ( Murdoch) rags and it is pro big biz,,pro coal, pro gas and entirely ‘anti’ renewable. Multi- nat companies use this broadsheet to shape local opinion.

Very similar to Enron ( before it grenaded) as the suppliers have excess capacity ( not shortages as suggested) and by withholding this supply at crucial times ( like this) the ‘spot’ price rises fast and they can enter the ‘sweet spot’ of profit nirvana.

As is always the case when public utilities are sold to private investors ( SA’s network was sold to Chinese / HK interests years ago), the spend for upkeep and maintenance dries up while prices ratchet up like clockwork. Rags like the above will offer considered ‘stories’ (completely spurious) why this is so even though prices should ‘cycle’ up and down (they don’t) and inevitably, the ‘blame’ why AC’s and refrigeration fell down and power was interrupted was the fault of the wind power (renewables).

It is NOT the renewable power that is to be blamed but the juked delivery mechanism who’s objective is ROI and ROE yet the endless chant of ‘F’n greenies’ helps keep the shareholders ( many are Int’l) quite happy thanks to Uncle Rupe’s efforts.

One thing many don’t ‘get’ is that the cheapest cost energy is to be used first in the formula for use hierarchy–renewable ( wind) gets first call usually. It’s not the choice of the SA gov’t–it’s the legislated protocol and when these rules were drafted, the energy re-sellers were ramping up production for a demand that never came as renewables got cheaper faster than anyone predicted.

Having a profit motivated entity in charge of complex power distribution is a failed ‘conservative’ experiment that has been running for about 40 years now. What we ‘see’ is exactly what we ‘expected’.

These ‘utilities’ were paid for by the people over many years and there’s a long list of corrupt public officials involved here who happily sold out ( because they could) at the ‘urging’ of investors who saw the opportunity to control vast dollar farming empties without much up front cost beyond the cash filled paper bags used to encourage legislative behaviour. If the ‘return’ was so ‘good’ they would have been in line at the beginning when they needed to be built from scratch..
Latest Great Barrier Reef threat: coal dust

FEBRUARY 8, 2017 —Black coal dust washing up on Australian shores near the Great Barrier Reef is making environmentalists nervous.

Complaints have triggered an investigation focusing on nearby coal port Hay Point, which exports tens of millions of tons a year to markets all over the world. However, authorities say they can’t yet confirm whether Hay Point is the source of the leak. Coal dust can directly kill coral and damage sea life, according to scientists, but it’s the burning of coal that indirectly poses the greatest risk to Australia’s most famous heritage site.


Link
Quoting 209. RobertWC:

Latest Great Barrier Reef threat: coal dust

FEBRUARY 8, 2017 —Black coal dust washing up on Australian shores near the Great Barrier Reef is making environmentalists nervous.

Complaints have triggered an investigation focusing on nearby coal port Hay Point, which exports tens of millions of tons a year to markets all over the world. However, authorities say they can’t yet confirm whether Hay Point is the source of the leak. Coal dust can directly kill coral and damage sea life, according to scientists, but it’s the burning of coal that indirectly poses the greatest risk to Australia’s most famous heritage site.


Link

Doesn't matter. It's gone by brute heat inside of twenty years max anyway.
Finally!



And sunrise in Baton Rouge was 35 minutes ago; it won't rise here for another hour.
From RSOE-EDIS - Nuclear Event in France on February 09 2017 11:23 AM (UTC):
An explosion has occurred at Flamanville Nuclear Power Plant, in France's north-west, officials told local media, adding that several people were slightly injured after inhaling the fumes, though there is no nuclear risk. The incident occurred at 10:00 local time (09:00 GMT) in an engine room, Ouest-France newspaper reported. At least five people have been slightly injured inhaling the fumes caused by the blast, AFP reports citing authorities. According to AFP, the Unit 1 reactor will still temporarily be shut down, however. "It is a significant technical failure but it is not a nuclear accident" because the explosion occurred "outside the nuclear zone," Olivier Marmion, director of the prefect's office, told AFP. The nuclear plant located in the Flamanville commune has two pressurized water reactors that produce 1.3 GWe (gigawatt electrical) each. The reactors were built in 1986 and 1987. A third reactor will be completed by 2018.
Climate change linked to seafood bacteria

A link between climate change and a new strain of bacteria has helped scientists understand why more seafood lovers are being poisoned.
Scientists studying oysters along America's Atlantic Coast have discovered a possible link between climate change and an increase in the number of seafood lovers getting sick from eating shellfish.

