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Deadly tornadoes rip OK, KS, and AR; high tornado risk today; Joplin tornado an EF-5

By: Dr. Jeff Masters, 1:48 PM GMT on May 25, 2011

America's deadliest tornado season since 1953 continued its relentless onslaught of violent tornadoes yesterday. Numerous destructive and deadly tornadoes raked Oklahoma, Texas, Kansas, and Arkansas, killing at least nine people. Yesterday's deadliest tornado hit El Reno and Piedmont, Oklahoma, about 30 miles to the west and northwest of Oklahoma City. Four people died, and one child is missing. Video of the damage from this tornado near the town of Piedmont shot by a news9.com helicopter shows damage characteristic of an EF-4 tornado, with many homes completely demolished and swept off their foundations. This tornado produced a wind gust of 151 mph at an Oklahoma Mesonet station in El Reno, Oklahoma.


Figure 1. Radar reflectivity image of the supercell thunderstorm that spawned the Piedmont, Oklahoma tornado that killed at least four people about 30 miles northwest of Oklahoma City.


Figure 2. Doppler velocity image of the supercell thunderstorm that spawned the Piedmont, Oklahoma tornado.


Figure 3. Top wind gusts recorded by the Oklahoma Mesonet yesterday showed that over 2/3 of the state received gusts of 40 mph or greater, and ten stations got gusts in excess of 58 mph (the definition of a severe thunderstorm.) A remarkable gust of 151 mph was recorded in El Reno, about 30 miles west of Oklahoma City.


Video 1. Chase video of the 1/2-mile wide tornado that killed four people in Canadian/Caddo Counties about 30 miles northwest of Oklahoma City on Tuesday, May 24, 2011.

Joplin, Missouri got a scare last night when Doppler radar showed a rotating thunderstorm approaching the city from the southwest. A tornado warning was issued and the sirens sounded, but the storm passed just to the northwest of the city, bringing Joplin only heavy rains, wind gusts to 41 mph, and intense lightning. A tornado warning forced the evacuation of NOAA's Storm Prediction Center (SPC) in Norman Oklahoma late yesterday afternoon, and the center was out of commission for a 50-minute period. However, yesterday's dangerous tornadoes missed the most heavily populated areas of Oklahoma, and SPC was able to resume normal activity after the storms cleared Oklahoma City. The center logged 47 reports of tornadoes yesterday, bringing the preliminary 4-day total of the current outbreak to 153 twisters. With more tornadoes expected today over a wide swath of the country from Arkansas to Ohio, this week's tornado outbreak is likely to rank as one of the top ten tornado outbreaks in history. This year already has the two largest tornado outbreaks in history, the April 25 - 28 outbreak (327 tornadoes) and the April 14 - 16 outbreak (162 tornadoes.)

This year's tornado death toll is in the 495 - 499 range, making it the deadliest year for tornadoes in the U.S. since 1953, when 519 people died. That year, three heavily populated cities received direct hits by violent tornadoes. Waco, Texas (114 killed), Flint, Michigan (115 killed), and Worcester, Massachusetts (90 killed) all were hit by violent F-4 or F-5 tornadoes. A similar bad tornado year occurred in 1936, when violent tornadoes hit Tupelo Mississippi (216 killed), and Gainesville, Georgia (203 killed.)


Figure 4. Satellite image taken at 22:32 UTC (6:32pm EDT) May 24, 2011, showing a line of tornadic thunderstorms over Oklahoma, Texas, and Kansas. Image credit: NASA/GSFC.


Figure 5. Radar image of an unusual "J"-shaped tendril emerging from a tornadic thunderstorm near Dallas, Texas. This storm had unusually high radar reflectivity (note the pink colors of 70 dbZ echoes), because of large hail in the storm. This thunderstorm produced softball-sized hail (4.5 inch diameter.)


Video 2. Chase video of several Oklahoma tornadoes intercepted yesterday by Reed Timmer of tornadovideos.net.

The Joplin tornado an EF-5, and the costliest tornado in history
The Springfield, Missouri office of the National Weather Service announced yesterday that storm surveys of the 7-mile long, 3/4 mile-wide path of damage carved by the Joplin tornado revealed that winds in the violent tornado exceeded 200 mph, making it the 4th EF-5 tornado of the year. The twister roared through Joplin beginning at 5:41pm CDT on Sunday, May 22. In nine terrifying minutes, the tornado killed at least 125 people, injured 750 more, and destroyed 2,000 buildings. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center (SPC) rates this year's Joplin tornado as the 8th deadliest U.S. tornado of all-time, and the deadliest since at least 1947, when a violent F-5 tornado hit Woodward, Oklahoma, killing 181.

Catastrophe risk modeling firm EQECAT said yesterday that insured damages from the Joplin tornado could be between $1 billion and $3 billion dollars. According to NOAA's National Severe Storm Laboratory, the costliest tornado between 1890 - 1999 was the May 3, 1999 Oklahoma City tornado, which did $1 billion in damage (1999 dollars.) There were no tornadoes during the period 2000 - 2010 capable of causing $1 billion in damage; the only two EF-5 tornadoes during that period, the 2007 Greensburg, Kansas tornado and the 2008 Parkersburg, Iowa tornado each did less than $300 million in damage. Thus, with the possible exception of this year's Tuscaloosa-Birmingham tornado of April 27, the Joplin tornado is probably the most damaging tornado of all-time.

Another "High Risk" day for severe weather and violent tornadoes today
The Storm Prediction Center has placed portions of seven states, from Arkansas to Indiana, in their "High Risk" region for severe weather potential, and warn of the potential for long-lived strong or violent tornadoes. This is their second consecutive "High Risk" forecast day, and fourth of the year. A high risk forecast was also issued on April 27, which was the busiest tornado day in world history, with 198 tornadoes occurring in a 24-hour period. Over 300 people died. The other "High Risk" forecast by SPC came during the final day of the April 14 - 16 outbreak over the Southeast U.S. Fifty-two tornadoes hit that day, and 26 people died in North Carolina and Virginia. The severe weather threat will diminish considerably on Thursday, when only a slight risk of severe weather is expected from Alabama to New York.


Figure 5. Severe weather threat for Wednesday, May 25, 2011.

Joplin tornado the 7th U.S. billion-dollar weather disaster of 2011
The Joplin tornado is the 7th U.S. weather disaster of 2011 costing more than a billion dollars. With hurricane season still to come, 2011 has an excellent chance of beating 2008's record of nine billion-dollar weather disasters. The billion dollar weather disasters of 2011 so far:

1) 2011 Groundhog Day's blizzard ($1- $4 billion)
2) April 3 -5 Southeast U.S. severe weather outbreak ($2 billion)
3) April 8 - 11 severe weather outbreak ($2.25 billion)
4) April 25 - 28 super tornado outbreak ($3.5 - $6 billion)
5) Mississippi River flood of 2011 ($9 billion)
6) Texas drought ($1.2 billion)
7) Joplin tornado ($1 - $3 billion)

Links
The New York Times has an interactive tornado fatality map showing how this year's killer tornadoes have mostly clustered over the Southeast U.S., with the glaring exception of the Joplin, Missouri tornado.

NOAA's Visualization Laboratory has an impressive animation of the satellite imagery during the month of April, showing the locations of all the tornadoes as they happened.

Helping out tornado victims
For those who want to lend a helping hand to those impacted by the widespread destruction this month's severe weather has brought, stop by the Red Cross website, or portlight.org blog. Portlight has been very active bringing aid to the victims of this year's tornadoes.

Jeff Masters

joplin lightning
joplin lightning
The storm in Joplin Mo. before destruction
Tornado
Tornado
Tornado near Okeene, Ok
Much clearer view of it as it roped out
Much clearer view of it as it roped out

Tornado

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

Reader Comments

Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Just saying...if it were up to me (which it definitely isn't) I would have left today as a Moderate risk for Severe weather instead of a High risk...just doesn't have High risk quality storms and reports today.


They don't know that at 6am, main.

BTW - day ain't over yet.
Quoting VAbeachhurricanes:


you are obviously doing it to spark controversy, I stood up for you yesterday. Please stop today.
allahda crazies in the world
Quoting pottery:

???
There have been Tornadoes all over the place today....
That seems to vindicate a "high risk" call, if you ask me.


I'm just saying i've been through many High risk days, and this just doesn't seem like one to me even though there have been many many tornado warnings.
http://news.yahoo.com/video/oklahomacity-koco-18229 979/tractor-trailer-destroyed-by-tornado-25339114
This guy is very lucky he didn't get seriously hurt!
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
allahda crazies in the world


now hes a christian apparently...
4 1/2 inch hail south end of St Louis, MO.
Quoting beell:


MrMixon, I'll make a quick try at it.

Your correct about the precip and severe weather associated with the big upper low and the spiral bands of convection.

There is also a surface low underneath the upper system and extending to its east, a warm front boundary separating the warm moist air from the cooler and dryer air. As the warm, moist air from the Gulf of Mexico gets drawn north it gets a boost (lift) when it meet the warm front-almost like air forced to rise because of terrain (another kind of lift). More thunder and rain results from this somewhat abrupt lifting.

Part of this same warm, moist air continues to track to the north across the boundary and will usually start to make a gentle left turn in response to the lower pressure to its west. The properties of this airmass are much different than the air it has just lifted over. If unique airmasses can, they will try to not mix with an airmass that has different properties (temperature, density, moisture, etc). This air is still ascending a slope but one that is a much more gentle upglide. At some point it cools enough from the ascent for the remaining moisture to be squeezed out. Quite a bit different than the convective process where surface air is rudely yanked up 40-50,000 ft! This used to be called "overunning". The most explicit term nowdays is "Isentropic Lift". Today, this moisture is reaching saturation over MN and MI.


Well, that's an answer that's going to require some chewing before I can swallow and digest it. I gotta get home now before the wife starts wondering about me... but I appreciate the detailed response and will give it another read when I can pull up the wundermap and switch on the relevant layers to accompany the reading.

This group continues to be awesome. I'm so glad there are a handful of folks out there who'd rather do this than watch American Idol. :)

KCF is definitely a troll.
Quoting VAbeachhurricanes:


now hes a christian apparently...
i don't really care what he is just acting all stupid is proof of what he is trying too do and thats disrupt the board
Lawerence County repeter, Bedford
Link
Response to tornado touchdown
Quoting Skyepony:
4 1/2 inch hail south end of St Louis, MO.

Wow!!
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
i don't really care what he is just acting all stupid is proof of what he is trying too do and thats disrupt the board


Yet here you guys are feeding him? Ironic that, eh?

