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A new rainfall world record

By: Dr. Jeff Masters, 4:15 PM GMT on March 13, 2007

The world record for most precipitation in a 72-hour period was shattered this month when the French island of La Runion recorded 12.9 feet (3.929 meters) of rain. La Runion is a small island in the South Indian Ocean east of Madagascar. Despite the island's small size--about 30 miles across--it has two tall volcanoes that rise over 8,500 feet in altitude. These volcanoes can squeeze prodigious amounts of rain out of the moist tropical atmosphere when strong winds force this moist air up their flanks. La Runion already held the world record for a 3-day precipitation event, the 3.24 meters that fell during January 1980 in Tropical Cyclone Hyacinthe. Another tropical cyclone--Category 3 Tropical Cyclone Gamede--set the world record this time. Gamede never hit the island, but passed close enough (120 miles away) and moved slowly enough that its outer spiral bands stayed over the island for many days. The 3-day record was set at Commerson's Crater, a remote site at 7,500 feet altitude. The village of Hell Bourg at 3000 feet altitude also exceeded the former world record, measuring 3.264 meters of rain over the same 3-day period. Regions along the island's shore received much less rain--Gillot, 0.439 meters, St-Benot, 0.309 meters, and Pierrefonds, 0.247 meters.

Gamede's rains also brought world records for the most rain recorded for multi-day periods up to nine days:

3 days: 12.9 feet (3.93 meters)
4 days: 16.0 feet (4.87 meters)
5 days: 16.3 feet (4.98 meters)
6 days: 16.6 feet (5.07 meters)
7 days: 17.7 feet (5.40 meters)
8 days: 18.1 feet (5.51 meters)
9 days: 18.1 feet (5.51 meters)

The 10-day record was not broken, and is still held by Tropical Cyclone Hyacinthe's 18.4 feet of rain that fell from January 18-27, 1980.

Figure 1. Tropical Cyclone Gamede on February 27, 2007 at 10am local time, as it brought world-record rains to La Reunion Island in the Indian Ocean. At the time, Gamede was a Category 2 storm with top winds of 100 mph. Image credit: NASA Earth Observatory.

I'll be back Wednesday or Thursday with a new blog.

Jeff Masters

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

Reader Comments

I've always wanted to visit the island of Mauritius and the Maldives...perhaps Africa needs this system to strike for needed rainfall.
that a lot of rain in a few days time 18ft of rain wow what kind of flooding would that have
hello all hey dont you think with all the high wind shear in the gulf dont you think that this sould be gone by now?

her is a loop of it i can not tell and vary hard to tell but i think there may be a weak spin in there some where but hey what do i no


but in any way that is holding up vary well in 80kt of wind shear thats overe it

That rain is inpart being caused be the shear. It's part of an upper level low.
oh ok then
MP~ Just about the whole east side of Africa from Kenya south to Mozenbique has had repeated flooding since Sept-Oct of last years. South of there at the very south end of South Africa has been droughty dry. I've posted many news articles about the 100s of 1,000s that have been dispaced or lost their homes. Their latest cry was for food & fear of more disease.
It's like a line was drawn that the rain gets squeezed out before it passes. The flood & typhoon hit areas are recieving their aid but at least this group isn't giving aid to the ones way south in the drought.

According to the Government, the floods, cyclone and drought that have plagued Mozambique have destroyed 277,000 hectares of crops and affected nearly 1.1 million people.

Around 750,000 people are estimated to be in need of food assistance in these three areas, including 285,000 people in the flooded Zambezi River basin, 183,000 affected by cyclone Favio and 280,000 in the drought-ravaged south.

While the GoM report states that 750,000 people are in need of food assistance, WFP is not currently assisting the drought-affected caseload nor has it been asked by the GoM to do so.


However, the National Disaster Management Institute (INGC) has requested WFP assistance food assistance for three months for the 285,000 people who are estimated to have lost their annual maize crops in the floods.

