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Bolivia ties its all-time heat record

By: Dr. Jeff Masters, 1:25 PM GMT on November 23, 2010

Bolivia tied its all-time hottest temperature mark on October 29, when the mercury hit 46.7°C (116.1°F) at Villamontes. This ties the record set in Villamontes on three other dates: November 9, 2007, November 1980, and December 1980.

The year 2010 now has the most national extreme heat records for a single year--nineteen, plus one island territory, the UK's Ascension Island. These nations comprise 20% of the total land area of Earth. This is the largest area of Earth's surface to experience all-time record high temperatures in any single year in the historical record. Looking back at the past decade, which was the hottest decade in the historical record, seventy-five counties set extreme hottest temperature records (33% of all countries.) For comparison, fifteen countries set extreme coldest temperature records over the past ten years (6% of all countries). My source for extreme weather records is the excellent book Extreme Weather by Chris Burt. His new updates (not yet published) remove a number of old disputed records. Keep in mind that the matter of determining extreme records is very difficult, and it is often a judgment call as to whether an old record is reliable or not. The World Meteorological Organization is currently in the process of contacting all nineteen of the nations I list here to see if the records can be officially verified. So far, the records in Finland and Pakistan have been officially verified, and it appears likely that the records in Belarus and Ukraine will also have official sanction.


Figure 1. Climate Central put together a nice graphic showing the nations that have set new extreme heat records in 2010, which I've updated to include Bolivia.

Other national all-time extreme heat records set in 2010
Zambia recorded its hottest temperature in history Wednesday, October 13, when the mercury hit 42.4°C (108.3°F) in Mfuwe. The previous record was 42.3°C (108.1°F) set on November 17, 2005 in Mfuwe.

Belarus recorded its hottest temperature in its history on August 6, 2010, when the mercury hit 38.9°C (102.0°F) in Gorky. The previous record was 38.0°C (100.4°F) set at Vasiliyevichy on Aug. 20, 1946.

Ukraine recorded its hottest temperature in its history when the mercury hit 42.0°C (107.6°F) at Lukhansk on August 12, 2010. The previous record was set at the same location on August 1, 2010--41.3°C (106.3°F). Ukraine also reached 41.3°C on July 20 and 21, 2007, at Voznesensk.

Cyprus recorded its hottest temperature in its history on August 1, 2010 when the mercury hit 46.6°C (115.9°F) at Lefconica. The old record for Cyprus was 44.4°C (111.9°F) at Lefkosia in August 1956. An older record of 46.6°C from July 1888 was reported from Nicosia, but is of questionable reliability.

Finland recorded its hottest temperature on July 29, 2010, when the mercury hit 37.2°C (99°F) at Joensuu. The old (undisputed) record was 95°F (35°C) at Jyvaskyla on July 9, 1914. The previous official record was 35.9°C at Turku in July 1914, but this reading has been disputed by weather records researcher Maximiliano Herrera as being unreliable due improper siting of the instrument too close to tall buildings.

Qatar had its hottest temperature in history on July 14, 2010, when the mercury hit 50.4°C (122.7°F) at Doha Airport. The previous record was 49.6°C in July 2000 at the same location. There are other stations in Qatar,but only the Doha International Airport has reliable data.

Russia had its hottest temperature in history on July 12, when the mercury rose to 45.4°C (113.7°F) at the Utta hydrological station in the Kalmykia Republic, in the European portion of Russia near the Kazakhstan border. This station is not under control of the Russian meteorological service, and may not be 100% reliable. A reading of 44.0°C (111.2°F) was also recorded in Yashkul, Kalmykia Republic, on July 11. The previous hottest temperature in Russia (not including the former Soviet republics) at a non-automated station was the 43.8°C (110.8°F) reading measured at Alexander Gaj, Kalmykia Republic, on August 6, 1940. The previous hottest temperature at an automated station was 45.0°C recorded in August 1940 at El'ton. The remarkable heat in Russia this year has not been limited just to the European portion of the country--the Asian portion of Russia also recorded its hottest temperature in history this year, a 42.7°C (108.9°F) reading at Ust Kara, in the Chita Republic on June 27. The 42.3°C (108.1°F) reading on June 25 at Belogorsk, near the Amur River border with China, also beat the old record for the Asian portion of Russia. The previous record for the Asian portion of Russia was 41.7°C (107.1°F) at Aksha on July 21, 2004.

Sudan recorded its hottest temperature in its history on June 22 when the mercury rose to 49.7°C (121.5°F) at Dongola. The previous record was 49.5°C (121.1°F) set in July 1987 in Aba Hamed.

Niger tied its record for hottest day in history on June 22, 2010, when the temperature reached 47.1°C (116.8°F) at Bilma. That record stood for just one day, as Bilma broke the record again on June 23, when the mercury topped out at 48.2°C (118.8°F). The previous record was 47.1°C on May 24, 1998, also at Bilma.

Saudi Arabia had its hottest temperature ever on June 22, 2010, with a reading of 52.0°C (125.6°F) in Jeddah, the second largest city in Saudi Arabia. The previous record was 51.7°C (125.1°F), at Abqaiq, date unknown. The record heat was accompanied by a sandstorm, which caused eight power plants to go offline, resulting in blackouts to several Saudi cities.

Chad had its hottest day in history on June 22, 2010, when the temperature reached 47.6°C (117.7°F) at Faya. The previous record was 47.4°C (117.3°F) at Faya on June 3 and June 9, 1961, but old readings at this station, particularly in the 1950s, were affected by over-exposure of the instrument to sun.

Kuwait recorded its hottest temperature in history on June 15 in Abdaly, according to the Kuwait Met office. The mercury hit 52.6°C (126.7°F). Kuwait's previous all-time hottest temperature was 51.9°C (125.4°F), on July 27,2007, at Abdaly. Temperatures reached 51°C (123.8°F) in the capital of Kuwait City on June 15, 2010. There were some readings as high as 54°C at Mitribah this summer, but the intrument there was found to be out of calibration.

Iraq had its hottest day in history on June 14, 2010, when the mercury hit 52.0°C (125.6°F) in Basra. Iraq's previous record was 51.7°C (125.1°F) set August 8, 1937, in Ash Shu'aybah.

Pakistan had its hottest temperature in history on May 26, when the mercury hit an astonishing 53.5°C (128.3°F) at the town of MohenjuDaro, according to the Pakistani Meteorological Department. While this temperature reading must be reviewed by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) for authenticity, not only is the 128.3°F reading the hottest temperature ever recorded in Pakistan, it is the hottest reliably measured temperature ever recorded on the continent of Asia. The old Pakistani record was 52.8°C (127°F) at Jacobabad in 1919.

Myanmar (Burma) had its hottest temperature in its recorded history on May 14, when the mercury hit 47.2°C (117.0°F) in Myinmu. This broke the record of 47.0°C set at the same location two days previous (May 12.) Myanmar's previous hottest temperature was 46.0°C (114.4°F) at Magwe in May, 1980. According to Chris Burt, author of the authoritative weather records book Extreme Weather, the 47.2°C measured this year is the hottest temperature in Southeast Asia history.

Nigeria had its hottest temperature in history on April 3, 2010, when the mercury hit 46.4°C (115.6°F) at Yola..

Ascension Island (St. Helena, a U.K. Territory) had its hottest temperature in history on March 25, 2010, when the mercury hit 34.9°C (94.8°F) at Georgetown. The previous record was 34.0°C (93.2°F) at Georgetown in April 2003, exact day unknown.

The Solomon Islands had their hottest temperature in history on February 1, 2010, when the mercury hit 36.1°C (97°F) at Honiara Henderson. The previous record for the Solomon Islands was 35.6°C (96.0°F) at Honaiara, date unknown.

Colombia had its hottest reliably measured temperature in history on January 24, 2010, when Puerto Salgar hit 42.3°C (108°F). The previous record was 42.0°C (107.6°F) at El Salto in March 1988 and April 1998 (exact day unknown.)

Also Notable
China set its all-time heat record for an inhabited place on June 20, 2010, when the mercury hit 48.7°C (119.7°F) at Toyoq. The all-time heat record for China is 49.7°C (121.5°F) on August 3, 2008 at the Aydingkol automatic weather station at the uninhabited Ading Lake in the Turfan Depression in Northwest China.

Martinique, an island in the Caribbean that is a French territory, set what may be its hottest reliably measured temperature record in September, when the mercury hit 36.2°C (97.2°F) at Francois Chopotte. The current all-time record is 36.5°C (97.7°F) in April 1983 at St. Pierre Observatory, but this measurement was taken with older equipment that may not be reliable.

The occupied west bank of Palestine, the portion of Israel that declared independence in 1988 but is not recognized by all nations as a sovereign country, recorded its hottest temperature in history on August 7, 2010, when the temperature hit 51.4°C (124.5°F) at Kibbutz Almog (also called Qalya or Kalya) in the Jordan Valley. The previous record for this portion of Israel was set on June 22, 1942, at the same location.

All-time national heat records were missed by 1°C or less in many other nations this summer, including the Azores, Morocco, Estonia, and Latvia.

National cold records set in 2010
No nations set record for their coldest temperature in history in 2010. I regret reporting earlier this year that Guinea had done so. Guinea actually had its coldest temperature in history last year, on January 9, 2009, when the mercury hit 1.4°C (34.5°F) at Mali-ville in the Labe region.

Extensive credit for researching these records goes to weather records researcher Maximiliano Herrera, who maintains a comprehensive set of extreme temperature records on his web site. I also thank I thank Christopher C. Burt and Howard Rainford for their assistance identifying this year's new extreme temperature records.

Commentary
The period January - October was the warmest such 10-month period in the planet's history, and temperatures over Earth's land regions were at record highs in May, June, and July, according to the National Climatic Data Center. It is not a surprise that many all-time extreme heat records are being shattered when the planet as a whole is so warm. Global warming "loads the dice" to favor extreme heat events unprecedented in recorded history. In fact, it may be more appropriate to say that global warming adds more spots on the dice--it used to be possible to roll no higher than double sixes, and now it is possible to roll a thirteen.

I'll have a new post on Wednesday, when I plan to discuss how La Niña may affect the coming winter in North America.

Jeff Masters

Heat

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

Reader Comments

Thank you Dr. masters.
There is going to be a lot of this at my Beach house this week! Wasted!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7qql0Yi4DxU
I'm surprised about no blog from Doc about the tornado outbreak yesterday.
Thank you Jeff...
Its almost time for you to post the Hurricane hunter series again... just for a break from the GW posts.
back in the middle of september it was unusually hot here too. the fish are running good this yr that is a sign of a cold winter.
it's unusually warm here right now in FL. At mid night last night it was 74 in Melbourne,FL. Highs of 86 expected in orlando Thursday and cooling down to 80 this weekend.
jeff 9641 the models are showing cold air
More good news.

A bit old and I just cut and pasted so no prizes for research on my part.
Quoting Orcasystems:
Thank you Jeff...
Its almost time for you to post the Hurricane hunter series again... just for a break from the GW posts.


+1

thanks Jeff!
The period January - October was the warmest such 10-month period in the planet's history
Dr. Masters, you usually include a caveat on statements such as these, like 'in recorded history.' Are we to assume that is what you mean here, and not that it was the warmest period even beyond our recorded history? I only seek clarification in order to stave off fallacious arguments amongst bloggers.
Quoting tornadodude:
TD, is that a catch from yesterday??
couple things I noticed:

"The current all-time record is 36.5°C (97.7°F) in April 1983 at St. Pierre Observatory, but this measurement was taken with older equipment that may not be reliable." - how come older equipment seems to only be questioned when it benefits AGW theories?

"The occupied west bank of Palestine, the portion of Israel that declared independence in 1988 but is not recognized by all nations as a sovereign country," -- nice subtle political statement.

Happy Thanksgiving all. I have 54 holes of golf to play today and tomorrow!
Happy Thanksgiving all! Bobin Tampa, how can you play so much golf. I played 36 holes of putt putt one night and was exhausted! Of course, I had not been drinking, so maybe the beer gives you stamina? I gotten try that next time LOL. Any way, have a good time!
Quoting tornadodude:
The CMC shows another big low after the one moving out of the Rocky mountains.Link
Quoting kwgirl:
Happy Thanksgiving all! Bobin Tampa, how can you play so much golf. I played 36 holes of putt putt one night and was exhausted! Of course, I had not been drinking, so maybe the beer gives you stamina? I gotten try that next time LOL. Any way, have a good time!


18 this afternoon at River Hills and 36 tomorrow at World Woods. The key is to NOT drink beer. At least until after the round! :)
Quoting Minnemike:
TD, is that a catch from yesterday??


I wish that was my video, there was no way I could get in position for that. Tornadoes moving at 50+ mph in an urban area are near impossible to chase.


you might find this interesting:

link
Quoting hydrus:
The CMC shows another big low after the one moving out of the Rocky mountains.Link


hmm, could be interesting
hydrus out of the rocky 2 make it cold for south fla
Complete Update





Quoting BobinTampa:
couple things I noticed:

"The current all-time record is 36.5°C (97.7°F) in April 1983 at St. Pierre Observatory, but this measurement was taken with older equipment that may not be reliable." - how come older equipment seems to only be questioned when it benefits AGW theories?