Sorry Keeper, I respect you and all, but just like you ignore JFV, ignore this guy if you think he is causing trouble. Not hard.
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:


I'm just saying i've been through many High risk days, and this just doesn't seem like one to me even though there have been many many tornado warnings.


Well if you compare it to others this year, at this point it might not be as bad but this is certainly reminiscent to some of the "worst" of last year. The thing is these are quick spin up tornadoes and lately we have only seen long track multi-vortex storms.
Quoting KoritheMan:


Yet here you guys are feeding him? Ironic that, eh?

Sorry Keeper, I respect you and all, but just like you ignore JFV, ignore this guy if you think he is causing trouble. Not hard.
You're right.
Bedford sounds like it got hit bad, and that was nasty radar signature on that one I knew there was trouble when I saw it move through.
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:


I'm just saying i've been through many High risk days, and this just doesn't seem like one to me even though there have been many many tornado warnings.

Well one of us is mis-interpreting "high risk of severe weather".
I would have thought that statement means that there is a strong possibility of severe weather.
And there has indeed been severe weather.
It does not matter whether there were 4 storms or 40.
Or whether they were F0 or F5.

The statement said there was a high risk, and it proved to be true.
Bedford Tornado moving over Interstate 65 towards Hope, Indiana...

Live feed of the California tornadoes. Supercell headed towards Chico, CA, two tornadoes confirmed already.

Live feed: http://www.fox40.com/news/livechannel/
Quoting KoritheMan:


Yet here you guys are feeding him? Ironic that, eh?

Sorry Keeper, I respect you and all, but just like you ignore JFV, ignore this guy if you think he is causing trouble. Not hard.
o he is on ignore already i cannot see him i was responsing to VA and some of the quoted comments i have seen
Quoting twincomanche:
KCF is definitely a troll.
Would you like it fried or extra crispy?(Space Jam).
Multiple injuries and extensive damage in Bedford, Indiana.
Any talk on this upcoming hurricane season? Any opinions on when the first named storm 'Arlene' will come up?
Quoting Titoxd:
Live feed of the California tornadoes. Supercell headed towards Chico, CA, two tornadoes confirmed already.

Live feed: http://www.fox40.com/news/livechannel/
I don't even see any weather boxes for CA. Sure you're not smoking something? Are you sure this is not a virtual tornado situation because someone else is getting attention instead of CA?
Tornado watch boxes from Louisiana to Michigan. Has that ever happened before?
527. beell
507. MrMixon 12:42 AM GMT on May 26, 2011

Well, that's an answer that's going to require some chewing before I can swallow and digest it. I gotta get home now before the wife starts wondering about me... but I appreciate the detailed response and will give it another read when I can pull up the wundermap and switch on the relevant layers to accompany the reading.

This group continues to be awesome. I'm so glad there are a handful of folks out there who'd rather do this than watch American Idol. :)

Hang around here long enough and the digestion gets easier. No rush!
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
o he is on ignore already i cannot see him i was responsing to VA and some of the quoted comments i have seen


Yes, but by doing that, you are still effectively feeding him, because he can see your comments, even if you can no longer see his.
Quoting KrippleCreekFerry:
Tornado watch boxes from Louisiana to Michigan. Has that ever happened before?


I've seen it a bunch of times.
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #45
TYPHOON SONGDA (T1102)
9:00 AM JST May 26 2011
==================================

SUBJECT: Category Four Typhoon In Sea East Of Philippines

At 0:00 AM UTC, Typhoon Songda (940 hPa) located at 14.7N 126.4E has 10 minute sustained winds of 95 knots with gusts of 135 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving northwest at 10 knots.

Storm Force Winds
==================
70 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
===============
160 NM from the center

Dvorak Intensity: T6.0

Forecast And Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 17.8N 124.9E - 95 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon)
48 HRS: 21.7N 124.8E - 90 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon)
72 HRS: 27.2N 129.5E - 70 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon)

Additional Information
======================
Quoting hurricaneben:
Any talk on this upcoming hurricane season? Any opinions on when the first named storm 'Arlene' will come up?
Well according to the dude who does crown weather he thinks the first storm will appear sometime around late May till early June.I think this season will be active.And lookingg at the sst they don't look that different then compared to next year.Except for the coast of africa.I belive storms will form closer to land.Meaning an increased chance of U.S and northern carribean nations.
533. beell
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
540 PM PDT WED MAY 25 2011

CAC007-021-260115-
/O.CON.KSTO.TO.W.0004.000000T0000Z-110526T0115Z/
GLENN CA-BUTTE CA-
540 PM PDT WED MAY 25 2011

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM PDT FOR WEST
CENTRAL BUTTE AND EAST CENTRAL GLENN COUNTIES...

AT 532 PM PDT...DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A TORNADO ON THE
GROUND. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED 5 MILES EAST OF ORDBEND...OR 11
MILES SOUTHWEST OF CHICO...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH. A SECOND TORNADO
IS 3 MILES SOUTH OF ORD BEND AND MOVING TO THE EAST AT 15 MPH.

THESE STORMS HAVE A HISTORY OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. ADDITIONALLY...
THESE STORMS ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZED HAIL.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO DAYTON
AND DURHAM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

&&

LAT...LON 3979 12187 3956 12179 3952 12213 3969 12219
TIME...MOT...LOC 0037Z 251DEG 13KT 3966 12194
Quoting washingtonian115:
Would you like it fried or extra crispy?(Space Jam).



LOL LOL LOL
Quoting hurricaneben:
Any talk on this upcoming hurricane season? Any opinions on when the first named storm 'Arlene' will come up?
maybe by next weekend between the 3rd and the 6th
Quoting hurricaneben:
Any talk on this upcoming hurricane season? Any opinions on when the first named storm 'Arlene' will come up?


I would rather minimize the tropics talk as much as possible for now, so that we do not divert our attention away from the ongoing severe weather in the central plains/midwest.

However, I will say that the GFS has been consistent in developing a large tropical cyclone in the eastern Caribbean during the first couple days of June. Upper-level winds are forecast to begin improving in that general area soon, and because the potential system will be moving parallel to the upper flow, the ordinarily destructive southwesterly shear will not have a detrimental impact on the development of this system.

I'm still a bit skeptical myself, because I don't see any entities that would initiate tropical cyclogenesis in this area; my guess is, it will come from the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ), which may lift northward over the coming days in response to the next upward pulse of the MJO. It does not appear that a tropical wave will assist in this scenario; indeed, barring a 1010 mb low currently sitting over Senegal, I see no potential candidate for a tropical wave.

Still, it bears watching, given how consistent the GFS has been with this, especially when you consider the fact that upper-level winds should improve. As for track, the GFS wants to bring it across eastern Hispaniola or Puerto Rico, and then eject it out to sea. We shall see.
Tornado now heading directly into Hope:

Quoting twincomanche:
I don't even see any weather boxes for CA. Sure you're not smoking something? Are you sure this is not a virtual tornado situation because someone else is getting attention instead of CA?


There is a tornado warning in CA...why are you being so rude?
Quoting twincomanche:
We shall see. They need FEMA money for their prison system. LOL.




your not being funny



you been POOFED
Quoting twincomanche:
Oh just because everything about CA is so so dramatic.
Hollywood much?
546. mbjjm
Quoting MrstormX:
Massive Tornado on the Ground, Live Chase

which chaser?
Quoting hurricaneben:
Any talk on this upcoming hurricane season? Any opinions on when the first named storm 'Arlene' will come up?
....later 1/2 of june imo,sheers way to prominant across over the basin as tutt rules for now...
Quoting mbjjm:

which chaser?


B.A.M., they pulled off it for a minute and should get one more good look before nightfall.
if someone has time and wouldnt mind teaching me how to upload pictures I would really appreciate it
Quoting KoritheMan:


I would rather minimize the tropics talk as much as possible for now, so that we do not divert our attention away from the ongoing severe weather in the central plains/midwest.

However, I will say that the GFS has been consistent in developing a large tropical cyclone in the eastern Caribbean during the first couple days of June. Upper-level winds are forecast to begin improving in that general area soon, and because the potential system will be moving parallel to the upper flow, the ordinarily destructive southwesterly shear will not have a detrimental impact on the development of this system.

I'm still a bit skeptical myself, because I don't see any entities that would initiate tropical cyclogenesis in this area; my guess is, it will come from the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ), which may lift northward over the coming days in response to the next upward pulse of the MJO. It does not appear that a tropical wave will assist in this scenario; indeed, barring a 1010 mb low currently sitting over Senegal, I see no potential candidate for a tropical wave.

Still, it bears watching, given how consistent the GFS has been with this, especially when you consider the fact that upper-level winds should improve. As for track, the GFS wants to bring it across eastern Hispaniola or Puerto Rico, and then eject it out to sea. We shall see.
....limit the amount of tropical weather talk on a tropical weather blog???..am i missing something??,lol
Quoting twincomanche:
In the morning if there is any news of damage or injuries in CA I will apologize for being rude, but I always feel like they just can't stand being upstaged by events in flyover country.


listen there are 2 tornado reports w/ damage reports why wont you believe it tonight with damage reports but will believe it in the morning?
Here is that tornado that B.A.M was chasing. The best one on radar so far today (Long track). Shows up very nicely on Level II Radar. Possible debris ball signature as well.
On the right ----> side of this page

How to start your own blog, and add blog images and links
Quoting stillwaiting:
....limit the amount of tropical weather talk on a tropical weather blog???..am i missing something??,lol


I mean it's not really a tropical weather blog, Masters barely even mentioned anything tropical it was all severe weather...that being said I think anybody should be able to talk about any weather event freely, it's the troll talk that needs to be avoided.
Quoting Thundercloud01221991:


listen there are 2 tornado reports w/ damage reports why wont you believe it tonight with damage reports but will believe it in the morning?
They are where?
Quoting Smikey:
Here is that tornado that B.A.M was chasing. The best one on radar so far today (Long track). Shows up very nicely on Level II Radar. Possible debris ball signature as well.


Yeah apparently lots of injuries thus far according to local media, and the spc storm reports seem to show that it could be a long track wedge.
Quoting MrstormX:


I mean it's not really a tropical weather blog, Masters barely even mentioned anything tropical it was all severe weather...that being said I think anybody should be able to talk about any weather event freely, it's the troll talk that needs to be avoided.
+1
561. DEKRE
Quoting MrMixon:
I've been trying (without luck) to find a radar image big enough to show this entire system.