WFP has begun distributing food aid to people affected by the cyclone, while scaling up aid operations for the floods.

WFP distributed over 80 mt of food aid to 11,700 people in the cyclone affected areas in the first four days of the operation.

Flood victims

Meanwhile, WFP and its partners have so far provided 520 metric tons of food rations to 95,000 people in flood accommodation centres in the provinces of Tete, Manica, Sofala and Zambezia.

WFP is drastically increasing its logistics capacity in Caia by bringing in additional helicopters, boats and trucks.

A Humanitarian Country Team rapid-response CERF request was approved in late Feb. WFPs air ops and augmented logistics operation were fully funded but the CERF secretariat only agreed to provide 50 percent of the requested funds for food aid.

Food shortfalls prompted a reduction of regular PRRO HIV/AIDS and food-for-assets activities for the first quarter, resulting in the reduction of 10,000 beneficiaries and 34 field level agreements with community-based partners
The low over west central Texas shouldn't make a big storm, but it seems to have potential to make some rainy, stormy weather somewhere. A lot of variables becoming favorable, ie. lessening wind shear, daily hotter temps, and pulling more gulf moisture as it sags south and east.
take a look and give me a commet and tell me how you like them

maybe South FL will get some much needed rain out of this
Indlala is just about in the same spot as Gamede in the satalite that Dr Masters posted.

13. TS2
It Certainly looks good
Wow-wa-wee, schlitterbahn is getting shalacked
13/1430 UTC 13.2S 53.7E T5.0/5.0 INDLALA
13/0230 UTC 12.8S 55.0E T4.0/4.0 INDLALA
12/1430 UTC 13.0S 56.7E T3.5/3.5 INDLADA
Madagascar is forecasted for a grazing
17. TS2
WOW, looks like a track similar to Gamede's

which side of the mountain will the rain fall if it is falling in the vicinity and why-
quod est hic ?
Tis looking a bit like Gamede..

Bits of the 2nd IPCC report is beginning to get out.
Indlala rainfall rates
Posted By: Tazmanian2007 at 11:19 AM CDT on March 13, 2007.

that a lot of rain in a few days time 18ft of rain wow what kind of flooding would that have

Hmmm... No idea... but it probably reminded many of the flood in the Bible... considering what much smaller amounts of rain over many months did in 1993.
22. L5
Anyone contemplating travel in the coming weeks to the Southern Indian Ocean including La Reunion, Mauritius, or any of the little pirate's islands hideaways/islands in the vicinity should seriously consider building/bringing their own Ark.
23. TS2
You may need more than an Ark.
Most of the rain probably just ran right off in massive flash floods, considering the steep terrain (as opposed to the relatively flat land in the Midwest). I sure wouldn't want to get that much rain in that short of a time period in any case, even if it was 18 inches, not feet (the closest recent event like this was in January 2005 when about 9 inches fell in a week, which caused lots of flooding problems - but nothing compared to what 18 feet would do).
AP Impact: New Orleans Pumps Were Faulty
Tuesday, March 13, 2007 - 07:07 PM

Associated Press Writer

The Army Corps of Engineers, rushing to meet President Bushs promise to protect New Orleans by the start of the 2006 hurricane season, installed defective flood-control pumps last year despite warnings from its own expert that the equipment would fail during a storm, according to documents obtained by The Associated Press.

The 2006 hurricane season turned out to be mild, and the new pumps were never pressed into action. But the Corps and the politically connected manufacturer of the equipment are still struggling to get the 34 heavy-duty pumps working properly.

The pumps are now being pulled out and overhauled because of excessive vibration, Corps officials said. Other problems have included overheated engines, broken hoses and blown gaskets, according to the documents obtained by AP.

Col. Jeffrey Bedey, who is overseeing levee reconstruction, insisted the pumps would have worked last year and the city was never in danger. Bedey gave assurances that the pumps should be ready for the coming hurricane season, which begins June 1.

