Hurricane and Tropical Cyclones

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Tropical Weather Discussion

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located several hundred miles
south of the coast of Mexico are associated with a trough of low
pressure.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual
development of this system during the next several days, and a
tropical depression is likely to form late this week while
the system moves slowly west-northwestward to northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

A nearly-stationary area of low pressure located about 1500 miles
west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California is producing
disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms well east of the
circulation center.  Upper-level winds are expected to become less
favorable today and significant development of this system is not
expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

$$
forecaster Brown/Roberts


  
  
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