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April in January: spring-like severe weather and record warmth in the Midwest

By: Dr. Jeff Masters, 3:19 PM GMT on January 29, 2013

The calendar says its January, but the atmosphere looks more like April over the Midwest U.S., where a spring-like surge of warm air is interacting with a strong low pressure system to create a dangerous severe weather situation. The warm air surging northwards has already broken high temperature records for the date in Chicago, where the mercury hit 61°F at 7 am CST; a tornado watch is posted for portions of Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, and Arkansas. Golf-ball sized hail fell at three locations in Oklahoma already this morning, and a wind gust of 75 mph was reported in a thunderstorm near Omega, Oklahoma. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center has placed portions of Arkansas, Louisiana, Texas, Tennessee, Missouri, Alabama, Oklahoma, Illinois, Indiana, and Mississippi in their "Moderate Risk" region for severe weather on Tuesday. This is the first "Moderate Risk" forecast issued during 2013. The primary threat will be damaging thunderstorm winds, but we will also see tornadoes, with the potential for a few strong EF-2 and EF-3 twisters. The surge of warm moving northwards ahead of the cold front spawning today's severe weather is bringing in warmth unprecedented for January in some locations. Monday was the hottest January day on record in Topeka, Kansas, which hit 77°F. That's 36°F above average. and 3° warmer than their previous highest January temperature. Columbia, Missouri tied its all-time warmest January temperature, 77°. Kansas City (74°F) and Wichita (74°F) both fell 1° short of tying their all-time January hottest temperature records. Balloon soundings of the atmosphere taken last night showed moisture levels in the top 5% for a January day over much of the Midwest, and several stations may set all-time rainiest January day records today. One candidate is Flint Michigan, where a heavy thunderstorm moved in at 7:30 am, dumping 0.75" of rain. With another round of thunderstorms expected tonight, Flint is poised to break its record for rainiest January day in its history--the 1.34" that fell on January 18, 1949.


Figure 1. A crazy weather day for the U.S.: our severe weather map from 10 am EST Tuesday, January 29. Severe thunderstorms were occurring in Kansas and Oklahoma, flood watches were posted for Illinois, Michigan, Indiana, Ohio, and Wisconsin, and winter weather advisories, high wind advisories, and fire weather advisories were posted in other locations.


Figure 2. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center has placed portions of Arkansas, Louisiana, Texas, Tennessee, Missouri, Alabama, Oklahoma, Illinois, Indiana, and Mississippi in their "Moderate Risk" region for severe weather on Tuesday. This is the first "Moderate Risk" forecast issued during 2013.

Chicago's wild January weather ride continues
Chicago's craziest January in memory got even stranger today, when a surge of warm air pushed the temperature to 61°F at 7 am, breaking the previous high temperature record of 59°F for the date. Spring-like thunderstorms, accompanied by temperatures in the mid-60s are expected this afternoon--just a week after the city recorded a high temperature of 11°F and a low of -1°F (on January 22nd.) Chicago has been above 65°F in January just once in its history--on January 25, 1950, when the mercury hit 67°F. The average January high in the Windy City is 30°F, and today will be the 4th day the city has been 20 or more degrees warmer than that during January 2013. The roller coaster goes back downhill after the cold front moves through early on Wednesday, though--Chicago's high on Friday is expected to be near 15°F, with a morning low around 5°F. Chicago has also experienced record low snowfall this winter; the city got it's first 1-inch snowstorm of the season on Friday, when 1.1" fell at O'Hare Airport. This was the latest first 1-inch snow in city history, and ended a 335-day streak without a 1-inch snowstorm, the longest such streak since records began in 1872. Chicago has managed just 2.9" of snow during the winter of 2012 - 2013, which is 16" below average.

Chicago's roller coaster of temperatures doesn't compare, though, to what happened in Nowata, Oklahoma during the period February 10 - 17, 2011. A cold air mass combined with a fresh snow pack and calm winds allowed Nowata to hit a low of -31°F on February 10, 2011--the all-time coldest temperature ever recorded in Oklahoma. Gradual warming accelerated over the next week, and temperatures peaked at a record high of 79 degrees on February 17. According to the National Weather Service in Tulsa, Okla., this 110-degree temperature rise was the greatest change within seven days in Oklahoma history.


Video 1. In this video done by Peter Sinclair for the Yale Forum on Climate Change, I offer my thoughts on the roller coaster ride of temperatures in Michigan this winter, look back at the remarkable weather of 2012, and discuss what 2013 might bring. My main concern: drought.

Jeff Masters

Severe Weather Heat Magnus

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

Reader Comments

Not to go off topic but I do think this should be noted...

UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 8.1.3
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 30 JAN 2013 Time : 013000 UTC
Lat : 14:48:38 S Lon : 53:41:46 E


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
4.7 / 968.0mb/ 82.2kt


Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
4.7 4.7 6.9

Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR :<10 km

Center Temp : -26.5C Cloud Region Temp : -80.4C

Scene Type : PINHOLE EYE

Positioning Method : SPIRAL ANALYSIS

Ocean Basin : INDIAN
Dvorak CI > MSLP Conversion Used : PACIFIC

Tno/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : MW ON
Weakening Flag : OFF
Rapid Dissipation Flag : OFF

C/K/Z MSLP Estimate Inputs :
- Average 34 knot radii : 105km
- Environmental MSLP : 1003mb

Satellite Viewing Angle : 17.8 degrees



Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
Are any TV stations providing live streaming of this severe weather?


Geoff..
I saw where someone had posted a link for live streaming but after a quick look back can't seem to locate it..
Quoting 1900hurricane:

Oh, the technology is out there alright, it's just usually obscenely expensive or comes at the price of longevity. What those at Tesla Motors have done with the Model S is very impressive.



Yes its exciting to see what Tesla is doing. With the available science/mathematics knowledge base and available technology, there's no reason we can't seem much more break through situations like the model-S with Tesla.

I'm kind of disappointed in much of modern engineering, or at least what becomes widely available to the public. I'm glad Tesla has the guts to take the risk that they are by coming up with real innovative engineering instead of the same old same old of most name brand vehicles that are over-advertised as if they are futuristic because they have technology companies fit computers into their dash boards. While in realty the vehicle itself is just the same old engineering that runs off ancient dinosaur bones, lol.
You can really see the contrast in temperatures..

506. beell
Quoting 1900hurricane:

Yeah, that bugger isn't in any kind of hurry. It sure is digging though.



210m 12hr height falls on that same chart earlier this evening. 50mph wind gusts in Midland, TX in its wake. Probably a good thing it's not moving east very fast.
504 - Yes its exciting to see what Tesla is doing. With the available science/mathematics knowledge base and available technology, there's no reason we can't seem much more break through situations like the model-S with Tesla.

I saw a video from Edmunds.com and they said that S model did their 105 mile loop test twice and then 52 extra mile so the thing has range. Let me see if I can find the link.

electric car test

Quoting MAweatherboy1:
Not to go off topic but I do think this should be noted...


Felleng appears to be under rapid intensification. But the good news is that it is highly unlikely to hit Madagascar or the Reunion and Mauritius Islands.



Way too close for comfort...

Strong rotation near Columbia, LA. People in that area should take shelter!

BV:



SRV:

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
820 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 5 PM CST WEDNESDAY FOR
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE...

.STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP WEDNESDAY MORNING AHEAD OF A
STRONG COLD FRONT WHICH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION DURING THE DAY.
THE STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL PRIMARILY AFFECT SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH
CENTRAL ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE. FREQUENT WIND
GUSTS AROUND 35 MPH ARE POSSIBLE.

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-301030-
/O.NEW.KMOB.WI.Y.0002.130130T1400Z-130130T2300Z/
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-B UTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUTLER...LISMAN...SILAS...CHATOM...
MILLRY...JACKSON...THOMASVILLE...GROVE HILL...CAMDEN...
PINE HILL...HOMEWOOD...MONROEVILLE...EVERGREEN...GREENV ILLE...
LUVERNE...BRANTLEY...ATMORE...BREWTON...EAST BREWTON...
ANDALUSIA...OPP...MOBILE...PRICHARD...SARALAND... BAY MINETTE...
TILLMANS CORNER...THEODORE...DAPHNE...FAIRHOPE...FOLEY...
SPANISH FORT...CENTURY...FLOMATON...MOLINO...FERRY PASS...BRENT...
WEST PENSACOLA...BELLVIEW...ENSLEY...MYRTLE GROVE...JAY...PACE...
MILTON...CRESTVIEW...WRIGHT...NICEVILLE...SEMINOL E...EGLIN AFB
820 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 5 PM CST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 5 PM CST WEDNESDAY.

* TIMING...FROM EARLY MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON

* WINDS...15 TO 25 MPH WITH FREQUENT GUSTS UP TO AROUND 35 MPH

* IMPACTS...WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY
FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. LOOSE...UNSECURED OBJECTS CAN ALSO BE
BLOWN AROUND.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.
Quoting MAweatherboy1:
Not to go off topic but I do think this should be noted...

UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 8.1.3
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 30 JAN 2013 Time : 013000 UTC
Lat : 14:48:38 S Lon : 53:41:46 E


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
4.7 / 968.0mb/ 82.2kt


Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
4.7 4.7 6.9

Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR :<10 km

Center Temp : -26.5C Cloud Region Temp : -80.4C

Scene Type : PINHOLE EYE

Positioning Method : SPIRAL ANALYSIS

Ocean Basin : INDIAN
Dvorak CI > MSLP Conversion Used : PACIFIC

Tno/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : MW ON
Weakening Flag : OFF
Rapid Dissipation Flag : OFF

C/K/Z MSLP Estimate Inputs :
- Average 34 knot radii : 105km
- Environmental MSLP : 1003mb

Satellite Viewing Angle : 17.8 degrees




It is still weather so there is nothing wrong with posting it. Actually that is really looking good there. Hopefully the eye doesn't hit Madagascar.
You can see the two main lines of severe storms in both images. The one out front is the one of concern tornado wise right now with numerous warnings issued. The second line is mainly a damaging wind threat. Both lines should continue all through the night and even strengthening some. Hopefully people in the paths of these storms have some kind of way to be warned as night-time severe thunderstorms/tornadoes are extremely dangerous.

Gulf of Mexico Weather Conditions at 27 deg 35 min N
and 92 deg 17 min W Wind South (170 Deg T) at 30 kts gusts to 35 kts Wave Height 7 ft (avg)....
First time we have hit double digit tornado warnings simultaneously today.
getting ready on being up with our yellow lab about midnight.. hope the severe stuff avoids our corner of Middle TN tonight!
Quoting canehater1:
Gulf of Mexico Weather Conditions at 27 deg 35 min N
and 92 deg 17 min W Wind South (170 Deg T) at 30 kts gusts to 35 kts Wave Height 7 ft (avg)....


You must be at work with those coordinates. Have a Good Night.
Quoting JNCali:
getting ready on being up with our yellow lab about midnight.. hope the severe stuff avoids our corner of Middle TN tonight!


Yeah, not looking forward to the possibility of listening to our NOAA weather radio or the local station at 2 AM.

Hey Mother Nature, some of us would like to sleep, thanks.
Oooo, I can see the warnings on the edge of the radar. Anyone have a copy of the theme song from JAWS?



STRONG rotation in Illinois. Murphysboro and Carbondale, take cover!

Jaws theme

per request
paducah, ky. NWS map o'warnings.

Warnings map

Edit: It didn't show up originally for me...:(
My brother lives in Carbondale just told him to prepare. Nasty line coming through.

Here we go! Another round of severe weather! :)
Dr. Greg Forbes' TOR-CON numbers if anyone is interested can be found here:

Doom???

I got issued a 5, 50% chance of a tornado within 50 miles of my location.
Quoting Astrometeor:
paducah, ky. NWS map o'warnings.


When you just copy the image url of that and paste it, all that shows up is the roadways. You need an image capturing program like MWsnap, Sangit, or something else and then upload it to an image sharing site.
Quoting wxchaser97:

It is still weather so there is nothing wrong with posting it. Actually that is really looking good there. Hopefully the eye doesn't hit Madagascar.
Probably won`t.Do models are showing another tc after Felleng dissipates?
Very strong storms in IL popping out of nowhere.
Good lord.
That squall line in S. Illinois/ SE. Missouri/ E. Arkansas is getting crazy organized. Stay safe everyone!
The evolution of today's severe weather episode so far is certainly an interesting one.