The Corps said it decided to press ahead with installation, and then fix the machinery while it was in place, on the theory that some pumping capacity was better than none. And it defended the manufacturer, which was under time pressure.

"Let me give you the scenario: You have four months to build something that nobody has ever built before, and if you dont, the city floods and the Corps, which already has a black eye, could basically be dissolved. How many people would put up with a second flooding?" said Randy Persica, the Corps resident engineer for New Orleans three major drainage canals.

The 34 pumps _ installed in the drainage canals that take water from this bowl-shaped, below-sea-level city and deposit it in Lake Pontchartrain _ represented a new ring of protection that was added to New Orleans flood defenses after Katrina. The city also relies on miles of levees and hundreds of other pumps in various locations.

The drainage-canal pumps were custom-designed and built under a $26.6 million contract awarded after competitive bidding to Moving Water Industries Corp. of Deerfield Beach, Fla. It was founded in 1926 and supplies flood-control and irrigation pumps all over the world.

MWI is owned by J. David Eller and his sons. Eller was once a business partner of former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush in a venture called Bush-El that marketed MWI pumps. And Eller has donated about $128,000 to politicians, the vast majority of it to the Republican Party, since 1996, according to the Center for Responsive Politics.

MWI has run into trouble before. The U.S. Justice Department sued the company in 2002, accusing it of fraudulently helping Nigeria obtain $74 million in taxpayer-backed loans for overpriced and unnecessary water-pump equipment. The case has yet to be resolved.

Because of the trouble with the New Orleans pumps, the Corps has withheld 20 percent of the MWI contract, including an incentive of up to $4 million that the company could have collected if it delivered the equipment in time for the 2006 hurricane season.

Misgivings about the pumps were chronicled in a May 2006 memo provided to the AP by Matt McBride, a mechanical engineer and flooded-out Katrina victim who, like many in New Orleans, has been closely watching the rebuilding of the citys flood defenses.

The memo was written by Maria Garzino, a Corps mechanical engineer overseeing quality assurance at an MWI test site in Florida. The Corps confirmed the authenticity of the 72-page memo, which details many of the mechanical problems and criticizes the testing procedures used.

About a dozen of the 34 pumps on order were already in place in New Orleans when Garzino wrote her report, according to Bedey.

In her memo, Garzino told corps officials that the equipment being installed was defective. She warned that the pumps would break down "should they be tasked to run, under normal use, as would be required in the event of a hurricane."

The pumps failed less-strenuous testing than the original contract called for, according to the memo. Originally, each of the 34 pumps was to be "load tested" _ made to pump water _ but that requirement for all the pumps was dropped, the memo said.

Of eight pumps that were load tested, one was turned on for a few minutes and another was run at one-third of operating pressure, the memo said. Three of the other load-tested pumps "experienced catastrophic failure," Garzino wrote.

The memo does not spell out what would have happened if the pumps had failed in a storm. But the Corps has acknowledged that parts of New Orleans could be hit with serious flooding if the floodgate pumps could not keep up.

Garzino, a Corps employee with the agencys Los Angeles district, was one of many personnel brought in after Katrina. Her memo was sent to Col. Lewis Setliff III, head of a task force assigned to rebuild the flood defenses.

Setliff did not return a call for comment. Garzino declined to discuss the memo.

MWI vice president Dana Eller said Garzinos conclusions about the pumps were premature. "She was there when we turned on the switch," he said. "If you put your garden hose on and its leaking a bit, youd tighten the garden hose. So thats what we did."

Bedey said some of what Garzino wrote was alarming and "caused me to ask a series of questions" about the reliability of the pumps. But he said they would have pumped water if they had been needed last hurricane season.

Just in case, the Corps brought in numerous portable pumps last year and plans to do the same thing this year, officials said.

In the meantime, the Corps has paid MWI $4.5 million for six additional pumps, and will use them to troubleshoot the defective ones, Bedey said.

