Orwell, NY

1:47 PM EST on February 12, 2012 (GMT -0500)
Elev: 797 ft
Lon: 76.0° W
Lat: 43.6° N
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Active Advisory: Lake Effect Snow Advisory (US Severe Weather) Active Notice: Public Information Statement
Tropical Weather: Tropical Cyclone Giovanna (South Indian Ocean) Tropical Cyclone Jasmine (Southern Pacific)
Weather Summary
Kari Kiefer
Weather Underground Forecast for Sunday, February 12, 2012.

The East dries out on Sunday, but wet weather continues moving through the West. A trough of low pressure advances eastward over the Great Basin and Central Rockies, producing moderate snow showers over Utah and Colorado. Winter weather advisories have been issued for parts of western Colorado as snowfall accumulations may reach from 6 to 8 inches by Sunday evening. Most of Utah, western Wyoming, and northern New Mexico should see lighter snow showers with accumulation around 1 to 2 inches. The tail end of this trough will extend into western Texas, bringing snow and freezing rain showers into northwestern Texas. Precipitation from this system will move into the Texas Panhandle late Sunday into Monday morning. Winter storm warnings have been issued for the region as 3 to 5 inches of snow are possible, with ice accumulations from 0.10 to 0.30 inches by Sunday evening. This will cause dangerous roads and travel conditions.

Meanwhile, another trough of low pressure and associated cold front approach the West Coast on Sunday. This system will reach the coasts of the Pacific Northwest and northern California in the afternoon and evening hours, bringing more rain showers. Temperatures will remain cool over most of the West Coast as this system pushes clouds and moisture onshore.

In the East, a strong ridge of high pressure allows for dry, sunny, and cool weather to persist. This system creates strong flow from the north, pushing cold air into the Plains and Eastern Valleys. Expect highs to range in the 20s in the Midwest, while the Ohio River Valley and Tennessee Valleys will see highs in the 30s. Freeze advisories have been issued for the Gulf states as low temperatures will drop into the 20s Sunday night. Dangerous fire conditions spread over the Southeastern states due to high pressure creating a very dry airmas with strong winds.
Weather Underground Forecast for Sunday, February 12, 2012.

The East dries out on Sunday, but wet weather continues moving through the West. A trough of low pressure advances eastward over the Great Basin and Central Rockies, producing moderate snow showers over Utah and Colorado. Winter weather advisories have been issued for parts of western Colorado as snowfall accumulations may reach from 6 to 8 inches by Sunday evening. Most of Utah, western Wyoming, and northern New Mexico should see lighter snow showers with accumulation around 1 to 2 inches. The tail end of this trough will extend into western Texas, bringing snow and freezing rain showers into northwestern Texas. Precipitation from this system will move into the Texas Panhandle late Sunday into Monday morning. Winter storm warnings have been issued for the region as 3 to 5 inches of snow are possible, with ice accumulations from 0.10 to 0.30 inches by Sunday evening. This will cause dangerous roads and travel conditions.

Meanwhile, another trough of low pressure and associated cold front approach the West Coast on Sunday. This system will reach the coasts of the Pacific Northwest and northern California in the afternoon and evening hours, bringing more rain showers. Temperatures will remain cool over most of the West Coast as this system pushes clouds and moisture onshore.