We originally had the initial squall line that developed early in the morning today over central Oklahoma.

Thereafter, it seemed as if the prefrontal line (the line that started on the LA/MS border, was the dominant line, as every storm that formed on it (2 main supercells) had nader warnings on them. It then weakened quite rapidly as it entered drier air, which had yet to be modified by the strong low level jet that was residing to its west.

The line which took the longest to develop was the confluence line, which is in the middle of the other two lines. This one was dominantly supercellular for a few hours (from 6 - 10pm EST). It appears as if the southern edge of this line is remaining semi-discrete and the northern half of it has turned into an awesomely spectacular squall line with many embedded supercell structures and brief spinups.

Also of note are hail-producing storms in Central Texas. Interesting considering the cold air behind the front along the entire front.

That's all I have to say for this post :p lol.
A new tornado watch has been issued for parts of Illinois, Indiana, and Kentucky with the main threats being tornadoes and damaging winds. The squall line that has prompted this watch has already has multiple funnel clouds spotted and wind damage reported.
Temps have held in mid 50s since line came through before 6, still getting steady rain and an occasional boom here in S C IL. Fortunately, not much wind here.

All you folks to our S keep safe. This has really blown up more than most expected with warnings from S IL to N LA.
I like that!!! soo sad it's too far out
535) That's IL's tornado alley. Went to school at Carbondale. First year there, I lived in a trailer S of town, scary year. Hope they just stay radar rotations, and if any touch downs occur, hope they're corn storms, as someone said earlier today (only hit fields or other open spaces).
Winter Storm Magnus...just saw it (its late I know)
Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:
Winter Storm Magnus

We've had Magnus since this morning, just saying.

Speaking of the snowy side....

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0082
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0829 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/NERN KS...SERN NEB...FAR SWRN IA...EXTREME
NWRN MO

CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW

VALID 300229Z - 300630Z

SUMMARY...A BAND OF SNOWFALL ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CNTRL PLAINS IS
EXPECTED TO PERSIST AND PERHAPS INTENSIFY DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
MDT SNOW WITH BRIEF/ISOLATED SNOWFALL RATES AROUND 1 INCH/HR ARE
POSSIBLE.

DISCUSSION...RADAR IMAGERY ACROSS THE CNTRL PLAINS CONTINUES TO SHOW
A SNOW BAND FROM CNTRL KS NEWD INTO SWRN NEB. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS
SHOWS THE 700 MB TROUGH AXIS OF THE LARGE TROUGH ACROSS THE CNTRL
PLAINS IS GENERALLY LOCATED FROM CNTRL KS NEWD INTO S-CNTRL MN. THIS
PLACES THE DEFORMATION AXIS FROM CNTRL KS NEWD INTO SERN NEB/SWRN
IA. MODEL GUIDANCE AND RECENT MESOANALYSIS SUGGESTS MOISTURE WILL
CONTINUE TO WRAP AROUND THE UPPER TROUGH INTO THE DEFORMATION AXIS
WITH THE PERSISTENCE AND PERHAPS INTENSIFICATION OF THE SNOWFALL IN
THE SNOW BAND. AS SUCH...BRIEF PERIOD WITH SNOWFALL RATES AROUND 1
INCH/HR ARE POSSIBLE.

..MOSIER.. 01/30/2013
Quoting wxchaser97:

We've had Magnus since this morning, just saying.

Speaking of the snowy side....

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0082
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0829 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/NERN KS...SERN NEB...FAR SWRN IA...EXTREME
NWRN MO

CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW

VALID 300229Z - 300630Z

SUMMARY...A BAND OF SNOWFALL ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CNTRL PLAINS IS
EXPECTED TO PERSIST AND PERHAPS INTENSIFY DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
MDT SNOW WITH BRIEF/ISOLATED SNOWFALL RATES AROUND 1 INCH/HR ARE
POSSIBLE.

DISCUSSION...RADAR IMAGERY ACROSS THE CNTRL PLAINS CONTINUES TO SHOW
A SNOW BAND FROM CNTRL KS NEWD INTO SWRN NEB. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS
SHOWS THE 700 MB TROUGH AXIS OF THE LARGE TROUGH ACROSS THE CNTRL
PLAINS IS GENERALLY LOCATED FROM CNTRL KS NEWD INTO S-CNTRL MN. THIS
PLACES THE DEFORMATION AXIS FROM CNTRL KS NEWD INTO SERN NEB/SWRN
IA. MODEL GUIDANCE AND RECENT MESOANALYSIS SUGGESTS MOISTURE WILL
CONTINUE TO WRAP AROUND THE UPPER TROUGH INTO THE DEFORMATION AXIS
WITH THE PERSISTENCE AND PERHAPS INTENSIFICATION OF THE SNOWFALL IN
THE SNOW BAND. AS SUCH...BRIEF PERIOD WITH SNOWFALL RATES AROUND 1
INCH/HR ARE POSSIBLE.

..MOSIER.. 01/30/2013



barely go TWC site... didn't read previous comments..


For an animation of the double front evolution, see my blog entry.
Time for Bed - Please Stay Safe - Sleep Well if You Can - Stay Warm - Keep Your Weather Radio ON - Hope You All Have a Safe Place to Hide for the Fray.
Massive Tumbleweeds rolling over road in Midland TX today with gusts to 50mph

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2XBZ9qYDxFs&featur e=player_detailpage
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
757 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0705 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 SE PALESTINE 31.74N 95.62W
01/29/2013 ANDERSON TX AMATEUR RADIO

A SECTION OF METAL ROOFING WAS BLOWN OFF OF A WALMART
WAREHOUSE, AND ONTO THE ROOF OF A NEIGHBORING CHURCH.

$$
553. etxwx
Getting some real gusty winds here in East Texas but nothing severe and no thunder or lightening. I'll be glad to get the rain and happy to miss the rest. The worst weather is farther north. Hope everyone stays safe...it looks like a nasty night ahead for some.


AC is on for first time in a month I believe, it's currently lower 70s and windy, with abrupt change in less than hr here as temps are down in upper 50s up the road.

Nothing here yet but gusty winds. Fastest I saw was 39mph earlier at Beaumont/Port Arthur. Latest discussion from Lake Charles...

.DISCUSSION...
SFC OBS INDICATE THAT GRADIENT WINDS REMAIN AROUND 20 MPH FROM
I-10 SOUTH TO THE COAST...THEREFORE EXTENDED/RE-ISSUED THE WIND
ADVISORY FOR THIS AREA THROUGH MIDNIGHT. ACROSS THE NRN 1/2 OF THE
AREA...WILL CERTAINLY SEE CRITERIA WINDS IN CONVECTIVE GUSTS BUT
SUSTAINED GRADIENT WINDS HAVE DROPPED BELOW 20 MPH SO ALLOWED THE
ADVISORY TO EXPIRE ON TIME.

LOCAL 88DS SHOW PLENTIFUL SHOWERS...WITH INCREASING THUNDER...
MOVING ACROSS CNTL LA. MEANWHILE REGIONAL 88DS SHOW NUMEROUS
STRONG/SEVERE STORMS ALONG THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT STRETCHING
FROM NEAR KSHV TO KLFK TO KCXO. REGIONAL 00Z SOUNDINGS SHOW AN
ATMOSPHERE MORE THAN READY FOR SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL THIS
EVENING...SFC DEWPOINTS ABOVE 20C/COPIOUS MOISTURE THROUGH 800MB/
GOOD DRY SLOT ALOFT/VERY UNSTABLE/RIDICULOUS WINDS JUST OFF THE
SFC/
HELICITY VALUES A0A 400. ABOUT THE ONLY SAVING GRACE RIGHT NOW
IS THAT NEITHER THE KPOE/KLCH 88D VWP SHOWS MUCH LOW-LEVEL VEERING
ATTM...ALTHOUGH REGIONAL 88DS SHOW THIS VEERING IS CERTAINLY
ENOUGH FOR SOLID ROTATION WITHIN CELLS. THIS WAS A LOT OF TALK TO
BASICALLY SAY THAT INHERITED GRIDS/FORECASTS ARE IN GREAT SHAPE AS
IS AND NO CHANGES WILL BE NEEDED AS FAR AS POPS/WX.
Seeing alot of sheds being blown away with this, some roofs, carports, trees & powerlines too.


0955 PM TSTM WND DMG LILBOURN 36.59N 89.61W
01/29/2013 NEW MADRID MO EMERGENCY MNGR

MOBILE HOME BLOWN OVER. NO ONE INSIDE.


0915 PM TSTM WND DMG CAPE GIRARDEAU 37.31N 89.55W
01/29/2013 CAPE GIRARDEAU MO EMERGENCY MNGR

SEMI AND TRAILER OVERTURNED DUE TO STRAIGHT LINE WINDS
ALONG HIGHWAY 25.


The weather over the next couple days will be sucky for me. The temperatures will go from the 60s (record highs) to the low 20s and teens. Precipitation will transition from heavy rain/thunderstorms to snow showers. This will cause headaches, literally and figuratively, sinus issues, and travel issues. This is probably the first time I have seen 60F temps and rain & snow used for the same day.
Pretty windy here in southeast Louisiana. Not too exciting so far, but perhaps that'll change. Night's still young.

Hope the less crazy people stay safe, since I know they don't want the weather.
For those who missed it earlier...

If you viewed Hurricane Isaac's TCR and thought it was unusually long, you weren't mistaken. At 78 pages, Isaac is the longest report the NHC has ever written on a tropical cyclone.

This meaningless record will be broken sometime during the next two weeks when the report for Sandy comes out. It will be well over 100 pages.
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
For those who missed it earlier...

If you viewed Hurricane Isaac's TCR and thought it was unusually long, you weren't mistaken. At 78 pages, Isaac is the longest report the NHC has ever written on a tropical cyclone.

This meaningless record will be broken sometime during the next two weeks when the report for Sandy comes out. It will be well over 100 pages.


Wondering if they'll upgrade Sandy to our second major hurricane.
Quoting RitaEvac:
Massive Tumbleweeds rolling over road in Midland TX today with gusts to 50mph

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2XBZ9qYDxFs&fe atur e=player_detailpage


Wow! My impressions were that tumbleweeds were lonely and usually lived single lives (I guess it comes from the familiar desert scene where you would only see one tumbleweed streak across when it's quiet) but they look very social indeed.
TX/AR lots of trees down, attacking houses cars, electricity..another trailer over. Barns aren't fairing well either.

0615 PM TSTM WND DMG 8 W WINNSBORO 32.96N 95.43W
01/29/2013 WOOD TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

CARPORT AND FRONT PORCH BLOWN OFF A HOUSE. A TREE FELL
THROUGH THE HOUSE AS WELL.



0720 PM TSTM WND DMG NEW BOSTON 33.46N 94.42W
01/29/2013 BOWIE TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

NUMEROUS TREES DOWN ACROSS THE COUNTY WITH AN 18 WHEELER
BLOWN OVER AS WELL.


0830 PM TSTM WND DMG 7 SSW FOUKE 33.17N 93.93W
01/29/2013 MILLER AR EMERGENCY MNGR

LARGE BARN DESTROYED AND NUMEROUS TREES DOWN ACROSS THE
AREA. A TRAILER OVERTURNED AS WELL. NEAR CR413 OFF OF
CR6.




This event is bringing on the excessive use of as well..
Quoting SteveDa1:


Wow! My impressions were that tumbleweeds were lonely and usually lived single lives (I guess it comes from the familiar desert scene where you would only see one tumbleweed streak across when it's quiet) but they look very social indeed.


I live along the coast, so I know nothing about those things, but I sent it to Jeff Masters by WunderMail
Quoting CybrTeddy:


Wondering if they'll upgrade Sandy to our second major hurricane.


Undoubtedly the question on the minds of most of the blog, right there.

The suspense is killing me!!
Time to stick head out door and watch a lil rain
isaac and sandy will likly be the two retired named storms as well for 2012

in 3 months it starts all over again

only 40 days or so till spring
Quoting RitaEvac:
Time to stick head out door and watch a lil rain
watch it spit on ya for 2 minutes
Quoting RitaEvac:
Massive Tumbleweeds rolling over road in Midland TX today with gusts to 50mph

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2XBZ9qYDxFs&fe atur e=player_detailpage



Good god, I had no idea tumble weeds were present in such an abundance like that. Those winds were strong.