Researchers at the University of New Hampshire (UNH) have found a new strain of the bacteria vibrio parahaemolyticus, the world's leading culprit of contamination in shellfish that, when eaten, causes diarrhoea, vomiting and abdominal pain. In rare cases, people have died from contracting lethal septicaemia.

Cheryl Whistler and her colleagues discovered the new strain ST631 and detailed their findings in the Journal of Clinical Microbiology and the findings build on earlier studies showing the role climate change is playing in the spread of pathogens like vibrio parahaemolyticus.


Link
Music addressing climate change:

Today you can stream the full new album by Teen Daze, Themes For Dying Earth, for free.

Themes deals with harsh realities—personal, environmental, social—by seeking solace in nature.

http://www.npr.org/2017/02/02/512636747/first-lis ten-teen-daze-themes-for-dying-earth

Very little winter here in Middle Tennessee this year. Some cold, but nothing prolonged enough to make ground freeze hard (meaning, ticks and mosquitoes never quite went away). Spring flowers have started to bloom and fruit trees are starting to bud out early. Here's hoping we don't get a late freeze...
And here is the current US Drought Monitor for the past week issued 15 minutes ago; big dent in overall drought conditions and particularly for California and the West. And now for the bad news, at this current point, we are actually getting too much rain and snow (snowpack) so the next related weather consequence is massive flooding events both at present from current rains as well as the start of snow-melt which will go on for several weeks.

What Mother Nature often gives as a blessing now, can be taken right back a few days, weeks, or months later in a destructive form. Another good example of this is hurricanes. Some of the most calm, beautiful, and sunny days in Florida and the Gulf regions in the Summer are the 48 hours before the hurricane makes landfall. This is one of the great dichotomies of Mother Nature.

Current U.S. Drought Monitor
EPA Officials Yanked From Alaska Event as Trump Team Weighs In

Environmental Protection Agency official in Anchorage called the organizer with some news: The agency had been instructed by the White House to slash the number of EPA staffers who could attend.

"We’ve never had this happen before," said Kurt Eilo, who has organized the Alaska Forum on the Environment for 19 years. The annual gathering brings together 1,800 people from native communities, government agencies and the public to discuss climate-related issues, including melting permafrost and risks to villages from rising seas.

There had been 34 EPA staffers registered; in the end, only half were allowed to go. The agency says the late change -- including scrapping the travel of some senior staff from Washington -- was about saving money for American taxpayers.


Link
Astronaut Bill Nelson understands importance of federal scientists, they trained him!

From Science:


Senator Bill Nelson (D–FL) in 2015.

U.S. Senate bill aims to make sure federal scientists aren’t ‘muzzled’

Congressional Democrats are rallying behind a bill to protect federal scientists from attempts to interfere with scientific discourse and dissemination of research results.

Senator Bill Nelson (D–FL) yesterday introduced a bill (S.338) that would codify existing policies at some two dozen federal agencies. Those policies stem from a 2009 executive order from former President Barack Obama that required them to spell out how they would safeguard scientific integrity. The policies have dribbled out over the last 7 years.

[...]

“Few things are more un-American than censorship, especially when it would keep the public in the dark on vital public health and safety information, such as climate change and sea level rise,” said Nelson, who serves as the top Democrat on the Senate Committee on Commerce, Science, and Transportation, in a statement. “Any attempt to intimidate or muzzle scientists must be stopped.” The bill has been referred to the commerce committee, but Nelson staffers say that its chairman, Senator John Thune (R–SD), has not indicated whether he will hold a hearing on the legislation.

Pro-science lobbyists applaud Nelson’s move. “If ever there was a time that such a bill is needed, it is now,” says Gretchen Goldman of the Union of Concerned Scientists, which is based in Cambridge, Massachusetts. Goldman says the bill “raises the floor for a minimum standard” across the government while allowing agencies to tailor policies that are consistent with their specific missions and operating procedures.

The legislation is aimed at blocking attempts by political appointees to manipulate or suppress the results of research that could undermine the administration’s position on an issue. It would enshrine in law the idea of transparency, open communication, and protection for whistleblowers in a scientific context. Goldman says her “personal favorite” is a provision giving government scientists the right to review and approve the contents of any press release or other document dealing with their research before it goes out to the public.

[...]

Click here to read full article
Quoting 200. MaxWeather:

Blizzard buries the Northeast Today.