Corps spokesman Rob Brown said MWI has paid for all other expenses incurred in fixing the pumps _ shipping them back and forth from a facility in Gray, La., and installing and reinstalling them.

After Katrina, Congress gave the corps $5.7 billion to make New Orleans safe from hurricanes. The Corps rushed to fix broken levees and floodwalls and make good on Bushs promise that the city would be protected "better than pre-Katrina by June 1."

Katrinas storm surge caused water on Lake Pontchartrain to back up into the citys drainage canals. The canal walls gave way, and about 80 percent of New Orleans flooded. Nearly 1,600 people in Louisiana died in the storm and its aftermath.

After the storm, the Corps decided to install floodgates at the mouths of the major canals. While that would keep water from Lake Pontchartrain from backing up in the canals, it would also prevent water pumped out of the city from flowing into the lake.

So the Corps installed pumps behind the floodgates to move water into the lake when the gates were closed. Each pump is designed to push about 200 cubic feet of water a second.

"We didnt have the luxury to go through a two-, three-year design and planning phase," Bedey said. "We had to get closure structures in place."

Copyright 2007 Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.
I can't imagine what that much rain would do to Houston. Wow!
From nola.com
Corps pump tests get thumbs up
No vibrations felt at 17th Street Canal
Sunday, March 11, 2007
By Sheila Grissett

Four pumps ran without vibration or pulsation during tests Saturday at the 17th Street Canal, leading an Army Corps of Engineers official to declare enough pumps will be functioning on all three New Orleans outfall canals when the 2007 hurricane season begins June 1.

These were the first pumps to be tested since the devices were pulled from the canals at the end of hurricane season last fall to try to fix a serious vibration problem.

The hydraulic motors were removed and shipped back to their San Antonio manufacturer so deficient springs that were the cause of the violent vibrations.

"It went extremely well, just as we thought it would," said Col. Jeffrey Bedey, director of the corps' Hurricane Protection Office in New Orleans. Bedey is also responsible for getting temporary pumping systems running as soon as possible at the 17th Street, Orleans and London Avenue canals. "We're four for four, " he added.

Bedey said another 14 repaired pumps will be installed at the 17th Street Canal before work moves to the London Avenue Canal and finally to the channel along Orleans Avenue.

Solving the vibration problem means the corps, by June 1, will be able to provide at least part of the drainage capacity that residents of surrounding neighborhoods, as well as elected officials, say the agency is obligated to provide to control street and building flooding during a tropical storm or hurricane.

If newly installed floodgates designed to keep a storm surge out of the canals are ever closed, the corps' pumps will be critical to reducing flooding in areas that drain into the canals. With the gates lowered, the much bigger New Orleans Sewerage & Water Board pumps will be unable to move storm water out of the canals, leaving the task to the corps' temporary pumps.

Under the current schedule, the repaired pumps being installed at the 17th Street Canal will be able to handle about 3,600 cubic feet of water per second, or cfs. The London Avenue Canal pumps will be able to handle about 2,800 cfs. Those numbers are significantly smaller than the 9,600 cfs and 8,000 cfs, respectively, that the city water board's pumps can move under ideal conditions.

The 2,200 cfs to be provided by temporary pumps at the Orleans Avenue Canal will nearly equal normal capacity.

Bedey also said capacity at the two larger canals is expected to be increased by late July or mid-August, when an additional 19 pumps -- larger models than the original 34 now being reinstalled -- are due to be installed and ready to run.

Bedey said he doesn't expect the newer pumps to have vibration problems because they are of a different design.

Although the corps engineering team knew there were vibration problems before the pumps were delivered last year, Bedey said it was better to have the pumps in place in the event of a hurricane than to have no pumps. And despite the vibrations, he said, he would have run the pumps last hurricane season had it been necessary to close the floodgates. Engineers said the pumps probably would have performed below capacity due to the vibration problem.