I hope that system brings us some rain. I have given up on an Arctic air outbreak for the winter. Lowest temperature this January has been 42F, this must be a record.
It's rather amusing that you say 3 months from now it starts all over, because the season actually starts in 4 months... oh wait the official start of the season doesn't mean anything anymore... maybe it'll start in April this year?
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
watch it spit on ya for 2 minutes


Brief spouts of moderate rain downpours and that's all she wrote, wind gusting hard out of the NW now
Quoting HurrMichaelOrl:


Good god, I had no idea tumble weeds were present in such an abundance like that. Those winds were strong.

I hope that system brings us some rain. I have given up on an Arctic air outbreak for the winter. Lowest temperature this January has been 42F, this must be a record.


Had upper 20s one morning, left sensitive plants out and leaves got nipped, already had to cut the limbs back
Byron, Nebraska:

Snow with areas of blowing snow before 4am, then snow likely between 4am and 5am, then a chance of snow after 5am. Low around 21. Blustery, with a north wind around 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible.
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1129 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
WESTERN CALLOWAY COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...
SOUTHEASTERN GRAVES COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST.

* AT 1125 PM CST...RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
SEDALIA...OR 9 MILES SOUTH OF MAYFIELD...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNED AREA INCLUDE...
MURRAY...HARRIS GROVE...KIRKSEY AND HAZEL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.
TORNADO WARNING
KYC157-300615-
/O.NEW.KPAH.TO.W.0018.130130T0540Z-130130T0615Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1140 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN MARSHALL COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL 1215 AM CST.

* AT 1139 PM CST...RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES SOUTH
OF BENTON...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNED AREA INCLUDE...
BENTON...HARDIN AND AURORA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3691 8819 3675 8811 3675 8846 3685 8847
TIME...MOT...LOC 0540Z 254DEG 40KT 3677 8839
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1149 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

MSC119-135-300600-
/O.CON.KMEG.TO.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130130T0600Z/
TALLAHATCHIE MS-QUITMAN MS-
1149 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST FOR
SOUTHWESTERN QUITMAN AND CENTRAL TALLAHATCHIE COUNTIES...

AT 1149 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR VANCE...OR 15
MILES WEST OF CHARLESTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO BRAZIL...
DENTON...WAVERLY...LONGSTREET AND STOVER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A STORM SHELTER. IF NO
STORM SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE
BUILDING IN AN INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE
BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

&&

LAT...LON 3402 9040 3410 9043 3421 9034 3405 9015
3399 9024
TIME...MOT...LOC 0549Z 227DEG 40KT 3413 9025
Quoting Seattleite:
It's rather amusing that you say 3 months from now it starts all over, because the season actually starts in 4 months... oh wait the official start of the season doesn't mean anything anymore... maybe it'll start in April this year?
jan is done pretty much and feb march april is 3 that makes it may 1 14 days before the start of east pacific season and 29 days till start of the atlantic season
Felleng looks impressive on visible imagery; its northern outflow is excellent, and the eye looks well-defined.

Only three confirmed tornadoes? So far, this hasn't exactly lived up to fame as a Moderate Risk event.

Damaging wind tally is pretty impressive, though.
Squall line is passing by now.. tornado siren gone off 3 times.. radar looks okay.. no major hail yet.. top wind sustained maybe 2 minutes at less than 60mph est.. heavy rain now tornadic cell to the South East and moving toward Nashville..
Seychelles Meteorological Services
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #17
CYCLONE TROPICAL INTENSE FELLENG (07-20122013)
10:00 AM RET January 30 2013
=====================================

At 6:00 AM UTC, Intense Tropical Cyclone Felleng (950 hPa) located at 15.1S 53.5E has 10 minute sustained winds of 90 knots with gusts of 125 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving south southwest at 7 knots.

Hurricane Force Winds
=====================
30 NM radius from the center

Storm Force Winds
==================
45 NM radius from the center, extending up to 60 NM in the southwestern quadrant, and up to 90 NM in the southeastern quadrant

Gale Force Winds
=================
80 NM radius from the center, extending up to 100 NM in the southwestern quadrant, up to 110 NM in the northeastern quadrant, and up to 140 NM in the southeastern quadrant

Near Gale Force Winds
======================
110 NM radius from the center, extending up to 130 NM in the southwestern quadrant, up to 150 NM in the northeastern quadrant, and up to 170 NM in the southeastern quadrant

Dvorak Intensity: T5.5/5.5/D1.0/24 HRS

Forecast and Intensity
=======================
12 HRS: 16.8S 52.7E - 95 knots (CYCLONE Tropical Intense)
24 HRS: 18.3S 52.0E - 100 knots (CYCLONE Tropical Intense)
48 HRS: 21.0S 52.0E - 110 knots (CYCLONE Tropical Intense)
72 HRS: 24.3S 52.7E - 110 knots (CYCLONE Tropical Intense)

Additional Information
==========================
The eye pattern has improved within the past 6 hours. Eye is warming within a very cold ring of deep convection around. SSMIS picture at 02.04z depicts a ring of intense convection that is now very well defined.

Feleng current motion is now south southwestward under the steering influence of mid-level high pressures existing northeast of the system. Available numerical weather prediction models remains in good agreement about the forecast track.

On the forecast track, environmental conditions remains favorable for intensification. Sea surface temperature are very good at 28-29C, wind shear becomes weak under the upper level ridge. A very good upper level outflow has built equatorward and should improve eastward by 24 hours.

From Thursday evening system is expected to take a southward to south southeastward track. Saturday evening or Sunday morning it should encounter environmental conditions slowly degrading. Sea surface temperature more and more cool and a gradual strengthening westerly to northwesterly wind shear. Therefore Felleng is expected to weaken sharply.

Given all the above, a direct threat seems rejected for the eastern coast of Madagascar. However inhabitants of that area and inhabitants of the Mascaregnes islands should continu to closely monitor the progress of this system. On and after Wednesday, a substantial weather deterioration is expected on Mascareignes archipelago.
Tropical Cyclone Pre-Alert (Yellow) is in force for Reunion island
Good morning. I gathered a few tornado warnings from the overnight hours.


SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
435 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013

KYC029-111-300955-
/O.CON.KLMK.TO.W.0009.000000T0000Z-130130T0955Z/
JEFFERSON KY-BULLITT KY-
435 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 455 AM EST FOR NORTHERN
BULLITT AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES...

AT 433 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE SQUALL LINE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS
AND BRIEF RAIN-WRAPPED TORNADOES. THESE DANGEROUS STORMS WERE LOCATED
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM LOUISVILLE BOWMAN FIELD TO CEDAR GROVE...
MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

THE MOST DANGEROUS PART OF THE STORM IS MOVING INTO ST MATTHEWS.

* THESE DANGEROUS STORMS WILL ALSO IMPACT...
LOUISVILLE...
VALLEY STATION...
ST. MATTHEWS...
SHIVELY...
PLEASURE RIDGE PARK...
OKOLONA...
THIXTON AND MOUNT WASHINGTON...
ROUTT AND WHITFIELD...
FISHERVILLE...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORNADOES ARE DIFFICULT TO SEE AT NIGHT. TAKE COVER NOW.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT...POST YOUR REPORT TO
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET YOUR
REPORT USING HASHTAG L...M...K...SPOTTER.

&&

LAT...LON 3833 8554 3827 8541 3811 8543 3809 8547
3801 8551 3799 8549 3792 8583 3795 8587
3794 8590 3802 8593 3809 8590 3816 8591
3823 8585 3823 8581 3829 8577 3827 8574
3830 8567
TIME...MOT...LOC 0935Z 258DEG 39KT 3826 8565 3801 8562

$$

RAS
------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------

TORNADO WARNING
TNC111-159-165-169-189-301015-
/O.NEW.KOHX.TO.W.0016.130130T0935Z-130130T1015Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
335 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NASHVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
MACON COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
NORTHERN SMITH COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
EASTERN SUMNER COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
TROUSDALE COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
NORTHERN WILSON COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...

* UNTIL 415 AM CST

* AT 333 AM CST...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
MULTIPLE TORNADOES WAS LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES
NORTHWEST OF WESTMORELAND TO BELINDA CITY. TORNADOES MAY FORM
RAPIDLY ANYWHERE IN THIS LINE OF STORMS. THE LINE OF STORMS WAS
MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LEBANON...HARTSVILLE...LAFAYETTE...CARTHAGE...WEST MORELAND...RED
BOILING SPRINGS AND SOUTH CARTHAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3662 8580 3622 8587 3617 8653 3666 8639
TIME...MOT...LOC 0935Z 268DEG 45KT 3663 8627 3619 8641

$$

SHAMBURGER
------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------

TORNADO WARNING
TNC037-149-187-189-301000-
/O.NEW.KOHX.TO.W.0015.130130T0927Z-130130T1000Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
327 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NASHVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN DAVIDSON COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
NORTHERN RUTHERFORD COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
NORTHEASTERN WILLIAMSON COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
SOUTHERN WILSON COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...

* UNTIL 400 AM CST

* AT 323 AM CST...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
MULTIPLE TORNADOES WAS LOCATED NEAR BRENTWOOD...OR 5 MILES
NORTHEAST OF FRANKLIN. TORNADOES MAY FORM RAPIDLY ANYWHERE IN THIS
LINE OF STORMS. THE LINE OF STORMS WAS MOVING EAST AT 60 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
NOLENSVILLE...LA VERGNE...SMYRNA...RURAL HILL...BELINDA CITY AND
WALTERHILL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3620 8612 3586 8618 3585 8678 3615 8679
TIME...MOT...LOC 0927Z 254DEG 50KT 3598 8669

$$

SHAMBURGER
------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
322 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013

TNC037-165-189-300945-
/O.CON.KOHX.TO.W.0013.000000T0000Z-130130T0945Z/
SUMNER TN-WILSON TN-DAVIDSON TN-
322 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EAST CENTRAL DAVIDSON...
NORTHWESTERN WILSON AND SOUTHERN SUMNER COUNTIES UNTIL 345 AM CST...

AT 319 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE SQUALL LINE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS
AND BRIEF RAIN-WRAPPED TORNADOES. THESE DANGEROUS STORMS WERE
LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM WHITE HOUSE TO LAKEWOOD...MOVING
EAST AT 50 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GALLATIN...LEBANON...GREEN HILL AND MOUNT JULIET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3652 8626 3635 8629 3634 8627 3619 8627
3616 8673 3646 8666
TIME...MOT...LOC 0922Z 258DEG 44KT 3644 8656 3620 8660

$$

SHAMBURGER
------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------

TORNADO WARNING
TNC117-119-187-301000-
/O.NEW.KOHX.TO.W.0014.130130T0916Z-130130T1000Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
316 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NASHVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHEASTERN MARSHALL COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
NORTHEASTERN MAURY COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
SOUTHERN WILLIAMSON COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...

* UNTIL 400 AM CST

* AT 314 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES WEST OF SPRING HILL...OR 7 MILES NORTH OF
COLUMBIA...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTHEASTERN
MARSHALL...NORTHEASTERN MAURY AND SOUTHERN WILLIAMSON COUNTIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

TORNADOES ARE DIFFICULT TO SEE AND CONFIRM AT NIGHT. TAKE COVER NOW.

&&

LAT...LON 3578 8718 3594 8662 3579 8663 3579 8666
3577 8666 3575 8670 3572 8670 3569 8664
3560 8665 3559 8712
TIME...MOT...LOC 0916Z 248DEG 45KT 3573 8701

$$

TORNADO WARNING
TNC111-159-165-169-189-301015-
/O.NEW.KOHX.TO.W.0016.130130T0935Z-130130T1015Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
335 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NASHVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
MACON COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
NORTHERN SMITH COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
EASTERN SUMNER COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
TROUSDALE COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
NORTHERN WILSON COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...

