By:
Dr. Jeff Masters,
3:18 PM GMT on January 12, 2010
The worst of the cold wave of 2010 is over for the Southern U.S. Temperatures this morning across the southern tier of states rebounded substantially from the lows observed Saturday through Monday, and the citrus growing region of Florida did not receive sustained periods of temperatures below 28°--the critical threshold for fruit damage. Only one record low for the day has been reported so far this morning by the National Weather Service, a 25°F low at Melbourne, Florida, beating the old record of 26° for the date set in 1982. For comparison, 11 low temperature records were set Monday morning in Florida. Temperatures will continue to recover throughout the week as a major re-orientation of the jet stream takes place. By next week, a significant January thaw will occur over the Eastern U.S., and a period of stormy weather and heavy precipitation will impact the Western U.S.
Key West's temperature bottomed out at 51° this morning, breaking its string of 5 consecutive days with temperatures below 50°--the second longest such stretch on record there. However, the damage is done in the citrus growing regions of Florida, where four nights of extremely cold temperatures over the past week
may have killed 7.5% of this year's citrus crop.Here's a list of the number of daily minimum low temperature records set at major airports during the cold wave of January, 2010, in the South:--Texas, Louisiana, Arkansas, Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia, South Carolina, and Florida:
January 2: 1 FL
January 3: 1 SC
January 4: 4 FL, 2 GA
January 5: 1 AR, 1 FL, 1 TX
January 6: 5 AL, 1 AR, 17 FL, 1 GA, 1 LA
January 7: 15 FL, 1 GA
January 8: 2 FL, 2 TX
January 9: 2 FL, 17 TX
January 10: 7 FL, 4 TX
January 11: 11 FL, 1 TX
January 12: 1 FL (data not all in yet)
Figure 1. Ice encases tangerines in Altoona, Florida. Image taken Sunday, January 10, 2010 by
wunderphotographer CAVU.
A major jet stream pattern shift comingAs I noted in my
post on Thursday, a sharp kink in the jet stream and a strong negative phase of the North Atlantic Oscillation was responsible for this winter's cold blast over eastern North America and Europe. However, the ridge of high pressure that has been blocking the west-to-east motion of weather systems over the past ten days is weakening and progressing eastwards, which will allow a jet stream pattern more typical of an El Niño winter to set up next week. The jet stream will dive southward over California, bringing a strong flow of moist, Pacific air to the West Coast. A series of powerful storms is expected to begin battering California Sunday, and these storms should bring significant drought relief--and flooding rains--to most of California and portions of Arizona. The stormy period will likely last at least a week.
A strong low pressure system will also bring heavy rain to the Gulf Coast this Friday and Saturday. It currently appears that the large amount of cold, stable air this weekend's cold wave has delivered to the Gulf will prevent the storm from generating a significant tornado outbreak. Some isolated severe thunderstorms are possible with this storm, and we may see the Storm Prediction Center issue a "Slight" risk area of severe weather for this storm, late this week.
Figure 2. Surface pressure and precipitation forecast for next Wednesday, January 20, from this morning's 00Z run of the GFS model. A strong low pressure system is expected to impact the West Coast and Desert Southwest, bringing large areas of rainfall in excess of 1/2 inch (green colors) during a 12-hour period. While the timing and areal coverage of this precipitation event will no doubt be different than this, given that 8-day forecasts are pretty unreliable, we can expect a very wet and stormy period of weather for the Western U.S. next week. In the Eastern U.S., a surface high pressure system will set up over the East Coast, pumping warm air northwards and bringing a significant January thaw to the Midwest and much of the Eastern U.S.
I'll have an update on Wednesday.
Jeff Masters
Link
Bring on the JANUARY THAW :0)!!
It is definitely possible but it is far out in time I would say. If it does come to pass I hope it just hope it is not nearly as cold as this one.
Good news in that most of us in the Eastern CONUS will get a much needed respite from the bitter cold we have experienced since the start of 2010.
And I hope that whatever Arctic incursion we have is milder than the last one!! My electic bill and my wallet would appreciate that!!
Tuesday January 12, 2010 - 15:18 EDT
Tasmanian Police have advised motorists about a dust storm on the Midland Highway between Tunbridge and Ross.
They have warned of high winds and the storm has reduced visibility to 20 metres.
Police are asking motorists to slow down.
- ABC
What The.....Okay, 1 question I have on this article, where is the dust coming from?
Tasmania is the little island at the southern tip of Australia, surrounded by the southern ocean, and most of it is national park and very very green. Is the dust coming from the mainland or from somewhere in Tasmania. I will endeavor to find out.
My parents had to turn on the heater for 4 days in Miami. My dad remembers only max having it on for two before this.
What are you talking about....you are so far in left field you can't see the plate!
We are all treated discussions with family and friends regarding weather and climate.
I note that my borther-in-law is an self proclaimed expert in this (and numerous other) matters. Using his extensive experience and powers of reasoning and deduction, any single data point that he observes can be extrapolated to the entire planet! Gerrrrrr.
So the question remains, is anyone aware of a single source reference (THAT IS NOT CLIFFS NOTES !!) that discusses ALL of the various world weather patterns and how they historically tend to act AND INTERACT. These weather patterns would include;
- El Nino (all flavors)
- La Nina (does it come in flavors ?)
- the Pine Apple Express
- the North Atlantic Oscillation
- various Monsoon patterns
- jet streams (all of them)
- whatever happens around Antartica
- anything else that I haven't included.
Thanks again.
Now: 80.8°F falling
Feels Like: 83.1°F
Relative Humidity: 63%
This morning: 75°F
Today: 88°F
Updated at 02:30 EDT
Tuesdays temps
Jan 12 Min: 71.1°F Max: 100°F
Models do not appear to have it being as severe as 24hrs ago.
We have a couple of more nights here in the Jax area of sub freezing temps before the warm advection finally begins in earnest here ahead of the developing GOM Low system.
But, I am so ready to wave goodbye to the Great Freeze of 2010!!!!!!
When it is all said and done by Thursday morning, it is likely that temps will be sub freezing for 13 out of the first 14 days of this month and year!
An absolutely amazing prolonged cold period, one in which I have never, ever seen here as a native North Floridian.
BTW, the lowest temperature for me during this entire event was 19.8 degrees, which was yesterday morning.
Each other morning temp has been in the 20-26 range during this event, except Jan 2, when the temp was 32.7 for a minimum.
For the next 2 weeks, milder weather will return to Florida, actually, most of the US.
Unfortunately, it's an El Nino winter that is acting mighty strange, maybe it's a "hybrid" El Nino, with a -NAO and -AO twist!
Well, it looks like this may have been a 200 year event for you guys; in January of 1797 a surveying crew noted 5-8" of snow in the Baker County area and an extended period of freezing weather...in 1800 a 5" snowfall was recorded just north of the present day Jacksonville...not having any tools for weather recording of course, there were no temps provided in either report:
Snow events in northern Florida
Sounds like a drink order:
I'll have an El Nino Winter with a -NAO twist; make it a double...
Somebody will be yelling, "Order UP", on or around your birthday. You may get your birthday wish for snow and cold.
While many people in the Deep South will be throwing tomatoes at you, and frozen roosters at me. Probably need to check for chicken and tomato recipes!
So far, the first 10 days in Dallas-Ft Worth, TX averaged 32.8F, which is a normal for New york City, not Dallas, about 11F BELOW NORMAL.
I do regret that our 1-2 week warm up may be short lived. My electric meter is going, "stop the madness, we're getting real dizzy in here"!!
Now that is more like it.....
Warmest I've been since December 31,
Lafayette, Purdue University Airport
Lat: 40.43 Lon: -86.93 Elev: 623
Last Update on Jan 12, 10:54 am EST
Partly Cloudy
28 °F
(-2 °C)
Humidity: 72 %
Wind Speed: Calm
Barometer: 30.44" (1031.6 mb)
Dewpoint: 20 °F (-7 °C)
Visibility: 10.00 mi.
That's the wrong shortwave you're looking at in the WV loop, TS.
Next one will be responsponsible for any severe over FL.
Chicken Parmesan, man!
Ok your order is on its way, will take about 4 months to get there, but i promise it will still be hot when it arrives. hehe
Hey Aussie! How you doing down there?
sounds delicious
Ultimate actual trajectory will probably change but that model shows it coming in from the SW, missing the panhandle, and coming in through Cedar Key moving NW out again near Jacksonville........It's a watch and wait as to rainfall issues, particularly if it moves quickly through Florida, but at least a huge severe weather threat may not be there for this one as noted by Dr. M; I'm more worried about the ones coming in February and March.
We could use a little rain. Settle the dust. It's been so dry this month.
We'll get some rain....doesn't look as strong of a low as previously thought.
That would be very far out if i am looking at things correctly and the timing of the LOW.....LOOK at the last loop on my home page...What longitude is is at. Your saying its the one at 140W.
We better get a lot of rain because this Freeze has killed a lot of brush just waiting to be ignited...big fire season coming if we don't get rain.
Doing great, except for the lack of sleep, and my back is loving summer, giving my no complaints.
Going to bed, a nice cool breeze has kicked up and will be coming straight into my bedroom.
Goodnight all, Stay safe and stay warm.
Run the 500mb 12Z GFS loop if you want and watch the two circled shortwaves. See which one is over the SE Gulf states this weekend and which one does not create much weather.
Link
This is from the 12Z 500mb valid at 00Z Thursday
Good news, being Italian, I can cook that :0)!!
nice!
I put up a new blog if anyone is interested, it isnt about weather :P
A COUPLE OF STORM SYSTEMS WILL WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO MEXICO AND SOUTH TEXAS LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY... BRINGING APPRECIABLE RAINFALL TO MUCH OF NORTH TEXAS.
THE SECOND STORM SYSTEM WILL BE THE STRONGER OF THE TWO AND BRING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...ESPECIALLY AREAS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20...WHERE AMOUNTS BETWEEN 1 AND 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE BY SATURDAY MORNING.
no, it was the Chicken Tetrazini!
( anyone watch Maury Povich? )
;)
Link
A North Carolina port near Morehead City shut down and cleared after nine containers with highly explosive material were found to be punctured. Traffic on Highway 70 adjacent to the area was also closed. A voluntary evacuation was in order for the area after punctured containers were discovered around 4:45 A.M. People are encouraged to stay away from windows and doors. No casualties or injuries have been reported. The situation is ongoing as police are investigating.
It is not clear what type of explosive was in the containers or when and how they were Punctured. However, there are speculations that the explosive material could have been the PETN, the kind of explosive that was unsuccessfully used by Nigerian national Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab on board Flight 253 on Christmas Day. The PETN is widely considered to be one of the most powerful explosive in existence.
"Morehead City Police said US Marine explosives experts from Cherry Point EOD were on scene with Morehead City firefighters and the Coast Guard to deal with the situation."
I hope everyone is safe and all that but that brought a tweeter here. uh...twitter I mean.
snicker,ack..laff
Definitely a snicker or two there...
I can't believe you didn't say Chicken Marsala...one of many among your signature dishes, my talented personal chef. :)
:(
Bord, you and I need to get together in a kitchen somewhere...my Italian is good, my German is good and I can make biscuits and gravy from scratch that'll make your tongue slap your brains out...
Flood, you and Bord need to organize a WU dinner party somewhere. I'll bring the desserts. :)
Hey, Flood...think Jersey might be able to help with this? Or maybe Doug A.? Surely we know someone in that area who could help out.
Oh man...about 19 courses, including Marsala and several varieties of LST's Cheesecake (capitalized on purpose...try her Cheesecake and you'll know why!)
I'll call Doug AND Jersey and see what we can do...I've been to call the kid for a while anyway.
Auburn, I may have a solution for you! Check your WUMail
Aww, shucks - thanks! I do make killer cheesecake, I won't deny it. :)
How about a combined Pig-Out Party and Portlight "Walk-it-Off"? All you can eat on a Friday or Saturday night, followed by the perfect way to undo the damage!
See, great minds DO think alike! :)
Sounds like a plan, I can make real good pasta sauce, add some italian sausage and homemade meatballs, mmmm.
most definitely! :P
Now THERE'S an idea...