#snowforthesnowgod

They're Pinky and the Brain.
NASA Has Finally Built a Computer Chip To Survive on Venus

You might wonder why Mars gets all the interplanetary attention when Venus, our sister planet, is actually closer. Well, the hellish orb has the hottest surface in the solar system, hotter even than Mercury. Combined with its dense, caustic atmosphere, none of our computers can handle Venus for more than a few hours. Now, scientists think they’ve come up with a solution.

Link
THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM...PLEASE DO NOT TRAVEL IF AT ALL
POSSIBLE

-NWS New York NY AFD
Oh; I forgot about the Winter Storm in the NE; my Daughter lives in Mass and we spoke to her last night; they cancelled work for her/classes at Smith College today and she is hunkered down in her apartment. She is in a study building; an old converted to condo/apartment Civil War arms and swords factory on the Connecticut River in Western Mass.



Quoting 216. RobertWC:

EPA Officials Yanked From Alaska Event as Trump Team Weighs In

Environmental Protection Agency official in Anchorage called the organizer with some news: The agency had been instructed by the White House to slash the number of EPA staffers who could attend.

"We’ve never had this happen before," said Kurt Eilo, who has organized the Alaska Forum on the Environment for 19 years. The annual gathering brings together 1,800 people from native communities, government agencies and the public to discuss climate-related issues, including melting permafrost and risks to villages from rising seas.

There had been 34 EPA staffers registered; in the end, only half were allowed to go. The agency says the late change -- including scrapping the travel of some senior staff from Washington -- was about saving money for American taxpayers.


Link
It's all about saving money, is it? Gee, I can't help but wonder how many more scientists could have attended the forum on just the $100,000 the Secret Service was forced to spent last week on Eric Trump's non-governmental, Trump-business-only trip to Uruguay?

Let's call a lie a lie: cutting the number of EPA staffers attending that forum has absolutely NOTHING to do with saving taxpayers' money; it's about denying scientific fact. Period.

And so it goes...
It apparently snowed some where.I must have missed it...
And from the Sciencemag site this morning; the carbon tax issue is coming back around in a proposal put forth by Republicans who actually believe in climate change issues...............There is always hope.

http://www.sciencemag.org/news/2017/02/group-prom inent-republicans-just-launched-longshot-bid-carbo n-tax


Former Secretary of State James Baker led a group of senior Republican statesmen today in rolling out a plan for using a carbon tax to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.
Can I get some snow report totals out of the NE? anybody on the blog report what they've received so far?
Quoting 223. washingtonian115:

It apparently snowed some where.I must have missed it...


I got 3" last night, but I'm around 4500 miles away (give or take) from you.
Quoting 225. RitaEvac:

Can I get some snow report totals out of the NE? anybody on the blog report what they've received so far?


So far storm seem to be under-performing just a tad. Seeing a lot of 4-8" reports so far. Radar returns look as if most of the intense convection is SE of Long Island. Will probably end up with a lot of 6-12" reports with the latter being more scarce.

CONNECTICUT

...FAIRFIELD COUNTY...
DANBURY 6.4 909 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER
NEWTOWN 6.4 900 AM 2/09 SOCIAL MEDIA
NEW FAIRFIELD 6.0 845 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER
BROOKFIELD 5.0 824 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
WILTON 4.5 830 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
STAMFORD 4.0 900 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER
NEW CANAAN 4.0 900 AM 2/09 CT DOT
FAIRFIELD 3.8 845 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
3 SE DANBURY 3.0 730 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
BETHEL 2.0 700 AM 2/09 EMERGENCY MNGR
BRIDGEPORT AIRPORT 2.0 700 AM 2/09 CO-OP OBSERVER
NORTH STAMFORD 2.0 730 AM 2/09 SOCIAL MEDIA
DARIEN 1.0 700 AM 2/09 CT DOT

...MIDDLESEX COUNTY...
HADDAM 4.0 900 AM 2/09 CT DOT
OLD SAYBROOK 4.0 900 AM 2/09 CT DOT

...NEW HAVEN COUNTY...
MILFORD 5.5 900 AM 2/09 CT DOT
ORANGE 5.1 921 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER
CHESHIRE 4.9 900 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER
MERIDEN 4.5 900 AM 2/09 CT DOT
BEACON FALLS 4.0 900 AM 2/09 CT DOT
SOUTHBURY 4.0 900 AM 2/09 CT DOT
OXFORD 4.0 815 AM 2/09 AMATEUR RADIO
NEW HAVEN 3.5 900 AM 2/09 CT DOT
WALLINGFORD 2.0 815 AM 2/09 AMATEUR RADIO