* UNTIL 415 AM CST

* AT 333 AM CST...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
MULTIPLE TORNADOES WAS LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES
NORTHWEST OF WESTMORELAND TO BELINDA CITY. TORNADOES MAY FORM
RAPIDLY ANYWHERE IN THIS LINE OF STORMS. THE LINE OF STORMS WAS
MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LEBANON...HARTSVILLE...LAFAYETTE...CARTHAGE...WEST MORELAND...RED
BOILING SPRINGS AND SOUTH CARTHAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3662 8580 3622 8587 3617 8653 3666 8639
TIME...MOT...LOC 0935Z 268DEG 45KT 3663 8627 3619 8641

$$

SHAMBURGER
FELLENG
Felleng:

TORNADO WARNING
TNC003-055-117-119-301030-
/O.NEW.KOHX.TO.W.0019.130130T0956Z-130130T1030Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
356 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NASHVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHWESTERN BEDFORD COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
NORTHEASTERN GILES COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
MARSHALL COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
SOUTHEASTERN MAURY COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...

* UNTIL 430 AM CST

* AT 351 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES WEST OF LEWISBURG...AND MOVING EAST AT 45
MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LEWISBURG AND PETERSBURG.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3527 8710 3560 8688 3558 8639 3536 8657
3537 8658 3536 8660 3533 8659 3532 8660
TIME...MOT...LOC 0956Z 249DEG 38KT 3549 8684

$$

07
------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------


TORNADO WARNING
TNC015-041-149-159-189-301030-
/O.NEW.KOHX.TO.W.0018.130130T0953Z-130130T1030Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
353 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NASHVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN CANNON COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
WESTERN DE KALB COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
NORTHERN RUTHERFORD COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
SOUTHERN SMITH COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
SOUTHERN WILSON COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...

* UNTIL 430 AM CST

* AT 351 AM CST...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
MULTIPLE TORNADOES WAS LOCATED NEAR WALTERHILL...OR 12 MILES NORTH
OF MURFREESBORO. TORNADOES MAY FORM RAPIDLY ANYWHERE IN THIS LINE
OF STORMS. THE LINE OF STORMS WAS MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SMITHVILLE...WATERTOWN...GORDONSVILLE...AUBURNTOWN ...ALEXANDRIA...
LIBERTY AND DOWELLTOWN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3586 8580 3585 8653 3608 8653 3607 8652
3610 8651 3611 8653 3613 8653 3614 8654
3617 8654 3622 8583
TIME...MOT...LOC 0953Z 262DEG 46KT 3602 8632

$$

SHAMBURGER
------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------


TORNADO WARNING
TNC003-117-149-187-301015-
/O.NEW.KOHX.TO.W.0017.130130T0946Z-130130T1015Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
346 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NASHVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN BEDFORD COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
NORTHEASTERN MARSHALL COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
SOUTHERN RUTHERFORD COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
SOUTHEASTERN WILLIAMSON COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...

* UNTIL 415 AM CST

* AT 342 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED 12 MILES EAST OF SPRING HILL...OR 17 MILES NORTH
OF LEWISBURG...AND MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
MURFREESBORO AROUND 405 AM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

HEAVY RAINFALL MAY OBSCURE THIS TORNADO. DO NOT WAIT TO SEE OR HEAR
THE TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW.

&&

LAT...LON 3560 8672 3585 8669 3586 8617 3570 8621
3571 8623 3570 8623 3569 8624 3555 8625
TIME...MOT...LOC 0946Z 248DEG 45KT 3571 8666

$$

07
------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------

One person dead in Bordeaux, Tennessee (north of Nashville) confirmed by police. The person was taking shelter from the storm in a shed -WSMV
Here it comes..Tornado warnings for many counties in Mid-TN..Damage reported in a lot of places..Prayer time for me.
Quoting KoritheMan:
Only three confirmed tornadoes? So far, this hasn't exactly lived up to fame as a Moderate Risk event.

Damaging wind tally is pretty impressive, though.

It's been going all night there, must be a lot of atmosphereic energy.
Quoting AussieStorm:

It's been going all night there, must be a lot of atmosphereic energy.
I took a quick peek outside, it does look sinister out there. Tornado warnings for all local counties here . Tornado siren went off about 5 minutes ago.
551 RitaEvac: [Video of] Massive Tumbleweeds rolling over road in Midland TX today with gusts to 50mph
565 SteveDa1: Wow! My impressions were that tumbleweeds were lonely and usually lived single lives (I guess it comes from the familiar desert scene where you would only see one tumbleweed streak across when it's quiet) but they look very social indeed.

What I always found amazing is that while the tumbling tumbleweed is emblematic of the American West(ern), it's actually a relatively recently arrived invader from Russia.
Good Morning Folks! coffee is perked, going to be A long DAY HUH, THATS REALLY A bad STORM FRONT!..have a safe day everyone
guess tonight is our turn 40's crashing into humid 80's........
White County looks like it was hit by an intense cell. Hope they made out o.k.
Quoting hydrus:
White County looks like it was hit by an intense cell. Hope they made out o.k.
stay safe up there hydrus, your state is dotted with warnings
TORNADO WARNING
KYC021-045-079-137-155-301130-
/O.NEW.KLMK.TO.W.0013.130130T1057Z-130130T1130Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
557 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
BOYLE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
NORTHWESTERN GARRARD COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
NORTHERN CASEY COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
NORTHWESTERN LINCOLN COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
EASTERN MARION COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL 630 AM EST...

* AT 554 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR GRAVEL SWITCH...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

* THIS TORNADIC STORM WILL ALSO IMPACT...
LANCASTER...
DANVILLE...
ALUM SPRINGS AND PARKSVILLE...
CALDWELL MANOR AND JUNCTION CITY...
LITTLE NEEDMORE AND CLIFTON...
MARKSBURY AND BOURNE...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A VEHICLE OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO
THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING
DEBRIS.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT...POST YOUR REPORT TO
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET YOUR
REPORT USING HASHTAG L...M...K...SPOTTER.

&&
Quoting LargoFl:
stay safe up there hydrus, your state is dotted with warnings
Been alright so far. It appears the the cell near Lawrenceburg is headed towards us here in McMinnville. Hoping for the the best of course.
Good morning, everyone. Evening, Aussie

Breakfast is simple this morning, muffins and donuts. I just got home from the hospital. My daughter's fiance's mother died suddenly from a heart attack. I've been with my daughter and Riley's family all night. It's going to be a long day at school today.

Weatherwise, there was a tornado north of me. No damage that I've heard of. But the weather's now east of me. Under a wind advisory for the rest of the day.

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
431 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013

...STRONG GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED ACROSS MIDDLE TENNESSEE...

.A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT WILL BRING GUSTY
WINDS ACROSS THE REGION. THE STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE TODAY
ACROSS MIDDLE TENNESSEE. GRADIENT WIND GUSTS OVER 30 MPH WILL
OCCUR. EVEN HIGHER GUSTS OVER 35 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE
AFTERNOON.

TREE LIMBS WILL LIKELY BE DOWNED AND LOOSE OBJECTS SUCH AS
GARBAGE CANS WILL BE BLOWN AROUND. ENTIRE TREES MAY BE BLOWN DOWN
AND POWER OUTAGES MAY OCCUR. ALSO...THE WINDS WILL CREATE DIFFICULT
DRIVING CONDITIONS.
Quoting aislinnpaps:
Good morning, everyone. Evening, Aussie

Breakfast is simple this morning, muffins and donuts. I just got home from the hospital. My daughter's fiance's mother died suddenly from a heart attack. I've been with my daughter and Riley's family all night. It's going to be a long day at school today.

Weatherwise, there was a tornado north of me. No damage that I've heard of. But the weather's now east of me. Under a wind advisory for the rest of the day.
good morning, sorry about your loss, try to get some rest today and stay safe up there ok,yes its going to be a long day for sure.....
eastern states, this morning is Time to prepare......
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
353 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...STRONG TO DAMAGING WINDS TODAY ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS
AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA...

.STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SET UP ACROSS THE REGION
TODAY IN ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THE STRONGEST WINDS
WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS...BUT RAIN SHOWERS DEVELOPING ACROSS THE REGION COULD
CHANNEL STRONG TO DAMAGING WINDS INTO THE LOWER ELEVATIONS AS
WELL. IN ADDITION...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE
APPROACHING FRONT WILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE AREA. THE
RESULTANT WET SOIL CONDITIONS WILL MAKE IT EASIER FOR THE WINDS TO
TOPPLE TREES AND PRODUCE POWER OUTAGES. THE WINDS WILL TURN
SHARPLY WEST BEHIND THE COLD FRONT LATE TODAY...BUT WITH VERY
WINDY CONDITIONS LIKELY LASTING WELL INTO THE NIGHT.
this system isnt moving fast at all,long lasting severe storms..
Quoting aislinnpaps:
Good morning, everyone. Evening, Aussie

Breakfast is simple this morning, muffins and donuts. I just got home from the hospital. My daughter's fiance's mother died suddenly from a heart attack. I've been with my daughter and Riley's family all night. It's going to be a long day at school today.

Weatherwise, there was a tornado north of me. No damage that I've heard of. But the weather's now east of me. Under a wind advisory for the rest of the day.


Good Evening. Very humid here tonight, I'm sitting watching tv, GRL3 and Twitter sweating.

Condolences to your daughters fiancee and his family.

Jonathan Erdman@wxjerdman

#Damage in Sheffield, AL, per Emerg. Mgr. via NWS: #Severe http://twitter.com/wxjerdman/status/29658170196506 6240/photo/1
I wonder if those 60mph+ winds will reach down here to my area..guess i'd better clean the gutters and take in all the loose stuff outside..just in case..local met is sort of concerned about tonight..but still too early yet for any warnings etc
Quoting LargoFl:
this system isnt moving fast at all,long lasting severe storms..
I noticed that. The storm is in our county now.
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
523 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013

ALC021-301145-
/O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130130T1145Z/
CHILTON AL-
523 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTH CENTRAL CHILTON
COUNTY UNTIL 545 AM CST...

AT 523 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR THORSBY...OR NEAR JEMISON...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
UNION GROVE.

THIS INCLUDES...
INTERSTATE 65 EXIT NUMBER 219...

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CALL 1-800-856-0758.

LAT...LON 3288 8680 3307 8669 3307 8662 3305 8662
3306 8660 3302 8656 3302 8652 3298 8651
3285 8672
TIME...MOT...LOC 1123Z 215DEG 48KT 3293 8669

$$

17/KLAWS


TWC Breaking@TWCBreaking

HT @NWSNashville Near White House, TN earlier this AM: 4 homes w/ roof, window #damage. 1 home had its garage blown into the road. #severe
Quoting hydrus:
I noticed that. The storm is in our county now.
good thing you still have power Hydrus..last night those storms stayed in hmm arkansas in what seemed like forever..not a fast moving system at all,stay safe up there,probably an all day event..my turn tonight and tomorrow local met says, me i'll catch whatever is coming in from the gulf and also what comes downstate..going to be interesting around here when it arrives.
Quoting hydrus:
I noticed that. The storm is in our county now.


Keep close watch, Hydrus, and stay safe!
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
530 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NASHVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTH CENTRAL CANNON COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
EASTERN COFFEE COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
NORTHERN GRUNDY COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
SOUTHWESTERN VAN BUREN COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
WARREN COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...

* UNTIL 615 AM CST

* AT 529 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES NORTH OF MANCHESTER...AND MOVING EAST AT
50 MPH.

* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF EASTERN
COFFEE...NORTHERN GRUNDY...SOUTH CENTRAL CANNON...SOUTHWESTERN VAN
BUREN AND WARREN COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
MORRISON AND VIOLA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

TORNADOES ARE DIFFICULT TO SEE AND CONFIRM AT NIGHT. TAKE COVER NOW.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
TNC007-115-153-301245-
/O.NEW.KMRX.SV.W.0002.130130T1141Z-130130T1245Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
541 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MORRISTOWN HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
BLEDSOE COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...
MARION COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...
SEQUATCHIE COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...