PRELIMINARY EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
831 AM EST TUE JAN 12 2010
VALID 12Z SAT JAN 16 2010 - 12Z TUE JAN 19 2010
THE PRELIMINARY FRONTS AND PRESSURES FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 WERE
UPDATED USING THE 00Z/12 ECMWF THROUGH DAY 6...WITH A MODEST
INCORPORATION OF THE 00Z/12 GEFS MEAN FOR DAY 7 TO MITIGATE THE
DROP OFF IN DETERMINISTIC SKILL SHOWN AT THAT TIME RANGE. THE
DETERMINISTIC ECMWF HAS SHOWN STRONG VERIFICATION WITH SURFACE
PRESSURES ACROSS THE UNITED STATES...SOUTHERN CANADA...AND
NORTHERN MEXICO OVER THE PAST FOUR MONTHS...EDGING OUT THE
GFS...GEFS MEAN...AND EC MEAN FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 6...WITH A
SIMILAR SCORE SHOWN AT DAY 7 TO THE GEFS MEAN. FOR TODAYS
FORECAST...THE 00Z/12 ECMWF...GEFS MEAN...AND EC MEAN CLUSTER WELL
DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE PERIOD...WITH THE GFS A FAST OUTLIER
IN STREAKING ENERGY TO CAPE HATTERAS BY MID PERIOD. THE EASTERN
PACIFIC LOOKS STORMY...WITH ALL THE GUIDANCE SENDING THE STRONGEST
JET YET THIS COLD SEASON INTO CALIFORNIA. THE FLOW REMAINS SPLIT
OVER THE INTERIOR WEST AND ROCKIES...WHICH IS CLIMATOLOGY FOR MID
WINTER. PERHAPS THE MOST CONTENTIOUS ASPECT OF THIS FORECAST IS
HOW MUCH LOW LEVEL COLD AIR CAN FILTER SOUTHWARD EAST OF THE
APPALACHIANS WHILE THE SPRAWLING GULF LOW SLOSHES ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN END OF THE MOUNTAIN CHAIN. THE STRENGTH OF THE HIGH OVER
CANADA ALONE WOULD ARGUE FOR MORE NOSING OF THE ARCTIC AIR THAN IS
DEPICTED BY THE CHOSEN GUIDANCE...WITH SUCH AN ADJUSTMENT RAISING
THE CHANCES FOR ICE AND SNOW FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEAST AND MID
ATLANTIC STATES.
CISCO
It's amazing what some XXX Virgin olive oil, fresh garlic and roma tomatoes can do when they're brought together properly...
We could have a WU Portlight fund-raising dinner?
Once again, I live on the wrong coast!!!!!!!
:(
Lafayette, Purdue University Airport
Lat: 40.43 Lon: -86.93 Elev: 623
Last Update on Jan 12, 12:54 pm EST
A Few Clouds
32 °F
(0 °C)
Humidity: 59 %
Wind Speed: Calm
Barometer: 30.46" (1032.0 mb)
Dewpoint: 19 °F (-7 °C)
Visibility: 10.00 mi.
We could have it in the middle, say, Kansas?
:P
I had a spicy chicken sandwich, oatmeal cream pie, and a hazelnut cappuccino
:)
oh wait, you could buy all of us plane tickets to sunny warm California!
Further proof that fast metabolisms, much like youth, are wasted on the young. :P
She'll need a BIG kitchen...I get the feeling that Bord, much like myself, is cook that spreads out a bit while working...
I'm sure it will catch up to me soon :P
yeah...that's it....I'll just dip into my never-empty checking account...it's magical....I got it from the genie that lives down the street...
man, if this had been a year ago, we could have done it in my town. My dad used to own a steak house, and it had a great kitchen that we worked in, (I made plenty of chicken parms in my day)
you could do that, then you could apply for a bailout?
!!!!
AHH! Kitchen size is not real important. Four of five people in a small kitchen would be hysterical, NRArmy, you hold the camcorder and film that, sister!!!
Lord...please don't let me say what I'm thinkin'...
That would have been too cool! Surely, in this amazing community of people, someone owns or knows someone who owns a restaurant/banquet facility/retreat center...something like that. Or maybe Portlight could set up the mobile kitchens in a state park somewhere...dining al fresco makes everything taste better. And the walk could take place the next morning, amidst some nice scenery.
Okay, I gotta get back to work, or I'll riff on this for the next couple of hours...lots of ideas!!
Does you're genie wanna lend me some money?? Ha, ha, ha :0)
oh my, that would be comical ha
LOL...stay strong, press!
Doug is 24 miles from Stillwater...calling him here in a sec
Yes, Taz, Califonia is going to have plenty of rain. Here is a link below to Allan Hoffman, a meteorologist out of Raleigh, NC. He wrote a cool article about your upcoming "Rain Event"!!Link
; )
:)
Link
SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA 1020 AM PST TUE JAN 12 2010
.LONG TERM (SAT-MON)... THE GFS AND EC BOTH AGREE THAT THE RIDGE WILL QUICKLY BREAK DOWN SATURDAY. MORE IMPORTANTLY BOTH ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT A MAJOR PATTERN SHIFT WILL OCCUR AWAY FROM WARM DRY AND OFFSHORE TO CLOUDS AND RAIN. THE GFS KEEPS SATURDAY DRY WHILE THE EC SQUEEZES SOME PRECIP OUT FORM A FAST MOVING FRONT. AFTER THAT BOTH MDLS HAMMER THE AREA WITH A SERIES OF STORMS SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. THE EXACT TIMING OF ANY OF THESE INDIVIDUAL STORMS IS IMPOSSIBLE BUT THERE WILL BE A GOOD CHANCE OF RAIN EACH DAY. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BE QUITE POWERFUL.
AMEN!
Pat find us a kitchen (shouldn't be too hard) I can make a killer ..... sweet tea ... =P
thanks
Flood, please check your WU mail box :0)
Oh, man...to use one of my favorite SE Louisiana expressions, "dat's for true!"
Great idea, I shot a WU e-mail to Flood about a "plan"!
And there will ZERO Hotel space for folks too.
Now ,..a Spring date here,,I could find a Hall to donate the space and Kitchen maybe.
Also,,if we could..we need to place all these Excellent ideas in the Portlight featured Blog,as not to take away from the entry topic here.
Whoops, this was supposed to be for Ike's Dog, Animal, Pet, Human Blog. Oh well, any objections?
Not from me :o)! How are you this afternoon?
is there an image you could post?
Pretty good. Very much looking forward to the warmup. My terrier Taz is 10 now and was obviously achy this morning, despite glucosamine and sleeping in warm bed in our BR.
I updated my blog, called about upcoming classes at the Emerg. Mngmnt Inst., etc., but it's getting late and we're out of coffee! That's a BIG NO-NO.
Oh, a party? Where's my invite? I guess I should go to Portlight blog now?
Monday 1-18-10 from GFS 12Z run, suface map
I LIKE IT when the MEN COOK!!
I'll bring Beer and Bibs!!
See ya'll on the Portlight blog!
young strapping men?
STORM #3 FR 1-22-10, GFS 12Z Run, surface map
OMG, no coffee!!
AWAKE!! Hi!!! C'mon over to the Portlight blog...we're talkin' party/fundraiser in there. :)
Get the butcher to slice you some very thin slices of sirloin (about 1/4" max).
Lay flat, brush with olive oil, sprinkle Italian bread crumbs lightly
Sprinkle the following (finely minced): boiled egg, black olive, onion.
Roll into a tube and tie up with bakers twine (sort of like old fashioned kite string)
Place as many rolls into a pot full of tomato gravy and cook for 3-4 hours. Serve over pasta. You can cut this with a fork, and it will melt in your mouth! :)
Ike, weren't you complaining about a lack or rain early last year? And then didn't you get about 100 inches? Be careful what you wish for!
the best meal of my life was a muffaletto from central grocery. i heard they were good and when he asked how many there was such a long line i thought i would order 2. imagine my surprise to find each one was as big as a pie plate.
Better than Two hurricanes hitting GOM states within two weeks of each other ala Gustav and Ike.
it is entertaining to me to know we are getting a break from this freeze and now its californias turn :)
LOL...just trying to balance it out.
Sorry, two-thirds of America spent about 6 weeks in the freezer. it's the heart of winter and there will be several large storms that will cause up to 8" of rain in CA,and the frigid Arctic air will be back in Early Feb.
What would you like to see?
Hotel? I was going to stay with you <3
hence my final statement... a good thing ultimately... entertainment is not the key to a good life :) (dare i stray from my american upbringing)
I apologize, I wasn't trying to be disrespectful. This particular blog is HOPPING during Hurricane Season. Right now, it's winter, alot of people here are thawing out and enjoying a break.
If you'd like the "Portlight" group is putting together ideas for a big dinner in New Orleans, LA, to help fund their relief efforts, please check it out:
Link
Ahh, yes, a parade of Pacific Powerful, El Nino storms is coming right up.
I feel bad for California. They're supposed to receive over 8" of rain, if not more in 2 weeks time, NOT a real good thing. Link below to an article, written by Allan Hoffman, a meteorologist out of Raleigh, NC, discussing the up and coming event:
Link
if i wasn't such a hot head with trolls and the like, i'd get more involved round here. but it is a treat to get both quality weather information constantly, and to see the class, comradely, and compassion shared by you regulars!
NOAA’s Gulfstream IV aircraft, known for investigating Atlantic hurricanes, will begin flying over the North Pacific Ocean to fill gaps in atmospheric observations, which will enhance forecasts of winter storms for the entire North American continent through improved computer modeling.
The highly specialized twin turbofan jet will be stationed at Yokota Air Force Base in Japan through February before repositioning to Honolulu in March. From these locations, the aircraft will be tasked by the National Centers for Environmental Prediction — a division of NOAA’s National Weather Service — to fly into data sparse regions to collect information such as wind speed and direction, pressure, temperature and humidity. This data will be sent via satellite to global operational weather forecasting centers — and fed into sophisticated computer forecast models.
“These flights will help us better observe and understand the current state of the atmosphere over the Pacific, where most of North America’s weather originates, in order to better predict future conditions across the U.S. and Canada three to six days in advance,” said Louis Uccellini, Ph.D., director of the National Centers for Environmental Prediction in Camp Springs, Md.
These computer model improvements will play an essential role in meteorological support for the Winter Olympics in Vancouver in addition to more precise precipitation forecasts along the U.S. West Coast and points further east.
NOAA incorporated the Japan-based missions into its annual Winter Storms Reconnaissance program in early 2009 — flying 332 flight hours and logging miles equivalent to circling the Earth five times. Prior to 2009, missions were flown from Alaska, Hawaii and the U.S. West Coast. By expanding the reach across the International Date Line to Japan, NOAA is essentially pushing farther upstream to observe areas of interest with greater lead times.
These missions showed significant positive impact to global numerical weather prediction models, increasing both accuracy and lead times for high-impact weather events. For example, model forecasts of precipitation amounts improved, on average, 10 to 15 percent.
The high altitude, high speed NOAA Gulfstream IV is based at the NOAA Aircraft Operations Center, located at MacDill Air Force Base in Tampa, Fla.
NOAA understands and predicts changes in the Earth's environment, from the depths of the ocean to the surface of the sun, and conserves and manages our coastal and marine resources.
Updated: 43 min 40 sec ago
-53 °F
Partly Cloudy
Windchill: -53 °F
Humidity: 56%
Dew Point: -62 °F
Wind: Calm
Wind Gust: 1.0 mph
Pressure: in (Steady)
Visibility: 10.0 miles
UV: 0 out of 16
Clouds: Few 10000 ft
(Above Ground Level)
Elevation: 464 ft
RAWS FT. YUKON AK US, Chalkyitsik, Alaska (PWS)
Updated: 43 min 40 sec ago
-53 F
Partly Cloudy
Windchill: -53 F
Humidity: 56%
Dew Point: -62 F
Wind: Calm
Wind Gust: 1.0 mph
Pressure: in (Steady)
Visibility: 10.0 miles
UV: 0 out of 16
Clouds: Few 10000 ft
(Above Ground Level)
Elevation: 464 ft
WOO HOO!!!!! RAIN!!!!!!
South Florida vegetable crops devastated by extended string of freezing days
TAMPA, Fla. (AP) -- Consumers can expect to pay more for tomatoes, bell peppers, cucumbers, sweet corn and other produce in the coming months thanks to the recent cold snap in Florida.
More than a week of frigid overnight temperatures has devastated crops in south Florida, which is the primary source of fresh vegetables in the United States during the winter months, industry representatives said Tuesday.
That nasty, frigid, yucky, Siberian/Arctic air that's currently bottled up in the NW Territories over into AK and over the top of the North Pole into Siberia is going to go someplace!!
I do not want 3.500 frozen roosters thrown at me, but the last frame on the 12Z GFS run, Jan 28, 2010, has a weak Polar Vortex L near Northern Hudson's Bay, just south of Baffin Island, with the Siberian front straddled across S Canada up along the spine of the Canadian Rockies, with a @ 1038MB H over the Yukon Territory. It looks like it will eventually visit the CONUS, again..
:(
John Wayne-Orange County, California
65 °F
Scattered Clouds
come on rain!!!!!!
:)
Local Text Forecast for
West Palm Beach, FL (33409)
Jan 12 Tonight
Mainly clear. Low near 40F. Winds NW at 5 to 10 mph.
Jan 13 Tomorrow
Generally sunny. High around 65F. Winds N at 10 to 15 mph.
Jan 13 Tomorrow night
Partly cloudy skies early will become overcast later during the night. A few sprinkles possible. Low 51F. Winds N at 5 to 10 mph.
Jan 14 Thursday
Mostly Cloudy. Highs in the low 70s and lows in the low 60s.
Jan 15 Friday
Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 70s and lows in the mid 60s.
Jan 16 Saturday
Scattered thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s and lows in the mid 60s.
Jan 17 Sunday
Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms.. Highs in the mid 70s and lows in the upper 50s.
Jan 18 Monday
Mix of sun and clouds. Highs in the mid 70s and lows in the upper 50s.
Jan 19 Tuesday
Times of sun and clouds. Highs in the low 70s and lows in the upper 50s.
Jan 20 Wednesday
Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s and lows in the low 60s.
