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Tropical Weather Discussion

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A broad area of low pressure located about 1000 miles
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula
continues to produce showers and thunderstorms.  Although the
disturbance is currently disorganized, environmental conditions
should support the gradual development of this system during the
next several days while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

Disorganized cloudiness and showers are associated with an area of
low pressure located about 1600 miles southwest of the southern tip
of the Baja California peninsula.  Some development of this
system is possible during the next several days before environmental
conditions become less conducive this weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

An area of low pressure is forecast to form well southwest of the
southern coast of Mexico in a few days.  Some gradual development of
this system is possible after that time.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster zelinsky/Pasch


  
  
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