"There was a certain amount of risk in that, but we figured we were better off putting them in the water and trying to work out the kinks here than not having had them if they were needed," he said.
Thats an AP writer with a lot of time on his hands Taz...
Posted By: MichaelSTL at 7:01 PM GMT on March 13, 2007.
considering what much smaller amounts of rain over many months did in 1993.

Thanks for that link, I forgotten about '93. I drove from Cali to Chicago at the end of July '93 and went right through that, I vividly remember Lincoln under water to the edges of I-80. People stranded on car tops at exits... all that
Evening all,

On Indlala:

If it does brush the Madegascar coast as forecast, the onshore winds would pile water into that bay that is similar to Tampa Bay. I wonder what the population is like in that part of the island . . . .

The northern and eastern quadrants seem particularly volatile; earlier today the cloudtops expanded vertically and horizontally in this area, then wrapped around to the south and west. Indlala is forecast to be a category three as it nears the Madegascan coast.

Shaded relief map & Population density map (circa 1976) - click a map to make it bigger.
How could about 13Ft. of Rain fall in 3 days!!!!!!!!!!?? How How HOW!!!!
How could about 13Ft. of Rain fall in 3 days!!!!!!!!!!?? How How HOW!!!!
How do the SSTs look in the Gulf?
That is insane. It is amazing that the erosion from such rains on steep mountain slopes don't wash the island away! When the volcanoes there stop erupting, I imagine Reunion will not last long.
look at this pin weel look at the vary top of the photo do you see it?

Wow! That's a lot of rain! Can you imagine if that was snow? You would be talking about almost 1,560 inches.
Geez, a pile of snow as high as Denver . . . .

There's a nature reserve on that little peninsula on Madagascar. Plus there is a little town at the head of that bay.

Hopefully Indlala will stay more out to sea than currently forecast . . .
40. V26R
Taz thats just an Upper Level Low moving southLink
hey V26R long time no see hows it been
42. V26R
Busy with new work schedule, Hopefully Boss will see the error in his ways and put us back to normal
: V26R we have not talk in so long whats go to my blog

well well well it been a vary long time but 94B is up on the navy site
44. V26R
Im there!
Indlala continues to intensify and everything looks good for futher intensification to take place winds are currently @ 90kts.

hello all 19s is makeing a run for cat 5 Raw T # is up to 6.4 but i am not sure wish one they ues
Animated IR loop of Indlala.90kts.

954 mb and only 90 kt?Even accounting for uncertainties in the pressure due to lack of recon,those winds should be higher,especially given the satellite appearance.
NCEP global ensemble for Indlala...

Hello all. Can anyone give me an update on how the la nina is doing?
Morning all, first time i've checked the WU since November of 06. Interesting that there is a hurricane to watch. Will check back later. HI Taz.
CIMSS MIMIC Cyclone INDLALA Vmax 93knts..Link
Posted By: weatherboykris at 10:14 PM CDT on March 13, 2007.

954 mb and only 90 kt?Even accounting for uncertainties in the pressure due to lack of recon,those winds should be higher,especially given the satellite appearance.

The Indian Ocean does not have the same pressure-wind relationship as the Atlantic (many people are confused as to why storms in the West Pacific and Indian Ocean have such low pressures for their winds; it has to do with the environmental pressures which are much lower than in the Atlantic):

Record Report
Statement as of 3:13 PM EDT on March 13, 2007

record event report
National Weather Service Indianapolis in
312 PM EDT Tue March 13 2007

... Record high temperature for March 13 broken...

The temperature rose to 80 degrees shortly after 300 PM EDT at the
Indianapolis International Airport.

This reading of 80 degrees breaks the record for March 13 at
Indianapolis... which was 78 degrees set in 1990.

Temperature records at Indianapolis began in 1871.

... On this date in Indiana weather history...

River,ferry,and fog...Link
Spectacular looking cyclone Indlala has turned out to be!Winds currently at 100kts...