Jan 21 Thursday
Mostly Cloudy. Highs in the upper 70s and lows in the low 60s.
wexx22 paaq 122203
tibat1
tsunami information statement number 1
nws west coast/alaska tsunami warning center palmer ak
603 pm ast tue jan 12 2010
...this tsunami information statement is for puerto rico/ the virgin islands/ the u.s. atlantic and gulf of mexico states/ and eastern canadian provinces...
no warning... no watch and no advisory is in effect for these areas.
evaluation
based on earthquake data and historic tsunami records the earthquake was not sufficient to generate a tsunami damaging to puerto rico/ the virgin islands/ the u.s. atlantic and gulf of mexico coasts/ and eastern canada.
however - earthquakes of this size sometimes generate tsunamis that can be destructive along coasts located in the region of the earthquake epicenter. authorities in the region should be aware of this possibility and take appropriate action.
preliminary earthquake parameters
magnitude - 7.3
time - 1653 est jan 12 2010
1753 ast jan 12 2010
2153 utc jan 12 2010
location - 18.5 north 72.5 west
- haiti region
depth - 21 miles/33 km
the pacific tsunami warning center in ewa beach hawaii will issue messages for areas in the caribbean outside puerto rico and the virgin islands.
this will be the only statement issued for this event by the west coast/alaska tsunami warning center unless additional information becomes available. refer to the internet site wcatwc.arh.noaa.gov for more information.
<15 min ago
Thank you chucktown
From Cold Snap to Sinkholes what's next...
USGS downgraded it to a 7.0Mw:
TSUNAMI MESSAGE NUMBER 1
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI
2203 UTC TUE JAN 12 2010
THIS MESSAGE APPLIES TO COUNTRIES WITHIN AND BORDERING THE
CARIBBEAN SEA...EXCEPT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS.
... A LOCAL TSUNAMI WATCH IS IN EFFECT ...
A TSUNAMI WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
HAITI / CUBA / BAHAMAS / DOMINICAN REP
FOR OTHER AREAS OF THE CARIBBEAN COVERED BY THIS MESSAGE...IT IS
FOR INFORMATION ONLY AT THIS TIME.
THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.
AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS
ORIGIN TIME - 2153Z 12 JAN 2010
COORDINATES - 18.5 NORTH 72.5 WEST
LOCATION - HAITI REGION
MAGNITUDE - 7.3
EVALUATION
A DESTRUCTIVE WIDESPREAD TSUNAMI THREAT DOES NOT EXIST BASED ON
HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DATA.
HOWEVER - THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF A LOCAL TSUNAMI THAT
COULD AFFECT COASTS LOCATED USUALLY NO MORE THAN A HUNDRED
KILOMETERS FROM THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER. AUTHORITIES FOR THE
REGION NEAR THE EPICENTER SHOULD BE AWARE OF THIS POSSIBILITY.
AREAS FURTHER FROM THE EPICENTER COULD EXPERIENCE SMALL SEA
LEVEL CHANGES AND STRONG OR UNUSUAL COASTAL CURRENTS.
ESTIMATED INITIAL TSUNAMI WAVE ARRIVAL TIMES AT FORECAST POINTS
WITHIN THE WARNING AND WATCH AREAS ARE GIVEN BELOW. ACTUAL
ARRIVAL TIMES MAY DIFFER AND THE INITIAL WAVE MAY NOT BE THE
LARGEST. A TSUNAMI IS A SERIES OF WAVES AND THE TIME BETWEEN
SUCCESSIVE WAVES CAN BE FIVE MINUTES TO ONE HOUR.
LOCATION FORECAST POINT COORDINATES ARRIVAL TIME
-------------------------------- ------------ ------------
HAITI JEREMIE 18.6N 74.1W 2224Z 12 JAN
PORT-AU-PRINCE 18.5N 72.4W 2229Z 12 JAN
CAP-HAITEN 19.8N 72.2W 2255Z 12 JAN
CUBA BARACOA 20.4N 74.5W 2249Z 12 JAN
BAHAMAS GREAT INAGUA 20.9N 73.7W 2246Z 12 JAN
DOMINICAN REP PUERTO PLATA 19.8N 70.7W 2304Z 12 JAN
SANTO DOMINGO 18.5N 69.9W 2337Z 12 JAN
ADDITIONAL BULLETINS WILL BE ISSUED BY THE PACIFIC TSUNAMI
WARNING CENTER FOR THIS EVENT AS MORE INFORMATION
BECOMES AVAILABLE.
less then 8 miles deep?
That's...not good.
There have been some very strong earthquakes on the north side of the Dominican Republic and Puerto Rico that fortunately did not generate ocean crossing tsunamis:
August 4, 1946 Dominican Republic--magnitude 8.0 Lat 19.25 north, Lon 69 W.
And this one: Link
I am glad no tsunami is heading this way! But the poor, poor people of Haiti. They just don't get a break!
Thanks Chucktown!
Red Earthquake Alert in Haiti
Summary
On 1/12/2010 9:53:08 PM UTC an earthquake of magnitude 7.3 and depth 0km has struck an very highly populated area in the Ouest Province (population: 2.2 million) in Haiti. GDACS estimates the likelihood for need of international humanitarian intervention to be high (Red alert).
This earthquake can have a high humanitarian impact since the affected region is very highly populated and has medium resilience for natural disasters.
The earthquake 22km from the city of Port-au-Prince. The nearest populated places are Aboni (15km), Henry (16km), Bellevue (5km). It is a mountainous region with a maximum altitude of 2532 m.
Y'all play nice now
Hospital has collapsed.
http://www.foxnews.com/scitech/2010/01/11/years-global-cooling-coming-say-leading-scientists/?test= latestnews
The U.S. Geological Service is reporting a magnitude 7 earthquake near Haiti's capital of Port Au Prince.
The U.S. places the epicenter 10 miles southwest of the capital. Unfortunately, the earthquake was relatively shallow at about 6.2 miles below the earth's surface. Generally. the shallower the earthquake, the worse the shaking and damage it causes.
A tsunami warning has been issued with other Caribbean islands being told they could be in the path. Haiti, the Dominican Republic which shares the island of Hispaniola with Haiti, Cuba and the Bahamas have been warned.
There are reports that a hospital has collapsed.
Haiti is the Western Hemisphere's poorest nation and does not have the search and rescue resources to deal with a disaster of this magnitude.
The earthquake had a preliminary magnitude of 7.0 and was centred about 14 miles (22 kilometres) west from the capital of Port-au-Prince, according to the U.S. Geological Survey.
An Associated Press videographer saw the wrecked hospital in nearby Petionville, and a U.S. government official reported seeing houses that had tumbled into a ravine.
No further details on any causualties or other damage were immediately available.
"Everybody is just totally, totally freaked out and shaken," said Henry Bahn, a visiting official with the U.S. Department of Agriculture. "The sky is just grey with dust."
Bahn said he was walking to his hotel room when the ground began to shake.
"I just held on and bounced across the wall," he said. "I just hear a tremendous amount of noise and shouting and screaming in the distance."
Bahn said there were rocks strewn all over the place and he saw a ravine where several homes had been built. "It's just full of collapsed walls and rubble and barbed wire," he said.
Link
1038mb canadian high isn't particularly strong, IMO. I get more concerned when I see something 1048+.
Date-Time
* Tuesday, January 12, 2010 at 21:53:09 UTC
* Tuesday, January 12, 2010 at 04:53:09 PM at epicenter
* Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones
Location 18.451°N, 72.445°W
Depth 10 km (6.2 miles) set by location program
Region HAITI REGION
Distances 15 km (10 miles) SW of PORT-AU-PRINCE, Haiti
140 km (90 miles) E of Les Cayes, Haiti
145 km (90 miles) WNW of Barahona, Dominican Republic
1140 km (710 miles) SE of Miami, Florida
Location Uncertainty horizontal +/- 8.3 km (5.2 miles); depth fixed by location program
Parameters NST=103, Nph=103, Dmin=365.7 km, Rmss=1.14 sec, Gp= 94°,
M-type=teleseismic moment magnitude (Mw), Version=7
Source
* USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
Event ID us2010rja6
Yeah...I heard that too.
mag 7.0
follow by 2 aftershocks
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI
2254 UTC TUE JAN 12 2010
THIS MESSAGE APPLIES TO COUNTRIES WITHIN AND BORDERING THE
CARIBBEAN SEA...EXCEPT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS.
... A LOCAL TSUNAMI WATCH IS IN EFFECT ...
A TSUNAMI WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
HAITI / CUBA / BAHAMAS / DOMINICAN REP
FOR OTHER AREAS OF THE CARIBBEAN COVERED BY THIS MESSAGE...IT IS
FOR INFORMATION ONLY AT THIS TIME.
THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.
AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS
ORIGIN TIME - 2153Z 12 JAN 2010
COORDINATES - 18.5 NORTH 72.5 WEST
LOCATION - HAITI REGION
MAGNITUDE - 7.1
NOTE: MAGNITUDE IS REDUCED FROM 7.3 TO 7.1
THERE ARE NO SEA LEVEL READINGS YET FOR THIS EVENT. READINGS
FROM THE NEAREST GAUGES SHOULD BE RECEIVED WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR.
EVALUATION
A DESTRUCTIVE WIDESPREAD TSUNAMI THREAT DOES NOT EXIST BASED ON
HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DATA.
HOWEVER - THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF A LOCAL TSUNAMI THAT
COULD AFFECT COASTS LOCATED USUALLY NO MORE THAN A HUNDRED
KILOMETERS FROM THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER. AUTHORITIES FOR THE
REGION NEAR THE EPICENTER SHOULD BE AWARE OF THIS POSSIBILITY.
AREAS FURTHER FROM THE EPICENTER COULD EXPERIENCE SMALL SEA
LEVEL CHANGES AND STRONG OR UNUSUAL COASTAL CURRENTS.
ESTIMATED INITIAL TSUNAMI WAVE ARRIVAL TIMES AT FORECAST POINTS
WITHIN THE WARNING AND WATCH AREAS ARE GIVEN BELOW. ACTUAL
ARRIVAL TIMES MAY DIFFER AND THE INITIAL WAVE MAY NOT BE THE
LARGEST. A TSUNAMI IS A SERIES OF WAVES AND THE TIME BETWEEN
SUCCESSIVE WAVES CAN BE FIVE MINUTES TO ONE HOUR.
LOCATION FORECAST POINT COORDINATES ARRIVAL TIME
-------------------------------- ------------ ------------
HAITI JEREMIE 18.6N 74.1W 2215Z 12 JAN
PORT-AU-PRINCE 18.5N 72.4W 2228Z 12 JAN
CAP-HAITEN 19.8N 72.2W 2246Z 12 JAN
CUBA BARACOA 20.4N 74.5W 2240Z 12 JAN
BAHAMAS GREAT INAGUA 20.9N 73.7W 2237Z 12 JAN
DOMINICAN REP PUERTO PLATA 19.8N 70.7W 2256Z 12 JAN
SANTO DOMINGO 18.5N 69.9W 2328Z 12 JAN
ADDITIONAL BULLETINS WILL BE ISSUED BY THE PACIFIC TSUNAMI
WARNING CENTER FOR THIS EVENT AS MORE INFORMATION
BECOMES AVAILABLE.
7.0 will be widespread destruction on Haiti.
no things going zonal and somewhat normal as regards to winter
near end of month going into feb we will have to watch for last of the big winter play outs
and how severe season begins to shape up
by then sping will be just over 30 days away lots to see yet before winter 2010 is done
What warning is there on the east coast of the U.S.?
I couldn't agree with you more Ike they should be ashamed.
From BBC news.
This is not good.
There are NO warnings, A Tsunami Watch for Cuba, Haiti, Dominican Rep and Bahamas is in effect until further notice.
USGS states earthquakes in that are usually do NOT present anything but a local tsunami threat, hence no watches for the US coast, the Gulf of Mexico, Puerto Rico or the USVI.
Grand Iguana island was in the tsunami strike zone over a half hour ago and reported nothing.
And stronger earthquakes (8.0 Dominican Republic, 1946 and (7.5 in open ocean, north end of Mona Passage just of NW corner of Puerto Rico, 1918) were better situated for tsunami formation, as well as stronger. No east coast tsunami happened.
Link
Link
Also listening for any local reports about effects in Inagua or Mayaguana.
http://www.wunderground.com/blog/Portlight/comment.html?entrynum=28#commenttop
we have a "Go" container in Atlanta which will ship out in a few days...and an ongoing reltionship with a community of Catholic sisters in Port au Prince who will be opening shelters....
12-JAN-2010 22:12:05 5.5 HAITI REGION
12-JAN-2010 22:00:42 5.9 HAITI REGION
12-JAN-2010 21:53:09 7.0 HAITI REGION
The needs are going to be great.
Lets Roll....!!
It depends on the underwater geography - even a lesser EQ can create a large wave should a landslide occur. - even away from the epicenter.
any funds we raise will be used to defray shipping costs of medical and clinical equipment...and for the purchase of food and other shelter supplies...Haiti is our neighbor...and Haitians are certainly forgotten people...people with disabilities in Haiti are frequently barely seen as human...
anyone interested in going to Haiti to help staff one or more shelters for Hatians with disabilities please WU mail me...
Action: Quote | Modify Comment
The quake could be felt strongly in the eastern Cuban city of Santiago, about 250 miles west of Port-au-Prince.
