Chaffee, NY

5:09 PM EST on February 12, 2012 (GMT -0500)
Elev: 1444 ft
Lon: 78.5° W
Lat: 42.6° N
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Tropical Weather: Tropical Cyclone Giovanna (South Indian Ocean) Tropical Cyclone Jasmine (Southern Pacific)
Weather Summary
Kari Kiefer
Weather Underground Forecast for Sunday, February 12, 2012.

The East dries out on Sunday, but wet weather continues moving through the West. A trough of low pressure advances eastward over the Great Basin and Central Rockies, producing moderate snow showers over Utah and Colorado. Winter weather advisories have been issued for parts of western Colorado as snowfall accumulations may reach from 6 to 8 inches by Sunday evening. Most of Utah, western Wyoming, and northern New Mexico should see lighter snow showers with accumulation around 1 to 2 inches. The tail end of this trough will extend into western Texas, bringing snow and freezing rain showers into northwestern Texas. Precipitation from this system will move into the Texas Panhandle late Sunday into Monday morning. Winter storm warnings have been issued for the region as 3 to 5 inches of snow are possible, with ice accumulations from 0.10 to 0.30 inches by Sunday evening. This will cause dangerous roads and travel conditions.

Meanwhile, another trough of low pressure and associated cold front approach the West Coast on Sunday. This system will reach the coasts of the Pacific Northwest and northern California in the afternoon and evening hours, bringing more rain showers. Temperatures will remain cool over most of the West Coast as this system pushes clouds and moisture onshore.

In the East, a strong ridge of high pressure allows for dry, sunny, and cool weather to persist. This system creates strong flow from the north, pushing cold air into the Plains and Eastern Valleys. Expect highs to range in the 20s in the Midwest, while the Ohio River Valley and Tennessee Valleys will see highs in the 30s. Freeze advisories have been issued for the Gulf states as low temperatures will drop into the 20s Sunday night. Dangerous fire conditions spread over the Southeastern states due to high pressure creating a very dry airmas with strong winds.
Weather Underground Forecast for Sunday, February 12, 2012.

The East dries out on Sunday, but wet weather continues moving through the West. A trough of low pressure advances eastward over the Great Basin and Central Rockies, producing moderate snow showers over Utah and Colorado. Winter weather advisories have been issued for parts of western Colorado as snowfall accumulations may reach from 6 to 8 inches by Sunday evening. Most of Utah, western Wyoming, and northern New Mexico should see lighter snow showers with accumulation around 1 to 2 inches. The tail end of this trough will extend into western Texas, bringing snow and freezing rain showers into northwestern Texas. Precipitation from this system will move into the Texas Panhandle late Sunday into Monday morning. Winter storm warnings have been issued for the region as 3 to 5 inches of snow are possible, with ice accumulations from 0.10 to 0.30 inches by Sunday evening. This will cause dangerous roads and travel conditions.

Meanwhile, another trough of low pressure and associated cold front approach the West Coast on Sunday. This system will reach the coasts of the Pacific Northwest and northern California in the afternoon and evening hours, bringing more rain showers. Temperatures will remain cool over most of the West Coast as this system pushes clouds and moisture onshore.