It could be a lot stronger:

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 14 MAR 2007 Time : 120000 UTC
Lat : 14:26:59 S Lon : 51:26:07 E

CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
6.3 / 922.2mb/122.2kt

6hr-Avg T# 3hr-Avg T# Adj T# Raw T#
6.2 6.3 6.4 6.4

AMSU01 FMEE 141041
Wednesday 14mar07 Time: 1041 UTC
Latitude: -14.22 Longitude: 51.59
Storm position corresponds to AMSU-A FOV 25 [130]
| Estimated MSLP: 941 hPa
| Estimated Maximum Sustained Wind: 114 kts
| Estimate Confidence: Good ( +/- 9mb +/- 10kts )
Storm is sub-sampled: Bias correction applied is -6 hPa
Channel 8 (~150 hPa) Tb Anomaly: 3.78 (channel used for estimate)
Channel 7 (~250 hPa) Tb Anomaly: 3.68
RMW: 25 km
RMW Source is: IR
Environmental Pressure: 1008 (Climo)
Satellite: NOAA-18
ATCF data for Month: 03 Day: 14 Time (UTC): 0600
Probably so STL as Indlala went under rapid intensification last night.

Perfect symmetry on infrared...

In fact, it was just upgraded to a Category 4:

source~ MIT
Beautiful cyclone!

Free Image Hosting at www.ImageShack.us
Deep reds continue to rap around the eye is indicative of futher intensification...

Scroll down to the lower right segment of the image. Talk about rapid intensification . . .
Check out the MIMIC too. . .
No shear to save them.
71. TS2
I see Indlana went for the rapid intensifing route.

Picture Perfect Cyclone!!
It appears that Indlala is starting to undergo an eyewall replacement cycle, which should at least slow intensification, if not cause weakening:

73. TS2
It's forecast to make landfall as a Cat 3
74. TS2
So the ERC will not really help the people of Madagascar
2007 for the Indian Ocean is like 2005 was for us.....or at least it seems to be. I would like to see Dr. Masters' commentary about how this season compares to a normal one.

Also, I haven't heard very much about the South Pacific hurricane season this year. Did El Nino surpress it? And is the southern hemisphere as a whole having an above average hurricane season?
Indlala is very dangerous.

Hey i have a question... does Madagascar usually get this many hurricanes?????
Perfect symmetry on infrared...Beautiful cyclone .

Hopefully Indlala weakens some before landfall but looking less likely as this very powerful cyclone is likely to cause severe damage and loss of life.Hopefully those people are hunkered down and my prayers go out to them.Adrian

Posted By: HurricaneRoman at 12:39 PM CDT on March 14, 2007.

Hey i have a question... does Madagascar usually get this many hurricanes?????

I don't think so; I think it might be due to El Nino (even if it has dissipated); this was from an article on El Nino/La Nina describing the 1997-1998 ENSO event:

Temperatures reached 108F [42C] in Mongolia; Kenyas rainfall was 40 inches [100 centimeters] above normal; central Europe suffered record flooding that killed 55 in Poland and 60 in the Czech Republic; and Madagascar was battered with monsoons and cyclones. In the U.S. mudslides and flash floods flattened communities from California to Mississippi, storms pounded the Gulf Coast, and tornadoes ripped Florida.
In Madagascar, the Tropical Cyclones are very frequent.
In Madagascar, the tropical cyclones are very frequent.
Last year seemed like Australia was taking the brunt but this year, yeah Madagascar is being frequented most.
The outer eyewall is very apparant in this IR image; it also is already partially over land:

INDLALA is now a vary powerfull cat 4 storm with winds of 125kt
125 knots, GUST 140 knots, and 916 hPa.
I feel terrible for these folks in Madagascar cause when this eyewall hits land all hell is going to break loose.
Ermuleto, How long ago did you read that?