* UNTIL 645 AM CST

* AT 538 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS
IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM MCMINNVILLE TO 15 MILES NORTHWEST OF SEWANEE TO 37
MILES SOUTHWEST OF SEWANEE...AND MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
PIKEVILLE...DUNLAP...JASPER...MONTEAGLE...WHITWELL ...SOUTH
PITTSBURG...CAGLE...OLD CUMBERLAND...MOUNT CREST...GRIFFITH
CREEK...MELVINE...PALIO...ORME...CARTWRIGHT...MART IN SPRINGS...
BRAYTON...POWELLS CROSSROADS...LONE OAK AND HALETOWN (GUILD).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO
IS SPOTTED... ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY
STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

&&
Edit: Link to real time satellite live stream was cancelled. At least, we survived :-)

Good morning from Germany. Very stormy weather today and the next two days. Quite warm (around 53%uFFFDF), but a colder frontal system (maybe with a sort of squall line) is moving in.
All the best for everyone; have a nice and safe day. Barb

TWC Breaking@TWCBreaking

Cell with strong rotation just NW of Decatur, AL. Folks in #Huntsville monitor closely. Radar/alerts: wxch.nl/XJvOnX #severe
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
638 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013

KYC125-199-203-301200-
/O.CON.KJKL.TO.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130130T1200Z/
PULASKI KY-ROCKCASTLE KY-LAUREL KY-
638 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WEST CENTRAL LAUREL...
SOUTH CENTRAL ROCKCASTLE AND NORTHEASTERN PULASKI COUNTIES UNTIL 700
AM EST...

AT 636 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE SQUALL LINE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS
AND BRIEF RAIN-WRAPPED TORNADOES. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED
NEAR RUTH...OR NEAR SOMERSET...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
BENT AND VALLEY OAK AROUND 645 AM EST.
LEVEL GREEN AND BROMO AROUND 650 AM EST.
BILLOWS...CEDARVILLE...PONGO AND BLOSS AROUND 655 AM EST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

Jonathan Erdman@wxjerdman

Possible #tornado in southern Walker Co., AL. Take cover in Gorgas, Goodsprings. http://twitter.com/wxjerdman/status/29658771592591 3600/photo/1
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON HAS
ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO
6 AM EST THURSDAY.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING.

* WINDS...SOUTH 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 50 MPH...ONLY ON
RIDGES ABOVE 1000 FEET ELEVATION. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST
BEHIND THE COLD FRONT OVERNIGHT.

* IMPACTS...THE STRONG WINDS COULD BRING DOWN TREE LIMBS AND CAUSE
SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. UNSECURED OBJECTS MAY BE BLOWN
ABOUT...AND HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES MAY BECOME DIFFICULT TO
MANEUVER.
WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
646 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013

KYC135-161-201-OHC001-015-071-131-141-145-301700-
/O.CON.KILN.TO.A.0015.000000T0000Z-130130T1700Z/

TORNADO WATCH 15 REMAINS VALID UNTIL NOON EST TODAY FOR THE
FOLLOWING AREAS

IN KENTUCKY THIS WATCH INCLUDES 3 COUNTIES

IN NORTHEAST KENTUCKY

LEWIS MASON

IN NORTHERN KENTUCKY

ROBERTSON

IN OHIO THIS WATCH INCLUDES 6 COUNTIES

IN CENTRAL OHIO

ROSS

IN SOUTH CENTRAL OHIO

ADAMS BROWN HIGHLAND
PIKE SCIOTO

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...CHILLICOTHE...GEORGETOWN...
HILLSBORO...MAYSVILLE...MOUNT OLIVET...PIKETON...PORTSMOUTH...
VANCEBURG AND WEST UNION.

$$
folks, lets not forget..this is a HUGE storm front, reaching from the great lakes all the way down to the gulf and its moving eastward..every state in the east is going to get some of this..if its clear by you now..its time to prepare huh..
...THE WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN EXPANDED IN AREA AND TIME...AND IS
NOW IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH
CENTRAL GEORGIA...AS WELL AS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND
FROM 9 AM EST /8 AM CST/ THIS MORNING TO 10 PM EST /9 PM CST/
THIS EVENING...

.VERY STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP THIS MORNING OUT AHEAD
OF A STRONG COLD FRONT. WITH EXTREMELY STRONG WINDS JUST ABOVE THE
SURFACE...WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE...EVEN OUTSIDE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE STRONGEST GUSTS (45 TO 50 MPH)
ARE EXPECTED ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE REGION...WITH GUSTS OF
40 TO 45 MPH ANTICIPATED FURTHER TO THE EAST,
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
613 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013

ALC043-301230-
/O.CON.KHUN.TO.W.0004.000000T0000Z-130130T1230Z/
CULLMAN AL-
613 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 AM CST FOR NORTHERN
CULLMAN COUNTY...

AT 611 AM CST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED
NEAR CULLMAN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 65 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CULLMAN...SOUTH VINEMONT AND WEST POINT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORNADOES ARE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT TO SEE AND CONFIRM AT NIGHT. DO
NOT WAIT TO SEE OR HEAR THE TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW!

&&
Everyone have a wonderful Wednesday and Aussie, have a great Thursday.
Appears that moderate risk 15% hatched area was overdone. The event seemed like a bust. TA13 was right.

Hey, anyone seen some of the regulars....StormTracker2K, VR46L, TomballTXPride, clamshell, washingtonian115. Where have they been hiding out??
There is very strong rotation indicated on radar in Alabama. The cell is situated south-southwest of Cullman, moving northeast at 70 mph. This area was devastated by an EF4 tornado on April 27, 2011, and has seen many close calls since that time.



Doesn't get much clearer that there is indeed a tornado on the ground. The BWER on radar aligns perfectly with the area of rotation.

Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
There is very strong rotation indicated on radar in Alabama. The cell is situated south-southwest of Cullman, moving northeast at 70 mph. This area was devastated by an EF4 tornado on April 27, 2011, and has seen many close calls since that time.

Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
There is very strong rotation indicated on radar in Alabama. The cell is situated south-southwest of Cullman, moving northeast at 70 mph. This area was devastated by an EF4 tornado on April 27, 2011, and has seen many close calls since that time.


Will likely fizzle out. Look at the dynamic velocities...
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
555 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-GMZ830 -850-853-856-870-
873-876-302300-
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSB OROUGH-POLK-
MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DESOTO-CHARLOTT E-LEE-
TAMPA BAY WATERS-TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 NM-
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
555 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT
THROUGH WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA TONIGHT. OCCASIONAL
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS
TODAY INTO TONIGHT.

...RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
RIP CURRENT RISK AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT TODAY AND TONIGHT. SEE
BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT FOR MORE INFORMATION.

...WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN AND
OUTER WATERS...ALONG WITH TAMPA BAY. SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION
OVER THE REST OF THE WATERS. A PERSISTENT...GUSTY SOUTHERLY WIND
WILL RAISE SEAS AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

...RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE TO BE A HAZARD AFTER FRONTAL PASSAGE. SEE
BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT FOR MORE INFORMATION.

...WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
ELEVATED WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN IMMEDIATELY FOLLOWING FRONTAL
PASSAGE...SHOULD BEGIN TO LOWER INTO THE WEEKEND.

...FIRE WEATHER IMPACT...
STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CONTRIBUTE TO AN
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER RISK ON THURSDAY. SEE FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR
MORE INFORMATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

$$

GARCIA


Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
There is very strong rotation indicated on radar in Alabama. The cell is situated south-southwest of Cullman, moving northeast at 70 mph. This area was devastated by an EF4 tornado on April 27, 2011, and has seen many close calls since that time.



Doesn't get much clearer that there is indeed a tornado on the ground. The BWER on radar aligns perfectly with the area of rotation.



Wish I'm tracking it on GRLevel3... hopefully everybody is safe!

Sean Breslin@Sean_Breslin

The Weather Channel has confirmed one death, in the Bordeaux area of Nashville, when a tree fell on a shed. #severe
Alabama cell weakened, new warning in Tennessee.

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
653 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MORRISTOWN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
BLEDSOE COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...
MARION COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...
SEQUATCHIE COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...

* UNTIL 745 AM CST

* AT 654 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 5 MILES WEST OF
WHITWELL...OR 10 MILES NORTH OF JASPER. DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED THIS
TORNADO MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
DUNLAP...PIKEVILLE...WHITWELL...MARTIN SPRINGS...POWELLS
CROSSROADS...GRIFFITH CREEK...CARTWRIGHT...PALIO AND BRAYTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
STURDY SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE NEAREST
DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST WEDNESDAY FOR EAST
TENNESSEE.

&&

LAT...LON 3523 8571 3526 8571 3531 8564 3532 8557
3536 8552 3541 8551 3565 8519 3557 8510
3554 8510 3552 8513 3549 8514 3547 8512
3544 8518 3530 8526 3505 8567 3519 8581
TIME...MOT...LOC 1253Z 230DEG 38KT 3519 8562

$$

and Mississippi...

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
658 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN CLARKE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF QUITMAN...
SOUTHEASTERN LAUDERDALE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...

* UNTIL 745 AM CST

* AT 658 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR QUITMAN
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
MIDDLETON...SABLE AND SYKES BY 705 AM CST...
INCREASE...SNELL AND ZERO BY 710 AM CST...
ALAMUCHA AND TOOMSUBA BY 720 AM CST...
KEWANEE BY 725 AM CST...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT A TORNADO IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. YOU
SHOULD ACTIVATE YOUR TORNADO ACTION PLAN AND TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTION
NOW.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 AM CST WEDNESDAY MORNING
FOR EASTERN MISSISSIPPI.

&&

LAT...LON 3220 8843 3197 8874 3211 8889 3252 8840
3251 8839 3245 8839
TIME...MOT...LOC 1258Z 227DEG 54KT 3210 8873

$$
000
FXUS62 KTAE 300932
AFDTAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
432 AM EST Wed Jan 30 2013

.NEAR TERM [Through Today]...
Active day is expected across the region today. Surface data from
early this morning show a frontal system moving eastward across the
Mid South with an organized squall line running out ahead of the
frontal zone. The airmass out ahead of this boundary is quite moist
and rather atypical for late January with dewpoints running in the
mid and upper 60s. But what is most impressive about this system is
the kinematic field. 500 mb analysis from 00 UTC shows a 110kt jet
moving through eastern Oklahoma. The lower level flow is equally
impressive with a 70kt measurement at 850mb from Little Rock at 00
UTC. Model guidance is in good agreement that this strong wind field
will translate eastward today as the strong trough shifts toward the
Atlantic Seaboard. Model guidance shows the low level 850 mb jet
ranging anywhere from 65kt to 75 kt just ahead of squall line this
afternoon across Southern Alabama and into Southwestern Georgia.
This strong wind field will easily support the potential for severe
weather. The only remaining question is how much instability this
system will have to work with as it moves eastward. Model guidance
shows a decent amount of instability (around 500 J/KG of SBCAPE) in
the afternoon, but this is maximized more across Southeast Alabama
and in the Florida Panhandle and diminishes considerably further
east into the Florida Big Bend and South Central Georgia. Thus it is
expected that the squall line will maintain itself as it moves into
the area later this afternoon but weaken with time while moving
eastward. Should the line remain well organized, the potential
exists for some significant wind damage across Southeast Alabama
where the combination of the strong wind field and instability is
likely to overlap. Even if the squall line weakens considerably,
with such a strong wind field in place, it will take very little to
bring severe-level winds to the surface. In fact, the environmental
flow out ahead of the line could produce winds gusting at times to
near 45kt this afternoon.


Good thing instability is lacking or t would probably be a dangerous outbreak around here. We should still get some much needed rain and an exciting line of storms though, both of which there have been too little of!

As is usual with these systems, the models overdue QPF to the north and show too little on the southern end of the front where the deepest moisture is even though there is less lift/dynamical support.

I'm pretty sure QPF will be higher around here than the 0.10 that some models are suggesting.
I have to go to school in just a minute. Everybody stay safe today.

It is disconcerting to see this many discrete cells ahead of the squall line. Many of them are showing rotation, at that. Watch them all as we progress through the morning. Today may be a bigger day for tornadoes than yesterday was, in my opinion.

656. beell
.
657. VR46L
Quoting stormchaser43:
Appears that moderate risk 15% hatched area was overdone. The event seemed like a bust. TA13 was right.

Hey, anyone seen some of the regulars....StormTracker2K, VR46L, TomballTXPride, clamshell, washingtonian115. Where have they been hiding out??


I drop by occasionally Chaser, Kinda busy yesterday..I saw Wash has said she wont be around until till May . The others I honestly Dont Know but I do miss Tomball
Going to pass JUST north of Atlanta.