...NEW LONDON COUNTY...
NORWICH 4.2 856 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
LEDYARD CENTER 2.0 815 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER

NEW JERSEY

...BERGEN COUNTY...
FRANKLIN LAKES 5.0 830 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
WESTWOOD 5.0 830 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER
RIDGEWOOD 2.3 700 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER

...ESSEX COUNTY...
CEDAR GROVE 3.8 825 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
SOUTH ORANGE 3.0 800 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER

...HUDSON COUNTY...
HARRISON 3.0 830 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER

...PASSAIC COUNTY...
HASKELL 5.0 900 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER
WAYNE 4.0 800 AM 2/09 PUBLIC

...UNION COUNTY...
NEWARK AIRPORT 1.6 700 AM 2/09 FAA OBSERVER

NEW YORK

...BRONX COUNTY...
BRONX 6.0 907 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER

...KINGS COUNTY...
GRAVESEND 4.1 920 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER

...NASSAU COUNTY...
BALDWIN 3.8 900 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER
NEW HYDE PARK 3.6 830 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER
MINEOLA 3.5 815 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER
VALLEY STREAM 3.0 800 AM 2/09 SOCIAL MEDIA
OYSTER BAY 3.0 815 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER
EAST NORWICH 2.8 820 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER

...NEW YORK COUNTY...
CENTRAL PARK 2.0 700 AM 2/09 PARK SERVICE

...ORANGE COUNTY...
WARWICK 7.0 700 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
FIRTHCLIFFE 7.0 815 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
NEW WINDSOR 6.8 815 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
GOSHEN 6.0 800 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER
MIDDLETOWN 6.0 700 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER
CORNWALL ON HUDSON 5.0 800 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER
ORANGE LAKE 4.5 700 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER
MONROE 3.0 615 AM 2/09 SOCIAL MEDIA

...PUTNAM COUNTY...
COLD SPRING 3.8 859 AM 2/09 PUBLIC

...QUEENS COUNTY...
HOLLIS HILLS 4.0 845 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
WHITESTONE 3.0 830 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER
NYC/LA GUARDIA 1.5 700 AM 2/09 FAA OBSERVER
NYC/JFK AIRPORT 1.1 700 AM 2/09 FAA OBSERVER

...ROCKLAND COUNTY...
STONY POINT 3.8 815 AM 2/09 PUBLIC

...SUFFOLK COUNTY...
FARMINGVILLE 5.5 912 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER
SMITHTOWN 5.4 900 AM 2/09 SOCIAL MEDIA
NESCONSET 4.0 834 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
HAUPPAUGE 3.0 805 AM 2/09 NWS EMPLOYEE
EAST ISLIP 2.3 830 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER
MOUNT SINAI 2.0 600 AM 2/09 CO-OP OBSERVER
FLANDERS 2.0 830 AM 2/09 AMATEUR RADIO
MATTITUCK 1.5 700 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER
CENTEREACH 1.5 615 AM 2/09 NWS EMPLOYEE
ISLIP AIRPORT 1.3 700 AM 2/09 FAA OBSERVER

...WESTCHESTER COUNTY...
MOUNT KISCO 5.0 900 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
YONKERS 4.5 907 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER
HARRISON 4.5 908 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER
POUND RIDGE 4.0 830 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER
PEEKSKILL 3.8 815 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER


**********************24 HOUR SNOWFALL**********************

LOCATION 24 HOUR TIME/DATE COMMENTS
SNOWFALL OF
/INCHES/ MEASUREMENT

CONNECTICUT

...FAIRFIELD COUNTY...
4 NNE BETHEL 5.0 856 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
4 S STAMFORD 4.0 835 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
2 SSE RIDGEFIELD 3.5 800 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
4 E NEWTOWN 3.1 800 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
2 ENE NEW CANAAN 3.1 800 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
2 ENE DARIEN 2.8 750 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
ESE STRATFORD 2.5 700 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
5 SSW NEWTOWN 2.5 700 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
3 SSE BROOKFIELD 2.3 700 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
WNW STAMFORD 2.0 700 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
1 E BETHEL 2.0 700 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
3 NNW NORWALK 1.4 700 AM 2/09 COCORAHS

