Today is forecast to be Much Cooler than yesterday.
Nowcast as of 10:57 PM MDT on July 25, 2008
Now
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will continue moving slowly northwest over the northwest corner of New Mexico through the early morning hours. The strongest activity will produce gusty winds...cloud to ground lightning...and locally heavy rainfall. The greatest chances for rainfall through 100 am will extend from near Gallup northeast to Chaco Canyon...Nageezi...Navajo Dam...and Dulce.
Forecast for West Central Mountains
Updated: 6:26 PM MDT on July 25, 2008
Flash Flood Watch in effect from Saturday afternoon through Sunday afternoon...
Rest of Tonight
Partly cloudy. Numerous showers and thunderstorms in the evening...then scattered showers and thunderstorms after midnight. Lows in the 50s to lower 60s. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Saturday
Numerous showers and thunderstorms. Some thunderstorms may be severe. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s...except in the 60s to upper 70s over the higher elevations. East winds 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
... Flash Flood Watch in effect from Saturday afternoon through Sunday afternoon...
The National Weather Service in Albuquerque has issued a
* Flash Flood Watch for a portion of north and central New Mexico... including the following areas... Southwest Mountains/upper Gila region and west central mountains.
* From Saturday afternoon through Sunday afternoon
* the remnants of once Hurricane Dolly are likely to reach southwest New Mexico Saturday afternoon or evening. This will bring the potential for enough additional rainfall to the already wet northern Gila region and portions of west central New Mexico that the risk of flash flooding over larger sections of that area will increase. There is still some significant uncertainty as to how far west and north the remnants of Dolly will go. There is still some potential that it could track in a more north and east path which would bring more significant rains into central and northwest New Mexico as well... but southwest and west central New Mexico would still be significantly impacted. There is also a small chance that rains heavy enough to create flash flooding may largely remain south and west of the watch area. Over the next 12 to 24 hours that track should be more clear and the watch may be adjusted.
At this time the most likely scenario for the watch area is to expect generally a third of an inch to an inch of rain Saturday through Sunday... but with more localized amounts 2 or 3 inches possible. The effects of mountain terrain and thunderstorms will focus the heavier rain amounts.
A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation. Monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should flash flood warnings be issued.
= Probability of Precipitation