Link
Severe Thunderstorm warnings in SE Texas
Quoting twincomanche:
They are where?


Here: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/today.html

Look towards the bottom of the Tornado reports
Quoting stillwaiting:
....limit the amount of tropical weather talk on a tropical weather blog???..am i missing something??,lol


I am not trying to police anybody here. Remember though, there are people whose families are being affected by the severe weather, and they try and come here for information. If the only discussion is tropical weather, how will they ever find that information?


If you may be color blind (this image is always available so I dont know why you insist on arguing) the dots in CA are tornado reports. Here is the text that goes with them:

0018 2 S HAMILTON CITY GLENN CA 3971 12201 GLENN COUNTY SHERIFF REPORTED A TORNADO JUST SOUTH OF HAMILTON CITY.

0012 1 ENE WILLOWS GLENN CA 3952 12218 GLENN COUNTY SHERIFF REPORTED A TORNADO NORTHEAST OF WILLOWS NEAR COUNTY ROAD 36 AND U STREET. (STO)

Obviously it is important enough for the Storm Prediction Center to add them to there maps (they are in Oklahoma [there goes your conspiracy theory])
Tornado approaching Interstate 74 based on Doppler, trying to connect to EMS coverage.
Quoting KrippleCreekFerry:
I helped you with your headaches last year and now you assume I am the T word.


Kerry, I never, explicitly or implicitly, claimed you were a troll. I was speaking from Keeper's point of view, not my own.
SEARCH & RESCUE
05/25/11 20:38 (BEDFORD - ) TORNADO JUST HIT AREA, MULTIPLE STRUCTURES HIT, CONFIRMED VICTIMS TRAPPED, MULTIPLE INJS, FIRE DEPARTMENT ON SCENE [ILL113]

Link
ok thanks Patrap
Quoting MrstormX:


I mean it's not really a tropical weather blog, Masters barely even mentioned anything tropical it was all severe weather...that being said I think anybody should be able to talk about any weather event freely, it's the troll talk that needs to be avoided.
Lets see. You can't mention God. You can't talk about the tropics. Everybody ignores each other. Is this a blog anymore?
TYPHOON SONGDA

EXPLODED INTO A MAJOR TYPHOON IN A SHORT PERIOD YESTERDAY.SHIPPING IN THE AREA IS WARNED TO RETURN TO PORT. WAVE HEIGHTS EXPECTED TO BE 50FT NEAR THE EYE WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 160MPH.

MAY YET REACH SUPER TYPHOON STATUS WITH BOTH HIGH POLAR OUTPUT LOW WIND SHEAR AND HIGH SSTS.
EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTH OVER THE NEXT 2 DAYS.
Quoting Smikey:


Here: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/today.html

Look towards the bottom of the Tornado reports
I repeat I will apologize if I read anything about damage or injury. The stuff going on in the South and Midwest is real stuff. Sorry if I am rude.
570. WDEmobmet


The only thing about posting Utubes here are to be sure to use the old embed codes and bypass the image box in comments and post directly.


576. xcool
NWS Tallahassee AFD about next week with this upper level feature near FL.


THE FORECAST DETAILS BECOME A BIT MORE TRICKY BY THE END OF THE
WEEKEND...AND ESPECIALLY DURING THE EARLY PORTION OF NEXT WEEK. A
PIECE OF THE ENERGY ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEPARTING TROUGH IS FORECAST
TO BE LEFT BEHIND AND CLOSE OFF TO OUR SOUTHEAST TOWARD SOUTH FL OR
THE BAHAMAS DURING THE WEEKEND. HOWEVER...GLOBAL GUIDANCE IS NOT IN
COMPLETE AGREEMENT AS TO THE EVOLUTION OF THIS ENERGY. LATEST GFS IS
FAVORING A STRONGER UPPER RIDGE AXIS OVER THE SE STATES AND AS A
RESULT FORCING MUCH OF THIS ENERGY TO STAY EAST OF THE FL PENINSULA
(AT LEAST THROUGH MONDAY). ECMWF ON THE OTHER HAND IS MORE AGGRESSIVE
IN ALLOWING THIS ENERGY TO CUT-OFF AND DRIFT BACK WESTWARD INTO THE
GULF OF MEXICO. IF THIS WERE TO VERIFY...IT COULD ENHANCE THE
POTENTIAL FOR SEA-BREEZE GENERATED CONVECTION. THIS SOLUTION WOULD
ALSO RESULT IN MORE DIURNAL CLOUD-COVER FOR OUR REGION...AND
SLIGHTLY COOLER DAYTIME TEMPERATURES. FOR NOW...WILL NOT BITE OFF ON
THE ECMWF SOLUTION AND WILL LEAN THE FORECAST CLOSER TO THE 00Z
CANADIAN WHICH ISN`T AS STRONG WITH THE RIDGE OVERHEAD AS THE
GFS...BUT ALSO NOT AS AGGRESSIVE WITH THE UPPER LOW.
Quoting WDEmobmet:
if someone has time and wouldnt mind teaching me how to upload pictures I would really appreciate it


Just type (img src[equal sign][URL]).

Replace the parentheses with lesser than and greater than signs, respectively. Also, don't use any spaces. Do precisely as I illustrated above.
High risk was downgraded to a moderate risk.
People being air-evaced from Bedford
is there a rating for the El Reno Tornaod yet?
Quoting Speeky:
is there a rating for the El Reno Tornaod yet?


Not an official one, but a preliminary one. Its final rating will likely be an EF-3 or EF-4.
Quoting KoritheMan:


I would rather minimize the tropics talk as much as possible for now, so that we do not divert our attention away from the ongoing severe weather in the central plains/midwest.

However, I will say that the GFS has been consistent in developing a large tropical cyclone in the eastern Caribbean during the first couple days of June. Upper-level winds are forecast to begin improving in that general area soon, and because the potential system will be moving parallel to the upper flow, the ordinarily destructive southwesterly shear will not have a detrimental impact on the development of this system.

I'm still a bit skeptical myself, because I don't see any entities that would initiate tropical cyclogenesis in this area; my guess is, it will come from the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ), which may lift northward over the coming days in response to the next upward pulse of the MJO. It does not appear that a tropical wave will assist in this scenario; indeed, barring a 1010 mb low currently sitting over Senegal, I see no potential candidate for a tropical wave.

Still, it bears watching, given how consistent the GFS has been with this, especially when you consider the fact that upper-level winds should improve. As for track, the GFS wants to bring it across eastern Hispaniola or Puerto Rico, and then eject it out to sea. We shall see.


Okay...thanks. I understand the lack of tropical talk because of all this messy terrible weather going on up near Missouri, I hope we don't have any other tornado with the intensity, power, destruction and fatality amount that the Joplin tornado did.
Quoting Speeky:
is there a rating for the El Reno Tornaod yet?

Preliminary rating of EF3. May have been stronger.
KoritheMan, sorry, misunderstanding.

Some like to throw around the T word just like some do with the N word.
First Image from Bedford

I live in SW Ohio and there is a good chance of possible tornadoes tonight.
I don't like the way this year has been going...

1.) We've had a really bad winter

2.) Really bad floods

3.) Really bad tornadoes

Makes you wonder, will our hurricane season be really bad too?
That Long track from Bedford is still showing strong on radar: Rushville looks to be just slightly to the north.

Correction it may now be dissipating

Quoting Ameister12:
I live in SW Ohio and there is a good chance of possible tornadoes tonight.
So far tonight this seems to be settling down to your good old fashion Midwestern thunderstorms. Let's hope it stays that way.
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #45
TYPHOON SONGDA (T1102)
9:00 AM JST May 26 2011
==================================

Typhoon will move at the same speed for the next 48 hours then accelerate

Typhoon will move northwest for the next 23 hours then gradually move to the north

Typhoon will keep present intensity for the next 24 hours

Final Dvorak T Number will increase to 6.5 after 24 hours
Quoting twincomanche:
So far tonight this seems to be settling down to your good old fashion Midwestern thunderstorms. Let's hope it stays that way.
Or maybe not.
http://www.kcra.com/video/28028033/detail.html

Tornado in California...only 6:40 pm there.
Quoting twincomanche:
So far tonight this seems to be settling down to your good old fashion Midwestern thunderstorms. Let's hope it stays that way.

Looks like more of a damaging wind threat, but the squall lines can still produce tornadoes and this one looks very strong.
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
http://www.kcra.com/video/28028033/detail.html

Tornado in California...only 6:40 pm there.
Oooh!
what ever happens we will most likely have a storm in the Western/Southwestern Caribbean between this Weekend and next weeksend
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
I don't like the way this year has been going...

1.) We've had a really bad winter

2.) Really bad floods

3.) Really bad tornadoes

Makes you wonder, will our hurricane season be really bad too?


Dont forget the big drought in some parts of the U.S like in Texas.
Quoting wunderkidcayman:
what ever happens we will most likely have a storm in the Western/Southwestern Caribbean between this Weekend and next weeksend


No. The GFS has been developing Arlene in the eastern Caribbean. The upper flow is simply too strong (and zonal) across that area of the Caribbean, even if it is lessening.
coverage of california tornados

Link
Beautiful Typhoon...just beautiful
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
I don't like the way this year has been going...

1.) We've had a really bad winter

2.) Really bad floods

3.) Really bad tornadoes

Makes you wonder, will our hurricane season be really bad too?
I've been thinking that to.AND! also I noticed that in active tornadoe years the U.S that same year has seen multiple tropical cyclone hits.....2003..2004..2008...1974...oh the list goes on..Maybe a small correlation?
605. srada
Tornado reported near Popular Bluff, MO..and guess who is in Popular..Cantore..
Quoting srada:
Tornado reported near Popular Bluff, MO..and guess who is in Popular..Cantore..



no warnings in MO...
609. srada
Quoting VAbeachhurricanes:



no warnings in MO...


TWC just said it..LOL
Quoting srada:
Tornado reported near Popular Bluff, MO..and guess who is in Popular..Cantore..


That was hours ago
I'm sorry to be repetitive, but I was wondering if anyone could tell me how bad they think Ohio in Dayton/Greenville area will be. There is already hail and storms and I have family there who have never been in a tornado. Can anyone please tell me if they think it will get worse and/or around what time? I'm just really worried. Thank you so much.
Quoting srada:


TWC just said it..LOL

all the warnings are over, the watches are even over.
idk what they are hearing...
613. srada
Quoting emcf30:


That was hours ago


Oh okay..I must have caught an old news stream..thanks
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
858 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EASTERN DAVIESS COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL 930 PM CDT.