...MIDDLESEX COUNTY...
1 S PORTLAND 1.0 800 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
1 N WESTBROOK CENTER 1.0 700 AM 2/09 COCORAHS

...NEW HAVEN COUNTY...
1 SW PROSPECT 2.4 840 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
2 NW PROSPECT 1.8 700 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
2 E MILFORD 1.7 620 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
1 WNW MADISON CENTER 1.0 700 AM 2/09 COCORAHS

...NEW LONDON COUNTY...
2 ENE UNCASVILLE-OXO 1.0 747 AM 2/09 COCORAHS

NEW JERSEY

...BERGEN COUNTY...
1 SSE OAKLAND 3.5 800 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
1 W TENAFLY 2.5 730 AM 2/09 COCORAHS

...ESSEX COUNTY...
1 SE MAPLEWOOD TWP 1.8 700 AM 2/09 COCORAHS

...HUDSON COUNTY...
N HARRISON 2.0 800 AM 2/09 COCORAHS

...PASSAIC COUNTY...
1 WNW LITTLE FALLS T 2.4 700 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
1 SSE HAWTHORNE 2.0 700 AM 2/09 COCORAHS

...UNION COUNTY...
1 ESE NEW PROVIDENCE 2.0 700 AM 2/09 COCORAHS

NEW YORK

...NASSAU COUNTY...
ENE PLAINVIEW 3.0 800 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
1 ENE HICKSVILLE 2.6 700 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
SSE ALBERTSON 1.7 730 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
1 ESE FLORAL PARK 1.5 716 AM 2/09 COCORAHS

...PUTNAM COUNTY...
4 ESE BEACON 3.8 700 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
8 NE COLD SPRING 2.0 600 AM 2/09 COCORAHS

...QUEENS COUNTY...
1 SW MIDDLE VILLAGE 2.2 700 AM 2/09 COCORAHS

...RICHMOND COUNTY...
1 SE STATEN ISLAND 1.3 700 AM 2/09 COCORAHS

...SUFFOLK COUNTY...
1 ESE BAY SHORE 4.8 700 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
1 SSW NESCONSET 4.0 828 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
WSW AMITYVILLE 3.0 802 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
1 SW COMMACK 2.0 700 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
1 SSW LAKE GROVE 1.5 700 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
1 SW WEST ISLIP 1.0 740 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
1 WSW WHEATLEY HEIGH 1.0 700 AM 2/09 COCORAHS

...WESTCHESTER COUNTY...
N PEEKSKILL 4.5 800 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
2 NW SOUTH SALEM 3.0 800 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
SE ARMONK 2.8 730 AM 2/09 COCONNECTICUT

...FAIRFIELD COUNTY...
DANBURY 6.4 909 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER
NEWTOWN 6.4 900 AM 2/09 SOCIAL MEDIA
NEW FAIRFIELD 6.0 845 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER
BROOKFIELD 5.0 824 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
WILTON 4.5 830 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
STAMFORD 4.0 900 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER
NEW CANAAN 4.0 900 AM 2/09 CT DOT
FAIRFIELD 3.8 845 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
3 SE DANBURY 3.0 730 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
BETHEL 2.0 700 AM 2/09 EMERGENCY MNGR
BRIDGEPORT AIRPORT 2.0 700 AM 2/09 CO-OP OBSERVER
NORTH STAMFORD 2.0 730 AM 2/09 SOCIAL MEDIA
DARIEN 1.0 700 AM 2/09 CT DOT

...MIDDLESEX COUNTY...
HADDAM 4.0 900 AM 2/09 CT DOT
OLD SAYBROOK 4.0 900 AM 2/09 CT DOT

...NEW HAVEN COUNTY...
MILFORD 5.5 900 AM 2/09 CT DOT
ORANGE 5.1 921 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER
CHESHIRE 4.9 900 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER
MERIDEN 4.5 900 AM 2/09 CT DOT
BEACON FALLS 4.0 900 AM 2/09 CT DOT
SOUTHBURY 4.0 900 AM 2/09 CT DOT
OXFORD 4.0 815 AM 2/09 AMATEUR RADIO
NEW HAVEN 3.5 900 AM 2/09 CT DOT
WALLINGFORD 2.0 815 AM 2/09 AMATEUR RADIO

...NEW LONDON COUNTY...
NORWICH 4.2 856 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
LEDYARD CENTER 2.0 815 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER

NEW JERSEY

...BERGEN COUNTY...
FRANKLIN LAKES 5.0 830 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
WESTWOOD 5.0 830 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER
RIDGEWOOD 2.3 700 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER

...ESSEX COUNTY...
CEDAR GROVE 3.8 825 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
SOUTH ORANGE 3.0 800 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER

...HUDSON COUNTY...
HARRISON 3.0 830 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER

...PASSAIC COUNTY...
HASKELL 5.0 900 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER
WAYNE 4.0 800 AM 2/09 PUBLIC

...UNION COUNTY...
NEWARK AIRPORT 1.6 700 AM 2/09 FAA OBSERVER

NEW YORK

...BRONX COUNTY...
BRONX 6.0 907 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER

...KINGS COUNTY...
GRAVESEND 4.1 920 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER

...NASSAU COUNTY...
BALDWIN 3.8 900 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER
NEW HYDE PARK 3.6 830 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER
MINEOLA 3.5 815 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER
VALLEY STREAM 3.0 800 AM 2/09 SOCIAL MEDIA
OYSTER BAY 3.0 815 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER
EAST NORWICH 2.8 820 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER

...NEW YORK COUNTY...
CENTRAL PARK 2.0 700 AM 2/09 PARK SERVICE

...ORANGE COUNTY...
WARWICK 7.0 700 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
FIRTHCLIFFE 7.0 815 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
NEW WINDSOR 6.8 815 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
GOSHEN 6.0 800 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER
MIDDLETOWN 6.0 700 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER
CORNWALL ON HUDSON 5.0 800 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER
ORANGE LAKE 4.5 700 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER
MONROE 3.0 615 AM 2/09 SOCIAL MEDIA

...PUTNAM COUNTY...
COLD SPRING 3.8 859 AM 2/09 PUBLIC

...QUEENS COUNTY...
HOLLIS HILLS 4.0 845 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
WHITESTONE 3.0 830 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER
NYC/LA GUARDIA 1.5 700 AM 2/09 FAA OBSERVER
NYC/JFK AIRPORT 1.1 700 AM 2/09 FAA OBSERVER

...ROCKLAND COUNTY...
STONY POINT 3.8 815 AM 2/09 PUBLIC

...SUFFOLK COUNTY...
FARMINGVILLE 5.5 912 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER
SMITHTOWN 5.4 900 AM 2/09 SOCIAL MEDIA
NESCONSET 4.0 834 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
HAUPPAUGE 3.0 805 AM 2/09 NWS EMPLOYEE
EAST ISLIP 2.3 830 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER
MOUNT SINAI 2.0 600 AM 2/09 CO-OP OBSERVER
FLANDERS 2.0 830 AM 2/09 AMATEUR RADIO
MATTITUCK 1.5 700 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER
CENTEREACH 1.5 615 AM 2/09 NWS EMPLOYEE
ISLIP AIRPORT 1.3 700 AM 2/09 FAA OBSERVER

...WESTCHESTER COUNTY...
MOUNT KISCO 5.0 900 AM 2/09 PUBLIC
YONKERS 4.5 907 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER
HARRISON 4.5 908 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER
POUND RIDGE 4.0 830 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER
PEEKSKILL 3.8 815 AM 2/09 TRAINED SPOTTER


**********************24 HOUR SNOWFALL**********************

LOCATION 24 HOUR TIME/DATE COMMENTS
SNOWFALL OF
/INCHES/ MEASUREMENT

CONNECTICUT

...FAIRFIELD COUNTY...
4 NNE BETHEL 5.0 856 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
4 S STAMFORD 4.0 835 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
2 SSE RIDGEFIELD 3.5 800 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
4 E NEWTOWN 3.1 800 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
2 ENE NEW CANAAN 3.1 800 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
2 ENE DARIEN 2.8 750 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
ESE STRATFORD 2.5 700 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
5 SSW NEWTOWN 2.5 700 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
3 SSE BROOKFIELD 2.3 700 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
WNW STAMFORD 2.0 700 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
1 E BETHEL 2.0 700 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
3 NNW NORWALK 1.4 700 AM 2/09 COCORAHS

...MIDDLESEX COUNTY...
1 S PORTLAND 1.0 800 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
1 N WESTBROOK CENTER 1.0 700 AM 2/09 COCORAHS