"The occupied west bank of Palestine, the portion of Israel that declared independence in 1988 but is not recognized by all nations as a sovereign country," -- nice subtle political statement.

Part I: You are aware that technology is always being improved upon, correct? So to use a newer piece of data instead of an older one isn't a sign of any kind of trickery; it's how science is done. And it's a complete falsehood to state that "older equipment seems to only be questioned when it benefits AGW theories"; if you read much of the real science, you'll see that climatologists are constantly tweaking things to get at the absolute truth, and just because a newer measurement fails to bolster the theory of AGW doesn't mean it gets thrown out. The only reason it might seem so to you and some others is because so much of the data--an overwhelming amount, really--points toward AGW, not away from it. IOW, the reason the data seem to indicate a warming globe is probably because, you know, the globe is warming.

Part II--As with AGW, how is stating the basic facts "political"? What did Dr. Masters say that is untrue? The west bank of Palestine is occupied. A portion of Israel that declared independence in 1988 isn't recognized by all nations as a sovereign country. Please tell us where anything untrue was stated, subtle or otherwise.
Quoting eddye:
hydrus out of the rocky 2 make it cold for south fla


Rocky 2 was a good movie but I'm not sure how it would affect the weather in South Florida.
Quoting tornadodude:


hmm, could be interesting
It looks like it could be a stronger storm then the past two. The NCEP shows a stormy pattern for the S.E. U.S. for the next two weeks...Link
Quoting BobinTampa:


Rocky 2 was a good movie but I'm not sure how it would affect the weather in South Florida.


Quoting BobinTampa:


Rocky 2 was a good movie but I'm not sure how it would affect the weather in South Florida.


Because that is where the next big, cold low is coming from, right after this first one - Out of the Rockies 1.
Quoting hydrus:
It looks like it could be a stronger storm then the past two. The NCEP shows a stormy pattern for the S.E. U.S. for the next two weeks...Link


yeah, things could be quite interesting for the next few weeks at least
squwak that would make it cold for fl
Quoting Jeff9641:
There is going to be a lot of this at my Beach house this week! Wasted!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7qql0Yi4DxU


Pssh, you call that music? They need to learn from the master:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ypP8sMHo74Y
Thanks Jeff...
Quoting Jeff9641:
it's unusually warm here right now in FL. At mid night last night it was 74 in Melbourne,FL. Highs of 86 expected in orlando Thursday and cooling down to 80 this weekend.


Hey Jeff,

We're in a very progressive pattern with quick moving systems and not much southward advancement of the jet stream. This pattern is quite typical of what we see in La Nina winters. Better get used it. adrian
Quoting tornadodude:


oh, i see now; that was the one over by Rockford. i started watching that cell when you posted the radar yesterday.

per link, i recall that heat and i have little doubt we'll be seeing a challenger this spring. though we'll surely be contending with many major chilling spells for months to come ;)

i do think as we observe these warming global trends, we shall also observe great fluctuations among temperatures and precipitation events, particularly at my current latitude. i wish i had more years of observation under my belt to make definitive remarks about differences between wild swings now, and those that have occurred every year at a latitude such as this. regardless, i do think definable extremes are becoming the norm.
good morning!!
Quoting tornadodude:


yeah, things could be quite interesting for the next few weeks at least
Which would mean an unusual weather pattern considering we are in the La Nina phase.
Quoting caneswatch:


Pssh, you call that music? They need to learn from the master:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ypP8sMHo74Y


LOL! I can't argue that!
I saw on TWC that was the latest Tornado Outbreak that far north. Amazing! T-Dude great post of the videos and if you find more then post them as I love tornado videos.
Quoting hurricane23:


Hey Jeff,

We're in a very progressive pattern with quick moving systems and not much southward advancement of the jet stream. This pattern is quite typical of what we see in La Nina winters. Better get used it. adrian


It does not at all feel like the Holidays! I wish we could get a nice cool down. Oh Well! Happy Thanksgiving to you and your family.
Quoting Minnemike:


oh, i see now; that was the one over by Rockford. i started watching that cell when you posted the radar yesterday.

per link, i recall that heat and i have little doubt we'll be seeing a challenger this spring. though we'll surely be contending with many major chilling spells for months to come ;)

i do think as we observe these warming global trends, we shall also observe great fluctuations among temperatures and precipitation events, particularly at my current latitude. i wish i had more years of observation under my belt to make definitive remarks about differences between wild swings now, and those that have occurred every year at a latitude such as this. regardless, i do think definable extremes are becoming the norm.


I dont remember if the storm that produced those tornadoes where the ones I said to watch or not...
Thought they were tho

yeah, definitely expect wild temperature changes all season long from this one

Quoting hydrus:
Which would mean an unusual weather pattern considering we are in the La Nina phase.


yeah that is odd

Quoting Jeff9641:
I saw on TWC that was the latest Tornado Outbreak that far north. Amazing! T-Dude great post of the videos and if you find more then post them as I love tornado videos.


Will do, dude!

btw, I think someone made a mocking profile of you
Quoting hurricane23:


Hey Jeff,

We're in a very progressive pattern with quick moving systems and not much southward advancement of the jet stream. This pattern is quite typical of what we see in La Nina winters. Better get used it. adrian


Hey "killer," long time no see.
Post 84 on yesterday's blog is where I said to watch those cells, not sure if they would have been the right ones or not. the track seems to be in alignment tho.

link
yeah TD, it was just a little while after you posted, but i was prompted to watch the line when you did. there were a couple tornado warnings side by side for a little bit, but i wasn't sure if anything came out of it. seeing that video, it was just like i imagined it... hurling across the landscape!
Quoting Minnemike:
yeah TD, it was just a little while after you posted, but i was prompted to watch the line when you did. there were a couple tornado warnings side by side for a little bit, but i wasn't sure if anything came out of it. seeing that video, it was just like i imagined it... hurling across the landscape!


yeah it was insane!

I think one of the cells I mentioned did produce that tornado, I looked back at the post, and the storm direction seems to match up. if not, oh well, it was close ha

5-day
this is where yesterday's tornado occurred:

SQUAWK!!!!
NWS Chicago



"The above loop shows what meteorologists were viewing in real-time during the tornado that passed through Winnebago and Boone counties. Notice the velocity couplet on the upper right 22:55Z image. The blue and green colors indicate inbound winds, or winds moving toward the radar, while the yellow and brown colors indicate outbound winds, or winds moving away from the radar. This was shortly before reports of a tornado on the ground were received."

NWS Milwaukee



"A strong low pressure system moved very rapidly northeast from eastern Iowa toward Green Bay, WI. The image above shows the pressure analysis in black, the dewpoints (moisture in blue and green shading), and temperatures in red. Notice how the narrow axis of heat and moisture push into southeast Wisconsin. Additionally, there was a large amount of favorable wind shear in the atmosphere that helped the tornadoes to spin up. Wind shear is a change in wind speed and direction with height in the atmosphere."

AMY!!!!!
Indonesia raises alert level at Mount Bromo

%u2013 Tue Nov 23, 6:46 am ET

JAKARTA, Indonesia %u2013 Indonesia has raised the alert level at one of its dozens of volcanos to its highest level, telling villagers and tourists to stay off the rumbling slopes.

Mount Bromo typically erupts once a year but %u2014 unlike nearby Mount Merapi %u2014 rarely spits debris and hot gas far from the crater and nearby towns are not considered to be in harm's way.
I Don't Feel Like Dancin'

Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
I Don't Feel Like Dancin'



Good lines!
hopefully we don't have to use a nuke
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
hopefully we don't have to use a nuke


North Korea really f'ed up today.
I guess we all knew it would come to this. The good thing is we have pretty much all surrounding countries backing us on this one. Makes you wonder what was the cause of this missil off the coast of California a few weeks back. US says it's plane contrail lol yeah right that damm thing looked like the Space Shuttle went up.
From being in the military it's not hard to tell what's a missil launch and a plane going by.
Quoting Jeff9641:
I guess we all knew it would come to this. The good thing is we have pretty much all surrounding countries backing us on this one. Makes you wonder what was the cause of this missil off the coast of California a few weeks back. US says it's plane contrail lol yeah right that damm thing looked like the Space Shuttle went up.
I hate north korea..They have been nothing but trouble for a very long time...This Wiki-Link is a good source of information about how awful they are, and how much trouble they have caused...Link
Link to the 12Z GFS model run. That stubborn High pressure ridge off the West coast of the US is going to cause a "parade of Arctic air outbreaks".

The first one is ongoing. The second will occur 12-1 or 12-2 over North TX. The third blast will be around 12-9-10.

This La Nina is bizarre :O)
Here is a link to Chase Team Denmark, the storm team that we chased with back in May, they are pretty awesome people!

some really cool photos: link

oh, in the pictures, I'm driving the tan Honda Accord
Quoting tornadodude:
Here is a link to Chase Team Denmark, the storm team that we chased with back in May, they are pretty awesome people!

some really cool photos: link

oh, in the pictures, I'm driving the tan Honda Accord

Hey T-Dude :O). Did you write an article on the IL/WI tornadoes on your Evansville Examiner page today???
TORNADO WARNING
MSC061-129-231900-
/O.NEW.KJAN.TO.W.0045.101123T1808Z-101123T1900Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1208 PM CST TUE NOV 23 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL SMITH COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
SOUTHWESTERN JASPER COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF STRINGER...

* UNTIL 100 PM CST

* AT 1209 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR RALEIGH
MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO BAY
SPRINGS AND TURNERVILLE

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT A TORNADO IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. YOU
SHOULD ACTIVATE YOUR TORNADO ACTION PLAN AND TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTION
NOW.

&&

LAT...LON 3207 8907 3183 8911 3189 8960 3207 8958
TIME...MOT...LOC 1809Z 276DEG 21KT 3197 8947

Quoting Bordonaro:

Hey T-Dude :O). Did you write an article on the IL/WI tornadoes on your Evansville Examiner page today???


I was contemplating it, you think I should?




possible developing tornado
Quoting tornadodude:


I was contemplating it, you think I should?

Hell yes!!! Also cover MS tornado as a live feature, extreme November weather :O)
Quoting Bordonaro:

Hell yes!!! Also cover MS tornado as a live feature, extreme November weather :O)


I didnt realize you could do live...

and yeah I'll work on an article probably have to be tonight tho..

I have to shower and then go volunteer at a local teen center and help some kids after school. help them with homework and then toss the ole pigskin around a little
Quoting tornadodude:




possible developing tornado


Yep, sure is! That radar signature is becoming better defined. Next week could be a very dangerous week when it comes to severe wx across most of the Deep South. This seems to becoming a pattern now that we are getting these intense warm moist/cold air collisions.
Definitely a possible developing tornado now:

Quoting tornadodude:


I didnt realize you could do live...

and yeah I'll work on an article probably have to be tonight tho..

I have to shower and then go volunteer at a local teen center and help some kids after school. help them with homework and then toss the ole pigskin around a little

Well, you can post live links to the page.

The SPC shows less a 2% chance of a tornado. They are AWFUL when it come to these episodes!!
Tornado Warning

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1223 PM CST TUE NOV 23 2010

MSC061-129-231900-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0045.000000T0000Z-101123T1900Z/
SMITH MS-JASPER MS-
1223 PM CST TUE NOV 23 2010

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CST FOR
SOUTHWESTERN JASPER AND EAST CENTRAL SMITH COUNTIES...

AT 1223 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUE TO
TRACK A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS
TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR SYLVARENA MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO BAY
SPRINGS AND TURNERVILLE

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT A TORNADO IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. YOU
SHOULD ACTIVATE YOUR TORNADO ACTION PLAN AND TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTION
NOW.

&&

LAT...LON 3207 8907 3183 8911 3190 8944 3202 8940
TIME...MOT...LOC 1823Z 276DEG 21KT 3195 8938

$$

DHB







Severe Weather Statement

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1223 PM CST TUE NOV 23 2010

MSC061-129-231900-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0045.000000T0000Z-101123T1900Z/
SMITH MS-JASPER MS-
1223 PM CST TUE NOV 23 2010

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CST FOR
SOUTHWESTERN JASPER AND EAST CENTRAL SMITH COUNTIES...

AT 1223 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUE TO
TRACK A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS
TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR SYLVARENA MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO BAY
SPRINGS AND TURNERVILLE

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT A TORNADO IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. YOU
SHOULD ACTIVATE YOUR TORNADO ACTION PLAN AND TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTION
NOW.

&&

LAT...LON 3207 8907 3183 8911 3190 8944 3202 8940
TIME...MOT...LOC 1823Z 276DEG 21KT 3195 8938
Quoting Bordonaro:

Well, you can post live links to the page.

The SPC shows less a 2% chance of a tornado. They are AWFUL when it come to these episodes!!


oh ok!

and yeah no kidding, Im also expecting some more possible tornadoes across the Ozark region of Missouri and Arkansas tomorrow. Eastern Oklahoma may get in on it as well.

Colorful map today
Quoting tornadodude:


oh ok!

and yeah no kidding, Im also expecting some more possible tornadoes across the Ozark region of Missouri and Arkansas tomorrow. Eastern Oklahoma may get in on it as well.