* AT 855 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD
NEAR OWENSBORO...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH. TRANSFORMER FLASHES
HAVE BEEN SEEN AND DEBRIS HAS BEEN SPOTTED IN THE AIR..

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
OWENSBORO...
MASONVILLE...
KNOTTSVILLE...

Quoting messageinabottle:
I'm sorry to be repetitive, but I was wondering if anyone could tell me how bad they think Ohio in Dayton/Greenville area will be. There is already hail and storms and I have family there who have never been in a tornado. Can anyone please tell me if they think it will get worse and/or around what time? I'm just really worried. Thank you so much.
Tornado watch until five AM. No active warnings but vigilance is suggested. Wish there was better news however I would stay alert. These storms have not been kind to us.
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
900 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN BOLIVAR COUNTY IN NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF SHAW...
CENTRAL SUNFLOWER COUNTY IN NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF RULEVILLE...

* UNTIL 945 PM CDT

* AT 900 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 6 MILES WEST OF
SHAW MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
BOYLE...SUNFLOWER AND BLAINE

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT A TORNADO IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. YOU
SHOULD ACTIVATE YOUR TORNADO ACTION PLAN AND TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTION
NOW.

IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
QUARTER TO GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS
IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH!


TERRACANE!

I want to coin the name and call such extreme land crossing low pressure systems "terracanes". This would include blizzards and nor'easters in the winter and severe tornadic systems (such as this current one) during the spring.

The scale of intensity for these lows could be contigent on non-tornadic atmospheric pressure in the "eye" center of the storm, wind predictions, water vapor and convective outlooks.

Terracane season would be opposite from hurricane season - Nov 1 - June 1.

'Cane season all year long!

Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington Ohio
953 PM EDT Wednesday may 25 2011


Synopsis...
active weather pattern with potential for severe storms will
continue through Thursday as strong trough of low pressure
continues to move slowly northeast through the Great Lakes. This
will be followed by a pattern change with a large eastern United
States ridge of high pressure...and western United States low
pressure. This will bring a significant warming trend to the Ohio
Valley through the Holiday weekend...and a chance to dry out.


&&


Near term /until 5 am Thursday morning/...
lewp with embedded rotating storms will push into County Warning Area later
tonight. Damaging winds are pretty much a foregone conclusion with
this storm type. The airmass ahead of it...particularly south of
I-71 between cvg and cmh has not been worked over this evening.
This will keep a good batch of available moisture and unstable middle
levels to be entrained into the squall line. This might actually
help the line to speed up.


Will issue a new set of zones at 10 to allow the watch over the
east and southeast to expire...and the far northwest in the colder
stratified air. Eastern County Warning Area may need an expanded watch early this
morning if the line holds up...but I see the main threat as
damaging winds.
Quoting twincomanche:
Tornado watch until five AM. No active warnings but vigilance is suggested. Wish there was better news however I would stay alert.



Thank u for responding. I appreciate it
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
High risk was downgraded to a moderate risk.
been off my blog header for awhile now its a good thing it has passed still heavy t storms rain wind hail but settling down
Quoting srada:


Oh okay..I must have caught an old news stream..thanks


I finally turned it off, there were tornados with debris balls on them tearing stuff up and all they were showing was him. It was a very brief touchdown.
Quoting BarometerGirl:


TERRACANE!

I want to coin the name and call such extreme land crossing low pressure systems "terracanes". This would include blizzards and nor'easters in the winter and severe tornadic systems (such as this current one) during the spring.

The scale of intensity for these lows could be contigent on non-tornadic atmospheric pressure in the "eye" center of the storm, wind predictions, water vapor and convective outlooks.

Terracane season would be opposite from hurricane season - Nov 1 - June 1.

'Cane season all year long!



Hah! I like it.
Quoting BarometerGirl:


TERRACANE!

I want to coin the name and call such extreme land crossing low pressure systems "terracanes". This would include blizzards and nor'easters in the winter and severe tornadic systems (such as this current one) during the spring.

The scale of intensity for these lows could be contigent on non-tornadic atmospheric pressure in the "eye" center of the storm, wind predictions, water vapor and convective outlooks.

Terracane season would be opposite from hurricane season - Nov 1 - June 1.

'Cane season all year long!

terracane season it be
Current convective risk: MODERATE



Current MD's: 969...971



Current watches: 373...374...375...376



Total reports for today: 591

Quoting messageinabottle:



Thank u for responding. I appreciate it
tomorrow will be our concearn as daytime heating builds it once more and the swirly get close ever more
i hear thunder now storms have arrived rainy 36 hrs ahead
Quoting BarometerGirl:


TERRACANE!

I want to coin the name and call such extreme land crossing low pressure systems "terracanes". This would include blizzards and nor'easters in the winter and severe tornadic systems (such as this current one) during the spring.

The scale of intensity for these lows could be contigent on non-tornadic atmospheric pressure in the "eye" center of the storm, wind predictions, water vapor and convective outlooks.

Terracane season would be opposite from hurricane season - Nov 1 - June 1.

'Cane season all year long!

Ha you can take credit for that one if you like, but certainly not the first

I prefer the more colloquial Landocane / Landicane! :)
Night all. Looks safe here.


There is about 20 counties currently under tornado warning with this line
img src="
">
Quoting emcf30:


There is about 20 counties currently under tornado warning with this line


It's very linear in nature.
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
tomorrow will be our concearn as daytime heating builds it once more and the swirly get close ever more


Thanks Keep. I am just scared and they are terrified. I have told them the best places to go for the storms, but they are just panicked. I wanted to go get them and bring them to Texas, but there just is no way I could drive up there around all this weather. Thank u please let me know if u see anything else for that area.
image above was from yesterdays round of tornado just south west of Oklahoma city, I think this one hit Norman
We just had a tense couple of hours ... and more 2 come ... 1100 residents w/o power n Bellbrook OH...and a touch down in Centerville OH near Dorthy Lane Market w damage ... Kettering Oh ... just had golf ball size hail ... I was just worried about my car! :)
ANd I think it was pottery who was asking earlier about debris balls, correct me if I am wrong but that little ball off the main hook would be a debris ball
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:


It's very linear in nature.

yes it is and packing some wind. The Lowes in Paducah lost its roof. Dont know what it is with home depots and lowes getting damaged or destroyed in these events.
Looks like everything has pretty much morphed into a Serial Derecho tonight.

Complete Update





WFUS53 KIND 260235
TORIND
INC011-015-023-057-063-067-097-159-260315-
/O.NEW.KIND.TO.W.0076.110526T0235Z-110526T0315Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
1035 PM EDT WED MAY 25 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN INDIANAPOLIS HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
BOONE COUNTY IN CENTRAL INDIANA...
CARROLL COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL INDIANA...
CLINTON COUNTY IN CENTRAL INDIANA...
HAMILTON COUNTY IN CENTRAL INDIANA...
HENDRICKS COUNTY IN CENTRAL INDIANA...
HOWARD COUNTY IN CENTRAL INDIANA...
MARION COUNTY IN CENTRAL INDIANA...
TIPTON COUNTY IN CENTRAL INDIANA...

* UNTIL 1115 PM EDT

* AT 1033 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE SQUALL LINE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING BRIEF RAIN-WRAPPED
TORNADOES IN ADDITION TO WIDESPREAD STRAIGHT LINE WIND DAMAGE.
THESE DANGEROUS STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 9
MILES WEST OF LOGANSPORT TO 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PLAINFIELD...AND
MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
INDIANAPOLIS...
KOKOMO...
BROWNSBURG...
PLAINFIELD...
ZIONSVILLE...
SPEEDWAY...
SOUTHPORT...
CARMEL...
BEECH GROVE...
TIPTON...
NOBLESVILLE...
FISHERS...
LAWRENCE...
ULEN...
AVON...
MICHIGANTOWN...
BURLINGTON...
KIRKLIN...
WHITESTOWN...
CAMBY...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 65 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 101 AND 158.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 69 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 0 AND 8.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 70 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 62 AND 93.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 74 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 53 AND 100.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

THIS LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORNADOES AND
WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT WIND DAMAGE. DO NOT WAIT TO SEE OR HEAR THE
TORNADO. FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST
FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS.

&&

LAT...LON 4074 8653 4070 8652 4070 8637 4057 8636
4057 8596 3964 8595 3963 8656 4073 8673
TIME...MOT...LOC 0235Z 259DEG 34KT 4071 8649 3965 8645

$$

CP


How lovely.
there is no drama for the california tornadoes except for the fact that WE are not suppose to have them. kinda like the midwest, south or east experiencing a earthquake of 7 or greater. RARE IN FORM.
Quoting WaterWitch11:
there is no drama for the california tornadoes except for the fact that WE are not suppose to have them. kinda like the midwest, south or east experiencing a earthquake of 7 or greater. RARE IN FORM.
but it does and can happen
Quoting WaterWitch11:
there is no drama for the california tornadoes except for the fact that WE are not suppose to have them. kinda like the midwest, south or east experiencing a earthquake of 7 or greater. RARE IN FORM.

Ya'll r missin all the FUN!
"mass casualty incident" near Bloomington, IN. - WISH/Indianapolis
WISH's live feed just went down. The tornadic line is just crossing downtown Indianapolis right now. I'm sure these two things are related.
Their feed came back up, they're not talking about Bloomington at the moment though.
I think Ill b up half the nite ..trackin this line ... N just an hour or so Daytons next n line
We should watch 7-10 days from now for our first tropical system in the Atlantic.
The worst of the storm seems 2 b takin about 35 min to get thru a certain point ...
Quoting WaterWitch11:
there is no drama for the california tornadoes except for the fact that WE are not suppose to have them. kinda like the midwest, south or east experiencing a earthquake of 7 or greater. RARE IN FORM.

Well, I wouldn't say that rare. And severe weather certainly isn't. In fact, though I've lived in "Hail Alley" (east of the Rockies in Colorado), the worst hailstorm I've ever been in was in Orange County. Anyway, this from Here:

"Tornadoes are not as rare in the Golden State as most people seem to think. From 1950-2004, there were 303 documented tornadoes in California, and, since 1993, an additional 57 waterspouts in the state’s coastal waters — an average of almost six tornadoes and five waterspouts per year. ...In 2005, California [was] more like Tornado Alley, with about 20 tornadoes in the state, including 12 in Sacramento County — more than in the Oklahoma City metro area!

"Though 80% of California tornadoes are weak, with Fujita scale rankings of F-0 or F-1, there have been a number of significant storms in populated areas. With 41 tornadoes, Los Angeles County ranks as the tornado capital of the state, five of which were ranked as F-2. Nearby Orange County has had 28 tornadoes and at least as many waterspouts concentrated in its relatively small area of 798 square miles.

