U.S. Severe Weather Forecast (Convective Outlook)

Day Three

acus02 kwns 301731 
Storm Prediction Center ac 301730 

Day 2 convective outlook 
National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 
1130 am CST Friday Jan 30 2015 

Valid 311200z - 011200z 

..no severe thunderstorm areas forecast... 

numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms will occur Saturday from 
southern portions of Arizona and New Mexico into parts of Texas 
Saturday night. 

Split upper-level flow will remain prevalent over the Continental U.S. Into 
Saturday. A shortwave trough in the northern stream will amplify/dig 
southeastward along the northern rockies...while in the southern 
stream...an upper low will move slowly southeastward over northwest 
Mexico/adjacent southwest states. 

..southern Arizona/nm to southwest/central Texas... 
Given the aforementioned southwest states/northwest Mexico upper 
low...glancing DPVA/upper jet exit region and a weak cape 
environment will influence shower/sporadic thunderstorm potential 
across southern portions of Arizona/nm during the day. 

Isolated thunderstorms may develop as far east as parts of 
southwest/central Texas Saturday night in association with increasing 
warm/moist advection and thermodynamic profiles that are at least 
marginally supportive of thunderstorm potential. 

.Guyer.. 01/30/2015