I would love to drive up to the SPC in Norman today, as they're 5 hrs away and give those bast*$@s a piece of my mind!!!!
000
FLUS43 KSGF 231155
HWOSGF

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
555 AM CST TUE NOV 23 2010

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-241200-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
555 AM CST TUE NOV 23 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER RISK LEVEL IS...LIMITED.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.

DISCUSSION...

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AFTER MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT WEST OF A ROLLA TO AVA LINE. DUE TO LIMITED
INSTABILITY...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY
MORNING ACROSS MUCH OF THE OUTLOOK AREA. LIMITED INSTABILITY
WILL LIMIT THE SEVERE POTENTIAL WEDNESDAY MORNING...HOWEVER
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE.

STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL THEN BE POSSIBLE FROM LATE
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS A POWERFUL COLD
FRONT SWEEPS THROUGH THE REGION. THE COMBINATION OF AT LEAST
MARGINAL INSTABILITY AND EXTREME WIND SHEAR WILL RESULT IN AN
ELEVATED RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE
WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND A FEW TORNADOES WILL ALL BE THREATS.
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO REMAIN POSSIBLE...WHICH COULD LEAD TO
LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING.

BEHIND THAT PASSING COLD FRONT...BRISK AND GUSTY NORTHERLY
WINDS WILL DEVELOP AND PERSIST INTO THANKSGIVING. NON
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS OVER 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM LATER
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THANKSGIVING MORNING. THE BRISK NORTHERLY
WINDS AND SHARPLY COLDER TEMPERATURES WILL RESULT IN WIND
CHILLS DROPPING INTO THE UPPER SINGLE DIGITS AND LOWER TEENS.

AS THE MUCH COLDER AIR FILTERS INTO THE REGION...LINGERING
PRECIPITATION MAY CHANGE TO A LIGHT WINTRY MIX FROM VERY LATE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THANKSGIVING DAY. AT THIS TIME...IT
APPEARS THAT ANY SNOW OR ICE ACCUMULATION WOULD BE MINOR.

THOSE TRAVELING FOR THE THANKSGIVING HOLIDAY ARE URGED TO KEEP
UP WITH THE FORECAST AS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR MULTIPLE
WEATHER IMPACTS ACROSS THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

$$

SCHAUMANN
Quoting Bordonaro:

I would love to drive up to the SPC in Norman today, as they're 5 hrs away and give those bast*$@s a piece of my mind!!!!


I visited there last May, nice area :p
The SPC needs to get their heads out of their butts and do an updated analysis of shear vectors across the SE US!!!
Quoting Bordonaro:
The SPC needs to get their heads out of their butts and do an updates analysis of shear vectors across the SE US!!!


go up there and give them a little kick start lol
Quoting Bordonaro:
The SPC needs to get their heads out of their butts and do an updates analysis of shear vectors across the SE US!!!


Have you seen the models for early to mid next week. A very big trough is forecast to come out and this looks to be an mammoth severe wx event next week.
Hi all. 30 second look-in to see how the blog is faring. It's been very cool here of late... early winter onset, it seems.

Looking forward to the La Nina discussion tomorrow.

L8r!
storm reports from that storm:

K 1 N MENDENHALL SIMPSON MS 3198 8987 A FEW TREES REPORTED DOWN ALONG WITH A COUPLE OF HOMES DAMAGED. (JAN)

1730 UNK 1 N MARTINVILLE SIMPSON MS 3199 8975 3 HOMES AND 3 CHICKEN HOUSES DAMAGED. (JAN)
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1223 PM CST TUE NOV 23 2010

MSC061-129-231900-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0045.000000T0000Z-101123T1900Z/
SMITH MS-JASPER MS-
1223 PM CST TUE NOV 23 2010

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CST FOR
SOUTHWESTERN JASPER AND EAST CENTRAL SMITH COUNTIES...

AT 1223 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUE TO
TRACK A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS
TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR SYLVARENA MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO BAY
SPRINGS AND TURNERVILLE

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT A TORNADO IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. YOU
SHOULD ACTIVATE YOUR TORNADO ACTION PLAN AND TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTION
NOW.

&&

LAT...LON 3207 8907 3183 8911 3190 8944 3202 8940
TIME...MOT...LOC 1823Z 276DEG 21KT 3195 8938

$$

DHB
Quoting BahaHurican:
Hi all. 30 second look-in to see how the blog is faring. It's been very cool here of late... early winter onset, it seems.

Looking forward to the La Nina discussion tomorrow.

L8r!


Cool in the Bahamas? It's been very warm here in C FL infact 5 to 7 degrees above normal everyday and 10 to in some case 15 degrees above normal at night. Warmest November I've seen in over 10 years.
Thursday's high is now forecast to get to 87 and 85 on Friday cooling down to 80 this weekend.
Quoting tornadodude:
storm reports from that storm:

K 1 N MENDENHALL SIMPSON MS 3198 8987 A FEW TREES REPORTED DOWN ALONG WITH A COUPLE OF HOMES DAMAGED. (JAN)

1730 UNK 1 N MARTINVILLE SIMPSON MS 3199 8975 3 HOMES AND 3 CHICKEN HOUSES DAMAGED. (JAN)

I sent the SPC a scathing e-mail O)!!!!!!!
Quoting Jeff9641:
Thursday's high is now forecast to get to 87 and 85 on Friday cooling down to 80 this weekend.


It's currently 45 degrees here and supposed to be a nice balmy 38 on Friday :P
Quoting Bordonaro:

I sent the SPC a scathing e-mail O)!!!!!!!

They are freaking WRONG!!!!!
Quoting tornadodude:


It's currently 45 degrees here and supposed to be a nice balmy 38 on Friday :P


Looking at the models Southern Indiana down to the Gulf Coast could be in a severe risk early next week as this next trough digs in.
Quoting Bordonaro:


They are freaking WRONG!!!!!


yeah, I wouldnt bash them too badly for it tho, they nailed yesterday's forecast pretty well tho
Quoting Jeff9641:


Looking at the models Southern Indiana down to the Gulf Coast could be in a severe risk early next week as this next trough digs in.


pretty crazy secondary severe weather season so far
Quoting Jeff9641:


Looking at the models Southern Indiana down to the Gulf Coast could be in a severe risk early next week as this next trough digs in.

Very good analysis. Even with marginal shear profiles, this might get very messy..
Quoting tornadodude:


yeah, I wouldnt bash them too badly for it tho, they nailed yesterday's forecast pretty well tho

I didn't. However, they dropped the "slight risk" for this area prematurely :O)
Quoting Bordonaro:

I didn't. However, they dropped the "slight risk" for this area prematurely :O)


haha yeah
NWS of TAMPA

LONG TERM (THURSDAY NIGHT-TUESDAY)...HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO RIDGE ACROSS THE AREA AT THE
SURFACE AND ALOFT THROUGH FRIDAY. A WEAKENING COLD FRONT WILL
THEN SETTLE INTO THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT AND GRADUALLY DISSIPATE
ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN
BUILD INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST WITH UPPER
RIDGING BUILDING OVER THE AREA THROUGH MONDAY. 20-30 PERCENT RAIN
CHANCES WILL BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT WITH THE
DISSIPATING FRONT IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD.
looks like it developed a new circulation

How rare is it for a tornado to hit as far north as Rockford so late in the fall? The normal high and low there on November 22 is 42/27, which is pretty wintry.
Quoting DoverWxwatchter:
How rare is it for a tornado to hit as far north as Rockford so late in the fall? The normal high and low there on November 22 is 42/27, which is pretty wintry.


I heard the latest tornado in history was 11/7 that far north.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
816 AM MST TUE NOV 23 2010

.UPDATE...IMPRESSIVELY STRONG WINTER SYSTEM ROLLING THROUGH
EASTERN IDAHO TODAY. DEEP SURFACE LOW ANALYZED OVER THE CENTRAL
MTNS WITH MULTIPLE SURFACE TROUGH SPOKES EXTENDING AWAY FROM THE
CENTER. TWO MAIN SPOKES OF CONCERN. FIRST ENTERING WESTERN EDGES
OF SNAKE PLAIN THROUGH THE MAGIC VALLEY THIS MORNING. STRONG SOUTH
WINDS AHEAD OF THE SPOKE GIVING WAY TO STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS
BEHIND IT. FIRST THOUGHT IS THAT THIS MAY ACTUALLY BE THE FRONT
ESPECIALLY GIVEN CONVECTIVELY ENHANCED SNOW BAND VISIBLE ON RADAR
AND AREA WEB CAMS. HOWEVER...SECOND SPOKE TRAILING FURTHER TO THE
WEST AND SOUTHWEST SHOWING STRONGER TEMPERATURE AND DEWPOINT
CHANGES SO BELIEVE THIS TO BE THE ACTUAL FRONT THAT WILL BRING US
THE ARCTIC AIR LATER TONIGHT INTO THANKSGIVING DAY. REGARDLESS OF
WHERE THE FRONT LIES...ACTUAL STORY IS THE BLIZZARD OR NEAR
BLIZZARD CONDITIONS OCCURING OR IMMINENT ACROSS THE REGION. ONLY
UPDATE TODAY IS TO THE WX GRIDS TO STRENGTHEN WORDING FOR
WIDESPREAD MODERATE SNOW AND DEFINITE BLOWING SNOW INSTEAD OF
AREAS. DMH

Link
It snowed here yesterday. Proof that climate change is a hoax.
Quoting Jeff9641:


I heard the latest tornado in history was 11/7 that far north.


Thanks Jeff.
Quoting lickitysplit:
It snowed here yesterday. Proof that climate change is a hoax.


Ummm - where is 'here'?
Quoting DontAnnoyMe:


Ummm - where is 'here'?


Bolivia.... Lol


im out, have a good afternoon everyone
Another link For North Korean anylysis,
Link
Sorry, I'll load the pics later from Ft Worth :O)!!
Quoting Bordonaro:
Sorry, I'll load the pics later from Ft Worth :O)!!

It's cool Bordonaro,I'm sure they will be worth the wait.
According to this page there have been 6 tornadoes in December in Wisconsin, and 3 in January!

I'd love to see the daily wx maps for when the January tornadoes occurred. The monthly totals are at the bottom of this page.

Link
Quoting DoverWxwatchter:
According to this page there have been 6 tornadoes in December in Wisconsin, and 3 in January!

I'd love to see the daily wx maps for when the January tornadoes occurred. The monthly totals are at the bottom of this page.

Link


This maybe the start of an active winter season for severe wx.
I wonder if those January tornadoes in Wisconsin were waterspouts (snowspouts?) that formed in vigorous lake effect bands over the Great Lakes and moved inland, maybe around Green Bay.
Quoting pcola57:

It's cool Bordonaro,I'm sure they will be worth the wait.

Do vigorous lake effect bands produce waterspouts or snowspouts?
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
hopefully we don't have to use a nuke


This is the beginning of a series of provocations backed up by China.... NKorea being used as a puppet to neutralize any posible action in the area... As China begins to move towards reclaming all the islands in the China / Japan sea area....
And we still keep on sending all kind of technology to be assembled there, and they are learning.... Learning too well...
Quoting DoverWxwatchter:
Do vigorous lake effect bands produce waterspouts or snowspouts?
i like to call em snownados
The temp. for Nuuk, Greenland 2 days ago :

15.8 C = 60.88 F.

http://www.dmi.dk/dmi/vejrarkiv-gl?region=7&year=2010&month=11


MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2072
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0147 PM CST TUE NOV 23 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...EXTREME NE TX...SE OK...AND SW AR

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 231947Z - 232115Z

ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THE NEXT FEW HOURS
ALONG A STALLING FRONT ACROSS SW AR...BUT THE MAGNITUDE OF THE
SEVERE STORM THREAT APPEARS TOO MARGINAL TO WARRANT A WATCH.

SATELLITE AND COMPOSITE RADAR IMAGERY SUGGEST THAT CONVECTIVE
INITIATION IS UNDERWAY TO THE NW OF TXK...ALONG A SLOW-MOVING
SURFACE FRONT. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL THIS AFTERNOON...BUT
THE WNW-ESE BOUNDARY ORIENTATION SUGGESTS THAT STORMS FORMING ON THE
FRONT WILL CROSS INTO THE COOLER/MORE STABLE ENVIRONMENT ACROSS SW
AR WITHIN AN HOUR OF INITIATION. INSTABILITY AND VERTICAL SHEAR ARE
AT LEAST SUFFICIENT FOR SUPERCELLS ALONG THE FRONT...THOUGH
THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR LARGE HAIL
PRODUCTION...AND MODEST LOW-LEVEL SHEAR IN THE ADJACENT WARM SECTOR
WILL TEND TO LIMIT ANY TORNADO THREAT. THUS...WHILE A FEW
ORGANIZED/SUPERCELL STORMS WILL CERTAINLY BE POSSIBLE THIS
AFTERNOON...THE THREAT FOR ANY PARTICULAR TYPE OF SEVERE WEATHER
WILL REMAIN TOO LIMITED TO WARRANT A WATCH.

..THOMPSON.. 11/23/2010


ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...

LAT...LON 33889376 33629291 33409281 33109303 33209400 33609474
34079499 34289482 34319432 33889376
Nov. Observed events -

It's been raining in Alaska .....