"In a recent study, veteran California tornado expert John Monteverdi of San Francisco State University estimates that approximately half of the state’s tornadoes are spawned by supercells. The remainder are the result of smaller circulations, including a number of 'cold air funnels.'

"California has had two unique tornado events in the past decade. In 1998, an F-2 tornado in Sunnyvale was the first anticyclonic supercell and anticyclonic tornado to be documented with the WSR-88D NEXRAD radar. And in July 2004, the highest-elevation tornado ever observed in the USA. was photographed along Rockwell Pass in the Sequoia National Park, at an elevation of about 12,000 feet."
Quoting aerojad:
Their feed came back up, they're not talking about Bloomington at the moment though.


where did you hear about the "mass casualty incident"?
WHTR in Indy mentioned mass casualty event, too - but no details - so very vague.
Don't see anything on Foxnews so if something really bad has happened....none of the big newsies have picked it up yet!
Signature N of Many, LA (The cell is in the loop 665. posted) solid for 36 minutes straight...

Quoting traumaboyy:
Don't see anything on Foxnews so if something really bad has happened....none of the big newsies have picked it up yet!


FOX is too busy to pick up a story like that...LOL
The Lawrence County Sheriff's Office has confirmed a tornado touchdown east of Bedford on US 50 near Highway 446. According to the sheriff's office, 12 injuries have been reported and several homes were flattened. There is also a possible gas leak in the area. Several people in the Bedford area told WAVE 3 they saw the storm as it approached the town. "I was scared," said Courtney Brooks, who works at B&D Market at the Leesville Turnoff near Bedford. "I stood in the church yard across the street and watched the storm pick up debris. Other people stopped to watch. We saw a funnel cloud in the distance," she told WAVE 3. "It was scary because you didn't know if it was going to head this way." Brooks said she was concerned because she was the only one in the store when the storm hit. "It was the most awesome thing I've ever seen," she added. According to Brooks, "the entire town is shut down because there is no power." An employee at the Farmer's Market near Bedford said the "tornado danced all around us." She declined to give her name but said there were funnel clouds to the east and the north, areas where storm damage was later confirmed. "It was pretty scary. It was the first time any of us have been involved in anything like that." Lisa Dalton, who works at the Sonora Station on Highway 50 in Bedford said she saw funnel clouds in the distance, and then lots of fire trucks and police cars and ambulances rush past. She said her son, a volunteer with Shaw's Lick Fire Department, told her several people were injured.
Here is what we know of the "mass casualty" Event

Link

Supposedly multiple deaths at a trailer park...
Satellite images of Joplin, Mo., before and after the tornado
Quoting Skyepony:
Satellite images of Joplin, Mo., before and after the tornado


might as well have dropped a bomb on the city...
5 days remain

National Hurricane Survival Initiative
************************************************* *******
Before the Hurricane Season Begins
Develop a plan. Know your homes vulnerability to the threats above - surge, wind, and flooding. Check your supplies - water, batteries, food. For information on developing a Hurricane Supply kit, see our page on that topic. Know where you can evacuate to - friends, relatives, a hotel?

Know when to take action - Watch vs Warning
WATCH: Hurricane conditions are possible in the specified area of the WATCH, usually within 36 hours.
WARNING: Hurricane conditions are expected in the specified area of the WARNING, usually within 24 hours. Remember that there is no such thing as a "minor hurricane." Category 1 and 2 hurricanes still can do significant damage.

Prepare before a Watch or Warning is issued and be ready to evacuate when the Watch comes or earlier if so instructed.

An Approaching Storm
As a storm approaches, you should prepare your house and your yard. Some things to consider:

Turn down the temperature on your freezer and refrigerator as low as possible. This will buy you more time in the event of a power loss. 24 to 48 hours before will cool the food. Avoid opening them whenever possible. If you are evacuating.
Before you evacuate, call at least one person out of state to let them know your plans.
Ensure that your Hurricane Emergency Kit is fully stocked.
Charge electronic devices, for example, computers, cell phones, rechargeable batteries, razors, and the like.
Make extra ice, bag it - this will be useful to use and to keep the freezer cold.
If you have a generator, do NOT run it inside or near the house. But make sure you have fuel to run it.
Make sure your car has fuel.
Pick up yard debris - furniture, tools, decorative items, branches - anything loose that could become a missile. We have placed furniture in the pool upon occasion.
Secure boats, trailers, campers, RVs, and the like in the safest place you can find. Tie them down, anchor them, or however you can best secure them. But, take into account that there may be a storm surge.
Secure all doors and windows with locks, and shutters if available. Plywood, properly secured, can be effective. Don't forget your garage doors.
Move items that may be damaged by water to higher areas of your home if you can not take them with you if evacuating. Move them away from windows in case they are broken.
Huge items must even be secured in big storms. An engine block was found 40 or 50 feet up in a pine tree in the Homestead (actually Redlands) area after Andrew. Don't think that something is too big to be moved by the wind.
Re-check tie-downs.
Bring cars, bikes, scooters and anything like that into your garage if possible.
Bring in grills or other cooking items.
Bring in hoses, trash cans, hot tub covers, wind-chimes, plants.
Caulk and fill bathtubs - extra water comes in handy for toilets and more..
It may sound strange, but do your laundry, dishes, and take a shower. Why? Because if you lose power, having as much clean as possible will make a big difference.
Check if your pool pump should be on or off.
Close and fasten gates so they don't swing.
Close chimney flues.
Close/latch inside doors and cabinets.


If you have time, help your neighbors. Debris in their yards can easily impact your home and yard.

During a storm.


Stay inside, away from windows
Be alert for tornadoes
Stay away from flood waters and storm surge. It can be deceptively strong.
Be aware of the eye. It may be calm, but winds can and will pick up quickly and could catch you outside.
Un-plug electronic devices that are not in use to avoid surge damage.

After a Storm

Know power safety - avoid downed lines
Know food safety - what is good and for how long.
Chain saw safety is critical
Generator safety is important too
Water treatment - whether water needs to be boiled or not.
Listen to local officials
Use flashlights instead of candles
Inspect your home for damage.
Stay off roads as much as possible
You may need to super-chlorinate your pool

************************************************* *******
672. txjac
Quoting VAbeachhurricanes:


might as well have dropped a bomb on the city...


I was thinking the same thing..devastating
Quoting VAbeachhurricanes:


might as well have dropped a bomb on the city...
it was a bomb a weather bomb if i may
Quoting Skyepony:
Satellite images of Joplin, Mo., before and after the tornado
Amazing that the death toll was not higher after seeing that.
Evacuations are underway in front of Songda in the Philippines..

In central Albay province, Gov. Joey Salceda sent military trucks to begin moving 250,000 residents from coastal and landslide-prone villages and areas in the path of debris from the Mayon volcano. He also offered 11 pounds (five kilograms) of rice as an incentive for each family that evacuates.
Quoting VAbeachhurricanes:


might as well have dropped a bomb on the city...
Im sayin ... I told my family it looked like a war zone
Quoting Skyepony:
Evacuations are underway in front of Songda in the Philippines..

In central Albay province, Gov. Joey Salceda sent military trucks to begin moving 250,000 residents from coastal and landslide-prone villages and areas in the path of debris from the Mayon volcano. He also offered 11 pounds (five kilograms) of rice as an incentive for each family that evacuates.



why not $ they go for that better
Quoting Tazmanian:



why not $ they go for that better


Because they have more rice
679. txjac
I'm watching the storms going through Ohio ...I have tons of family there and am praying that they stay safe ...my mom just got out of the hospital last Friday and she's still pretty weak ...wish that I was there with her.
680. beell
Quoting MrstormX:
Here is what we know of the "mass casualty" Event

Link

Supposedly multiple deaths at a trailer park...



Storm-related injuries in Bloomington
Updated: Wednesday, 25 May 2011, 11:32 PM EDT
Published : Wednesday, 25 May 2011, 11:16 PM EDT

BLOOMINGTON, Ind. (WISH) - Several possible storm-related injuries are being reported in Bloomington.

Indiana State Police have confirmed that several trailers have been overturned and power lines are down in the area of 6000 block of Ind. 45 in Bloomington. Many injuries are believed possible. Rescue crews are responding.

Check back with wishtv.com for updates.


Not saying there are no deaths but I don't see the word "death(s)" anywhere in the link you posted.
Quoting txjac:
I'm watching the storms going through Ohio ...I have tons of family there and am praying that they stay safe ...my mom just got out of the hospital last Friday and she's still pretty weak ...wish that I was there with her.




Where is She? ... Im in Dayton/Kettering
682. mbjjm
severe thunderstorms about to move through Nasville. High winds threat, no tornado.

Nbc Nashville
683. txjac
Quoting DopplarDee:




Where is She? ... Im in Dayton/Kettering


In a little village called Monroeville, It's between Norwalk and Sandusky
684. txjac
Quoting DopplarDee:




Where is She? ... Im in Dayton/Kettering


In a little village called Monroeville ...it's up north near the lake, by Norwalk ...know where I'm talking about?
685. mbjjm
60mph winds moving towards for Nashville

wkrn
686. beell
Quoting Skyepony:
Evacuations are underway in front of Songda in the Philippines..

In central Albay province, Gov. Joey Salceda sent military trucks to begin moving 250,000 residents from coastal and landslide-prone villages and areas in the path of debris from the Mayon volcano. He also offered 11 pounds (five kilograms) of rice as an incentive for each family that evacuates.


Some irony there, Skye. Food if you evacuate ahead of a disaster. The rest of the time I guess you have to supply your own rice to stay alive.
Quoting txjac:


In a little village called Monroeville ...it's up north near the lake, by Norwalk ...know where I'm talking about?





Yes ... about . thats north of me Ill watch up that way 2 the weather seems 2 b going that way
688. txjac
Quoting DopplarDee:





Yes ... about . thats north of me Ill watch up that way 2 the weather seems 2 b going that way


thanks much!
Quoting txjac:


thanks much!


