U.S. Severe Weather Forecast (Convective Outlook)

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Day Three

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acus03 kwns 020704 
swody3 
Storm Prediction Center ac 020703 


Day 3 convective outlook 
National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 
0203 am CDT Thursday Oct 02 2014 


Valid 041200z - 051200z 


..no severe thunderstorm areas forecast... 


... 
isolated thunderstorms may develop along a cold front across 
southern New England and coastal middle Atlantic. Scattered 
thunderstorms may also develop across the Florida Peninsula. 


..ern u... 


Strong middle-level height falls will spread across the Ohio Valley into 
southern New England late in the period. Progressive...deep upper trough 
should aid a narrow band of elevated convection across southern New 
England...with near-surface based thunderstorms possible along the middle 
Atlantic coast. This activity will move quickly offshore except for 
southern New England where cold front may not clear the coast until after 
05/00z. 


Scattered convection may also develop along trailing cold front across the 
Florida Peninsula. With large scale forcing expected to remain well 
north of this region...high precipitable water airmass and diabatic heating should 
be sufficient for convective development along weakly convergent 
cold front. 


.Darrow.. 10/02/2014