Rain from Anchorage to Barrow an 'extraordinary event'

Read more: http://www.adn.com/2010/11/22/1568263/rain-from-an...

Hudson's Bay -
Higher-than-normal temperatures have prevented ice from forming in the region, putting it three to four weeks behind schedule, according to the Canadian Ice Service, a division of Environment Canada.

Read more: http://www.cbc.ca/canada/story/2010/11/17/hudson-b...

Record high temperatures return to Russia
The weather in Russia will remain abnormally warm for at least the next five days, said the head of the Russian Hydrometeorological Center, adding that the record temperatures have also been recorded in Siberia and a number of other Russian regions.

http://en.rian.ru/russia/20101111/161293803.html
Quoting ColoradoBob1:
Nov. Observed events -

It's been raining in Alaska .....

Rain from Anchorage to Barrow an 'extraordinary event'

Read more: http://www.adn.com/2010/11/22/1568263/rain-from-an...

Hudson's Bay -
Higher-than-normal temperatures have prevented ice from forming in the region, putting it three to four weeks behind schedule, according to the Canadian Ice Service, a division of Environment Canada.

Read more: http://www.cbc.ca/canada/story/2010/11/17/hudson-b...

Record high temperatures return to Russia
The weather in Russia will remain abnormally warm for at least the next five days, said the head of the Russian Hydrometeorological Center, adding that the record temperatures have also been recorded in Siberia and a number of other Russian regions.

http://en.rian.ru/russia/20101111/161293803.html


CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1251 AM AKST TUE NOV 23 2010

...................................

...THE FAIRBANKS AK CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR NOVEMBER 22 2010...

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1971 TO 2000
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1904 TO 2010


WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST
VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR
NORMAL
..................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)
YESTERDAY
MAXIMUM 34 1142 PM 47 1947 8 26 -6
MINIMUM 17 206 AM -36 1963 -10 27 -33
AVERAGE 26 -1 27 -19
Put the HAARP Switch "ON"



Article Link on the Freezing rain from Anchorage to Barrow:

Quoting Jeff9641:


LOL! I can't argue that!


No you can't lol. That's the first tune that plays when I have a house all to myself.
Quoting Jeff9641:
NWS of TAMPA

LONG TERM (THURSDAY NIGHT-TUESDAY)...HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO RIDGE ACROSS THE AREA AT THE
SURFACE AND ALOFT THROUGH FRIDAY. A WEAKENING COLD FRONT WILL
THEN SETTLE INTO THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT AND GRADUALLY DISSIPATE
ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN
BUILD INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST WITH UPPER
RIDGING BUILDING OVER THE AREA THROUGH MONDAY. 20-30 PERCENT RAIN
CHANCES WILL BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT WITH THE
DISSIPATING FRONT IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD.


It will be a rather boring winter this year. Above average temps with little or no precipitation. Have fun at the beach and hopefully it doesn't get too smokey around here come spring.
Quoting CyclonicVoyage:


It will be a rather boring winter this year. Above average temps with little or no precipitation. Have fun at the beach and hopefully it doesn't get too smokey around here come spring.


We may have some solid rain coming. We could get a half inch on Friday and then get a squall line come next Wednesday with the possibility of severe wx (mainly damaging winds) as this line approaches and could dump 1 to 2" across C and N FL.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/12/fp0_192.shtml
Barrow AK set 2 new high temp records Monday (33F) and Sunday (32F).

http://www.wunderground.com/history/airport/PABR/2010/11/22/DailyHistory.html?req_city=NA&req_state =NA&req_statename=NA
If we hit 86 or higher Thursday it would be the warmest Thanksgiving on record in Orlando.
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
i like to call em snownados
The GEM model has a tropical cyclone near Hawaii in a week...Link
Quoting sunlinepr:


This is the beginning of a series of provocations backed up by China.... NKorea being used as a puppet to neutralize any posible action in the area... As China begins to move towards reclaming all the islands in the China / Japan sea area....
And we still keep on sending all kind of technology to be assembled there, and they are learning.... Learning too well...


Very well stated.
The NHC released the TCR for TS Hermine a short while ago. The storm was more energetic than thought, with a top speed a near-hurricane-strength 60 knots. The storm's ACE is increased from 1.2725 to an official 1.58, which is enough to allow Hermine to leapfrog past Matthew into the season's #15 spot. Seasonal ACE is increased from 159.3725 to 159.82.
Quoting Neapolitan:
The NHC released the TCR for TS Hermine a short while ago. The storm was more energetic than thought, with a top speed a near-hurricane-strength 60 knots. The storm's ACE is increased from 1.2725 to an official 1.58, which is enough to allow Hermine to leapfrog past Matthew inot the season's #15 spot. Seasonal ACE is increased from 159.3725 to 159.82.


Thanks Nea!
WOW! 60 in Greenland a couple days ago. Now that is amazing for mid November! Thanks ColoradoBob1.
Slight severe weather event setting up in the mid-west.

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html
132. DVG
Quoting Jeff9641:
From being in the military it's not hard to tell what's a missil launch and a plane going by.


I've watched the shuttle many times. It was a missle. I have a photo on my cell phone of a shuttle launch I took at the same time of night. It's identical.

week 11 of nfl standings..

1. New York Jets ACE 8 2 0
2. Baltimore Ravens ACN 7 3 0
3. Kansas City Chiefs ACW 6 4 0
4. Jacksonville Jaguars ACS 6 4 0
5. New England Patriots ACE 8 2 0
6. Pittsburgh Steelers ACN 7 3 0

134. DDR
Good evening
just under an inch of rain @ my location in Trinidad,areas in the east and south of the island have had alot more according to radar over the past 3 days.With this trough set in place for the next 6 days some areas may see over foot of rain.
Quoting jasoniscoolman2010xo:

week 11 of nfl standings..

1. New York Jets ACE 8 2 0
2. Baltimore Ravens ACN 7 3 0
3. Kansas City Chiefs ACW 6 4 0
4. Jacksonville Jaguars ACS 6 4 0
5. New England Patriots ACE 8 2 0
6. Pittsburgh Steelers ACN 7 3 0



Patriots .082 ACE. LOL!
Northeast weather!!!
A storm will rapidly intensify over the Canadian Maritimes while high pressure builds in from the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley on Wednesday.

Strong northwest winds will develop over eastern New York, north Jersey and New England. Gusts will peak in the 35-to-50-mph range. The eastern Mid-Atlantic will be breezy.

Except for any air travel delays from the wind, getting around should be fine. Wednesday will be dry with only a few snow showers over northern New York and the mountains of northern New England.

Temperatures cool but only to near-average or slightly-below-average levels. Highs will range from the upper 20s and lower 30s along the Canadian border to near 60 in southwest Virginia.

Rain arrives for Thanksgiving across much of New York, the northern Mid-Atlantic and West Virginia. A few colder valleys in northern Pennsylvania and Upstate New York may deal with a brief period of freezing rain.

On Friday, the next cold front moves through with rain changing to snow from the Appalachians westward and rain east of the mountains. The precipitation will end from west to east, especially across the Mid-Atlantic.

By Saturday, the only remaining precipitation will be confined to lake-effect snow showers in Upstate New York and northwest Pennsylvania and snow showers across northern New England. Temperatures, though colder, will only be slightly below average.

For West Palm Beach:

Because I'm bored i'm making 7-day forecasts for 10 cities across the USA:

1.) New York, NY

2.) Los Angeles, CA

3.) Chicago, IL

4.) Houston, Tx

5.) Phoenix, AZ

6.) Jacksonville, FL

7.) Kansas City, KS

8.) Minneapolis, MN

9.) Denver, CO

10.) Atlanta, GA

Just thought I would let you know :)
HAHA!

140. flsky
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
For West Palm Beach:


I love Florida!
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
For West Palm Beach:



Looks like we are going to drop into the 60's.
Large review on Hurricane Danielle and Hurricane Earl. Later I will talk about Gaston - Karl in part Three. Enjoy!
Link
143. DDR
Rivers are high or over flowing in some areas in Trinidad,the last thing we need here is this 14 inches as forecast by the GFS.
New York City:



Los Angeles:

Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Because I'm bored i'm making 7-day forecasts for 10 cities across the USA:

1.) New York, NY

2.) Los Angeles, CA

3.) Chicago, IL

4.) Houston, Tx

5.) Phoenix, AZ

6.) Jacksonville, FL

7.) Kansas City, KS

8.) Minneapolis, MN

9.) Denver, CO

10.) Atlanta, GA

Just thought I would let you know :)

That is pretty bored. Unless you work for the NWS.
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
For West Palm Beach:



I'm not liking how it's not going to be cool for Thanksgiving down here :(
Chicago:



Houston:

Quoting jeffs713:

That is pretty bored. Unless you work for the NWS.


lol...I'm 13...Not working for the NWS.
Quoting caneswatch:


I'm not liking how it's not going to be cool for Thanksgiving down here :(


Not winter yet...but hopefully a few cold days in our future.
Quoting caneswatch:


I'm not liking how it's not going to be cool for Thanksgiving down here :(


Better get out your heavy coat! In the 60's, who would have believed it!!!
Quoting Grothar:


Better get out your heavy coat! In the 60's, who would have believed it!!!


Come back El Nino! I love Intellicast :)
Quoting Grothar:


Better get out your heavy coat! In the 60's, who would have believed it!!!

But remember last year, when after a late November like this, we went on a warm temps tear in early December, daily records WPB, FtL, even MIA. One afternoon, I was 70 degrees warmer than my sib in Michigan. Still, not a bad idea to look for my coat.
Hi Grothar....Have you watched the show Hollywood Treasure? You will get a kick out of this: Hollywood Treasure – “I’ll Get You My Pretty”
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:


Not winter yet...but hopefully a few cold days in our future.


Hopefully it can drop down for Christmas. Then when March arrives, i'm going to Colorado to go snowboarding for the first time.
Quoting Grothar:


Better get out your heavy coat! In the 60's, who would have believed it!!!


More like better get out your shorts and shirts again LOL
Living in Salt Lake City I'm about 10-20 minutes away from one awesome/scary (depending on view) frontal passage. A few all-time November lows and low-highs might broken the next few days (for instance, 14/0 is the NWS forecast for SLC tomorrow)
Quoting Grothar:


Better get out your heavy coat! In the 60's, who would have believed it!!!
In 88-89, The winter temperatures were very mild in S.W.Florida Out of roughly 91 days of winter, 65 days were above 80 degrees, and it was at or below 32 degrees for only three nights.....Some winter...
Quoting hydrus:
In 88-89, The winter temperatures were very mild in S.W.Florida Out of roughly 91 days of winter, 65 days were above 80 degrees, and it was at or below 32 degrees for only three nights.....Some winter...


Was that 1888-1889 or 1988-1989?
Quoting Grothar:


Was that 1888-1889 or 1988-1989?
Hahaha...nice!
Quoting Grothar:


Was that 1888-1889 or 1988-1989?
The winter of 1988 to 1989. Geritol was slightly cheaper then..:)
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
Hi Grothar....Have you watched the show Hollywood Treasure? You will get a kick out of this: Hollywood Treasure – “I’ll Get You My Pretty”


No, I haven't but who would have thought that one chest could be so valuable. Got to watch that show.
Quoting PrivateIdaho:
Hahaha...nice!


Hey, he leaves himself open for it. LOL (You're own Private Idaho, huh?)

The warm weather will continue through Wednesday with highs in the 70s across much of the region. A few scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms can be expected across parts of North Texas on Wednesday...but better chances for rain will be farther northeast.

A strong cold front will move through North Texas on Thanksgiving. Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms will develop along the front and these will move south quickly as the front moves through.

Temperatures will drop sharply behind the front with north winds 20 to 30 mph. Temperatures will fall into the 40s and 50s behind the front.

On Friday morning...lows will be in the 20s and 30s across much of North Texas.
Nowcast as of 4:51 PM MST on November 23, 2010

Now

A blizzard continues to develop across northern Utah. At 5 PM....the leading edge has moved east along Interstate 80 through the Tooele Valley...and south along Interstate 15 to toward Salt Lake County.

Along and behind this line...heavy snow and continued gusty winds will create whiteout conditions...deteriorating roadways...with temperatures falling 15 to 20 degrees in the matter of minutes. These conditions are forecast to cross the Salt Lake Valley and into northern Utah County by 600 PM.
Quoting CAAM:
Thank you Dr. masters.
I found the update very interesting. I feel sory for the Trupes that were in the Middle East this summer.
All this warm weather across the globe, there is cold weather in the Pacific Northwest...

Portland, Oregon had first subfreezing day in November since 1985.

Outlying areas such as Hillsboro could see even lower teens, around 14 degrees, Bryant said.