"It was very strong. It lasted for almost a minute," said Marlon Romaguera, who runs a bed-and-breakfast there.
They probaby are going to have to relocate a good deal/use mobile hospitals.
There isnt standing that is stable id imagine.
Magnitude 7.0
Date-Time Tuesday, January 12, 2010 at 21:53:09 UTC
Tuesday, January 12, 2010 at 04:53:09 PM at epicenter
Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones
Location 18.451°N, 72.445°W
Depth 10 km (6.2 miles) set by location program
Region HAITI REGION
Distances 15 km (10 miles) SW of PORT-AU-PRINCE, Haiti
140 km (90 miles) E of Les Cayes, Haiti
145 km (90 miles) WNW of Barahona, Dominican Republic
1140 km (710 miles) SE of Miami, Florida
Location Uncertainty horizontal +/- 8.3 km (5.2 miles); depth fixed by location program
Parameters NST=103, Nph=103, Dmin=365.7 km, Rmss=1.14 sec, Gp= 94°,
M-type=teleseismic moment magnitude (Mw), Version=7
Source USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
Event ID us2010rja6
All power out in Port-Au-Prince.
Just had a 5.1 within the last 30 minutes....
Earthquake Details
Magnitude 5.1
Date-Time
* Tuesday, January 12, 2010 at 23:12:04 UTC
* Tuesday, January 12, 2010 at 06:12:04 PM at epicenter
Location 18.390°N, 72.570°W
Depth 10 km (6.2 miles) set by location program
Region HAITI REGION
Distances
* 17 km (11 miles) N (349°) from Jacmel, Sud-Est, Haiti
* 22 km (14 miles) SW (225°) from Carrefour, Ouest, Haiti
* 31 km (19 miles) SW (235°) from PORT-AU-PRINCE, Haiti
Location Uncertainty horizontal +/- 4.4 km (2.7 miles); depth fixed by location program
Parameters NST=163, Nph=163, Dmin=316.9 km, Rmss=0.84 sec, Gp= 50°,
M-type=body wave magnitude (Mb), Version=7
Source
* U.S. Geological Survey, National Earthquake Information Center:
World Data Center for Seismology, Denver
Event ID us2010rjbg
They've had....5.9....5.5 and now 5.1.
Link
Link
Things are going to be tough there.
mag 7.3 MAJOR
follow by 5 aftershocks
I was reading that. Even to knock stuff over.
I guess it depends on what kind of foundations were under the buildings near the epicenter.
PORT-AU-PRINCE, Haiti %u2014 The largest earthquake ever recorded in the area shook Haiti on Tuesday, collapsing a hospital where people screamed for help. Other buildings also were damaged and scientists said they expected "substantial damage and casualties."
With communications disrupted there were no reports of deaths or injuries soon after the quake, as powerful aftershocks shook the country.
Elsewhere, a U.S. government official reported seeing houses that had tumbled into a ravine.
Haiti's ambassador to the U.S., Raymond Joseph, said from his Washington office that he spoke to President Rene Preval's chief of staff, Fritz Longchamp, just after the quake hit. He said Longchamp told him that "buildings were crumbling right and left" near the national palace. He said he has not gotten through by phone to Haiti since.
When you dont hear anything its either not that bad or worse than can be imagined.
A TSUNAMI MEASURING 12 CM CREST-TO-TROUGH WAS RECORDED AT SANTO
DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND A TSUNAMI LESS THAN 1 CM
CREST-TO-TROUGH WAS RECORDED ON A DEEP OCEAN GAUGE IN THE
EAST-CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. BASED ON THESE DATA THERE COULD HAVE
BEEN DESTRUCTIVE TSUNAMI WAVES NEAR THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER
BUT THERE IS NOT A THREAT TO COASTAL AREAS FURTHER AWAY.
THEREFORE THE TSUNAMI WATCH ISSUED BY THIS CENTER IS NOW
CANCELLED.
FOR ANY AFFECTED AREAS - WHEN NO MAJOR WAVES HAVE OCCURRED FOR AT
LEAST TWO HOURS AFTER THE ESTIMATED ARRIVAL TIME OR DAMAGING WAVES
HAVE NOT OCCURRED FOR AT LEAST TWO HOURS THEN LOCAL AUTHORITIES
CAN ASSUME THE THREAT IS PASSED. DANGER TO BOATS AND COASTAL
STRUCTURES CAN CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL HOURS DUE TO RAPID CURRENTS.
AS LOCAL CONDITIONS CAN CAUSE A WIDE VARIATION IN TSUNAMI WAVE
ACTION THE ALL CLEAR DETERMINATION MUST BE MADE BY LOCAL
AUTHORITIES.
THIS WILL BE THE FINAL PRODUCT ISSUED BY THE PACIFIC TSUNAMI
WARNING CENTER FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
BECOMES AVAILABLE.
5.9
5.5
5.1
4.8
4.5
146. JeffMasters (Admin) 6:42 PM EST on January 12, 2010
I'll be blogging about the Haiti quake tomorrow, and promote the Lambi Fund and Portlight's efforts there. I agree with Paul, the Haitians are truly forgotten and under-served. A shallow major quake only 10 miles from the capital is bound to cause a terrible toll.
Jeff
(From GDACS)
Orange earthquake alert Haiti(M=5.5) potentially affecting 5.4 million people. 3 hours ago
Orange earthquake alert Haiti(M=5.9) potentially affecting 4.6 million people. 3 hours ago
Red earthquake alert Haiti(M=7) potentially affecting 5.4 million people.
mag 7.0 MAJOR
follow by 9 aftershocks
He said he saw dozens of dead and injured people in the rubble, which blocked streets in the city.
The epicenter of the quake was located inland, only 10 miles from the capital Port-au-Prince and was very shallow at a depth of only 6.2 miles.
It prompted a tsunami watch for parts the Caribbean, the Pacific Tsunami Warning Center said on Tuesday.
"Everything started shaking, people were screaming, houses started collapsing ... it's total chaos," Reuters reporter Joseph Guyler Delva said. "I saw people under the rubble, and people killed," he added.
A local employee for the U.S. charity Food for the Poor reported seeing a five-storey building collapse in Port-au-Prince, a spokeswoman for the group, Kathy Skipper, told Reuters.
Another Food for the Poor employee said there were more houses destroyed than standing in Delmas Road, a major thoroughfare in the city.
The President stated readiness and a desire to help about an hour ago. I assume its started.
The are going to have a horrible night.
"Most buildings in Port-Au-Prince have been damaged or have collapsed, which would include homes of staff and families we work with, as well a the grain mills, sugar cane mills and sites for community economic development. And cisterns and latrines we have supported for safe drinking water and sanitation. Major rebuilding effort needed. Please post on your blog. There are rumors that presidential palace has major damage--it is designed like the White House--it is near the epicenter, so would not be surprising".
This quake may rival the hurricane season of 2008 for death and destruction, and may rank as one of the worst natural disasters in Haitian history. I'll blog more about this tomorrow, and include donation links for those wanting to help. Give your prayers to them tonight! Some history: Hurricane Flora killed over 8000 people in 1963, making it the 6th most deadly hurricane ever. An unnamed 1935 storm killed over 2000, and Hurricane Hazel killed over 1000 in 1954. As far as earthquakes go, the May 7, 1842 the magnitude 7.7 Cap-Haïtien earthquake shook whole island, killing 10,000, and generated a tsunami that killed 300 people on the island. The quake wrecked the towns of P-a-Paix, Mole St. Nicola, O Kap, and Fort Liberte. One of the largest cities in Haiti--Cap-Haïtien, with a population of 60,000--was destroyed, with the loss of 6,000 lives.
Three charities in Haiti to consider:
Lambi Fund of Haiti
Haiti Hope Fund
Catholic Relief Services of Haiti
Jeff Masters
I dunno if they are waiting for more info or something but they better start by 8pm or they will be harshly criticized tomorrow.
2010 starting off with some style i hope we don't get to fancy with it
Tragic for this poor country...
It reached the Southern Bahamas?
Paul Timmons,the Portlight Chairman and relief Manager is getting our Warehoused Goods assembled for transport to Haiti.
This first Push of relief will be medical supplies and Mechanical goods for the disabled there,wheelchairs,crutches and many other items too many to mention here.
But were going to need urgent funding to make a impact on the suffering there. That's going to take funds.
One can use the Paypal Button in the Portlight Blog on the wunderground.com
or send a check to,
You can make checks payable to:
Portlight Strategies, Inc.
2043 Maybank Hwy
Charleston, SC 29412
Also Dr Jeff Masters,founder of the wunderground.com website will be posting a Blog entry tomorrow morning on the Devastating Earthquake that has struck Haiti.
He will also be providing a link to the Lambi fund of Haiti,Haiti Hope Fund,and Catholic Relief Services of Haiti..all organizations that do full time relief work in Haiti.
Please,and I stress urgency as to the following.
Feel free to post this request on any site,media page,facebook page,or twitter it by a link.
Time is of the essence in any Relief Mission and we aim to provide this relief as soon as Possible.
Thank you for supporting this worthy effort in any manner possible.
Time is really important now in this. Im sure you guys will be abler to find something to help with QUICKLY.
I would suggest also writing to the State Department suggesting all barriers to temporary medical care in the SE US be dropped.
I think we all should.
Tropical Cyclone Advisory Number THIRTY-FIVE
EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION, FORMER EDZANI (08-20092010)
4:00 AM Réunion January 13 2010
======================================
At 0:00 AM UTC, Extratropical, Former Edzani (984 hPa) located at 27.3S 69.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 45 knots with gusts of 65 knots. The extratropical low was reported as moving southwest at 10 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: Undefined
Storm Force Winds
=================
70 NM from the center extending up to 100 NM in the southern semi circle
Gale-Force Winds
=================
within the center
Near Gale-force Winds
======================
80 NM from the center extending up to 250 NM in the southern semi-circle
Forecast and Intensity
=====================
12 HRS: 28.8S 68.3E - 45 knots (EXTRATROPICAL)
24 HRS: 30.8S 68.2E - 45 knots (EXTRATROPICAL)
48 HRS: 35.7S 75.6E - 55 knots (EXTRATROPICAL)
Additional Information
=========================
Last animated satellite pictures show weak to moderate convective activity around EX-EDZANI low level circulation center due to the lower levels convergence.
Maximum winds are in order of 45 knots, locally 50 knots far from the center in the southern semi circle due to the gradient effect with the subtropical ridge. Winds are weaker (20-30 knots) within a raius of 30 NM from the center (extratropical feature).
EX-EDZANI system keeps on tracking southwest. The southern ridge is forecasted to weaken and system should track southward over the next 24 hours. Beyond it is forecasted to accelerate southeast within a mid latitude trough. At the end of the forecast range it should merge with a high latitude low.
Average wind speed should remain in the order of the gale force, locally storm force over the next 24 hours, and after strengthen due to the gradient with the subtropical high pressures and high speed of the system.
Magnitude 7.0
.3 can make a difference with such high numbers.
We have a blog here and the address is http://www.portlight.org/
currently updating as fast as we can
http://www.facebook.com/home.php?#/pages/Portlight-Strategies/34977944066?ref=ts
Continuing with pre recording programing... NBC has multiple news channels, like CNN so they really have no reason. Not that FOX has much excuse either.
Their both talking about or with Sarah Palin. Pathetic reporting.
Already negativity about FOX news
Well their a liberal watchdog group with a major purpose is watching FOX news for errors or right wing-ed remarks, or lack of coverage. The mainstream may pick up on it soon although fox did cover it for a few minutes.
Link link to portlight
Were quickly putting together a relief mission here at portlight.org and the wunderground.
Paul Timmons,the Portlight Chairman and relief Manager is getting our Warehoused Goods assembled for transport to Haiti.
This first Push of relief will be medical supplies and Mechanical goods for the disabled there,wheelchairs,crutches and many other items too many to mention here.
But were going to need urgent funding to make a impact on the suffering there. That's going to take funds.
One can use the Paypal Button in the Portlight Blog on the wunderground.com
or send a check to,
Portlight Strategies, Inc.
2043 Maybank Hwy
Charleston, SC 29412
OR DONATE BY CREDIT CARD
A serious earthquake has hit Haiti, 7.0 on the Richter scale!!
mag 7.0 MAJOR
follow by 9 aftershocks
Source: Voice of America (VOA)
From ReliefWEB
Strong Earthquake Rocks Haiti
Date: 12 Jan 2010
VOA News 12 January 2010
An earthquake with a magnitude of 7.0 has struck the impoverished Caribbean nation of Haiti.
The U.S. Geological Survey says the earthquake struck Tuesday afternoon, and that it was followed by two aftershocks with magnitudes of 5.9 and 5.0. The initial quake struck at a depth of only 10 kilometers, and was centered about 16 kilometers from Haiti's capital, Port-au-Prince.
There are unconfirmed reports that a hospital has collapsed. A tsunami watch has been issued for the neighboring Dominican Republic, along with Cuba and the Bahamas.
Haiti's ambassador to the United States, Raymond Joseph, told CNN that the Caribbean nation will be seeking U.S. assistance. He called the quake a major catastrophe, telling the network he is calling on friends of Haiti to come to the country's aid.
Haiti is the Western Hemisphere's poorest country. Recent development efforts have suffered severe setbacks because of political violence and lawlessness, corruption and natural disasters. Seventy percent of the population lives on the equivalent of less than $2 per day.