In the East, a strong ridge of high pressure allows for dry, sunny, and cool weather to persist. This system creates strong flow from the north, pushing cold air into the Plains and Eastern Valleys. Expect highs to range in the 20s in the Midwest, while the Ohio River Valley and Tennessee Valleys will see highs in the 30s. Freeze advisories have been issued for the Gulf states as low temperatures will drop into the 20s Sunday night. Dangerous fire conditions spread over the Southeastern states due to high pressure creating a very dry airmas with strong winds.
Weather Underground Broadcast Network
Chaffee Weather at a Glance
Updated 5:09 PM EST
Elevation
1476 ft
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Now
Light Snow
Light Snow
Temperature
21.6 °F
Feels Like 22 °F
Wind(mph)
3.0
Sunrise / Set
7:15 AM
5:41 PM
Moon
Waning Gibbous
Tonight
Snow Showers 16 °F
Snow Showers
80% chance of precipitation
Tomorrow
Partly Cloudy 29 °F
Partly Cloudy
Tomorrow Night
Chance of Snow 20 °F
Chance of Snow
50% chance of precipitation
Tuesday
Snow 34 | 27 °F
Snow
50% chance of precipitation
Wednesday
Chance of Snow 36 | 25 °F
Chance of Snow
30% chance of precipitation
Thursday
Chance of Snow 38 | 25 °F
Chance of Snow
50% chance of precipitation
Tomorrow is forecast to be Warmer than today.
Conditions
Pressure
30.00 in
Visibility
2.5 miles
Clouds
Mostly Cloudy 2000 ft
Mostly Cloudy 3200 ft
Overcast 4100 ft
Moisture
Humidity
90%
Rainfall
0.00 in
Snow Depth
Not available.
METAR
SPECI KBUF 122200Z 27015KT 2 1/2SM -SN BKN020 BKN032 OVC041 M04/M08 A2993 RMK AO2 P0000 $
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Weather Radio
Launch Weather Radio
Temperature
Windchill
22 °F
Dew Point
19 °F
Wind
Speed / Dir
3.0 mph from West
Wind Gust
7.0 mph
Health
UV
0 out of 16
Pollen
.30 out of 12
Pollen Forecast
Ozone
Good
PM2.5
Good
Flu Activity
Sporadic
View Flu Map
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Regional Forecast for Southern Erie
Tonight
nt_chancesnow Mostly cloudy through the early overnight...then becoming partly cloudy. Snow this evening...then a chance of snow showers after midnight. Additional accumulation an inch or less. Windy with lows 15 to 20. West winds 15 to 30 mph. Chance of snow 80 percent.
Monday
partlycloudy Mostly sunny and windy. Highs in the lower 30s. West winds 20 to 30 mph.
Monday Night
nt_chancesnow Partly cloudy in the evening...then mostly cloudy with a chance of snow overnight. Late evening lows ranging from around 20 inland to the mid 20s along the Lake Shore...then temperatures rising to the mid 20s inland and to the upper 20s along the Lake Shore. Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph...diminishing to 10 to 20 mph. Chance of snow 30 percent.
Tuesday
chancesnow Cloudy. A chance of snow in the morning...then snow likely in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 30s. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. Chance of snow 60 percent.
Tuesday Night
nt_chancesnow Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow. Lows around 30. Light winds.
Wednesday
chancesnow Cloudy with a chance of snow and rain showers. Highs in the mid 30s. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Wednesday Night
nt_cloudy Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s.
Thursday
chancesnow Rain showers likely with a chance of snow showers. Highs in the lower 40s. Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Thursday Night
nt_chancesnow Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow and rain showers. Lows around 30. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Friday
chancesnow Cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow showers. Highs in the mid 30s.
Friday Night
nt_chancesnow Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow showers. Lows in the lower 20s.
Saturday
chancesnow Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow showers. Highs around 30.
