Share

Tropical Update: Vance Fizzles; Nuri Transitions in the Pacific

Stu Ostro
Published: November 7, 2014

With the end of the hurricane season just a few weeks away and no significant Atlantic disturbances on the horizon, this will be the last regularly scheduled Tropical Update of the year. Special TROSUMs will be issued only if disturbances have a high risk of development or pose a threat to U.S. interests.

EASTERN PACIFIC

Remarkably Vance became only the third tropical cyclone to make landfall this year in one of the busiest eastern Pacific hurricane seasons on record (Hurricane Odile and Tropical Storm Trudy being the others).

There are still over 3 weeks left in the hurricane season, but if no additional named storms form, this year would tie 1990 as the fourth most active season on record in terms of named storms. Here are the top four busiest years in the eastern Pacific:

1. 1992 - 24 named storms
2. 1985 - 22 named storms
3. 1983 - 21 named storms
4. 2014 - 20 named storms
4. 1990 - 20 named storms

ATLANTIC BASIN

A broad area of low pressure (designated Invest 97L) has formed north of Puerto Rico but so far there's been little organization to the nearby thunderstorms.

The low pressure has about 24 hours to develop into something more, after which time it will be absorbed by an advancing cold front. Upper winds are expected to stay hostile in the interim so development is unlikely.

REAL-TIME UPDATES

Our live wall below has the latest updates from our hurricane experts and from coastal National Weather Service offices. No need to refresh, the latest updates will appear at the top of the wall. Time stamps on each post are in Eastern U.S. time.

(MORE: Glossary of Tropical Terms | New NHC Storm Surge Maps)



 


MORE: Hurricanes From Space (NASA Satellite Images)

 

Featured Blogs

NO WHITE CHRISTMAS FOR EASTERN U.S.

By Dr. Jeff Masters
December 21, 2014

No Snow in the eastern US this week - much colder Temps going into New Years...

November 2014 Global Weather Extremes Summary

By Christopher C. Burt
December 18, 2014

November was globally the 7th warmest such on record according to NOAA and 8th according to NASA (see Jeff Master’s blog for more about this). It was a cold month in the U.S. with some phenomenal lake-effect snowstorms. A powerful storm, dubbed a ‘Medicane’ formed in the Mediterranean Sea. Deadly floods occurred in Morocco, Italy, and Switzerland. It was the warmest November on record for Australia, Italy, Austria and much of Southeast Asia.Below are some of the month’s highlights.

Live Blog: Tracking Hurricane Arthur as it Approaches North Carolina Coast

By Shaun Tanner
July 3, 2014

This is a live blog set up to provide the latest coverage on Hurricane Arthur as it threatens the North Carolina Coast. Check back often to see what the latest is with Arthur. The most recent updates are at the top.

Tropical Terminology

By Stu Ostro
June 30, 2014

Here is some basic, fundamental terminology related to tropical cyclones. Rather than a comprehensive and/or technical glossary, this represents the essence of the meaning & importance of some key, frequently used terms.

2013-14 - An Interesting Winter From A to Z

By Tom Niziol
May 15, 2014

It was a very interesting winter across a good part of the nation from the Rockies through the Plains to the Northeast. Let's break down the most significant winter storms on a month by month basis.

What the 5th IPCC Assessment Doesn't Include

By Angela Fritz
September 27, 2013

Melting permafrost has the potential to release an additional 1.5 trillion tons of carbon into the atmosphere, and could increase our global average temperature by 1.5°F in addition to our day-to-day human emissions. However, this effect is not included in the IPCC report issued Friday morning, which means the estimates of how Earth's climate will change are likely on the conservative side.