In the East, a strong ridge of high pressure allows for dry, sunny, and cool weather to persist. This system creates strong flow from the north, pushing cold air into the Plains and Eastern Valleys. Expect highs to range in the 20s in the Midwest, while the Ohio River Valley and Tennessee Valleys will see highs in the 30s. Freeze advisories have been issued for the Gulf states as low temperatures will drop into the 20s Sunday night. Dangerous fire conditions spread over the Southeastern states due to high pressure creating a very dry airmas with strong winds.
Weather Underground Broadcast Network
Orwell Weather at a Glance
Updated 1:43 PM EST
Weather Station - report
Orwell NY, Orwell
Elevation
1099 ft
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Now
Light Snow
Light Snow
Temperature
14.4 °F
Feels Like 14 °F
Wind(mph)
3.0
Sunrise / Set
7:07 AM
5:29 PM
Moon
Waning Gibbous
Today
Snow 18 °F
Snow
90% chance of precipitation
Tonight
Snow Showers 13 °F
Snow Showers
70% chance of precipitation
Tomorrow
Snow 31 | 20 °F
Snow
90% chance of precipitation
Tuesday
Snow 34 | 27 °F
Snow
50% chance of precipitation
Wednesday
Chance of Snow 38 | 27 °F
Chance of Snow
30% chance of precipitation
Thursday
Chance of Snow 38 | 29 °F
Chance of Snow
50% chance of precipitation
Today is forecast to be Cooler than yesterday.
Conditions
Pressure
29.74 in
Visibility
1.8 miles
Clouds
Mostly Cloudy 2200 ft
Overcast 2900 ft
Moisture
Humidity
32%
Rainfall
-
Not available.
Snow Depth
Not available.
METAR
SPECI KFZY 121835Z AUTO 35006KT 1 3/4SM -SN BKN022 OVC029 M11/M14 A2987 RMK AO2 UPB12E28SNE08B31 P0000 $
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Weather Radio
Launch Weather Radio
Temperature
Windchill
14 °F
Dew Point
-10 °F
Wind
Speed / Dir
3.0 mph from NNW
Wind Gust
6.7 mph
Health
UV
1 out of 16
Pollen
.10 out of 12
Pollen Forecast
Air Quality
Not available.
Flu Activity
Sporadic
View Flu Map
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Regional Forecast for Oswego
This Afternoon
chancesnow Snow likely. Additional accumulation an inch or less. Cold with highs 15 to 20. North winds 10 to 15 mph...becoming northwest and increasing to 15 to 25 mph. Chance of snow 70 percent.
Tonight
nt_chancesnow Lake effect snow developing in the evening. Accumulation 3 to 6 inches in the most persistent snows. Windy and not as cold with lows ranging from 10 to 15 across the Tug Hill to 15 to 20 along the Lake Ontario shore. West winds 15 to 30 mph. Chance of snow 90 percent.
Monday
chancesnow Lake effect snow in the morning...then partly sunny with a chance of snow showers in the afternoon. Additional accumulation 2 to 3 inches in the most persistent snows. Windy with highs in the lower 30s. West winds 20 to 30 mph. Chance of snow 90 percent.
Monday Night
nt_cloudy Partly to mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. West winds 15 to 25 mph...becoming southwest and diminishing to 10 to 15 mph.
Tuesday
chancesnow A chance of snow showers in the morning...then snow likely in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 30s. South winds 10 to 15 mph...becoming southwest. Chance of snow 60 percent.
Tuesday Night
nt_chancesnow Snow likely. Lows in the upper 20s. Chance of snow 60 percent.
Wednesday
snow Cloudy with a chance of rain and snow showers. Highs in the upper 30s. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Wednesday Night
nt_cloudy Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s.
Thursday
snow Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow. Highs in the upper 30s. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Thursday Night
nt_chancesnow Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow showers. Lows around 30.
Friday
chancesnow Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow showers. Highs in the upper 30s.
Friday Night