It will be even more frigid in Eastern Oregon, where the town of Joseph tied a record of five degrees, a record set on this date back in 1893. The forecast low for Wednesday is 12 degrees below zero.
POOR UTAH!!!!!!
Nowcast as of 6:03 PM MST on November 23, 2010

Now
A blizzard continues to affect northern and west central Utah. At 6 PM....the leading edge has moved south of Interstate 80 across the west deserts...south along Interstate 15 to Lehi...and east along Interstate 80 to the Wyoming state line. Along and behind this line...heavy snow and continued gusty winds will create whiteout conditions...deteriorating roadways...with temperatures falling 15 to 20 degrees in the matter of minutes. These conditions are forecast to impact Delta...Oak City...Provo...Payson and Evanston by 700 PM.
Quoting hydrus:
In 88-89, The winter temperatures were very mild in S.W.Florida Out of roughly 91 days of winter, 65 days were above 80 degrees, and it was at or below 32 degrees for only three nights.....Some winter...



However, 1989 also brought the Treasure Coast, the Christmas Freeze. Temps in the mid-to-high 20's, for 3-4 days. Christmas morning, we woke to find our water pipe frozen.


Good evening!
This cold blast has been hard to forecast in my opinion. The forecasts keep changing. We probably won't get any of this here in Fl.
Quoting PSLFLCaneVet:



However, 1989 also brought the Treasure Coast, the Christmas Freeze. Temps in the mid-to-high 20's, for 3-4 days. Christmas morning, we woke to find our water pipe frozen.


Good evening!
Good evening to you...I was at work Christmas Eve the night it snowed in Port Charlotte and some other areas in South Florida....We were all looking at the street lights, transfixed on the spectacle happening in front of us.....snow..
CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED OVER CENTRAL
AMERICA NEAR 13N86W AND EXPANDS NORTHWARD INFLUENCING MUCH OF
THE GULF OF MEXICO. THE NW CARIBBEAN REMAINS LOCATED ON THE
EASTERN PERIPHERY OF THIS UPPER LEVEL FEATURE AND DRY NORTHERLY
FLOW DOMINATES N OF 14N W OF 75W. THIS AREA FALLS WEST OF A
STRETCHED UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS EXTENDING ALONG 20N FROM 60W
TO HISPANIOLA THEN SW TO 16N75W. MOSTLY DRY AIR ACCOMPANIES THE
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND THEREFORE SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION IS
CONFINED TO THE SW CARIBBEAN AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN CENTRAL
AMERICA S OF 12N BETWEEN 77W-87W. STRONG NORTHEASTERLY TRADES
CONTINUE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN...WHICH LOCATE ON
THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A SURFACE RIDGE ANCHORED BY A 1022 MB
HIGH CENTERED OVER THE W ATLC NEAR 31N70W. LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
AND ISOLATED SHOWER ACTIVITY CONTINUES OVER EASTERN PORTIONS OF
HISPANIOLA AND THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN E OF 72W THIS EVENING.

wind shear to high!!everywhere!!!no more hurricane this year!!
Quoting PSLFLCaneVet:



However, 1989 also brought the Treasure Coast, the Christmas Freeze. Temps in the mid-to-high 20's, for 3-4 days. Christmas morning, we woke to find our water pipe frozen.


Good evening!
VERY quite in the West-Pac...And there sure is a lot of moisture being pumped into this storm system...
Quoting hydrus:
Good evening to you...I was at work Christmas Eve the night it snowed in Port Charlotte and some other areas in South Florida....We were all looking at the street lights, transfixed on the spectacle happening in front of us.....snow..



We didn't get snow, but it was darn cold. I was working in Vero Beach at the time. Not a great deal above freezing, even in the afternoons.


We did see snow this past January, in Daytona. The weather put a halt to Grand-Am testing, for that morning.
It would be strange to see a tornado in Snow. I've heard it has happened before. If it happens again it could be called a snownado.
Quoting PSLFLCaneVet:



We didn't get snow, but it was darn cold. I was working in Vero Beach at the time. Not a great deal above freezing, even in the afternoons.


We did see snow this past January, in Daytona. The weather put a halt to Grand-Am testing, for that morning.
We saw what"appeared"to be snow in January of 77.(The 20th century) in south Fort Myers. It was so dark, it was hard to tell. There were many reports of snow flurries.
Quoting lightningbolt73:
It would be strange to see a tornado in Snow. I've heard it has happened before. If it happens again it could be called a snownado.
We saw a waterspout glow in the dark in the early 80,s. It actually sucked up all the phosphorescence and bio-luminous creatures into its vortex. Needless to say it was a fascinating thing to watch.
Quoting hydrus:
We saw what"appeared"to be snow in January of 77.(The 20th century) in south Fort Myers. It was so dark, it was hard to tell. There were many reports of snow flurries.



20th century, lol.

I was in Minnesota, until the mid-80's. The last time I was back there, we were treated to a blizzard.
shear is okay in a small part of the Carib maybe some extropical low will find a sweet spot, those things form under the strangest conditions
Quoting PSLFLCaneVet:



20th century, lol.

I was in Minnesota, until the mid-80's. The last time I was back there, we were treated to a blizzard.
Treated..lol....
Quoting hydrus:
We saw a waterspout glow in the dark in the early 80,s. It actually sucked up all the phosphorescence and bio-luminous creatures into its vortex. Needless to say it was a fascinating thing to watch.


that must have been incredible. Ive seen that in the water in fla around august, really quite astonishing.
Quoting JFLORIDA:


that must have been incredible. Ive seen that in the water in fla around august, really quite astonishing.
It is a cool thing to watch too..I would hang my head over the bow so I could watch this huge mass of sparkling green jelly,s and copious amounts of other glowing things. Being away from the Chris*Crafts exhaust noise made it almost a peaceful experience.
Complete Update





Stats from Salt Lake City, UT as they're experiencing a BLIZZARD!!
Pocatello, Pocatello Regional Airport
Last Update on 23 Nov 18:53 MST


Blowing Snow

12°F
(-11°C) Humidity: 77 %
Wind Speed: WSW 24 G 33 MPH

Barometer: 29.69 in (1008.90 mb)
Dewpoint: 6°F (-14°C)
Wind Chill: -8°F (-22°C)
Visibility: 4.00 Mile



Major storm rolls into Utah
A much-anticipated blizzard blew into northern Utah and is making its way down the I-15 corridor. The storm is sweeping through just as people try to get out of town for the Thanksgiving holiday.


Link * Storm barrels through Northwest as travel ramps up

Video Courtesy of KSL.com

Good Evening all.
A rainy day here again.
2" yesterday, 1" today.
Loads more expected in the next couple of days as well, with street flooding and overflowing rivers all over the Island.

But it's not nearly as bad as where Orca is....
heheheheh
Quoting Bordonaro:

Major storm rolls into Utah
A much-anticipated blizzard blew into northern Utah and is making its way down the I-15 corridor. The storm is sweeping through just as people try to get out of town for the Thanksgiving holiday.


Link * Storm barrels through Northwest as travel ramps up

Video Courtesy of KSL.com


Looks pretty Dread there too, Bordo.
See you all tomorrow...
I expect to have a restless night, as there is a new Puppy in the house.
sigh............
Quoting pottery:

Looks pretty Dread there too, Bordo.
Well they are getting the Arctic Blast from Western Canada.

I am here in North TX..We have average 15-25F above normal and we will pay for it on Th and Fr.

It will go from 82 F on Wed to 27F on Fr morning :O)
Quoting pottery:
See you all tomorrow...
I expect to have a restless night, as there is a new Puppy in the house.
sigh............



Good luck, Pot. Catch ya later.
Nowcast as of 7:10 PM MST on November 23, 2010

Now
A blizzard continues to affect northern and west central Utah...along with southwest Wyoming. At 7 PM....the leading edge has moved south of Interstate 80 across the west deserts and is nearing Delta...south along Interstate 15 to Provo...and east along Interstate 80 to the Mountain View in southwest Wyoming. Along and behind this line...heavy snow and continued gusty winds will create whiteout conditions...deteriorating roadways...with temperatures falling 15 to 20 degrees in the matter of minutes. These conditions are forecast to impact Delta...Oak City...and Payson by 800 PM.
Forecast for Salt Lake and Tooele Valleys Hide
Updated: 5:35 PM MST on November 23, 2010
Blizzard Warning in effect until 8 am MST Wednesday...
nt_snow
Tonight
Windy. Snow and a slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening...then snow after midnight. Blowing snow through the night. Much colder. Accumulation 4 to 8 inches. Lows 5 to 10 above. Northwest winds 25 to 35 mph decreasing to 10 to 20 mph. Chance of precipitation near 100 percent.
Enjoy your Thanksgiving!

Talking about storms, tornados and Blizzards.... an international event....

Will this Asian Storm turn into a Blizzard?

SEOUL, South Korea: South Korean president says Seoul will unleash an "enormous retaliation" should North Korea attack again.

Lee Myung-bak said Tuesday that the North's "indiscriminate attack on civilians can never be tolerated."



Since taking office in February 2008, South Korea's President Lee Myung-bak has been sticking to a "hard-line policy" of demanding concrete action on denuclearization before offering the North any significant aid.

Yet in recent weeks, he has shown a limited willingness to yield, offering North Korea a shipment of rice and other humanitarian aid to help with devastating flooding and backing off demands that Pyongyang apologize for the Cheonan sinking.



Ok, this is just stupid weather... I feel like I moved to Alaska :(
Quoting sunlinepr:
Talking about storms, tornados and Blizzards.... an international event....

Will this Asian Storm turn into a Blizzard?

SEOUL, South Korea: South Korean president says Seoul will unleash an "enormous retaliation" should North Korea attack again.

Lee Myung-bak said Tuesday that the North's "indiscriminate attack on civilians can never be tolerated."



Since taking office in February 2008, South Korea's President Lee Myung-bak has been sticking to a "hard-line policy" of demanding concrete action on denuclearization before offering the North any significant aid.

Yet in recent weeks, he has shown a limited willingness to yield, offering North Korea a shipment of rice and other humanitarian aid to help with devastating flooding and backing off demands that Pyongyang apologize for the Cheonan sinking.


the chair is against the door ,there back up against the wall
I Don't Feel Like Dancin'




parade date oct 2010
Anchorage is a lot warmer. 34.8 °F Light Rain Mist
Thanksgiving Dinner coming up... what would it be without Pumpkin Pie for dessert.

Link
pumpkin pie nah i'll pass
but you can help yerself to all you want
Quoting JFLORIDA:
Anchorage is a lot warmer. 34.8 °F Light Rain Mist
cold air going the wrong way could be like that the whole winter with cold trapped till spring
Quoting Orcasystems:


Ok, this is just stupid weather... I feel like I moved to Alaska :(

No, the Pineapple Express has headed north from the central Pacific into central and southern AK.

The Arctic air that normally sits over AK has been sent southward by that Alaskan system, down both sides of the Canadian Rockies.

At this moment, Utah is experiencing a raging blizzard!!

Temperatures will be near 40F in downtown LA on Friday morning, with a freeze possible in the southern Imperial Valley as far south as Palm Springs, CA.

Now even E TX may get freezing rain on early Friday morning, per the NWS office in Shreveport. This is after a string of 80-83F days, which is over 20F above normal.
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
but you can help yerself to all you want


I'm not doing pumpkin pie.. I will stick to apple :)

The weather guys here are having timing issues again... its either going to rain.... or we are going to get about 8-10 inches of snow...

My money is on rain :)
Quoting Orcasystems:


I'm not doing pumpkin pie.. I will stick to apple :)

The weather guys here are having timing issues again... its either going to rain.... or we are going to get about 8-10 inches of snow...

My money is on rain :)

They may be right :O)
Quoting Bordonaro:

No, the Pineapple Express has headed north from the central Pacific into central and southern AK.

The Arctic air has spilled southward, down both sides of the Canadian Rockies.

At this moment, Utah is experiencing a raging blizzard!!

Temperatures will be near 40F in downtown LA on Friday morning, with a freeze possible in the southern Imperial Valley as far south as Palm Springs, CA.

Now even E TX may get freezing rain on early Friday morning, per the NWS office in Shreveport. This is after a string of 80-83F days, which is over 20F above normal.
and this is only the beginning we still got 4 months to go
Quoting Bordonaro:

They may be right :O)


Rain.. I am not accepting snow as an option at this time.
210. JRRP
shear forecast..

Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
and this is only the beginning we still got 4 months to go

I know :O)!! I am enjoying the wild temp extremes here in North Texas..

One morning it's 38F, three days later it's 82F, two days after that it's 28F.

The turkey's expression says it all:
Quoting Orcasystems:


I'm not doing pumpkin pie.. I will stick to apple :)

The weather guys here are having timing issues again... its either going to rain.... or we are going to get about 8-10 inches of snow...

My money is on rain :)
ya snow starting just after noon tommorrow then ending by 6 then starting again around 4 or 5 in the morning with changeover to rain and mixed by afternoon then 4 or five days of rain with temps recovering to the 40's at night to near 50 or slightly above during the day all the snow will turn to water and go
Quoting Orcasystems:


Rain.. I am not accepting snow as an option at this time.