Last year, former U.S. President Bill Clinton, the United Nations special envoy to Haiti, sought to assure international investors that Haiti has regained stability and is a safe place to do business.
No all is fine. I don't read previous posts also. Just move on.
"Food will be crucial, rice, beans, drinking water, pots and pans to cook. You can't imagine the poverty there...if you're old enough you may remember Biafra...this is worse because of AIDS.
Tetanus shots, antibiotics, anti-diarrheal, first aid kits. Clothes, shoes, underwear, you name it they need it."
there has been an increase of activity along around entire atlantic basin
which is normally quiet with most reports in carb
but as of late seems to show slight increase in the activity
Hey Geoff :0)
Earthquake Details
Magnitude 5.2
Date-Time
* Wednesday, January 13, 2010 at 00:59:06 UTC
* Tuesday, January 12, 2010 at 07:59:06 PM at epicenter
* Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones
Location 18.257°N, 72.914°W
Depth 10 km (6.2 miles) set by location program
Region HAITI REGION
Distances 70 km (45 miles) WSW of PORT-AU-PRINCE, Haiti
90 km (55 miles) E of Les Cayes, Haiti
180 km (115 miles) SSW of Cap-Haitien, Haiti
1125 km (700 miles) SE of Miami, Florida
Location Uncertainty horizontal +/- 7.7 km (4.8 miles); depth fixed by location program
Parameters NST= 88, Nph= 88, Dmin=189.5 km, Rmss=1.43 sec, Gp= 50°,
M-type=body wave magnitude (Mb), Version=7
Source
* USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
Event ID us2010rkaf
I am also appalled at Fox in particular. In South Florida, where there are MAJOR populations of expatriate Haitians, they were showing celebrity gossip. When the big news moguls go out of business, they are going to lose to PNNs like Facebook, etc.
* By staff writers and AFP and Reuters correspondents in Port Au Prince
* From: news.com.au
* January 13, 2010 11:56AM
The earthquake hit the poor nation in the late evening, local time / Eric Auld Source: news.com.au
This image from the US Geological illustrates the 7.0 magnitude earthquake that rocked the Caribbean nation of Haiti
# Earthquake rocks Caribbean nation of Haiti
# Tsunami warning has been issued
BUILDINGS have collapsed, people are screaming for help and bodies are lying in the rubble after a 7.0-magnitude earthquake hit the Caribbean nation of Haiti.
A Caribbean tsunami warning was issued for parts of the Caribbean, including neighbouring Dominican Republic, Cuba and the Bahamas, by the Pacific Tsunami Warning Centre, but it has since been cancelled.
"A destructive widespread tsunami threat does not exist based on historical earthquake and tsunami data," the centre said.
"However, there is the possibility of a local tsunami that could affect coasts located usually no more than a 100km from the earthquake epicentre."
The country's ambassador to the United States, Raymond Alcide Joseph, told CNN television: "I think it's really a catastrophe of major proportions."
The ambassador said he was heartbroken as he had just spoken by telephone with a senior presidential aide who described scenes of chaos and devastation.
"He had to stop his car just about half an hour ago, and take to the streets, start walking, but he said houses were crumbling on the right side of the street and the left side of the street," Mr Joseph said.
"He does not know whether he would reach his home, not knowing what he would find, because he had a bridge to cross to get there."
Ian Rodgers from Save the Children in the capital, Port-au-Prince, told CNN collapsed retaining walls have blocked most of the roads, and the aftershocks are making the situation worse.
"It's very dangerous to move at this time," he said. "There's a lot of distress and wailing... people trying to find love ones trapped under rubble."
He said all power seems to be out in Port-au-Prince, but some homes have their own generators.
A journalist with Haitian television station Haitipal, told AFP that public buildings across the capital had been destroyed.
"The presidential palace, the finance ministry, the ministry of public works, the ministry of communication and culture,'' were all affected by the quake, the reporter said, adding that the parliament building and a cathedral in the capital were also crumbling.
People digging out victims
Reuters reporter Joseph Guyler Delva, who is in the capital, said: "Everything started shaking, people were screaming, houses started collapsing ... it's total chaos."
He said he had seen dozens of people apparently dead or injured lying under rubble, which blocked roads. Panic-stricken residents were desperately trying to dig people out from under rubble or searching for missing relatives.
An AFP correspondent in the suburb of Petionville said one three-story building, housing two offices, was toppled, and a tractor was already at the scene trying to dig out victims as people fled onto the streets in panic. The up-scale area is home to many foreign diplomats and members of a major United Nations mission to the country.
A broadcast on Radio Soleil Haiti reported that the situation was "critical" and a lot of people are "worried and panicking".
US President Barack Obama said the United States was ready to help.
"My thoughts and prayers go out to those who have been affected by this earthquake. We are closely monitoring the situation and we stand ready to assist the people of Haiti," he said.
The Associated Press reported a hospital has collapsed and people can be heard "screaming for help".
Henry Bahn, a visiting official with the US Department of Agriculture, told AP: "Everybody is just totally, totally freaked out and shaken" and the sky is "grey with dust".
He said he saw a house that had fallen into a ravine.
"It's just full of collapsed walls and rubble and barbed wire," he said.
Two powerful aftershocks measuring 5.9 and 5.5 on the magnitude scale have also struck the region.
Haiti has become the number one trending topic on Twitter since the earthquake struck. Twitter user @troylivesay (Port Au Prince, Haiti) wrote: "Just experienced a MAJOR earthquake here in Port au Prince - walls were falling down. - we are ALL fine - pray for those in the slums". Another user @mangu45 tweeted: "earthquake in haiti, i felt it here, in dominican republic".
UNICEF has launched an urgent appeal for aid to supply emergency medical supplies, safe drinking water and temporary shelters. To donate to the emergency relief effort, please visit: www.unicefusa.org/haitiquake.
Nation already struggling
Already the poorest nation in the Americas, Haiti has been hit by a series of disasters recently and was battered by hurricanes in 2008. The country was also gripped by a tense political standoff in April 2008 amid riots over skyrocketing food prices.
Seventy per cent of Haiti's population lives on less than $US2 per day and half of its 8.5 million people are unemployed. According to official figures, food insecurity already affects more than a quarter of Haiti's population, some 1.9 million people, with women and children the worst affected.
The Food and Agriculture Organisation has designated Haiti as one of the world's most economically vulnerable countries.
The World Food Program serves one meal a day to more than 500,000 Haitian schoolchildren, providing them with what is often their only meal of the day. The organisation also feeds 100,000 women who are pregnant or breastfeeding and 50,000 children under the age of five.
Since mid-2004, the Brazilian-led MINUSTAH has been keeping the peace in the impoverished Caribbean island nation.
Upwards of 700,000 people subjected to violent or extreme shaking, and 2.3 million to severe shaking, including the nation's capital. I haven't seen a single earthquake this potentially destructive on the maps since the 2008 Sichuan earthquake. Especially considering Haiti was the only country severely affected by any damaging shaking, and the potential for landslides and sea level disturbances as this occured near a harbour, this could have a devastating effect on the country.
Link
Earthquake Details
Magnitude 5.8 (Preliminary magnitude %u2014 update expected within 15 minutes)
Date-Time
* Wednesday, January 13, 2010 at 01:32:49 UTC
* Tuesday, January 12, 2010 at 08:32:49 PM at epicenter
Location 18.390%uFFFDN, 72.910%uFFFDW
Depth 36 km (22.4 miles) set by location program
Region HAITI REGION
Distances
* 42 km (26 miles) WNW (293%uFFFD) from Jacmel, Sud-Est, Haiti
* 54 km (34 miles) WSW (253%uFFFD) from Carrefour, Ouest, Haiti
* 63 km (39 miles) WSW (254%uFFFD) from PORT-AU-PRINCE, Haiti
Location Uncertainty Error estimate not available
Parameters NST=012, Nph=012, Dmin=0 km, Rmss=1.69 sec, Gp= 61%uFFFD,
M-type="moment" magnitude from initial P wave (tsuboi method) (Mi/Mwp), Version=A
Source
* NOAA Pacific Tsunami Warning Center
Event ID pt10013000
Shouldn't you be browsing the internet for immediate updates?
Sounds like a really rough time.... :(
Earthquake Details
Magnitude 5.6 (Preliminary magnitude — update expected within 15 minutes)
Date-Time
* Wednesday, January 13, 2010 at 01:36:32 UTC
* Tuesday, January 12, 2010 at 08:36:32 PM at epicenter
Location 18.400°N, 73.000°W
Depth 15 km (9.3 miles) set by location program
Region HAITI REGION
Distances
* 52 km (32 miles) WNW (290°) from Jacmel, Sud-Est, Haiti
* 63 km (39 miles) WSW (257°) from Carrefour, Ouest, Haiti
* 72 km (45 miles) WSW (257°) from PORT-AU-PRINCE, Haiti
Location Uncertainty Error estimate not available
Parameters NST= 24, Nph= 18, Dmin=0 km, Rmss=0.87 sec, Gp= 83°,
M-type="moment" magnitude from initial P wave (tsuboi method) (Mi/Mwp), Version=B
Source
* NOAA Pacific Tsunami Warning Center
Event ID pt10013000
Right, I almost forgot about Google News. Thanks.
Amen!
Stay tuned to here and Local Media in case we see a Larger Event the next few Hours.
My Take only..
who knows...
?
Saw nuff of that a few years back from inside a calamity.
Focus on what we as a community can do,and keep the real-time flow a coming.
Ike is working the aftershocks and those are a Big Concern as night has fallen
Thanks. Finally someone with full coverage.
To start the process of searching for family members in Haiti.
Oh I see.
patrap is absolutely right. what has not come down will be shaken again and again. the outskirts of Port-au-Prince damn i don't even what to say. i just know that is far worse than most people think.
Earthquake Details
Magnitude 5.4
Date-Time
* Wednesday, January 13, 2010 at 01:57:35 UTC
* Tuesday, January 12, 2010 at 08:57:35 PM at epicenter
Location 18.459°N, 72.924°W
Depth 10 km (6.2 miles) set by location program
Region HAITI REGION
Distances
* 47 km (29 miles) WNW (301°) from Jacmel, Sud-Est, Haiti
* 54 km (33 miles) W (262°) from Carrefour, Ouest, Haiti
* 63 km (39 miles) W (261°) from PORT-AU-PRINCE, Haiti
Location Uncertainty horizontal +/- 6.9 km (4.3 miles); depth fixed by location program
Parameters NST=189, Nph=192, Dmin=182.6 km, Rmss=0.78 sec, Gp= 97°,
M-type=body wave magnitude (Mb), Version=6
Source
* U.S. Geological Survey, National Earthquake Information Center:
World Data Center for Seismology, Denver
Event ID us2010rkaq
Source: Reuters - AlertNet
Date: 12 Jan 2010
* Buildings, homes collapse in capital Port-au-Prince
* Dead, injured seen in rubble, screams heard in streets
* Obama says United States ready to help
* Haiti is "facing a major catastrophe" - ambassador (Updates with details, quotes)
By Joseph Guyler Delva
PORT-AU-PRINCE, Jan 12 (Reuters) - A major earthquake hit impoverished Haiti on Tuesday, toppling buildings in the capital Port-au-Prince, burying residents in rubble and causing many deaths and injuries, witnesses in the city said.
The magnitude 7.0 quake, whose epicenter was inland and only 10 miles (16 km) from Port-au-Prince, sent panic-stricken people screaming into the streets of the city, as a cloud of dust and smoke from falling buildings rose into the sky.
As darkness fell amid scenes of chaos and anguished cries from victims, residents desperately tried to dig out survivors or searched for missing relatives in debris-strewn streets.
The presidential palace was among the buildings damaged, Haiti's ambassador to the United States, Raymond Alcide Joseph, told CNN.
"My country is facing a major catastrophe," he said.
Haiti is the poorest country in the Western Hemisphere and has a history of destructive natural disasters. Some 9,000 U.N. police and troops are stationed there to maintain order.
The major quake, followed by several aftershocks, prompted a tsunami watch for parts the Caribbean but this was later canceled.
"Everything started shaking, people were screaming, houses started collapsing ... it's total chaos," Reuters reporter Joseph Guyler Delva said in Port-au-Prince.
"I saw people under the rubble, and people killed," he added, saying he had witnessed dozens of casualties.
U.S. President Barack Obama said his "thoughts and prayers" were with the people of Haiti and pledged to come to their aid. The Obama administration said the State Department, USAID and U.S. military were working to coordinate assistance.
The United States "will be providing both civilian and military disaster relief and humanitarian assistance," Secretary of State Hillary Clinton said.
A local employee for the charity Food for the Poor reported seeing a five-story building collapse in Port-au-Prince, spokeswoman Kathy Skipper told Reuters.
Another Food for the Poor employee said there were more houses destroyed than standing in Delmas Road, a major thoroughfare in the city.
"Within a minute of the quake ... soil, dust and smoke rose up over the city, a blanket that completely covered the city and obscured it for about 12 minutes until the atmospheric conditions dissipated the dust," Mike Godfrey, who works for USAID, told CNN from the city.
Experts said the quake's epicenter was very shallow at a depth of only 6.2 miles (10 km), which was likely to have magnified the destruction.