nt_chancesnow Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow showers. Lows in the lower 20s.
Saturday
chancesnow Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow showers. Highs in the lower 30s.
Source: NWS at 1:16 PM EST on February 12, 2012
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Nowcast
Lake effect Snow Advisory in effect from 6 PM this evening to 6 am EST Monday...
Forecast
View Calendar 7-Day Weather Forecast for 13426
Sunday, 12
Snow
18 | 13 °F
Snow
Chance of
Precipitation
90%
Monday, 13
Snow
31 | 20 °F
Snow
Chance of
Precipitation
90%
Tuesday, 14
Snow
34 | 27 °F
Snow
Chance of
Precipitation
50%
Wednesday, 15
Chance of Snow
38 | 27 °F
Chance of Snow
Chance of
Precipitation
30%
Thursday, 16
Chance of Snow
38 | 29 °F
Chance of Snow
Chance of
Precipitation
50%
Friday, 17
Chance of Snow
36 | 22 °F
Chance of Snow
Chance of
Precipitation
40%
Saturday, 18
Chance of Snow
31 | NA
Chance of Snow
Chance of
Precipitation
40%
Source: NWS at 1:16 PM EST on February 12, 2012
Regional Forecast for Oswego
This Afternoon
chancesnow Snow likely. Additional accumulation an inch or less. Cold with highs 15 to 20. North winds 10 to 15 mph...becoming northwest and increasing to 15 to 25 mph. Chance of snow 70 percent.
Tonight
nt_chancesnow Lake effect snow developing in the evening. Accumulation 3 to 6 inches in the most persistent snows. Windy and not as cold with lows ranging from 10 to 15 across the Tug Hill to 15 to 20 along the Lake Ontario shore. West winds 15 to 30 mph. Chance of snow 90 percent.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 2 | -1 13 | 1 17 | 6 13 | 10
Wind 6 mph NNW 8 mph NNW 7 mph NW 8 mph WNW
Humidity 84% 59% 66% 85%
Chance of Precip. 40% 90% 90% 70%
Cloud Cover 74% 97% 61% 66%
Conditions Snow Showers Snow Snow Showers Snow Showers
Sunrise & Sunset
7:07 AM
5:29 PM
Source: NWS at 1:16 PM EST on February 12, 2012
Regional Forecast for Oswego
Monday
chancesnow Lake effect snow in the morning...then partly sunny with a chance of snow showers in the afternoon. Additional accumulation 2 to 3 inches in the most persistent snows. Windy with highs in the lower 30s. West winds 20 to 30 mph. Chance of snow 90 percent.
Monday Night
nt_cloudy Partly to mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. West winds 15 to 25 mph...becoming southwest and diminishing to 10 to 15 mph.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 13 | 13 26 | 19 27 | 20 22 | 20
Wind 8 mph WNW 16 mph West 12 mph West 6 mph WSW
Humidity 78% 74% 72% 92%
Chance of Precip. 70% 90% 90% 20%
Cloud Cover 84% 90% 81% 51%
Conditions Snow Showers Snow Chance of Snow Partly Cloudy
Sunrise & Sunset
7:05 AM
5:31 PM
Source: NWS at 1:16 PM EST on February 12, 2012
Regional Forecast for Oswego
Tuesday
chancesnow A chance of snow showers in the morning...then snow likely in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 30s. South winds 10 to 15 mph...becoming southwest. Chance of snow 60 percent.
Tuesday Night
nt_chancesnow Snow likely. Lows in the upper 20s. Chance of snow 60 percent.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 20 | 17 32 | 22 32 | 25 29 | 27
Wind 6 mph South 10 mph South 7 mph SSW 6 mph South
Humidity 87% 69% 74% 89%
Chance of Precip. 20% 60% 60% 60%
Cloud Cover 70% 96% 100% 100%
Conditions Mostly Cloudy Chance of Snow Snow Snow
Sunrise & Sunset
7:04 AM
5:32 PM
Source: NWS at 1:16 PM EST on February 12, 2012
Regional Forecast for Oswego
Wednesday
snow Cloudy with a chance of rain and snow showers. Highs in the upper 30s. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Wednesday Night
nt_cloudy Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 27 | 27 36 | 30 35 | 29 30 | 27
Wind 5 mph South 6 mph SSW 6 mph SW 6 mph WSW
Humidity 98% 80% 83% 94%
Chance of Precip. 60% 60% 30% 30%
Cloud Cover 100% 100% 100% 93%
Conditions Chance of Snow Chance of Snow Chance of Snow Overcast