Yes rain..Relax, the season has just begun..The long range GFS keeps you and I in and out of the icebox for the next sixteen days :O)..
Victoria Int'l Airport
Date: 8:00 PM PST Tuesday 23 November 2010
Condition: Mostly Cloudy
Pressure: 30.19 inches
Tendency: rising
Visibility: 30 miles
Air Quality Health Index: 2

Temperature: 18.3°F
Dewpoint: 12.4°F
Humidity: 77 %
Wind: W 3 mph
Wind Chill: 12
Tonight Clear. Becoming cloudy periods overnight. Low minus 8. Wednesday A mix of sun and cloud. Becoming cloudy in the afternoon. High zero. Wednesday night Cloudy. 40 percent chance of flurries. Low minus 2. Thursday Snow or rain. High 7. Friday Showers. Low plus 4. High 9. Saturday Rain. Low plus 3. High 7. Sunday Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low plus 2. High 6. Monday Periods of rain. Low plus 2. High 6.
Special weather statement for
Widespread snowfall on the south coast Thursday.

Regions affected
Metro Vancouver
Greater Victoria
Fraser Valley
Howe Sound
Whistler
Sunshine Coast
Southern Gulf Islands
East Vancouver Island
West Vancouver Island
Inland Vancouver Island

Synopsis
A major snowfall on Thursday will mark the transition to milder,
wetter weather conditions on the south coast and likely cause Major
transportation challenges. Winds in the upper atmosphere that have
been driving cold Arctic air southward across the province will begin
shifting to the west tomorrow. Milder, wetter pacific air will slide
overtop the cold, dense Arctic air near the ground, causing a
widespread snowfall Thursday. The heaviest snow accumulations are
likely in areas where Arctic air remains trapped or the Arctic air
persists due to northeast outflowing winds from the interior. These
areas include inland sections of Vancouver Island, the Fraser Valley,
Howe Sound and Whistler. There is also a slight risk of freezing rain
in these same regions.

Widespread snowfalls often follow Arctic outbreaks and may produce a
wide range of snowfall accumulations due to local influences and
proximity to the path of warm pacific air. These and other factors
affect the timing of the transition to rain, which is critical in
determining how much snow falls. In this case it is expected that
snow will change to rain late in the day over much of Vancouver
Island. Over the Lower Mainland the transition to rain will occur
Thursday evening and over the inland valleys the transition to rain
may be delayed until early Friday morning. At this point it is
expected that Thursday's storm will produce at least 10 centimetres
of snowfall accumulation over most regions.

Weather warnings with detailed forecast amounts and timing will
likely be issued on Wednesday morning.

Updates and further information

This statement will be updated within 12 hours if necessary or
replaced by a weather warning. The public is advised to closely
follow the forecasts and warnings issued
Extended Forecast**Vancouver, BC**
Updated: 10:00 AM PST on November 23, 2010

Tuesday Night
Clear. Low: 20 °F . Wind East 6 mph . Windchill: 13 °F .

Wednesday
Scattered Clouds. High: 32 °F . Wind SSE 8 mph . Windchill: 17 °F .

Wednesday Night
Chance of Snow. Partly Cloudy. Low: 26 °F . Wind SE 8 mph . 20% chance of precipitation (trace amounts). Windchill: 21 °F .

Thursday
Chance of Snow. Overcast. High: 41 °F . Wind SE 15 mph . 30% chance of precipitation (water equivalent of 0.14 in). Windchill: 22 °F .

Thursday Night
Rain. Overcast. Low: 35 °F . Wind SE 17 mph . 50% chance of precipitation (water equivalent of 0.81 in).

Friday
Chance of Rain. Partly Cloudy. High: 44 °F . Wind SSE 8 mph . 30% chance of precipitation (water equivalent of 0.13 in).
You two need something else to do other then point out the weather in Victoria.....

I want two feet of snow in Toronto...and I will settle for 2-3 inches in Destin
Quoting Orcasystems:
You two need something else to do other then point out the weather in Victoria.....

I want two feet of snow in Toronto...and I will settle for 2-3 inches in Destin

I am in Ft Worth, TX..no freezing rain is in our forecast...YET...
GFS is jacked up, dissapates the arctic air as it just moves into the Texas coast, doubt that the arctic air will just poof out like its depicting. Arctic air is shallow and doesnt just dissapate, think its gonna be colder down south than what models are saying
i am doing something else going to update my page then get some sleep
its in the fricking -10s in Montana and if that cold air plunges south like its supposed to...gona be hellava a lot colder that what is being forecasted...My eyes will be watching Amarillo's temps, then Dallas's temps and I can get an idea of how cold its gonna get where Im at
Quoting RitaEvac:
GFS is jacked up, dissapates the arctic air as it just moves into the Texas coast, doubt that the arctic air will just poof out like its depicting. Arctic air is shallow and doesnt just dissapate, think its gonna be colder down south than what models are saying

Let you in on a lil secret. GFS and ALL the models are terrible in temperature forecasts in TX with Arctic air masses :O)
just waiting on the model runs
Quoting Bordonaro:

Let you in on a lil secret. GFS and ALL the models are terrible in temperature forecasts in TX with Arctic air masses :O)


Oh I know, all you have to do is watch upstream temps. We'll watch Denver's temp, Omaha's temp way up north, and then Amarillo's, that will tell the tale.
Quoting Bordonaro:

Let you in on a lil secret. GFS and ALL the models are terrible in temperature forecasts in TX with Arctic air masses :O)


Agreed! Blue northers are often hard to forecast temperature wise.
Quoting Bordonaro:

I am in Ft Worth, TX..no freezing rain is in our forecast...YET...


Snow in Texas would make me feel better :)
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
just waiting on the model runs

Bordonaro, look at the location of the arctic air, and the current temps...thats a full fledge blue norther for TX from the word go! people will be in shock in Houston/Galveston area come Thanksgiving day, when temps plunge into the 40s after nearing 80 on the same freaking day.
Quoting Orcasystems:


Snow in Texas would make me feel better :)

It may actually happen. The new 00Z GFS is hinting at an upper level impulse developing to our west on late Thanksgiving.

The NWS in Ft Worth commented on my Facebook page and said it will not snow in Dallas-Ft Worth..

That just sealed our fate..Remember, the Titanic was unsinkable!!!


building rtn flow with nice sw jet streak as our next system gets its act together over CO/OAK
Quoting RitaEvac:
Bordonaro, look at the location of the arctic air, and the current temps...thats a full fledge blue norther for TX from the word go! people will be in shock in Houston/Galveston area come Thanksgiving day, when temps plunge into the 40s after nearing 80 on the same freaking day.

I know the NWS office mets are 'afraid" to put it on the table.
I want some snow :( haha

here is a picture of one of the storms I chased back in May, courtesy of Chase Team Denmark

Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:


building rtn flow with nice sw jet streak as our next system gets its act together over CO/OAK

KOTG, that SW feed comes off the tropical Pacific, I already know we're screwed. The NWS stated the tropopause folding would cause a cut off low. They only mentioned that once, and I know they were right!!

PSST, there will be one helluva severe weather outbreak tomorrow, mark my words!!
Quoting Bordonaro:

I know the NWS office mets are 'afraid" to put it on the table.


just being conservative is what they're doing, dont want to pull the trigger just yet until they see the cold air get into north TX
Quoting tornadodude:
I want some snow :( haha

here is a picture of one of the storms I chased back in May, courtesy of Chase Team Denmark


Call Orca, he is going to have 4+ inches of snow tomorrow :O)
This weather will seem like a spring day when the nukes start to pop in Korea. Any day now.
Quoting Bordonaro:

Call Orca, he is going to have 4+ inches of snow tomorrow :O)


I dont think he'll share :( ha
Quoting RitaEvac:


just being conservative is what they're doing, dont want to pull the trigger just yet until they see the cold air get into north TX

The Arctic air will drop your morning lows to 38F if not lower on Black Friday:
Local mets saying 44 Friday morning, lol
Quoting tornadodude:


I dont think he'll share :( ha

Truthfully, I know he is very frustrated. He almost never has snow, now he will get it 2x in one week, in November!!!
Quoting RitaEvac:
Local mets saying 44 Friday morning, lol

They may be about 10-15 degrees off :O)

EVEN MORE AMAZING AND NEWLY ARRIVED 24/00Z NAM EXAMPLES INCLUDE...
- CLL WILL HAVE A HIGH OF 87 DEGREES ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND A
LOW OF 35 DEGREES ON FRIDAY MORNING.
- PSX WILL HAVE A HIGH OF 80 DEGREES ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND A
LOW OF 37 DEGREES ON FRIDAY MORNING.
Quoting Bordonaro:

Truthfully, I know he is very frustrated. He almost never has snow, now he will get it 2x in one week, in November!!!


well maybe a little snowball fight will cheer him up lol
Current Conditions

Windy Acres, Great Falls, Montana (PWS)
Updated: 2 sec ago
-15.5 °F Clear
Windchill: -16 °F
Humidity: 80%
Dew Point: -20 °F
Wind: 0.0 mph

Wind Gust: 0.0 mph
Pressure: 26.22 in (Steady)
Visibility: 10.0 miles
UV: 0 out of 16
Pollen: .10 out of 12
Pollen Forecast new!
Clouds: Clear -
(Above Ground Level)
Elevation: 3510 ft

Quoting tornadodude:


well maybe a little snowball fight will cheer him up lol

A nice 55F day will do the trick :O)
Quoting Bordonaro:

They may be about 10-15 degrees off :O)

EVEN MORE AMAZING AND NEWLY ARRIVED 24/00Z NAM EXAMPLES INCLUDE...
- CLL WILL HAVE A HIGH OF 87 DEGREES ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND A
LOW OF 35 DEGREES ON FRIDAY MORNING.
- PSX WILL HAVE A HIGH OF 80 DEGREES ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND A
LOW OF 37 DEGREES ON FRIDAY MORNING.


Classic Blue Norther
AC running, set on 78.
Quoting KerryInNOLA:
This weather will seem like a spring day when the nukes start to pop in Korea. Any day now.
remember the bear is only sleeping with china not too far away they will not let anything happen as there friend goes out to play
Quoting RitaEvac:


Classic Blue Norther

That was the latest Area Forecast Discussion from the NWS Houston, TX :)

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
902 PM CST TUE NOV 23 2010

.DISCUSSION...
CURRENT FORECAST PACKAGE LOOKS GOOD...AND NO UPDATE IS NEEDED AT THIS
TIME.

SOME PRETTY DRAMATIC TEMPERATURE FORECASTS ARE SHOWING UP IN THIS AFTERNOON`S
AND EVENING`S MOS GUIDANCE FOR THANKSGIVING DAY AND FRIDAY MORNING.
23/18Z GFS EXAMPLES INCLUDE...

- IAH WILL HAVE A HIGH OF 80 DEGREES ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND A
LOW OF 40 DEGREES ON FRIDAY MORNING.
- HOU WILL HAVE A HIGH OF 82 DEGREES ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND A
LOW OF 41 DEGREES ON FRIDAY MORNING.
- LVJ WILL HAVE A HIGH OF 84 DEGREES ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND A
LOW OF 42 DEGREES ON FRIDAY MORNING.

EVEN MORE AMAZING AND NEWLY ARRIVED 24/00Z NAM EXAMPLES INCLUDE...
- CLL WILL HAVE A HIGH OF 87 DEGREES ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND A
LOW OF 35 DEGREES ON FRIDAY MORNING.
- PSX WILL HAVE A HIGH OF 80 DEGREES ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND A
LOW OF 37 DEGREES ON FRIDAY MORNING.

TWO MORE "NICE" DAYS LEFT FOR THOSE THAT LIKE THE WARMTH!
Gonna be a shocker in TX
00Z GFS Fr 11-26-10 at 6 AM CST


Sa 11-27-10 at 6 AM CST
upstream temps look too warm...those maps suck too! lol
Quoting RitaEvac:
Gonna be a shocker in TX

That is putting it mildly :O)!!
Quoting RitaEvac:
upstream temps look too warm...

The GFS temps are between 4-8 degrees too warm.
Basically ignore all models from here on out and just watch actual temperature sites for guidance
Quoting RitaEvac:
Basically ignore all models from here on out and just watch actual temperature sites for guidance

I agree..Look at this:

2117 4 S EL DORADO HILLS SACRAMENTO CA 3863 12108

AN EF1 TORNADO DEVELOPED NEAR LATROBE IN EL DORADO COUNTY. WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 100 MPH WITH A DAMAGE PATH OF TWO MILES. THERE WAS DAMAGE TO THE ROOF OF A COMMERCIAL (STO)
Wow for once VA is not the temperature extreme state, normally this time of year we'd have 60 one day 40 the next, earlier this year it reached about 72 and there was snow on the ground, the year before that we had another freak 70 degree day in January.
Record high temperatures were again prevalent in the CONUS yesterday in advance of the cold front coming through, while behind it a only smattering of record cold temps happened. In the past 24 hours, a whopping 239 record highs or high minimums were set or tied, while just 18 record lows or low maximums were. Among the former: 70 in Tuscola, Illinois, and 92 at Falcon Dam, Texas. The latter: 10 in Mayville, North Dakota, and 6 in Colstrip, Montana. There should be many more record highs today in the east and southeast, with cold records becoming the leader by tomorrow night.
Good Morning.
A gloomy, drizzling, drippy morning here.
Rained most of the night, and the sky is dark and low.
I bet it's nicer where Orca is.
For penguins...
Morning all.

Weather here is great, especially for November: crisp [for us, anyway, lol] 72 degrees with some clouds, but the sun is up and the breeze is light. Looks like it's going to be a good day.