PEOPLE SCREAMED 'JESUS, JESUS'
Speaking to CNN from Port-au-Prince, Ian Rogers of the charity Save the Children said he could hear cries of anguish and mourning rising up from around the city in the darkness.
Homes and buildings built on hillsides had come crashing down along with earth and rubble.
"All the roads currently are blocked," Rogers said.
"People were screaming 'Jesus, Jesus' and running in all directions," Delva said.
The Hotel Montana in Port-au-Prince, where many foreigners stay, suffered at least some minor damage.
A group of 12 U.S. students from Lynn University in Florida were visiting Haiti with Food for the Poor and some were able to send text messages to say they were fine, Skipper said.
The powerful quake was felt in southeastern Cuba, about 160 miles (257 km) from the epicenter. Cuban authorities evacuated coastal residents because of the initial tsunami threat.
"I was seated on the terrace and I thought my chair had slid out from under me but I realized it was an earthquake," said Eduardo Machin, a resident of the coastal city of Santiago de Cuba. "It was very strong."
Sailors at the U.S. naval base at Guantanamo Bay in eastern Cuba felt the quake but there was no damage to the base or the detention camp where the United States holds 198 foreign terrorism suspects, said Chief Petty Officer Bill Mesta.
"It just shook a number of the buildings," Mesta said. "It felt like there was a strong gust of wind up against the building."
The base has stockpiles of blankets, tents and other relief supplies on hand for emergency use in case of mass disasters in the Caribbean. Personnel had begun checking the goods in anticipation that they will be asked to help in the relief effort, Mesta said. (Additional reporting by Alister Bull, Jane Sutton, Phil Barbara, Jeff Franks, Writing by Sandra Maler and Pascal Fletcher; Editing by John O'Callaghan)
For more humanitarian news and analysis, please visit www.alertnet.org
The International Airport 3 Primary Runways are undamaged at last report from reliefweb
Believe me, I know the area around Port-au-Prince and Petionville well. I won't be shocked at the devastation, just stunned.
5.9 the largest. Maybe 10-12 aftershocks.
They will be dealt with in a swift and permanent manner,as one was last night.
Thanx for that info as well.
MAP 4.9 2010/01/13 02:11:31 18.445 -73.026 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 5.4 2010/01/13 01:57:35 18.459 -72.924 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 5.0 2010/01/13 01:55:17 18.397 -72.824 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 5.4 2010/01/13 01:36:34 18.595 -72.892 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 5.3 2010/01/13 01:32:45 18.384 -72.950 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 5.1 2010/01/13 01:16:52 18.431 -72.856 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 4.6 2010/01/13 01:05:50 18.537 -72.666 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 5.2 2010/01/13 00:59:06 18.257 -72.914 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 5.0 2010/01/13 00:43:28 18.541 -72.486 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 4.8 2010/01/13 00:23:57 18.410 -72.716 10.0 HAITI REGION
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAG UTC DATE-TIME
y/m/d h:m:s LAT
deg LON
deg DEPTH
km Region
MAP 4.5 2010/01/12 23:47:39 18.471 -72.851 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 4.5 2010/01/12 23:35:40 18.437 -72.811 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 4.8 2010/01/12 23:27:37 18.482 -72.810 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 4.8 2010/01/12 23:14:34 -13.800 34.491 10.0 MALAWI
MAP 5.1 2010/01/12 23:12:04 18.390 -72.570 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 4.2 2010/01/12 23:07:04 18.432 -72.620 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 5.5 2010/01/12 22:12:05 18.485 -72.556 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 5.9 2010/01/12 22:00:42 18.321 -72.848 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 7.0 2010/01/12 21:53:10 18.451 -72.445 10.0 HAITI REGION
to monitor aftershocks:
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/recenteqsww/Maps/10/285_20_eqs.php
Prayer for the affected is a prudent measure tonight.
The Power is out,hundreds if not thousands are trapped..were gonna need Heavy Lift equipment SAR's dogs and teams.
Time to go ALL in.
The Full Monty of Disaster services and personnel are already assembling.
I'm not sure what you mean...
We have a fairly large number of Haitians, legal and illegal, residing here in the Bahamas. I there there is going to be a lot of weeping here over the next few days as casualty reports begin to come in.....
[sigh]
Hey Presslord, will you be able to assist in Haiti? (or more importantly, are you planning on trying to assist?)
Disaster for the people of Haiti.
Wow... what a start to 2010.
Being in South Florida where many many Haitians live.. My prayers and thoughts go out to them
Hey! check the Portlight blog...
13-JAN-2010 02:26:34 18.47 -72.84 4.8 10.0 HAITI REGION
13-JAN-2010 02:11:31 18.44 -73.03 4.9 10.0 HAITI REGION
13-JAN-2010 01:57:35 18.46 -72.92 5.4 10.0 HAITI REGION
13-JAN-2010 01:55:16 18.40 -72.82 5.0 10.0 HAITI REGION
13-JAN-2010 01:36:34 18.59 -72.89 5.4 10.0 HAITI REGION
13-JAN-2010 01:32:45 18.38 -72.95 5.3 10.0 HAITI REGION
13-JAN-2010 01:16:52 18.43 -72.86 5.1 10.0 HAITI REGION
13-JAN-2010 01:05:49 18.54 -72.67 4.6 10.0 HAITI REGION
13-JAN-2010 00:59:06 18.26 -72.91 5.2 10.0 HAITI REGION
13-JAN-2010 00:43:27 18.54 -72.49 5.0 10.0 HAITI REGION
13-JAN-2010 00:23:56 18.41 -72.72 4.8 10.0 HAITI REGION
12-JAN-2010 23:47:39 18.47 -72.85 4.5 10.0 HAITI REGION
12-JAN-2010 23:35:40 18.44 -72.81 4.5 10.0 HAITI REGION
12-JAN-2010 23:27:36 18.48 -72.81 4.8 10.0 HAITI REGION
12-JAN-2010 23:12:04 18.39 -72.57 5.1 10.0 HAITI REGION
12-JAN-2010 23:07:03 18.43 -72.62 4.2 10.0 HAITI REGION
12-JAN-2010 22:12:05 18.48 -72.56 5.5 10.0 HAITI REGION
12-JAN-2010 22:00:42 18.27 -72.86 5.9 10.0 HAITI REGION
12-JAN-2010 21:53:09 18.45 -72.45 7.0 10.0 HAITI REGION
Disater sone
It seems that since about last October things have been really busy. Like we are building up to a super "big bang" of seismic activity somewhere. How many 7+ quakes have we had in the last six months, again?
Futuremet is our resident blogger with roots in Haiti, but there is also at least one Haitian guy who blogs with Wunderground (is he Jeanne Claude? I'm prolly wrong) on his own blog. Hope he's ok...
But, it is so heart-breaking to see what is happening down there right now. Many prayers to the people of Haiti!!!
Link
Link
Link
Link
Oops
usgs podcast
Thanx a bunch skep..I took the Liberty of embedding it here.
Very sad.
Seems little doubt thousands lost their life today, what an extreme tragedy to a country which even on a good day suffers!
Hopefully the US will step up..... but I so far am not impressed. We sent 6 dogs, 72 people, and 42 tons of equipment. Doesn't sound like much to me!
Donate here, just one of many sites.....
www.chinaview.cn 2010-01-13 10:18:11 Print
LOS ANGELES, Jan. 12 (Xinhua) -- The Los Angeles County and an international aid group based in the area pledged assistance to Haiti after the poor Caribbean country was struck by a major earthquake earlier Tuesday.
The Los Angeles Fire Department planned to send about 60 firefighters to conduct search and rescue mission in Haiti where a powerful quake, measuring 7.0 on the Richter scale, struck an area about 10 miles (15 km) west of the capital of Port-au-Prince.
The team will be deployed to aid local and foreign rescue operations. Thousands of people are feared dead during the onslaught of the major earthquake, a local Catholic Relief group member was quoted as saying.
Operation USA, a Los Angeles-based international aid organization said it will send emergency medical aid to Haiti. It is appealing for donations of funds from the public and corporations in bulk of health care materials, water purification supplies and food supplements.
It was the largest quake recorded in the area and the first major one since a magnitude-6.7 temblor in 1984, according to American seismologists.
By Matthew Lee (CP) – 2 hours ago
WASHINGTON — President Barack Obama said his thoughts and prayers were with the people of Haiti, where a powerful earthquake hit on Tuesday, and the United States stands ready to help the impoverished Caribbean nation.
U.S. officials in the Haitian capital of Port-au-Prince reported "significant damage" there.
White House officials said Obama also had asked aides to make sure U.S. personnel at the embassy were safe. Fewer than 20 U.S. military personnel are in Haiti, largely working with the U.S. Embassy there. Officials said Obama told them to start preparing in case humanitarian assistance was needed.
The State Department, the U.S. Agency for International Development and U.S. Southern Command have started to co-ordinate.
Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton said from Honolulu that the United States was gathering information about the quake and its impact, and the government was offering full civilian and military assistance to Haiti.
Clinton spoke with the deputy chief of U.S. Embassy in Port-au-Prince, David Lindwall, before making a speech in Honolulu.
"We have been in touch with the embassy," State Department spokesman Gordon Duguid said in Washington. "They report significant damage in town, but the embassy is unaffected.The embassy is working to get in touch with Haitian government as well as trying to ... account for Americans."
Haitian phone lines are down, and cellphone coverage is understandably unreliable," he said.
The U.S. ambassador to Haiti was in the country, but was at his residence, which is in Petionville, and the phone lines were out, Duguid said. "The embassy is in touch with the ambassador via radio."
The State Department was setting up a hot line telephone number for people to call, but the number was not yet working.
"Our embassy is also trying to make contact with the Haitian government," Duguid said. "There are emergency meetings going on right now in Washington to identify assets that can be moved quickly into the area.U.S. search and rescue teams have been put on alert, and we are trying to assess the status of the airport.As President Obama has said, we will assist in any way we can."
Rep. Eliot Engel, D-N.Y., chairman of the House Foreign Affairs Western Hemisphere subcommittee, said, "This is the worst possible time for a natural disaster in Haiti, a country which is still recovering from the devastating storms of just over a year ago."
Engel urged the administration "to do everything possible to help" the Haitian people recover.
Former President Bill Clinton, the U.N. special envoy for Haiti, said his office and the rest of the U.N. system were monitoring the situation. He pledged relief, rebuilding and recovery assistance to Haiti.
There is NO higher code for a event.
All my sources have confirmed that.
from ReliefWEB
Big Haiti quake topples buildings, many casualties
Source: Reuters - AlertNet
Date: 12 Jan 2010
* Buildings, homes collapse in capital Port-au-Prince
* Dead, injured seen in rubble, screams heard in streets
* Obama says United States ready to help
* Haiti is "facing a major catastrophe" - ambassador (Updates with details, quotes)
By Joseph Guyler Delva
PORT-AU-PRINCE, Jan 12 (Reuters) - A major earthquake hit impoverished Haiti on Tuesday, toppling buildings in the capital Port-au-Prince, burying residents in rubble and causing many deaths and injuries, witnesses in the city said.
The magnitude 7.0 quake, whose epicenter was inland and only 10 miles (16 km) from Port-au-Prince, sent panic-stricken people screaming into the streets of the city, as a cloud of dust and smoke from falling buildings rose into the sky.
As darkness fell amid scenes of chaos and anguished cries from victims, residents desperately tried to dig out survivors or searched for missing relatives in debris-strewn streets.
The presidential palace was among the buildings damaged, Haiti's ambassador to the United States, Raymond Alcide Joseph, told CNN.
"My country is facing a major catastrophe," he said.
Haiti is the poorest country in the Western Hemisphere and has a history of destructive natural disasters. Some 9,000 U.N. police and troops are stationed there to maintain order.
The major quake, followed by several aftershocks, prompted a tsunami watch for parts the Caribbean but this was later canceled.
"Everything started shaking, people were screaming, houses started collapsing ... it's total chaos," Reuters reporter Joseph Guyler Delva said in Port-au-Prince.
"I saw people under the rubble, and people killed," he added, saying he had witnessed dozens of casualties.
U.S. President Barack Obama said his "thoughts and prayers" were with the people of Haiti and pledged to come to their aid. The Obama administration said the State Department, USAID and U.S. military were working to coordinate assistance.
The United States "will be providing both civilian and military disaster relief and humanitarian assistance," Secretary of State Hillary Clinton said.
A local employee for the charity Food for the Poor reported seeing a five-story building collapse in Port-au-Prince, spokeswoman Kathy Skipper told Reuters.
Another Food for the Poor employee said there were more houses destroyed than standing in Delmas Road, a major thoroughfare in the city.
"Within a minute of the quake ... soil, dust and smoke rose up over the city, a blanket that completely covered the city and obscured it for about 12 minutes until the atmospheric conditions dissipated the dust," Mike Godfrey, who works for USAID, told CNN from the city.
Experts said the quake's epicenter was very shallow at a depth of only 6.2 miles (10 km), which was likely to have magnified the destruction.
PEOPLE SCREAMED 'JESUS, JESUS'
Speaking to CNN from Port-au-Prince, Ian Rogers of the charity Save the Children said he could hear cries of anguish and mourning rising up from around the city in the darkness.