Sunrise & Sunset
7:03 AM
5:33 PM
Source: NWS at 1:16 PM EST on February 12, 2012
Regional Forecast for Oswego
Thursday
snow Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow. Highs in the upper 30s. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Thursday Night
nt_chancesnow Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow showers. Lows around 30.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 27 | 25 36 | 28 35 | 29 32 | 29
Wind 6 mph SW 9 mph South 9 mph SSE 11 mph SE
Humidity 95% 74% 77% 86%
Chance of Precip. 50% 50% 50% 50%
Cloud Cover 83% 69% 90% 95%
Conditions Mostly Cloudy Chance of Snow Chance of Snow Chance of Snow
Sunrise & Sunset
7:01 AM
5:35 PM
Source: NWS at 1:16 PM EST on February 12, 2012
Regional Forecast for Oswego
Friday
chancesnow Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow showers. Highs in the upper 30s.
Friday Night
nt_chancesnow Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow showers. Lows in the lower 20s.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 29 | 27 35 | 25 32 | 25 26 | 23
Wind 13 mph West 13 mph West 13 mph West 14 mph West
Humidity 88% 70% 79% 84%
Chance of Precip. 50% 50% 40% 40%
Cloud Cover 95% 90% 85% 73%
Conditions Chance of Snow Chance of Snow Chance of Snow Chance of Snow
Sunrise & Sunset
7:01 AM
5:35 PM
Source: NWS at 1:16 PM EST on February 12, 2012
Regional Forecast for Oswego
Saturday
chancesnow Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow showers. Highs in the lower 30s.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 23 | 20 30 | 18 26 | 18 26 | 23
Wind 13 mph West 14 mph WNW 12 mph WNW 14 mph West
Humidity 87% 62% 69% 84%
Chance of Precip. 40% 40% 40% 40%
Cloud Cover 78% 78% 70% 73%
Conditions Chance of Snow Chance of Snow Chance of Snow Chance of Snow
Sunrise & Sunset
7:01 AM
5:35 PM
BestForecast (what's this?)
Scientific Forecaster Discussion — MOS Weather Graph
Nearby
History & Almanac
February 12, 2012 Max Temp Min Temp
Normal (KART) 31 °F 8 °F
Record (KART) 59 °F (1999) -25 °F (1979)
Yesterday 29 °F -8 °F
Yesterday's Heating Degree Days: 54
Choose a date
Earthquake Activity
City Distance Mag. Time & Date
No recent earthquake activity has been reported nearby.
Minimum magnitude displayed is 2.5.
More information at USGS.gov
Air Quality
  Air Quality AQ Index Pollutant
Sunday Good
PM2.5
Monday Good
PM2.5
Coastal Water Temperatures
Place Temperature
Alexandria Bay, NY 34.0 °F
Ogdensburg, NY 39.0 °F
Marine Forecast
Astronomy
Feb. 12, 2012 Rise Set
Actual Time 7:07 AM EST 5:29 PM EST
Civil Twilight 6:37 AM EST 5:59 PM EST
Nautical Twilight 6:04 AM EST 6:33 PM EST
Astronomical Twilight 5:30 AM EST 7:06 PM EST
Moon 11:39 PM EST 9:11 AM EST
Length Of Visible Light 11h 21m
Length of Day
10h 22m
Tomorrow will be 2m 43s longer.
Waning Gibbous, 72% of the Moon is Illuminated
Today
Waning Gibbous
Feb 14
Last Quarter
Feb 21
New
Feb 29
First Quarter
Mar 8
Full
Visit Astronomy
Today's Extremes
State Highs State Lows
33 °F
Montauk
32 °F
New York
32 °F
New York JFK
32 °F
Westhampton Beach
30 °F
Montgomery
-7 °F
Saranac Lake
-7 °F
Watertown
-2 °F
Fort Drum
3 °F
Massena
6 °F
Plattsburgh
Source: NWS
Snow Depth
Station Depth Elevation
No new snow has been reported.
Snow Depth Reports — Snow Depth Map
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Aviation
City Temp. Conditions Updated
Fulton 12 °F Light Snow 1:35 PM EST
Watertown 14 °F Mostly Cloudy 12:56 PM EST
Syracuse 18 °F Light Snow 1:41 PM EST
Fort Drum 10 °F Overcast 1:24 PM EST
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Flight To ETA Status
OAE547
Shannon, County Clare 		KGTB 03:25PM On Time
UCA4854
Newark, NJ 		KSYR 01:33PM On Time
AWI3960
Washington, DC 		KSYR 02:36PM On Time
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Type Condition
Flight Rule: IFR (KFZY)
Wind Speed: 6.0 kts.
Wind Dir: 331° (NNW)
Ceiling: 2200 ft

