- Day Three
acus02 kwns 301731
Storm Prediction Center ac 301730
Day 2 convective outlook
National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1130 am CST Friday Jan 30 2015
Valid 311200z - 011200z
..no severe thunderstorm areas forecast...
numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms will occur Saturday from
southern portions of Arizona and New Mexico into parts of Texas
Split upper-level flow will remain prevalent over the Continental U.S. Into
Saturday. A shortwave trough in the northern stream will amplify/dig
southeastward along the northern rockies...while in the southern
stream...an upper low will move slowly southeastward over northwest
Mexico/adjacent southwest states.
..southern Arizona/nm to southwest/central Texas...
Given the aforementioned southwest states/northwest Mexico upper
low...glancing DPVA/upper jet exit region and a weak cape
environment will influence shower/sporadic thunderstorm potential
across southern portions of Arizona/nm during the day.
Isolated thunderstorms may develop as far east as parts of
southwest/central Texas Saturday night in association with increasing
warm/moist advection and thermodynamic profiles that are at least
marginally supportive of thunderstorm potential.