Clear in the evening...then becoming partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph... becoming north with gusts up to 20 mph after midnight.
Sunday
Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Much cooler. Near steady temperature in the mid 40s. Northeast winds around 10 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in the morning.
The Flood Warning continues for the Charles River at Dover. * At 4:00 am Friday the stage was 7.6 feet. * Flood stage is 5.0 feet. * Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast. * Forecast... the river will continue to fall to a stage of 6.7 feet by tomorrow morning. * Impact... at 8.0 feet... flooding will impact portions of Dover... Medfield... Millis... Medway... South Natick... Needham and Wellesley with Road closures and local evacuations possible.
Public Information Statement
Statement as of 11:28 am EDT on March 19, 2010
... Public information statement...
The National Weather Service has declared March 15 to 19 flood safety awareness week. The National Weather Service in Taunton MA is featuring a different educational topic each day during the awareness week. Today's topic... tropical cyclone inland flooding.
When it comes to tropical cyclones, a generic term for a hurricane... typhoon... or tropical storm... wind speeds do not tell the whole story. Intense rainfall... not directly related to the wind speed of a tropical cyclone... often causes more damage. Since the 1970s... inland flooding has been responsible for more than half of the deaths associated with tropical cyclones in the United States. Typically... greater rainfall amounts and flooding are associated with tropical cyclones that have a slow forward speed or stall over an area.
What do I need to know about inland flooding from tropical cyclones? Inland freshwater floods accounted for more than half of U.S. Tropical cyclone deaths over the past 30 years.
Rainfall is typically heavier with slower moving storms as slower moving tropical cyclones allow heavy rain to persist over a location.
What types of inland flooding are caused by tropical cyclones? Flash flooding occurs in creeks... streams... and urban areas within a few minutes or hours of excessive rainfall. Streets can become swift moving rivers and underpasses can become flooded to dangerous depths.
River flooding occurs from heavy rains associated with decaying hurricanes or tropical storms, and in extreme cases... river floods can last a week or more.
How do I know how severe a flood will be? Within Flood Warning products... the NWS conveys the magnitude of observed or forecast flooding using flood severity categories. These flood severity categories include minor flooding... moderate flooding... and major flooding. Each category has a definition based on property damage and public threat.
Minor flooding... minimal or no property damage... but possibly some public threat or inconvenience.
Moderate flooding... some inundation of structures and roads near streams. Some evacuations of people and... or Transfer of property to higher elevations are necessary.
Major flooding... extensive inundation of structures and roads. Significant evacuations of people and... or Transfer of property to higher elevations.
The impacts of a floods vary locally. For each NWS river forecast location... flood stage and the stage associated with each of the NWS flood severity categories are established in cooperation with local public officials. Increasing river levels above flood stage constitute minor... moderate... and major flooding. Impacts vary from one river location to another because a certain river stage /height/ in one location may have an entirely different impact than the same level above flood stage at another location.