No current tornado warnings at this time.....everything is looking much better :)
Quoting EYEStoSEA:
No current tornado warnings at this time.....everything is looking much better :)




Thanks ... I figure Ill be up till this line of storms pass thru at least half the state
Quoting DopplarDee:




Thanks ... I figure Ill be up till this line of storms pass thru at least half the state


Know what you mean, that way myself :)
from the Wall Street Journal:

"ZURICH—The Swiss government Wednesday decided to exit nuclear energy by phasing out the country's existing nuclear plants and seeking alternative energy sources, in a response to security concerns following Japan's nuclear disaster."
Great ... nice 2 have company
695. txjac
Quoting EYEStoSEA:
No current tornado warnings at this time.....everything is looking much better :)


Just looked myself and I agree ...it's much better than it was.
696. txjac
Quoting DopplarDee:
Great ... nice 2 have company



OMG!!! Just went and checked one of the hometown local papers!!! Here it the headline:

Tornado touches down near Monroeville

http://www.sanduskyregister.com/sandusky/weather- alert/2011/may/25/watch-out-tornadoes

No injuries and just minor structural damage, thank goodness for that. Close to my home where I grew up
Good ... Im hearing the 1st rumbles of thunder here ... Its gettin closer ...
Quoting txjac:



OMG!!! Just went and checked one of the hometown local papers!!! Here it the headline:

Tornado touches down near Monroeville

http://www.sanduskyregister.com/sandusky/weather- alert/2011/may/25/watch-out-tornadoes

No injuries and just minor structural damage, thank goodness for that. Close to my home where I grew up




Good grief! have u heard from ur fam since then?
699. txjac
Quoting DopplarDee:




Good grief! have u heard from ur fam since then?


No tried both land and cell lines ...will keep on calling until I get ahold of her
tornado warning for huntsville, al
701. txjac
DopplarDee,

How's it going? I see that there is "tornadic" activity to the east and west of Dayon ...all okay with you?
Here we go ...lightning ... winds and rain so far
bad lightning ...
EYEStoSEA how r u?
705. txjac
I'm in Texas so all is well here, Houston area
U had the weather yesterday? was it?
707. txjac
Quoting DopplarDee:
U had the weather yesterday? was it?


Not here in Houston ...just hot, overcast and humid
I talked to my parents today SW of Kansas City, Ks while those tornadoes were rolling through the area. One funnel was reported about 2-miles from their house. Both mom & dad went down to the basement.

Mom decided it was a good time to re-organize the basement food pantry. Its underground, has no windows, reinforced concrete walls on 3-sides and a sturdy ceiling... so probably a good idea. During the tornado warning, she kept busy by moving canned goods around on shelves. I guess that's as good a place to be as any.
Kettering just cleared ... that was faster than expected ... whew!
Quoting TexasGulf:
I talked to my parents today SW of Kansas City, Ks while those tornadoes were rolling through the area. One funnel was reported about 2-miles from their house. Both mom & dad went down to the basement.

Mom decided it was a good time to re-organize the basement food pantry. Its underground, has no windows, reinforced concrete walls on 3-sides and a sturdy ceiling... so probably a good idea. During the tornado warning, she kept busy by moving canned goods around on shelves. I guess that's as good a place to be as any.




Thats what happens when u have nuthin 2 do and time on ur hands :)
Quoting DopplarDee:
EYEStoSEA how r u?


Oh I'm fine here in Ms.....just watching for others, gonna be over in your area soon.

712. hamla
tornado warning for liberty tx via wx channel
Quoting EYEStoSEA:


Oh I'm fine here in Ms.....just watching for others, gonna be over in your area soon.





Thx we just have rain and some thunder... it pretty much over ...here
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
it was a bomb a weather bomb if i may


Literally looks like it had been nuked!!
Quoting hamla:
tornado warning for liberty tx via wx channel


Yep, these straglers can get nasty....

716. hamla
where u at in ms ??im in bay st louis
Is there any concern of Tornados in the storms moving over central LA?
The storms r def weeker the farther north u go ... looks as if its breaking up some ... as fast as the storm is moving I think the Sandusky area is lookin better.
719. hamla
Quoting EYEStoSEA:Yep, these straglers can get nasty....where u at in ms im in 39520 b.s.l. 3 miles from beach
Just lost a bunch of warnings ... think north OH is n the clear
I'm in Ms.....I've been watching this storm for a while....and it's been sitting there a long time .....has had a vortex sig off and on ....
722. txjac
Awesome news DopplarDee ...thanks for keeping me posted
Quoting EYEStoSEA:
Is that a hook?
Quoting EYEStoSEA:



be safe
forgot to animate.....


Quoting scott39:
Is that a hook?


kinda looks that way to me...
728. hamla
looks like t9 has rotation
Ya'll I have 2 sign off ... nice talkin 2 u ... catch u later sometime
Quoting DopplarDee:
Ya'll I have 2 sign off ... nice talkin 2 u ... catch u later sometime


night DD
Nite Is2C and txjac
Just had some hail here in the Houston area. It was the exact size and shape as those marbles at the bottom of fish tanks.
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #47
TYPHOON SONGDA (T1102)
15:00 PM JST May 26 2011
==================================

SUBJECT: Category Five Typhoon In Sea East Of Philippines

At 6:00 AM UTC, Typhoon Songda (920 hPa) located at 15.6N 125.8E has 10 minute sustained winds of 105 knots with gusts of 150 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north northwest at 10 knots.

Storm Force Winds
==================
70 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
===============
160 NM from the center

Dvorak Intensity: T6.5

Forecast And Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 18.9N 124.0E - 105 knots (CAT 5/Very Intense Typhoon)
48 HRS: 22.9N 124.8E - 90 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon)
72 HRS: 28.1N 129.7E - 70 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon)

Additional Information
=====================
Typhoon will move at the same speed for the next 48 hours then accelerate

Typhoon will move northwest for the next 24 hours then move gradually north northeast

Typhoon will keep present intensity for the next 24 hours

Dvorak Intensity will increase to 7.0 after 24 hours
Morning WU bloggers.

It was a long evening and night in Indiana. Numerous warnings of all sorts. Simply terrifying skies. A couple reports of funnel clouds here in Muncie, one not more than 2 blocks from where I was at work. Fortunately, no touchdowns here. Looking over the storm reports on my local NWS site, I'm willing to bet a couple twisters touched down in some areas. Bedford, Indiana took a hit, with a dozen or so injuries and some destroyed buildings. I'm still in the fact gathering phase, and will post more as I come across information.

Hopefully these past few days was springs way of saying goodbye. Push the cold air north and let it stay there till fall. As much as I hate heat and humidity, I'm more than ready for much more predictable weather, for all of us!
Well as it's a slow blog night and I'm simply exhausted, I'm just going to post the following link to some info on the Bedford area and turn in. The SPC, in their reports, also mention a possible debris ball on radar.

Prayers for my fellow Hoosiers, and all elsewhere affected by this weeks and the past months terrible weather.

Tornadoes touch down in Southern Indiana; 12 injured in Bedford, more possibly hurt in Bloomington
737. IKE
A chance of rain for the Florida panhandle...WOOHOO!

Today: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after
1pm. Some of the storms could produce gusty winds and heavy rain. Areas
of fog before 8am. Otherwise, mostly sunny, with a high near 89. Calm
wind becoming south southwest between 10 and 15 mph.

Tonight: A
40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a
low around 67. South southwest wind between 5 and 10 mph becoming calm.

Friday: A
30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1pm. Mostly
sunny, with a high near 90. South southwest wind between 5 and 15 mph.
738. IKE

Ike - how do you just such a long number of frames on that radar? I can only get like 20 mins.
740. IKE
Quoting CanesfanatUT:
Ike - how do you just such a long number of frames on that radar? I can only get like 20 mins.
I think it's because I'm a paid member...you get more frames.

And I think that rain to my west is going to go just north of me unless more develops on the southern end.
wow ike.

you got so much rain coming.

might need another rain gauge to keep up.
I think it's because I'm a paid member...you get more frames.

paid members are better-looking, too.
743. IKE

Quoting aquak9:
wow ike.

you got so much rain coming.

might need another rain gauge to keep up.
:(


Quoting aquak9:
I think it's because I'm a paid member...you get more frames.

paid members are better-looking, too.
LOL.
The whole tropical atlantic is warmer that normal.Is that typical for second year La nina.?
745. IKE
168 hr. 6Z GFS....


Quoting IKE:
168 hr. 6Z GFS....


Any other model showing that? OR just the GFS?
Interesting article from Yahoo, on the science behind this seasons number of tornados and severe weather outbreaks. Link
Ike I see my chance of rain today moving in your direction without a drop falling here.

I hope you have better luck.

Extensive damage to Southern Pipe Company in West Memphis, AR

Tornado between Oil Trough and Jacksonport in Jackson County
ITZC looks healthy....
Corps now closing Morganza flood gates

3:14 AM, May. 26,

There's not as much Mississippi River floodwater entering the Atchafalaya Basin today.

The U.S. Army Corps of Engineers started closing gates on the Morganza Spillway control structure Tuesday, leaving floodwater passing through only 14 of its 125 gates by Wednesday evening.

http://www.theadvertiser.com/article/20110526/NEW S01/105260321
I've looked at the wind shear model run as well, and it appears the ECMWF is showing very low shear in the same area that the system develops around June 2nd.

Link
754. IKE

Quoting Gearsts:
Any other model showing that? OR just the GFS?
This is a stretch....NOGAPS @ 144 hours....


Quoting tkeith:
Ike I see my chance of rain today moving in your direction without a drop falling here.

I hope you have better luck.
Radar just drying up.....


Quoting IKE:

This is a stretch....NOGAPS @ 144 hours....


Radar just drying up.....




Good morning all

The ECMWF is also picking up on a system in the W Caribbean at the 168 hour mark. Here is the 850 vort map

heat for the central eastern zones building for end of weekend into next week temps in southern ont to soar into 30's with humidex values near 40 or 85 to 100
Quoting IKE:

This is a stretch....NOGAPS @ 144 hours....


Radar just drying up.....


Good morning Ike. The NOGAPS model loves that area when it comes to development..One met said that the gulf is 1.8 to 2.7 degrees warmer than average for this time of year...
Quoting kmanislander:


Good morning all

The ECMWF is also picking up on a system in the W Caribbean at the 168 hour mark. Here is the 850 vort map


That and the GFS has been hinting at something in that general region for days now. Nothing new. Give it a couple days, and that will be gone.

I think some can at least agree that conditions are becoming more conducive overall as we approach the official start of the season.
Actually, the ECMWF first latches onto a W Caribbean low at 96 hours and keeps it there for several days.