SPECI KFZY 121835Z AUTO 35006KT 1 3/4SM -SN BKN022 OVC029 M11/M14 A2987 RMK AO2 UPB12E28SNE08B31 P0000 $

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Nearby Events
Event Date Forecast
No events within 10 mi of location. View all events.
Event data courtesy eviesays.com
Sports
Event Date Forecast
Budweiser Shootout 8:29 PM EST on February 18, 2012 Partly Cloudy, 59 °F
Gatorade Duel 1 2:19 PM EST on February 23, 2012 Average High 70° F/ 21° C
Event Date Forecast
AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am 8:30 AM PST on February 12, 2012 Mostly Cloudy, 45 °F
Northern Trust Open 8:30 AM PST on February 16, 2012 Clear, 61 °F
View all Sports Weather
Weather Stations
Station Location Temp. Windchill Dew Point Humidity Wind Precipitation Elevation Updated Type Website
Orwell NY, Orwell, NY 14.4 °F 14 °F -10 °F 32% NNW  at  3.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 1099 ft 1:43 PM EST Normal  
Lorton Lake Back End, Altmar, NY 11.6 °F -1 °F -2 °F 55% NW  at  9.0 mph - / hr 870 ft 1:43 PM EST Normal  
Grand Venture Dairy, Adams, NY 10.9 °F 2 °F 4 °F 73% WSW  at  5.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 531 ft 1:45 PM EST Normal  
Fulton, NY 12.2 °F 12 °F 7 °F 78% NNE  at  0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 413 ft 1:47 PM EST Normal
Marsh Road, Cleveland, NY 17.4 °F 17 °F 7 °F 62% West  at  2.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 564 ft 1:44 PM EST Normal  
HARE RD, Central Square, NY 20.1 °F 14 °F 4 °F 48% NE  at  4.4 mph 0.00 in / hr 430 ft 1:46 PM EST Rapid Fire  
Deer Run Dairy, Adams, NY 12.7 °F 4 °F 3 °F 65% WNW  at  5.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 420 ft 1:45 PM EST Normal  
Henderson, Henderson, NY 15.6 °F 4 °F 4 °F 59% NW  at  9.2 mph 0.00 in / hr 371 ft 1:47 PM EST Rapid Fire  
Windsong dairy, Adams Center, NY 11.0 °F -1 °F 2 °F 68% West  at  8.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 810 ft 1:43 PM EST Normal  
onieda lake, Brewerton, NY 21.2 °F 13 °F 6 °F 52% West  at  6.7 mph - / hr 375 ft 1:38 PM EST Normal  
Brewerton, NY 19.6 °F 20 °F 10 °F 66% NNW  at  2.7 mph 0.00 in / hr 394 ft 1:47 PM EST Rapid Fire  
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Lake Effect Snow Advisory
Mobile & Email Alerts Statement as of 11:27 AM EST on February 12, 2012

... Lake effect Snow Advisory remains in effect from 6 PM this
evening to 6 am EST Monday...

* locations... Oswego County.

* Timing... early this evening through late tonight.

* Accumulations... 3 to 6 inches in the most persistent lake snows.

* Winds... northwest 15 to 25 mph.

* Visibilities... as low as a quarter mile at times.