Homes and buildings built on hillsides had come crashing down along with earth and rubble.
"All the roads currently are blocked," Rogers said.
"People were screaming 'Jesus, Jesus' and running in all directions," Delva said.
The Hotel Montana in Port-au-Prince, where many foreigners stay, suffered at least some minor damage.
A group of 12 U.S. students from Lynn University in Florida were visiting Haiti with Food for the Poor and some were able to send text messages to say they were fine, Skipper said.
The powerful quake was felt in southeastern Cuba, about 160 miles (257 km) from the epicenter. Cuban authorities evacuated coastal residents because of the initial tsunami threat.
"I was seated on the terrace and I thought my chair had slid out from under me but I realized it was an earthquake," said Eduardo Machin, a resident of the coastal city of Santiago de Cuba. "It was very strong."
Sailors at the U.S. naval base at Guantanamo Bay in eastern Cuba felt the quake but there was no damage to the base or the detention camp where the United States holds 198 foreign terrorism suspects, said Chief Petty Officer Bill Mesta.
"It just shook a number of the buildings," Mesta said. "It felt like there was a strong gust of wind up against the building."
The base has stockpiles of blankets, tents and other relief supplies on hand for emergency use in case of mass disasters in the Caribbean. Personnel had begun checking the goods in anticipation that they will be asked to help in the relief effort, Mesta said. (Additional reporting by Alister Bull, Jane Sutton, Phil Barbara, Jeff Franks, Writing by Sandra Maler and Pascal Fletcher; Editing by John O'Callaghan)
For more humanitarian news and analysis, please visit www.alertnet.org
we are all over that...working with Catholic Charities...also clinical supplies
I have seen news footage of the Palace and it looks in a very bad way.
No need for comparisons,,.History will do that.
Lets focus on the flow of relevant info..
Hate is easy..
Love takes courage
Yes aussie,,the top half collapsed into the Lower floors and some deaths have been reported there.
MAP 2.7 2010/01/13 03:30:39 32.445 -115.159 27.6 BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO
MAP 4.6 2010/01/13 02:54:20 18.393 -72.974 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 4.7 2010/01/13 02:43:48 18.484 -72.984 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 2.5 2010/01/13 02:43:38 36.395 -117.870 0.2 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
MAP 4.8 2010/01/13 02:26:35 18.470 -72.836 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 4.9 2010/01/13 02:11:31 18.445 -73.026 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 5.4 2010/01/13 01:57:35 18.459 -72.924 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 5.0 2010/01/13 01:55:17 18.397 -72.824 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 5.4 2010/01/13 01:36:34 18.595 -72.892 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 5.3 2010/01/13 01:32:45 18.384 -72.950 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 4.7 2010/01/13 01:24:33 18.494 -72.811 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 5.1 2010/01/13 01:16:52 18.431 -72.856 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 4.6 2010/01/13 01:05:50 18.537 -72.666 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 5.2 2010/01/13 00:59:06 18.257 -72.914 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 5.0 2010/01/13 00:43:28 18.541 -72.486 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 4.8 2010/01/13 00:23:57 18.410 -72.716 10.0 HAITI REGION
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAG UTC DATE-TIME
y/m/d h:m:s LAT
deg LON
deg DEPTH
km Region
MAP 4.5 2010/01/12 23:47:39 18.471 -72.851 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 4.5 2010/01/12 23:35:40 18.437 -72.811 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 4.8 2010/01/12 23:27:37 18.482 -72.810 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 4.8 2010/01/12 23:14:34 -13.800 34.491 10.0 MALAWI
MAP 5.1 2010/01/12 23:12:04 18.390 -72.570 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 4.2 2010/01/12 23:07:04 18.432 -72.620 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 5.5 2010/01/12 22:12:05 18.485 -72.556 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 5.9 2010/01/12 22:00:42 18.321 -72.848 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 7.0 2010/01/12 21:53:10 18.451 -72.445 10.0 HAITI REGION
There is also fires burning in the city, no water to put them out with.
Many people are laying in the streets servely injured. The USGS had received 300 reports via there "did you feel it" reports via there website, some reports are from 100's of miles away from the epicenter.
Earthquake in Haiti believed to leave at least 2 Americans trapped in wreckage
WASHINGTON (AP) — At least two Americans, one of them a young aid worker related to a retired senior U.S. naval officer, are believed to be among those trapped in wreckage after Haiti's earthquake.
The executive director of Haitian Ministries for the Diocese of Norwich, Conn., Emily Smack, says she believes two of the organization's staff are trapped in their mission house. The house partially collapsed during the earthquake Tuesday.
3 Sea-Stallions and 2 Chinooks
Very good thanks for the info Pat.
Link
defenseLINK
Im out tonight folks,..bad mojo rising inside me from these sufferings were seeong.
Hang on Haiti,,..were coming.
Take care of each other best you can...hang on.
Sorry but can people link to photo's instead of posting them. There are somethings i don't want my kids to see.
AMEN PATRAP
MAP 2.7 2010/01/13 03:30:39 32.445 -115.159 27.6 BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO
MAP 4.6 2010/01/13 03:17:12 18.398 -72.997 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 4.6 2010/01/13 02:54:20 18.393 -72.974 10.0 HAITI REGION
Built fairly similarly yes.
.
Some here have spent nights like that and dont need you and your avatar's ego reminding us of it.
Please give it a rest friend
This is a terrible disaster.
Millions live within miles of the epicenter. Literally, millions.
They need our thoughts and prayers.
They have mine
sometimes the best response
is from hearing the truth
i feel for them friend
if one person donates
because of what i said
my job is done
Yeah,thanx a million.
Many have tonight so you can rest it.
SPECIAL SECTION
Link
Were quickly putting together a relief mission here at portlight.org and the wunderground.
Paul Timmons,the Portlight Chairman and relief Manager is getting our Warehoused Goods assembled for transport to Haiti.
This first Push of relief will be medical supplies and Mechanical goods for the disabled there,wheelchairs,crutches and many other items too many to mention here.
But were going to need urgent funding to make a impact on the suffering there. That's going to take funds.
One can use the Paypal Button in the Portlight Blog on the wunderground.com
or send a check to,
Portlight Strategies, Inc.
2043 Maybank Hwy
Charleston, SC 29412
OR DONATE BY CREDIT CARD
KOTG, no disrespect meant, but please, put a sock in it!
That's good to know, Patrick.
My Internet was out for much of the day and then tuned in to this disaster in Haiti.
Perhaps this can be turned into an opportunity for success.
Poney up. And plant some trees while we're in there; asses in gear; there's work to do.
Am glad to be part of this connected community, thanks to Dr. Jeff Masters, the Impresario who keeps us interested with his insightful blogs.
I got $25 bucks. Where do I send it?
To Portlight because very little money goes for administrative costs evidenced by the size of PressLord's boat!
I'll forgo paying my tuition January 22nd, and throw in the tire for my car. It's worth a late payment.
Best Regards to all of you and prayers for the people of Haiti.
Let this be an opportunity.
2010 January 13 05:02:58 UTC
Another very strong aftershock
President Bush was monitoring Hurricane Katrina more than 48 hours before landfall. So... Obama is psychic?
Do you not understand that each state and local governments are responsible for their own disaster planning? The Feds and FEMA only respond when requested by the state? It's all wonderful to blame President Bush, but in reality it was the failure of the State of Louisiana and the party in charge of the government both before and during the Katrina disaster.
Pray for the people of Haiti... Good to hear that the Marines are on the way and will be there at first light. SecState Clinton must have finally reached someone in the Haitian Gov't and received approval to enter their airspace. That takes time when all communication's practically been eliminated. I'm sure satellite surveillance was retasked long before the sun set over Haiti though, and the pictures were available to Obama as soon as possible. No one ever drags their feet intentionally during a crisis.
No one else in the world gives like Americans do, and this will be proof once more, I'm sure. Disasters bring out the best in us. I'm sure many good people died today in Port-au-Prince. God rest their souls.
I sure pray and hope not! The GFS long range shows a possible return of Arctic Air around the end of Jan. I pray and hope it goes back to Siberia and Alaska, where it came from :o)!
I honestly do not have an answer for you on that one. I know that the plates are all inter-connected. However, seismology, is not an exact science, many have tried unsuccessfully to predict eartquakes, and I will not even try.
This is a joke statement to make. Get out of the Obama bed. It was the Governor of Louisiana and the Mayor of New Orleans that waited to call for help......they must do so first before the National Government steps in! Build another Basketball court in Haiti would help those poor people i guess.
haha. i was wondering if the recent volcanic activity to the se of it wasn't a precursor. where's weather 456 when you need him?
I have these and other Graphics in my Earthquake section of my website if anyone needs.
img src="" alt="" />
The slip-strike fault to the south of Port-au-Prince moves slowly to the east, relative to the North American plate above it. These are relatively shallow faults, and can cause tremendous damage when they slip.
This is much different than a subduction zone fault, where one plate is slipping under another. The subducting plate partially melts, and the upwelling of magma forms volcanoes on the overriding plate. The Soufrierre Hills volcano is one of these. Mount Saint Helens and the rest of the Cascade Range volcanos are more examples. They tend to have very violent explosions when they finally blow, due to more gasses in the magma (due to the water carried down in the rock of the subducting plate).
This is not to say that the Haiti quake might help to hasten the Soufrierre Hills volcano blowing earlier, if it destabilizes the roof of the magma chamber. A bubble of magma will move up until restricted to just the main vent. Gasses venting from the chamber up into the cone causes the sort of outburst we've been seeing so far from Soufrierre Hills. Magma will typically keep pushing up though, until it stretches the mountain over top of it (like the famous bulge in Mt St Helens north face). A strong quake can cause a rock slide, and expose the main vent down to the magma chamber. With the pressure released, all of the gasses in the magma chamber will try to release upwards all at once. Two words when that happens "Ka Boom!"
Soufrierre Hills was settling down again, so scientists aren't sure if the danger's gone away, or whether the vent has simply plugged, and will soon release. They monitor "harmonic quakes" which signal magma rising, and sulfer dioxide output, which also indicates fresh magma coming up.
Some people are weather junkies. I'm a volcano and earthquake junkie. I almost live on the San Andreas Fault (hopefully a safe distance away). I hope this helps.
Uh, the Mid-Atlantic Ridge is a spreading center, magma coming up and forming new crust. Not a subduction zone (as most of the west pacific), not a slip/strike (as Haiti and California). Ain't gonna happen there
We will see how Homeland Security Director Napalitano reacts to California's needs for federal help at the end of this month.
The Hollywood rich, will be affected by these storms too!
I have watched the models for a week now and their consistent with heavy rains for all of California and Arizona.
Thousands feared dead in Haiti....from CNN.
Haiti's capital shattered by powerful earthquake
By JONATHAN M. KATZ, Associated Press Writer 5 mins ago
PORT-AU-PRINCE, Haiti – Dazed and injured Haitians sat on darkened streets pleading for help Wednesday and untold numbers were trapped in tons of rubble brought down by the strongest earthquake to hit this poor Caribbean nation in more than 200 years.
Destroyed communications made it impossible to tell the extent of destruction from Tuesday afternoon's 7.0-magnitude tremor — or to estimate the number of dead lying among thousands of collapsed buildings in Haiti's capital of about 2 million people.
The ornate National Palace crumbled into itself, the headquarters of the U.N. peacekeeping mission collapsed and swaths of rickety shacks lay in shambles. Clouds of dust thrown up by falling buildings choked Port-au-Prince for hours.
International Red Cross spokesman Paul Conneally said an estimated 3 million people may have been affected by the quake and that it would take a day or two for a clear picture of the damage to emerge.
The United States and other nations began organizing aid efforts, alerting search teams and gathering supplies that will be badly needed in Haiti, the Western Hemisphere's poorest country. The international Red Cross and other aid groups announced plans for major relief operations.
Associated Press journalists found the damage staggering even for a country long accustomed to tragedy and disaster.
Aftershocks rattled the city as women covered in dust clawed out of debris, wailing. Stunned people wandered the streets holding hands. Thousands gathered in public squares long after nightfall, singing hymns.
(story continues...)
27.5 my low now.
PLEASE READ HELP!!!
Posted by: auburn, 5:41 PM GMT on January 12, 2010
Portlight has had a Pop up style camper Donated to them in STILLWATER Pa...the donor wants the unit moved ASAP,and we just dont have time/resources to get there and get it right now...what we need from you(who ever you might be)is someone to pick this Camper up for us and store it for a week or so till we can make arrangements to come and retrieve it...other wise this unit will be destroyed ...if you or someone you know can help with this situation PLEASE let me or Presslord know ASAP!!!
Thank you,
Auburn!!!
according to the WU regional radar, its snowing/sleeting in florida
Link
Thinking of one of the members: Hope Orcasystems and SWMBO will make it out of windy rainy Victoria BC to warm & sunny Cancun.