ITC Indlana blog is up, just a quick hit and run one. will update when i have time.
Erm where you getting that data? I dont see the pressure on any of the web sites I look at.
Ermuleto, How long ago did you read that?

That is what NRL has:

It looks like the inner eyewall is refiring as the outer eyewall gets disrupted by land... also, the gusts are 150 kts, not 140, according to this, which also seems to forecast landfall as a Category 4 (notice that the 15/12z point is after it has been over land for about 6 hours, so it is likely much stronger at landfall):

BTW, here is NRL, which updates every 6 hours (versus 12 hours for JTWC updates).
there are folks that live on Madagascar?
Ok Thanks STL
Still dont see the pressure and it reads 115kts
Try this - look above the image (this link expires after a while).

PS: You need to look at one of the images to see the latest winds and pressure.
Darn... I think that the URL to the image is too long because it gets cut off and doesn't work... anyway, just click on the image on the right here.
Click for larger view


Free Image Hosting at www.ImageShack.us
NRL has winds clocked @ 145mph thats 1-min.
I think that this site is all messed up...
Why would you say that?CAT5 winds and pressure in alot of places across the atlantic is probably far fetched for this time of the year so it could be a little off.
Well, it did not look at all like that yesterday. Also, look at the South Indian Ocean (and other regions):

Yesterday it looked like the map for the Atlantic today, with a very large area of dark blue across the eastern half (880 mb or below).
Also, I never heard that a Category 5 hurricane could be sustained over waters that are not even 80 degrees, no matter how perfect other conditions were.
Yea there probably not updated....
I don't think that is the problem, as they have been updating and were fine until today (there have been glitches before, for example, once they were totally blank). Also, the SSTs on the maps look OK (notice that the Gulf is below 26.5*C).
I emailed them on this issue so they will get to fixing the problem in the coming hours.
Posted By: hurricane23 at 1:52 PM PDT on March 14, 2007.

I emailed them on this issue so they will get to fixing the problem in the coming hours

why did you do that i like the map the way it is
New Yorker Magazine,Dan Baum, New Orleans Journal section
The story here..Link
109. Inyo
is it normal for the Indian Ocean to be so active? I dont ever recall seeing so many hurricanes there but I didn't used to really follow them.
Houston at 4:18 cst...6
animated view with storm tracks..Link
Houston Webcams..pick your view here..Link
Jury recommends DEATH PENALTY FOR JOHN COUE!!Justice is now served....
Jury only reccomends to the Judge.1 more hurdle yet.Lets hope he sees it that way too.
The Judge usually follows the jurys recommendation.
Hello everyone. Hope all is having a nice day. It's raining here and suppose to rain all night and part of the day tomorrow.
So much for the eyewall replacement cycle... the outer eyewall apparantly disintegrated as it hit land and the inner eyewall has redeveloped:

Here's an IR image of Indlala from my photo album...Feel free to look threw it.

Adrian's Indlala pics

Here's Indlala about 1/2 hour ago; looks like it's making landfall.

Wow, no picture or link . . .
Yeah Indlala is making landfall now.

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 15 MAR 2007 Time : 013000 UTC
Lat : 14:51:25 S Lon : 50:21:12 E

CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
5.9 / 932.6mb/112.4kt

6hr-Avg T# 3hr-Avg T# Adj T# Raw T#
5.6 5.5 5.7 5.7

Latitude bias adjustment to MSLP : +2.8mb

Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR : 9 km

Center Temp : -41.0C Cloud Region Temp : -70.3C

Scene Type : EYE


Ocean Basin : INDIAN
Dvorak CI > MSLP Conversion Used : PACIFIC

Tno/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : NO LIMIT
Weakening Flag : ON
Rapid Dissipation Flag : OFF

The blue line with triangles or a little left is my guess.
hello my gas jump from $3.05 to $3.15 today so whats keeep all hurricane out of th gulf or my gas will go higher

Sig. wave heights are supposed to be around 36 ft near Indlala, according to either Mauritius or Reunion weather website.