* Impacts... snow and blowing snow will create limited
visibilities at times and produce snow covered roads and
difficult travel conditions.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

In lake effect snow the weather can vary from locally heavy snow
in narrow bands to clear skies just a few miles away. If you will
be traveling across the region be prepared for rapid changes in
Road and visibility conditions.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or your favorite source of
weather information for the latest updates. Additional details
can also be found at www.Weather.Gov/Buffalo.




Public Information Statement
Mobile & Email Alerts Statement as of 1:07 PM EST on February 12, 2012

Below are the 48 hour snowfall totals from across the area.

********************Storm total snowfall********************

Location storm total time/date comments
                     snowfall of
                     /inches/ measurement

New York

... Allegany County...
   Alfred 3.5 700 am 2/12 co-op observer
   Whitesville 2.0 730 am 2/12 co-op observer
   Wellsville 2.0 600 am 2/12 co-op observer

... Cattaraugus County...
   Salamanca 7.0 700 am 2/12 co-op observer
   West Valley 6.0 700 am 2/12 cocorahs
   Little Valley 5.0 700 am 2/12 co-op observer
   Olean 2.0 725 am 2/12 co-op observer

... Chautauqua County...
   4 SSE Frewsburg 4.3 700 am 2/12 cocorahs
   Jamestown 4.3 700 am 2/12 co-op observer

... Erie County...
   2 NE Boston 6.0 700 am 2/12 cocorahs
   Colden 5.2 730 am 2/12 co-op observer
   2 SSW Blasdell 5.0 700 am 2/12 cocorahs
   2 se Glenwood 4.8 700 am 2/12 cocorahs
   Buffalo 4.0 100 PM 2/12 NWS office
   Clarence Center 4.0 700 am 2/12 cocorahs
   Wales 3.8 700 am 2/12 co-op observer
   3 E Williamsville 3.8 700 am 2/12 cocorahs
   West Seneca 3.5 700 am 2/12 cocorahs
   East Aurora 3.4 700 am 2/12 cocorahs
   Tonawanda 3.3 700 am 2/12 cocorahs
   Kenmore 3.0 700 am 2/12 cocorahs

... Genesee County...
   2 NE Stafford 3.7 700 am 2/12 cocorahs

... Lewis County...
   Lowville 0.7 700 am 2/12 co-op observer

... Livingston County...
   4 WSW Dansville 3.5 700 am 2/12 cocorahs
   Avon 3.1 700 am 2/12 co-op observer
   Portageville 2.5 700 am 2/12 co-op observer

... Monroe County...
   Rochester Intl Arpt 15.1 100 PM 2/12 ASOS
   Greece 14.0 1200 PM 2/12 trained spotter
   3 NNW Rochester 9.1 700 am 2/12 cocorahs
   5 WNW Rochester 8.5 700 am 2/12 cocorahs
   4 SSE Pittsford 6.8 700 am 2/12 cocorahs

... Niagara County...
   1 NE Lockport 5.5 700 am 2/12 cocorahs
   1 NE Pendleton 5.3 700 am 2/12 cocorahs
   1 NNE north tonawand 4.5 700 am 2/12 cocorahs
   6 E Niagara Falls 3.0 700 am 2/12 co-op observer

... Ontario County...
   Canandaigua 4.5 800 am 2/12 co-op observer
   Geneva 4.2 800 am 2/12 co-op observer

... Oswego County...
   Minetto 3.9 700 am 2/12 cocorahs
   2 SSE Palermo 0.6 600 am 2/12 co-op observer

... Wayne County...
   Sodus 12.0 1000 am 2/12 trained spotter
   2 SW Walworth 9.6 700 am 2/12 cocorahs
   2 NW Palmyra 8.5 700 am 2/12 cocorahs
   1 E Newark 6.6 700 am 2/12 cocorahs

... Wyoming County...
   Warsaw 5.5 700 am 2/12 co-op observer
   3 N Silver Springs 4.0 700 am 2/12 co-op observer


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