Quoting hydrus:
Good morning Ike. The NOGAPS model loves that area when it comes to development..One met said that the gulf is 1.8 to 2.7 degrees warmer than average for this time of year...
Where do you get that?? Having a hard time finding good sst loops :(
According to Ham Weather, daily record highs for the U.S. look to outweigh daily record lows for the month of May. Though there are a few more days before the month closes out, it definitely will go down as warmer than average.
GFS at 135 hours

what ever comes looks to come up and out ne ward out to sea

Quoting Gearsts:
Where do you get that?? Having a hard time finding good sst loops :(
Its from the NRL on the main weatherblog page..Here..Link
150 mph!!
Quoting jasonweatherman2010:
150 mph!!

She's beautiful. Starting to make her turn.
Much needed pattern change coming up with the jet lifting out and high pressure taking over. Gotta give these folks a break from the flooding & severe weather, it's been relentless.

Quoting hydrus:
Its from the NRL on the main weatherblog page..Here..Link
This is the one month forecast . Notice that large area of very warm water about to enter the gulf..
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
what ever comes looks to come up and out ne ward out to sea




There will be a nice little TUTT in place on the east coast for much of next week.


Quoting hydrus:
This is the one month forecast . Notice that large area of very warm water about to enter the gulf..
And eddy? and ty for the link^^
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
good morning Keep..The warm water entering the gulf the next 30 days shows up well here..
Quoting CyclonicVoyage:
Much needed pattern change coming up with the jet lifting out and high pressure taking over. Gotta give these folks a break from the flooding & severe weather, it's been relentless.

everything lifts north as we get into a early summer like pattern heat and humity builds with storms riding further north
Good Morning all.
A mostly quiet day for Tornados today?

86f here already. Going to be another steamy one.
1/2" rain yesterday was real nice.

Sending some for you, KMan!
looks like around the first of june we are going to have at the least some unsettled weather in the western carib. wonder what nature has planned for july this yr?
well i got to go to work bloggers i will check in around lunch time


a better day all around time for the clean up
Quoting pottery:
Good Morning all.
A mostly quiet day for Tornados today?

86f here already. Going to be another steamy one.
1/2" rain yesterday was real nice.

Sending some for you, KMan!


Every little drop appreciated !

I emailed our local weather service for those rainfall stats from 1957 and they promised to get back to me today with the info. I intend to split it out into below and above average rainfall in the NW Caribbean between 1st Nov. and May 31st from inception and see if there is any correlation to TC activity in the season that follows. I will be looking not only for overall activity but when each season saw the first system in the Caribbean for the year.

783. srada
Quoting CyclonicVoyage:



There will be a nice little TUTT in place on the east coast for much of next week.




If I understand correctly, TUTTs aid in tropical cyclone genesis and intensification, so thats not a good set up at all, correct?
I'm out for now. Back later. Have a nice day
Quoting kmanislander:


Every little drop appreciated !

I emailed our local weather service for those rainfall stats from 1957 and they promised to get back to me today with the info. I intend to split it out into below and above average rainfall in the NW Caribbean between 1st Nov. and May 31st from inception and see if there is any correlation to TC activity in the season that follows. I will be looking not only for overall activity but when each season saw the first system in the Caribbean for the year.


Nice!
Would love to see that.
Quoting srada:


If I understand correctly, TUTTs aid in tropical cyclone genesis and intensification, so thats not a good set up at all, correct?
If TUTT is situated off the east coast, it will likely steer anything that might form in the Caribbean out into the Atlantic. TUTT can help a tropical system breath or sheer it to death depending on how each system is positioned.
Quoting pottery:

Nice!
Would love to see that.
Me too...Mornin Pott.
788. IKE
Good morning to all. Does look like an area of low pressure in the western Caribbean by mid portion of next week. Maybe it will relieve the dry weather down there.
789. srada
Quoting hydrus:
If TUTT is situated off the east coast, it will likely steer anything that might form in the Caribbean out into the Atlantic. TUTT can help a tropical system breath or sheer it to death depending on how each system is positioned.


okay thanks!
Quoting IKE:
Good morning to all. Does look like an area of low pressure in the western Caribbean by mid portion of next week. Maybe it will relieve the dry weather down there.
I was hoping that Florida could see a little tropical action to relieve drought conditions, but it does not look like it will happen....yet.
What is the comma-shaped entity E of Florida at 30N and 70W?
792. IKE
Looks like a 20%, sometimes 30%, chance of rain for most of the peninsula according to the Tampa, Orlando, Miami and Key West forecasts...for the next 7 days.
Three cheers for closing floodgates!!!

Wow, those storm chasers are getting close!
I hope the fancy armored vehicles keep them safe.
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #49
TYPHOON SONGDA (T1102)
21:00 PM JST May 26 2011
==================================

SUBJECT: Category Five Typhoon In Sea East Of Philippines

At 12:00 PM UTC, Typhoon Songda (920 hPa) located at 16.2N 125.1E has 10 minute sustained winds of 105 knots with gusts of 150 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving northwest at 9 knots.

Storm Force Winds
==================
70 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
===============
160 NM from the center

Dvorak Intensity: T6.5

Forecast And Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 20.1N 123.4E - 105 knots (CAT 5/Very Intense Typhoon)
48 HRS: 24.6N 125.8E - 90 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon)
72 HRS: 30.0N 131.0E - 65 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon)
** WTPQ20 BABJ 261200 ***
SUBJECTIVE FORECAST
SuperTY SONGDA 1102 (1102) INITIAL TIME 261200 UTC
00HR 16.2N 125.1E 910HPA 65M/S
30KTS 300KM
50KTS 120KM
P12HR NNW 20KM/H
P+24HR 20.2N 123.2E 910HPA 65M/S
P+48HR 25.5N 125.6E 940HPA 50M/S

---
130 knots on the 2 minute sustained winds scale from China Meteorological Administration


TCWC Jakarta satellite image from their page
Quoting WarEagle8:
What is the comma-shaped entity E of Florida at 30N and 70W?
I believe it is associated with TUTT.( Tropical Upper Tropospheric Trough ).
The ENSO Precipitation Index (ESPI) for the last 30 days is -1.22
Quoting HadesGodWyvern:

Why hello there, stadium effect eyewall....
Can someone help me out here? I'm looking at my forecast for eastern Palm Beach County today and there's a 20% number where a blazing sun normally sits. Says something about "precipitation". Normally it just says something like, "Sunny, hot, welcome to Phoenix" or something like that.
The UK Met office just released its 2011 North Atlantic outlook, and they're not quite as bullish as some of the others with regard to the number of storms--though what storms do form should be more powerful:

"The most likely number of tropical storms predicted to occur in the North Atlantic during the June to November period is 13, with a 70% chance that the number will be in the range 10 to 17. This represents near-normal activity relative to the 1980-2010 long-term average of 12.

"An ACE index of 151 is predicted as the most likely value, with a 70% chance that the index will be in the range 89 to 212, which is above normal relative to the 1980-2010 average of 104."


Appropriate tropical weather-related image.

Appropriate tropical weather-related image.
Quoting Neapolitan:
The UK Met office just released its 2011 North Atlantic outlook, and they're not quite as bullish as some of the others with regard to the number of storms--though what storms do form should be more powerful:

"The most likely number of tropical storms predicted to occur in the North Atlantic during the June to November period is 13, with a 70% chance that the number will be in the range 10 to 17. This represents near-normal activity relative to the 1980-2010 long-term average of 12.

"An ACE index of 151 is predicted as the most likely value, with a 70% chance that the index will be in the range 89 to 212, which is above normal relative to the 1980-2010 average of 104."


Appropriate tropical weather-related image.

Appropriate tropical weather-related image.
People even forecasters are really down playing this season by a long shot.....2010 last year was all hype.I think people will learn a huge lesson this year....
Quoting StorrnW:
Hey guys!!!!!!!!!!!!!





your a imposter
Quoting StorrnW:
Hey guys!!!!!!!!!!!!!


Storm!!!! OMG. I missed you!!
Quoting StorrnW:
Hey guys!!!!!!!!!!!!!



Hey JFV....Back again huh?
Quoting InconceivableF6:
no, but it's his picture!! you realize people can come back, and then they hafta pick new user names.
I hope your being sarcastic....
CNN...


"Radiation from Japan's damaged Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant is accumulating in marine life off Japan's coast above legal limits for food contamination, Greenpeace said Thursday.

The environmental group said its findings run counter to Japanese government reports that radiation from the Fukushima plant, damaged in the March 11 earthquake and tsunami, is being diluted as time passes.

“Despite what the authorities are claiming, radioactive hazards are not decreasing through dilution or dispersion of materials, but the radioactivity is instead accumulating in marine life," Greenpeace radiation expert Jan Vande Putte said in a press release.

Greenpeace said its teams collected samples of marine life along the Fukushima coast and in international waters outside Japan's 12-mile territorial limit. The samples were tested by nuclear research laboratories in France and Belgium, and high levels of radioactive iodine and cesium were found, it said."





Link

Quoting blsealevel:


Yea I looked closer at the name
didnt he get a perm. Ban?



yes he did and i this reported him to the blog admin he be lock up soon
Quoting InconceivableF6:

just don't be no stranger, k! i need to know good forecasting, and all the good bloggers here are gone now. :-[



well you stop it and this look the way he name is spelled hes a imposter its not him
Quoting washingtonian115:
Just get'in warmed up in the morning.He had to go or else the teacher would catch him...

LOL
Quoting washingtonian115:
People even forecasters are really down playing this season by a long shot.....2010 last year was all hype.I think people will learn a huge lesson this year....

How was 2010 "all hype"? 19 named storms?
Quoting StorrnW:


Calm down good ole buddy, its me! I have reported you for not being able to spell correctly! You would think, after 100,000 comments you could at least learn how to spell 'amposter'! Anyways, after being rudely interupted, i'm thinking this RIDGE PUMP is really gonna amp up this year. Any thoughts?



shut up
My geuss is InconceivableF6 and StorrnW are one and the same!
Wow, a break.

Quoting Neapolitan:

How was 2010 "all hype"? 19 named storms?
In terms of impact....I could careless how active or inactive a season was.It's the impact that really counts.Like a season can have 20 named storms and all of them can go out to sea.Another season can have 5 and if all five make landfall and impact people in a big way.It will be memorable.
Quoting InconceivableF6:
i doing so right now.It's the ! button, right?Just want to be sure cuz i don't wake a fake storm.I want the real one back!!! Oh do I want that.



yes the ! would be the red
Quoting Tazmanian:



yes the ! would be the red
o k
So this year the ACE value is predicted to be a little less than last year's. Is there record of what ACE value were predicted in previous years vs. the actual ACE value? That would be interesting to see and would give us an idea if there is any trend on the error.
Boy that was fast. Poof
Wow, dead morning...everyone seems to want to play with the troll (yep, they're the same person or two in the same room I would imagine). Two more on the ever lengthening "Poof" list...
Quoting emcf30:
Boy that was fast. Poof



nop he still there
Quoting Chicklit:
Wow, a break.