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
808 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHWESTERN COBB COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL GEORGIA
DOUGLAS COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL GEORGIA
SOUTHWESTERN FULTON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL GEORGIA
SOUTHEASTERN CARROLL COUNTY IN NORTHWEST GEORGIA
SOUTHEASTERN PAULDING COUNTY IN NORTHWEST GEORGIA
NORTHWESTERN COWETA COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL GEORGIA
NORTHEASTERN HEARD COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL GEORGIA

* UNTIL 900 AM EST

* AT 802 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 10 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF WHITESBURG...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
DOUGLASVILLE...LITHIA SPRINGS...HIRAM...AUSTELL...POWDER SPRINGS
AND SMYRNA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU SEE WIND DAMAGE...HAIL OR FLOODING...WAIT UNTIL THE STORM HAS
PASSED...AND THEN CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOLL FREE AT 1 8
6 6 7 6 3 4 4 6 6. YOU CAN ALSO TWEET YOUR REPORT USING HASHTAG GAWX.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM EST WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON FOR NORTHWESTERN GEORGIA.

&&

LAT...LON 3403 8467 3379 8439 3338 8504 3345 8513
TIME...MOT...LOC 1308Z 218DEG 47KT 3348 8500

$$
Good Morning All..
Slowly but surely heading my way..



Lots of warnings out this am..



661. VR46L
Quoting pcola57:
Good Morning All..
Slowly but surely heading my way..



Lots of warnings out this am..





Take care Pcola and all in the Panhandle area !
got a donut hole heading in my general direction.
weak storm though
Quoting VR46L:


Take care Pcola and all in the Panhandle area !


Will do VR46L..
Lots of lightening in this mess for me..
We have a great safe place in the home here so not too worried..
My problem is other folks not preparing and their stuff blows around..
Hows your weather today my friend?
Quoting pcola57:
Good Morning All..
Slowly but surely heading my way..



Lots of warnings out this am..





pcola, is that a front I see? Cold weather? (I havent checked my radar maps yet this morning, btw)

WunderGirl12
OVER THE GULF COAST STATES...MULTIPLE BANDS OF MORE DISCRETE
STORMS...INCLUDING SUPERCELLS...HAVE RECENTLY DEVELOPED ACROSS AL
WITHIN A CONFLUENT LOW-LEVEL FLOW REGIME DOWNSTREAM FROM THE PRIMARY
QLCS. THE 12Z BHM SOUNDING SHOWED THE PRESENCE OF A MOIST AND
RATHER DEEP BOUNDARY LAYER...YIELDING MLCAPE OF AROUND 1000 J/KG.
WHEN COUPLED WITH EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR OF 60 KT AND EFFECTIVE SRH
VALUES OF 300-350 M2/S2...THE CORRIDOR OVER CNTRL/ERN AL INTO WRN GA
WILL HAVE A HEIGHTENED RISK FOR TORNADOES IN ASSOCIATION WITH ANY
LONGER-LIVED SUPERCELLS THAT PERSIST AHEAD OF THE QLCS.


Tornado Sirens everywhere now.


Good Morning from Tallahassee. As noted in the post below from Tally NWS, we continue to have this "shield" in the Big Bend region of Florida......These squall lines pound the Panhandle then weaken considerably before reaching the Big Bend; I only know of one damaging tornado touchdown (my friend's house was lifted off the foundation and dropped back down with her in it) in the Tallahassee area in the last 10 years. Same thing with hurricanes, they pass us to the West headed towards the Panhandle.

Yall Stay Safe in the Panhandle today and keep posted to media and your NOAA weather radios.
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:
OVER THE GULF COAST STATES...MULTIPLE BANDS OF MORE DISCRETE
STORMS...INCLUDING SUPERCELLS...HAVE RECENTLY DEVELOPED ACROSS AL
WITHIN A CONFLUENT LOW-LEVEL FLOW REGIME DOWNSTREAM FROM THE PRIMARY
QLCS. THE 12Z BHM SOUNDING SHOWED THE PRESENCE OF A MOIST AND
RATHER DEEP BOUNDARY LAYER...YIELDING MLCAPE OF AROUND 1000 J/KG.
WHEN COUPLED WITH EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR OF 60 KT AND EFFECTIVE SRH
VALUES OF 300-350 M2/S2...THE CORRIDOR OVER CNTRL/ERN AL INTO WRN GA
WILL HAVE A HEIGHTENED RISK FOR TORNADOES IN ASSOCIATION WITH ANY
LONGER-LIVED SUPERCELLS THAT PERSIST AHEAD OF THE QLCS.


Tornado Sirens everywhere now.




Stay safe GeorgiaStormz. :-)

WunderGirl12
668. VR46L
Quoting pcola57:


Will do VR46L..
Lots of lightening in this mess for me..
We have a great safe place in the home here so not too worried..
My problem is other folks not preparing and their stuff blows around..
Hows your weather today my friend?


Its actually really nice at the moment but another storm is coming in the next few hours supposed to have 80 mph winds coming in later

Quoting stormchaser43:
Appears that moderate risk 15% hatched area was overdone. The event seemed like a bust. TA13 was right.


A bit hasty to be saying that, as the tornado count is sure to rise considerably over the next day or two as they collate reports. If you look through the "wind reports" section, there's an awful lot of them that indicate probable tornado damage, as have a lot of reports on Twitter coming out of Tennessee. However, it is worth noting that most of these reports have come from further east than the 15% hatched area. Arkansas, which was supposed to be in the bullseye, seems to have gotten off alright.
Quoting VR46L:


I drop by occasionally Chaser, Kinda busy yesterday..I saw Wash has said she wont be around until till May . The others I honestly Dont Know but I do miss Tomball

I know washingtonian115 is not too crazy with this unseasonable mild airmass. She also doesn't care for severe storms, either. She's more of a winter storm person and a tropics guru. So we may not see her until winter returns...if it ever does!

I think Tomball is out skiing with her kids. She'll probably be back within the next couple weeks. Someone said she was banned but that's not the case cuz her profile is still active.
Quoting WunderGirl12:


pcola, is that a front I see? Cold weather? (I havent checked my radar maps yet this morning, btw)

WunderGirl12


Yep thats the cold front that has been wreaking havoc yesterday and last night..
Down where I am at we will get storms and high winds..
When they come off the GOM they can be quite robust..
But really only a 1 day event for me as forecast calls for this front to get legs and move through in just a few hours and then things should settle down some..
Where is your location and did you have any luck with the info I posted on your blog?
I can't tell if Atlanta cell is strong or not on NWS radar, but people in that area should take a shelter.
line and pre frontal supercells and then broken line of supercells maybe:


Quoting FlyingScotsman:


A bit hasty to be saying that, as the tornado count is sure to rise considerably over the next day or two as they collate reports. If you look through the "wind reports" section, there's an awful lot of them that indicate probable tornado damage, as have a lot of reports on Twitter coming out of Tennessee. However, it is worth noting that most of these reports have come from further east than the 15% hatched area. Arkansas, which was supposed to be in the bullseye, seems to have gotten off alright.

Hey, you're right. That was a silly comment by me. We have to wait until all is tallied up. You are right...
Quoting stormchaser43:

I know washingtonian115 is not too crazy with this unseasonable mild airmass. She also doesn't care for severe storms, either. She's more of a winter storm person and a tropics guru. So we may not see her until winter returns...if it ever does!

I think Tomball is out skiing with her kids. She'll probably be back within the next couple weeks. Someone said she was banned but that's not the case cuz her profile is still active.

I'm pretty sure with all of this VR46L...
storm looks like a low topped spinup and its already gone.
Quoting VR46L:


Its actually really nice at the moment but another storm is coming in the next few hours supposed to have 80 mph winds coming in later



Great image VR46L..
80 mph winds is very dangerous indeed..
Hope all goes well for you..
Quoting pcola57:


Yep thats the cold front that has been wreaking havoc yesterday and last night..
Down where I am at we will get storms and high winds..
When they come off the GOM they can be quite robust..
But really only a 1 day event for me as forecast calls for this front to get legs and move through in just a few hours and then things should settle down some..
Where is your location and did you have any luck with the info I posted on your blog?


I'm in Volusia County. :-) I am gathering my information today for my report. I really appreciated your comment. I also deduced that people remember very tramatic things. For example, the most named hurricanes were Katrina, Camille, and Andrew. And what do they have in common? They were all Category 5 hurricanes at some point in their life. :-)

WunderGirl12
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:
storm looks like a low topped spinup and its already gone.

Like Jennifer Nettles once sang. You are a northern suburbs of Atlanta guy, right? You know Sugarland I'm sure.
680. emguy
Up here in Lexington, KY. We did have the Tornado Sirens go off when the squall line passed a few hours agao, and there were quite a few tornado warnings. It was a quick hitting line of storms that definately had some teeth to it. Enough to affect trees and power lines...However, this has totally been a straight line wind event. No reported tornadoes.

Quoting FlyingScotsman:


A bit hasty to be saying that, as the tornado count is sure to rise considerably over the next day or two as they collate reports. If you look through the "wind reports" section, there's an awful lot of them that indicate probable tornado damage, as have a lot of reports on Twitter coming out of Tennessee. However, it is worth noting that most of these reports have come from further east than the 15% hatched area. Arkansas, which was supposed to be in the bullseye, seems to have gotten off alright.
681. VR46L
Quoting stormchaser43:

I'm pretty sure with all of this VR46L...


Thats Great ! Chaser
682. VR46L
Quoting pcola57:


Great image VR46L..
80 mph winds is very dangerous indeed..
Hope all goes well for you..


The BBC weather forecaster said it would be a quite breezy day before telling folk in scotland that theywere going to get 120 mph gusts...lol

I will be fine . You take care with those tornado warnings.

See you folk later
Been siting in a hallway for the past 20 min. I hope they cancel the warning soon.
657 VR46L: I drop by occasionally, [stormchaser43]. Kinda busy yesterday. I saw Wash has said she won't be around until till May. The others I honestly Don't Know but I do miss Tomball

TomballTx said she was going skiing with her daughters.
I think StormTracker2K has tended to post Atlantic HurricaneSeason-only, with occasional entries during large tornado outbreaks.
Quoting WunderGirl12:


I'm in Volusia County. :-) I am gathering my information today for my report. I really appreciated your comment. I also deduced that people remember very tramatic things. For example, the most named hurricanes were Katrina, Camille, and Andrew. And what do they have in common? They were all Category 5 hurricanes at some point in their life. :-)

WunderGirl12


Good luck with your report..
I'm sure you got alot of help/info from your fellow bloggers..
You had quite a few post in your blog ..
Best of luck.. :)
How is everyone fairing with this severe weather?
Stay safe all.
There were nearly 250 damaging wind reports yesterday.
Quoting WunderGirl12:


I'm in Volusia County. :-) I am gathering my information today for my report. I really appreciated your comment. I also deduced that people remember very tramatic things. For example, the most named hurricanes were Katrina, Camille, and Andrew. And what do they have in common? They were all Category 5 hurricanes at some point in their life. :-)

WunderGirl12

Would like to see your report if you could. Did you include any of mine?
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
There were nearly 250 damaging wind reports yesterday.




@WHAS11Ben Ben Pine
Wow, damage in Marion county, Kentucky. Prayers to this family!
Current Jet Stream..



There is a storm near the airport in Atlanta. Its south of the tornado warned storm and looks healthy. Typeing from my iphone. I ment to ask if anyone can give there thoughts on the storm.
Good Morning





Good morning all! Very active in the east.. Cold as all get out and snow here in Breckenridge. Yesterday was the coldest ski day I've ever experienced. The high in town was 7F! Up on the mountain, below zero. Expecting 2 to 4 inches today and 3 to 6 tonight.
I just heard tornado warning is in effect for Atlanta! Y'all stay safe today!
1.2F and light snow at the moment.
Quoting hurricanehunter27:
There is a storm near the airport in Atlanta. Its south of the tornado warned storm and looks healthy. Typeing from my iphone. I ment to ask if anyone can give there thoughts on the storm.
It passed just west of the NWS office in PTC. Now that it has cleared the radar site, it was showing some weak rotation, but the overall appearence shows weakening. Plenty more on the way there!
Quoting AussieStorm:

Would like to see your report if you could. Did you include any of mine?


Hi Aussie!