No Thanksgiving stuff here, but we usually have a Harvest thingy in the schools, so I guess that counts...

I'm off for the nonce. Have a great day, all!
263. DDR
Morning pottery
how are you,Long time no see!
Misery and disaster is coming,the rain is falling again!

RIVERINE FLOOD ALERT!


The Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Services is
placing Trinidad on a flood alert particularly for
areas in south and central Trinidad.
Reports from the Water Resources Agency indicate
that water levels in the nation%u2019s major rivers
are approaching threshold levels considering the
daily rainfall episodes over the last several
days. Although water levels in the primary Caroni
River remain contained at this moment, it is
nevertheless threateningly high.
nice article i read about the new bolivia seems like that country is loaded with minerals and is now becoming a tourist mecca i will try to find the article and post a link
Complete Update





Good Morning! Another warm C FL day. Where is the cool weather that some argued me about last week? I see those people went into hiding.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1ohYsK5Y8Dc
268. Jax82
Name that Cane!

OMG.. looked out the Window.. its freekin "snowing again".. thats "not suppose" to happen until tonight.. and its "suppose" to turn to rain.


I'll have a new post on Wednesday, when I plan to discuss how La Nina may affect the coming winter in North America.
Jeff Masters


Jeff.... make it stop please.


Its Snowing... again :(
Quoting Bordonaro:

KOTG, that SW feed comes off the tropical Pacific, I already know we're screwed. The NWS stated the tropopause folding would cause a cut off low. They only mentioned that once, and I know they were right!!

PSST, there will be one helluva severe weather outbreak tomorrow, mark my words!!
tropopause folding?? looking this up now...

Its Snowing... again :(


Send some this way!
Quoting Jax82:
Name that Cane!


I'm gonna go Igor. He was a beauty. Should of been cat 5.
Quoting Jax82:
Name that Cane!

Igor.
Quoting PensacolaDoug:

Its Snowing... again :(


Send some this way!
Nooooooooo...
Quoting pottery:
Good Morning.
A gloomy, drizzling, drippy morning here.
Rained most of the night, and the sky is dark and low.
I bet it's nicer where Orca is.
For penguins...


I heard that due to weather considerations... there is going to be a massive shortage of Rum in your area.. sorry.
Nov 22nd Caledonia, IL EF2 Tornado Confirmed

Some really good info here. They did a nice job. Tornadodude will enjoy this.
Quoting Jax82:
Name that Cane!



Let me check properties....Oh! It is Igor.
Quoting PensacolaDoug:

Its Snowing... again :(


Send some this way!


Your aware that if it snows down there this year.. that BF is going to hunt you down like a dog?
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:


Let me check properties....Oh! It is Igor.

cheater! lol
BTW, just in case it does snow down there... we sent BF a present in the mail last week... we may have to send some more...

Link
285. Jax82
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:


Let me check properties....Oh! It is Igor.


LOL, i figured someone would look there :)
Quoting Orcasystems:


Your aware that if it snows down there this year.. that BF is going to hunt you down like a dog?


Risk I'm gonna have to take!
I'm glad the local college kids won't be on the roads to hit me tomorrow in this.

Winter Weather Advisory
Statement as of 4:36 AM EST on November 24, 2010


... Winter Weather Advisory in effect from 7 PM this evening to
7 am EST Thursday...

The National Weather Service in Marquette has issued a Winter
Weather Advisory for snow which is in effect from 7 PM this evening
to 7 am EST Thursday.

Impacts...

* roads and sidewalks will be snow covered and slippery.

Hazardous weather...

* widespread snow will develop this evening and continue before
ending by Thanksgiving morning. On Thanksgiving morning... a
chance of snow showers and a chance of drizzle or freezing drizzle
is expected. By Thursday afternoon... the precipitation should be
all snow.

* 3 to 4 inches of snow can be expected tonight.

* Significant lake effect snow is possible late Thursday night and
Friday across the Huron Mountains with up to a foot of snowfall
possible in areas favored by a west wind. Those planning to travel
through the Thanksgiving Holiday should monitor later forecasts
and statements for more details on this bout of wintry weather.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

* a Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow will
cause primarily travel difficulties. Be prepared for snow covered
roads and limited visibilities... and use caution while driving.

* For additional information or to submit snowfall reports to the
NWS Marquette... visit www.Weather.Gov/MQT

BTW, Huron Mountains are what we like to call "lightly populated".
A lot of moisture out there..
Quoting hydrus:
A lot of moisture out there..

Up to 4 inches of precip forecasted for much of the Ohio Valley through tmrw evening. Flood watches and warnings in effect for much of the southern half of IN and OH.

OH MY GOD!! IF this 06Z run is right LOOK at 12-10-2010 @06Z HRS:


Quoting Orcasystems:
OMG.. looked out the Window.. its freekin "snowing again".. thats "not suppose" to happen until tonight.. and its "suppose" to turn to rain.


I'll have a new post on Wednesday, when I plan to discuss how La Nina may affect the coming winter in North America.
Jeff Masters


Jeff.... make it stop please.

Oh by 12-10-2010 a 1044MB High will drop temps into the -0F-range in Dallas-Ft Worth, TX if the 06Z GFS run is correct. SEE post290 :O)
This is a really cool loop of Igor...
RE: 290


I LIKE it!!
360 HRS 12/9/10 @06Z..This is the 06Z GFS RUN:
Quoting hydrus:
This is a really cool loop of Igor...

One of my favorites. Igor in his glory.
Quoting cat5hurricane:

Up to 4 inches of precip forecasted for much of the Ohio Valley through tmrw evening. Flood watches and warnings in effect for much of the southern half of IN and OH.

I hope this storm does not turn out to be a monster... Its only November 24 for heaven sake.
Quoting hydrus:
I hope this storm does not turn out to be a monster... Its only November 24 for heaven sake.

IT WILL :O)!!
Quoting hydrus:
I hope this storm does not turn out to be a monster... Its only November 24 for heaven sake.



I'm really hoping for the lesser of the anticipated rainfall over the next 36 hours especially because this is the general region forecasted to have above average precipitation amounts throughout the winter due to La Nina.

Quoting cat5hurricane:

I'm really hoping for the lesser of the anticipated rainfall over the next 36 hours especially because this is the general region forecasted to have above average precipitation amounts throughout the winter due to La Nina.


All kidding aside, a strong SW JET component is literally sending Gulf of Mexico moisture northeastward at 100-150 MPH @36,000 feet..

Behind that feature, the North Pole is dumping into the Inter-mountain west heading towards Nothern Mexico, Texas and the eastern 2/3 of the CONUS, except FL.
One more of Igor...
Quoting Bordonaro:

All kidding aside, a strong SW JET component is literally sending Gulf of Mexico moisture northeastward at 100-150 MPH @36,000 feet..

Behind that feature, the North Pole is dumping into the Inter-mountain west heading towards N Mexico, Texas and the eastern 2/3 of the CONUS, except FL.

Yeah...that 06Z GFS loop testifies to that. If you haven't dug out the gloves and scarves yet, now's the time.
Some moisture in the Caribbean...
Quoting Bordonaro:
this system will not be a bore...
Quoting Jeff9641:
Good Morning! Another warm C FL day. Where is the cool weather that some argued me about last week? I see those people went into hiding.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1ohYsK5Y8Dc


I told you Jeff, why listen to that when you have the master.

Love that loop of IGOR.
PcolaDoug - that's a serious risk! I bet I can find you! LOL
I hate cold & really don't want to have snow!!! I remember freezing my tush off in the early 90's snow flurries, frigid cold & I had be at an inspection on 6 rental homes!!!! It was miserable!
Go to the beach - close your eyes and imagine that the sugar white sand is snow! And enjoy the fact that it is 72° outside & you don't have to shovel snow!
Quoting PensacolaDoug:


Risk I'm gonna have to take!
Absolutely NOT!
Quoting PensacolaDoug:

Its Snowing... again :(


Send some this way!
Quoting Minnemike:
this system will not be a bore...

With light and flaky Gulf air and temps in the 80's on one side, and cold dense Arctic air with temps near -10F to 10F on the other, an adventure is being prepared for the CONUS today :O)
Quoting Minnemike:
this system will not be a bore...
This could not be further from a La Nina pattern..Check out the series of storms on the NCEP model..This model is quite accurate when dealing with low pressure systems that occur above 35 degrees..Link
HOT off the press, the 12Z GFS run and 11-26-10 map @48 HRS, 6 AM CST:
314. DDR
Gotta love La Nina
Nothing but trouble! floods and rain storms have causes havoc since May,flood waters are rising in low lying areas in South and central Trinidad as of right now.
Quoting DDR:
Gotta love La Nina
Nothing but trouble! floods and rain storms have causes havoc since May,flood waters are rising in low lying areas in South and central Trinidad as of right now.

Folks in Montana will trade with you any day..It was -15F there this morning :O)
316. DDR
Quoting Bordonaro:

Folks in Montana will trade with you any day..It was -15F there this morning :O)

Hey there
I doubt that,when it floods in the south of the island it usually lasts for days sometimes a week.
I've been in -15F before infact -20F
your right it isn't a pleasant experience.
laterz
317. DDR
Bordonaro
GFS 156hr total precip
12 Inches right over T&T.
SQUAWK!!!!!
Quoting DDR:
Bordonaro
GFS 156hr total precip
12 Inches right over T&T.

Wow, is Pottery's Calabash tree building an ark????
Already 82 here on the northside of Orlando. Amazing for late November at 11:30 in the morning. Nothing but 80's all next week as well. We could really use the rain and cooler wx.
HERE IS COMES AND NO, it's not the Price is Right :O)

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1009 AM CST WED NOV 24 2010

.UPDATE...
ARCTIC FRONT IS ON THE WAY AND IS CURRENTLY ENTERING NW KANSAS.
THERE WILL BE A GOOD SOUTHERN PUSH TO THE BOUNDARY TODAY AS 6 MB
PRESSURE RISES ARE NOTED IN WESTERN NEBRASKA. THINK WE WILL BE
HARD PRESSED TO SEE CONVECTION THIS AFTERNOON AS CAP REMAINS IN
PLACE ABOVE 800MB. WE MAY SEE LIGHT SHOWERS OR DRIZZLE UNDERNEATH
THE CAP...ESPECIALLY EAST OF INTERSTATE 35.

AS THE FRONT PROGRESSES THROUGH THE CWA TOMORROW MORNING...THERE
APPEARS TO BE A SMALL WINDOW AHEAD OF THE FRONT FOR THE CAP TO
WEAKEN AS STRONG FORCING OVERSPREADS THE REGION AND LIFTS THE CAP.
FOR AREAS EAST OF INTERSTATE 35...DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 60S
AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL EQUATE TO ABOUT 1000 J/KG OF CAPE...EVEN
WITH AN EARLY MORNING FROPA. SHEAR DEFINITELY WILL NOT BE A
PROBLEM TOMORROW AND IF ANY UPDRAFTS ARE ABLE TO SUSTAIN
THEMSELVES ALONG THE FRONT...THEY WOULD EASILY BE ABLE TO ROTATE.
GIVEN THIS...WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE A FEW STRONG TO
MARGINALLY SEVERE STORMS OVERNIGHT AHEAD OR ALONG THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY EAST OF INTERSTATE 35.
It's been very long time since I've seen it this warm for so long this time of year. Normally we tend to get frequent cool spells this time of year.
321:

Upper 60 dewpoints. Uh oh!
324. DDR
Quoting Bordonaro:

Wow, is Pottery's Calabash tree building an ark????

LOL
xD
Clouds rolling in again,laterz
Quoting cat5hurricane:
321:

Upper 60 dewpoints. Uh oh!


I am more interested in what could be a massive severe wx event next week. Could be a dangerous couple of days early next week.
326. XLR8
Weather History

November 24 Weather History

On this day in 2001, severe thunderstorms brought hail, wind, and tornadoes across extreme southeast Arkansas and portions of central Mississippi. Forty-two severe weather events were recorded, including 19 tornadoes ranging from F0 to F4 and 8 reports of hail ranging from 0.75 to 2.75 inches in diameter. An F3 tornado in Wilmot, AR killed 3 people and injured 11 others while an F4 tornado killed 2 people and injured 21 others in Madison, MS. Overall, these storms killed 8 people and injured 127 others. Property damages totaled over $38 million.
(from NWS)
Quoting Jeff9641:


I am more interested in what could be a massive severe wx event next week. Could be a dangerous couple of days early next week.

I agree. I'm beginning to believe that off of the latest GFS loops. That has the dynamics to be a widespread outbreak.
Quoting cat5hurricane:
321:

Upper 60 dewpoints. Uh oh!