...NEW HAVEN COUNTY...
1 SW PROSPECT 2.4 840 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
2 NW PROSPECT 1.8 700 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
2 E MILFORD 1.7 620 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
1 WNW MADISON CENTER 1.0 700 AM 2/09 COCORAHS

...NEW LONDON COUNTY...
2 ENE UNCASVILLE-OXO 1.0 747 AM 2/09 COCORAHS

NEW JERSEY

...BERGEN COUNTY...
1 SSE OAKLAND 3.5 800 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
1 W TENAFLY 2.5 730 AM 2/09 COCORAHS

...ESSEX COUNTY...
1 SE MAPLEWOOD TWP 1.8 700 AM 2/09 COCORAHS

...HUDSON COUNTY...
N HARRISON 2.0 800 AM 2/09 COCORAHS

...PASSAIC COUNTY...
1 WNW LITTLE FALLS T 2.4 700 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
1 SSE HAWTHORNE 2.0 700 AM 2/09 COCORAHS

...UNION COUNTY...
1 ESE NEW PROVIDENCE 2.0 700 AM 2/09 COCORAHS

NEW YORK

...NASSAU COUNTY...
ENE PLAINVIEW 3.0 800 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
1 ENE HICKSVILLE 2.6 700 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
SSE ALBERTSON 1.7 730 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
1 ESE FLORAL PARK 1.5 716 AM 2/09 COCORAHS

...PUTNAM COUNTY...
4 ESE BEACON 3.8 700 AM 2/09 COCORAHS
8 NE COLD SPRING 2.0 600 AM 2/09 COCORAHS

...QUEENS COUNTY...
1 SW MIDDLE VILLAGE 2.2 700 AM 2/09 COCORAHS

...RI
STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 01 FOR NORTHEAST U.S. WINTER STORM
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
1000 AM EST THU FEB 09 2017


Jersey in the lead.....

Excerpt:

...NEW JERSEY...
MONTAGUE TWP 3 WNW 10.2

AS THE LOW RAPIDLY DEEPENS AND MOVES UP THE NORTHEAST
COAST...HEAVY SNOWFALL WILL CONTINUE ACROSS PARTS OF THE NORTHEAST
TAPERING OFF FROM SOUTH TO NORTH BY TONIGHT. EXPECT ADDITIONAL
SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES FROM COASTAL NEW JERSEY
TO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF
THE NORTHEAST TODAY AND INTO TONIGHT AS THE LOW PULLS FURTHER AWAY
FROM THE COAST.
Snow report from my brother in Ohio ..21F with light snow falling. About 1-3 inches on the ground ...schools were delayed this morning
From @KeraunosObs via #NSWWeather: "Extreme heat in SE Australia: 48.3 C / 118.94 recorded in Tarcoola. New absolute and monthly records set."
Link
Suburbs Are Increasingly Threatened by Wildfires Due to Climate Change
Warmer winters, prolonged drought, and other effects of global warming multiply the threat of fire in these communities

In an analysis of more than 23 million fires, a study published this week in the journal Nature Ecology & Evolution finds a cluster of “economically and socially disastrous” fires, or megafires as they're sometimes called, have scorched suburban neighborhoods, especially across the western U.S. and southeastern Australia.
More communities could be at risk. Warmer and longer winters, prolonged drought, and other impacts from a changing climate could boost the number of days conducive to extreme fire events by 35 percent, the study found.
“The finding that climate change increases the seasonal windows of opportunities of high fire danger in the geographic areas where these fires become disasters suggests that climate change is a threat multiplier to the wicked fire problem that these communities face today,” said John Abatzoglou, a co-author of the study and associate professor at the University of Idaho.
Using MODIS satellite images, the authors created a global database of fire events that occurred between 2002 and 2013. Of the top 478 extreme wildfires — those that exhibited extreme behaviors, such as growing to massive sizes or burning hotter than expected — 30 percent were classified as “disasters,” in that they caused substantial economic or social harms.


Link
Quoting 149. LAbonbon:


Great piece. And I bookmarked that site :)

This and weathermanwannabe's recent mentions of Walden Pond and Thoreau got me thinking a bit. Many of us have likely read, and our views shaped by, works by naturalists and scientists. I'd be interested to know who are some favorites and what works are recommended.

Lots to choose from, but personally, I'd say Aldo Leopold, A Sand County Almanac, and several works by John McPhee (including Encounters with the Archdruid and Annals of the Former World).

Anyone feel like offering up some recommendations?