Saturday Night
nt_chancesnow Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow showers. Lows 15 to 20.
Source: NWS at 3:44 PM EST on February 12, 2012
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Forecast
View Calendar 7-Day Weather Forecast for 14030
Sunday, 12
Snow
22 | 16 °F
Snow
Chance of
Precipitation
90%
Monday, 13
Partly Cloudy
29 | 20 °F
Partly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
10%
Tuesday, 14
Snow
34 | 27 °F
Snow
Chance of
Precipitation
50%
Wednesday, 15
Chance of Snow
36 | 25 °F
Chance of Snow
Chance of
Precipitation
30%
Thursday, 16
Chance of Snow
38 | 25 °F
Chance of Snow
Chance of
Precipitation
50%
Friday, 17
Chance of Snow
31 | 18 °F
Chance of Snow
Chance of
Precipitation
40%
Saturday, 18
Chance of Snow
29 | NA
Chance of Snow
Chance of
Precipitation
40%
Source: NWS at 3:44 PM EST on February 12, 2012
Regional Forecast for Southern Erie
Tonight
nt_chancesnow Mostly cloudy through the early overnight...then becoming partly cloudy. Snow this evening...then a chance of snow showers after midnight. Additional accumulation an inch or less. Windy with lows 15 to 20. West winds 15 to 30 mph. Chance of snow 80 percent.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 7 | 7 19 | 13 19 | 13 18 | 14
Wind 15 mph West 18 mph WNW 20 mph WNW 19 mph West
Humidity 92% 77% 76% 86%
Chance of Precip. 100% 100% 100% 80%
Cloud Cover 100% 97% 99% 95%
Conditions Snow Snow Snow Snow Showers
Sunrise & Sunset
7:15 AM
5:41 PM
Source: NWS at 3:44 PM EST on February 12, 2012
Regional Forecast for Southern Erie
Monday
partlycloudy Mostly sunny and windy. Highs in the lower 30s. West winds 20 to 30 mph.
Monday Night
nt_chancesnow Partly cloudy in the evening...then mostly cloudy with a chance of snow overnight. Late evening lows ranging from around 20 inland to the mid 20s along the Lake Shore...then temperatures rising to the mid 20s inland and to the upper 20s along the Lake Shore. Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph...diminishing to 10 to 20 mph. Chance of snow 30 percent.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 17 | 15 27 | 18 26 | 14 22 | 13
Wind 15 mph West 20 mph West 14 mph West 7 mph SW
Humidity 92% 71% 59% 68%
Chance of Precip. 80% 10% 10% 50%
Cloud Cover 40% 38% 29% 69%
Conditions Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy
Sunrise & Sunset
7:14 AM
5:42 PM
Source: NWS at 3:44 PM EST on February 12, 2012
Regional Forecast for Southern Erie
Tuesday
chancesnow Cloudy. A chance of snow in the morning...then snow likely in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 30s. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. Chance of snow 60 percent.
Tuesday Night
nt_chancesnow Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow. Lows around 30. Light winds.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 20 | 18 30 | 24 31 | 27 29 | 27
Wind 6 mph SW 10 mph SSW 7 mph SW 5 mph SW
Humidity 94% 76% 82% 93%
Chance of Precip. 50% 60% 60% 60%
Cloud Cover 94% 98% 100% 100%
Conditions Chance of Snow Snow Snow Snow
Sunrise & Sunset
7:12 AM
5:44 PM
Source: NWS at 3:44 PM EST on February 12, 2012
Regional Forecast for Southern Erie
Wednesday
chancesnow Cloudy with a chance of snow and rain showers. Highs in the mid 30s. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Wednesday Night
nt_cloudy Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 27 | 27 35 | 29 32 | 27 28 | 25
Wind 6 mph SW 10 mph WSW 7 mph West 6 mph SW
Humidity 98% 82% 83% 91%
Chance of Precip. 60% 60% 30% 30%
Cloud Cover 100% 100% 88% 80%
Conditions Chance of Snow Chance of Snow Chance of Snow Mostly Cloudy
Sunrise & Sunset
7:11 AM
5:45 PM
Source: NWS at 3:44 PM EST on February 12, 2012
Regional Forecast for Southern Erie
Thursday
chancesnow Rain showers likely with a chance of snow showers. Highs in the lower 40s. Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Thursday Night