I will post my report as soon as it if finished. :-) I am in the beginning stages of writing it. I might use your hurricane names when I include the part about Austrailian Hurricanes. :-) Thanks!

WunderGirl12
Quoting Chapelhill:
It passed just west of the NWS office in PTC. Now that it has cleared the radar site, it was showing some weak rotation, but the overall appearence shows weakening. Plenty more on the way there!
They finally let us out the of hallways. The storm was not even close. Not to mention looked really weak. Starting to get the storm down in Collage Park.
Quoting WunderGirl12:


Hi Aussie!

I will post my report as soon as it if finished. :-) I am in the beginning stages of writing it. I might use your hurricane names when I include the part about Austrailian Hurricanes. :-) Thanks!

WunderGirl12

You mean Australian Cyclones. I hope you get A+. Good luck with it.
Has anyone seen TheOnlyBravesFan. She is usually gung-ho with this severe weather stuff?????

GeorgiaStormz Where Is She Hiding Out???
Quoting stormchaser43:
Has anyone seen TheOnlyBravesFan. She is usually gung-ho with this severe weather stuff?????

GeorgiaStormz Where Is She Hiding Out???
She? He is at school.
Quoting hurricanehunter27:
She? He is at school.

He (GeorgiaStormz) is in school? Okay. But what about TheOnlyBravesFan. She must be in school too then....
@MMoon_WREG3 melissa moon
Storm damage. Toone, TN

Storm SE of Birmingham looks really dangerous. Just got tornado warned.
Pretty solid supercell headed into downtown Atlanta right now...
Quoting Thrawst:
Pretty solid supercell headed into downtown Atlanta right now...
Just went over me. Had decent tops on it compared to other storms. 32,000ft.
Similar to a few weeks ago it looks like this feature that is mid-Atlantic at the moment should form a low that gets shunted south by a strong high building in off Spain. Expected to be stronger than the last, outside chance of a Feb invest this week, though it's expected to fall apart at the end of five days..so probibly not.

Fresh ASCAT of it.
Quoting AussieStorm:

You mean Australian Cyclones. I hope you get A+. Good luck with it.


Thats right. My mistake. :-) Aren't they also called Willy - Willys down under? Thanks!

WunderGirl12
real breezy here now...............
Quoting WunderGirl12:


Thats right. My mistake. :-) Aren't they also called Willy - Willys down under? Thanks!

WunderGirl12

Willy-Willies are also known as Dust Devils. They are known in the USA as "dancing devil", "dirt devil".
Quoting AussieStorm:

Willy-Willies are also known as Dust Devils. They are known in the USA as "dancing devil", "dirt devil".


Interesting. :-) I can use that for my report. Thanks Aussie

WunderGirl12
TORNADO WATCH 18 REMAINS VALID UNTIL 1 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
THE FOLLOWING AREAS

IN ALABAMA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 28 COUNTIES

IN CENTRAL ALABAMA

AUTAUGA BIBB CHILTON
COOSA DALLAS ELMORE
LOWNDES MONTGOMERY PERRY
SHELBY ST. CLAIR TALLADEGA

IN EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA

CALHOUN CHAMBERS CLAY
CLEBURNE LEE MACON
RANDOLPH RUSSELL TALLAPOOSA

IN NORTHEAST ALABAMA

CHEROKEE ETOWAH

IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA

BARBOUR BULLOCK PIKE

IN WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA

HALE MARENGO

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...ALABASTER...ALEXANDER CITY...
ANNISTON...ASHLAND...AUBURN...BRENT...CENTRE...CE NTREVILLE...
CLANTON...COLUMBIANA...DEMOPOLIS...EUFAULA...FORT DEPOSIT...
GADSDEN...GREENSBORO...HEFLIN...JACKSONVILLE...LA NETT...LINDEN...
LINEVILLE...LOWNDESBORO...MARION...MILLBROOK...MO NTGOMERY...
MOODY...MOUNDVILLE...OPELIKA...PELHAM...PELL CITY...PHENIX CITY...
PRATTVILLE...ROANOKE...ROCKFORD...SELMA...SYLACAU GA...TALLADEGA...
TROY...TUSKEGEE...UNION SPRINGS...UNIONTOWN...
VALLEY AND WETUMPKA.

$$
...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

* LOCATIONS...THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA...NORTH INTO THE
MOUNTAIN EMPIRE OF SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...AND SOUTHERN WEST
VIRGINIA.

* HAZARDS...VERY STRONG AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

* WINDS...SOUTH 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH.

* TIMING...BEGINNING BY NOON...ENDING AS THE FRONT MOVES EAST
AFTER SUNSET.

* IMPACTS...DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES LIKELY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES...FALLEN
TREES...MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE...AND DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS
FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. RESIDENTS SHOULD MOVE UNFASTENED
ITEMS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND DECK FURNITURE...INDOORS.

THE PUBLIC IS ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ESTIMATED WIND GUSTS OR WIND
DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VIA EMAIL AT
RNK.SKYWARN@NOAA.GOV OR AT PHONE NUMBER 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2
4.

&&

$$


Nearly 2" of rain w/ 60 mph gusts for my area today
Quoting WunderGirl12:


Interesting. :-) I can use that for my report. Thanks Aussie

WunderGirl12

Your welcome. Once again, good luck with your report :-)
716. etxwx
Good morning all. Hopefully everyone is safe and sound and will continue to be so during the rest of this stormy weather. We had gusty winds and a nice .25 inches of rain here in East Texas with much more seasonal temps this morning, currently at 56F.

Quoting AussieStorm:

Your welcome. Once again, good luck with your report :-)


Hi Aussie... I wanted to ask you how's it been over there with the flooding going on.
Well it's looking more like the damage path I posted about last night was in fact a low end tornado. Video of a funnel has turned up on Facebook (don't have a link for you, sorry). Couple of houses had significant damage, but not nearly as bad as what some are posting here.
The biggest thing is rain locally in extreme drought area. One of the local TV mets posted that it's the heaviest rain event in 418 days. Looked like in the dark this morning, that the wetlands finally have water in them again, for the first time since April of last year.
so far no severe,lets see if this changes tonight huh..HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
555 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-GMZ830 -850-853-856-870-
873-876-302300-
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSB OROUGH-POLK-
MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DESOTO-CHARLOTT E-LEE-
TAMPA BAY WATERS-TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 NM-
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
555 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT
THROUGH WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA TONIGHT. OCCASIONAL
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS
TODAY INTO TONIGHT.

...RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
RIP CURRENT RISK AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT TODAY AND TONIGHT. SEE
BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT FOR MORE INFORMATION.

...WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN AND
OUTER WATERS...ALONG WITH TAMPA BAY. SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION
OVER THE REST OF THE WATERS. A PERSISTENT...GUSTY SOUTHERLY WIND
WILL RAISE SEAS AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

...RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE TO BE A HAZARD AFTER FRONTAL PASSAGE. SEE
BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT FOR MORE INFORMATION.

...WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
ELEVATED WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN IMMEDIATELY FOLLOWING FRONTAL
PASSAGE...SHOULD BEGIN TO LOWER INTO THE WEEKEND.

...FIRE WEATHER IMPACT...
STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CONTRIBUTE TO AN
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER RISK ON THURSDAY. SEE FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR
MORE INFORMATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

$$

GARCIA
Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:


Nearly 2" of rain w/ 60 mph gusts for my area today

Stay safe.

Goodnight all
Quoting AussieStorm:

Stay safe.

Goodnight all


Good Night Aussie! Thanks again! :-)

WunderGirl12

Tonight weather for my area

Showers, with thunderstorms also possible after midnight. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Patchy fog before midnight. Low around 47. Windy, with a south wind 16 to 21 mph increasing to 23 to 28 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 60 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.
alot of damage in Tenn..hope Hydrus is ok..........
Very foggy all over NYC today...wow
folks in the northeast..prepare and stay safe.......URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
929 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...A POWERFUL STORM DEVELOPING IN THE GREAT LAKES REGION THIS
AFTERNOON WILL CAUSE POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WIND IN PARTS OF OUR
AREA TONIGHT...

DEZ002>004-NJZ021>025-027-302230-
/O.CON.KPHI.HW.W.0001.130131T0000Z-130131T0900Z/
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOVER...GEORGETOWN...REHOBOTH BEACH...
MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON...CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...OCEAN CITY...
ATLANTIC CITY...WHARTON STATE FOREST
929 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
4 AM EST THURSDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTH 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED BETWEEN 10 PM
TONIGHT 4 AM THURSDAY...JUST AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT CROSSING
DELAWARE AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY. STRONGEST DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS MAY TEND TO OCCUR A FEW MILES INLAND...JUST AWAY FROM
THE WATERS EDGE.

* IMPACTS...SCATTERED TREES AND POWER LINE DAMAGE IS EXPECTED.
THIS WOULD RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES. SOME DAMAGE TO SMALL OR
COMPROMISED STRUCTURES COULD OCCUR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

&&

$$
Accuweather released their spring outlook...


A couple of winter storms may impact the Northeast during February and March. The potential exists for snow along the I-95 corridor from Washington, D.C., to New York City and Boston. This is not unusual for the region, as Pastelok noted, "Typically, February to March is the season on the East Coast." Historically, some large winter storms such as the Blizzard of '93 have struck the East Coast during March.

late season winter storms for the Northeast???
Washi..this is only one of the warnings for Your area..stay safe up there..........FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
946 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013

DCZ001-MDZ003>007-009>011-013-014-VAZ025>031-042- 053-054-
WVZ051>053-302300-
/O.EXA.KLWX.FF.A.0001.130130T2000Z-130131T1100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000 Z.OO/
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-WASHINGTON-FREDERICK MD-CARROLL-
NORTHERN BALTIMORE-HARFORD-MONTGOMERY-HOWARD-SOUTHERN BALTIMORE-
PRINCE GEORGES-ANNE ARUNDEL-AUGUSTA-ROCKINGHAM-SHENANDOAH-
FREDERICK VA-PAGE-WARREN-CLARKE-LOUDOUN-FAIRFAX-
ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA-MORGAN-BERKELEY-JEFFERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON...HAGERSTOWN...FREDERICK...
WESTMINSTER...GAITHERSBURG...COLUMBIA...BALTIMORE ...ANNAPOLIS...
STAUNTON...WAYNESBORO...HARRISONBURG...WINCHESTER ...FRONT ROYAL...
LEESBURG...FAIRFAX...ALEXANDRIA...FALLS CHURCH...MARTINSBURG...
CHARLES TOWN
946 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS EXPANDED
THE

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE PORTIONS OF MARYLAND...THE
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA...VIRGINIA AND NORTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...
INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN MARYLAND...ANNE ARUNDEL...
CARROLL...FREDERICK MD...HARFORD...HOWARD...MONTGOMERY...
NORTHERN BALTIMORE...PRINCE GEORGES...SOUTHERN BALTIMORE AND
WASHINGTON. THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA. IN VIRGINIA...
ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA...AUGUSTA...CLARKE...
FAIRFAX...FREDERICK VA...LOUDOUN...PAGE...ROCKINGHAM...
SHENANDOAH AND WARREN. IN NORTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...BERKELEY...
JEFFERSON AND MORGAN.

* FROM 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TONIGHT

* A LINE OF HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS WILL PUSH ACROSS
THE SHENANDOAH VALLEY...UPPER POTOMAC RIVER BASIN...AND THE
BALTIMORE AND WASHINGTON METROPOLITAN AREAS LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. TOTAL RAINFALL OF ONE TO ONE AND A HALF INCHES IS
EXPECTED...BUT MOST OF THIS WILL FALL IN A VERY SHORT PERIOD OF
TIME...WHICH COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
Nice day for me today. 17mph winds, sunny, 20% chance of rain, 86*F, and slightly cloudy. With the winds, I'll go fly my kite, since I have nothing better to do that write my essay. :-)

WunderGirl12
west virginia............WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 10 AM EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY UNTIL 1 AM EST TONIGHT. A HIGH WIND WARNING HAS ALSO
BEEN ISSUED. THIS HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 10
AM EST THURSDAY.

A HIGH WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 10 AM EST
THURSDAY.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH THROUGH 1
AM THURSDAY...INCREASING 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH.

* TIMING...HIGHEST WINDS AND WIND GUSTS WILL OCCUR FROM 1 TO 10 AM
THURSDAY.