I wouldn't want to be at that wonderful land and sea park in Madagascar right now. That storm looks like it is packing a mean punch right about now. It should be just about daylight there right now . . .
That storm looks ugly, atleast it's not night.

Just the start of 'cane season will bring up gas. Help us if something actually threatens supply.
Reunion, which is responsible for the "official" forecast for this region, looks like it is taking the pink line, with, it seems, the eye (or what's left of it) pass almost directly over the capital city. The rain is likely to be torrential, regardless of the exact track, since the hills rise very steeply on that side of the island.
Please don't talk about gas prices going up again . . . :o(

If we have another active season in the gulf, gas is likely to go over $5.00 here.
this keeep the hurricans out of the gulf and will be ok
it will most likey be overe $4 her and why not we dont want to talk about high gas not march weather going on so why not
The landfall is on the Indlala movie now. Looks like it akes a hard jog right(north) following the coast.
(The NOAA analysis of the pending La Nina is due out today around 3 p.m.)

Its will quite interesting to see how they feel about this situation.
There's something interesting looking in the East Pacific. Don't get your hopes up though, taz.
Interesting little blow up but chances are small as windshear is anywere between 30-50kts currently.
Joseph Mann. South Florida Sun Sentinel. March 12, 2007. Page N/A. On March 12 the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) began offering contracts extending its existing weather contract market. The new contracts cover the first three hurricanes that hit Florida and four other coastal regions during this years hurricane season. The contracts allow insurers, utilities, oil companies and others protection against risks not covered by traditional insurance. Buyers can obtain a contract covering the first hurricane to make landfall in Florida, for example, after a storm begins to form off the coast of Africa. The CME Carvill Hurricane Index determines the risk level of the storm on a sliding scale based on the size of the hurricane, maximum wind speed and potential for damage. The index rises as the storm approaches any part of Florida and its category goes up. For example, a contract purchased when the index was 2 at $2,000 would be worth $10,000 when the index rises to 10. A futures owner can hold on to the contract or sell it for a higher price if the risk increases. The contract allows the holder to obtain the value in cash a few days after a hurricane strikes. If a hurricane does not make landfall during the 2007 the contracts become worthless. Robert Hartwig, president and chief economist of the Insurance Information Institute, says that this approach to managing risk has limitations. Hartwig sees the contracts as complementary to some reinsurance products but is uncertain about the success of the approach and curious about who will be making the speculations. Hartwig warns that the contracts could increase the volatility of the market.
EP Blob pic. Shear in the area is around 20 & falling. I was just posting about this in my blog.
now what is this?

141. Inyo
i dont know but i hope it goes north-northeast for about 2000 miles
It's your blob Taz. It's slowly been moving North. Which it needs to get to around 10N & shear could stand to drop more to really see anything.
sky could we see 90E out of this?
There has been several blobs that have looked worse that have been pegged as invest recently in the NH, but they only seem to do it in basins other than those around the US. The models make no deal of this. Probibility is at .4%. I doubt it, but good fun for blob watchers:)
The blob is under 10N. There's little chance anything can spin up when it's so close the equator. It's also under shear around 20-30kts.

**imagines the blob-watchers come hurricane season and shivers**
**imagines the blob-watchers come hurricane season and shivers**

LOL... I had no idea that there was even a blob in the East Pacific until now, and it doesn't look interesting, probably just the ITCZ (although maybe too far north for that).
I didnt know either, STL. At least Taz keeps us updated on them.
LOL... I had no idea that there was even a blob in the East Pacific until now

and he promises to never be unaware again..ta da da boom!!!
The NHC doesn't make much mention of it:



LOL... Ric... There is absolutely nothing to be concerned about... it is just a cloud, not a big swirly thing - and in the East Pacific, not Atlantic (and even if it was in the Atlantic, it would still be nothing).