Hey Chick, You spoke to soon. was good while it lasted
Gettin more weather n Ohio ... didnt sleep long last nite ... to much excitement
Quoting washingtonian115:
In terms of impact....I could careless how active or inactive a season was.It's the impact that really counts.Like a season can have 20 named storms and all of them can go out to sea.Another season can have 5 and if all five make landfall and impact people in a big way.It will be memorable.


So in other words, you're just interested because of the potential devastation?
Quoting washingtonian115:
In terms of impact....I could careless how active or inactive a season was.It's the impact that really counts.Like a season can have 20 named storms and all of them can go out to sea.Another season can have 5 and if all five make landfall and impact people in a big way.It will be memorable.

I agree...but, still, how was the last season "all hype"? The were pre-season forecasts that gave percentages for landfall in certain areas. There were no landfalls in some of those areas--but then again, none of those forecasts called for a 100% chance of landfall in any given area.

If the local weather office says there's a 60% of rain, they can't be accused of "all hype" if it doesn't rain, can they?
YAY we can now go back too happy bloging
180 members aged between 54 and 78 of the SkilledVeteransCorps -- a self-named self-organized group of retired academics, soldiers, crane and bulldozer operators, construction workers, engineers, welders, etc -- will run the risk of being exposed to deadly levels of radiation to rebuild the cooling systems at the FukushimaDaiichi NuclearPowerStation with the explanation that "as [we] are nearing the end of [our] lives, [we] don't have as much to live for as those younger than [us]."
According to its founder, 72-year-old retired engineer Yasuteru Yamada,
"Our generation, who has, consciously or unconsciously, approved the construction of the Fukushima nuclear power plants and enjoyed the benefits of the vast supply of energy...should be the first to join the Skilled Veteran Corps.
Young people with a long future should not have to be placed in a position of having to undertake such a task. Radiation exposure of the generation that will reproduce the next generation should be avoided.
It's clear that human activity is essential. The place is contaminated and the radiation is very strong. It's reasonable that older people should have priority in working in the plant."
Quoting Tazmanian:
YAY we can now go back too happy bloging


LOL...whatever that is...
Quoting Tazmanian:



well you stop it and this look the way he name is spelled hes a imposter its not him

also those of us who know storm w would know that he would never say "n stuff". these types of things is the reason people like storm w have left (not banned) this site. the childishness of the trolls on here ruin the experince for all. i come on here every day but hardly ever comment. hurricane season is very close so i'm sure the bickering and fighting will begin soon. if only people could remember that no ones opinion is better than anyone else then maybe we could have some real conversation and actually enjoy comming to this site for hurricane talk. :)
Quoting washingtonian115:
In terms of impact....I could careless how active or inactive a season was.It's the impact that really counts.Like a season can have 20 named storms and all of them can go out to sea.Another season can have 5 and if all five make landfall and impact people in a big way.It will be memorable.


The fact that the states weren't entirely effected by the 2010 season has no bearing on whether or not the season was memorable, by any means: the hurricane season will be remembered by those in St. Lucia and others in the Canadian Maritimes; it'll also be remembered for being one of the most active Cape Verdes seasons ever, and for setting some records as well. So that statement is kind of ignorant.
Lordy,,maybe look up "Storm Walsh" on FaceBook.




Good grief.
Quoting DopplarDee:
Gettin more weather n Ohio ... didnt sleep long last nite ... to much excitement
dd. i love your picture. shadow are sometimes so cool.
Quoting InconceivableF6:
holy moly,,i see that now.I'm sorry guys.I just wish they are still good forecaster here.I am sorry again.
Plenty of good forecasters they just don't pander to the peanut gallery. Too bad the real one flamed out he could be a positive addition. However his demons caught up with him. Sad
Typhoon Songda

Quoting StorrnW:


I'm out, back to the forecast center!!!



lol
Quoting StorrnW:


I'm out, back to the forecast center!!!



okay,,,not funny anymore. Poof!!!!!!! okay,,,not funny anYMorE. Poof!!! taznmania or whatever,,you know they guy has can't spell,,showed me how to report. So poof you go buster.
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
911 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NASHVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EXTREME NORTHEAST COFFEE COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
WARREN COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...

* UNTIL 945 AM CDT

* AT 910 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED 9 MILES NORTHEAST OF MANCHESTER...AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
MCMINNVILLE AROUND 930 AM CDT.
Quoting InconceivableF6:
what is the matter with you!!!That is not what she said.Washington is one of the best here,,and for you to assume that i think you ingested far too many in the 60's, uh, well you know what i mean. i just think it you misunderstand sometimes. I'm sorry, okay.But no one wants destruction,,,and if so, why not just comeout and say it then. And no, I am not in the same room as that filthy person saying he or she is storm, ok!!I just got fooled,and feel funny right now.I guess i just want him back and all and hope my dreams will come true and all.


And you make the list...**POOF!**
hi patrap! what is your opinion on this hurricane season? tia
okay, i just want to go back to lurk and watch you guys talk about storms now.I'm sorry if i got excited.
Good morning. Is Songda doing what he/she is expected to do? I know that storms this strong can sometimes do strange things. Praying that Songda plays nice!
Can we please start checking IDs?
Good Morning everyone. Bad night last night and it looks like it will be flaring again today. Hopefully not as bad. Floodman, I reported 872. Everyone stay safe today.
Quoting Floodman:
Can we please start checking IDs?

lol
Quoting Patrap:
Typhoon Songda

Not looking super great
Quoting sarahjola:

also those of us who know storm w would know that he would never say "n stuff". these types of things is the reason people like storm w have left (not banned) this site. the childishness of the trolls on here ruin the experince for all. i come on here every day but hardly ever comment. hurricane season is very close so i'm sure the bickering and fighting will begin soon. if only people could remember that no ones opinion is better than anyone else then maybe we could have some real conversation and actually enjoy comming to this site for hurricane talk. :)




LOL we all have his handel ... write him an email and ask :) Ive been off about as long as him ... Iv only recently been active on this site again
Quoting Floodman:


And you make the list...**POOF!**
reported. just kidding...really,...jk..good morning.:)
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:

LOL

Quoting Floodman:
Can we please start checking IDs?

I was thinking along the lines of "you must be this tall to enter".
love it
Quoting DopplarDee:




LOL we all have his handel ... write him an email and ask :) Ive been off about as long as him ... Iv only recently been active on this site again

yeah, its hard to stay active on this site with all the sillyness going on. i do like this site because of all the different opinions. so with that i will ask you what you think this hurricane season will be like? any opinion on landfalls? tia
hey patrap you still on
Quoting Floodman:
Can we please start checking IDs?


check ID's? Will my AARP card do? lol
Quoting sarahjola:

yeah, its hard to stay active on this site with all the sillyness going on. i do like this site because of all the different opinions. so with that i will ask you what you think this hurricane season will be like? any opinion on landfalls? tia





Im no expert ... but I really feel the way things have been goin this year ... we should really keep our eyes 2 the sky ...or radar
Quoting sarahjola:
hey patrap you still on




Yeh she is ...
855 Neapolitan "If the local weather office says there's a 60% of rain, they can't be accused of 'all hype' if it doesn't rain, can they?"

Inre 2010, more like... If the weatherman forecasts lots of rain in your area, ya can't complain about inaccuracy jes cuz your neighborhood doesn't get flooded out.
These disturbances look potent...
Quoting Floodman:


So in other words, you're just interested because of the potential devastation?
No.People arn't getting the point.Here I'll break it down in simple words.I love tracking storms.Hell if we have a season like we did last year where their were no landfalls I'll be happy.That means less problems for me and others around the country.What I'm trynna say is that if a season is more imptful it's more memborable.People will remember 2004 rather than 2010 becuase alot more people were affected by the storms including the country as a whole.
new blog
Quoting washingtonian115:
No.People arn't getting the point.Here I'll break it down in simple words.I love tracking storms.Hell if we have a season like we did last year where their were no landfalls I'll be happy.That means less problems for me and others around the country.What I'm trynna say is that if a season is more imptful it's more memborable.People will remember 2004 rather than 2010 becuase alot more people were affected by the storms including the country as a whole.

Great point Wash. Carry that over to the next blog. I like your perspective.
Quoting LostTomorrows:


The fact that the states weren't entirely effected by the 2010 season has no bearing on whether or not the season was memorable, by any means: the hurricane season will be remembered by those in St. Lucia and others in the Canadian Maritimes; it'll also be remembered for being one of the most active Cape Verdes seasons ever, and for setting some records as well. So that statement is kind of ignorant.
And I'm talking about the unites states.Not the basin as a whole.I know there were landfalls in other countries in 2010.
Quoting PakaSurvivor:


check ID's? Will my AARP card do? lol
Floodman would show his, but it is chiseled into a stone tablet.
Quoting washingtonian115:
No.People arn't getting the point.Here I'll break it down in simple words.I love tracking storms.Hell if we have a season like we did last year where their were no landfalls I'll be happy.That means less problems for me and others around the country.What I'm trynna say is that if a season is more imptful it's more memborable.People will remember 2004 rather than 2010 becuase alot more people were affected by the storms including the country as a whole.




ur right ... people dont always remember the good times ... seems the bad make the impact cause u didnt want it 2 happen
Quoting DopplarDee:





Im no expert ... but I really feel the way things have been goin this year ... we should really keep our eyes 2 the sky ...or radar
i've noticed some waves off africa. i know that the steering is not good right now, but it may be an indicator for whats to come.i hope this season has no landfalls but we all know that is just wishful thinking. you are right we should all be very vigilant this season. has the prediction center released any landfall predictions yet? tia
Quoting washingtonian115:
And I'm talking about the unites states.Not the basin as a whole.I know there were landfalls in other countries in 2010.

Some folks here are just too darn sensitive for their good. So right away their instincts and defenses kick in. I know what you are saying, and agree completely.
Quoting hydrus:
These disturbances look potent...


"imptful"?
903. Jax82
NEW BLOG
Quoting sarahjola:
i've noticed some waves off africa. i know that the steering is not good right now, but it may be an indicator for whats to come.i hope this season has no landfalls but we all know that is just wishful thinking. you are right we should all be very vigilant this season. has the prediction center released any landfall predictions yet? tia





someone eles take this one ... I dont have that info.