nt_chancesnow Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow and rain showers. Lows around 30. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 25 | 25 34 | 28 32 | 29 28 | 27
Wind 7 mph SSW 7 mph South 7 mph SSE 11 mph West
Humidity 98% 79% 89% 98%
Chance of Precip. 50% 50% 50% 50%
Cloud Cover 81% 89% 90% 95%
Conditions Mostly Cloudy Chance of Snow Chance of Snow Chance of Snow
Sunrise & Sunset
7:10 AM
5:46 PM
Source: NWS at 3:44 PM EST on February 12, 2012
Regional Forecast for Southern Erie
Friday
chancesnow Cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow showers. Highs in the mid 30s.
Friday Night
nt_chancesnow Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow showers. Lows in the lower 20s.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 25 | 25 30 | 25 26 | 21 21 | 17
Wind 8 mph West 12 mph WSW 13 mph West 11 mph West
Humidity 96% 81% 81% 84%
Chance of Precip. 50% 50% 40% 40%
Cloud Cover 95% 78% 85% 73%
Conditions Chance of Snow Chance of Snow Chance of Snow Chance of Snow
Sunrise & Sunset
7:10 AM
5:46 PM
Source: NWS at 3:44 PM EST on February 12, 2012
Regional Forecast for Southern Erie
Saturday
chancesnow Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow showers. Highs around 30.
Saturday Night
nt_chancesnow Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow showers. Lows 15 to 20.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 18 | 16 26 | 16 23 | 16 21 | 17
Wind 12 mph WNW 14 mph WNW 8 mph WNW 11 mph West
Humidity 87% 66% 72% 84%
Chance of Precip. 40% 40% 40% 40%
Cloud Cover 78% 78% 70% 73%
Conditions Chance of Snow Chance of Snow Chance of Snow Chance of Snow
Sunrise & Sunset
7:10 AM
5:46 PM
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Scientific Forecaster Discussion — MOS Weather Graph
Nearby
Active Notice: Public Information Statement  (US Severe Weather)
History & Almanac
February 12, 2012 Max Temp Min Temp
Normal (KBUF) 32 °F 18 °F
Record (KBUF) 63 °F (1999) -10 °F (1979)
Yesterday 29 °F 10 °F
Yesterday's Heating Degree Days: 45
Choose a date
Earthquake Activity
City Distance Mag. Time & Date
No recent earthquake activity has been reported nearby.
Minimum magnitude displayed is 2.5.
More information at USGS.gov
Air Quality
  Air Quality AQ Index Pollutant
Yesterday Good
PM2.5
Yesterday Good
OZONE
Current Good
OZONE
Current Good
PM2.5
Sunday Good
PM2.5
Monday Good
PM2.5
Coastal Water Temperatures
Place Temperature
Buffalo, NY 33.1 °F
Marine Forecast
Astronomy
Feb. 12, 2012 Rise Set
Actual Time 7:15 AM EST 5:41 PM EST
Civil Twilight 6:46 AM EST 6:10 PM EST
Nautical Twilight 6:13 AM EST 6:43 PM EST
Astronomical Twilight 5:40 AM EST 7:16 PM EST
Moon 11:47 PM EST 9:24 AM EST
Length Of Visible Light 11h 24m
Length of Day
10h 25m
Tomorrow will be 2m 38s longer.
Waning Gibbous, 70% of the Moon is Illuminated
Today
Waning Gibbous
Feb 14
Last Quarter
Feb 21
New
Feb 29
First Quarter
Mar 8
Full
Visit Astronomy
Today's Extremes
State Highs State Lows
33 °F
Westhampton Beach
33 °F
New York
33 °F
Shirley
33 °F
Montauk
32 °F
New York JFK
-7 °F
Saranac Lake
-7 °F
Watertown
-2 °F
Fort Drum
3 °F
Massena
6 °F
Plattsburgh
Source: NWS
Snow Depth
Station Depth Elevation
No new snow has been reported.
Snow Depth Reports — Snow Depth Map
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Aviation
City Temp. Conditions Updated
Buffalo 25 °F Light Snow 5:00 PM EST
Dunkirk 27 °F Overcast 4:53 PM EST
Dansville 24 °F Overcast 4:54 PM EST
Wellsville 20 °F Light Snow 4:56 PM EST
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Flight To ETA Status
AWE1880
Washington, DC 		KBUF 05:00PM On Time
RPA3363
Philadelphia, PA 		KBUF 05:10PM On Time
CHQ4723
Cleveland, OH 		KBUF 05:11PM On Time
COM2861
New York, NY 		KBUF 05:13PM On Time
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Type Condition
Flight Rule: IFR (KBUF)
Wind Speed: 15.0 kts.
Wind Dir: 271° (West)
Ceiling: 2000 ft