* IMPACTS...WITH SATURATED TERRAIN...SOME TREES...LIMBS OR
BRANCHES MAY FALL. POWER FLUCTUATIONS OR OUTAGES ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE...BEING MOST LIKELY LATER TONIGHT. OUTDOOR FURNITURE OR
OBJECTS SHOULD BE SECURED OR MOVED INSIDE...TO BE PROTECTED
FROM THE WINDS. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.
...STRONG TO DAMAGING WINDS TODAY ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS
AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA...

.STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SET UP ACROSS THE REGION
TODAY IN ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THE STRONGEST WINDS
WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS...BUT RAIN SHOWERS DEVELOPING ACROSS THE REGION COULD
CHANNEL STRONG TO DAMAGING WINDS INTO THE LOWER ELEVATIONS AS
WELL. IN ADDITION...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE
APPROACHING FRONT WILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE AREA. THE
RESULTANT WET SOIL CONDITIONS WILL MAKE IT EASIER FOR THE WINDS TO
TOPPLE TREES AND PRODUCE POWER OUTAGES. THE WINDS WILL TURN
SHARPLY WEST BEHIND THE COLD FRONT LATE TODAY...BUT WITH VERY
WINDY CONDITIONS LIKELY LASTING WELL INTO THE NIGHT.
breezes getting stronger here now............
wind gusts up to 70 mph here nws is warning.......
HURRICANE SEASON 2013
______________________

The Atlantic Namelist...same one used in 2007 and 2001



click on the pic for larger view...
VR46L. You really have to wonder how the upcoming hurricane season this year is going to pan out. My gut is telling me a pretty quiet, non-eventful year.
Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:
Accuweather released their spring outlook...


A couple of winter storms may impact the Northeast during February and March. The potential exists for snow along the I-95 corridor from Washington, D.C., to New York City and Boston. This is not unusual for the region, as Pastelok noted, "Typically, February to March is the season on the East Coast." Historically, some large winter storms such as the Blizzard of '93 have struck the East Coast during March.

late season winter storms for the Northeast???



*Yawn*
Quoting stormchaser43:



*Yawn*


what is that supposed to mean??
Tornado heading for NE AL NW GA
looks good on velocities
Jedkins be careful up there today......................THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM EST /8 AM CST/
THIS MORNING TO 10 PM EST /9 PM CST/ THIS EVENING...

* TIMING...FROM MID MORNING INTO THIS EVENING.

* WINDS...FREQUENT GUSTS OF 45 TO 50 MPH.

* IMPACTS...WINDS THIS STRONG CAN KNOCK DOWN SMALL TREES...SNAP
LARGE BRANCHES...MOVE GARBAGE CANS AND PATIO FURNITURE. THEY CAN
ALSO MAKE DRIVING HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES EXTREMELY DIFFICULT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 35 MPH OR
HIGHER ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

&&

$$
TORNADO WARNING
ALC015-301600-
/O.NEW.KBMX.TO.W.0005.130130T1508Z-130130T1600Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
908 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EASTERN CALHOUN COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA...

* UNTIL 1000 AM CST

* AT 908 AM CST...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDICATED A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM
WAS LOCATED NEAR ANNISTON...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
FORT MCCLELLAN...JACKSONVILLE...PIEDMONT...WEAVER...CHO CCOLOCCO AND
WHITE PLAINS.

THIS INCLUDES...
INTERSTATE 20 EXIT NUMBERS 185 THROUGH 191...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE
LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING.

&&
NWS Nashville confirms that a EF2 Tornado went through Mount Juliet, TN early this morning.

Like I said, let's not call this "a bust" or "just a straight-line wind event" until the dust settles.
48 hours its over.......
Quoting FlyingScotsman:
NWS Nashville confirms that a EF2 Tornado went through Mount Juliet, TN early this morning.

Like I said, let's not call this "a bust" or "just a straight-line wind event" until the dust settles.
your so right, its a powerful storm system and its not over yet, still a very long day and night ahead..
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
903 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN CHOCTAW COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...
NORTHERN CLARKE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...
NORTHERN WASHINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...

* UNTIL 945 AM CST

* AT 900 AM CST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING
WINDS OVER 60 MPH WAS LOCATED 4 MILES NORTHWEST OF CHATOM...OR 9
MILES SOUTH OF MILLRY...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SILAS... WHATLEY... THOMASVILLE...
JACKSON... GROVE HILL... FULTON...
COFFEEVILLE... TIBBIE... SAINT STEPHENS...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. PREPARE FOR DAMAGING WINDS. PEOPLE OUTSIDE
SHOULD MOVE INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CST WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.
The sun is really starting to peak out in Southeast GA. Is that any indication that the weather will go downhill this afternoon in this area?

Millen, GA
Temp: 71
Humidity: 89%
Wind SpeedS 6 G 16 mph
Barometer: 29.96 in
Dewpoint: 68°F (20°C)
Visibility: 10.00 mi
Quoting gaweatherboi:
The sun is really starting to peak out in Southeast GA. Is that any indication that the weather will go downhill this afternoon in this area?

Millen, GA
Temp: 71
Humidity: 89%
Wind SpeedS 6 G 16 mph
Barometer: 29.96 in
Dewpoint: 68°F (20°C)
Visibility: 10.00 mi
storm front is still a bit aways from you yet..going to be a long day and night for sure..stay safe up there.
Tornado Watch..Georgia...................GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BALDWIN BANKS BARROW
BARTOW BIBB BLECKLEY
BUTTS CARROLL CATOOSA
CHATTAHOOCHEE CHATTOOGA CHEROKEE
CLARKE CLAYTON COBB
COWETA CRAWFORD DADE
DAWSON DEKALB DOOLY
DOUGLAS ELBERT FANNIN
FAYETTE FLOYD FORSYTH
FRANKLIN FULTON GILMER
GORDON GREENE GWINNETT
HABERSHAM HALL HANCOCK
HARALSON HARRIS HART
HEARD HENRY HOUSTON
JACKSON JASPER JONES
LAMAR LUMPKIN MACON
MADISON MARION MERIWETHER
MONROE MORGAN MURRAY
MUSCOGEE NEWTON OCONEE
OGLETHORPE PAULDING PEACH
PICKENS PIKE POLK
PULASKI PUTNAM RABUN
ROCKDALE SCHLEY SPALDING
STEPHENS STEWART SUMTER
TALBOT TALIAFERRO TAYLOR
TOWNS TROUP TWIGGS
UNION UPSON WALKER
WALTON WEBSTER WHITE
WHITFIELD WILKES WILKINSON
$$
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:
Tornado heading for NE AL NW GA
looks good on velocities


Where's TheOnlyBravesFan???
TORNADO WARNING
GAC015-115-143-233-301600-
/O.NEW.KFFC.TO.W.0002.130130T1521Z-130130T1600Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1021 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHWESTERN BARTOW COUNTY IN NORTHWEST GEORGIA
SOUTHEASTERN FLOYD COUNTY IN NORTHWEST GEORGIA
NORTHWESTERN HARALSON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST GEORGIA
POLK COUNTY IN NORTHWEST GEORGIA

* UNTIL 1100 AM EST

* AT 1018 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 30 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF CEDARTOWN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO CAVE
SPRING...ARAGON...TAYLORSVILLE...EUHARLEE...KINGST ON...ROME AND
SHANNON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WHEN A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED BASED ON DOPPLER RADAR...IT MEANS
THAT STRONG ROTATION HAS BEEN DETECTED IN THE STORM. A TORNADO MAY
ALREADY BE ON THE GROUND...OR IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SHORTLY. IF YOU
ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS DANGEROUS STORM...MOVE INDOORS AND TO A
BASEMENT OR INTERIOR ROOM ON THE GROUND FLOOR. STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS. IF DRIVING...DO NOT SEEK SHELTER UNDER A HIGHWAY OVERPASS.

IF YOU SEE WIND DAMAGE...HAIL OR FLOODING...WAIT UNTIL THE STORM HAS
PASSED...AND THEN CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOLL FREE AT 1 8
6 6 7 6 3 4 4 6 6. YOU CAN ALSO TWEET YOUR REPORT USING HASHTAG GAWX.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM EST WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON FOR NORTHERN GEORGIA.

&&
Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:


what is that supposed to mean??


That's extremely boring. Not your post but the contents within. That's a bleak, blah, drab, dull winter outlook. Especially from HypuWeather. Something tells me winter 2013 is over.

Your post on the other hand are great!!
Doc you have to update your convective outlook on your blog. Or at the very least link it to where it auto updates. It can be quite misleading for Folks reading that....
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
921 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013

ALC015-301600-
/O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0005.000000T0000Z-130130T1600Z/
CALHOUN AL-
921 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEASTERN CALHOUN
COUNTY UNTIL 1000 AM CST...

AT 921 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR JACKSONVILLE...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 65 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PIEDMONT.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CALL 1-800-856-0758.
Largo, can you post the weather map for Queens, NY today. I need to know if I need to go out with mi paraguas...
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1028 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS THE STATE TODAY AND TONIGHT...
WITH DAMAGING WINDS EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF
NORTHEAST GEORGIA...

.A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL PUSH THROUGH GEORGIA TODAY AND
TONIGHT. STRONG WINDS WILL DEVELOP THIS MORNING AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...AND THEN INCREASE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL ACCOMPANY THESE WINDS ON WEDNESDAY... BUT IT
SHOULD BE NOTED THAT VERY STRONG WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE OUTSIDE OF
ANY SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY AS WELL. RECENT RAINS AND THE
ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL ANTICIPATED FROM THIS SYSTEM WILL ALLOW
FOR TREES TO BE UPROOTED WITH GREATER EASE.
Quoting stormchaser43:
Largo, can you post the weather map for Queens, NY today. I need to know if I need to go out with mi paraguas...
wow i used to have a house in Astoria ages ago...here is the Queens forecast..good luck up there.......
Day: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Highs around 55°F. South wind to 23 MPH, gusting to 35 MPH. Chance of precipitation near 75%. Precipitation amounts less than one tenth of an inch possible.




Night: Windy with rain showers likely. Lows around 50°F. South wind 24 to 34 MPH, gusting to 57 MPH. Chance of precipitation near 100%. Precipitation amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.
Widespread beneficial rains fell last night over the entire state of Illinois ranging anywhere from 1 to 3 inches. I personally dumped 1.5" in both gauges. Not too shabby.

My attention is now turning to February 14th, this is when I am going on my ski trip in Wisconsin The CPC is making want to smash things. #*&$!

6-10 Feb 4th-8th



8-14 Feb 6th-12th.



I hope there isn't too much in the way of confidence in this outlook or I may have to wait to next year. It does seem to have the appearance that maybe another shot of arctic air may be hinting around the Canadian border at the end of the forecast?


JeffMasters has created a new entry.
Quoting ILwthrfan:
Widespread beneficial rains fell last night over the entire state of Illinois ranging anywhere from 1 to 3 inches. I personally dumped 1.5" in both gauges. Not too shabby.

My attention is now turning to February 14th, this is when I am going on my ski trip in Wisconsin The CPC is making want to smash things. #*&$!

6-10 Feb 4th-8th



8-14 Feb 6th-12th.



I hope there isn't too much in the way of confidence in this outlook or I may have to wait to next year. It does seem to have the appearance that maybe another shot of arctic air may be hinting around the Canadian border at the end of the forecast?




I think you're screwed, Kid. Tell me. Why in the world would you go to Wisconsin to ski? I know snowlover is going to Aspen in Colorado and I think Tomball is in Washington State hitting the slopes...
be careful by Rome georgia..your in that cone for the severe storm and possible tornado....
Quoting VR46L:


I drop by occasionally Chaser, Kinda busy yesterday..I saw Wash has said she wont be around until till May . The others I honestly Dont Know but I do miss Tomball


Didn't she say she was going to on a 2nd Ski trip. Thought she said Wash. state.
For West Palm Beach...Temps returning to normal / slightly below norms, beginning tomorrow...

got 115mph shear and bti of 4.3 passing to my north.
strengthening south of rome.
funnel cloud reports
very heavy rain/ small hail
3D imagry looks very much like a tornado in N GA

we'll have to see if one touches/touched down.
one of their dual pol products suggests there may be a tornado

maybe even part of a hail core as well.