Earthquake Details
Magnitude 4.5
Date-Time
* Wednesday, January 13, 2010 at 12:28:25 UTC
* Wednesday, January 13, 2010 at 07:28:25 AM at epicenter
* Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones
Location 18.409°N, 72.728°W
Depth 10 km (6.2 miles) set by location program
Region HAITI REGION
Distances 45 km (30 miles) WSW of PORT-AU-PRINCE, Haiti
110 km (70 miles) E of Les Cayes, Haiti
160 km (100 miles) SSW of Cap-Haitien, Haiti
1125 km (700 miles) SE of Miami, Florida
Location Uncertainty horizontal +/- 12 km (7.5 miles); depth fixed by location program
Parameters NST= 16, Nph= 16, Dmin=164.7 km, Rmss=1.43 sec, Gp= 94°,
M-type=body wave magnitude (Mb), Version=7
Source
* USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
Event ID us2010rkb1
I am glad our leader is responding rapidly, that rain will follow the cold, and this is the last night all week even in the neighborhood of freezing.
Thanks for the links.
Subduction leads to Orogeny!
I worked at the Presidential Palace in Haiti. It looks beautiful from the front but it is a bit of a facade. There are walls that are still riddled with holes from machine gun fire. There are rooms in the back (i.e. the dungeons) with no floors and just cement walls). My husband and I were discussing this last night. While it is a shock about the Presidential Palace, it is not a surprise.
Also keep in mind, while it takes our government quite a bit of time to organize anything worthwhile. I already know groups that are on the ground in Haiti and helping. Our government does need to step it up but, as usual, may other relief and church groups are already there doing what they can.
"We talked with the first lady of Haiti last night, at least our consulate general in Miami did," Raymond Joseph, Haitian ambassador to the United States, told CNN's American Morning, referring to Elisabeth Debrosse Delatour.
"And she said that she was all right and the president was all right, and most government officials were all right because this thing happened after hours, and most of the government buildings that have collapsed, collapsed after the employees were out."
But "the bad news is that she said most of Port-au-Prince is destroyed, and she's calling for some help in the form of a hospital ship off the coast of Port-au-Prince, just in the same way that the United States had helped us in 2008 after four hurricanes hit Haiti in three weeks."
Is Point Of Impact the center of damage or devastation rather than the center of the quake?
Is it a disaster relief term? I'm searching.
I don't know how FoxNews uses it but in geology, we use it to describe the point from which the waves move out
We really know so little about plate tectonics. When you consider how Alaskan earthquakes change geyser activity in Yellowstone and their future patterns, it certainly gives one pause for thought.
Daytona Beach (Ponce Inlet), FL
Updated: 7 sec ago
38.1 °F
Founder of the weather channel.
Huh? Oh, Seduction Leads to Progeny!! Got it.
[Please forgive my little attempt at humor. You wouldn't believe how glad I am to have this blog to come back to this morning. Just took a neighbor and her son to the subway so they could catch a plane at National Airport bound for Florida. Her Mom died and they both have colds.
I am grateful Florida is warming up and they will be with family.
I am grateful I could do a neighbor a small favor this morning.
I am grateful to be able to sit here this morning with a hot cup of coffee, electrical power, natural gas heat, internet access and cable television.
Despite the cold temps we've had, and the higher utility costs, I am grateful that the bills are paid for another month.
Friends, family, hubby...it's all good here...and I am grateful.
I wish peace, good will, a better environment and infrastructure, food and shelter and all the blessings that I am fortunate enough to experience every day, to flow in a fortunate tide to the people of Haiti upon rebuilding.
Amen.]
nice rtn flow well into heart of cen tex dev begins shortly
Thanks for this. I'll be sending this to a few people.
Powerful storm system to affect the area Thursday-Saturday PM.
Potential for heavy rains and coastal flooding.
Impressive upper level storm system will be moving onshore S CA latter today and into N MX tonight and Thursday. Warm air advection will begin in earnest late tonight and really ramp up on Thursday as strong forcing aloft forces a coastal low off the lower TX coast. Moisture levels rapidly increase with PWs reaching over an inch by Thursday afternoon and nearing 1.3 inches Friday morning. Upper air pattern becomes strongly divergent over the region with impressive surface moisture convergence especially over our SW counties into the coastal bend. Expect significant heavy rainfall to develop and focus in the Matagorda Bay region Thursday afternoon/night and then spread up the coast Friday. Models are hammering away at high QPF bombs between Palacios and Rockport and the HPC 5-day total in this region is upwards of 6 inches.
Coastal surface low will deepen off the middle TX coast and move ENE toward the SC LA coast late Friday and early Saturday. Strong winds will develop over the coastal locations and waters with this event…although gale conditions look to be the extent of the winds and not the storm conditions the GFS was showing previously.
Impacts:
Rainfall:
Will need to grade totals from N to S as the highest totals will be S of I-10 and likely around Matagorda Bay. Will go with widespread 3-5 inches in the Matagorda Bay region with isolated amounts of 6-8 inches possible. Across the rest of SE TX widespread 1-3 inches with isolated 5 inches will be possible. Fairly long duration of this event does raise the concern for flooding however Flash Flood Guidance is fairly high and the grounds somewhat dry. Will be on the lookout for flooding by the weekend on the major river systems as this event will drop widespread rains over a large area which tends to focus more toward river flooding. Main concern areas right now would be the Tres Palacios, Lavaca/Navidad, lower Guadalupe, and Mustang Creek.
Tides:
Strong easterly winds will commence late Thursday as low pressure develops and begins to deepen off the lower TX coast and move ENE to NE up the coast. ENE winds will increase Friday into the 25-35mph range with 40mph gust along the coast and offshore. Tides will increase to 1-2 feet above normal and may result in some issues in the areas hard hit by Ike.
Will continue to fine tune the impacts over the next 24 hours.
Amen.
I do not know in the context of what they said, the only thing I can think of is that point of impact is when the fault moved.
All this stuff makes my head ache.
AGW supporters can point to their facts and reach one conclusion, and AGW skeptics can point to their facts and reach one 180 degrees opposite.
Astounding.
How is that definition of "point of impact" different from epicenter?
Doesn't that mean the same thing? The epicenter is the point on the earth's surface directly over the focus of the quake. "Epicenter" seems like the perfect word to use for what they are talking about.
Can you point me at a book that uses "point of impact", it really comes across as an "unsicentificky" phrase IMHO. (Taking off my vocabulary police hat now)
AIM(#450) I feel the same way today.
Oh so true. This video just happens to be what I learned in school though in both my graduate and undergraduate studies (geosciences). Of course, we also received the global warming theories but this point of view is the one that makes most sense to me. I thought this was a very easy-to-understand video and so I'm sending it to a few folks I know who didn't spend as much time in college studying global warming and only hear the one-sided theories on television.
Opinions are great, aren't they?
Orogenic events occur solely as a result of plate tectonics; the problems which were investigated and resolved by the study of orogenesis contributed greatly to the theory of plate tectonics, coupled with study of flora and fauna, geography and mid ocean ridges in the 1950s and 1960s.
The morning low temperature was 26.4 degrees at my location in North Jax. This makes the 12th time in 13 days that sub freezing temps were measured at my home. Truly amazing!
The forecast for tonight is near 30 degrees in the interior areas of NE FL. THE LIGHT IS FINALLY AT THE END OF THE TUNNEL!!! Tomorrow morning should be the last of sub freezing temps for awhile and I can say goodbye to the Great Freeze of 2010. It has cxeratinly left its mark in the history books in this area, that's for sure!
This day is so grim with the absolute sheer destruction and massive loss of life feared in Haiti. I have such aheavy heart right now and my deepest thoughts and prayers to everyone there.
Have a blessed day everyone.
MAP 5.4 2010/01/13 14:43:46 18.550 -73.000 33.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 5.2 2010/01/13 12:42:39 6.647 124.353 10.0 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES
MAP 4.7 2010/01/13 12:41:45 18.411 -72.814 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 4.5 2010/01/13 12:28:26 18.409 -72.728 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 3.9 2010/01/13 11:17:55 47.431 -113.174 20.8 WESTERN MONTANA
MAP 4.8 2010/01/13 10:22:15 26.940 53.497 10.0 SOUTHERN IRAN
MAP 4.8 2010/01/13 10:08:21 76.940 18.262 10.0 SVALBARD REGION
MAP 2.5 2010/01/13 09:58:45 18.515 -67.410 17.5 MONA PASSAGE, PUERTO RICO
MAP 3.5 2010/01/13 08:44:40 63.641 -151.378 1.2 CENTRAL ALASKA
MAP 4.7 2010/01/13 08:35:09 0.791 123.941 269.2 MINAHASA, SULAWESI, INDONESIA
MAP 2.7 2010/01/13 08:26:01 36.933 -119.118 37.6 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
MAP 5.0 2010/01/13 07:55:00 5.177 127.317 118.9 PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION
MAP 2.5 2010/01/13 07:52:59 60.529 -151.983 79.2 KENAI PENINSULA, ALASKA
MAP 2.8 2010/01/13 07:37:00 31.867 -115.000 7.1 BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO
MAP 5.0 2010/01/13 07:23:04 18.355 -72.884 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 4.5 2010/01/13 06:58:27 18.346 -73.062 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 4.5 2010/01/13 06:48:03 18.379 -72.876 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 4.6 2010/01/13 06:24:17 18.339 -73.059 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 4.7 2010/01/13 05:49:24 18.431 -73.019 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 4.9 2010/01/13 05:24:03 18.438 -72.837 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 5.2 2010/01/13 05:18:03 18.386 -72.905 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 5.7 2010/01/13 05:02:58 18.417 -72.945 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 3.2 2010/01/13 04:28:17 57.392 -154.257 35.6 KODIAK ISLAND REGION, ALASKA
MAP 5.0 2010/01/13 03:52:22 -20.219 -68.605 64.9 POTOSI, BOLIVIA
MAP 4.7 2010/01/13 03:31:57 18.254 -72.922 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 2.7 2010/01/13 03:30:39 32.445 -115.159 27.6 BAJA CALIFORNIA, MEXICO
MAP 4.6 2010/01/13 03:17:12 18.398 -72.997 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 4.6 2010/01/13 02:54:20 18.393 -72.974 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 3.2 2010/01/13 02:47:58 18.840 -64.493 33.3 VIRGIN ISLANDS REGION
MAP 4.7 2010/01/13 02:43:48 18.484 -72.984 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 2.5 2010/01/13 02:43:38 36.395 -117.870 0.2 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
MAP 4.8 2010/01/13 02:26:35 18.470 -72.836 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 4.7 2010/01/13 02:17:58 18.451 -72.956 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 4.9 2010/01/13 02:11:31 18.445 -73.026 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 5.4 2010/01/13 01:57:35 18.459 -72.924 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 5.0 2010/01/13 01:55:17 18.397 -72.824 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 5.5 2010/01/13 01:36:32 18.363 -72.832 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 5.3 2010/01/13 01:32:45 18.384 -72.950 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 4.7 2010/01/13 01:24:33 18.494 -72.811 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 5.1 2010/01/13 01:16:52 18.431 -72.856 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 4.6 2010/01/13 01:05:50 18.537 -72.666 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 5.2 2010/01/13 00:59:06 18.257 -72.914 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 5.0 2010/01/13 00:43:28 18.541 -72.486 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 4.8 2010/01/13 00:23:57 18.410 -72.716 10.0 HAITI REGION
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAG UTC DATE-TIME
y/m/d h:m:s LAT
deg LON
deg DEPTH
km Region
MAP 4.5 2010/01/12 23:47:39 18.471 -72.851 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 4.5 2010/01/12 23:35:40 18.437 -72.811 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 4.8 2010/01/12 23:27:37 18.454 -72.808 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 4.8 2010/01/12 23:14:34 -13.800 34.491 10.0 MALAWI
MAP 5.1 2010/01/12 23:12:04 18.386 -72.555 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 4.2 2010/01/12 23:07:04 18.432 -72.620 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 5.5 2010/01/12 22:12:05 18.485 -72.556 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 5.9 2010/01/12 22:00:42 18.321 -72.848 10.0 HAITI REGION
MAP 7.0 2010/01/12 21:53:10 18.451 -72.445 10.0 HAITI REGION
I am with you with your thoughts about Haiti.
The point of impact would be synonymous with the focus rather than the epicenter since this is where the seismic waves originate. I think it is used more to 'visually' describe a quake since we can all imagine what happens when a stone in thrown into a body of water. The ripples begin at the point of impact and spread out.
As for books, you're on your own. We recently moved and I am not motivated to dig out any of my geology books from the attic :) I would just think of this as a colorful euphemism. Most people, present company excluded of course, would be lost if you started using terms like focus. However, point of impact they can understand.
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/learn/glossary/
"The epicenter is the point on the earth's surface vertically above the hypocenter (or focus), point in the crust where a seismic rupture begins. "
I'm waiting for a guy I know in Sweet Valley (24 miles from Stillwater) to call me back. I should know in the next hour or so whether he can get it and hold on to it
I've never seen the phrase "point of impact" used in terms of earthquake events; I think Fox News in their usual way, found a phrase they thought would be more interesting and applied it here...
Journalism is not what it used to be
You mean like when we had rampant yellow journalism in the late 19th century?
Epicenter is the spot within the earth's crust where the waves originate. The point of impact, more often called the "focus center" is the point on the SURFACE directly above the epicenter. That point receives the most violent motion from the earthquake waves.
My apologies if this has already been answered today. I'm just now getting back to my computer late this morning Pacific Time.
I have a daughter uin Eureka, CA, a sister in Portola Valley, and cousins up and down the CA coast. Please keep us updated on any CA earthquake info you know about. TIA