SPECI KBUF 122200Z 27015KT 2 1/2SM -SN BKN020 BKN032 OVC041 M04/M08 A2993 RMK AO2 P0000 $

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Nearby Events
Event Date Forecast
No events within 10 mi of location. View all events.
Event data courtesy eviesays.com
Sports
Event Date Forecast
Budweiser Shootout 8:29 PM EST on February 18, 2012 Partly Cloudy, 59 °F
Gatorade Duel 1 2:19 PM EST on February 23, 2012 Average High 70° F/ 21° C
Event Date Forecast
AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am 8:30 AM PST on February 12, 2012 Mostly Cloudy, 45 °F
Northern Trust Open 8:30 AM PST on February 16, 2012 Clear, 61 °F
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Weather Stations
Station Location Temp. Windchill Dew Point Humidity Wind Precipitation Elevation Updated Type Website
Craneridge, Near Kissing Bridge, Glenwood, NY 21.6 °F 22 °F 19 °F 90% West  at  3.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 1476 ft 5:09 PM EST Rapid Fire  
Colden, NY 20.9 °F 7 °F 19 °F 91% West  at  16.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 1715 ft 5:05 PM EST Normal  
APRSWXNET Colden NY , Colden, NY 20 °F 14 °F 18 °F 92% WSW  at  4 mph 0.00 in / hr 1581 ft 4:36 PM EST MADIS
Orchard Park, NY 23.4 °F 17 °F 17 °F 77% NW  at  4.9 mph 0.00 in / hr 1123 ft 5:09 PM EST Rapid Fire  
HADS FRANKLINVILLE NEAR OLEAN 18N NY, Franklinville, NY - - - - North  at  - 0.00 in / hr 1580 ft 4:15 PM EST MADIS
Taylor Woods, Hamburg, NY 25.1 °F 14 °F 19 °F 78% NW  at  12.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 820 ft 4:59 PM EST Normal  
Eden Valley, Eden, NY 25.7 °F 11 °F 14 °F 62% East  at  22.8 mph 0.00 in / hr 810 ft 5:09 PM EST Rapid Fire  
Bullis Road - 1 Mile West of Bowen Rd, Elma, NY 25.6 °F 14 °F 19 °F 77% WSW  at  13.2 mph 0.00 in / hr 764 ft 5:09 PM EST Rapid Fire
Near Ralph Wilson Stadium, Hamburg, NY 27.2 °F 13 °F 19 °F 70% West  at  21.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 770 ft 5:09 PM EST Rapid Fire
South of village, Attica, NY 22.5 °F 22 °F 12 °F 65% WSW  at  0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 1007 ft 4:28 PM EST Rapid Fire  
West Church St., Eden, NY 26.1 °F 15 °F 21 °F 82% WSW  at  12.6 mph 0.00 in / hr 810 ft 5:09 PM EST Rapid Fire  
HADS OATKA CREEK AT WARSAW 18SSE NY, Warsaw, NY - - - - North  at  - 0.00 in / hr 1720 ft 4:00 PM EST MADIS
South Lancaster, Lancaster, NY 25.3 °F 12 °F 20 °F 81% SSE  at  16.5 mph 0.00 in / hr 684 ft 5:05 PM EST Normal  
SENECA CREEK RD., WEST SENECA, NY 27.1 °F 15 °F 17 °F 66% West  at  16.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 630 ft 5:08 PM EST Normal  
NonFedAWOS CATTARAUGUS COUNTY-OLEAN , Hinsdale, NY 18 °F 5 °F 12 °F 79% WNW  at  12 mph 0.00 in / hr 2134 ft 4:32 PM EST MADIS
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Public Information Statement
Mobile & Email Alerts Statement as of 1:07 PM EST on February 12, 2012

Below are the 48 hour snowfall totals from across the area.