I'm a little late to reply to your request, so (not to clog-up the blog) I'll make any entries on my blog.
Can I expand the list beyond Naturalists and Scientists? I have inherited over ten thousand books from my late Father.
He was a real bibliophile! I have read a few dozen of them so far. ;^) I'm making a list on my blog. Anyone can contribute.
The authors then set out to determine why some extreme fires became disasters. Abatzoglou said they found abnormal weather and climate conditions were a driving factor in 96 percent of the extreme fires identified.

The link at 233

Quoting 234. ChiThom:



I'm a little late to reply to your request, so (not to clog-up the blog) I'll make any entries on my blog.
Can I expand the list beyond Naturalists and Scientists? I have inherited over ten thousand books from my late Father.
He was a real bibliophile! I have read a few dozen of them so far. ;^) I'm making a list on my blog. Anyone can contribute.



I used to belong to several books clubs (History and Science) in the 1980's and we always got the book of the month. One of my favorites was the "Celebrations of Life" book by scientist Rene Dubos............A great book and still on my shelf................He passed away in 1982 but a wonderful book by a scientist turned humanist.

Dr. Rene Dubos, a bacteriologist who brought a profound humanity to the study of man's harm to himself through environmental pollution, died yesterday morning at New York Hospital. It was his 81st birthday.

The French-born scientist, who was a professor emeritus at Rockefeller University, had entered the hospital at the beginning of the month. The cause of his death was given as heart failure.

In recent years Dr. Dubos had given up his laboratory work in bacteria and other human pathogens to devote full time to lecturing and writing in behalf of the human environment. He was the author of 20 books including ''So Human an Animal,'' which won a Pulitzer Prize for nonfiction in 1969. His last book, ''Celebrations of Life,'' was published last fall.

Dr. Dubos was of that breed of scientist, more common in Europe than in the United States, who believe that a researcher must reach outside his specialty to make his work and particular view of life accessible to educated people. He was tireless in books, essays, interviews and speeches in setting down what he liked to call his theology of life on earth. A 'Despairing Optimist'

Energy Minister Tom Koutsantonis said Pelican Point's second generation unit had been turned on, action the government argues could have been taken to avoid Wednesday's blackouts.

Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull described the latest SA power crisis as a disgrace and again pointed the finger at the state's heavy reliance on renewables.

Federal Environment Minister Josh Frydenberg said SA's energy grid was a basket case and the state government's incompetence had subjected consumers to third-world conditions.

Premier Jay Weatherill said South Australians were fed up with a lack of action from the federal government to fix the national electricity market and the government would take dramatic action to take control of the state's energy future.


Read more at Link
From the end of the previous blog post:
Quoting 187. NativeSun:

So who would of thought it, NOAA or other agencies manipulating data, so they can receive funding from the government. If the data shows the oceans, or atmosphere are cooling this doesn't go along with the agenda, and I wonder what would happen to there funding.

I have to ask you do you think we wouldn't bother studying the climate if AGW wasn't a thing? Don't you think the knowledge we gain studying climate is valuable regardless of what we discover? Most of the big expenditures would still be necessary regardless of what is found, the cost of making, launching and collecting the data from satellites and the cost of supercomputers to help analyze the data. Would you prefer that we were blind to what's coming down the road in terms of climate because what they've found doesn't fit your world view? That just seems like a recipe for getting blind sided by climate change regardless of whether it's natural or anthropogenic.
Now I have to pull the book out again tonight to see if he mentioned anything about C02 back in 81 as a harmful pollutant.........................
The past is irrelevant as to where we are today.....

The warming continues,,...

unabated.


SA power crisis: Will there be more blackouts?

Power deliberately cut amid heatwave
Analysis: Someone needs to lose their job
Weather: Adelaide hit 42C — and Moomba 46C
Gallery: How South Australians are coping with the heatwave
How the State Government plans to fix our energy crisis


Link
So, South Australia has rolling blackouts to the tune of 90,000 customers during a heatwave .
And : " Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull described the latest SA power crisis as a disgrace and again pointed the finger at the state's heavy reliance on renewables."

But the grid operator never called the nat gas "peaking plant" at Pelican Point for it to be started .

This quacks, and walks like a duck called Eron.


JeffMasters has created a new entry.
To expand on your observation that at 1 am EST Tuesday morning SPC was showing only a “Slight” chance of severe weather over south Louisiana.....on Monday evening when we went to bed the latest SPC Convective Outlook for Tuesday (issued at 1:36 PM CST Monday) only had us with a "Marginal" risk!