Stirring the pot for an afternoon severe weather outbreak over a portion of the SE US.
329. XLR8
Weather History

November 22 Weather History

On this day in 1959, an F1 tornado was reported in Montgomery County. In 1961, an F1 tornado was reported in Rankin County and an F2 tornado injured one person in Jones County. In 1983, an F1 tornado injured 3 people in Rankin County. In 1989, an F2 tornado was reported in Lamar County and a 50 mile per hour wind gust was reported in Jones County. Fifteen tornadoes, including seven F4 tornadoes, were reported in Central Mississippi during the early morning hours of November 22, 1992. These followed the 10 tornadoes reported from the previous evening. The F4 tornadoes were reported in Jasper, Attala, Scott, Smith, Newton, Leake, and Choctaw Counties. Over the two day period, these storms killed 15 people and injured 267 more.
(from NWS)
that was one scary night
Quoting Jeff9641:
It's been very long time since I've seen it this warm for so long this time of year. Normally we tend to get frequent cool spells this time of year.

Want a chilly and sinking feeling??? Look at the 384 HRS GFS forecast for the US on the 06Z run!!!

For now, it warm in North Texas:

Dallas / Fort Worth International Airport
Lat: 32.91 Lon: -97.03 Elev: 560
Last Update on Nov 24, 9:53 am CST

Mostly Cloudy and Breezy

76 F
(24 C)
Humidity: 72 %
Wind Speed: S 21 G 35 MPH
Barometer: 29.81" (1008.9 mb)
Dewpoint: 66 F (19 C)
Heat Index: 78 F (26 C)
Visibility: 10.00 mi.
331. XLR8
000
NOUS44 KJAN 232307
PNSJAN

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
505 PM CST TUE NOV 23 2010

...TORNADOES CONFIRMED IN SIMPSON COUNTY BY NWS SURVEY TEAM...

TORNADO #1...
COUNTY/COUNTIES: SIMPSON
BEGINNING POINT: 2 MILES NW HARRISVILLE AT 1030 AM CST
ENDING POINT: 1 MILE SSW BRAXTON AT 1050 AM CST
RATING: EF1, MAX ESTIMATED WINDS 100 MPH
PATH LENGTH: 8 MILES
MAXIMUM WIDTH: 150 YD
FATALITIES: 0
INJURIES: 0

SUMMARY OF DAMAGE: THE TORNADO APPEARS TO HAVE BEGUN NEAR HIGHWAY
469 JUST NORTHWEST OF THE HARRISVILLE COMMUNITY. THE TORNADO MOVED
EAST NORTHEAST, DOWNING NUMEROUS TREES, SOME POWERLINES, AND DAMAGED
SOME FENCES. THE MOST INTENSE DAMAGE WAS ON DEER CAMP ROAD, WHERE A
LARGE NUMBER OF TREES WERE UPROOTED AND SNAPPED, POWERLINES WERE
DOWNED, AND ONE POWER POLE WAS SNAPPED. AS THE TORNADO APPROACHED
BRAXTON, IT CAUSED ROOF DAMAGE TO ONE HOME, AND DAMAGED OR DESTROYED
SEVERAL OUTBUILDINGS. THE TORNADO DISSIPATED JUST SOUTH SOUTHWEST
OF BRAXTON BEFORE CROSSING HIGHWAYS 149/49.

TORNADO #2...
COUNTY/COUNTIES: SIMPSON
BEGINNING POINT: 2 MILES NE MARTINSVILLE AT 1135 AM CST
ENDING POINT: 3.5 MILES ENE MARTINSVILLE AT 1140 AM CST
RATING: EF1, MAX ESTIMATED WINDS 95 MPH
PATH LENGTH: 2.5 MILES
MAXIMUM WIDTH: 75 YARDS
FATALITIES: 0
INJURIES: 0

SUMMARY OF DAMAGE: THE INITIAL DAMAGE WAS NOTED NEAR THE
INTERSECTION OF WARREN AND WARREN COOK ROADS, WHERE SEVERAL TREES
WERE DOWNED. THE TORNADO MOVED EAST AND CAUSED ITS MOST INTENSE
DAMAGE NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF WARREN COOK AND COLE ROADS. A
CHICKEN HOUSE WAS NEARLY DESTROYED, TWO OTHER CHICKEN HOUSES
SUSTAINED SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE, A ROOF WAS BLOWN OFF A MOBILE HOME,
A FEW OTHER HOMES SUSTAINED SOME ROOF DAMAGE, AND NUMEROUS TREES
WERE SNAPPED OR UPROOTED. THE TORNADO THEN CAUSED ROOF DAMAGE TO
A HOUSE ON BILL COLLINS ROAD. THE TORNADO APPEARS TO HAVE
DISSIPATED JUST AFTER CROSSING HIGHWAY 540, WHERE A COUPLE OF PINE
TREES HAD THEIR TOPS BLOWN OFF AND SOME LIMBS WERE BLOWN DOWN.

THREE LARGE TREES WERE ALSO BLOWN DOWN ALONG HIGHWAY 541 JUST NORTH
OF THE MARTINVILLE COMMUNITY; HOWEVER, THIS DAMAGE APPEARED TO BE
STRAIGHT LINE WIND DAMAGE.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE THANKS SIMPSON COUNTY EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT AND SHERIFF DEPARTMENT FOR THEIR ASSISTANCE IN COMPLETING
THIS DAMAGE SURVEY.

$$

AEG/MVP

XLR8, remember the Dec 24, 1989 Polar Outbreak?? It was -1F at the Dallas-Ft Worth International AP..An instant replay of this is being set up for 12-9 through 12-10-10 for North TX, IF the GFS model run is correct!!
Quoting Bordonaro:
XLR8, remember the Dec 24, 1989 Polar Outbreak?? It was -1F at the Dallas-Ft Worth International AP..An instant replay of this is being set up for 12-9 through 12-10-10 for North TX, IF the GFS model run is correct!!
ohh, I remember that one...
5 F in Baton Rouge causes problems...
Quoting atmoaggie:
ohh, I remember that one...
5 F in Baton Rouge causes problems...

At least for now it is beautiful here in the Dallas-Ft Worth Metroplex:

Dallas / Fort Worth International Airport
Lat: 32.91 Lon: -97.03 Elev: 560
Last Update on Nov 24, 10:53 am CST

Mostly Cloudy and Windy

78 %uFFFDF
(26 %uFFFDC)
Humidity: 62 %
Wind Speed: S 30 G 39 MPH
Barometer: 29.80" (1008.2 mb)
Dewpoint: 64 %uFFFDF (18 %uFFFDC)
Heat Index: 80 %uFFFDF (27 %uFFFDC)
Visibility: 10.00 mi.
#313 HOT off the press, the 12Z GFS run and 11-26-10 map @48 HRS, 6 AM CST

That looks like a perfect setup for LOTS of Lake Snow for N WI & the UP.

Sorry Super Yooper
336. XLR8
Quoting Bordonaro:
XLR8, remember the Dec 24, 1989 Polar Outbreak?? It was -1F at the Dallas-Ft Worth International AP..An instant replay of this is being set up for 12-9 through 12-10-10 for North TX, IF the GFS model run is correct!!


I did not really start following weather much till after our outbreak here in MS in 1992 that night scared the HECK out of me. Had one of those F4 pass with in a 1/4 mile from my house. Had been out with friends that night and was coming home and had to go through what was like a war zone. There had been no warnings sounded and had no idea that there had been a tornado in our area. This time of year all ways puts me on edge, especially when it is this warm and humid. Yall take care over there and I hope that set up does not pan out.
Quoting Bordonaro:
XLR8, remember the Dec 24, 1989 Polar Outbreak?? It was -1F at the Dallas-Ft Worth International AP..An instant replay of this is being set up for 12-9 through 12-10-10 for North TX, IF the GFS model run is correct!!


I think it 9 in Pensacola with that outbreak.
This will be a distant memory tomorroe:

Arlington, Texas (Airport)
Updated: 14 min 14 sec ago
Mostly Cloudy
80 °F
Mostly Cloudy
Humidity: 56%
Dew Point: 63 °F
Wind: 29 mph from the South
Wind Gust: 43 mph
Pressure: 29.78 in (Falling)
Heat Index: 82 °F
Visibility: 10.0 miles
UV: 2 out of 16
Pollen: 3.40 out of 12
Pollen Forecast new!
Clouds:
Scattered Clouds 3800 ft
Mostly Cloudy 4900 ft
(Above Ground Level)
Elevation: 630 ft
HEy BF! Odds are on your side that it'll never happen.
Quoting PensacolaDoug:
HEy BF! Odds are on your side that it'll never happen.La Nina is listening. It doesn't like hearing "it will never happen"!!
Hurricane Richard has been re-assessed as a Category 2 hurricane with winds of 100 mph per KMZ file.

So now, our list of Category 2 hurricanes includes:

Alex
Paula
Richard
Tomas
343. XLR8
Quoting Bordonaro:
XLR8, remember the Dec 24, 1989 Polar Outbreak?? It was -1F at the Dallas-Ft Worth International AP..An instant replay of this is being set up for 12-9 through 12-10-10 for North TX, IF the GFS model run is correct!!



I do remember it being very cold here in central MS that Dec. If I remember correctly our reservoir froze that year.
So how cold would it be here in central MS if it is correct?
Quoting XLR8:



I do remember it being very cold here in central MS that Dec. If I remember correctly our reservoir froze that year.
So how cold would it be here in central MS if it is correct?

Lows near -0-, high near 20F for 2 days..
LOL --- I will be happy as long as it does not get as cold for a long stretch like last year. The Bayou froze last year!
That's too danged cold for FL
and I like the odds of it NOT Snowing! : )

Quoting PensacolaDoug:
HEy BF! Odds are on your side that it'll never happen.
346. XLR8
Quoting Bordonaro:

Lows near -0-, high near 20F for 2 days..


Well that just bites!! Lets pray it's wrong!


On my knees - praying!
Quoting XLR8:


Well that just bites!! Lets pray it's wrong!


Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Hurricane Richard has been re-assessed as a Category 2 hurricane with winds of 100 mph per KMZ file.

So now, our list of Category 2 hurricanes includes:

Alex
Paula
Richard
Tomas


KMZ files also say Igor was a Category 5 briefly.
Quoting Bordonaro:
XLR8, remember the Dec 24, 1989 Polar Outbreak?? It was -1F at the Dallas-Ft Worth International AP..An instant replay of this is being set up for 12-9 through 12-10-10 for North TX, IF the GFS model run is correct!!
Saw snow at work that night...in s.w.Fl..
350. XLR8
Quoting hydrus:
Saw snow at work that night...in s.w.Fl..


I dont mind a little snow, I just dont do 20 degrees well at all not to mention o for a low and for 2 days yuck.
Quoting XLR8:


I dont mind a little snow, I just dont do 20 degrees well at all not to mention o for a low and for 2 days yuck.
I was out in -2 one time a couple years ago..I did not take it well..Born and raised in South Florida. Lungs were hurting after half an hour..
352. XLR8
Quoting hydrus:
I was out in -2 one time a couple years ago..I did not take it well..Born and raised in South Florida. Lungs were hurting after half an hour..


Oh I just cant even imagine.
I believe that this storm will be stronger than forecast...
Quoting XLR8:


Oh I just cant even imagine.
People here are use to it. Does not phase them a bit.
Quoting hydrus:
I believe that this storm will be stronger than forecast...


Can I put in a request for it to move much further east then forecast too... I want more snow in NY...
Quoting Thundercloud01221991:


Can I put in a request for it to move much further east then forecast too... I want more snow in NY...
Of course you can. Your area gets slammed with snow regularly. I am surprised you requested it. Unless you are near the coast, the inland areas near the lakes get fricken pummeled.
Quoting hydrus:
Of course you can. Your area gets slammed with snow regularly. I am surprised you requested it. Unless you are near the coast, the inland areas near the lakes get fricken pummeled.


I know I am inland areas near the lakes... but I have got <1 inch of snow so far this year... and only expecting 75-100 inches and I am supposed to get 150-200 inches a year
Quoting hydrus:
Of course you can. Your area gets slammed with snow regularly. I am surprised you requested it. Unless you are near the coast, the inland areas near the lakes get fricken pummeled.
Bordonaro was right to mention the next surge of Arctic air after this one. The second cold blast dwarfLinks the first on the CMC...
Quoting Thundercloud01221991:


I know I am inland areas near the lakes... but I have got <1 inch of snow so far this year... and only expecting 75-100 inches and I am supposed to get 150-200 inches a year
The GFS has the Arctic air surging far to the south as well...Link
ECMWF...............Link
Well lets hope that this time the storm system moves across central NY so I am on the cold side
Well, I'm going to say it now, the season is shut down and its ready to hibernate for the rest of fall, winter, and most of spring. So i'll be popping in here and there during offseason, but i wont be back for good until late May.
Quoting from top post:
1. "These nations comprise 20% of the total land area of Earth."
2. "This is the largest area of Earth's surface to experience all-time record high temperatures in any single year in the historical record."

Comment to no. 1: Yes
Comment to no. 2: No!

You cannot say that 20% of Earth's surface has experienced all-time records. I find that misleading.

Just one example: Russia is by far the world's largest country. It makes up about half of the 20%. But has all of Russia experienced all-time highs? Certainly not. If you were to divide Russia into smaller pieces, you would find that not all of these pieces have set new records. Maybe 10% did, maybe even 20% did, who knows? Even if it was hot in many different parts of Russia, there were certainly a lot of Russia that did not experience abnormal heat in 2010.

Despite this, the total area of Russia is counted in, making up a major part of the 20%. I think that sort of mathematics is more folklore than science.