********************Storm total snowfall********************

Location storm total time/date comments
                     snowfall of
                     /inches/ measurement

New York

... Allegany County...
   Alfred 3.5 700 am 2/12 co-op observer
   Whitesville 2.0 730 am 2/12 co-op observer
   Wellsville 2.0 600 am 2/12 co-op observer

... Cattaraugus County...
   Salamanca 7.0 700 am 2/12 co-op observer
   West Valley 6.0 700 am 2/12 cocorahs
   Little Valley 5.0 700 am 2/12 co-op observer
   Olean 2.0 725 am 2/12 co-op observer

... Chautauqua County...
   4 SSE Frewsburg 4.3 700 am 2/12 cocorahs
   Jamestown 4.3 700 am 2/12 co-op observer

... Erie County...
   2 NE Boston 6.0 700 am 2/12 cocorahs
   Colden 5.2 730 am 2/12 co-op observer
   2 SSW Blasdell 5.0 700 am 2/12 cocorahs
   2 se Glenwood 4.8 700 am 2/12 cocorahs
   Buffalo 4.0 100 PM 2/12 NWS office
   Clarence Center 4.0 700 am 2/12 cocorahs
   Wales 3.8 700 am 2/12 co-op observer
   3 E Williamsville 3.8 700 am 2/12 cocorahs
   West Seneca 3.5 700 am 2/12 cocorahs
   East Aurora 3.4 700 am 2/12 cocorahs
   Tonawanda 3.3 700 am 2/12 cocorahs
   Kenmore 3.0 700 am 2/12 cocorahs

... Genesee County...
   2 NE Stafford 3.7 700 am 2/12 cocorahs

... Lewis County...
   Lowville 0.7 700 am 2/12 co-op observer

... Livingston County...
   4 WSW Dansville 3.5 700 am 2/12 cocorahs
   Avon 3.1 700 am 2/12 co-op observer
   Portageville 2.5 700 am 2/12 co-op observer

... Monroe County...
   Rochester Intl Arpt 15.1 100 PM 2/12 ASOS
   Greece 14.0 1200 PM 2/12 trained spotter
   3 NNW Rochester 9.1 700 am 2/12 cocorahs
   5 WNW Rochester 8.5 700 am 2/12 cocorahs
   4 SSE Pittsford 6.8 700 am 2/12 cocorahs

... Niagara County...
   1 NE Lockport 5.5 700 am 2/12 cocorahs
   1 NE Pendleton 5.3 700 am 2/12 cocorahs
   1 NNE north tonawand 4.5 700 am 2/12 cocorahs
   6 E Niagara Falls 3.0 700 am 2/12 co-op observer

... Ontario County...
   Canandaigua 4.5 800 am 2/12 co-op observer
   Geneva 4.2 800 am 2/12 co-op observer

... Oswego County...
   Minetto 3.9 700 am 2/12 cocorahs
   2 SSE Palermo 0.6 600 am 2/12 co-op observer

... Wayne County...
   Sodus 12.0 1000 am 2/12 trained spotter
   2 SW Walworth 9.6 700 am 2/12 cocorahs
   2 NW Palmyra 8.5 700 am 2/12 cocorahs
   1 E Newark 6.6 700 am 2/12 cocorahs

... Wyoming County...
   Warsaw 5.5 700 am 2/12 co-op observer
   3 N Silver Springs 4.0 700 am 2/12 co-op observer


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